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Episode 416 - 12/16/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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  54321 all systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
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  welcome to episode 416 of the All.
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  Systems Go sports betting podcast powered by.
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  Rhythm, I am your. Host Josh Applebaum.
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  What's going on? Everyone happy?
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  Tuesday, another. Day here in the arena.
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  Guys. We got a lot to get to on
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  today's podcast because we have I have for you lined up a four
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  pack. Of sweats to talk about 3
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  college basketball plays. Including two small games and
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  one really, really big game. The most heavily back game of
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  the night. We have Tennessee and
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  Louisville. And there is a very clear, sharp
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  play in this one. With a fantastic system match.
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  Something we always look towards.
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  So I'm excited to break down 3 college basketball games for you
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  and then to finish up the four pack.
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  I got a college. Football play, Did you know?
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  There is a. Bowl game tonight we got.
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  Troy and Jacksonville state they're.
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  Playing in the. IS4S salute to veterans.
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  Bowl. So this is a bowl game with a
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  big line move. One thing we got to talk about
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  when it comes to bowl games is motivation.
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  Again, you got to be aware. Of opt outs, you know, guys who
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  are transferring. It's very, very important here
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  because you gotta do your research.
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  You know, to me, I'm going to stick to, of course.
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  What the numbers are telling me and where the smart money is
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  flowing. But we got to be.
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  Aware of, OK. What are these bowl games mean
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  to both teams? Is one team motivated?
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  With everyone at full strength, everyone playing, trying to get.
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  A win and play well. Where's another?
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  Team may be disappointed. They're in a bowl.
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  Game. Maybe they had higher
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  aspirations. They got an opt out.
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  They have a bunch of. Transfers, they got injuries.
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  This is something that we have to keep an eye out.
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  For in tonight's game. Actually features.
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  Quite a few lopsided. Guys on opting.
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  Out of one side. And one team at.
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  Full strength. So full breakdown of that.
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  Troy, Jacksonville. State bowl game here.
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  For tonight, so a four pack overall guys we're going to try
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  to. Get at least.
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  Two if we can get three of these.
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  That would be fantastic. Now looking back toward.
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  Last night, man. Plus 3 1/2.
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  With Miami felt like. We're in a pretty good.
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  Spot. But that was pretty pathetic.
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  Pretty disgusting. Performance from the Miami
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  Dolphins. I feel like the final score
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  probably seemed closer than the game actual was actually was
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  because it really. Wasn't even close. 28 to 15.
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  Pittsburgh ended up winning. By the way, the.
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  Total did land on. What was it, 43?
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  And if you guys remember, we were talking about that total,
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  it was. 42 1/2 down to 42 and then actually shot up to 43. 43
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  1/2 so. Goes to show how good the odds.
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  Makers are but that final. Score either, you know, kind of
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  killed you or. Maybe you played the over?
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  But that was kind of interesting how close it got there at the
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  end. But man, Tua I I.
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  Feel bad for the Dolphins fans out there.
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  My actually. My my father-in-law is.
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  A long-suffering Miami Dolphins fan, he still.
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  Remembers the Dan Marino. Days and I I texted him.
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  I said hey. I'm on your Dolphins.
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  Side and he said good luck. That's all he said.
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  So I'm like, oh, that's not good.
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  Because he knows how the how the Dolphins can be over the years.
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  But Tua. Man, I think if you're the
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  Dolphins, you got to move on from him.
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  He just. Does not inspire much
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  confidence. Does not see the field.
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  I should have played him to throw an.
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  Interception because I was pretty much a guarantee.
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  But hey, we're on the contrarian side.
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  We got a three and a half. A lot of books closed at three.
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  You just tipped your cap. The public won that one.
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  It was a great. Weekend for NFL.
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  With a lot of these contrarian plays coming through, however,
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  public had their revenge. Last night late with Pittsburgh.
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  The drunk guy at the bar, he got that one right as Pittsburgh
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  cover that number. So unfortunately our winning
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  streak came to an end, but. That's all right.
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  Means we can just start. A new one here for tonight.
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  So with that being said, I want to start off with some college
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  basketball, then we'll get. To the end of the pod.
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  The bowl game here for. Tonight, but I want to start
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  with college hoops because I really like the.
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  Slate here tonight. Now there are 3635 games
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  overall. I probably could have added a
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  better 2. But I'm trying to, you know, be
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  disciplined and kind of stick to the games that.
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  Are offering the most value but I want to start with the most
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  heavily. Backed Game of the Night and if
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  a. Lot of people ask.
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  Me How do you know what the most heavily?
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  Backed game of the night is well, I do have some software
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  that gives me the ticket counts for combination of several books
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  across the market. But anytime you're looking to
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  just say, OK. What are the most heavily bet
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  games tonight? You may not have an.
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  Actual number like you know 50,000 tickets on this game. 80.
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  1000 tickets on that game. You know, 19. 1000 tickets on
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  this one, just remember. If it is on TV, it's on ESPN.
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  It are, you know it. Features ranked teams that's.
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  Going to be your most heavily bet game of the night.
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  So with that in mind. Louisville.
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  Tennessee. 7:00 Eastern Time tonight, the most heavily bet
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  game of the night by far. Let's talk about this one.
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  Now Louisville. Comes in nine and.
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  One, they're ranked 11th overall.
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  They've won two straight. Just beat up Memphis 99 to 73.
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  Easily covered as a 16 1/2 point home favorite.
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  Meanwhile, Tennessee 7 and 3 ranked 20th, but they started. 7
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  and O and they've lost 3 three straight.
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  They just fall to Illinois. 75 to 62.
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  Lost outright as a 1 1/2. Point neutral site favorite.
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  This is interesting though. What have we seen across the
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  market in terms of the line movement?
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  Well. This came open with Louisville
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  listed around a. 1 1/2 point Rd. favorite and the public is
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  saying. You got to go, Louisville.
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  They have the better record 9 and one ranked 11th better.
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  Ranking with Tennessee. Seven and three ranked 20th.
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  Louisville's one, two straight. Memphis has lost three
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  straights. This is a very.
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  Clear. Louisville play for the public.
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  Better team. Short number playing better,
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  however. Even though you're getting
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  nearly. 2/3 of spread bets on Louisville.
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  Louisville is not up to -2 - 3. No, this line is completely
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  hopped the fence. And gone dog to.
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  Fave in favor of Tennessee? So we've gone from.
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  Tennessee plus one. And 1/2 at home.
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  To now Tennessee -2 1/2 at home. And I'm even seeing.
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  Some books creep up to 3 or even 3 1/2 right now.
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  So when I targeted this game, wrote about in the Sharp report
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  for vison.com, I also. Put it in the.
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  Juicer lap I played. Tennessee on the money?
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  Line at -135 Well now I'm looking at.
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  Tennessee on the money line. -1. 50 at the score, some books -1.
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  60 So that's a good sign if you played Tennessee earlier.
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  You're getting some great CLV. Obviously not great if you
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  haven't played it yet, but think.
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  Of it this way you're paying a more expensive.
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  Price because big money continues to flow in on the
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  Volunteers, so Tennessee is very.
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  Contrarian Only 1/3 of tickets and most heavily.
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  Back Game of the Night. But also they feature that
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  really sharp. Reverse line move that fade the
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  trendy. Dog play public on Louisville
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  but line going to Tennessee if you look at.
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  The splits here they look. Pretty good on Tennessee.
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  Only 1/3 of tickets, but more than half the.
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  Money. In terms of spread dollars at
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  DraftKings at Circa? 82% bets over 90. 5% of the
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  dollars on the Volunteers with the spread.
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  So it tells me that you know, DraftKings, which really is a
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  good barometer for the overall public across the country.
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  They're on Louisville, but at Circa, the sharp guys, the pro
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  betters, the wise guys in the desert.
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  They're heavy on Tennessee. Now here's the thing Ken Palm
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  has. Tennessee winning by one point.
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  80 to 79 so if. That in mind, I don't want to
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  lay a. 2 1/2 three 3 1/2 have. Them win by 1/2.
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  Or three and I lose my bet. So that's why I did go money
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  line earlier today -130. 5 Again, you're looking now.
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  Upwards of. -150 -, 160. But the splits look good on the
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  money line. At DK Tennessee 46.
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  Percent bets, 77% dollars. You guys might remember this
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  system as. Well, when 2 ranked teams play
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  each other, take the home favorite.
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  Very simple. It's a straight up.
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  System on the money line. 182 and 70. 471% with a 4% ROI since
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  2021. Now, Louisville's got a great
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  offense, but the Vols do have the better defensive.
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  Efficiency 13th in the country. Versus 35th for Louisville.
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  Better offensive rebound percentage first in the country.
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  Versus 72nd for Louisville. You also look at just some basic
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  home Rd. We have Tennessee 5 and O at
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  home this. Year played very well.
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  Louisville, O. And one on the roads is their
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  second true Rd. game. And if you remember, Louisville
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  was at Arkansas and there was a. Sharp move toward Arkansas.
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  We played them. This is I don't.
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  Know a month ago or a. Few weeks.
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  AGO and Arkansas came through. At home when the public was on
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  Louisville. There.
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  You also look at. You know, just kind of the.
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  You know the rest first. Tired again.
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  These are college kids, they're young.
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  It doesn't matter too much. But Louisville last.
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  Played on the 13th. They had two home games.
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  Now they're on the road. Tennessee hasn't played.
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  Since the 6th of December and not only.
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  Do they have a a? Longer extended time off since
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  their last game. But they're on a three.
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  Game losing skid. So when?
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  You're on a three-game losing skid and you haven't.
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  Played in 10 days. I'm hoping that Tennessee is,
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  you know. Champing at the bit, chomping at
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  the bit, however you want to say it.
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  And get and wanting to get ready and and kind of get back into
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  the winning column and kind of get back on track.
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  So Long story short guys, public is Louisville.
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  But. We've got a dog to fave.
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  Reverse line move. Fade the trendy dog play on
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  Tennessee going from. Plus 1 1/2 to now -2 1/2 - 3 -
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  3. And 1/2.
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  And oh by the way, 15% sharp mush edge on Tennessee from our
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  friends at Juice Rail. So this is the most heavily
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  backed. Game of the night, and it is
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  right up our wheelhouse as data-driven, sharp, contrarian
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  betters. I'm on Tennessee money.
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  Line when the DM game. -135 again.
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  Has moved since. Earlier today, good sign slash,
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  bad sign, bad sign for the price, good sign for the line
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  move. But you can now get Tennessee
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  around -1. 50 minus. 160 but let's go.
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  Of alls next one for you. Let's look at Miami, OH.
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  Visiting Wright State might be sound like a small matchup, but
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  it's actually the fourth most heavily.
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  Back game of the night, Miami, OH.
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  Comes in 10 and O. Undefeated.
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  Did you guys know the? RedHawks are undefeated.
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  I didn't know that. They just held off.
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  Eastern KY 79 to 60. 9 covered as a 5 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
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  You know a Wright. State only 5 and 6.
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  On the year, they've dropped three of their last four and
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  just came up short against Marshall. 76 to 70. 4 But they
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  did cover plus 3 1/2 on the road there.
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  Now what are we? Seeing across the market?
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  Well, this game opened at basically a pick.
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  Em game. Pick em down the middle.
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  Some books open around, you know -1 right state.
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  But basically a pick em game. And right off the bat.
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  Doesn't this seem a little. Fishy because why is A10 and O
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  team either a pick em or a dog? Makes no sense right?
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  Like shouldn't Miami, Ohio who's 10 and O?
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  Playing a sub 500. Five and six right state.
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  Team Shouldn't they be clearly a favorite here even with home
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  field or homecourt? Well, you would think.
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  So the public thinks the. Wrong team is favored. 58% of
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  spread bets at. DK are going Miami Ohio again.
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  I don't blame. Them if you're getting a point.
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  On a team that's. 10 and O it makes.
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  Sense right, But this is. When you're you're fishy, you're
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  you're smelly, you're stinky indicator.
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  Should be lighting up here. Because anytime you have a team
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  with a losing record favorite over a team.
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  With a really good winning. Record.
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  Typically it's fishy for a reason.
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  So it looks like pros have doubled down or sided with the
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  fishy side with Wright State. Because Wright State has now
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  been bet up. At a few shops up to -1 1/2.
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  So again, why did it open as a pic or favorite Wright State
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  Publix on Miami? Ohio.
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  Yet Wright State became more of a favorite.
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  Tells me you have once. Again, a fade the trendy.
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  Dog smart money RLM play here on the contrarian.
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  Favorite at DK only 40% bets but 52.
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  Percent dollars. Are on Wright State.
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  And at circa. 50% bets but 60. Percent dollars on right state.
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  So line is pretty much only move toward right state.
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  And they have the good low bets. Higher dollars split at both.
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  DraftKings and Circa now. Ken Palma is right.
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  State winning, but only by one point. 76 to 75.
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  South, once again, I'm going. Money line here I got right
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  state at a very. Short money line -1. 15.
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  I believe that was at either The Score or Fanatics.
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  But should still be -115 at a few books.
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  At DK on the money line. 39% bet 70% dollars on Wright State and
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  Wright State does have the better.
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  Defensive efficiency. 139th in the.
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  Country verse 160th. For Miami.
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  OH, and better offensive rebound percentage. 2:30. 7th in the
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  country. Versus 300 and 3rd.
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  So Miami, Ohio is 10 and O, but the line is going to the five
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  and six Wright State Raiders. Smells like a sharp play to me
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  to fade a trendy dog. And go with right state, so I
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  played right. State on the money line.
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  At -115. Last bit of the night Let's look
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  toward a matchup here between. Very low back game.
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  Very overlooked matchup. One of the least heavily backed
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  games of the night. 7:00 Game 306-5513 O 655.
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  Two UT. Rio Grande Valley and Lamar now
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  UT Rio Grande Valley three and six.
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  They've dropped four of their last five.
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  They. Filled the UT Arlington 58 to
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  50. Losing out right as a four and a
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  half. Point home favorite.
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  Don't get me started. That was annoying because we got
• 12:46
  CLV and played UT Rio in that game and.
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  They lost out, right? On the other hand, Lamar 5:00
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  and 4:00, but they actually started what?
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  Was it 5 and 2? And they've lost two in a row.
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  Just got beat up by. San Diego State. 89 to 71.
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  Did not. Cover as a 17 1/2.
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  Point Rd. Dog.
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  So what are you seeing across the market here?
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  Well, this game opened Lamar listed as a very short 1 1/2
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  point home favorite, and we've seen nothing but line movement
• 13:14
  toward Lamar. So Lamar has gone from -1 1/2?
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  Now up to. -3 -. 3 1/2 a Very clear. 1 1/2 you know, 2 point
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  moot line, move in. Favor of the Lamar Cardinals.
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  Now why is that important? Of course, any move.
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  Like that is important. Because it takes a.
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  Lot of smart money to move a line 2 points.
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  But it's even more important to me.
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  Because this is an added extra game that 6 digit Vegas rotation
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  ID number, so that means it's very low bet public wants
• 13:40
  nothing to. Do with it.
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  They can't name the mascots. It's a tiny game.
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  They have no. Interest in betting on, however,
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  what do we always talk about? Added.
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  Extra game in college basketball.
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  If you see a line move, that's almost more.
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  You know, it's almost sharper. More important to me.
• 13:54
  Because it tells me that the public may not care about this.
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  Game, but pros have taken a position.
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  And in this regard. They've taken a position on.
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  Lamar now at DK. Lamar's getting around 70% of
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  spread bets in dollars, you might say.
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  Oh, that's public, right? No, it's not public because it's
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  a very low back game. So that's 70.
• 14:09
  Percent bets in dollars. Looks to be coming from.
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  Sharps wise guys who have specifically targeted this
• 14:15
  matchup. Now Ken Palm has Lamar winning
• 14:17
  by two points. 69 to 60. 7 so as a result.
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  I'm going money line. This is about as high as I want
• 14:24
  to go. I got right, Lamar at -170.
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  Five, you can get some. Books, I think.
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  One book is -1. 70 Caesar's other books like Minus. 180 -.
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  185 again. We're always betting Tris first.
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  Betting to win so. If you're laying this one. 75
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  with me with. Lamar, you're risking 1 unit
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  trying to get a little. More than 1/2 unit.
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  Back you are not risking. 1.75 units to get one unit back
• 14:49
  because in that situation if Lamar were to lose.
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  The game you'd lose? 1.75 units instead of 1.
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  Obviously we don't want that to happen, but it just illustrates
• 14:58
  that when you are laying. You know these bigger favorite.
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  Prices on the money line you definitely.
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  Want to betrus not. Bet to win, because if you lose
• 15:05
  it'll it'll you'll lose far less than you would.
• 15:08
  Now, Lamar does have some. Advantages here Better defensive
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  efficiency 120th. In the country verse one. 54th
• 15:15
  for UT. Rio offensive rebound
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  percentage. 157th verse 326th and they.
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  Do a better job of forcing turnovers on.
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  Defense. They actually ranked fifty. 8th
• 15:23
  in the country at. Forcing turnovers verse 246th
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  for UT Rio and also Lamar three and one at home.
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  UT Rio one and five on the road and lastly popped open.
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  Juice Real noticed a 20% pretty big, 20% sharp mush edge in
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  favor of Lamar. Telling us the.
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  Bigger, sharper wagers. From those of you listening who
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  have. Downloaded Juice Reel and synced
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  up your books. And had a good winning record.
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  Those of you who. Qualify there.
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  You're also going Lamar. So that's a good sign that we're
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  with the sharps. So 3 plays overall guys, three
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  money lines let's try to get. 2 out of 3 Tennessee.
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  Wright State and Lamar tonight in some.
• 16:00
  College hoops action now finishing up the.
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  Pod, we have our first. Bowl game guys, so.
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  The bowl game for tonight, we're going to talk about 9:00 Eastern
• 16:10
  Time. We have Troy against
• 16:12
  Jacksonville State now. This game will be played at.
• 16:15
  The where is it's. Called the Crampton.
• 16:18
  Bowl in Montgomery, AL. Should be a decent.
• 16:22
  Night here. Tonight you're looking at around
• 16:24
  40°. I'm just pulling up.
• 16:26
  My my latest AccuWeather. Breakdown for this one.
• 16:29
  But 40° could get. Down into the the mid 30s.
• 16:32
  But really, you know, mostly. Clear skies, nothing in the way
• 16:35
  of. Wind or anything so.
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  Pretty good weather in general. But this has been a very.
• 16:40
  Clear line move in favor of. Jacksonville State.
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  So the important thing to know about this one?
• 16:46
  Let's talk about the market is telling us and.
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  Then we got to get into some nitty gritty bowl betting
• 16:51
  conversation. Because what we're going to talk
• 16:53
  about can apply to. Pretty much every bolt that you
• 16:56
  might bet this this bowl season. So this came open.
• 17:00
  Let me give you background. Both teams are 8 and 5.
• 17:02
  We have Troy, who just lost. To James Madison. 31 to 14.
• 17:06
  In the Sunbelt Championship game and we have.
• 17:09
  Jacksonville State, also eight and five who lost. 19 to 15 to.
• 17:12
  Kennesaw in the conference. USA Championship.
• 17:14
  Remember we had Kennesaw. Who came through for us bigly in
• 17:18
  that one? Now from a betting market
• 17:20
  perspective perspective, very clearly a Jacksonville State
• 17:24
  play. Because this game opened with.
• 17:26
  Troy let's around A3. Point.
• 17:28
  Neutral site favorite. Some shops are even as high as
• 17:30
  like Troy -4. And we've.
• 17:32
  Completely flipped to now Jacksonville.
• 17:35
  State. -1 1/2 so going from plus 3 + 4 to -1 1/2.
• 17:41
  Man, a lot of big money came in there.
• 17:42
  On Jacksonville. State to flip that number.
• 17:45
  So you are right off the bat getting me.
• 17:46
  Excited because you are a dog to fave, line move and a heavily
• 17:50
  bet. One off.
• 17:51
  College football game tonight. A bowl game.
• 17:53
  None, none the less, you look at the splits, they look really
• 17:56
  good on Jacksonville State, on the spread at DraftKings. 53%
• 18:00
  bets 70. 4% dollars you look at circa. 67% bets 70. 2% dollars
• 18:07
  so both low bets, higher dollar splits in favor of Jacksonville
• 18:11
  state. I went Jacksonville.
• 18:14
  State on the money line. Again because it opened.
• 18:16
  As a short dog, now you're short favorite.
• 18:18
  If it's a close game I don't want to lay a 1 1/2, have a win
• 18:21
  by 1 and I lose my bet. So it wasn't very expensive.
• 18:24
  I got -1. 15. On Jacksonville state money line
• 18:27
  at. DraftKings shop around, other
• 18:29
  books around -120 so it is very clear dog to fave great bet
• 18:34
  splits Jacksonville. State, but here's what I think
• 18:36
  you have to at least be aware of and do some research.
• 18:39
  When you're betting these bowl games.
• 18:41
  These games are very. Complex and complicated because.
• 18:46
  You got to be aware of what's. Going on and why these?
• 18:48
  Lines are moving. So for example.
• 18:50
  When we get into these. Bowl games.
• 18:52
  The first thing that I. Like to do.
• 18:53
  Is do a little research on both sides.
• 18:56
  So on the one hand, I got to know, OK, who's playing, you
• 18:59
  know? Who has opted out?
• 19:00
  Because maybe they're. Preparing for the NFL Draft.
• 19:03
  Who is not playing? Because they're in the transfer
• 19:05
  portal, because they're. Going to a different school.
• 19:07
  Which team is at full? Strength and motivated and
• 19:10
  wanting to play and wanting to win because that can really be a
• 19:14
  big. Difference maker and the reason?
• 19:15
  Why you see a lot of these line? Moves So the reason why this
• 19:19
  line has moved toward Jacksonville.
• 19:20
  State. Couple factors here.
• 19:22
  Number one in favor of Jacksonville State.
• 19:25
  They have the better scoring offense. 27.7 points per game
• 19:29
  versus. 23. .2 points per game. So better offense, but it really
• 19:33
  comes down to the motivational factor because Jacksonville
• 19:35
  State is pretty much at full strength.
• 19:38
  Everybody's playing the. Other thing I forgot to mention
• 19:41
  is like coaches, sometimes coaches.
• 19:43
  Will be leaving or not coaching and you got interim?
• 19:45
  Coaches. That's something got to be.
• 19:46
  Aware of, but Jacksonville State fully loaded.
• 19:49
  Everyone's playing. All the coaches are there also,
• 19:53
  if you don't recall, Jacksonville State.
• 19:55
  They left FCS and joined. FBS, I believe three years.
• 20:00
  Ago. So they're a relatively new.
• 20:01
  School. To the big leagues here.
• 20:03
  So one thought that, you know, I was reading about that people
• 20:06
  were. You know.
• 20:06
  Putting in the favor, checking off the box in favor of
• 20:08
  Jacksonville State is that they're at full strength.
• 20:11
  They want to win this game. Because they're a young.
• 20:13
  Team in. In the big leagues here.
• 20:15
  And they want to kind of set a culture.
• 20:17
  You know, establish a foundation when you're a new program going
• 20:21
  up to the bigs, you know, you want to play well, you want to
• 20:23
  win a bowl game. You want to get that momentum
• 20:25
  going. Now, so those are factors in
• 20:28
  favor of Jacksonville. State.
• 20:29
  Now let's go to the Troy side. Troy, here's some things we got
• 20:32
  to. Keep in mind.
• 20:34
  Number one, their starting quarterback, Goose Crowder,
• 20:38
  Great name. He may or may not play.
• 20:41
  He got hurt in the last game. He's been hurt quite a bit this
• 20:43
  year. I believe he was on.
• 20:45
  Crutches after the last game and their last game was.
• 20:48
  Played on the 5th, so 11 days. Ago I was reading that he was
• 20:52
  out and then I was reading that he did practice and he may play.
• 20:55
  So either way, the starting quarterback may not play, which
• 20:59
  means it's a backup. Or if he does.
• 21:00
  Play maybe he's. Hobbled.
• 21:02
  Here's the other big one. This running back who?
• 21:05
  Is let me see. Tay Meadows He's rushed for
• 21:09
  nearly 700 yards 6. Touchdowns, he is the.
• 21:12
  Top running back for Troy. He's not playing tonight.
• 21:15
  He is up. He has.
• 21:17
  Opted out and he is entering the transfer portal.
• 21:19
  So he's going to go to a new team.
• 21:20
  So your starting quarterback may not play.
• 21:22
  Your top running back is definitely not.
• 21:24
  Playing and then. Troy also has multiple injuries
• 21:28
  on their offensive line, so several of their offensive
• 21:31
  starters on the line are not going to play.
• 21:34
  So you could. Be down your top quarterback,
• 21:36
  you're definitely down your top running back, and you're missing
• 21:39
  multiple players here on the offensive line.
• 21:42
  And oh, by the way, even when these guys were healthy,
• 21:45
  Jacksonville State still scored better than them. 28A game.
• 21:48
  Versus 23 I think. Guys, if you combine the.
• 21:50
  Motivational edge in favor of Jacksonville.
• 21:52
  State full strength, you fade. The Troy injuries and opt.
• 21:56
  Outs and you. Follow the sharp line move.
• 21:58
  Dog to fave? Good bet.
• 21:59
  Splits in favor of Jacksonville. State.
• 22:01
  It leads me to say hey. Let's take a shot on.
• 22:03
  Jacksonville State tonight Full strength, motivated good, good
• 22:07
  bet splits good, good system matches.
• 22:10
  So, Long story short. Combining the.
• 22:12
  X's and O's, right? Not the X.
• 22:14
  'S and O's, but you know the motivational.
• 22:15
  Edges the personnel. Issues with the betting market.
• 22:19
  It's screaming Gamecocks tonight.
• 22:22
  So I took Jacksonville. State to.
• 22:23
  Win the damn game. Let's win the salute.
• 22:26
  To veterans bowl money line. Jacksonville state -115.
• 22:31
  So that about does it for episode 416 of the All Systems
• 22:34
  Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 22:37
  This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
• 22:39
  Now we start first by. Saying thank you.
• 22:41
  Thank you for listening. Thank you.
• 22:43
  For tuning in, thank. You for taking the time out of
• 22:44
  your day, out of your busy lives, to pull up a chair to the
• 22:47
  virtual bar and sweat some sharp, data-driven breakdowns
• 22:50
  with me. Now if you do enjoy the pod.
• 22:53
  And you're in that holiday spirit, that giving spirit.
• 22:56
  Please would you give this podcast a five star review on.
• 22:59
  Spotify or iTunes if you want to leave a nice comment.
• 23:02
  Hit the rate and review recommend the pod to.
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• 23:08
  Or recommend the pod. To a friend and get someone else
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  hooked up to hooked onto these these breakdowns.
• 23:13
  Well, if you want to do any of that.
• 23:15
  Especially the Five Star review. I would very much appreciate it
• 23:18
  next if you enjoy. The style of bedding breakdown
• 23:21
  you want to learn more about data-driven bedding or more.
• 23:24
  Importantly, it is the holiday season and you are scrambling.
• 23:26
  We're now 9 days away from Christmas actually.
• 23:29
  Went out today and got a got a gift for.
• 23:33
  My mother-in-law, because you can't forget about your
• 23:35
  mother-in-law. But if there's someone.
• 23:37
  In your life you need to get a gift for and you have no clue
• 23:39
  what to get them and. Maybe they're into sports.
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  Maybe. They want to get into sports
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  betting. Maybe it's.
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  Your uncle, your cousin, whoever.
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  Your colleague. You know you should do you.
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  Should go to Amazon.com. Type in the NFL.
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  Sharp betting. Playbook.
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  It's my newest book. Very proud of it.
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  All about how to approach. The NFL from a data-driven
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  perspective. I have another book called the
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  Everything Guide to Sports Betting if you wanted.
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  To buy. One or both of them.
• 24:01
  You would make my day. It'll be a pretty cool gift for
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  that person that you're dying to get a gift for.
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  And also, if you bring it to the sports book, I'll sign them for
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  you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
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  ale and we'll sweat some games together next.
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  Have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice?
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  Reel yet my 2. Favorite sports betting apps,
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  Rhythm for their AI backed models and predictions for game
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  bets and player props as well as Juice Reel.
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  So many great features. First one.
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  If you'd like to. Support the pod.
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  And tip your podcast. Host and give your podcast host
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  a little Christmas bonus. All I'm going to ask for is a
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  Can sign up to support the. Pod and get the all.
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  Systems go best bet picks before the pod is out.
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  like, but you. Are what I look at.
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  It as is tipping your podcast host if you enjoy the pod.
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  Rhythm, give them both a five star review.
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  In the App Store next. Do you have a live?
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  Odds page if you don't have one. You need one.
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  You got to be able to track the market in real time.
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  You got to know. All the games available to bet
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  that day. Starting times live.
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  Scoring live in game wagering odds.
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  The opening column which never changes, then to the right all
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  the different books with the current odds.
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  Immediately see which. Direction The line is.
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  Moved. Pull up the line history shop
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  for the best price identify. Steam when the.
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  Odds get lit up in red. You know the numbers.
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  Are moving. And big money's coming in if
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  you'd like to give. Odds logic a shot I think.
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  You're going to enjoy it. Make sure you use this.
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  Oddslogic.com/josh 123. That'll give you a 7.
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  Month of service. Next, have you signed up for
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  Novig yet? Novig.
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  Is a sports betting exchange. It's not a sports book, but it's
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  like a sports. Book, but it's not.
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  It's like a sports book because it's got all the.
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  Games. You can go bet.
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  Them, but it's not like a sports book because you're getting bit
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  better. Juice prices because you're not.
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  Going up against the house. Who's going to make you?
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  Pay -115. -120 -, 130 no, you're going to get.
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  Plus one O 2 minus. One O 3 better prices because.
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  You're in an exchange. Going up against other betters
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  instead of. Going up against the house so if
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  you win and you do well, you won't get limited, you won't get
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  booted. If you'd like to download Novig
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  when you fund your. Account just put in the promo
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  code Josh 123 and I'll put extra tack on an extra. 25.
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  Bucks to start with. Lastly, I forgot.
• 26:25
  To mention this yesterday. But the Splash Sports contest?
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  My Survivor contest. You can now join it.
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  You can. Put your put your hat in the
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  ring and for 25 bucks. You might be able to.
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  Win this thing because my guy, Manny Davison.
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  Won the first one. But this new one you can.
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  Sign up now Now the bracket is blank because it's a playoff
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  survivor. Contest, so it's blank now, but
• 26:49
  you can sign up and get in. You know, feel free to invite
• 26:52
  any friends and just give them the link if they'd like as well.
• 26:55
  But it's going to be a Survivor contest for the playoffs, so you
• 26:59
  have. Until I think it's.
• 27:00
  January 11th, when the playoffs start.
• 27:02
  The cool thing there is it's kind of different strategy.
• 27:05
  Because if you think, for example, the Rams are going to
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  win the Super. Bowl Right now, they have the
• 27:09
  best odds. You don't want to use them.
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  I guess they'd have a buy but you don't want to use them
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  second week. You want to wait to use them at
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  the end. You know, if you if you think a
• 27:18
  team's going to win it all, you don't.
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  Want to use them on wild card? Weekend, you want to save them.
• 27:21
  So it's kind of interesting strategy involved.
• 27:24
  But I'd love for you guys to sign up.
• 27:25
  You can find a link on. My Twitter page at Josh under
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  Score Insights you can also find.
• 27:29
  The link in the bio description of the pod so hope to see you
• 27:32
  guys join in. But that about does it for
• 27:35
  episode 4. 16 of the ASG. Pod on a big Tuesday.
• 27:38
  As always guys, I'll leave. You with two final thoughts.
• 27:40
  One whether I. See you at the Borgata.
• 27:42
  In Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode.
• 27:44
  Island, The Brooklyn, New Hampshire.
• 27:45
  Foxwoods. Or Mohegan Sun down in
• 27:47
  Connecticut. At the Encore in Boston Plain
• 27:49
  Ridge Park. Casino MGM Springfield the Nash
• 27:51
  in my neck of the woods. On the border of Nashville, New
• 27:54
  Hampshire and Massachusetts, out in the desert where the true
• 27:56
  grinders get down or Billy Walters sends his number runners
• 27:59
  where the lowest juice possible. Is found at the South point or
• 28:02
  sweat and sharp contrarian plays.
• 28:03
  Jumping in the stadium, swimming.
• 28:04
  Pool when you catch a big. Ticket at Circa you're.
• 28:07
  Going to walk up to me. And we're just going to.
• 28:09
  Take that Miami ticket. And RIP it up.
• 28:11
  What? What a.
• 28:11
  Pathetic showing by the Dolphins there again, that final score.
• 28:15
  It was never that close. Just just a gross gross.
• 28:17
  Performance, but hey, after. A four in one Sunday.
• 28:20
  You lose the Monday night game, no big deal.
• 28:23
  We'll see if we can get it back here for tonight.
• 28:24
  Guys, but as always, leave you with this final thought coming
• 28:28
  off an O and ONE or A1. And OA winning night, a losing
• 28:31
  night, a winning week, a losing night.
• 28:33
  A great stretch. A terrible stretch, whether hot
• 28:35
  or cold or just. Grinding through the UPS.
• 28:37
  And downs of sports betting. It's part of the game.
• 28:40
  We just got to play, got to stay disciplined.
• 28:41
  With our bankroll management stick.
• 28:43
  To the model in the blueprint. Play the system matches when.
• 28:45
  They appear and bypass the ones. That have red.
• 28:48
  Flags so if we can find the games that.
• 28:49
  Fit our model against the house, or sorry against the public with
• 28:53
  the house with the pros. Flat bet, avoid parlays and get
• 28:56
  that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
• 28:58
  to be. Successful sports bettors.
• 29:00
  So have a. Fantastic Tuesday night,
• 29:01
  everybody be right back at it tomorrow for a big Wednesday.
• 29:05
  Edition. That'll be Hump.
• 29:06
  Day episode 4. 17 of the all systems.
• 29:09
  Go sports betting podcast. Powered.
• 29:11
  By rhythm. Good luck everybody, and let's
• 29:13
  go Jacksonville State. Good luck.