Latest / Yaron Brook Show / Lebanon & Iran Talks; Anthropic/AI; Meloni; Reflecting Pool; Cuba; Achievement | Yaron Brook Show

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Lebanon & Iran Talks; Anthropic/AI; Meloni; Reflecting Pool; Cuba; Achievement | Yaron Brook Show · Yaron Brook Show

0:03
Speaker 1: Oh lotical fundamental principles of leader, national, self interesting and
0:11
Speaker 1: individual wise. This is the Ranks show. Oh right, everybody
0:21
Speaker 1: walk up there, one book show on this Friday, June nineteenth.
0:27
Speaker 1: Everybody is just had a good week for to the weekend.
0:33
Speaker 1: All right, let's jump in. I mean, lots of conflicting
0:38
Speaker 1: stories this morning about what was going on in terms
0:42
Speaker 1: of the One Deal, but one thing is clear that
0:47
Speaker 1: there was supposed to be a meeting in Geneva, whether
0:50
Speaker 1: to sign officially after everything was already been signed, or
0:54
Speaker 1: to start negotiating details of the deal. Jend Evans was
0:58
Speaker 1: supposed to fly to Jenie as was the president of Yuan,
1:01
Speaker 1: and they were supposed to be negotiating over there, and
1:05
Speaker 1: that was canceled. So that has been canceled. Jd Evans
1:07
Speaker 1: is not going and and the Uranians are not coming,
1:11
Speaker 1: and the Uranians canceled it, and again conflicting stories about
1:15
Speaker 1: why they canceled it, but it appears they canceled it
1:19
Speaker 1: because of Israel's actions in Lebanon, that Israel is still
1:24
Speaker 1: actively pursuing Grisbela and Lebanon, and that there was still
1:30
Speaker 1: live fire in Lebanon, although of course they are claiming
1:35
Speaker 1: it's all Israel's faults and uh not not initiated by Risbellah.
1:40
Speaker 1: So we'll get to that. We'll get the Lebanon part
1:43
Speaker 1: in in a minute. There wasso rumors this morning that
1:50
Speaker 1: the Uanians are so upset that they closed the straits
1:53
Speaker 1: of Homoes. They've barely been open. I think that they
1:58
Speaker 1: haven't been really open, but they closed the streets of Hormos.
2:02
Speaker 1: Then the story now is that's not true. The station
2:06
Speaker 1: of Hormos are not closed. Ships are going in and out,
2:09
Speaker 1: and but the Uranians are demanding that they register and
2:14
Speaker 1: go through a process with this new Uranian authority that
2:18
Speaker 1: is supposed to control the streets of Homos. So but
2:21
Speaker 1: the streets are are indeed open. Iran also supposedly said,
2:29
Speaker 1: you know, we'll start negotiating soon, but before we negotiate,
2:33
Speaker 1: here are the conditions, and that included unfreezing the assets
2:36
Speaker 1: in the United States, leaving the area them ad least
2:39
Speaker 1: and or close to Iran, and Israel leaving Lebanon. None
2:43
Speaker 1: of those are going to happen. So in freezing acids
2:46
Speaker 1: might happen, but none of the others are going to happen.
2:47
Speaker 1: So it's not clear exactly what is going on, and
2:53
Speaker 1: Iran better be careful because at some point if it
2:56
Speaker 1: really I mean it's so far Iran has really been
3:01
Speaker 1: successful at pushing the Trump administration and pushing the Trump
3:04
Speaker 1: administration and pushing them to basically get thee to basically
3:15
Speaker 1: get the Americans to give them more and give them
3:18
Speaker 1: more and give them more, and that has succeeded. But
3:21
Speaker 1: at some point the Americans will break and will either
3:25
Speaker 1: stop negotiating with them or actually use military force. So
3:28
Speaker 1: the Aanians need to be careful. Well they shouldn't. I
3:33
Speaker 1: would like the whole thing to break. So I'm all
3:35
Speaker 1: for the Areanians pushing and pushing and pushing, but they
3:38
Speaker 1: seem to be pushing more. They seem to be basically
3:42
Speaker 1: doubling down on extortion, and whether that a work is
3:48
Speaker 1: really hard to tell. They've also gotten now they fall, guys,
3:50
Speaker 1: So whatever happens with the negotiations, if they fall apart,
3:55
Speaker 1: they will blame Israel. They will blame Israel's a person's eleven,
3:59
Speaker 1: and they will blame them for not not listening to
4:03
Speaker 1: Donald Trump and uh and and then violating a cease fire.
4:08
Speaker 1: So supposedly, once the deal was signed, there was supposed
4:11
Speaker 1: to be a ceasefire between Israel and Grisbela. Israel claims
4:14
Speaker 1: that Grasbel has been violating it since the beginning. Frisbela
4:18
Speaker 1: is claiming that Israel is violating it this evening. So
4:24
Speaker 1: it's also coming under massive amount of Prussia from the
4:27
Speaker 1: Trump administration, massive amount of pressure from the Trump administration
4:31
Speaker 1: to engage in a cease fire. And you know too
4:38
Speaker 1: in a sense let Isbelle get away with minor incidences,
4:44
Speaker 1: and and and this pressure is intense. It was yesterday,
4:47
Speaker 1: it's really been since the deals announced, but it's intensified
4:50
Speaker 1: since it was signed, and it was really intense today.
4:53
Speaker 1: The problem is that Risbela attacks on Israeli troops have
4:58
Speaker 1: not been minor, there insignificant. And overnight, you know, a
5:04
Speaker 1: drone exploded and injured a bunch of soldiers, and then
5:09
Speaker 1: when supposedly when recovery troops came to help them get
5:14
Speaker 1: them to the hospital, another drone exploded on them and
5:18
Speaker 1: four soldiers were killed, including a senior officer, a commander
5:23
Speaker 1: of I think what you call it, I think it's
5:25
Speaker 1: a brigade. I'm not sure, but a senior Israeli officer
5:29
Speaker 1: was killed, as well as three soldiers with him. I
5:32
Speaker 1: remember a lot of this is because Israeli senior officers
5:35
Speaker 1: actually operate on the front lines. They're not in the
5:38
Speaker 1: back letting the troops be cano fodder. They participated in missions,
5:45
Speaker 1: so Israel took heavy losses. For Israel, four soldiers dying
5:51
Speaker 1: would be like the United States taking one hundred and
5:53
Speaker 1: thirty six, one hundred and thirty six soldiers being killed.
5:58
Speaker 1: It's just not tenable Israel, and it's it's it's not acceptable,
6:03
Speaker 1: and and they're not going to do it. So uh
6:07
Speaker 1: is what responded, and they responded by, you know, massive
6:12
Speaker 1: attack on Risbella positions uh in in southern Lebanon. They
6:17
Speaker 1: responded by by killing many Chrisbella fighters and attacking like
6:23
Speaker 1: eighty different command centers and and and different locations. Uh.
6:29
Speaker 1: Chrizbel then responded, Israel's responded, and there's been fort tit
6:33
Speaker 1: for tat, tick for tat, tit for tat all day
6:36
Speaker 1: today and then the United States came down with a
6:39
Speaker 1: hammer this afternoon, and so there has to be a ceasefire.
6:44
Speaker 1: I suppose he has of six thirty Israel time, So
6:49
Speaker 1: would that be uh eleven thirty in the morning. Uh yeah,
6:56
Speaker 1: seven hours east coast time. Uh, there's a ceasefire. Now.
7:00
Speaker 1: I doubt this cease fire will hold. I doubt that
7:02
Speaker 1: Chrisbella has the patients to hold it, the discipline to
7:08
Speaker 1: hold it. And it looks as well as committed to
7:12
Speaker 1: destroying Chrisbela infrastructure in the land that they are occupying,
7:17
Speaker 1: that is in the parts of Lebanon where their troops
7:19
Speaker 1: are there. So they're gonna be explosions, They're going to
7:22
Speaker 1: blow stuff up if there Risbella, you know, if they
7:25
Speaker 1: see Gisbella inside of one of the tunnels, they're gonna
7:27
Speaker 1: get shot. So you know, this is not a uh,
7:32
Speaker 1: this is not a uh, this is not a ceasefire.
7:36
Speaker 1: In the way I think Ivan would interpreted. Is those
7:38
Speaker 1: not laying down their weapons? Is those going to continue
7:41
Speaker 1: the cleansing operation that it is engaged in Lebanon, and
7:46
Speaker 1: is looks those expanded as operation in Lebanu quite dramatically
7:49
Speaker 1: over the last few weeks. They have gone north of
7:52
Speaker 1: the Lily Tiny River. The Lily Tiny River is the
7:54
Speaker 1: river that kind of separates, uh, the very south of
7:58
Speaker 1: Lebanon that every to Israel from the rest of Lebanon,
8:04
Speaker 1: and they have crossed the Lee Tany River in a
8:05
Speaker 1: strategic area around the Beaufort. We've talked about this around
8:09
Speaker 1: the beaufot uh what it is a castle uh and
8:14
Speaker 1: uh where they have found extensive tunnels and bunkers that
8:19
Speaker 1: Grisbela was using. Uh and uh they have they have
8:23
Speaker 1: basically kick Kisbela out of there, and then they have
8:26
Speaker 1: basically taken try to take the whole strategic area around that,
8:32
Speaker 1: you know, across a number of different uh you know,
8:36
Speaker 1: hilly mountainous areas that look down into the city of Nambatia.
8:41
Speaker 1: Nambatia is a major town city in southern Lebanon that
8:46
Speaker 1: is a major hub for Grisbela. And is all those
8:49
Speaker 1: basically taking positions, strategic positions on the hilltop surrounding the city.
8:54
Speaker 1: And it's it's not going to stop. I mean, this
8:56
Speaker 1: is too important for its existence. Chrismolla is the dedicate
9:00
Speaker 1: the destruction of the state of Israel. It's dedicated to genocide.
9:04
Speaker 1: It's dedicated to destroying Israel, and it had it was
9:11
Speaker 1: planning uh similar missions as October seventh, and much worse
9:18
Speaker 1: isbell as much was at least much better on the Ramas.
9:23
Speaker 1: You know, a lot more experienced fighters than Ramas Uh
9:27
Speaker 1: and uh and and and they have capabilities Ramas does
9:31
Speaker 1: did not have and does not have and and and
9:34
Speaker 1: there were real threats to the very existence of Israel.
9:38
Speaker 1: So Israel has to take them out, or it has
9:40
Speaker 1: to at least weaken them so much that it can
9:43
Speaker 1: buy I don't know, a decade apiece. Uh. Isabela is
9:48
Speaker 1: going to start getting money from Iran soon as soon
9:50
Speaker 1: as the Iran gets money from selling oil and from
9:53
Speaker 1: the unfrozen assets, and and it's going to start to
9:56
Speaker 1: rearm itself. Israel has to make can make it very
10:01
Speaker 1: very expensive and very very difficult for them to re
10:03
Speaker 1: establish the strategy control. The only long term solution for Grisbela,
10:08
Speaker 1: the only two one is is all occupying Lebanon and
10:14
Speaker 1: systematically dismandling Grisabela and and and destroying it from within.
10:20
Speaker 1: That is not a tenable option. You know, Lebanon is big, Uh,
10:25
Speaker 1: that would it's too costly for Israel in life and
10:28
Speaker 1: in treasure. It's too it's too difficult. The international community
10:33
Speaker 1: would freak out. But but even for Israel, I mean
10:36
Speaker 1: they would take losses and and Israel unlike many other countries,
10:42
Speaker 1: even unlike the United States, every soldier that dies is
10:46
Speaker 1: a is a huge stain. It's it's it's a it's
10:50
Speaker 1: it all takes it very very seriously. It couldn't sustain
10:55
Speaker 1: a mission to really occupy all of Lebanon. So it can.
10:57
Speaker 1: It can occupy southern eleven and create up a buffer zone,
11:01
Speaker 1: but that is not a long term solution. The long
11:03
Speaker 1: term solution is disbanding. Well, if Israel cannot do it,
11:07
Speaker 1: the ultimate long term solution, the ultimate long term solution,
11:11
Speaker 1: is that the Lebanese government do it. And that's really
11:14
Speaker 1: the only viable long term solution. And for the Lebanese
11:17
Speaker 1: government to do that, the liberties government A has to
11:21
Speaker 1: be committed to it. B has to buy in from
11:25
Speaker 1: countries like France, which is historical ties to Lebanon and
11:28
Speaker 1: the United States, and countries like Frans in the United
11:31
Speaker 1: States have to be willing to arm the Lebanese government
11:36
Speaker 1: troops to the teeth so that they can actually challenge Lisbela,
11:45
Speaker 1: because right now the Lebanese army would just lose Corizbella
11:48
Speaker 1: would take over the Lebanese state. So they have to
11:51
Speaker 1: be armed and maybe even supported by the Americans and
11:54
Speaker 1: the French. It would be great if the French did this,
11:59
Speaker 1: you know, it would be great if for once fan
12:02
Speaker 1: sighted with the good guys and dedicated themselves to destroying Krisbelab.
12:07
Speaker 1: But note, I think I think it's true that France
12:10
Speaker 1: is one of the only countries in Europe that has
12:13
Speaker 1: not designated ASWEL as a terrorist organization, So the French
12:17
Speaker 1: unlikely to do it, unlikely to do it. Short of that,
12:27
Speaker 1: Israel has to continues to kick the can down the road.
12:30
Speaker 1: You know. The solution, of course, sorry, the ultimate solution
12:34
Speaker 1: is I forgot to mention this, but the ultimate solution,
12:38
Speaker 1: of course is the destruction of the Iranian regime, that is,
12:41
Speaker 1: regime changing Iran. Risbela cannot survive a survivable threat to
12:45
Speaker 1: Israel without support, financial, political, military support from the Iranian regime.
12:52
Speaker 1: So regime change in Iran would have ended isbel as
12:56
Speaker 1: a threat. It's why one of the many reasons, one
13:02
Speaker 1: of the many reasons, both for Israel and for the
13:05
Speaker 1: United States, why not going all in and not achieving
13:09
Speaker 1: regime change and not winning this war. It's such a
13:12
Speaker 1: frigging tragedy. A geopolitical, you know, human life tragedy that
13:21
Speaker 1: Israel and the United States will suffer for for many,
13:24
Speaker 1: many years into the future. So regime change is the
13:27
Speaker 1: ultimate in an I Ran but ain't happening anyway. Lebanon
13:34
Speaker 1: is not going to go away. I don't know how
13:38
Speaker 1: whatever the United States expects in terms of negotiating with
13:42
Speaker 1: you on, with Lebanon out there. At any point that
13:45
Speaker 1: the Iranians are not happy with the way negotiations are going,
13:48
Speaker 1: they will ask us about allowed to violate the ceasefire.
13:51
Speaker 1: Is Yo will respond, is Yo will be blamed by
13:54
Speaker 1: the whole world for a violating ceasefire, because that's always
13:58
Speaker 1: what happens. Israel is always is blamed. Iran will then
14:03
Speaker 1: withdraw from their negotiations. The United States say, oh my god,
14:08
Speaker 1: it's all Israel's fault, and then we can't negotiate a
14:10
Speaker 1: deal with the Ranians. They will put pressure in Israel
14:14
Speaker 1: and they will then compromise more with Iran. I mean,
14:19
Speaker 1: the way the negotiations are going to go, we know exactly,
14:23
Speaker 1: we know exactly what the pressure points are for Trump.
14:28
Speaker 1: You know, it's it's he wants a deal, and the
14:32
Speaker 1: pressure points are going to be economic, closing the states
14:35
Speaker 1: of Foremoes, and of course the mechanism by which to
14:38
Speaker 1: put pressure on him would be through Risabella and the Israelis.
14:42
Speaker 1: And this negotiation is going to be messy. There's absolutely
14:47
Speaker 1: zero reason to think that Trump has learned anything from
14:50
Speaker 1: the previous round of negotiations. It's going to be overwhelmingly,
14:55
Speaker 1: you know, overwhelmingly a I think, a successful negotiations for
15:02
Speaker 1: the Iranians. Right, But let's see what happens. It could
15:08
Speaker 1: be again that Iran overplaced a hand, he insists too much,
15:12
Speaker 1: and that the US says enough is enough. Who knows? Now?
15:17
Speaker 1: I remember when I told you yesterday that the Supreme
15:21
Speaker 1: Leader of Ian wrote this thing about he didn't really
15:23
Speaker 1: like the deal, but America's desperate, and you know, he
15:26
Speaker 1: agreed because of the American desperation and and we were
15:30
Speaker 1: going to get Iran was going to get money in
15:32
Speaker 1: that was good and all the stuff, and they were
15:34
Speaker 1: going to weren't going to compromise anything on the deal anyway. Well,
15:38
Speaker 1: Trump read that and got upset, so he tweeted today
15:41
Speaker 1: we didn't meet out of desperation Iran did? They are finished?
15:48
Speaker 1: Will play out the sixty days they get no money,
15:51
Speaker 1: not ten cents, so almost crying a little whiny. But yeah,
15:56
Speaker 1: he wanted to make you know. No, no, no, he
15:59
Speaker 1: was wrong. I'm right, he's wrong. Trump is pathetic. But
16:07
Speaker 1: that was his Uh, that was his response. This is uh,
16:14
Speaker 1: this is interesting. This is probably the biggest insult this
16:20
Speaker 1: deal is received. Uh. And that is that France, uh,
16:25
Speaker 1: Macon and the French are basically saying they think that
16:30
Speaker 1: Trump Iran dealer is too weak. Uh and uh. Since
16:36
Speaker 1: part of the m o U is the deal has
16:39
Speaker 1: to get United Nations approval of DAN the final deal,
16:44
Speaker 1: the franch are saying they might not agree and they
16:47
Speaker 1: might block the lifting of the United Nations sanctions. French
16:52
Speaker 1: fron minister says any final deal must have addressed Islamic
16:55
Speaker 1: about publics of a listening missile program. I can't believe
17:02
Speaker 1: I'm reading this, but it's true. The French Foreign Ministry's
17:07
Speaker 1: name is Jean Noel. Bo says any final agreement must
17:11
Speaker 1: address the stomach republics, ballistic missile program and proxy network,
17:17
Speaker 1: major issues left out of the current framework. So the French,
17:25
Speaker 1: I want to emphasize this. The French are tougher than Trump.
17:31
Speaker 1: The French are demanding limits on ballistic missiles and on
17:37
Speaker 1: support for the Proxy network. The French are tiding Trump
17:42
Speaker 1: that maybe the deal is not tough enough on the Uranians.
17:48
Speaker 1: The French are threatening to veto any UN Security resolution
17:54
Speaker 1: lifting sanctions on Iran. France, go figure. I mean, you know,
18:08
Speaker 1: you know the deal is bad. You know the deal
18:12
Speaker 1: is weak. When even the French think it's weak. I
18:16
Speaker 1: mean the French you surrender before anything is a shot
18:21
Speaker 1: is fired. I mean, there's stuff coming out of you
18:30
Speaker 1: on It's try to tell what's serious and what's not.
18:34
Speaker 1: So you know, we'll see as the days progress, if
18:36
Speaker 1: these negotiations ever get started, or we just get sixty
18:40
Speaker 1: days of tit for tat on social media, which is
18:43
Speaker 1: quite possible. I mean, Marco Rubio today getting off fos
18:49
Speaker 1: One at some point said, you know, he said, every
18:55
Speaker 1: single problem in the Middle eastraight is straight back to
18:57
Speaker 1: iran Ian she malicious, destroying and threatening. You want Iraq,
19:02
Speaker 1: I won Hamas Iran the Huti's you won us at
19:05
Speaker 1: slaughtering people in Syria. I won. This regime has killed
19:08
Speaker 1: thousands and thousands of people. So you know Rubio gets it.
19:17
Speaker 1: How how how he can sustain any level of even
19:22
Speaker 1: fractional self esteem and stay within this regime is beyond me.
19:28
Speaker 1: I mean only answer to that is he has no
19:31
Speaker 1: self esteem, but he does understand he does understand Iran
19:37
Speaker 1: uh in in in in a way that Trump does not,
19:42
Speaker 1: gd Vance does not uh and and and they don't care. Uh.
19:47
Speaker 1: You know, as I've said many times, he is the
19:50
Speaker 1: sanest of all the people in this administration when he
19:53
Speaker 1: comes to phone policy. Uh. Just one of the breaking news.
19:57
Speaker 1: It seems like again it seems like that Barnoma Justice
20:02
Speaker 1: is not investigating the how many families global money. You know, Traio.
20:11
Speaker 1: We've talked about this in the past, that the homonies,
20:16
Speaker 1: howmonies have divested the money they've stolen from the Iranian
20:19
Speaker 1: people and you know, invested it all over all over
20:24
Speaker 1: the world. They've got luxury mansions in London's billionaire Row.
20:28
Speaker 1: They've got multimillion dollar apartments in some of London's most
20:31
Speaker 1: exclusive neighborhoods. They've got luxury villas in Dubai. They've got
20:35
Speaker 1: hotels and results across Germany, Austria, Spain and other parts
20:38
Speaker 1: of Europe, shipping in financial interest across multiple jurisdictions, offshore entities,
20:44
Speaker 1: and banking relationships designed to obscure who actually owns these things.
20:51
Speaker 1: You know, I've read in the past that the different
20:54
Speaker 1: mulas have a vast array of assets in in Canada.
21:02
Speaker 1: So I mean, I don't know what this investigation is
21:04
Speaker 1: going to lead to, but it would be good if
21:06
Speaker 1: those assets were seized. That would be a good step. Uh,
21:12
Speaker 1: those are stolen assets because they belong. This is taxpayer money.
21:17
Speaker 1: I mean, where else would the move I get money,
21:20
Speaker 1: I mean and taxpayer money of the Uranian people, and
21:26
Speaker 1: it should not be in the hands of these of
21:30
Speaker 1: these thieves. Anyway. We will see over the next few
21:36
Speaker 1: days and over the next few months, you know, what
21:41
Speaker 1: transpires in terms of this deal and the negotiations that
21:46
Speaker 1: happen with it, And as always, the On Book Show
21:50
Speaker 1: will be on top of it and we'll be we'll
21:54
Speaker 1: be keeping you up to date on what is going.
21:58
Speaker 1: All right, I want to shift to what I consider
22:01
Speaker 1: probably ultimately more important than Iran and really ultimately it's
22:10
Speaker 1: going to be the most important story of the year
22:13
Speaker 1: and the most important stories of the next decade. And
22:18
Speaker 1: we're just going to touch on it today, and we're
22:20
Speaker 1: going to keep touching on it every day, you know,
22:22
Speaker 1: on many of the shows, and it's going to evolve
22:25
Speaker 1: and change and be dynamic, and there's going to be
22:28
Speaker 1: there's going to be a bunch of things happening around
22:31
Speaker 1: this in the months and years to come. And that
22:35
Speaker 1: is basically AI artificial intelligence and its relationship both its
22:39
Speaker 1: impact on our lives, our economy, our jobs, impact on
22:45
Speaker 1: on safety we'll talk about that in a minute, impact
22:49
Speaker 1: on you know, everything that we do. And then of
22:52
Speaker 1: course that combined with the government's role in all of this,
22:59
Speaker 1: and government we getations and governments, you know, governments controls
23:05
Speaker 1: and and how the government will respond to all this,
23:08
Speaker 1: and this of course all in the context of and
23:10
Speaker 1: I think this is important, all in the context of
23:18
Speaker 1: the geopolitical you know, a situation where there is only
23:23
Speaker 1: one really other country that is developing AI models, and
23:27
Speaker 1: that is China. And also in the context of that,
23:32
Speaker 1: there is not just they're not just you know, proprietary
23:38
Speaker 1: models that are being developed by companies, but there are
23:41
Speaker 1: also these open source models which even if countries want
23:49
Speaker 1: to try to have control over they probably won't have
23:51
Speaker 1: any won't be able to have any control over it.
23:56
Speaker 1: So this is I think are going to be a
24:02
Speaker 1: just a fascinating issue, geopolitical, the risks, and of course
24:07
Speaker 1: the economic impact and the lifestyle impact and the way
24:10
Speaker 1: it changes our lives. And my guess is that in
24:13
Speaker 1: ten years the world's going to look quite a bit
24:16
Speaker 1: different because of AI. Here's you know in what way,
24:19
Speaker 1: I don't know, but it's going to be different in
24:21
Speaker 1: significant ways. I Mean, the potential of this technology is
24:26
Speaker 1: so overwhelming, and there's every reason to believe. I mean,
24:30
Speaker 1: i'man super impressed with AI today and what I'm seeing
24:34
Speaker 1: out of AI today, there's every reason to believe that
24:41
Speaker 1: over just the next few months we're going to see
24:44
Speaker 1: massive improvements and advancements in this field. There's massive competition,
24:49
Speaker 1: there's a lot of capital going into it. The best
24:52
Speaker 1: minds in the world are now you know, shifting to
24:58
Speaker 1: dealing and you know, a dressing AI issues. I was
25:05
Speaker 1: just reading about it, and you start up out of
25:08
Speaker 1: Miami of all places, that that has solved a big
25:13
Speaker 1: bottomnck problem supposedly that AI has, and that its models
25:18
Speaker 1: are as powerful as some of the most powerful models
25:21
Speaker 1: out day, and yet you'd use is a lot less
25:23
Speaker 1: electricity and there's a lot cheaper to run and a
25:26
Speaker 1: lot easier and supply. I don't know. I don't know
25:29
Speaker 1: if this is true, but it seems like it might be.
25:34
Speaker 1: And we're gonna see more and more and more of that.
25:37
Speaker 1: And if you look at Anthropic and you look at
25:39
Speaker 1: AI at Open Eye and Gemini Google's Deep Mind, and
25:45
Speaker 1: if you look at the the other, who's the other
25:50
Speaker 1: x AI, I don't know is a big player, but
25:52
Speaker 1: those three are the big players right now. They are
25:57
Speaker 1: making big advances. They are making big advances. There will
26:02
Speaker 1: be new models. They can do more and more and
26:05
Speaker 1: more and more, and there is no limited. You know,
26:08
Speaker 1: maybe there is a limit, but but I'm not sure
26:10
Speaker 1: what it is as human beings, as we get smarter,
26:15
Speaker 1: as we can do more within AI models with the
26:19
Speaker 1: same amount of electricity, you think that electricity would be
26:21
Speaker 1: the limit, the processing power is the limit, but no,
26:25
Speaker 1: we get better at using the processing power that we have,
26:28
Speaker 1: so I don't think that's the limit. Uh, it just
26:31
Speaker 1: it just you know, it's just going to get better
26:37
Speaker 1: and at whatever it's doing, and what that actually means
26:42
Speaker 1: is going to be It's it's really hard to tell
26:44
Speaker 1: how that impacts all of our lives. But here's what
26:52
Speaker 1: we know that the most powerful model right now, we
26:59
Speaker 1: think is myth and Mythus has the capability of finding
27:03
Speaker 1: weaknesses in other software. Software for example, that runs I
27:10
Speaker 1: don't know, the nuclear programs, you know, software that runs
27:14
Speaker 1: our utilities, software that runs are dams, software that runs
27:19
Speaker 1: Google and Apple and other companies like that, software that
27:24
Speaker 1: is embedded in everything that we do. All of that
27:26
Speaker 1: software has vulnerabilities that myth us can find. And once
27:33
Speaker 1: you can find those vulnerabilities, you can hack into those
27:36
Speaker 1: pieces so that you can hack into a dam and
27:39
Speaker 1: cause it to misbehaving, and hack into utility and shut
27:42
Speaker 1: down on electricity. You can hack into a hospital and
27:45
Speaker 1: turn it off. You can potentially hack into you know,
27:50
Speaker 1: I don't know the Defense Department projects and who knows
27:55
Speaker 1: do who knows what kind of damage? Now, mythosts can
28:01
Speaker 1: also be used to find those vulnerabilities and fix them
28:05
Speaker 1: before the hackers can hack them. And Anthropic when they
28:09
Speaker 1: came out with Mythos, that's what they decided to do.
28:12
Speaker 1: They withheld it from the public and they only sent
28:16
Speaker 1: it to certain government agencies. They sent it to businesses
28:20
Speaker 1: around the world, you know, and with I think the
28:25
Speaker 1: idea that these businesses would use it would use the
28:30
Speaker 1: mythos to boast their defenses against hackers, to fix their software,
28:37
Speaker 1: to plug the holes, to figure out all their weaknesses,
28:43
Speaker 1: and that was going on, and I think that was
28:46
Speaker 1: the right thing for Anthropic to do. I think you
28:52
Speaker 1: have to realize though, within seven to ten months. I
28:59
Speaker 1: heard one asked, maybe it'll take two years, but within
29:04
Speaker 1: the next couple of years, for sure, open source AI
29:10
Speaker 1: models that you know that the available out there to
29:18
Speaker 1: anybody pretty much, and available to Chinese hacker groups and
29:24
Speaker 1: North Korean hacker groups and Iranian hacker groups and I
29:29
Speaker 1: don't know Chrisbla hacker groups and whoever. Within a couple
29:34
Speaker 1: of years, if not sooner, could be seven months, they're
29:38
Speaker 1: gonna have access to all this stuff, and they're gonna
29:42
Speaker 1: be able to start hacking. They're already of really really
29:45
Speaker 1: good at hacking. They're gonna be ten times better. And
29:50
Speaker 1: we're gonna have a major bank hacked and all its
29:53
Speaker 1: money disappear, and we're gonna have a utility hacked and
29:57
Speaker 1: power gone up. We're gonna have some major catastrophes on
30:01
Speaker 1: a hand, and people are going to turn an AI
30:04
Speaker 1: and that's really dangerous because the catastrophes just need mean,
30:09
Speaker 1: we need to be better a defense, and maybe we
30:13
Speaker 1: need to penalize the hackers more thoroughly. Anyway, and Topic
30:18
Speaker 1: did the right thing. Distriminated to people, so they could
30:21
Speaker 1: stop paying defense, because the quicker we play defense, the
30:26
Speaker 1: less damage the hackers can do in seven to twenty
30:29
Speaker 1: four months when they get their hands on something as
30:32
Speaker 1: powerful as with Us. And then Anthropic published Fable five.
30:41
Speaker 1: Now Fable had a defense layer built in. Fable is
30:49
Speaker 1: basically with US for the general public way, if you
30:54
Speaker 1: try to use the define vulnerabilities in somebody software, it
30:59
Speaker 1: was basically shut you down. It would downgrade you to
31:03
Speaker 1: a different to OPENS four point eight, which is the
31:06
Speaker 1: lower version of cloud Claude, a cloud Claude, and it
31:13
Speaker 1: would not let you do the hacking. If you asked
31:15
Speaker 1: that question about biology with if it assumed that your
31:20
Speaker 1: aims were biological weapons, it would again downgrade you. So
31:25
Speaker 1: built in safeguards and they released that. Then on Friday,
31:32
Speaker 1: the US government basically went and again there are various
31:36
Speaker 1: versions of the story. This is an Anthropic version. The
31:41
Speaker 1: US government gave Anthropic ninety minute notice uh, you know,
31:50
Speaker 1: to take down Fable and myth Us, and they would
31:57
Speaker 1: not tell them what the cause was. And then the
32:01
Speaker 1: government came out with the statement saying that you know,
32:07
Speaker 1: they basically were using the foreign exports the national security
32:13
Speaker 1: thing to say, not only can't you send it to foreigners,
32:19
Speaker 1: foreign companies, foreign governments, which a Topic had. First of all,
32:23
Speaker 1: Fable was available to anybody, and Mynthos was available to
32:26
Speaker 1: some of our allies so that they could better defend
32:30
Speaker 1: their systems. So not only can't you send it to
32:34
Speaker 1: our allies, but you can't let any foreigner work with it.
32:43
Speaker 1: As a consequence of that, of course, and Topic would
32:46
Speaker 1: do both products in the marketplace, shut them off, basically
32:51
Speaker 1: kill switch. They killed the programs. Now, there were a
32:56
Speaker 1: lot of issues here. Now the government claims that somebody
33:01
Speaker 1: found a jail break, and this includes somebody from Amazon
33:05
Speaker 1: Senior and Amazon and others found jail breaks, and that
33:10
Speaker 1: that people could found a way around Fable to make
33:13
Speaker 1: it act like Mythos. The examples given by the government
33:17
Speaker 1: being looked at. Anthrop against Optics says, there's nothing here,
33:20
Speaker 1: there's no there, there there's nothing to fix. You know,
33:23
Speaker 1: there are no real problems here, and and you know,
33:27
Speaker 1: because me trying to get the government to reinstate the
33:29
Speaker 1: programs and the government said no. And he says, of course,
33:32
Speaker 1: the government that is relatively friendly. I think it has
33:36
Speaker 1: been relatively friendly TOI and now is basically shutting down
33:40
Speaker 1: a whole AI program. Now, it's very debatable how dangerous
33:48
Speaker 1: a partial jail break of Fable five is. But I
33:56
Speaker 1: think if it was a real jail break, you don't
33:59
Speaker 1: have people could immediately fix it. Well, I mean, they
34:02
Speaker 1: would not resist fixing it if they can. I think
34:07
Speaker 1: the real problem here, and the real scary part of here,
34:10
Speaker 1: is the government stepping in and shutting down a program
34:15
Speaker 1: and using it to exclude foreigners. Now, put aside the foreigners,
34:21
Speaker 1: just how despicable that is. Foreigners working for American companies
34:27
Speaker 1: in the United States, including some of the people designed
34:30
Speaker 1: FABLE and methods who are working at the Anthropic Labs,
34:34
Speaker 1: they can't use it, even though they did they helped
34:37
Speaker 1: design it. That's ridiculous. But now you get the question
34:42
Speaker 1: of if the US government can just flip a switch
34:48
Speaker 1: and Europe has no AI, other countries have no AI,
34:55
Speaker 1: that and it can do it in any US model
34:58
Speaker 1: or all US models. It could deny any country anyway
35:02
Speaker 1: at any time, even our allies. Whatever that means. I
35:09
Speaker 1: guess these days AI access to AI probably the most
35:14
Speaker 1: important technology moving forward. The question is then you know
35:21
Speaker 1: what other countries do? How do they respond? You know
35:28
Speaker 1: what happens all of a sudden, something like AI sovereignty
35:33
Speaker 1: has become a new catchword, mainly in Europe. Europeans are like,
35:41
Speaker 1: what do we do if we make ourselves dependent on
35:47
Speaker 1: the Americans in AI? They can just shut us down
35:52
Speaker 1: anytime they want. And we just saw them doing that.
35:56
Speaker 1: And you know Trump is president now, who knows who
35:59
Speaker 1: the president will be in the few who knows what
36:02
Speaker 1: reasons they might give. If you're a South American country,
36:07
Speaker 1: do you want to be dependent on USAI? But what's
36:11
Speaker 1: the only other game in town? The only other game
36:15
Speaker 1: in town is Chinese AI. The more we control we
36:20
Speaker 1: the government of the United States controls AI, the greater
36:24
Speaker 1: opening we give to people all over the world to
36:26
Speaker 1: use Chinese technology. Are we better off if all these
36:30
Speaker 1: other countries are using Chinese tech? No? For certain? No?
36:39
Speaker 1: And you know, is there any way you know Europe
36:43
Speaker 1: can build a European company can build a European AI model.
36:48
Speaker 1: I guess there's a French attempt right now to do
36:54
Speaker 1: something like that. You know, but we will see. Given
37:02
Speaker 1: cost of electricity in Europe, are they going to build
37:05
Speaker 1: data centers? No way, Germany's building data centers. They can't
37:10
Speaker 1: afford electricity to do anything, never mind data centers. So
37:20
Speaker 1: who exactly? Maybe the French, because they have a lot
37:21
Speaker 1: of nuclear maybe they will build the data centers. What's
37:25
Speaker 1: Europe's plan for AI? It's a big question. Be dependent
37:29
Speaker 1: on the US, be dependent on China, a lot of
37:36
Speaker 1: big issues you politically, And then if the United States
37:41
Speaker 1: government forces AI companies to slow down progress because AI
37:48
Speaker 1: is getting too scary, scary in terms of national security hacking,
37:55
Speaker 1: but US are scary in terms of the big questions
37:57
Speaker 1: of taking everybody's jobs and all of that stuff. We
38:02
Speaker 1: know China's not going to slow down. The United States
38:07
Speaker 1: has a lead right now in AI, significant lea and
38:10
Speaker 1: it's not shrinking so far. How long can it sustain
38:15
Speaker 1: that lead if the government starts regulating it. And remember
38:20
Speaker 1: Trump was toying with the idea of a FDA for AI.
38:25
Speaker 1: I mean, that's kind of scary. Think about the FDA
38:32
Speaker 1: so AI is going to improve dramatically, which is going
38:40
Speaker 1: to give it the power to do or people using
38:42
Speaker 1: it give them the power to do bad things. We
38:48
Speaker 1: can protect ourselves for those bad things. So for that
38:51
Speaker 1: we would have to be forward thinking. We would have
38:56
Speaker 1: to actually plan for catastrophe before it happens. We're not
38:59
Speaker 1: very good at that. Fable five and Mythos are the
39:07
Speaker 1: kind of programs that can help us protect ourselves if
39:13
Speaker 1: the US government ever lets on topic. Turning back on
39:17
Speaker 1: the reality is that CHPD is about to come out
39:20
Speaker 1: with something equivalent to Mythos in Faber five, and it'll
39:23
Speaker 1: be a question of what they do with it. Google
39:26
Speaker 1: is doing the same thing. Drab does not have a
39:30
Speaker 1: lead for very long. It's pretty pretty sure, and there'll
39:36
Speaker 1: be startups and they'll be you know, what do you
39:42
Speaker 1: call it? Anyway, There'll be startups, will be competition open source,
39:51
Speaker 1: although open source will probably always lag behind the proprietary models,
39:56
Speaker 1: just because the propriety models will have the the ability
40:00
Speaker 1: to hire the smartest people in the world, to pay
40:03
Speaker 1: them well and to give them the resources necessary to
40:06
Speaker 1: do the work, so they will stay ahead. But it's
40:16
Speaker 1: going to be I mean, the next few years are
40:18
Speaker 1: going to be fascinating. And then you know, so those
40:21
Speaker 1: are some of the dimensions of AI. How do we
40:25
Speaker 1: deal with the real risks? Who should deal with them?
40:30
Speaker 1: If the government has a role, and it probably does
40:32
Speaker 1: have some role. So if national security has a role,
40:35
Speaker 1: what is it and how do we delimin it? So
40:37
Speaker 1: it only deals with national security? What happens with the
40:42
Speaker 1: economic dislocations that are going to happen? People are going
40:50
Speaker 1: to be upset the wise of AI. Populism on the
40:55
Speaker 1: right and on the left is all around us. How
40:58
Speaker 1: is that going to be dealt with? I mean, we
41:01
Speaker 1: know Bernie Sanders now is saying the United States should
41:06
Speaker 1: have a Southern Wealth Fund. That Southern Wealth Fund should
41:11
Speaker 1: have should take positions in fifty percent of all the
41:16
Speaker 1: AI companies, not by buying their stocks, by being gifted
41:19
Speaker 1: the stock in a sense of the tax, a one
41:22
Speaker 1: time fifty percent tax that the US government essent should
41:26
Speaker 1: own fifty percent of all the AI companies, defact out
41:29
Speaker 1: without having to put up a dime. And you know
41:35
Speaker 1: that that money will help ease the economic disruption that
41:40
Speaker 1: is coming. When JD. Vance was asked about this, you know,
41:49
Speaker 1: Bernie Sanders proposal. He was asked what Trump thinks of it,
41:55
Speaker 1: and Trump and and Bernie and Jadvans basically said the
41:59
Speaker 1: President likes the idea too. He said, I don't know
42:04
Speaker 1: that he would say fifty, but Trump likes the idea.
42:08
Speaker 1: The idea of the United States creating a soueign wealth fund.
42:13
Speaker 1: I'm not sure with whose money and where the money
42:15
Speaker 1: comes from. I guess this is just a fifty percent
42:18
Speaker 1: tax on the AI companies, right, so you don't have
42:21
Speaker 1: to have any money in it. So you know that
42:25
Speaker 1: the US government just establishes a sovereign wealth funds and
42:29
Speaker 1: then takes positions fifty some positions and all these companies.
42:36
Speaker 1: Now I suppose, he Van said. He rejected the Santa
42:41
Speaker 1: style model of simply taxing AI wealth. Instead, he argued
42:47
Speaker 1: that wolkers and ordinary people should have a seat at
42:50
Speaker 1: the table, boggaining table before I wealth is concentrated. They're
42:54
Speaker 1: all convinced this is going to lead to massive concentration
42:57
Speaker 1: of wealth. Just like marks in the past, a few
42:59
Speaker 1: people will own all the wealth in society. You know,
43:03
Speaker 1: you can never refute marks. It's always just around the corner.
43:08
Speaker 1: According to Vance, Trump's mechanism would be a solvable wall
43:11
Speaker 1: fund that actually buys or takes equity positions in these companies.
43:20
Speaker 1: And yeah, I mean, so there's agreement between left and
43:23
Speaker 1: right about this. Vance said he doesn't think there will
43:32
Speaker 1: be mass unemployment, but he does think or fears that
43:37
Speaker 1: there will be mass inequality and ordinary workers will stagnate
43:46
Speaker 1: while huge amounts of wealth will be concentrated in the aiphems.
43:51
Speaker 1: But look, I mean this is left and right. This
43:54
Speaker 1: is going to be a big political issue. How do
43:57
Speaker 1: we deal with the disruption? How do we deal with
44:00
Speaker 1: I mean, big proposal out there is ubi universal basic income?
44:04
Speaker 1: How do we deal with the dislocation? And there is
44:08
Speaker 1: going to be a dislocation, a shift, a change, people's
44:13
Speaker 1: jobs will change, things will change, the economy will be different.
44:17
Speaker 1: How do we deal with that? And given that we
44:20
Speaker 1: have two status political parties, what can we expect as
44:27
Speaker 1: a result of that? More government intervention, more statism, more
44:32
Speaker 1: attempts to be distribute wealth, more attempts for the government
44:36
Speaker 1: to get involved in AI policy, and we will see
44:43
Speaker 1: I think, Look, the AI companies, the BAI companies, like
44:47
Speaker 1: a topic, are actively engaged in efforts to get themselves
44:52
Speaker 1: regulated postially because it takes away a liability. We didn't
44:57
Speaker 1: do that, you know, the regulators told us. And because
45:01
Speaker 1: I think it solidifies their places. They don't why we
45:04
Speaker 1: are competition, you know. Regulations now will kind of freeze
45:11
Speaker 1: them into position as the leaders for a very long time.
45:17
Speaker 1: Gives them a competitive advantage, and they I'll help write
45:20
Speaker 1: the regulation to favor themselves. But they want to be regulated,
45:25
Speaker 1: all of them. They all say so all the time.
45:32
Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, I know, all I'm doing today
45:38
Speaker 1: is updating you and raising a lot of questions because
45:41
Speaker 1: at the end of the day, that's all I have.
45:44
Speaker 1: I don't know exactly what should happen, exactly how it
45:47
Speaker 1: should be. I don't trust politicians, so I want the
45:51
Speaker 1: politicians at this point to lay off minimal only when
45:57
Speaker 1: it's really national security. I am very skeptical that what
46:02
Speaker 1: the government did to Fable five was right, was justified.
46:10
Speaker 1: And the fact that it's taken it's a week and
46:12
Speaker 1: they still haven't changed their minds and nobody's actually explained
46:15
Speaker 1: the whole thing is very suspicious and ominous. But beyond that,
46:25
Speaker 1: I don't know. But I will tell you this, this
46:27
Speaker 1: is going to be a major topic for the Ion bookshow.
46:30
Speaker 1: Moving forward, I'm going to try to find some people
46:34
Speaker 1: who know a lot about AI and talk to them,
46:37
Speaker 1: and we are going to definitely try to dig in
46:40
Speaker 1: deeper into this issue and try to understand it, and
46:46
Speaker 1: I will try to help you understand it better, hopefully
46:49
Speaker 1: not just ask questions, but actually have answers for you
46:53
Speaker 1: as well. This is a funny story, I guess. So
47:02
Speaker 1: it turns out that doing an interview, this is a
47:05
Speaker 1: this is a Donald Trump funny story. Joined an interview
47:08
Speaker 1: with the Italian broadcaster, Donald Trump claimed that the Italian
47:13
Speaker 1: Prime Minister Jojia Miloney begged to take a photo with
47:18
Speaker 1: him during the G seventh summit in France. You know
47:24
Speaker 1: that she she she she begged for the photo, and
47:29
Speaker 1: he continued to say that he, you know, he felt
47:34
Speaker 1: sorry for her. He felt sorry for because she wanted
47:37
Speaker 1: so much attention and he wanted wanted to be wanted
47:39
Speaker 1: a photo with him, and that was so important to her. Anyway,
47:46
Speaker 1: this has created a diplomatic storm. The Italian Foreign Minister
47:53
Speaker 1: Antonio Tajani well, the serious and offensive words President Trump
48:00
Speaker 1: towards Fine Minister Jojia Miloney offended all of Italy for
48:05
Speaker 1: this reason, I've decided to cancel my visit to the
48:08
Speaker 1: United States scheduled for next twenty one and twenty two
48:11
Speaker 1: of June. So he's not coming to the US because
48:17
Speaker 1: of I mean, he was just Trump was making fun
48:20
Speaker 1: of her. Trump was making fun of him. Maloney came
48:26
Speaker 1: out with a statement a video and this is great.
48:33
Speaker 1: She was really good. I mean, I kind of like Maloney.
48:36
Speaker 1: You know, I don't agree with you on a lot
48:37
Speaker 1: of things, but I kind of like Maloney. She doesn't
48:40
Speaker 1: seem like the kind of person who just who's going
48:43
Speaker 1: to shy away from conflict, and which is good? Right?
48:47
Speaker 1: This is Maloney, so sudden things there's of an immediate response.
48:53
Speaker 1: Donald Trump's statement are completely fabricated. Frankly, I am appalled.
49:00
Speaker 1: I do not know why President of the United States
49:02
Speaker 1: behaves this way towards his own allies. After all, it's
49:07
Speaker 1: not the first time this has happened. Yeah, he's made
49:09
Speaker 1: comments about Maloney in the past and about others of course,
49:12
Speaker 1: in the past. She continues, and this is the killer paragraph.
49:18
Speaker 1: I can only say it is a shame that he
49:22
Speaker 1: does not show the same determination towards the enemies of
49:25
Speaker 1: the West. Towards the enemies of the United States and
49:30
Speaker 1: towards leaders with whom he instead proves to be much
49:35
Speaker 1: more accommodating. But there is one thing he must remember
49:40
Speaker 1: Italy and I never beg so a gentle but pretty
49:50
Speaker 1: explicit dig at Trump's Iran deal. Right, he doesn't show
49:57
Speaker 1: the same determination towards the enemies of the United States.
50:01
Speaker 1: That's pretty good. I like it. Keep it up, maloney.
50:04
Speaker 1: I'd like to see more world leaders go after Trump.
50:09
Speaker 1: I mean, it's just such a horrible human being, horrible
50:14
Speaker 1: human being. Every opportunity to put people down that he
50:24
Speaker 1: can take, even if you have to, even if he
50:26
Speaker 1: has to invent little stories about them. All Right, there's
50:33
Speaker 1: a big scandal in Washington, d C. Right now, and
50:37
Speaker 1: you know, as uh as always, it's it's it's not
50:43
Speaker 1: about anything really really that important, but it is very
50:47
Speaker 1: reflective of Donald Trump's way of doing business and way
50:52
Speaker 1: of running out government and that big crisis and and uh,
50:57
Speaker 1: you know, and it is is owns the reflecting pool
51:03
Speaker 1: that is in front of the Washington Monument, one of
51:06
Speaker 1: the nice features of the Washington Monument. I don't like
51:09
Speaker 1: the Washington Monior. I don't like an oblisk commemorating an
51:13
Speaker 1: American and a great American, like like the greatest president
51:17
Speaker 1: who have you had, which is George Washington. Is the
51:21
Speaker 1: reflecting pool which reflects the monument in its waters. It
51:25
Speaker 1: links the Jefferson I think it's the Jefferson Monument with
51:30
Speaker 1: the Washington Monument. The reflecting pool is a nice feature.
51:34
Speaker 1: And anyway, the reflecting poole needed some maintenance and it
51:37
Speaker 1: needed to be cleaned. And Trump make made a big
51:40
Speaker 1: deal out of the fact that he was gonna he
51:43
Speaker 1: was going to do this right. That there was a
51:44
Speaker 1: disgrace that the reflecting pool turned green because of Alga.
51:49
Speaker 1: And but he of course he is, he's a developer.
51:52
Speaker 1: He was going to do this right. He knew how
51:54
Speaker 1: to do it. Uh and uh, and he was going
51:56
Speaker 1: to get the right people. And they were going to
51:58
Speaker 1: do it really, really cheaply. And and anyway, they drained
52:01
Speaker 1: the water the reflecting pool, and uh, they they got
52:05
Speaker 1: a no bid, a no bid contract. This is a
52:09
Speaker 1: contract without competition, you know, one contractor. It turns out,
52:14
Speaker 1: not accidentally, a neighbor of Trump's in Malo Lago, his
52:20
Speaker 1: phone came in and they were gonna paint the reflecting
52:23
Speaker 1: pool and install a water purification system and do all
52:28
Speaker 1: the things to make sure that this reflecting pool remained beautiful.
52:34
Speaker 1: Thomas uh corrects me that the connection is to the
52:38
Speaker 1: Lincoln Monument. I apologize for making the mistake. They connecting
52:42
Speaker 1: the Lincoln Monument and the and the and the Western Monument. Anyway,
52:47
Speaker 1: they bought in this contractor a long time support of
52:50
Speaker 1: Trump's donut to his campaign, and he came in with
52:53
Speaker 1: a no bid contract, and of course he went way, way, way,
52:58
Speaker 1: way way over budget. He painted the thing and the
53:03
Speaker 1: pool was blue, which is not the original color, but
53:07
Speaker 1: you know, it looked clean and at least and it
53:10
Speaker 1: was reflecting, although again not as nice as the original
53:13
Speaker 1: pool I think was. But then over the last few days,
53:16
Speaker 1: people have discovered that all the algae there was clean,
53:19
Speaker 1: the weight has all grown back, and whatever filtering system
53:23
Speaker 1: they put in has failed completely, and the reflecting pool
53:26
Speaker 1: is now completely green. It's completely green. And the whole thing,
53:33
Speaker 1: which costs millions of tax payer money, fourteen million dollars,
53:39
Speaker 1: it just took a few weeks and now this blue,
53:45
Speaker 1: you know, reflecting pool is green again. And then when
53:49
Speaker 1: they try to treat it with material that some chemical
53:55
Speaker 1: that will treat the algae. Right, they treated it with
54:00
Speaker 1: material is something that will treat the algy The material
54:03
Speaker 1: that they poured into the pool to treat the algae
54:06
Speaker 1: kill It has basically caused the paints, this layer of
54:11
Speaker 1: paint that they put at the bottom of the pool
54:13
Speaker 1: of the affecting pool to peel off. And now they're
54:18
Speaker 1: these big chunks of I guess it's paint or some
54:23
Speaker 1: kind of material that they put at the bottom of
54:25
Speaker 1: the pool. It's just tearing off. It's just disintegrated. It's
54:31
Speaker 1: just disintegrated. I mean, this is so typical of everything
54:39
Speaker 1: Trump does, big bombastic statements about how this is going
54:44
Speaker 1: to be this is going to be around for hundreds
54:46
Speaker 1: of years and it's never going to be maintenance, and
54:48
Speaker 1: he knows how to do it, and it's going to
54:50
Speaker 1: be the best reflecting pool in history. And Obama, who
54:53
Speaker 1: last renovated it, was a loser and he Trump can
54:56
Speaker 1: do this right. I mean, this is a perfect reflect
55:01
Speaker 1: of the Iran deio Trump is and the people he
55:07
Speaker 1: has running the government. Unbelievably incompetent and corrupt. They're just
55:15
Speaker 1: unbelievably in common and corrupt in the just on the
55:18
Speaker 1: basic Now, not everybody, obviously, they're better people, and Partner
55:22
Speaker 1: with Energy is pretty good, and Interior maybe's pretty good.
55:25
Speaker 1: And there are a few others. But so much of
55:28
Speaker 1: the government reflects Trump, who is incompetent and corrupt, without
55:33
Speaker 1: any caveats to that statement, more corrupt than any president
55:37
Speaker 1: in American history. And this is a reflection of it.
55:41
Speaker 1: The Iran deio is a reflection of that in space
55:44
Speaker 1: in a geopolitical setting. And this is a little This
55:47
Speaker 1: only costs fourteen million, not even a you know, and
55:50
Speaker 1: nobody even talks about millions anymore. And this is how
55:56
Speaker 1: they run government, right. They ignored their experts, they ignore
55:59
Speaker 1: the science, they overspend. It's all inside a dealing, so
56:04
Speaker 1: somebody close to Trump gets the contract. When it's finished,
56:09
Speaker 1: they declay historic victory. Somehow, Trump even brought in the left.
56:15
Speaker 1: The left hates the reflecting pool and then completely fails,
56:22
Speaker 1: completely fails. And I get and I guess there's even
56:26
Speaker 1: some conspiracy theories about the Democrats did it. The Democrats
56:30
Speaker 1: sabotaged it somehow, and Mega just pretends it doesn't matter
56:37
Speaker 1: and moves on to something else because they can't ever
56:42
Speaker 1: actually face that Trump is a total failure. They can't
56:50
Speaker 1: they can't face that fact. They can't face that fact.
56:55
Speaker 1: All right, just a quick reminded, because we're coming out
56:57
Speaker 1: to the end of the first hour, just a quicker
56:59
Speaker 1: on minded that the show is funded to support from you.
57:02
Speaker 1: You the listener watcher. Some of you are listening live,
57:07
Speaker 1: so you can contribute live through superchat and stickers. Sticka
57:10
Speaker 1: is a great way to contribute. You don't have to
57:12
Speaker 1: ask a questions, but even better, it's a super chat
57:15
Speaker 1: and then you ask a question, I get to answer it,
57:17
Speaker 1: and you kind of dictate what I talk about. So
57:20
Speaker 1: we're about seventy we're sixty five dollars short of our
57:23
Speaker 1: first hour goal. So it'd be great if we've got
57:25
Speaker 1: a few twenty dollars questions or even some ten dollars
57:28
Speaker 1: questions just to close that gap. So please jump in
57:32
Speaker 1: and you can do that with a sticker or a
57:34
Speaker 1: super chat. All right, here's some This is what we
57:37
Speaker 1: start with. The good news. We don't have a lot
57:39
Speaker 1: of good news stories today, but we have a few.
57:42
Speaker 1: And here's here's a biggie which is a surprising one
57:46
Speaker 1: and better victory for the Cuban people. Cuba has just
57:51
Speaker 1: started the largest economical forms since nineteen fifty nine, since
57:56
Speaker 1: the revolution. The country parliaments has unanimously approved radical reforms
58:03
Speaker 1: that are going to provide for privatization of a significant
58:06
Speaker 1: part of the economy. The plan provides for private real
58:11
Speaker 1: estate development, the creation of private banks, the transformation of
58:15
Speaker 1: some state enterprises into commercial companies which shares, and the
58:19
Speaker 1: easing of restrictions for private businesses. This has been approved
58:26
Speaker 1: and supported by the Cuban Communist Party and by Roul Costro,
58:32
Speaker 1: the former leader. Now, I think a lot of this
58:38
Speaker 1: is pressure from the United States, which has been good.
58:44
Speaker 1: So this is one Trump policy that may pan out.
58:48
Speaker 1: And really the economic pressures of they don't have Russia
58:54
Speaker 1: can afford to support them anymore. China is not willing
58:57
Speaker 1: to do that much. And when it's Uela is gone.
59:01
Speaker 1: Vinazali used to send them bag checks and lots of
59:03
Speaker 1: oil and they're gone. Right, So Cuba's reforming. It's turning
59:11
Speaker 1: the Chinese model. Stay dictatorship, keep the communist partty going,
59:17
Speaker 1: but start liberating parts of the economy so that the
59:24
Speaker 1: Cuban people start creating wealth. And you know, China's not
59:29
Speaker 1: confiscated huge amounts of that wealth, so you know, a
59:35
Speaker 1: lot of that wealth stays in private hands, and tax
59:38
Speaker 1: rates in China lower than they are in the United States,
59:41
Speaker 1: and there's less redistribution in China than there is in
59:43
Speaker 1: the United States, at least to the poor. You know,
59:48
Speaker 1: we'll see what Cuba does with all this, and we'll
59:50
Speaker 1: see other Cuban people respond, and we'll see how this evolves.
59:55
Speaker 1: But it is, it is pretty amazing and inspiring. I
1:00:01
Speaker 1: wish this was also combined with regime change, but I
1:00:05
Speaker 1: think what's happening is Cuban is trying to get ahead
1:00:07
Speaker 1: of the curve ahead of a revolution, trying to privatize
1:00:17
Speaker 1: and maybe get the Cuban people to start making money
1:00:21
Speaker 1: so that they're less inclined towards a revolution. In a sense,
1:00:28
Speaker 1: bribe the Chinese into the Chinese is the same case.
1:00:33
Speaker 1: Bribe the Cubans into silence, into acquiescence, into acceptance of
1:00:38
Speaker 1: the rule of the Chinese communist body. That is what
1:00:41
Speaker 1: I think is happening. Whether they will lose control over
1:00:46
Speaker 1: this and this will spiral out of their control and
1:00:49
Speaker 1: become you know, and encourage more and more markets and
1:00:54
Speaker 1: private property, and ultimately that will lead to some kind
1:00:57
Speaker 1: of revolution or not it is. It is hard to tell.
1:01:01
Speaker 1: But this is great news. I mean, it's great news. Look,
1:01:04
Speaker 1: it's great news for the Cuban people. It's not the
1:01:06
Speaker 1: kind of outcome I would want. I want to be
1:01:08
Speaker 1: more radical, but it is a great outcome for the
1:01:12
Speaker 1: Cuban people who suffered since nineteen fifty nine from extreme poverty,
1:01:16
Speaker 1: extraordinary poverty, and lack of any kind of freedom. This, granted,
1:01:22
Speaker 1: doesn't give them freedom in many realms, but it might
1:01:26
Speaker 1: give them at least an out in terms of poverty.
1:01:30
Speaker 1: They will now have the opportunity to you know, hopefully
1:01:35
Speaker 1: invest and to build up some real capital, and to
1:01:41
Speaker 1: build up some wealth and to become you know, to
1:01:45
Speaker 1: start businesses and to do stuff. We'll see, we will see.
1:01:48
Speaker 1: So I'll be watching this story out of Cuba closely
1:01:51
Speaker 1: in terms of what its ramifications actually are. Right, Let's
1:02:01
Speaker 1: see a few other stories, a couple of stories out
1:02:04
Speaker 1: of Argentina which are kind of interesting. So Argentina had
1:02:09
Speaker 1: historically had a government regulation basically restricted the patenting of
1:02:19
Speaker 1: biotechnology technology. Biotechnology developed in Argentina. She couldn't patent biotechnology,
1:02:27
Speaker 1: of course, that restricted them out of biotechnology developed in Argentina.
1:02:32
Speaker 1: It made them into a non player in the biotech space.
1:02:39
Speaker 1: That is just being repealed by the Melay government. So
1:02:46
Speaker 1: National Governor appealed Resolution two eight three slash fifteen, which
1:02:50
Speaker 1: restricted the patenting biotechnology developing Argentina. According to Cabinet chief
1:02:56
Speaker 1: Manuel o'doni, he said, the measure aligns the company the
1:03:00
Speaker 1: country with international standards, will enable the attraction of investments
1:03:04
Speaker 1: and new technologies to the production sector, especially the agricultural one.
1:03:09
Speaker 1: The change will restore a clearer, more predictable environment compatible
1:03:14
Speaker 1: with the promotion of biotechnology technological innovation, aligned with international
1:03:20
Speaker 1: standards and national legislation. So this is you know, this
1:03:25
Speaker 1: is really great. This is on top of a suggested
1:03:33
Speaker 1: by Melay to create and to create a legal framework
1:03:39
Speaker 1: in Argentina for what they called a on AI run
1:03:45
Speaker 1: non human corporations, aim to let AI fully thrive freely
1:03:52
Speaker 1: without the deadly hand of premature and poorly understood regulation.
1:03:57
Speaker 1: So you know, Argentina's president is opposing a new legal
1:04:01
Speaker 1: category for aio robot run companies called non human corporations.
1:04:06
Speaker 1: The idea would give autonomous entities limited limited liability, allowing
1:04:12
Speaker 1: them to own assets and operate without required human shareholders.
1:04:19
Speaker 1: You know, I have no idea how that works, what
1:04:21
Speaker 1: that means, but it's going to be it's going to
1:04:27
Speaker 1: be super interesting, right. This is something being promoted by
1:04:31
Speaker 1: Melay and by his what do you call it deregulation minister,
1:04:37
Speaker 1: and I'm curious to see how this happens. I mean,
1:04:44
Speaker 1: what does that actually mean for I to run businesses
1:04:47
Speaker 1: independent of all human interaction? No idea, no idea. All right.
1:04:59
Speaker 1: A few other kind of positive stories in terms of
1:05:01
Speaker 1: what's going on out there in the world. India. India
1:05:06
Speaker 1: is actually building out AI infrastructure and they are trying
1:05:11
Speaker 1: to build data centers, large data centers. A major Indian
1:05:15
Speaker 1: real estate and infrastructure firm RMZ plans are thirty five
1:05:19
Speaker 1: billion dollar push into data centers and AI factories, aiming
1:05:23
Speaker 1: to scale from two hundred and fifty megawatts today to
1:05:26
Speaker 1: two to three gigawatts over the next five years. You know,
1:05:33
Speaker 1: this is this is huge. Of course, India also has
1:05:37
Speaker 1: kind of the engineering talent to become a player in
1:05:41
Speaker 1: the AI space in addition to the US and China,
1:05:46
Speaker 1: but it needs the infrastructure. China has the infrastructure. China
1:05:49
Speaker 1: produces huge quantities of electricity. India needs this to build
1:05:54
Speaker 1: the data centers and to build the power plants to
1:05:56
Speaker 1: be able to fuel those data centers. So it's great
1:06:00
Speaker 1: to see more competitors globally arising. This doesn't have to
1:06:04
Speaker 1: be a US thing. I think the major political issue
1:06:06
Speaker 1: for the United States is make sure China is not
1:06:10
Speaker 1: the dominant player, because China is not a positive here,
1:06:17
Speaker 1: not a positive here. Also in AI robotics, if you will,
1:06:23
Speaker 1: Boston Dynamics, which is a company in Boston that has
1:06:26
Speaker 1: been at the forefront of designing robots for years now.
1:06:31
Speaker 1: I think they've not been overtaken by the Chinese, but
1:06:34
Speaker 1: they were cutting edge with got A robots for a
1:06:37
Speaker 1: very very long time, but they never were successful at
1:06:41
Speaker 1: actually commercializing, actually going out there and selling these in
1:06:45
Speaker 1: large quantities and actually turning into an industry. I mean,
1:06:49
Speaker 1: Elon Musk is probably more further along than Boston Dynamics,
1:06:54
Speaker 1: even though Boston Dynamics has been around for so much
1:06:56
Speaker 1: longer at that. Well, it turns out the Boston Dynamics
1:07:00
Speaker 1: is going to be bought out basically by Hyundai, the
1:07:05
Speaker 1: South Korean company Hyundai, and this is a how do
1:07:12
Speaker 1: you turn great technology into product story. Hyundai is going
1:07:17
Speaker 1: to take the science, the tech, the engineering that is
1:07:22
Speaker 1: in developed by Boston Dynamics, and they're gonna pull it
1:07:25
Speaker 1: from the lab and they're gonna build it. They're gonna
1:07:30
Speaker 1: they're gonna, you know, they're experts at manufacturing, their experts
1:07:34
Speaker 1: at logistics, they're expert at you know, finding, you know,
1:07:40
Speaker 1: appealing to consumers. So my guess is you're going to
1:07:46
Speaker 1: see Boston Dynamic robots under their Hyundai label just just
1:07:55
Speaker 1: you know, increase exponentially over the next few years robots generally,
1:08:00
Speaker 1: and Hundai is going to be a player because they
1:08:02
Speaker 1: have one of the best technologies in the world with
1:08:04
Speaker 1: Boston Dynamics, and they know how to build consumer products,
1:08:08
Speaker 1: they know how to build industrial automation, they know how
1:08:12
Speaker 1: to do all this stuff, and they are being that
1:08:16
Speaker 1: expertise to a company those most science engineering based than
1:08:21
Speaker 1: product based. They will create products from the science. All right,
1:08:29
Speaker 1: let's see, all right, let's call that the news for
1:08:36
Speaker 1: this fight day, June nineteenth, and thanks thanks to all
1:08:44
Speaker 1: of you for being here and listening. I appreciate it,
1:08:49
Speaker 1: and we will now move to the Q and a pod. Anyway, Uh,
1:09:07
Speaker 1: I'm just looking because Trump has just talked about Anthropic
1:09:09
Speaker 1: let me just let me just treat to you. Or
1:09:11
Speaker 1: Trump said about Anthropic. So the reporter asked him, do
1:09:14
Speaker 1: you view Anthropic and to a degree at CEO Dario
1:09:17
Speaker 1: Amadei as a threat to national security? And Trump says, well,
1:09:22
Speaker 1: not now, but a week ago. Maybe I was with
1:09:25
Speaker 1: him yesterday. He made a speech. Seemed like a nice guy,
1:09:28
Speaker 1: smart guy. But he responded to us very quickly, because
1:09:31
Speaker 1: you know it's a tremendous liability. He responded very responsibly.
1:09:35
Speaker 1: I thought, reporter, would you consider using Defense Production Act
1:09:39
Speaker 1: to possibly regulate or control the I Trump says, I would,
1:09:45
Speaker 1: but I'm not sure I have to do that. I
1:09:47
Speaker 1: think so far it's been very responsible. Actually, it was
1:09:50
Speaker 1: a competitive and a pot owner that turned Anthropic in.
1:09:55
Speaker 1: It was Amazon. Amazon both owns a piece of Anthropic
1:09:58
Speaker 1: and discovered the flaw, although again not clear that Anthropic
1:10:02
Speaker 1: thinks there was a flaw. So anyway, Trump Trump meeting
1:10:09
Speaker 1: the guy is going to make it him a lot
1:10:13
Speaker 1: more reasonable about the company. I mean, he Trump responds
1:10:16
Speaker 1: to personal connections. He responds to personal connections, all right.
1:10:24
Speaker 1: Reminder again, super chats and stickers are welcome. Patreon is
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1:11:57
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Speaker 1: let's see what I want to say. Yeah, Alex Epstein
1:12:40
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1:12:45
Speaker 1: public these days, but the number one defender of us
1:12:49
Speaker 1: our fuels of energy abundance. And you know his work
1:12:54
Speaker 1: should be supported. But more than that, you have a lot.
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Speaker 1: And he's a great communicator, so you can learn too
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Speaker 1: about his communication skills. Check him out at Alex Epstein
1:13:05
Speaker 1: do substeck dot com. Alex Epstein substec dot com Defenders
1:13:09
Speaker 1: of Capitalism. Defenders of Capitalism dot com is a great
1:13:12
Speaker 1: website where capitalism with a program the defense Capitalism from political, social,
1:13:17
Speaker 1: and philosophical model perspective. I've been involved with their programs
1:13:22
Speaker 1: for twenty years. Michael is a great guy, and sign
1:13:27
Speaker 1: up for the newsletters. I think you want to be
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Speaker 1: updated on the exciting things that they are doing, and
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Speaker 1: I think we'll do a lot more in the future.
1:13:35
Speaker 1: All right, let's dive into your questions and let's start
1:13:42
Speaker 1: with some fifty dollars questions. Not your average algorithm. You say,
1:13:48
Speaker 1: we shouldn't start a revolution without a real chance of winning.
1:13:51
Speaker 1: But what would you do if you are Canadian trucker
1:13:55
Speaker 1: during the COVID lockdown protests who had their bank accounts
1:13:59
Speaker 1: fozen and couldn't pay for a lawyer to defend themselves.
1:14:03
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know what I would do, But
1:14:06
Speaker 1: what would be the point? I mean, committing suicide is
1:14:08
Speaker 1: not is not a good idea. It's just not a
1:14:13
Speaker 1: good idea. And indeed, the Canadian truckers did not launch
1:14:15
Speaker 1: a revolution. And even when they protested, they didn't launch
1:14:19
Speaker 1: a revolution. It didn't lead to that there's just there's
1:14:23
Speaker 1: just not enough. So what do you do? You you're
1:14:27
Speaker 1: frustrated and you're angry, and maybe you get involved in politics,
1:14:31
Speaker 1: maybe you uh, maybe you uh get yourself a podcast
1:14:36
Speaker 1: and you yell and scream. Maybe you leave Canada. Where
1:14:40
Speaker 1: do you go? And you're not allowed into the United States.
1:14:44
Speaker 1: So there were a lot of things that you could do.
1:14:49
Speaker 1: A revolution is a last resort. And again, you don't
1:14:54
Speaker 1: want to have a revolution where it's just suicide. It's
1:15:02
Speaker 1: just suicide. So you have to figure out, based on
1:15:07
Speaker 1: your values and based on what's available to you, what
1:15:09
Speaker 1: you can do. It's frustrating. It's frustrating. There's no solution
1:15:16
Speaker 1: to the statism with which we live. There's no solution
1:15:19
Speaker 1: to the authoritarianism other than the long term solution of
1:15:24
Speaker 1: trying to educate your fellow Canadians or fellow Americans and
1:15:27
Speaker 1: the value of freedom. But that's hard work and it takes
1:15:34
Speaker 1: a long time, and there are no shortcuts. I wish
1:15:37
Speaker 1: they were author also fifty dollars, Thank you, author? Why
1:15:44
Speaker 1: was your aunt so confident? Evil can't be aware of itself.
1:15:49
Speaker 1: What happens when people become aware of their own evil
1:15:53
Speaker 1: or they physically can't become aware of it. I'm sure
1:15:56
Speaker 1: Hitler knew he was evil and didn't care. Evil as
1:15:59
Speaker 1: a cathotic release for him. You know, look, it's a
1:16:03
Speaker 1: psychological observation. It's even Hitler constantly tries to justify what
1:16:09
Speaker 1: he's doing, tries to explain it in terms of something good, right.
1:16:14
Speaker 1: I mean, the Jews it passed and they were half
1:16:19
Speaker 1: human and they needed to eradication, and he was doing
1:16:22
Speaker 1: it for the German people, and doing for the German
1:16:25
Speaker 1: people that was good. It's good altruism, it's good collectivism.
1:16:28
Speaker 1: And I think he held that. I think that's how
1:16:30
Speaker 1: what he believed. I mean her view is psychologically, when
1:16:35
Speaker 1: you come to the conclusion that you hate life, that
1:16:39
Speaker 1: you hate human beings, that you hate reality, which is
1:16:43
Speaker 1: really ultimately the motivation behind evil, that you are purposefully
1:16:50
Speaker 1: evading reality, I think she would argue that you would
1:17:00
Speaker 1: go crazy, that you can't function in the world and
1:17:09
Speaker 1: hold that view. At the same time, you can't be
1:17:13
Speaker 1: driven to do anything if you hold that view, because
1:17:20
Speaker 1: whatever drives you to do something flies in opposition to
1:17:26
Speaker 1: that very notion of hatred of the world and hatred
1:17:30
Speaker 1: of reality and hatred of all of this and hatred
1:17:32
Speaker 1: of yourself. Doing is in a sense affirming life. It's
1:17:41
Speaker 1: in a sense affirming yourself. It's affirming values. So you
1:17:47
Speaker 1: have to hide it from yourself. And I think the
1:17:49
Speaker 1: best expression of that was for her in the character
1:17:52
Speaker 1: of James Taggart and what happens to him when he
1:17:55
Speaker 1: realizes what he really is and how he goes crazy.
1:18:00
Speaker 1: To her is what it means. Now, it's a psychological observation.
1:18:03
Speaker 1: So I don't have I don't have a strong view.
1:18:08
Speaker 1: I think she's right, but I don't have a strong
1:18:13
Speaker 1: view that that is necessary necessary. I think it is necessary,
1:18:17
Speaker 1: but I can't prove that because I don't have the
1:18:19
Speaker 1: psychological insight to be able to prove that. It seems
1:18:23
Speaker 1: right to me. That's how I would hold it. Author
1:18:29
Speaker 1: is life one big IQ test? No, no, no. Life
1:18:36
Speaker 1: is not an intelligence test. Life is a thinking test.
1:18:43
Speaker 1: It's a test of your willingness and ability, but primarily
1:18:47
Speaker 1: willingness to use your reason, to use your mind. It's
1:18:58
Speaker 1: not like if you don't have a very high IQ,
1:19:04
Speaker 1: you fail the test or you can't deal with reality.
1:19:07
Speaker 1: It's just not true. Lots of people who are not
1:19:11
Speaker 1: particularly intelligent in terms of the host power, but use
1:19:15
Speaker 1: what they have, use their mind, focus, build, create, work,
1:19:20
Speaker 1: are incredible, have great lives and build immense things. And
1:19:26
Speaker 1: others who might be the smartest people in the world
1:19:28
Speaker 1: who don't choose to use their mind or don't choose
1:19:31
Speaker 1: to use it in a productive way and don't focus
1:19:34
Speaker 1: and drift and have nothing lives and waste themselves completely.
1:19:41
Speaker 1: So no, it's not about IQ. It never has been
1:19:43
Speaker 1: about IQ. It's about what you do with what you have.
1:19:46
Speaker 1: It's about your choice to think, to reason, to be productive.
1:19:53
Speaker 1: It's about I mean, if you will. Life is a
1:19:57
Speaker 1: morality test. If you're going, it's gonna make it a test.
1:20:02
Speaker 1: It's a test of whether you live the virtues or not.
1:20:06
Speaker 1: And that's not an issue like you to extinct. You
1:20:09
Speaker 1: live them, you'll have a good life. Extint you don't.
1:20:12
Speaker 1: You won't. I mean, put aside accidents which happened, luck
1:20:16
Speaker 1: which does exist. It's about morality. Morality is your guarantee
1:20:24
Speaker 1: for success. But that requires effort, that requires focus, that
1:20:29
Speaker 1: requires you know, dedication, It requires effort. It doesn't just come.
1:20:35
Speaker 1: And those who make the effort and do it and
1:20:37
Speaker 1: live them all of life live a good life, and
1:20:38
Speaker 1: those who don't don't. That's it. Whatever they will intell
1:20:42
Speaker 1: intelligence happens to be chasba General melch It from Blackada
1:20:51
Speaker 1: goes forth. Quote, if you should falter, remember that Captain
1:20:56
Speaker 1: Darling and I are behind you. About thirty five miles
1:21:02
Speaker 1: behind you, is what Black Adda says. So again, if
1:21:05
Speaker 1: you should falter, remember that Captain Dowling and I are
1:21:09
Speaker 1: behind you. And Black Adam answers about thirty five miles
1:21:14
Speaker 1: behind you. In other words, they're not coming to help
1:21:17
Speaker 1: you behind you. Yes, that's the kind of humor Black Ada,
1:21:24
Speaker 1: particularly that final season ian. What was the sentimental sentiment,
1:21:33
Speaker 1: sorry sentiment of the state of the United States during
1:21:37
Speaker 1: the pullout of Vietnam. Seems like there was pride rebuilt
1:21:43
Speaker 1: from that time to the two thousands. I wonder what
1:21:46
Speaker 1: brought back that sense of American pride. Well Reagan did.
1:21:50
Speaker 1: I mean, I'll give him credit. That's the one thing
1:21:53
Speaker 1: he did manage to do. He lifted the spirit of Americans.
1:21:58
Speaker 1: He gave them a reasonablieve. The fall of the Building
1:22:03
Speaker 1: Wall and the dissolution of the Soviet Empire helped the
1:22:10
Speaker 1: consequence of this nineteen seventies and eighties, deregulation and a
1:22:14
Speaker 1: revitalization of the American economy helped. But yeah, coming out
1:22:19
Speaker 1: of Vietnam, this country was miserable, defeated, deflated, and it
1:22:27
Speaker 1: had high inflation much higher than we have today, and
1:22:32
Speaker 1: high crime rates much higher than we have today, and
1:22:35
Speaker 1: just a miserable time in America in the nineteen seventies
1:22:40
Speaker 1: were miserable, and the nineteen eighties, to Laug, she had
1:22:44
Speaker 1: reversed that they made them much better, and for a while,
1:22:50
Speaker 1: not permanently, not sustainably, but for a while, and not
1:22:54
Speaker 1: sustained itself until the defeat in Iraq and Afghanistan eleven
1:23:01
Speaker 1: and and what happened after nine to eleven? And then
1:23:03
Speaker 1: of course the next blow was the Great Financial Crisis,
1:23:06
Speaker 1: and the next blow is COVID And the next blow
1:23:10
Speaker 1: is this this deal? And now what? And who can
1:23:15
Speaker 1: bring us out of this? Can't see anybody on the horizon,
1:23:26
Speaker 1: Thomas hey Ron. Where can I access the confusion papers?
1:23:30
Speaker 1: Are there any lectures on the confusion papers? If so,
1:23:34
Speaker 1: where is that available? The only way to access the
1:23:37
Speaker 1: confusion confusion papers has become a student at the inn
1:23:40
Speaker 1: Rand University basically, so it's a it's a course for
1:23:45
Speaker 1: graduate students and if you're if you'll get accepted as
1:23:49
Speaker 1: a graduate student, you will have access to all the
1:23:52
Speaker 1: confusion papers. It's not publicly available. Who's never made publicly
1:23:57
Speaker 1: available and they intended to be publicly available. It's available
1:24:02
Speaker 1: to the graduate students. So if you're interested, you have
1:24:05
Speaker 1: to become a graduate student at AARI. All right, Jacob,
1:24:15
Speaker 1: I've heard Israel is slow to adapt to fiber controlled
1:24:18
Speaker 1: drones and hasn't learned from Ukraine. Is that true? And
1:24:21
Speaker 1: why how israeli Ukraine relations It hasn't, Which is sad
1:24:28
Speaker 1: Israel Ukraine relations of not being great because Israel would
1:24:31
Speaker 1: not side with Ukraine unequivocally, because because Israel, Israel was
1:24:44
Speaker 1: worried about pissing off the Russians. Russians at the time
1:24:48
Speaker 1: had a presence in Syria and Israel tried to maintain
1:24:51
Speaker 1: decent relations with the Russians. Also, there are a lot
1:24:53
Speaker 1: of Russian Jews who still commune between Russia and Israel.
1:25:00
Speaker 1: But sadly Israel as not now. I think it's developed
1:25:04
Speaker 1: in technology now and it will, but it's going to
1:25:06
Speaker 1: take time. In the meantime, soldiers are dying, but Yeah,
1:25:12
Speaker 1: I mean, look, the reality is even Ukraine is not
1:25:17
Speaker 1: fool proof and still suffers from these drones. But is
1:25:21
Speaker 1: Or could have learnt a lot from the Ukrainian experience,
1:25:23
Speaker 1: and it's a huge failing fail on behalf of the
1:25:28
Speaker 1: Israeli military not to have learned the lessons. So mark
1:25:32
Speaker 1: them down a notch. Tamo thoughts on Europeans amazed that
1:25:41
Speaker 1: uish prosperity. Yeah, I mean I talked about that on
1:25:43
Speaker 1: the show the other day. They're coming for the World
1:25:45
Speaker 1: Cup and they're amazed by how wealthy Americans are. Yeah,
1:25:49
Speaker 1: I've been talking about this for years. Americans are much
1:25:51
Speaker 1: richer than Europeans, and Europeans think they're not and they
1:25:55
Speaker 1: don't believe it, and then they come here and yeah,
1:25:59
Speaker 1: it's hard to it's hard not to realize how how
1:26:03
Speaker 1: much better things are in the US in many dimensions,
1:26:07
Speaker 1: not in all dimensions, many many dimensions. And it's it's
1:26:11
Speaker 1: obvious to people visiting, who go to grocery stores, who
1:26:14
Speaker 1: go to you know who, and how nice Americans are
1:26:17
Speaker 1: is competing Europeans. Americans is just nicer. It's one of
1:26:21
Speaker 1: the great things about Americans, the friendly and in ways
1:26:25
Speaker 1: that the French and other Europeans. Is just not Roland.
1:26:32
Speaker 1: Any food sight seeing museum accommodations for New Orleans. Okay,
1:26:36
Speaker 1: so food look the Orleans is a foody city, great food.
1:26:42
Speaker 1: Supposedly the best restaurant in New Orleans if you can
1:26:46
Speaker 1: get a reservation is duckhou D A k A R.
1:26:52
Speaker 1: It's just one best restaurant in the United States, in
1:26:55
Speaker 1: the South United States that got the James BEARDA Wood.
1:26:59
Speaker 1: It's I can't sure if they have a Michelin Star,
1:27:02
Speaker 1: but they are, you know, in every list of like
1:27:05
Speaker 1: best restaurants in New Orleans and best restaurants in US,
1:27:08
Speaker 1: they rank very highly. I think that one of the
1:27:12
Speaker 1: rankings I saw put some seventh in the United States.
1:27:17
Speaker 1: So definitely if you have a chance to try Dhaka,
1:27:20
Speaker 1: you should. Unfortunately I will not have a chance. But
1:27:23
Speaker 1: the other one is m Real. M reil is a
1:27:27
Speaker 1: long time restaurant in New Orleans run by Imriel, who
1:27:33
Speaker 1: is a famous celebrity chef in the United States. Used
1:27:35
Speaker 1: to have a cooking show. But so I beat to
1:27:39
Speaker 1: m Reyl's in its past life when the father ran
1:27:44
Speaker 1: the restaurant. But supposedly the restaurant is not being handed
1:27:46
Speaker 1: over to the Sun, and the son is incredibly talented,
1:27:51
Speaker 1: and the menu is more modern and more sophisticated and
1:27:55
Speaker 1: even better than the father's. So I've got a reservations
1:27:58
Speaker 1: to go to m Reel. I would highly recommend it.
1:28:00
Speaker 1: But those are just two. If you want classic, uh
1:28:04
Speaker 1: fancy New Orleans food, Commander's Palace, it's spectacular if you
1:28:12
Speaker 1: like rich food, but there's so many good places. Just
1:28:16
Speaker 1: look it up online. It's very much a foody place,
1:28:19
Speaker 1: but expect rich, greasy. I mean, I mean, this is
1:28:23
Speaker 1: not health food. This is not California sight seeing. I
1:28:28
Speaker 1: mean the French Quota is pretty. Uh, it's just just
1:28:34
Speaker 1: I haven't been there, I have to admit. In since
1:28:37
Speaker 1: the former Ria, in those days, particularly in the evenings,
1:28:42
Speaker 1: it used to wreak from beer because alcohol is allowed
1:28:45
Speaker 1: to be drunk in the street of those and and
1:28:49
Speaker 1: people would throw up and there's beer everywhere, and it
1:28:51
Speaker 1: just reeked from from alcohol, stale alcohol and staye be a.
1:28:56
Speaker 1: But maybe it could be much nicer now. But anyway,
1:28:59
Speaker 1: French there is pretty The New Orleans Art Museum is
1:29:03
Speaker 1: supposed to be really good. There's some good nineteenth century
1:29:06
Speaker 1: stuff there. I really enjoyed. And this is again twenty
1:29:10
Speaker 1: something years ago, so I don't know if this is
1:29:12
Speaker 1: still true. The antique stores. There's a street in New
1:29:17
Speaker 1: Orleans and Dalntown, New Orleans, in the French Quarter with
1:29:19
Speaker 1: just antique stores. And the antique stores were fabulous because
1:29:23
Speaker 1: they had great arts. They had sculptures and paintings from
1:29:29
Speaker 1: I guess estates of rich plantations, you know, rich New
1:29:34
Speaker 1: Orleans and Southerners, and it's some beautiful paintings and beautiful sculptures,
1:29:38
Speaker 1: really amazing stuff. If I had money, I would have
1:29:41
Speaker 1: spent a lot of money there in those days to
1:29:43
Speaker 1: buy this stuff. But so those are my things. I'm
1:29:46
Speaker 1: sure there's a lot more to see and do I mean,
1:29:50
Speaker 1: I looked at my ocon schedule and I have zero
1:29:53
Speaker 1: free time. Zero. I mean, I'm going to and Mills
1:29:58
Speaker 1: after the conference is over, because during the conference of
1:30:02
Speaker 1: Every Dinner's Book, Devy Lunches book that we spare second
1:30:06
Speaker 1: is booked. So yeah, all right, thanks Llan, Thank you guys,
1:30:14
Speaker 1: really appreciated. There will be a show tomorrow, probably at
1:30:17
Speaker 1: two pm East Coast time, something like that, two or
1:30:19
Speaker 1: three pm, and then of course Nikos and I will
1:30:22
Speaker 1: be back talking about Curtis Yavin. Curtis Yavin has got
1:30:27
Speaker 1: huge influence of Silicon Valley, huge influence on the New Right.
1:30:31
Speaker 1: We'll be talking about him on Sunday at three pm
1:30:35
Speaker 1: East Coast time. So check out the you on book
1:30:38
Speaker 1: show tomorrow, you on a Nicos show, or you on
1:30:41
Speaker 1: a Nicos dialogues on Sunday. I will see you have
1:30:46
Speaker 1: a great weekend. Bye everybody,