Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / CFB DFS - WEEK 4 | Saturday Slate | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: All systems.
- 0:06Speaker 2: Go.
- 0:06Speaker 3: Clear for lift off.
- 0:41Speaker 2: What is going on, everybody? Welcome to the Ship It
- 0:44Speaker 2: Nation week four college football breakdown show. My name is Bill.
- 0:48Speaker 2: Put a dollar in front of it. You'll find me
- 0:49Speaker 2: on Twitter slash X and joining me as with almost
- 0:53Speaker 2: every week is Kenny Hamhock 41 and Ian I.M. Robbins.
- 0:56Speaker 2: What's going on, guys?
- 1:01Speaker 3: Another exciting week of college football ahead of us. What
- 1:04Speaker 3: could be better than that? Big, big time slate this week.
- 1:09Speaker 1: Yeah, decided to get into some conference play and get
- 1:11Speaker 1: some injury reports for all these games for sure. Definitely helps.
- 1:15Speaker 1: I mean, it can actually trick you, but it helps
- 1:17Speaker 1: more often than not. Yeah.
- 1:20Speaker 2: Yeah, and we are going to get to those availability
- 1:23Speaker 2: reports as we go. A couple of them I tweeted
- 1:25Speaker 2: longer than a CVS receipt. And also, I'd be remiss
- 1:29Speaker 2: if I didn't throw this up on the screen. Big
- 1:31Speaker 2: win for the Gophers last week. Kenny, you got some
- 1:34Speaker 2: fans in the chat today.
- 1:37Speaker 1: Oh, thank you. I know that guy.
- 1:39Speaker 2: Beetle's one of the real ones. Can't watch till later.
- 1:43Speaker 2: Turning it on, getting us the views. Hit that like
- 1:46Speaker 2: button while you're here. But we'll get into some college
- 1:50Speaker 2: football just as soon as I tell you about Ship
- 1:54Speaker 2: It Nation, shipitnation.com. We're running the Ship It Games again
- 1:58Speaker 2: with our NFL season. This 45,147 is just going to
- 2:01Speaker 2: get bigger. It's the prize pool for the end of
- 2:03Speaker 2: the season. We offered it last year. Go to shipitnation.com
- 2:06Speaker 2: slash games to get more information on that. We're still
- 2:09Speaker 2: running our 349 for the entire season of NFL. But
- 2:13Speaker 2: if you want college football in your life, you can
- 2:18Speaker 2: do single sport as well. You can do single sport
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- 2:28Speaker 2: if you want all sports. I mean, the all access
- 2:30Speaker 2: is what I'm really going to push every single time.
- 2:32Speaker 2: It comes with SaberSim, comes with Discord access. You hear
- 2:35Speaker 2: the spiel week after week. There's never a better time
- 2:38Speaker 2: than now to get in on it, and we have
- 2:39Speaker 2: the best community in the industry, and we have winners.
- 2:44Speaker 2: We have winners, including winners here on this show. We
- 2:47Speaker 2: got a couple of College Football World Championship ticket cashers.
- 2:51Speaker 2: Kenny and Ian both cash in their tickets. Congratulations, guys. Typically,
- 2:55Speaker 2: I'm not like a satellite ticket chaser, but seeing you
- 2:57Speaker 2: guys cash those is giving me the itch. I might
- 3:00Speaker 2: need to enter one of those here coming up to
- 3:03Speaker 2: join you guys or try to join you guys anyway.
- 3:05Speaker 2: But congrats to both of you.
- 3:06Speaker 4: Making our own little live together.
- 3:08Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah.
- 3:11Speaker 2: They canceled the live final. We'll have to have our
- 3:13Speaker 2: own Ship It Nation live final. That's absolutely right. But
- 3:16Speaker 2: let's get into some college football talk for this weekend's
- 3:21Speaker 2: slate of games. Starting off, we have Texas and Tennessee.
- 3:28Speaker 2: A tough road matchup for Texas. They have obviously beat
- 3:32Speaker 2: Ohio State. They're ranked number one. They have the target
- 3:35Speaker 2: on their back. On the Texas side, we have Arch
- 3:38Speaker 2: at sub 9K, which at first glance looks pretty good.
- 3:42Speaker 2: Georgia Tech ran the ball okay on Tennessee. One interesting
- 3:46Speaker 2: thing that could change how we're approaching this game, Hollywood
- 3:51Speaker 2: Smothers is questionable and he hasn't been practicing. So he's
- 3:53Speaker 2: not trending in the right direction. The props already have
- 3:56Speaker 2: Relique Brown above Smothers. And at 5,900 with the usage,
- 4:01Speaker 2: I kind of like Brown even in a split, but
- 4:03Speaker 2: if Smothers is out, that just elevates him even more
- 4:06Speaker 2: at a cheap price. And then, I mean, we don't
- 4:09Speaker 2: need to talk much about the wide receivers, Cam Coleman,
- 4:11Speaker 2: Ryan Wingo, Emmitt Mosley, all house names. The one thing
- 4:13Speaker 2: I will mention is that Mosley leads the team in targets.
- 4:17Speaker 2: So we're getting a discount on a guy who's getting
- 4:21Speaker 2: looks from Arch. On the Tennessee side, Faison Brandon, kind
- 4:25Speaker 2: of looking as advertised. He's kind of in that mid-range position. Um,
- 4:29Speaker 2: barely 18 years old. He just turned 18, like two
- 4:31Speaker 2: or three months ago. Uh, and now he's facing off
- 4:35Speaker 2: in his toughest college matchup yet. Like him at home
- 4:40Speaker 2: better than on the road in Austin. Uh, it's Deshaun
- 4:42Speaker 2: Bishop in the running room, uh, four touchdowns through three
- 4:45Speaker 2: games already. Dwayne or Dwayne Morris will work in. And
- 4:48Speaker 2: then the wide receivers, uh, Mike Matthews is a guy
- 4:51Speaker 2: who aggravated me in the college football playoff a couple
- 4:53Speaker 2: of years ago. A lot of coach speak. I fell
- 4:56Speaker 2: for the trap. Uh, People don't forget. But now he's
- 4:59Speaker 2: getting six targets a game. Staley's a slot. We have
- 5:01Speaker 2: proof of concept with him. Rodarius Jackson's a guy who's
- 5:04Speaker 2: just getting a bigger role, and he's in the 3Ks.
- 5:07Speaker 2: If you do need to look down that far, he's
- 5:09Speaker 2: definitely on my radar. Maybe not a top 3K option,
- 5:11Speaker 2: but his role is improving. He's a four-star recruit. Now
- 5:14Speaker 2: he's just getting more time. So, Kenny, looking at this
- 5:17Speaker 2: Texas-Tennessee matchup, news is going to have a big impact,
- 5:20Speaker 2: first of all. And second, Tennessee's got a decent team
- 5:25Speaker 2: total for a team against Texas. Yeah.
- 5:29Speaker 1: I actually think this game is super sneaky to start
- 5:31Speaker 1: off the slate. I mean, obviously with the injury news
- 5:34Speaker 1: with Smothers, like Malik Brown will be a top play
- 5:36Speaker 1: running back. And I kind of, I'm kind of starting
- 5:39Speaker 1: to lean that Smothers is going to be out. Um,
- 5:42Speaker 1: I think that Arch is going to go super overlooked
- 5:44Speaker 1: on the slate. It's Texas's first game on the road. Um,
- 5:48Speaker 1: I just, I could definitely see them needing to lean
- 5:50Speaker 1: on him more if Tennessee puts up a fight and
- 5:53Speaker 1: I tend to think they will at home. Um, You know, Bishop,
- 5:57Speaker 1: I know last year I won a GPP with Bishop,
- 6:01Speaker 1: and he was playing against Alabama, and they were in
- 6:03Speaker 1: a trailing game script the whole time, and they just
- 6:06Speaker 1: leaned on him more. Granted, this is a different team,
- 6:08Speaker 1: different year, but I'm not afraid to play him even
- 6:11Speaker 1: as an underdog. I think he's a pretty well worth
- 6:15Speaker 1: the price tag. I definitely like game stacks of this.
- 6:20Speaker 1: I don't know how much I'll be like one off.
- 6:22Speaker 1: one-offing guys other than the uh running backs like the
- 6:25Speaker 1: receivers and stuff i think i kind of want to
- 6:26Speaker 1: just pair them with their quarterbacks um but yeah i
- 6:30Speaker 1: think this game's super sneaky overall it's definitely a big
- 6:34Speaker 1: sec game so i um i'm definitely interested.
- 6:39Speaker 3: Yeah i mean i agree with your sentiments right there
- 6:41Speaker 3: i do think this game will be overlooked i think
- 6:43Speaker 3: there are a lot of playable pieces uh bishop got
- 6:45Speaker 3: that clearance for the injury he's gonna be a guy.
- 6:48Speaker 4: Uh probably going to lean on him a little bit.
- 6:51Speaker 3: More, but this game could pop off in the fifties and,
- 6:53Speaker 3: you know, even more, you know, Tennessee tends to run
- 6:57Speaker 3: the higher pace offense. We don't know how, how a
- 6:59Speaker 3: phase on Brandon's going to be, but we'll see. Arch
- 7:02Speaker 3: definitely has a ceiling game here. Really Brown does intrigue
- 7:06Speaker 3: me as a one-off. If he, if he, if we
- 7:09Speaker 3: do get where the mothers is out, which it looks
- 7:12Speaker 3: like it will be, then we'll be Brown at a salary.
- 7:14Speaker 4: It could be one of those one-off type plays.
- 7:17Speaker 3: Just for a pure volume perspective, but I definitely would
- 7:21Speaker 3: be agreeing with Hamhock here as more of like a
- 7:23Speaker 3: game situation that could really hit if you're building a
- 7:26Speaker 3: bunch of lineups, really good game, really big.
- 7:29Speaker 4: Time game for the playoffs.
- 7:32Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 7:32Speaker 2: And I think a game that, you know, you see
- 7:34Speaker 2: somebody going against Texas and you're like, Oh, it's a
- 7:36Speaker 2: tough matchup, but I think both of these teams can
- 7:38Speaker 2: put up points. So yeah, the, the overlook factor, anytime
- 7:43Speaker 2: we can find leverage with two solid offenses is, It's
- 7:48Speaker 2: a good thing in DFS. And if you have questions
- 7:51Speaker 2: in the chat, go ahead and get them in at
- 7:53Speaker 2: any point, whether it's about the game we're talking about
- 7:55Speaker 2: or any other game that we have or haven't gone
- 7:57Speaker 2: over yet. We're happy to answer anything you have. Moving
- 8:01Speaker 2: on to the Big 12 Colorado and Baylor. Bigger spread Baylor,
- 8:05Speaker 2: bigger favorite at home. On the Colorado side, Juju Lewis
- 8:08Speaker 2: has been kind of underwhelming, but the entire team was cheeks.
- 8:11Speaker 2: I mean, just getting blown out by Northwestern. I don't
- 8:14Speaker 2: care if it's at home, on the road. Dion let
- 8:16Speaker 2: some players go. Most of Julian Lewis's production this year
- 8:20Speaker 2: has come against Weber State. So at 6,200, I'm kind
- 8:24Speaker 2: of on the fence just because I like the matchup.
- 8:27Speaker 2: I just don't know that I like the team right now.
- 8:29Speaker 2: The running back room is a little bit different though.
- 8:31Speaker 2: Damian Henderson's doubtful. Jaquil Smith is upgraded to probable. So
- 8:35Speaker 2: it's a little bit different than it was even 24
- 8:37Speaker 2: hours ago. But if for whatever reason Smith can't go,
- 8:41Speaker 2: it really, really increases the The playability of DeKalen Taylor
- 8:46Speaker 2: and Michael Welch turns into a two-person running back room
- 8:50Speaker 2: instead of a three or four. But if Smith goes,
- 8:53Speaker 2: it does muddy the waters a little bit. And then
- 8:56Speaker 2: in this receiving room, it's pretty much DeAndre Moore and
- 8:59Speaker 2: Joseph Williams. For their target share, 4,900 and 5,300 seems
- 9:04Speaker 2: like a deal. So those are guys I'd definitely be
- 9:06Speaker 2: looking at, especially if you're stacking Baylor and you need
- 9:09Speaker 2: a run back. Those wide receivers look nice. And speaking of,
- 9:13Speaker 2: DJ Legway is on track to play. And Northwestern just
- 9:16Speaker 2: put 41 points on Colorado. I don't care if he's
- 9:19Speaker 2: a statue in the backfield. I don't care if he
- 9:21Speaker 2: runs for 50 yards, whatever. I think 300-yard bonus is
- 9:25Speaker 2: on the table. Touchdown upside is definitely there, especially when
- 9:29Speaker 2: you've got a wide receiver room with Gavin Freeman in it.
- 9:31Speaker 2: The dude's got 40 targets already this season through three games,
- 9:34Speaker 2: including 17 when Legway last played. Speaking of when Legway
- 9:40Speaker 2: last played, Lewis Brown and Jaden Porter both had nine
- 9:43Speaker 2: targets in that game. Now, you could argue that Auburn's
- 9:46Speaker 2: a better team than Colorado. Baylor may not have to
- 9:49Speaker 2: throw as much. But if they and whether they whether
- 9:54Speaker 2: they need to or not, I think those three guys
- 9:56Speaker 2: are going to be the first three looks for Lagway.
- 9:59Speaker 2: And Freeman is 50%. I had, it's one of the
- 10:02Speaker 2: more egregious misprices this entire season so far, maybe the
- 10:05Speaker 2: most on the price receiver of the season so far.
- 10:09Speaker 2: And then the running backs Dawson Pendergrass is getting pretty
- 10:12Speaker 2: good usage. Um, but Caden Knighton like is getting good
- 10:16Speaker 2: usage too. So Pendergrass it it's because They're running the
- 10:20Speaker 2: ball more than 40 times a game so far. So
- 10:23Speaker 2: I think that puts them both on the table. Pendergrass
- 10:25Speaker 2: is the lead guy, but if Knighton's going to get
- 10:27Speaker 2: 10 to 12 touches at 4,800, it doesn't look too bad. Ian,
- 10:31Speaker 2: we'll throw it to you. I know you have some
- 10:32Speaker 2: connections with fanhood to DJ Legway previously, so you know
- 10:36Speaker 2: the player. What are you looking at in this Colorado-Baylor game?
- 10:40Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, Colorado side has some value pieces, really
- 10:44Speaker 3: just a one-off spot. You know, DeAndre Moore, the running
- 10:46Speaker 3: back situation is kind of muddled. Receiver could be something
- 10:49Speaker 3: Scudero's out. So there's some targets to go around. Baylor perspective.
- 10:53Speaker 3: You mentioned it. You said Lagway, you know, he was
- 10:55Speaker 3: hurt since the Auburn game hasn't played. He's coming back
- 10:57Speaker 3: for this one. They have a 32 and a half
- 11:00Speaker 3: point team total. And Lagway is going to, if they're
- 11:02Speaker 3: going to give him the ball to throw it around,
- 11:05Speaker 3: that's what he's going to do. He's going to be
- 11:06Speaker 3: much of a threat to, to do anything else, but
- 11:08Speaker 3: could sling it. So I would look at it. Like
- 11:10Speaker 3: we looked at the Auburn game. We had a lot
- 11:12Speaker 3: of past attempts where you targeted. You mentioned, um, most
- 11:17Speaker 3: top three receivers that he targeted. And, you know, Gavin
- 11:20Speaker 3: Freeman just stands out as a great play 5,500 in
- 11:24Speaker 3: a slate where there are plenty of fairly priced receivers.
- 11:29Speaker 4: He's just underpriced top receiver. You're going to throw the
- 11:33Speaker 4: ball over 40 times.
- 11:34Speaker 3: He's going to get double digit targets. It's a really
- 11:36Speaker 3: good game environment for that. All the numbers really line
- 11:39Speaker 3: up for that point. Lag was probably a little bit
- 11:41Speaker 3: overpriced for the slate to play him in one of those.
- 11:46Speaker 3: But really some good one-off pieces if you're looking at
- 11:48Speaker 3: filling out a single entry or a cash lineup with this,
- 11:51Speaker 3: starting with Freeman, aren't overlooked at.
- 11:54Speaker 4: But, you know, it's a condensed receiver room. I think
- 11:58Speaker 4: that's always nice to see.
- 11:59Speaker 3: When we're looking at that from a Baylor perspective because
- 12:01Speaker 3: Lagway can't get the ball downfield.
- 12:05Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, I've thought about Lagway more and more,
- 12:08Speaker 1: and he definitely feels overpriced looking at it. Like, and
- 12:12Speaker 1: he hasn't done much with his legs yet. Um, I,
- 12:15Speaker 1: there is like just the, uh, GPP player in me,
- 12:18Speaker 1: like Lagway, like he got hurt when he was scrambling
- 12:22Speaker 1: in that first game and he was clearly hindered by that. Um,
- 12:26Speaker 1: there might be a little bit of sneaky rushing upside
- 12:30Speaker 1: with him. I mean, it's, it's been there before, but
- 12:32Speaker 1: he's typically a statue. It wouldn't shock me if he
- 12:35Speaker 1: had an okay rushing performance. Um, these Baylor running backs,
- 12:39Speaker 1: this has been super inefficient and I'm not super interested,
- 12:42Speaker 1: but you know, here's your clip. Gavin Freeman, this is
- 12:45Speaker 1: probably the, uh, best play of the season so far.
- 12:49Speaker 1: Like if he's sub 50% owned in large field GPP,
- 12:52Speaker 1: he will be under owned. Um, he's just an extremely
- 12:55Speaker 1: solid play, especially for a PPR scoring system. Like he's,
- 12:59Speaker 1: he's going to catch a lot of passes, um, And
- 13:03Speaker 1: I really don't mind funneling in these other two receivers.
- 13:05Speaker 1: I don't think I, you know, that being said, what
- 13:08Speaker 1: I said about Lagway with his running, I think I'm
- 13:09Speaker 1: going to force the double stack with Freeman and one
- 13:13Speaker 1: of these guys. Single injury, I don't mind the skinny
- 13:16Speaker 1: just with Lagway Freeman. But large field, I think double
- 13:19Speaker 1: stacking is where you're going to get the ultimate ceiling
- 13:22Speaker 1: out of Lagway. And I guess, you know, if you're
- 13:25Speaker 1: double stacking, you maybe want to run back. The receivers,
- 13:29Speaker 1: I think the top two receivers are really solid. I
- 13:32Speaker 1: think one of them has a good chance to have
- 13:34Speaker 1: a good game. The running back room, I was super
- 13:37Speaker 1: intrigued by when Jaquel Smith was questionable. But one thing
- 13:42Speaker 1: about it, there is some uptick in volume because Damian
- 13:44Speaker 1: Henderson is out. And basically, as far as the rushing goes,
- 13:47Speaker 1: it's been a split between Welch, Smith and Henderson. And
- 13:51Speaker 1: Taylor's the fourth leading carry. He catches more passes. So
- 13:54Speaker 1: there is maybe some hidden upside for Welch and Smith still.
- 13:57Speaker 1: I mean, they're both averaging over five yards of carry.
- 13:59Speaker 1: They have similar profiles as Welch has gotten the touchdowns.
- 14:03Speaker 1: So I really don't I don't mind taking some shots
- 14:06Speaker 1: on a Colorado team that actually does like to run
- 14:08Speaker 1: the ball. um with like a welch or a smith
- 14:11Speaker 1: um but yeah that's kind of how i'm playing that
- 14:13Speaker 1: this game is like super interesting to me as well
- 14:16Speaker 1: um you can play it on the baylor side in
- 14:19Speaker 1: any format and get different with how you play baylor
- 14:22Speaker 1: it's really easy to so um yeah super interesting here
- 14:27Speaker 1: as well.
- 14:28Speaker 2: Yeah and one thing i'll add about getting different with
- 14:30Speaker 2: baylor it's a team with a 32 and a half
- 14:31Speaker 2: point team total one of the higher ones on the
- 14:33Speaker 2: slate some really juicy but high on guys there's no
- 14:37Speaker 2: reason you can't play Gavin Freeman with Pendergrass or Knighton
- 14:40Speaker 2: or stack a legway running back Freeman legway, running back
- 14:43Speaker 2: wide receiver, just looking at their pace, their tops. And
- 14:47Speaker 2: they're tied with Oklahoma and pace, Oklahoma state, not Oklahoma,
- 14:51Speaker 2: Oklahoma state and pace to start the season. They ran
- 14:55Speaker 2: the ball 45 times against Auburn and threw it 54.
- 14:57Speaker 2: They ran 99 plays in that game. And even when
- 15:00Speaker 2: they beat Prairie view by 41 points, they ran 84
- 15:04Speaker 2: plays and threw the ball 43 times. So, Um, you know,
- 15:08Speaker 2: this offense is built to score. It's built for DFS. Uh,
- 15:12Speaker 2: so yeah, if you want to eat the Freeman chocolate,
- 15:14Speaker 2: like you said, it's probably the best chocolate of the
- 15:15Speaker 2: year to eat. Um, but that doesn't mean you have
- 15:18Speaker 2: to fall in line with the rest of your lineup
- 15:20Speaker 2: with these guys. All right. ACC Wake Forest at Louisville, uh,
- 15:27Speaker 2: decent spread of two, two score spread Louisville, a bigger
- 15:30Speaker 2: favorite at home, high implied team total, almost it's very
- 15:34Speaker 2: similar to the game we just talked about in terms
- 15:36Speaker 2: of the spread in total. On the Wake Forest side,
- 15:40Speaker 2: Gio Lopez does have that dual threat ability, 6,800, kind
- 15:46Speaker 2: of in that okay price range. I know like looking
- 15:50Speaker 2: at Gio and these running backs, SMU moved the ball
- 15:53Speaker 2: on Louisville, but obviously like Kendrick Raphael had to see
- 15:56Speaker 2: it like a spike game. He finally got unleashed. So
- 15:59Speaker 2: I don't know how much you factor that in when
- 16:00Speaker 2: you're talking about a team like Wake Forest. But then
- 16:02Speaker 2: you have Carlos Hernandez, who I guess DraftKings is just
- 16:06Speaker 2: going to refuse to price him up, too. He was
- 16:08Speaker 2: producing even in double coverage last week. He's a punt returner.
- 16:12Speaker 2: He had one one called back and he had another
- 16:15Speaker 2: big return that. So he's got that touchdown upside there, too.
- 16:18Speaker 2: I just don't think six thousand dollars is enough. But
- 16:22Speaker 2: kind of like the Colorado side in the last game,
- 16:24Speaker 2: Hernandez works great as a run back if you want
- 16:26Speaker 2: to stack these Louisville guys. Lincoln Keenholz, though, finally priced
- 16:30Speaker 2: where he should be. I think you can still give
- 16:32Speaker 2: him a look just with the way he's been playing
- 16:34Speaker 2: this year. And at last check, Keewon Brown was questionable.
- 16:39Speaker 2: It does look like both Browns will be out on
- 16:41Speaker 2: the field. In that $ 6, 000 range, it's a price down
- 16:45Speaker 2: for Isaac. So that, I mean, that looks all right.
- 16:48Speaker 2: And then Trey Richardson and Laway McCoy are the top
- 16:50Speaker 2: two guys in this receiver room. I mean, you could
- 16:52Speaker 2: throw Skinner in there, too, at the tight end position.
- 16:55Speaker 2: But it's really Richardson and McCoy. And they're, again, priced fairly. But,
- 16:59Speaker 2: you know, he and this implied team total, you know,
- 17:02Speaker 2: it's got to give some interest to the Louisville side, right?
- 17:06Speaker 3: Oh, yeah, definitely. You know, 35 and a half points.
- 17:09Speaker 3: They've been such a good play. You know, you can
- 17:13Speaker 3: trust Braum's offense. And, you know, the thing that has
- 17:16Speaker 3: been the theme for me this year is the offense
- 17:18Speaker 3: just runs through Lincoln Dean Holtz. And he's finally priced
- 17:21Speaker 3: right at a point at 9K where you've got to
- 17:23Speaker 3: think about Is he a plug and play for a
- 17:26Speaker 3: cash in the entry type lineup? Don't think he is
- 17:29Speaker 3: definitely viable at that spot just because he does run
- 17:32Speaker 3: the ball double the times, you know, he's got, he's
- 17:35Speaker 3: thrown a couple in touchdowns. He's just done a really
- 17:38Speaker 3: good job this year playing the quarterback position at Louisville,
- 17:43Speaker 3: just dual threat, putting up numbers, really high floor to
- 17:48Speaker 3: have a ceiling game as well. Really, really interested in maybe,
- 17:51Speaker 3: you know, trying to figure out a way to, be
- 17:53Speaker 3: able to plug him in to that cash lineup if
- 17:56Speaker 3: the salary is there and allows it. And his receivers
- 17:59Speaker 3: are pretty condensed, as you said. Running back's a little
- 18:02Speaker 3: harder to measure. They've been doing a really good job
- 18:04Speaker 3: spreading it around. There's three guys he can trust carrying
- 18:07Speaker 3: the ball, both Browns plus Keen Holtz. So that makes
- 18:11Speaker 3: it a little bit harder in the running back room.
- 18:14Speaker 3: Kenny kind of talked about his way to attack it
- 18:16Speaker 3: from that with that team total. But Wake Forest, you
- 18:18Speaker 3: also talked about Carlos Hernandez.
- 18:20Speaker 4: Absolutely.
- 18:21Speaker 3: Gio Lopez, absolutely. You know, they had really good DFS
- 18:26Speaker 3: season so far. There's no reason to think.
- 18:27Speaker 4: That they can't keep it, keep it tight and put
- 18:30Speaker 4: up some numbers again this week.
- 18:33Speaker 1: Can you guys hear me?
- 18:35Speaker 2: Yep.
- 18:36Speaker 4: Yep. Okay.
- 18:36Speaker 1: So I'm having some audio issues over here. Anyways, I
- 18:41Speaker 1: didn't hear anything really much of what you guys said,
- 18:43Speaker 1: but the main thing I really wanted to touch on,
- 18:46Speaker 1: on the Louisville side, I think Isaac Brown is a really,
- 18:48Speaker 1: really good GPV play this week. Um, Kwon Brown obviously
- 18:52Speaker 1: had the bigger game last week, but Isaac Brown is
- 18:54Speaker 1: completely off the injury report. He definitely has the ability
- 18:57Speaker 1: to rip, rip a couple long ones. And there's a
- 19:00Speaker 1: lot of running back chalk in the six case to
- 19:02Speaker 1: where I think it's just going to beat these guys down. Um,
- 19:05Speaker 1: we've seen Louisville over the years, like, especially in a blowout,
- 19:08Speaker 1: just feed to running backs and not throw the ball.
- 19:10Speaker 1: I could definitely see that being a situation here. Um,
- 19:13Speaker 1: you know, that being said, I do really like, like
- 19:15Speaker 1: the Wayne McCoy is price. And then he holds his
- 19:18Speaker 1: price up, but fine. And then the Wake Forest side,
- 19:21Speaker 1: Hernandez for me, I don't mind some Gio Lopez, but
- 19:24Speaker 1: Hernandez is a really good football player and he's underpriced.
- 19:29Speaker 1: You know, if it wasn't for Freeman, he'd be really
- 19:31Speaker 1: ringing the bell, but his ownership should stay in check
- 19:34Speaker 1: just because of all the plays right in that range
- 19:36Speaker 1: for the receivers. So I don't know if I duped
- 19:39Speaker 1: up on what you guys were saying, but that's my thoughts.
- 19:43Speaker 2: No, no, it's perfect. You added the Isaac Brown note.
- 19:46Speaker 2: Obviously the three of us, with Carlos Hernandez just like
- 19:50Speaker 2: Freeman is one of those guys that jumps off the
- 19:52Speaker 2: page when you see his price um so yeah definitely
- 19:55Speaker 2: some goodness on both sides of this game I just
- 19:58Speaker 2: want to bring Zim up what's going on Zim glad
- 20:01Speaker 2: to see you here turns out I may be going
- 20:03Speaker 2: to that Bills Vikings Monday night game just wanted to
- 20:06Speaker 2: let you know since you're here maybe the Bills first
- 20:08Speaker 2: loss of the season Just throwing that out there. Uh,
- 20:13Speaker 2: that's too much NFL talk for a college football show. Uh,
- 20:16Speaker 2: Illinois at Ohio state, still a big spread, even though
- 20:19Speaker 2: we're in conference play, uh, Caden Hauser at the bottom
- 20:22Speaker 2: of the barrel in terms of pricing 5,200 for a
- 20:26Speaker 2: guy like that. Maybe, maybe, uh, and then you got
- 20:29Speaker 2: the running backs who are running backs are never going
- 20:31Speaker 2: to get a ton of love against Ohio state. Kalil Valentine,
- 20:34Speaker 2: Aiden Lafrey, and a split, both pricing the high fives.
- 20:37Speaker 2: One guy who, man, I'd really love to play, uh,
- 20:41Speaker 2: but his price is going to second guess just a
- 20:44Speaker 2: little bit as Colin Dixon, just been an absolute stud
- 20:47Speaker 2: so far this year, like far and away the number
- 20:49Speaker 2: one for Illinois. You know, you get a discount with
- 20:52Speaker 2: Hudson Clement. He just hasn't put up the numbers. So
- 20:55Speaker 2: you got to make a decision there, this matchup, that price,
- 20:58Speaker 2: you know, Colin Dixon was 6k. I think he'd throw
- 21:01Speaker 2: him in the same boat as, as like a Carlos Fernandez,
- 21:04Speaker 2: even in this matchup on the Ohio state side, Julian
- 21:07Speaker 2: say in, 9,200 is just a lot, especially when you
- 21:12Speaker 2: have keen holes at 9,000 the game before, uh, Bo Jackson,
- 21:17Speaker 2: decent spot, Jeremiah Smith bounce back spot, right? He disappointed
- 21:21Speaker 2: everybody last year, not everybody last week, but you know,
- 21:25Speaker 2: 25 to 30% of the field in most cases, uh,
- 21:29Speaker 2: McEwen is getting looks in his head, the Hail Mary catch.
- 21:32Speaker 2: If this game blows out pricey, Chris Henry, Nate Roberts
- 21:34Speaker 2: has a prop at 3,700. That's usually a good sign. Um,
- 21:39Speaker 2: But how do you approach this game, Kenny, when you
- 21:41Speaker 2: have it's really Ohio State's first like outside of Texas, obviously.
- 21:46Speaker 2: But Illinois is not a bad football team. But, you know,
- 21:50Speaker 2: the spread shows like this game is probably not going
- 21:52Speaker 2: to be close. I think Illinois can push them. But
- 21:56Speaker 2: how does that factor in a DFS for you?
- 21:59Speaker 1: Yeah. You know, you talked about 25 to 30 percent
- 22:03Speaker 1: of the field being disappointed. It was 50 percent of
- 22:05Speaker 1: my profile that was disappointed last week. I was really
- 22:08Speaker 1: high on him and it did not pan out. It
- 22:11Speaker 1: was actually really frustrating. Ohio State last week, they had
- 22:13Speaker 1: four rushing touchdowns from between Bo Jackson, two for Jacoby Jackson,
- 22:18Speaker 1: one for Isaiah West. And then they obviously have that–
- 22:22Speaker 1: it was just about to be 21-7, and then we
- 22:24Speaker 1: get a turnover and a Hail Mary, and all of
- 22:26Speaker 1: a sudden it's like then Jeremiah Smith was on the bench.
- 22:29Speaker 1: But this week, Sayan is– I think he's the highest-priced
- 22:33Speaker 1: player on the slate, and I'm done trying to mess
- 22:36Speaker 1: with that. Like, I've seen it get there, but, I mean,
- 22:40Speaker 1: pairing up Sayan and Smith, it's just so much salary.
- 22:42Speaker 1: I'd almost rather just play the Smith because I want
- 22:44Speaker 1: to double Sayan. I just– None of these other guys
- 22:48Speaker 1: really interest me, especially when all these rushing touchdowns are
- 22:52Speaker 1: getting cut by these running backs. And then, like, that's
- 22:55Speaker 1: why Bo Jackson can't get there. He's probably got enough
- 22:58Speaker 1: volume and is involved enough with his salary to work out.
- 23:01Speaker 1: And the projection is always going to look OK. But
- 23:04Speaker 1: you're just like the vultures are just so frustrating with
- 23:07Speaker 1: this staying team. That being said, I think Jeremiah Smith
- 23:12Speaker 1: might be the only one I play, even in large field.
- 23:14Speaker 1: I'm just over it with Ohio State. Those are famous
- 23:17Speaker 1: last words, but that's how I'm playing it this week.
- 23:20Speaker 1: And then the Illinois side, I mean, Hauser is cheap enough.
- 23:23Speaker 1: I'm just not really interested besides Dixon. I'm really not
- 23:28Speaker 1: even interested in him because I prefer to stack him.
- 23:32Speaker 1: But the volume can't really ignore the amount of targets
- 23:34Speaker 1: he's getting. So that's kind of where I'm going to
- 23:36Speaker 1: wrap up. Illinois, but yeah, I don't know. I'm not
- 23:42Speaker 1: super impressed with Ohio State yet. It wouldn't shock me
- 23:45Speaker 1: if they laid another egg.
- 23:50Speaker 4: Yeah, it's like you said it with Bo Jackson. He's
- 23:52Speaker 4: such a good spot.
- 23:53Speaker 3: His progression is going to be there, but they seem
- 23:56Speaker 3: to really like Jacoby Jackson, another former Gator there, and
- 24:00Speaker 3: he's just been involved from the start. This is looking
- 24:02Speaker 3: like a lot more of a split, at least a semi-split.
- 24:06Speaker 3: than it was last year. So it's hard to rely
- 24:08Speaker 3: on Bo Jackson. You know, you can probably count on
- 24:10Speaker 3: his numbers, but his touchdown, we'd like to have his
- 24:12Speaker 3: touchdown upside and it's pretty fairly priced.
- 24:15Speaker 4: So it's hard to project that.
- 24:17Speaker 3: And when I look at Jeremiah Smith, I'm building out
- 24:20Speaker 3: any kind of hand build or anything like that. And
- 24:22Speaker 3: it kind of comes to the question, especially on a
- 24:23Speaker 3: slate like this, which we'll get to with some of
- 24:26Speaker 3: the salary ranges is do you play Jeremiah Smith or
- 24:29Speaker 3: do you play like a Lincoln Keenholz or one of
- 24:32Speaker 3: those higher price quarterbacks?
- 24:33Speaker 4: And, It's kind of like the dependable volume.
- 24:36Speaker 3: If I'm going to choose between, if I got to
- 24:38Speaker 3: play Jeremiah Smith, it means I really either got to
- 24:40Speaker 3: really pay down a second quarterback or, and then sacrifice
- 24:46Speaker 3: another receiver or.
- 24:49Speaker 4: Play them in a super flex spot instead of a quarterback.
- 24:51Speaker 4: And who would I rather have at that spot?
- 24:53Speaker 3: And that's kind of how I look at it when I'm,
- 24:55Speaker 3: when I'm trying to do a hand bill now, it's
- 24:58Speaker 3: just that eight, that eight, nine price tag makes it
- 25:00Speaker 3: really hard to project when he just doesn't get the
- 25:02Speaker 3: ball in his hands, you know, less than half the
- 25:08Speaker 3: time of a running back or a quarterback. So it's
- 25:12Speaker 3: hate to say it because he probably is pound for
- 25:14Speaker 3: pound best player in the country, but DK is doing
- 25:18Speaker 3: a good job with the pricing, making you.
- 25:19Speaker 4: Think about that. I don't know. I'm not going to
- 25:21Speaker 4: talk too much about you guys. You guys said everything
- 25:23Speaker 4: already about it.
- 25:24Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 25:25Speaker 4: You know, game flow. It's just Ohio state having a
- 25:28Speaker 4: 44 team, totally really hard team to play.
- 25:33Speaker 1: One thing that I have to add real quick is
- 25:35Speaker 1: I think if Ohio State's beating Illinois 28-0 at half
- 25:38Speaker 1: this week, I would think Jeremiah Smith would play in
- 25:41Speaker 1: the third quarter as compared to last week when their
- 25:44Speaker 1: opponent was a MAAC opponent. So I guess that is
- 25:47Speaker 1: one little more positive for Jeremiah Smith this week.
- 25:51Speaker 2: Yeah, one of those situations that could follow the exact
- 25:53Speaker 2: same game script, but the playing time would differ because
- 25:57Speaker 2: you want to put this team away a little bit
- 25:59Speaker 2: more than you do at Kent State. To be honest,
- 26:02Speaker 2: the twos could have started the game against Kent State,
- 26:05Speaker 2: and Ohio State still would have won. Definitely a different
- 26:09Speaker 2: sort of approach, but yeah, these guys are just expensive.
- 26:13Speaker 2: Staying in the Big Ten, UCLA, triple time zone travel
- 26:16Speaker 2: going across to Maryland. Still a favorite, though. One thing
- 26:21Speaker 2: we saw last week is USC's offense made the time
- 26:26Speaker 2: zone travel just fine, but their defense fell flat against Rutgers,
- 26:29Speaker 2: and then Stanford did the same thing to Duke, and
- 26:32Speaker 2: Stanford didn't get off the plane. I don't know that
- 26:36Speaker 2: Duke is a 28-point better team than Stanford. I still
- 26:39Speaker 2: thought they would have won, but it definitely seemed like
- 26:43Speaker 2: there were some impacts for those teams traveling. So definitely
- 26:46Speaker 2: keep in mind. On the UCLA side, Nico Yamalyava is
- 26:51Speaker 2: in a decent spot at this price. 7,500 is kind
- 26:54Speaker 2: of right in that middle range. I think he's still
- 26:56Speaker 2: got the upside there. This offense has run through Wayne Knight, though.
- 27:01Speaker 2: I mean, there hasn't been a ton of volume, but
- 27:03Speaker 2: even at 8,400, the touchdowns are there, whether on the
- 27:09Speaker 2: ground or through the air. And Anthony Woods, even at 6K,
- 27:11Speaker 2: gets enough work that he might give him a look.
- 27:15Speaker 2: The wide receiver room, Mikey Matthews isn't going to go,
- 27:18Speaker 2: so it's pretty much Brian Rowe and Samaj Morgan. And
- 27:23Speaker 2: they're cheap. It's just a matter of how much of
- 27:26Speaker 2: this is going to go through the running game and
- 27:28Speaker 2: how valuable are those guys, even at their cheap prices.
- 27:31Speaker 2: On the Maryland side, Malik Washington. Again, fairly priced, solid matchup.
- 27:38Speaker 2: I mean, if we care, Cardell Williams is on the
- 27:40Speaker 2: injury report, but it doesn't really make a difference to me.
- 27:45Speaker 2: But in terms of the injury report, this is where
- 27:47Speaker 2: I tweeted this out that we have an injury report
- 27:49Speaker 2: that looks like a CVS receipt, and it's the Maryland
- 27:51Speaker 2: running back room. DeJuan Williams, DJ Samuels, Harry Dalton, Terrez Worthy,
- 27:56Speaker 2: John Boley, Solomon Foy, all out. That leaves Iverson Howard
- 28:01Speaker 2: as RB1 pretty clearly. And then Liam Wilson and Gianni
- 28:05Speaker 2: Davis is the only other two running backs with a
- 28:07Speaker 2: carry this week or this year on the active roster
- 28:10Speaker 2: right now. Uh, and then in the wide receiver room, uh,
- 28:14Speaker 2: we have Chris Durr and Naeem Abdul-Rahim Gladding that are
- 28:18Speaker 2: the two guys. Like you get a discount with Gladding. Uh,
- 28:22Speaker 2: I actually kind of like him, uh, at 5,300 rather
- 28:25Speaker 2: than having to pay up for a receiver, but Chris
- 28:27Speaker 2: Durr has been just like a stat monster this year. So, uh,
- 28:31Speaker 2: Tight game, high game total, a lot of fairly priced guys.
- 28:37Speaker 2: This is kind of a dream for all formats, Ian.
- 28:42Speaker 4: Yeah, no, this is a really good game in all formats.
- 28:45Speaker 3: I'll talk about that kind of cash in the lineup
- 28:48Speaker 3: type of mindset. So if you're looking for any one-off plays,
- 28:51Speaker 3: then this game correlates a lot better with each other.
- 28:53Speaker 3: If you're trying to look at it, UCLA being a
- 28:55Speaker 3: run team, Maryland figure it could be a passing team.
- 28:57Speaker 4: Wake Washington can sling it.
- 28:59Speaker 3: Nico is more of that dual-threat guy, and I just
- 29:01Speaker 3: think that UCLA is going to run the offense through
- 29:04Speaker 3: Wayne Knight. He came over with Chesney from James Madison,
- 29:08Speaker 3: leads the team in touchdowns.
- 29:11Speaker 4: You know, it's definitely– it's.
- 29:14Speaker 3: A– you know, he's got much more of the bulk
- 29:17Speaker 3: of the backfield, but Woods does get his– does get
- 29:20Speaker 3: his points run. Nico runs the ball a lot, but
- 29:22Speaker 3: everything does go through Knight.
- 29:23Speaker 4: He's projected to touch the ball between 20 and 30 times.
- 29:27Speaker 4: has a lot of equity there.
- 29:28Speaker 3: 8-4 is probably a fair price for him. Definitely a
- 29:30Speaker 3: look if you're looking for that cash line. And this
- 29:31Speaker 3: is what I was saying about Jeremiah Smith. It's like,
- 29:33Speaker 3: when you come down to it, do you want to
- 29:34Speaker 3: play 8-4 Wayne Knight 8-9 Jeremiah Smith I would want
- 29:39Speaker 3: to have the guy that's touching the ball double the
- 29:41Speaker 3: amount that we could project which would be Wayne Knight
- 29:44Speaker 3: here so definitely a one-off play there it's going to
- 29:46Speaker 3: stay away from the UCLA receiving room unless I'm game
- 29:49Speaker 3: stacking in GPP you mentioned Iverson Howard Maryland's running backs
- 29:56Speaker 3: even when we know that there's been the one has
- 29:58Speaker 3: been really iffy don't know how much to trust them
- 30:03Speaker 3: but either those receiver plays really good player one-offs you're
- 30:07Speaker 3: playing malik you stack them double stack them um condensed
- 30:12Speaker 3: target rooms i know where it's going both pretty fairly
- 30:17Speaker 3: priced you said probably the the discount because we don't
- 30:21Speaker 3: have the dirt's been so good just a really, really
- 30:25Speaker 3: good game environment that you could, if you just need
- 30:26Speaker 3: like a one spot, just, you know, look to that game,
- 30:29Speaker 3: try to fill it in, whatever fits your salary. If
- 30:31Speaker 3: you're looking to try to get a game pop off,
- 30:33Speaker 3: this might go under looked.
- 30:38Speaker 1: Yeah. I really liked this game as well. I guess
- 30:43Speaker 1: kind of starting with the Maryland side, like just kind
- 30:45Speaker 1: of tinker around with builds like Malik Washington, I think
- 30:48Speaker 1: it's cheap enough to like, you can skinny stack him
- 30:50Speaker 1: with dirt. Um, but I kind of prefer a double stack.
- 30:54Speaker 1: I'll probably have more double stacks than like singles. Like
- 30:56Speaker 1: I wouldn't run a Washington and Fleming. I don't think
- 30:59Speaker 1: one thing I'd kind of like for just, and this
- 31:02Speaker 1: isn't large field. Cause I don't know if there's enough
- 31:04Speaker 1: ceiling for it, but if you're playing a qualifier or
- 31:06Speaker 1: you're playing a single entry, like higher stakes, Malik Washington
- 31:10Speaker 1: with three receivers is, I think it's super live here.
- 31:13Speaker 1: Like the running back room depleted. I don't think Howard's
- 31:16Speaker 1: all that great. Another note for Dorian Fleming, Preston Howard,
- 31:20Speaker 1: a tight end for Maryland. I think he got hurt
- 31:24Speaker 1: last week, but he's out this week. And Fleming played
- 31:26Speaker 1: all the tight end snaps. I think he's super viable.
- 31:29Speaker 1: I think Webb is going to be super overlooked. But
- 31:32Speaker 1: I don't mind lining up Malik with Durr and two
- 31:35Speaker 1: of these cheaper guys, especially in a smaller field, GPP. Uh,
- 31:41Speaker 1: the UCLA side, like Wayne Knight. Yeah, absolutely. Like Wayne Knight,
- 31:46Speaker 1: I've kind of been off of cause he's felt overpriced
- 31:48Speaker 1: because the volume hasn't really been there last week. He
- 31:52Speaker 1: finally got like really enough volume to justify it. He's
- 31:54Speaker 1: been getting on touchdowns, which not to say that he
- 31:57Speaker 1: can't keep doing it, but it's not something you can
- 31:59Speaker 1: really quantify. Um, that being said, I really like him
- 32:02Speaker 1: this week. I think he's going to be kind of
- 32:04Speaker 1: under owned and it's super gettable. If you were playing
- 32:07Speaker 1: like some Maryland, like the Maryland stacks cheap, um, and
- 32:11Speaker 1: you can play some Wayne Knight. I like Nico a lot,
- 32:13Speaker 1: like standalone. I don't, I, I don't mind him and
- 32:17Speaker 1: Wayne Knight together. I don't think it's anything I'm going
- 32:19Speaker 1: to like force. Um, I don't know if I necessarily
- 32:22Speaker 1: love that, um, though in large field. And then these
- 32:26Speaker 1: two top two receivers, like, I don't really want to
- 32:29Speaker 1: play him as one-offs, but Nico lineups and Malik Washington lineups,
- 32:32Speaker 1: I think they're both pretty solid, but yeah, this has
- 32:35Speaker 1: a ton of goodness. And I, I like, I, I
- 32:38Speaker 1: don't know. It might be one of my favorite spots,
- 32:40Speaker 1: like the Maryland passing here. An underdog at home. This
- 32:45Speaker 1: has got to be UCLA's first time off the West Coast,
- 32:48Speaker 1: isn't it? I know they played Cal, San Diego State.
- 32:51Speaker 1: Even if they're on the road, they're on the West Coast.
- 32:53Speaker 1: Ryan Brown.
- 32:56Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 32:56Speaker 1: Ryan Brown last week, like if you were playing around
- 32:59Speaker 1: Brown double on the late slate, you had a pretty
- 33:01Speaker 1: solid lineup. So I think it's a super, super good spot.
- 33:05Speaker 1: And it's like it's kind of clear, clear cut what
- 33:08Speaker 1: I think I want.
- 33:09Speaker 2: To do here.
- 33:12Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 33:12Speaker 2: And this is so this is a good point. There
- 33:16Speaker 2: is rain projected right now. But weather, obviously, there's been
- 33:21Speaker 2: so much variance and volatility with weather. we'll have clear forecasts.
- 33:25Speaker 2: And then with the heat and humidity in some spots,
- 33:27Speaker 2: we get pop-up storms. This one's looking like it's a
- 33:30Speaker 2: little bit more sure. So that's a good time to
- 33:33Speaker 2: talk about what we do in the Discord at Ship
- 33:35Speaker 2: It Nation too. We have a weather report every Saturday
- 33:37Speaker 2: morning and weather talk right up until lock. We have
- 33:41Speaker 2: a stage an hour before lock where we have the
- 33:43Speaker 2: community come in and we chat weather, we chat our
- 33:46Speaker 2: approaches and things of that nature. So yeah, weather can
- 33:50Speaker 2: play a big factor. Not as much as it used to.
- 33:52Speaker 2: The lightning rules make it a little bit different to
- 33:54Speaker 2: where if there's going to be significant rain, it usually
- 33:57Speaker 2: comes with lightning and it'll hit a delay. So, but yeah,
- 34:01Speaker 2: definitely something we watch right up until lock. And then, man,
- 34:06Speaker 2: we talking about practice. We got Iverson. We like him
- 34:10Speaker 2: in a game. We don't like him in a practice.
- 34:12Speaker 2: Oracle with the dynamite drop it in the chat. All right,
- 34:16Speaker 2: moving on. Notre Dame and Purdue. Speaking of Ryan Brown. uh,
- 34:19Speaker 2: this is a 27 and a half point spread, but
- 34:21Speaker 2: I do want to point out in South Bend, obviously
- 34:23Speaker 2: different teams last year, uh, this game was 56 to 30.
- 34:28Speaker 2: And so just because you see a 15 and a
- 34:30Speaker 2: half point team total for Purdue doesn't mean that they
- 34:33Speaker 2: can't put up points. Uh, CJ Carr, probably a little
- 34:36Speaker 2: bit underpriced at 8,400, uh, but it's looking at it at,
- 34:42Speaker 2: it's just hard with the entire slate looking the way
- 34:45Speaker 2: it is. Um, I certainly think the ceiling is still there.
- 34:49Speaker 2: The floor is still there. It's just a matter of
- 34:51Speaker 2: lineup construction. Um, and then the running back room is
- 34:54Speaker 2: interesting because Nolan James kind of took over last week
- 34:58Speaker 2: and all of the props are favoring him this week, which,
- 35:02Speaker 2: you know, you follow that he's cheaper. If he's RB1A,
- 35:05Speaker 2: you love that in this matchup. Uh, one thing I
- 35:08Speaker 2: will point out, I didn't, I didn't watch most of
- 35:11Speaker 2: this game, uh, but I played Aeneas Williams last week.
- 35:13Speaker 2: So I went back and looked at the play by play. Uh,
- 35:16Speaker 2: Aeneas Williams had an unsportsmanlike conduct, like with four or
- 35:20Speaker 2: five minutes left in the second quarter and didn't play
- 35:23Speaker 2: again until the fourth quarter. So I don't know if
- 35:26Speaker 2: that's the reason he didn't play. It certainly correlates. If not,
- 35:29Speaker 2: it's a very interesting coincidence. That's not to say that
- 35:33Speaker 2: he's going to come back and be the one or
- 35:35Speaker 2: James is going to come back and be the one.
- 35:36Speaker 2: But just all the things you consider when you're looking
- 35:39Speaker 2: at this type of running back room, I honestly think
- 35:41Speaker 2: we could see all four of these guys with Young
- 35:44Speaker 2: and Walton added in there. And then the wide receivers,
- 35:48Speaker 2: Jordan Faison at 6'1, still leading the team in targets,
- 35:52Speaker 2: still has the higher props, but Micah Gilbert, man, 4,100,
- 35:55Speaker 2: he's underpriced. Just another one of those guys that he's
- 36:01Speaker 2: not priced with the usage that he's getting. He had
- 36:04Speaker 2: eight catches on nine targets last week, 170 yards. Notre
- 36:10Speaker 2: Dame wide receivers always scare me, but man, this price
- 36:13Speaker 2: is one that jumps out. And then on the Purdue side,
- 36:17Speaker 2: Brian Brown, sub 5k. I mean, last year he had
- 36:20Speaker 2: 250 yards and a touchdown and that's close to enough
- 36:24Speaker 2: at this price. If he gets a little bit of
- 36:27Speaker 2: ground game going with it. And I think he could
- 36:30Speaker 2: get more Fama. Egypt boys look really this year, but 6,800
- 36:33Speaker 2: against Notre Dame in a negative matchup. It just makes
- 36:37Speaker 2: it a tougher click. I love him. He's the one
- 36:40Speaker 2: that got away in my opinion of Minnesota. And then
- 36:42Speaker 2: the wide receivers just seem a little bit too expensive.
- 36:46Speaker 2: But if you're, I mean, it's still a super cheap
- 36:48Speaker 2: stack if you're going to stack them with Ryan Brown
- 36:49Speaker 2: and Asado Seaman, Xavier Townsend. Chauncey Magwood has gotten an
- 36:53Speaker 2: increase recently, so he looks okay. But how do you, like,
- 36:58Speaker 2: how do you look at this game without fully knowing
- 37:01Speaker 2: the running back room, Kenny, and having a chief wide
- 37:05Speaker 2: receiver in a team that's historically spread the ball around
- 37:08Speaker 2: at receiver? Are they different this year? Are we going
- 37:12Speaker 2: to see the usage go to Faison and Gilbert?
- 37:13Speaker 1: Yeah. I don't know. I mean, history would say, like,
- 37:19Speaker 1: I mean, we've played these Notre Dame receivers. Like, usually,
- 37:23Speaker 1: I mean, I will say Faison's almost kind of an anomaly.
- 37:25Speaker 1: Usually all these Notre Dame receivers are priced around where
- 37:27Speaker 1: Gilbert is, and it's hard to pick which one because
- 37:30Speaker 1: they're usually such a big rotation. I mean, last week,
- 37:33Speaker 1: Faison and Gilbert definitely dominated the receiver snaps. Um, I
- 37:37Speaker 1: think Gilbert's a great play. Don't get me wrong, but
- 37:40Speaker 1: it's not the like lock and load play that like
- 37:42Speaker 1: a Freeman or Carlos Fernandez would be. I know it's
- 37:44Speaker 1: different price ranges, but, um, like if I'm going to
- 37:47Speaker 1: eat chalk, I prefer eating it there. Um, I think
- 37:50Speaker 1: phase on for that reason is kind of solid. Um,
- 37:53Speaker 1: and then with these running backs, so there's, you know,
- 37:56Speaker 1: what you talked about bill. And then on the depth
- 37:58Speaker 1: chart this week, it does have like Nolan James one,
- 38:01Speaker 1: a and the S Williams one B, um, And as
- 38:04Speaker 1: I've kind of thought about it, like Aeneas Williams, true
- 38:06Speaker 1: freshman year, he was like the pass down back, even
- 38:08Speaker 1: with Price and Love there. And then last year he
- 38:10Speaker 1: wasn't involved at all. Maybe it's, I mean, Notre Dame
- 38:15Speaker 1: wasn't necessarily blowing away Michigan State last week, but it
- 38:18Speaker 1: could be maybe a little more game script dependent. Um, like,
- 38:22Speaker 1: like if this was more competitive and Notre Dame wanted
- 38:25Speaker 1: to run the ball, control the ball, like it'd be
- 38:26Speaker 1: a more Nolan James. If it's a, you know, tighter
- 38:29Speaker 1: game or Notre Dame is paying for behind maybe a
- 38:31Speaker 1: Nias Williams. That's not like fact. That's just kind of
- 38:34Speaker 1: me talking out loud about the situation. Um, you know,
- 38:37Speaker 1: that being said, I don't mind either of them this week. That,
- 38:42Speaker 1: but if they're going to pull a ton of ownership,
- 38:44Speaker 1: I'm not super interested in it really, but you see
- 38:47Speaker 1: this 43 point Notre Dame total. So that kind of
- 38:49Speaker 1: leads me to like CJ Carr, um, I don't think
- 38:52Speaker 1: he's going to get the ownership and he's got some
- 38:55Speaker 1: clear pairing options. And really the best way to get
- 38:58Speaker 1: different with Notre Dame is just play a Ryan Brown
- 39:00Speaker 1: and we'll see him or Townsend stack and then play
- 39:03Speaker 1: like double run back running Brown to these Notre Dame pieces.
- 39:07Speaker 1: I think that like, that would really unlock the Notre
- 39:10Speaker 1: Dame ceiling to where like, I don't know, I guess
- 39:13Speaker 1: the biggest thing I'm worried about Notre Dame flattening out,
- 39:16Speaker 1: like to where they all get a piece, but they're
- 39:18Speaker 1: cheap enough. So it's not like an Ohio state situation where,
- 39:21Speaker 1: know maybe flat is okay for like a gilbert it's
- 39:25Speaker 1: 4100 but yeah it's it's this noted name spot scale
- 39:30Speaker 1: me because there's a lot of ownership but i don't
- 39:32Speaker 1: feel good about any of it it's it's a tough
- 39:34Speaker 1: spot for me.
- 39:38Speaker 3: Yeah i'm like wondering with notre dame like are we
- 39:42Speaker 3: are we relying too much on our on what we
- 39:43Speaker 3: thought was going to be the case coming in i
- 39:46Speaker 3: know we're all victim to it but we we just
- 39:48Speaker 3: assume that anise williams is going to be the number
- 39:50Speaker 3: one running back because he was the guy behind.
- 39:52Speaker 4: Bryson Love all the last two years.
- 39:57Speaker 3: So are we just sticking to that and saying like, well,
- 40:00Speaker 3: of course he's going to just be the number one again.
- 40:03Speaker 4: Maybe not.
- 40:05Speaker 3: Maybe we just need to evolve with it and say,
- 40:08Speaker 3: all right, maybe just James is the guy to take
- 40:10Speaker 3: over now. With that being said, he's going to probably
- 40:13Speaker 3: be the chalk running back. He's going to get a
- 40:15Speaker 3: lot of ownership. He's going to be a cash lock
- 40:17Speaker 3: and load play for a lot of people, rightfully so.
- 40:21Speaker 3: Gilbert Israel, 4-1, just opens up the lineup so much.
- 40:24Speaker 3: I really do like the Brown side. I think if
- 40:26Speaker 3: you play Brown at quarterback, he's the quarterback. He's going
- 40:29Speaker 3: to touch the ball every time they're on offense. He's
- 40:33Speaker 3: going to play with the ball. He runs a little bit.
- 40:36Speaker 3: They're trying to pass from behind. I know they don't
- 40:39Speaker 3: have a high projected team total, but at 4-9, that
- 40:41Speaker 3: opens up a lot of path to do a lot
- 40:43Speaker 3: of things. It just makes him, as a play, really
- 40:46Speaker 3: intriguing if you're trying to build out with some higher-priced
- 40:48Speaker 3: skill guys this week. So I would definitely not discredit
- 40:52Speaker 3: him or not consider him if you're trying to build
- 40:54Speaker 3: out something where you have some more expensive pieces to
- 40:58Speaker 3: your lineup. But really interesting game. Yeah, nothing much more
- 41:03Speaker 3: to add there.
- 41:05Speaker 1: Yeah, just real quick on Notre Dame. Like, I think
- 41:08Speaker 1: there's a world where neither of these running backs top
- 41:10Speaker 1: 15 touches. Like I told, granted, they could get there
- 41:13Speaker 1: and that, but just the game script, I think that's
- 41:16Speaker 1: a possibility. But that's all I was going to add.
- 41:20Speaker 2: Yeah, and 15 touches, they could each have two touchdowns.
- 41:22Speaker 2: We saw it with Love and Price last year so
- 41:25Speaker 2: many times. Obviously, these are two very different players. But yeah,
- 41:28Speaker 2: nothing like overstacking a team with a 15.5-point team total.
- 41:32Speaker 2: But I didn't do enough digging to see what their
- 41:35Speaker 2: implied team total was last year, but I guarantee it
- 41:38Speaker 2: wasn't close to 30. So it's an or-it-could situation with
- 41:42Speaker 2: that Purdue team. Now to.
- 41:46Speaker 2: A very, very interesting game because it's a huge, huge
- 41:50Speaker 2: letdown spot for Ole Miss. And that's, everybody's talking about it.
- 41:53Speaker 2: Everybody's taking Florida. Trinidad Chamberlain still probably underpriced. I would
- 41:59Speaker 2: expect to see him in the eight Ks minimum, even
- 42:02Speaker 2: in this matchup. Kewon Lacey, there's a question mark if
- 42:06Speaker 2: he's going to go or not. Hasn't really played much
- 42:08Speaker 2: in the second half of any game so far. So if,
- 42:12Speaker 2: without him, we're looking at Makai Frazier, maybe with some
- 42:14Speaker 2: JT Lindsay mixed in and those guys are cheap. Even,
- 42:17Speaker 2: even in a matchup in the swamp, uh, if Lacey
- 42:19Speaker 2: doesn't go, those guys are going to get a little
- 42:22Speaker 2: bit more interest from me. Deuce Alexander probably priced where
- 42:26Speaker 2: he should be. Uh, just, you know, it is a
- 42:28Speaker 2: tougher click at 7,600 when you got other guys in
- 42:32Speaker 2: that wide receiver room who are totally capable in the
- 42:34Speaker 2: four K's. Traylon Ray had a huge game last week.
- 42:37Speaker 2: I mean that we were begging for that from Traylon
- 42:39Speaker 2: Ray when he was at West Virginia, uh, starting to
- 42:43Speaker 2: look the part we expected in the past, but Fields
- 42:46Speaker 2: and Odom, both solid plays. Odom being the cheapest is
- 42:50Speaker 2: enticing too, because he's getting more involved at the tight
- 42:53Speaker 2: end position. And then Florida, Philo, fine. I actually liked him.
- 43:01Speaker 2: I'm starting to like him a little bit more just
- 43:02Speaker 2: where his props are coming in. I didn't necessarily care
- 43:06Speaker 2: for him at 7,900 early on, but I'm starting to not,
- 43:09Speaker 2: Not that I'm all in on him or anything, but
- 43:11Speaker 2: I'm leaning more toward him now as the week's gone on.
- 43:14Speaker 2: Jaden Bach, I don't know that I need to say much.
- 43:17Speaker 2: I'm going to play him at 9,100. He's going to
- 43:20Speaker 2: get the usage. He's the stud. And then Vernell Brown
- 43:23Speaker 2: and Dallas Wilson are the two guys. Eric Singleton might
- 43:25Speaker 2: play in this game and a nice discount, but also
- 43:28Speaker 2: his first game back. And Ian, we'll start with you,
- 43:30Speaker 2: our resident Florida guy. Something you mentioned this week is
- 43:34Speaker 2: the offensive coordinator coming in from Tack Faulkner and how
- 43:37Speaker 2: he Feeds his studs. He knows who to get the
- 43:39Speaker 2: ball to, and we're starting to see that come to
- 43:41Speaker 2: fruition with this Florida team.
- 43:43Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, I don't want to talk too much
- 43:46Speaker 4: about Florida.
- 43:46Speaker 3: I'm going to try to be as non-biased as I
- 43:49Speaker 3: possibly can be.
- 43:50Speaker 4: Obviously, I've watched every snap of their games, but you
- 43:54Speaker 4: mentioned Buster Faulkner.
- 43:55Speaker 3: He was at Georgia Tech, and, you know, they were
- 43:57Speaker 3: just a fancy out for us last few years with
- 44:00Speaker 3: Haynes King and whatnot, but he feeds his guys. When
- 44:02Speaker 3: they came into the season, he brought Fowler with him
- 44:05Speaker 3: from Georgia Tech, Fowler, Vernell Brown and Dallas and Dallas Wilson,
- 44:09Speaker 3: one of the two five-star receivers that they had to
- 44:10Speaker 3: keep as freshmen last year, going into this year, Bob
- 44:13Speaker 3: was the most sought after transfer running back portal, transfer
- 44:17Speaker 3: portal running back.
- 44:18Speaker 4: He, they made it a priority to keep them to stay.
- 44:21Speaker 4: He stayed.
- 44:21Speaker 3: They said that they were going to feed them. They've
- 44:23Speaker 3: done nothing but feed him. And he's really shown highlight
- 44:27Speaker 3: clips like crazy this year.
- 44:28Speaker 4: It's been so much fun to watch.
- 44:29Speaker 3: He's done just spectacular, but you, you watch the game,
- 44:33Speaker 3: every play design, it's, Go to number one, Vernal Brown.
- 44:36Speaker 3: Number six, Dallas Wilson. Jade Baugh is just all around
- 44:40Speaker 3: just trying to feed those guys. And he brought Eric
- 44:43Speaker 3: Singleton with him, who was with him in Georgia Tech,
- 44:45Speaker 3: and he unfortunately got hurt in the first game. So
- 44:47Speaker 3: we haven't even got to see him, and he's got
- 44:50Speaker 3: some really high upside there as well. I do think
- 44:52Speaker 3: he might play, at least give it a go, but
- 44:55Speaker 3: probably be on a snap count this week.
- 44:57Speaker 4: I just think that you can depend on.
- 45:01Speaker 3: And ish targets to for, for now, Brown, who's a
- 45:03Speaker 3: punter and a kick return or electric. He had two
- 45:05Speaker 3: punters in a game this year for touchdowns, Dallas Wilson,
- 45:08Speaker 3: big time receiver, probably, you know, eight to six to
- 45:12Speaker 3: 10 targets for him as well. In ball is probably
- 45:15Speaker 3: to carry the ball 25 times. He's going to get
- 45:19Speaker 3: the red zone looks. He's going to get the volume
- 45:22Speaker 3: there that we hope follows. It's going to be the
- 45:24Speaker 3: point guard distributing around really good spot. It's a kind
- 45:29Speaker 3: of an expensive spot. You know, I think everyone is
- 45:31Speaker 3: really fairly priced there. Playing one-offs is kind of hard.
- 45:35Speaker 3: You know, if Verno Brown was in the 5Ks, or Wilson,
- 45:38Speaker 3: one of those 5Ks, I'd say, yeah, play him. But
- 45:40Speaker 3: the 6Ks, it's kind of hard not to play him
- 45:42Speaker 3: without the stack. Ball is just a catch running back.
- 45:45Speaker 3: You know, high floor, high ceiling. 9K, fairly priced, make
- 45:50Speaker 3: a decision. It's like him, Jeremiah Smith. He's going to
- 45:53Speaker 3: touch the ball probably two or three times as many
- 45:54Speaker 3: times as Jeremiah Smith is.
- 45:56Speaker 4: You know, Wayne Knight.
- 45:57Speaker 3: Really fairly priced. If you have the salary, go for it.
- 45:59Speaker 3: If not, I totally understand why not, but you said it,
- 46:02Speaker 3: you're going to play them. Totally agree with you on
- 46:04Speaker 3: Trinidad Chambliss. This guy's the Heisman favorite. He's put up
- 46:07Speaker 3: two monster games and two spotlight games already, a Sunday
- 46:10Speaker 3: night game game last week. This guy's just a magician.
- 46:13Speaker 3: Semifinals last year, 2700 just seems so crazy, especially when
- 46:19Speaker 3: his top running back might be out hurt and come
- 46:21Speaker 3: on Lacey. So Chambliss is definitely a cash guy. guy
- 46:25Speaker 3: that I want to play. Uh, Flores defense has been tested.
- 46:28Speaker 3: They faced FAUs, got a really high paced offense, up
- 46:32Speaker 3: and put up some garbage time points on them last week. Uh,
- 46:35Speaker 3: I really like Chambliss this week. And then the deuce
- 46:39Speaker 3: is really fairly priced. Caleb Odom is definitely the guy
- 46:42Speaker 3: on Ole Miss that I would look at their tight
- 46:45Speaker 3: end really coming on.
- 46:46Speaker 4: It really showed out really the one emerging the last
- 46:49Speaker 4: few weeks.
- 46:51Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 46:51Speaker 4: Uh, Really good game.
- 46:53Speaker 3: One of the more marquee games of the time slot.
- 46:56Speaker 3: I'm really excited to watch this game, obviously, but good
- 46:59Speaker 3: fancy pieces. I'll stop talking to go, go on way
- 47:03Speaker 3: too long about this game.
- 47:04Speaker 1: No, I think you covered it very well. I yeah.
- 47:09Speaker 1: You know, Jaden boss. Awesome. I think he's good against
- 47:11Speaker 1: any defense. You know, the Ole Miss, I think late
- 47:15Speaker 1: going to be out. Like, I don't know if you
- 47:17Speaker 1: guys think, I mean, You know, just, I mean, it's
- 47:20Speaker 1: surprising always to see, like, you know, after Ole Miss
- 47:22Speaker 1: has that big win, and then Florida's a three-and-a-half point favorite.
- 47:26Speaker 1: I don't know if Lacey's worth anything.
- 47:28Speaker 4: No, this is complete spotlight, but I do think Lacey's out.
- 47:31Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, and I do, too. So, like, I don't
- 47:34Speaker 1: know how I want to handle the running back room.
- 47:37Speaker 1: It probably makes Chambliss even better, you know, putting the
- 47:40Speaker 1: ball in his hands more. But it wouldn't shock me
- 47:44Speaker 1: if Lacey was out and one of these two running
- 47:46Speaker 1: backs kind of got a bell cow. I mean, I
- 47:49Speaker 1: know this isn't Lane Kiffin here anymore, but I'll probably
- 47:52Speaker 1: take some shots on Makai Frazier coming off an injury here. But, yeah,
- 47:57Speaker 1: I don't know. Don't have a ton to add. It's
- 47:59Speaker 1: a super good game.
- 48:03Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean, just, again, take the teams out of it.
- 48:07Speaker 2: Look at the prices and point totals. This is a
- 48:11Speaker 2: game that you definitely want to attack. Welcome in, Hart.
- 48:15Speaker 2: gave us his warning shot in the Discord, said he
- 48:17Speaker 2: was going to be on his way at lunchtime. What
- 48:19Speaker 2: better way to spend your lunch than with the three
- 48:22Speaker 2: of us talking college football? Oklahoma at Georgia. Oklahoma is
- 48:31Speaker 2: without an O-lineman and potentially without a big D-lineman. That
- 48:36Speaker 2: could have an impact on this game. John Mateer at 6,100.
- 48:41Speaker 2: I've seen nothing on social media about for Oklahoma other
- 48:45Speaker 2: than ripping John Mateer to shreds. Like, just the fan
- 48:50Speaker 2: base is fed up with him. He hasn't really performed
- 48:53Speaker 2: incredibly well. And, you know, just the game against New
- 48:59Speaker 2: Mexico last week was kind of the last straw for
- 49:02Speaker 2: a lot of people because they should have blown him out,
- 49:04Speaker 2: and they didn't. And then Lloyd Avant, 5,700. Like, if
- 49:07Speaker 2: he was in the 4Ks, maybe you look at him.
- 49:11Speaker 2: But then like Satania is always going to be on
- 49:13Speaker 2: my radar because he's the clear alpha. And now that
- 49:15Speaker 2: Charles Harris is out, you know, maybe that means that
- 49:19Speaker 2: Georgia is going to just put more attention on Satania.
- 49:21Speaker 2: But one thing I want to bring up that's kind
- 49:23Speaker 2: of irking me is we've been I mean, we've been
- 49:26Speaker 2: on beers for years. We've been talking about beers for
- 49:29Speaker 2: as long as I can remember. And now all of
- 49:31Speaker 2: a sudden, everybody wants to play beers. Everybody likes rocky
- 49:34Speaker 2: beers now. We knew all along at Ship It Nation,
- 49:38Speaker 2: but $ 3, 900 for a tight end in a game like
- 49:41Speaker 2: this where maybe that's just the only throw Mateer can
- 49:44Speaker 2: make is to his tight end. So I don't mind it,
- 49:49Speaker 2: but I don't love it. On the Georgia side, Gunnar
- 49:52Speaker 2: Stockton at 8K with his dual threat ability is going
- 49:54Speaker 2: to get some looks from me for sure. I kind
- 49:58Speaker 2: of like him. Nate Frazier. He's on the report, but
- 50:02Speaker 2: I believe he's expected to go. Obviously, if he doesn't,
- 50:04Speaker 2: Chauncey Bowen's season. It was Chauncey Bowen's week last week,
- 50:07Speaker 2: even with Frazier in the game. And then the wide receiver,
- 50:10Speaker 2: just go get a roll of quarters from the bank
- 50:14Speaker 2: and flip every single one of them. We could reorder
- 50:18Speaker 2: this in just about any way, and I wouldn't argue
- 50:21Speaker 2: with you. Dandridge has looked really good. Sokobe White-Helton is fine.
- 50:27Speaker 2: Talon Taylor is fine. Lawson Luckey. with the bigger game
- 50:31Speaker 2: last week. They're all cheap. You can really stack a
- 50:34Speaker 2: couple of different ways with Stockton, but not like Kenny
- 50:38Speaker 2: had the Georgia side maybe for GPPs, but it's tough.
- 50:43Speaker 2: It's tough when the rotation is so, so aggressive in
- 50:47Speaker 2: terms of usage.
- 50:50Speaker 1: Yeah. I'm looking at Georgia this week, like last week
- 50:53Speaker 1: I had a lot of interest in Frazier and, Um,
- 50:56Speaker 1: that obviously didn't work out, um, you know, with the
- 50:59Speaker 1: Bowens vulture and then him getting hurt. I'm not really
- 51:02Speaker 1: interested in the running back room this week. Like really
- 51:04Speaker 1: the only piece I'm interested in from Georgia is Stockton.
- 51:07Speaker 1: He's cheaper than he was last week and he can
- 51:10Speaker 1: soak up all that, um, all that usage. So that's
- 51:14Speaker 1: really all I have to say about Georgia, Oklahoma, like
- 51:16Speaker 1: material is priced fairly enough. I don't think I'm going
- 51:19Speaker 1: to take any shots, but I know I'm going to
- 51:21Speaker 1: play some Satagna, um, I mean, Cetegna isn't really the
- 51:25Speaker 1: same type of receiver that Chris Marshall was, but Chris
- 51:27Speaker 1: Marshall had a pretty usable fantasy game last week. And Cetegna,
- 51:32Speaker 1: he's just a guy that I think I'm just going
- 51:34Speaker 1: to ride with. I think he's good in any matchup.
- 51:36Speaker 1: He had a terrible game against Michigan, but Michigan has
- 51:38Speaker 1: a very good secondary. Not to say that Georgia isn't
- 51:41Speaker 1: good as well, but Cetegna at 6,200 at very minimal
- 51:45Speaker 1: ownership is definitely a spot I'm going to try again.
- 51:48Speaker 1: He was in my lineup last week on the ninth slate,
- 51:51Speaker 1: the one with GPP, so I've got to go back, right?
- 51:54Speaker 2: Yeah, for sure.
- 51:56Speaker 1: Absolutely.
- 51:57Speaker 3: And not much to add. I mean, this is just
- 51:59Speaker 3: not as intriguing games in the mid-40s. Stockton's a decent
- 52:03Speaker 3: one-off if you have salary at the quarterback. Satania, same thing.
- 52:07Speaker 3: You've got salary at the receiver. Decent one-off. Frazier, if
- 52:10Speaker 3: he can get a good green light to go, but
- 52:11Speaker 3: there is a little, you know, even with these banged up,
- 52:13Speaker 3: if they're up a lot, you can see him being
- 52:15Speaker 3: a little bit just with him. So, yeah, just not
- 52:21Speaker 3: much more to add. maybe get lucky with Lawson getting
- 52:25Speaker 3: a touchdown, but.
- 52:28Speaker 2: Yeah. Good one. I caught that.
- 52:33Speaker 4: Got one for me there last week too.
- 52:36Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 52:37Speaker 2: I mean, we don't need to add much. This, it just,
- 52:39Speaker 2: I mean, this feels like a game that Oklahoma is
- 52:41Speaker 2: going to win 16 to 14 or something stupid like that.
- 52:45Speaker 2: TCU at central Florida, another game in the forties, but
- 52:49Speaker 2: at least a competitive looking one. On the TCU side,
- 52:52Speaker 2: Jaden Craig has looked good, albeit a lot of his
- 52:55Speaker 2: stats have come against Grambling and Arkansas State. So not
- 52:59Speaker 2: the greatest opponents, but also, I mean, UCF isn't the
- 53:03Speaker 2: greatest opponent, but they're better than those two teams. Jeremy Payne, though,
- 53:07Speaker 2: at 6,300, getting nearly 20 carries and three targets per game,
- 53:11Speaker 2: and now John Denman's on the report. Another one of
- 53:14Speaker 2: those guys. I liked Payne before I saw Denman on
- 53:17Speaker 2: the report, and now if Denman doesn't go, obviously... 6,300
- 53:20Speaker 2: for a running back that's going to be a workhorse
- 53:23Speaker 2: even more than normal. And then in the wide receiver room,
- 53:27Speaker 2: been banging the drum for Ed Small since last year,
- 53:29Speaker 2: and now it's coming to fruition at sub 6K, another
- 53:32Speaker 2: one of those receivers who's probably underpriced. However, Jordan Dwyer
- 53:37Speaker 2: is expected to be back, so that could throw a
- 53:40Speaker 2: wrench into things. But if you remember last year, when
- 53:44Speaker 2: teams took away the number one, McAllister, the number two, Dwyer,
- 53:49Speaker 2: had a pretty significant game. So if Dwyer is perceived
- 53:54Speaker 2: as the number one, maybe it bodes well for small.
- 53:56Speaker 2: If it's reverse, we'll have to see what Dwyer's workload is.
- 54:00Speaker 2: One thing I'll say about Ed Small playing in the
- 54:01Speaker 2: slot is that he's likely to draw Braden Marshall, who
- 54:05Speaker 2: gives up a passer rating of over 100 and also
- 54:08Speaker 2: a 77% catch rate. And when you're getting a point
- 54:11Speaker 2: per reception, you really like that, especially for a guy
- 54:13Speaker 2: who's been the number one this year. On the UCF side,
- 54:16Speaker 2: Kiwan Jenkins, I'm still not sure if he's good at
- 54:19Speaker 2: football or not. I like playing him on those two-game
- 54:23Speaker 2: Tuesday night Conference USA slates when he was still there,
- 54:25Speaker 2: but on a 12-game slate, even at 6,400. I mean,
- 54:28Speaker 2: his props, another one of those guys, his props came
- 54:31Speaker 2: out and got me to like him a little bit more,
- 54:33Speaker 2: but I don't know if I'm quite there yet. And
- 54:35Speaker 2: then Duke Watson at 5,700 is interesting because he's averaging
- 54:39Speaker 2: almost 100 yards a game, but 127 of those yards,
- 54:45Speaker 2: came on two runs against Bethune-Cookman in Georgia State. Obviously,
- 54:49Speaker 2: the explosiveness is there against lesser opponents. But you look
- 54:53Speaker 2: back a couple years ago when he was healthy, and
- 54:55Speaker 2: he averaged nearly nine yards a carry with a much
- 54:58Speaker 2: bigger sample size. So while the 11 yards a carry
- 55:01Speaker 2: so far is bound to come down, I don't think
- 55:03Speaker 2: it's quite as much of an anomaly with Duke Watson's history.
- 55:07Speaker 2: And then this wide receiver room is cheap, but not
- 55:11Speaker 2: really anything else. I still think it's Darian Wade, although
- 55:14Speaker 2: Wade and Charles has the highest prop that I saw
- 55:17Speaker 2: from this wide receiver room. But even at these cheap prices,
- 55:21Speaker 2: this is like a last guy in. Maybe if you
- 55:25Speaker 2: need a 3,300 guy, you look at Farmer. But it's
- 55:28Speaker 2: just a tough click with Keewon Jenkins, that quarterback. He's
- 55:32Speaker 2: probably a better runner than he is passer. Ian, at first,
- 55:38Speaker 2: looking at the total, not much to love for cash.
- 55:39Speaker 2: But man, Jeremy Payne, if Denman is out, starts to
- 55:42Speaker 2: look a lot nicer here.
- 55:44Speaker 3: Payne for sure. Payne for sure. Max Payne there is there. 6'3,
- 55:47Speaker 3: running back, volume hog. And TCU running backs have been
- 55:50Speaker 3: good to us too. Payne's been a guy who catches
- 55:53Speaker 3: the ball, runs the ball, gets targets. You know, quarterback's
- 55:57Speaker 3: best friend type guy back there. They have a 25,
- 55:59Speaker 3: 26-point team total. Got to come from somewhere. I definitely
- 56:05Speaker 3: think he's a one-off type play. And you said it's hard.
- 56:09Speaker 3: You know, I'd love to say Dwyer's a but it's
- 56:13Speaker 3: just hard to the first game back. You just don't know.
- 56:15Speaker 3: And then UCF side, just with the question and quarterback,
- 56:19Speaker 3: it just runs everything down. Not much interest there, but
- 56:21Speaker 3: pain and looks really, really good on paper as a play.
- 56:28Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, central Florida allowed Georgia state's rush for
- 56:31Speaker 1: over 200 yards last week. That game was actually competitive too. And,
- 56:37Speaker 1: you know, Bill, you talked about Jeremy Payne averaging like
- 56:39Speaker 1: just under 20 carries a game. If you throw out
- 56:41Speaker 1: their game against, I think it was Brambling. I can't
- 56:44Speaker 1: remember for sure. He's like Jeremy Payne has 30 touch upside,
- 56:48Speaker 1: if not more here. He's my favorite running back play
- 56:52Speaker 1: on the slate, regardless of ownership in any format. I,
- 56:57Speaker 1: you know, just kind of as I've been thinking here
- 56:59Speaker 1: with Dwyer back, it almost makes me like Jaden Craig
- 57:02Speaker 1: more just because like he's got more options to stack with. Um,
- 57:07Speaker 1: he's going to be unowned, but there's your pivot. If
- 57:09Speaker 1: you want to pivot off Jeremy Payne, GPPs, um, and
- 57:14Speaker 1: you can play Craig with totally too. I don't know.
- 57:16Speaker 1: Like the only thing that would scare me there was
- 57:18Speaker 1: just the TCU team total, but it kind of feels light. Um, yeah.
- 57:23Speaker 1: And then the central Florida side, like I really don't
- 57:26Speaker 1: have much interest in anybody, but Duke Watson and, you know,
- 57:29Speaker 1: Bill talked about how efficient he's historically been, um, When
- 57:33Speaker 1: Scott Frost was in Nebraska, not to bring up too
- 57:35Speaker 1: dark of times, but when he was there, he had
- 57:38Speaker 1: a guy named Wandale Robinson that was a really good
- 57:41Speaker 1: football player and started getting decimated by injuries at quarterback.
- 57:47Speaker 1: Wandale Robinson got the ball exclusively. Not saying that's a
- 57:52Speaker 1: similar situation, but it wouldn't surprise me as the season
- 57:54Speaker 1: goes on. He feels like their best player. He hasn't
- 57:59Speaker 1: gotten the volume yet, but it hasn't really been a good...
- 58:02Speaker 1: game scenario. I don't know, you know, just seeing a
- 58:05Speaker 1: central Florida home game. I always worry about weather. I
- 58:08Speaker 1: don't know if there's anything here, but there's definitely one
- 58:11Speaker 1: to watch. Cause, um, I mean, that's not going to
- 58:14Speaker 1: really affect me with the running backs at all, but
- 58:17Speaker 1: it is a spot that could get sloppy if there's weather.
- 58:19Speaker 1: I don't know if there is, but central Florida, typically
- 58:22Speaker 1: a weather spot, but yeah, that's really all I have
- 58:25Speaker 1: to say here. I, um, gosh, you'd think this total
- 58:29Speaker 1: would be higher.
- 58:31Speaker 2: Yeah. And, You said there's always a weather concern in Florida.
- 58:35Speaker 2: And if there's going to be coastal weather that's going
- 58:38Speaker 2: to affect all of the coast, that could be a
- 58:40Speaker 2: reason that this total is a little bit lower. But
- 58:43Speaker 2: apparently it doesn't impact UCLA and Maryland quite as much.
- 58:46Speaker 2: But yeah, the TCU side looks really interesting this week.
- 58:53Speaker 2: Utah at Iowa State, sticking in the Big 12. Devin
- 58:56Speaker 2: Vampir in a split at quarterback. Obviously, he's the 1A. $ 8, 800
- 59:00Speaker 2: is a fair price. But it is a little bit
- 59:05Speaker 2: of a tougher road matchup than I would have predicted
- 59:07Speaker 2: at the start of the season. Wayshawn Parker frustrated a
- 59:12Speaker 2: lot of people last week, myself included, but that almost
- 59:18Speaker 2: makes me like him even more this week if absolutely
- 59:20Speaker 2: nobody's going to play him and he's the number one
- 59:22Speaker 2: running back. The coach talk this week is he was
- 59:26Speaker 2: the best player away from the ball on offense this
- 59:29Speaker 2: against Utah State. So the coaches are still speaking highly
- 59:32Speaker 2: of him. He's still going to be on the field.
- 59:33Speaker 2: And then Braden Pagan, explosive game. Do you chalk that
- 59:37Speaker 2: up to it being against his former team and they
- 59:39Speaker 2: want to feed him the ball? Maybe a little bit,
- 59:41Speaker 2: but I think he's the clear alpha. And at 6,700,
- 59:44Speaker 2: I think he's still a good option. You can look
- 59:46Speaker 2: at Ricky Johnson, though, as well, who gets plenty of
- 59:48Speaker 2: targets for a $ 4, 000 price tag. And then Noah Binet
- 59:52Speaker 2: wasn't targeted at all last week. I still feel like
- 59:55Speaker 2: he's all right, or maybe Hunter Andrews is going to
- 59:57Speaker 2: slowly take over. as the tight end one. And then
- 1:00:01Speaker 2: on the Iowa State side, Jalen Rayner, pretty underwhelming even
- 1:00:06Speaker 2: at this price. Another guy that I like playing on
- 1:00:10Speaker 2: those small weekday slates for sure when he was at
- 1:00:12Speaker 2: Arkansas State. But Aiden Flora. Aiden Flora should be interesting
- 1:00:16Speaker 2: at 5,600. I'm not going to take credit for this nickname,
- 1:00:20Speaker 2: but Somebody told me that he is C-Mac 2.0 and
- 1:00:24Speaker 2: was drawing a lot of attention in best ball. May
- 1:00:26Speaker 2: or may not be one of the gentlemen on this
- 1:00:29Speaker 2: show today. So Christian McCaffrey, you're getting Christian McCaffrey at
- 1:00:32Speaker 2: Iowa State. So obviously there's some explosiveness there. He's one
- 1:00:36Speaker 2: of the guys at Iowa State that stuck around with
- 1:00:38Speaker 2: the mass exodus. So it's good to see that he's
- 1:00:42Speaker 2: getting the love, even with a different coaching staff. And
- 1:00:46Speaker 2: then the pass catchers, ah, they're cheap. That's about all
- 1:00:50Speaker 2: I can say. I don't like their quarterback. I don't
- 1:00:52Speaker 2: like the volume they've gotten so far this season. So
- 1:00:54Speaker 2: on the Iowa State, it's pretty much Flora for me.
- 1:00:58Speaker 2: What are you looking at here, Kenny? Obviously, I led
- 1:01:02Speaker 2: into the Aiden Flora stuff, but how are you looking
- 1:01:06Speaker 2: at this game, especially with Utah last week? They look
- 1:01:10Speaker 2: pretty good.
- 1:01:12Speaker 1: You know, when I saw his price this week, I
- 1:01:14Speaker 1: was like, I don't know if he's going to project
- 1:01:16Speaker 1: that great just because I do. I do have some
- 1:01:18Speaker 1: respect for Utah's defense. Like, obviously, I was really on
- 1:01:22Speaker 1: like Utah's opponent last week. It didn't quite work out,
- 1:01:25Speaker 1: but the opportunities were there. It just didn't come through.
- 1:01:27Speaker 1: There's multiple plays Utah State had inside the 10. It
- 1:01:29Speaker 1: couldn't come through. I do really like Aiden Flora. Like
- 1:01:34Speaker 1: a bias aside, I think he's in a really good spot.
- 1:01:36Speaker 1: Last week, he really burst on the scene. He had
- 1:01:39Speaker 1: almost 200 yards rushing and a punt return touchdown, which
- 1:01:42Speaker 1: I know was against Bowling Green, but he really feels
- 1:01:45Speaker 1: like the biggest threat in this offense. My biggest concern
- 1:01:47Speaker 1: with Flora is that Arnold Barnes does get the work
- 1:01:50Speaker 1: like inside the 10 yard line. Like Flora feels like
- 1:01:53Speaker 1: he's going to have to score from a ways out.
- 1:01:55Speaker 1: So that was kind of, you know, that's kind of
- 1:01:57Speaker 1: like why I'm pumping the brakes a little bit. Um,
- 1:02:00Speaker 1: I don't really have any other interest in Iowa state
- 1:02:02Speaker 1: besides him. And then the Utah side, I like, I
- 1:02:06Speaker 1: guess I thought this game would be a bigger spread.
- 1:02:09Speaker 1: I know Utah's on the road, but I think that like, I,
- 1:02:12Speaker 1: I wasn't super high on Iowa state and I think
- 1:02:14Speaker 1: they're better than I thought they were going to be.
- 1:02:16Speaker 1: So I'm just like, I'm going to kind of write
- 1:02:19Speaker 1: out that I'm wrong. And with this kind of being
- 1:02:22Speaker 1: just a touchdown spread, like Utah has kind of been
- 1:02:25Speaker 1: able to just run over all their opponents so far.
- 1:02:27Speaker 1: This is probably the, their toughest opponent. away from home,
- 1:02:32Speaker 1: it kind of leads me, like, these big three for Utah, like,
- 1:02:36Speaker 1: I think they're going to be under-owned, and I think
- 1:02:38Speaker 1: they're in a really good, like, spot where they might
- 1:02:40Speaker 1: have to compete all four quarters. You know, Parker, obviously,
- 1:02:44Speaker 1: great bounce-back slot. He had, like, a 95-yard touchdown callback
- 1:02:48Speaker 1: on a holding call. Like, I mean, it was that, like,
- 1:02:50Speaker 1: he would have broken the slate with that play alone,
- 1:02:53Speaker 1: but I, yeah, these big three for Utah is what
- 1:02:56Speaker 1: I'm kind of focusing on. They definitely carry some price tags,
- 1:02:59Speaker 1: but I, um, I don't think I'd play all three.
- 1:03:02Speaker 1: I probably like Dan, even as a one-off, I don't
- 1:03:06Speaker 1: think I'd play Parker and Keegan together for their prices,
- 1:03:08Speaker 1: but it wouldn't shock me if, um, this game is
- 1:03:11Speaker 1: competitive and got a little weird for sure. I like
- 1:03:15Speaker 1: another thing like bird bird is what hinders dampier the most,
- 1:03:19Speaker 1: maybe a little more competitive game on the road. Dampier
- 1:03:22Speaker 1: gets more usage. Um, But, yeah, this game's sneaky for sure.
- 1:03:27Speaker 1: There is some spots, and it's pretty clear-cut who these
- 1:03:30Speaker 1: spots are for me anyways.
- 1:03:36Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, you mentioned Bird kind of cutting in
- 1:03:39Speaker 3: with Dan Peary, and that's kind of what hesitates me,
- 1:03:41Speaker 3: especially with Wayshawn Parker too, because all those three guys,
- 1:03:44Speaker 3: you know, they do have that rushing.
- 1:03:45Speaker 4: Equity there within them. Sometimes it's hard to project.
- 1:03:52Speaker 3: Maybe it's just a case where Parker gets one taken
- 1:03:54Speaker 3: off the board and he doesn't really get another chance
- 1:03:56Speaker 3: because Dampier and.
- 1:03:58Speaker 4: Bird are so good at what they do.
- 1:04:00Speaker 3: So maybe if it happens to be that Bird takes
- 1:04:03Speaker 3: off one day, it really cuts down on Dampier and Parker,
- 1:04:07Speaker 3: which leads me to Pagan being that one-off play for
- 1:04:11Speaker 3: me guy just because he's going to be the number
- 1:04:15Speaker 3: one receiver no matter who's the quarterback.
- 1:04:17Speaker 4: And he's going to get the looks and he's going
- 1:04:18Speaker 4: to get, I think it's a fair price at six, seven.
- 1:04:20Speaker 3: It's a little, little pricing compared to some of the
- 1:04:22Speaker 3: guys we talked to, but he's the one-off guy that
- 1:04:25Speaker 3: I'm looking to play.
- 1:04:25Speaker 4: From this game right there at Pagan. Yeah. I know
- 1:04:28Speaker 4: last week was a revenge game, but he was a
- 1:04:29Speaker 4: stud at Utah state.
- 1:04:31Speaker 3: No reason to think it won't carry over when he,
- 1:04:33Speaker 3: when he levels up and it's been played such a
- 1:04:34Speaker 3: high level.
- 1:04:36Speaker 4: I do agree. I think Iowa State can make it
- 1:04:37Speaker 4: a game.
- 1:04:38Speaker 3: You know, I'd much rather bet on them to cover
- 1:04:40Speaker 3: seven and a half than I would try to play
- 1:04:42Speaker 3: one of these guys. And Hope Rainer has always got
- 1:04:44Speaker 3: that dual threat. You know, he's got a lot of experience,
- 1:04:47Speaker 3: but I don't know. It doesn't really project as well DFS-wise,
- 1:04:53Speaker 3: especially on the slate here.
- 1:04:55Speaker 4: Should be a good game, though. Interesting game. Big 12
- 1:04:57Speaker 4: is pretty intriguing this year.
- 1:05:00Speaker 2: Yeah, I would love to see Iowa State pull this
- 1:05:01Speaker 2: one off, but probably a more interesting real-life football game
- 1:05:05Speaker 2: than DFS. Similar in the next game, we have a
- 1:05:09Speaker 2: total less than 40 points. Iowa and Michigan, I'm not
- 1:05:15Speaker 2: really interested in touching this quarterback situation. Kamari Moulton is questionable,
- 1:05:20Speaker 2: and so is DJ Vanami, but Ferentz says he expects
- 1:05:23Speaker 2: them both to play, and so we'll project him that
- 1:05:26Speaker 2: way for now. Moulton is fine if he gets a
- 1:05:30Speaker 2: full workload, but there's got to be some injury concerns now.
- 1:05:34Speaker 2: I would have liked McNeil If Moulton was out and
- 1:05:38Speaker 2: then Tony Diaz has been getting the work in the
- 1:05:40Speaker 2: wide receiver room, 13 and 12 targets in the first
- 1:05:42Speaker 2: two games, only two last week, but it was an
- 1:05:44Speaker 2: FCS opponent. And then if he's back 4,100, definitely a
- 1:05:50Speaker 2: price that's going to get eyes on him. Bryce Underwood
- 1:05:53Speaker 2: on the other side, 5,900. If you need a value quarterback,
- 1:05:57Speaker 2: it's not the worst. It does feel like his upside
- 1:05:59Speaker 2: is a little bit capped, but I feel like if
- 1:06:01Speaker 2: you're playing him, you're playing him for his legs. even
- 1:06:04Speaker 2: though he's had a little bit of a fumbling issue
- 1:06:07Speaker 2: already this year. The run game is really yet to
- 1:06:10Speaker 2: get going outside of Underwood. Marshall and Heider at those
- 1:06:13Speaker 2: prices don't give me a ton of interest. But then
- 1:06:16Speaker 2: the wide receivers, again, it's weird talking about wide receivers
- 1:06:20Speaker 2: being the best plays from Iowa and Michigan. But J.J.
- 1:06:24Speaker 2: Buchanan is a matchup problem. And obviously everybody knows his
- 1:06:27Speaker 2: name after that Western Michigan Hail Mary. But Andrew Marth
- 1:06:31Speaker 2: is still getting a ton of work on the field too.
- 1:06:34Speaker 2: So Uh, for being a sub 40 point team total,
- 1:06:37Speaker 2: there's a little bit more interest in this than, you know,
- 1:06:40Speaker 2: you would initially think. Um, and I'm going to hand
- 1:06:42Speaker 2: it off to you, Kenny. I'm actually going to pull
- 1:06:44Speaker 2: a hoop special. I need to dip out for a second.
- 1:06:48Speaker 1: Yeah. Um, so obviously not interested in game stacking this game. Really.
- 1:06:54Speaker 1: The only interest I have is like one of these
- 1:06:56Speaker 1: two Michigan pass catchers are priced. Okay. Enough. Um, They
- 1:07:02Speaker 1: both had good games last week. Buchanan is definitely... He's
- 1:07:06Speaker 1: been pretty consistent this year, even with a piss-poor performance
- 1:07:09Speaker 1: from Michigan's offense as a whole. Um, the Iowa side,
- 1:07:13Speaker 1: really the only interest I have in Bonamy, um, I
- 1:07:17Speaker 1: think he was kind of, I mean, he's underwhelmed so
- 1:07:19Speaker 1: far this year. He's been hurt. They've had some, um,
- 1:07:22Speaker 1: non-competitive games where they didn't get him as involved in much.
- 1:07:25Speaker 1: I think if I was going to move the ball,
- 1:07:27Speaker 1: it like a good chance it's through him just because of, uh,
- 1:07:31Speaker 1: Michigan has some really elite corners. I feel anyways. Um,
- 1:07:36Speaker 1: but yeah, really Bonamy just a pivot and he's at
- 1:07:38Speaker 1: exact same price as, uh, Micah Gilbert, if he had
- 1:07:42Speaker 1: a really chalky lineup, he wouldn't switch.
- 1:07:43Speaker 4: Just a one-off.
- 1:07:44Speaker 1: I don't mind Bonamy. There is some injury risk, but
- 1:07:47Speaker 1: I think that he's pretty solid for a 16-point Iowa total.
- 1:07:54Speaker 3: Yeah, it's such a hard game to look at one-offs.
- 1:07:57Speaker 3: I will say that Bryce Underwood kind of seems intriguing.
- 1:08:01Speaker 3: It's almost kind of like playing a Service Academy quarterback
- 1:08:05Speaker 3: because you don't expect much of the pass at all.
- 1:08:07Speaker 3: even though he's got, like, Buchanan can be a pass catcher.
- 1:08:10Speaker 3: Sometimes we saw that. But it's just, you know, if
- 1:08:15Speaker 3: they get down, Underwood's on such shaky ground. But he
- 1:08:19Speaker 3: does have that rushing upside. And he's at a price
- 1:08:22Speaker 3: where you kind of meet, like, maybe.
- 1:08:24Speaker 4: I don't know. It could be a guy that he
- 1:08:27Speaker 4: could rush for 100 yards and two touchdowns and kind
- 1:08:30Speaker 4: of like playing a running back there.
- 1:08:33Speaker 2: Yeah. It's weird having this much interest in a game
- 1:08:37Speaker 2: that has– a 36 and a half point team or
- 1:08:40Speaker 2: 38 and a half point team total. But it's there.
- 1:08:43Speaker 2: It's certainly there. The pricing is right. The usage is
- 1:08:45Speaker 2: right for just a couple of guys. And you can
- 1:08:47Speaker 2: absolutely see a path getting there. Moving on to the
- 1:08:50Speaker 2: last game, a lot more points. Auburn almost with an
- 1:08:53Speaker 2: implied team total is that entire last game. Vanderbilt coming
- 1:08:57Speaker 2: to town, big comeback victory for Jared Curtis last week,
- 1:09:01Speaker 2: named SEC Freshman of the Week. One of the most
- 1:09:06Speaker 2: obscure endings to a game anyone's ever seen. And I
- 1:09:10Speaker 2: feel like I can say that objectively. Oh, gosh. Jared
- 1:09:15Speaker 2: Curtis looks good at 6,600.
- 1:09:16Speaker 1: I mean....
- 1:09:18Speaker 2: If they're going to be in a trailing game script
- 1:09:20Speaker 2: and he's got weapons in that wide receiver and we'll
- 1:09:22Speaker 2: talk about in a second. But Auburn's past defense doesn't
- 1:09:27Speaker 2: scare me a ton. Especially, I mean, they're still, they
- 1:09:31Speaker 2: still got some of that South Florida in them. I'll
- 1:09:33Speaker 2: just say that. But, but Curtis looks good at this price,
- 1:09:37Speaker 2: a nice value. If you want to dip down at quarterback,
- 1:09:40Speaker 2: Cedric Alexander and McKaylin Young are like, they're both involved
- 1:09:45Speaker 2: in the passing game. So it does give me a
- 1:09:47Speaker 2: little bit of interest. They're just not doing much on
- 1:09:49Speaker 2: the ground. And it just seems like a broken record
- 1:09:51Speaker 2: for Vanderbilt's offenses in the past. But then you got
- 1:09:55Speaker 2: Junior Sherrill, who's 5,100. He had a big game last week,
- 1:10:00Speaker 2: but even prior to, he was the top target guy
- 1:10:02Speaker 2: for Vanderbilt. And one of those guys that's cheaper than
- 1:10:05Speaker 2: that other range we're talking about, not quite down to Gilbert,
- 1:10:08Speaker 2: but he's cheaper than Freeman. He's cheaper than Hernandez. So
- 1:10:12Speaker 2: definitely a guy you can look at. And then value-wise,
- 1:10:16Speaker 2: For Javante Conner, the tight end in from ECU, he's
- 1:10:18Speaker 2: been involved early as well, and you get him at
- 1:10:20Speaker 2: a discount. So if you do want to stack Curtis,
- 1:10:22Speaker 2: I think there are options there, and it's a super
- 1:10:24Speaker 2: cheap stack as well. On the Auburn side, one of
- 1:10:29Speaker 2: the fastest teams in college football in terms of pace.
- 1:10:34Speaker 2: Byron Brown's priced up, but he's starting to look like
- 1:10:36Speaker 2: the 8,500 to 9K Byron Brown again. Again, garbage time
- 1:10:41Speaker 2: against Florida, but not to the point of Brown was
- 1:10:46Speaker 2: out there against twos and threes necessarily. I mean, Ian,
- 1:10:50Speaker 2: you can correct me if I'm wrong.
- 1:10:52Speaker 4: No, he was not. No, he was clearly against the ones.
- 1:10:55Speaker 4: It was just completely trailing fourth quarter game script.
- 1:10:58Speaker 2: Yeah, the prevent defense almost prevented them from winning one
- 1:11:01Speaker 2: of those situations.
- 1:11:03Speaker 4: Classic, classic.
- 1:11:05Speaker 2: Yeah, but anyway, I think he's still got the 5X
- 1:11:08Speaker 2: ceiling at 8,500. Jeremiah Cobb, he's kind of in mass
- 1:11:11Speaker 2: so far, but if you look at South Florida's offense
- 1:11:14Speaker 2: last year, That's kind of how the running backs were.
- 1:11:17Speaker 2: I mean, I still like Cobb at 6,500. He's in
- 1:11:19Speaker 2: a decent spot. He should be the 1A. He's on
- 1:11:21Speaker 2: the field way more than these other two guys. They
- 1:11:24Speaker 2: just haven't really used him a ton. Bryson Washington feels
- 1:11:28Speaker 2: like he's usurped Omar Mabson as the RB2, but I
- 1:11:32Speaker 2: would bet both of them still mix in. And then
- 1:11:35Speaker 2: this wide receiver room. This is quite the interesting wide
- 1:11:38Speaker 2: receiver room for for a team with this high of
- 1:11:40Speaker 2: a team total. Keyshawn Singleton and Chaz Nimrod both had
- 1:11:43Speaker 2: double digit targets last week. Both scored a touchdown. You know,
- 1:11:47Speaker 2: coming in, I thought the third guy or maybe even
- 1:11:50Speaker 2: top two guy would be Koger because he kind of
- 1:11:51Speaker 2: flashed at the end of last year. I wouldn't completely
- 1:11:54Speaker 2: write him off, but it's really been Singleton and Nimrod.
- 1:11:58Speaker 2: And then one other guy I want to talk about
- 1:11:59Speaker 2: is Deshaun Spencer, son of Henry, friend of Gus, colleague
- 1:12:02Speaker 2: of Jules and Lassie. Props to anybody who gets that
- 1:12:05Speaker 2: niche reference, but it is very fun for me. Uh,
- 1:12:10Speaker 2: Spencer is a true freshman ran 27 routes against Florida
- 1:12:14Speaker 2: in the slot. Uh, what like, it doesn't necessarily, like,
- 1:12:18Speaker 2: obviously he's cheap. It gives me a little bit of
- 1:12:20Speaker 2: interest in him, but what it did was it moved
- 1:12:23Speaker 2: Nimrod to the outside. A, that could be an explanation
- 1:12:25Speaker 2: why Cougars snaps were down. And B, if that happens
- 1:12:28Speaker 2: again in this game, Nimrod moving to the outside, he
- 1:12:31Speaker 2: and Singleton are facing one of the worst outside secondaries. It,
- 1:12:36Speaker 2: at least in the sec, um, They have multiple guys
- 1:12:39Speaker 2: giving up an NFL equivalent passer rating of 137 or higher.
- 1:12:44Speaker 2: Their outside corners grade out at 63 and 50 on PFF.
- 1:12:48Speaker 2: So if Singleton and Nimrod are going to be on
- 1:12:50Speaker 2: the outside, those are the stacks I'm really looking at.
- 1:12:53Speaker 2: But obviously the value is in the slot with Spencer
- 1:12:55Speaker 2: if he goes.
- 1:12:59Speaker 4: Yeah, this is a super intriguing late hammer game right here.
- 1:13:02Speaker 3: I'll talk quick. I'll let Kenny finish it out. But
- 1:13:06Speaker 3: super great late hammer game. Both quarterbacks are really valuable
- 1:13:09Speaker 3: in cash. Curtis is five-star freshman, first road SEC start,
- 1:13:14Speaker 3: second road, second start dual threat guy, really high floor
- 1:13:19Speaker 3: at six, six, really intrigued, played naked. You know, you
- 1:13:22Speaker 3: play with Cheryl, any of those guys, really, really fair
- 1:13:26Speaker 3: price to look at Brown.
- 1:13:28Speaker 4: I think he's fairly impressed at eight, five.
- 1:13:29Speaker 3: Like you said, he's got that high floor, high ceiling
- 1:13:32Speaker 3: could pop off anytime.
- 1:13:33Speaker 4: You can play him with some of the, with the receivers.
- 1:13:36Speaker 3: You can play them out with the receivers and, if
- 1:13:39Speaker 3: you're looking for one spot in your lineup with one
- 1:13:40Speaker 3: of the receivers, one of those quarterbacks, when you fell
- 1:13:44Speaker 3: down to cash, it's really nice to have that. And
- 1:13:46Speaker 3: it's really nice to have like one of these options here.
- 1:13:48Speaker 3: I'm going to delay game really, you know, from that
- 1:13:52Speaker 3: hand-building perspective, I really like looking at one of these
- 1:13:55Speaker 3: quarterbacks game stack environment, turn that over to Kenny.
- 1:14:02Speaker 1: Yeah, honestly, I guess, I don't know if this is
- 1:14:06Speaker 1: going to end up being this way when it's all
- 1:14:08Speaker 1: said and done, but Jared Curtis, I think is my
- 1:14:11Speaker 1: favorite quarterback play on the slate. I just think in
- 1:14:14Speaker 1: a trailing script with him running, I think that's really solid. And,
- 1:14:18Speaker 1: you know, Junior Sherrill is obviously a great stacking partner.
- 1:14:22Speaker 1: I'm intrigued by these running backs a little bit, like
- 1:14:24Speaker 1: Vanderbilt running backs have kind of spontaneously had monster games
- 1:14:27Speaker 1: due to like long runs. I'm going to look into
- 1:14:31Speaker 1: that situation. I don't mind them as like maybe a
- 1:14:34Speaker 1: Byron Brown run back. Um, you know, and then I
- 1:14:38Speaker 1: guess going to the Auburn side, I, you know, Bill,
- 1:14:41Speaker 1: you kind of talked about the rotation they had at
- 1:14:43Speaker 1: South Florida with these running backs. I'm, I'm just getting
- 1:14:46Speaker 1: vibes like off that hardcore and I'm really not interested
- 1:14:49Speaker 1: in the Auburn running backs, um, you know, for that reason.
- 1:14:54Speaker 1: I mean, for really, for me with, I mean, Auburn,
- 1:14:56Speaker 1: I think it's just like Byron Brown, those top two receivers. Um,
- 1:14:59Speaker 1: I don't think I'm going to one-off those receivers. I'm
- 1:15:01Speaker 1: going to play enough Byron Brown and Jared Curtis that
- 1:15:03Speaker 1: I'm going to force, force them to be played with
- 1:15:05Speaker 1: one of those guys. I think, um, But yeah, this
- 1:15:08Speaker 1: is a really good late hammer. Both sides have a
- 1:15:12Speaker 1: ton of options. It'll be a, well, who knows? Might
- 1:15:15Speaker 1: not be the late hammer with all these delays we've
- 1:15:17Speaker 1: been having. We really don't know what the late hammer
- 1:15:20Speaker 1: is going to be, but as of now, Vanderbilt Auburn
- 1:15:23Speaker 1: is the late hammer.
- 1:15:26Speaker 2: Yeah. What a weird sweat last week with that South Carolina,
- 1:15:29Speaker 2: Mississippi state game. Like just what were we almost a
- 1:15:33Speaker 2: halftime of the night slate games before we got the
- 1:15:36Speaker 2: early night.
- 1:15:37Speaker 4: It was just, That was the late, late, late hammer, yeah.
- 1:15:40Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, the hammer got bigger, I guess. All right,
- 1:15:44Speaker 2: that does it for the slate. Just to peak, we
- 1:15:46Speaker 2: do night slate, too. We'll have that fully covered. Some
- 1:15:48Speaker 2: interesting– a big game, Oregon-USC. So, like I said, now's
- 1:15:52Speaker 2: a great time to get in at Ship It Nation.
- 1:15:53Speaker 2: We'll have full coverage on Saturday. We have coverage tonight,
- 1:15:56Speaker 2: Clemson and Cal. Speaking of late hammer, the historic Atlantic
- 1:16:01Speaker 2: Coast Conference matchup of California and Clemson. triple time zone
- 1:16:07Speaker 2: travel the opposite direction. So a lot going on in
- 1:16:09Speaker 2: Shippen Nation, obviously NFL, MLB just getting into the playoff
- 1:16:13Speaker 2: swing here coming up. Before we get out of here,
- 1:16:16Speaker 2: any final thoughts on the slate? I mean, there's a
- 1:16:18Speaker 2: lot of different ways you can approach this, a lot
- 1:16:19Speaker 2: of points on the board. Any final thoughts before we
- 1:16:21Speaker 2: get out of here, guys?
- 1:16:23Speaker 4: Let's have fun. Great, great week. Great day in college
- 1:16:25Speaker 4: football tomorrow. Let's have some fun.
- 1:16:28Speaker 1: Yep, just watch for those running back injuries we touched on.
- 1:16:31Speaker 1: That's like, I guess, I mean, that could change a
- 1:16:33Speaker 1: lot of things tomorrow if we have some others or
- 1:16:36Speaker 1: Lacey's out, confirmed out. So that's about it.
- 1:16:40Speaker 2: Yeah, and don't forget John Denman. I mean, it just
- 1:16:42Speaker 2: makes pain even better running back play. But another reason
- 1:16:46Speaker 2: to join the nation. We have that Discord on point
- 1:16:50Speaker 2: up to the second news episode. But we'll get out
- 1:16:52Speaker 2: of your hair for today, ending with the big guys
- 1:16:55Speaker 2: rule number one, as we do every single week. Rule
- 1:16:57Speaker 2: number one, college football is fun. Enjoy the sweat. Enjoy
- 1:17:01Speaker 2: building your lineups. Just love the fact that we have
- 1:17:03Speaker 2: college football on our TVs. We get to watch it
- 1:17:05Speaker 2: week after week and play college football DFS. But most
- 1:17:08Speaker 2: of all, don't take any of these days for granted.
- 1:17:10Speaker 2: You never know when it's going to be our last.
- 1:17:13Speaker 2: Let's hit the college football streets hard this week and
- 1:17:15Speaker 2: then go out and ship one for the big guy.