Latest / In These Times with Rabbi Ammi Hirsch / Amos Yadlin
Transcript
- 0:01I'm Rabbi Ami Hirsch of the Stephen Wise Free Synagogue in New York, and
- 0:05you're listening to In These Times.
- 0:11Here in the West, since Israel turned the tables on Hamas and began
- 0:14its offensive, the focus has been almost exclusively on the effects
- 0:19of the war on Palestinians in Gaza.
- 0:22But Israelis see this as an existential fight, and it's
- 0:26bigger than just Hamas or Gaza.
- 0:28It goes to the heart of Western civilization as well.
- 0:32Major General Amos Yadlin began his 40 year military career in the
- 0:37Israeli Air Force as a fighter pilot.
- 0:39He fought in the skies during the Yom Kippur War, and was one of the eight
- 0:43pilots selected to carry out the strike on Iraq's Osirak nuclear reactor.
- 0:48But more than a fighter pilot, with 250 combat missions under his belt,
- 0:53he is a brilliant strategist who commanded the IDF Military College
- 0:56and National Defense College.
- 0:58He served as Israel's military attache to the United States, and was chief of the
- 1:03IDF's Military Intelligence Directorate, a graduate of Harvard's Wexner Israel
- 1:09Fellowship Program, and a Washington Institute for Near East Policy fellow.
- 1:14Today, he's the founder and current president of Mind Israel, an Israeli
- 1:18national security consultancy.
- 1:21I've asked Major General Yadlin to join me today to help contextualize
- 1:25the ongoing war with Hamas and the international reaction.
- 1:39Amos, welcome to in these times.
- 1:41It is my pleasure.
- 1:43We're recording this as Israel gears up for the operation in Rafa.
- 1:47We've known each other for a long time, Amos.
- 1:49Your father was a great public servant.
- 1:52And I heard his name in my family for many, many years.
- 1:56He was one of the founders of Kibbutz Be'eri.
- 1:59What went through your mind on October 7th and are you close at Kibbutz Be'eri?
- 2:04That was one of the Kibbutzim that suffered the most devastating
- 2:08consequences on October 7th.
- 2:11Have you been there since?
- 2:12Do you know people who are still members of Kibbutz Be'eri?
- 2:16Yeah, my father was the secretary general of the group that created, founded Be'eri.
- 2:24in 1946.
- 2:26It was a move by Ben Gurion to have a new 11 kibbutzim or settlements in the
- 2:34Negev to make sure that when partition of Eretz Israel will happen, the
- 2:41Negev will be under the Jewish state.
- 2:45So my father led the group that went to Be'eri.
- 2:49He was there for five years, until in the early 50s.
- 2:55There was a split in the kibbutzim movement, so he, uh, moved to the kibbutz
- 3:01of my mother, which called Hatziri.
- 3:04And the irony of history is that now, uh, the people that survived, uh, are
- 3:12making a new settlement, temporary one, until Be'eri will rebuild, in
- 3:18kibbutz Hatzirim, as a neighbor.
- 3:21My father, if he were alive, would like to see very much his previous kibbutz.
- 3:27United with the kibbutz that he lived in for almost 70 years.
- 3:34Your father was a liberal, he was a labor Zionist.
- 3:38I think it's fair to say that many of those kibbutzim and kibbutzniks
- 3:43and civilians on the border were among the most liberal of Israelis.
- 3:48How do you think October 7th influenced those people, that part of the political
- 3:55equation in terms of prospects for coexistence with the Palestinians?
- 4:00What do you think about that?
- 4:02See, Be'eri is not the most liberal, not the most socialist.
- 4:05There are kibbutzim like Nir'oz that were even more to the left, believe
- 4:11in all their heart in a two state solution, in peace with the Palestinians.
- 4:16And these people were butchered, killed, raped in the most catastrophic way.
- 4:25So all of them are now asking themselves questions.
- 4:29Can we coexist with the Palestinians?
- 4:33Well, we, uh, understood how much they are murderers, how much they
- 4:40hate Israel, how much they are willing to do a genocide in Israel.
- 4:46Uh, these people will thinking now, again, after they will get out of the
- 4:51trauma, not so far by the way, what they witness, what they saw, you know,
- 4:57members of Kibbutzim that saw their kids, Beheaded, young people that saw their
- 5:03parents and grandparents killed, burned.
- 5:06They will be in a post trauma situation for a long time.
- 5:12So politically, it's not that important.
- 5:14It's a minority of minority in Israel.
- 5:18The kibbutzim movement that was 4 percent and leading the Israel
- 5:23leadership in the 50s and 60s are now 1%.
- 5:28And it's not important politically.
- 5:30It's a minority.
- 5:31It's important morally, and most of the Israelis, unfortunately,
- 5:38moved to the right because of what happened on the 7th of October.
- 5:43However, they are not willing to be under Prime Minister Netanyahu's right,
- 5:49because this is an extreme right.
- 5:51This is a government that depends on Bengvid and Smotrych.
- 5:57And most of the liberals, the right wing liberals in Israel, that are
- 6:02now getting a lot of center left people into it, they are not willing
- 6:06to be with the current government.
- 6:09They are looking for a new leadership that, on one hand, will ensure that the
- 6:157th of October will never happen again.
- 6:19Security wise, they will be extreme right.
- 6:23But on liberal issues, On the issue of trying to reach peace, they will want.
- 6:32Peace with security and they are looking for a leader that will lead
- 6:37them from where we are now to a more, uh, reasonable government.
- 6:44I want to ask you, uh, primarily about, uh, three issues.
- 6:48The military situation, the diplomatic situation, and the internal
- 6:52political situation in Israel.
- 6:54You're a, uh We're a very senior and decorated commander
- 6:59in the Israel Air Force.
- 7:01You're a military expert.
- 7:03Tell us what your view of the current situation is.
- 7:07Israel at the beginning of this war laid out three objectives, none of
- 7:11which really have been achieved.
- 7:13First, to dismantle Hamas's ability to make war.
- 7:17Second, to return all of the hostages.
- 7:20And third, on the day after, that Hamas wouldn't be, uh, governing, uh, Gaza.
- 7:26So it looks to me like none of these objectives have been achieved.
- 7:30What is your view of the current military situation and the
- 7:34successes of the campaign as well as, uh, some of the failures?
- 7:39Yeah, no doubt that the three goals were not achieved completely as they
- 7:45were achieved partly and to tell you the truth when the government put forward
- 7:51these objectives I criticize them for being unachievable, uh, and some even
- 8:01conflicting because if you want to destroy Hamas and the hostages is among the
- 8:06Hamas it's not that easy to destroy them.
- 8:08If you want to bring the hostages.
- 8:11Hamas may survive.
- 8:13So these tensions were there from the very beginning, and I think
- 8:19Israel's strategy was as if we have all the time in the world.
- 8:25Once again, as an independent analyst and strategist, I gave the government
- 8:32in the very beginning my view that they don't have all the time in the world.
- 8:37It is not a superpower like the U.
- 8:40S.
- 8:41fighting Japan until unconditional.
- 8:50It's Israel against Hamas in a very complex global situation when two
- 8:58superpowers are supporting Hamas, Russia and China, when the Arab
- 9:04world want very much Israel to destroy Hamas, however, distinguish
- 9:09between Hamas and Palestinians, and I knew that we don't have this time.
- 9:16The counterargument was, look what happened in 2002 when Arafat
- 9:21launched his second Intifada.
- 9:24After the Sadr suicide bombing in Latania, Israel went to an operation.
- 9:31It was two months, high intensity operation, getting into the Palestinian
- 9:36cities and the refugee camps.
- 9:38And then three years until terror was basically defeated to a minimal
- 9:45level that is not affecting the strategic parameters of ISIL.
- 9:50And I say it is not the same.
- 9:53It is not the same because of two issues.
- 9:56Hamas prepare an army.
- 9:59There was no army in the West Bank in 2002.
- 10:04There were terrorists.
- 10:05Terrorists sell terrorist team, but not an army.
- 10:09Hamas prepare an army, and they prepare it for 15 years, and it's
- 10:14gonna need another kind of operation.
- 10:17And, more important, in 2002, there was not 240 hostages at
- 10:24the hands of Arafat terrorists.
- 10:27So, I think that the right goal was to make sure that Hamas cannot
- 10:33do a 7th of October again to destroy its army to a level that
- 10:39it cannot attack Israel anymore.
- 10:43If the governance of Hamas should be replaced, you have to prepare
- 10:51a replacement who will get into the vacuum, and the government
- 10:56of Israel refused to do it.
- 10:58They say no Hamas, no PA.
- 11:01I'm saying no Israel.
- 11:03So who will go to the vacuum?
- 11:06Why are they refusing to do it?
- 11:08Is that political, internal political dynamics in Israel?
- 11:11Absolutely.
- 11:12Absolutely.
- 11:13That's because the prime minister is depends on two right wingers, uh,
- 11:18the Bengvil and the Smotrich parties.
- 11:21His political survival depends on that.
- 11:25And instead of taking the very reasonable terms that came from Washington, which
- 11:33say RPA, Reform Palestinian Authority, because I agree that this Palestinian
- 11:41Authority is corrupt, is not legitimate, paying terrorists, uh, educate terrorists,
- 11:50And cannot even control Jenin or Tulkau.
- 11:55But the, the term Palestinian was not agreed by this government,
- 12:03even if it's revised, revitalized.
- 12:06performance based Palestinian authority, some Palestinian
- 12:12technocrats that will take Gaza with the help of an Arab consortium,
- 12:18Egypt, UAE, Saudi Arabia, Jordan.
- 12:22But after seven months, we haven't achieved this goal.
- 12:26And what have changed in these seven months, That Hamas as a military
- 12:32basically cannot attack Israel anymore.
- 12:3618 out of 24 battalions are destroyed.
- 12:40Israel destroyed many of their underground Uh, facilities, if they try to fire a roll
- 12:46cap to Israel, they are unable to do it.
- 12:48So the 7th of October is out of a question.
- 12:51They cannot do it.
- 12:53And we should define not what Netanya call complete victory.
- 12:59We should say the victory is to bring back the hostages.
- 13:03Mm-Hmm.
- 13:03. There was an argument that the military operation is supporting
- 13:07bringing back the hostages.
- 13:09It was right in the first month.
- 13:11It was right when we were able to supply Sonoa and to, uh, basically
- 13:17destroy all his forces in Gaza and remove immediate Palestinians from Gaza.
- 13:22He was shocked and he was ready to return half of the hostages.
- 13:27It is not right today.
- 13:29Today the hostages should be, uh, the goal of the war, then bring back people
- 13:36to the western negar to be then when there will be a ceasefire in the south.
- 13:43There will be a cease file in the north.
- 13:46That's what Nasrallah have said.
- 13:48When the war in Gaza is gone, I'm stopping.
- 13:51Then you can remove Hezbollah diplomatically by reaffirm UN
- 13:58Security Council 1701 that remove Hezbollah north of the river, uh,
- 14:06Biden invoice, uh, to Lebanon and Israelis working on.
- 14:11Then we can have normalization with the Saudis.
- 14:14Then we can have, uh, the coalition that have stopped so efficiently the
- 14:21attack from Iran based on US and Israel and some Arab countries, and UK and
- 14:29France, against Iran as the main, uh, problematic force in the middle.
- 14:35That want to destroy Israel, this is another strategy than sticking to the
- 14:41original goals that you set, and rightly so, that are not working and unachievable.
- 14:48So you think had the goals.
- 14:51of the military campaign been defined as dismantling Hamas's
- 14:56ability to repeat October 7th.
- 15:00Israel, by now, could have already proclaimed victory in that respect.
- 15:04Absolutely, and we have a very strong leverage against Hamas.
- 15:10which is, uh, the, the request of Hamas to end the war.
- 15:15We can now put it forward as you want us to end the war,
- 15:20bring all the hostages back.
- 15:22And then it's the second goal achieved.
- 15:25You need some positive vision and defined it as a victory.
- 15:30Yes, Hamas may stay there.
- 15:32It will be weak.
- 15:34We can have another opportunity to destroy.
- 15:37Believe me, Hamas or Islamic Jihad will give us the excuse in the future.
- 15:43But now we have to look at the goals of this war regionally, because
- 15:49we are fighting in seven fronts.
- 15:52Never happened since 1948.
- 15:55We are fighting in Gaza, we are fighting in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq,
- 16:00the Houthis, the West Bank, and Iran.
- 16:04And we have to rearrange our priorities.
- 16:10We have an opportunity to have a diplomatic achievement.
- 16:15That always come after a military campaign.
- 16:18And unfortunately, the tan government is not dealing with
- 16:22diplomatic, uh, moves that have to go together with the military move.
- 16:29And Israel has a, has a possibility after this cata of to, uh, to change it
- 16:35into, uh, an opportunity, an opportunity to have a coalition against Ilan,
- 16:42uh, normalization with the Saudis.
- 16:44In a way, Sinwar, one of the reasons, besides the fact that he
- 16:49is a jihadist that wants to destroy Israel, but he wants also to derail
- 16:54the Israeli Saudi normalization.
- 16:57If we do it, it's another victory that we can have.
- 17:02Continuing with these seven month goals without Rethinking and updating
- 17:07them is a huge strategic mistake.
- 17:10The one silver lining that one can glean from the Iranian attack on Israel, those
- 17:16300 plus missiles and various other projectiles, it did Open up a window on
- 17:26some of the geopolitical victories that Israel can claim as a result of this war.
- 17:33I mean, you know, the idea that Saudi Arabia and Jordan and the Americans,
- 17:40the UK and France all participated in intercepting some of these missiles.
- 17:47It created a little glimpse of a tremendous victory that could emerge
- 17:52for Israel from this conflict.
- 17:54Do you agree with that?
- 17:56Yes.
- 17:57I think the, the Iranians, uh, were defeated in April five times.
- 18:04They were defeated by the fact that a general who is, uh, almost number two in
- 18:10Kutz force, that for 20 years was planning and building a military capacities in
- 18:17Syria and Lebanon, uh, was targeted.
- 18:21and removed as Qasem Soleimani was.
- 18:25Then the Iranians fired this barrage of missiles that were never launched
- 18:31against any country in one night.
- 18:34120 ballistic missiles, 170 drones, very much like the drones that the Russians
- 18:41are launching towards Ukraine, and a lot of rockets from their proxies.
- 18:48and 30, uh, cruise missiles, and Israel stopped all of them.
- 18:53Israel was not hurt in any important target.
- 18:58And they targeted our air bases and intelligence.
- 19:03This is a huge achievement.
- 19:05Then, what they were unable to do with hundreds of projectiles,
- 19:10we did with three missiles.
- 19:12According to the New York Times, Israel destroyed S 300,
- 19:17which is advanced air defense.
- 19:20is that defend their, uh, nuclear facilities around Isfahan.
- 19:26And they were vulnerable.
- 19:28They were unable to stop.
- 19:31And then they again, for a glimpse of, of two or three days, the international
- 19:39community understand who is the aggressor.
- 19:42and who is the defender.
- 19:45And they brought Israel and America once again for a week to be together
- 19:53on 100%, which is important.
- 19:56So I think this is one of the good news of this war.
- 20:01It is not yet over.
- 20:04We will test the deterrence that was achieved.
- 20:08If it was achieved in the next move of Israel against Israel.
- 20:13Iranian proxies in Syria and in Lebanon.
- 20:17We have to understand that this is the first direct attack from Iran
- 20:26on Israel and from Israel on Iran.
- 20:29We are in a shadow war for 20 years, but the two sides were very, very
- 20:35careful not to go to a direct attack and not to escalate to an open war.
- 20:43The last time that a country, a state, That is, member of the UN attacked
- 20:50Israel was 1991 with Saddam Hussein.
- 20:54Since then, we are dealing only with proxies, terror organizations.
- 21:00And this is the first time that Iran attacked Israel since 1991.
- 21:05And I hope the president of Iran will end up like Saddam Hussein.
- 21:09Well, the ramification of that precedent is what exactly you think Iran actually
- 21:15did itself harm by launching this attack?
- 21:19The jury is still out.
- 21:20But as we speak today, it was a very bad month for Iran.
- 21:25With, uh, long term ramifications for the stability of the government, do you think?
- 21:31What we constantly hear is what these entities want more than
- 21:35anything else is to stay in power.
- 21:38And that's what the Iranian government is most concerned about.
- 21:41Do you think that this perhaps burgeoning coalition against Iran, which might
- 21:48include the Gulf states and Saudi Arabia, do you think that that has long term
- 21:53ramifications and is it threatening for the stability of the Iranian government?
- 21:58I'm not sure.
- 21:59I think the Iranians know exactly what I described, that they have done
- 22:04a mistake and they are vulnerable.
- 22:06However, the regime is publishing and marketing to the public
- 22:11another story, stories that they attacked Israel, and there is a
- 22:16lot of damage to Israeli air bases.
- 22:18It's a warning for Israel.
- 22:20And what Israel have done in return is a couple of small
- 22:25drones that achieve nothing.
- 22:27So, this is a way that a dictatorship is speaking to their people to
- 22:33make sure that the regime will not be blamed by the failure.
- 22:37In 2007, by the way, when Israel attacked the nuclear facility in Syria,
- 22:46and we wanted to avoid escalation, we understood that on this nuclear
- 22:54project, there is very, very small group.
- 22:58of people who know about it.
- 23:00Even the defense minister and the chief of staff have no idea.
- 23:04And if we will not boast about destroying this nuclear, we
- 23:09may avoid war of retaliation.
- 23:13And that's exactly what Bashar sold to his people.
- 23:18That Israeli airplane were attacking an empty camp in the desert, and they
- 23:24were, uh, removed by the brave Syrian Air Force, and nothing happened.
- 23:29So it's what's happening today in Iran remind me the same story.
- 23:33My last question about Iran is one of your missions was on the destruction
- 23:39of the Osirak nuclear reactor in Iraq.
- 23:43Looming behind all of this is the Iranian nuclear project.
- 23:48Where do you think that stands?
- 23:49How urgent do you think that is?
- 23:51And what kind of threat does that now pose for Israel and the West, I would add?
- 23:56It is a very, very serious threat.
- 23:58But podcast to dive into all the details.
- 24:03The Iranian strategy.
- 24:06Since the Iranians are smart, sophisticated, and they know
- 24:10something about strategy, is not to run to the bomb as fast as
- 24:15possible, but as safe as possible.
- 24:18They have learned the lesson of Saddam Hussein, of Bashar Assad, of Muammar
- 24:23Gaddafi, and they want to be very close to the bomb in the threshold.
- 24:29as much as they can under a legitimate cover up.
- 24:34So, they are now quite close to the capability to produce fusil material
- 24:41for 5 7 bombs in a military grade.
- 24:45They haven't, uh, started yet the weaponization because this is violating
- 24:52the fact that they signed the NPT.
- 24:54And this cannot go with the cover story, that the uranium is for
- 24:59producing power because there is no oil and gas in, uh, in Iraq.
- 25:05So, We have to look very careful whether they decide to break out of the bomb
- 25:11by operating a weaponizing group.
- 25:15There are promises of four American presidents in a row,
- 25:21Bush, Obama, Trump, and Biden, that Iran will not be with Bukelepov.
- 25:28I hope, and I call for it in the last 10 years, that instead of making
- 25:34speeches on the Hill, And instead of fighting with the Americans,
- 25:40what is the right move towards Iran?
- 25:43We should have a common strategy, and we have to do it together.
- 25:47Israel and the U.
- 25:48S.
- 25:49to define our red line, to define our trigger, to define what operationally the
- 25:56two of us will do, and who will do what, and what support the other side need.
- 26:02And we are sharing intelligence, but it's not enough.
- 26:05We have to share the strategy and the operational plan.
- 26:09Let
- 26:14me ask you, I, of course, always concerned about Jewish
- 26:18morality and morality in general.
- 26:20You participated in 250 or so missions beyond Israel's borders.
- 26:25You dropped bombs on Israel's enemies.
- 26:29President Biden at one point called the bombing in Gaza indiscriminate.
- 26:34Could you help us through the moral morass?
- 26:37Do you think Israel has been, uh, excessive in its military operation?
- 26:42Do you think that the bombing has been indiscriminate?
- 26:46I don't think so.
- 26:47I think it was according to the international law.
- 26:50I don't think it was more indiscriminate than the Americans operation against Tokyo
- 26:58in May 1945, when they burned the whole city, uh, with most of them civilians.
- 27:07It's much more, uh, moral than what have been done in Dresden.
- 27:12And if you don't want to go to World War II, go to Afghanistan, go to
- 27:16Vietnam, go to any American campaign.
- 27:20Uh, we can compare the numbers and we will see that what Israel have done
- 27:26in Gaza is basically, uh, in the same proportion, uh, like the Americans.
- 27:33However, even more on the moral issue, Israel asked all the
- 27:38civilians to leave Gaza before it started bombing and patrolling.
- 27:42You mean not, not the entire Gaza Strip.
- 27:45You mean the area that Israel intended to bomb?
- 27:48Exactly.
- 27:48In the Gaza City.
- 27:51And remember, Hamas is not fighting with the same rules
- 27:55of war that we are fighting.
- 27:58On the contrary, they didn't let some of the people to live, and
- 28:03all their, uh, command posts were under hospitals, schools, uh, UNRWA,
- 28:11uh, offices, and civilian places.
- 28:16So Israel asked everybody to leave anything that belonged to Hamas,
- 28:21and then launch, uh, the campaign.
- 28:24And the campaign would have stopped if Sinwar, who started this war, Would
- 28:31say, okay, I'm giving back the hostages.
- 28:34Stop the campaign.
- 28:35It would have been stopped.
- 28:36So I think war is an awful and very, very problematic moral dilemma because you have
- 28:48the duty to protect your people, to make the 7th of October not happening again.
- 28:55Israel haven't go to Gaza to kill civilians.
- 28:58On the contrary, we would love the fact that the only victims were Hamas.
- 29:03But we went to Gaza that it will never happen again.
- 29:08And those who to blame about the civilian casualty is Hamas.
- 29:14So in this respect, I would like to hear President Biden, Secretary
- 29:20of State Blinken blaming Hamas for what is happening in Gaza.
- 29:26Why do you think that message is not getting through?
- 29:29Or maybe it got through immediately after October 7th.
- 29:33But the assumption now in the West, I'm, of course, you're in Israel, I'm here.
- 29:38The assumption, even those who want to defend Israel, is there've
- 29:43been too many casualties in Gaza.
- 29:46The term genocide is casually spouted in political conversation,
- 29:52in normative political conversation, even in the halls of Congress.
- 29:56We have these investigations in the International Court of
- 29:59Justice, and now there's some talk about arrest warrants at the ICC.
- 30:04Why do you think that Israel is not able to convince not only the Western
- 30:12opponents of Israel who may have come from the Middle East and are Palestinian
- 30:17supporters and receive financial contributions from Palestinians, but,
- 30:22but just, uh, people who seem fair minded and are in the political system.
- 30:28What's going on in the West that they don't see clearly.
- 30:31What you're talking about,
- 30:34I'm not expert to your, uh, public opinion.
- 30:37Uh, it's not Palestinian money.
- 30:39It's Qatari money.
- 30:41Qatari money is buying a lot of your academic chairs and universities and
- 30:50anything that they can play against Israel, they will play against Israel
- 30:54Once again, war is something awful.
- 30:57If you remember when the US withdraw from Afghanistan after 20 years.
- 31:0420 years, not 7 months.
- 31:07Americans attack and kill innocent people around their airfield.
- 31:13They apologize.
- 31:14They say that in war there are mistakes.
- 31:17And this is happening from time to time in war.
- 31:20What is important is that every target in Israel is approved
- 31:24by international lawyers.
- 31:27And we are fighting according to the international law.
- 31:31The fact that we cannot convince them that Sinwar has started this war And
- 31:36Sinwar is using the Gazen as a human.
- 31:40She is maybe a failure of the, uh, ASRA of Israel, but I think it's
- 31:49all has to do with a lot of Qatari money, Arab Ma, the tendency to look
- 31:57at Israel as the strong power and look at the Palestinian as the weak.
- 32:03Even though they initiate this war in the more barbaric, unacceptable attack on
- 32:09women and children and young girls and old Israelis, I think if it would happen in
- 32:17America, that some Mexicans will say, you know, Texas and California belong to us.
- 32:24You took it from us in 1848.
- 32:27We are now going to the city of San Diego.
- 32:31We are killing, I think the ratio is 15, 000 Americans, and
- 32:36kidnapping about 4, 000 to Mexico.
- 32:41What would America do?
- 32:43Believe me, nobody will say anything about what the U.
- 32:48S.
- 32:48military will do to Mexico.
- 32:50Can I ask you about the conceptual and operational collapses on October 7th?
- 32:58It looks like There were political misconceptions, military
- 33:04misconceptions on the strategic level, as well as operational
- 33:09failures on October 7th itself.
- 33:13Two things.
- 33:14One, do you think the National Commissions of Investigation will
- 33:19be established soon in order to, uh, investigate all of the components.
- 33:24I know the military is doing something internal, but it's, it's limited.
- 33:28So do you think that those commissions will be established?
- 33:32Because in their absence, we will never really know what was a source of
- 33:38the failures, catastrophic failures.
- 33:42And secondly, I also want to ask you what you think.
- 33:46Already now, even in the absence of the commissions of investigation, where do
- 33:50you think the fundamental problems lay?
- 33:53Okay, uh, I think there, there was a trilateral failure, an
- 34:00intelligence failure, an operational failure, and a policy failure.
- 34:06The intelligence failure Uh, is in my mind un, unacceptable, and
- 34:16I cannot imagine that it happened.
- 34:19The plan of the attack was in the hands of the intelligence.
- 34:24So they haven't pay enough attention to the plan.
- 34:29There was a big mistake on the intentions of Hamas.
- 34:34They thought in a Western thinking that Sinwar is a leader that cares
- 34:43and accountable to his people.
- 34:45And he misled them.
- 34:47He say, welfare of Gaza is more important to me and to my people.
- 34:52I want them to work in Israel.
- 34:54I want them to get the Qatari money.
- 34:57And they haven't thought that this is a jihadist, that destroying Israel is
- 35:04the goal and the rest is serving it.
- 35:07So huge mistake on intention.
- 35:10Also mistake on the capabilities.
- 35:13They haven't paid attention that he Created a military.
- 35:19They thought that if he will attack Israel, it will be on one
- 35:23or two places to kidnap 10 people.
- 35:28They haven't imagined the whole attack, even though the plan was in their head.
- 35:34So huge intelligence fail on intention, on capability, on early warning.
- 35:41And this failure was all over the community.
- 35:45It was the military intelligence.
- 35:46It was Mossad.
- 35:47It was Shin Bet.
- 35:49So this should be investigated as soon as possible.
- 35:54Second is operation.
- 35:56Every operational commander should be ready to stop the enemy, even if
- 36:02he's not getting an early warning of the intelligence, you should be
- 36:07ready every day to stop the enemy.
- 36:10So there was some mistake in the level of the forces and the readiness.
- 36:17And this also should be investigated.
- 36:20What's even more problematic in my eye is that, uh, hours, hours, 12
- 36:27hours, some of the kibbutzim were left without any IDF support and help.
- 36:34So this also should be investigated.
- 36:37On the policy level, Prime Minister Netanyahu decided that they will
- 36:43help Hamas because they hate the PA.
- 36:46So, Netanyahu prefers a strong Hamas and a weak PA.
- 36:51And this is a huge mistake that happened for 10 years, a decade.
- 36:58And at this time, he let Hamas build a military.
- 37:02So, just last word.
- 37:05You have to distinguish between debriefing, which is professional
- 37:10and start to be done on the military side, on the operational side, on the
- 37:15intelligence side, not on the government side, and the commissions that you
- 37:20mentioned, to investigate the failure.
- 37:23You know, the debriefing is how to do it better next time.
- 37:29The commission has to indicate who to blame.
- 37:32Do you think we're close to their establishment?
- 37:36Not as long as this government is there.
- 37:39Hmm.
- 37:40My final question to you is, are you optimistic about
- 37:43Israel looking into the future?
- 37:47I'm always optimistic, because when I was head of intelligence, I used to
- 37:53brief President Peres, Shimon Peres.
- 37:57And he always say, Amos, what you are describing is, uh, grave scenarios
- 38:03and dangers to the state of Israel.
- 38:05I have recommendation for you.
- 38:07The optimist and the pessimist are dying the same, but they live different.
- 38:14So be more optimist.
- 38:16And I think if we will be smart enough to change the objective and the goals of
- 38:23the war, to change our government from a government that is hostage to right
- 38:29wingers that paralyze it and continue to take it to the wrong direction.
- 38:36We can, as we did after the Yom Kippur War, and I'm a veteran as a
- 38:41young pilot of Yom Kippur, and it was a trauma very similar to this one.
- 38:47Even not that bad, by the way, but it took a decade and we learned the last lessons.
- 38:54We changed the leadership and we have made Israel different.
- 38:58This is what Israel should do after finishing with this war, taking
- 39:04the opportunities that I described in this conversation and change
- 39:09the leadership and going forward.
- 39:11There is huge potential of young generation and my kids who are now.
- 39:1740 and can lead this country and many, many good people because this war,
- 39:23after discovering all the failures, also discover, uh, bravery, uh,
- 39:31solidarity, a lot of spirit, a positive spirit that with the right leader,
- 39:41On that note, Major General Amos Yadlin, thank you, uh, for your
- 39:46decades of service to the State of Israel and to the Jewish people.
- 39:50Uh, thank you for, uh, giving us this, uh, time.
- 39:54Uh, and we, uh, wish you and, uh, all of our brothers and sisters in Israel well.
- 40:06I've spoken with hundreds of Israelis since October 7th, both here and abroad.
- 40:10and in Israel, and of course, I have interacted with thousands
- 40:15of American Jews and non Jews.
- 40:17It is fascinating to me to see how differently our communities
- 40:20cover and view this war.
- 40:23In the West, the focus on the October 7 atrocities dissipated long ago, roughly
- 40:29around the time Israel began its offensive against Hamas after repelling some 1,
- 40:33500 terrorists from Israeli territory.
- 40:37We seem to have forgotten the precipitating massacres and kidnappings,
- 40:41And our almost exclusive focus for months now has been on the effects
- 40:46of the war on Palestinians in Gaza.
- 40:49It is, of course, legitimate to emphasize the human cost of war.
- 40:54I, too, am torn apart by Palestinian suffering.
- 40:58Like the removal of a drop of wine from the Passover Seder Kiddush Cup,
- 41:03every day of Palestinian anguish diminishes my joy of being alive.
- 41:08Jews are described in our tradition as Merciful ones.
- 41:14The Children of the Merciful.
- 41:16With everything else we hold in our hearts, we must keep abundant space for
- 41:20the suffering of innocent Palestinians.
- 41:24In Israel, however, and for many of us Jews abroad, we know that
- 41:29the anguish of Gaza is not the only moral or geopolitical issue at stake.
- 41:34Hamas imposed on Israel a war of no choice.
- 41:37It Islamist forces who seek not only Israel's annihilation, but The only
- 41:47reason that 1, 200 Israelis were slaughtered, rather than 12, 000 or 120,
- 41:51000, is not in intent, but in capacity.
- 41:55The terrorists were stopped by the most courageous acts of
- 41:58civilian and military valor.
- 42:00Thousands of people are alive today because of regular Israeli civilians and
- 42:05security personnel, some of whom were no older than American university students.
- 42:12Others who were in their 50s and 60s.
- 42:14who rushed to the scene, and on their shoulders, held the sky suspended.
- 42:21I watched a documentary recently on the Battle of Normandy.
- 42:25What most of us remember is D Day, June 6, 1944, and the horrible price paid
- 42:32to establish beachheads on the shore.
- 42:35Few of us realize that the Battle of Normandy took nearly three months.
- 42:40German forces were arrayed in defense lines fortified over many years, and they
- 42:44were embedded in the local population.
- 42:47In the 85 days it took to liberate Normandy, an estimated 20, 000 French
- 42:52civilians died, and many thousands more were wounded and dislocated.
- 42:58The Allies bombed French villages, pulverizing them to rubble.
- 43:03It was the only way to loosen the death grip of Nazi forces.
- 43:07Nobody asked then, nor do they ask today, why the Allies caused the deaths of
- 43:13so many thousands of French villagers.
- 43:14To the contrary.
- 43:16There are still annual celebrations of the liberation
- 43:19and eternal gratitude to America.
- 43:22They realize then, and they understand now, that war is awful
- 43:27and causes us to kill, and that innocents die and suffer in war.
- 43:34It is why all who care about fellow human beings should do everything in their
- 43:38power to avoid war in the first place.
- 43:40Once a war is launched, It will inevitably result in death and destruction.
- 43:47And the more dangerous and the more extreme is your enemy, the
- 43:51more ferocious the war will be.
- 43:54What did they expect?
- 43:57That Israel would not defend itself from the worst pogrom inflicted
- 44:00on Jews since the Holocaust?
- 44:03What did they expect?
- 44:04That no innocent civilians would be killed?
- 44:06Especially since Hamas hides behind their own population,
- 44:10using them as human shields?
- 44:12Can you imagine how much international money, including our own tax dollars,
- 44:18were invested to build a tunnel system under Gaza that is more
- 44:22elaborate than the London underground?
- 44:25Can you imagine how many people must have known about it?
- 44:28How many workers it took to build this monstrosity?
- 44:31Practically every hospital, school, playground, mosque contained openings
- 44:36to tunnels and weapons inside.
- 44:39What a tragedy.
- 44:41Not only for Israelis, but for Palestinians, too.
- 44:46With all those billions of dollars flowing into Gaza, it could have been transformed
- 44:50into an oasis of peace and prosperity, a veritable Singapore on the Mediterranean.
- 44:57October 7 revealed to Israelis, Jews, and all fair minded people
- 45:02that genocidal forces seeking the destruction of Israel are a raid
- 45:06a mile away from Jewish villages.
- 45:09For Where you stand on an issue is often determined by where you sit.
- 45:14If you sit in an Ivy League classroom, you perceive threats differently than if you
- 45:19were a mile away from genocidal murderers.
- 45:22The henchmen of Hamas didn't ask the political views of those
- 45:26they butchered and kidnapped.
- 45:28If the most fervent peace activists, Jews or non Jews, even anti Zionist
- 45:32BDS activists, happened to have found themselves in one of those
- 45:36Israeli villages on October 7th.
- 45:39They, too, would have been slaughtered, as were many Israeli peace activists
- 45:44living in those border communities.
- 45:48Amos Yadlin reminded us that in Israel, they view this as an
- 45:51existential war imposed on Israelis while they were sleeping at 6.
- 45:5630 a.
- 45:56m.
- 45:57after a night of celebrating Shabbat and the festival, rejoicing in life, communing
- 46:02with families, and dancing at concerts.
- 46:06No Israeli woke up on October 7, saying to himself, How can I conquer Gaza today,
- 46:12or how can I harm Palestinians today?
- 46:14The opposite.
- 46:16As it turns out, thousands of Gazans woke up on October 7th to massacre,
- 46:21gang rape, pillage, and murder Jews.
- 46:25Men, women, children, and babies.
- 46:29And they were so deliriously proud of what they did.
- 46:32They filmed themselves.
- 46:34Something even the Nazis didn't do.
- 46:37The Nazis tried to hide their crimes.
- 46:40This is the broader context.
- 46:42It is a struggle that involves Israel most acutely because
- 46:45Israel is on the front lines.
- 46:47But if they defeat Israel, they will come for us in Europe and America.
- 46:52They represent the same ideology that perpetrated 9 11.
- 46:57You can see that clearly in the actions of some of their American
- 46:59supporters, who burn American flags and shout, Death to America.
- 47:06The road ahead will be difficult and painful.
- 47:08Years of healing await us.
- 47:11For all of our Jewish listeners, keep the faith.
- 47:14We are not the first Jews, only the latest Jews.
- 47:18We have seen all this many times before.
- 47:22We are part of a 3, 000 year old civilization, often despised, always
- 47:27small, but great in so many ways.
- 47:32We are a resilient and courageous people.
- 47:34We are optimistic.
- 47:36We invest in the future.
- 47:38We are productive and involved in society.
- 47:43We will overcome and prevail.
- 47:48I hope that this hardship reawakens and reinforces what
- 47:52Israel and Judaism mean to you.
- 47:55I hope that you will recommit to Jewish life and renew your understanding of
- 48:00the preciousness of your inheritance.
- 48:03The gift of generations past.
- 48:06Who withstood hardships greater than ours, and whose determination and
- 48:11steadfastness bequeathed Judaism to you.
- 48:20Until next time, this is In These Times.