Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Ethereum to $5,000!!🚀New Bitwise ETF Price Prediction️🔥
Transcript
- 0:06Ethereum getting ready to do something maybe we have not seen before, and that
- 0:09of course is not only price projection, but also some of the things that
- 0:13I think are going to impact this ecosystem long term. You guys, I
- 0:16want to miss it. My name is Paul Barre. Welcome back in the
- 0:18tech path. Before we get started, I want to play a video from
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- 1:10right, let's get into ethereum. There's a lot happening right now. This
- 1:14was a post here from Matt Hogan over on bit wise, and he hits
- 1:18on a couple of points here. One of course, is his prediction ETPN
- 1:21flows will push prices to all time highs above five thousand and four Ethereum.
- 1:26I want to go to a clip because this will break down some of the
- 1:30things of his strategies and some of the things he thinks are going to happen.
- 1:34Take a look. I think some people are worried because Ethereum futures ETFs
- 1:38sort of sputtered out of the gate. Bitcoin futures et aps, which launched
- 1:41a few years ago, did well. A theory of future ETFs did relatively
- 1:46poorly, but they really launched into the teeth of a bear market, and
- 1:49I think the buyer of a future ZTF is different than a buyer of an
- 1:53ethereum METF. My view is pretty simple, which is, everywhere you look,
- 1:57if investors have a choice to buy bitcoin in theory, they end up
- 2:00buying both. In Europe they're bitcoin and ethereum ETFs, the market's about seventy
- 2:06five twenty five. In Canada they're bitcoin and ethereum ETFs. The market's about
- 2:10seventy five and twenty five. On centralized and decentralized exchanges, you can buy
- 2:15bitcoin and you can buy ethereum, and the market's about seventy five and twenty
- 2:19five. Everywhere you look, this is the ratio that people see now.
- 2:23They could the first few days could be weird because you have etheed, this
- 2:28gray scale product which outflows, and the first few days of the bitcoin ETFs
- 2:34were weird. We don't remember this, but bitcoin's price went from fifty to
- 2:37forty. If everyone assumed bitcoin ETFs are a dud, they're not going anywhere,
- 2:40and then guess what they were the most successful of all time and the
- 2:44price ripped to a new all time high. All right, So there were
- 2:46a few things within what Matt was talking about in terms of the bitcoin ETF
- 2:50success, and he is right. I mean, it was the teeth of
- 2:53the bear market. I think this, of course, timing wise, is
- 2:54really lining up for ethereum as being a almost pivotal time because we are in
- 3:01the precursor to a run up. You're getting a chance to see really maybe
- 3:07a political landscape change, and you've got the financial architecture that's being backed by
- 3:12companies like Blackrock and many others that understand that token is securities and assets are
- 3:15really going to change the future, and ethereum is part of that. I
- 3:19want to go to another clip here he talks about supply and demand and price
- 3:24and whether or not that's going to make a difference on the ETTF. Take
- 3:28a look, the short term price is dictated by supply and demand, and
- 3:30in this case there is no net new supply. Absolutely, I think the
- 3:36same amount of inflows will have a larger impact on price on a market cap
- 3:39proportion basis for ethereum that it did with bitcoin, because you don't have you
- 3:45know, bitcoin minors have to sell their bitcoin, they have direct costs.
- 3:47There is no net new supply of eth. So I absolutely think it will
- 3:52have a significant impact on price. Look at the trade volume right now,
- 3:57almost half of what we're seeing on bitcoin. So which gets me into my
- 4:01prediction, which is this is going to be a lot bigger than almost everyone
- 4:05out there has been anticipating. There's a couple of clips, though, I
- 4:10want to get into one that goes into it. This was Vance Spencer actually
- 4:14talking about this one. Remember this is one of the guys that was anticipating
- 4:16that we would see ANYTHTF when everybody else was saying no way, including a
- 4:20lot of major Wall Street analysts. Let's go to that clip because I think
- 4:25this will get you in the frame of what he's talking about. Take a
- 4:27look. We've done a couple of times, like two three hundred million dollar
- 4:30buys of various cryptos, and what's really obvious to you is that the books
- 4:33are actually very thin, like ninety nine percent of the volume that's transacting whatever,
- 4:38like the twenty thirty forty billion dollars a day of volume. It's just
- 4:41market makers trading against each other. If you have twenty five to fifty billion
- 4:44of inflows, which is what you know today's annualization would be of the inflows.
- 4:47If you have something for Eth, it's going to be similar. There's
- 4:50just not enough coins to go around. I don't think it's unreasonable. The
- 4:54Bitcoin goes to a million, at some point, Eth goes to one hundred
- 4:56k. You just don't really witness the burst of an assad class very all
- 5:00often. And as I said, these books are extremely thin, Like if
- 5:03you do try to buy one hundred million dollars a crypto, you're gonna move
- 5:06to price five or ten percent, And there's just not that many coins.
- 5:09Anthony, I want fans to keep talking, keep talking. And if you
- 5:15look at Eth right now, volume is at about eighteen billions, so we're
- 5:17talking about almost twice that of the volumes already existing. And that is just
- 5:21on the first year. And he even mentioned this in the video There is
- 5:25the birth of an asset class. Another clip here by Matt Hogan was talking
- 5:30about the idea of rebalancing these portfolios, and this gets into portfolios and the
- 5:36assignment of how eth and Bitcoin may play out. Take a look. If
- 5:41you add ether to the portfolio and you rebalance periodically like once a year or
- 5:47once a quarter to rewait those assets, historically, you get higher returns,
- 5:54similar volatility, so higher risk adjuster returns, and a lower maximum draw down,
- 6:00which is the measure of like the most your portfolio is worth to the
- 6:04least it's worth at the bottom of a trough. And it's an important statistic
- 6:09because you feel that in your gut right when your portfolio falls twenty five percent.
- 6:14So obviously, if you do a short term look, you can find
- 6:17times where it's better to be bitcoin only or it's times to better be be
- 6:20eth only, because their periods were Bitcoin outperforms in period where ethoutperforms, and
- 6:26if you know those in advance, god bless you. But if you if
- 6:29you want to look over a full portfolio cycle, the data shows, yeah,
- 6:32you want to you want to smash them together. So I think that's
- 6:35what's going to happen is we're going to see a lot more asset managers do
- 6:39this kind of strategy in terms of balancing both assets within these portfolios. The
- 6:44question will be the mix and to what percentage a portfolio is going to invest
- 6:49in some of these secured assets in terms of the ETFs themselves, so that
- 6:54in itself, and then you align this with things that are going to be
- 6:57happening from a marketing standpoint. Here's Eric I'll s soon as he's talking about
- 7:00twenty one shares Right now, they're talking about a FEEFO point two one.
- 7:03Can you imagine Let me zoom in on that for you guys. Can you
- 7:06imagine if we get a no fees, no fees for the first six months.
- 7:11That's the kind of marketing campaigns. I think that we'll start to dictate
- 7:15the moves in the market, and that could be huge for both ETFs,
- 7:19whether it's a bitcoin ETF, but I think more importantly probably the eth ETF
- 7:24is going to benefit from this in a big way. The other thing I
- 7:27want to get into is if you remove the ETF itself and you just think
- 7:30about ETH by itself, because so many people may or may not watching our
- 7:34show even go into an ETF as a whole. I'm going to go to
- 7:38another clip here with Matt Hogan. He kind of explains this and what the
- 7:41benefit would be. Take a look even if you remove the ETF from the
- 7:45equation. There are two huge tailwinds in ETH right now which I think people
- 7:50aren't thinking about. One is that we've removed a great deal of regulatory confusion
- 7:57around ETH. And as an expression of that, you can see that Black
- 8:00Rock built a fund on Ethereum which holds millions of dollars hundreds of millions of
- 8:05dollars in assets, and I think so removing the regulatory cloud, I think
- 8:09is a massive tailwind. And then you have the whole reason I was optimistic
- 8:13on ETH, which is the Dencune upgrade, which has solved the scalability problem.
- 8:18And I think that problem was what killed the last bull market, even
- 8:24before FTX sort of drove a dagger in fees on East spiking to two hundred
- 8:28dollars and through point being totally jammed killed that market. I don't think we've
- 8:33harvested the dividends of the Dencune upgrade at all, and I think that we
- 8:37will that upgrade and regulatory clarity in an ETF, then yeah, I think
- 8:41we get to new all time highs easily. On new all time highs,
- 8:46I think the real question is where is the trajectory of these bell curves in
- 8:50these adoption cycles. If you look at Maker capturing nearly forty percent of all
- 8:54DeFi profits. This is on Ethereum. This came in from Van Spencer as
- 9:00well, and this is a good example of how eth is going to be
- 9:05an absolute bar burner in terms of revenue opportunity, especially as we get into
- 9:09ken I securities. All this plays into the future of the asset class itself,
- 9:13really redefining the financial instruments being used by Wall Street, big companies,
- 9:18banks, institutions, and then what we're going to see in a lot of
- 9:24innovation as well. So a lot happening here. I think there is only
- 9:28going to take ether into really a place many people didn't think it could go.
- 9:31I have another clip here from Matt Hogan. This is going into short
- 9:35term sentiment versus long term sentiment. So it's just another analysis on what he
- 9:39thinks Ethereum is going to do. Take a look what's happening in crypto is
- 9:45all the long term news is really good, the most constructive long term outlook
- 9:48I've ever seen, and all the short term news has been negative. It's
- 9:52Mount Gox, it's the German government selling, it's Silk Road selling, it's
- 9:56uncertainty around the election, and markets hate uncertainty, and so that the short
- 10:01term negatives are suppressing the long term positives. But the difference between them is
- 10:07the short term negatives are one off, non recurring events, and the long
- 10:11term positives are recurring, ongoing things. And that's just a beautiful thing for
- 10:16long term investors, all right. I love the statement there, beautiful thing
- 10:20because that is exactly the case, and that is runway of how tech companies
- 10:24in many cases look at their opportunity for recurring revenue. And that's exactly what
- 10:28we're talking about with ethereum. Whether it's staking real world assets, tokenization of
- 10:35securities, all those kind of things are upside for what's going to happen,
- 10:39I think in the ecosystem here, of course, speaking of the political landscape,
- 10:43is Donald Trump's wallet and he's holding around ten million right there, and
- 10:48as you can kind of see, if being the number one asset in his
- 10:52wallet, probably got number two base B and B Avalanche, Arbitram mounta.
- 10:58Even though he's speaking at the bitcoin conferences, seeing like he is holding mostly
- 11:01in the side of ethereum. And remember he's been in many different NFT projects.
- 11:07He's done a handful of, you know, different kinds of fundraising,
- 11:13and I think this is something that he's starting to open up to. There
- 11:16was an article here that broke this down. This was in an a just
- 11:18here recently. He says this is in reference to the NFTs and he did
- 11:22it three times. I'm going to do another one, another collection because the
- 11:26people people want me to do another one. It's it's an unbelievable spirit beautiful
- 11:31all right. I would say almost all of it was paid in crypto,
- 11:35in this new currency, and it opened my eyes. So this gets into
- 11:39someone who's never been in crypto before, never really understood the blockchain, that
- 11:43is starting to get a full understanding of what this really means for the future.
- 11:48So also just a good example here of how politicians, sometimes if educated,
- 11:54can really kind of go to the next level. Moving on to another
- 11:58article here from coindesk Honk is preparing stable coin legislation as public consultation ends,
- 12:03and you think about what we're dealing with here in the United States, pressure
- 12:07from the SEC, continued lack of education in Congress to be able to get
- 12:13laws and regulations move forward, a administration that continues to push back very hard
- 12:18those are all negatives for what we're facing here in the US. But around
- 12:22the world this is not the case, and what we're seeing in Hong Kong
- 12:24right now is moving continuously to support the eth ecosystem. They're planning to present
- 12:31a bill on fiat reference stable coins to the Legislative Council later this year.
- 12:35So it's pretty much all countries taking a look at blockchains, seeing the innovation
- 12:39and saying I'm not going to get left behind like I was before when Silicon
- 12:43Valley pretty much ruled the land. So I think this is just another good
- 12:48example of why the United States needs to get things moving very quickly. I
- 12:52want to jump over to another clip. This is Hester Pierce. She's going
- 12:56to do something I think that gets us into a different framework with the SEC
- 13:01might be doing in the future. Take a look. I think certainly something
- 13:03like staking is or any feature of the product that we saw that on the
- 13:09Bitcoin Exchange traded products too, right, there were features of the product that
- 13:15some people would have liked to see included but weren't, And those are always
- 13:18open for reconsideration as far as I'm concerned. All right, as far as
- 13:22you're concerned, always open for reconsideration she mentioned staking there. If that is
- 13:26in fact the case, you would see an absolute explosion in ethereum. I
- 13:31think if we start to see regulatory bodies lay off the idea of where DeFi
- 13:35is going, this opens up the I think the opportunity from institutional capital,
- 13:41banking, major companies, innovation, all the things I mentioned earlier, that
- 13:46really kind of takes to the next level, which could be kind of what
- 13:48to Matt Hogan and Vance even said, and that is the birth of a
- 13:52next generation asset class. That's happening right now in front of us. All
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