Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Ryan Bridge: We need economic headroom
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: I've seen a lot of commentary in the last couple
- 0:01Speaker 1: of days about our government's debt position. We're up over
- 0:05Speaker 1: forty percent of GDP, doubled on pre COVID. You already
- 0:08Speaker 1: know all of this, but there are those on the
- 0:10Speaker 1: left who say that is way too little. Basically, we
- 0:13Speaker 1: should borrow more. Forget about a debt selling, borrow more,
- 0:17Speaker 1: throw it at the public service, create some jobs, any jobs,
- 0:20Speaker 1: who cares, just get them out there, right And that's
- 0:22Speaker 1: what Karne is doing in Canada right now. His budget
- 0:25Speaker 1: would double the debt position, debt to GDP ratio. They've
- 0:29Speaker 1: got Trump tariffs coming at them, they've got weak domestic demand.
- 0:34Speaker 1: So he's basically getting out the defenb and he's trying
- 0:36Speaker 1: to revive the economy and make no mistake, if a
- 0:39Speaker 1: labor lead government were to get and that is exactly
- 0:41Speaker 1: what they would be doing here, maybe not to the
- 0:44Speaker 1: same extent. The problem is we don't know. Chris Hopkins
- 0:48Speaker 1: has said, yeah, we need to invest more, yeah Knes
- 0:51Speaker 1: in economics, et cetera, et cetera, but how much don't
- 0:54Speaker 1: know to party Maldi and the Greens, you know, will
- 0:56Speaker 1: make sure that they do more and spend the money
- 1:01Speaker 1: on what that is the question. Now, remember Robertson had
- 1:04Speaker 1: a debt ceiling thirty percent of GDP. Well, that didn't
- 1:06Speaker 1: go very well. Didn't last very long, did it. The
- 1:09Speaker 1: fact is, it's quite popular to spend money. It sounds
- 1:12Speaker 1: like you're doing something. The more you spend, the more
- 1:14Speaker 1: you care. That's the kind of prevalent theory, isn't it. Actually,
- 1:18Speaker 1: if you look at average public debt, the ratio to
- 1:21Speaker 1: GEDDP for big economies advanced economies, it's roughly one hundred
- 1:25Speaker 1: and ten percent. So we are way under that. But
- 1:28Speaker 1: we need to remember we're a small country. We're a
- 1:30Speaker 1: trading country. We are exposed, and we're in the middle
- 1:34Speaker 1: of a trade wall. It's not forget. What we need
- 1:38Speaker 1: is headroom. Now. Morning Star, they've just given the government
- 1:40Speaker 1: the triple A credit rating. They said as much. And
- 1:44Speaker 1: as for those banks we've been talking about this week
- 1:47Speaker 1: making massive profits and everyone's saying, oh, so evil, it's
- 1:50Speaker 1: so nasty. Well, turns out in the same morning Star report,
- 1:54Speaker 1: it's actually quite important that we have profitable banks. Morning
- 1:57Speaker 1: Star says that we've weathered this housing market corrections so
- 2:00Speaker 1: well because in part of well capitalized banks that are
- 2:04Speaker 1: also very liquid that have strong buffers to absorb losses.
- 2:10Speaker 1: So not all is as it seems. Bank profits and
- 2:13Speaker 1: a seemingly stingy government insisting on returning the books to
- 2:18Speaker 1: surplus not only keep our interest rates down, but also
- 2:22Speaker 1: help keep us afloat. For more from early edition with
- 2:26Speaker 1: Ryan Bridge. Listen live to News Talks at B from
- 2:29Speaker 1: five am weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio