Latest / The President's Daily Brief / The PDB Situation Report | October 10th, 2026: How Hamas' October 7th Attack Changed the Middle East Forever
Transcript
- 0:07Welcome to the PDB Situation Report.
- 0:09I'm Mike Baker,
- 0:10your eyes and ears on the world stage.
- 0:12Oh,
- 0:13coming to you today
- 0:14from my posh wood paneled office at home on the Boise compound.
- 0:20Yeah,
- 0:20smells like rich mahogany,
- 0:21leather-bound books.
- 0:23Let's get briefed.
- 0:24First up,
- 0:25this week marks 3 years since the October 7th Hamas attacks,
- 0:29and the Middle East has been transformed by years
- 0:31of war and a widening conflict with Iran.
- 0:35Alex Selsky of the Middle East Forum
- 0:37will join us to examine how the strategic picture has changed and what lies ahead.
- 0:41Later in the show,
- 0:42federal officers are reporting a massive surge
- 0:45in terrorism-related encounters at the southern border.
- 0:48Well,
- 0:49that sounds good.
- 0:50Art Arthur of the Center for Immigration Studies
- 0:52joins us to break down what those numbers mean.
- 0:55But first,
- 0:55today's situation report Spotlight.
- 0:58This week marked 3 years since the brutal October
- 1:017th attacks when Hamas terrorists stormed into southern Israel,
- 1:05killing some 1200 people and
- 1:08taking more than 250 hostages.
- 1:11Three years later,
- 1:12the Middle East looks dramatically different.
- 1:14Israel has fought a devastating war in Gaza,
- 1:17battled Hezbollah in Lebanon,
- 1:19and now finds itself confronting Iran in a broader regional conflict
- 1:23that's drawn in the US.
- 1:25But how has the strategic picture in the Middle East changed over the past 3 years?
- 1:30Where does Israel stand today
- 1:32following its wars with Hamas,
- 1:34Hezbollah,
- 1:34and Iran?
- 1:36And after 3 years of fighting,
- 1:37well,
- 1:38what comes next?
- 1:39Joining me now is Alex Selsky,
- 1:41director of Israel and East Mediterranean Affairs at the Middle East Forum
- 1:45and a reserve Major in the IDF Home Front Command.
- 1:48Alex,
- 1:48thank you very much for taking the time to join us here on the Situation Report.
- 1:53Thank you,
- 1:53Mike.
- 1:53Good evening from Jerusalem.
- 1:55Thank you for having me.
- 1:56No,
- 1:56absolutely.
- 1:57Well,
- 1:58here we are,
- 1:593 years on
- 2:01from
- 2:02the 7th of October
- 2:032023 attacks.
- 2:06So much has changed,
- 2:07uh,
- 2:07in the Middle East.
- 2:09And
- 2:10I know this is gonna be
- 2:11a very
- 2:12difficult question because
- 2:14It's,
- 2:15it's hard to prioritize,
- 2:17but from your perspective,
- 2:193 years on now from those attacks.
- 2:23How would you assess the,
- 2:24the,
- 2:24the,
- 2:25the most important changes
- 2:27that have taken place?
- 2:28And again,
- 2:28that's a big playing field,
- 2:29but I want you to go wherever you'd like to go with this.
- 2:33Yes,
- 2:34well,
- 2:35I would like to mention maybe one big change,
- 2:38internal
- 2:39and one external.
- 2:41And I would like
- 2:42to start from internal.
- 2:43I think that Israelis
- 2:45have changed.
- 2:47And those who still believed in partnership
- 2:51and
- 2:53Um,
- 2:54negotiations
- 2:55with the Palestinians,
- 2:56I think were very,
- 2:57very disappointed.
- 2:58You have to understand that those in the
- 3:01area that was attacked,
- 3:03those in this,
- 3:04um,
- 3:05settlements,
- 3:06kibbutzim,
- 3:07right?
- 3:07Kibbutz is a
- 3:08kind of,
- 3:09uh,
- 3:10you know,
- 3:10a
- 3:11small community,
- 3:12communist kind of,
- 3:14right?
- 3:14It was shared
- 3:16and everything is shared between people and the,
- 3:19the people who live there.
- 3:21With the most pro Palestinian.
- 3:24They were helping Palestinians,
- 3:25sending their clothes to Gaza,
- 3:27taking children,
- 3:29Palestinian children to Israeli hospitals by their cars.
- 3:33And not only they were those who were attacked.
- 3:37In many cases,
- 3:38Mike,
- 3:38they were attacked
- 3:40and the intelligence on their
- 3:43home locations
- 3:45were provided by the families,
- 3:48by the workers that were working in the kibbutzim or by the families that they knew,
- 3:52and the disappointment,
- 3:53this deep disappointment was,
- 3:55was,
- 3:55was shocking for them.
- 3:57Now,
- 3:57you know,
- 3:57I in a way grew up in this area.
- 4:00I know the Syria,
- 4:01I know the people I know the kind of.
- 4:04You know,
- 4:05their opinions and their living.
- 4:07Uh,
- 4:07and,
- 4:08and I understand
- 4:10how deep they were disappointed.
- 4:12So I think that Israeli society.
- 4:15Has shifted
- 4:16toward the understanding that unfortunately
- 4:20justice
- 4:21doesn't provide security.
- 4:23What provides security is power.
- 4:26Military power.
- 4:28And being nice
- 4:31and providing good
- 4:33You know,
- 4:34doesn't provide security,
- 4:35definitely not in our area,
- 4:37definitely not with our neighbors.
- 4:39And this shift is very significant,
- 4:41first of all,
- 4:42because I think the young people.
- 4:45understood that they have to fight
- 4:47and it's not over,
- 4:48you know,
- 4:48we thought that many Israelis thought that we are in times of the,
- 4:53you know,
- 4:54beaches and,
- 4:55and,
- 4:55and,
- 4:55and sea and bars
- 4:57and.
- 4:58And,
- 4:59and high tech
- 5:00and Tel Aviv,
- 5:01you know,
- 5:01if you come to Tel Aviv,
- 5:02you see California.
- 5:04And we thought that we
- 5:06are
- 5:07in,
- 5:07in,
- 5:08in a stage of our development where we don't
- 5:10want to fight and we think we should not fight
- 5:13anymore.
- 5:14We want the wars and we're secured.
- 5:17And this generation
- 5:18of young people is spoiled,
- 5:20but we discovered that no.
- 5:23The young people
- 5:24went to the front line.
- 5:28The day after October 7th,
- 5:30people were,
- 5:32many,
- 5:32many young people were abroad in America and Europe traveling,
- 5:36you know,
- 5:36Israelis love traveling,
- 5:37you know,
- 5:38if you,
- 5:38if you travel,
- 5:39I'm sure you hear Hebrew a lot in,
- 5:41in,
- 5:42you know,
- 5:43we would just
- 5:44in some
- 5:45few places in,
- 5:46in,
- 5:46you know,
- 5:46in Georgia and other places and it's just amazing like you come to places
- 5:50you don't imagine you will find Israelis and you find and you hear Hebrew.
- 5:54And people
- 5:55paid 50,000
- 5:566 $7000
- 5:58to get on a plane
- 6:00to go back home to fight.
- 6:03To fight to defend your.
- 6:05You know,
- 6:06omelet,
- 6:07and,
- 6:08and this change is very significant politically
- 6:11because it shifts Israeli voter
- 6:14to the right.
- 6:16It shifts Israeli border against the Palestinian state because nobody
- 6:21will now risk
- 6:23to establish
- 6:24a Palestinian state next to Jerusalem.
- 6:28Right,
- 6:28and to think that another attack can come to Jerusalem
- 6:32and you know,
- 6:32the Palestinian Authority spread
- 6:35from the negative in the south to the Galilee in the north.
- 6:39So Israelis,
- 6:40even those who thought that,
- 6:42you know,
- 6:42it's OK,
- 6:43you know,
- 6:43we'll give up something
- 6:45and they will stop
- 6:46now understand that they will not stop and we will not give up,
- 6:50and this change is very significant and the external change,
- 6:53the biggest one I think.
- 6:55I,
- 6:56I really hope to believe that the world understood and our enemies understood
- 7:01that it's not worth
- 7:03raising hands on Jews even if they miss
- 7:07and if they
- 7:08fail,
- 7:09they will go after you
- 7:11and they will not give up and they will destroy you
- 7:15and I think that we are on our way to destroy Hamas and we definitely.
- 7:19On our way to destroy Hezbollah,
- 7:21and I hope that we are on our way also to destroy the
- 7:25Islamic Republic who is in fact,
- 7:27you know,
- 7:28in fact the one
- 7:30that provides all this
- 7:33situation
- 7:34and others who support him,
- 7:36but we cannot destroy,
- 7:37but we,
- 7:38I hope,
- 7:39will stop and we are very determined
- 7:41and we are very strong and we're stronger and we woke up
- 7:45at October 7th.
- 7:47Understanding that we have to fight and we will fight.
- 7:52What,
- 7:52what is the potential for
- 7:54the upcoming elections
- 7:57to change that
- 7:58position,
- 8:00right?
- 8:00What if,
- 8:01because I,
- 8:01I think in the US sometimes things
- 8:03can get
- 8:04simplified,
- 8:04right?
- 8:04And so
- 8:05all those young
- 8:07folks who go out in the streets and wave their free Palestine.
- 8:11Uh,
- 8:11signs
- 8:12and protests,
- 8:13uh,
- 8:13against Israel.
- 8:14Um,
- 8:15you know,
- 8:16their,
- 8:16their
- 8:17number one enemy,
- 8:18their Lex Luthor is,
- 8:19is Benjamin Netanyahu.
- 8:21And
- 8:21so I think in their minds,
- 8:23you know,
- 8:23they,
- 8:23they,
- 8:24I don't know that they study it much,
- 8:25but they look at the upcoming election and they
- 8:27think if Netanyahu can just be moved out,
- 8:29then things will change.
- 8:32Is it,
- 8:33Is that the case,
- 8:35or do you think that
- 8:36Israel will stay the course
- 8:38in terms of its approach towards
- 8:41these,
- 8:41the,
- 8:41these enemies of Israel?
- 8:45A very good and very important question,
- 8:47Mike.
- 8:48First of all,
- 8:48I want to start from the fact that I don't believe,
- 8:51and I think that nobody believes.
- 8:54That all these protesters are genuine,
- 8:57we understand today very well.
- 9:00And I invite everybody to uh
- 9:04visit online the website of the Middle East for and read
- 9:08what we produce.
- 9:09Uh,
- 9:10most of the discourse and most of the protests
- 9:15are not genuine.
- 9:15They're all organized,
- 9:17funded
- 9:18by external external powers by Iran,
- 9:22by Qatar,
- 9:22backed by.
- 9:24Russia,
- 9:25China,
- 9:26and,
- 9:26uh,
- 9:26and unfortunately the political discourse today in America
- 9:31and partly in Israel
- 9:33and
- 9:34partly
- 9:35also in Europe
- 9:37is not local,
- 9:38is manipulated
- 9:40and uh you know,
- 9:41it was very,
- 9:42very clear
- 9:44that the whole
- 9:46attack
- 9:47in campuses and in the media on Israel about this genocide lie,
- 9:52which is a lie,
- 9:53Mike.
- 9:54Was orchestrated and pre-prepared now how we can see it very easily,
- 9:59you know,
- 9:59when was the first protest
- 10:02with a sign
- 10:04with the claim of genocide in Gaza on it
- 10:07on October
- 10:088th,
- 10:09you know,
- 10:09when the Israeli army entered Gaza
- 10:13for ground operation
- 10:15two weeks after.
- 10:17So we understand
- 10:18that the whole media attack
- 10:21and the whole
- 10:23information warfare attack
- 10:24was very,
- 10:25very significantly
- 10:27pre-organized,
- 10:29and the October 7th was actually a hook
- 10:32on which they started the whole
- 10:35operation
- 10:36very,
- 10:36very heavily funded.
- 10:39This is one
- 10:40second part of your question.
- 10:42I don't believe.
- 10:44That
- 10:45even if
- 10:46it will be a shift in Israeli politics,
- 10:50meaning the opposition will take control,
- 10:53I don't think
- 10:55that the
- 10:56the the major policies.
- 10:59Security economically too.
- 11:02It will be changed.
- 11:04Look at the people in the opposition.
- 11:07Lieberman is not different
- 11:10in his security views and in a way maybe even
- 11:14more
- 11:15hawkish than Netanyahu,
- 11:18and Eisenutt,
- 11:19former chief of staff,
- 11:21you know,
- 11:21he,
- 11:22he speaks softer
- 11:24in some things he's softer,
- 11:26but.
- 11:27I don't think that she
- 11:29will be really changing
- 11:31major policies.
- 11:32Bennett,
- 11:33definitely not.
- 11:35Lapite,
- 11:36no,
- 11:36Lapite said we are the new Likud
- 11:39in one of the interviews I heard him personally,
- 11:42uh,
- 11:43couple 3 months ago.
- 11:45So Yir Golan maybe,
- 11:47but he will not be in,
- 11:48in,
- 11:49in,
- 11:49in,
- 11:49in,
- 11:50in,
- 11:50in a way,
- 11:51in a position and capacity to lead.
- 11:54So I really don't think maybe,
- 11:56you know,
- 11:56the change will be.
- 11:59More
- 12:00Bipartisan approach to American politics,
- 12:03for example.
- 12:04Maybe it will be more,
- 12:07um,
- 12:08uh,
- 12:08uh,
- 12:09you know,
- 12:10internally
- 12:12some changes,
- 12:13definitely much more
- 12:14anti-ultra orthodox policy,
- 12:17but this is the internal and by the way,
- 12:19it's also much more
- 12:21pro-security position.
- 12:23So
- 12:23I don't really think.
- 12:25That if this opposition
- 12:27wins,
- 12:28you will see a major shift
- 12:30in security policies.
- 12:33OK,
- 12:33that's very interesting.
- 12:34And,
- 12:34and to what degree
- 12:36do
- 12:37Israelis,
- 12:37citizens in
- 12:39Tel Aviv and elsewhere,
- 12:41Follow
- 12:42US politics.
- 12:43I mean,
- 12:44uh,
- 12:44looking at the midterm elections in the US that are coming up.
- 12:47Um,
- 12:49Is there a concern over what could happen if,
- 12:51if,
- 12:51for example,
- 12:52the Trump administration,
- 12:53if the Republicans lose,
- 12:55uh,
- 12:55control of the,
- 12:56the House or possibly even the Senate?
- 12:59And
- 13:00are they concerned or are they,
- 13:01are they,
- 13:02are they following this closely and understanding sort of the vitriol and the,
- 13:06the,
- 13:06uh,
- 13:06anger,
- 13:07I think that the progressives within,
- 13:09uh,
- 13:10the Democratic Party have towards Israel?
- 13:14Well,
- 13:14like,
- 13:15I'm must say first of all,
- 13:16Israel is very,
- 13:18very,
- 13:18very pro-American.
- 13:21People in the way of
- 13:24a,
- 13:24you know,
- 13:24we leave America.
- 13:27OK,
- 13:27we speak English,
- 13:29uh,
- 13:30our movies are with no dubbing,
- 13:32with no translation,
- 13:33only subtitles.
- 13:36Uh,
- 13:36if you go to schools,
- 13:38you see,
- 13:39uh,
- 13:40from,
- 13:40you know,
- 13:40from 3rd grade,
- 13:42uh,
- 13:42children,
- 13:43um,
- 13:44learn English in universities,
- 13:45you have,
- 13:46you know,
- 13:46I teach at a college,
- 13:48uh,
- 13:48and I see how,
- 13:50you know,
- 13:50uh,
- 13:51how many sources are in English and we are demanding our.
- 13:56Average Israeli knows what's happening in America,
- 14:00been to America many times,
- 14:02traveled in America,
- 14:04uh,
- 14:05knows America,
- 14:06has.
- 14:07Either family or friends
- 14:11in America.
- 14:14Watches NBA
- 14:16and American movies.
- 14:17OK,
- 14:17so,
- 14:18so first of all,
- 14:19average Israeli knows America,
- 14:21OK,
- 14:21and,
- 14:22and,
- 14:22and in,
- 14:23in a way understand,
- 14:25understands American politics
- 14:27and more educated people,
- 14:30uh,
- 14:30definitely understand differently follow differently,
- 14:34understand the meaning of American politics
- 14:37and if you speak about,
- 14:38you know,
- 14:39the,
- 14:39uh,
- 14:39the,
- 14:40uh.
- 14:42Yeah,
- 14:42the care and the,
- 14:44the understanding what
- 14:46a
- 14:47Democratic Party versus a Republican Party can,
- 14:51you know,
- 14:51can change toward Israel.
- 14:53I think that
- 14:54Israelis today understand the,
- 14:57the risk.
- 14:59Unfortunately,
- 15:00in,
- 15:01in
- 15:02the tendencies
- 15:04that we see in the Democratic Party in the left
- 15:07of the Democratic Party and the far right
- 15:09of the Republican Party
- 15:11and understand that,
- 15:12you know,
- 15:13these things have changed toward Israel.
- 15:16You know,
- 15:17America was very pro-Israel and
- 15:20until,
- 15:21I don't know,
- 15:2158.
- 15:24I don't know,
- 15:24many even
- 15:25will say 3 years.
- 15:27It was kind of a,
- 15:28uh,
- 15:29you know,
- 15:29axio that,
- 15:30you know,
- 15:31people knew America is
- 15:33pro-Israeli and Israel is very,
- 15:34very pro-American and today to see these changes,
- 15:37to see anti-Semitism in New York,
- 15:39in New York,
- 15:40you know,
- 15:40I've been to
- 15:41Brooklyn a few months ago and I was,
- 15:43you know,
- 15:43I was an emissary of uh
- 15:45Uh,
- 15:46one of the biggest Israeli organizations that works with the Jews
- 15:49in diaspora.
- 15:50I was an emissary for advocacy on campuses 22 years ago in Brooklyn.
- 15:54I know Brooklyn,
- 15:55OK.
- 15:56I was
- 15:57on every CUNY campus you,
- 15:59you,
- 15:59you,
- 15:59you can imagine,
- 16:00and I came to my friend in Ocean Avenue,
- 16:03you know,
- 16:03Ocean Avenue,
- 16:04like every two blocks,
- 16:05you have a yeshiva
- 16:06and you have
- 16:07Jews,
- 16:08and he tells me,
- 16:09listen,
- 16:09be,
- 16:09be careful with speaking Hebrew outside.
- 16:11I'm like,
- 16:11what?
- 16:12I'm in Brooklyn
- 16:14I'm in Ocean Avenue.
- 16:15What,
- 16:15what do you mean?
- 16:16I was shocked,
- 16:18uh,
- 16:19and,
- 16:19and,
- 16:20and this is just getting worse
- 16:22now.
- 16:22I don't want to be political.
- 16:24I don't wanna be political,
- 16:25but these tendencies,
- 16:27I think that people must understand that the problem,
- 16:29the biggest problem is.
- 16:31That this is external influence,
- 16:34that these changes are not American.
- 16:37They are orchestrated from outside
- 16:39and sorry for saying that,
- 16:41you know,
- 16:41so sharply,
- 16:43but I think that if you don't wake up.
- 16:46And if you don't cut it,
- 16:48In 20-30 years,
- 16:49you will not have America as you love it.
- 16:52As
- 16:52we love it.
- 16:53Yeah,
- 16:53I,
- 16:53I think it's,
- 16:54it's not uncommon for any protest movement,
- 16:58um,
- 16:59whether it's the Free Palestine movement,
- 17:01whether it's,
- 17:02you know,
- 17:02Black Lives Matter,
- 17:03whatever it may be,
- 17:04Antifa,
- 17:06to,
- 17:07you know,
- 17:07have the appearance of a grassroots
- 17:10sort of community-based protest,
- 17:12but
- 17:13Inevitably,
- 17:14when you peel away the layers,
- 17:16you do find
- 17:18organization behind it.
- 17:18You find
- 17:19financing behind it,
- 17:20you find legal support behind it,
- 17:22communication support behind it,
- 17:24and it,
- 17:25and it's clear how organized it is.
- 17:27It's very interesting.
- 17:28Mayor Mamdani from New York City,
- 17:29Alex,
- 17:30um,
- 17:31was out on the streets yesterday for
- 17:35a couple of
- 17:367th October
- 17:38events,
- 17:39one held by,
- 17:40uh,
- 17:40Israelis for Peace.
- 17:42Right,
- 17:42which is an interesting
- 17:44organization.
- 17:45But during that event,
- 17:47uh,
- 17:47pro-Palestinian protesters,
- 17:50uh,
- 17:50sort of crashed the event and disrupted it and started yelling,
- 17:54and they were very angry with Mokdani.
- 17:56And Mamdani was clearly shaken up.
- 17:58He's like,
- 17:58how,
- 17:59how could I be any more pro-Palestinian?
- 18:01But
- 18:01you can't satisfy them because
- 18:04even Mamdani was
- 18:06taking criticism and they were shouting at him
- 18:08and selling today saying he's a sellout.
- 18:10And he was clearly
- 18:12shaken up.
- 18:12I,
- 18:13I don't know why he should be smart enough to know that you can't satisfy the mob,
- 18:17right?
- 18:18Um,
- 18:18and so anyway,
- 18:19I feel,
- 18:19I,
- 18:21Uh,
- 18:21I'm sorry,
- 18:21I,
- 18:22I,
- 18:22I,
- 18:22I've gotta stop right there just for a second.
- 18:24We gotta take a quick break.
- 18:25I apologize for that.
- 18:26But when we come back,
- 18:28I,
- 18:28I wanna talk more,
- 18:29uh,
- 18:29with,
- 18:30uh,
- 18:30with Alex about Iran in particular.
- 18:33Uh,
- 18:33we'll be right back here with more on the situation report.
- 18:36So you know what I always say,
- 18:37Well,
- 18:38stick around.
- 18:39Hey,
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- 19:57Welcome back to the PDB Situation Report.
- 20:00Joining me once again is Alex Selsky,
- 20:02director of Israel and East Mediterranean Affairs
- 20:05at the Middle East Forum.
- 20:06He joins us from Jerusalem.
- 20:08Alex,
- 20:08thank you very much,
- 20:09uh,
- 20:09for being here on The Situation Report.
- 20:12And cute
- 20:14Now,
- 20:17I,
- 20:17I,
- 20:17this is,
- 20:18uh,
- 20:18this is a tough one,
- 20:21because,
- 20:21in part because I think the numbers
- 20:23are never accurate.
- 20:24They never are in a,
- 20:25in a war zone.
- 20:26Um,
- 20:27but all those that are accusing Israel of genocide,
- 20:30right?
- 20:31They tend to cite the Gaza Health Ministry,
- 20:33which of course is run by Hamas,
- 20:35and they cite over 70,000 killed,
- 20:38um,
- 20:39during the course of this.
- 20:41Uh,
- 20:41after the 7th October attacks.
- 20:43First of all,
- 20:44do you have any insight into the credibility of that number?
- 20:49And then second of all,
- 20:50to those that say this is horrendous or they
- 20:53call it genocide or they say it's a disproportionate
- 20:56response,
- 20:57the 7th of October,
- 20:59how do you respond?
- 21:00What do you say to that?
- 21:03Unlike,
- 21:03as I already mentioned,
- 21:05uh,
- 21:05very unfortunately,
- 21:06we see that all these claims didn't start after Israel
- 21:11entered with ground operation in Gaza.
- 21:13All these claims started before the operation,
- 21:16which just shows us
- 21:18that they didn't really mean
- 21:20to claim something justified.
- 21:22They just wanted to attack
- 21:24and discredit Israel by any means.
- 21:27Uh,
- 21:28and it was a very planned,
- 21:30very well funded
- 21:33campaign in media,
- 21:35in social media,
- 21:36on campuses,
- 21:37on every street.
- 21:38Now
- 21:39regarding the claim itself,
- 21:41uh Mike,
- 21:42I am a reserve major
- 21:44in the IDF.
- 21:45What I do in the army,
- 21:48uh,
- 21:48is I speak on the media
- 21:51to Israeli public when the rockets fall
- 21:54to give them the instructions of the home front command.
- 21:58To explain the instructions of the home front command
- 22:02and to keep their
- 22:06resilience strong to,
- 22:07to,
- 22:08to keep going.
- 22:10During emergency
- 22:11And I can tell you from within,
- 22:13you know,
- 22:13I'm
- 22:15almost 50.
- 22:16And I'm in the IDF.
- 22:18I think this is the organization I'm the longest time in
- 22:22since I was 19,
- 22:23right?
- 22:23Not every day,
- 22:24you know,
- 22:25reserve is
- 22:2623 months a year,
- 22:27but,
- 22:28but,
- 22:28but you leave this.
- 22:30The way the army of Israel.
- 22:34Tries to do everything like everything
- 22:38to not hurt
- 22:40those who should not be hurt is,
- 22:43is,
- 22:43is outstanding.
- 22:45I know,
- 22:46you know,
- 22:46Israeli army is people's army.
- 22:49It's not professional army.
- 22:51It's my brother,
- 22:53it's me,
- 22:54it's my sister,
- 22:55it's my friends.
- 22:56It's not somebody,
- 22:58it's us,
- 22:59OK?
- 23:00And.
- 23:01People,
- 23:02you know,
- 23:02and the Israeli army in,
- 23:04in,
- 23:04in,
- 23:05in a,
- 23:05in a very significant way is based on reserve.
- 23:08Now reserve are those who have families.
- 23:11Have children.
- 23:12You
- 23:14believe me,
- 23:14you,
- 23:15you,
- 23:15you will not see people who want to kill.
- 23:18And if you just learn history,
- 23:20and you understand Jews,
- 23:21and you know Judaism,
- 23:23and you know the approach to life,
- 23:25you know,
- 23:25the Jews
- 23:26not only don't like
- 23:28violence,
- 23:29they're not violent people historically.
- 23:32OK,
- 23:33so these claims are so false.
- 23:35Now,
- 23:36if you just go into these claims really,
- 23:38uh,
- 23:39and you start looking at it,
- 23:41so how can you trust these numbers to what the,
- 23:44the
- 23:45health
- 23:46department,
- 23:47the health ministry,
- 23:48this is Hamas.
- 23:49They will say everything,
- 23:50you know,
- 23:51just to understand Hamas and their cruelty.
- 23:54Go and see.
- 23:55I really,
- 23:56really,
- 23:56really ask every viewer,
- 23:58you,
- 23:58Mike,
- 23:59go and see.
- 24:01The ceremony
- 24:03Of the returning of the bodies of the small children.
- 24:08Of Biba's family.
- 24:10They created
- 24:12big
- 24:14uh uh black,
- 24:16um,
- 24:17how do you call it,
- 24:18uh,
- 24:18you know,
- 24:19where you put the bodies in
- 24:20and they called
- 24:22small children.
- 24:23They were children.
- 24:24One of them I think was less than one year,
- 24:26and they called that they were,
- 24:28uh,
- 24:29you know,
- 24:29they called the,
- 24:30uh the soldiers or something.
- 24:32They lie.
- 24:33They do propaganda all the time.
- 24:35That's all they do.
- 24:36They lie all the time.
- 24:37We know about this
- 24:39industry of lie.
- 24:40And we know how much of what they show
- 24:43is just false.
- 24:45We cannot,
- 24:46we,
- 24:46we cannot,
- 24:47how you believe them.
- 24:48This is one,
- 24:49and I want to say something else,
- 24:51but I want to say something else,
- 24:52Mike.
- 24:52Oh,
- 24:52OK,
- 24:53go ahead,
- 24:53go ahead.
- 24:54But I want to say something else.
- 24:56You know,
- 24:56I can explain to you
- 24:58how they're bad and how we are good
- 25:01and how we try and how they lie,
- 25:04but I will tell you something very,
- 25:05very different.
- 25:07You don't want casualties.
- 25:10Don't raise hands on our children.
- 25:12If you raise hands on our children,
- 25:13you'll have casualties.
- 25:15And let it and these times,
- 25:18this era.
- 25:20When Jews were homeless,
- 25:22weak,
- 25:23minority without any power that you could beat
- 25:27without paying a price are over.
- 25:30If you raise hands on Jews,
- 25:31you'll pay a very significant price.
- 25:33They don't talk to me,
- 25:34please,
- 25:34about portion disproportional.
- 25:37I don't care.
- 25:39You know now
- 25:40you don't have Jews.
- 25:41Don't mess with Jews.
- 25:43We are very good in science and business and culture.
- 25:46We are so good
- 25:47in peaceful things.
- 25:49Do business with us.
- 25:50You want to fight with us,
- 25:51that's what you get.
- 25:53Yeah,
- 25:53I think this,
- 25:54I mean,
- 25:54clearly,
- 25:55I'm not sure how you argue against the notion that if,
- 25:58if Hamas,
- 25:59Yahya Sinwar and,
- 26:01and,
- 26:01uh,
- 26:02their Iranian puppet masters and others had
- 26:05not
- 26:06gone into southern Israel and brutalized and killed
- 26:09all those Israeli civilians and families,
- 26:12yeah,
- 26:13that total number
- 26:14of,
- 26:15wouldn't be 70,000 or plus or whatever it is based on the Hamas's own numbers,
- 26:21it'll be 0.
- 26:22So,
- 26:24yeah,
- 26:24again,
- 26:24I think there's,
- 26:25and,
- 26:25and,
- 26:26and I do,
- 26:27I do agree.
- 26:27I,
- 26:27I think it's important for people because it's very easy.
- 26:30And I think in the US,
- 26:32um,
- 26:33in part because
- 26:34there's a lot of people,
- 26:36young people in particular,
- 26:37who don't necessarily feel as if they've got a,
- 26:39A mission or a purpose or a community
- 26:42or whatever.
- 26:43So it's very easy to glom on to something,
- 26:45to attach themselves to something.
- 26:47So when you get a protest movement like this,
- 26:49you can feel very self-righteous,
- 26:52but you don't have to do anything about it.
- 26:53You don't do anything other than maybe wave a sign,
- 26:56um,
- 26:57or criticize,
- 26:58and
- 26:59you don't do the research.
- 27:00Now,
- 27:01let,
- 27:01let me ask you this.
- 27:03There's been a lot of talk
- 27:05about
- 27:06And kind of taking a little bit of a shift.
- 27:08There's been a lot of talk about
- 27:10how it happened.
- 27:13Do you think there's any
- 27:15Truth to the idea,
- 27:17to the concept that
- 27:18the Israeli government was,
- 27:20was essentially lulled
- 27:22into a state of complacency by Hamas.
- 27:25Meaning Hamas actually by design,
- 27:28wanted the Israeli government to think that they were
- 27:31turning over a new leaf.
- 27:32It was a new day.
- 27:33They weren't necessarily interested in hos uh hostilities.
- 27:36They wanted to
- 27:37just find a better life.
- 27:39And so perhaps that led to some complacency.
- 27:45Like,
- 27:45you know,
- 27:46we Jews,
- 27:47we want to believe in peace,
- 27:50and it's very,
- 27:51very easy for us to believe in peace,
- 27:53you know,
- 27:54I,
- 27:54um,
- 27:55I can
- 27:56recommend you many,
- 27:57many books that show how
- 27:59You know,
- 27:59Israelis were shifting very,
- 28:02very fast after signing agreements with our
- 28:06neighbors and,
- 28:07and thinking of,
- 28:08you know,
- 28:09a cooperation and travels and tourism.
- 28:13So yes,
- 28:14for
- 28:15us,
- 28:15it was apparently,
- 28:17and we started,
- 28:18you remember speaking about the
- 28:20people in the kibbutzim who were.
- 28:23So
- 28:24kind and so naive,
- 28:26you know,
- 28:27helping to Palestinians thinking that,
- 28:29you know,
- 28:30if,
- 28:30if we help them,
- 28:31they will stop their violence and they discovered that it's exactly the opposite,
- 28:36that the hate is so big that they even.
- 28:40Ready to kill those who helped them.
- 28:42So yes,
- 28:43I'm sure that the Israeli leadership that the Israeli military,
- 28:47you know,
- 28:48as I told you,
- 28:48Israeli military,
- 28:49it's not
- 28:51some professional army,
- 28:52it's us.
- 28:54It's us,
- 28:54it's me.
- 28:55OK,
- 28:56and I have children,
- 28:57and believe me,
- 28:57I don't want to hurt anybody.
- 29:00But,
- 29:00but war is not nice.
- 29:02And you know,
- 29:03this hypocrisy that,
- 29:04you know,
- 29:05uh,
- 29:05that everybody can fight,
- 29:07right?
- 29:07Everybody can fight to defend himself.
- 29:10I just want to remind you,
- 29:11you know,
- 29:11America defended itself
- 29:13and ended the biggest,
- 29:15the bloodiest war on earth in history,
- 29:17the Second World War,
- 29:19not by justice,
- 29:20by two
- 29:22bumps
- 29:23on.
- 29:24250,000 innocent people.
- 29:28That's how they
- 29:29finished the war with Japan.
- 29:31And now coming to Israel and saying,
- 29:33you know,
- 29:34how can you fight?
- 29:36Excuse me,
- 29:37why everybody can't fight and win,
- 29:39but Jews know,
- 29:40so again,
- 29:42please get this idea
- 29:43finally.
- 29:45The Jews
- 29:46have the right to live
- 29:47and have the right to have self-determination.
- 29:50By the way,
- 29:51our country is so small,
- 29:53when you come here,
- 29:54you discover you're not.
- 29:56We want our small room
- 29:59to be able
- 30:00to sleep here
- 30:02and to be as we are.
- 30:04And by the way,
- 30:05we did it
- 30:06after 2000 years.
- 30:07Nobody wanted us
- 30:08in any place.
- 30:09Everybody expelled us.
- 30:10I came from the former Soviet Union to Israel,
- 30:13and before that my family escaped during the Holocaust from
- 30:16Poland and before that from Spain to Poland.
- 30:18I'm not running away anymore.
- 30:20I came back.
- 30:22The family name of my mother is Israel,
- 30:24so no doubt.
- 30:26That I'm from here originally.
- 30:29We are back
- 30:30and please stop this hypocrisy.
- 30:31Get the idea
- 30:33that Jews.
- 30:35Uh,
- 30:36you know,
- 30:36you,
- 30:36you,
- 30:36you,
- 30:37you,
- 30:37you cannot demand from Jews more than from all the others.
- 30:41Jews want to leave,
- 30:42Jews will leave,
- 30:43and Jews will defend themselves.
- 30:45Yeah,
- 30:46there is a very worrisome
- 30:47sort of anti-Semitism that's rising in the,
- 30:50in the US it seems.
- 30:52And
- 30:53sometimes it's masked.
- 30:53They'll,
- 30:54you know,
- 30:54you talk to someone and they'll say,
- 30:55I'm not anti-Semitic,
- 30:56I'm anti-Zionist.
- 30:59And
- 31:00that's an easy cover for them to,
- 31:02to say,
- 31:03well,
- 31:03look,
- 31:03I see,
- 31:04and they,
- 31:04then they,
- 31:04so they can justify it by trying to say
- 31:06that they're anti-Zionist.
- 31:08Um,
- 31:08let me,
- 31:08let me,
- 31:09let me ask you this though,
- 31:11because again,
- 31:113 years on from 7 October,
- 31:14I know that there has been a lot of reflection within the government,
- 31:17within the security services,
- 31:19within the military
- 31:20over just
- 31:21how this
- 31:22happened.
- 31:22And so that's kind of what I'm drilling down on.
- 31:24I just wanna know
- 31:25what your assessment is because obviously,
- 31:28look,
- 31:29You know,
- 31:29I spent 20 years in,
- 31:31in,
- 31:31in
- 31:31intelligence and
- 31:34So it's not,
- 31:35it's not,
- 31:36you know,
- 31:37unfair to say this was an intelligence failure to a degree.
- 31:41I'm curious about
- 31:43what you've seen or
- 31:45your perception
- 31:46of lessons learned in terms of how it happened.
- 31:50Where was the breakdown.
- 31:53Um,
- 31:543 things.
- 31:57And I want to go from,
- 31:58you know,
- 31:58from big to small.
- 32:00First of all,
- 32:00as I told you,
- 32:01I think that,
- 32:02you know,
- 32:02this,
- 32:03you know,
- 32:04we call it in Hebrew
- 32:06on Sea,
- 32:06like this perception.
- 32:09Of
- 32:10a um.
- 32:11If
- 32:12our neighbors want to leave.
- 32:15Uh,
- 32:16because we think so,
- 32:17because we want to live.
- 32:19Uh,
- 32:19and they just want to rule,
- 32:21and they love their children too.
- 32:24Um,
- 32:25uh,
- 32:26Jews,
- 32:26again,
- 32:26you know,
- 32:27we came back after 2000 years of,
- 32:30uh,
- 32:32of diaspora.
- 32:34And uh um
- 32:36And after a few wars,
- 32:38uh,
- 32:39Israelis wanted to really
- 32:41think
- 32:41that,
- 32:42you know,
- 32:42we,
- 32:42we,
- 32:43everything is normal,
- 32:44and they believed
- 32:46that our neighbors want
- 32:48the same,
- 32:48but
- 32:49they didn't.
- 32:50Now,
- 32:51if you drill in into the,
- 32:54the exactly the situation,
- 32:55so two things.
- 32:57First of all,
- 32:57it was a policy of the government
- 33:00of Netanyahu.
- 33:02To keep
- 33:03Hamas
- 33:05as a terror
- 33:06organization on our southern border.
- 33:09In order to prevent establishment
- 33:12of the Palestinian state because he believed.
- 33:16And justified belief
- 33:19that
- 33:20while
- 33:21the Palestinian movement is split,
- 33:25And one of them
- 33:27I
- 33:28identified as a terror organization,
- 33:30the world will not let them
- 33:32have a state.
- 33:34This is true,
- 33:36but Hamas
- 33:38grew up
- 33:39too much
- 33:41and became too strong
- 33:42and too threatening.
- 33:44Now today,
- 33:45the,
- 33:45the,
- 33:46the,
- 33:46the common perception is that Israel had to
- 33:49fight Hamas and disarm Hamas,
- 33:52at least with the rockets
- 33:55and missiles,
- 33:57rockets,
- 33:58um.
- 33:59That can strengthen Israeli civilians in
- 34:03the Gaza war in 2014,
- 34:05and Israel didn't do that.
- 34:07Why?
- 34:07Because of the price
- 34:09of
- 34:11lives
- 34:11of soldiers that we
- 34:13apparently had to pay.
- 34:16And uh and this is first.
- 34:19So the policy was having Hamas.
- 34:23Age politically
- 34:24assuming that it will serve Israel and we know today that
- 34:27Netanyahu had this policy backed by
- 34:30other
- 34:31partners in the government.
- 34:33And the second
- 34:34is,
- 34:34as I told you,
- 34:35this perception
- 34:37backed by our
- 34:39desire to believe that our neighbors love their children too.
- 34:43In intelligence,
- 34:44I think that
- 34:45in terms of intelligence,
- 34:47the army,
- 34:48the Shin Bet,
- 34:49the Mossad had the information.
- 34:51The problem was not collecting the intelligence.
- 34:55The problem was
- 34:56to translate the data
- 34:58into intention.
- 35:00You know,
- 35:00intelligence is not only about
- 35:02data,
- 35:03about knowing,
- 35:04you know,
- 35:04you can know that your neighbor
- 35:06has a gun.
- 35:09But
- 35:10do you really believe that he will use it?
- 35:13So we today understand that when your neighbor has a gun
- 35:16and he tells you that he will use it,
- 35:18believe him.
- 35:20OK,
- 35:21and prevent him.
- 35:23So this,
- 35:24I think that the problem was not the intelligence.
- 35:27The problem was
- 35:28that the people
- 35:29who had the intelligence didn't believe
- 35:32that Hamas would really strike
- 35:34because,
- 35:35you know,
- 35:35Hamas is weak.
- 35:36We will beat him,
- 35:37you know,
- 35:38how come they can do that?
- 35:39How come they would do that?
- 35:40And Hamas,
- 35:41by the way,
- 35:41did smartly everything
- 35:43during a few years before
- 35:45to,
- 35:45you know,
- 35:46to make,
- 35:46to,
- 35:47to,
- 35:47to,
- 35:47to,
- 35:47to,
- 35:48to make us very sleepy.
- 35:50And think that they really want just rule.
- 35:52And,
- 35:53and by the way,
- 35:53the life in Gaza
- 35:55prior to October 7th was very,
- 35:58very good.
- 35:59If you just look
- 36:00at the,
- 36:01at the standard of living in Gaza before October 7th,
- 36:04it was higher than uh than,
- 36:07than you think.
- 36:08It was not,
- 36:09you know,
- 36:09as Palestinians like to claim that it was,
- 36:11you know,
- 36:12a closed,
- 36:13uh,
- 36:14um.
- 36:16Uh,
- 36:16uh,
- 36:17you know,
- 36:17closed,
- 36:18isolated community with nothing entering in
- 36:22a prison,
- 36:23right?
- 36:23It was not prison.
- 36:24It was a thriving
- 36:26place.
- 36:26By the way,
- 36:27one of the
- 36:28most beautiful beaches in the world are in Gaza,
- 36:30OK,
- 36:31and,
- 36:32uh,
- 36:32and
- 36:33Israelis looked at it and thought,
- 36:35OK,
- 36:35they want to live.
- 36:36But again,
- 36:37we don't want,
- 36:38we don't,
- 36:39I don't want to generalize all the Gazans,
- 36:41right,
- 36:41and definitely not all the Gazans support Hamas,
- 36:44and many,
- 36:45many of them exactly like in many other
- 36:48Muslim countries
- 36:49are forced
- 36:50to support Hamas because they don't have other choice,
- 36:53like,
- 36:53you know,
- 36:54speaking of
- 36:55journalists in Gaza,
- 36:56you know,
- 36:56you cannot be journalists in Gaza.
- 36:58You can be
- 36:59just
- 37:00someone that serves Hamas,
- 37:01otherwise you will be killed brutally.
- 37:03OK.
- 37:04Think about Taliban in Afghanistan.
- 37:06This is not.
- 37:07So far from that.
- 37:08So that's,
- 37:09that's the real problem,
- 37:10and I think we woke up
- 37:12and we understand today that,
- 37:13you know,
- 37:14if your neighbor has a gun
- 37:15and he tells you that you want to use it,
- 37:17be with him.
- 37:19Yeah,
- 37:20I look,
- 37:20the,
- 37:20the,
- 37:21the,
- 37:22the situation you're describing from an intelligence perspective is not unlike
- 37:269/11 in the US,
- 37:28right?
- 37:28We were collecting intelligence.
- 37:30Part of the problem was
- 37:32it wasn't being shared,
- 37:33so nobody
- 37:34was really collecting.
- 37:35Intelligence from various elements.
- 37:37It was all being siloed,
- 37:39and
- 37:40nobody was looking at the bigger picture.
- 37:42Part of it also,
- 37:43I think what you're describing is
- 37:46the way that intelligence collected by whomever,
- 37:49Mossad and Shinbed,
- 37:52uh,
- 37:52can be manipulated by a government's agenda
- 37:56or by a desire of a government to go a certain direction.
- 38:00So sometimes the intelligence is missed,
- 38:03sometimes it's ignored,
- 38:05sometimes it's manipulated.
- 38:08And,
- 38:08uh,
- 38:08yeah.
- 38:09Listen,
- 38:09Alex,
- 38:10this has been fascinating.
- 38:11We haven't even gotten into the discussion about Iran.
- 38:13So you know that means
- 38:15that you have to join the Situation Report again,
- 38:18uh,
- 38:18if you will,
- 38:19Adley,
- 38:19Mike.
- 38:21Excellent.
- 38:21Listen,
- 38:22thank you,
- 38:22Alex Zelsky,
- 38:23very,
- 38:24very good to have you here on the show.
- 38:26Middle East Forum,
- 38:27uh,
- 38:27from Jerusalem.
- 38:29Uh,
- 38:29a lot of complex issues there,
- 38:31you know,
- 38:322025 minutes,
- 38:3330 minutes doesn't give us time to do much,
- 38:35but scratch the surface.
- 38:36But I think it's extremely important to get perspective from
- 38:40somebody like that sitting in Jerusalem,
- 38:43uh,
- 38:43with the IDF,
- 38:45um,
- 38:45and
- 38:46you can agree,
- 38:47you can disagree.
- 38:49But you still have to listen,
- 38:51and that's,
- 38:52that's the way that you
- 38:53legitimately form an educated,
- 38:56uh,
- 38:56thought.
- 38:57Derek,
- 38:58now I can climb off my soapbox.
- 39:00Coming up next,
- 39:01more than 11,000 terrorism-related encounters at southern border ports of entry
- 39:06and a surprising explanation
- 39:08for why those numbers are climbing.
- 39:10Art Arthur,
- 39:10you know him,
- 39:11he's a friend of the Situation Report.
- 39:13He's with the Center for Immigration Studies.
- 39:15He joins us to dig into the details.
- 39:17Stay with us.
- 39:19Hey,
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- 40:29Welcome back to the PDB situation report.
- 40:32A remarkable new statistic from the southern border is raising questions about
- 40:36who is trying to enter the US and how effectively we're catching them.
- 40:41According to Customs and Border Protection,
- 40:42CBP,
- 40:44officers at Southwest border courts of entry recorded more than 11,000.
- 40:4911,000 terrorism-related encounters
- 40:52during the 1st 11 months of the fiscal year.
- 40:54Let me repeat that.
- 40:5511,000 terrorism-related encounters
- 40:58during the 1st 11 months of the fiscal year.
- 41:01That's more than triple the previous year's total.
- 41:04But there's an important distinction here.
- 41:06These encounters don't necessarily involve
- 41:08known terrorists,
- 41:09and the Trump administration's decision
- 41:11to designate major drug cartels as terrorist organizations,
- 41:15well,
- 41:15that helps explain the surge.
- 41:17So,
- 41:18let's find out what's really behind these numbers.
- 41:21Joining me now is the resident fellow in law and policy at
- 41:23the Center for Immigration Studies and good friend of the show.
- 41:26Art,
- 41:26thank you very much for coming back on the Situation Report.
- 41:30Thanks so much for having me today,
- 41:31Mike.
- 41:32Absolutely.
- 41:33Well,
- 41:34let's tuck into these numbers.
- 41:35What do you think accounts for the surge
- 41:38that we're seeing at the southwest border in
- 41:41In terrorism suspects coming across the border.
- 41:47Yeah,
- 41:47actually it's a great question because there's no one single factor.
- 41:52There are a number of very important factors,
- 41:55and they all actually favor the Trump administration.
- 41:58The first one is that uh.
- 42:01And
- 42:03The 1st 11 months of FY 2026,
- 42:05we saw 11,283
- 42:09terrorism-related encounters at the Southwest border ports.
- 42:13Now,
- 42:13that's up from,
- 42:15uh,
- 42:1580 in 2023,
- 42:171952 in 2024.
- 42:19And the reason,
- 42:21the first reason for that is that the land between the ports of entry,
- 42:25that 1,954 mile open border,
- 42:29is now secure.
- 42:30It's secure in a way that it wasn't under the Biden administration.
- 42:33Border patrol agents.
- 42:35have gone from apprehending more than
- 42:37100,000 illegal migrants per month to arresting
- 42:42fewer than 100,000 illegal migrants in the 1st 11 months of FY 2026.
- 42:47So
- 42:48this is the most secure border in US history.
- 42:51The president has talked about it.
- 42:53Tom Homan has said it.
- 42:55But I've actually busted the numbers,
- 42:56Mike,
- 42:57and I can assure you that it is more difficult to get into the United States
- 43:01through the Rio Grande,
- 43:02through the Sonoran Desert today
- 43:04than it ever has been in US history.
- 43:07And that's a credit to the president,
- 43:09to Tom Homan,
- 43:10the border czar,
- 43:11but especially to an unsung hero,
- 43:12Rodney Scott,
- 43:13who's the CBP commissioner.
- 43:15So,
- 43:16prior to
- 43:18Trump too,
- 43:19during Biden,
- 43:20Biden won,
- 43:21Biden,
- 43:22uh,
- 43:23What we saw were,
- 43:25you know,
- 43:25so many migrants coming across the border,
- 43:28the vast majority of whom gave themselves
- 43:30up that they overwhelmed border patrol agents,
- 43:33and that created what is called controllable gaps along that border.
- 43:37So
- 43:38smugglers would send large numbers of women with children or families
- 43:43up to the border.
- 43:44A large number of border patrol agents would have to
- 43:46convene on that spot where they had come over.
- 43:49And all of the other parts of the,
- 43:52that sector
- 43:53were then open for
- 43:55smugglers to bring in drugs,
- 43:57to bring in criminals,
- 43:58and to bring in potential terrorists.
- 44:01So,
- 44:01uh,
- 44:02that was a field day for the bad guys at the southwest border,
- 44:06and they were running it and they were running it in such a way
- 44:09that it advantaged
- 44:11all of the bad actors that you could imagine.
- 44:14Because that's not the case today,
- 44:16because that border is locked down.
- 44:19Those criminals,
- 44:20those smugglers,
- 44:21those cartel members,
- 44:22and those potential terrorists,
- 44:24Mike,
- 44:25have to now make the riskier run
- 44:28through the ports of entry.
- 44:29There are
- 44:30a series of ports of entry,
- 44:328 major ones,
- 44:33and a number of minor ones along that border.
- 44:36And when they go to those ports of entry,
- 44:39even if they have legal documents to get into the United States,
- 44:42they're going to be stopped by a CBP officer.
- 44:45That CBP officer is going to ask them questions about why they're coming,
- 44:49what their intentions are in coming to the United States,
- 44:52and they're also going to be subject
- 44:54to a lot of other
- 44:57non-intrusive inspections.
- 44:59There are going to be dogs that are going to be going around looking for drugs,
- 45:02for weapons,
- 45:03for cash.
- 45:04There are gonna be,
- 45:05uh,
- 45:06cameras everywhere watching the responses of the people
- 45:09who go to that port of entry.
- 45:11So I think the reason that we sort of the way that,
- 45:14sort of the way that a,
- 45:15a,
- 45:16an efficient,
- 45:17non-dysfunctional
- 45:18border security operation should be run.
- 45:22Yeah,
- 45:22I,
- 45:22I,
- 45:23I can't,
- 45:23you know,
- 45:25I can't put it in better words than that.
- 45:26And this is the sort of border
- 45:28that the 9/11 Commission report
- 45:31back in 2003
- 45:33recommended that we have
- 45:35that,
- 45:36you know,
- 45:36they described those ports of entry as checkpoints that people have
- 45:40to go through where we could assess what their intentions are.
- 45:43So,
- 45:44first you had the open border,
- 45:45now you've got a closed border.
- 45:47And the,
- 45:48uh,
- 45:48open border,
- 45:49people didn't have to take the risk at the,
- 45:51at the ports.
- 45:52Now they do.
- 45:53That's factor number one.
- 45:55Factor number two is the fact that in,
- 45:57uh,
- 45:58early 2025,
- 46:00Secretary of State Marco Rubio designated
- 46:04two gangs,
- 46:05Trende Aragua
- 46:06and MS-13,
- 46:08and a group of cartels,
- 46:10mostly Mexican cartels,
- 46:12including Sinaloa.
- 46:14Uh,
- 46:14CNG or CJNG and,
- 46:17uh,
- 46:18the Gulf Cartel
- 46:19as
- 46:20terrorist organizations,
- 46:22significant government-designated terrorists.
- 46:25And now that they have that designation,
- 46:27when one of those cartel members or an associate shows up at the port,
- 46:32the port officer now has greater authority to stop
- 46:35that person from coming into the United States.
- 46:38Put those two factors together,
- 46:39the greater border security.
- 46:41And the expanded definition of terrorist organization,
- 46:45and you're going to get to 11,283
- 46:49Aroha encounters at the,
- 46:50uh,
- 46:50Southwest border ports in 11 months.
- 46:53Now,
- 46:53it seems like,
- 46:55I just,
- 46:55one thought that occurred to me as you were,
- 46:57as you were finishing that
- 46:58comment was,
- 46:59you said that because they identified
- 47:02TDA and MS-13 and,
- 47:03and,
- 47:04you know,
- 47:04some of the cartels as,
- 47:05as terrorist organizations,
- 47:07that they
- 47:08now had more ability to stop them.
- 47:11You would have thought,
- 47:13even without that,
- 47:14That if we had in their databases that they were a member of a cartel or
- 47:19MS-13 or TDA,
- 47:21wait,
- 47:22what have
- 47:23stopped them.
- 47:23We wouldn't have needed
- 47:24to have them designated as terrorist organizations.
- 47:28Right,
- 47:28but if you think about it,
- 47:30when they're not designated as terrorist organizations,
- 47:33then you need cold,
- 47:34hard evidence
- 47:36to keep them out of the United States.
- 47:38Simply,
- 47:38well,
- 47:39you know,
- 47:39I knew a guy who knew a guy,
- 47:41and,
- 47:41well,
- 47:41you know,
- 47:42I'm not a bad guy myself.
- 47:43I,
- 47:44I just have a lot of friends who have some unusual.
- 47:47Hobbies.
- 47:48Now that they're designated,
- 47:49now that they have the intelligence,
- 47:51they could actually send them to what we call secondary inspection,
- 47:54that little room in the back of the port
- 47:56where they go through all of your belongings and everything that you own.
- 48:00So,
- 48:01heightened scrutiny is a key aspect of that expanded designation.
- 48:06But it still has,
- 48:07it has to depend on what's in the database,
- 48:09right?
- 48:10So there has to be something
- 48:12that flags an individual,
- 48:14uh,
- 48:15even before this known terrorist or,
- 48:16or this terrorist organization designation.
- 48:19It would have had to have been something in the database that would flag them as a,
- 48:24you know,
- 48:24potential
- 48:25cartel member or member of MS-13.
- 48:28And I guess my point is,
- 48:29I understand what you're saying and I think it's,
- 48:30it's logical.
- 48:31It certainly makes sense and accounts for the,
- 48:33the rise in numbers.
- 48:34I'm just thinking,
- 48:35you know,
- 48:38Logic would dictate
- 48:39that if you had even,
- 48:41uh,
- 48:41likely,
- 48:42you know,
- 48:43a member of a cartel or that,
- 48:45you know,
- 48:45you,
- 48:46are you really gonna struggle with the idea of,
- 48:48oh,
- 48:48no,
- 48:48we gotta get,
- 48:49you know,
- 48:49100% proof here.
- 48:50We've gotta get full evidence,
- 48:52or we're just gonna turn them back.
- 48:53And
- 48:54I,
- 48:55I would argue that we're being,
- 48:57you know,
- 48:57overly gracious.
- 48:58Um,
- 49:00to say that,
- 49:00well,
- 49:00there's a real,
- 49:01there's a good chance that they're a cartel member,
- 49:03but we don't know for sure.
- 49:04So we're gonna let him go through because he didn't have anything in his,
- 49:07in his belongings.
- 49:08Um,
- 49:09I guess,
- 49:09I don't know,
- 49:10maybe I'm just being a churlish art.
- 49:11I don't know.
- 49:13Yeah,
- 49:14well,
- 49:14you know,
- 49:14it is interesting because there was a lot
- 49:16of overly graciousness under the Biden administration,
- 49:19and,
- 49:20you know,
- 49:20this is probably a that
- 49:22was probably a tertiary reason why the terrorist encounters were so low,
- 49:27uh,
- 49:27under Biden.
- 49:29In addition to all of those legitimate travelers who came in through the ports,
- 49:33the people that had proper documents and had everything in order,
- 49:37the Biden administration,
- 49:38and you
- 49:39plainly remember this.
- 49:41Allowed up to 1450 facially illegal aliens,
- 49:46people who didn't have any documents or any right to enter the United States,
- 49:51to download the CBP1 app to make an appointment at the ports of entry,
- 49:56and to show up daily,
- 49:571450 daily,
- 50:00to show up at those eight major ports
- 50:02to be inspected
- 50:04by an immigration officer.
- 50:06Now,
- 50:06again,
- 50:06they didn't have any right to come into the country.
- 50:09But the Biden administration essentially gave them the right
- 50:13to be inspected.
- 50:14And if that officer didn't find anything in the course of that inspection,
- 50:18primary and secondary,
- 50:20they then paroled those individuals into the United States.
- 50:24That put a huge strain Mike
- 50:26on the inspectors at the ports.
- 50:28Today,
- 50:28they see a lot of people that they see every day.
- 50:30They see a lot of constant travelers,
- 50:33school kids,
- 50:33and things like that.
- 50:35Uh,
- 50:35but they,
- 50:36you know,
- 50:36see some unusual individuals.
- 50:39They're now in a better position to send those people to secondary
- 50:43to inspect them to a higher degree
- 50:45than
- 50:45back in the days under Biden when they had to,
- 50:48you know,
- 50:48preserve all of that space,
- 50:50all of that manpower,
- 50:51and all of those resources
- 50:53to take a look at people
- 50:55who plainly didn't have any right to be in the United States to begin with.
- 50:59So,
- 50:59yeah,
- 51:00the border is an interesting place,
- 51:01Mike.
- 51:02I know you've been there,
- 51:03and,
- 51:03you know,
- 51:04The line between,
- 51:06you know,
- 51:06the normal and the abnormal is pretty thin down there.
- 51:10Now they're in a better position to parse that line,
- 51:13to find the abnormal,
- 51:15the really abnormal,
- 51:16and to keep those people out of the United States or refer them for prosecution.
- 51:22Yeah,
- 51:22no,
- 51:23that,
- 51:23that makes sense.
- 51:24Um,
- 51:25I,
- 51:25I've got some questions I wanna
- 51:26kind of
- 51:27cross
- 51:27in a different direction,
- 51:29maybe and,
- 51:29and start talking a little bit about,
- 51:31um,
- 51:32ICE operations because obviously,
- 51:34it,
- 51:34it,
- 51:34it consumed the headlines for a period of time,
- 51:37particularly with the,
- 51:38uh,
- 51:38the shootings and,
- 51:39and,
- 51:40and it's fading now.
- 51:42Uh,
- 51:42it's,
- 51:42it's not an issue.
- 51:43It's not an issue,
- 51:44it seems to the most part leading into the midterm elections.
- 51:48But before I can ask you those questions,
- 51:49Art,
- 51:49uh,
- 51:50I need to take a quick break.
- 51:51So if you could stay right where you are,
- 51:53we'll be back with more from Art Arthur.
- 51:56You're on the PDB Situation Report.
- 51:58Stay with us.
- 52:00Welcome back to the PDB Situation Report.
- 52:03Joining me once again is Art Arthur of the Center for Immigration Studies.
- 52:07Art,
- 52:07thanks very much for sticking around.
- 52:08It would have been awkward if you'd just gotten up and left in between
- 52:11our segments.
- 52:13But,
- 52:13um,
- 52:13let's talk about,
- 52:14let's talk about ICE operations for just a minute if we could.
- 52:17Uh,
- 52:17obviously,
- 52:18one could argue that they had an optics problem,
- 52:22um,
- 52:23in the early stages of their operations
- 52:26to try to round up illegal immigrants.
- 52:29Uh,
- 52:29the whole concept was we're gonna go after those with
- 52:32criminal,
- 52:32uh,
- 52:33backgrounds,
- 52:34criminal activity.
- 52:35Uh,
- 52:36and I think
- 52:37you had bipartisan support for that.
- 52:39People are saying,
- 52:40sure,
- 52:41let's,
- 52:41let's round up anybody who's got criminal activity who's not here legally,
- 52:45and that's fine.
- 52:46And then I think it,
- 52:47it started to head south and clearly
- 52:49shooting US citizens,
- 52:50you know,
- 52:51that,
- 52:51that,
- 52:52uh,
- 52:52didn't help to make ICE's case.
- 52:55Where,
- 52:55where,
- 52:56where are we now with ICE operations at this stage?
- 53:00Right now,
- 53:01ICE is making,
- 53:02according to what it says,
- 53:04official numbers haven't come out,
- 53:05is making about 50,000 to 55,000
- 53:09arrests of,
- 53:10uh,
- 53:11aliens who are removable from the United States,
- 53:14illegal aliens if you will,
- 53:16uh,
- 53:16each month.
- 53:17That is a tremendous number.
- 53:20Just to put that number into context,
- 53:22Mike,
- 53:22the high water mark for,
- 53:25uh,
- 53:25immigration arrests in the United States was about 4000.
- 53:29Around 2008 to 2010,
- 53:32we were running a pretty good clip at that point.
- 53:34The Obama administration imposed a lot of
- 53:36restrictions and then more restrictions on,
- 53:39uh,
- 53:40ICE officers.
- 53:42So by the end of 2016,
- 53:44right before Trump took office the first time,
- 53:46they were only making about 64,000 arrests,
- 53:50uh,
- 53:50in a given year.
- 53:51Today we're up to 55,000 per month,
- 53:54and they've been,
- 53:54uh,
- 53:55running operations like that for the last 4 months.
- 53:58But you,
- 53:59you touch on a very important point,
- 54:01and that is,
- 54:03you don't,
- 54:03you know,
- 54:04see the videos,
- 54:05you don't see the flash bang grenades,
- 54:07you don't see,
- 54:08uh,
- 54:09officers wrestling with people in the street the way that you used to.
- 54:13And the reason is that,
- 54:14you know,
- 54:15when,
- 54:15um,
- 54:16after the shooting of Alex Freddy,
- 54:19In Minneapolis,
- 54:21President Trump went to border czar Tom Homan,
- 54:23a guy who has experience in immigration enforcement going back to 1984,
- 54:29to actually quarterback that.
- 54:31Prior to that,
- 54:32Uh,
- 54:32Christy Nome,
- 54:33uh,
- 54:33the then DHS secretary Greg Bovino,
- 54:36who was Border Patrol chief from the El Centro,
- 54:39uh,
- 54:39sector of the Border Patrol,
- 54:41were in charge of those operations.
- 54:43Homan is a guy who's been doing this for a long time,
- 54:46and remember,
- 54:47he was a high ranking,
- 54:48uh,
- 54:49officer
- 54:50under the Obama administration.
- 54:52He knows how to do this and a and,
- 54:54and,
- 54:55and sorry,
- 54:55all right,
- 54:56uh,
- 54:56sorry for interrupting.
- 54:57I just wanted to point out and was
- 54:59awarded,
- 54:59commended by the Obama administration.
- 55:02Yes,
- 55:03when he was the executive associate director of,
- 55:06uh,
- 55:06ICE in charge of enforcement and removal operations,
- 55:09exactly what we're talking about right now,
- 55:12he,
- 55:12uh,
- 55:13left,
- 55:13uh,
- 55:14that position with a presidential,
- 55:16uh,
- 55:17meritorious award
- 55:19for all of the work that he had done.
- 55:21And,
- 55:21and,
- 55:22you know,
- 55:23And I think that that's really the difference.
- 55:25The secret sauce right now that we didn't have before is Tom Homan.
- 55:28He's a guy who knows the,
- 55:29uh,
- 55:30job,
- 55:30knows how to do it politically,
- 55:32uh,
- 55:32properly,
- 55:33and,
- 55:34you know,
- 55:34know,
- 55:34knows how to get it done without making a big show of it.
- 55:38What do you,
- 55:39what do you make of,
- 55:39what's your assessment of the,
- 55:42The databases,
- 55:43right?
- 55:43Because so much of this depends on the information
- 55:46that they have access to,
- 55:47right?
- 55:47And you pointed it out earlier,
- 55:49so the problem with the
- 55:52The,
- 55:52uh,
- 55:53application process
- 55:54to come into the country for those who
- 55:56had no documentation.
- 55:58And,
- 55:59you know,
- 56:00in all honesty,
- 56:01look,
- 56:01they were stretched so thin
- 56:03that
- 56:05the people would just come down to the border,
- 56:06they'd give a name,
- 56:07you know,
- 56:07maybe they get a,
- 56:08the,
- 56:08uh,
- 56:09you know,
- 56:09an appointment date down in the future.
- 56:11But you didn't really know what the validity or the credibility of the
- 56:15information that was being provided by the individual looking to cross the border.
- 56:19But,
- 56:19so,
- 56:20What do you,
- 56:20how do you assess
- 56:22the quality,
- 56:23uh,
- 56:24of the
- 56:26information that,
- 56:27that is
- 56:28in the databases that allows them to pursue individuals?
- 56:33You know,
- 56:34that's an excellent question because we use the word
- 56:38garbage in garbage out when we talk about computers,
- 56:41but the same thing is true when you talk about vetting and screening.
- 56:44A lot of individuals who come to the United States,
- 56:47you know,
- 56:48uh,
- 56:48even with visas,
- 56:49there's only so much we can know about those individuals.
- 56:53But if they've come into the United States illegally,
- 56:56we literally know nothing about those individuals aside from
- 57:00any touches we refer to it in the United States with a law enforcement agency
- 57:05or what those individuals decide to tell us.
- 57:08Fortunately,
- 57:09uh,
- 57:10the,
- 57:11you know,
- 57:11ever since September 11th,
- 57:13and especially under the Trump administration,
- 57:15they've been gathering that evidence from around various government databases.
- 57:20You
- 57:21yourself have worked
- 57:23in the intelligence field,
- 57:25and you can remember the old days of stovepiping
- 57:27when agencies would gather up their own intelligence,
- 57:30hold it close to their heart,
- 57:32not share it with anybody else,
- 57:34uh,
- 57:35and use it to their own ends.
- 57:37So they're starting to,
- 57:38uh,
- 57:39you know,
- 57:39grind down
- 57:41those walls that existed between the FBI and the CIA and the NSA
- 57:46and even within,
- 57:47uh,
- 57:48departments themselves,
- 57:49even within DOJ,
- 57:51FBI,
- 57:52even within DHS.
- 57:53So
- 57:54breaking that information down,
- 57:56uh,
- 57:57we,
- 57:57we could talk for two hours about all of the work that they're doing,
- 58:01that they're doing to consolidate that information.
- 58:04But,
- 58:04you know,
- 58:05when you're talking about the border,
- 58:06you're talking about the tech system,
- 58:08the old Treasury enforcement computerized system.
- 58:11Uh,
- 58:11we have a lot of intelligence databases that flow into that,
- 58:14and,
- 58:15uh,
- 58:15agents and officers have access,
- 58:18who have access can get some higher-level information.
- 58:21Uh,
- 58:22that was definitely a big defect of the,
- 58:24uh,
- 58:24Biden administration.
- 58:25You could probably remember.
- 58:27That there were watchlisted aliens who were apprehended at the southwest border.
- 58:32We knew they were watchlisted,
- 58:35and yet they were released.
- 58:36In fact,
- 58:37in one high profile situation.
- 58:40That person was released and TSA ended up flagging them when they
- 58:44attempted to get on a commercial airliner in the United States.
- 58:47That's how bad it was.
- 58:48The Trump administration isn't playing that game anymore.
- 58:51Now,
- 58:51again,
- 58:52you know,
- 58:52bureaucrats are going to bureaucrat and,
- 58:55you know,
- 58:55uh,
- 58:56breaking down those walls is always a challenge.
- 58:59But,
- 58:59you know,
- 59:00the,
- 59:00the president does have good people at the
- 59:02Office of the Director of National Intelligence.
- 59:05At the,
- 59:06uh,
- 59:06Central Intelligence Agency.
- 59:08Mark Wade Mullen,
- 59:09for whatever else you think about him,
- 59:11uh,
- 59:11you know,
- 59:12is a pretty
- 59:13even-tempered guy who wants to get things done.
- 59:16So,
- 59:17uh,
- 59:17you know,
- 59:18you have the right team in place.
- 59:20We have the intelligence that we need.
- 59:22It really the key part,
- 59:23and you could probably speak to this better than I could,
- 59:26is getting that intelligence,
- 59:28the officer in the field in real-time
- 59:30so that they can use it so that it can become what we call actionable.
- 59:35Yeah.
- 59:36Yeah,
- 59:36I would,
- 59:36I,
- 59:37I think a part of this is also,
- 59:38I mean,
- 59:38we've seen it over the,
- 59:40well,
- 59:40it's been increasing over the past,
- 59:42you could argue 20 years,
- 59:43but
- 59:43the importance of
- 59:45whatever,
- 59:45private,
- 59:46public sector
- 59:47cooperation
- 59:48and coordination,
- 59:49because there's,
- 59:50there are some,
- 59:52Situations,
- 59:52I think this would be one of them where
- 59:55you could argue the government agencies are just overwhelmed or they're,
- 59:58they can't move fast enough,
- 1:00:00or
- 1:00:01they don't have the ability to,
- 1:00:04uh,
- 1:00:04to improve or adjust,
- 1:00:06uh,
- 1:00:06the databases and,
- 1:00:07and the,
- 1:00:08the flow of information.
- 1:00:09So,
- 1:00:10you know,
- 1:00:10I think that,
- 1:00:10that comes into it to some degree.
- 1:00:12I,
- 1:00:12I would expect
- 1:00:13with,
- 1:00:14uh,
- 1:00:14an operation like this.
- 1:00:16But I,
- 1:00:17I,
- 1:00:17I am concerned only because,
- 1:00:19you know,
- 1:00:20for years now,
- 1:00:22we really haven't known,
- 1:00:24you know,
- 1:00:25with any specificity who's been coming across the border.
- 1:00:28And
- 1:00:29from a national security perspective,
- 1:00:32yeah,
- 1:00:32that's an issue.
- 1:00:32And I know some people roll their eyes and they go,
- 1:00:34you're just being a spook.
- 1:00:36Um,
- 1:00:37but if anybody thinks the cartels,
- 1:00:39the,
- 1:00:40you know,
- 1:00:41um,
- 1:00:41adversaries that we have overseas,
- 1:00:44uh,
- 1:00:44terrorist organizations,
- 1:00:46um,
- 1:00:47China with their espionage concerns,
- 1:00:49if anybody thinks that people weren't looking at the border situation and how
- 1:00:54open it was and didn't take advantage of it during that period of time,
- 1:00:58um,
- 1:00:59I,
- 1:01:00I don't know how to explain that mindset.
- 1:01:01It's either naive or willfully ignorant.
- 1:01:05Yeah,
- 1:01:05and let me quantify exactly what you're describing.
- 1:01:09We know that during the 4 years of the Biden administration,
- 1:01:12there were 2 million gotaways.
- 1:01:14Now when we talk about the border,
- 1:01:15we generally talk about it in terms of apprehension.
- 1:01:18Those are the people we caught.
- 1:01:20The 2 million gotaways are individuals who we don't know who they are,
- 1:01:25but we know how many came over.
- 1:01:27We can,
- 1:01:27you know,
- 1:01:28we have cameras,
- 1:01:28we have sensors,
- 1:01:29we have aerostats.
- 1:01:31We can identify when somebody's entered that we haven't caught.
- 1:01:352 million people came into the United States that way.
- 1:01:39And in March 2024,
- 1:01:40then Border Patrol,
- 1:01:42Biden's Border Patrol Chief Jason Owen said those were
- 1:01:44the people that kept them up at night.
- 1:01:46What did they have,
- 1:01:47uh,
- 1:01:48to hide?
- 1:01:48You know,
- 1:01:49what was their intention in coming to the United States?
- 1:01:52Why didn't they let themselves be known?
- 1:01:54Because under the Biden administration,
- 1:01:56if you got caught,
- 1:01:56if you were simply an illegal alien,
- 1:01:58the odds are you were going to get released.
- 1:02:00These people went to great,
- 1:02:02uh,
- 1:02:03great,
- 1:02:03uh,
- 1:02:04trouble and paid a lot of money
- 1:02:06to ensure that they could make it into the
- 1:02:07interior of the United States without being caught.
- 1:02:09Again,
- 1:02:10you want to know why there are 11,283,
- 1:02:13uh,
- 1:02:14You know,
- 1:02:15terrorism-related encounters at the Southwest border ports,
- 1:02:18look no further.
- 1:02:20A lot of those people are people who would have paid a,
- 1:02:22uh,
- 1:02:23coyote
- 1:02:24to bring them in the back door,
- 1:02:25bring them all the way up to the 10 or the 20,
- 1:02:28so that they could,
- 1:02:29you know,
- 1:02:29get on a,
- 1:02:30uh,
- 1:02:30highway and just blend into the United States.
- 1:02:33Those days are over,
- 1:02:34at least for now.
- 1:02:36Last question,
- 1:02:37Art,
- 1:02:37wanna be mindful of time,
- 1:02:38but
- 1:02:40set up a scenario.
- 1:02:41Midterm elections show up,
- 1:02:44um,
- 1:02:45let's say that it's a bad day for Republicans.
- 1:02:48Well,
- 1:02:48I guess in today's world,
- 1:02:49it's gotta be like a bad couple of weeks.
- 1:02:50It depends on how long it takes to count the votes.
- 1:02:53So,
- 1:02:54um,
- 1:02:55they lose the house,
- 1:02:56possibly the Senate.
- 1:02:58Now,
- 1:02:59we have,
- 1:02:59you know,
- 1:03:00a year and a half or so of dysfunction in DC,
- 1:03:03all sorts of,
- 1:03:04of blocks and,
- 1:03:05you know,
- 1:03:05efforts to,
- 1:03:06to go after Trump.
- 1:03:08Um,
- 1:03:10And I guess looking towards the presidential election.
- 1:03:13I guess where I'm going with this question is,
- 1:03:16do you think
- 1:03:17that,
- 1:03:18you know,
- 1:03:18if the election
- 1:03:20goes south for the Republicans,
- 1:03:22and then they lose the White House
- 1:03:24in 28,
- 1:03:25that we'll see a change in,
- 1:03:27in the border again?
- 1:03:30Without a doubt.
- 1:03:32Uh,
- 1:03:32I,
- 1:03:33you know,
- 1:03:34this border
- 1:03:35is the way that it is because of Donald Trump's will.
- 1:03:39If a president,
- 1:03:40uh,
- 1:03:41you know,
- 1:03:41AOC,
- 1:03:42a President Newsome,
- 1:03:44you know,
- 1:03:44takes office.
- 1:03:46Kamala Harris takes office,
- 1:03:48what we're going to see is a return to the policies that we've had in the past.
- 1:03:52We're gonna see,
- 1:03:53you know,
- 1:03:53all these poor people,
- 1:03:55they're just coming to the United States for a better life.
- 1:03:57They're all asylum seekers.
- 1:03:59We need to release them into the United States,
- 1:04:01and you're going to see a mad rush on the border.
- 1:04:03We're going to be back to,
- 1:04:05keep in mind,
- 1:04:05Mike,
- 1:04:06those Biden border numbers
- 1:04:08were double,
- 1:04:09triple whatever we'd seen in any four-year period in the past.
- 1:04:14So if you could imagine Biden,
- 1:04:16and then you turbocharge it
- 1:04:18because there's a lot of pent up demand,
- 1:04:20you know,
- 1:04:20throughout the Americas,
- 1:04:22and,
- 1:04:22you know,
- 1:04:22in Africa,
- 1:04:23Asia,
- 1:04:24even further abroad,
- 1:04:25there are a lot of people who want to come to the United States.
- 1:04:28They just can't come now.
- 1:04:30If you take off all of the governors that you have on the system,
- 1:04:34leave that border wide open,
- 1:04:36vilify border patrol agents,
- 1:04:38disband ICE,
- 1:04:40there's not going to be any enforcement.
- 1:04:42And you're probably going to see 20 to 30 million
- 1:04:45people enter the United States in a 4-year period.
- 1:04:49Have there been any credible numbers?
- 1:04:50I,
- 1:04:50you know,
- 1:04:50I lied.
- 1:04:51I said that was the last question,
- 1:04:52but now I just
- 1:04:54thought,
- 1:04:54let me throw this one at you.
- 1:04:56And you may not have the answer,
- 1:04:57but that means you have to come back with the answer.
- 1:04:59Uh,
- 1:05:00have you seen a credible number,
- 1:05:02uh,
- 1:05:03in terms of the cost
- 1:05:05to
- 1:05:06US taxpayers,
- 1:05:07to,
- 1:05:07to the federal government,
- 1:05:08to state governments
- 1:05:10for
- 1:05:11The immigration policies of the Biden administration,
- 1:05:14right?
- 1:05:15Not that,
- 1:05:15not,
- 1:05:15I mean,
- 1:05:15you know,
- 1:05:16I'm not,
- 1:05:16I'm not
- 1:05:17like
- 1:05:18taking a hard political position.
- 1:05:19I'm just saying,
- 1:05:20what was the cost
- 1:05:22to having an open border
- 1:05:24for that period of time?
- 1:05:27Here comes the sad part,
- 1:05:29Mike.
- 1:05:30The meter is still running on that cost.
- 1:05:33Reuters reported in
- 1:05:35middle of 2024
- 1:05:38that more than 500,000 migrant children had entered the United States.
- 1:05:42This is just one data point I could give you a lot more.
- 1:05:45500,000 school-age migrant children entering the
- 1:05:48United States and attending US schools
- 1:05:51times $20,000 per pupil per year is $10 billion per year.
- 1:05:56And that's not money that the federal government's paying by and large,
- 1:05:59they do help subsidize the local schools,
- 1:06:01but not much.
- 1:06:02Most of that money comes out of property taxes and the local sales taxes.
- 1:06:07Anybody who pays a property tax bill is really paying to fund their local school.
- 1:06:12So,
- 1:06:12you know,
- 1:06:13in Iowa,
- 1:06:14in Michigan,
- 1:06:15in,
- 1:06:16uh,
- 1:06:17you know,
- 1:06:17Washington state,
- 1:06:19People are paying hundreds of dollars extra to educate just those children.
- 1:06:24Then you talk about the Medicaid costs.
- 1:06:26Now,
- 1:06:27remember,
- 1:06:28most people who are here illegally,
- 1:06:30Cubans and Haitians excepted for reasons that I can't quite understand,
- 1:06:33are not immediately eligible for Medicaid.
- 1:06:36But what they are eligible for is emergency medical,
- 1:06:39uh,
- 1:06:40treatment and Active Labor Act and PALA treatment,
- 1:06:43what we call emergency Medicaid.
- 1:06:45That runs into the tens of billions of
- 1:06:47dollars because most of those migrants use that
- 1:06:50as their primary care physician.
- 1:06:52My kid's got an earache,
- 1:06:53he's going to the emergency room.
- 1:06:55The toilets got to cover that.
- 1:06:57I said,
- 1:06:58uh,
- 1:06:58about 3 years ago,
- 1:07:00toward the end of Biden,
- 1:07:01that it would take $1 trillion in a decade before the United
- 1:07:05States was able to undo all of the damage that the,
- 1:07:08uh,
- 1:07:08that the Biden border did.
- 1:07:10And I stand by that figure.
- 1:07:12$1 trillion
- 1:07:15All right.
- 1:07:16Well,
- 1:07:16I'm not good at math,
- 1:07:17but that's,
- 1:07:17that's a whole lot of fat stacks.
- 1:07:19Um,
- 1:07:20Art,
- 1:07:20listen,
- 1:07:21as always,
- 1:07:21if anybody can make a discussion about
- 1:07:23immigration,
- 1:07:24delightful,
- 1:07:25well,
- 1:07:25it's you.
- 1:07:26So,
- 1:07:27I wanna thank you for coming back on the Situation Report,
- 1:07:29Matt.
- 1:07:29And I hope that when we call again,
- 1:07:31you'll,
- 1:07:32you'll pick up the phone and say yes,
- 1:07:33cause we'd love to have you back on.
- 1:07:36I always love being here,
- 1:07:37Mike,
- 1:07:37and I like the extended format.
- 1:07:38It gives us more time to really get into the numbers
- 1:07:41and,
- 1:07:41you know,
- 1:07:42not to,
- 1:07:43not to,
- 1:07:43uh,
- 1:07:44preach or,
- 1:07:45you know,
- 1:07:45to sing to the choir,
- 1:07:46but,
- 1:07:47you know,
- 1:07:47you're a great host
- 1:07:48and now you really do present this in a good
- 1:07:50way to help the American people understand what's going on.
- 1:07:54It's true.
- 1:07:56Oh,
- 1:07:56well,
- 1:07:57thank you.
- 1:07:57I,
- 1:07:57I,
- 1:07:58I am nothing if not underdressed today.
- 1:08:00Let's,
- 1:08:00let's put it that way.
- 1:08:01Well,
- 1:08:02thank you very much.
- 1:08:03All right,
- 1:08:03I'll,
- 1:08:03I'll hopefully see you soon.
- 1:08:06Thanks again,
- 1:08:06Mike.
- 1:08:06All right,
- 1:08:07well,
- 1:08:08there you go.
- 1:08:08Art Arthur of the Center for Immigration Studies.
- 1:08:12That's all the time we have for this week's PDB situation report.
- 1:08:15I know,
- 1:08:15don't be sad,
- 1:08:16we will be back
- 1:08:17next week.
- 1:08:18That's very exciting.
- 1:08:19I know you're thinking,
- 1:08:20oh good,
- 1:08:20my week is saved.
- 1:08:21If you have any questions or comments,
- 1:08:23maybe you got a humorous anecdote,
- 1:08:24well,
- 1:08:25just send them on
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- 1:08:28com
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- 1:08:52uh,
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- 1:08:56And we put them into an episode that we call Ask Me Anything.
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- 1:09:10I'm Mike Baker,
- 1:09:10and until next time,
- 1:09:12well,
- 1:09:12stay informed,
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