Latest / The Chuck ToddCast / Chuck’s Commentary - Trump Is The Worst Role Model President Ever + The Sharp Contrast Between Trump & Obama
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- 1:48Speaker 1: to the Day after Father's Day edition of the Chuck Podcast.
- 1:52Speaker 1: I give you that because I do have a little
- 1:55Speaker 1: bit of a parenting theme to discussing the Trump presidency here,
- 2:00Speaker 1: a little bit, especially the near term, because there's no
- 2:04Speaker 1: doubt the reflecting pool right perfect metaphor for the Trump era,
- 2:08Speaker 1: right and the Trump administration. I mean it is you know,
- 2:13Speaker 1: it's funny, right. Is it the serious stuff that's going
- 2:16Speaker 1: to take him down, like mismanagement of the Middle East
- 2:19Speaker 1: and making around stronger not weaker? Or is it that
- 2:23Speaker 1: more people discover what a BS artist he actually is
- 2:27Speaker 1: due to the reflecting pool? Nonsense? Right? And in some ways,
- 2:30Speaker 1: maybe it is the reflecting pool that ultimately is the
- 2:32Speaker 1: thing that takes him down right. Maybe it should be
- 2:35Speaker 1: the graft, and it should be all of these other things.
- 2:39Speaker 1: But in some ways, when you're a presidency that is
- 2:43Speaker 1: sort of manufactured BS, then it isn't a moment where
- 2:48Speaker 1: the a moment like the reflecting pool, which is the
- 2:51Speaker 1: ultimate the wizard, you know, who is this man behind
- 2:55Speaker 1: the curtain mindset? Maybe that is what should take him
- 2:58Speaker 1: down right and talk about something that just sums up everything.
- 3:01Speaker 1: There's a tweet out there and my apologies, I am
- 3:05Speaker 1: yes ripping off this tweet and I no, I cannot,
- 3:07Speaker 1: I like cut and paste. I couldn't find the person
- 3:10Speaker 1: who said it, so my apologies to you. But it's
- 3:12Speaker 1: been making the round. But it really is. This reflecting
- 3:16Speaker 1: pool is sort of the perfect metaphor for the Trump presidency.
- 3:18Speaker 1: Ignore experts in science overspend declare early in historic victory. Right,
- 3:24Speaker 1: you know the left's gonna hate this, so make it
- 3:27Speaker 1: some sort of left right manufactured nonsense. It actually ends
- 3:31Speaker 1: in total failure. Then the unfounded conspiracies about sabotage and
- 3:37Speaker 1: bikers get arrested because you know, now he claims some
- 3:41Speaker 1: massive knife was somehow brought into the reflecting pool under
- 3:45Speaker 1: dark of night, and nobody you know, of course, there
- 3:47Speaker 1: was no witnesses to any of this, And now his
- 3:52Speaker 1: closest supporters are going, why does the mainstream media keep
- 3:55Speaker 1: bringing this up, ignoring the fact that the only reason
- 3:59Speaker 1: this is a story is President has been manufacturing it.
- 4:02Speaker 1: I've always thought you've seen that chart where he wanted
- 4:05Speaker 1: to make sure people understood that the reflecting pool was
- 4:07Speaker 1: somehow taller than all of the tall buildings in America. Now,
- 4:13Speaker 1: I don't know why we're laying flat any of the
- 4:15Speaker 1: tall buildings to measure against the reflecting pool, but imagine
- 4:20Speaker 1: being the poor staffer who had to make that chart.
- 4:25Speaker 1: There was a pre made chart. We do need a
- 4:29Speaker 1: lot more stories about the chart makers that have to
- 4:32Speaker 1: manufacture his reality in order to make him happy. And
- 4:37Speaker 1: this clearly is one of them. So look, I yes
- 4:41Speaker 1: to say that there is a parenting connection today is
- 4:45Speaker 1: an understatement. I also want to tackle the Obama legacy
- 4:48Speaker 1: a little bit. We had that and in some ways
- 4:51Speaker 1: we have seen in the last week both America is
- 4:55Speaker 1: on display and Obama and are very much the IDs
- 5:03Speaker 1: of both Americas, and I want to tackle that. Then
- 5:06Speaker 1: I want to do a little bit of preview of
- 5:08Speaker 1: the Tuesday primaries and the coming I think it is
- 5:13Speaker 1: fair to say there is now three distinct factions inside
- 5:18Speaker 1: the Democratic Party fighting for control of the Democratic Party,
- 5:23Speaker 1: and the Socialists are the ones that are going to
- 5:25Speaker 1: be on the march on Tuesday, at least in New
- 5:28Speaker 1: York City. We saw the big win for the Socialist
- 5:31Speaker 1: in Washington, Washington, d C. And the question is what
- 5:35Speaker 1: more is this going to pop? And it's sort of
- 5:38Speaker 1: a storyline that I'm trying to give you guys a
- 5:41Speaker 1: heads up on that is coming and that is going
- 5:43Speaker 1: to be a driving narrative going forward. Of course, this
- 5:47Speaker 1: is Monday, which means we do a little history lesson
- 5:50Speaker 1: and I will I'm going to give you this clue
- 5:57Speaker 1: about the topic. I'm going to give you four numbers.
- 6:01Speaker 1: Four oh seven seven. That's all I'm giving you. Most
- 6:06Speaker 1: of you have a certain age'll figure that out. Those
- 6:08Speaker 1: of you a little less than that may struggle with
- 6:12Speaker 1: that one. Now, before I get to my little parenting
- 6:17Speaker 1: metaphor that I want to share with you another way
- 6:20Speaker 1: of looking at Donald Trump, I do want to get Look,
- 6:23Speaker 1: the Ron story is moving. The question is we've got
- 6:25Speaker 1: these talks. JD. Vance is going. There was a time
- 6:29Speaker 1: where I thought he was going to try to find
- 6:30Speaker 1: his own distance from this. Marco Rubio is still Mia
- 6:34Speaker 1: as you can tell on defending this. He did not
- 6:37Speaker 1: go out on the Sunday shows to defend this. They
- 6:38Speaker 1: sent the former National Security Advisor currently Ambassador of the
- 6:42Speaker 1: United Nations, Mike Waltz, went out to defend this deal.
- 6:46Speaker 1: But they did not. And obviously Jadie Vance has been
- 6:48Speaker 1: out there a lot defending this deal while he's also
- 6:51Speaker 1: been on book tour about his book on converting to Catholicism.
- 6:57Speaker 1: And uh, look, I think we are seeing You know,
- 7:01Speaker 1: there's always been one there. You know, as the Pew
- 7:04Speaker 1: typology taught us, there are two wings to the Mega movement.
- 7:07Speaker 1: Wing one was the no apologies, the true core maga
- 7:12Speaker 1: that is JD. Vance. That is the populace that is
- 7:15Speaker 1: Donald Trump Junior, Right, they're the adjacent group of people
- 7:19Speaker 1: who are extraordinarily supportive of Trump. Are those that are
- 7:23Speaker 1: that ground their beliefs as much in religion as they
- 7:27Speaker 1: do in politics. And these folks are pretty pro Israel
- 7:34Speaker 1: and pretty entire round. This was the one And if
- 7:36Speaker 1: there is a distinguishing characteristic between the two factions inside
- 7:40Speaker 1: of MAGA, it is support for Israel. Right. The pure
- 7:44Speaker 1: MAGA are not supportive of Israel in the way that
- 7:48Speaker 1: the religious wing of MAGA is supportive of Israel. Right.
- 7:51Speaker 1: They view it as their motivations for being pro Israel
- 7:56Speaker 1: have always made me a little uncomfortable as someone who's Jewish,
- 7:59Speaker 1: because it was based it seems to be the wishes
- 8:01Speaker 1: that we do is all get sent back to Israel
- 8:06Speaker 1: for the second coming. This belief, so the preservation of
- 8:10Speaker 1: Israel and the support of Israel I never found to
- 8:14Speaker 1: be very comforting because their motivation was to eventually ship
- 8:19Speaker 1: me out of the United States. At least that's that's
- 8:23Speaker 1: if I were accepting their premise all the way through.
- 8:27Speaker 1: But I say that that's my own thing, and you
- 8:30Speaker 1: know me, I do try to separate my own personal
- 8:33Speaker 1: views from my observations of this political situation. And the
- 8:37Speaker 1: fact is you do have a divided maga here and
- 8:40Speaker 1: we're seeing this, right, you saw a very aggressive JD
- 8:43Speaker 1: Vance pushing back at Israel. You now see there is
- 8:47Speaker 1: you know, there a lot of these folks that rationalize
- 8:51Speaker 1: their support for Trump over their belief that somehow he
- 8:55Speaker 1: was going to be tough on Iran, that he would
- 8:57Speaker 1: let Israel do what Israel needed to do. As always,
- 9:01Speaker 1: everybody who counts on Trump to support whatever it is
- 9:07Speaker 1: that they care about the most, and they think Trump's
- 9:10Speaker 1: on their side, or they think they've written a big
- 9:13Speaker 1: enough check to guarantee that Trump is on their side. Right,
- 9:19Speaker 1: all of a sudden, you realize He's always going to
- 9:23Speaker 1: walk away from you on this front. It is notable.
- 9:27Speaker 1: And you're already seeing these little interesting narrative fights back
- 9:32Speaker 1: and forth between each faction. Right, you have this one
- 9:36Speaker 1: faction that's ready to call out anybody that is critical
- 9:39Speaker 1: of this disastrous mammum of under memo of understanding that
- 9:43Speaker 1: the United States has already agreed to. Right, that literally
- 9:46Speaker 1: capitulates to Iran things that Barack Obama never did in
- 9:49Speaker 1: any part of his JP JPCOA nothing that comes close
- 9:57Speaker 1: to this, you know, And so that the fact that
- 10:02Speaker 1: they're saying, if you criticize that, you're somehow they're trying
- 10:05Speaker 1: And you saw this with the White House spokesperson sort
- 10:07Speaker 1: of aggressively pushing back. I think it was through axios
- 10:10Speaker 1: or through playbook, letting it be known. Anybody that criticizes
- 10:13Speaker 1: this deal now going forward is going to be, you know,
- 10:17Speaker 1: called out by the President. It's going to be attacked
- 10:19Speaker 1: by the president, is going to consistently be seen as
- 10:22Speaker 1: somehow a trader to the movement. So they're going to
- 10:25Speaker 1: try to purge these folks. But in some ways, if
- 10:28Speaker 1: you want to look at the Trump administration now is
- 10:32Speaker 1: sort of divided into two, I think it's pretty fair
- 10:35Speaker 1: to see it right in Vance and Rubio in some ways,
- 10:38Speaker 1: or the symbol or the symbols of the two wings,
- 10:43Speaker 1: if you will, of Trump's coalition. And what's interesting to
- 10:48Speaker 1: me is in the first Trump term you had more
- 10:52Speaker 1: staffers and more senior officials that were part of the
- 10:58Speaker 1: part of the more pro Israel wing of the MAGA movement.
- 11:02Speaker 1: In this second term, it's almost the exact opposite. Right,
- 11:05Speaker 1: there's Marco Rubio, who yes, has a huge portfolio, and
- 11:09Speaker 1: so somebody who the establishment wing or the neo conservative wing,
- 11:13Speaker 1: whatever wing you want to call that they could feel
- 11:16Speaker 1: comforted by Rubio being both Secretary State National Security Advisor.
- 11:20Speaker 1: And yet the staffing within the White House and the
- 11:22Speaker 1: staffing all over the place outside of the State Department
- 11:26Speaker 1: very much is more of the Vance advanced style populism. Right.
- 11:32Speaker 1: Haig Seth comes from Vance, sort of the Vance wing
- 11:34Speaker 1: of the party. He certainly doesn't come from the Ruvio
- 11:37Speaker 1: wing of the party. So I do think what we've
- 11:40Speaker 1: learned here is that the president is surrounded by people
- 11:43Speaker 1: that are more right. It's I interviewed Mike Pence earlier
- 11:49Speaker 1: this week and we have this astonishing exchange on character,
- 11:53Speaker 1: because he writes about the importance of character. The character
- 11:56Speaker 1: for him does stop at the party's edge. Right, character
- 11:59Speaker 1: is not a big enough deal for him not to
- 12:02Speaker 1: support Ken Paxton, and we had this back and forth
- 12:04Speaker 1: about it. I appreciate his honesty on right. He didn't
- 12:09Speaker 1: he didn't try to pretend he wasn't drawing a different line.
- 12:12Speaker 1: That he saw a political outcome is more important than
- 12:16Speaker 1: characterist destiny argument that he does make it in his
- 12:20Speaker 1: own book, which is clearly a shot at Donald Trump.
- 12:23Speaker 1: But I bring this up because, you know, it is
- 12:26Speaker 1: interesting how Donald Trump has essentially we know that there
- 12:30Speaker 1: is He's a blank canvas. He is whoever his supporters
- 12:34Speaker 1: want him to be at any given moment in time.
- 12:37Speaker 1: And in his first term he let Mike Pence put
- 12:39Speaker 1: together his administration, and in his second term in some
- 12:41Speaker 1: ways he's let jad Vance and Donald Trump Junior put
- 12:44Speaker 1: this together. Right, they have more of that purest maga
- 12:48Speaker 1: wing isolation. His view of the party Israel skeptic view,
- 12:52Speaker 1: eurosceptic view, China skeptic view, right skeptic all over on
- 12:56Speaker 1: that front versus you know, Mike Parents who clearly believes
- 13:01Speaker 1: that the United States should be the leader of the
- 13:03Speaker 1: free world. Yes, they're the world's beat cop. Because if
- 13:06Speaker 1: you're not the world's beat cop, somebody else is going
- 13:08Speaker 1: to be, and you're not going to lie who the
- 13:09Speaker 1: somebody else is. And that you know, by the way,
- 13:12Speaker 1: that divide exists in both parties. And I think the
- 13:15Speaker 1: scary thing for those of us that believe that America
- 13:19Speaker 1: has no choice but to be the world's beat cop
- 13:23Speaker 1: is that both parties that view is a is not
- 13:28Speaker 1: an ascension at the moment, right, there isn't it. There
- 13:32Speaker 1: is a growing movement in both parties of an isolator,
- 13:35Speaker 1: of being more isolationists and of only and frankly, what
- 13:41Speaker 1: you see and to me, that's both dangerous in the
- 13:44Speaker 1: progressive socialist wing and this sort of nationalists populist ring
- 13:50Speaker 1: on the right is both of them view form policy
- 13:53Speaker 1: through their ideological end goals. Right, whether it's Mom Donnie
- 13:57Speaker 1: wanting to meet with the president of Columbia or whether
- 13:59Speaker 1: it's Trump wanting to take signs in the Brazilian election, right,
- 14:03Speaker 1: that is what weakens America. Right, that is what makes
- 14:08Speaker 1: us be seen more as as as a as a
- 14:15Speaker 1: negative for people in this in the world, rather than
- 14:19Speaker 1: as a net positive, not as always just us standing
- 14:21Speaker 1: up for democracy. No matter which direction of population chooses
- 14:24Speaker 1: to go, if they choose to go socialists or they
- 14:27Speaker 1: choose to go capitalists, if they're holding free and fair elections,
- 14:31Speaker 1: our attitude had always been to support them, and we're
- 14:34Speaker 1: obviously there's always been exceptions, because that's what that's what
- 14:38Speaker 1: makes the United States, the United States a walking contradiction
- 14:40Speaker 1: at times. Right, what we what we espouse ours our
- 14:44Speaker 1: north star, and sometimes how we go about it is
- 14:47Speaker 1: two different things. But I do think right, look, we'll
- 14:51Speaker 1: see how these our negotiations go. The fact is, here's
- 14:55Speaker 1: my concern about Iran at the moment, is that I
- 14:58Speaker 1: think the Iranians have learned from Donald Trump how to
- 15:00Speaker 1: manipulate the markets. And what's really scary is, you know,
- 15:04Speaker 1: Donald Trump's mismanagement of this war, handing control of the
- 15:07Speaker 1: Straight of Hormvees to the Iranians. Make no mistake, they
- 15:10Speaker 1: have control of this. We do not because he is
- 15:13Speaker 1: not willing to commit the level of troops and military
- 15:17Speaker 1: that's necessary to keep the Straight open. So he's essentially
- 15:22Speaker 1: allowing the Iranians to dictate whether the strait is open
- 15:24Speaker 1: or closed. And the fact is, the Iranians, you think
- 15:28Speaker 1: they're not they didn't learn from how Donald Trump and
- 15:30Speaker 1: his cronies gained the market over the last sixty days
- 15:33Speaker 1: during this Oh no, no, no, we're really close to
- 15:35Speaker 1: a deal. Up, We're really close to a deal. No
- 15:36Speaker 1: we're not. We're really close to a deal. Meanwhile, somebody's
- 15:39Speaker 1: gaming the markets and making and making billions. Well, the
- 15:43Speaker 1: Iranians are going to do the same thing, and they're
- 15:45Speaker 1: going to open and close the Straight whenever they need
- 15:48Speaker 1: extra cash. You think they're not playing the markets on this.
- 15:51Speaker 1: So this is the point is is that this isn't
- 15:55Speaker 1: going to get better. There is not going to be
- 15:57Speaker 1: a grand deal. No matter how big a check Trump
- 16:02Speaker 1: promises to write the Iranians to keep the Straight open,
- 16:05Speaker 1: They're always going to be looking for other angles to
- 16:08Speaker 1: make more money off of their control of the Straight.
- 16:10Speaker 1: So this is this is why this is I think
- 16:13Speaker 1: it's a doomed policy. The Iran war is not going
- 16:17Speaker 1: to end up like Korea in some sort of where
- 16:20Speaker 1: you can say, well, there was positives and negatives, O
- 16:22Speaker 1: do it looks like it's all negative. And it's The
- 16:29Speaker 1: frustrating thing is that he may be leaving the next
- 16:33Speaker 1: president no choice but to have to do something, especially
- 16:38Speaker 1: if the Iranians continue to open and close the Straight
- 16:41Speaker 1: of Horn moves that will and that's where if the
- 16:46Speaker 1: United States wants any more credibility around the world at all,
- 16:48Speaker 1: at some point they're going to have to step in.
- 16:50Speaker 1: But especially with the fact that if you just follow
- 16:53Speaker 1: the party barn rules, we're the ones that broke it,
- 16:55Speaker 1: that ended up closing the sucker and so soays were
- 17:00Speaker 1: responsible for this, and so the next president has to
- 17:04Speaker 1: deal with this in a lucid, sober way. And unfortunately
- 17:09Speaker 1: Donald Trump may have committed somebody else to have to
- 17:13Speaker 1: take military action because of his complete and utter carelessness
- 17:19Speaker 1: and half assery in how he managed this war. And
- 17:23Speaker 1: now we're trying to celebrate a humiliation and he's going
- 17:27Speaker 1: to demand I mean, the question is going to be
- 17:31Speaker 1: how many how many Republicans are going to suck up,
- 17:36Speaker 1: suck it up and just pretend that he's a genius here,
- 17:41Speaker 1: and how many of them are going to start speaking out? Look,
- 17:43Speaker 1: I think, as we've learned, it's never a flood of
- 17:46Speaker 1: new people that break from him, but it's never he
- 17:50Speaker 1: never his coalition always gets smaller when he does these things,
- 17:54Speaker 1: and there will be more that break, and it's only
- 17:58Speaker 1: going to make his ability to be the governor that
- 18:01Speaker 1: much harder in the next six months. While he still
- 18:04Speaker 1: has control of Congress, let alone, what would happen if
- 18:06Speaker 1: he actually loses both houses. This episode of the Chuck
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- 20:27Speaker 1: you're in Louisiana, you know there's so many metaphors with
- 20:35Speaker 1: iron that you could get to. We've talked about the
- 20:39Speaker 1: reflecting pool and the Kennedy Center silliness, but I do
- 20:45Speaker 1: think the silliness sometimes is the story, because at some
- 20:48Speaker 1: point he's going to break, you know, his hold on
- 20:53Speaker 1: whatever chunk of the electorate he has that keeps him
- 20:56Speaker 1: politically relevant is going to break. And it's interesting, you know,
- 21:02Speaker 1: on Mother's Days and Father's Days, but particularly on Father's Day,
- 21:06Speaker 1: you can't help but constantly look at the role model
- 21:09Speaker 1: that Donald Trump has become and absolutely fear what young
- 21:15Speaker 1: men and young boys think is someone to emulate, because
- 21:22Speaker 1: there is no more, no worse figure that if any
- 21:26Speaker 1: of our kids behave the way Donald Trump behaves as
- 21:29Speaker 1: an adult, if they behave that way as an adolescent,
- 21:33Speaker 1: we probably would be like Fred Trump and would have
- 21:36Speaker 1: sent our kid to military school, which turned out not
- 21:38Speaker 1: to work for him. But that's the thing that I
- 21:41Speaker 1: want to focus on it because if you talk to
- 21:43Speaker 1: parents right now, there is a distinct, almost nonpartisan exhaustion
- 21:48Speaker 1: that has nothing to do with marginal tax rates or
- 21:51Speaker 1: executive orders. It's the basic, baselineer character that we're trying
- 21:55Speaker 1: to instill in our kids versus what we're being forced
- 21:58Speaker 1: to normalize on the national stage. Charles Barkley said he
- 22:03Speaker 1: didn't ask to be anybody's role model, and I agree
- 22:05Speaker 1: with him, but he's not a bad role model. We
- 22:08Speaker 1: want our presidents to be role models, and Donald Trump
- 22:11Speaker 1: is the single worst role model as president we have
- 22:15Speaker 1: ever had. Plenty of other presidents have got bad character traits,
- 22:22Speaker 1: but nobody with as many as Donald Trump. And you know,
- 22:27Speaker 1: any parent knows this drill. You teach a kid the fundamentals.
- 22:29Speaker 1: Don't bully, don't take things that aren't yours, own up
- 22:33Speaker 1: to your own mistakes, and if you break something, you
- 22:36Speaker 1: clean it up. But if you look at the mechanics
- 22:39Speaker 1: of the Trump administration, you can't really tell the whole
- 22:43Speaker 1: story using a political science textbook. In some ways, the
- 22:47Speaker 1: elementary school playground playbook actually tells the Trump story of
- 22:52Speaker 1: the Trump presidency better than any political science textbook because
- 22:56Speaker 1: it is a masterclass in the exact low character behavior
- 23:01Speaker 1: that would end a kids afternoon in the principal's office.
- 23:04Speaker 1: So I'm going to break down this report card on
- 23:07Speaker 1: this day after Father's Day, because we parents have never
- 23:11Speaker 1: had a greater challenge to use the present. The good
- 23:13Speaker 1: news is the presidency is sitting there as an example
- 23:16Speaker 1: for us to parent against. The bad news is that
- 23:18Speaker 1: the presidency is an example that we have to parent against.
- 23:23Speaker 1: But we can see that behavior doesn't get rewarded. Let
- 23:26Speaker 1: me show you how. So we're going to start with
- 23:28Speaker 1: the lunch table and his lunch table tax another way
- 23:33Speaker 1: that I will speak of self enrichment. We all know
- 23:35Speaker 1: the kid who tries to charge classmates, you know, fifty
- 23:39Speaker 1: cents or a dollar to sit at the cool table.
- 23:43Speaker 1: But the second the recess monitor walks over to bust him,
- 23:45Speaker 1: maybe he slides the monitor a candy bar. And the
- 23:49Speaker 1: investigation of After Rights well in Washington. That candy bar
- 23:54Speaker 1: is a billion dollar transaction. Right, Crypto dot com, they
- 23:57Speaker 1: were facing a massive existential sa SEC enforcement action. At
- 24:01Speaker 1: what happens. They hire a Trump linked lobbyist, pour eleven
- 24:05Speaker 1: million dollars into Trumps super PACs, and suddenly the federal
- 24:08Speaker 1: investigation is dismissed with prejudice so they can't bring it
- 24:11Speaker 1: back up. Months later, Crypto dot Com commits roughly at
- 24:16Speaker 1: billion dollars into a joint venture with the president President's
- 24:19Speaker 1: private media company. So the bribery is complete. How about
- 24:24Speaker 1: the UAE. Four days before inauguration, at Abu Dhabi Royal
- 24:27Speaker 1: Fund quietly buys a forty nine percent stake in the
- 24:30Speaker 1: Trump family's private crypto venture, World Liberty Financial for five
- 24:34Speaker 1: hundred million dollars, wiring one hundred and eighty seven million
- 24:37Speaker 1: dollars in cash immediately to Trump entities. Shortly after, the
- 24:41Speaker 1: administration shreds years of strict bipartisan national security controls to
- 24:46Speaker 1: approve of exporting America's most advanced AI trips to the UAE,
- 24:50Speaker 1: despite warnings that exporting to the OUE could end up leaking.
- 24:55Speaker 1: Seeing those chips leak straight to China in middle school,
- 24:59Speaker 1: that extortion and bribery. Here in the United States. Thanks
- 25:04Speaker 1: to Trump's presidency, it's being treated as the cost of
- 25:07Speaker 1: doing business. This is wrong, people. How about paying off
- 25:12Speaker 1: bullies or rewarding bad actors. You don't cheer on the
- 25:15Speaker 1: kids who beat up the hall monitors. You don't tell
- 25:18Speaker 1: them they did a great job, and then try to
- 25:19Speaker 1: raid the school's charity fund or the PTA fund to
- 25:24Speaker 1: give them an allowance for their actions. But on day one,
- 25:27Speaker 1: Donald Trump granted mass clemency to over fifteen hundred January
- 25:31Speaker 1: sixth defendants. This wasn't a blanket pardon for people holding signs.
- 25:35Speaker 1: It included full commutations for oathkeepers and Proud Boys convicted
- 25:39Speaker 1: of seditious comparacy. More than six hundred of them have
- 25:42Speaker 1: been charged with assaulting or obstructing police officers. And then,
- 25:46Speaker 1: of course comes the kicker. The administration actually tried to
- 25:49Speaker 1: create a slush fund to reward these rioters and bullies
- 25:54Speaker 1: for their actions. The Proud Boys leader en Rico Terio,
- 26:01Speaker 1: not exactly a pro American person, literally went on the
- 26:06Speaker 1: record saying he would definitely apply for the cash. Even
- 26:08Speaker 1: Mike Penn said anyone who assaulted the cop that day
- 26:10Speaker 1: shouldn't get a pass. But playground logic dictates that if
- 26:13Speaker 1: you don't punish the bully, you put him on retainer. Apparently,
- 26:17Speaker 1: then there's the blank check, no consequences for friends. You
- 26:20Speaker 1: don't let your buddy off the hook just because he's
- 26:22Speaker 1: your buddy. That's one of the lessons you try to
- 26:24Speaker 1: teach our friends. Why, because when you teach a kid
- 26:26Speaker 1: that rules don't apply to their closest friends, they then
- 26:30Speaker 1: guess what. They won't stop breaking the rules. They just
- 26:32Speaker 1: start to break, bigger ones and bigger ones. Predictably, the
- 26:36Speaker 1: pardon pattern has already collapsed into a repeat offender loop
- 26:39Speaker 1: here in the Trump administration. Since being let off the hook,
- 26:43Speaker 1: at least forty pardon January sixth, defendants have already faced
- 26:46Speaker 1: entirely new, unrelated criminal charges. At least a dozen of
- 26:49Speaker 1: allegedly reoffended after their pardons, including arrests for illegal weapons,
- 26:53Speaker 1: home invasion, and impaired driving offenses, two of which were fatal.
- 26:58Speaker 1: To make it all worse, the Justice Department actively stretch
- 27:01Speaker 1: those pardons to cover separate gun and drug charges that
- 27:04Speaker 1: just happen to turn up during the initial searches. When
- 27:07Speaker 1: you teach a child that a powerful friend is a
- 27:09Speaker 1: get out of jail free card, you aren't saving them.
- 27:12Speaker 1: You're just subsidizing their next crime. How about straight up
- 27:17Speaker 1: punching down with a tank. This is the biggest kid
- 27:21Speaker 1: in the fifth grade marching into the kindergarten playground with
- 27:24Speaker 1: a group of older kids to quote restore order. Completely
- 27:28Speaker 1: ignoring the kid are iron teachers or other safety patrol
- 27:33Speaker 1: folks who tell them that they have no legal right
- 27:35Speaker 1: to be there and there's no problem. While the administration bypassed.
- 27:38Speaker 1: State governors entirely deployed thousands of National Guard troops and
- 27:41Speaker 1: marines and do only Democratic led cities like La Chicago,
- 27:45Speaker 1: and Portland under the guise of halting an invasion. Federal
- 27:49Speaker 1: courts repeatedly stepped in, ruling the deployments flatly illegal under
- 27:53Speaker 1: the Posse Commitatus Act, the law that explicitly banns using
- 27:58Speaker 1: the military for domestic police. Troops were forced into total
- 28:02Speaker 1: withdrawal by January of this year, and the irony crime
- 28:04Speaker 1: was already dropping significantly in those cities before the troops arrived.
- 28:08Speaker 1: Memphis was at a twenty five year low. It was
- 28:10Speaker 1: never about public safety. It was the ultimate act of
- 28:13Speaker 1: playground intimidation, until the courts finally sent Donald Trump to
- 28:17Speaker 1: the principal's office. How about stealing homework or not double
- 28:23Speaker 1: checking your work right? In some ways, this is the
- 28:27Speaker 1: kid who never does the homework but is desperate to
- 28:30Speaker 1: get the credit. The kid who didn't look at the
- 28:33Speaker 1: science project until Sunday night, refused to read the manual
- 28:36Speaker 1: about what he was supposed to do because he already
- 28:38Speaker 1: knew how to do it right, He's a genius, And
- 28:40Speaker 1: then try to slap his own name in gold sharpie
- 28:42Speaker 1: over the smart Kids poster board right before the Science
- 28:45Speaker 1: Fair was to begininn So, when deep insecurity drives a kid,
- 28:50Speaker 1: two things happen. They try to steal other people's achievements,
- 28:53Speaker 1: and they break their own toys because they're too proud,
- 28:56Speaker 1: perhaps to measure twice. Look at two iconic landmarks right
- 29:00Speaker 1: here in Washington, DC. First, the homework steeling. For months
- 29:03Speaker 1: the administration demanded credit for the massive, highly praise structural
- 29:07Speaker 1: expansion and capital upgrades at the Kennedy Center. They went
- 29:11Speaker 1: so far as to pack the board and try to
- 29:13Speaker 1: legally plaster Donald Trump's name across the front of the building.
- 29:17Speaker 1: The problem, the actual heavy lifting, the planning, the funding,
- 29:20Speaker 1: the architecture work was locked in years ago under the
- 29:22Speaker 1: previous administration. A federal judge finally stepped in, ruled the
- 29:26Speaker 1: renaming illegal and ordered the letters stripped off the facade.
- 29:30Speaker 1: Guess what it turns out you can't get an A
- 29:32Speaker 1: plus on a test that was taken by somebody else.
- 29:38Speaker 1: But it gets worse when he actually tries to build
- 29:40Speaker 1: something himself. Right, take the Lincoln Memorial reflecting pool. He
- 29:44Speaker 1: decided entirely for cosmetic reasons. That the historic gray Stone
- 29:48Speaker 1: looked filthy on television. By passing the engineers, he boasted
- 29:52Speaker 1: he could bring in a commercial pool builder from his
- 29:54Speaker 1: real estate days and fix it in one week for
- 29:56Speaker 1: about one point eight million by coding it in a
- 29:59Speaker 1: vivid backyard he called American Flag blue. He didn't do
- 30:03Speaker 1: the research, he didn't wait for environmental studies, or he
- 30:05Speaker 1: didn't look at the underlying water infrastructure. He just eyeballed
- 30:08Speaker 1: it because she's a genius, right. The result, the rush
- 30:12Speaker 1: no bid paint job completely failed. It's a laughing stock.
- 30:15Speaker 1: Paint is literally peeling off the bottom of the pool.
- 30:18Speaker 1: Within days, a massive algae bloom turned his American Flag
- 30:21Speaker 1: Blue into a murky pa green soup. When they threw
- 30:26Speaker 1: chemicals at it to kill the algae, the industrial coating
- 30:28Speaker 1: began to peel off the concrete. I mean, you can't
- 30:33Speaker 1: help but laugh at the incompetency. I mean, I'm sorry.
- 30:36Speaker 1: The pictures of the cott no bin contractor that he got,
- 30:38Speaker 1: I mean it looks like a kind of a Dick
- 30:40Speaker 1: Tracy movie. It's a ridiculous caricature of who these people
- 30:44Speaker 1: are and what's the kid's excuse when the project falls apart?
- 30:48Speaker 1: He blames mysterious vandals. He claims invisible saboteurs sneaked onto
- 30:53Speaker 1: the National Pall poured secret chemicals into the water to
- 30:56Speaker 1: ruin his beautiful work. Meanwhile, the price tag is ballooned
- 31:00Speaker 1: from that promise one point eight million to dial over
- 31:02Speaker 1: fourteen million dollars of attack fare money to clean up
- 31:05Speaker 1: the mess. Look, if your eight year old brought home
- 31:09Speaker 1: a report card like this, you wouldn't just ground him.
- 31:11Speaker 1: You'd worry about them. You'd realize that your kid has
- 31:15Speaker 1: deep in security issues and it's making him a clearant
- 31:18Speaker 1: and present danger in his own surroundings. Literally, you would
- 31:22Speaker 1: probably think about a private school. I mean, it's understandable
- 31:26Speaker 1: what the Trumps had to do with their adolescent. The
- 31:30Speaker 1: problem is they just hoped somebody else would take care
- 31:33Speaker 1: of the problem, and they weren't there to parent themselves.
- 31:36Speaker 1: They shipped them off, and we see what happened. Arrested
- 31:40Speaker 1: development has been just you know, look, I empathize with
- 31:46Speaker 1: parents that have a kid like Donald Trump. Okay, it is,
- 31:51Speaker 1: you know, it is. It is not easy, but clearly
- 31:56Speaker 1: this is a kid that was not parented at all,
- 31:59Speaker 1: was not given given any character tests. I mean This
- 32:02Speaker 1: is literally I mean, and this is where I am
- 32:05Speaker 1: careful not to mock his kids. His kids weren't raised
- 32:09Speaker 1: by him. If they were, they'd probably be in federal prison.
- 32:14Speaker 1: So it is. But I also understand that we all
- 32:17Speaker 1: want to love our parents and love our fathers and
- 32:20Speaker 1: want something out of this. But it is it is
- 32:25Speaker 1: befuddling to me that we let we look the other
- 32:29Speaker 1: way at a president of the United States doing things
- 32:32Speaker 1: that would have us looking if this were happening with
- 32:36Speaker 1: our eight, nine, ten year old. We're behaving the exact
- 32:39Speaker 1: same way. We would look for help to figure out
- 32:44Speaker 1: how to intervene, to figure out how to deal with
- 32:46Speaker 1: this better because we know that this was you were
- 32:50Speaker 1: creating a future adult monster. Which is actually a good
- 32:57Speaker 1: way to pivot to the issue of Barack Obama and
- 33:07Speaker 1: Donald Trump. And every time there is a development in
- 33:15Speaker 1: sort of the Obama library or Obama becomes front and center,
- 33:19Speaker 1: I inevitably get a question from somebody close to me
- 33:21Speaker 1: that says, how are we supposed to assess Trump, the
- 33:25Speaker 1: Trump presidency the Obama legacy when Trump is the president
- 33:31Speaker 1: that was elected after how much a part of Obama's
- 33:35Speaker 1: legacy is that so I think this is worth chewing
- 33:40Speaker 1: on because, look, I think there's multiple ways you could
- 33:47Speaker 1: look at the Obama presidency. You know, it was a
- 33:49Speaker 1: solid presidency on the stewardship front, and it was a
- 33:51Speaker 1: failure on the political front as a leader of his
- 33:54Speaker 1: party right. And I could argue the Presidential Library ceremony
- 33:59Speaker 1: was the reminder of Obama at his best and what
- 34:02Speaker 1: the best part of his presidency was. Like Reagan, he
- 34:05Speaker 1: had a way to make folks feel better about our
- 34:09Speaker 1: place in the world. He was comforting. Frankly, just like Reagan,
- 34:13Speaker 1: what he failed at was being a good political leader
- 34:17Speaker 1: at a moment that his party needed good political leadership.
- 34:21Speaker 1: And so the Obama Library dedication got me thinking about
- 34:24Speaker 1: two images from the last week. One was Barack Obama
- 34:28Speaker 1: standing in front of his Presidential Library talking about citizenship, democracy,
- 34:31Speaker 1: institution's character, and our obligations to one another. The other
- 34:35Speaker 1: was a UFC event on the South lawn of the
- 34:38Speaker 1: White House. And I couldn't help but think those are
- 34:42Speaker 1: two very different visions of the American presidency. And in
- 34:47Speaker 1: some ways, there are two very different visions of America.
- 34:50Speaker 1: One is the presidency that we want to believe in.
- 34:53Speaker 1: The other may be the presidency we actually have. Now, Look,
- 34:57Speaker 1: I'm not trying to make a partisan point here. I
- 35:00Speaker 1: don't think characters should be partisan. I'm trying to make
- 35:04Speaker 1: an observational one, because if you listen to the to
- 35:06Speaker 1: Obama at that library dedication, you heard almost everything Americans
- 35:10Speaker 1: claim they want from their leaders. Character, integrity, humility, discipline,
- 35:20Speaker 1: a belief that public service is actually service to the people,
- 35:25Speaker 1: whether you agreed with its policies or not. Barack Obama,
- 35:28Speaker 1: Michelle Obama, Michelle Obama embodied something that most Americans say
- 35:34Speaker 1: they admire. Polls have shown ordinary people with extraordinary abilities
- 35:38Speaker 1: who found their way to the highest office in the land.
- 35:42Speaker 1: That's the story we believe in and we want to
- 35:45Speaker 1: believe in. That's the American meritocracy story. And yes, the
- 35:49Speaker 1: meritocracy doesn't always work the way it should, but it's
- 35:52Speaker 1: a hell of a lot better than it works in
- 35:54Speaker 1: most other countries. The American dream story, same thing. Now,
- 35:59Speaker 1: that's the story we tell our ourselves about what this
- 36:00Speaker 1: country is supposed to report. And then there's Donald Trump,
- 36:05Speaker 1: a man who was born on third base and it's
- 36:08Speaker 1: spent his entire life trying to steal home handed wealth,
- 36:12Speaker 1: handed connections, handed advantages, and yet somehow still perpetually dissatisfied,
- 36:17Speaker 1: perpetually searching for more attention, more power, more validation. Perhaps
- 36:22Speaker 1: it's his own way of knowing he hasn't accomplished a
- 36:24Speaker 1: single thing, and he's desperate for a single accomplishment.
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- 38:56Speaker 1: But here's the uncomfortable thing. Both stories are American stories.
- 39:00Speaker 1: Obama is the America we aspire to be, the more
- 39:03Speaker 1: perfect union. Trump may be the America that we actually
- 39:06Speaker 1: are in the moment. That doesn't mean we can't be both.
- 39:10Speaker 1: One story celebrates achievement, the other story simply celebrates winning
- 39:14Speaker 1: almost at any cost. One story says character is destiny,
- 39:18Speaker 1: the other says the ends justifies the means. And before
- 39:22Speaker 1: Trump's supporters get angry with me, let's be honest here.
- 39:25Speaker 1: The lack of character is obvious. If you try to
- 39:28Speaker 1: claim he's a high character individual, just stop. If you
- 39:32Speaker 1: want to make the low character argument to me, I
- 39:34Speaker 1: will actually listen to that, because only the truly devoted
- 39:38Speaker 1: don't see his low character. My guess is most of
- 39:43Speaker 1: Trump's supporters see the low character. They simply rationalize it.
- 39:46Speaker 1: The left is worse. This is an existential moment, the
- 39:49Speaker 1: media is unfair, the system is corrupt. The ends justifies
- 39:53Speaker 1: the means. Maybe that's true, me that isn't I know.
- 39:58Speaker 1: It makes it a lot harder to raise our fricking case.
- 40:00Speaker 1: It's with role models. This grotesque, But the rationalization itself
- 40:05Speaker 1: proves the point. Nobody is defending the Trump's behavior on
- 40:09Speaker 1: its merits anymore. They're defending it only as a necessity,
- 40:13Speaker 1: if you will, Which brings me back to Obama's legacy,
- 40:16Speaker 1: because the more times passes, the harder it becomes to
- 40:19Speaker 1: separate Obama from Trump. Right. You know, there's the conventional
- 40:22Speaker 1: wisdom that says, hey, they were both elected by the
- 40:24Speaker 1: same forces. There's some truth to that. You know, one
- 40:28Speaker 1: is you know, one is the angel, one is the devil,
- 40:30Speaker 1: but both are there to do change right. One is
- 40:36Speaker 1: Jack Nicholson from a few good men, and the other
- 40:39Speaker 1: is Tom Cruise from a few good men.
- 40:41Speaker 2: Right.
- 40:43Speaker 1: In fact, Trump's presidency may ultimately become one of the
- 40:45Speaker 1: defining lenses through which Obama's presidency is judged, and that's
- 40:49Speaker 1: not going to be entirely fair. Well, Obama was, by
- 40:53Speaker 1: almost every conventional measure, a successful president. Right, economy was
- 40:57Speaker 1: better every know, the economy was better when he left
- 41:03Speaker 1: it then when he got it. The country was more
- 41:09Speaker 1: unified when he left and we got it. Although I
- 41:11Speaker 1: guess you could say the sixteen presidency disproves that that's
- 41:14Speaker 1: an interesting debate we could go about he wound down wars,
- 41:20Speaker 1: he didn't ramp a mom But the thing that I
- 41:24Speaker 1: think is the fairest demerit on the Obama presidency is
- 41:29Speaker 1: that he was a far less successful steward of his party.
- 41:32Speaker 1: He may have been a really good steward of the
- 41:35Speaker 1: country and may have been the sober driver of the
- 41:39Speaker 1: country needed in the moment that we got him, but
- 41:41Speaker 1: he was not a good leader of the Democratic Party.
- 41:44Speaker 1: And this is the part Democrats don't like discuss it much.
- 41:48Speaker 1: There really isn't a measure of Democratic Party strength that
- 41:50Speaker 1: improved during the Obama years. Governorships, state legislatures, congressional seats,
- 41:54Speaker 1: local office. The party weakened across the board of Obama
- 41:57Speaker 1: himself remained enormously popular, his brand floor, the party's brain
- 42:00Speaker 1: did not. And that leads to the question that hangs
- 42:03Speaker 1: to me over his legacy. Knowing what we know now,
- 42:06Speaker 1: what could Obama have done differently? Essentially, to prevent the
- 42:10Speaker 1: emergence of Donald Trump. So I've come up with three possibilities,
- 42:13Speaker 1: but I'd love to hear more from you. The first
- 42:16Speaker 1: is the financial crisis. You know, rom Emmanuel has always
- 42:20Speaker 1: said that was his biggest regret as chief of staff,
- 42:22Speaker 1: not fighting hard enough for what he called old Testament justice. Yes,
- 42:27Speaker 1: the Obama administration stabilized the economy, but it never satisfied
- 42:31Speaker 1: the public's desire for accountability. Millions of Americans watched powerful
- 42:35Speaker 1: people escape consequences while ordinary people literally paid the price
- 42:39Speaker 1: for closures things like that. That feeling never really went away,
- 42:45Speaker 1: and that's something that you know, what does that look like?
- 42:47Speaker 1: Who is it that we would have put behind bars?
- 42:50Speaker 1: I think that's it. But the fact that it was
- 42:51Speaker 1: never it was never thought of. I'm not saying it
- 42:56Speaker 1: wasn't thought of, but they just was not a priority.
- 43:00Speaker 1: Now you could say, hey, he was looking at the
- 43:02Speaker 1: biggest of all pictures, and I think that's a that's
- 43:05Speaker 1: a fair statement. Again, good steward of the country. Now,
- 43:09Speaker 1: the second possibility of how things could have been different
- 43:11Speaker 1: is succession. Obama won because he represented change, but after winning,
- 43:15Speaker 1: he spent surprisingly little time building the next generation inside
- 43:18Speaker 1: the Democratic Party. What if he had chosen a younger
- 43:20Speaker 1: running made twenty twelve. What if he had spent his
- 43:22Speaker 1: second term identifying an air a parent from a younger generation.
- 43:26Speaker 1: What if he had remembered the lesson of his own
- 43:28Speaker 1: success in two thousand and eight. People weren't looking backward
- 43:30Speaker 1: in two thousand and eight, which is why he won
- 43:32Speaker 1: and why Clinton lost. They were looking forward. By twenty sixteen,
- 43:36Speaker 1: Democrats were asking voters to look backward. Obama won as
- 43:41Speaker 1: a change agent, Hillary Clinton ran his continuation, those are
- 43:45Speaker 1: not the same thing. And maybe Obama's biggest political mistake
- 43:49Speaker 1: was forgetting why he won in the first place. Then
- 43:52Speaker 1: there's the third possibility. My friend Mark Murray's brought this
- 43:56Speaker 1: up to me and wondering if the twenty second Amendment
- 43:59Speaker 1: was a stake and that it actually damaged the power
- 44:02Speaker 1: of both parties. And I know to some of you
- 44:07Speaker 1: this may sound crazy, but what if Obama had been
- 44:09Speaker 1: allowed to run again? What if the amendment itself is
- 44:12Speaker 1: part of the problem. Would the Democratic Party be healthier
- 44:15Speaker 1: today if Obama had served a third term. Then again,
- 44:17Speaker 1: wouldn't Bill Clinton have won a third term in two thousand?
- 44:20Speaker 1: Would the transition from the Clinton generation to the next
- 44:22Speaker 1: generation have happened more naturally. Three terms of Clinton. Republicans
- 44:26Speaker 1: probably went in O four. You know, who knows? Right
- 44:30Speaker 1: would the party have avoided the ugly internal revolution it
- 44:33Speaker 1: is experiencing now? I don't know. Maybe Trump was inevitable.
- 44:39Speaker 1: Maybe the forces that produced Trump were bigger than Obama,
- 44:42Speaker 1: bigger than the Democratic Party, bigger than anyone politician. But
- 44:45Speaker 1: I do know this, The Obama presidency cannot be fully
- 44:48Speaker 1: understood without understanding the Trump the rise of Trump, because
- 44:52Speaker 1: Obama's greatest accomplishment was building a movement around himself, and
- 44:56Speaker 1: his greatest failure may have been leaving behind a coalition
- 44:58Speaker 1: that couldn't survive without him, Which brings me back to
- 45:02Speaker 1: those two images. Obama is Library Trump at the USC
- 45:05Speaker 1: fight on the White House salon the presidency. We want
- 45:08Speaker 1: to believe in the presidency we have. The question isn't
- 45:12Speaker 1: which one is real, The question is whether they're both
- 45:16Speaker 1: real and what that says about ourselves, which then brings
- 45:23Speaker 1: me to a quick preview of this week's primaries. Because
- 45:27Speaker 1: this week's primaries, on Tuesday, we will have Election Night
- 45:31Speaker 1: Live Election Night live stream. Myself, Chris Eliza Jeffrey Scaley
- 45:35Speaker 1: over decision to sk HQ. It is a huge story
- 45:41Speaker 1: that is going to get even bigger if things go
- 45:47Speaker 1: a certain way. So Tuesday, New York is one of
- 45:51Speaker 1: the states that's holding its primary, and I want to
- 45:53Speaker 1: spend some real time on it to get you prepared
- 45:56Speaker 1: for Tuesday night, because there's a fight building inside the
- 45:59Speaker 1: Democratic Party that even those of you who follow this
- 46:01Speaker 1: stuff for a living probably haven't been tracking as closely
- 46:04Speaker 1: as you should. You may track progressive versus establishment, but
- 46:08Speaker 1: this is going to perhaps look different in about seventy
- 46:12Speaker 1: two hours. So let me set the table because this
- 46:15Speaker 1: is about to matter well beyond New York. So over
- 46:20Speaker 1: the last decade, there's been an actual organized faction that
- 46:23Speaker 1: has grown up inside the Democratic Party calling themselves the
- 46:26Speaker 1: Democratic Socialists of America the DSSA. This is not a mood,
- 46:30Speaker 1: it's just not a hashtag. It's an actual dues paying
- 46:34Speaker 1: membership organization with a platform and a candidate recruitment operation.
- 46:39Speaker 1: It really is what the DLC was that the Democratic
- 46:42Speaker 1: Party in the Clinton years. I think the DSA is
- 46:45Speaker 1: what Bernie Sanders would like to see happen inside the
- 46:48Speaker 1: Democratic Party. So what DLC did to shift the party
- 46:52Speaker 1: to the right. The DSA wants to be the entity
- 46:55Speaker 1: that shifts the party to the left, and he got
- 47:00Speaker 1: its first Joel from Bernie Sanders in twenty sixteen. It
- 47:03Speaker 1: grew under Trump, and last year it got its breakout
- 47:06Speaker 1: star when Mom Dannie won the mayor's office in New
- 47:08Speaker 1: York City. Now here's the part you need to hold
- 47:11Speaker 1: on to, because it's the key to everything that's coming.
- 47:14Speaker 1: I think the Democratic Party is not splitting into two camps.
- 47:16Speaker 1: It's actually splitting into three. You will have your sort
- 47:20Speaker 1: of establishment, pro business center left. That's Jeffreys Schumer, It's Obama. Frankly,
- 47:26Speaker 1: it's the Clinton. It's the people whose whole job is
- 47:29Speaker 1: simply winning majorities, who treat the word socialist like a
- 47:33Speaker 1: lit match near a gas camp. Then there are the progressives,
- 47:37Speaker 1: the big government liberals who want to hold ambitious policy,
- 47:40Speaker 1: but who've spent the better part of a decade carefully
- 47:43Speaker 1: insisting better part of a decade carefully insisting they are
- 47:46Speaker 1: not socialists. And then there's the DSA, the actual card
- 47:50Speaker 1: tearing socialists, organized, growing and increasingly done pretending the distinction
- 47:55Speaker 1: between progressive and socialism matters. Now, for years, the middle
- 47:58Speaker 1: group was the cover. Progressive was a big enough tent
- 48:01Speaker 1: that a socialist and non socialist could stand under it
- 48:04Speaker 1: and never have to say out loud which one they were.
- 48:07Speaker 1: Tuesday is the day that that tent starts coming down.
- 48:10Speaker 1: Because if Mom Donnie's socialists win, and I mean they
- 48:14Speaker 1: beat sitting Democratic incumbents not just grab open seats, but
- 48:19Speaker 1: be Democratic incumbents both on the legislative level on the
- 48:22Speaker 1: congressional level, then the question every Democrat has been ducking
- 48:28Speaker 1: will get asked in the open, are you with the
- 48:30Speaker 1: socialists or aren't you? And a three cornered fight that's
- 48:33Speaker 1: been quietly running in city council races and low tenot
- 48:36Speaker 1: primaries becomes the defining story of where this party goes next.
- 48:40Speaker 1: You know, we've seen a piece of this a little
- 48:42Speaker 1: bit in that Michigan Democratic Senate primary, where you've had
- 48:44Speaker 1: the sort of the Chambers commerce left in Haley Stevens,
- 48:48Speaker 1: You've had the progressive Bernie Sanders, socialist leaning in Abdullah
- 48:53Speaker 1: Lsi Ed. Then you've had Malloy McMorrow, who's tried to
- 48:55Speaker 1: be a foot in every camp and who's support is
- 49:00Speaker 1: the fastest over the last three months. Mcmorrows right, And
- 49:04Speaker 1: it's a reminder sometimes it's tough to be half in,
- 49:07Speaker 1: half out of anything, right. You have to be all
- 49:09Speaker 1: in or all out. I sometimes, at least in primary politics,
- 49:13Speaker 1: you want to be one foot everywhere. When you're running
- 49:15Speaker 1: in a general election, it's not as healthy of a
- 49:17Speaker 1: place to be in primary politics. So those are the stakes.
- 49:21Speaker 1: Watch what mam Nani's actually doing, because it tells you
- 49:23Speaker 1: he doesn't think he's joining a coalition. He thinks he's
- 49:26Speaker 1: leading a movement. He went after his own parties incumbents.
- 49:30Speaker 1: He backed primary challengers against sitting Democratic congressman. He forcing
- 49:34Speaker 1: the man who wants to be the next speaker to
- 49:36Speaker 1: spend money defending his own people. And he and Alexandria
- 49:39Speaker 1: o Casio Cortez, they carved up the map between them.
- 49:42Speaker 1: He took the congressional races, she took the legislative races.
- 49:45Speaker 1: She doesn't have the awkwardness of having to come out
- 49:47Speaker 1: against colleagues, but she's doing the state legislative front and
- 49:51Speaker 1: together they cover almost the entire DSA slate that is
- 49:55Speaker 1: not a faction asking for a seat at the table.
- 49:58Speaker 1: That's an operation trying to take the table and be
- 50:00Speaker 1: in charge of it. And if you think this is
- 50:03Speaker 1: just a generational story young progresses elbowing as side the
- 50:05Speaker 1: old guard, look at what was on his calendar earlier
- 50:08Speaker 1: this month that got canceled. Mam Donnie scheduled to sit
- 50:11Speaker 1: down with Gustavo Petro. He's the outgoing president of Columbia
- 50:15Speaker 1: Democratic elected socialists who shares Mam Donnie's politics, and they
- 50:20Speaker 1: were they were going to be together at a gathering
- 50:22Speaker 1: of the global left. Would have been the first time
- 50:24Speaker 1: this mayor formally received a head of state. Mayors negotiate
- 50:27Speaker 1: garbage contracts. Mom donnie was conducting foreign policy. It was
- 50:32Speaker 1: extraordinary enough that the Trump administration reached in, warned it
- 50:35Speaker 1: would violate Petro's US visa terms, and got the meeting
- 50:38Speaker 1: called off. I sort of politically, I found it, you know,
- 50:42Speaker 1: I actually think Trump did the Democratic Party of favor.
- 50:45Speaker 1: For what it's worth, this would have elevated Mom Donnie
- 50:49Speaker 1: even to a bigger figure, which some Republicans would love
- 50:52Speaker 1: that to happen, and they think that would help them
- 50:54Speaker 1: with swing quarters. We'll find out. I'm not one hundred
- 50:56Speaker 1: cent sure in either direction, but it doesn't matter. It
- 50:58Speaker 1: didn't need to happen to make the point. The fact
- 51:00Speaker 1: is it was ever on the calendar tells you everything.
- 51:04Speaker 1: Mam Donnie does not see himself as the next generation
- 51:06Speaker 1: of the Democratic Party. He's trying to convert it, and
- 51:08Speaker 1: he's already looking for allies well beyond it. He's trying
- 51:11Speaker 1: to remake the Democratic Party in his own image in
- 51:14Speaker 1: a way that Barack Obama never did, and he had
- 51:17Speaker 1: the presidency. Now, look, there's something real underneath all of it.
- 51:20Speaker 1: New York elected a Democratic socialist, Washington just likely elected
- 51:24Speaker 1: their own Democratic Socialists to be mayor. La has won
- 51:27Speaker 1: in a runoff against a city Democratic mayor, and the
- 51:30Speaker 1: biggest bluest cities in America. The energy has left the
- 51:33Speaker 1: establishment and moved to the left of the left. So
- 51:37Speaker 1: here's the only question that matters Tuesday, and it isn't
- 51:39Speaker 1: who wins, because Mam Donnie's candidates will win plenty Tuesday.
- 51:42Speaker 1: These June primers are super low turnout in New York.
- 51:46Speaker 1: The question is whether the thing that wins in the
- 51:47Speaker 1: city can survive at the trip to the suburbs, whether
- 51:50Speaker 1: the S word is marketable past the Five boroughs. I'm skeptical,
- 51:55Speaker 1: but we'll see recent history says it's a huge problem.
- 51:58Speaker 1: The tell isn't a Republican attack at it. Democrats themselves,
- 52:01Speaker 1: when Mandani won the househld a vote condemning socialism, and
- 52:04Speaker 1: a big block of Democrats in tough districts crossed the
- 52:06Speaker 1: out of vote for it. Their own leader are keing.
- 52:09Speaker 1: Jeffreys waited until the day before early voting to manage
- 52:11Speaker 1: a lukewarm endorsement of Mamdanni because he knew he was
- 52:14Speaker 1: going to win anyway, then set out loud that he
- 52:16Speaker 1: doesn't see Mamdani as the future of the party. Schumer
- 52:19Speaker 1: didn't endorse at all. Obama called privately and stayed quiet
- 52:21Speaker 1: in public and didn't appear, didn't do anything with him
- 52:24Speaker 1: until after he won. That's not how a party treats
- 52:27Speaker 1: an asset. It's how it treats what they think is
- 52:29Speaker 1: a liability that all of these people believe they can't
- 52:33Speaker 1: afford to be photographed next to him if they want
- 52:34Speaker 1: to win general elections. The numbers tell them why socialism
- 52:38Speaker 1: is the one word in American economic life that a
- 52:40Speaker 1: majority have rejected for fifteen straight years. Thirty nine percent
- 52:44Speaker 1: positive fifty seven percent negative among independents, the people who
- 52:47Speaker 1: decided to swing district. It's thirty eight percent mong voters
- 52:50Speaker 1: over sixty five the people who actually show up in midterms.
- 52:52Speaker 1: One Fox boll found three quarters of them calling a
- 52:54Speaker 1: move towards socialism a bad idea. It sells in one
- 52:58Speaker 1: place with Democrats in the city, which is precisely the trap.
- 53:03Speaker 1: Now I'm going to be honest about the other side here,
- 53:05Speaker 1: because the socialist boogeyman has a losing record. Republicans ran
- 53:08Speaker 1: radical socialists who want Venezuela in twenty eighteen, and Democrats
- 53:12Speaker 1: flip forty one house seats. Right, they ran San Francisco
- 53:15Speaker 1: values before that, and that flightened right. When voters are
- 53:18Speaker 1: determined to throw people out, they're going to throw people out.
- 53:21Speaker 1: And this year the contrast is muddier than the GP
- 53:23Speaker 1: would like because Donald Trump's out there tapping credit card
- 53:26Speaker 1: rates and taking government ownership stakes at private companies, making
- 53:29Speaker 1: socialism look cool to the right. The same night, Mom
- 53:33Speaker 1: downe Hey won New York two moderates Mikey Cheryl and
- 53:34Speaker 1: Abigail Spamberg are won governorships running straight down the middle.
- 53:38Speaker 1: So the label is not automatically fatal. It is missed before.
- 53:43Speaker 1: But here's who Tuesday really puts in a box. And
- 53:45Speaker 1: it's not the establishment, and it's not the socialists. It's
- 53:47Speaker 1: that third group. It's the liberals or progressives. Aren't socialists.
- 53:51Speaker 1: For a decade, they've had it both ways. They've ridden
- 53:53Speaker 1: the less energy. It's volunteers, it's small dollar money, it's
- 53:57Speaker 1: enthusiasm with that ever having to wear the socialists label
- 54:00Speaker 1: that scares the suburban voter. A win from mom Nani
- 54:04Speaker 1: Slate takes that option away because once the socialists are
- 54:07Speaker 1: beating incumbents, every progressive in the country gets the same
- 54:10Speaker 1: question with nowhere to hide from it. Are you one
- 54:12Speaker 1: of them? Aren't you so yes and you pick up
- 54:16Speaker 1: the baggage that loses a general election. Say no, and
- 54:18Speaker 1: you're a sellout to the only voters who turn out
- 54:20Speaker 1: for you in a primary. There's no comfortable answer. That's
- 54:24Speaker 1: the box that Tuesday could be building for Democrats. And
- 54:27Speaker 1: here's why the establishment should be more worried than its own.
- 54:29Speaker 1: Polling makes it fit. You don't need a national majority
- 54:32Speaker 1: to take over a party. You need its machinery, the money,
- 54:35Speaker 1: the media, the donors, the turnout and the talent and
- 54:38Speaker 1: all of it lives in the cities. This is the
- 54:40Speaker 1: exact move. The right just ran on itself the Tea
- 54:43Speaker 1: Party and then MAGA never won. A majority of America
- 54:46Speaker 1: still have it. They won the primaries, they took the base,
- 54:49Speaker 1: they seized the apparatus, they hijacked the entire party based
- 54:54Speaker 1: on a faction of supporters. John Corny just lost his
- 54:57Speaker 1: Senate seat to that dynamic pocratic establishment is now staring
- 55:01Speaker 1: at its own version of it, and it's coming from
- 55:03Speaker 1: the left. So that's what's on the ballot Tuesday, not
- 55:05Speaker 1: a mayor, a direction, and the gamble underneath it all
- 55:09Speaker 1: is a brutal in its simplicity. When the five boroughs
- 55:12Speaker 1: lose the four suburban seats that flop the House and
- 55:15Speaker 1: you haven't built the majority, you've potentially built a new
- 55:18Speaker 1: political target. So the point is tune in Tuesday night.
- 55:23Speaker 1: There's a lot on the valvet. This episode of the
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- 57:33Speaker 1: We are going to June twenty fifth, nineteen fifty. That
- 57:37Speaker 1: anniversary will be one that is notable this week, the
- 57:41Speaker 1: seventy sixth anniversary to the start of the Korean War.
- 57:47Speaker 1: It's a war that never ended. You probably know somebody
- 57:51Speaker 1: who fought in Korea. Maybe it was a grandfather, maybe
- 57:53Speaker 1: it was a great uncle. In my case, it was
- 57:56Speaker 1: a great uncle. Like a lot of men of that generation,
- 57:59Speaker 1: he didn't talk about them much, and if I'm being honest,
- 58:01Speaker 1: I don't know nearly as much about his experience as
- 58:04Speaker 1: I wish I did, which is strange because the Korean
- 58:07Speaker 1: War is an ancient history. It's actually not even settled history,
- 58:11Speaker 1: and in a very real sense, it's a war that
- 58:14Speaker 1: has not yet ended. For a certain generation of Americans,
- 58:17Speaker 1: Korea may actually be more familiar through Mash the TV
- 58:20Speaker 1: show than through history class. And even that is revealing
- 58:24Speaker 1: because Mash was set during the Korean War, but it
- 58:27Speaker 1: was really speaking to Americans about the Vietnam experience. That's
- 58:32Speaker 1: part of Korea's strange place in our national memory. Right.
- 58:35Speaker 1: Even the cultural aspect is somehow more rooted in Vietnam
- 58:39Speaker 1: than Korea. Even our most famous cultural memory of the
- 58:43Speaker 1: war was about another war. The Korean War is known
- 58:47Speaker 1: as the forgotten War. By the way, one of the
- 58:51Speaker 1: probably the second most moving memorial in Washington, DC, is
- 58:55Speaker 1: the Korean War Memorial. It's haunting. It depicts ice at
- 59:00Speaker 1: the ice patty, that rice patties, excuse me, the soldiers
- 59:04Speaker 1: having to walk through that, those muddy waters. It's eerie,
- 59:08Speaker 1: especially at night in and around the Lincoln Memorial. Is
- 59:13Speaker 1: it is? It says something that I think our two
- 59:15Speaker 1: most consequential war memorials of the two that we didn't win,
- 59:19Speaker 1: Vietnam and Korea. But I digress. The question about the
- 59:25Speaker 1: Korean War being the forgotten war is why is it forgotten?
- 59:29Speaker 1: Because more than thirty six thousand Americans died there, millions
- 59:33Speaker 1: of Koreans died China entered the war. In fact, it's
- 59:37Speaker 1: the first time the United States faced off against China
- 59:40Speaker 1: a war. Because the United States also ended the war.
- 59:43Speaker 1: The future of Asia has been shaped by the Korean War,
- 59:47Speaker 1: and yet for many Americans, Korea occupies little more than
- 59:49Speaker 1: a footnote somewhere between World War Two and Vietnam.
- 59:53Speaker 2: So.
- 59:53Speaker 1: The Korean War began on June twenty fifth, nineteen fifty,
- 59:55Speaker 1: when North Korean forces crossed the thirty eighth Parallel and
- 59:58Speaker 1: invaded South Korea. You've probably heard the thirty eighth parallel.
- 1:00:02Speaker 1: Within day, South Korean forces were collapsing. Within weeks, American
- 1:00:06Speaker 1: troops were arriving, and within months, what began as a
- 1:00:08Speaker 1: civil conflict on the Korean Peninsula had become one of
- 1:00:11Speaker 1: the first major confrontations of what was now known as
- 1:00:15Speaker 1: the Cold War. Most Americans do know some version of
- 1:00:18Speaker 1: this story. What many don't know is that the war
- 1:00:20Speaker 1: produced a world we're still living in. Modern North Korea
- 1:00:24Speaker 1: begins here, Modern South Korea begins here. The US China
- 1:00:29Speaker 1: rivalry begins here. The modern American military presence in East
- 1:00:33Speaker 1: Asia begins here. Even the modern presidency's approach to military
- 1:00:39Speaker 1: intervention begins here. So for a forgotten war, it left
- 1:00:44Speaker 1: an awfully large footprint. Now. One reason we struggled to
- 1:00:49Speaker 1: remember Korea is that we made up our minds about
- 1:00:51Speaker 1: it way too early. When the armistice was signed in
- 1:00:54Speaker 1: nineteen fifty three, Americans looked at the map. The border
- 1:00:57Speaker 1: hadn't moved very much. North Korea still existed, China still
- 1:00:59Speaker 1: exis that American troops are coming home. The war seemed
- 1:01:02Speaker 1: to end roughly where it began, and so we filed
- 1:01:05Speaker 1: it away. Stalemate, draw, move on. The problem is history
- 1:01:09Speaker 1: kept going and the most important consequences of the war
- 1:01:14Speaker 1: had yet to happen. Consider South Korea. In the late
- 1:01:17Speaker 1: nineteen fifties. South Korea was one of the poorest countries
- 1:01:20Speaker 1: in the world. Its economy looked more like many struggling
- 1:01:24Speaker 1: developing nations than the technological powerhouse we know today. A
- 1:01:29Speaker 1: person standing in Soul in nineteen fifty five would have
- 1:01:31Speaker 1: had a difficult time imagining Samsung, Hyundai, k Pop, or
- 1:01:35Speaker 1: one of the world's leading technology economies. Yet that's exactly
- 1:01:39Speaker 1: what happened. South Korea's economic rise is one of the
- 1:01:43Speaker 1: most remarkable development stories in modern history. Forget Japan, South Korea.
- 1:01:49Speaker 1: It's an unbelievable thing that justified the sacrifice wasn't visible
- 1:01:53Speaker 1: though in nineteen fifty three it emerged over decades. There
- 1:01:57Speaker 1: was no surrender ceremony attached to it, no famous photograph,
- 1:02:00Speaker 1: no victory parade, just a poor country gradually becoming prosperous.
- 1:02:04Speaker 1: And because the payoff arrived slowly, the war itself never
- 1:02:07Speaker 1: got reclassified in the public mind. Americans remembered the stalemate
- 1:02:12Speaker 1: in history kept writing the story. But that's not the
- 1:02:15Speaker 1: whole story, of course, because the Korean War didn't just
- 1:02:18Speaker 1: preserve South Korea and show what small d democratic, free
- 1:02:21Speaker 1: market capitalism could do for a poor nation. The war
- 1:02:26Speaker 1: also preserved North Korea, and this is where the story
- 1:02:29Speaker 1: gets uncomfortable. Today, North Korea possesses nuclear weapons, ballistic missiles,
- 1:02:33Speaker 1: cyber warfare capability, a growing defense industry, military relationships with
- 1:02:38Speaker 1: Russia and other adversaries of the West. It exports weapons
- 1:02:42Speaker 1: and military technology. It remains one of the most repressive
- 1:02:45Speaker 1: states on Earth. So if your objective in nineteen fifty
- 1:02:48Speaker 1: was eliminating the North Korean threat. That objective was clearly
- 1:02:52Speaker 1: not achieved. The threat survived. In some ways, it became
- 1:02:56Speaker 1: more dangerous, which is why Korea remained so difficult to categorize.
- 1:03:00Speaker 1: The armistice preserved one of the world's great success stories.
- 1:03:04Speaker 1: It also preserved one of the world's most persistent security threats.
- 1:03:07Speaker 1: Both things are true at the same time. And that's
- 1:03:10Speaker 1: another detail many Americans don't know. The Korean War has
- 1:03:13Speaker 1: never actually ended. This is another one of Donald Trump's fantasies.
- 1:03:19Speaker 1: He'll be the one to end the Korean War. That's
- 1:03:21Speaker 1: somehow this will force him forced us to recognize his
- 1:03:23Speaker 1: name and history, hence his beautiful love letters with Kim
- 1:03:28Speaker 1: John Nutt. But of course the fighting stopped, even though
- 1:03:32Speaker 1: the war has never ended. The agreement signed in nineteen
- 1:03:35Speaker 1: fifty three was simply an armistice, not a peace treaty
- 1:03:38Speaker 1: kind of maybe you might call it a memo of understanding.
- 1:03:44Speaker 1: The guns largely fell simon, the conflict remained. Seventy three
- 1:03:48Speaker 1: years later, North and South Korea remained separated by one
- 1:03:51Speaker 1: of the most heavily fortified borders on Earth. The DMZ
- 1:03:55Speaker 1: still exists, The armies still exists. The political conflict. This
- 1:04:01Speaker 1: most wars become history. Korea simply became geography. The war
- 1:04:06Speaker 1: transformed China's role in the world. Before Korea, Communist China
- 1:04:09Speaker 1: was a new regime still consolidating power. Then now intervened.
- 1:04:13Speaker 1: Hundreds of thousands of Chinese troops entered the conflict. American
- 1:04:17Speaker 1: forces suddenly found themselves fighting not just North Korea, but China.
- 1:04:20Speaker 1: It's all. It's difficult to overstate the significance of that moment.
- 1:04:24Speaker 1: The first shooting conflict between the United States and Communist
- 1:04:27Speaker 1: China occurred in Korea in nineteen fifty. The strategic rivalry
- 1:04:32Speaker 1: we're still talking about today has its roots in that war. Again,
- 1:04:36Speaker 1: for a forgotten war, it's a remarkably long shadow. Korea
- 1:04:41Speaker 1: also changed the presidency. Congress never declared war, so the
- 1:04:44Speaker 1: first one of these. In fact, Truman didn't even seek
- 1:04:47Speaker 1: congressional authorization. Instead, he relied on executive authority in the
- 1:04:51Speaker 1: United Nations Resolution World Government Alert. A reporter famously described
- 1:04:56Speaker 1: the conflict as a police action. Believe it or not,
- 1:04:59Speaker 1: that labels stock. The president did too. Future presidents would
- 1:05:03Speaker 1: generally seek congressional authorizations, not declarations of war. Authorizations, But
- 1:05:10Speaker 1: Korea established the modern president that a president could commit
- 1:05:13Speaker 1: American forces to a major conflict without a formal declaration
- 1:05:16Speaker 1: of war. After Korea, we'd get Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, and
- 1:05:21Speaker 1: of course much of what we've done in the Middle
- 1:05:25Speaker 1: East over the last quarter century. The roots of that
- 1:05:28Speaker 1: argument run through Korea. So it's another enormous consequence that
- 1:05:32Speaker 1: rarely enters public memory. You want to know why the
- 1:05:35Speaker 1: War Powers Act is not clear to this day. It
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: was in response to Vietnam at the time, but it
- 1:05:42Speaker 1: really was in response to Korea, and we still haven't
- 1:05:45Speaker 1: resolved that responsibility, which brings me to the reason why
- 1:05:50Speaker 1: I think Korea still matters today. The Korean War may
- 1:05:52Speaker 1: have been America's first modern forever war, not because American
- 1:05:55Speaker 1: troops stayed forever, but because the conflict did. And once
- 1:05:58Speaker 1: you start looking at Korea through that lens, it begins
- 1:06:01Speaker 1: to feel surprisingly contemporary in some ways. Korea was the
- 1:06:04Speaker 1: first chapter of modern warfare in the post World War
- 1:06:08Speaker 1: II era. A lot of modern American form policies debates
- 1:06:11Speaker 1: now sound familiar when you look at it through that prism.
- 1:06:14Speaker 1: What does success look like? When does a war end?
- 1:06:16Speaker 1: How long do you stay right? We've had these questions
- 1:06:19Speaker 1: about Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran, you name it. What if the
- 1:06:22Speaker 1: best achievable outcome is in victory but stability? What if
- 1:06:26Speaker 1: your objective shifts from transformation to containment. Those are Korean
- 1:06:30Speaker 1: War questions, and there are questions we've been asking repeatedly
- 1:06:33Speaker 1: ever since. It's one reasons the debates over Iran, Iraq, Afghanistan,
- 1:06:38Speaker 1: broader Middle East often feel so unsatisfying. We Americans. We
- 1:06:42Speaker 1: like our endings. Clean history never provides a clean ending.
- 1:06:46Speaker 1: Sometimes the outcome is in victory. Sometimes it isn't defeat.
- 1:06:50Speaker 1: Sometimes it is simply management, containment, persistence, living with a
- 1:06:55Speaker 1: problem rather than solving it, getting a prescript to live
- 1:07:00Speaker 1: with a disease rather than curing it. That's not especially
- 1:07:03Speaker 1: inspiring slogan now isn't. But you're still alive and you're
- 1:07:08Speaker 1: still thriving. But it describes more of modern history than
- 1:07:10Speaker 1: we often admit. And that's why I think Korea remains relevant,
- 1:07:13Speaker 1: not because it offers easy lessons, but because it doesn't.
- 1:07:17Speaker 1: It actually is the first chapter in our debate over
- 1:07:22Speaker 1: today's foreign policy. The war preserves South Korea and also
- 1:07:25Speaker 1: preserved North Korea. The war contained communism, but it didn't
- 1:07:28Speaker 1: eradicate it. The war created a nuclear armed rogue state.
- 1:07:33Speaker 1: The war prevented catastrophe, it never produced resolution. These contradictions
- 1:07:38Speaker 1: are why this war is difficult to remember. They're also
- 1:07:42Speaker 1: why it's worth remembering, because Korea may have been the
- 1:07:44Speaker 1: first American war that actually look like the future. Not
- 1:07:48Speaker 1: a clear victory, not a clear defeat, a conflict that
- 1:07:51Speaker 1: created long term commitments, long term threats, long term arguments
- 1:07:54Speaker 1: about what success even means. So maybe the Korean War
- 1:07:57Speaker 1: is the forgotten war because Americans reached a verdict quickly.
- 1:08:02Speaker 1: We looked at the armistice and at the map, and
- 1:08:04Speaker 1: we saw our border hadn't moved very much, and we
- 1:08:06Speaker 1: followed away as a draw. The problem is history kept going.
- 1:08:11Speaker 1: South Korea became one of the greatest economic success stories
- 1:08:14Speaker 1: in modern the modern era, so you can't say that
- 1:08:17Speaker 1: the war was a total failure. North Korea became one
- 1:08:20Speaker 1: of the world's most dangerous rogue states, so you can't
- 1:08:23Speaker 1: say the war was a total success. The argument never
- 1:08:26Speaker 1: ended in nineteen fifty three, which means the verdict shouldn't
- 1:08:29Speaker 1: have either victory and defeat are easy to remember. Stalemates
- 1:08:32Speaker 1: are harder, especially the ones that never really end, and
- 1:08:37Speaker 1: we may be just dealing with a new stalemate in
- 1:08:41Speaker 1: the Middle East. Ass Chuck, let's do some ass Chuck.
- 1:08:56Speaker 1: We're gonna do. I'm gonna do. We'll do five or
- 1:08:58Speaker 1: six on this one. See how long I go? All right?
- 1:09:01Speaker 1: First question comes from Connor, who's in Morocco but originally
- 1:09:09Speaker 1: from Oklahoma City, and he says, hey, Chuck, new dad
- 1:09:12Speaker 1: here after a four am diaper change. I was wondering
- 1:09:14Speaker 1: where's the best place to start with civics education and
- 1:09:17Speaker 1: home for kids? And you go to resources or ways
- 1:09:19Speaker 1: to introduce early Also random question to all presidents use
- 1:09:21Speaker 1: those oversized markers when citing things or is that just
- 1:09:24Speaker 1: a Trump thing? Thinks as always Connor M and Robot, Morocco,
- 1:09:27Speaker 1: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. All right one, Yes he is the
- 1:09:31Speaker 1: sharpy guy. Nobody else. Now. I do think when you're
- 1:09:34Speaker 1: a president you learn to sign larger it somehow, in
- 1:09:37Speaker 1: larger type, right, I mean, my goodness, Barack Obama's signature.
- 1:09:40Speaker 1: But you know this is something to think about. The
- 1:09:44Speaker 1: less we actually do the written word, the less we
- 1:09:47Speaker 1: handwrite all the time. Ask yourself if you're of a
- 1:09:50Speaker 1: certain age when you sign a credit card slipt, what
- 1:09:55Speaker 1: did your signature look like when you're in your twenties,
- 1:09:57Speaker 1: and what does your signature look like in your thirties
- 1:09:59Speaker 1: and your forties, in your fifties. I literally am like
- 1:10:02Speaker 1: scribbling that. Every once in a while, I try to
- 1:10:05Speaker 1: do my thorough name if I think it's like a
- 1:10:07Speaker 1: piece of paper that might be referenced again, So I'm like, well,
- 1:10:10Speaker 1: I better have a recognizable signature. But I often wonder
- 1:10:14Speaker 1: that the less hand physical handwriting we do, if that's
- 1:10:16Speaker 1: going to be a skill that's so atrophies that the
- 1:10:19Speaker 1: presidential signatures going forward are going to look less and
- 1:10:22Speaker 1: less ornate. But anyway, I digress. You're looking for go
- 1:10:26Speaker 1: to resources. Look, I'm gonna give you a few that
- 1:10:30Speaker 1: I've enjoyed. I'll tell you the one that's fantastic for
- 1:10:33Speaker 1: teaching the electoral college. It's I think it's Duck for
- 1:10:38Speaker 1: President and it is. It is a way to just
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: teach how we how the electoral college works. Doesn't sit
- 1:10:49Speaker 1: here and it doesn't have a point of view on
- 1:10:51Speaker 1: whether it should work or not. It just is, you know,
- 1:10:55Speaker 1: sort of. I think it's a farm decides to run
- 1:10:58Speaker 1: an election, and you know, Duck runs for president type
- 1:11:00Speaker 1: of thing. But U and Grace for President. So you
- 1:11:06Speaker 1: have Duck for President and Grace for President. Both of
- 1:11:09Speaker 1: them are very good children's books, perfect for single digit age. Obviously,
- 1:11:14Speaker 1: Grace for President's about electing a girl class president. It
- 1:11:18Speaker 1: also does a good job of teaching the electoral college.
- 1:11:20Speaker 1: In fact, I think Grace for President is a little
- 1:11:22Speaker 1: bit more detailed about it. But those were my Those
- 1:11:28Speaker 1: were put it this way. Anytime I had a new
- 1:11:30Speaker 1: staffer have a kid, this would sort of this would
- 1:11:36Speaker 1: be missus Todd, and I's kind of go to go
- 1:11:38Speaker 1: to first children's books, you know, the political your political friends,
- 1:11:43Speaker 1: got your Grace for President or Duck for President or both.
- 1:11:46Speaker 1: I just like I said, go check out both books.
- 1:11:50Speaker 1: Okay they did. It is literally civics civics y without
- 1:11:55Speaker 1: any partisanship at all whatsoever. So UH highly recommend them.
- 1:12:03Speaker 1: And I love them both because they you know, I
- 1:12:08Speaker 1: had a boy and a girl and I made sure
- 1:12:10Speaker 1: they both read both books. So it's it's I love
- 1:12:14Speaker 1: them both. Next question comes to Mark A. H Allen, Texas.
- 1:12:17Speaker 1: He goes, hey, if you thought about creating an election manifesto,
- 1:12:19Speaker 1: a set of rules or signals you rely on for
- 1:12:21Speaker 1: predicting outcomes. Maybe a top five of the key indicators
- 1:12:24Speaker 1: or patterns you trust most but love to hear. What
- 1:12:26Speaker 1: makes your list? It's an interesting thought, I think as
- 1:12:29Speaker 1: I get closer, you know, what I want to try
- 1:12:33Speaker 1: to categorize, you know, is always the things that data
- 1:12:36Speaker 1: doesn't quite capture, right. You know, some of it could
- 1:12:40Speaker 1: be historical. Some of it could be, you know, very
- 1:12:43Speaker 1: specific to a given region or a given state. You know,
- 1:12:52Speaker 1: some of it could be you know, look, forty five
- 1:12:56Speaker 1: percent means one thing if it shared brown, forty five
- 1:12:59Speaker 1: percent means another thing if it's Josh Turic. What do
- 1:13:02Speaker 1: I mean by that? Well, one is a semi incumbent
- 1:13:06Speaker 1: that if they're still struggling to get to fifty percent,
- 1:13:09Speaker 1: you wonder whether how much if they really have any
- 1:13:11Speaker 1: room to grow versus Josh Turk if you know, he's
- 1:13:14Speaker 1: got a much lower name idea, and if he's sitting
- 1:13:16Speaker 1: at forty four or forty five, then you're like, oh,
- 1:13:18Speaker 1: he's got real room to grow. So it's little things
- 1:13:22Speaker 1: like that, right, And there's these little nuances where not
- 1:13:25Speaker 1: every forty five percent is the same, even if it's
- 1:13:28Speaker 1: both Democratic numbers both in red states, right, depends on
- 1:13:31Speaker 1: who's running things like that. So look, I am a
- 1:13:37Speaker 1: I'm a enough believer in data that that every every
- 1:13:40Speaker 1: everything has a data driven answer to it. We just
- 1:13:43Speaker 1: haven't always found the piece of data that explains it yet.
- 1:13:47Speaker 1: That's sort of my mindset, and so there are things
- 1:13:51Speaker 1: that I use to sort of like you know, you know,
- 1:14:00Speaker 1: like take take what's happening in Texas. It's pretty clear
- 1:14:04Speaker 1: that the Republican campaign is to turn Tallerico into a weirdo.
- 1:14:10Speaker 1: He's not one of us. It's a classic he's not
- 1:14:12Speaker 1: one of us. But it's a different way of doing it.
- 1:14:14Speaker 1: It's not doing it in a cookie cutter way. It's
- 1:14:16Speaker 1: actually being it's being more specific to him, which can
- 1:14:20Speaker 1: be very effective versus you know how much you know, hey,
- 1:14:27Speaker 1: Ken Paxton's a bad guy. You know. Can you introduce
- 1:14:30Speaker 1: new information? Right? This is this is sometimes in campaigns,
- 1:14:33Speaker 1: the campaign with more new information to introduce and sometimes
- 1:14:37Speaker 1: have a greater impact. Then again, old baggage can linger. Right,
- 1:14:41Speaker 1: Just ask you know, the Clinton Trump race of sixteen
- 1:14:44Speaker 1: was new baggage versus old baggage. What would voters care
- 1:14:48Speaker 1: more about. And I think that's a that's going to
- 1:14:51Speaker 1: be sort of the Texas Center race. So you're sort
- 1:14:53Speaker 1: of saying, the question is how much of that's an
- 1:14:55Speaker 1: intangible how much of that could be data driven and
- 1:14:58Speaker 1: data tested and all of that. But those are I will,
- 1:15:02Speaker 1: I will take your suggestion and I will try to share,
- 1:15:07Speaker 1: you know. And then there's certain quirks I have about
- 1:15:09Speaker 1: certain posters. Oh if you you know, I'm always you know,
- 1:15:13Speaker 1: And I say this not that these pollsters do bad polls.
- 1:15:18Speaker 1: These pollsters are regularly the ones that will allow that
- 1:15:22Speaker 1: will have data for public release, whether it's the McLoughlin
- 1:15:26Speaker 1: brothers on the right, I think they're very good pollsters.
- 1:15:29Speaker 1: But I think what you see publicly is not always
- 1:15:31Speaker 1: the process of their best work. It is more of
- 1:15:33Speaker 1: the pr I think that way of PPP and change
- 1:15:36Speaker 1: on the left very similar. You know, here's what you
- 1:15:40Speaker 1: won't see. You rarely see a public opinion research poll
- 1:15:43Speaker 1: use that way. You rarely see a heart research poll
- 1:15:45Speaker 1: use that way. And there's other posters in that same category.
- 1:15:49Speaker 1: So those are the type of like little tiny things
- 1:15:54Speaker 1: that I use for various ways of trying to determine
- 1:15:58Speaker 1: why am I more bullish here than I am here?
- 1:16:00Speaker 1: Et cetera, et cetera. So anyway, the point is is,
- 1:16:05Speaker 1: I will I will take your in starting in the fall.
- 1:16:13Speaker 1: Try to put some metrics around what you're asking. Next
- 1:16:17Speaker 1: question comes from Brian in Massachusetts. He's been asking, Hey,
- 1:16:19Speaker 1: I have been following your take that Democrats could retake Congress,
- 1:16:22Speaker 1: but I'm curious about the broader implication. Do you see
- 1:16:24Speaker 1: any realistic scenario where presidential powers could be used to
- 1:16:27Speaker 1: influence or limit electoral outcomes? What guardrails exist to prevent that?
- 1:16:30Speaker 1: Are they strong enough? Thanks Brian and Massachusetts. Well, look,
- 1:16:35Speaker 1: I think I've expressed this before, but I'll express it again,
- 1:16:38Speaker 1: which is, if you're asking me, where is their vulnerability
- 1:16:42Speaker 1: in the system where Trump could exert certain powers? And
- 1:16:49Speaker 1: it's in the House. But the power exists before January
- 1:16:57Speaker 1: third seven. It's with the old Congress still in charge.
- 1:17:06Speaker 1: Believe it or not, the House of Representatives can decide,
- 1:17:10Speaker 1: can sort of supersede a certification in another district. Ultimately,
- 1:17:17Speaker 1: the House has the ultimate authority over House elections. That
- 1:17:20Speaker 1: is not the case with the Senate, but it is
- 1:17:22Speaker 1: the case of the House they literally can adjudicate things
- 1:17:25Speaker 1: differently regardless, and so that is they have the power
- 1:17:30Speaker 1: to decide who's in and who's out. The power of
- 1:17:32Speaker 1: the majority in theory, if we're looking at a very
- 1:17:37Speaker 1: single digit gain for the Democrats, that would change majority.
- 1:17:43Speaker 1: There are things that an outgoing majority could do to
- 1:17:47Speaker 1: maybe disqualify, you know, create a situation where they're not
- 1:17:53Speaker 1: where they would not accept the results of certain elections
- 1:17:58Speaker 1: that were certified. Now it's an extreme, you know, it's
- 1:18:02Speaker 1: an extreme measure. But if you're looking for where there
- 1:18:06Speaker 1: really technically is in a guardrail, it is in the House.
- 1:18:09Speaker 1: That it is in the fact that the House, that
- 1:18:12Speaker 1: minute the way the House, the power the House of
- 1:18:15Speaker 1: Representatives has over the administration of elections for the House
- 1:18:19Speaker 1: of Representatives, in theory, creates a lot of loopholes here
- 1:18:22Speaker 1: that could that could favor undemocratic means. I don't given
- 1:18:34Speaker 1: the disunity and the Republican coalition, given all of the
- 1:18:40Speaker 1: enemies Donald Trump has made inside the Republican Party with
- 1:18:44Speaker 1: his I just don't think this current Congress is loyal
- 1:18:48Speaker 1: enough congressional set of Congressional Republicans, well, the House leadership
- 1:18:52Speaker 1: may be loyal enough to him to attempt to do
- 1:18:55Speaker 1: his bidding. Look at how much they struggle just to
- 1:18:58Speaker 1: get you know, they couldn't even force Congress to give
- 1:19:01Speaker 1: him his slush fund on January sixth. They couldn't force Congress.
- 1:19:05Speaker 1: So I so maybe I'm being Pollyannish here, but you know,
- 1:19:09Speaker 1: he couldn't get that stuff done. I don't know, literally
- 1:19:13Speaker 1: sabotaging democratic elections in the House of Representative for the
- 1:19:17Speaker 1: House of Representatives, I just don't imagine he's got a
- 1:19:21Speaker 1: majority in the House to do that. For him to
- 1:19:23Speaker 1: do that bidding for him, I don't. I know some
- 1:19:27Speaker 1: of you are going, oh, you know that. I just again,
- 1:19:31Speaker 1: he couldn't. He hasn't been able to get you know,
- 1:19:36Speaker 1: he's got these majorities, he can't get them to put
- 1:19:38Speaker 1: his name on the Kennedy Center. By the way, the
- 1:19:41Speaker 1: fact that he is so humiliated by this that he's
- 1:19:44Speaker 1: refusing to let the public see that that his power
- 1:19:50Speaker 1: is not that he's not all powerful. I mean the
- 1:19:57Speaker 1: fact that there have not been you know, if these
- 1:20:00Speaker 1: vandals existed, they would have already taken down the shroud,
- 1:20:05Speaker 1: the shroud of Trump, which I guess is what we
- 1:20:09Speaker 1: have to start calling the scaffolding shroud to prevent the
- 1:20:12Speaker 1: public from seeing that he actually followed the law and
- 1:20:15Speaker 1: took his took his name off of building that it
- 1:20:18Speaker 1: never belonged on in the first place. All right, James
- 1:20:27Speaker 1: E writes, borrowing a question from Washington Week, if you
- 1:20:29Speaker 1: could go back and warn the founders about one flower
- 1:20:31Speaker 1: blind spot in the constitution or structure of government, what
- 1:20:33Speaker 1: would it be? What do you think they couldn't have
- 1:20:35Speaker 1: possibly foreseen? Curious for your take on. I think it's
- 1:20:39Speaker 1: an easy answer. It's the pardon power. It was. It
- 1:20:44Speaker 1: is a massive loophole, not a small loophole. It's a
- 1:20:47Speaker 1: big loophole. Why it exists, why it was given in
- 1:20:52Speaker 1: the first place, is beyond me. I think it's a
- 1:20:55Speaker 1: simple answer. And if this isn't the one reform we
- 1:20:59Speaker 1: don't make it the constitution, then we learn nothing from
- 1:21:01Speaker 1: these Trump years. But I think it's, like I said,
- 1:21:05Speaker 1: the part the power of the pardon, I mean this
- 1:21:07Speaker 1: has been. This is the amount of I think financial
- 1:21:11Speaker 1: financial gains that Trump and his cronies have made selling pardons.
- 1:21:16Speaker 1: I mean, this is you know, it's like there's so
- 1:21:18Speaker 1: many scandals in playing sight, whether it's the buying off
- 1:21:21Speaker 1: of his kid's crypto companies and all of that business.
- 1:21:25Speaker 1: The selling of pardons and the fact that this is
- 1:21:28Speaker 1: kind of done on a weekly basis, like it's you know,
- 1:21:30Speaker 1: like it's meeting payroll is is like among the where's
- 1:21:35Speaker 1: the outrage moments? My you know, my homage to Bob
- 1:21:39Speaker 1: Dole during the ninety six campaign was frustrated that his
- 1:21:43Speaker 1: character attacks weren't sticking to Clinton. I think there's a plenty,
- 1:21:46Speaker 1: plenty of of like where's the outrage here? On something
- 1:21:49Speaker 1: like this? I think the I think the pardon power,
- 1:21:53Speaker 1: I mean, like Donald Trump has shown that you cannot
- 1:21:56Speaker 1: there is no there is no upside to giving a
- 1:22:04Speaker 1: man of his character this part, this kind of power part,
- 1:22:07Speaker 1: and there has to be a check on that in
- 1:22:10Speaker 1: some form. I think the founders assumed that if a
- 1:22:14Speaker 1: president abused the pardon process, that Congress would do its
- 1:22:16Speaker 1: job and he eliminate and impeach and convict the president
- 1:22:19Speaker 1: and kick him out of office. But look, I think
- 1:22:23Speaker 1: the power of impeachment turned out to be a total
- 1:22:25Speaker 1: and complete failure. It didn't work. Now I don't I
- 1:22:31Speaker 1: actually don't know what else I would have done. I
- 1:22:34Speaker 1: think the founders were right about that. I'll give you
- 1:22:39Speaker 1: one other and that is and that is I think
- 1:22:50Speaker 1: we could have done a hybrid parliamentary system that probably
- 1:22:54Speaker 1: would have opened the door to more political parties, but
- 1:22:59Speaker 1: instead going to this system that we did almost force,
- 1:23:01Speaker 1: this binary two party system. The structure did create the
- 1:23:06Speaker 1: two sides, the two factions, and I think not anticipating
- 1:23:13Speaker 1: that better I would have been. But I think the
- 1:23:16Speaker 1: biggest thing, it's not even close, calls the part of
- 1:23:19Speaker 1: power never should have. The whole point of the revolution
- 1:23:22Speaker 1: was to not was to not allow our executive to
- 1:23:25Speaker 1: have the powers of a king, and that is the
- 1:23:27Speaker 1: one place we decided to give made no sense. It
- 1:23:30Speaker 1: made no sense at the time, and it certainly looks
- 1:23:33Speaker 1: like an error in judgment in hindsight. Next question my
- 1:23:39Speaker 1: man from Davy, Florida, Adam b Any Wrights. Hey, there
- 1:23:44Speaker 1: was a high profile walk off on a long running
- 1:23:46Speaker 1: news show other than the other weekend That got me
- 1:23:49Speaker 1: curious what actually happens in these moments? Are they dramatic
- 1:23:52Speaker 1: exits or more awkward behind the scenes. Any good walkout stories?
- 1:23:55Speaker 1: Adam being the vendor ps Seth McFarland's The rivill is
- 1:23:58Speaker 1: fantastic way more hard than I expected. Yes, I love
- 1:24:02Speaker 1: The Orvile, and I think The Orvile deserves a second look.
- 1:24:06Speaker 1: When you realize that it's not meant to be a
- 1:24:10Speaker 1: spin off of the Family Guy and instead it's meant
- 1:24:12Speaker 1: to be an homage to Star Trek, it becomes exponentially
- 1:24:17Speaker 1: more interesting and better. Okay, Adam, we're vibe. Put us there. Look,
- 1:24:27Speaker 1: the goal of news organizations is to not allow this
- 1:24:33Speaker 1: stuff to lead into the public reporting, right. I never
- 1:24:41Speaker 1: happened to be part of any entity that was either
- 1:24:45Speaker 1: dealing with a walkout at the time. I certainly have
- 1:24:48Speaker 1: been adjacent to walkouts, meaning, you know, we had certain
- 1:24:52Speaker 1: parts of MSNBC and NBCU had was sort of trying
- 1:24:56Speaker 1: to unionize, but not all parts of it. So you know,
- 1:25:00Speaker 1: I was never a part of any teams that were
- 1:25:02Speaker 1: fully union shops. There would be different teams. There are
- 1:25:05Speaker 1: different union shops involved with the Sunday Show. There were
- 1:25:08Speaker 1: a handful of other union shops that sort of grew
- 1:25:13Speaker 1: as MSNBC grew. I assume that was one of the
- 1:25:16Speaker 1: other reasons why and comcasts wanted to sort of get
- 1:25:19Speaker 1: rid of MSNBC. I think it sort of got rid
- 1:25:22Speaker 1: of some extra unionization efforts that Comcast wasn't in favor
- 1:25:26Speaker 1: of back in the NBCU days. And look, I'm of
- 1:25:30Speaker 1: two minds. I'm you know, I'm not I'm not sure.
- 1:25:37Speaker 1: I'm not a. I don't think it's a I think
- 1:25:41Speaker 1: it's a close call about whether journalists need unions. I'm a.
- 1:25:46Speaker 1: I am pro union for physical for the for the
- 1:25:49Speaker 1: physical jobs more than anything else. I think the desk
- 1:25:54Speaker 1: jobs in unionsation for me is up debate. I'm not unpersuadable,
- 1:26:03Speaker 1: but I'm skeptical. I just set that over here. I
- 1:26:07Speaker 1: mean that, you know, and I think I'm not alone here.
- 1:26:09Speaker 1: I think there's always been a that there's a healthy,
- 1:26:12Speaker 1: healthy debate about that. But no, I've not I could
- 1:26:17Speaker 1: just tell you that I know how the Washington Post
- 1:26:19Speaker 1: handle to walk out, I know how the New York
- 1:26:20Speaker 1: Times did. Sometimes you go without bylines, but you know,
- 1:26:24Speaker 1: sort of there there is this mindset of the show
- 1:26:26Speaker 1: must go on. You know, there's still news to report,
- 1:26:29Speaker 1: and you don't want your labor disputes to get in
- 1:26:31Speaker 1: the way of supposedly reporting the news. And that's the
- 1:26:34Speaker 1: mindset that everybody has. But the fact is it's distraction
- 1:26:37Speaker 1: whenever it happens, and less stuff gets done. And I
- 1:26:48Speaker 1: think walkouts are really effective for what it's worth in
- 1:26:51Speaker 1: my experience. But you asked, I just thought i'd give
- 1:26:57Speaker 1: you my honest answer on that. One last question come
- 1:27:00Speaker 1: from Peter, and he writes from Washington eight. First, thanks
- 1:27:04Speaker 1: for the Washington State shout out. My question is about Venezuela.
- 1:27:07Speaker 1: Washington eight is the one time swinging one of the
- 1:27:11Speaker 1: swingings districts in the Country's pretty deep. I think it
- 1:27:15Speaker 1: now leans d This is one of those suburban districts
- 1:27:17Speaker 1: that used to be a swing district, but Donald Trump
- 1:27:19Speaker 1: turned it into a blue district. He goes, I keep
- 1:27:22Speaker 1: hearing Trump that Trump solved the Venezuelan in issue of
- 1:27:24Speaker 1: Manduro's removal, But what has actually changed on the ground.
- 1:27:26Speaker 1: Has there been meaningful political economic progress or is tensions
- 1:27:29Speaker 1: simply shifted elsewhere because of other news. Thanks for all
- 1:27:31Speaker 1: you do, go Koogs, Peter. It's a little bit of both.
- 1:27:34Speaker 1: But the fact is that this Delca Rodriguez has released
- 1:27:37Speaker 1: political prisoners, there has been a little bit less repression,
- 1:27:41Speaker 1: there has been zero repression, and there's no plan for
- 1:27:43Speaker 1: new elections. This feels more like a a American puppet state.
- 1:27:52Speaker 1: And I'm not saying that for just shock value. I
- 1:27:55Speaker 1: mean it is Delcea Rodriguez works for the United States.
- 1:27:58Speaker 1: It's more akin to if you want to you know,
- 1:28:02Speaker 1: I've always said Donald Trump views himself as sort of
- 1:28:04Speaker 1: a TV mobster, not how the real mob works, but
- 1:28:06Speaker 1: how he thinks what what television and movies depict the
- 1:28:10Speaker 1: mob ass And he sees himself as sort of He's
- 1:28:12Speaker 1: now acquired new turf and territory, and Delsea Rodriguez is
- 1:28:16Speaker 1: one of his new copos. And I think that's how
- 1:28:19Speaker 1: he views Venezuela and is certainly how he hopes to
- 1:28:23Speaker 1: deal with Cuba. And he's trying to show and in
- 1:28:26Speaker 1: his own bizarre way, he thought Aaran would behave the
- 1:28:29Speaker 1: same way. This is a case where he didn't, you know, look,
- 1:28:33Speaker 1: there there were it was clear that the people running
- 1:28:37Speaker 1: Maduro's regimes were a bunch of It was a kleptocracy,
- 1:28:41Speaker 1: and Donald Trump knows how to speak the language of leptocracy.
- 1:28:45Speaker 1: Aron's not a cleptocracy, right, Aran is a real theocracy.
- 1:28:49Speaker 1: And Trump struggles with people that have that actually have
- 1:28:52Speaker 1: a grounded set of beliefs. It's always been a struggle
- 1:28:55Speaker 1: for him right, and the Cubans may be more devout
- 1:28:59Speaker 1: about their beliefs than the Venezuelan government ever was, So
- 1:29:02Speaker 1: I think there's something to that as well. But what
- 1:29:05Speaker 1: you're asking is no. I mean, I think I think
- 1:29:07Speaker 1: that certainly Venezuela is stable, but it is not a
- 1:29:12Speaker 1: democracy at the moment. It is a puppet state and
- 1:29:15Speaker 1: it is not quite on you know, it's it's it's
- 1:29:22Speaker 1: almost like the the United States is treating it almost
- 1:29:27Speaker 1: the way probably the UK treats Bermuda. Doesn't really belong
- 1:29:30Speaker 1: to the UK, but it's still part of the Commonwealth,
- 1:29:34Speaker 1: and I think that's how Trump uws it. But at
- 1:29:37Speaker 1: some point we you know, we cannot judge Venezuela's success
- 1:29:42Speaker 1: unless free and fair elections are held and that government
- 1:29:45Speaker 1: is able to transition to another free and fair election
- 1:29:48Speaker 1: like to me, what he did in Venezuela. We cannot
- 1:29:51Speaker 1: decide is a success until we have two elections in
- 1:29:55Speaker 1: a row that are peaceful, and that are and and
- 1:30:00Speaker 1: and are handed off between entities. That's when we can
- 1:30:03Speaker 1: deem ben as well as success or not. With that,
- 1:30:08Speaker 1: I'm gonna put a pin in this episode appreciate you
- 1:30:13Speaker 1: as always. Thanks for listening, thanks for liking and subscribing.
- 1:30:19Speaker 1: Appreciate you supporting our sponsors as well. This is how
- 1:30:22Speaker 1: I keep this free for you guys. I never want
- 1:30:25Speaker 1: to go behind a paywall because we are not here
- 1:30:29Speaker 1: to narrow cast. We are here to broadcast and with
- 1:30:32Speaker 1: that I'll see it forty eight hours