Latest / Balance of Power / BONUS: Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney Talks US Trade, AI Guardrails
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios.
- 0:04Speaker 2: Podcasts.
- 0:05Speaker 1: Radio.
- 0:06Speaker 2: News.
- 0:07Speaker 1: Prime Minister Carney, thank you for taking the time to
- 0:09Speaker 1: sit down with us.
- 0:10Speaker 2: Thanks for doing this, Brian.
- 0:11Speaker 1: So we're in Toronto for the first ever Canada Investment Summit.
- 0:15Speaker 1: You've got many of the biggest names in the world
- 0:17Speaker 1: in terms of money management here, sovereign wealth funds, investment firms,
- 0:21Speaker 1: asset managers. And you've got a deal book for them
- 0:23Speaker 1: to look through. Canadian infrastructure, mines, oil, gas, clean technology,
- 0:28Speaker 1: data centres. I'm told you were quite involved in the
- 0:31Speaker 1: planning of this. Give us your pitch. Why was this
- 0:34Speaker 1: a big priority for you?
- 0:35Speaker 2: Well, look, I think Canada is one of the most
- 0:38Speaker 2: connected economies in the world. We have trade deals covering
- 0:41Speaker 2: one and a half billion consumers. Our pension funds, our
- 0:44Speaker 2: financial institutions are very involved in investing in other countries.
- 0:48Speaker 2: We want reciprocity. We want to welcome foreign capital here
- 0:53Speaker 2: in a bigger scale, bringing energy ideas. Capital, yes, we
- 0:57Speaker 2: do have capital here, but there's different perspectives. So And
- 1:02Speaker 2: we also have been making some big changes over the
- 1:04Speaker 2: course of the last year and a half. Now's the
- 1:06Speaker 2: time to look at Canada fresh. And one of the
- 1:09Speaker 2: things that we've discovered over the course of the last
- 1:12Speaker 2: year is that foreign capital is under-allocated to Canada. It's not,
- 1:16Speaker 2: I mean, we're on Bloomberg, so I can say that.
- 1:18Speaker 2: It's not market weight to Canada. So even a shift
- 1:22Speaker 2: to market weight to Canada will create a tremendous inflow
- 1:26Speaker 2: of capital. And it's going to help us realize what
- 1:29Speaker 2: we think this economy needs, which is to catalyze about
- 1:32Speaker 2: a trillion dollars of investment over the next five years.
- 1:34Speaker 1: So why is Canada underweight? What's your diagnosis?
- 1:38Speaker 2: Well, I think there's been a few factors. One of
- 1:40Speaker 2: them has been some major pools of capital have allocated
- 1:45Speaker 2: to America, if I can put it that way. So
- 1:48Speaker 2: US and Canada lump together and they end up overweight
- 1:50Speaker 2: the US, underweight Canada. That's just the way it's worked.
- 1:54Speaker 2: And that works in a seamless global environment. The world's changing,
- 1:58Speaker 2: so it makes less sense now. So they're looking afresh.
- 2:01Speaker 2: So that's the first thing. Secondly, we've been slow on
- 2:05Speaker 2: moving on a series of areas with respect to regulatory
- 2:10Speaker 2: approvals and other factors would be one classic example. That's
- 2:13Speaker 2: why the first legislation that my government put in place
- 2:17Speaker 2: last spring was the Build Canada Act. One Canadian economy,
- 2:22Speaker 2: speeding approvals for major projects, key elements of that. We're
- 2:27Speaker 2: going to double down on that strategy. You'll see in
- 2:29Speaker 2: the coming weeks with additional measures that spread that across
- 2:33Speaker 2: the economy. So that's another reason to come in. Third
- 2:36Speaker 2: issue is around the overall competitiveness, tax competitiveness. We're pretty good.
- 2:41Speaker 2: We accelerated or we deepened that tax competitiveness in the
- 2:46Speaker 2: budget of 2025. We will look at other ways of
- 2:50Speaker 2: doing that again in the coming weeks. So it's a
- 2:53Speaker 2: good story. It's becoming a great story at exactly the
- 2:56Speaker 2: time when global capital is looking for opportunity, but also reliability.
- 3:01Speaker 2: That's becoming a fundamental driver of competitiveness and of course
- 3:06Speaker 2: that's something that Canadians are justifiably proud of.
- 3:09Speaker 1: You mentioned some of these as essentially structural problems around
- 3:13Speaker 1: regulation or taxes. Do you think, is any of this
- 3:16Speaker 1: an attitude problem or is our business sector not ambitious
- 3:19Speaker 1: enough when it comes to attracting these kinds of, this
- 3:21Speaker 1: kind of global capital?
- 3:22Speaker 2: Well, I think, look, my experience over time is when
- 3:26Speaker 2: you have big change, whether it's a financial crisis, whether
- 3:30Speaker 2: it's the rupture at present, whether it's a big technological change,
- 3:34Speaker 2: fortune favours the bold. These are the times when you
- 3:38Speaker 2: should be ambitious, you should take big steps, and you
- 3:42Speaker 2: will get outsized rewards. What we're seeing now, I'm not
- 3:46Speaker 2: going to comment necessarily on the past, but what we're
- 3:48Speaker 2: seeing now is Canadian business, Canadian financial institutions, really beginning
- 3:53Speaker 2: to step up for Canada. A series of announcements today
- 3:57Speaker 2: We're recording this at a certain point, so I don't
- 4:01Speaker 2: want to front run some things that are coming, but
- 4:03Speaker 2: we're talking hundreds of billions of dollars of additional Canadian capital,
- 4:08Speaker 2: incremental capital, being allocated to Canada because they see that
- 4:13Speaker 2: ambition level of our private sector really starting to ramp up.
- 4:16Speaker 1: But part of your message here is you want to
- 4:18Speaker 1: see corporate Canada get more bold, get more ambitious? Is
- 4:22Speaker 1: that part of the message that you have?
- 4:23Speaker 2: Well, I think one of the messages that is there
- 4:26Speaker 2: across the country, and it's not corporate candidates, it's Canadians.
- 4:29Speaker 2: You go to anywhere in the country, as in PEI,
- 4:34Speaker 2: Gros Morne, rural Alberta, British Columbia, across the country, Canadians
- 4:40Speaker 2: are uniting. They have a positive attitude. They want to
- 4:45Speaker 2: take matters into our own hands. and build this country.
- 4:49Speaker 2: And I think that's infectious. And we're starting to get
- 4:52Speaker 2: that positive dynamic, that flywheel, if you will. Yes, it
- 4:56Speaker 2: extends to corporate Canada. We, as the federal government, have
- 4:59Speaker 2: a job to do to make that easier, make it clearer,
- 5:02Speaker 2: to make those connections internationally. I mentioned at the start
- 5:05Speaker 2: of this interview, one and a half billion consumers that
- 5:08Speaker 2: we have access through free trade agreements. We intend to
- 5:11Speaker 2: double that number within the next six months. The connections
- 5:16Speaker 2: that are happening because of this investment summit or being
- 5:18Speaker 2: renewed because of this investment summit, they're all part of that.
- 5:21Speaker 2: So it's a great time for corporate Canada to step
- 5:24Speaker 2: up and we're starting to see that.
- 5:26Speaker 1: One criticism I've heard about some of what you've done
- 5:30Speaker 1: so far since you came in is that your government
- 5:32Speaker 1: is too involved in picking winners. You know, the major
- 5:35Speaker 1: projects office is one example, right? The state is getting
- 5:38Speaker 1: very involved in picking which projects should get special treatment essentially.
- 5:42Speaker 1: What's your response to that? Is there a danger you're
- 5:44Speaker 1: crowding out the private sector a little bit?
- 5:46Speaker 2: I don't think there's a danger we're crowding out the
- 5:48Speaker 2: private sector. What we're seeing, in fact, with hundreds of
- 5:50Speaker 2: billions of additional allocations of Canadian institutions is there's a
- 5:55Speaker 2: lot of Canadian capital that's available, first point. Second, a
- 5:59Speaker 2: lot of what we're doing in major projects is these
- 6:01Speaker 2: are nation-building projects. In other words, they're projects that unlock
- 6:05Speaker 2: other opportunities, doubling the electricity grid. I mean, Mastering energy,
- 6:10Speaker 2: you master your destiny. So things like inter-ties between different
- 6:15Speaker 2: bits of electricity. The federal government getting involved in Churchill Falls,
- 6:20Speaker 2: 14 gigawatts of clean power, low-cost clean power, would not
- 6:24Speaker 2: have happened without the federal government getting involved. That unlocks
- 6:27Speaker 2: enormous opportunity for Quebec, for Newfoundland and Labrador, for Canada.
- 6:32Speaker 2: the Western Canadian oil pipeline linked to the Pacific Gateway.
- 6:38Speaker 2: Huge opportunities are created. Yes, upstream in Alberta, new carbon
- 6:42Speaker 2: capture industry, which will be driven by the private sector.
- 6:45Speaker 2: And of course, expanding our largest port in a responsible way.
- 6:49Speaker 2: All of that creates new opportunities. So we're very disciplined
- 6:52Speaker 2: about that. And if I can make a third point,
- 6:55Speaker 2: we are going to extend that approach. One project, one review,
- 7:01Speaker 2: one year across all federal projects. That's what we've been
- 7:05Speaker 2: consulting on. That will be a priority for legislation in
- 7:09Speaker 2: the fall. And that's not picking winners. That's changing the
- 7:13Speaker 2: playing field. Okay.
- 7:15Speaker 1: One of the projects or the sectors we'll be talking
- 7:18Speaker 1: about at the summit is data centers. I wanted to
- 7:20Speaker 1: ask you more broadly about AI. In the past couple
- 7:22Speaker 1: of days, we've seen some of the leaders in artificial
- 7:26Speaker 1: intelligence development talk about slowing the pace down. concerns over
- 7:30Speaker 1: the safety of frontier models. What's your reaction to that?
- 7:33Speaker 2: Well, I'm not surprised. I've had a number of conversations,
- 7:36Speaker 2: whether it's with Demis Hassabis, Derry Amadai, Sam Altman, specifically
- 7:41Speaker 2: about these issues and how to balance innovation with a
- 7:46Speaker 2: form of governance that takes safety into account. It is very,
- 7:51Speaker 2: very difficult for individual companies, incredible as some of these
- 7:55Speaker 2: companies are, individual companies, in an industry, a competitive industry,
- 7:59Speaker 2: to do that themselves. So there's a need for coordination.
- 8:02Speaker 2: I think it's interesting that the industry is calling out,
- 8:05Speaker 2: the leaders in the industry, including Elon Musk, calling out
- 8:08Speaker 2: for that, some level of coordination. We've had initial discussions
- 8:12Speaker 2: at the G7 of how that might be done. Demis
- 8:16Speaker 2: has put forward some interesting ideas on that. Ultimately, a
- 8:20Speaker 2: technology stability board, in our view, along the lines of
- 8:23Speaker 2: the financial stability board, would make sense. But we need
- 8:25Speaker 2: some level of it. It's an opportunity, and I think
- 8:29Speaker 2: ultimately what it's going to mean is greater value creation
- 8:32Speaker 2: and greater value delivery to people.
- 8:36Speaker 1: These are primarily American companies, and we're talking about the
- 8:39Speaker 1: biggest ones. Do you think the U.S., do you want
- 8:41Speaker 1: to see them legislate? Do you want to see the U.S.
- 8:43Speaker 1: put in some guardrails?
- 8:44Speaker 2: Well, I think we have to be careful in this
- 8:47Speaker 2: situation that the best is not the enemy of the good.
- 8:50Speaker 2: In other words, we need practical steps in the immediate term.
- 8:54Speaker 2: There's proposals. Again, we discussed it at the G7 back
- 8:58Speaker 2: in June with a U.S.-led FINRA. Again, I'm on Bloomberg,
- 9:02Speaker 2: so I can say this, a FINRA-type organization for tech,
- 9:05Speaker 2: which would be a stepping stone to something more broad.
- 9:09Speaker 2: Legislation takes time, so a level of coordination being there,
- 9:12Speaker 2: that is what the industry is looking for. But it
- 9:15Speaker 2: goes to a broader question, if I can pivot a bit,
- 9:18Speaker 2: where you rightly say U.S.-led. Of course, there's Chinese expertise.
- 9:22Speaker 2: There's also Canadians. expertise, companies like Cohere, expertise in AI.
- 9:28Speaker 2: In fact, a lot of the foundation ideas in AI
- 9:32Speaker 2: came right here in Toronto from Canada. And we have
- 9:36Speaker 2: an ability to play a role, particularly when combining with
- 9:40Speaker 2: other countries, France, Germany, would be obvious examples, the UK,
- 9:45Speaker 2: that expertise. It doesn't mean we're at the frontier, but
- 9:48Speaker 2: we're providing a layer that works for our citizens, that
- 9:52Speaker 2: is sovereign and safe.
- 9:54Speaker 1: Okay, you may not be surprised I have some President
- 9:56Speaker 1: Trump questions for you. Over the weekend, the President said
- 10:01Speaker 1: he thinks they can reach a deal fairly soon with Canada.
- 10:05Speaker 1: Sometimes it's hard to tell if he's just riffing or
- 10:07Speaker 1: referring to something specific. Do you have any reason to
- 10:09Speaker 1: think that's true? What's the latest?
- 10:12Speaker 2: I'd say what we've been saying all along, which is
- 10:15Speaker 2: that there is a mutually... advantageous agreement that's possible between
- 10:21Speaker 2: Canada and the United States, one that respects our sovereignty,
- 10:24Speaker 2: respects obviously the U.S. 's sovereignty, respects our cultural institutions.
- 10:28Speaker 2: And that is a possibility. We're ready to sit down
- 10:33Speaker 2: and negotiate that and move it forward. So I welcome
- 10:37Speaker 2: the President's comments.
- 10:39Speaker 1: Is there a question of who moves first here?
- 10:41Speaker 2: No, there's not a pride thing from our perspective. We're
- 10:45Speaker 2: practical people. that know what our bottom lines are, what
- 10:50Speaker 2: our red lines are for sovereignty, for culture, not being
- 10:53Speaker 2: restricted on our ability to sign other trade deals. I referenced,
- 10:56Speaker 2: you know, we are on a path to double our
- 10:58Speaker 2: trade access to 3 billion consumers around the world. We
- 11:01Speaker 2: are not going to slow down on that. But within that,
- 11:05Speaker 2: with understanding those, and I think our American colleagues perhaps
- 11:09Speaker 2: understand those red lines a little more clearly now, given
- 11:12Speaker 2: what's happened, we're ready to sit down. There's no pride
- 11:15Speaker 2: in this. We're going to do what's right for the
- 11:16Speaker 2: Canadian people.
- 11:17Speaker 1: This did, over the past few weeks, get a little
- 11:19Speaker 1: bit ugly, even, this trade fight. You had Trump cabinet
- 11:23Speaker 1: members kind of mocking and trolling Canada at times. Do
- 11:26Speaker 1: you expect that's going to affect the atmosphere at the
- 11:27Speaker 1: summit here, the nastiness that happened once trade talks broke
- 11:32Speaker 1: down with the U.S.? No.
- 11:34Speaker 2: Short answer, no. These are all professionals. One of the
- 11:38Speaker 2: things at the summit, which is why it's important, is
- 11:42Speaker 2: it's not just the headline assets that are are managed
- 11:46Speaker 2: by these institutions, the 120 trillion Canadian that are managed,
- 11:50Speaker 2: but it's the fact that it's the decision makers who
- 11:52Speaker 2: are coming to the summit. And, you know, they know
- 11:55Speaker 2: their responsibilities. In many cases, they're managing money for doctors, nurses, firefighters,
- 12:03Speaker 2: their pensioners, families, future generations in their countries. They take
- 12:08Speaker 2: these decisions very clearly. And look, I think you can
- 12:11Speaker 2: see how I hope the federal government has reacted to
- 12:16Speaker 2: this calm, professional. We're looking in terms of the best
- 12:22Speaker 2: interests of Canada. As I just said, we'll sit down
- 12:24Speaker 2: when it makes sense. Canada and the U.S. have a
- 12:27Speaker 2: very long relationship. We sometimes go through periods where there
- 12:30Speaker 2: are tensions in that relationship. Provided we continue this approach,
- 12:37Speaker 2: we'll come to some agreement at some point.
- 12:39Speaker 1: Okay, I want to ask you about Europe as well.
- 12:42Speaker 1: What you said yesterday was you're not looking for membership
- 12:44Speaker 1: in the EU, but a unique alliance with the EU.
- 12:48Speaker 1: We already have a trade deal, a free trade deal.
- 12:50Speaker 1: So what more are you looking for? What's an example
- 12:53Speaker 1: of where this can go deeper?
- 12:54Speaker 2: Well, there are multiple examples of where this can go deeper.
- 12:57Speaker 2: So above and beyond the trade deal, in fact, we
- 13:00Speaker 2: moved last June towards a deeper strategic partnership with Europe.
- 13:05Speaker 2: One of the manifestations of that strategic partnership is Canada
- 13:08Speaker 2: becoming the only non-European member of SAFE, which is the
- 13:13Speaker 2: defense procurement arrangement. It's a 150 billion euro procurement arrangement.
- 13:18Speaker 2: In effect, to simplify, we're treated as European for the
- 13:21Speaker 2: purposes of that. And that means we can build linkages
- 13:25Speaker 2: with European firms and develop. And that's already happening. You're
- 13:29Speaker 2: seeing that in subs. You're seeing that in aircraft and others.
- 13:33Speaker 2: So that's one example. But that opens up a broader
- 13:37Speaker 2: set of issues where, and this is the point we've
- 13:40Speaker 2: been making, sovereignty is determined by where you stand in
- 13:44Speaker 2: a series of strategic capabilities in space, obviously in AI,
- 13:48Speaker 2: in sovereign compute, in critical minerals, in energy, clean and conventional,
- 13:54Speaker 2: and beyond. And so in those areas, can you deepen
- 13:58Speaker 2: cooperation with like-minded partners so you have sovereignty, so you
- 14:04Speaker 2: have resilience, so you have independence. No country can do
- 14:08Speaker 2: that alone. Those interconnections, that integration, we saw the example
- 14:12Speaker 2: earlier with critical minerals, we see it sometimes in financial payments.
- 14:16Speaker 2: Those integrations, those can be used as leverage against you.
- 14:20Speaker 2: With a like-minded partner like Europe, where we have very
- 14:23Speaker 2: strong complementarities, Canada and Europe, there's a huge opportunity for
- 14:28Speaker 2: both of us to build our sovereignty and build our
- 14:31Speaker 2: prosperity for all.
- 14:33Speaker 1: Could this get into things like labor mobility, the ability
- 14:35Speaker 1: to live and work visa-free in each other's jurisdictions?
- 14:39Speaker 2: You could see enhanced labor mobility, elements of enhanced labor mobility. Obviously,
- 14:43Speaker 2: the four freedoms in Europe are tied together. So there's
- 14:46Speaker 2: limits to that, but you could see enhanced that. Certainly
- 14:48Speaker 2: enhanced educational opportunities, enhanced research cooperation. There is a huge
- 14:53Speaker 2: host of areas where we can work together. It's an
- 14:55Speaker 2: exciting time. Look, it's not going to be solved this
- 14:58Speaker 2: week in Strasbourg, just to be clear. It's the start
- 15:02Speaker 2: of a process, but it's the start of a high-ambition process.
- 15:05Speaker 1: Okay, Prime Minister, I think we're out of time. Thank
- 15:07Speaker 1: you very much for doing this. I appreciate it.
- 15:09Speaker 2: Thank you.