Latest / Simply Bitcoin / $7 TRILLION Is Leaving Gold (Bitcoin Is The Only Exit) | Simply SatoSHE
Transcript
- 0:00Gold just crashed 22% during a war.
- 0:03Let me say that again. The asset that was literally
- 0:06invented to protect you from exactly this geopolitical chaos,
- 0:10inflation, conflict just entered a bear market while the Middle
- 0:15East is on fire and Bitcoin up nearly 8% in the same window.
- 0:22Now most people will hear that and say, OK, Bitcoin got lucky.
- 0:26Yeah, just like you did, right? Give it time.
- 0:29It'll catch up to the downside, but I don't think that's what's
- 0:32happening, and neither do some of the most sophisticated macro
- 0:36investors on the planet, $7 trillion has left gold since
- 0:40January, $7 trillion. And everybody's asking the same
- 0:45question right now. Where is it going?
- 0:48Today, I'm going to tell you exactly what I think the answer
- 0:51is and why the answer matters a lot more than most people
- 0:56realize. You can't handle the truth.
- 0:59I'm Sophie. Welcome back to Satoshi.
- 1:01Let's get into it. Here's the thing about gold.
- 1:05The entire bull case for gold, the reason that people have held
- 1:09it for centuries is that it holds value when everything else
- 1:13falls apart. Conflict breaks out, inflation
- 1:16spikes, governments get unstable, gold goes up.
- 1:20That's the deal. Except that's not what's
- 1:23happening right now. Since the US Iran war started,
- 1:26gold is down 17%. At its worst.
- 1:29It was down 22% from its all time high, officially entering a
- 1:34bear market. Silver followed it down.
- 1:36Meanwhile, Bitcoin is up nearly 8% over the same time period,
- 1:41confirmed by CNBC. JPMorgan called it an extremely
- 1:46brutal flush, but even they maintain a long term bullish
- 1:50view on gold, essentially saying that the fundamentals should
- 1:53eventually turn bullish again if the war drags on.
- 1:56So what actually happened? Why is gold doing the opposite
- 2:01of what it's supposed to do? And here's the honest answer.
- 2:04We're probably in a liquidity crunch when people don't know
- 2:07what's going on. And right now, nobody does.
- 2:10They don't run to gold necessarily.
- 2:13Some people run to cash. They pull off the top, sit on
- 2:16dollars, and wait until they can see clearly enough to redeploy.
- 2:21Gold's bull run last was real, but a lot of people made good
- 2:25gains, and they're taking them. That's the unsexy explanation.
- 2:29But here's where it gets interesting.
- 2:31While all of this is happening, while gold crashes, while the
- 2:35S&P swings billions in minutes, while bonds get hammered,
- 2:39Bitcoin is up 7% since the war started.
- 2:42Now, 7% isn't an explosion. It's not the Omega candle we
- 2:47were all waiting for. But that's not the point.
- 2:50The point is what it means in context.
- 2:53A macro analyst named Fernando from Bitcoin Perception put it
- 2:57perfectly. He asked what did we actually
- 3:00think Bitcoin decoupling would look like?
- 3:03Most of us assumed it meant Bitcoin goes up while everything
- 3:06else stays flat. But what if that's not how it
- 3:09works? What if decoupling just means
- 3:12everything goes down a lot and Bitcoin doesn't go down as much?
- 3:17Because that's exactly what we're seeing.
- 3:20Stocks are down. Gold is down, bonds are down,
- 3:24oil went crazy, and Bitcoin is sitting at $70,000 holding
- 3:29steady, not flinching. And here's the data point that I
- 3:33keep coming back to Bitcoin priced in gold, not dollars in
- 3:38gold. The bear market historically
- 3:40last about 14 months. We are at that 14 month mark
- 3:45right now, which means if you're measuring Bitcoin against the
- 3:48asset it's supposedly competing with, we are already historic
- 3:52historically at the end of a bear market.
- 3:54That doesn't mean that the price is going to explode tomorrow,
- 3:58but it means that the narrative that Bitcoin is some fragile
- 4:01speculative asset that crumbles under real world pressure is
- 4:06getting harder and harder to maintain.
- 4:09So the big question is that $7 trillion that left gold heading
- 4:14into Bitcoin? Honest answer?
- 4:16Probably not yet. Not most of it.
- 4:18BlackRock and Fidelity were net buyers of Bitcoin last week.
- 4:22The ETF saw about $400 million in inflows against $250 million
- 4:27in outflows, A net $150 million flowing in.
- 4:32In the context of $7 trillion leaving gold, that's a rounding
- 4:36error, but here's how I think about it.
- 4:39People sitting in cash right now are not sitting there forever.
- 4:44They took profits on gold. They're watching what happens
- 4:47with the war, with bond yields, with the SMP, and they're
- 4:50waiting to deploy. The question is where and when.
- 4:54And increasingly the case for Bitcoin as that destination is
- 4:58getting stronger, not weaker. Not because of the hype, but
- 5:02because of what Bitcoin just did.
- 5:04It held during a war while everything else didn't.
- 5:09When institutions look at that data and they are looking at it,
- 5:13it starts to shift the conversation from is Bitcoin
- 5:16speculative asset to is Bitcoin the new neutral reserve asset?
- 5:22That is a fundamentally different question and it's the
- 5:26one that starts a very different kind of capital rotation.
- 5:30And look, if you're watching institutional money start to
- 5:33rotate into Bitcoin, the last thing you want is to have your
- 5:37coin sitting on someone else's platform.
- 5:39That's where the Bitcoin way comes in.
- 5:41Your personal Bitcoin IT team, self custody training,
- 5:45cybersecurity plan, residency, over 20 years of expertise.
- 5:50They simplify the whole thing so that you stay in complete
- 5:53control of your sack. Book a free 30 minute
- 5:56consultation at the bitcoinway.com/simply.
- 5:59Tell them Satoshi sent you. Now here's the part that should
- 6:03make you uncomfortable if you're still trusting the traditional
- 6:06financial system to protect you. This morning, before this
- 6:10episode, President Trump posted on Truth Social that the US and
- 6:14Iran had very good and productive conversations about
- 6:18ending the war. In 6 minutes, the SMP added $2
- 6:24trillion to the market cap. 6 minutes.
- 6:28Then Iran denied the whole thing and in the next hour the SMP
- 6:36erased 3 trillion dollars, $3 trillion gone in 56 minutes on a
- 6:43tweet, no on a Truth Social post.
- 6:48Meanwhile the 10 year bond yield broke 4.4%.
- 6:52And bonds are supposed to be the safe haven when stocks are
- 6:55volatile. Well, they're not acting like a
- 6:58safe haven. Oil went insane when the Strait
- 7:01of Hormuz situation escalated. Then Trump's Treasury Secretary
- 7:06walked it back on a Friday afternoon.
- 7:08Gold crashed when it was supposed to rally.
- 7:12Everything the traditional financial system told you would
- 7:15protect you. Bonds, gold equities is behaving
- 7:19erratically. Except Bitcoin.
- 7:22Bitcoin just keeps chugging along.
- 7:25And I'm not saying Bitcoin is perfect.
- 7:27It is. I'm not saying that the price
- 7:29won't drop. What are you saying?
- 7:31What are you saying? What is inside?
- 7:34What I am saying is that when you look at all of the data, not
- 7:39just Bitcoin in a vacuum, but Bitcoin relative to everything
- 7:43else, it is the only asset acting with any kind of
- 7:47consistency and integrity right now.
- 7:50And the SEC and CFTC just made something very clear last week
- 7:54that I think matters here. They put out a joint frame work
- 7:57formally classifying Bitcoin as a digital commodity completely
- 8:01outside securities law. No issuer, no company behind it,
- 8:05no fundraising. Just an asset.
- 8:08The only truly neutral digital commodity that exists while
- 8:12governments are printing money, fighting wars, and moving
- 8:15markets with tweets. Sorry, Truth Social posts fringe
- 8:21Bitcoin has no CEO to fire, no board to pressure, no central
- 8:26bank to cave. That's not a feature people
- 8:29fully appreciated until right now and if this is the moment
- 8:33you're thinking OK I actually need to own some of this here's
- 8:37the easiest way to do it right Bitcoin well is the self custody
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- 8:45wallet no custodial risk non custodial bug design trusted by
- 8:4950,000 plus users publicly traded daily recurring buys
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- 8:58through our link you get three chances to win a million SAT's
- 9:02that's 0.01 Bitcoin not nothing sign up at
- 9:06bitcoinwell.com/simply BTCI want to end on something that didn't
- 9:12get enough attention last week because it's exactly the kind of
- 9:16thing that sneaks up on you. The E us anti money laundering
- 9:20authority just announced its preparing guidelines, due by
- 9:23July 2027, that would require crypto exchanges to verify the
- 9:28identity of anyone using a self custody Bitcoin wallet before
- 9:32sending them funds. Read that again.
- 9:35They want you to attach your government ID to your private
- 9:39keys. If an exchange can't verify that
- 9:42you are the owner of a self custody address under these
- 9:46rules, they potentially can't send Bitcoin to that address.
- 9:51This is the surveillance cage that bitcoiners have been
- 9:54warning about four years. Bitcoin is the most transparent
- 9:58financial Ledger ever created. Every transaction visible to
- 10:02anyone, The only layer of privacy you have is that your
- 10:06wallet address isn't automatically tied to your
- 10:09identity. The EU wants to remove that
- 10:12layer by law. And this is happening at the
- 10:15exact same time that the EU is rolling out a digital ID system
- 10:20and doubling down on central bank digital currencies.
- 10:24These things are not unrelated. They're building a complete
- 10:28financial surveillance system and they want Bitcoin inside of
- 10:32it, not outside it. The fix is the same thing that
- 10:36it's always been Take self custody of your Bitcoin.
- 10:40Take your Bitcoin off of exchanges.
- 10:43Hold your own keys. Don't voluntarily connect your
- 10:46identity to your wallet addresses.
- 10:49If enough people do this, it becomes technically and
- 10:52politically impossible to enforce.
- 10:55But the window to do it quietly without pressure is not going to
- 10:59stay open forever. So do it while you can and if
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- 11:25Do not sleep on this. I've been thinking a lot this
- 11:29week about what it actually means to protect your family
- 11:32financially. I'm a mom of two, as you guys
- 11:35know, and when I look at what happened in the markets this
- 11:38week, $3 trillion wiped out in under an hour because of a
- 11:43social media post, gold crashing during a geopolitical crisis,
- 11:48Europe building a surveillance cage around financial privacy.
- 11:52I just, I don't feel scared. I feel clear.
- 11:55This is exactly why Bitcoin exists.
- 11:59Not as a get rich quick scheme, not as a speculative bet, as an
- 12:03exit from a system that has shown repeatedly and
- 12:07unmistakably that it is not designed to protect you.
- 12:11It's designed to serve itself. Gold failed this week.
- 12:16The S&P failed this week. Bonds failed this week.
- 12:20Bitcoin did not. That's the signal.
- 12:23That's always been the signal, you just haven't been paying
- 12:26attention. So sack your coins, hold your
- 12:29keys and don't let anyone not an exchange, not a government or a
- 12:34well meaning regulation get between you and your Bitcoin.
- 12:39That's what this has always been about.
- 12:42So thanks for watching simply bitcoins Satoshi.
- 12:45Don't forget to smash the like button.
- 12:47Share the show with your friends.
- 12:48Drop a comment below. I read them all.
- 12:51Guilty as charged. Follow me on X at Internet
- 12:54Sophie. And as always, stack, slay and
- 12:57stay bullish, baby.