Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 428 - 1/8/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
- 0:13Hello and welcome to episode 428 of the All Systems.
- 0:18Go sports betting podcast. Powered.
- 0:21By rhythm, I'm your. Host Josh.
- 0:24Applebaum What's going on, everyone?
- 0:30Happy Thirsty Thursday, another day here in the arena.
- 0:33Guys, but it's a special day today because we are about to
- 0:36kick off. One of the most.
- 0:37Epic five day stretches of football.
- 0:40Betting that you're ever going to see.
- 0:41So of course, tonight I do have a best bet for you.
- 0:44On Ole Miss in Miami. College Football Playoff Final
- 0:47Four. And then?
- 0:48Tomorrow we have another college ball playoff game.
- 0:51Where we're looking at. Indiana and Oregon, another
- 0:53really sharp move. In that one, we've talked about
- 0:55that. Before but then Saturday got NFL
- 0:58playoffs. Sunday you got NFL playoffs
- 1:00Monday Night Football. We got NFL.
- 1:02Playoffs. So let's.
- 1:03See if we can make the most of this.
- 1:05Epic five day stretch. And see if we can catch some
- 1:07tickets here on what I would. Call really the best.
- 1:10Time of the year to be betting on football, both pro and
- 1:13college, so. Want to mention that we do.
- 1:15Have a play. Here on tonight for tonight with
- 1:17Ole. Miss in Miami.
- 1:19And then also I want to remind everyone they do have the
- 1:21rhythm. Rundown tonight.
- 1:22So if you are. Interested and you're?
- 1:24Free and you got some free time getting ready for.
- 1:26The Final four-game here tonight with.
- 1:28Ole Miss in Miami. Just log into Twitter.
- 1:31And we'll be going. Live myself.
- 1:32My buddy Kate Harper from 6:00 PM Eastern.
- 1:35Time to 7:00 PM Eastern Time. Talking about all these games,
- 1:38late movement, we're going to go.
- 1:39Through all the playoff. Games Pro and college.
- 1:41Over the next 5 days. And might dabble in a few.
- 1:44Other things as well. But you can just get right on
- 1:46Twitter you. Can follow me Josh under score
- 1:48insights and of? Course you can get right in
- 1:51there. Ask questions TuneIn.
- 1:53Learn more about rhythm. And hopefully help you cash some
- 1:55tickets and walk you through these games upcoming.
- 1:58Today. Tomorrow and this weekend.
- 2:01Now I didn't want to mention last night winning night 2.
- 2:03And 1 + 0. .65 units went two and one in college.
- 2:07Basketball had a great. Hit with Furman to start the
- 2:10day. Remember that was the.
- 2:11Early 5. O'clock game, but Furman got
- 2:14steamed up. Especially.
- 2:15Late. That was important to me that
- 2:16late. Movement, but minus. 1 1/2 up to
- 2:18-2 1/2 - 3. Money lining a short.
- 2:21Favorite came through so that. Was nice to see.
- 2:23And then the game that. Really got me excited.
- 2:26Was Stanford. Who sweat Stanford last night?
- 2:29I know you guys did because that was a blueprint play.
- 2:31Public was VAT tech, but VAT tech.
- 2:33Opened around minus. 5 1/2. You might have.
- 2:36Gotten Stanford plus 5 + 4 1/2. They closed at 3 1/2.
- 2:40So it's always nice to beat the closing line and.
- 2:42Diagnose a game correctly and. I want to give.
- 2:44A special shout out to Abuka O Corey.
- 2:48Abuka O Corey this. Kid is a freshman.
- 2:50And he had an incredible game. I think he's. 1/3 Leading.
- 2:53Third best leading scorer. In all of college basketball.
- 2:56But Stanford, like, was not covering.
- 2:58Much of the game and they end up winning on a pretty much a.
- 3:01Walk off 3 pointer. O Corey, this kid.
- 3:04This freshman nailed A3. To win outright.
- 3:06So thank you to Stanford for. Getting that one done with a
- 3:09reverse line. Move, play only loser.
- 3:11It was sharp as a tack. But man.
- 3:14I'm just going to tell you, right.
- 3:15Now that Baylor. Team is just stupid.
- 3:17Like the way they play is just. Dumb they end up.
- 3:20Losing by 10. Iowa State The public gets the
- 3:23last laugh. I got the four and a half there.
- 3:26Opened at six. Some shops even closed.
- 3:27At 4:00. 3 1/2 So beat the closing line, but Baylor.
- 3:31Had a lead early, Blew it. And they made a comeback.
- 3:33Bid and then they're. In like the.
- 3:34Last two minutes. Or so.
- 3:36There were two straight Hail Mary passes that Iowa State
- 3:39through. Both times, Baylor was not.
- 3:41Defending the guy. He streaks for a layup, so just
- 3:44just a. Just and I again I thought that.
- 3:45Guy Scott Drew was supposed to be a.
- 3:46Good coach. I guess it's about your players.
- 3:48Not as much coaching. But Baylor did let us down.
- 3:51But either way, guys, that's what we try to do 3 plays, go 2.
- 3:54And one +0. .65 units. So good seeing.
- 3:57Furman and Stanford come. Through for the team.
- 4:00Now, before we dive into a full breakdown for a game that I
- 4:03cannot wait to sweat tonight. Ole Miss in Miami.
- 4:05I wanted to update you guys. On a new feature that odds.
- 4:08Logic just unveiled today. So you hear me talk about it
- 4:11quite a bit, but I love. Odds logic.
- 4:13I'm an. Affiliate.
- 4:13Of odds logic because I believe in the.
- 4:16Product It's a. Fantastic live odds page.
- 4:18And they just. Unveiled new feature.
- 4:20Today called. The sharp plays.
- 4:23So introducing the sharp. Plays.
- 4:25It's now in. Beta, which means you can test
- 4:26it out. If you are an.
- 4:27Odds logic user. But I'll just.
- 4:29Kind of read. To you, you.
- 4:31Know turn on my. Odds logic page.
- 4:33This morning I saw this alert, it said quote.
- 4:35Introducing Sharp Plays beta. Sharp plays automatically
- 4:38detect. Near.
- 4:39Simultaneous line moves across. Multiple sports books.
- 4:42A strong indicator of. Sharp betting activity this.
- 4:45Helps you identify high confidence market moves.
- 4:47In real. Time and make.
- 4:48Better use of the information available.
- 4:51View the video below. To learn.
- 4:53How to fully customize? Line constraints, Timing
- 4:55parameters. League sports books included.
- 4:58In the sharp plays. Note this is a beta feature.
- 5:00Odds logic will continue. Expanding league coverage and.
- 5:03Functionality based on user feedback.
- 5:04So when you get this alert when it pops up.
- 5:07I would click. Enable sharp plays.
- 5:09And then you can check. Out the.
- 5:10Tutorial. Nice little video that explains
- 5:12to you what it is. But the really cool thing about
- 5:16this new. Sharp play feature is that if
- 5:18you're like me and you might have used a.
- 5:20Different live odds page. Years and years ago.
- 5:23There's one live odds. Page, truth be told.
- 5:26When I used to. Work at Sports Insights.
- 5:27They would have both. Steam Move indicators and.
- 5:30Reverse line move indicators and those are.
- 5:32Really, really important little Nuggets because it tells you
- 5:36when big. Bets are.
- 5:36Coming in when? Smart money.
- 5:38Is taking a position. And.
- 5:40Basically odds logic is. Now unveiling their version of a
- 5:43Steam Mover RLM Play. With these quote UN quote.
- 5:45Sharp plays. So once you get it.
- 5:48Enabled and it's very simple. Once you enable it, you're going
- 5:50to. Get it'll make a little.
- 5:51Sound on your live. Odds page or in the top.
- 5:53Right corner. It'll kind of.
- 5:54Show you anytime one pops up. And it's really cool.
- 5:58So for example it'll say like Sharp.
- 6:00Play with the time. Stamp.
- 6:02And it'll say OK. Bovada.
- 6:04Pinnacle bet online FanDuel. It'll list all the books.
- 6:08And what the lines? Went to so maybe.
- 6:10A total in college went from 144. 1/2 to 145 and a.
- 6:14Half it'll tell you when it took place.
- 6:16And at all the. Books that it took place at so
- 6:19the. Key with a lot of these.
- 6:20You know sharp signals obviously when you have your live.
- 6:24Odds page just generally speaking it's going to update.
- 6:26And give you these color stamps. So I had some.
- 6:28Some person tweet me the other day say you know what is?
- 6:31What does green mean? What does red mean?
- 6:32What does yellow mean? That just means.
- 6:34That as soon as the odds. Change up or down in either
- 6:37direction there's movement. Those odds get lit up in red, so
- 6:40anything in red means it just. Changed to what it's showing
- 6:42you. And then about two minutes.
- 6:44Later it'll go to green, about 5 minutes.
- 6:46Later it goes to yellow. So if there's any of those?
- 6:48Colors, especially red. It means that it just changed.
- 6:51And you might say. OK, it it's it's.
- 6:53Lit up, you know. 1 1/2. OK, did it.
- 6:55Fall from 2 to 1 1/2? Did it go up from 1:00 to 1:00?
- 6:58And a half well. All you got to.
- 7:00Do is tap your mouse on the box to lit up number and it'll pull
- 7:03up blind history and. I'll show you.
- 7:05Exactly where it came from, but these.
- 7:06Sharp plays are are awesome because.
- 7:08It's not just. That one book, it's a market
- 7:10wide. Book SO.
- 7:11Typically when you see Steam, you know, basically.
- 7:14That's an overload of smart money across the marketplace.
- 7:16It causes uniform movement and really the angle.
- 7:19There is that. Wise guys or?
- 7:21Syndicates. Syndicates are groups.
- 7:22Of wise guys who kind of pool their resources together.
- 7:25They're hitting. Basically multiple books at.
- 7:28The same time. Within like a one minute time
- 7:30frame. So a lot of books are going to
- 7:32just copycat and just follow that.
- 7:33That's what. Some people call.
- 7:35Moving on air, it's not that they took.
- 7:37In money and they're. Adjusting it's at the whole
- 7:39market is. Moving and they.
- 7:39Don't want to be one of those last books that hasn't adjusted
- 7:42like they don't want to be, you know, sitting at. 2.
- 7:45When every other book. Is down to 1.
- 7:46Because they're, you know. Putting out a bad number.
- 7:49But Long story short, this goes to show you that odds logic is.
- 7:52Always improving their product. Odds logic is.
- 7:54Unveiling this awesome sharp play signal and.
- 7:57Also give a shout out to Rick Alec.
- 7:59Who I've been. In touch with for.
- 8:01Over a year now. And he's a really cool guy.
- 8:03But I noticed that. There were talks about.
- 8:07Raising the price. Of odds logic.
- 8:08From I think 99. Bucks a month to.
- 8:10Like 150 a month or two hundred a month.
- 8:13And he put something out on LinkedIn saying I'm not.
- 8:16Changing the prices. You know, remember.
- 8:18The Wolf of Wall Street when he probably.
- 8:20Should have stepped. Down because.
- 8:21He taunted the. SEC.
- 8:22This is Leo. 'S character.
- 8:23But he said I'm not. Leaving well, my guy.
- 8:26Rick, Alec basically said I'm not raising the prices, so I
- 8:29respect. A CEO and owner.
- 8:32Who? Doesn't raise prices and
- 8:34actually cares about. The users and keeping it
- 8:36affordable so. Just wanted to mention that new
- 8:38feature. You can test.
- 8:39It out yourself but reminder I'm an affiliate.
- 8:42So if you go to this link. You're going to get.
- 8:44A7 day free. Trial.
- 8:45And 50. Percent off your first.
- 8:47Month so. Instead of 99 a month.
- 8:48You'll get the free trial 7 days.
- 8:50Then you'll only. Pay basically 49.
- 8:52Bucks or 50 bucks? For your first month.
- 8:55But make sure you got to use this link.
- 8:57Oddslogic.com. Slash Josh 123 again.
- 9:01Oddslogic.com. Slash Josh, 12.
- 9:04Three but shout. Out to odds logic.
- 9:05For becoming an even. More.
- 9:07More amazing and more. Awesome live odds platform.
- 9:11Now with that being said, let's get into the big game tonight.
- 9:14Cannot wait to. Sweat it.
- 9:16The return of football in our lives.
- 9:18And. Again, I'll mention this, you
- 9:20know I. Know there's college basketball?
- 9:21Today, I know there's NBANHL, there's other sports going on,
- 9:25but. I want to.
- 9:26Embrace these last few games of. Football that we have so.
- 9:29I'd hate to like win a big play here.
- 9:31Tonight and then go. 1:00 and 2:00 in.
- 9:33College. Basketball and have a.
- 9:34Two and two night and and eat some juice.
- 9:36Here so I. Again, I know there's.
- 9:38Some plays in college. I wish you the.
- 9:40Best luck. If you're making other bets, but
- 9:42for me I'm. Going to try to make the most of
- 9:44one of these last. Few opportunities to sweat.
- 9:46Football with my undivided attention.
- 9:49Sweating this. Game here so that's.
- 9:50Why? I don't have a three pack for
- 9:52you or anything, We're just going to try to.
- 9:53Go 1 and O. Tonight and catch, catch a
- 9:55winning play here, which is the goal.
- 9:57So that being said, Miami. Florida and Ole Miss.
- 10:01Baby College Football Playoff. Semi finals we're down to the
- 10:04final four. Let's set the stage talk.
- 10:06Splits talk system matches. Talk rhythm.
- 10:08Talk Juice Reel. I'll give you my play here, of
- 10:11course for this matchup, so. This College Football Playoff.
- 10:14Semi final at the. Verbo Fiesta Bowl.
- 10:17It'll be played at the State Farm Stadium.
- 10:18In Glendale, AZ, home of the Arizona Cardinals.
- 10:22Now some background for. Both these teams.
- 10:24You all know Miami 12 and. Two on the year, the ten seed.
- 10:27Just upset Ohio State. 24 to 14 in the quarterfinals. 1 outright
- 10:32as a 7 1/2. Point neutral site dog.
- 10:34We're happy about that because remember, a lot of us took the
- 10:36plus 10. On New Year's Eve.
- 10:39But also Ole Miss. 13 and 1, they're the sixth seed just took
- 10:42down. Georgia 3934 that.
- 10:44Game got a little squirrelly at the end.
- 10:46But they went out right as a 6 1/2 point.
- 10:48Neutral site dog. Also at the points there with
- 10:51Ole Miss. So what are we seeing across the
- 10:53board here? Well, this game open Miami.
- 10:55Listed as a three. Point.
- 10:57Neutral site favorite. And then?
- 10:59Early in the week. We did see this line tick up to
- 11:02Miami minus. 3 1/2. So there was.
- 11:04Got to respect some. Some money that.
- 11:06Took Miami -3 to rise that number up to 3 1/2.
- 11:11But since that time. The line didn't go up to 4.
- 11:14It didn't, you know, breeze through the hook and get up to
- 11:16four or stay at 3 1/2. Which is what we.
- 11:19Like to call painted. Painted just means.
- 11:20Every book you look at. On your live odds page or.
- 11:23Log in every account. It's all the.
- 11:24Same number it's painted across the board, no?
- 11:27We've seen a lot of these three. And a half's get back down to
- 11:30three. So why is that important?
- 11:32Because. It tells me that there was some.
- 11:33Respected buyback on Ole Miss, plus the hook which dropped this
- 11:37line back down from three and A. Half to three.
- 11:41So. Tells me late movement.
- 11:42Is breaking back toward. Ole Miss now.
- 11:45You guys know me. I'm a big.
- 11:46Bet splits fan. I think bet splits.
- 11:48Are very important they. Cut through the noise.
- 11:50And you can go on Twitter and. Everyone.
- 11:52Oh, the public. 'S hammering this side.
- 11:53Well, really, are they? Or you know this.
- 11:55Team's really sharp. Or really, are they?
- 11:57You know where you getting the data.
- 11:58From super important to me, but. If you look at the bet splits, I
- 12:02must admit. Miami.
- 12:03Looks better because at. DraftKings Miami is getting. 47%
- 12:08of spread bets 56% of spread dollars over at circa 45% of
- 12:13spread bets 66% of spread. Dollars, so Full disclosure.
- 12:17The split seem to. Favor Miami.
- 12:19But the late movement and. To me, a big part of this.
- 12:22Cap is just trying to get the best number, trying to get a.
- 12:24Hook here with. A three and a.
- 12:25Half late movement. And getting a 3 1/2 down to
- 12:29three. Tells you, Ole Miss.
- 12:31You know, Miami, the splits are in their favor, so let's see if
- 12:34we can continue to build a case. To take a position.
- 12:37Now, if we look at. Where this line moves throughout
- 12:40the day I wrote about this. For vsyn.com, I.
- 12:42Think it's really important? To track.
- 12:44Again with your live. Odds page.
- 12:46From from odds logic. Of course, but.
- 12:48Where does this line close like when I'm?
- 12:50Looking at this game from a just line.
- 12:52Movement perspective. It looks like there's kind of.
- 12:55Dueling sharp action. There's the sharps.
- 12:57Who like Miami -3? There's also the sharps.
- 13:00Who like Ole Miss Plus 3 1/2? So again.
- 13:03Three got up to three, 3 1/2 is getting back down to three.
- 13:06It's been. Kind of this ping.
- 13:07Pong back and forth. So on game day, as the biggest
- 13:10bets come in, where does this line close at between now and
- 13:13seven? 30 PM Eastern Time.
- 13:15Do we still see like? Some books at 3 and some at
- 13:173:00. And 1/2 or do we see all books
- 13:19at 3:00 or all books painted at? 3 1/2.
- 13:22That's. Something to me as.
- 13:23A as a nerd. Who?
- 13:24Likes to study line. Movement that's.
- 13:26Going to be important to me because.
- 13:27That's going to tell. Me if it.
- 13:29If it closes. Basically at all threes and
- 13:31that's a good. Sign for for Ole.
- 13:32Miss, because that tells me they don't.
- 13:34Want to give out the books? Don't want to give?
- 13:35Out the. Hook and the hooks.
- 13:36Got down to three. But if we start to see this
- 13:39thing. Close it pretty much every book.
- 13:403 1/2 That'll be a better sign for Miami because.
- 13:43They're not worried about giving the hook to Ole Miss.
- 13:45Backers, so that's. Just kind of a inside baseball
- 13:49kind of thing. I'm.
- 13:49I'm looking at between now and kick off.
- 13:52But here's the thing, we have some angles.
- 13:55Here to take. Ole Miss.
- 13:56So my play is. Ole Miss Plus 3 1/2 Here are my
- 13:59angles. 1A. Lot of these three.
- 14:01And a halfs are getting down to three now there are some 3 1/2.
- 14:04Still out there? So I played plus. 3 1/2.
- 14:06At -112. Feel like it was.
- 14:09More than a week. Ago or as earlier?
- 14:10This week or you know, it was kind of a.
- 14:11While back. I'm looking in Massachusetts now
- 14:14and we have. Bet MGM draftking Caesars in the
- 14:18score. Formerly ESPN.
- 14:20Bet all at 3:00. But I see FanDuel.
- 14:22Plus 3 1/2. -120. Fanatics plus 3 1/2 -, 120 Bally
- 14:27Bet plus 3 1/2. -122. So if you are.
- 14:30Going to play. Ole Miss with me.
- 14:32And it's not that difficult. Because I just gave you 3 books
- 14:34that are giving. You the hook you got to get.
- 14:36The hook plus 3 1/2. Building a case.
- 14:39For Ole Miss further. My Ole Miss.
- 14:41Is a dog. Who can score system?
- 14:43Match. We always like dogs if.
- 14:45You're playing a dog in a in a. Whether it's a basketball.
- 14:47Game or football game? To me, either got to.
- 14:49Score a lot. So you can keep pace.
- 14:51Or back to a cover or we. Got to play really good defense
- 14:54to keep it low. Scoring in this case.
- 14:56Ole Miss They can. Score.
- 14:58We saw they hung what was. It 39 on.
- 15:00Georgia, who's got a pretty good defense.
- 15:02Put up what? 41 on 2.
- 15:04Lane the the week. Before, but they're.
- 15:06Averaging 36.8 points per game. Maybe averages 30. .6 but that
- 15:11increases. The chances Ole Miss can put up
- 15:13points. Keep pace.
- 15:13Or back to our. Cover, then we.
- 15:15Get into the angle of. College Football Playoff dogs.
- 15:18They have really. Barked.
- 15:19Knock on wood. For us this.
- 15:21Postseason if you look. Back College Football Playoff
- 15:24dogs. Are now six and two against the
- 15:26spread this tournament. 75%. They're five and three.
- 15:29Straight up 63. Percent.
- 15:31So in round one. James Madison lost but covered.
- 15:35I think they're plus 20 + 21 to. Oregon, 5130. 4 Bama knocked off
- 15:41Oklahoma. As a dog.
- 15:43Miami knocked off Texas A&M for us.
- 15:45As a dog. And then Ole Miss.
- 15:48Was the only favorite. To cover in that.
- 15:49Round, so dogs went. 43 and 1. ATS.
- 15:52And then last round. We had Miami beating Ohio State.
- 15:56Is a dog Oregon? Believe it or not.
- 15:58They actually closed as a dog. There was late movement to
- 16:00Texas. Tech -1 1/2 So here's a reminder
- 16:03anytime I give you systems like this.
- 16:05It's always based on the closing line.
- 16:07That's its closing line, so the line closed.
- 16:10Texas Tech minus. 1 1/2 So that was a dog.
- 16:12Oregon, Ole Miss, of course, beat.
- 16:14Georgia as a dog, the only. Favorite that cover was.
- 16:16Indiana dominating Bama. 38 to 3.
- 16:19That was a bit of a fade, the trendy dog play.
- 16:21So dogs have. Barked in this tournament.
- 16:23So the three and apps. Are getting down to.
- 16:25Three. That's a.
- 16:26Good sign for. Ole Miss Ole Miss.
- 16:28Is a dog who can score system match.
- 16:31Ole Miss is also in the spot. Where dogs?
- 16:33Have done well. Throughout this tournament.
- 16:35If we take another. Step further, I popped.
- 16:37Open the juice. Real app and.
- 16:38Guess what? One of the two.
- 16:39Best bet picks. From our hardest working bot
- 16:42around or our buddy Mr. Robo Jackson.
- 16:45One of the two picks is. Ole Miss Plus 3 1/2.
- 16:47So I like that. The analytics, the.
- 16:49AI model. That my buddy Ricky.
- 16:51Golden. Juice Reel use for.
- 16:52Their AI bot. Best bet maker?
- 16:55Also likes Ole Miss. And then I popped.
- 16:57Open rhythm and I. Found a rhythm.
- 17:00I have two recommendations. On Ole Miss.
- 17:03But I have a green. Star recommended play.
- 17:05Very strong signal. On Ole Miss saying.
- 17:08Ole Miss should be +2 so you. Add it all up here guys.
- 17:12I'm playing Ole Miss. I'm playing the Rebels here.
- 17:15Again, I already got plus 3 1/2. To me, I wouldn't.
- 17:18You know, joke around too much between now and 7:30.
- 17:21Because. On the one hand.
- 17:22I'm really hoping every book gets down to three.
- 17:25But for you, if you haven't played it yet.
- 17:27You want to get that hook if Ole Miss?
- 17:28Loses by three. We got to.
- 17:30Cover that plus 3 1/2, but we have the 3 1/2 getting down to
- 17:33three. Especially game day movement
- 17:35late breaking. Back toward Ole Miss.
- 17:36Why isn't every book at? 3 1/2 Well, because they're wary
- 17:39of. Giving hook to Ole Miss.
- 17:41We have dog who? Can score system match?
- 17:43Playoff dogs have been really good.
- 17:44We have a Robo Jackson best bet pick.
- 17:46We have a rhythm green star play.
- 17:48Says the spread should be to. Add all up, I'm going to sweat
- 17:51Mr. Trinidad Chambliss once again and.
- 17:54I'll also throw this to you. Again, I'm a data guy.
- 17:56I'm a numbers. Guy, but I think.
- 17:59Ole Miss motivationally speaking.
- 18:01I'd like them to stick it to Lane Kiffin.
- 18:03I would love Ole Miss to win. This game and.
- 18:06You know again. Win the whole damn.
- 18:08Thing and prove. To Lane Kiffin, what an idiot
- 18:10you are. What a selfish.
- 18:12Scumbag, you are for. Abandoning your team.
- 18:15And going to greener pastures. Because what?
- 18:17LSU is better than Ole Miss, and they're going to give you a
- 18:19boatload. Of money what?
- 18:21About the team, What about these players without these kids?
- 18:23That you. Said you would guide.
- 18:24Them and and try to win the whole thing.
- 18:27I would love that to be a. Galvanizing factor, which I
- 18:29think it. Is for Ole Miss and to stick it
- 18:31with that idiot Lane Kiffin. Maybe that's me inserting?
- 18:34My own bias also like this guy Golding this coach.
- 18:36I think I. Mentioned on a pod before.
- 18:38But I like the cut of his jib. He seems like a no nonsense
- 18:41nonsense. Guy So that's my play.
- 18:44Ole Miss Plus 3 1/2 you're. Welcome to.
- 18:46Join if you. Are so inclined or?
- 18:48Maybe you already have and. I'll just mention with a total.
- 18:50It has gone up. Open 51 1/2.
- 18:53Got up to 52 1/2. I'm seeing a 50.
- 18:56Three now at 1:00. Or two books.
- 18:58So we know Miami's got a good defense, but yeah, Ole.
- 19:00Miss can score, so again, I'm not going to argue too much with
- 19:04that. But it is.
- 19:05Interesting with the splits because right now only 45% bets
- 19:08but 50% dollars at DraftKings are on the over.
- 19:11That's. Technically a contrarian over.
- 19:14And then? If you look.
- 19:15At circa. 52% bets. 90. 2% dollars are on the over.
- 19:19So if you tell me like the. Over.
- 19:20Not going to argue with. You am I wary?
- 19:23Of taking it over. In a prime time.
- 19:25You know. Huge playoff game.
- 19:27I'm a little bit wary of that. But I must.
- 19:29Respect that line movement. Toward the over.
- 19:31But for me, guys, one play I'm. Going to root.
- 19:33Like hell for the rebels tonight.
- 19:34Plus 3 1/2. Let's go, Ole.
- 19:37Miss. So that about does it for
- 19:39episode. 428 little, short and sweet, but I think with only a
- 19:43few you know. College and pro.
- 19:44Football games left. I think we should.
- 19:47Devote all of our. Attention there especially.
- 19:48Because we've been having pretty good success.
- 19:50Overall, knock on wood with with these games.
- 19:53But with that being. Said wrapped up the pod.
- 19:55Always want to start first by. Saying thank you.
- 19:57Thank you for listening, thank you for tuning in.
- 19:59Thank you. For grinding.
- 20:00In the arena with me, every single.
- 20:02Day through the ups and downs, the hot.
- 20:04Streaks the cold streaks Life that gives you ups and ups and
- 20:07downs. Betting gives you ups and downs
- 20:09highs highs, lows, lows. But we.
- 20:11Keep grinding and make. Data-driven plays, so I
- 20:13appreciate you guys. Taking the time.
- 20:15Out of your day and your busy lives to.
- 20:17Pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat some sharp,
- 20:20breaking, data-driven insights. Of me means a lot.
- 20:23If you do want to, you know, make my day.
- 20:25Please give this podcast a five star review.
- 20:28Click the five. Stars on Spotify or.
- 20:30ITunes leave a nice. Comment under the review
- 20:32section. If you would like.
- 20:34Recommend the pod to a friend. Click the follow button.
- 20:36Retweet the pod when I tweet it out.
- 20:38That'll all be very much appreciated.
- 20:40Next if you. Enjoy the style.
- 20:42Of betting breakdown data. Driven sharp, contrary and
- 20:44betting. Focusing on line movement.
- 20:46Bets split system matches. Looking at numbers, not not.
- 20:49Teams, but numbers. Again, the oldest adage.
- 20:52That you're. Going to hear once you get.
- 20:53Into betting is Sharp's bet numbers not?
- 20:54Teams and that's what we try to do, but if you'd like.
- 20:57To learn more. About data-driven betting.
- 20:59Or you'd like to? Support the pod in.
- 21:01Your podcast. Host or there's someone.
- 21:03In your life, who could use some data?
- 21:04Driven tips whether they're. Just a straight public better or
- 21:07they're trying to get into. Sports betting and don't really.
- 21:09Know how it works? I would love for you to go to
- 21:11Amazon.com. And type in the.
- 21:13NFL Sharp. Betting playbook or the.
- 21:16Everything guide to sports betting those are.
- 21:17The two books that I've written very.
- 21:19Proud of both, but. If you want to grab one or the
- 21:22other, you. Want to give them a 5 star?
- 21:24Review on Amazon too. Hey, even better.
- 21:26But you can. Bring them to the sports book.
- 21:27I'll sign them for you and I'll. Buy you a beer.
- 21:29Or ginger ale and we'll sweat some.
- 21:31Sweat some Ole Miss Rebels. Together tonight, Next.
- 21:35Do you have a live odds page? Will you hear me talk about it
- 21:37quite a bit? But you got to download and sign
- 21:39up to get. The Odds Logic live odds page
- 21:41just mentioned this awesome new. Feature with the sharp.
- 21:43Plays out if you. If you need one again, if you
- 21:46don't have one and then you get it, you're like, man, how did I
- 21:49bet? Every single day without it.
- 21:50But it is your Bible. Opening lines.
- 21:53Current numbers. Shop for the best price the
- 21:55Sharp. Indicators in game wagering.
- 21:58Odds live. Scoring super, super important.
- 22:01So if you want to give it a shot.
- 22:02Again, that's. Oddslogic.com/josh 123 for a 7
- 22:06day. Free trial 50.
- 22:07Percent off your first month. Next, have you downloaded?
- 22:10Rhythm and juice real. Yet my 2.
- 22:12Favorite sports betting apps, Rhythm for their AI backed
- 22:14models and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 22:17We will have our Rhythm rundown tonight.
- 22:18Myself and my buddy Kate Harper. At 6:00 PM Eastern.
- 22:21Time so look. Forward to seeing you guys there
- 22:23on Twitter. At Josh under score Insights and
- 22:26then. Juice Reel.
- 22:27Awesome. Features with Juice Reel.
- 22:28As well. First one.
- 22:30Is. You can get the.
- 22:31All systems go official best bet picks from juice reel as soon.
- 22:34As I make a bet, I got my book. Synced up the juice.
- 22:36Reel and I make. A bet at FanDuel.
- 22:38DraftKings, wherever the book may.
- 22:40Be it goes right. To Juice Reel.
- 22:42And the all systems. Go best bet page and if.
- 22:44You would like? To get those best bet picks.
- 22:46If you want to. Support the team.
- 22:47You want to throw a $5.00 bill in the tip jar for $4.00 and.
- 22:50$0.99 a week. You can get those best bets
- 22:53directly from Juice Reel. You also get the Robo Jackson
- 22:56plays. Sharp money indicators
- 22:59arbitrage. Plays Shop for the best sign
- 23:00futures. Make sure you go download rhythm
- 23:02and juice reel and give. Them a five star review in the
- 23:05app. Store next Novig.
- 23:07Have you guys downloaded Novig? Yet, well, I try to tell you
- 23:10everyday it's a really cool. Sports betting exchange.
- 23:13Not an app. But it's basically a sports
- 23:15book. But it's not.
- 23:17Because you're betting against other betters in an exchange.
- 23:19You're so you're exchanging money.
- 23:21That's the whole point. But it's not a book, so they're
- 23:23not. Going to crush you with the
- 23:24juice. So for example.
- 23:26I'm looking at the. Game here for tonight, Miami and
- 23:29Ole Miss. Miami is minus. 3 1/2 at plus
- 23:321/12 Ole Miss plus 3 1/2 at -113.
- 23:37Over 52 1/2. -1 O 3. Under 52 1/2. -1 O 2.
- 23:41You're getting far better prices.
- 23:44Because you're in exchange. Not going.
- 23:45Up against the house. Who's going to gouge?
- 23:47You with these juice? Prices.
- 23:48So download Novig. When you fund your account.
- 23:51You're going to put in. Josh 123 as a promo.
- 23:54Code. And you will be.
- 23:55Off and running. With an extra 25 bucks.
- 23:57To play with lastly. I want to reiterate.
- 24:01That we have our. Splash Survivor Contest the
- 24:04Applebaum NFL Playoff survivor contest up and running.
- 24:07You have until Saturday at What's the first game?
- 24:11I think it's. 4:30 The. Panthers game.
- 24:14I got the plus 10 1/2 with Carolina there.
- 24:16We have until 4:29 to join 4/20. 9:00 PM.
- 24:20On Saturday the 10th for 25 bucks.
- 24:23You can. Join the Survivor contest and.
- 24:25You might win up. To. 5600.
- 24:27And 25 bucks. So if you want.
- 24:29To go to my Twitter page. At Josh under Score Insights.
- 24:31You'll have the. Pin Tweet.
- 24:33The link right there, come on down.
- 24:35And we will. We'll give some money.
- 24:37Here to can survive. Each week, pick your.
- 24:39Save your Super Bowl winner for the final week that's.
- 24:41That's important. But as always guys, appreciate
- 24:44you guys tuning in. Got a big sweat here.
- 24:46For tonight, I'm also. Going to be.
- 24:48Not only the 6:00 PM. Rhythm rundown but 9.
- 24:51O'clock, get back to. My appearances.
- 24:53With my buddy Patrick Maher. On Mad Dog.
- 24:57Sports Radio Beeson. Live tonight, but hopefully.
- 25:00We can we can celebrate a an Ole Miss cover here for for tonight.
- 25:04But as always, two final thoughts.
- 25:06Whether I. See you at the Borgata in
- 25:08Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode.
- 25:10Island the Brooklyn, New Hampshire.
- 25:11Foxwoods or Mohegan? Sun down in Connecticut.
- 25:13The encore in Boston. Plain Ridge park casino MGM
- 25:16Springfield the Nash. In my neck of the woods.
- 25:18On the border of Nashua, NH and Massachusetts, we're out in the
- 25:21desert where the true grinders get down.
- 25:23Where? Billy Walters sends.
- 25:24His number runners. Where the lowest juice.
- 25:26Possible is found. At the South point or sweat and
- 25:28sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium.
- 25:30Swimming pool When you catch a big ticket at Circa, you're.
- 25:33Going to walk up to me you're. Going to show me.
- 25:35A Furman Money line ticket and a Stanford +5. 4 1/2 ticket,
- 25:41whatever you. Don't show me Baylor.
- 25:43They stink. I was so annoyed with Baylor.
- 25:45Because you go into. Those games and you're like, I
- 25:47got to play it because it's so sharp.
- 25:48But they're probably going to lose.
- 25:50Again, but you learned. You learned to play those games,
- 25:53but you're like. Come on man, especially when
- 25:55they don't cover for you. But either way, two and one
- 25:56winning night. We will take it.
- 25:58So as always guys. Coming.
- 25:59Off A2 and. One or a one and two?
- 26:01A3 and or an O and three. A hot streak.
- 26:03A cold streak. Whether it feels like
- 26:06everything. We're playing, can't miss or
- 26:07everything we're playing. We're getting bad beats.
- 26:09Just got to stick. With it not get.
- 26:11Too high not get. Too low.
- 26:13Manage our bankroll with discipline.
- 26:15Stick to flat. Betting and play the.
- 26:17System matches when they pop up. Games that fit our model, of
- 26:20course, are the ones that are against the public.
- 26:22With the house with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays and get.
- 26:26That COV If. We can do that.
- 26:28We're going to be. Successful sports betters.
- 26:30So have a great. Thirsty Thursday, everybody.
- 26:32I'll see. You at six.
- 26:33PM Eastern Time for the rhythm. Rundown and then.
- 26:35Tomorrow we'll. Have a big end of week pod.
- 26:37That'll be episode. 429 on a big Friday.
- 26:40Of the all systems. Go sports betting podcast.
- 26:42Powered by rhythm, Go like everybody and.
- 26:45Let's go. Rebels, good luck.