Latest / Toadstool Sports / FRIDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball March Madness & NHL & NBA | 3/20/26
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yep.
- 0:01Speaker 2: Inside I want to kill myself. We are on Own
- 0:06Speaker 2: seven run over the last two days after tonight.
- 0:08Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
- 0:10Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
- 0:13Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
- 0:14Speaker 1: I don't even know.
- 0:15Speaker 2: What to tell you above that I just don't want
- 0:18Speaker 2: to do this anymore.
- 0:19Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this.
- 0:21Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
- 0:26Speaker 2: good day at all.
- 0:27Speaker 1: Oh in four that have not had a good season.
- 0:31Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
- 0:35Speaker 2: slump continues.
- 0:37Speaker 1: I've reached into pink.
- 0:38Speaker 2: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat man, I
- 0:42Speaker 2: don't know what is going on with the bruins arch hape?
- 0:46Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
- 0:47Speaker 1: It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
- 0:51Speaker 1: don't know what data is anymore. But I don't even
- 0:53Speaker 1: know what data is anymore.
- 0:54Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
- 0:58Speaker 2: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
- 1:02Speaker 1: Until I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and
- 1:06Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me.
- 1:07Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
- 1:11Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
- 1:13Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
- 1:15Speaker 3: To the slumps, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
- 1:20Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
- 1:23Speaker 3: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
- 1:25Speaker 3: other than potentially end it all.
- 1:33Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you.
- 1:35Speaker 2: Toadstool Sports Friday, second day of March Madness, March twentieth.
- 1:41Speaker 2: We did not have a great day on the show yesterday.
- 1:43Speaker 2: We did not get there with Hawaii. I mean they
- 1:45Speaker 2: were They gave away too many points in the first half. Man, Like,
- 1:49Speaker 2: I don't know how a defensively Hawaii's ones have given
- 1:53Speaker 2: up fifty points whatever, it was more than that, I
- 1:55Speaker 2: guess in the first half. Not a good sign. They
- 1:58Speaker 2: were better in the second half. They still could not cover.
- 2:01Speaker 2: They missed by a few points there. We did get
- 2:04Speaker 2: the win with Texas, even though they tried to blow
- 2:06Speaker 2: the game, as they tend to do late in the game.
- 2:09Speaker 1: But that was like a wire to wire easy.
- 2:11Speaker 2: Win on Texas. And then I'm pissed the hockey game
- 2:15Speaker 2: Seattle Krack and they were in that game. It was
- 2:17Speaker 2: one nothing for quite a while. It was two to
- 2:19Speaker 2: one for a lot of the remainder of the game,
- 2:22Speaker 2: and they gave him an empty net goal at the end.
- 2:24Speaker 2: It was a close game statistically, like, I think there
- 2:28Speaker 2: were chances they could have won that game. I'm not
- 2:31Speaker 2: happy about that either. I thought it was a good spot.
- 2:33Speaker 2: Today I'm being really selective. I mean, there isn't really
- 2:36Speaker 2: that much hockey and NBA today. I don't like those
- 2:38Speaker 2: boards at all. College board, I'm gonna give up one
- 2:41Speaker 2: college basketball play and you probably already.
- 2:44Speaker 1: Know what it is.
- 2:46Speaker 2: I'll talk about the other opinions that I have here,
- 2:50Speaker 2: you know, I mean my bracket. I'm pissed, you know.
- 2:53Speaker 2: I mean, we tried to do the switch thing because
- 2:55Speaker 2: everybody was picking Arkansas. We went with Wisconsin, who's a
- 2:58Speaker 2: very high variance team because they take too many threes
- 3:02Speaker 2: and they should have won that game yesterday. Dude, Wisconsin
- 3:05Speaker 2: the one really big upset that happened yesterday. They were
- 3:08Speaker 2: winning the game by eight with like a few minutes
- 3:10Speaker 2: to go, high point hits, a three pointer from the
- 3:13Speaker 2: logo stoopid. It was stupid to take that shot, to
- 3:16Speaker 2: be honest, like low percentage shot, just oh three minutes
- 3:20Speaker 2: left let's just fire it up from.
- 3:22Speaker 1: Almost half court? Why not?
- 3:24Speaker 2: Like that's like something that I would do when I
- 3:27Speaker 2: was on Like when I played intramural basketball, all I
- 3:30Speaker 2: could do was shoot from like distance, Like that's the
- 3:33Speaker 2: only thing I was good at. I did that in
- 3:35Speaker 2: a couple of games, you know. But it's it's not
- 3:39Speaker 2: good strategy.
- 3:40Speaker 1: I'll tell you that. It's dumb.
- 3:43Speaker 2: H So that was dumb, and then dude, North Carolina
- 3:47Speaker 2: Davis should be fired. Dude, like, you cannot dominated. I
- 3:51Speaker 2: told you North Carolina was gonna win, and they should have.
- 3:54Speaker 2: You cannot dominate a game like that, be up nineteen
- 3:58Speaker 2: points with like less than ten minutes to go and
- 4:01Speaker 2: not win the game.
- 4:02Speaker 1: I don't know what that was. They were up.
- 4:04Speaker 2: I think they were still up fourteen with like six
- 4:06Speaker 2: minutes left, and then they're still up.
- 4:09Speaker 1: I mean, they almost blow the game. They're still up
- 4:10Speaker 1: five with.
- 4:11Speaker 2: Like thirty seconds left. You should put the game away
- 4:14Speaker 2: at that point too. There was a bad foul call
- 4:18Speaker 2: where VCU's player literally just fell down. He slipped on
- 4:22Speaker 2: like a wet spot on the court, and they call
- 4:23Speaker 2: the foul on that on North Carolina and there was
- 4:26Speaker 2: no contact. VCU hit both those free throws to cut
- 4:30Speaker 2: it to one, and then North Carolina could not hang
- 4:32Speaker 2: out of the ball, like they literally they had two
- 4:36Speaker 2: more possessions in the game and they could never even
- 4:38Speaker 2: get a single shot attempt off, Like, you have to
- 4:41Speaker 2: be kidding me with that shit. Oh my god, it
- 4:45Speaker 2: made absolutely no sense. And then they scored I think
- 4:49Speaker 2: they scored three points in the entirety of overtime, which
- 4:52Speaker 2: is one of the lowest scoring overtimes in like the
- 4:55Speaker 2: history of college basketball for a single team. Absolutely no
- 5:00Speaker 2: way that North Carolina should have lost that game. It's
- 5:02Speaker 2: absolutely ridiculous, you know. I mean the games that went
- 5:07Speaker 2: down in my bracket.
- 5:08Speaker 1: Were all pretty close, although.
- 5:10Speaker 2: Today, you know, the ones that I'm gonna lose today,
- 5:13Speaker 2: we might have some blowouts. Actually, no way, the the
- 5:15Speaker 2: Saint Mary's one was a blowouts. Nevermind, whatever. I don't
- 5:18Speaker 2: know how that happened, Kyle, what's up. Yeah, that game
- 5:24Speaker 2: was completely over, Like I stopped paying attention to it.
- 5:27Speaker 2: I'm like, yeah, that game's over, easy win for North Carolina.
- 5:30Speaker 2: And they were playing in front of like a solid
- 5:33Speaker 2: crowd there in South Carolina. I have no idea what
- 5:37Speaker 2: that was The public, dude, people you know, patting themselves
- 5:41Speaker 2: on the back for picking VCU. Shut the fuck up,
- 5:44Speaker 2: like you had that game completely wrong. Fuck off, you
- 5:47Speaker 2: know what I mean. Whatever, You know, I felt good
- 5:53Speaker 2: about Texas since that was full disclosure. That was the
- 5:57Speaker 2: one game that I actually put money on because I'm
- 5:59Speaker 2: trying to be very uh you know, like I haven't
- 6:03Speaker 2: I haven't bet an actual game for for several days
- 6:06Speaker 2: now again, but I'm trying to like really pick and
- 6:08Speaker 2: choose like what I think is like the strongest like
- 6:11Speaker 2: one maybe just to have some money on. I don't
- 6:13Speaker 2: know if I'm gonna do it with my play today,
- 6:15Speaker 2: but let's talk about it.
- 6:17Speaker 3: Man.
- 6:18Speaker 2: College basketball first came up as Santa Clara, Kentucky.
- 6:22Speaker 1: Uh, this is Santa Clara, the city in Kentucky.
- 6:25Speaker 2: Now this game is in Saint Louis, Missouri, So I
- 6:27Speaker 2: do think the location is better for Kentucky. You know,
- 6:30Speaker 2: they should have their crowd show up for Saint Louis.
- 6:33Speaker 2: I mean not really that far from Lexi to Kentucky,
- 6:36Speaker 2: to be honest. Santa Clara, you know they did well
- 6:40Speaker 2: this year on the West Coast, but they're not used
- 6:42Speaker 2: to being here. This is a say Santa Clarait team
- 6:44Speaker 2: that hasn't been in the tournament since the Steve Nash
- 6:48Speaker 2: era back in the nineties or whatever, so they're gonna
- 6:51Speaker 2: be unfamiliar with this. So the familiarity, the experience, whatever
- 6:55Speaker 2: you want to call it, does go to Kentucky. Kentucky,
- 6:57Speaker 2: they're not really a young in experienced team either, like
- 7:01Speaker 2: they just haven't really had the chemistry to really coalesce,
- 7:05Speaker 2: but they are an experienced team.
- 7:08Speaker 1: I think Santa Clara is as well. By the way,
- 7:11Speaker 1: for some.
- 7:11Speaker 2: Reason, even though ken Baum's continuity number on High Point yesterday,
- 7:14Speaker 2: I don't know what the deal was with that, because
- 7:16Speaker 2: High Point does have like four players that are on
- 7:19Speaker 2: the team from last year, so I don't know, so
- 7:21Speaker 2: that was I think something that kind of contributed to
- 7:24Speaker 2: their to their win there. Anyway, you guys know, I
- 7:26Speaker 2: took Kentucky in my bracket. I thought Santa Clara was
- 7:30Speaker 2: getting too much, you know, public hype here. It does
- 7:34Speaker 2: look like the money is starting come starting to come
- 7:36Speaker 2: in on Santa Clara. Those sixty percent of tickets, seventy
- 7:39Speaker 2: six percent of the cash on them. Kentucky's down to
- 7:41Speaker 2: a three point favorite. I have Kentucky in my bracket.
- 7:45Speaker 2: I think I do still lean towards laying it with
- 7:47Speaker 2: Kentucky in this one.
- 7:48Speaker 1: You just never really know what you're gonna get out
- 7:50Speaker 1: of Kentucky.
- 7:52Speaker 2: I guess one concern is their last game was not
- 7:57Speaker 2: that bad in the tournament. They played okay against Florida,
- 8:00Speaker 2: but it's not like they were like going to the
- 8:02Speaker 2: wire with Florida or anything like that, So I'm not
- 8:04Speaker 2: that concerned by that. Santa Clara had a similar game
- 8:06Speaker 2: in the final of the West Coast against uh against
- 8:11Speaker 2: Gonzaga to them, and that was I think around the
- 8:13Speaker 2: same time of the week, so I don't know.
- 8:15Speaker 1: I don't even know which team has more days off.
- 8:17Speaker 2: I don't think it's that much of an advantage one
- 8:20Speaker 2: way or the other. But Santa Clara did play okay
- 8:22Speaker 2: against Gonzaga in that game too.
- 8:24Speaker 1: Gonzaga looked really bad last night too. I don't know
- 8:27Speaker 1: what that was.
- 8:27Speaker 2: Kennasa State actually slowing a game down. Who would ever
- 8:31Speaker 2: expect that to be the case?
- 8:33Speaker 1: Very very odd.
- 8:35Speaker 2: There were some very bad foul calls going against Gonzaga
- 8:38Speaker 2: at the end of that game too, Like there was
- 8:41Speaker 2: like a clear charge on kennisaw where the dude like
- 8:44Speaker 2: basically lunge into Saint zup Mari, who I don't think
- 8:48Speaker 2: is a good player by the way, but the dude like,
- 8:51Speaker 2: I mean, I guess he's a good distributor. But the
- 8:53Speaker 2: guy like lunged into him twice. It should have been
- 8:56Speaker 2: a charge, and they called the a blocking foul even
- 8:59Speaker 2: though Saint zup was you know, he was set on
- 9:03Speaker 2: the actual chart, like the actual foul that happened. Then
- 9:07Speaker 2: there was a foul call where there was no contact
- 9:10Speaker 2: on a play where kennisudg Ha just completely missed a layup,
- 9:13Speaker 2: and they called the foul again on Saint Zooperrie, which
- 9:16Speaker 2: wasn't even the right player to call the foul on,
- 9:19Speaker 2: and he fouled out, although I guess if they called
- 9:21Speaker 2: the correct foul would have well, well, there wasn't a
- 9:25Speaker 2: foul at all. But like the dude who actually kind
- 9:28Speaker 2: of reached into like kind of try to swap the
- 9:30Speaker 2: ball was Eke and he would have.
- 9:33Speaker 1: Fouled out instead, I think Gonzaga's big man.
- 9:35Speaker 2: But there was actually no contact at all and it
- 9:37Speaker 2: was just a mislayup.
- 9:38Speaker 1: I don't know how that was a foul.
- 9:40Speaker 2: Uh, Gonzaga still won, but that was a weird game anyway,
- 9:43Speaker 2: Akron in Texas Tech. That Santa Clara and Kentucky game
- 9:46Speaker 2: is a ten to seven matchup in the Midwest Region.
- 9:50Speaker 2: This is also Midwest Region twelve versus five matchup here. Akron,
- 9:55Speaker 2: they seem like they're a pretty public side here, like
- 9:58Speaker 2: a you know, one of the like underdogs of the
- 10:00Speaker 2: public kind of likes here. Because of the JT top
- 10:04Speaker 2: and an injury, Texas Tech has.
- 10:05Speaker 1: Not looked the same.
- 10:08Speaker 2: But you know, I kind of like good teams that
- 10:10Speaker 2: go into the tournament on a bad note, and Texas
- 10:13Speaker 2: Tech did. They got blown out, but it was I
- 10:15Speaker 2: think by Iowa States or might have been Arizona. Which
- 10:17Speaker 2: team was it, It was one of those. It was
- 10:19Speaker 2: Iowa State, but Iowa State's good man. So Texas Tech
- 10:24Speaker 2: I considered to still be a good team, and good
- 10:27Speaker 2: teams that you know, don't look good in the conference
- 10:30Speaker 2: tournament get knocked out.
- 10:31Speaker 1: They tend to do pretty well in this first game
- 10:33Speaker 1: of the tournament. Akron.
- 10:37Speaker 2: They're a bit too public for my liking, even though
- 10:39Speaker 2: if you look at the the money percentages right now,
- 10:41Speaker 2: they are actually getting more of the cash sixty five
- 10:43Speaker 2: percent of ticket seventy two percent of the cash. I
- 10:46Speaker 2: actually don't agree with that side, though, I actually would
- 10:48Speaker 2: lean towards Texas Tech. Here they're laying seven and a half.
- 10:51Speaker 2: I think they'd be laying probably eleven and a half
- 10:53Speaker 2: of top and was playing.
- 10:55Speaker 1: Acron's good.
- 10:56Speaker 2: There's no doubt about it. You know, I've been a
- 10:57Speaker 2: fan of them this year. They take a lot of
- 11:01Speaker 2: so there is a lot of variants in this game.
- 11:03Speaker 2: So I mean they could, they could potentially win. I'm
- 11:05Speaker 2: not gonna say that's out of the realm of possibility.
- 11:09Speaker 1: Texas Tech.
- 11:10Speaker 2: They take a lot of threes as well, though, you know,
- 11:14Speaker 2: I think Toppings injury is it is affecting them.
- 11:16Speaker 1: But the Texas Tech team.
- 11:17Speaker 2: Is still pretty deep, still good, and they have a
- 11:20Speaker 2: coaching advantage here with Grant McCaslin. You're like, you're looking
- 11:24Speaker 2: at a really good coach here, even though Akarts coaches
- 11:27Speaker 2: experience too. Though they've been in the tournament probably three
- 11:30Speaker 2: of the last four years or something, so there is experience.
- 11:32Speaker 1: On that side too. It's a tough game to call,
- 11:35Speaker 1: to be honest.
- 11:37Speaker 2: I know in my bracket I have Texas Tech winning that,
- 11:39Speaker 2: and actually I sent them past Alabama to because Alabama's
- 11:43Speaker 2: over overpicked, I think, and because of all the turmoil there,
- 11:47Speaker 2: it's just you know, the game theory way that I
- 11:48Speaker 2: had to do it. You know, might lose another Sweet
- 11:51Speaker 2: sixteen team here, But I actually do lean to Texas
- 11:54Speaker 2: Tech in that one ten.
- 11:56Speaker 1: Oh what's up? You took offs Er in your breath.
- 12:01Speaker 1: I don't hate it.
- 12:01Speaker 2: I mean I did not personally, but yes, correct, Hostra
- 12:08Speaker 2: has size. They have a really really talented guard in
- 12:12Speaker 2: Cruz Davis as well. Yes, I'm gonna talk about that
- 12:18Speaker 2: game if you want to stick around to talk about
- 12:20Speaker 2: that game in order.
- 12:21Speaker 1: It's coming up in a few games.
- 12:23Speaker 2: I agree with taking Hawser plus the points, though I
- 12:25Speaker 2: do agree with that Long Island in Arizona. I mean,
- 12:29Speaker 2: this is a game that is almost unbettable, I would say,
- 12:32Speaker 2: at least from a side perspective, sixteen versus one Long Island.
- 12:37Speaker 2: You know they had a good season, they dominated their
- 12:39Speaker 2: bad conference. They were in the Northeast. Arizona, we know
- 12:42Speaker 2: they're a legit contender. They're not gonna lose this game.
- 12:45Speaker 2: It's in San Diego. The question is is Arizona gonna
- 12:48Speaker 2: cover a massive number like this.
- 12:51Speaker 1: It's really hard to say.
- 12:52Speaker 2: They're thirty one point favorites, So Arizona and Michigan have
- 12:55Speaker 2: been the biggest favorites out there.
- 12:58Speaker 1: I know, I didn't mention.
- 12:59Speaker 2: Duke had a horrible, horrible game yesterday, And I will
- 13:03Speaker 2: say that that one Seeds who have won the whole
- 13:08Speaker 2: thing have never won their opening round game by less
- 13:11Speaker 2: than fifteen points or fewer than fifteen points, So that's
- 13:14Speaker 2: not a good omen for Duke.
- 13:17Speaker 1: In that game. Sianna, you know, had.
- 13:19Speaker 2: The lead pretty pretty deep into that game, double digit
- 13:22Speaker 2: lead at half time, very very crazy stuff in that game.
- 13:26Speaker 2: This game, I mean, Arizona goes at a faster pace
- 13:28Speaker 2: than Duke.
- 13:29Speaker 1: Total is a little bit higher than that, but.
- 13:31Speaker 2: Still the question is like when is Arizona gonna pack
- 13:34Speaker 2: it in, right?
- 13:35Speaker 1: Like they could be winning this game by twenty five
- 13:37Speaker 1: and then.
- 13:37Speaker 2: Just take their foot off the gas, all right, you know,
- 13:40Speaker 2: let's start looking ahead to the next game, right.
- 13:43Speaker 1: So I wouldn't lay it here.
- 13:44Speaker 2: But I also don't really want to take the points
- 13:46Speaker 2: of Long Island fifty four percent of the tickets, fifty
- 13:49Speaker 2: eight percent of the cash on Arizona. I don't even
- 13:54Speaker 2: know if I really have an opinion on the side
- 13:55Speaker 2: in this game, to be honest, the.
- 13:56Speaker 1: Total is really hard to predict too.
- 13:58Speaker 2: Because again, if the better has a blowout and they
- 14:01Speaker 2: take their foot off the gas and there's gonna be
- 14:03Speaker 2: less scoring towards the end of the game, you know
- 14:05Speaker 2: what I mean. So it's the game is so difficult
- 14:08Speaker 2: to even look at. I mean, you could go, like
- 14:10Speaker 2: a first half play maybe I don't even know which
- 14:13Speaker 2: way do you want to go, Like I guess, well,
- 14:15Speaker 2: Arizona the looked really good. They won their conference tournament.
- 14:18Speaker 2: You know, they're probably probably already locked into a one seed.
- 14:21Speaker 2: So I mean, I guess if you wanted to go
- 14:23Speaker 2: like Long Island plus the points in the first half
- 14:26Speaker 2: to you know, maybe just because you think Arizona might
- 14:30Speaker 2: start a little bit slow, you could look at the
- 14:32Speaker 2: game that way. And you know, like I said yesterday,
- 14:34Speaker 2: a lot of times there's less scoring early in these
- 14:37Speaker 2: games because all these teams have to get adjusted to
- 14:40Speaker 2: these new arenas, you know what I mean. Whereas the
- 14:43Speaker 2: second game, these teams playing the same arena, they'll now
- 14:45Speaker 2: be adjusted to it, you know, So there's a difference there. Yes,
- 14:52Speaker 2: well yeah, let me I'll get to that host game
- 14:55Speaker 2: in a second. Rio what's up man?
- 14:58Speaker 1: Thank you sir.
- 14:59Speaker 2: Yes, I was on Texas as well. Yes, money line
- 15:04Speaker 2: and plus the points. I put ten percent of my
- 15:06Speaker 2: bet on the money line yesterday on that one.
- 15:09Speaker 1: You know.
- 15:09Speaker 2: I mean, if you take it a to and a
- 15:10Speaker 2: half point underdog, you should definitely put money on the
- 15:13Speaker 2: money line because you're basically saying they're gonna win the game.
- 15:16Speaker 2: All right, fourteen versus three Right State Virginia. I mean,
- 15:20Speaker 2: this is also a game that doesn't really have a
- 15:22Speaker 2: ton going on here. It's in Philadelphia, so it's not
- 15:26Speaker 2: that far really from either of these teams. Right State
- 15:29Speaker 2: is in Ohio. We all know where Virginia is. I
- 15:32Speaker 2: would hope Right State. You know, I don't know if
- 15:35Speaker 2: they match up particularly well against Virginia. They don't really
- 15:40Speaker 2: take a lot of threes, so the comeback potential might
- 15:43Speaker 2: not be there, although they do hit their threes when
- 15:45Speaker 2: they do take them. But Virginia's just a really, really
- 15:48Speaker 2: good defensive team, you know, Right State. I don't know
- 15:51Speaker 2: that they match up necessarily that well against them, but
- 15:54Speaker 2: you know, Virginia plays a slow down defensive style, so
- 15:58Speaker 2: asking Virginia to win by huge margin like this probably
- 16:02Speaker 2: not something that I would want to do. And the
- 16:03Speaker 2: other thing about Virginia that I don't like is they
- 16:06Speaker 2: finished the season with a really close loss to Duke
- 16:09Speaker 2: or finish the ACC tournament that way. Like they're coming
- 16:13Speaker 2: up of a really close game against Duke, right, So
- 16:15Speaker 2: I think it could be a potential flat spot.
- 16:17Speaker 1: Here for Virginia, you know what I mean.
- 16:19Speaker 2: So I think this is kind of similar to basically
- 16:22Speaker 2: what I said about Houston yesterday. I think Houston did
- 16:24Speaker 2: cover the spread yesterday. I think I would lean towards
- 16:28Speaker 2: Right State plus the points here. Again, I mean, it
- 16:32Speaker 2: could be a potential flat ish spot for Virginia just
- 16:35Speaker 2: because that game against Duke was huge.
- 16:37Speaker 1: They're laying eighteen points, not a high total in this game.
- 16:40Speaker 2: In the one forties, Virginia doesn't play high scoring games,
- 16:44Speaker 2: you know, fifty four percent of tickets on them, sixty
- 16:47Speaker 2: two percent of the cash on Right State. I mean,
- 16:50Speaker 2: the matchup wise, I don't love it. Again, Right State
- 16:53Speaker 2: don't love the you know, like backdoor potential necessarily in
- 16:56Speaker 2: this one. But yeah, I think I would lean to
- 16:59Speaker 2: taking the points of the Right State. The more that
- 17:01Speaker 2: I think about the fact that Virginia is coming up
- 17:03Speaker 2: that Duke game. I actually, you know, it gives me
- 17:06Speaker 2: more of an opinion on Right State than I thought
- 17:08Speaker 2: I would have. But I don't want to add that
- 17:09Speaker 2: to my card Texas over Gonzaga. I don't agree with that.
- 17:14Speaker 2: I think Gonzaga is gonna blow them out. Like one
- 17:19Speaker 2: thing that I will tell you about the second round
- 17:21Speaker 2: games is I like playing the better team when they
- 17:23Speaker 2: look horrible in their first game. So I think that
- 17:27Speaker 2: does apply to Gonzaga because nobody wants them. Everybody just
- 17:30Speaker 2: bases it off of that one game, right Like, I
- 17:32Speaker 2: think Duke is a good play in round two as
- 17:35Speaker 2: well for that reason, you know what I mean, people
- 17:38Speaker 2: are gonna be Everybody reacts like you know, it's like
- 17:40Speaker 2: the tournament is a new season, and everybody reacts to
- 17:43Speaker 2: one game worth the data and they overreact to it.
- 17:47Speaker 2: The fifteen to two match up here in the Midwest,
- 17:49Speaker 2: we get mostly Midwest Region games here early on Tennessee
- 17:53Speaker 2: State and Iowa State playing in Saint.
- 17:55Speaker 1: Louis, Missouri.
- 17:56Speaker 2: Not a horrible location for Iowa State to be playing
- 17:59Speaker 2: Tennessee State. You know, I think they're maybe the best
- 18:02Speaker 2: of the fifteen seeds. I mean, they do have some
- 18:04Speaker 2: size and some talent there a Tennessee State. I believe
- 18:08Speaker 2: they're coached by is it Nolan Smith? Maybe former Duke
- 18:14Speaker 2: Duke persona there. I believe he's the coach of tennis.
- 18:17Speaker 1: I don't even know. Maybe I'm wrong about that something.
- 18:20Speaker 1: I think I might be right. I don't know.
- 18:22Speaker 2: Tennessee State, you know they won the Ohio Valley. I
- 18:25Speaker 2: don't think they're going to match up against Iowa State.
- 18:27Speaker 2: But then you have to figure out as Iowa was
- 18:28Speaker 2: State going to cover this massive number, right, Iowa State
- 18:32Speaker 2: is coming off a really really close game against Arizona Man,
- 18:37Speaker 2: so I think it could be a potential flat spot
- 18:39Speaker 2: there too. That was in the Big twelve semifinals. Again,
- 18:42Speaker 2: Iowa State coming off a monster effort there and almost
- 18:45Speaker 2: beat Arizona State, and they actually probably should have won
- 18:48Speaker 2: that game. Iowa State had a pretty big lead in
- 18:50Speaker 2: that game if you remember, and I told you Iowa
- 18:53Speaker 2: State had a decent.
- 18:54Speaker 1: Shot at winning that game.
- 18:55Speaker 2: So that being their last game, I would actually have
- 18:59Speaker 2: a tendency to fail Iowa State here.
- 19:01Speaker 1: I would lean towards.
- 19:01Speaker 2: Tennessee State plus the points in this one. Iowa State
- 19:05Speaker 2: it's a twenty five point favorite. Now it's a pretty
- 19:07Speaker 2: low total in this one too.
- 19:08Speaker 1: In the one.
- 19:08Speaker 2: Forties, sixty six percent of tickets, only fifty nine percent
- 19:12Speaker 2: of the cash on Iowa State.
- 19:13Speaker 1: Yeah, I would lean towards taking the points.
- 19:15Speaker 2: It's just, you know, once you get into a situation
- 19:19Speaker 2: where these games, you know, these games are in the
- 19:20Speaker 2: twenties and it's almost like this one team can name
- 19:23Speaker 2: the score.
- 19:24Speaker 1: It scares me a.
- 19:25Speaker 2: Little bit, but yeah, I do kind of like, you know, again,
- 19:28Speaker 2: an angle is fading these teams that are coming off
- 19:31Speaker 2: these huge effort games.
- 19:34Speaker 1: You know, whether they went on a run and won
- 19:36Speaker 1: their conference that looked.
- 19:36Speaker 2: Really good, or you know, they had this huge game
- 19:40Speaker 2: where they almost beat this other really good team.
- 19:42Speaker 1: You know.
- 19:42Speaker 2: So I think that's gonna apply to a few teams
- 19:44Speaker 2: today in Iowa State is one of them.
- 19:46Speaker 1: So I would fade them if I was gonna take
- 19:48Speaker 1: the spread in that one.
- 19:49Speaker 2: All right, Hofstra Alabama the thirteen to four matchup. This
- 19:52Speaker 2: is in Tampa, Florida, So the location is actually better
- 19:56Speaker 2: for Alabama for what for what that is worth.
- 20:00Speaker 1: Austra is in New York.
- 20:03Speaker 2: Of course, these teams are all coming in from their
- 20:05Speaker 2: conference tournament settings though, so you got like Santa Clara
- 20:08Speaker 2: coming in from Las Vegas, Kentucky coming in from Nashville,
- 20:11Speaker 2: though they might have gone home because it's close by.
- 20:13Speaker 1: You know, Akron was.
- 20:14Speaker 2: In Cleveland, oh akro To Texas Tech are playing in
- 20:19Speaker 2: Tampa as well. By the way, Texas Tech their conference tournament.
- 20:22Speaker 1: Was in Kansas City.
- 20:24Speaker 2: You know, Arizona's was also in Kansas City, but Long
- 20:26Speaker 2: Island having to go all the way out to San
- 20:28Speaker 2: Diego from playing in their home Marina. You know, Virginia
- 20:34Speaker 2: their conference tournament was in Charlotte, So that's not much
- 20:37Speaker 2: of a travels about their right state coming in from
- 20:40Speaker 2: where where's the horizon? I think they're playing in Indianapolis,
- 20:43Speaker 2: so that's not bad either, you know, just pointing it
- 20:47Speaker 2: all out. And then Tennessee State was in I don't
- 20:50Speaker 2: even remember where the Ohio Valley tournament was, to be honest,
- 20:54Speaker 2: I think.
- 20:55Speaker 1: It was in I want to say it was. It
- 20:57Speaker 1: wasn't in, No, it wasn't in. It was in.
- 20:59Speaker 2: Evanville, Indiana, I think is where that one was. Uh
- 21:02Speaker 2: So they're not traveling that far either, and I always
- 21:05Speaker 2: state it was in Kansas City anyway. Alabama, you know,
- 21:08Speaker 2: they were in Nashville for the SEC tournament. Hostro was
- 21:11Speaker 2: in uh the Colonial.
- 21:15Speaker 1: Where where was their tournament? D d C. I keep
- 21:18Speaker 1: saying these tournaments are in d C. This one I
- 21:20Speaker 1: think actually was in d C.
- 21:22Speaker 2: Anyway, that's what the travel situation looks like for these teams.
- 21:26Speaker 2: Hostra I think does match up well against Alabama as
- 21:30Speaker 2: we had you know some of the the you know
- 21:33Speaker 2: some uh excuse me, uh Tenna in the chat, my mistake,
- 21:37Speaker 2: I'm all over the place. This morning man was talking
- 21:39Speaker 2: about how HOSTRA does have size down low.
- 21:42Speaker 1: That's true, they do.
- 21:43Speaker 2: They have again, Cruz Davis, one of the best players
- 21:46Speaker 2: in college basketball, is one of their guards.
- 21:48Speaker 1: He's awesome.
- 21:50Speaker 2: And the other thing is they slow the game way
- 21:52Speaker 2: down and they're actually really balanced. They're not bound on
- 21:55Speaker 2: offense or defense. They also defend really well against the three,
- 22:00Speaker 2: and Alabama is heavily reliant on the three. So HOSTRA
- 22:04Speaker 2: does match up pretty well here. Like when you have
- 22:08Speaker 2: a fast paced three point shooting team like Alabama, that
- 22:12Speaker 2: team's kryptonite is gonna be like a team that slows
- 22:16Speaker 2: it down, and they have enough talent that they can
- 22:17Speaker 2: actually do that in the game. And I think that
- 22:20Speaker 2: does apply to Hofstra. I think they could slow it down.
- 22:22Speaker 2: I think they can defend against Alabama's threes here, keep
- 22:27Speaker 2: themselves in the game.
- 22:28Speaker 1: I agree with host plus the points here. Now.
- 22:30Speaker 2: Of course we're getting fewer points now because of the
- 22:34Speaker 2: Alabama shit that's going on here. Alabama's down to eleven
- 22:38Speaker 2: and a half here, fifty nine tickets, eighty two percent
- 22:40Speaker 2: of the cash on hostras, So the money is coming
- 22:43Speaker 2: in on HOSTRA. I agree with it. Now, Alabama, you
- 22:46Speaker 2: have to try to figure out how are they gonna
- 22:48Speaker 2: respond to the Aiden Holloway arrest because he's their second
- 22:53Speaker 2: best player.
- 22:53Speaker 1: Basically he's now not playing.
- 22:56Speaker 2: He got kicked off the team because he got arrested
- 22:58Speaker 2: for having a ton of marijuana, probably distributing it. Also
- 23:03Speaker 2: failure to a fix attack stamp in. I don't know
- 23:06Speaker 2: possession of paraphernalia whatever it was. Now, do I think
- 23:11Speaker 2: that that should get you arrested?
- 23:13Speaker 1: No?
- 23:14Speaker 2: But I also think this team has a discipline problem.
- 23:17Speaker 2: We already know there was that shooting that happened a
- 23:19Speaker 2: few years ago. You know, Alabama they got a discipline problem, man.
- 23:23Speaker 2: So now the question is how are they gonna respond
- 23:27Speaker 2: to this?
- 23:27Speaker 1: Right?
- 23:27Speaker 2: Because I would say normally, like if your player gets injured,
- 23:30Speaker 2: usually you rally right and you step it up and
- 23:32Speaker 2: you play really well for that injured player. But if
- 23:35Speaker 2: the player gets arrested, is it a distraction? More so,
- 23:39Speaker 2: like I could see it going both ways. I could
- 23:41Speaker 2: see the team rallying being like, no, let's put this
- 23:43Speaker 2: out of mind, let's rally, let's play. Or I could
- 23:47Speaker 2: see it going you know, the other way and being like,
- 23:49Speaker 2: you know, just a total distraction. So I don't know
- 23:51Speaker 2: which way it's gonna go here. My other concern with
- 23:56Speaker 2: the actually putting Hofster on my card here is that
- 23:58Speaker 2: Alabama is coming off a bad lie loss in the
- 24:01Speaker 2: SEC tournament. And like I said, good teams like Alabama
- 24:04Speaker 2: when they come off a bad loss in the conference tournament,
- 24:07Speaker 2: they lost to uh Ole Miss? Was it Old Miss?
- 24:10Speaker 2: Or was it Oklahoma? I forget one of those. I
- 24:13Speaker 2: think it was Ole Miss. A lot of times they
- 24:16Speaker 2: will bounce back once they get into the actual tournament.
- 24:18Speaker 1: They'll use that as kind of like a reset button.
- 24:22Speaker 2: But overall, yes, I like Astra in this game, and
- 24:25Speaker 2: I do think they have the ability to actually.
- 24:28Speaker 1: Pull off an upset in that one.
- 24:30Speaker 2: Like again, I talked about these twelve five thirteen to
- 24:33Speaker 2: four upsets, Like, I didn't think any of the twelve
- 24:37Speaker 2: five's is really gonna happen. I thought that the best
- 24:39Speaker 2: likelihood of a thirteen to four was probably this one,
- 24:43Speaker 2: So take from that what you will, though I also
- 24:46Speaker 2: thought Troy might have an outside chance. That was just
- 24:49Speaker 2: high variance game men, Nebraska, it comes down to how
- 24:52Speaker 2: many of their threes are they hitting?
- 24:56Speaker 1: All? Right?
- 24:56Speaker 2: The nine to eight match up here in the in
- 24:58Speaker 2: the West in San Diego, Utah State in Villanova. Now,
- 25:04Speaker 2: the location obviously helps Utah State here right, Like, San
- 25:07Speaker 2: Diego State's in the Mountain West Conference with them, so
- 25:10Speaker 2: they're used to playing in San Diego. They were just
- 25:12Speaker 2: in Vegas, so they're in their area of the country.
- 25:16Speaker 2: Villanova having to fly all the way out there from
- 25:19Speaker 2: the Big East Tournament in New York, Villanova Philadelphia school.
- 25:23Speaker 2: You know that's not good. Villanova also hasn't made the
- 25:27Speaker 2: tournament I think for a couple of years now, so
- 25:29Speaker 2: you gotta give them credit. They're doing well now under
- 25:32Speaker 2: their new coach whatever, but the Big East is a
- 25:34Speaker 2: weak conference. Man. I don't I don't trust Villanova. I
- 25:38Speaker 2: haven't been a fan of Villanova all year. I don't
- 25:41Speaker 2: think they're that good. Utah State. I know, the Mountain
- 25:44Speaker 2: West seems like it was kind of down this year,
- 25:46Speaker 2: but it was a pretty competitive conference. Like you know,
- 25:50Speaker 2: I think the Mountain West wasn't that much worse than
- 25:53Speaker 2: the Big East, to be honest. You got a lot
- 25:54Speaker 2: of like decent teams in both conferences. Utah State pretty
- 25:58Speaker 2: much ran away with the common Forces year or two,
- 26:02Speaker 2: which I thought they would suffer more adversity in that
- 26:05Speaker 2: Mountain West tournament, and they didn't at all.
- 26:07Speaker 1: I lean to Utah State here.
- 26:09Speaker 2: The money is actually disagreeing with me now. You know,
- 26:12Speaker 2: I took Utah State to win this game in my bracket.
- 26:17Speaker 2: The money is totally out of alignment with that though.
- 26:20Speaker 2: The Utah State down to one and a half. Of
- 26:22Speaker 2: course they're a favorite as a nine seed, but that's
- 26:25Speaker 2: not that crazy. I mean, we see that all the time.
- 26:27Speaker 2: Sixty percent of the tickets are on Utah State, seventy
- 26:29Speaker 2: four percent of the cash on Villanova, So the money
- 26:32Speaker 2: is actually coming in on Villanova right now, which does
- 26:34Speaker 2: kind of worry me about that pick a little bit.
- 26:37Speaker 2: I'm not touching this game, but I do still have
- 26:39Speaker 2: an opinion on Utah State.
- 26:40Speaker 1: In that one Midwest Regions. Back in the Midwest again.
- 26:46Speaker 2: The six eleven, we have Tennessee against Miami Ohio in Philadelphia.
- 26:51Speaker 2: So the location, you know, isn't really bad for either team.
- 26:55Speaker 2: I would say Miami Ohio is coming in from Dayton.
- 26:58Speaker 1: Now.
- 26:58Speaker 2: Of course, as I talked about with tex yesterday, having
- 27:01Speaker 2: played a tournament game is an advantage because you already
- 27:04Speaker 2: have momentum, you know what I mean. You get that
- 27:05Speaker 2: momentum back, you get the nerves out of the way,
- 27:08Speaker 2: you've already won a game, right, So that's a good
- 27:10Speaker 2: thing for Miami Ohio.
- 27:12Speaker 1: The problem is they just played a bad defense.
- 27:14Speaker 2: Fast team SMU and SMU is without there basically their
- 27:18Speaker 2: second best play, second blest, second best player in Edwards.
- 27:23Speaker 2: So Miami is gonna have to go from playing that team,
- 27:26Speaker 2: a fast paced team that doesn't play defense, which is
- 27:28Speaker 2: basically what Miami Ohio is, as well to facing a
- 27:32Speaker 2: slower paced, like hardcore defensive team that has a good
- 27:36Speaker 2: amount of size and is a really physical rebounding team
- 27:40Speaker 2: in Tennessee.
- 27:41Speaker 1: So this is a completely different style.
- 27:44Speaker 2: I don't really think Miami Ohio is gonna win this
- 27:46Speaker 2: game man. You know, Tennessee they do play slow though,
- 27:50Speaker 2: which could allow Miami to hang around in this game.
- 27:52Speaker 2: Miami Ohio they are the better offense, I will say that,
- 27:56Speaker 2: like they could shoot.
- 27:57Speaker 1: Better than Tennessee can. Tennessee, we know what they do though.
- 28:00Speaker 1: They crash the boards.
- 28:01Speaker 2: They try to get a lot of you know, short
- 28:03Speaker 2: distance like looks and stuff, and they try to get
- 28:06Speaker 2: it to the rack basically and play deepense and get
- 28:09Speaker 2: a lot of second chance opportunities. Super physical though, and
- 28:12Speaker 2: they're gonna be the best deepense and most physical team.
- 28:15Speaker 2: Miami Ohio was seen all year by far, so I
- 28:18Speaker 2: don't know Miami Ohio was quite ready for that.
- 28:21Speaker 1: Now.
- 28:22Speaker 2: Tennessee they're coming off kind of a disappointment in their
- 28:25Speaker 2: conference tournament, losing.
- 28:27Speaker 1: Their first game in the tournament.
- 28:28Speaker 2: I think to their rival Vandy again, maybe they'll be
- 28:33Speaker 2: a bit more motivated after that. I don't think the
- 28:35Speaker 2: game was actually that close either. Yeah, I mean they
- 28:38Speaker 2: lost by seven, so I mean you could make the
- 28:40Speaker 2: argument Tennessee is gonna show up and have more effort
- 28:43Speaker 2: after that. Tennessee they're also the style of team that
- 28:46Speaker 2: they don't really get rusty, you know what I mean.
- 28:49Speaker 2: They can come into this game because they play slow
- 28:51Speaker 2: and they don't rely on like offensive timing. The rust
- 28:54Speaker 2: isn't really a factor for a team like that. The
- 28:57Speaker 2: money is sort of indicating on Miami here. They are
- 29:00Speaker 2: a public side, of course, because they're you know, they're
- 29:02Speaker 2: gonna be public. Tennessee looks like they opened fifteen and
- 29:05Speaker 2: a half now they're eleven and a half. I'm not
- 29:07Speaker 2: sure that that's accurate or not. I actually I thought
- 29:10Speaker 2: the line was gonna be about twelve or thirteen seventy
- 29:14Speaker 2: six percent of tickets eighty eight percent of the cash
- 29:16Speaker 2: on Miami Ohio.
- 29:18Speaker 1: So Miami Ohio is kind of a public underdog. Again.
- 29:22Speaker 1: I actually don't really disagree with the Miami.
- 29:25Speaker 2: Ohio side here, just because of the style that Tennessee plays.
- 29:29Speaker 2: It's more difficult to cover a number like that. But
- 29:32Speaker 2: I you know, I worry about Miami. The matchup for
- 29:34Speaker 2: Miami Ohio here might not be that good, you know
- 29:36Speaker 2: what I mean, But they do have the advantage of
- 29:38Speaker 2: having played already in the tournament. It's just that they're
- 29:42Speaker 2: gonna have such a contrast and styles between those two opponents.
- 29:45Speaker 2: It's like night and day, you know what. I mean,
- 29:47Speaker 2: so this is a very very difficult game to handicap.
- 29:50Speaker 2: And you know me, I've been anti Miami Ohio all year.
- 29:52Speaker 2: They do have the continuity, so they they can kind
- 29:55Speaker 2: that could kind of carry a team in the tournament
- 29:57Speaker 2: because they have all these guys that are really used
- 29:58Speaker 2: to playing with each other. But Tennessee, I mean, they
- 30:01Speaker 2: have decent continuity, decent experience on that team as well.
- 30:06Speaker 2: You know, if it comes down to the coaching, I
- 30:07Speaker 2: might prefer Barnes as well. I mean he's good up
- 30:10Speaker 2: until he's trying to get to the final four and
- 30:13Speaker 2: then he's no longer good, but extremely experienced tournament coach
- 30:19Speaker 2: for Tennessee there and very experienced team there. I think
- 30:21Speaker 2: Tennessee is a very very underseeded sixth seed, to be honest,
- 30:24Speaker 2: which is why I have them in my brain. I
- 30:26Speaker 2: have them in the sweet sixteen in my bracket.
- 30:29Speaker 1: Full disclosure there.
- 30:31Speaker 2: This is also I believe this is the heaviest favored
- 30:34Speaker 2: six seed in history, by the way, so something to
- 30:37Speaker 2: consider there. I don't know if that means that you
- 30:39Speaker 2: should fade them or lay the points with them, you
- 30:41Speaker 2: know what I mean, It does mean that Miami Ohio
- 30:44Speaker 2: is kind of an overseeded eleven seed at Tennessee is
- 30:46Speaker 2: an underseeded six seed, though, like we almost never see
- 30:51Speaker 2: double digits in games like this, you know, a lot
- 30:53Speaker 2: of times, it's like a toss up type of game
- 30:56Speaker 2: in the six eleven all right, the eight to nine
- 30:58Speaker 2: matchup here in the South Region in Tampa, Florida, Clemson
- 31:04Speaker 2: and Iowa.
- 31:06Speaker 1: You know.
- 31:06Speaker 2: So the Tampa location is probably a little bit better
- 31:09Speaker 2: for Clemson because they're South Carolina. They're coming in from
- 31:12Speaker 2: playing in Charlotte, Iowa coming in for playing in Chicago
- 31:18Speaker 2: in the Big East. This is an interesting game. Both
- 31:22Speaker 2: teams slow the game way down. They're both very similar
- 31:24Speaker 2: styles again, just slow paced. However, I think Iowa is
- 31:29Speaker 2: better offensively than Clemson is. Both teams are pretty good
- 31:32Speaker 2: on defense. I think Iowa does have an advantage on offense.
- 31:35Speaker 2: I think they are the better team for that reason.
- 31:38Speaker 2: They do have sort of the star player in the game,
- 31:41Speaker 2: if you want to call it that, with Starts, and
- 31:43Speaker 2: he is an experienced player. He was on Drake with
- 31:47Speaker 2: Ben McCollum, who's the Iowa coach now. They both went
- 31:50Speaker 2: over to Iowa after they were on Drake, which is
- 31:53Speaker 2: also in Iowa school, and of course that does mean
- 31:56Speaker 2: there's some continuity there, and Drake won a tournament game
- 31:59Speaker 2: last year with those you know, so you know, I
- 32:02Speaker 2: took Iowa in my bracket. I'll still maintain my opinion
- 32:06Speaker 2: on Iowa in this game, but I could see it
- 32:08Speaker 2: going either way. Clemson is down there, big man. As
- 32:11Speaker 2: I pointed out, they have one injury there that's too
- 32:14Speaker 2: I always forget his name though, it is, uh Carter Welling.
- 32:18Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure he's not coming back, so they're down him.
- 32:21Speaker 2: So one of their big men is gone. Iowa doesn't
- 32:24Speaker 2: exactly rely on size, though, so I don't really know
- 32:26Speaker 2: how much impact that's really gonna have for Clemson there.
- 32:29Speaker 2: Clemson beat North Carolina in the a SEC Tournament without him,
- 32:33Speaker 2: and then they sputtered out after that. You know, I
- 32:36Speaker 2: don't know what to think about Clemson, man, Like I
- 32:38Speaker 2: thought they might make a run in the a SEC tournament.
- 32:41Speaker 2: They did, Okay, I don't think that they're as good
- 32:44Speaker 2: as Iowa. So it's you know, I don't know, man,
- 32:47Speaker 2: It's yeah, I can't really get a good gauge.
- 32:50Speaker 1: On this Clemson team.
- 32:51Speaker 2: And you know, they shocked everybody and made the Elite
- 32:53Speaker 2: eight a couple of years ago, so they have a
- 32:55Speaker 2: you know, experienced coach here, although a lot of their
- 32:57Speaker 2: players are different now. They did not do well in
- 33:00Speaker 2: the tournament last year, the loss right away to MacNeice,
- 33:03Speaker 2: who was a slow team. The money's all coming in
- 33:05Speaker 2: on Clemson here, which I don't know. Like, dude, I
- 33:08Speaker 2: don't like this when my opinions that I used to
- 33:10Speaker 2: form my bracket, I look at the market, read then,
- 33:13Speaker 2: and then the market completely changes on the Friday. On
- 33:15Speaker 2: these Friday games, I don't like that fifty five percent
- 33:19Speaker 2: of the tickets are on Iowa eighty two percent of
- 33:20Speaker 2: the cash on Clemson.
- 33:22Speaker 1: I don't like to see that.
- 33:24Speaker 2: I'm gonna maintain my opinion on Iowa, but yeah, I mean,
- 33:27Speaker 2: of course, I reserve the right to change my opinion
- 33:30Speaker 2: based on the market that I see, but I don't
- 33:32Speaker 2: have a strong.
- 33:33Speaker 1: Opinion on it. Man.
- 33:35Speaker 2: The next game up is gonna be the one play
- 33:37Speaker 2: I'm gonna give out here in this twelve five matchup,
- 33:39Speaker 2: which I thought was the most likely twelve five upset,
- 33:43Speaker 2: but now it isn't because we've already had one. But
- 33:50Speaker 2: this is one that the line isn't that crazy? And
- 33:53Speaker 2: like nobody seemed to want to be picking it. And
- 33:55Speaker 2: I like the matchup here. We are going to be
- 33:57Speaker 2: on Northern Iowa plus the nine and a half here.
- 34:00Speaker 2: I don't think you have to play it now. You
- 34:02Speaker 2: might be able to get a better number on this.
- 34:04Speaker 2: It was at ten at some points. Maybe it'll be
- 34:06Speaker 2: at ten again. Saint John's. Like a lot of people
- 34:10Speaker 2: are picking Saint Like Saint John's. I think the majority
- 34:12Speaker 2: of brackets have them, at least in the Sweet sixteen,
- 34:15Speaker 2: I saw a lot.
- 34:16Speaker 1: Of people picking them to beat Duke. You know, Saint John's.
- 34:20Speaker 2: They're just a hot commodity because it's Rick Patino. They
- 34:23Speaker 2: look really good in the Big East tournament. I'm not
- 34:26Speaker 2: sold on the Big East though, and I like the
- 34:28Speaker 2: match up for Northern Iowa.
- 34:29Speaker 1: Here. Sixty three percent of tickets are on Saint John's.
- 34:32Speaker 2: Fifty seven percent of the cash though on Northern Iowa,
- 34:35Speaker 2: so the money's coming into Northern Iowa. This is a
- 34:37Speaker 2: really low total in the one thirties. And that's because
- 34:41Speaker 2: both these teams play defense. So Saint John's they're not
- 34:44Speaker 2: good on offense. Man, they play, they play fast or
- 34:47Speaker 2: they try to, but their thing is defense. They defend well,
- 34:51Speaker 2: but they don't score well. And they did make a
- 34:53Speaker 2: lineup change not that long ago, but that made it
- 34:56Speaker 2: even more like it made them even more defensively lopsided,
- 35:01Speaker 2: like they're shooting is bad. So they might not have
- 35:05Speaker 2: the ability to run away with this one. But part
- 35:08Speaker 2: of that is also because Northern Iowa is gonna try
- 35:10Speaker 2: to slow the game way down. They're the slowest tempo
- 35:13Speaker 2: team in the entire country and they do it well,
- 35:16Speaker 2: and that could take Saint John's out of their element.
- 35:19Speaker 2: Man of Northern Iowa was able to slow this down.
- 35:21Speaker 2: There's a huge pace in contrast in this game. That
- 35:24Speaker 2: combined with the fact that Saint John's doesn't shoot well.
- 35:28Speaker 2: Believe it or not, Northern Iowa shoots more efficiently than
- 35:31Speaker 2: Saint John's does. Like, they find good shots and they
- 35:35Speaker 2: hit them for the most part. Maybe not as much
- 35:38Speaker 2: against the Saint John's defense suore, but Saint John's also
- 35:41Speaker 2: they rely on turning you over a lot. That's what
- 35:43Speaker 2: they try to do in Northern Iowa protects the ball
- 35:46Speaker 2: pretty well. I know they haven't faced a team like
- 35:48Speaker 2: this really, but Northern Iowa, you know, they seem to
- 35:52Speaker 2: be like a matchup that Saint John's is not gonna want,
- 35:56Speaker 2: you know what I mean, Like this slow pace, fundamentally
- 35:59Speaker 2: sound team, Northern Iowa being overlooked because they were the
- 36:03Speaker 2: sixth seed in the Missouri Valley. You know, Belmont was
- 36:06Speaker 2: supposed to win the conference. Northern Iowa was the best
- 36:09Speaker 2: deepfense in that conference, though they were the second best
- 36:11Speaker 2: team in that conference, and they weren't healthy for a
- 36:14Speaker 2: large chunk of the season.
- 36:15Speaker 1: They were missing some of their guys.
- 36:17Speaker 2: Now they're pretty much fully healthy right now, So I
- 36:20Speaker 2: like all that, and they're gonna be more rested coming
- 36:22Speaker 2: into this game. Both these teams having to fly out
- 36:25Speaker 2: to San Diego, it's not really you know, I don't
- 36:28Speaker 2: think that is an advantage to one team or the other.
- 36:30Speaker 2: It might be more of a disadvantage for Saint John's
- 36:32Speaker 2: because they played more recently and they played in New York,
- 36:35Speaker 2: and I think there's a disadvantage because they won the
- 36:38Speaker 2: Big East and it wasn't necessary for them to do that,
- 36:40Speaker 2: you know what I mean. Like Saint John's knew they
- 36:42Speaker 2: were gonna be like one of these middle seeds here anyway,
- 36:45Speaker 2: So them winning the Big East and beating Connecticut and
- 36:48Speaker 2: looking really good and doing so. I think it's just
- 36:50Speaker 2: gonna make them look better than they than they actually are.
- 36:53Speaker 1: You know, I'm not high on the Big East this year.
- 36:55Speaker 1: I don't think they're that great.
- 36:57Speaker 2: Saint John's is good, I'm not gonna deny that, but
- 36:59Speaker 2: they seem really similar to last year. Like, yeah, they
- 37:03Speaker 2: should probably be above a five seed, to be honest,
- 37:05Speaker 2: but I think Northern Iowa shouldn't be a twelve seed either.
- 37:10Speaker 2: You know, they're they're probably the way that their current
- 37:12Speaker 2: roster is. I think they're probably more of about an eleven.
- 37:15Speaker 2: Saint John's really should probably be about a.
- 37:17Speaker 1: Four, maybe a three.
- 37:18Speaker 2: I think they were overseeded last year as a two.
- 37:21Speaker 2: But they're a really similar team to that two seed.
- 37:23Speaker 2: And you remember they got knocked out by Arkansas. Though
- 37:26Speaker 2: Arkansas was a fast paced team, it was just that
- 37:29Speaker 2: Arkansas's offense was better than Saint John's. I think Saint
- 37:33Speaker 2: John's took them lightly. Yeah, Saint John's is gonna want to,
- 37:38Speaker 2: you know, try to redeem themselves from that, of course,
- 37:40Speaker 2: because that was a bad tournament exit from them. But again,
- 37:43Speaker 2: this is a bad matchup draw for them. Northern Iowa
- 37:46Speaker 2: does have more rest here. The Missouri Valley has done
- 37:48Speaker 2: really well in this tournament as well in years past,
- 37:51Speaker 2: Like I think they've won the majority of their first
- 37:54Speaker 2: round games. Man whoever has been the Missouri Valley representative
- 37:59Speaker 2: in this tournament has done really well.
- 38:00Speaker 1: We know, Drake was it last year and they won.
- 38:03Speaker 2: Drake almost beat Miami a couple of years back in
- 38:06Speaker 2: the tournament two with a different Drake roster.
- 38:10Speaker 1: You know.
- 38:11Speaker 2: But whatever it is, the Missouri Valley's done well. They're
- 38:14Speaker 2: one of the better like mid major conferences, if you
- 38:16Speaker 2: want to call it that. So yeah, I like Northern Iowa, man,
- 38:20Speaker 2: and for a lot of the season they were without
- 38:22Speaker 2: They have a guy Tristan Smith who I've mentioned, who
- 38:25Speaker 2: doesn't have like any eye popping stats or anything like that,
- 38:28Speaker 2: but he's like their glue guy, Like he does like everything,
- 38:32Speaker 2: you know what I mean. He's a really good, well
- 38:33Speaker 2: rounded player and they're way better with him on the floor.
- 38:37Speaker 2: So yeah, I would look towards the Northern Iowa. That's
- 38:40Speaker 2: my one play of the day actually on Northern Iowa
- 38:42Speaker 2: plus the points you might be able to get ten
- 38:45Speaker 2: on this basketball it's not really a key number, so
- 38:47Speaker 2: it doesn't really matter as much.
- 38:49Speaker 1: But those are my thoughts on that game. Keeping it going.
- 38:53Speaker 2: We got a UCF and UCLA in Philadelphia, so Mick
- 38:56Speaker 2: Cronan probably complaining about that. But my guess is that
- 39:01Speaker 2: UCLA did not go back to California after they played
- 39:03Speaker 2: in the Big Ten tournament in Chicago, Like why would
- 39:07Speaker 2: you go back to California right like, you're in the
- 39:08Speaker 2: middle of the country.
- 39:09Speaker 1: You know you're going to the tournament.
- 39:11Speaker 2: I would hang out and hopefully they did, Like I
- 39:13Speaker 2: would hang out in Chicago and wait to see where
- 39:15Speaker 2: I'm going, you know what I mean. Because Chicago's in
- 39:18Speaker 2: the middle of the country. So either way you're going, Okay,
- 39:20Speaker 2: you're either going to go back to California or you're
- 39:23Speaker 2: gonna go somewhere closer to.
- 39:24Speaker 1: Chicago, you know what I mean. So hopefully they did that.
- 39:27Speaker 2: UCF is going to be coming up from playing their
- 39:30Speaker 2: conference tournament in Kansas City because they're in the Big twelve,
- 39:34Speaker 2: which is very weird. I don't know if they went
- 39:36Speaker 2: back to Florida or not. I think UCEF is a
- 39:39Speaker 2: weak team though, man, I really do. There's a reason
- 39:42Speaker 2: why UCLA is the biggest seven to ten favorite that
- 39:45Speaker 2: we have here. Ucla they're better than what people think
- 39:48Speaker 2: they are. Like, they had a lot of injuries throughout
- 39:51Speaker 2: the course of the season. We got to see if
- 39:53Speaker 2: those guys are all healthy right now. Bill Adeau seems
- 39:55Speaker 2: like he's banged up, but it looks like he is
- 39:57Speaker 2: going to play in the tournament. But UCLA was missing
- 40:01Speaker 2: sky Clark for like ten games, and they've been way
- 40:03Speaker 2: better with him in the lineup. So with a full
- 40:06Speaker 2: strength UCLA they're better than what they're overall season numbers
- 40:10Speaker 2: would suggest. UCF I just think is not that good.
- 40:14Speaker 2: Like they put together a decent resume this year, they
- 40:16Speaker 2: almost still didn't make the tournament. I don't like UCF here,
- 40:20Speaker 2: I really don't. I would lay the points with UCLA
- 40:23Speaker 2: or leave it alone. Ucla, you know, they bowed out.
- 40:28Speaker 2: They look good in the Big Ten tournament. They bowed
- 40:30Speaker 2: out against Purdue. The game wasn't really that close, So
- 40:33Speaker 2: I'm not really worried about like a hangover for UCLA
- 40:36Speaker 2: or anything like that. U CEF, you know, I mean,
- 40:40Speaker 2: they got killed in their conference tournament by Arizona.
- 40:43Speaker 1: But you know, maybe they'll bounce back from that.
- 40:46Speaker 2: But I just think that's more of an indicator that
- 40:47Speaker 2: they're just they just can't really hang. But Ucla, of
- 40:51Speaker 2: course they're not Arizona, but still they're a better team
- 40:54Speaker 2: than u cef as. Ucla is minus five and a
- 40:56Speaker 2: half now after they open at seven. But it looks
- 40:59Speaker 2: like the money is starting to kind of come in
- 41:00Speaker 2: on the UCLA side. Sixty percent take a sixty six
- 41:03Speaker 2: percent of the cash on them. You know, I picked
- 41:05Speaker 2: Ucla in my bracket, and I also told you that
- 41:08Speaker 2: if you want to really have like a riskyat bracket,
- 41:12Speaker 2: I think that, you know, a risk that could pan
- 41:15Speaker 2: out with a reward is taking Ucla fairly deep in
- 41:18Speaker 2: the bracket. Like I told you, I think there is
- 41:20Speaker 2: a possibility they could beat Yukon in the second round.
- 41:24Speaker 2: You know, obviously they beat Michigan State during the Big
- 41:27Speaker 2: Ten tournaments, so they could beat them again if they
- 41:30Speaker 2: matched up against them again. I think Michigan State would
- 41:32Speaker 2: come up with something to beat them this time.
- 41:34Speaker 1: But like if you wanted to take Ucla to the.
- 41:37Speaker 2: Sweet sixteen or even the Elite eight in your bracket,
- 41:39Speaker 2: I wouldn't say that that's a horrible idea, you know
- 41:42Speaker 2: what I mean, I just for the way that I
- 41:43Speaker 2: do my bracket.
- 41:44Speaker 1: I think it's just too much risk to take.
- 41:46Speaker 2: But if you're gonna take any risk like in that region,
- 41:49Speaker 2: I think it would be doing that, to be honest.
- 41:53Speaker 2: But yes, I like UCLA to win that game. You know.
- 41:55Speaker 1: I took them to win this game in my.
- 41:56Speaker 2: Bracket, of course, and I considered pushing them pack Yukon
- 42:00Speaker 2: as well. Then I didn't do it, but I considered
- 42:03Speaker 2: it all right. The fifteen to two matchup in the
- 42:06Speaker 2: West between Queens and Perdue, my man Grant Leonard Queens.
- 42:10Speaker 2: He follows me shout out to him. Uh, the ugly
- 42:13Speaker 2: sweater man, Love that guy.
- 42:16Speaker 1: Purdue.
- 42:17Speaker 2: You know, I've been high on Perdue Man for most
- 42:20Speaker 2: of the season. I know they had a lot of
- 42:22Speaker 2: home losses this year.
- 42:23Speaker 1: But the good thing for them is they're not at
- 42:24Speaker 1: home in this tournament, man, so maybe that'll be better
- 42:27Speaker 1: for them.
- 42:28Speaker 2: Purdue's a good team, man. They got a ton of experience.
- 42:32Speaker 2: Like as far as these like power conference teams, Purdue
- 42:36Speaker 2: has like some of the most experienced, Like they brought
- 42:38Speaker 2: most of their guys back from last year, and they
- 42:41Speaker 2: also have size. In addition to that, they have extremely
- 42:44Speaker 2: experienced guard play. I think they're gonna be a tough
- 42:46Speaker 2: out in this tournament. But that all being said, I
- 42:49Speaker 2: don't know what they're they're you know, mental state is
- 42:52Speaker 2: gonna be in this game because they just looked really
- 42:54Speaker 2: good in winning the Big Ten and they beat Michigan,
- 42:57Speaker 2: you know what I mean.
- 42:58Speaker 1: So it does seem like the.
- 43:00Speaker 2: Really typical letdown spot here for Purdue. So I would
- 43:03Speaker 2: actually lean against them here, but I don't know if
- 43:06Speaker 2: that the matchup for.
- 43:07Speaker 1: Queens is really that good. Queens is all offense.
- 43:10Speaker 2: They like to go fast, they like to score a ton,
- 43:13Speaker 2: they don't play defense at all. Purdue is a very
- 43:16Speaker 2: efficient scoring team and they try to slow you way down.
- 43:18Speaker 2: I think they will slow.
- 43:20Speaker 1: This game down.
- 43:21Speaker 2: But of course a slow pace team might not be
- 43:22Speaker 2: able to cover a huge number like this. But Purdue,
- 43:26Speaker 2: their scoring is so good they should be able to
- 43:28Speaker 2: score against a very weak defense like Queens. Queens, this
- 43:33Speaker 2: is you know, they'll be excited to be here. I mean,
- 43:35Speaker 2: this is their first tournament appearance and it's their last
- 43:38Speaker 2: years of school. They just joined Division one not that
- 43:41Speaker 2: long ago. They're in the tournament, and now they're gonna
- 43:43Speaker 2: merge with Elon next year. It seems like so Queens.
- 43:47Speaker 2: They're located in North Carolina. For what it's worth, they
- 43:50Speaker 2: played their conference tournament in where the hell was it played.
- 43:54Speaker 2: I don't even remember. I'd forget, man. I think it
- 43:56Speaker 2: was in Florida. Maybe I think it was in Jacksonville.
- 44:00Speaker 2: Then Purdue was coming in from Chicago going to Saint Louis.
- 44:04Speaker 2: Of the travel spot's better for Purdue. They're playing in
- 44:06Speaker 2: their area of the country in Saint Louis, so that's
- 44:10Speaker 2: a good it's a good location for Purdue. But again,
- 44:13Speaker 2: I would actually probably if I was gonna play the game,
- 44:15Speaker 2: I would take the points with Queens because I think
- 44:18Speaker 2: Purdue is in that kind of letdown spot coming up
- 44:20Speaker 2: that that huge winner from Michigan.
- 44:23Speaker 1: But you know, I have Purdue making a run in
- 44:25Speaker 1: this tournament.
- 44:25Speaker 2: In my bracket, I have them in the Elite eight,
- 44:27Speaker 2: and I did tell you that I wouldn't hate you for.
- 44:30Speaker 1: Putting them in the final four.
- 44:32Speaker 2: So I think they're that dangerous of a team this
- 44:35Speaker 2: particular game. I wouldn't lay the points, though, Like I said,
- 44:40Speaker 2: you know, they might take Queens a little lightly too.
- 44:42Speaker 2: If you saw Cloff the Australian big man who looks
- 44:45Speaker 2: like a Neanderthal on Purdue.
- 44:49Speaker 1: He made some.
- 44:50Speaker 2: Comment like he thought Queens was in Queens, New York,
- 44:53Speaker 2: so that might you know, he's poking you know, the
- 44:56Speaker 2: bear a little bit there. Maybe that'll make Queens be
- 44:58Speaker 2: a little bit ear tata by that and want to
- 45:01Speaker 2: show up a little bit more there for that reason.
- 45:03Speaker 2: You know, it's something you shouldn't really.
- 45:05Speaker 1: Do, but whatever, and then we'll see Queen's is they
- 45:10Speaker 1: got a Buddy the street.
- 45:12Speaker 2: Dog there, man, that's their other team mascot. Is this
- 45:16Speaker 2: like dog statue that Grant Leonard gives it to the
- 45:20Speaker 2: street Dog of the game every game, so like the
- 45:23Speaker 2: most gritty player that they have during a particular game.
- 45:26Speaker 2: You'd think that if they do something like that, they'd
- 45:28Speaker 2: be like this gritty, hard nosed, deepfense team, but they're not.
- 45:32Speaker 1: They're not. They just go high octane offense.
- 45:35Speaker 2: Anyway, sixty five percent of tickets fifty six percent of
- 45:38Speaker 2: the cash on Purdue, so the money is going against Purdue,
- 45:41Speaker 2: their twenty five point favorite. I would lean against them,
- 45:44Speaker 2: Like I said, the total is high though, in the
- 45:46Speaker 2: one sixties, so higher total doesn't mean it's easier for
- 45:50Speaker 2: a team to cover a spread like that as a favorite.
- 45:52Speaker 2: But yeah, I'm not gonna get involved in the game.
- 45:55Speaker 2: But those are my thoughts on it. Nine to twenty
- 46:01Speaker 2: five PM. I mean, I don't usually shout out the
- 46:03Speaker 2: the TV games here for the tournament because they're all
- 46:06Speaker 2: on the same networks. They usually are until Disney takes
- 46:09Speaker 2: it over and ruins everything. We're still on CBS, TVs,
- 46:13Speaker 2: TNT and True TV. By the way, Gus Johnson not
- 46:17Speaker 2: calling any of these games is a tragedy, a travesty.
- 46:21Speaker 2: Gus Johnson is amazing. He's the best college basketball commentator
- 46:25Speaker 2: to the effort. Him with Bill Raftery is the best team, dude,
- 46:29Speaker 2: because Raftery, you know, he has that like gruff voice,
- 46:32Speaker 2: and you know does like the play by But does
- 46:35Speaker 2: he I think he does the play by play, right
- 46:37Speaker 2: he Yeah, I think he is still doing it for
- 46:39Speaker 2: some of the games. But Gus Johnson. Actually maybe Gus
- 46:43Speaker 2: was the play I don't know. But Gus Johnson would
- 46:45Speaker 2: make all these insane comments. You know, he's the one
- 46:49Speaker 2: you know from the parking Lots TJ soarantine, which I
- 46:53Speaker 2: was actually at that game by the way, in Wooster,
- 46:56Speaker 2: mass way back in the day for Mott Syracuse but yes, Lola,
- 47:02Speaker 2: what's up.
- 47:02Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. Oh yeah, I'm slaying baby. Let's go.
- 47:06Speaker 1: We're we're gonna get a win on Northern Iowa today.
- 47:10Speaker 2: But anyway, yes, sixteen versus one here Prairie View A
- 47:14Speaker 2: and M in Florida. Florida gets to play in Tampa, Florida.
- 47:17Speaker 2: Obviously that is an advantage. Then Prairie View, as one
- 47:19Speaker 2: of you guys pointed out, is actually in Houston, which okay,
- 47:24Speaker 2: I don't know what prairies exist in Houston, but okay,
- 47:28Speaker 2: it should be by you View, Prairie by You A
- 47:31Speaker 2: and M.
- 47:32Speaker 1: Prairieview A and M.
- 47:33Speaker 2: They're the worst team ken Bomb rating wise in this
- 47:35Speaker 2: entire tournament. They did win their playing game against Lehigh
- 47:40Speaker 2: Lehi is the second worst team in the whole tournament field.
- 47:43Speaker 2: They're ass you know, Prairie View. Obviously, I don't think
- 47:46Speaker 2: there that they stand a chance against Florida. Florida also
- 47:51Speaker 2: is possibly gonna be in an angry mood because they
- 47:53Speaker 2: had a really bad game against Vandy on an early
- 47:56Speaker 2: exit from the SEC tournament. Florida is obviously better than that,
- 48:02Speaker 2: So I'm gonna be honest.
- 48:03Speaker 1: I would probably lead towards laying it with Florida. In
- 48:05Speaker 1: this game, they're a thirty five and a half point favorite,
- 48:09Speaker 1: which is the largest spread that you'll see in the
- 48:11Speaker 1: entire tournament.
- 48:14Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely insane. That's part of it is because that's
- 48:17Speaker 2: how bad Prairie View A and M is power rating wise.
- 48:20Speaker 2: They're like barely in the top three hundred sixty seven
- 48:23Speaker 2: percent of ticket seventy percent of the cash on Prairie View.
- 48:27Speaker 1: I would lay it with Florida. I mean.
- 48:28Speaker 2: The only problem is when you have these teams like this,
- 48:30Speaker 2: they could pack it in early, you know what I mean,
- 48:33Speaker 2: because it's gonna be like.
- 48:34Speaker 1: You don't want to get anybody hurt.
- 48:35Speaker 2: You're gonna want to get in, get out, start looking
- 48:38Speaker 2: towards the next game.
- 48:39Speaker 1: But you know, Florida is just in such a different
- 48:42Speaker 1: league than Prairie View.
- 48:43Speaker 2: Like their backups are better than Prairie View, you know
- 48:45Speaker 2: what I mean. So even with their backups on the floor,
- 48:48Speaker 2: they could still possibly.
- 48:49Speaker 1: Extend the lead there.
- 48:51Speaker 2: All right, Continuing with the nights late here, we have
- 48:54Speaker 2: cal Baptist in Kansas and they actually have to play
- 48:57Speaker 2: this game of four versus thirteen in sam Diego, California,
- 49:01Speaker 2: so the location is an advantage to cal Baptist, who
- 49:05Speaker 2: is coming in from They played in Vegas in their
- 49:08Speaker 2: conference tournament, so they're staying in the Pacific coast. Kansas
- 49:11Speaker 2: having to come in from Kansas City from the Big
- 49:13Speaker 2: twelve tournament.
- 49:16Speaker 1: Florida.
- 49:17Speaker 2: By the way, Yeah, going from Nashville to Florida, that's
- 49:19Speaker 2: an easy transition there in Prairie View played their conference.
- 49:22Speaker 1: Tournament in Atlanta, Georgia.
- 49:25Speaker 2: I think, so they're actually that's not a bad travel
- 49:28Speaker 2: spot for them, to be honest, going down to Florida anyway.
- 49:33Speaker 1: Do I think Kansas is gonna lose this game? No,
- 49:35Speaker 1: I don't.
- 49:36Speaker 2: And in fact, if you saw my bracket, I had
- 49:38Speaker 2: them getting to the Sweet sixteen because too many people
- 49:40Speaker 2: are picking Saint John. So I'm just trying to you know,
- 49:43Speaker 2: those four fives. I don't feel good about the four
- 49:46Speaker 2: fives this year at all. A lot of times I'll
- 49:47Speaker 2: feel better than I do this year. But it's like
- 49:50Speaker 2: that switch where you want to like kind of go
- 49:52Speaker 2: against the team that more people are picking, because it's
- 49:54Speaker 2: going to be a toss up in a lot of cases.
- 49:57Speaker 2: Now in this game, Kansas, they're really hard to predict.
- 50:00Speaker 2: Because you got Darren Peterson. He's an elite player. He's
- 50:03Speaker 2: gonna be.
- 50:03Speaker 1: One of the high NBA draft picks, but he's got
- 50:07Speaker 1: to get his head on straight.
- 50:08Speaker 2: Man.
- 50:08Speaker 1: It seems like Bill self does not have the team
- 50:10Speaker 1: under control. I mean, we know he's a.
- 50:12Speaker 2: Really good coach, really experienced coach, but he seems to
- 50:15Speaker 2: lose a control here, man. I mean, he couldn't control
- 50:17Speaker 2: Hunter Dickinson. Kansas has had a lot of problems recently
- 50:21Speaker 2: with these players just not being in the right head space.
- 50:25Speaker 2: Peterson just seems to not want to play some of
- 50:27Speaker 2: the time. Although Kansas did beat Arizona without him, so
- 50:31Speaker 2: you know, I take from that when you want to,
- 50:34Speaker 2: I guess cal Baptists the one thing they do well
- 50:37Speaker 2: is defense. You know, they're probably gonna try to ugly
- 50:40Speaker 2: this game up a little bit play defense. That would
- 50:43Speaker 2: kind of be my concern with laying the points with
- 50:44Speaker 2: Kansas here, Like I think Kansas is going to win
- 50:47Speaker 2: this game, but and the money is coming in on them.
- 50:50Speaker 2: They're up to a fourteen point favorite, eight sixty percent
- 50:53Speaker 2: of tickets, eighty three percent of the.
- 50:54Speaker 1: Cash on them. The total is low though it's in
- 50:57Speaker 1: the one thirties.
- 50:58Speaker 2: And that's because both these teams are actually better on
- 51:01Speaker 2: defense than offense. And Kansas doesn't play fast. Cal Baptist
- 51:05Speaker 2: I don't think he's gonna want to play fast either.
- 51:07Speaker 1: Now, matchup wise, that means it's.
- 51:09Speaker 2: Not that good for cal Baptist, right, because they're not
- 51:12Speaker 2: getting to slow down a team that wants to go fast. Right,
- 51:15Speaker 2: They're playing a team that also pretty much does what
- 51:17Speaker 2: they do.
- 51:18Speaker 1: They just do it way better than they do.
- 51:20Speaker 2: But if it's gonna be a slow paced, low scoring
- 51:22Speaker 2: game laying a ton of points, I mean, it's not
- 51:26Speaker 2: exactly what I want to do here. The money is
- 51:29Speaker 2: coming in on Kansas, it wouldn't shock me if they
- 51:31Speaker 2: covered this number.
- 51:31Speaker 1: Obviously, I kind of lean to cal Baptist.
- 51:35Speaker 2: Slightly in that one plus the points, but that is
- 51:37Speaker 2: a really weak opinion that I have there. Cal Baptist,
- 51:40Speaker 2: by the way, congratulations to them. It's their first tournament appearance.
- 51:46Speaker 2: They won because Utah Valley imploded at the end of
- 51:50Speaker 2: that game, and Dominique Davis Daniels, whatever his name is,
- 51:54Speaker 2: cal Baptist's best player there, hit some really really clutch
- 51:57Speaker 2: threes there, even though he had a really bad shooting
- 52:00Speaker 2: game otherwise, so he might make some noise in that game,
- 52:04Speaker 2: depending on what happens. But cal Baptist it also means
- 52:07Speaker 2: they're a very inexperienced team. And a lot of times,
- 52:09Speaker 2: like with them and with Queens, you know, these teams
- 52:11Speaker 2: that are in the tournament for the first time in
- 52:13Speaker 2: program history, a lot of times they're like kind of
- 52:17Speaker 2: a fish out of water, you know what I mean,
- 52:18Speaker 2: And sometimes they don't do that well. Kansas might want
- 52:22Speaker 2: to redeem themselves from last year's first round exit to
- 52:25Speaker 2: where last year Kansas was the lowest seed that I
- 52:28Speaker 2: think they had ever been in the tournament with a
- 52:30Speaker 2: seven seed, and I thought they would beat Arkansas and
- 52:32Speaker 2: of course they didn't. So maybe they want to redeem
- 52:36Speaker 2: themselves from that two point fifteen matchup in the East
- 52:40Speaker 2: Region with Yukon and Furhman here in Philadelphia, so it's
- 52:44Speaker 2: a pretty good location for Yukon.
- 52:46Speaker 1: Their crowd is going to show up for it.
- 52:48Speaker 2: They'll come down from the New York area for this,
- 52:52Speaker 2: or New York Connecticut area or whatever area, whatever you
- 52:55Speaker 2: want to call it. Take the am track down, you know,
- 52:57Speaker 2: even though it sucks, but whatever is a Carolina school
- 53:02Speaker 2: there I think, I want to say South Carolina whatever
- 53:05Speaker 2: Furman I mean, people remember them because they pulled off
- 53:08Speaker 2: an upset of Virginia not that long ago in the tournament.
- 53:11Speaker 2: This is a different Furman team this year now. I
- 53:14Speaker 2: will say that Furman is probably a little bit better
- 53:16Speaker 2: than people think they are because they had a lot
- 53:18Speaker 2: of injuries during the season. They were more at full
- 53:20Speaker 2: strength during their conference tournament, the Soakon and I did
- 53:24Speaker 2: tell you I thought they had a decent chance to
- 53:26Speaker 2: make a run through that tournament.
- 53:27Speaker 1: They were able to win it.
- 53:29Speaker 2: It was a week like conference this year, that that
- 53:31Speaker 2: conference was weaker this year than it usually is. I
- 53:34Speaker 2: don't think this Furman team is as good as that
- 53:37Speaker 2: other one was a few years ago.
- 53:40Speaker 1: You know, they're better than people think they are.
- 53:41Speaker 2: Right now than Yukon is the weakest of the two seeds,
- 53:45Speaker 2: by the way, and you know me, I'm not a
- 53:46Speaker 2: fan of the Big East.
- 53:47Speaker 1: Here.
- 53:48Speaker 2: This is also Yukon laying over twenty points here, and
- 53:51Speaker 2: it's a low total in this game because we know
- 53:52Speaker 2: what Yukon does is they play slow and they're better
- 53:56Speaker 2: on defense than offense. So a team that profiles like that,
- 53:58Speaker 2: you don't really want to lay points with them.
- 54:02Speaker 1: Where are they at.
- 54:03Speaker 2: They're up to twenty and a half year, sixty eight
- 54:05Speaker 2: percent of tickets, only sixty three percent of the cash,
- 54:07Speaker 2: So the money's indicating on Furman. It's a low total
- 54:10Speaker 2: in the one thirties. I would agree with taking the
- 54:14Speaker 2: points with Furman here, but you know, not really a
- 54:17Speaker 2: strong opinion of mine here.
- 54:18Speaker 1: Obviously. I don't think you come to lose Furman.
- 54:23Speaker 2: Yeah, and they're coming up from their conference tournament. I
- 54:26Speaker 2: believe was in I want to say it was played
- 54:28Speaker 2: somewhere in North Carolina. I forget exactly where it was played,
- 54:32Speaker 2: but do with that information.
- 54:33Speaker 1: What you want.
- 54:35Speaker 2: I think it was in Asheville, North Carolina. And then
- 54:37Speaker 2: the latest game way late at night, we actually get
- 54:41Speaker 2: an interesting one. Where was last night's latest game was
- 54:43Speaker 2: a was It actually was more interesting than you'd think
- 54:46Speaker 2: the Gonzaga one. But we have a seven to ten
- 54:49Speaker 2: year between Missouri and Miami, very very weird game here
- 54:52Speaker 2: where I'm not that high in either of these teams.
- 54:55Speaker 2: This year, Missouri people thought they would be in the
- 54:58Speaker 2: first four, including me. I thought they were gonna be
- 55:00Speaker 2: going to Dayton, and they got a ten seed and
- 55:04Speaker 2: They're the team that I think is you know, being
- 55:06Speaker 2: the most well not maybe the most, but they're one
- 55:08Speaker 2: of those teams that's being disrespected coming into this tournament.
- 55:12Speaker 2: And usually those teams do well in the first game
- 55:14Speaker 2: where people are saying, oh, they shouldn't get a ten seed,
- 55:16Speaker 2: like what is this bs?
- 55:18Speaker 1: You know what I mean?
- 55:18Speaker 2: They should be in Dayton, and instead they get a
- 55:21Speaker 2: ten seed and they get to play in Saint Louis, Missouri,
- 55:24Speaker 2: Like what the hell is that they get a location
- 55:26Speaker 2: edge here? They just played in Tennessee in the SEC tournament.
- 55:30Speaker 1: But whatever.
- 55:31Speaker 2: They got knocked out by Kentucky. They did have a
- 55:33Speaker 2: tough game against Kentucky. It was a close game, so
- 55:36Speaker 2: they are coming off of that. You know, that would
- 55:38Speaker 2: worry me a little bit with Missouri here. Miami. I
- 55:41Speaker 2: believe they got blown out in the ACC Tournament against Virginia.
- 55:45Speaker 2: I want to say, who we know is good Miami.
- 55:48Speaker 2: I don't think they're that good now, Miami. They have
- 55:51Speaker 2: a first year coach here, so they're inexperienced. Missouri has
- 55:55Speaker 2: been to the tournament in recent years here, and they
- 55:58Speaker 2: did get knocked out by Drake in the first round
- 56:00Speaker 2: last year, so Missouri might want to atone for that,
- 56:03Speaker 2: so I think you're gonna see a little bit more
- 56:05Speaker 2: experience and motivation here on the Missouri side, So they
- 56:09Speaker 2: definitely have some advantages here. I like Missouri in this game,
- 56:12Speaker 2: you know, I picked them in my bracket. We'll see
- 56:15Speaker 2: what actually happens. I think overall, they're not the better
- 56:18Speaker 2: team here, but I think the spot does set up
- 56:20Speaker 2: better for them.
- 56:21Speaker 1: Miami is down to.
- 56:22Speaker 2: A two point favorite here, fifty three percent of the
- 56:24Speaker 2: tickets on them, fifty five percent of the cash coming
- 56:26Speaker 2: back in on the other side though, on the Missouri side,
- 56:29Speaker 2: so the.
- 56:30Speaker 1: Money is indicating on Missouri. I agree with that.
- 56:33Speaker 2: I actually almost put this on my card, man, because
- 56:35Speaker 2: those those teams that people are saying are overseed and
- 56:40Speaker 2: shouldn't be where they are here, you know what I mean,
- 56:42Speaker 2: Like they should be Like usually it's this team shouldn't
- 56:45Speaker 2: be in the tournament at all, Like if Auburn got in,
- 56:47Speaker 2: I would really want to play them.
- 56:49Speaker 1: That's not what they're saying about Missouri. But they're still
- 56:51Speaker 1: saying Missouri should.
- 56:52Speaker 2: Have been sent to date and whatever, so they are
- 56:54Speaker 2: getting disrespected.
- 56:57Speaker 1: I think they're gonna show up in this one. And performs.
- 57:00Speaker 2: So that's how I look at that game. That's it
- 57:03Speaker 2: for the college basketball man. Let's go to NHL. I
- 57:06Speaker 2: think we have about five hockey games today. I don't
- 57:09Speaker 2: like the board here in the NHL, but we'll talk
- 57:11Speaker 2: about it NHL network. All these games are at night,
- 57:14Speaker 2: but the NHL Network has Carolina and Toronto. Don't really
- 57:18Speaker 2: think it's a great game here, but Carolina is a
- 57:20Speaker 2: good team. They are coming off an overtime win against Pittsburgh.
- 57:23Speaker 2: They got Pittsburgh again next then Montreal, so they're in
- 57:27Speaker 2: a Pittsburgh sandwich here. They're in a Primanty Brothers sandwich here.
- 57:32Speaker 2: It's you know, filled with fries. But because they're gonna
- 57:36Speaker 2: be in Toronto, the fries are probably gonna have gravy
- 57:39Speaker 2: and cheese curds all over them or whatever. You know,
- 57:43Speaker 2: it's possible they overlook Toronto here. It's kind of a
- 57:45Speaker 2: weird spot for Carolina sandwich. In between the two Pittsburgh games,
- 57:50Speaker 2: they gotta go up to Canada, then back down to
- 57:52Speaker 2: Pittsburgh after that, then back up to Montreal, where the
- 57:55Speaker 2: fries really are covered with gravy and kurds. You know,
- 58:00Speaker 2: I would lean to Toronto in this game, Toronto coming
- 58:02Speaker 2: off of a loss to the Islanders.
- 58:04Speaker 1: It's not a strong.
- 58:05Speaker 2: Opinion that I have at all, really, but Toronto's staying
- 58:07Speaker 2: at home. They got a couple of days off. Could
- 58:10Speaker 2: be a spot where Carolina overlooks them. Carolina is minus
- 58:13Speaker 2: two ten. We don't really see the percentages yet here,
- 58:15Speaker 2: but it would probably be. You know, you could look
- 58:18Speaker 2: towards the puck line on Toronto there. Maybe Toronto kind
- 58:21Speaker 2: of just playing out the stretch without Austin Matthews now,
- 58:24Speaker 2: but playing Carolina at home is the type of game
- 58:27Speaker 2: that you might still get up for, though, when you
- 58:29Speaker 2: know you're not going anywhere New Jersey at Washington. New
- 58:33Speaker 2: Jersey just beat their rival, the Rangers, who can't win
- 58:36Speaker 2: at home. Like we said, that was of course at
- 58:39Speaker 2: Madison Square Guard and what else is new? And now
- 58:42Speaker 2: they're going down to Washington now they might look ahead though,
- 58:45Speaker 2: because they got Dallas on deck. A six' three win
- 58:48Speaker 2: over your rival The rangers is. Satisfying you got a
- 58:51Speaker 2: big game Against dallas on. Deck washington's having a decent,
- 58:54Speaker 2: season but it's possible The devils aren't in the greatest
- 58:58Speaker 2: spot Here. Washington they have a look ahead as, well
- 59:02Speaker 2: because they Got colorado on deck and they just beat
- 59:05Speaker 2: a Decent autawa. Team they might not pay attention To
- 59:08Speaker 2: New jersey, either and they Got colorado on. Deck so
- 59:11Speaker 2: these teams are kind of in similar spots. Here SO
- 59:13Speaker 2: i don't want anything to do with this game. Either
- 59:15Speaker 2: washington fifty six percent of, tickets eighty four percent of
- 59:18Speaker 2: the cash on, them so the money appears to be
- 59:20Speaker 2: on The washington side at least for, now either at
- 59:22Speaker 2: minus won twenty six or so on the money.
- 59:25Speaker 1: Line there really really tough call in that. One.
- 59:29Speaker 2: MAN i could tell you the market read right now
- 59:32Speaker 2: is Saying, washington BUT i don't really have an opinion on.
- 59:34Speaker 2: It colorado At, Chicago colorado coming off a tough game Against.
- 59:39Speaker 2: Dallas Man colorado's lost three games in a, row but
- 59:43Speaker 2: losing To dallas in a, shootout you, know you can't
- 59:45Speaker 2: really say that that's a bad. Loss that was a
- 59:47Speaker 2: tough game against a really Good dallas, Team And colorado
- 59:51Speaker 2: And dallas are probably the best two teams in THE.
- 59:53Speaker 2: Nhl coming up of, that they could be in a
- 59:55Speaker 2: bit of a flat, spot hangover, spot, whatever even though
- 59:58Speaker 2: they're you, KNOW i thought they would bounce back from
- 1:00:00Speaker 2: losing seven to two To. Pittsburgh But dallas is just
- 1:00:03Speaker 2: a really tough, opponent, man And dallas got the close win.
- 1:00:06Speaker 2: THERE i Think, Colorado, yeah it could be a hangover spot,
- 1:00:10Speaker 2: here even though a lot of times you will be
- 1:00:11Speaker 2: focused to start a road trip coming off a game like.
- 1:00:14Speaker 2: That don't love the spot off For. Chicago they did
- 1:00:17Speaker 2: just Beat minnesota, though so that was yesterday, Too so
- 1:00:21Speaker 2: the spot For chicago is not exactly great traveling back
- 1:00:24Speaker 2: From minnesota with no time, off not that that's a
- 1:00:27Speaker 2: ton of, travel but still they got a big upset
- 1:00:29Speaker 2: win At.
- 1:00:30Speaker 1: Minnesota now they gotta Face.
- 1:00:32Speaker 2: COLORADO i mean they're not gonna Overlook colorado, obviously but
- 1:00:34Speaker 2: it's a tough spot For. Chicago colorado looks like they've
- 1:00:38Speaker 2: taken some money and they're up to minus two. Ninety
- 1:00:40Speaker 2: BUT i would not lay a price like that in
- 1:00:43Speaker 2: a spot like. That there's no, way you, know this
- 1:00:47Speaker 2: is the type of game WHERE i actually thinking over
- 1:00:49Speaker 2: is a consideration. Here with both teams being in bad,
- 1:00:52Speaker 2: spots it could affect a deep bense a little. Bit
- 1:00:55Speaker 2: so that would probably be my opinion in that. Game
- 1:00:58Speaker 2: florida At. Calgary this is the one THAT i almost
- 1:01:01Speaker 2: consider putting on my. CARD i Like calgary in this.
- 1:01:04Speaker 2: Game and when you look at the, line like people
- 1:01:06Speaker 2: are gonna be, like wait a, minute how are the
- 1:01:07Speaker 2: two time defending champs here In? Florida how are they
- 1:01:12Speaker 2: like almost an underdog Against calgary Because calgary is?
- 1:01:15Speaker 1: Awful?
- 1:01:16Speaker 2: Yeah, well The osburgers are telling you even The florida
- 1:01:19Speaker 2: is the better, team it's not by that, much at
- 1:01:21Speaker 2: least not in this. Spot calgary at minus one oh.
- 1:01:24Speaker 2: Seven there's a big pros Versus joe's market disverity. Here
- 1:01:27Speaker 2: it looks Like florida sixty two percent of the tickets
- 1:01:30Speaker 2: with seventy two percent of the cash on The. FLAMES
- 1:01:33Speaker 2: i agree With calgary. Here that's the WAY i would
- 1:01:35Speaker 2: play this. GAME i would be The calgary money. Line
- 1:01:39Speaker 2: florida is coming off a very satisfying shutout four nothing
- 1:01:44Speaker 2: road went Over edmonton to get, revenge, which of course
- 1:01:47Speaker 2: you Know edmonton they still want more, revenge probably for
- 1:01:50Speaker 2: losing To florida and back to Back Stanley cup. Finals
- 1:01:53Speaker 2: But florida lost To edmonton this year the one time they,
- 1:01:56Speaker 2: played so they got revenge and beating them forward to
- 1:01:59Speaker 2: nothing yesterday and Now they're playing a third game in four,
- 1:02:02Speaker 2: days a back to, back a fourth game in six.
- 1:02:04Speaker 1: Days all in different. Cities that's not easy to do.
- 1:02:07Speaker 2: Them. MAN i might be convinced to do this if
- 1:02:10Speaker 2: they had a bigger game on. Deck, although, actually you know,
- 1:02:13Speaker 2: WHAT i might add this to my card because they
- 1:02:15Speaker 2: Play seattle. Next seattle actually beat them on The march,
- 1:02:20Speaker 2: fifteenth so they're gonna have a little bit of a
- 1:02:22Speaker 2: revenge angle. There perhaps Against, SEATTLE i might actually give this.
- 1:02:27Speaker 2: Out let me take a look at This. Calgary they're
- 1:02:31Speaker 2: in a spot where we actually tried to fade them
- 1:02:33Speaker 2: On wednesday to no. SUCCESS i think they should have
- 1:02:36Speaker 2: lost the game. Though they're returning home from a long road,
- 1:02:39Speaker 2: trip and you KNOW i talk about that when a
- 1:02:40Speaker 2: team returns home from a road, trip a lot of
- 1:02:43Speaker 2: times they don't do. WELL i know we have lost
- 1:02:46Speaker 2: on two Straight calgary.
- 1:02:47Speaker 1: GAMES i get.
- 1:02:48Speaker 2: It we tried to play on them in one game
- 1:02:50Speaker 2: and fade them the, next and we lost both of.
- 1:02:52Speaker 1: Them i'm pissed about.
- 1:02:54Speaker 2: It this, game, THOUGH i mean the second game back.
- 1:02:58Speaker 2: Home i'm not gonna say they exactly played. Well in
- 1:03:01Speaker 2: that first game at, home they barely got by a
- 1:03:03Speaker 2: Bad Saint louis. Team, NOW a lot of times when
- 1:03:06Speaker 2: a team returns, home LIKE i, said the reason we
- 1:03:08Speaker 2: faded them is because that's a historically very distracted. Spot
- 1:03:12Speaker 2: when you return home from a long road, trip you
- 1:03:14Speaker 2: have to get back to home.
- 1:03:15Speaker 1: LIFE a lot of times you'll overlook your.
- 1:03:17Speaker 2: Opponent part of that handicap was This florida game is
- 1:03:20Speaker 2: gonna be bigger than.
- 1:03:20Speaker 1: THAT i know they Have.
- 1:03:22Speaker 2: Tampa on, deck but you're not gonna overlook the team
- 1:03:24Speaker 2: that won The Stanley cup the last two. Years you know,
- 1:03:28Speaker 2: what second game back, home a lot of times you
- 1:03:30Speaker 2: do play better than that first. Game, yeah fuck, it
- 1:03:34Speaker 2: let's do. It let's see what the best number we
- 1:03:35Speaker 2: can get on this is right, now we'll have two plays. Today,
- 1:03:40Speaker 2: man we'll Add calgary into the mix. HERE i like it.
- 1:03:43Speaker 1: Enough let's. See let's get back on the winning track
- 1:03:46Speaker 1: here with fucking with. Hockey, here it looks like you
- 1:03:50Speaker 1: can get.
- 1:03:51Speaker 2: THEM i see minus one oh three out there at one.
- 1:03:53Speaker 2: Shop it's mostly minus one ten though that's the the
- 1:03:58Speaker 2: place it starts with A. B that that is limiting
- 1:04:02Speaker 2: me In.
- 1:04:02Speaker 1: Massachusetts so that's.
- 1:04:03Speaker 2: Great whips almost ended the. Stream that's not WHAT i
- 1:04:06Speaker 2: want to. Do that would have.
- 1:04:07Speaker 1: Sucked hold, on all.
- 1:04:12Speaker 2: Right we're gonna Play calgary on the money line minus
- 1:04:14Speaker 2: one oh, Three, yes all, right there we. Go. There
- 1:04:20Speaker 2: you can find probably mostly about minus one ten out.
- 1:04:22Speaker 2: There OBVIOUSLY i would still do it at that price as.
- 1:04:24Speaker 2: Well anaheim At utah is the last game. Here anaheim
- 1:04:29Speaker 2: just lost To. Philadelphia that was the one win that we.
- 1:04:32Speaker 2: HAD i think the other night they were returning over
- 1:04:35Speaker 2: from a road. Trip of course it was a close.
- 1:04:38Speaker 2: Game philadelphia beat them in. OVERTIME i Think philadelphia won
- 1:04:41Speaker 2: an overtime again last, night AND i did like them
- 1:04:43Speaker 2: again last Night. Anaheim you know WHAT i, Say when
- 1:04:47Speaker 2: a team returns home from a road trip and they
- 1:04:49Speaker 2: don't do well in that first game, back a lot
- 1:04:51Speaker 2: of times they do better in the next. Game but
- 1:04:53Speaker 2: they're not at home. Here they're going back out on
- 1:04:55Speaker 2: the road To. Utah so maybe not as good Because
- 1:04:59Speaker 2: anahei t is better at home than they are on
- 1:05:01Speaker 2: the Road. Utah, though they're coming out a couple of
- 1:05:05Speaker 2: real satisfying, wins and they're returning home from the. Road
- 1:05:08Speaker 2: they went To dallas and Then, vegas kind of a
- 1:05:10Speaker 2: quick road, trip but still two really satisfying wins against
- 1:05:14Speaker 2: two good Teams dallas And vegas combined ten to three
- 1:05:18Speaker 2: score there and shutting Out vegas on the road. Yesterday
- 1:05:22Speaker 2: so now even though they had a couple of days
- 1:05:23Speaker 2: off before, yesterday they're on a back to, back they're returning.
- 1:05:26Speaker 2: Home it's got to Be anaheim in this game for, me,
- 1:05:30Speaker 2: MAN i, MEAN i would lean To anaheim, here but
- 1:05:32Speaker 2: the money is not agreeing with. Me utah is up
- 1:05:35Speaker 2: to minus one thirty and they have fifty nine percent
- 1:05:37Speaker 2: of the cash on them with fifty six percent of
- 1:05:39Speaker 2: the tickets On.
- 1:05:39Speaker 1: ANAHEIM i don't agree with.
- 1:05:41Speaker 2: THAT i Like anaheim in that, one but not a
- 1:05:45Speaker 2: strong enough opinion to put on my.
- 1:05:46Speaker 1: Card you.
- 1:05:47Speaker 2: KNOW i don't like fading market reads that look like that,
- 1:05:49Speaker 2: either although in the, morning you, KNOW i mean SOMETIMES
- 1:05:52Speaker 2: i will IF i think my opinion's strong, enough and
- 1:05:55Speaker 2: THEN i just hope that the market kind of comes
- 1:05:58Speaker 2: to me and settles in later in the day so
- 1:06:00Speaker 2: that the at least shows that it agrees with. Me all, RIGHT,
- 1:06:03Speaker 2: NBA i think we have about SIX nba games. Here
- 1:06:07Speaker 2: not a fan of these of THIS nba board, tonight,
- 1:06:10Speaker 2: man The knicks are At. BROOKLYN i, mean come, on
- 1:06:12Speaker 2: we have like a couple of just ridiculous favorites, here.
- 1:06:18Speaker 1: The knicks and The.
- 1:06:18Speaker 2: Celtics in, fact The, knicks WHO i think are the
- 1:06:22Speaker 2: two best teams in The. East by the, way The
- 1:06:24Speaker 2: knicks are coming off Stomping, INDIANA i MEAN i thought
- 1:06:28Speaker 2: they would bounce, back or will not bounce, back but
- 1:06:30Speaker 2: be focused because they didn't play well Against indiana the previous.
- 1:06:33Speaker 2: Time now they've had a couple of days, off it
- 1:06:35Speaker 2: could disrupt.
- 1:06:36Speaker 1: Their momentum a little. Bit they're going To.
- 1:06:38Speaker 2: Brooklyn of, course they're staying In New York city for,
- 1:06:40Speaker 2: this but they could definitely Overlook. Brooklyn although their next
- 1:06:44Speaker 2: game is only Against, washington so it's not really that
- 1:06:46Speaker 2: bad of a. Spot But, BROOKLYN i, MEAN i know
- 1:06:49Speaker 2: it looks like they pretty much packed it, In but
- 1:06:51Speaker 2: there are certain games WHERE i think.
- 1:06:53Speaker 1: You will get effort out of. Them you have to
- 1:06:54Speaker 1: try to figure out when those games will.
- 1:06:56Speaker 2: BE i think this could be one of, them Because New,
- 1:07:00Speaker 2: YORK i, mean The knicks of their rival man In
- 1:07:02Speaker 2: New York, City so, like do you really overlook them
- 1:07:04Speaker 2: when they're coming into your? HOUSE i don't really think.
- 1:07:08Speaker 2: So the money's coming in on The, knicks though they're
- 1:07:10Speaker 2: seventeen and a half point. Favorite sixty seven percent of
- 1:07:13Speaker 2: cash on The knicks with fifty seven percent of tickets
- 1:07:16Speaker 2: on the.
- 1:07:16Speaker 1: NETS i don't buy. That what pub what?
- 1:07:19Speaker 2: Like where are those tickets coming? From what public betters
- 1:07:21Speaker 2: are on the? NETS i don't buy. THAT i WOULD
- 1:07:24Speaker 2: i would lean towards taking the points in that. ONE
- 1:07:26Speaker 2: i don't want to do.
- 1:07:27Speaker 1: It, obviously but that's WHAT i would do IF i
- 1:07:29Speaker 1: was gonna play the.
- 1:07:30Speaker 2: Game the total is really low. TOO i, mean The,
- 1:07:32Speaker 2: knicks they're somewhat more of a defensive. TEAM a lot
- 1:07:36Speaker 2: of times they don't have high scoring, totals so that's
- 1:07:38Speaker 2: something to consider there as. Well it's you, know less
- 1:07:42Speaker 2: likely for them to cover a spread like that with
- 1:07:44Speaker 2: the lower the total. Is Golden state is At. DETROIT
- 1:07:49Speaker 2: i forgot to mention last Night. DETROIT i don't THINK
- 1:07:52Speaker 2: i mentioned. It they've Lost Kate cunningham AND i don't
- 1:07:55Speaker 2: know how long he's gonna be.
- 1:07:56Speaker 1: Out. Man that is a huge blow To, detroit who
- 1:07:59Speaker 1: is looking like they're probably gonna be the one seed
- 1:08:01Speaker 1: in The.
- 1:08:01Speaker 2: East now they're gonna be without their star player for
- 1:08:05Speaker 2: who knows how. LONG i didn't Think detroit was gonna
- 1:08:07Speaker 2: win The east, anyway but that is pretty.
- 1:08:09Speaker 1: Brutal they're on a back to back here.
- 1:08:11Speaker 2: Now their previous GAME i think was their first game
- 1:08:14Speaker 2: without cunning, him and they Beat washington anyway without him
- 1:08:19Speaker 2: in a zigzag. Spot they beat them by even more
- 1:08:22Speaker 2: the second, time although they actually didn't cover the first Game,
- 1:08:27Speaker 2: WASHINGTON i, mean looking like they're packing in. Him washington
- 1:08:30Speaker 2: can't trust him at, All, Man So detroit won that
- 1:08:33Speaker 2: game without cunning him by more than twenty. Points now
- 1:08:36Speaker 2: they're on a back to, back though they're traveling back
- 1:08:38Speaker 2: home From. Washington they've been on the road Since, sunday
- 1:08:41Speaker 2: so it's a little bit of a return home spot.
- 1:08:43Speaker 2: Here possible they get a little bit distracted. Here second,
- 1:08:46Speaker 2: GAME i think without cunning, him maybe the, Third i'm not.
- 1:08:49Speaker 1: Sure, yeah it's possible it's the. THIRD i don't. Know
- 1:08:53Speaker 1: so MAYBE i did mention it back in that other.
- 1:08:54Speaker 2: GAME i don't, Know but that injury is gonna have
- 1:08:57Speaker 2: an effect at some, Point, man because he is their best,
- 1:09:00Speaker 2: player and you, know WAS i believe AN mvp.
- 1:09:04Speaker 1: CANDIDATE i want to say not gonna win.
- 1:09:06Speaker 2: IT i, mean LIKE i THINK sga is a massive
- 1:09:09Speaker 2: favorite to be THE, mvp but you, KNOW i think
- 1:09:11Speaker 2: he was one of the.
- 1:09:14Speaker 1: Like top five or SIX. MVP i don't know what
- 1:09:19Speaker 1: you want to call IT mvp.
- 1:09:20Speaker 2: Contenders, anyway it's possible they overlooked This Golden state team
- 1:09:24Speaker 2: a little bit because they're returning, home it's on a
- 1:09:26Speaker 2: back to, back it's a little bit of it's an
- 1:09:29Speaker 2: Injured Golden state. Team detroit's got The lakers on. Deck
- 1:09:32Speaker 2: that's probably a bigger. Game so, Yeah i'll probably lean
- 1:09:37Speaker 2: To Golden state in this.
- 1:09:38Speaker 1: One.
- 1:09:38Speaker 2: Man see, Here detroit's pretty public and they're only laying five.
- 1:09:43Speaker 2: Points it looks pretty easy to lay the five even
- 1:09:47Speaker 2: if you Know cunningham's out eighty four percent of tickets
- 1:09:50Speaker 2: eighty nine percent of the casual on The, Pistons i'd
- 1:09:52Speaker 2: lean to towards taking the points. There atlanta At houston
- 1:09:57Speaker 2: is ON NBA. Tv atlanta coming into this. Game they
- 1:10:03Speaker 2: Beat dallas pretty easily to continue their win. STREAK i
- 1:10:06Speaker 2: still think this win streak is a bit. Fraudulent they've
- 1:10:10Speaker 2: WON i, believe eleven games in a row, now but
- 1:10:13Speaker 2: not as impressive when you see who the opponents are
- 1:10:16Speaker 2: during that win.
- 1:10:16Speaker 1: Streak it's not that. Great now they're going To.
- 1:10:18Speaker 2: HOUSTON i mean it is a big game, though so
- 1:10:20Speaker 2: they should still get up for this. Game houston is
- 1:10:23Speaker 2: not really in a good spot here because they're coming
- 1:10:25Speaker 2: up those two tough games against The, lakers And i'm
- 1:10:28Speaker 2: pretty shocked they lost both of, them and we took
- 1:10:30Speaker 2: a loss in the second.
- 1:10:31Speaker 1: One not a fan of.
- 1:10:33Speaker 2: That don't like, that especially BECAUSE i also don't like The.
- 1:10:35Speaker 2: LAKERS i think the spot is more difficult For. HOUSTON
- 1:10:38Speaker 2: i actually would lean to taking the points With atlanta
- 1:10:40Speaker 2: here sixty five percent of, tickets seventy six percent of
- 1:10:43Speaker 2: the cash on The.
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: ROCKETS i don't really agree with.
- 1:10:46Speaker 2: THAT i THINK i would lean towards The hawks and
- 1:10:47Speaker 2: that one plus the points. There, YEAH i think the
- 1:10:53Speaker 2: spot is just more difficult For.
- 1:10:55Speaker 1: Houston.
- 1:10:55Speaker 2: There My Boston celtics At Memphis celtics huge favorite. Here
- 1:11:00Speaker 2: they better at least just win the, game, Man BUT
- 1:11:03Speaker 2: i don't love the spot for The. Celtics they just
- 1:11:05Speaker 2: Crushed Golden, state satisfying win at the very. Least now
- 1:11:09Speaker 2: single game road trip To memphis very weird and on.
- 1:11:12Speaker 2: Deck they Have minnesota And Oklahoma city back at. Home
- 1:11:15Speaker 2: those are much bigger, opponents so possible they Overlook memphis
- 1:11:20Speaker 2: in the. Spot, Man, memphis you gotta gauge the effort
- 1:11:24Speaker 2: they're gonna put in this, game you know WHAT i?
- 1:11:26Speaker 1: Mean Because, memphis you.
- 1:11:28Speaker 2: Know they have not been playing well as of. Late
- 1:11:31Speaker 2: they don't really have like they basically don't have any
- 1:11:33Speaker 2: of their. Starters the one good thing good thing for
- 1:11:36Speaker 2: them is they just ended along losing. Streak so a
- 1:11:38Speaker 2: lot of times when a team ends a losing, streak
- 1:11:40Speaker 2: that momentum will carry the positive. Momentum but they did Beat.
- 1:11:44Speaker 2: Denver that was a big win against a Good denver.
- 1:11:46Speaker 2: Team so they're gonna have to put it in an
- 1:11:48Speaker 2: effort like that again, here SO i don't want. IT
- 1:11:52Speaker 2: i don't link the spot really for either team. Here
- 1:11:54Speaker 2: i'd probably lean towards taking the points of The. Grizzlies
- 1:11:57Speaker 2: the money is slightly leaning towards The celtics. Here fifteen
- 1:12:00Speaker 2: and a half is the, number really big, number fifty
- 1:12:03Speaker 2: six percent of, ticket sixty three percent of the casual
- 1:12:05Speaker 2: on The. Celtics, Again i'd probably in towards taking the
- 1:12:09Speaker 2: points in that, one BUT i don't really have a
- 1:12:11Speaker 2: good opinion on. That portland At minnesota.
- 1:12:16Speaker 1: This. Game portland just Beat. INDIANA i, mean.
- 1:12:19Speaker 2: Not really a big deal. There their problem is the
- 1:12:22Speaker 2: travel spot. Here they're playing a fourth game in six,
- 1:12:25Speaker 2: days fifth game in eight, days all in different, cities so.
- 1:12:28Speaker 1: That's not that.
- 1:12:28Speaker 2: Easy they should get up From, minnesota, though but they
- 1:12:31Speaker 2: did play pretty tough Against minnesota the last time they played.
- 1:12:34Speaker 1: Them they lost by three.
- 1:12:35Speaker 2: At, home so it is kind of a road revenge,
- 1:12:38Speaker 2: spot But minnesota might take them more seriously for that
- 1:12:41Speaker 2: reason as. Well minnesota's coming up of a real satisfying
- 1:12:44Speaker 2: window where they put up one hundred and forty seven Against,
- 1:12:47Speaker 2: utah staying at, home the Clabbored, utah and on deck
- 1:12:50Speaker 2: they got The celtics and Then houston and Then. Detroit
- 1:12:54Speaker 2: three big games upcoming all ON tv as, Well so look.
- 1:12:58Speaker 2: Ahead spot pretty big, here coming off a win where
- 1:13:01Speaker 2: they won by thirty six. Points it would Be blazers
- 1:13:05Speaker 2: for me in this game IF i was gonna. Play
- 1:13:06Speaker 2: the money seems to be heavily indicating on that. SIDE
- 1:13:10Speaker 2: i think if you're gonna play ANY nba game, TODAY
- 1:13:12Speaker 2: i think that's.
- 1:13:12Speaker 1: The best look is The blazers plus the.
- 1:13:15Speaker 2: Points ALTHOUGH i MEAN i think they are technically playing
- 1:13:18Speaker 2: to try to get out of the play in. Games
- 1:13:21Speaker 2: but they're not gonna drop out of the play in
- 1:13:23Speaker 2: because all the other teams have just packed.
- 1:13:24Speaker 1: It in for the, season so they're basically in there by.
- 1:13:27Speaker 2: Default but they do have a chance to get out
- 1:13:29Speaker 2: of the play and a lot of think it's gonna.
- 1:13:31Speaker 2: Happen but of course they're gonna be motivated, anyway probably
- 1:13:33Speaker 2: to play The. Wolves seventy six percent of tickets on
- 1:13:36Speaker 2: the T, wls seventy four percent of the cash On,
- 1:13:38Speaker 2: portland so the money's coming in On portland for what that's.
- 1:13:41Speaker 2: Worth then we have A raptors At nuggets here to
- 1:13:45Speaker 2: finish it. Off The raptors just Crush, chicago, unfortunately BECAUSE
- 1:13:50Speaker 2: i Like. Chicago in that, Game toronto had a really
- 1:13:52Speaker 2: hot shooting night in that. One nothing you could do about.
- 1:13:55Speaker 2: It took a loss on that. One now they're going
- 1:13:58Speaker 2: into elevation to PLAY. Dna is not gonna be that,
- 1:14:01Speaker 2: easy Although toronto at least should get up for the.
- 1:14:03Speaker 2: Game denver's coming out of a real ugly loss Against. Memphis,
- 1:14:06Speaker 2: man they're returning, home but it's only from a single
- 1:14:09Speaker 2: game road. TRIP i Think, MEMPHIS i, mean excuse, Me
- 1:14:12Speaker 2: denver should be in a.
- 1:14:13Speaker 1: Bounced back spot. Here the only A portland on deck's
- 1:14:15Speaker 1: not a huge deal. THERE i kind of Like denver
- 1:14:18Speaker 1: in this one to bounce. Back they're up to a
- 1:14:20Speaker 1: seven point, favorite although keeping in mind they have not
- 1:14:23Speaker 1: been great at home this, year even though you think
- 1:14:25Speaker 1: they would be because of the elevation. Edge but The
- 1:14:28Speaker 1: raptors certainly are a team that's not familiar with the.
- 1:14:30Speaker 1: Elevations so sixty two percent, tickets sixty seven percent of
- 1:14:34Speaker 1: the casual on The. NUGGETS i agree with laying it
- 1:14:36Speaker 1: with The, nuggets but we're skipping.
- 1:14:39Speaker 2: That we're skipping the WHOLE nba card. There that's gonna do, it.
- 1:14:42Speaker 2: Man the play is one more. Time we are gonna
- 1:14:44Speaker 2: be On Northern iowa plus the points in the tournament,
- 1:14:47Speaker 2: there and we're gonna be on The flames in hockey
- 1:14:49Speaker 2: on the money line and hope that they don't flame,
- 1:14:51Speaker 2: out hope we get a win.
- 1:14:53Speaker 1: There that's gonna do. It learn a tone On, twitter
- 1:14:56Speaker 1: learn a tone On.
- 1:14:57Speaker 2: Instagram you know where to Find maybe we've got the
- 1:14:59Speaker 2: link tree up there On twitter as, well with all
- 1:15:01Speaker 2: these links like subscribe, here, man so you get the notifications.
- 1:15:04Speaker 1: WHEN i go. Live give, me you, know positive.
- 1:15:08Speaker 2: Comments whatever or negative you, know and Maybe i'll get mad.
- 1:15:11Speaker 2: Whatever listen on audio that helps as. Well, Spotify Apple
- 1:15:17Speaker 2: we're on we have covered in you because my yuke
- 1:15:19Speaker 2: channel on.
- 1:15:19Speaker 1: YouTube you can check that out as.
- 1:15:21Speaker 2: Well patreon dot, com slash to learn to toad you
- 1:15:23Speaker 2: can get some bonus.
- 1:15:24Speaker 1: Stuff gotta figure out more to.
- 1:15:26Speaker 2: Do over there, though, man excuse, me and then we
- 1:15:29Speaker 2: got loser cast will be back On tuesday, nights and
- 1:15:33Speaker 2: that's gonna do. It let's enjoy the tournament as it,
- 1:15:37Speaker 2: continues even though it makes me anxious the whole, time
- 1:15:40Speaker 2: SO i can't really fully enjoy, it, Man but that's
- 1:15:42Speaker 2: gonna do.
- 1:15:43Speaker 1: IT i always gonna say to rub salt in the.
- 1:15:46Speaker 2: Wound they're showing it right. Now they're just showing The
- 1:15:48Speaker 2: Sianna duke game. Though that's gonna do. It, peace, guys