Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MMA DFS - UFC 321 | 10/25/25 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Transcript

MMA DFS - UFC 321 | 10/25/25 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:05
Speaker 1: All system's going clear the left.
0:36
Speaker 2: What's going on? Everybody? Hope everybody out there having a
0:39
Speaker 2: great day night. Whenever you're watching, we appreciate it all.
0:43
Speaker 2: We ask right away like button and subscribe button helps
0:46
Speaker 2: us out a ton bringing you MMA content on this
0:49
Speaker 2: channel every single week that there is fights you gotta
0:52
Speaker 2: fight this weekend pay per view season UFC three twenty one,
0:56
Speaker 2: tom Aspen all Serio gone. We also have another title
0:59
Speaker 2: on the line in strawweights. Way Lee absolutely dominated the
1:03
Speaker 2: division moving up and here we got McKenzie, Dern Berna, Janderobo.
1:07
Speaker 2: We had fourteen fights, one got canceled earlier today Al
1:10
Speaker 2: Sawadi I wanted that fight on the card is a
1:13
Speaker 2: solid mid tier fight.
1:14
Speaker 1: But hey, thirteen fights is good. Yeah, there we go.
1:17
Speaker 2: Let me zoom down quick, let me zoom out quick.
1:20
Speaker 2: When I'm doing this, I'll throw it right away to
1:22
Speaker 2: my man Big Marley. Thirteen fights, two five rounders, pay
1:25
Speaker 2: per view Season ten AM Eastern Abu Dhabi. How can
1:28
Speaker 2: you not be excited?
1:29
Speaker 1: How we doing?
1:30
Speaker 3: Yeah? Heck a boy to start the day. Hopefully I'll
1:32
Speaker 3: get an early workout in and then straight into the
1:34
Speaker 3: fights and then could still do something else at night,
1:37
Speaker 3: so hopefully a good card. I've actually never had as
1:40
Speaker 3: many five and one stars as I do on this card,
1:43
Speaker 3: and I thought about putting another one also, so I
1:46
Speaker 3: think that finding underdogs could be tough on this card,
1:49
Speaker 3: and then all the favorites are all live for big score,
1:52
Speaker 3: so it's gonna be an interesting one, but hopefully a
1:54
Speaker 3: profitable one.
1:56
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with you. That's a good broad slade
1:58
Speaker 2: over you, man. You do have a lot of five stars.
2:00
Speaker 2: We have some one. We do have four mid tier fights.
2:03
Speaker 2: We have the very rare eighty one hundred apiece fight
2:06
Speaker 2: and sal killed in Nazrat, a lot of closely lined fights.
2:09
Speaker 2: We do have some big favorites, so as you can
2:11
Speaker 2: see minus six hundred for Umar, minus five hundred now
2:15
Speaker 2: for Handy, minus four hundred maxim A Mariems. So there
2:18
Speaker 2: definitely is some big favorites, but you gotta spend for him,
2:21
Speaker 2: which means the lower tier is more difficult to pinpoint.
2:24
Speaker 2: I do think the mid tier very strong, a lot
2:28
Speaker 2: of fights in there, and I will definitely be playing
2:30
Speaker 2: a decent amount of the mid tier if that has
2:32
Speaker 2: to be my broad say. Oh review, we got YSM,
2:35
Speaker 2: we got Dave and Langley in here. Appreciate everyone hanging out.
2:38
Speaker 2: We will just a scheduling note, probably be doing these
2:41
Speaker 2: shows around this eight to forty five Eastern time moving forward,
2:46
Speaker 2: at least during the NBA season. I'm always in the streets.
2:49
Speaker 2: Late swap can be hectic for that ten Eastern swap time,
2:52
Speaker 2: so gonna try. We always keep these shows about an hour.
2:56
Speaker 2: Get on out here allows me to do some late
2:58
Speaker 2: swap stuff, So eight forty five Eastern ish for the
3:01
Speaker 2: live people out there that like watching it live. I
3:04
Speaker 2: got nothing else really to add. I mean, if you
3:06
Speaker 2: want to join us at Shiping Nation, absolutely no better
3:08
Speaker 2: time to do it.
3:09
Speaker 1: As you can see above, NFL, college football.
3:11
Speaker 2: NBA, PGA, MLB, MMA, NASCAR, and NHL all going right now.
3:18
Speaker 2: Literally zero better time to be a DFS member, to
3:21
Speaker 2: be a DFS player if you want to join us,
3:23
Speaker 2: so many sports going on, best time again using the
3:26
Speaker 2: code ship nineteen and you have five days for nineteen dollars.
3:30
Speaker 2: Not much you can get in this world for nineteen bucks.
3:32
Speaker 2: Five days at Schiping Nation one of the best deals
3:35
Speaker 2: you can get. And if you do join, we would
3:37
Speaker 2: love to have you in the Discord, the best community
3:39
Speaker 2: around what's up, Abrasive. I always see your name. I
3:43
Speaker 2: was just talking to you on Twitter last week.
3:46
Speaker 1: Abrasive. Let me know if I did say it right.
3:48
Speaker 1: But good.
3:48
Speaker 2: I'm glad you like this time. I'm glad it works
3:51
Speaker 2: for people always grinding over here. We appreciate all of
3:54
Speaker 2: you watching us. I say, we go fight by fight,
3:56
Speaker 2: no time to waste. Big Marley Bottom the top like
3:59
Speaker 2: all his first fight of the night, A big favorite.
4:02
Speaker 2: Jacqueline a marine minus four to twenty take a mazikie
4:04
Speaker 2: unawe plus three fifty minus one sixty five for this
4:08
Speaker 2: fight to finish, we have a marine minus won fifty
4:11
Speaker 2: inside the distance in a way plus nine hundred minus
4:15
Speaker 2: one sixty five to finish one girl a marine minus
4:19
Speaker 2: one fifty to finish a marine plus two to twenty
4:21
Speaker 2: five In round one, I'm Mariem, a primary grappler that
4:24
Speaker 2: wants to get to the fight. To get the fight
4:26
Speaker 2: to the mat against a striker who's been off for
4:29
Speaker 2: over two years feels pretty one sided to me. I
4:32
Speaker 2: like a marim I do not like in a way,
4:34
Speaker 2: and she will be someone I mix in up top.
4:36
Speaker 2: What are you doing in this one?
4:38
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna go. I'm Marim or Pass. I would
4:42
Speaker 3: expect in a way to be the better striker in
4:44
Speaker 3: this matchup, but we haven't seen her in two years,
4:46
Speaker 3: and before that it was three years, so she's had
4:49
Speaker 3: one fight in five years. I'm just I'm over at
4:53
Speaker 3: this point her and her brother where I thought there're
4:55
Speaker 3: gonna be solid prospects coming in, and I don't remember
4:58
Speaker 3: what the heck happened to him either, so I guess
5:00
Speaker 3: they just fell off, and now they're giving her a
5:03
Speaker 3: really tough opponent here with Ameriam. Amriim's a monster on
5:06
Speaker 3: the mat, and I expect her to get the fight
5:08
Speaker 3: to the ground and dominate. And look at minus four
5:11
Speaker 3: hundred on the mat, if this is a striking match,
5:14
Speaker 3: we wouldn't want really either side, but that's what would
5:17
Speaker 3: put Innuay in play. I'm just going to x her
5:19
Speaker 3: out make it a little bit easier on myself. Amriems
5:22
Speaker 3: should be like half the ownership as a couple other
5:25
Speaker 3: people up there in the high price range. So I
5:30
Speaker 3: am interested in her. I just don't know how much
5:32
Speaker 3: I'll be able to get At ninety five hundred, I
5:33
Speaker 3: would rather go down one hundred for aspinall, but so
5:37
Speaker 3: what everybody else, so she is a good way to
5:39
Speaker 3: get a little different.
5:41
Speaker 1: I agree.
5:41
Speaker 2: I'm not going to be making a rule with the aspinall,
5:44
Speaker 2: I don't think, because if I'm talking a lot of spots,
5:46
Speaker 2: I do think there.
5:47
Speaker 1: Is others in the upper tier.
5:49
Speaker 2: A Tom aspinall first round knockout at one zero two,
5:52
Speaker 2: obviously you take it, but I do think others have
5:54
Speaker 2: that upside that can get you a lot more different
5:57
Speaker 2: on this card.
5:57
Speaker 1: Yes, you do have to find the one hundred.
6:00
Speaker 2: I do like like zero zeroing out my lineups if
6:04
Speaker 2: I have a marine in it and no Tom is
6:06
Speaker 2: totally fine with me, because most people will leave that
6:08
Speaker 2: one hundred, no doubt about it, and I probably will
6:11
Speaker 2: in plenty of lineups too, leave the one hundred. But
6:14
Speaker 2: I want to make sure I'm different in some spot.
6:16
Speaker 2: If I meeting all chalk playing this other five round
6:19
Speaker 2: fight and I'm playing mid tier popular fights, and I'm
6:22
Speaker 2: just not getting different anywhere else, playing a marine over
6:25
Speaker 2: espinal is something I am fine doing on this card
6:28
Speaker 2: as well. I do not like in a way, but
6:30
Speaker 2: I don't like a lot of these lower tier fights.
6:32
Speaker 2: I mean, we're going to talk about four of the
6:34
Speaker 2: five that we talk about to start or all priced
6:37
Speaker 2: in that upper tier lower tier. So we'll circle back
6:39
Speaker 2: and kind of give rankings after we get to that
6:41
Speaker 2: volter Walker fight. But yeah, looking ahead, I'll let you
6:45
Speaker 2: people know I do not like these lower tier fighters
6:48
Speaker 2: one bit, which will leave me to more mid tier
6:51
Speaker 2: tight builds and probably more condensed on certain underdogs, and
6:54
Speaker 2: I will say those when we get there. It is
6:57
Speaker 2: not in this next one, though, But I do see
6:59
Speaker 2: looks like you might have a little interest. We have
7:01
Speaker 2: asat Maxim minus four fifty taking on Mitch Roposo plus
7:05
Speaker 2: three fifty plus one fifteen for this fight to finish,
7:07
Speaker 2: Maxim plus one fifty five inside the distance Riposo plus
7:11
Speaker 2: six hundred. So I put these lines up on Tuesday.
7:14
Speaker 2: You can see minus three fifty Maxim was Tuesday. Now
7:17
Speaker 2: he's minus four fifty. A lot of money coming his way,
7:20
Speaker 2: a whole dollar some money coming in on the under
7:23
Speaker 2: as well. Maxim has taken some money on the inside
7:25
Speaker 2: the distance.
7:26
Speaker 1: Prop. Yeah, I see you have a couple of stars
7:28
Speaker 1: on Roposo. Why is that? What do you see in
7:31
Speaker 1: these fights? And then what maxim exposure do you see
7:34
Speaker 1: yourself having?
7:35
Speaker 3: So I started it as three and three. Really, as
7:38
Speaker 3: I don't care about this fight. It's my least favorite
7:41
Speaker 3: DFS fight on the card. I think Maxim is just
7:45
Speaker 3: better anywhere the fight goes. I'm picking him to win,
7:48
Speaker 3: but at ninety two hundred, I just don't care for
7:50
Speaker 3: that price tag when there's so many other people around
7:52
Speaker 3: him that I would rather play. I don't even think
7:55
Speaker 3: he's going to be that much different ownership wise than Amriem,
7:58
Speaker 3: so I'd prefer her because as I expect her to
8:01
Speaker 3: need to get to the fight to the mat where
8:03
Speaker 3: Maxim could win a striking match here. He is a
8:06
Speaker 3: good wrestler. I think he's the better wrestler, but I
8:08
Speaker 3: just don't see him putting up one hundred and ten
8:11
Speaker 3: hundred and twenty point dominant wrestling score. And I put
8:15
Speaker 3: Roposo as a four star just because I would rather
8:18
Speaker 3: play him. I'd rather save the twenty two hundred dollars
8:21
Speaker 3: and hope for a close fight. Maybe he can get
8:24
Speaker 3: you sixty to seventy five points on this card. I'm
8:29
Speaker 3: kind of okay with it, And it was more because
8:30
Speaker 3: I don't I hate the low range so much that
8:33
Speaker 3: Roposo is the one. I'm like, okay, Maybe I'll go
8:36
Speaker 3: there if I need to, but I've only built one
8:38
Speaker 3: lineup so far this week. Raposal's not on it, so
8:42
Speaker 3: I don't even know if I'll get to him or not.
8:44
Speaker 3: This is really an X out fight for me. But
8:46
Speaker 3: what are you thinking?
8:48
Speaker 1: I'm thinking.
8:50
Speaker 2: I just think maxims so much better everywhere, But he
8:52
Speaker 2: seems like a primary wrestler. He's won two to two
8:54
Speaker 2: and three takedowns and his first three fights, and all
8:57
Speaker 2: three of those opponents were astronomically better at the wrestling
9:01
Speaker 2: defense than I think Riposo is. Like he went against
9:03
Speaker 2: Tyson Nam. Nam's known to be a very boring point
9:07
Speaker 2: fighter but known to have great hips and great takedown defense,
9:10
Speaker 2: and who fought what to to Gear and Ullin Bekoff
9:13
Speaker 2: last fight and Charles Johnson the fight before, and he
9:15
Speaker 2: was getting takedowns on all of them, So I like,
9:18
Speaker 2: getting takedowns is what seems to be a primary wrestler
9:21
Speaker 2: at what I think is pretty low ownership. Like I
9:24
Speaker 2: do agree, I'm Marie and Maxim probably similar ownership, but
9:27
Speaker 2: you are getting three hundred savings off of Maxim, And
9:30
Speaker 2: like I think you can go Maxim aspinall and still
9:32
Speaker 2: get different places. I do think like him compared to Almeida,
9:35
Speaker 2: Almado is gonna be a lot higher on this durn
9:37
Speaker 2: fight right there. I even think probably Alis scare of
9:40
Speaker 2: Walter Walker will for sure be higher on. So I
9:43
Speaker 2: am thinking I'm going to play some maxim just for
9:45
Speaker 2: the fact of he keeps taking money, his inside the
9:48
Speaker 2: distance prop keeps going down. He seems like a pivot
9:51
Speaker 2: up top, and he is a primary wrestler from what
9:54
Speaker 2: I'm seeing now. You are like, I do agree. Maybe
9:56
Speaker 2: he's just the better boxer or two and he doesn't
9:59
Speaker 2: have to do that. But I mean, why wouldn't you
10:01
Speaker 2: like if you're better boxing them up, but you can
10:03
Speaker 2: just go and slam them down and just have some
10:05
Speaker 2: fun in there. I think there is a one hundred
10:07
Speaker 2: plus point upside, So I will be playing Max Raposo.
10:11
Speaker 2: I don't really know like, to be honest, I don't
10:14
Speaker 2: like in a way Riposo, Barnett, Sutherland, a lot of them.
10:17
Speaker 2: Like I'll be heavy on like the Volkoff stuff in Park.
10:21
Speaker 2: But if I'm picking one of these five down below
10:24
Speaker 2: or four because this fight doesn't really count, probably second,
10:28
Speaker 2: I definitely like him better than Barnett, and I definitely
10:30
Speaker 2: like him better than in a way, I probably like
10:32
Speaker 2: Sutherland more. But yeah, I guess just the more teams
10:35
Speaker 2: you build, nature of the slate like, I might just
10:38
Speaker 2: have to have a little bit. But I still think
10:40
Speaker 2: you can x out almost all of them, all four
10:42
Speaker 2: of these that we're gonna talk to down below, or
10:44
Speaker 2: at least three of them, and just be condensed more
10:47
Speaker 2: down low. So maximum I preferred play. But if you
10:50
Speaker 2: liking Riposo a little bit, you know what, maybe maybe
10:52
Speaker 2: I'll keep them in a little.
10:55
Speaker 3: I might put it back as a three and three,
10:57
Speaker 3: just so that people don't think that I like ropos fair.
11:01
Speaker 2: Enough, fair enough, but no, I mean it's we play
11:04
Speaker 2: a salary based game, Like I totally get with your
11:06
Speaker 2: what your stars are saying. You like plenty of other
11:09
Speaker 2: people in the upper tier more, and the lower tier
11:11
Speaker 2: is so bad relative to these others that you're comparing
11:14
Speaker 2: them to. You like it more than like the in
11:16
Speaker 2: away and stuff. So yeah, I don't mind it. Not
11:19
Speaker 2: a fight I really want too much of, but I
11:21
Speaker 2: will be more on the maxim side, even with the
11:23
Speaker 2: twenty two hundred dollars price increase. All right, Abrasive bar
11:28
Speaker 2: Man likes Chris Bartnett. I will see if Big Marley does.
11:31
Speaker 2: We have Handy abdua lob minus five hundred taken on
11:35
Speaker 2: Chris Barnett plus three eighty five minus one ninety for
11:38
Speaker 2: this fight to finish Hamdy minus won twenty five inside
11:41
Speaker 2: the distance Chris Barnett plus four sixty. I'll let you
11:45
Speaker 2: just take this fight away. I mean, yeah, what are
11:47
Speaker 2: you seeing Chris Barnett fight? Man?
11:50
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it's bad versus bad really, But I
11:53
Speaker 3: would never lay minus four fifty on Hamdy in a
11:56
Speaker 3: UFC fight. But if you're gonna do it on any
12:00
Speaker 3: but he would have to be Barnett because he's the
12:01
Speaker 3: bottom of the barrel in the UFC. But the thing is,
12:05
Speaker 3: I mean, Hamdy should have won his last fight and
12:07
Speaker 3: he just I don't know why he wasn't looking to wrestle.
12:10
Speaker 3: If he looks to wrestle here, I would think he
12:12
Speaker 3: can dominate. He could get a knockout on the feet
12:14
Speaker 3: as well. But I think you could get a ground
12:16
Speaker 3: and pound stoppage in the first round if he went
12:19
Speaker 3: out here and wrestled. But if he's gonna be dumb
12:21
Speaker 3: and just have a striking match, Barnett is live in
12:24
Speaker 3: that and he could laying something big and knock him out.
12:27
Speaker 3: I'm not fully against playing Barnett. I don't want to
12:31
Speaker 3: click on him. I'd prefer the Handy side because he
12:34
Speaker 3: has more upside, get a takedown, just lay some big
12:37
Speaker 3: shots on the ground. I think there's really nothing Barnett
12:40
Speaker 3: could do off of his back. So if Hamdy smart,
12:43
Speaker 3: which I just don't know that he is, he's got
12:45
Speaker 3: big potential here. And if he isn't smart, then he's
12:49
Speaker 3: gonna give Barnett a chance at victory. So I don't
12:53
Speaker 3: know what to do this one. That's why I got
12:54
Speaker 3: it as a three star. I'm not going to x
12:56
Speaker 3: out Barnett. If he ends up in lineups, then I'm
12:58
Speaker 3: fine with it. And then Handy is another way where
13:01
Speaker 3: you can get different up Top people are gonna go
13:02
Speaker 3: to aspenall people are gonna go to a bunch of
13:05
Speaker 3: other people, and after Hamdy's last performance, I don't think
13:09
Speaker 3: they'll be excited to click on his name, so I'm
13:11
Speaker 3: expecting this fight to be low owned. In general, Handy
13:14
Speaker 3: is a big favorite. He is supposed to be a wrestler.
13:17
Speaker 3: He's got a lot of knockout wins in his career,
13:19
Speaker 3: So I'll probably maybe get some leverage on the handy side,
13:23
Speaker 3: and then if Barnett, if I have sixty nine hundred
13:26
Speaker 3: and I love the rest of my lineup, maybe Burnett
13:28
Speaker 3: can end up there.
13:30
Speaker 1: Yeah.
13:30
Speaker 2: I don't know if I'm gonna have any Burnett in
13:32
Speaker 2: twenty and below. I'm gonna play a lot of handy
13:34
Speaker 2: And it's just simply if there's a five to nine
13:37
Speaker 2: guy that tips the scales that heavyweight, I just think
13:39
Speaker 2: I have to as a primary striker. I just think
13:42
Speaker 2: I gotta go against him. I mean nothing against Chris Barnett.
13:45
Speaker 2: That's spinning wheel kick insane. It's always smiling in there,
13:49
Speaker 2: looks like he says a good time.
13:51
Speaker 1: Yeah, no, for sure.
13:52
Speaker 2: I mean what he did against Collier, it costs me
13:54
Speaker 2: a ton of money. Like, I don't think he's a
13:56
Speaker 2: good fighter. I mean, I don't know how serious he
13:59
Speaker 2: takes his training case and stuff. I mean, man, Hamdy's
14:02
Speaker 2: not good either. But if there's ever a spot for
14:04
Speaker 2: Hamdy to it's put up a new like one takedown, Buddy,
14:07
Speaker 2: one takedown and you're on top. Chris Barnett is not
14:10
Speaker 2: getting back up. And not only that, he will have
14:12
Speaker 2: zero cardio or anything in round two and then you
14:15
Speaker 2: can do whatever you want if you want to knock
14:17
Speaker 2: him out, walk forward, punt that jab, throw a little overhand.
14:20
Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean handy, he's as gross. I mean,
14:23
Speaker 2: this fight's as gross as it gets. But sometimes gross
14:25
Speaker 2: fights break slates, and I will be cheering for that.
14:28
Speaker 2: On the handy side, I just think whether he gets
14:30
Speaker 2: a takedown dominates that way, whether he knocks him out.
14:33
Speaker 2: There's a lot of ways to go about it. I
14:35
Speaker 2: do prefer Barnett to in a way, but I do
14:39
Speaker 2: prefer Riposo in Sutherland if choosing over Barnett, but I
14:43
Speaker 2: don't know. I mean, if you're playing a bunch of teams,
14:45
Speaker 2: so almost all of his wins should be finishes. We
14:48
Speaker 2: have plus three eighty five money line, and then we
14:51
Speaker 2: have plus four to sixty for Chris Barnett inside the distance,
14:54
Speaker 2: So most of his wins are finishes, And I mean
14:58
Speaker 2: any win could be enough at sixteen on this card,
15:01
Speaker 2: A finish win almost no doubt puts them there. So yeah,
15:04
Speaker 2: I don't hate if some people want to mix him in.
15:06
Speaker 2: I just don't see him winning at all. Money keeps
15:08
Speaker 2: going against him, so I will not be playing much.
15:11
Speaker 2: I also want to shout out I don't I don't
15:14
Speaker 2: even know if he wants to know him, but my man,
15:16
Speaker 2: Rose Bowl, he says he hit me up in Twitter.
15:19
Speaker 1: He always watches these shows.
15:21
Speaker 2: He took second in the head to head like qualifier
15:24
Speaker 2: thing that was going for forty thousand dollars. So he
15:27
Speaker 2: got all the way to the final loss last week.
15:29
Speaker 2: But I mean, super impressive stuff. That's a very hard
15:32
Speaker 2: tournament to get all the way. So forty thousand bucks.
15:36
Speaker 2: Awesome stuff, Rose Bowl. I wanted to shout that out. Yeah,
15:39
Speaker 2: big time, big time stuff. All right, we'll keep it
15:43
Speaker 2: going again. I appreciate the like button and subscribe button.
15:46
Speaker 2: Next fight on the car, This one should be good
15:48
Speaker 2: real life. I'm super pumped for this. Jose Delgatto minus
15:51
Speaker 2: one forty one Nathaniel Look would plus one twenty one
15:55
Speaker 2: minus won forty five for this fight to finish.
15:57
Speaker 1: The Gotti plus one ten.
15:58
Speaker 2: Inside the distance would plus four fifty, So we have
16:02
Speaker 2: a closely lined fight. But we have most of the
16:05
Speaker 2: finishing equity on one side in Delgado, which makes sense.
16:08
Speaker 2: He has finished all ten of his wins. Nathaniel would
16:12
Speaker 2: open the favorite in this one, though, so the line
16:14
Speaker 2: completely flipped.
16:15
Speaker 1: So Wood open.
16:16
Speaker 2: Minus one fifty hours later was plus one fifty five,
16:20
Speaker 2: and then slowly but surely he's taken a little money back,
16:23
Speaker 2: but the line pretty much has stayed ever since it
16:25
Speaker 2: went to that plus one fifty five range. Good fight,
16:29
Speaker 2: Big Marley, How do you see it going down?
16:31
Speaker 3: Yeah?
16:31
Speaker 1: I love this fight.
16:33
Speaker 3: He'ld be a fight of the night, really looking forward
16:36
Speaker 3: to it. Delgado is a serious striker. He is dangerous
16:39
Speaker 3: on the feet, and Wood is hittable. He's been cracked
16:43
Speaker 3: multiple times in his career. He usually fights through it, though,
16:48
Speaker 3: but eventually that could give out. So I do agree
16:50
Speaker 3: that Delgado has the finishing upside in this one. But
16:54
Speaker 3: I don't know that I've ever picked against wood Man
16:56
Speaker 3: Wood He's my guy. He's got a great game all around.
17:00
Speaker 3: I like when he mixes in his takedowns. I just
17:02
Speaker 3: don't like that he's in this weight class. He is
17:04
Speaker 3: a little too small for this weight class. And wait,
17:09
Speaker 3: is this one thirty five? No, it's one forty five. Okay,
17:11
Speaker 3: I saw I saw the inside of this.
17:14
Speaker 1: Yes.
17:16
Speaker 2: The problem is he just was so like he looked
17:19
Speaker 2: like death on the scales every single time like it
17:23
Speaker 2: would like he just couldn't. I don't know like what
17:25
Speaker 2: it was. He looks so bad, but he clearly is
17:28
Speaker 2: when you look at his like height and reach. I
17:30
Speaker 2: mean he's giving up five on both. He should be
17:32
Speaker 2: one thirty five. But man, he just he looks so
17:35
Speaker 2: bad every time doing it.
17:38
Speaker 3: But I mean he's skilled enough to fight and win
17:40
Speaker 3: at one forty five, So I'm gonna ride with him
17:43
Speaker 3: again here. I'm picking Wood to win. Uh. He's got
17:45
Speaker 3: a weather the storm in the first round, but del
17:49
Speaker 3: Gatto has looked really, really good against poor competition, and
17:52
Speaker 3: now he's got some serious competition, and I expect Wood
17:55
Speaker 3: to hang in there, and if he can get out
17:57
Speaker 3: of the first round, I think he can start to
17:58
Speaker 3: take over. I like him to in the second and
18:00
Speaker 3: the third round. I don't expect him to put up
18:03
Speaker 3: a big DFS score, but he's an underdog that I'm
18:05
Speaker 3: picking to win. I'm fine going uh and getting leverage
18:09
Speaker 3: on those people this on this card, especially because I'm
18:12
Speaker 3: really struggling to like underdog. So what's gonna be one
18:14
Speaker 3: of my favorite clicks as an underdog. There are other
18:19
Speaker 3: dogs that I would expect to score a lot more
18:21
Speaker 3: if they do win. I just like his chances at
18:23
Speaker 3: the win a little bit more.
18:24
Speaker 1: I'm glad I throw it to you first. I get
18:26
Speaker 1: to save a lot of breath.
18:27
Speaker 2: I think Nathaniel Wood's the play in this one, or
18:30
Speaker 2: the better bet in this one.
18:32
Speaker 1: I don't have a strong lean.
18:33
Speaker 2: I think if I had to pick one, it's Delgatto,
18:35
Speaker 2: just because, like if you're telling me Delgatto wins this fight.
18:37
Speaker 2: I think he does score a lot more on average
18:40
Speaker 2: than Nathaniel would. I mean, he hits really hard, He's
18:42
Speaker 2: dangerous on the match, just a go go ghost like fighter.
18:47
Speaker 2: And what I'm a little worried about his chin the
18:49
Speaker 2: more the fights have gone on. He's been in plenty
18:51
Speaker 2: of wars, but the skill for skill, like, he's no chance.
18:55
Speaker 2: He's a plus one twenty two underdog in this one.
18:57
Speaker 2: He is so skilled wherever the fight goes, He'll fight
19:00
Speaker 2: for your dollar, mixes in takedowns. It's just he can
19:03
Speaker 2: get hurt easier del Gatto. I mean he's got power,
19:05
Speaker 2: there's no doubt about that, and he'll fight for your
19:08
Speaker 2: dollar too. So I think this is probably fight of
19:10
Speaker 2: the night as well. Delgatto has a lot more finishing upside,
19:14
Speaker 2: someone's gonna score one hundred plus. It's probably him, but
19:17
Speaker 2: eighty five at seventy seven hundred very well could be
19:20
Speaker 2: on the winner this week. And I don't like many
19:22
Speaker 2: dogs there, so yeah, one of my favorite fights on
19:24
Speaker 2: the card, I think for DFS and real life. And
19:27
Speaker 2: the price does a lot with it. Eighty five hundred.
19:29
Speaker 2: You can lead money because Sogato has like Delgatto could
19:33
Speaker 2: outscore McKenzie dern in wins for one hundred less and
19:37
Speaker 2: not in the five round fight.
19:38
Speaker 1: So just making a pivot like that could give up.
19:42
Speaker 2: You could get a lot of dupes or eliminate a
19:44
Speaker 2: lot of dupes just doing something like that. And yeah,
19:46
Speaker 2: I don't like many cheap fighters, so I'll be playing
19:48
Speaker 2: a good amount of wood as well. Great fight to Tari.
19:51
Speaker 2: Yeah Delgatto looks good. I'm super super pumped for this one.
19:56
Speaker 2: All right, let's keep a rolling. Next fight on the
19:58
Speaker 2: card Balter Walker minus three to fifty the Luis Sutherland
20:02
Speaker 2: plus two eighty five minus two sixty for this fight
20:04
Speaker 2: to finish, Walker minus won fifty inside the distance Sutherland
20:08
Speaker 2: plus four twenty five Walker around one plus one sixty five.
20:13
Speaker 2: I remember it was supposed to be Walker Usman like
20:15
Speaker 2: two weeks ago, and you were saying like you were
20:18
Speaker 2: this pre show, you were pissed that the fight was
20:20
Speaker 2: off because you're about to lock Balter Walker. Is it
20:23
Speaker 2: the same spot where you're just I mean, it looks
20:25
Speaker 2: like a five star and a lot of Walker. It
20:27
Speaker 2: looks like a spot you're gonna be hammering it again.
20:29
Speaker 2: What you're doing.
20:31
Speaker 3: Yeah, because of the card, I won't be able to
20:33
Speaker 3: get as much as I would. I'm not gonna lock
20:35
Speaker 3: him because I think that card. I was kind of
20:36
Speaker 3: struggling to find big favorites that I felt good about,
20:40
Speaker 3: and he was the one this card. There's a lot
20:42
Speaker 3: of them I like, but he's up there. I do
20:44
Speaker 3: one a lot of them because I expect him to
20:47
Speaker 3: just go out there and dominate on the ground, get
20:49
Speaker 3: a first round finish. Sutherland is a big guy, and
20:52
Speaker 3: I think he can use his power to get a
20:53
Speaker 3: knock out and in other fights uses power to get
20:56
Speaker 3: takedowns and maybe get a ground and pound stoppagers something
21:00
Speaker 3: like that. But you're not You're not gonna do that
21:01
Speaker 3: against Walker. You get a take down against Walker. I
21:03
Speaker 3: have a feeling he's gonna take your leg and snap
21:05
Speaker 3: off your ankle, and if the knockout doesn't go Sutherland's way,
21:10
Speaker 3: I do see Walker getting a takedown early and submitting him.
21:13
Speaker 3: I just think he's the skilled grappler in this matchup,
21:16
Speaker 3: where Sutherland is just a big, strong guy. So I
21:20
Speaker 3: like walker first round finish. But on this card, a
21:24
Speaker 3: first round finish from Walker doesn't do as much as
21:26
Speaker 3: it would on that other card. So he's just gonna
21:30
Speaker 3: be another guy I'm mixing in. I'm fine with him
21:32
Speaker 3: being up there in my core play mix. Uh, but
21:35
Speaker 3: there's so many guys that I'm fine being in that
21:37
Speaker 3: mix's favorites this week.
21:40
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree.
21:41
Speaker 2: Interesting to note when I was so open or on
21:44
Speaker 2: Tuesday when I put these lines up, it was minus
21:46
Speaker 2: three ten Walker, it did get as low as Oh no,
21:50
Speaker 2: maybe that was just some other books. I thought there
21:52
Speaker 2: was a little buyback in minus three fifty, but now
21:55
Speaker 2: some other books do it, like Fando has minus four
21:57
Speaker 2: ten always price shop in every sport you're in if
22:00
Speaker 2: you're betting, but I'm mm all sports, not just MMA.
22:05
Speaker 2: But yeah, you can see a lot of big difference
22:07
Speaker 2: is sixty seventy cents. Sometimes I like I like ranking them.
22:11
Speaker 2: I like Sutherland more than Barnett, Raposo in a way
22:15
Speaker 2: for sure, because I think Walker is probably the highest
22:17
Speaker 2: owned of all of them, and so you get the
22:19
Speaker 2: most leverage, and I just think there's the biggest gap
22:22
Speaker 2: on like on the feet Sutherland's life for a knockout,
22:25
Speaker 2: like you can see a clear path that way if Walker.
22:28
Speaker 1: Can't get take down. So I know for sure he's
22:29
Speaker 1: my favorite of them. Below.
22:32
Speaker 2: If I had to rank, it would go Sutherland, Raposo,
22:35
Speaker 2: Barnett in a way. And then if I had to
22:37
Speaker 2: rank the favorites, I would go Hamdy, Walker a Marie Maxim,
22:44
Speaker 2: I think, but I do not feel strong about my
22:47
Speaker 2: favorite rankings.
22:47
Speaker 1: I could get any of the four makes a match
22:49
Speaker 1: and I'd be good with it.
22:50
Speaker 2: But how would you rank those favorites and dogs in
22:53
Speaker 2: those four of the first five fights.
22:56
Speaker 3: So my goal is to not be seventy one and
22:58
Speaker 3: under if I can, But I think i'd go Riposo, Sutherland,
23:05
Speaker 3: Barnett anyway, and then favorites Walker, Walker, Handy a Mariem
23:17
Speaker 3: and then Maxim, but maybe Walker a Marim Hamdy.
23:21
Speaker 1: Yeah, clearly though Maxim your least favorite.
23:24
Speaker 3: Yeah, Yeah, I'm not gonna play Maxim.
23:26
Speaker 2: What's up, Jordan, Great to see you. Hope you're having
23:28
Speaker 2: a great night. A lot of good sports on right now,
23:30
Speaker 2: that's for sure. Again, we'd love to have vie the Nation.
23:32
Speaker 1: It's very rare.
23:34
Speaker 2: You get I don't know what's seven plus sports going
23:36
Speaker 2: and you get MLB World Series tomorrow. I mean, what
23:39
Speaker 2: what a time. We have a lot of money to
23:42
Speaker 2: be made again, great community. We have a ship in
23:44
Speaker 2: Nation we'd love to have. You can get in as
23:46
Speaker 2: low as nineteen dollars for five days using the code
23:49
Speaker 2: at ship nineteen. All right, let's talk some mid tier fights.
23:53
Speaker 2: We have a lot of those coming up. Solid one
23:56
Speaker 2: right here. Luda de Klein minus one thirty four Matteyas
23:58
Speaker 2: Rebecki plus one fourteen minus won twenty five for this
24:01
Speaker 2: fight to finish both guys plus two to twenty five
24:04
Speaker 2: inside the distance.
24:06
Speaker 1: Man.
24:06
Speaker 2: The thing with me is Rebeccy, I like this fight
24:10
Speaker 2: a lot for DFS. When you have a five point
24:12
Speaker 2: two nine significant strikes per minute and three point four
24:15
Speaker 2: to six takedowns per fifteen minutes, you're gonna score well
24:19
Speaker 2: when you win. And he's only seventy eight hundred. The
24:21
Speaker 2: problem with him is his last three fights. I mean,
24:25
Speaker 2: his face looks awful. This dude is absorbing so much damage,
24:29
Speaker 2: getting in so many wars, and they're going late like
24:31
Speaker 2: he'll fight for your dollar, He'll get all the way
24:33
Speaker 2: to the end. But I'm worried eventually, like all this
24:36
Speaker 2: damage catches up to him. I mean, Chris duncan beat
24:38
Speaker 2: the shit out of him. Oral by fight, they beat
24:41
Speaker 2: the shit out of each other. Diego Ferreira beat the
24:43
Speaker 2: shit out of him like as a big dog in
24:45
Speaker 2: that one. So I am worried, and Ludivik Klein as
24:48
Speaker 2: a nasty head kick. The wrestling is interesting. Client can wrestle,
24:52
Speaker 2: Rebeccy can wrestle, So I am worried that in the
24:55
Speaker 2: gates each other and it just stays on the feet.
24:57
Speaker 2: And if that's the case, I don't really know what
24:59
Speaker 2: it scored. I am picking Client by knockout, though I
25:02
Speaker 2: think the chin will finally go and Climb will get
25:05
Speaker 2: will find it with a head kick, even if he
25:07
Speaker 2: gets a third round knockout, though it might not be enough.
25:10
Speaker 2: So then it brings me to like I think I
25:11
Speaker 2: prefer Rebeccy because I hate dogs so much and he's
25:14
Speaker 2: six hundred cheaper with the same upside, but I'm picking
25:18
Speaker 2: him to lose.
25:18
Speaker 1: So yeah, this is one of those spots.
25:20
Speaker 2: Like I like Client on the money line, I like
25:22
Speaker 2: Rebeccy more for DFS a little bit. I think tough
25:25
Speaker 2: fight though you have a three star at three on
25:27
Speaker 2: both sides, so it feels like you're pretty torn as well.
25:31
Speaker 3: Yeah, i'd say you pretty much broke it down. How
25:33
Speaker 3: I would I do lean Cline to win. I'd prefer
25:37
Speaker 3: him on the money line. I do just think he's
25:40
Speaker 3: the better striker in this matchup, and he can keep
25:42
Speaker 3: it on the feet long enough to win there. It
25:44
Speaker 3: could be a decision or it could be a knockout.
25:47
Speaker 3: But if it's a decision, he's probably not gonna score
25:50
Speaker 3: very well. I don't expect him to be the wrestler.
25:52
Speaker 3: I do give Rebeccy the grappling edge in this one.
25:55
Speaker 3: I'd probably give him the overall wrestling edges as well,
25:59
Speaker 3: So we're really relying on Clining to get a knockout
26:01
Speaker 3: I think here, Whereas if Rebeccy wins, I think any
26:04
Speaker 3: score or any win from him, we could put up
26:07
Speaker 3: a pretty decent score. So he's my preferred DFS play,
26:10
Speaker 3: and on a card where I don't have many underdogs,
26:13
Speaker 3: I feel good about it. I have a feeling I'm
26:14
Speaker 3: gonna have more Rebeccy than the field. So as you
26:17
Speaker 3: were talking, I'm moving it to a four star Rebeccy
26:22
Speaker 3: two star climb. But that's my my DFS stars because
26:25
Speaker 3: if I was gonna bet this fight, it would be
26:27
Speaker 3: the other way around.
26:28
Speaker 2: Yeah, I shout it, throw it to you first, we're
26:30
Speaker 2: lockstep in that the last two. I like it, Rebecca,
26:33
Speaker 2: I preferred DFS play with the savings. I try to
26:36
Speaker 2: make a bet and it sounds like big marleya to
26:37
Speaker 2: make a bet.
26:38
Speaker 1: It is Cline, all right.
26:40
Speaker 2: Next fight on the card, ikram Ellis scare of taking
26:43
Speaker 2: on Jung Young Park Eli scare of minus two twenty
26:46
Speaker 2: five Park plus one ninety minus one fifty for this
26:49
Speaker 2: fight to finish, Alis scaref plus one twenty five inside
26:52
Speaker 2: the distance, Park plus three fifty. Yeah, you mentioned earlier
26:56
Speaker 2: like if everything was right in the world, you wouldn't
26:58
Speaker 2: play any fighter low seventy one hundred, and I totally agree.
27:02
Speaker 2: And if that's the case, that would leave me with
27:04
Speaker 2: quite a bit of park at seventy two hundred and yeah,
27:08
Speaker 2: I mean I'm good with that. Like I'm gonna be
27:10
Speaker 2: forced to play Park in Bolkov in this in these fights,
27:13
Speaker 2: if the longer the fight goes, it has to benefit Park.
27:16
Speaker 2: I mean, he's a UFC that he'll fight for your dollar.
27:19
Speaker 2: He also mixes his martial arts well. Lascaro is definitely
27:22
Speaker 2: dangerous in round one all four of his UFC and
27:26
Speaker 2: Contender Series fights and the first round, Like, he clearly
27:29
Speaker 2: has plenty of upsides, So I'm gonna play some of
27:31
Speaker 2: him too, And I think he is I don't forgotten.
27:35
Speaker 2: It's not the right word, but he's gonna be relatively
27:37
Speaker 2: low owned compared to the upper tier with first round upside,
27:40
Speaker 2: So I'm good with him. But man on a card,
27:42
Speaker 2: I don't love many dogs. Park is staring me in
27:44
Speaker 2: the face. I guess I'll throw it to you on
27:47
Speaker 2: that because it seems like you agree, Like do you
27:49
Speaker 2: think he could get steam like to like a twenty
27:52
Speaker 2: five percent? Because now we're talking about a different ballgame.
27:55
Speaker 2: I mean, if everyone's seeing the same way and one
27:57
Speaker 2: fourth of the field is playing a one ninety five guy,
28:01
Speaker 2: you know what I mean? If group think just overtakes
28:03
Speaker 2: this car down below, then I might have to start
28:06
Speaker 2: hesitating a bit. But yeah, in a vacuum right now,
28:09
Speaker 2: if he's nineteen even twenty, yeah, I like Park quite
28:13
Speaker 2: a bit. But I am a little worried now that
28:14
Speaker 2: I'm talking more about it. Break down this one.
28:18
Speaker 3: I mean, it wouldn't shock me, I guess if he
28:20
Speaker 3: was around the twenty five percent range. But that's the
28:22
Speaker 3: same thing I was thinking, is that seventy two hundred.
28:26
Speaker 3: Park is where I would like to lean on if
28:28
Speaker 3: I have to go that low, because he is somebody
28:31
Speaker 3: who I could trust in a decision, not just to win,
28:33
Speaker 3: but to score well in the decision. He could put
28:35
Speaker 3: up a good pace on the feet where it wouldn't
28:38
Speaker 3: shock me to see him win a decision where ten
28:40
Speaker 3: minutes of the fight took place on the feet, and
28:42
Speaker 3: then it also wouldn't shock me to see him laying
28:44
Speaker 3: five takedowns in that decision and put up a pretty
28:48
Speaker 3: big score. But alas Kaiov is the more decorated grappler,
28:54
Speaker 3: he's the more dangerous guy, so he has one hundred
28:57
Speaker 3: and ten point upside as well. So I really just
28:59
Speaker 3: don't have a preferred play in this one. I just
29:01
Speaker 3: think that I'm gonna end up with more leverage on
29:03
Speaker 3: the Park side because we're hunting for underdogs on this card,
29:06
Speaker 3: and that's gonna leave me some more of him where
29:08
Speaker 3: I feel good about a lot of favorites. Alis Gaov
29:11
Speaker 3: is just one of them mixed in with others, and
29:13
Speaker 3: this is one where I'm gonna kind of have to
29:15
Speaker 3: give into the pop playing both sides of it. But
29:18
Speaker 3: I just have a feeling I'll click on more of
29:20
Speaker 3: the park side and that'll lead me to more aspinall
29:23
Speaker 3: and some more Walter Walker in those guys instead.
29:27
Speaker 1: Totally agree.
29:27
Speaker 2: I've feel a pretty lockstep on a lot of this stuff.
29:30
Speaker 2: So hoping we are right and it is a good
29:32
Speaker 2: card for us because prizes are big any I mean,
29:35
Speaker 2: prize is always big hunterd k up top on any
29:37
Speaker 2: Fight Night cards. You told me that five years ago.
29:40
Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, it's my eyes light up my pay
29:42
Speaker 2: per view season A card, and the prizes are definitely good.
29:46
Speaker 2: So hopefully this is a good one to capitalize on.
29:50
Speaker 2: All right, next fight on the card, the very rare
29:52
Speaker 2: eighty one hundred apiece Quill and Cell killed at minus
29:54
Speaker 2: one fourteen. Nazareat hot Press minus one oh six plus
29:58
Speaker 2: one fifty for this fight to finish, plus three to
30:00
Speaker 2: fifteen inside the distance for both guys. So we have
30:03
Speaker 2: four mid tier fights. Three of the four expected to finish.
30:06
Speaker 2: This is the only one expected to go the distance
30:09
Speaker 2: and has taken some money too. Again was plus one
30:11
Speaker 2: forty to finish now plus one point fifty. I have
30:15
Speaker 2: it the same as you like I Sell killed is
30:17
Speaker 2: my preferred play because I think if someone does score
30:20
Speaker 2: one hundred he has a lot more upside to do
30:22
Speaker 2: so with his wrestling and just more just unknowns. I
30:25
Speaker 2: mean he's a young fighter. We know what Nazareth hack
30:27
Speaker 2: Press is at this point a very good steady. I'd
30:30
Speaker 2: call him a gatekeeper or gatekeeper, Like, if you beat him,
30:34
Speaker 2: you have a chance to do things. If you don't,
30:36
Speaker 2: I mean you're probably never winning the title. He'll fight
30:38
Speaker 2: for your dollar. He has good hands, throw a solid volume.
30:42
Speaker 1: Just feels like the upside if someone is to break
30:44
Speaker 1: the slate is sal killed. So he's my preferred play.
30:47
Speaker 1: But I don't love this fight.
30:49
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll be playing Sell killed in this one. Nazarat
30:52
Speaker 3: probably has the striking matchup. He's just quicker. He's a
30:55
Speaker 3: good striker in general, so that should lead to sell
30:58
Speaker 3: Kild needing to wrestle more. And if he does wrestle,
31:01
Speaker 3: I think he's a good enough striker where he can
31:03
Speaker 3: keep it close on the feet and win it with
31:05
Speaker 3: the wrestling. So my plan is to go Sele killed
31:08
Speaker 3: or pass. I just don't really want to donate to
31:10
Speaker 3: the pot in this one, playing both sides of an
31:12
Speaker 3: eighty one hundred dollars fight, so I'm just gonna limit
31:15
Speaker 3: it for me. I mean, unless I play one hundred
31:17
Speaker 3: and fifty this week, then I'll probably get some Nazarat,
31:20
Speaker 3: but I'm expecting it to be twenty or less and
31:23
Speaker 3: I'll just hope that Nazat doesn't end up on the
31:26
Speaker 3: optimal lineup. I don't feel that good about Seul Killed winning,
31:29
Speaker 3: but I feel that good about his wins probably average
31:33
Speaker 3: twenty more than Nazareth's wins, and that's good enough for me.
31:36
Speaker 2: In DFS, totally agree with you sal killed or probably
31:41
Speaker 2: pass if you're making twenty or less. I definitely don't
31:45
Speaker 2: see myself getting laite like ten percent max if I
31:50
Speaker 2: was playing twenty teams or less, and even that like,
31:52
Speaker 2: I'd totally be fine if I got zero Nazaret. When
31:55
Speaker 2: it was all said and done, five fights left coin
31:58
Speaker 2: flip fight minus one ten a piece Osmot Murzakhanov taking
32:01
Speaker 2: on Alexander Rakkich minus one fifty for this fight to finish,
32:05
Speaker 2: verzikhon Of plus one forty five inside the distance, Rackage
32:08
Speaker 2: plus two eighty five. So we have fifteen to oh
32:12
Speaker 2: Merza khan Of taking again taking on rackets who's zero
32:15
Speaker 2: and three in his last three. But you want to
32:17
Speaker 2: hear those names, jan Belohovich, Yuri Parashka, Mahga met ank alive.
32:22
Speaker 2: I mean that's murderer's row right there. So I think
32:25
Speaker 2: we can give Rakitch a pass. I will never forget.
32:28
Speaker 2: The most I've ever lost live betting a fight was
32:32
Speaker 2: Rackage versus YEARI captain leg kicks over here, I swear,
32:36
Speaker 2: I swear by my leg kicks. His leg was as
32:38
Speaker 2: beat up as it ever could be, and I kept
32:40
Speaker 2: freaking pressing that button. And yeah, I mean, YERI I
32:43
Speaker 2: should know Yuri's not non normal human. That doesn't affect him.
32:46
Speaker 2: So Rakich has great leg kicks. It feels like the
32:49
Speaker 2: longer the fight goes, the more benefits Rakage. However, I
32:53
Speaker 2: mean a third round KO or decision win for Rakas, Like,
32:56
Speaker 2: I don't even think I want that at seventy nine hundred.
32:59
Speaker 2: I'm worried about the pace of this fight, which I
33:01
Speaker 2: think brings me to Murza Khanov being my preferred side,
33:04
Speaker 2: because it seems like he has the death touch, but
33:06
Speaker 2: man if he ain't touching him in the first two rounds, Like,
33:09
Speaker 2: I don't love this fight. It's probably my I was
33:12
Speaker 2: gonna say it's my least mid tier fight, but then
33:14
Speaker 2: like the Seal killed Hack Press side, I like both
33:17
Speaker 2: of these guys more than Nazarat, but I like Seal
33:19
Speaker 2: killed more than both is. I think how I'm viewing
33:21
Speaker 2: it right now? You could talk me into it, though,
33:24
Speaker 2: how do you see it going?
33:26
Speaker 1: Yeah?
33:27
Speaker 3: I mean really, the line looks trappy to me, a
33:30
Speaker 3: fifteen to oh fighter against the guy who's owing three
33:32
Speaker 3: in his last three, But it's a pick him line
33:36
Speaker 3: to me. Rackets is the better striker, He's the more
33:38
Speaker 3: skilled striker in this one, and if it's a fifteen
33:41
Speaker 3: minute striking match, I like him to win. If there's
33:44
Speaker 3: a knockout, I just gotta think that Murza Khanov is
33:48
Speaker 3: more likely based on durability and he's got the power
33:51
Speaker 3: as well. But I just think I think Rackets is
33:54
Speaker 3: gonna win and it could be a knockout. He is
33:56
Speaker 3: a good and dangerous striker. We just haven't really seen
33:59
Speaker 3: it from him as much lately. But it wouldn't shock
34:01
Speaker 3: me to see him get a knockout. And I think
34:03
Speaker 3: his ownership will be lower because he hasn't had a
34:05
Speaker 3: big score, So I'm gonna be overweight on the Rackets
34:09
Speaker 3: side of this one. He's another underdog I'm picking to win.
34:12
Speaker 3: I will get Murza Khanov though, because he could win
34:14
Speaker 3: in the first round. I also think he could mix
34:16
Speaker 3: in takedowns. He's are more likely wrestler in this one,
34:20
Speaker 3: and I don't think Rackets would have much to offer
34:21
Speaker 3: off his back. That'd be good for Mrza Khanov too. Yeah,
34:25
Speaker 3: just another solid fight to target because it's right there
34:28
Speaker 3: in the mid range. But the worry would be that
34:30
Speaker 3: it is a at range striking match for fifteen minutes
34:35
Speaker 3: and that's not going to put up a big score
34:37
Speaker 3: either way. I like Rackets to win that, but it
34:38
Speaker 3: could be a sixty point win. I'll get some and
34:41
Speaker 3: hope that he hits a knockout instead. But I don't
34:45
Speaker 3: feel good about him in DFS. I'd rather take wood
34:48
Speaker 3: for two hundred less.
34:50
Speaker 1: I agree with that man, Like over two and a
34:53
Speaker 1: half is minus one twenty.
34:55
Speaker 2: If this fight goes over two and a half, like
34:57
Speaker 2: it feels almost rowing stone dead. Get to the optimal,
35:01
Speaker 2: but then you look at on the flip side, ownership
35:04
Speaker 2: should be in check both guys inside the distance, Like
35:06
Speaker 2: plus one forty five is phenomenal, eighty three hundred plus
35:09
Speaker 2: two eighty five is good for seventy nine hundred. Probably
35:13
Speaker 2: a fight where I'm cap it kind of around the field.
35:16
Speaker 2: If I come in a little under fine, a little
35:19
Speaker 2: over fine maybe, But like if you're if it's given
35:21
Speaker 2: me one point five x the field on both guys,
35:24
Speaker 2: I'm manually bumping it. And if it's given me one
35:26
Speaker 2: point five x lower on both guys, I'm probably rolling
35:30
Speaker 2: with it. So if anything, I lead not play in
35:32
Speaker 2: this fight as much. But they're gonna both be in
35:34
Speaker 2: the pool. It's two grown men that could bank each other.
35:37
Speaker 2: But if they don't and they respect each other's power
35:40
Speaker 2: and stays on the feet, which is the route I'm leaning,
35:43
Speaker 2: it's hard to see it being optimal. Whereas like yeah,
35:45
Speaker 2: Delgado would I mean that could just be a banger.
35:48
Speaker 2: Even cell killed hack press like that. That could be
35:51
Speaker 2: a really really high paced fight. So I'd rather there's
35:54
Speaker 2: more outs to get there and fights like those than
35:57
Speaker 2: slow distance striking where you rely on a bank.
36:00
Speaker 1: Though that's what I got there.
36:02
Speaker 2: Four fights left, next fight on the all right, first,
36:04
Speaker 2: got a shout out a couple other.
36:06
Speaker 1: Familiar faces, go collect Matteous.
36:08
Speaker 2: He's always saying to bills, and yet he probably is
36:11
Speaker 2: fifteen worse fifteen to oh fighter at MMA history. But
36:14
Speaker 2: I don't know how many fifteen fighters kidding we've seen
36:18
Speaker 2: seen in the UFC. All right, Next fights minus two
36:22
Speaker 2: hundred Jelton Almeida plus one seventy Alexander Volkov minus three
36:26
Speaker 2: twenty five for this fight to finish Almida minus one
36:29
Speaker 2: forty five inside the distance Volkov plus three hundred Almeda
36:33
Speaker 2: round one plus two thirty five.
36:36
Speaker 1: Do you have the.
36:37
Speaker 2: Grappler wrestler in Almeida or the striker in the Volkov?
36:42
Speaker 3: I like the fight a lot, because I do think
36:44
Speaker 3: it's going to be just a binary fight, worse one
36:46
Speaker 3: way or the other. If Almeida gets takedowns, I expect
36:49
Speaker 3: him to keep it there and probably put up a
36:51
Speaker 3: pretty solid score. If you can't get takedowns, I think
36:55
Speaker 3: Volkov is gonna piece him up and probably knock him
36:57
Speaker 3: out just because Almeida is not a fighter. He's a
37:00
Speaker 3: good wrestler and he's a good grappler. He's got power
37:02
Speaker 3: on the feet because he's a monster. But that's your
37:05
Speaker 3: only chance against Volkov is just to wing a big
37:07
Speaker 3: shot and land it. Otherwise, Volkov is just gonna pick
37:11
Speaker 3: you up part because it's just that much better. He's taller, longer,
37:14
Speaker 3: been doing it a lot, longer fought, and be better competition.
37:17
Speaker 3: So I just like both sides of the fight. I
37:19
Speaker 3: am picking Almeida because he has to get takedowns, and
37:23
Speaker 3: if he does, he's just so damn big and strong
37:25
Speaker 3: that I think he's gonna keep it there for five minutes,
37:29
Speaker 3: or Volkov's gonna get up and we're gonna get more takedowns,
37:32
Speaker 3: which is really what we want. But if I'm not
37:35
Speaker 3: clicking on Almeida, if I ended up clicking on other
37:37
Speaker 3: favorites in that one, I'm I'm on Aspinall, I'm on Ammeriem,
37:41
Speaker 3: I'm on Walker, then I'm probably on my next click
37:44
Speaker 3: going down to Volkov and seeing what happens with my
37:46
Speaker 3: lineup there, because this is one I want to target
37:48
Speaker 3: in the majority of my lineups. I probably want this
37:52
Speaker 3: in three fourths of my lineups.
37:54
Speaker 1: Uh.
37:54
Speaker 3: And I'd prefer the Almeta side. But if I make
37:58
Speaker 3: one hundred and fifty on Saber and it gives me
38:01
Speaker 3: even or a little bit more Volkov and I like
38:03
Speaker 3: everything else, I think I'd be okay with it.
38:06
Speaker 1: I agree.
38:06
Speaker 2: I mean, I I very well might end up more
38:08
Speaker 2: overweight to Volkov, just for the sheer fact of I
38:11
Speaker 2: hate like I don't like in a way. I don't
38:13
Speaker 2: like Ripost, so I don't like Barnett, I don't love
38:16
Speaker 2: Sutherland hack Prep like I don't love Gone.
38:19
Speaker 1: When we get there, I.
38:20
Speaker 2: Mean, I definitely don't like Batista like I just WePlay
38:23
Speaker 2: a salary based game where I'm not liking too many
38:25
Speaker 2: guys down below. So I think I'm just gonna be
38:28
Speaker 2: forced to click the Volkov name, maybe more than I want.
38:30
Speaker 2: And again, if people are all seen it the same way,
38:33
Speaker 2: maybe that leads to more steam on Volkov, which then Almeida,
38:37
Speaker 2: like who people will click, don't get it twisted that way?
38:40
Speaker 2: But maybe he comes in a couple percent lower than
38:42
Speaker 2: people have a projected at just because if you click Volkov,
38:46
Speaker 2: you obviously aren't clicking Almeida and you feel a lot
38:48
Speaker 2: better at least I do with upper tier fighters to
38:51
Speaker 2: pivot away from Almeida than I do from Volkov to
38:54
Speaker 2: click other names down below. So again, I don't know
38:57
Speaker 2: if I'm just living in my own bubble or you
38:59
Speaker 2: kind of, but I am worried a little bit about
39:01
Speaker 2: Park and Volkov getting more esteem than I guess sites
39:05
Speaker 2: will project, just because man, it is really uncomfortable to
39:09
Speaker 2: click these names down below.
39:11
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I I already forget what I did
39:13
Speaker 3: with ownership, but I probably have them up there with
39:16
Speaker 3: like would because they're all really live to win. And
39:20
Speaker 3: it's more so the Volkov and Park are more allowed
39:23
Speaker 3: to put up big scores i'd say.
39:26
Speaker 1: When they win.
39:26
Speaker 3: But yeah, it definitely could. And I also think Ghane
39:30
Speaker 3: will get his as well. But yeah, I don't know.
39:34
Speaker 3: We'll have to mix in some who do we talk
39:36
Speaker 3: about already? Rebeccy, you'll get some, Vern will definitely get some.
39:39
Speaker 3: So I just don't think it can get too high,
39:41
Speaker 3: but it could. It could get twenty five percent range.
39:44
Speaker 3: I think maybe yeah, approach thirty.
39:46
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Vulkop I think we'll see Volka probably
39:49
Speaker 2: are on like twenty eight, twenty nine, park like the
39:52
Speaker 2: twenty three to twenty four. But yeah, I agree, like
39:56
Speaker 2: I Verna's gonna get ownership, Gon naturally gets Ownershi, but
40:00
Speaker 2: I am interested, especially after seeing last week de Ritter
40:03
Speaker 2: was seventy one percent and what was Brendan, how like
40:06
Speaker 2: twenty two or something like? Man, these we've seen these
40:09
Speaker 2: main events. It was the crazy I said it right away,
40:12
Speaker 2: and like before any of the fights started, that was
40:15
Speaker 2: one of the craziest, like your biggest edges if you
40:18
Speaker 2: had Brandon Allen in my opinion, just because that ownership alone.
40:21
Speaker 2: But if that fight's doing it, I mean, I wouldn't
40:24
Speaker 2: be surprised if we saw something crazy like that with
40:26
Speaker 2: Aspinal gone. And if that's the case, like the the
40:29
Speaker 2: ownership has to go somewhere down below, So I like Volkov,
40:33
Speaker 2: I'll be playing regardless the ownership. But again, I do
40:35
Speaker 2: want people to keep that in mind. Great fight to target.
40:39
Speaker 2: I have nothing really more to add about from what
40:41
Speaker 2: Big Marley said. I mean, I expect a double leg
40:43
Speaker 2: in the first twenty seconds from Almeida. If he gets it,
40:47
Speaker 2: especially if it's in the center of the octagon, you
40:48
Speaker 2: should see him float on top, maybe get a finish.
40:51
Speaker 2: If Volkov gets back up, Almeida can quit, he can
40:54
Speaker 2: break like I volkov last thing on this one. I
40:58
Speaker 2: feel bad for Volkov. Man he should be well, bad
41:00
Speaker 2: and good. He should be fighting Aspenall for the title
41:03
Speaker 2: he zero got lost. Volkov beat him. He should be
41:06
Speaker 2: that guy. But I mean, you can save a couple
41:09
Speaker 2: of years from his life. I mean, Aspinal would have
41:11
Speaker 2: done some bad things to Volkov, so from that aspect,
41:14
Speaker 2: I do not feel as bad for him. But yeah,
41:17
Speaker 2: it's it's kind of crazy he wins a robbery. In
41:21
Speaker 2: my opinion, you get rewarded for it. I mean, Dan
41:23
Speaker 2: even said he'd make things right. He obviously clearly didn't.
41:27
Speaker 1: The money backstage they had a I mean, I hope,
41:29
Speaker 1: I hope he at least got his win bonus for sure.
41:32
Speaker 1: Three fights left.
41:33
Speaker 2: Biggest favorite on the card, Umar and a Maga metof
41:36
Speaker 2: minus seven hundred taken on Mario Batista plus five hundred.
41:40
Speaker 2: This fight is plus one ninety to finish Umar plus
41:45
Speaker 2: two to fifteen inside the distance Batista plus eight hundred.
41:48
Speaker 2: Umar is the man you eventually got to see Umar
41:51
Speaker 2: Morab again. I could watch that fight every single day,
41:55
Speaker 2: every single week, just two insanely talented fighters. Mario Batista's
41:59
Speaker 2: very ten to two, but I just think there's levels
42:02
Speaker 2: to the game and Umar is on a different level. Now,
42:05
Speaker 2: what does that equate to DFS at ninety six hundred
42:08
Speaker 2: as the most expensive fighter.
42:11
Speaker 3: I like him. I do think he needs to wrestle
42:15
Speaker 3: quite a bit in this one because Bautista is maybe
42:20
Speaker 3: the better striker. I don't know. The striking could really
42:22
Speaker 3: go either way, and this one Umar is a really
42:24
Speaker 3: good striker, but if Bautista is gonna win, I would
42:27
Speaker 3: expect it to be more of a striking match because
42:30
Speaker 3: Umar could absolutely dominate the fight if he goes in
42:32
Speaker 3: there and gets takedowns. And that's why he's a minus
42:36
Speaker 3: six twenty five. So I gotta play some Umar if
42:39
Speaker 3: I can afford it. Bautista, I mean, he's such a
42:42
Speaker 3: good fighter. In sixty six hundred is so damn cheap,
42:45
Speaker 3: but it's such a I mean, it's the worst matchup
42:47
Speaker 3: in the division really aside from Morob so I doubt
42:50
Speaker 3: I get there one hundred and fifty. I'm definitely okay
42:54
Speaker 3: with a little bit of Bautista, but with twenty or less,
42:57
Speaker 3: I'm not clicking on him. I'm clicking on Umar if
42:59
Speaker 3: I can afford it. I'm not forcing him in though
43:02
Speaker 3: I'm definitely cool with am Mariem. If I can't afford Umar,
43:06
Speaker 3: I'll have more aspinall than Umar, I would imagine, just
43:09
Speaker 3: because he is cheaper and I he's like the best
43:12
Speaker 3: fighter in the UC. But I think Umar goes out
43:17
Speaker 3: there and shows why he should get another typle ship.
43:22
Speaker 2: Sorry, yeah, I was just making an adjustment. At first,
43:26
Speaker 2: I had like Umar underway to maxim over, but I
43:29
Speaker 2: just switched it. Like something's if I think Umar dominates
43:33
Speaker 2: this much and wrestling is un play like he has
43:36
Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty five point upside in this one
43:38
Speaker 2: where I don't think maybe no one else has that
43:41
Speaker 2: on the card. Maybe we just see like a way
43:43
Speaker 2: more aggressive different Umar, And like if you think he
43:45
Speaker 2: has to wrestle and Batista is a good fighter, like
43:48
Speaker 2: that means Bautista can get up, which is what I want.
43:50
Speaker 2: I don't want a guy that's just gonna lay and
43:52
Speaker 2: knock it up and then he just gets finished first
43:54
Speaker 2: round at one oh five. If I'm paying ninety six hundred,
43:57
Speaker 2: I want big boy upside, which were quite a good
44:00
Speaker 2: fighter on the other side. So yeah, the more I
44:02
Speaker 2: think about it, money he keeps taking money. Umar is
44:05
Speaker 2: just the freaking man six seven takedowns, Like there's in
44:09
Speaker 2: play that he just absolutely nukes the slate and you
44:12
Speaker 2: need him so at moderate ownership, So I changed that
44:17
Speaker 2: around the field. Overweight, yeah, I mean twenty percent even Umar,
44:24
Speaker 2: Like I want to get some, but he's ninety six hundred. Like,
44:26
Speaker 2: it's really hard. If I don't like the lower tier much,
44:30
Speaker 2: it's hard to go too crazy on him. But I
44:32
Speaker 2: do prefer him much more than Maxim. I just now
44:35
Speaker 2: that I think one forty is in play, the more
44:37
Speaker 2: I thought about it, I at least couldn't have an
44:40
Speaker 2: underweight take on him. What's up, Shark Saw? You were
44:44
Speaker 2: all over Brennan all last week, so congrats to you.
44:46
Speaker 2: Good to see and here hope everything is going well.
44:51
Speaker 2: Two fights left co main event time, five round fights,
44:54
Speaker 2: strawweight title on the line. The Kenzie durt minus one
44:57
Speaker 2: fifty taking on Bernad Jandero, but Puss one thirty minus
45:01
Speaker 2: won twenty five for this fight to finish Dirt plus
45:04
Speaker 2: one forty inside the distance Verna plus four hundred A
45:08
Speaker 2: rematch from twenty twenty, Mackenzie durn won a unanimous decision.
45:12
Speaker 2: What stood out to me in that fight was not
45:15
Speaker 2: much on the ground, Like Verna did not want to
45:18
Speaker 2: go to the mat and really grapple. And if that's
45:21
Speaker 2: the case in this fight, Like I was trying to
45:24
Speaker 2: pick Verna in the one case savings, but man, if
45:27
Speaker 2: she was hesitant to go grapple and wrestle five years ago,
45:31
Speaker 2: I think Dern leveled up the most. What she leveled
45:34
Speaker 2: up between both girls the most was her striking. So
45:37
Speaker 2: I think dirt on the feet and if Jander Robo
45:39
Speaker 2: doesn't love it on the mat, like, how does she
45:41
Speaker 2: win this fight? Twenty five minutes the five year older fighter. Hey,
45:45
Speaker 2: I'm struggling to get to the Verna side. I've actually
45:48
Speaker 2: debated betting Mackenzie recently, but I see that you have
45:53
Speaker 2: four stars Verna two stars. Dern. Please talk me out
45:56
Speaker 2: of putting any money on this one besides for my
45:58
Speaker 2: DFS teams.
46:00
Speaker 3: And this is kind of like the Klein Rebeccy fight
46:03
Speaker 3: to me, where I am picking Durn to win. I
46:05
Speaker 3: think is similar to the last fight. Not a lot
46:07
Speaker 3: has really changed. Both are really good grapplers, but I
46:12
Speaker 3: think Drn is the most dangerous grappler in the UFC
46:17
Speaker 3: Women's UFC. But maybe Verna is the better wrestler, and
46:22
Speaker 3: maybe her confidence is higher than it was last time,
46:25
Speaker 3: coming off like five straight wins or something like that,
46:28
Speaker 3: and since the striking did not go her way the
46:30
Speaker 3: last time, maybe try wrestling here. So I think Verna
46:34
Speaker 3: is the better DFS play because if she wins, I
46:37
Speaker 3: think she has to wrestle, whereas Dern can do whatever
46:41
Speaker 3: she wants. She's probably the better striker. She's gonna put
46:43
Speaker 3: up more volume on the feet. She's not a good wrestler,
46:46
Speaker 3: but if she can get takedown, she's gonna she's gonna
46:48
Speaker 3: be fighting for submissions on the ground. Genderal is gonna
46:52
Speaker 3: have to be fighting it off at all times unless
46:54
Speaker 3: Genderoba's in top control. I think she can kind of
46:57
Speaker 3: stay safe in top control. Maybe you can't really land
47:02
Speaker 3: a whole bunch of strikes against someone like Durn and
47:04
Speaker 3: give her a chance to grab your wrist or something
47:06
Speaker 3: like that. But I do think Verna is Live with
47:09
Speaker 3: a Wrestling here seventy six hundred Live with the Wrestling,
47:13
Speaker 3: I gotta mix her in this some lineup, so she's
47:15
Speaker 3: my preferred DFS play. But I'm picking Durn to win
47:18
Speaker 3: a unanimous decision.
47:20
Speaker 1: Yeah, I got no argument.
47:21
Speaker 2: Like, if I had more Verna at the end of
47:23
Speaker 2: the day and it was pretty close, I'm probably rolling
47:26
Speaker 2: with it.
47:27
Speaker 1: But man, mackenzie's definitely my pick to win.
47:30
Speaker 2: I just if I'm not confident that Verna will be
47:34
Speaker 2: okay on the mat and willing to be on the
47:35
Speaker 2: mat for fifteen plus minutes, like she's toast on the feet,
47:39
Speaker 2: And I do think Durn is the better grappler when
47:41
Speaker 2: it's all said and done.
47:42
Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm a McKenzie in this one. Debating betting it.
47:45
Speaker 1: We'll see.
47:46
Speaker 2: But the one case savings on a slate where I
47:48
Speaker 2: don't love too many dogs is just naturally gonna get
47:50
Speaker 2: me more Verna than I otherwise would on some other cards.
47:54
Speaker 2: All right, I mean of that time heavyweight Champion of
47:58
Speaker 2: the World Championship on the line, John Jones vacates because
48:02
Speaker 2: he was ducking Tom aspinall the man himself. Man, I
48:05
Speaker 2: would have loved to see and get minus one ten
48:08
Speaker 2: on tom aspinall. We will never, unfortunately probably see that.
48:12
Speaker 2: But espinall minus three seventy taken on zero gone plus
48:16
Speaker 2: two ninety five minus seven hundred for this fight to
48:19
Speaker 2: finish espenaal minus three fifty inside the distance gone plus
48:23
Speaker 2: five hundred espinall plus one fifty in round one. Yeah,
48:28
Speaker 2: I mean, Espenhall's better wherever the fight goes zero gons.
48:31
Speaker 2: Just I don't know, man, He's cost me plenty of
48:34
Speaker 2: cheese before the dude, he should be way better than
48:37
Speaker 2: he is. He's just a flake. He's a quitter, he's soft.
48:40
Speaker 2: He I mean, man, give me some one shot power.
48:43
Speaker 2: You look like a specimen out there, and you're out
48:45
Speaker 2: here just trying to point fight for twenty five like
48:48
Speaker 2: you better come in with a different game plan against
48:50
Speaker 2: tom Asthmall otherwise it's not gonna go good for you.
48:54
Speaker 2: He just always has the wrestling in his back pocket
48:56
Speaker 2: if he wants it in this fight, which is yeah,
48:59
Speaker 2: why I'm actually surprised the line has gone a couple
49:03
Speaker 2: couple of days in the Gons in the Gon's favor,
49:06
Speaker 2: which I did not expect to be the case. Yeah,
49:09
Speaker 2: I guess how do you see it going? You have
49:10
Speaker 2: it five to one? Are you playing any serial?
49:12
Speaker 1: Gone? Yeah?
49:14
Speaker 3: The more lineups I make, the more gone I would get.
49:17
Speaker 3: Because if the fight goes past the second round, Gon's
49:21
Speaker 3: gonna be live here. I don't know how much I
49:24
Speaker 3: trust Aspinall's cardo. He's never been able to show it.
49:26
Speaker 3: He's just so damn good and and if things are
49:29
Speaker 3: going well early and he's going for that fantasy shot
49:32
Speaker 3: could slow him down more. But I knew, I do
49:34
Speaker 3: know Gon has twenty five minute cardio. He's the better
49:38
Speaker 3: athlete of the two. Neither one of them really move
49:41
Speaker 3: like heavyweights. But Aspinall is just the way more dangerous
49:45
Speaker 3: striker in the first two rounds. I think the guy
49:47
Speaker 3: that's gonna be the better striker in the first two rounds,
49:49
Speaker 3: throwing more volume, pushing the pace, throwing straighter shots. And
49:52
Speaker 3: if he wants to wrestle then ghan Is then Gon's
49:55
Speaker 3: just fucked. Really God, he just has to whether that's
50:00
Speaker 3: long enough for Aspirinaal to tire out, and then he
50:03
Speaker 3: could be alive to win. I just don't think it's
50:05
Speaker 3: gonna get to that. I think Aspirnall finishes him in
50:07
Speaker 3: the first round, maybe the second round, but if he's wrestling,
50:11
Speaker 3: a second round could even be okay with aspinall so,
50:14
Speaker 3: he's my favorite play on the card. I thought about
50:18
Speaker 3: betting him when he was in the minus three hundred range.
50:21
Speaker 3: I still not fully against it, but yeah, I would
50:23
Speaker 3: be very nervous if the really if the fight made
50:27
Speaker 3: it out of the first round, because then I'm like, well, shit,
50:28
Speaker 3: is he gonna finish in the second, And if he
50:30
Speaker 3: didn't finish in the second, then I think Gon is
50:33
Speaker 3: just going to start to maybe take over. If not,
50:36
Speaker 3: I would really love to see what Asparnaut looks like
50:38
Speaker 3: lateon Feiser. I remember when he went to the second
50:40
Speaker 3: round like one time, and I feel.
50:41
Speaker 2: Against andre Orlovsky a gross ass fight.
50:45
Speaker 1: And then he so gross. Then he was like all right, like.
50:49
Speaker 2: I'm tired of this, just took his bag and just
50:51
Speaker 2: like choke the man to death. Like it's super weird.
50:55
Speaker 3: But that's what I expect here though, Yeah, go choke
50:58
Speaker 3: Gon to death in the first round. Maybe it'll be
51:01
Speaker 3: too u not quick. Like if it's in the first
51:05
Speaker 3: sixty seconds, it's great, but if it's in the second
51:08
Speaker 3: minute of the fight, maybe it's a little bit too
51:10
Speaker 3: quick and he doesn't score enough, So I'm not going
51:12
Speaker 3: to make a rule to lock aspinall in I'd be
51:15
Speaker 3: fine with Umar instead of him, Amram instead of him,
51:19
Speaker 3: or if I just couldn't afford him, I'd be fine
51:21
Speaker 3: with other people blowing. But I agree, if I'm handbuilding,
51:24
Speaker 3: my favorite click is Aspinall.
51:27
Speaker 1: I agree with all that.
51:28
Speaker 2: I'm not going to be making a rule because like,
51:30
Speaker 2: if he's not on the winner, you have a excuse me,
51:33
Speaker 2: a lot better chance that a lot lower dupes than
51:36
Speaker 2: if you play this fight. But yeah, in a vacuum,
51:38
Speaker 2: I mean ownership reflects it. Tom Aspinall clearly the best
51:41
Speaker 2: play that way. And if you're playing like single entry stuff,
51:44
Speaker 2: I mean, his ownership's even going to be higher than
51:46
Speaker 2: we project it because we projected for flagship stuff. So
51:50
Speaker 2: that's all I got. I mean, two five rounders, fingers crossed.
51:52
Speaker 2: We keep all thirteen fights because if we do, ownership
51:55
Speaker 2: should be spread out enough. And it's a tough card,
52:00
Speaker 2: good midtier fights, values, tough spends look strong. But there's
52:04
Speaker 2: enough spends and enough combinations and two five rounders that
52:08
Speaker 2: I think you can build very solid teams even without
52:10
Speaker 2: leaving too much money, they'll be pretty low dupe. So yeah,
52:14
Speaker 2: any final thoughts.
52:14
Speaker 3: For you now, Hopefully it's a fun one. I expect
52:18
Speaker 3: aspin All to win and keep the title as long
52:20
Speaker 3: as he wants. Though he's just the scariest heavyweight really
52:25
Speaker 3: because he's so damn fast and he looks like a
52:28
Speaker 3: light heavyweight the way he moves. So I can't wait
52:30
Speaker 3: for this fight, and hopefully it's a profitable one. Good
52:34
Speaker 3: luck to you, title colet to everybody listening, let's ship it.
52:37
Speaker 1: Good luck everybody again.
52:38
Speaker 2: Love to have you at the nation five dollars for
52:40
Speaker 2: nineteen bucks using the code ship nineteen. All of our content, projection, ownerships,
52:46
Speaker 2: late plan, fight rankings, everything will be up tomorrow, like
52:49
Speaker 2: always an updated Well actually i'll be up.
52:52
Speaker 1: Before the fights.
52:53
Speaker 2: It's early ten am Eastern, that is seven am I time,
52:56
Speaker 2: so I will be up in the morning. If anything changes,
52:59
Speaker 2: fights over night, cancel whatever it may be, big line movement.
53:02
Speaker 2: I will always tag the discord. Do have notifications on
53:05
Speaker 2: in the m m A channel, but that'll do it
53:07
Speaker 2: for us. Appreciate all you guys, all the supports, hit
53:11
Speaker 2: that thumbs up, hit the subscribe on the way out.
53:13
Speaker 2: Helps us out a ton for Big Marley. I'm be safe.
53:17
Speaker 2: Have a great weekend, s.
54:02
Speaker 1: MA, Man Spy, Sat made, Man sip and Man Spring.
54:13
Speaker 2: Select the spat and spat the
54:22
Speaker 1: Spank assass