Latest / Saberian History Lectures / Clinton Administration Second Term 1996-2000
Transcript
- 0:00All right, so today we are going to talk about
- 0:02what I call the middle and late period of Clinton.
- 0:07So again, as I said the other day... If I could
- 0:10break the Clinton administration up, I would
- 0:13break it up into two, really three periods. First
- 0:15period was 1993 through 1995, where the Democrats
- 0:20had control over the White House, the House,
- 0:22and the Senate. After the election of 1994, the
- 0:25Republican Party would dominate the House and
- 0:28the Senate for practically a generation. They
- 0:31hold the House and the Senate from 1995 until
- 0:362007. Okay? So, we also left off with the massive
- 0:46economic prosperity. Okay? So, let's talk about
- 0:51the economic prosperity in the new economy. So,
- 0:55the economic boom time of the 1990s was a period
- 0:58of extraordinarily low unemployment, low inflation,
- 1:02low interest rates. Things were good. Now, What
- 1:08makes economic growth? We had talked about this
- 1:11last class, but... New sources of capital. And
- 1:15so to have that, you had two new sources of capital.
- 1:19The first is your trade agreements. You had NAFTA.
- 1:23You also had a general agreement on tariffs and
- 1:26trades between the United States and multiple
- 1:29nation states. And so the consensus had been...
- 1:33Among the nations and in the United States, and
- 1:36it was a bipartisan consensus, that free trade
- 1:39is good. Now, a couple of things I kind of want
- 1:43to bring up. In effect, a trade agreement is
- 1:49a tax cut. Because you are not having taxes levied
- 1:53on imports, nor are you having taxes levied on
- 1:56exports. Now, also... These trade agreements
- 2:04allow capital to flow into the United States,
- 2:09not just from among Americans, but also from
- 2:12other countries. So it allows for a greater degree
- 2:14of foreign investment. especially with the rise
- 2:17of these new multinational companies. So now
- 2:20you have companies that can put certain parts
- 2:23of their operations in one country for low taxes,
- 2:25certain parts of their manufacturing in other
- 2:27countries for cheaper labor costs, and so that
- 2:30increases profitability. Now, the other thing
- 2:33you have as a source of capital is the expansion
- 2:36of the credit market, both through personal consumer
- 2:39cards as the minimum payments go down and the
- 2:44balances go up and then you also have the creation
- 2:52of the home equity market where people can take
- 2:57out loans against the equity in their home. That's
- 3:00still a thing today. You also have the emergence
- 3:07of new technologies and new technology companies.
- 3:13And so, the infrastructure of the information
- 3:16superhighway that you take for granted in those
- 3:19pocket devices you have today, the foundation
- 3:22of which was laid down when I sat in those chairs
- 3:27back in the 90s. So, the new technologies. So...
- 3:38Yes, ma 'am. Is this all occurring during the
- 3:43Clinton administration? Yes. So he was a good
- 3:47president who just made bad personal decisions?
- 3:51Let me ask you a question, and we'll get to the
- 3:53bad personal decisions in a moment, because I
- 3:55think you're jumping the gun. Of the three sources
- 4:00of economic prosperity, which one did he or did
- 4:06the administration have any play in? That's it.
- 4:11But what are the other two major sources of capital
- 4:16flowing into the economy? Credit cards. Credit
- 4:19cards and home equity that the federal government
- 4:21had very little to do with. The credit card expansion
- 4:25was an internal decision by the corporations.
- 4:28And so this... Part of the equation you can attribute
- 4:33to the Clinton administration, except most of
- 4:35those free trade agreements had started their
- 4:38negotiation processes under Bush the elder, and
- 4:41he continued it. And so if I look at this period
- 4:44of deregulation, because if you think about it,
- 4:48this is a process of deregulation, yes? Right.
- 4:51Don't use party labels. The deregulation begins
- 4:56under Reagan, continues under Bush the elder,
- 4:58continues under Clinton. And then when do we
- 5:04start regulating ourselves more? Bush the younger,
- 5:09you have the expansion of the military -industrial
- 5:11complex after 9 -11, and under Barack Obama you
- 5:14have the expansion of the social welfare state
- 5:15through the Affordable Care Act, through the
- 5:17expansion of the SNAP program and stuff like
- 5:18that. So don't think about this in terms of party
- 5:20labels. Think about this in terms of a center
- 5:23-seeking moment under FDR, Eisenhower, Kennedy,
- 5:27Nixon, and a center -fleeing moment under Reagan,
- 5:31Bush the elder. Clinton, and then we are in,
- 5:36and you have grown up in the confines of a center
- 5:41-seeking moment, surveilled after 9 -11 and oppressed
- 5:46by taxes on existence. The question becomes,
- 5:52what does tomorrow hold because tomorrow belongs
- 5:55to thee? Will you forge more chains to bind us,
- 6:01to keep us safe? Or will we break the chains
- 6:07and be free? I leave that to you. Now, let's
- 6:14get back to the technology. What new technologies
- 6:17change the world, create the world that you now
- 6:20live in? Go way back. Computers. Computers. Let's
- 6:26start with the basic idea. In the 1980s, you
- 6:29have the creation of the microprocessor. Micro
- 6:31in Greek. Small. All of a sudden, computers go
- 6:35from things that take up a room to things that
- 6:37you can put on a desk. And what do we call those?
- 6:41Computers. Well, if they're on the desk, we call
- 6:44them desktops. And if we can fold them and carry
- 6:47them with us, we call them laptops. Now, the
- 6:50earliest laptops and the earliest desktops go
- 6:53back to the 80s. But what happens in the 90s
- 6:55is they move from being a business appliance
- 6:58to being something in your home. So, new technologies.
- 7:06You have the computer. Now, here's the thing.
- 7:08Most of you don't get what you originally used
- 7:13a computer for. Well, yes. But originally, what
- 7:20is the basic word of computer? Compute. Which
- 7:27implies what? Mathematics. The earliest functions
- 7:31of the computer were calculation and tabulation.
- 7:38Keeping tabulation on the number of customers,
- 7:43how much they bought, how much they sold, warehouses,
- 7:47inventories. Oh, and by the way, one of the earliest
- 7:49computers was the punch card reader brought to
- 7:52you by Herman Hollerith that helped make the
- 7:54Holocaust possible. In other words, and one thing
- 7:59I've said, the Nazis did the Holocaust with all
- 8:02of the technological sophistication of punch
- 8:04cards. But anyway. So you have computers. Originally,
- 8:08the basic function of a computer in an office
- 8:10setting was twofold, maybe three. You had, as
- 8:13a word processor, spreadsheet. And in a business
- 8:26setting, database. Now, spreadsheet and database,
- 8:31you're essentially manipulating what? Numbers,
- 8:34right? What aren't you using the computer for
- 8:39at this point? Personal information. If you wanted
- 8:44to send something to someone, you didn't send
- 8:47them an email. What did you send them? A letter
- 8:49that you typed using your word processor, and
- 8:51before the word processor, you used a what? Typewriter
- 8:55or by hand. All of you have had to turn in typed
- 9:02essays for English class. Am I correct? And they
- 9:05wouldn't take it handwritten, would they? Mine
- 9:08was the last generation that you could turn in
- 9:11essays by hand. No, like even for our official
- 9:17prepared essays, we had to do it by hand. Now,
- 9:20when I was... In high school, I did not take
- 9:26a keyboarding class. I took a typing class. Yes?
- 9:32So in college, were you just kind of like...
- 9:34Oh no, in high school I learned how to type classically.
- 9:40But no, I mean, one of the things... My father,
- 9:43when he was working on his master's thesis, he
- 9:45hired someone to type for him. He would write
- 9:49the thing out longhand. And he would have someone
- 9:52else type it. Yes? Do you think that's whenever
- 9:54cursive started going downhill? That is part
- 10:01of the equation. Yes, because you write in cursive
- 10:06faster than you write in print, but not as fast
- 10:08as most people type. I think that was a contributing
- 10:11factor. Now, so, WordPress's spreadsheet database.
- 10:16Now, one of the things that I wanted to set off
- 10:18to the side is what is missing. So, there's no
- 10:23email. What else? No music, no pictures. No music.
- 10:34And certainly not film. The graphics were primitive.
- 10:43It was mostly the use of text and numbers. And
- 10:48there's a reason why. The more primitive machines
- 10:52did not... Okay, so let me show you... Let me
- 10:57tell you a little bit of a story, and this is
- 10:59sort of a historical back thing. How many of
- 11:01you have a Windows computer at home? And when
- 11:04you open up your hard drive, what is it called?
- 11:07The C drive, yes? So the C drive is the hard
- 11:14drive of the computer, and that's not why it's
- 11:18C. C is what letter in the alphabet? Third. What
- 11:25comes before C? E. Earliest computers had a B
- 11:28drive, which was for the 5 -inch floppy. Floppy
- 11:35disk. And then? What comes before B? A. You add
- 11:44the A drive for the three and a half inch floppy
- 11:47disk. What are we at now? We don't use floppy
- 11:52disks anymore, do we? So we're still at C? That's
- 11:56right, because we still have hard drives on the
- 11:58computer. That is a vestige of those two earlier
- 12:01disk drives. Now here's the thing. There were
- 12:03some computers that had no internal storage.
- 12:07The only thing they had was the operating system.
- 12:09So if you wanted to run a program, you had to
- 12:12put the disk in the thing. Very similar to modern
- 12:16video games where it won't run without the disk.
- 12:20Now, actually... In actuality, your game will
- 12:23run without the disc. They use the disc as a
- 12:26copyright control. Because what happens with
- 12:28modern games is it reads the disc, puts a fair
- 12:31amount of the content on the hard drive of the
- 12:33PlayStation or the Xbox. And they simply use
- 12:36the disc to make sure you actually bought it
- 12:38and didn't pirate it. So let me show you what
- 12:43a floppy disc is. And I feel like... Something
- 12:47from the days of the Elder Gods. Those are floppy
- 12:52disks. Do you want to know how much information
- 12:56that floppy disk holds? One megabyte. A picture
- 13:06is worth a thousand words. Now... Word files
- 13:11are kilobytes. You could have probably, oh, 100
- 13:16word files. Okay, maybe 50. 50 word files on
- 13:20one disk or one picture. Or one picture? Correct.
- 13:26One picture. Okay, but what if you're making
- 13:28a presentation and you need to put a picture
- 13:31within your... You wouldn't use PowerPoint. You
- 13:34keep switching them out? No. No, like if you're
- 13:36like... If you're making a presentation, what
- 13:38you would do is... If you're doing a presentation,
- 13:42what you used to do... Okay, remember science
- 13:45fair and those three -fold... presentation thing,
- 13:49you would put the picture on the poster board
- 13:53as part of the already incorporated thing. Now,
- 13:56if you were doing a slideshow, a slideshow is
- 13:58actually a separate piece of technology. A slideshow
- 14:02used photography and film. So, here's the thing.
- 14:08Again, the things that were not on computers
- 14:11at this time in 1993, the idea of actually putting
- 14:14this media on computers was absurd. Because what
- 14:19did you do with a computer? You computed! Yes?
- 14:26This is much later! The internet used to be nothing
- 14:33more than black and white and green ASCII text
- 14:37on monochromatic screens. Because it wasn't for
- 14:41entertainment. And the internet is older than
- 14:43you remember. You remember the Internet from
- 14:48your childhood. The Internet was actually a network
- 14:51of systems shared between the military and the
- 14:56universities, originally designed by the military
- 14:59to work with multiple and independent systems
- 15:01in the event of a Soviet attack. In the 1960s,
- 15:07the Internet was born. In the 1970s, it was the
- 15:10military and the universities. In the 1980s,
- 15:13it was the military, universities, and corporations.
- 15:15In the 1990s, America Online puts America online
- 15:22with little CDs and 56K modems. Actually, 28K
- 15:28modems. And that's where we get the phrase, you've
- 15:32got mail. So in the 1990s, you have the dawn
- 15:39of the personal computer being able to access
- 15:43the internet. So now this puts email in the column
- 15:47of personal computers. Now, but if you wanted
- 15:54pictures, if you wanted music, if you wanted
- 15:55music, you went to Best Buy, you bought a CD.
- 15:59If you wanted pictures, you would take pictures
- 16:02with a camera. you would take it to the photo
- 16:05lab and in an hour they would give you the photos.
- 16:08And if you wanted to send someone your photos,
- 16:10you put it in the envelope and you mailed it
- 16:12to their address. And if you were giving a slide
- 16:16show, instead of taking pictures on film, you
- 16:19would take pictures on slide. And again, a similar
- 16:21development process. You would actually put it
- 16:23in a slide carousel that would broadcast the
- 16:25light and it would project onto the screen. It
- 16:26would make a click noise when you turned the
- 16:29remote that was hardwired to the machine. It
- 16:37is a time undreamed of. My parents still have
- 16:40their slide projector. There are still professors
- 16:42at university who still use the old slides. I
- 16:47feel like everything would be so much more expensive.
- 16:50No, it wasn't, because the systems were already
- 16:52in place. It was not as expensive as getting
- 16:54it, because again, there's no bandwidth to transmit
- 16:57the content. And so one of the things when you
- 17:00start looking at computers, especially in the
- 17:0190s, is there's, you want to do, it's a race
- 17:06between speed, storage, and bandwidth. So in
- 17:13the 1990s, people are accessing the internet
- 17:16by way of 56 or 28k modems. When I say 28k, that
- 17:21is 28 kilobits per second. I said kilo. Not mega,
- 17:26not giga, not pita. Kilo. Verstanden? Okay. But...
- 17:36The buying of, in other words, you have people
- 17:39with money to burn. They're buying it on new
- 17:40technologies. You also have the increase of these
- 17:43technologies into office life. So, for example,
- 17:46when I was in high school, we did not have a
- 17:48computer in every classroom. The teacher did
- 17:54not have a computer. The teacher took roll on
- 17:56a paper Scantron -style thing, put it on the
- 18:00door for the aides to pick up. If they wanted
- 18:04to send us a message, they came over to the PA
- 18:06or they posted it on the bulletin board in the
- 18:07teacher work room or they put a memorandum in
- 18:09the teacher's box. Do you get the idea? Do you
- 18:13see how different the world is? Well, from A
- 18:15to B, a whole lot of money from these credit
- 18:18cards, from these tax cuts, from these home equity
- 18:20loans, from these business advances have people
- 18:22buying technology, which, again, causes the technology
- 18:25to increase. You also have people investing in
- 18:28new technology stocks. Netscape, AOL, Microsoft,
- 18:31Apple. All of these take off because there is
- 18:34this hopefulness in the inevitability of human
- 18:36progress. And why wouldn't there be hopefulness
- 18:40in the inevitability of human progress? We won
- 18:42the Cold War. The world was ours. You get the
- 18:50idea. So as the economy is booming, in 1996,
- 18:57Bill Clinton runs for re -election. So 1996,
- 19:00Bill Clinton runs for re -election. And as I
- 19:03say, when the economy is hopping, who gets the
- 19:05credit? The president. And when the economy is
- 19:08down, who gets the blame? The president. Even
- 19:11if, again, these are market forces relatively
- 19:13speaking beyond his control. So you have Clinton,
- 19:16runs for re -election. Remember, Clinton is the
- 19:19first baby boomer president. His opponent from
- 19:21the Republican Party is Bob Dole. Bob Dole, not
- 19:27as charismatic as Bill Clinton. Also, Bob Dole
- 19:29is a veteran of the Second World War. Bob Dole
- 19:31was 73. And Ross Perot was drafted to run again.
- 19:42Now, Clinton wins in an electoral landslide,
- 19:45but what's interesting, and this is one of the
- 19:48things that our revisionist friends in 2016 ignored,
- 19:54Bill Clinton never had a majority. Never. Not
- 20:01even when he ran for re -election. Oh, it was
- 20:1049, 41, and 8. No electors. These are all percentage
- 20:23votes. Now, the electoral sweep was, again, one
- 20:26-sided, but the popular vote is interesting.
- 20:31Bill Clinton never got a majority in the popular
- 20:34vote. Now, So he wins his re -election. Why?
- 20:41A couple of things that's worth noting. He wins
- 20:44his re -election. The Democrats do not gain the
- 20:50House or the Senate. Why? So you have the President,
- 20:54who's a Democrat, you have the House, that's
- 20:56Republican, and you have the Senate, which is
- 20:58Republican. Why did people vote? in large numbers,
- 21:02for Bill Clinton, but voted for people who antagonized
- 21:06him in Congress. Why? Had it occurred to anyone
- 21:15that most Americans are not ideologues, they
- 21:20do not vote for ideologies, they vote for men.
- 21:24And also, had it occurred to anyone that perhaps,
- 21:28and we have seen this, Did Barack Obama have
- 21:31a Republican Congress? Yes. Did Reagan have a
- 21:36Democratic Congress? Yes. Had it occurred to
- 21:39anyone that the system of divided government,
- 21:41the system that was designed not to work, stayed
- 21:46divided by design, by the volition of the American
- 21:50people? And when your economy is rocking and
- 21:54rolling, why would you want a divided system
- 21:57of government? Or to make sure that the government
- 22:05does nothing to get in the way. You get the idea.
- 22:12Oh my god, a system of divided government where
- 22:15they divided the government into three parts
- 22:17and even among those three parts they whittled
- 22:18it down to twos and threes and committee processes
- 22:20that make legislation slow and painful. Oh my
- 22:24god, the government that was designed to fail
- 22:26doesn't work. But that's exactly when it's working
- 22:30because the government that works well works
- 22:32really well at screwing things up. No? Ta -da!
- 22:40Let's get to the bit. So, here's the part that
- 22:47is perhaps the least understood. I'm actually
- 22:51going to do the foreign policy bit separate.
- 22:54I did his re -election, now I'm going to do the
- 22:56impeachment, then I'm going to go back to the
- 22:57foreign policy bits, because the foreign policy
- 22:59bits tie into the wider war on terror, so that's
- 23:01going to be a separate lecture. So, let's get
- 23:04to the impeachment of Clinton. Now, we kind of
- 23:08make light about it. Don't we? Everybody kind
- 23:13of chuckles when we talk about it. Why? Because
- 23:17it's funny. Because it's corporal. Because it's
- 23:20base. Because it's relatable. I mean, it almost
- 23:25sounds like the children on the playground, Bill
- 23:28and Monica up in a tree, K -I -S -S -I -N -G.
- 23:31No? First comes love, then comes marriage. No?
- 23:35No? Y 'all didn't do that nursery rhyme as children?
- 23:38Well, not that one, but different people. Yes?
- 23:40We all did it. We all did it. That nursery rhyme
- 23:42is older than you, I, and our parents put together.
- 23:46But what's actually kind of interesting is most
- 23:51treatments of the impeachment, most historical
- 23:54recollections of this are through the partisan
- 23:59lens. So let's go back to where it all began.
- 24:06In Arkansas. Because originally, and this is
- 24:11the part that most people don't understand, how
- 24:14is it that a case of real estate fraud in Arkansas
- 24:19would result in the impeachment of a president
- 24:23for perjury and obstruction is not a straight
- 24:27line. So let me take you through the... Rabbit
- 24:32hole, if you will. So, in Arkansas, there was
- 24:38a company called the Whitewater Development Company
- 24:40that had dealings with then -Governor Clinton
- 24:49when he was governor of Arkansas. Now, what would
- 24:52be wrong with the governor of a state having
- 24:56financial transactions with a development company
- 24:59in his state? Bribery, favoritism, that sort
- 25:07of thing, yes? Well, the Whitewater Development
- 25:09Corporation goes bankrupt and its key managers
- 25:13were convicted of fraud. What would be the problem
- 25:18of possibly having the chief executive of these
- 25:21United States being implicated in a massive fraud
- 25:24scheme involving embellishment? A little bit.
- 25:29Now, so... you had the commissioning of an independent
- 25:35council to look into the Whitewater development
- 25:46company and the relationship of President Clinton
- 25:49to that company when he was governor of Arkansas.
- 25:52Make sense? Okay. So, independent prosecutor
- 25:55was originally looking at that. Everybody good
- 25:58so far? So, on the one hand, does it make sense
- 26:02that you should actually investigate if your
- 26:04president, you know, maybe was party to a massive
- 26:07fraud that cost a lot of people a lot of money?
- 26:09Makes sense. And even if he's innocent, what
- 26:12would the independent prosecutor then be able
- 26:14to do? Exonerate, right? Okay, we just want to
- 26:19know. That's always how the investigations go.
- 26:21Now, sidebar conversation, and we'll just call
- 26:25these peccadillos. Even going back to the presidential
- 26:32campaign of 1992. 1992, Bill Clinton's running
- 26:39for the governorship. A woman by the name of
- 26:41Jennifer Flowers reveals that he and she were
- 26:44having an extramarital affair for some time.
- 26:48Paula Jones. A woman in Arkansas who accused
- 26:58the then governor of exposing himself to her
- 27:01is seeking compensation in the form of a sexual
- 27:06harassment lawsuit. Now, is sexual harassment
- 27:10a criminal offense or is it a civil offense?
- 27:19Criminal. If I'm suing somebody for it, what
- 27:23is it? If I want money, civil. So she is trying
- 27:28to, it's a civil suit. Now, if you're suing somebody
- 27:33for sexual harassment, what usually helps make
- 27:36your case? Proof. And in addition to proof, it
- 27:41also helps if you can establish a pattern. So,
- 27:46if I look at the Paula Jones case, here I have
- 27:49Bill Clinton, the governor of Arkansas, using
- 27:51his position of authority to sexually exploit
- 27:54a woman, such as the accusation. Yes? So, if
- 27:58you're the lawyer for Paula Jones, and you're
- 28:00trying to figure out if this man has used his
- 28:02position of authority to sexually exploit women,
- 28:05what do you do? You look for other women. Right?
- 28:10So the prosecutors start looking for other women,
- 28:12and in connection to this sexual harassment lawsuit
- 28:15coming out of Arkansas, they find that Bill Clinton
- 28:20had had an affair with one Monica Lewinsky, a
- 28:2521 -year -old intern. I forget what state she's
- 28:28from. Bill Clinton was in his late 40s. She was
- 28:31more than half his age. So, you're the lawyer
- 28:36trying to get justice for your client. you ask
- 28:40the mistress, and you also ask the president.
- 28:44So, President Clinton was placed in a three -hour
- 28:47federal deposition. In that deposition, he denied
- 28:51the relationship. He denied that he had a sexual
- 28:56relationship with that woman. And so, in the
- 28:59end, the independent counsel now not only has
- 29:02to investigate this, but also investigating this
- 29:06because, what do you call it when you don't tell
- 29:08the truth in front of a judge? Perjury. Perjury
- 29:12is a federal crime. Perjury is a crime. If you
- 29:16are convicted of perjury, you are a felon. You
- 29:19lose the right to vote. You lose the right to
- 29:21keep and bear arms. So, two charges of note come
- 29:29up. One is perjury. The other is, why did he
- 29:35lie? To impede what? This civil suit. So he was
- 29:43tried for perjury and for obstruction of justice.
- 29:50So it's not, that he was on trial for adultery.
- 29:55He was on trial for lying to a federal judge
- 29:59and for obstruction of justice of this woman
- 30:03who had been the victim of sexual exploitation.
- 30:09Now, I know none of you remember this. None of
- 30:12you were even conceived yet. In 1998, when the
- 30:16trial got started. And I know we've had sort
- 30:21of this pleasant revision of the history of this
- 30:24administration. So, now you have the charges.
- 30:30Now let's look at the math behind it. Because
- 30:34in the end, is impeachment and removal, is it
- 30:39an act of justice or is it an act of politics?
- 30:43Very much so. So we have talked about... the
- 30:47impeachment process in the context of Richard
- 30:51Nixon and in the context of Andrew Johnson. Impeachment
- 30:54is handed down by which part of Congress? We
- 31:01got two chambers, House and Senate. Which one
- 31:04does it? House. Impeachment takes a House vote
- 31:09and it's only a simple majority. So it's a simple
- 31:13majority in the House. Who has a simple majority
- 31:16in the House? The Republicans. Do they get their
- 31:21simple majority vote? To indict. Yes. So, President
- 31:26Bill Clinton is the second president in American
- 31:28history to be impeached, the only in the 20th
- 31:32century. To convict a president is a trial before
- 31:38the Senate chaired by the Chief Justice of the
- 31:41Supreme Court. I remember watching it at Dobie
- 31:44Mall at UT while eating a seven -layer burrito.
- 31:46I mean, not all of it, but I remember what I
- 31:48ate. To convict, what does it take? A two -thirds
- 31:53vote in the Senate. Now, here's the question.
- 31:59The Republicans have a majority in the Senate.
- 32:02They don't have two -thirds. If they were going
- 32:06to get a conviction, they would need who to come
- 32:10along. Some Democrats. Some Democrats did not
- 32:16come along. And so Bill Clinton was impeached,
- 32:19but he was not removed. Now I'm going to leave
- 32:21you with this story. Who was Clinton's vice president?
- 32:32Al Gore. Al Gore, the senator from Tennessee
- 32:36who became the vice president under Clinton.
- 32:41Was Clinton's running mate in 92? Was Clinton's
- 32:44running mate in 96? Now, you're Al Gore. Your
- 32:54president is on trial for perjury and obstruction
- 32:57of justice. And you are a popular man in the
- 33:01Democratic Party. What could you do? Try to convince
- 33:07enough of the Democrats to vote with who? The
- 33:11Republicans. And you could be president. The
- 33:15man who would be king. Except, after the impeachment...
- 33:23Al Gore stood outside the White House with the
- 33:28Senate Democrats who would be on the jury of
- 33:31or actually no, he stood outside the White House
- 33:36with the Democrats who had voted against the
- 33:39impeachment and declared history will remember
- 33:43Bill Clinton as one of America's great presidents.
- 33:47And in that moment, Al Gore gave up His chance
- 33:53to be president. Now, Al Gore will run for the
- 33:58presidency in 2000 to George W. Bush. And he
- 34:04will lose by the narrowest of margins, having
- 34:07won the popular vote by nearly half a million,
- 34:11but losing the state of Florida in a very thin
- 34:14recount. But there are two interesting aspects
- 34:17about this man. One, he had his chance to be
- 34:21president. And two, he lost his home state. And
- 34:27after that loss in 2000, Al Gore and Bill Clinton
- 34:32never spoke again. I kind of wanted to set that
- 34:37up to lead us into the next part, which is the
- 34:41rise of Bush. Bush the Younger, which I don't
- 34:46have much time to get into. Are we out of here
- 34:47at 52 or 57? Oh, good. I got time for this. All
- 34:53right. Let me tell you the story. Let me tell
- 35:00you the story of... And this is my own construction.
- 35:04The story of George Oltor. All right. So, one
- 35:09of the things that's kind of funny, and I think
- 35:12I'm probably the only historian who's noticed
- 35:16this. George Bush the Younger, as often called
- 35:20George W. Bush, I use the term George Ultor.
- 35:25Ultor is an old Latin word. It means the Avenger.
- 35:30Because it's kind of an interesting story how
- 35:32George W. Bush kind of comes out of nowhere in
- 35:36the 1990s. becomes the governor of the Texan
- 35:40state and subsequently the president of the United
- 35:42States in less than two decades. So, let's go
- 35:48back. 1992. Texas has a Democratic governor,
- 35:58Ann Richards, who spoke very slightingly of President
- 36:03George Bush the Elder. Now, what's interesting
- 36:07about... So, 1992, Ann Richards addresses the
- 36:12DNC. This is her famous, poor George, he can't
- 36:15help it, he was born with a silver foot in his
- 36:17mouth. Ann Richards addresses the DNC. She was
- 36:20a rising star in the Democratic Party. By the
- 36:27way, when does Texas hold its gubernatorial elections?
- 36:34Not in 1994. 1992, or rather 1992, Ann Richards
- 36:42addresses the DNC, speaking rather despairingly
- 36:45of George Bush the Elder. 1993, George W. Bush
- 36:49decides he will run for the governorship of the
- 36:51Texan state. 1994, George Bush the Younger defeats
- 36:57Ann Richards. ushering in the Republican majority
- 37:08of the Texan state in the House and in the Senate
- 37:11where it remains. Now, interestingly enough,
- 37:13George Bush, the younger, when he was governor
- 37:15of the Texan state, had to deal with a Democrat
- 37:18for the lieutenant governor, Bob Bullock. They
- 37:22named a museum after him. 1998. Is that a presidential
- 37:30election year? No. Bush runs for re -election
- 37:36as Texan governor. Bob Bullock does not run for
- 37:46re -election as lieutenant governor. In the Texan
- 37:48state, the governor and the lieutenant governor
- 37:51are not running mates. They are separate statewide
- 37:53offices. Rick Perry is elected lieutenant governor
- 38:01of the Texan state. 2000. George W. Bush runs
- 38:15for the nomination of the Republican Party. It
- 38:19is a bruising campaign. Once again, Bill Clinton
- 38:22has had his two terms, and so anytime you're
- 38:25the opposition party after a two -term president,
- 38:27who could be president? Anyone. So it's a free
- 38:30-for -all. It was one of those weird races because
- 38:35it was him, it was Pat Buchanan, it was... Pat
- 38:40Robertson of the 700 Club. I mean, it was an
- 38:43interesting motley crew. Now, what was interesting
- 38:45about it is this. Bush and Buchanan have a grueling
- 38:57presidential election fight. where the heart
- 39:03and soul of the Republican Party is aired out.
- 39:05Now, what's interesting about Buchanan is Buchanan
- 39:07thought NAFTA was a bad idea. So Bush sets himself
- 39:12up as a free trader versus Buchanan, who is more
- 39:15of an isolationist. And so when I look at 2016,
- 39:20I see Trump channeling Ross Perot and Pat Buchanan.
- 39:23It's really kind of interesting. But anyway,
- 39:24Bush versus Buchanan. Bush clinches the primary.
- 39:28And then, of course, November of 2000, You have
- 39:32Bush versus Gore. Now, this is where I get back
- 39:37to when Al Gore could have been president. The
- 39:40signature slogan of the Bush campaign back in
- 39:442000 was to restore honor and dignity to the
- 39:48White House. Was George W. Bush actually running
- 39:51against Al Gore with that phraseology? Who's
- 39:54he running against with that phraseology? Bill
- 39:57Clinton. And so with that phraseology, you go
- 40:00into the election, and I'm going to probably
- 40:02have to show you all the electoral map tomorrow.
- 40:05But you know what I meant. Anyway, but yeah,
- 40:11it is a close electoral race, and it hinged on
- 40:15the state of Florida. More to follow.