Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 459 - 2/20/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 all systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
- 0:14welcome to episode 459 of the all systems go sports betting
- 0:20podcast powered by rhythm. I am your host, Josh Applebaum.
- 0:30What's going on everyone? Happy Friday.
- 0:32Our work week has come to an end.
- 0:34We're going to see if we can finish off the week on a hot
- 0:36note because we got our final day of the pod here.
- 0:39Reminder, no pods on the weekend.
- 0:42The weekend is when I got a, you know, hang out with the wife, do
- 0:45some chores. Gives me a couple days off here.
- 0:48Even though hey, I hate abandoning you guys, but I'm not
- 0:51going to abandon you completely because I will still have my
- 0:53sharp reports at visen.com. Always tweet out at Josh under
- 0:57score Insights if you want to give me a follow on Twitter.
- 0:59So you will get sharp reports for Saturday and Sunday for
- 1:02college basketball, huge slate tomorrow, like 150 games
- 1:06overall. And then a reminder, you can
- 1:08always get the official ASG podcast best bet picks from the
- 1:12Juice Reel app. So if you download Juice Reel
- 1:15and you click the link for the ASG podcast page, you can get
- 1:19every best bet I make for $4.99 a week.
- 1:22Again, 5 bucks, you know, minus a cent there to be exact.
- 1:26But it's basically a cup of coffee and you'll get 7 days
- 1:28worth of play. So I consider it a tip jar.
- 1:31If you enjoy the pod, you enjoy the insights, help you cash some
- 1:34tickets, boom, you know, scratch my back, I'll scratch yours,
- 1:37support the pod and sign up for those 499.
- 1:40Again, not 499 dollars, $4.99 a week, best bets available
- 1:45exclusively on Juice Real. But with that being said, guys,
- 1:49before we have a huge weekend here and I, I must tell you, it
- 1:51was like 40° yesterday. The snow was melting, birds were
- 1:55chirping. I walked my dog outside and I
- 1:57felt like, OK, spring's on its way and now we're getting
- 2:00another snowstorm in New England.
- 2:01So like up to a foot of snow and I do not want it.
- 2:05I'm, I'm ready for, for winter to be over with.
- 2:07I'm ready for March Madness, I'm ready for, for baseball.
- 2:10But hey, just when you think, what's the old quote, the
- 2:13Godfather quote, it was a Sopranos quote that Silvio said,
- 2:16just when I think I'm out, they pull me back in.
- 2:19But either way, guys, we're going to see if we can stay hot.
- 2:21I have a three pack of college basketball plays for you
- 2:24tonight. I know it's a small slate.
- 2:25There's only about 13 games overall, but I got 3 short money
- 2:29line favorites at some pretty cheap prices here with some good
- 2:32sharp mush and rhythm edges. So we're going to see if we can,
- 2:35as always, go 2IN1, eek out a winning night.
- 2:38Now, Speaking of two in one eking out a winning night, you
- 2:42know, you got to have realistic expectations.
- 2:43I mentioned this as I joined my buddy Patrick Maher on his show
- 2:46last night about, you know, not expecting to sweep the board,
- 2:51trying to grind out three plays, go 2:00 and 1:00.
- 2:53But it just goes to show you when you have realistic
- 2:55expectations and you know how hard it is to consistently win,
- 2:59when you have those three and O nights where you sweep it, you
- 3:01bust out the broom, you do a little Fred Astaire dance, it
- 3:04makes it that much sweeter. And that's exactly what we did
- 3:07last night. Guys 3 and O + 2.59 units.
- 3:10You love to see it. Had a couple awesome hits with
- 3:13Weber State, Alabama A&M. Both of those games are back and
- 3:17forth. Alabama A&M wasn't even on ESPN
- 3:20Plus. So I had the old school just
- 3:22stat track it from the ESPN app. And I must say they did change
- 3:25the scoring. I don't know if you guys have
- 3:26noticed this, the way they report the scoring in the plays,
- 3:29the play by play on the ESPN app and it's super annoying.
- 3:32I wish they went back to the other way of doing it, but
- 3:34either way, didn't watch a single second of it.
- 3:37But I stat tracked it, followed it.
- 3:39Alabama and AM Nip and Tuck ended up winning by two.
- 3:42So shout out to AM Weber State late night came up massive
- 3:47because they were down much of the game and then turned it on
- 3:49late. Actually went into overtime and
- 3:52they hung on 82 to 79. Remember, Weber State was that
- 3:56worst record at home against the team with a better record.
- 3:59But the line move was always toward Weber.
- 4:00So Weber came through and the play of the night, Cal State
- 4:04Fullerton, unbelievable. They were down much of the game,
- 4:07clawed their way back, made some huge shots late, ended up
- 4:11winning 93 to 92. Now, why is that important?
- 4:14Because what do we always talk about?
- 4:16Money lining short favorites that Cal State Fullerton game
- 4:20open around a pick or -1 closed -1 1/2.
- 4:23They won by one point. So if you late A1, you pushed.
- 4:26If you late a 1 1/2, you lost. If you paid a few more cents and
- 4:30went money line with Fullerton, you won the game.
- 4:33And that's exactly why I do it. Because again, if I were to lay
- 4:36A1 and push or lay a 1 1/2 and lose by my team winning by one,
- 4:40I couldn't sleep at night. I'd stay up all night staring at
- 4:42the ceiling, beating myself up for over it.
- 4:45And again, that's what I used to do, you know, years and years
- 4:47and years ago. But I realized long term, hey, I
- 4:51might be paying a little more juice, but it's for those exact
- 4:54reasons like last night where you rob a bank and get away with
- 4:57it. You don't get arrested.
- 4:58You get that. You get the one point win when
- 5:00you had the money line there. So nice to see a three and O
- 5:03sweep with Weber State, Alabama A&M and Cal State Florida all
- 5:07coming through bigly for the team.
- 5:10Want to remind to everyone or First off, thank you for those
- 5:13of you who tuned in to the rhythm rundown last night, every
- 5:16Thursday night, 6:00 PM Eastern Time and shout to my guy Kate
- 5:19Harper, who also added a couple totals that both hit last night.
- 5:23But really enjoy Co hosting the show with Kade and you can
- 5:25always watch it every Thursday night, 6:00 PM and really
- 5:28walking you through, showing you how to use rhythm to your
- 5:31advantage. Because a couple of games last
- 5:33night were smart signals. Both Alabama A&M and Weber, as
- 5:38well as Cal State Fullerton all had either spread recommendation
- 5:43green stars or smart signal money line recommendations.
- 5:46So it's great to kind of marry the market with what with what
- 5:49rhythm is predicting. If the betting markets telling
- 5:51me to bet team A, they got low bets, higher dollars line moves,
- 5:54system matches, splits. And then also I can tack on a
- 5:57sharp mush edge from Juice Reel or a rhythm recommendation that
- 6:01just gives me more confidence to fire on the bet and hopefully
- 6:04cash the ticket. So remember, every Thursday at
- 6:076:00 PM, if you missed it, that's okay.
- 6:08We're going to keep going through college basketball and
- 6:11into Major League Baseball. Now that being said, let's see
- 6:14if we can keep it rolling here and finish off the week on a hot
- 6:17note. I got 3 plays for you.
- 6:19There's no Duke, Kentucky, there's no Arizona or, or I
- 6:24don't know, Houston or Michigan State.
- 6:26These are all small little matchups here, but we don't care
- 6:29about that because you know what a bet on Kennesaw State if you
- 6:33cash well or Florida A&M or Alabama A&M or you know, Weber,
- 6:37We had a couple of them last night.
- 6:39If you win on a little game, it may not be popular.
- 6:42Your friends might be like, why on earth are you betting that
- 6:44game? I have a group chat and you know
- 6:46my, I'll always, my buddies will ask because they know I'm in
- 6:48sports betting and they're like, hey, who do you like tonight?
- 6:50And I'll give them like a random, you know, Kennesaw State
- 6:53or, you know, Tarleton State, and they'll be like, what the
- 6:56hell are you doing? I'm like, I try to convince
- 6:58them. I say, hey, it doesn't have to
- 6:59be a popular ESPN game with ranked teams.
- 7:03You're going to get paid out the same exact money if it cash on a
- 7:06smaller, smaller game. So don't let you know a big
- 7:09game, you know, like force you into betting it just because
- 7:12it's on TV. And it's because, you know, Duke
- 7:15is ranked 4th and you got to play it.
- 7:16No, these other games might have just as much if not more of a
- 7:20money making opportunity. So that being said, three tiny
- 7:23little games, let's hit on them all.
- 7:25First one on the board for me. 7:00 tip here between Saint
- 7:29Peter's and Iona. Let's set the stage, talk split
- 7:32system matches and I'll give you my play for this one.
- 7:34Saint Peter's 15 and 9 on the year.
- 7:37They've won three of their last four, just held off Fairfield,
- 7:3983 to 74, covered as a 3 1/2 point home favorite.
- 7:44Meanwhile Iona 15 and 12 on the year but they have dropped four
- 7:47of their last five. Just came up short against
- 7:50Niagara, 70 to 68. Lost outright as a Four Point
- 7:53Rd. favorite. So what do you see across the
- 7:55market here? Well, this game opened at as low
- 7:58as a pick em or Iona, a very short one point home favorite.
- 8:02And even though it's not a huge line move, you know, we've seen
- 8:04market liability on Iona at home because Iona has gone from a
- 8:08pick -1 up to -1 1/2 at a few shops.
- 8:12And what I like about this Iona move, not that it's a massive -2
- 8:16up to -4 but it's a little bit of movement.
- 8:19It's never hopped the fence and gone to Saint peter's -1 it's
- 8:22stayed liability on the gales. But also the splits look pretty
- 8:26good at DraftKings Iona, 49% of spread bets, but nearly 60% of
- 8:31spread dollars. And you look over at Circa,
- 8:33which caters to wise guys, doesn't limit them. 50% of
- 8:37spread bets, over 90% of spread dollars on Iona.
- 8:41So Iona's got a little bit of movement, nothing huge, I must
- 8:43admit, but a little movement liability.
- 8:46They have a really good split at both DraftKings and Circa Ken
- 8:50Palm has Iona winning by two points, 73 to 71.
- 8:54So you might say to yourself, OK, if I can still get a -1 one
- 8:57and a half, let's just lay it. But do I have to tell you about
- 9:00Cal State Fullerton? Last night?
- 9:02They were minus one, 1 1/2. They won by 1.
- 9:04So we're going to money line a short favorite here.
- 9:06I was able to get Iona at -113 at Bally Bet Looks like -115 is
- 9:12your lowest price right now. Some books as high as -120, but
- 9:16definitely shop around, try to get that best number, give
- 9:19yourself some cushion in the event of a Cal State Fullerton
- 9:21redo from last night. Iona also is kind of a buy low,
- 9:25sell high play because they've struggled a bit.
- 9:27They've lost five of their last or four of their last five and
- 9:30Saint Peter's has played well. They've won three of their last
- 9:33four. So let's sell high on Saint
- 9:35Peter's, who's playing well recently and buy low on Iona,
- 9:38who opened as a favorite, has stayed a favorite, yet they've
- 9:41lost for their last five. Also, we have a couple or kind
- 9:45of a bunch of stat advantages here that jumped out to me when
- 9:48I was looking at the Ken Palm analytics here.
- 9:51And reminder, if you have Ken Palm, I'll always reference the
- 9:54predicted final scores. But you can also go to and
- 9:58again, you got to pay. I think it's 2025 bucks.
- 10:00It's not a lot. It's well worth it.
- 10:02But you want to click fan match, that's going to give you the
- 10:04predicted scores. Then you click on basically the
- 10:08time of the game. So if it's 7:00, you click 7:00.
- 10:11Then it's going to bring you to all the stat categories and
- 10:14you'll be able to compare and contrast both teams.
- 10:16But what I noticed is Iona has the better effective field goal
- 10:19percentage, 162nd in the country versus 300 and 47th for Saint
- 10:24Peters. They have the better three-point
- 10:26shooting. 102nd verse 330. First, they commit fewer
- 10:30turnovers on offense so they take better care of the ball.
- 10:33156th verse 186th for Saint Peters and they hold their
- 10:38opponents to a better three-point shooting percentage.
- 10:4039th in the country, verse 157th.
- 10:43Home Rd. splits. We have Iona nine and three at
- 10:46home Saint Peters, even though Saint Peters has the slightly
- 10:50better record, 15 and 9. Verse 15 and 12 Saint Peter's is
- 10:53only three and eight on the road.
- 10:55So I'm hoping they, you know, stumble here on the road
- 10:58tonight. Lastly, this played a factor I
- 11:02would argue in a couple games last night, the revenge angle.
- 11:05You're late in the season, you're playing these conference
- 11:07opponents usually for the second time.
- 11:10So as a result, if you lost the first one, I, I let almost like
- 11:13it better if you lost the first one because it gives you
- 11:15something to, you know, give you that extra motivation to get
- 11:17some revenge. And that's an angle here because
- 11:20the gales went to the Peacocks back in late January, lost 77 to
- 11:2463. So revenge angle, home Rd.
- 11:27splits good, you know, subtle line movement here.
- 11:30And oh, by the way, we have a green star rhythm recommendation
- 11:34where Iona should be -1.8. But that green star
- 11:37recommendation is key to me, tells me that the AI model from
- 11:41Rhythm is also supporting a play on Iona.
- 11:43So first one on the board, see if Iona can get a straight up
- 11:46win for us around -115 on the money line.
- 11:50Let's go Gales next one for you. Another 7:00 PM tip.
- 11:55Let's talk Milwaukee at Detroit now.
- 11:58Milwaukee comes in 11 and 17 on the year.
- 12:00They won two straight, just beat Green Bay 7572.
- 12:04They did cover as a 2 1/2 point home favorite.
- 12:07Meanwhile, Detroit 12 and 13 on the year.
- 12:09They've won four of their last five, though they've been
- 12:11playing pretty well recently. Just took down Youngstown State
- 12:1476 to 70. They won that game outright as a
- 12:17four point home dog. So we've seen across the market
- 12:20here. Well, if you like Iona, I think
- 12:22you'll like Detroit. Very, very similar situation
- 12:24here. We opened with Detroit.
- 12:27Very short, 1 or 1 1/2 point home favorite and all movement
- 12:32liability has been on Detroit. Now I always try to mention
- 12:34this, but open to current on your odds logic live odds page,
- 12:37reminder odds logic.com/josh 123 if you ever want to try it out.
- 12:41That's a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first month link.
- 12:45But don't just compare open to current.
- 12:47You want to look at every move in between because if you look
- 12:49at this, you know, Detroit game, it basically was you know -1
- 12:53still -1 or -1 1/2, still -1 1/2.
- 12:56But a closer look, when you pull up the line, history shows you
- 12:59that this line briefly got as high as -2 1/2.
- 13:02And a lot of these -1 and a halfs are juiced up -115 So we
- 13:07never got down to a pick. We never hopped the fence and
- 13:09went Wisconsin, Milwaukee -1 it's always stayed the same or
- 13:13shown liability toward Detroit. So that's my first clue that
- 13:16Detroit's the sharp play here. Look at the splits.
- 13:19They look really good on Detroit, who are known as the
- 13:22Mercy Titans. Great name there.
- 13:24Detroit is getting 72% of spread bets at DraftKings, but 80% of
- 13:29spread dollars. We are also seeing 67% of spread
- 13:33bets but over 90% of spread dollars at Circa on Detroit.
- 13:37So Detroit is getting low bets, higher dollars at both DK and
- 13:40Circa. Get a little.
- 13:42This. Ken Palm has Detroit winning by
- 13:4347975. He also has the Mercy Titans
- 13:47ranked higher, 246th in the country versus 269th.
- 13:52As a result, though, even though again, you can get a - 1 1/2,
- 13:55maybe even a - 1, and Ken Palms got him by 4, I'm still just
- 13:59going to money line a short favor here.
- 14:00Again, protect ourselves, gain some added cushion.
- 14:04And if they're up or down, you know, let's let's just hang on
- 14:06for dear life and get a straight up winner here.
- 14:09I got Detroit -117 at Bally Bet a little bit earlier today on
- 14:13the money line. Now I think -120 at Caesar's is
- 14:16your best price, but shop around because I saw a couple books
- 14:19like -125 even -130 I really like the DraftKings money line
- 14:24splits here just to win the game. 67% bets, 91% money line
- 14:29dollars. So further evidence of that
- 14:31bigger, sharper money going with Detroit to win the game.
- 14:34Detroit has both the better offensive efficiency, 200 and
- 14:3812th in the country versus 200 and 31st for Milwaukee and the
- 14:42better defensive efficiency, 270 first versus 285th.
- 14:47The Mercy Titans also have a much better offensive rebound
- 14:50percentage. So extra possessions, you know,
- 14:52demoralize your opponent by grabbing those boards.
- 14:55They rank 70th in the country versus 100th for Milwaukee and
- 15:00big advantage here. Knock on wood.
- 15:01If we're in a tight game, free throw shooting, Detroit is 21st
- 15:06best in the country. Milwaukee is 200 and 86th.
- 15:10Lastly, Detroit six and five at home this year.
- 15:13Doesn't sound great, but slightly above 500.
- 15:15Milwaukee is just three and 11 on the road.
- 15:18So again, you like Iona, I think you like Detroit.
- 15:21Short favorite that's seen the line only move up in their
- 15:24direction. Stay the same or move up again.
- 15:26Got as high as 2 1/2. We got good splits, we got good
- 15:30stat advantages home Rd. And then lastly I popped open
- 15:33Juice Reel and noticed a 23% sharp mush edge on Detroit.
- 15:38So 23% more of the sharper winning betters out there.
- 15:41Like you listening have also sided with Detroit.
- 15:44So let's go Mercy Titans win the damn game.
- 15:48Can get them around -120 on the money line.
- 15:50Last bet of the night. Let's go to the Ivy League. 7:00
- 15:54start. I must admit, all three of my
- 15:55bets are 7:00. I wish I had a 7, you know, a
- 15:589A10. But hey, what are you going to
- 16:00do? But this is a matchup between
- 16:02Princeton and Brown. Now.
- 16:05Princeton comes in eight and 17 on the year but they have
- 16:07dropped three in a row. Just lost to Columbia 7565 did
- 16:11not cover as a 1 1/2 point home dog.
- 16:14Meanwhile Brown 8 and 15 on the year but they did just snap A6
- 16:18game losing streak by beating Dartmouth 7976 and they were a 2
- 16:221/2 point Rd. dog one that came out right.
- 16:24So just sitting across the market here.
- 16:26Well, this game open with Brown listed around a 1 1/2 point home
- 16:30favorite. So another very, very short
- 16:31number here. And basically the public, they
- 16:34don't know what to do. Both Princeton and Brown 2 Ivy's
- 16:38again both have losing records. 8 and 17 for Princeton, 8 and 15
- 16:41for Brown. So public doesn't know what to
- 16:43do. But what do we always talk
- 16:45about? 5050 tickets are split.
- 16:47Remember this is not a 5050 line move is only about the ticket
- 16:51count, the raw amount of of total bets, not the money.
- 16:55Ticket count tells you where the public is, money tells you where
- 16:57the sharps are at. But anyway, Publix 5050 don't
- 17:00they don't know who to take Princeton or Brown again.
- 17:02Again, it's a coin flip. However, even though we got a
- 17:055050 ticket split at DK, we have seen brown get juiced up -1 1/2
- 17:11-, 115. I'm now seeing some books get up
- 17:13to -2 and I see one book that looks like they're going to 2
- 17:161/2. So again, all movement liability
- 17:20is on the side of brown and you would expect 5050.
- 17:23You know, line shouldn't move, right?
- 17:25In a vacuum, theoretically, odds makers have balanced action.
- 17:28No need to bring the line up or down.
- 17:30But the juice, the movement is on brown.
- 17:32So tells us these bigger wagers are going with the brown bears.
- 17:35Now we look at the splits, 50% tickets, but 60% of the money is
- 17:40on Brown at DraftKings. So further evidence of smart
- 17:43money going with the Bears. Now Ken Palm is Brown winning,
- 17:45but only by 1.65 to 64. So you know what I'm doing.
- 17:50This is a money line short favorite for me.
- 17:52I think. I believe I got -127 on Brown
- 17:56shop Brown because I'm seeing some books as high as -135 So
- 17:59definitely try to get the best price.
- 18:01But I did notice Brown has a much better defensive team,
- 18:05better defensive efficiency, 129th versus 240th.
- 18:08They hold their opponents to a better effective field goal
- 18:10percentage, 141st versus 200 and 29th.
- 18:14And they force more turnovers on defense, 80th in the country
- 18:17versus 300 and 34th. Bears also have the better field
- 18:20goal percentage, 44% versus 42%, and they grab more rebounds per
- 18:25game, 36 versus 34. Now Home Rd.
- 18:29Brown is only five and seven at home, so don't love that, but
- 18:33Princeton one in 10 on the road, so let's make that one in 11.
- 18:38Lastly, this is a revenge play for Brown.
- 18:40They went to Princeton on the road back in late January and
- 18:43lost 6353. So let's repay the favor and get
- 18:46a win here tonight. Lastly, we noticed an 11% sharp
- 18:51mush edge from friends at Juice Reel on Brown.
- 18:53But even better, Rhythm has brown -2.8 and Rhythm has an
- 18:58official Green Star recommendation on the Brown
- 19:01Money line. So all these games are similar
- 19:04short home favorites where all movement liabilities have been
- 19:06on their side. Split system matches Rhythm,
- 19:09juice reel. So I'm playing the Brown Bears
- 19:12on the money line again. I got -127 looks like -130
- 19:17around around there is probably your best price.
- 19:20So Iona, Detroit and Brown, let's see if we can find a way
- 19:23to get two out of three and an eek out a winning night, which
- 19:26is always the goal. So that about does it for
- 19:29episode 459 of the All systems go sports Betting podcast
- 19:33powered by rhythm. This is the part of the pod
- 19:35where we wrap things up. And I always start first by
- 19:37saying thank you. Thank you for listening, thank
- 19:40you for tuning in. Thank you for grinding in the
- 19:42arena with me every day to the UPS and the downs, the three and
- 19:46OS, the O and threes, the grinding 2 and ones.
- 19:49Again, there's always going to be ups and downs in in life and
- 19:51in sports betting and we can't control the outcome, but we
- 19:54can't control how we read the market, what numbers we get in
- 19:57the positions that we take. So if you do enjoy this pod,
- 20:01please would you mind giving it a five star review on Spotify or
- 20:04iTunes? If you want to leave a nice
- 20:06comment rate and review, click the follow button, recommend the
- 20:09pod to a friend or retweet the pod when I put it out each day
- 20:12on Twitter at Josh under score Insights.
- 20:15I would very much appreciate any of that.
- 20:18Next, if you want to learn more about data-driven sports
- 20:20betting, you enjoy this approach to the market.
- 20:23Again, it's a puzzle. You know, we're looking at the
- 20:25numbers, we're looking at the market, looking at the splits,
- 20:28the percentages, and we're trying to figure out which games
- 20:31fit our model. Again, if you enjoy the style of
- 20:33betting and you want to learn more about data-driven betting,
- 20:35you've now been provided A blueprint to attack this market
- 20:39or any other market. I think is is you know, if you
- 20:41if you learn how to fish, you can catch any fish.
- 20:43If you learn how to read the market, you can kind of bet on
- 20:45anything. But if you want to learn more
- 20:47about data-driven betting or you have a friend or colleague or
- 20:51family member or someone who loves to bet but loses a lot and
- 20:54has no strategy, no bankroll management, when you ask him,
- 20:58why'd you bet this team tonight, they say, oh, I just I it was a
- 21:02gut move or I just felt like they were going to win.
- 21:04You ask him, Hey, what did the line open at?
- 21:06They can't tell you. You know, where was the public?
- 21:08What percent percentage of tickets are on this game?
- 21:10They can't tell you, well, you know what you should do for that
- 21:12person in your life. Or if you want to just support
- 21:14the pod or maybe there's someone who wants to get into sports
- 21:18betting but doesn't know how to start.
- 21:19I'll love for you to go to Amazon.com and type in the
- 21:22everything Guide to Sports betting or type in the NFL Sharp
- 21:26Betting Playbook. My two books that I've written,
- 21:28very proud of both. But if you want to grab one or
- 21:31both of them, you can bring them a sports book.
- 21:32I'll sign them for you. I'll give you my John Hancock,
- 21:35then I'll buy you be it or ginger ale and we'll sweat some
- 21:38games together and it's Friday night so we'll get some nachos,
- 21:40some mozzarella sticks too. What do you what do you say
- 21:43next? Have you downloaded rhythm and
- 21:45juice real yet? My two favorite sports betting
- 21:47apps. They help me win.
- 21:48They're going to help you win. Rhythm is great for their AI
- 21:50backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 21:53Again, if you can get a green star smart signal on a play that
- 21:57you're already looking at, that's just great.
- 21:58Great cherry on top there to place your bet giving more
- 22:01confidence. Also Juice Reel.
- 22:04So many great features of Juice Reel.
- 22:06First off, I'm going to pass the hat.
- 22:08If you got a $5.00 bill you want to contribute to the pod, I
- 22:11would love for you to sign up and get the $4.99 a week best
- 22:15bets from the Juice Reel app. You're also going to get the
- 22:18Robo Jackson best bet pic, sharp mush indicators, arbitrage play
- 22:22shop for the best sign futures all available when you download
- 22:25Juice Reel. So download rhythm, download
- 22:27Juice Reel, give them a five star review in the App Store
- 22:31while you're at it. Next, do you have a live odds
- 22:34page? Well, if you don't have one, you
- 22:35need one. I honestly don't know how people
- 22:38bet on sports without having a live odds page because you got
- 22:40to be able to track the market. I got to know when I wake up in
- 22:43the morning, you know, or I look at the overnight lines of the
- 22:46night before. What are all the sports in
- 22:48action? What are the games I can bet on?
- 22:50I need start times, I need live scoring.
- 22:52I need live in game wagering odds if I want to place an in
- 22:54game wager. But most of all, I got to track
- 22:56the market before the bet takes place, which is called quote UN
- 22:59quote preflop. So that means comparing the open
- 23:02column, which never moves to all the current odds.
- 23:04See which direction the line is moved, pull up the line history,
- 23:07identify steam when the odds get lit up in red.
- 23:10But most of all, finding the best number, finding the best
- 23:13price, find that book offering -115 on the money line instead
- 23:17of -120 because those little cents you can save, they really
- 23:21add up overtime. But you can do all of this and
- 23:24more with a Odds Logic live odds page.
- 23:27So all you got to do is go to oddslogic.com/josh 123 and
- 23:32you're going to get a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first
- 23:35month of service. So that about does it for
- 23:37episode 459 of the ASG pod on a big Friday before we steam into
- 23:42the weekend. And I'm looking out my window
- 23:44and the snow was already started here.
- 23:45Just just when I thought spring was here.
- 23:47Nope, Winter says I got. I got one more snowstorm for
- 23:50you. So it looks like I have more
- 23:52shoveling in my future. But anyway, two final thoughts
- 23:55to keep with you guys before we go.
- 23:58One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
- 24:01River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
- 24:03Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down in Connecticut at the Encore in
- 24:06Boston, Plain Ridge Park, casino, MGM Springfield, the
- 24:09Nash in my neck of the woods on the border of Massachusetts in
- 24:12Nashua, NH. Or out in the desert where the
- 24:14true grinders get down. Where Billy Walters sends his
- 24:17number runners, where the lowest use possible is found, the South
- 24:20Point or Sweat and sharp contrarian plays.
- 24:22Jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
- 24:24When you cash a big ticket at Circa, wherever it may be,
- 24:27you're going to walk up to me. We're going to see each other at
- 24:29different sides of the sports book, and we're going to bust
- 24:33open the janitor's closet, grab a broom, and do a little fret of
- 24:36stare dance because we busted it out last night with a nice
- 24:38sweep. You're going to show me a Weber
- 24:40State ticket and Alabama A&M ticket and a Cal State Fullerton
- 24:44ticket. Always money line short
- 24:46favorites. First one's on me, next one's on
- 24:48you. We'll post about the book and
- 24:50sweat a huge college slate tonight and this weekend.
- 24:54So as always, guys coming off a three and O or an O and 3A2 and
- 24:57one or a one and two. A great night, a terrible night,
- 25:00a hot streak, a cold streak. Weather, you know, we can't miss
- 25:04or we're cold as ice, that's betting.
- 25:06That's life. We got to stick with it.
- 25:07Sometimes the brakes go your way, sometimes they don't, you
- 25:10know, but we can't, while we can't control the outcome, we
- 25:13can't control how we interpret the market interpret and, you
- 25:16know, put together the the pieces of the puzzle to figure
- 25:19out where the smart money's AT and trying to get the best price
- 25:22and get COV. And if we can do that, find the
- 25:25games that fit our model against the public with the house, with
- 25:28the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays and get that COV.
- 25:32If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports bettors.
- 25:35So have a great Friday night everybody have an even better
- 25:37weekend. Reminder can read the sharp
- 25:39reports for college hoops Saturday and Sunday.
- 25:41You can get the best bets for $4.99 a week from Juice Rail.
- 25:46And then after that we'll be right back at it on Monday.
- 25:49That'll be episode 460 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting
- 25:53podcast powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
- 25:56great Friday night and an even better weekend.