Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 246 - 3/31/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:19Hello, and welcome to episode 246 of the All Systems Go Sports
- 0:25Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:28I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
- 0:36Happy Monday, a new week begins, the final day also in the month
- 0:41of March. That's right.
- 0:43Tomorrow we open up the calendar to the month of April.
- 0:46That means we're locked and loaded with MLB.
- 0:48And guess what? I have my first official MLB
- 0:51best bet of the season for you guys today.
- 0:53So we're going to get very, very heavy into baseball very, very
- 0:56soon. We're going to be betting every
- 0:58single day, so don't worry. And a lot of you who've been
- 1:01reaching out to me saying where are the baseball bats?
- 1:02You know, and if you ever watch Chappelle, you know the Tyrone
- 1:05Bigham skit where he's like, is this the free 5:00 crack
- 1:07giveaway? Is this the is this the MLB pod?
- 1:10Is it? Is it here yet?
- 1:11Well, guess what it is, but don't worry, we'll be grinding
- 1:13it all season long. But I do have for you today
- 1:16guys, hopefully to finish up the month of March on a high note A4
- 1:19pack overall. So we're going to be hitting on
- 1:21all the sports today. I got one Major League Baseball
- 1:24play. I got one NBA play.
- 1:26It's not a huge, I guess you could say line move play, but
- 1:29it's a really good system match and I'll tell you what those
- 1:31systems are. It's a total and a big game here
- 1:33tonight that I'm looking at. And also, did you guys know?
- 1:37I had no idea about this. Did you know about the college
- 1:40basketball crown, the CDC? Well, you may have never heard
- 1:43of it. I got to give props to to
- 1:45college basketball for giving us something to bet on today.
- 1:47But this is a brand new tournament.
- 1:49For the first time this year it's out in Vegas.
- 1:51I was actually joking with my friend Matt Brown on V Sin and
- 1:54Ariel Epstein as I was joining Money moves today, but I think
- 1:58tickets are as low as $11.00. If you want to go sweat some of
- 2:01these CBC games that will be played out in Vegas, be the way
- 2:05guys we're going to hit on it all four pack overall 2 college
- 2:08basketball games again, no March Madness.
- 2:10Who played the chalk? Wasn't it a crazier this year
- 2:13where if you were one of those people who played every one seat
- 2:15in the the Final four and people laughed to you?
- 2:17Well, yeah, that's exactly what happened.
- 2:19It's been, I believe, the chalkiest March Madness and I
- 2:22don't even know decades, which is not great for contrarian
- 2:25betters like me. It's been disappointing because
- 2:27a lot of these contrarian dogs getting points, getting line
- 2:30moves have not barked. But I want to say favorites are
- 2:33like 5050 and 13 or something insane, straight up the start of
- 2:37the year. So we do have obviously the
- 2:39Final four coming in a few days from now.
- 2:41You're looking at lines that are already out.
- 2:43Houston, Duke, we got Duke favored by about 5.
- 2:46They've gone up from 4 1/2 And Florida, Auburn looks like a
- 2:49really, really competitive game that's at Florida -2 1/2.
- 2:52So those games aren't until what is it?
- 2:54I think it's on Saturday. So we got a long layoff there.
- 2:57So we'll monitor them. We'll talk about them throughout
- 2:59the week. But for now, we got baseball, we
- 3:01got NBA, and we got college basketball.
- 3:04So hope everyone had a great weekend.
- 3:06Let's get right back into doing what we love to do, sweating
- 3:09games, breaking down sharp contrarian plays from a
- 3:11data-driven perspective. So without further ado, let's
- 3:15see if we can cash some tickets tonight.
- 3:16So first one, I want to get this pot out as soon as I can because
- 3:19this is an early game. There's a 3:00 matchup between
- 3:22Utah and Butler, and this is the again, aforementioned CBC, which
- 3:27is a brand new tournament here out in Vegas.
- 3:29Let's set the stage. We'll talk some sharp line moves
- 3:31and I'll give you my play for this one.
- 3:34So going into it, we have Utah coming into this game with a
- 3:38record of 16 and 16, but they've struggled down the stretch.
- 3:41They lost five of their last six, just lost to UCF, 87 to 72
- 3:46in the first round of the Big 12 tournament.
- 3:48They're actually favored by 2 1/2 in that one, lost out,
- 3:50right. But Butler, their opponent, 14
- 3:52and 19, even even worse. So I guess the same, they've
- 3:56lost five of their last six as well.
- 3:57Just got rolled by St. John's 78 to 57 in the Big East
- 4:01tournament quarterfinals. They're getting 12 1/2 as a dog
- 4:04and could not cover that game. So what have we seen across the
- 4:07market? Well, this game opened again,
- 4:09neutral site out in Vegas at a basically a pick em.
- 4:12Most books for pick em, some shops for Butler -1 opener, some
- 4:16shops for Utah -1 opener. We can split the difference.
- 4:19Basically call it a pick em game on a neutral court.
- 4:22So game is about open as a pick em.
- 4:24It's always notable to me where in which direction does the line
- 4:27move? Because maybe you have a lot of
- 4:29wise guys, Sharps who you know, again set their own power
- 4:31ratings. That's what differentiates
- 4:33sharps from recreational betters.
- 4:35They're setting their own numbers and basically they're
- 4:37looking for discrepancies. So maybe there are wise guys and
- 4:40wise gals out there who have it at a pick em and there's no
- 4:43edge. Or sometimes there's a, a sharp,
- 4:46sharp play where basically the wise guys have a, a different
- 4:50number. They don't have a pick em, They
- 4:51have one team favored over the other.
- 4:53So looks like the team that the sharps like, which again, I
- 4:56always want to be on the sharp side of every play, looks to be
- 4:58the Utah Utes. So if we look at where the
- 5:01public is, 65% of spread bets at DraftKings are on Butler.
- 5:06So I don't know why the public loves Butler there.
- 5:08You know, maybe just the the memory of, you know, Gordon
- 5:12Hayward and Brad Stevens and making deep runs.
- 5:15Maybe they're down on Utah. Maybe it's a combination of
- 5:17both. But a draftking 65% of spread
- 5:20bets are on Butler. But the line hasn't moved toward
- 5:23Butler. The line is moved toward Utah.
- 5:26Utah went from about to pick them up to -2 1/2.
- 5:29I money line them at -2 1/2, I believe I got -134 across the
- 5:35market. I think that was, I want to say
- 5:36FanDuel. Well, since that time, now
- 5:38they're up to -3 and again, this is a three o'clock game.
- 5:41I want to get the pot out quick if you want to play this one.
- 5:43But it's notable to me that the public's on Butler, but the line
- 5:46is going toward Utah tells me this is a classic reverse line
- 5:49move when the betting line goes away from the popular side,
- 5:52toward the unpopular side and also a fade.
- 5:55The trendy dog play. The trendy dog is Butler now
- 5:57getting 3, two and a half three and getting 65% of bets.
- 6:02Couple advantages here for Utah. Well, first, I want to mention
- 6:04this. I'm operating on the premise
- 6:06that because this tournament again, probably crept up on a
- 6:09lot of us, including myself, it's out in Vegas.
- 6:12It's at The MGM Grand, I believe.
- 6:14But because of that, it's in Vegas.
- 6:17Maybe we should put a little stock into the Circa bet splits
- 6:19because Circa the again, Sharp book out there in Vegas, a
- 6:22stone's throw from where the game is being played currently,
- 6:25you're only getting 30% of bets, but over 50% of spread dollars
- 6:29on Utah at Circa. So maybe the the Sharp's out in
- 6:32the desert, as Brent Musburgh likes to say, My guys in the
- 6:34desert, maybe they're getting down hard at Circa on Utah,
- 6:37which is where I want to be now. Utah has a couple distinct
- 6:40advantages. The better defensive efficiency,
- 6:4383rd in the country versus 148th for Butler.
- 6:46Better offensive rebound percentage, 37th in the country
- 6:49versus 200 and 78th for Butler. They also hold their opponents
- 6:54to a better effective field goal percentage, making it harder on
- 6:57their opponents to score. 76th in the country versus one O 7th
- 7:01for Butler. And Utah also grabs more
- 7:03rebounds per game. If you grab more rebounds a
- 7:05game, typically that's a recipe to win.
- 7:08If you dominate the glass, The average 40 rebounds a game
- 7:11versus 35 for Butler. A couple other angles here.
- 7:15Utah, according to our friends at Rhythm, is actually a -, 3.3
- 7:20favorite and that 3.3 was available pretty much all day
- 7:23when this line was, you know, 2 1/2.
- 7:25So still actual discrepancy from our friends at Rhythm.
- 7:28Again, they're saying basically Utah should win by a little bit
- 7:31more than three. The other angle here is if you
- 7:34look at our friends at Juice Reel, it's nothing huge, but a
- 7:376% sharp mush edge on Utah. So just you know, a little bit,
- 7:42a little bit toward Utah, which again tells me the sharper
- 7:45betters who have synced up their sports books to Juice Reel are
- 7:47leaning more toward Utah. So Long story short, basically a
- 7:50pick em game, even a dog to fave Publix on Butler lines going to
- 7:54Utah. I'm making a CBC play.
- 7:56Wouldn't be great to start your day off with an afternoon sweat.
- 7:59That's a winner. Fingers crossed, but I'm on Utah
- 8:01money line again, you'd hate to money line short favorites.
- 8:05Very important we've talked about all the time on the pod,
- 8:08but you'd hate to see Utah win by one or two.
- 8:10You lose cuz you lay a three and a 2 1/2 or a three.
- 8:13So I got Utah again a little bit earlier today at -134 but now
- 8:18you're looking, it's actually creeping up, which is a good and
- 8:21a bad thing. Higher price, but tells me smart
- 8:23money keeps hammering Utah. You're around -150 size -160
- 8:27right now. So let's go Utah Utes Next one,
- 8:31let's look toward Nebraska and Arizona State.
- 8:34This is a 8:30 PM Eastern Time game late night in Vegas,
- 8:38setting the stage here. We have Nebraska coming in 17
- 8:41and 14, but they've struggled. They've lost six of the last
- 8:43seven. They just fell to Iowa, 83 to 68
- 8:47and their regular season finale. They lost outright as a 7 1/2
- 8:50point home favorite, I believe. They did not make their
- 8:52conference tournament. Meanwhile, Arizona State, 13 and
- 8:5519 on the year, they've really struggled.
- 8:57They've lost 11 of their last 12, just lost to K State, 71 to
- 9:0166. They did cover, though as a 5
- 9:031/2 point neutral site dog. They did make the Big 12
- 9:06tournament there. I guess they let everyone in the
- 9:08Big 12 tournament. But anyway, what have we seen
- 9:10across the market here? Well, Nebraska opened around a 6
- 9:141/2 point neutral site favorite. So I saw some books that were
- 9:17opener of like 5 majority, though the market setting ones
- 9:21were 6 1/2. And basically once again, the
- 9:24public is is kind of split here. They don't know what to do.
- 9:27Feel like Nebraska's the better team.
- 9:28Arizona State's really struggle, but that's kind of a high number
- 9:31and in a neutral site again, which with these games, what's
- 9:35the motivation for these teams? However, even though it's 5050,
- 9:39the line is dropped toward Arizona State.
- 9:40They've gone from plus 6 + 6 1/2, I should say down to plus 5
- 9:451/2. There are some books at six.
- 9:47So shop around. And if you're going to go, so
- 9:48I'm going, I'm going Sun Devils in the points.
- 9:50I'll build my case here further. But if you can find a six, even
- 9:53better. If not, 5 1/2 there for Arizona
- 9:56State. But 5050 line shouldn't move it
- 9:58all yet. It did move toward Arizona
- 10:00State. Now the splits are interesting
- 10:02at at DraftKings, 48% of spread bets, 61% of spread dollars on
- 10:08the Sun Devils and again, operating on the premise of this
- 10:11tournaments out in Vegas, circus out in Vegas, 37% of spread
- 10:16bets, but 95% of spread dollars are on Arizona State.
- 10:20So tells me a lot of big money out there in Vegas, stone's
- 10:24throw away from where this game will be played coming down on
- 10:27Arizona State and the points. Now if you're going to play
- 10:29Arizona State with me, this is one thing you're going to really
- 10:31like Ken Palma is Nebraska winning by three.
- 10:34So if you're getting a six or a 5 1/2 good actual value there.
- 10:38On the Sun Devils, one thing I'm going to bank on for Arizona
- 10:40State, they are 70th in the country and three-point shooting
- 10:4436%, Nebraska's 33%, they ranked 242nd.
- 10:49So if you're a dog and you got to cover a number, hey, shooting
- 10:52the three is very important to keep pace or back to our cover.
- 10:55Sun Devils also block more shots per game, 12.1 versus 9.1.
- 11:00For Nebraska, they ranked 51st versus 183rd.
- 11:04Little shout out to my buddy Greg Peterson, who is a
- 11:07colleague of mine at V Sin, but he mentioned this as well.
- 11:09Nebraska's assistant head coach, I think I believe their top
- 11:12assistant, Adam Howard, he won't coach this game.
- 11:15He left the team. So down one of your top coaches,
- 11:18you know, what is that? What kind of message does that
- 11:20send to the locker room? Hopefully that's a a negative
- 11:22for for Nebraska. And then lastly, our friends at
- 11:25Rhythm, they have Arizona State plus 3.5.
- 11:29So if you're getting 5 1/2 or 6, Ken Palms got a three-point
- 11:32game, Rhythms got 3.5 good value there for the Sun Devils.
- 11:36Then lastly, our friends at Juice Rail have a 14% sharp mush
- 11:40edge in favor of Arizona State. So 14% more of the sharper
- 11:44winning players are playing Arizona State versus the, again,
- 11:48less winning or losing, whatever you want to call them.
- 11:50Always. People always say like if you're
- 11:52a square, better. Like you always hear sharps and
- 11:54squares, squares like a pejorative.
- 11:57It's a bad term. I mean, I guess, but all it just
- 12:00means is I always think of like, if you're like Back to the
- 12:03Future, the Enchantment under the Sea dance, you're a square.
- 12:06You're kind of someone who's not very hip.
- 12:08But you know, again, I guess you don't want to call them squares.
- 12:11Anyway, I don't know why I even mentioned that.
- 12:13But the less winning players are more toward Nebraska, 14% more
- 12:16of the sharper winning players on Arizona State.
- 12:19So if you can get a + 6, even better.
- 12:21If not, Arizona State plus 5 1/2.
- 12:25Now for what you've all been waiting for, Major League
- 12:28Baseball, Major League Baseball back in our lives again.
- 12:32I've taken a slow approach. I'm waiting for Rhythm to unveil
- 12:35their models and formulas because I want to apply that to
- 12:37our handicap. Should be any day now.
- 12:40I think the the team at Rhythm is just trying to be careful and
- 12:42make sure that when it's unveiled, because this is the
- 12:44first time they've ever had MLB predictions, they want to make
- 12:46sure that they're right. But anyway, I found one game
- 12:49today with a lot of steam and a lot of system matches.
- 12:52It's the LA Angels visiting the Saint Louis Cardinals.
- 12:56So Angels come in two and one. They won two out of three at the
- 13:00White Sox. You look at the Cardinals,
- 13:01they're playing pretty good. They're three and O, they just
- 13:03swept the Minnesota Twins at home.
- 13:06So pitching match up here. We got Tyler Anderson, the lefty
- 13:08going for the Angels. He's 10 and 15 on the year 3.81
- 13:12ERA. He'll be opposed by the righty
- 13:14Miles Michaelis, the ageless wonder.
- 13:16He went 10:00 and 11:00 last year, 5.35 ERA.
- 13:19What have we seen across the market?
- 13:21Well, pretty clear, sharp steam move in favor of the Cardinals.
- 13:25Cardinals open this game around -130 at home now they're all the
- 13:28way up to -150 So that jumped out to me, a $0.20 steam move in
- 13:32favor of Saint Louis. Now you look at circa 73% of
- 13:37bets, over 90% of the money is on Saint Louis.
- 13:40So again, sharp split in favor of the Cardinals.
- 13:44Aside from the big steam, like you had me at the Steam,
- 13:46basically, because that tells me a lot of money came in on Saint
- 13:49Louis. I want to be on Saint Louis, but
- 13:50this is also at my wheelhouse or in my wheelhouse.
- 13:53No, I guess whatever, however you want to phrase it, but a few
- 13:56things that I like supplementary factors and we got to get back
- 13:59into thinking about betting Major League Baseball.
- 14:01But one thing that I do like is a favorite low total total in
- 14:04this game is 8. It's kind of a low total.
- 14:07Some shops are even a little bit choose toward the under lower
- 14:10scoring game. Few amount of expected run
- 14:11scored. Typically that favors the better
- 14:13team. Those the few amount of runs are
- 14:15more likely to come from basically the better team.
- 14:18So we got favorite low total. We also have a ton of system
- 14:21matches here. Non division favorites with
- 14:23Steam $0.10 or more seven and three so far this year, 70%
- 14:28seventeen percent ROI. Non division home favorites,
- 14:31awful win with Steam six and one so far this year, a 40% ROI.
- 14:37This one's interesting too. Monday home favorites with Steam
- 14:40$0.10 or more 36 and 1571 percent, 10% ROI since the start
- 14:45of last year. So all these matches, non
- 14:48division lack of familiarity also really like interleague
- 14:51favorites. Again, that's the ultimate lack
- 14:53of familiarity benefiting the better team.
- 14:55You also get possibly a schedule advantage.
- 14:58The Angels are playing their fourth straight Rd. game.
- 15:00Saint Louis is playing their fourth straight home game.
- 15:02So no travel involved for Saint Louis, sleeping in your own bed
- 15:06waiting for LA to arrive. And then also the bats are are
- 15:11much better here to start the season for Saint Louis.
- 15:13They're hitting three O 6. Angels are only hitting 2O2.
- 15:17They've scored nineteen runs, only five runs scored.
- 15:19It's incredible. The Angels have only scored five
- 15:22runs, but they they're two and one so far this year.
- 15:24They lost 8 to one, then they won one nothing and three to
- 15:27two. So the bats hopefully for Saint
- 15:29Louis come alive here and also the pitching team ERA of two
- 15:34versus 3.46 for the Angels. So we're going to bet a lot of
- 15:38MLB games this year. But this is kind of the thing I
- 15:41look for line movement, good bet split, tons of system matches.
- 15:45Again, I love the favorite slow total dogs like high total, non
- 15:49division interleague, all matching here, lighting up for
- 15:52Saint Louis. So my first play of the year, it
- 15:54would be great to start MLB with a winner.
- 15:56I got Saint Louis Cardinals -150 that was at bet MGM.
- 16:01Final bet of the day. Let's look toward a late night
- 16:04sweat in the NBA, the Rockets and the Lakers.
- 16:08So this one should be great. It's on TNT.
- 16:10Both really good teams here. Houston 49 and 26 on the year.
- 16:14They've won four of their last five.
- 16:16Lakers 45 and 21, they've won two of their last three.
- 16:19So both teams are are playing pretty well to start or to
- 16:21finish up the end of the season. Now relatively short spread
- 16:25Lakers open, you know -5 at some shops are down to four, 4 1/2
- 16:30down to to four lines. Moving a little bit toward the
- 16:32Rockets. Interestingly, this is the
- 16:34second leg of a back-to-back for the Rockets, but they did have
- 16:37two days off prior to that. Lakers are rested.
- 16:40They haven't played I believe since Saturday.
- 16:42So even though it's a back-to-back for the Rockets
- 16:44again, they had some rest prior to that.
- 16:46You know, the line is moving a little bit toward the Rockets,
- 16:48but I'm playing the total here. Now.
- 16:50There's one thing I noticed we've hit on this had a little
- 16:53bit of success over the last week or so.
- 16:55I, I would say is overs in the month of March.
- 16:58I don't know if it's because the season's winding down.
- 17:01You know, offense is clicking, defense isn't trying as hard.
- 17:04They want the season and I don't know what the angle is, but
- 17:07overs in March have done very well.
- 17:08They're 126 and one O 255.3% 12 units 1.
- 17:14You bet 100 bucks on every over in the month of March, you're up
- 17:16$1200. In particular, both these teams
- 17:20have been good to the over in March 10 and six to the over in
- 17:23the month of March for Lakers 9/6 and one in the month of
- 17:26March to the over for the Rockets.
- 17:28Now, the total has actually dipped a little bit.
- 17:31You open this game around 225 1/2, we're down to around 224
- 17:371/2 at one point. This got all the way down to 223
- 17:401/2 and it started to tick back up.
- 17:42So it's not a huge line move play like it didn't open, you
- 17:45know, 225 and it steamed up to 228.
- 17:48It's kind of dipped a little bit, but it does appear like
- 17:51it's starting to crawl back up. So I'm thinking hopefully over
- 17:55224 1/2 is your low watermark. I'd love to see this thing creep
- 17:58up throughout the day. Couple things like about this
- 18:00over it's a short spread again, a spread of four.
- 18:04So hopefully a competitive game back and forth scoring on both
- 18:07sides. Lakers 11th in offensive
- 18:10efficiency and they're rested. We also have three over FS in
- 18:14this game, including two in particular, Trey Maddox and Josh
- 18:17Tiven, really good over FS. They're between 52 and 55%
- 18:21historically to the over. Now these teams have only played
- 18:24one game prior this year. It was a 119 to 115 win by the
- 18:28Rockets. So that's a 234.
- 18:31Then the other angle that I like, I was digging up, I was
- 18:35digging into these March overs. I've been hitting very well.
- 18:38If you look at a sweet spot. So if you're a total between
- 18:412:20 and 2:30 that 10, that's kind of a big gap there at 10
- 18:45point kind of middle. If the total is in March between
- 18:492:20 and 2:30, the over is 59% this year, 53 and 3712% ROI.
- 18:56So again, it has dipped a little bit.
- 18:58I'm hoping this is a high watermark or low watermark to
- 19:00play the over 224 1/2. We have a short spread good
- 19:03offense over refs get a lot of these March system matches on
- 19:07this over and look at some of these you know games here.
- 19:10You look at last night the Rockets played Phoenix they won
- 19:13148 to one O 9. Before that they played Utah 121
- 19:18to 110 Atlanta 121 to 114. Lakers last game against Memphis
- 19:23134 to 127. They played Chicago that crazy
- 19:26game where they lost at the end they had a big lead.
- 19:28Josh Kitty hit that that game winner 119 to 117 Indiana 1/20
- 19:33to 1/1/19. These teams have been putting up
- 19:36a lot of points. We got a lot of system matches
- 19:39on this one. Again, it's not a classic steam
- 19:41move over. It's actually a buy low over.
- 19:42But I'm going to play rockets Lakers tonight on TNTI got over
- 19:47224 1/2. So Rockets Lakers over 224 1/2
- 19:51Saint Louis Cardinals -150 Utah money line and Arizona State
- 19:56plus 5 1/2 or +6. We got a four pack.
- 19:59So I can't say the the you know, the normal 3 pack.
- 20:02Let's go 2 and one, see if we can maybe get a three in one
- 20:05day. Two and two at least.
- 20:07But three in one will be great. That'll be a great start to our
- 20:09week. So with that being said,
- 20:11wrapping up on Monday edition of the all systems go sports
- 20:14betting pod, first thing I'm going to mention, as always, is
- 20:17a thank you. Thank you for tuning in, taking
- 20:20the time out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a
- 20:22chair to the virtual bar. And so it's some sharp
- 20:25data-driven breakdowns with me. If you do enjoy the pod, please
- 20:29do me a solid. Give it a five star review if
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- 20:37nice review, you want to leave a nice comment.
- 20:39Hey, I enjoy the breakdowns, win, lose or draw.
- 20:42I value the insights. Whatever you want to say, you
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- 20:59Next, if you enjoy the style of betting breakdown, data-driven,
- 21:03sharp contrarian betting, we're not going to win them all, but
- 21:06we're going to always try to read the market like Wall Street
- 21:09traders approach the stock market and really look at where
- 21:13the line is moving, where the money is flowing, trying to make
- 21:15sharp bets again against the public and with the with the
- 21:19house and with the pros. If this style of betting has
- 21:21appealed to you, you've learned a thing or two listening to the
- 21:24All Systems Go pod. Maybe you always money line
- 21:27short favorites right now and you used to lay the points and
- 21:30get clipped every now and again. But for any reason that you
- 21:33enjoy the pod and you want to learn more about data-driven
- 21:35sports betting, I would highly recommend going to Amazon.com
- 21:39and typing in the everything guide to sports betting.
- 21:41It's the first book I ever wrote my baby very proud of it, but
- 21:45it's basically unveils the data-driven blueprint.
- 21:47Everything we talked about on the pod is in that book.
- 21:50If you were a new better or know a new better or a better who
- 21:53loses a lot and needs to learn about bankroll management, If
- 21:56you'd like to buy the everything guide to sports betting on
- 21:58Amazon, I'd very much appreciate that.
- 22:01And then also believe it or not, I think you know by now, maybe
- 22:04you don't, but I got a new book coming out.
- 22:06Very proud of this. Every day we get closer.
- 22:08August 12th it comes out. It's called the NFL Sharp
- 22:11betting playbook. If you'd like to pre-order a
- 22:13copy on Amazon, you would absolutely make my day.
- 22:16So you can bring the pre-order or the everything guide to
- 22:18sports betting to the book. I'll sign them for you.
- 22:21I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale or we'll get some nachos.
- 22:24We'll sweat some games together. But seriously, if you bought or
- 22:27pre-ordered the book, either of them, I really, really
- 22:30appreciate you. Thank you so much.
- 22:32Next, if you haven't done it yet, you got to do it now,
- 22:36especially with MLB about to go live.
- 22:38Go download the Rhythm app. I can go to the App Store type
- 22:41in RITHMM. We love Rhythm for their data
- 22:44backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 22:47We will have our 4:00 live stream tomorrow for Rhythm so
- 22:50looking forward to that. That'll be stream live on
- 22:52Twitter. And then of course our friends
- 22:54at Juice Reel. You got to download Juice Reel.
- 22:56Juice Reel is fantastic for their AI backed best bets.
- 23:00Daily best bets from Robo Jackson.
- 23:02If you enjoy the pod, you can also sign up to get the all
- 23:05Systems Go official best bets on the Juice Reel app in the social
- 23:09tab. It costs $4.99 a week.
- 23:13I hope you hope that isn't an exorbitant amount, but this pod
- 23:16is free If you feel like I'm giving you 5 bucks worth of
- 23:18insights all week, I hope and I believe that's true.
- 23:21I would love for you guys to support the pod by signing up
- 23:24for those all systems go best bets.
- 23:26I'll tweet them. I tweet them out each day a
- 23:28little bit later in the afternoon.
- 23:30Then also you're going to get the arbitrage plays sharp mush
- 23:34indicators. Shop for the best line futures
- 23:36bets in dollars for every game based on people have synced up
- 23:39their sports books. Rhythm and Juice Real are great.
- 23:42Go download them, give them a five star review in the app.
- 23:45Lastly, you need a live odds page.
- 23:47I don't know how you're betting sports if you don't have a live
- 23:49odds page. You got to have all the games in
- 23:51front of you, the start times, the opening numbers, the current
- 23:54numbers, shopping for the best line, so, so critically
- 23:57important. If you don't have a live odds
- 23:59page or you have one and maybe you don't love it, it's kind of
- 24:01expensive. Or maybe you're using a free
- 24:03one, which free is great, but it's delayed.
- 24:05It doesn't give you all the books.
- 24:07I would highly recommend giving Odds Logic a shot.
- 24:09Just go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
- 24:13You'll get a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first month.
- 24:17Again, that's Odds logic.com/josh 123.
- 24:22So that about does it for last day in the month of March.
- 24:25I'm ready for April. I'm excited for MLB to return
- 24:29every single day. But as always, thank you for
- 24:31tuning in and I'll leave you with two things which I do every
- 24:34pot. Leave you with a couple
- 24:35thoughts. One, whether I see you at the
- 24:37Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook
- 24:41in New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut
- 24:44at the Encore in Boston, or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM
- 24:47Springfield or the Nash and Nashville.
- 24:49And my neck of the woods in in Greater Boston, close to New
- 24:52Hampshire. Or of course out in the desert
- 24:54where the true grinders get down.
- 24:56Where Billy Walter sends his number runners or the lowest use
- 24:58possible S, the South Point. Or sweat and sharp contrarian
- 25:01plays jumping in the stadium swim pool when he cash a big
- 25:04ticket at Circa. You're going to walk up to me
- 25:07and I guess you're going to show me your bracket with all #1
- 25:10seeds in the final four. People laughed at you, but hey,
- 25:12you know, scoreboard. And guess what?
- 25:14We're going to sweat some games together and hopefully cash some
- 25:17tickets. As always, guys win, lose or
- 25:19draw. Red hot, ice cold, somewhere in
- 25:22the middle, grinding. We stick to the model, stick to
- 25:24the blueprint. We always play the long game,
- 25:26the marathon, not the Sprint. And if we can stick to our
- 25:29model, our blueprint against the public with the house, with the
- 25:32pros, flat bet, avoid parlays, get that closing line value.
- 25:36If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports betters.
- 25:39So enjoy your Monday, everyone. Again, we got college hoops, we
- 25:43got MLB, we got NBA, we got a few days until the final four.
- 25:47But hope you had a great weekend and hopefully we can again start
- 25:49off our our new our last day in March and 1st day in the in of
- 25:54the week, hopefully with some winners.
- 25:56Have a good luck everyone and I'll see you tomorrow for a big
- 25:58Tuesday edition. That'll be episode 247 of the
- 26:01All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 26:05Good luck everybody and have a great Monday.