Latest / North Florida Sports Network Podcast / #136: College Football Over/Under Predictions
Transcript
- 0:08Speaker 1: Hey, welcome back in to the North Florida Sports Network.
- 0:11Speaker 1: It's a late Monday afternoon, We've got more over-unders to do.
- 0:17Speaker 1: I've got Jimmy Reno in studio and we're going to finish up with the over-unders for mostly on ACC SEC teams who you got and then we'll see at the end of the year.
- 0:40Speaker 1: If you haven't done so, you can download or subscribe where we get your podcast.
- 0:45Speaker 1: Podcast is available everywhere.
- 0:47Speaker 1: You can make your picks at the NFLSN or email them to me at Austin at thenflsncom.
- 0:56Speaker 1: But where should we start?
- 1:02Speaker 1: We did some yesterday.
- 1:03Speaker 1: Let's kick it off right now with hey Iowa.
- 1:08Speaker 1: That was a school I had.
- 1:13Speaker 1: My mom, her family, her whole side of the family is from Iowa.
- 1:17Speaker 1: They're all Hawkeyes.
- 1:18Speaker 1: Last year they had a really bad offense but a really, really good defense.
- 1:24Speaker 1: This year it's seven and a half in the Big 10, in the Big 10 West, the last year of that division, I think.
- 1:33Speaker 2: Big 10 West.
- 1:34Speaker 2: I believe there's the offensive coordinator and it's Ferrant's son right.
- 1:40Speaker 1: I believe so.
- 1:40Speaker 2: Yeah, I think this is.
- 1:43Speaker 2: He's got some incentives.
- 1:44Speaker 2: All you got to do is average over 20 points is, I guess, is what his contract says, and you start getting some bonuses.
- 1:52Speaker 2: Right, they were that bad.
- 1:53Speaker 1: Wow.
- 1:54Speaker 2: What's it at?
- 1:54Speaker 2: You said seven and a half.
- 1:55Speaker 1: It's at seven and a half.
- 1:56Speaker 1: We're at MGM bed, MGM.
- 1:59Speaker 2: Well, they got a couple transfers.
- 2:00Speaker 2: I know they got that guy from Michigan at quarterback, the backup he transferred out there.
- 2:06Speaker 2: They got their big tight end to go with them.
- 2:12Speaker 2: So maybe they maybe that's good for another 10 points right Per game.
- 2:18Speaker 2: I'll go over man.
- 2:20Speaker 2: I, you know, I got a little faith in the Hawkeyes.
- 2:24Speaker 1: I'm going to go over as well too.
- 2:25Speaker 1: I think they go.
- 2:27Speaker 1: They win eight games at least.
- 2:29Speaker 1: Well, the next one is old Jim Bob.
- 2:32Speaker 1: Oh Jimbo, oh Bob.
- 2:35Speaker 2: J.
- 2:36Speaker 1: Bob Texas saying him.
- 2:37Speaker 2: John J fishy.
- 2:40Speaker 1: It's got to be the heat man.
- 2:41Speaker 1: Well, he's not.
- 2:42Speaker 1: I think it's good that he's not getting a lot of preseason.
- 2:44Speaker 1: It's at seven and a half.
- 2:51Speaker 2: Oh well, I believe that that they can can go over that.
- 2:59Speaker 2: I got him at eight and four, but the wild card is going to be what?
- 3:05Speaker 2: What goes on between him and Petrino and that dynamic Right, if it gets, you know, into a, into a pissing contest between the two of them, I think it's going to be a good thing.
- 3:21Speaker 2: I do as well.
- 3:22Speaker 2: I got him at eight and four.
- 3:23Speaker 2: Excuse me, I got him at eight and four.
- 3:27Speaker 2: I don't.
- 3:30Speaker 2: I don't think that's going to get any heat off him.
- 3:33Speaker 2: You know it'll be a better season.
- 3:36Speaker 2: It'll be, you know, maybe a sign that they're going to be even better the year after that.
- 3:42Speaker 1: But that's a eight and four.
- 3:43Speaker 1: I can see that I'm going to go over as well.
- 3:45Speaker 1: Damn it, we agree again.
- 3:47Speaker 1: But I think he still has talent there.
- 3:51Speaker 1: I think he's got the quarterback that he started last year, that he's going to get even better this year, and now the I think Petrino is going to pay off in the short term.
- 4:02Speaker 1: Now, long term, well, you know, based on what the record is, you know, we'll see.
- 4:08Speaker 1: But I think that if they're able to, you know.
- 4:10Speaker 1: I think that if they're able to, you know, you know because you saw it.
- 4:14Speaker 1: You saw it when he, when he, has it against LSU or Alabama, you get almost like his best game plan.
- 4:20Speaker 1: He plays them up right to the end, or I wouldn't be surprised.
- 4:23Speaker 1: Bnm upsets either Alabama or LSU this year.
- 4:28Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I I you know I would look at them beating Alabama if they were going to beat one of the two.
- 4:34Speaker 1: Right, but they are.
- 4:35Speaker 1: I mean, he that just tells me he had a lot on his plate, you know, and getting Petrino in here, if that, if it works out to easy, he's lazy, jimbo's lazy, he's got guaranteed money when he tries.
- 4:47Speaker 2: It's what I've been saying the whole time.
- 4:49Speaker 2: He's got two or three games a year when he tries.
- 4:52Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 4:53Speaker 2: And they look completely different, those games, than any other games of the season.
- 4:57Speaker 2: Well, if he goes under that, would be some real heat A lot of heat, but what are they going to do?
- 5:04Speaker 2: I think he does the old, eight and four.
- 5:06Speaker 2: Yeah, he's mastered that, doing just that.
- 5:08Speaker 1: We're coming, we're almost.
- 5:10Speaker 1: You know.
- 5:10Speaker 1: Couple, couple of bounces, couple inches, couple inches here, there, yeah, yeah, another, another offseason at.
- 5:15Speaker 2: Evan Williams, and we'll be right there.
- 5:17Speaker 1: We'll stick in the sec with a coach and that it kind of picks on Jimbo a little bit.
- 5:23Speaker 1: And that's a lane kiff and an Ole Miss.
- 5:25Speaker 1: They have the same number at seven and a half.
- 5:32Speaker 2: I'm going to, I'm going to go under man I, I don't know.
- 5:36Speaker 2: It always kind of seems to me like the more lane kiff and talks in the offseason, the less he's got in the chamber Once, once the season starts.
- 5:46Speaker 2: You know, he, he took, he took Spencer Sanders transfer at quarterback.
- 5:53Speaker 2: I like I, I don't want to speak ill of the young man, but that's, you know, that's a sign that you may have a little bit of desperation with your quarterback room.
- 6:04Speaker 2: But we'll see, we'll see.
- 6:06Speaker 2: You know he did pick up Austin Simmons, that that reclass.
- 6:09Speaker 2: I doubt they lean much on him, but it, you know I got him under man.
- 6:14Speaker 2: I just I don't know All right.
- 6:18Speaker 1: Well, hey, you got him under Ole Miss lane.
- 6:21Speaker 1: Kevin, he's going with Jimbo.
- 6:22Speaker 1: Man, this is a tough one.
- 6:24Speaker 1: We're going to mix it up.
- 6:26Speaker 1: Give me over, all right.
- 6:27Speaker 1: All right, let's.
- 6:29Speaker 1: Let's keep it rolling here.
- 6:31Speaker 1: Let's switch conferences.
- 6:33Speaker 1: Let's go to a opponent on Florida state schedule.
- 6:38Speaker 1: Um, we'll be in this, we'll be at this game.
- 6:41Speaker 1: Pittsburgh, it's six and a half over.
- 6:48Speaker 2: I I'm surprised it's that low.
- 6:50Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I think they improved at quarterback.
- 6:53Speaker 2: I know everybody got excited when Keaton slow this transferred in last year, but I, I think Jacob, which is a better quarterback.
- 7:02Speaker 2: They did lose a bit on the defensive side of the ball.
- 7:07Speaker 2: You know Clancy kid is in the NFL now but it just seems like Pitt is always reloading on the defensive line.
- 7:14Speaker 2: You know they.
- 7:17Speaker 2: They just find these guys that come out of nowhere, these sort of these hidden gyms and, and you know so I'm I got him over man.
- 7:24Speaker 2: I I look for Pitt to win eight games.
- 7:26Speaker 2: Just, they're always kind of hovering around eight games with Narduzzi.
- 7:30Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you there as well.
- 7:31Speaker 1: I got Pitt over.
- 7:33Speaker 1: Okay, all right, let's switch it up here.
- 7:38Speaker 1: Let's go to the big 12, to the team that was in the national championship game last year, and then was it a game, yeah, no, it wasn't a game, it was in just a storm.
- 7:54Speaker 1: But they beat Michigan in the playoff, yeah, and they, they earned it.
- 7:58Speaker 1: You know they lost, they were undefeated and they lost the championship game.
- 8:03Speaker 1: Still, you know, made it in and TCU lost the quarterback, lost the receiver there at seven and a half.
- 8:16Speaker 2: You know what I'm going to go under, man I.
- 8:19Speaker 2: I really don't have anything to base it off of, other than I think that they were about it.
- 8:26Speaker 2: You know two or three games last year that they probably should have had an L.
- 8:31Speaker 2: So you know, I think they were playing a little bit above their heads all season, yeah when they lost the coordinator to Clemson, the.
- 8:39Speaker 1: Riley boy, but I like sunny dykes man.
- 8:41Speaker 1: I like sunny dykes.
- 8:44Speaker 2: You don't got to worry about offense when there's there's sunny dykes, All right.
- 8:47Speaker 1: So I'm going over, give me the over on this.
- 8:49Speaker 1: I think this is you know.
- 8:51Speaker 1: I think they're going to win any games easy.
- 8:53Speaker 1: We'll see.
- 8:55Speaker 2: You're going to have the target on there back, yeah that's true.
- 8:58Speaker 1: But you know that I think Sonny Dax is a good coach.
- 9:02Speaker 1: I think TCU has really been a good program.
- 9:06Speaker 2: The last few years They've really been consistent.
- 9:08Speaker 2: I think that's part of it and if I'm betting this, I'm taking over.
- 9:12Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 9:14Speaker 1: That's good.
- 9:14Speaker 1: That's smart, you know, let's go, let's go to, let's go, let's go back to the SEC.
- 9:21Speaker 1: This guy was the former Ole Miss coach.
- 9:28Speaker 1: Then he went to Liberty, now he's at Auburn.
- 9:31Speaker 1: You, you talking about you?
- 9:33Speaker 1: Yeah, you.
- 9:35Speaker 2: You freeze?
- 9:37Speaker 1: Hey, you freeze, OK yeah, you freeze Now Auburn Tigers Getting a little buzz in the recruiting trail, as you would almost.
- 9:49Speaker 2: Yeah, man, when Auburn's, you know, and everything's firing all cylinders, they, they, they're going to make noise.
- 9:56Speaker 2: Right, that's one thing they know how to do, yeah.
- 10:00Speaker 1: Well, you freeze has got the Tigers at six and a half.
- 10:04Speaker 1: What, what?
- 10:08Speaker 2: Oh man, it all depends on in that conference.
- 10:11Speaker 2: It's all about who you draw.
- 10:12Speaker 2: You know, I knew that they're sitting there.
- 10:15Speaker 2: You got to play Alabama every year playing Georgia, so that right off the bat is likely two losses.
- 10:22Speaker 2: I'm going to go under, man, I think, I think.
- 10:29Speaker 2: And six wins I got a right at six.
- 10:32Speaker 1: Yeah, I yeah there.
- 10:34Speaker 1: That's the hook man, and I'm going, I'm with you as well.
- 10:38Speaker 1: It's like the first year you know is it in.
- 10:42Speaker 1: That schedule is tough.
- 10:43Speaker 1: They got in there on the West.
- 10:44Speaker 1: And the rival is Georgia, so I mean they have to play Alabama, LSU and Georgia.
- 10:56Speaker 2: What always makes me nervous is relying on a kid from the Big 10 at quarterback.
- 11:01Speaker 2: When you're bringing.
- 11:02Speaker 2: You know, when we had Hornie Brook transfer down, the speed of the game is different.
- 11:07Speaker 2: They're gonna be relying on Peyton Thorn from Michigan State.
- 11:10Speaker 2: I just you know six wins.
- 11:15Speaker 2: I think that's a good season for him.
- 11:17Speaker 1: Okay, well, yeah, there's a hook there on that one, he's plus 120.
- 11:22Speaker 1: Okay, let's go back to the ACC, to the Wolfpack.
- 11:28Speaker 1: Oh, the Wolfpack, they're at six and a half.
- 11:34Speaker 2: Well, let me tell you I'm gonna take the over, and you know what feels good is that I can guarantee you that during the regular season they are not gonna beat Florida State.
- 11:44Speaker 1: Yep, they are not on the schedule this year.
- 11:46Speaker 2: That's right.
- 11:47Speaker 2: It feels weird, but it also feels refreshing to not have to deal with that.
- 11:54Speaker 2: But yeah, six wins seems low for them.
- 11:56Speaker 2: You know they brought in Brennan, armstrong, robert and I offensive coordinator.
- 12:00Speaker 2: I think they're gonna have one of the better offenses in the ACC.
- 12:05Speaker 1: Oh yeah, and their defense is pretty good.
- 12:07Speaker 2: It's pretty good they lost what about those linebackers?
- 12:10Speaker 2: I think they got at least two of them back.
- 12:14Speaker 1: I don't believe more is back, I think it was a senior, so if they're gonna be better on offense, that defense was really good yeah yeah, they lost to a few guys up front.
- 12:23Speaker 2: I know Corey Durden, the transfer, he's gone.
- 12:25Speaker 2: Cyrus Fagan, the other transfer from FSU, he moved on.
- 12:29Speaker 2: He was one of their better players in the secondary.
- 12:31Speaker 2: But yeah, I expect that offense to be improved considerably.
- 12:35Speaker 2: You know they were good with Leary.
- 12:38Speaker 2: Leary got hurt last year and they were in kind of a dumpster fire situation but I got him over that definitely.
- 12:45Speaker 2: Okay, could be a sneaky team to watch.
- 12:49Speaker 1: Yeah, you know Dave Dorn, that's right Quarterback.
- 12:56Speaker 1: He's at Kentucky.
- 12:57Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, now you say they're gonna be better.
- 13:01Speaker 1: They didn't.
- 13:02Speaker 1: They looked God awful when they lost the quarterback last year.
- 13:05Speaker 1: I mean they looked really bad.
- 13:08Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, they.
- 13:10Speaker 2: You know they rely on the running game.
- 13:12Speaker 1: a lot anyway, right, they do.
- 13:12Speaker 1: But you know, robert and I six and a half, though I think that they've been winning games and getting to bowls and I think they continue that they at least get to seven.
- 13:21Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with you on that, I'm gonna, I'm gonna take the over there, although I could see it going the other way, but you can see it really on any of these.
- 13:33Speaker 1: But let's keep it rolling, let's go, let's keep it rolling.
- 13:36Speaker 1: Right in the speaking of their former quarterback he's going to Kentucky, mark Stoops.
- 13:42Speaker 2: Oh Poopsie, what did they get?
- 13:43Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah, they're at six and a half.
- 13:46Speaker 2: Ooh.
- 13:47Speaker 1: They.
- 13:47Speaker 1: They lost the quarterback.
- 13:48Speaker 1: The first round pick.
- 13:50Speaker 2: Ha, was he a first round pick.
- 13:52Speaker 1: Oh no, he went to set, he went second round, that's right.
- 13:54Speaker 1: Yeah, that's right.
- 13:56Speaker 2: To the Titans.
- 13:57Speaker 2: Oh man, I, I guess, I guess I'll go over.
- 14:01Speaker 2: Man Leary's not a bad quarterback.
- 14:02Speaker 2: Poop, you know, Stoops is a great, great defensive guy.
- 14:07Speaker 2: Yeah, he is yeah, but I don't know how far over six they're going to.
- 14:13Speaker 2: They're going to go, you know, I think seven, eight wins is probably where they top out.
- 14:18Speaker 1: Yeah, and you had okay, so you're going to go over.
- 14:21Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm going over.
- 14:23Speaker 1: All right, I'm going to go under on this.
- 14:24Speaker 1: I think there's a drop off here.
- 14:27Speaker 2: Yeah, I think you start hearing hearing Mark Stoops name in terms of of different jobs.
- 14:35Speaker 1: Yeah, but.
- 14:36Speaker 1: I don't know I, just you know I think it's going to be tough for that schedule.
- 14:39Speaker 1: We'll see if he can pull it off.
- 14:41Speaker 1: I'm going to bet that he doesn't and take the under and you got the over.
- 14:48Speaker 2: What do you think Mark Stoops next coach at Iowa?
- 14:50Speaker 1: Gosh, that sounds like I could.
- 14:52Speaker 1: I could see that.
- 14:53Speaker 1: He played there.
- 14:53Speaker 1: Yeah, oh boy.
- 14:55Speaker 1: Well, let's, let's, let's keep it.
- 14:57Speaker 1: Let's go back to the ACC and the dookies, yo dookies, the blue devils.
- 15:05Speaker 2: Mike Elko.
- 15:07Speaker 1: Yeah, surprising season last year at nine and four was?
- 15:12Speaker 2: was that kid Riley Leonard?
- 15:14Speaker 2: That's their QB.
- 15:14Speaker 2: Yeah, you're able to.
- 15:17Speaker 2: They were able to keep him.
- 15:19Speaker 1: Right One a lot of close games.
- 15:22Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 15:22Speaker 1: Will they be able to do that again and get over the hump?
- 15:26Speaker 2: Whoa, it was impressive, was that?
- 15:27Speaker 1: tougher schedule this year.
- 15:29Speaker 2: Yeah, tougher schedule Got Clemson right off the bat.
- 15:32Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 15:34Speaker 2: I have them upsetting Clemson.
- 15:36Speaker 2: Oh my gosh yeah.
- 15:38Speaker 1: So you guys have been going over.
- 15:41Speaker 2: Yeah, I got.
- 15:41Speaker 2: I got them over.
- 15:42Speaker 2: I think Elko has.
- 15:44Speaker 2: You know you won a lot of close games last year with a freshman quarterback.
- 15:48Speaker 2: Yeah not a ton on offense.
- 15:52Speaker 1: Okay, so they have to play Clemson and floor state.
- 15:56Speaker 2: Yeah and I think that's the reason that you see it at six and a half the only reason I think they beat Clemson is just because, where it is on the schedule, I don't think they have a roster anywhere near as talented.
- 16:07Speaker 2: But you know, clemson's breaking in a new coordinator.
- 16:10Speaker 2: It's.
- 16:12Speaker 1: I know it's still.
- 16:13Speaker 1: I'm going.
- 16:14Speaker 1: I think last year was great and I I'm gonna go under.
- 16:20Speaker 1: I think the schedule wise decision.
- 16:22Speaker 1: I think the schedule is pretty tough.
- 16:24Speaker 1: Okay, let's keep it in the ACC with a team that's on the schedule For Florida State and that's their cues, the orange, the Q's they had.
- 16:36Speaker 1: They had what was looking like a really good season last year and they hit like a speed bump.
- 16:42Speaker 2: What was it the alley for Garrett Schrader?
- 16:44Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, that's right, you know now he's right.
- 16:46Speaker 1: Subdino Dino Babers.
- 16:50Speaker 1: He's got him at six and a half.
- 16:53Speaker 2: If I'm not mistaken, schrader is still the quarterback right, like he's there for a year number nine, I think I don't know.
- 17:02Speaker 2: But I'm going under man, like that's I.
- 17:08Speaker 2: I like Dino Babers, I think he's a good coach, but I just don't think You're ever gonna get more than about six wins up at Syracuse.
- 17:17Speaker 2: Man, you might have one special season.
- 17:19Speaker 2: I Don't really see anything on their team.
- 17:21Speaker 2: You know they lost Arguably their best defensive player to LSU.
- 17:26Speaker 2: Who will see week one doose chestnut.
- 17:28Speaker 2: I Just I don't know, man.
- 17:33Speaker 1: Schrader is gonna be back.
- 17:34Speaker 1: Yeah, he's still recovering from an injury and that's the thing.
- 17:37Speaker 2: Like he's a solid QB, he could get you a six to eight wins a season If he's healthy, the whole season, and you know.
- 17:45Speaker 2: But when is that gonna happen?
- 17:47Speaker 2: He gets beat the hell every game.
- 17:50Speaker 2: It's just the way he plays.
- 17:51Speaker 2: So you have under yeah, under, I have under you know what?
- 17:59Speaker 1: Give me the over.
- 17:59Speaker 1: Look at him.
- 18:01Speaker 1: I'm taking the cues he believes in Dino.
- 18:03Speaker 1: Give me the cues.
- 18:05Speaker 1: All right, they're tough If the quarterback can get healthy, and you know that's gonna be the everybody comes down to.
- 18:12Speaker 1: But really I'm just Just wanted bat man go for the difference.
- 18:17Speaker 2: All right, there's no conflict in this movie.
- 18:21Speaker 1: All right, let's, let's, let's get it wound up here.
- 18:23Speaker 1: We did all that.
- 18:24Speaker 1: Here's an interesting one.
- 18:26Speaker 1: Here's an interesting one, as we hit the road, the country road, and it's West Virginia and.
- 18:37Speaker 1: That's that four and a half.
- 18:47Speaker 2: You know what, believe it or not, I'm gonna take the under on that.
- 18:49Speaker 2: Wow, yeah, they don't.
- 18:53Speaker 2: I Mean they don't.
- 18:54Speaker 2: They don't have anybody on that team.
- 18:56Speaker 2: They got a couple local kids that are probably gonna play a bunch, but I, you know, I'm gonna take the over oh yeah, because I think West Virginia always gets at least four wins, do they?
- 19:10Speaker 1: yeah, there's got to be at least four burnt couches around the streets.
- 19:14Speaker 2: That's true, that's.
- 19:15Speaker 2: I know it's gonna be ugly for a mweak one man.
- 19:18Speaker 2: Penn State's gonna house.
- 19:21Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll see.
- 19:22Speaker 1: Well, we got a lot of them in.
- 19:26Speaker 1: We got a lot of differences.
- 19:27Speaker 1: Run it back real quick.
- 19:28Speaker 1: She forgot.
- 19:31Speaker 1: But we started it at Iowa.
- 19:33Speaker 1: Me and Jim both had him going over and we went to pit where we both had him going over as well.
- 19:39Speaker 1: And we went to the NC State, wolfpack, where they were both went over as well.
- 19:44Speaker 1: Then the differences begun with Kentucky Jim has them over, I have them under Duke Over.
- 19:52Speaker 1: I have them under Eric use.
- 19:56Speaker 1: He has them under.
- 19:57Speaker 1: I have them over TCU, he has them under I have them over Auburn, under under and then Ole Miss under over for me.
- 20:13Speaker 1: Jim's the first in this and it got a good oh Jim, bob, oh Jay, both Yep, thanks A&M.
- 20:21Speaker 1: And both got him over.
- 20:23Speaker 1: I don't know why, but it's probably because it's only seven and a half and I think the pressure zone is like I'll take you to show them.
- 20:31Speaker 1: Let me show them that eight and four, nine it.
- 20:34Speaker 1: You know nine and three, that best nine and three.
- 20:38Speaker 2: Let me tell you something if he goes nine and three, just go ahead and go ahead and give him a lifetime contract.
- 20:43Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't see that, but I could see them going aim for this year.
- 20:46Speaker 1: Definitely see them upset and some one of those, one of those tough Alabama or LSU.
- 20:53Speaker 1: We'll see.
- 20:54Speaker 1: Well, I appreciate you joining me, jimmy, I appreciate you listening everyone, and we'll do it again real soon.
- 21:00Speaker 1: We got fsu talk coming up next, so Keep it right here for that and we'll talk to you next time right here on the North Florida sports network.