Latest / Disguised Coverage / Inside Bills vs Dolphins: Preview, X's & O's, Breakdown, & more | DC

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Inside Bills vs Dolphins: Preview, X's & O's, Breakdown, & more | DC · Disguised Coverage

• 0:00
  It's thirty eight. All bills can win In here, Wake puts it down.
• 0:03
  The kick is on the way and dock m the bell good one?
• 0:07
  How the hell that one home? How one? They were a party one
• 0:14
  not party way? Incredible? Why not combat by my bell? Jacksonville's perfect
• 0:21
  record on the line right here, quick kicking, look excited? Touchdown Kyle
• 0:43
  Williams touchdound amazing, unbelievable. They puttied william who's hats to full back and
• 0:56
  he scores a touchdown. It's wealthier to face tackle. What's good? Folks,
• 1:17
  family, friends, loved ones, enemies, frienemies, wizards which is
• 1:19
  Muggles, mud bloods, people of Middle Earth. To another episode of disguised
• 1:23
  coverage. The only podcast in existence that gives you an equal amount of blueberries
• 1:27
  in each muffin, and that is presented by the best pizza in Buffalo,
• 1:30
  New York, and that is One Pie Pizza. You can find the online
• 1:33
  menu in the episode show notes where they're here on YouTube or whichever podcasting app
• 1:37
  and or platform you are listening to this show on. I'm your host,
• 1:41
  Anthony Prohaska. Find me on Twitter at pro Underscore Underscore and in tonight's episode
• 1:46
  of disguised coverage. It is probably most definitely, arguably, I'm not even
• 1:53
  like joking with no, probably the most important game of the season for the
• 1:57
  Buffalo Bills. If they win, they are one one hundred percent in the
• 2:00
  playoffs. Also, if they win, they take the AFC East for the
• 2:05
  fourth straight year in a row and also deny the Miami Dolphins the opportunity to
• 2:08
  win that division, a crown and title that looked lost for the Buffalo Bills
• 2:14
  just a few short weeks ago as they answered the bye week at six and
• 2:16
  six below. And behold here we are going into Week eighteen. It's a
• 2:20
  rivalry week, it's the last game of the NFL regular season, it's primetime,
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  it's Sunday Night. There's so much riding on this game, regardless of
• 2:27
  what happens on Saturday and Sunday leading up to Bills Dolphins. But big week,
• 2:32
  big game, New Year's just happened. There's a lot going on.
• 2:36
  From an energy standpoint, from a people's standpoint, I'm super juiced up for
• 2:39
  this week. In football in general, there's a lot of move into shake
• 2:42
  and still to be done in the AFC and in the NFC, and if
• 2:45
  you are a football fan, but especially if you're a Bills fan or a
• 2:47
  Dolphins fan, this weekend is absolutely huge for you. And in tonight's episode,
• 2:53
  we'll be going into the matchup for the Buffalo Bills versus the Miami Dolphins.
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  The x's, no scheme structure, positional analysis, player breakdowns, anything
• 3:00
  and everything that will decide who and who wins this game, how this game
• 3:06
  will be won, the who's, the what's, the hows, and the
• 3:07
  whys, all of that end. To break down this game and to dive
• 3:12
  into the x and x's and o's of this matchup, I bring back one
• 3:15
  of my favorite guests, who ever grace this show. I also had him
• 3:19
  on earlier in the year when the Bills played the Miami Dolphins back in Week
• 3:22
  four. Legitimately one of my favorite people and favorite guests, mister Jpacosta of
• 3:27
  SB Nation. I'm not lying when I say you are one of my favorite
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  people. A little peak behind the curtain. The reason we started late.
• 3:34
  JP and I were just talking about Disney World and how awesome it is,
• 3:37
  and we lost track of time, and that's what happens. Sometimes it's anime
• 3:39
  stuff, sometimes it's wrestling. Sometimes it's sports. Sometimes it's Disney, like
• 3:45
  it is tonight, first time for everything. I appreciate you taking the time
• 3:47
  to join me. I appreciate how awesome you are, and I'm pumped to
• 3:50
  dive into this matchup and dissect it with you. Thank you, thank you.
• 3:53
  You know a lot of people do not know this, but when I
• 3:55
  was in undergrad I consider switching my major to engineering because I wanted to be
• 4:00
  imagineer at Disney. I want to I wanted to create roller coasters, and
• 4:03
  I wanted to build the Disney hotels. I had a cool idea where I
• 4:08
  meet the Robinsons S themed hotel that I still hold onto to this day.
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  But then I realized I have to do math again and I just don't want
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  I just don't want to do that. I have to take calculus, and
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  I was like, ah, I'm good, I'll stick with writing. Man.
• 4:18
  No thanks, that's not fun, Like, that's not the fun part
• 4:20
  of it. Like the idea though, all the concept designed is cool.
• 4:23
  I remember seeing ooh it was making like maybe like twenty nineteen, twenty twenty.
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  I think it was before COVID. It was right when like the Disney
• 4:30
  Plus app came out and they did. They released like a documentary. It
• 4:32
  was like an eight episode like thing on the rides and the imagineers and the
• 4:36
  actual like engineering and concept of all the parks and designs. And I thought
• 4:40
  it was like the coolest thing in the world, like because I've never I've
• 4:45
  never really gotten into like the nuts and bowl. I know, like obviously
• 4:46
  how Disney was like where it was built and how it came together and Walt
• 4:49
  Disney's Vision four and everything, but the actual like park construction and ride construction,
• 4:55
  I hadn't really known or paid attention to. And I saw that and
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  I thought it was the coolest thing. And similar, I want to to
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  be, like, man, I want to move to Orlando and design things.
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  And I'm like, I'm also whole, like holistically unqualified. There's no
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  shot, but it'd be cool. Like, Yeah, I think if the
• 5:10
  show is called Behind the Attraction, there's like two seasons of it. Yeah,
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  I love that show. I love everything about The second season came out
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  I think this year, and they talk about everything from like resorts to Epcot
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  in general, to the food at Disney. And I'm a big Disney food
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  person as well. Yeah, it's just it's amazing. It's amazing. It's
• 5:31
  one of the best places on Earth Earth, if not the best place on
• 5:35
  Earth. It's a good time. Also a good time football. NFL Football
• 5:41
  playoffs this weekend. As I mentioned in the intro, man like, I
• 5:46
  personally did not think the Bills were dead in the water. I thought if
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  they could kind of reconstruct some things and course correct coming out of the bye
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  week, they had a solid shot to make the playoffs. But the road
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  is going to be difficult, and lo and behold, here we are.
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  They beat the Chiefs, they beat the Cowboys, they beat the Chargers,
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  they beat the Pats. They're sitting here at ten and six. The Dolphins
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  faltered a little bit along the way. This game, for all the marbles
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  in the AFC East, also could be a game for the Buffalo Bills,
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  where if they lose, they're out. Like there's so much your you know,
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  your heart is into too, maybe a little bit depending on what happens
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  with the Jacksonville Jaguars. Like, there's so many storylines tying into this one
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  game before we get into the nitty gritty of it and the bones and scheme
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  and structure and all that kind of stuff. When you're looking at this matchup
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  on a high level viewpoint or vantage point, what's the first thing that comes
• 6:34
  into your mind? Is it on the Dolphins side? Is it on the
• 6:36
  Bill side? Is it something in particular? What comes to your mind as
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  soon as you think this week a team matchup between Bills Dolphins. So I
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  think the first thing that comes to mind is momentum. You know, from
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  a big overarching standpoint, I think momentum kind of gets boohooed in the especially
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  the nitty gritty football community, but it's a very very real. It is
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  very real to be like, oh, we're playing at a really high level
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  right now. We can continue this week in and week out, and if
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  you're not playing at a really high levels, like dang, we keep getting
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  out there and getting manhandled. But you know, this is a game that
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  feels like all the momentum is kind of on Buffalo's side. Miami is coming
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  in after getting throttled by the Ravens and also coming in extremely, extremely injured.
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  They are going to be decimated on the defense side of the ball.
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  Offensively, You're not sure if Dalen Waddle plays, it's going to be a
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  game that feels like this has a big fight feel. You know, this
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  is very much a heavyweight battle, you know, so it's going to be
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  super fun, super exciting. Plus the schematics are going to be really cool
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  because every time they play it just feels like it feels like a rivalry game.
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  Like this feels like a rivalry. It's super cool from a from that
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  rivalry perspective. I talked about it a couple of times on the show.
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  But like I like growing up in the nineties, like all of and even
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  throughout the two thousands and everything, even when like the Patriots were ruining my
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  life as like a Bills fan. All the adults in my family and like
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  my older brother and older cousins, and everybody was always like, oh well,
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  that doesn't come close to the Dolphins and this and that, and everybody
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  was always talking about Kelly and Marino and Kelly Morino. And I remember like
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  going to the mall when I was little, and you'd see like those old
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  school nineties kind of shirts where it was like a buffalo like grilling a dolphin
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  on a grill and it was like squished the fish and all that, and
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  that was such a huge passing of the torch moment for those nineties Bills teams
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  because they spent so much of the seventies and eighties getting like thrashed by Miami
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  and then here comes Marino, but then Kelly and the Bills and the Dolphins
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  could never get past the Bills, and then it kind of dissipated for a
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  while. The Dolphins really kind of floundered. No fish punt and intended there,
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  but kind of floundered really for a long time, like into the two
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  thousand and twenty tens or however we kind of label it like yeah, some
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  years when they made the playoffs, but they didn't really make a lot of
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  noise and they were just badly run some real horrible seasons. But I think
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  it's sweet that the rivalry is back. I would like it to be in
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  a fashion where it's you know, more easily dominant for the Bills, so
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  I don't have to have my blood pressure rise and my heart, you know,
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  palpitating, all that kind of stuff. But I guess I mentioned it
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  like in the intro, like just from a football perspective, like this is
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  such a good rivalry. It's awesome that it's back and you get to see
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  I remember when the Niner Seahawks rivalry was really at its peak, and that
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  last game for the regular season got flexed on that Sunday night to decide the
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  division. It's like, this is just such a cool moment for a really
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  good rivalry in a season that has gone two completely different ways for both teams
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  in terms of the ups and downs and when they've happened. There's so many
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  storylines and so many overarching themes and pieces aside from the schematics, like even
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  if you're just looking at it from like a football lore kind of perspective,
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  Like, there's so much on the line in this game, and it's so
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  fun to get into it. It's amazing too because these teams both legitimately do
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  not like each other. Absolutely. Hey, I think it kind of gets
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  lost within the Bills Chiefs rivalry of Oh, these are two of the three
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  best quarterbacks in football. This is the rivalry that the NFL wants in the
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  next decade. But no, these two teams hate each other. The Dolphins
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  do not like the Bills. The Bills don't like the Dolphins. Every time
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  they play. The shit talking is at extremely, extremely high level, and
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  we're gonna get that in a winner take all game on by Belast Sunday Night.
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  You're gonna have Jalen Ramsey, Christian Wilkins, both those guys. Just
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  absolutely I want this game to be miked up. I'm dying to hear the
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  miked up from this game from both sides because I just know highly charged moments,
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  tense game, physical game. It's gonna be a real physical game as
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  well. Oh absolutely, Like it starts with that Christian Wilkins piece. He
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  and I mean he gets into everybody's like like grill and crawl like every single
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  week, like he's he's that proverbial dude who if he's against you, you
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  hate him and you think he's so dirty. And if he's on your team,
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  you're like, man, I love Christian Wilkins. He's so awesome.
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  And then but just from like a football standpoint, he's so good, Like
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  he's not having the year this year that he did last year, but he's
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  so good and him and Zach Seeler are such an awesome pair on the inside
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  for Miami. It's good to see Seiler getting some recognition this year and starting
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  towards the end of last year for what you know he's been doing. I
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  see people in the chat like throwing out the nineties references, the yeah I
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  remember, I remember Brian Cox, Like yeah, I feel like Wilkins is
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  like the new Brian Cox in terms of like that one dolphin that every Bills
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  fan hates, and it's you said it like the charged up aspect, and
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  I wonder the Jalen Ramsey piece of it, like how juiced up is he?
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  How much is he kind of feeling himself a little bit in this game,
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  Like we know these teams don't like each other, and the momentum piece
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  I think is interesting, like Miami is sputtering into this game, like I
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  know they beat Dallas, but it was close. It came down to the
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  wire. Like you said, they got absolutely thrashed by the Ravens. They're
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  still coming in, like several weeks removed, but from a very disappointing loss
• 12:07
  against the Titans that should never have happened in any way, shape or form,
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  not just because it's the Titans, but given how that game went and
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  where it was late and what the score was and all those pieces. And
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  then you have the Bills winning four straight but kind of limping into it a
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  little bit. The past couple of weeks like they're still winning, but things
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  don't look right holistically offensively, especially with the passing game and Josh Allen,
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  which I'm sure we'll talk about at some point tonight. I know, I
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  definitely will. Yeah, there's just so many underlying aspects, underlying pieces into
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  this game, and again it sets the tone for what's been a really up
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  and down regular season for both teams. The Bills started out losing a very
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  disappointing game to the Jets that Josh Allen kind of gave away, and then
• 12:46
  everything looked right as rain. They thrash Miami and Buffalo earlier in the year,
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  They get hit with injuries, they start to falter, they fire their
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  offensive coordinator. Things look great, things start to dip again. They're still
• 12:58
  banged up. Miami looks like they're on top of the world. Then they
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  can't beat anybody good or anybody with a winning record except for the Cowboys.
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  Then they start getting banged up, like everywhere. It's just like pendulum swinging.
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  And also within it is the you know, obviously we're talking about this
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  within the vacuum of the AFC East in this one game, but then in
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  the grander scheme, both of these teams funneling into an AFC that really is
• 13:20
  up for grabs, although Baltimore it just looks so dominant. And I feel
• 13:26
  good for them because I've always had a soft spot for them in my heart.
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  Ed Reid is my favorite player of all time, and I also loved
• 13:31
  Cherelle Suggs, So I have like four Edree jerseys and like three or four
• 13:35
  cherel Sugs jerseys. Like I've always had a soft spot for the Ravens.
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  And plus, how would can you not, like from an organizational standpoint,
• 13:41
  like what Ozzie Knewsome did and then passing it off to Eric Tacosta, and
• 13:43
  like just the organizational strength they've had for so long. But I've said,
• 13:48
  for really the past several years, the Ravens have just been so overlooked because
• 13:54
  they just get so decimated with injuries that by the end of the year they
• 13:58
  are Rashelle of a football team and everybody overlooks someone forgets about them. But
• 14:01
  when healthy, they on paper and even in actuality on the field, they've
• 14:05
  been one of the better teams in the AFC. Year in and year out.
• 14:07
  They're just never healthy. And even last year, Tyler Huntley gets tackled
• 14:11
  at the friggin one yard line and then fumbles to Sam Hubbard and it gets
• 14:16
  returned. They they went into Cincinnati with a banged up team and Tyler Huntley
• 14:20
  and for all intents and purposes, should have beaten the Cincinnati Bengals, and
• 14:26
  it kind of like a fluky loss. So even when they haven't had Lamar
• 14:28
  and their old line's been decimated, the secondary's been decimated, it felt like
• 14:31
  every year it was like Marlin Humphrey's out, Marcus Peters is out, They're
• 14:35
  playing with their third and fourth string offensive lineman, Lamar is banged up.
• 14:39
  Even when that's always happened, they found a way to cobble it together and
• 14:41
  fight. This year, they relatively, you know, No Jinks, stayed
• 14:46
  healthy and we're seeing you kind of the fruits of the labor play out,
• 14:48
  and they're just man offensively, defensively, special teams. Coaching like they've got
• 14:54
  arguably like the hottest head coaching candidate, and Mike McDonald with what he's doing
• 14:58
  on the defense side of the ball. The players they got Baltimore looks like
• 15:03
  an absolute monster. But even within that, we've seen them be the one
• 15:05
  seed in prior years and lose in the divisional round. So the AFC really
• 15:09
  is a decently open spot. And even if you want to say Baltimore is
• 15:13
  the lead dog, two through seven is an absolute crapshoot at times, so
• 15:16
  you don't know who's a good team who's not. Anybody could beat anybody,
• 15:20
  and both of these teams kind of factoring into that larger picture as well.
• 15:24
  Yeah, it feels like I think the reference I've always made with this year
• 15:28
  is anybody can go on a twenty twelve Joe Flacco run. Anything can take
• 15:33
  that twenty twelve Joe Flacco run where you're a wildcard team and just catch fire
• 15:37
  and you go straight to the super Bowl. I mean, the modern comparison,
• 15:41
  I guess would beat anybody can be the Raims when they win the Super
• 15:46
  Bowl, when they have a wildcard team, Matthew Stafford catches fire and they
• 15:50
  win the Super Bowl. I mean, if any team's going to be the
• 15:54
  Joe Flacco team, might as well be the team with Joe Flacco. But
• 15:58
  crazy this is this year has been so fun because there hasn't been been that
• 16:03
  like overwhelmingly like dominant one team in the AFC, like the Ravens are the
• 16:10
  closest thing to it. But even below those teams, you're like, oh,
• 16:14
  they can get God on any day. Yeah, like anybody can.
• 16:18
  Anybody can get got You see the teams like, shoot, the AFC South
• 16:21
  is up for grabs, and all three of those teams can a make the
• 16:23
  playoffs and be win a playoff game. So this game is gonna be so
• 16:27
  much fun from the just the environment to the physicality on the field. This
• 16:34
  is gonna be awesome. You know, this is gonna be one of those
• 16:37
  games that like, yeah, just like you're gonna feel the energy through your
• 16:41
  TV, Like it's gonna have one of those games like you don't aways tell
• 16:45
  when playoff time comes, because the cheering from the crowd is less like cheering
• 16:49
  and it's more of those like guttural roars that like comes from like your gut,
• 16:53
  and that's what we're gonna hear. The energy is gonna be off the
• 16:56
  charts, Like the pants are gonna be popping in this one. Like I
• 17:00
  am so very excited. Again, obviously from a Bill's standpoint, Dolphin standpoint,
• 17:03
  but just from a football standpoint, it really does not get any better
• 17:07
  than this in terms of deciding like largely what these two teams can do come
• 17:11
  playoff time. The ramifications are huge for both of these teams with the AFC
• 17:15
  as a whole. I'm very excited for this game, and I'm very excited
• 17:18
  to dive into the matchup of it with you. So for those playing at
• 17:22
  home or who do not potentially know what we're about to do, JP and
• 17:25
  I each have our top three matchup pieces that will decide Bills versus Dolphins.
• 17:29
  They could be as large scale as we want or as granular as we want.
• 17:33
  Could be super niche could be just cast a wide net, large scale
• 17:36
  umbrella pieces, anything and everything. I don't know JP's answers, he does
• 17:40
  not know mine. We're going to basically break this down. It could be
• 17:41
  schematic, It could be structural. It could be a position piece. It
• 17:45
  could be an alignment aspect, It could be anything and everything. Could come
• 17:48
  from advanced metrics, could come from film study. Who knows. We're going
• 17:52
  to dive into those pieces. Each alternate and give our top three for those
• 17:56
  playing at home. Whatever you got, what do you think decides this matchup?
• 17:59
  And why? Who decides it? What specific aspect, whatever is on
• 18:03
  your mind? Throw it up into the chat. I'm going to star a
• 18:04
  bunch of those pieces. I'll bring them up as we have our conversation and
• 18:07
  then save a bunch for the live chat portion at the end once we send
• 18:11
  JP on his way. And then also too, white folks are here with
• 18:15
  us live. If you think one of our answers are awesome or terrible,
• 18:18
  feel free to get into the chat and tell us. So whatever is on
• 18:19
  your mind, throw it up into the chat. JP. You are the
• 18:23
  guests. You can start whichever way you want. You know, we always
• 18:26
  go through it every time because I mean, I feel like you should know
• 18:27
  the rim at this point because you've been on the show so much this year.
• 18:30
  But you can start with I don't know if you have ranked or you
• 18:33
  don't, whatever you want, the floor is yours. Start with whichever matchup
• 18:36
  piece you got in your mind. So my first one is the Bills offense
• 18:41
  against the Miami Dolphins intermediate level defenders against Baltimore. That was really, really
• 18:49
  bad. Yeah, I think it was. The Dolphins defense for all intents
• 18:52
  and purposes, has played really well since getting Jalen Ramsey back. It takes
• 18:57
  a while for Vic Fangio defenses to really get cooking. That's why it takes
• 19:03
  so late. But they've been playing really well, but Baltimore just completely obliterated
• 19:08
  them with motion and crossing routes. It's where you saw the injuries in the
• 19:14
  back end and in that second level really come to light. Not having Jerome
• 19:18
  Baker and having to play Duke Riley instead of Jerome Baker made a massive,
• 19:23
  massive difference on the zibig z Flowers touchdown. They motion Flowers across the formation
• 19:30
  into a fast motion. Duke Riley starts to run out with him, but
• 19:33
  forgets, oh shoot, I'm in cover three. I'm not supposed to be
• 19:37
  out here. Like he finds himself like a penguin in the desert and he's
• 19:42
  like, oh shoot, I'm not supposed to be here, runs with the
• 19:45
  dig leaves or roams the post leaves, Flowers open on the wheel and it
• 19:49
  ends up as a touchdown against the Ravens. I think it from Sports Info
• 19:56
  solutions, they got tobliterate it against motion on all passes that use any type
• 20:00
  of motion. Against the Dolphins in Baltimore, Lamar Jackson was eleven of thirteen
• 20:06
  for two hundred yards and touchdowns. Holy hell, and he only had what
• 20:11
  like eighteen complete or twenty one attempts on the day in eighteen completions, so
• 20:15
  the heavy majority of their passing attack came with motion. To kind of put
• 20:18
  that into perspective even more, their positive play rate, which is what SIS
• 20:22
  uses to measure how many percentages of their plays end up with a positive EPA
• 20:30
  using motion on those passes, they had a seventy six point nine percent positive
• 20:36
  place Jesus, which is the highest the Baltimore Ravens have had. And it's
• 20:41
  not close. I think the next closest is maybe like sixty three for Cheeze.
• 20:47
  It is it's absurd, the motion, the crossing routes. They crossed
• 20:52
  Miami's wires all game, all the touchdowns, the Racard touchdown, Guysaiah Likely
• 20:57
  short yard touchdown taken them both out all open, YEP wide open, wide
• 21:03
  open. And if Jerome Baker doesn't play, if Xavier Howard doesn't play,
• 21:07
  if Jvon Holland is not one hundred percent, the spine of that defense is
• 21:12
  really weak. David Long has played really well, but David Long is very
• 21:15
  limited in past coverage. Duke Riley is Duke Riley what the Dolphins would love
• 21:22
  to do is play Andrew Van Ginkel instead of at edge, play him at
• 21:26
  linebacker. But they can't do that because Chub and Jalen Phillips are hurt and
• 21:30
  they are gone for the rest of the season. So Andrew Van ginkle is
• 21:33
  now the full time edge, which limits what you can do at off ball
• 21:37
  linebacker. The Bills haven't been great throwing over the middle of the field this
• 21:42
  year. It's been kind of up and down, hit or miss. But
• 21:45
  I wonder if they go back to this. I wonder if they lean into
• 21:51
  the heavier personnel. That's what Baltimore did to kind of cross Miami's wires,
• 21:55
  get those linebackers on the field. You know, they played a lot of
• 21:57
  twelve personnel, a lot of twenty one personnel, whatever you want to call
• 22:00
  it. When Ricard enters the game. The Bills don't have that, say
• 22:06
  they don't have Patrickcard, of course, but they have the ability to get
• 22:08
  into twelve and thirteen personnel and kind of cross those wires, get those linebackers
• 22:14
  on the field and keep them on the field. So I wonder how much
• 22:18
  they operate in those crossing routes, using motion and kind of attacking those second
• 22:22
  level defenders who just aren't healthy. Right now, that's very well said.
• 22:27
  I think the when Baker went down, and it's no disrespect to Jerome Baker,
• 22:34
  but like coverage is not his strong suit and so knowing like when he
• 22:40
  went down, I remember thinking like, well, I mean, like,
• 22:41
  how much worse can it be? And it was I mean again Baltimore game,
• 22:45
  but like it was worse. Like I love the call out there,
• 22:48
  like they were just lost on that second level. There were so many clips
• 22:52
  in that game where and you know, credit to Lamar for making the throws,
• 22:56
  but because I saw the MVP converce has been getting like out of control
• 23:00
  with people trying to knock everybody for everything. But so many people were like,
• 23:04
  well, Lamar's got all these wide open guys against Miami. Of course
• 23:07
  he's completing them, but like lost in that is like, oh, come,
• 23:11
  all these Baltimore guys keep getting wide open. And it was because that
• 23:14
  communication piece and that recognition piece from Miami, like you said, no pun
• 23:18
  intended, like their wires were getting crossed non stop. And it's funny because
• 23:21
  the bills. I love the point, the part that you brought up about
• 23:23
  like how they've attacked and the middle of the field has been attacked more under
• 23:27
  Joe Brady, but it still hasn't necessarily holistically been there, and they haven't
• 23:32
  been a team that's utilized like a ton of crossing pieces like they're They've been
• 23:37
  a little better with Dorsey, especially in the low red zone when it comes
• 23:38
  to like mesh and running that slither piece where like you go like trips to
• 23:42
  one side and just literally just cause a whole bunch of craps so that way
• 23:45
  the running back can slip out into the flat pretty easily. But they've been
• 23:48
  a horrible mesh team like all year. They don't really bang with a ton
• 23:52
  of the crossers. Alan doesn't throw seamballs. He's not a big, like
• 23:56
  over the middle crosser type of guy. He's more like he'll throw a dig
• 23:59
  and throw a poe, throw a deep sit. And so I wonder exactly
• 24:03
  your point, how much do they replicate what Baltimore did in addition to the
• 24:07
  personnel piece, which again different offenses, But if the key is going heavier
• 24:12
  personnel and putting Miami into this mine, the Bills can most definitely do that
• 24:17
  with Knox, with Kincaid, and even with Reggie gilliam as well to kind
• 24:21
  of mimic a little bit what Baltimore does. They have that capacity to operate
• 24:25
  in that mold. Yeah, and I think what the Bills can do,
• 24:29
  like I said, get into those heavier personnel. I think what Buffalo has
• 24:33
  done so well with Joe Brady as coordinator is leaning into that run game and
• 24:41
  lean into like, well, the cool players that I saw that they brought
• 24:45
  out against the against the Patriots they ran in a couple of times. Was
• 24:48
  that tackle dart yep, but they had Khalil sekire go in a little orbit
• 24:52
  return motion and basically turned it into a triple option where now you're like,
• 24:57
  oh, we have to worry about this guy out the backfield. You can
• 25:00
  turn those into passing plays. What about the one too? Didn't they have
• 25:04
  the one? I think it was on tackle rap like where Diggs was in
• 25:07
  the backfield. I was like, what is happening right now? They motioned
• 25:12
  Latavious Murray to receiver, motioned Digs from receiver to running back, then ran
• 25:17
  tackle rap with Digs as the running back. But it was kind of like
• 25:21
  counter bash because the tackle was wrapping the way Josh Allen was running. Yeah,
• 25:26
  so it's kind of like, what what's happening right now? He's get
• 25:27
  a little get a little funky, getting a little creative. So I wonder
• 25:30
  if they go to that and if they go to play action against these linebackers
• 25:34
  who, like I said, have not been great but also just have been
• 25:40
  hurt. And if you can get Duke Riley isolated in coverage and play action,
• 25:45
  we've seen that that can be very successful. I like where your heads
• 25:48
  at with that, and I'm gonna use that to kind of just segue into
• 25:51
  I say it every time, I never know which point or match a piece
• 25:53
  to start with mine. I always just kind of play off whatever like my
• 25:56
  guest does, and yours functions and funnels perfectly into So I think that run
• 26:00
  game piece is going to be significant and important for this Bill's team, especially
• 26:04
  as we've seen the Bill's passing offense sputter a little bit the past several weeks.
• 26:10
  To kind of put it lightly, So my first point to kind of
• 26:12
  tie into this is the just labeled it generally, like what do we get
• 26:15
  from Josh Allen and the Bill's passing game? And I'm gonna speak to why
• 26:18
  the running game is so important and it's because of what we've seen from the
• 26:22
  Bill's passing attack. So weeks one through ten, which were the Ken Dorsey
• 26:26
  offensive times. And also, I'm gonna put a disclaimer out there because it's
• 26:29
  always such a hot topic for everybody. Everything that I'm about to say,
• 26:32
  I broke it up in terms of the Joe Brady splits and the Ken Dorsey
• 26:34
  splits. Nothing i'm saying is vindicating Ken Dorsey. None of it is saying
• 26:40
  Joe Brady is terrible. I'm not doing any of that. I don't want
• 26:42
  to have this conversation. We're not going down that road. I just broke
• 26:45
  it up into splits because it's relevant. That's it. Shut up. Relax.
• 26:51
  So weeks one through ten Ken Dorsey times, the Bills were eighth in
• 26:55
  passing EPA and second in passing success rate. Since week eleven, Joe Brady
• 27:00
  offensive coordinator times, they're seventh in passing EPA, so okay, one spot
• 27:04
  better, but they're eighteenth in passing success rate, a drop from second to
• 27:08
  eighteenth. They've gotten a lot of those high variants plays from Josh Allen,
• 27:12
  like the big chunk plays we've seen that return more to this offense. But
• 27:18
  on a peer like down by down basis. They've struggled and we've seen some
• 27:21
  sluggishness the past four weeks game games, they've all won fourteenth in passing EPA
• 27:27
  twenty fourth in passing success rate, which has hurt them. It's part of
• 27:32
  the reason we've seen them struggle a little bit. But also mixed in with
• 27:34
  that is like, Okay, well they just went They just pivoted to mid
• 27:37
  zone against the Chargers and were able to cut them up, like they ran
• 27:41
  the hell out of the ball with tackle rap against the Cowboys, So okay,
• 27:45
  who cares what happens with the past? And also within the past,
• 27:48
  they again, they've kind of hurt themselves in the passing game, but they've
• 27:52
  been successful situationally in the red zone for the most part, on third downs
• 27:56
  things when they've really needed it. The Chargers game is a good example.
• 27:59
  Like that pass and game was not ideal even from the get go, like
• 28:03
  Allen wasn't sharp, he was missing some reeds, he wasn't pulling the trigger,
• 28:06
  but when they needed to have a third down conversion, you got it
• 28:08
  when he needed to get it to digs and win it on that game,
• 28:11
  when it drive to kick the field goal, they got it. Like the
• 28:14
  Blitz recognition and the play to Shakir, they got it. That Chargers game
• 28:18
  is such a good representation and microcosm of what the Bill's passing attack has been
• 28:22
  these past couple of weeks. This four game sample size, which is on
• 28:26
  the whole not great, but when they needed to have something, they've gotten
• 28:30
  it, which you know, it gets you the win, but it makes
• 28:33
  for some nail biers and some close games. I'm confident in the Bills run
• 28:37
  game mainly because of the diverse concepts they can lean into. And it goes
• 28:41
  back to even what they've done under Dorsey throughout this year, but they can
• 28:45
  lean into three concept one of three concepts at any point and find success with
• 28:48
  them. They can go with that tackle rap dark play like you talked about
• 28:49
  already. They can go with mid zone, or they can go with duo.
• 28:53
  And with the injuries Miami has overall on defense, but especially on that
• 28:56
  defensive line, no Jalen Phillips, no Bradley Chubb, no bookend pieces,
• 29:02
  I am leaning into that tackle rap dark concept piece. I am trying to
• 29:07
  pin Zach Steeler and Christian Wilkins inside, and I am attacking the edge,
• 29:11
  and I'm attacking the edge. I'm attacking Van Ginkel on the edge. I
• 29:15
  think I have a match of the advantage there with Brown or Dawkins mashing against
• 29:18
  him. I'm seeing what I can create in terms of chaos. I'm also
• 29:21
  then building upon it and tying in rpo looks off of that or adding in
• 29:26
  that bash concept to be like, Okay, the tackle rap is going to
• 29:30
  be for Josh Allen, but he's reading off the edge. Is he going
• 29:33
  to give it to the running back and take it with it? So now
• 29:36
  you're that edge and you're crashing down and you're like, oh wait, do
• 29:38
  do I play the quarterback? Do I play the running back? I got
• 29:41
  to read the mesh point trying to create that a little bit of delay.
• 29:45
  Bradley Chubb, for as much malign as he's ben has been like a quality
• 29:48
  run defender, Like that's his calling card piece. So him being out I
• 29:52
  do think it is significant for Miami and then tying it into that pass piece.
• 29:55
  And again this is a conversation, separate conversation for another time, which
• 29:59
  we'll get into the the offseason depending on how the season ends up for the
• 30:02
  Bills. But all the Ken Dorsey sucks jokes and all the comments about Ken
• 30:07
  Dorsey, I think a lot of them glossed over the struggles that Josh Allen
• 30:11
  himself was having this year. And granted Dorsey I think was responsible to a
• 30:15
  degree for some of them, but a lot of people just look to Dorsey
• 30:19
  as the source point for all or most of Josh Allen's struggles, and that
• 30:25
  wasn't true. And we're seeing him still having specific struggles under Joe Brady that
• 30:30
  he had under Ken Dorsey. Specifically for me, from a decision making standpoint
• 30:34
  and a trigger pulling standpoint routes, where it's a basic like one two read
• 30:41
  read player A, if he does this, you do that. If he
• 30:42
  does that, you do this, And it's almost just like he short circuits
• 30:48
  and is like uh, and you're like, just just throw the ball.
• 30:51
  Throw the ball. The guys might open the guy the defender ran to the
• 30:52
  flat, hit the guy behind him. Oh, the defender sat cool,
• 30:56
  hit the flat. These little pieces were still seeing some of those struggle and
• 31:00
  I don't think it's being talked about enough when it comes to Allen's play.
• 31:03
  And again, none of this is to say that Joe Brady's awful or Allen
• 31:07
  is cooked, or Dorsey is vindicated and was right, and all that kind
• 31:10
  of stuff. My overarching point with it is Allen has been shaky throughout the
• 31:14
  majority of the year, some games more than others, for sure. And
• 31:18
  I think it's funny also to say all that, considering like where he is
• 31:19
  from an EPA perspective, and like where he ranks and all these advanced metrics
• 31:22
  that show how well he's done. But this year, more than others,
• 31:26
  we're seeing that risk reward nature of Josh Allen play out more towards the risk
• 31:33
  side. We're getting more yin from Josh Allen this year as opposed to more
• 31:37
  yang and in a game that, like we talked about, is essentially a
• 31:40
  playoff game and literally might be for the Bills based on what happens Saturday and
• 31:44
  Sunday leading into that game. If that yin, that negative side of Josh
• 31:48
  Allen, if that's the Josh Allen we see, it could be curtains for
• 31:52
  the Buffalo Bills. And so that's why I think this run game is more
• 31:55
  important to this offense. I've said it for the past couple of years,
• 31:57
  with how even when the offense was at its most potent and humming with that
• 32:00
  pass game. If you could add a real pivot with the run game,
• 32:05
  like, yeah, you're throwing one hundred and two mile an hour fastball,
• 32:07
  but imagine if you can now throw like an eighty one mile an hour change
• 32:12
  up from the same arm slot and angle. Holy hell, Like, what
• 32:15
  is a defense going to do? So I've said that for years in general,
• 32:17
  but even more so now. The Bills run game is legitimately one of
• 32:21
  the best in the league, and when you're just looking at it from running
• 32:23
  back carries only like they've been consistently in the top four, top five,
• 32:27
  top three all year when it comes to epa per attempt on the ground for
• 32:30
  their running backs. The Josh Allen run game is starting to cook a little
• 32:34
  bit more. If you can lean into that, then you start to get
• 32:37
  real creative with RPO looks and read option looks. You can just run that
• 32:40
  tackle wrap concept and make it basically like a read and read the edge and
• 32:44
  then turn it into a keeper in different aspects. There's so many fun things
• 32:47
  you can do with that, and so I think one just in and of
• 32:51
  itself, is a pivot. It's tremendously helpful for this offense. But I
• 32:53
  also think it settles Josh Allen. It gets the offense going. It's an
• 32:57
  easy button in and of itself. You don't have to worry about putting too
• 33:00
  much onto Josh Allen's plate or worrying about what Josh Allen you're getting when you
• 33:05
  can just hand the ball off and mash it defense and get five to seven
• 33:07
  yards a clip or even more depending if you know James Cook breaks one.
• 33:12
  Yeah, And I think watching the Patriots game back, I thought was really
• 33:15
  interesting just kind of the Bills struggles against man coverage, which is something that
• 33:21
  Josh Allen has normally just obliterated, especially against the Patriots. Patriots would always
• 33:25
  play man against the Bills and Josh Allen would throw six touchdowns and run for
• 33:30
  eighty five yards. Yeah. This past week on eleven dropbacks against the Bills,
• 33:37
  he went three for nine for seventy five yards. I think that's a
• 33:40
  really concerning a concerning drop but it's not gonna be something I don't think.
• 33:46
  I don't think the Dolphins are to play that much man coverage on Saturday Sunday
• 33:52
  because just they don't have a lot of dudes. I was gonna say,
• 33:55
  was it with Xavier and Howard like being out powered out who's not playing?
• 34:00
  Just as well? You have Eli Apple who is Eli Apple? Yeah,
• 34:05
  and you had the liabilities at linebacker. I just don't know how much they
• 34:07
  play man coverage, but it's just something that I'm looking out for with the
• 34:13
  Bills passing game. Just it was weird. I was at the Jaguars game
• 34:19
  on Sunday, so I kept getting updates on my phone and I was like,
• 34:22
  huh, weird. What Bailey's Appy and Josh Allen both not completed a
• 34:28
  pass. It's the second quarter, huh. There was one part in the
• 34:31
  game. I forget when it was, but like I think it was after
• 34:35
  Bailey had all his interceptions, and it was he still had a higher passer
• 34:38
  rating than Josh Allen and that was the one that blew my mind. I
• 34:42
  was like, oh, like that's yeah. I think at one point Allen
• 34:44
  was like oh for his first six or he was like three for twelve or
• 34:46
  something there, or they hadn't completed a pass until like the second quarter.
• 34:50
  It was wild. It was so weird, just as someone who kept getting
• 34:52
  updates and I'm like, that's weird, what's happening here? And then going
• 34:57
  back and watching it was just like the Patriots play man coverage and Christian Barmore
• 35:04
  dominated on the inside. I think they got they got timely pressure on Alan
• 35:08
  When someone would be coming open, Allen was already off of it because he
• 35:13
  had some pressure in his face and there were some drops that really killed him
• 35:15
  at Mple points too. Yeah, it was a lot of drops. It
• 35:17
  was timely pressures by New England. I think of one where I think it
• 35:21
  was like third down and they run a mesh and they're they're coming open.
• 35:24
  It's open, but the Patriots are in dime. Mac Wilson comes free flying
• 35:31
  off the edge off a simulated pressure where Dion Dawkins and left guard for the
• 35:36
  Bills just do not pass that allea and he just gets a free hit on
• 35:39
  Josh Allen makes him skip the ball. It's those types of things where it's
• 35:44
  like, oh, that's gonna be a problem against Miami because that's what Vic
• 35:47
  Fangio is going to do, Like that's exactly what Vic Fangiel wants to get
• 35:51
  you with. Of course, these two teams are very different from when they
• 35:54
  met in Week four, mainly because the Dolphins have Jalen Ramsey now and changes
• 36:00
  the math. But I really do want to see how the Bills passing game
• 36:06
  rebounds from off night just it's an off day against the Patriots. Yeah it
• 36:13
  and you know it's a good point too, like the Pats and I've talked
• 36:15
  about on the Patriots shows. Each of the last couple of years, Bill
• 36:20
  Belichick, for as much as he's you know, this defensive like guru and
• 36:23
  wizard and this guy that we all know, like, oh, whatever is
• 36:25
  your best thing, he takes it away like if you're right handed, he's
• 36:29
  gonna tie that right hand behind your back and make you punch left, so
• 36:31
  on and so forth. Each of the past like several years, he's really
• 36:35
  just been like, no, I'm just gonna play a ton of Cover one
• 36:38
  and Cover three and that's what we're gonna do. And it's like, yeah,
• 36:40
  but the Bills are shredding it. He's like, don't care, We're
• 36:44
  gonna keep doing it. And it's like, you let Isaiah McKenzie have like
• 36:46
  career days against you. You're not going to change your defense. He's like,
• 36:50
  nope, ship shape and it was like, okay, well, the
• 36:52
  Bills are gonna keep shredding you. And I thought they'd have more success in
• 36:54
  the past against the Patriots, especially considering how good the Pats run defense was
• 37:00
  second in Dboa going into this past week. It's like set first an EPA
• 37:04
  per rush allowed and like not even close. They were at like negative zero
• 37:07
  point two to one. I think Atlanta is a negative zero point one to
• 37:09
  five, so like a good gap between them and the rest of the league,
• 37:13
  and it was like, okay, you know there. Plus they're banged
• 37:15
  up at corner, like you have Alex Austin, who was basically like a
• 37:20
  camp body depth guy for the Bills and then got cut and made his way.
• 37:23
  He had a really nice interception falling off some zone coverage and reading Allen's
• 37:27
  eyes and this one big shout out to him for that play. But it
• 37:30
  I second that notion, like the struggles that they had, and again it
• 37:35
  started out early, like there were some throws where even one I think it
• 37:38
  was a good microcosm. It's a drop from Dawson Knox. He's running just
• 37:43
  like a little like a little bender, a little over and it's a drop
• 37:45
  on a third down, but like there's a lot of space to lead Dawson
• 37:50
  Knox and Alan throws it behind him to the point where Knox is running this
• 37:52
  way and kind of has to reach behind and do one of these and like
• 37:55
  should he have caught it, yes, absolutely? Should Allen have made a
• 37:59
  better throw, yes, absolutely, But it's this like and this this is
• 38:02
  the issue. They had a bunch underdoor. See, it was this like
• 38:06
  chasing its tail type of problem with the passing game, where like nobody was
• 38:09
  helping someone else, Like Alan wasn't making like great throws, guys weren't making
• 38:14
  catches, and then it was like round and round. It was like somebody
• 38:16
  just needs to make a play to help get them out of the funk.
• 38:20
  And that's eventually what you got in that Chargers game again, like I was
• 38:22
  talking about, like when they needed it third down conversion to Digs on like
• 38:25
  third and six, all he does is run a speed out and it is
• 38:28
  a picture perfect dime from Josh Allen. It's a great catch from Digs.
• 38:31
  Like they've been able to pull these plays out of their hat when they needed
• 38:36
  it. Again. Red zone pieces the situational aspects, those high leveraged situations
• 38:40
  like third downs, but mixed in between that has been those struggles and that
• 38:45
  sluggishness, but then it gets bailed out by some of those explosive plays like
• 38:50
  in this past game, the big you know, a nice follow concept to
• 38:52
  Shakir, the big completion to Dalonkin kaid. They've been able. That's where
• 38:57
  you see like that EPA overall still but from a down to down basis,
• 39:01
  it can get rough at times. And yeah, that difference with Jalen Ramsey,
• 39:05
  Like I don't want to say like it's unfair because it technically I guess't.
• 39:10
  I don't think that verbiage is like right, but we never really got
• 39:14
  to see or it's unfair to not be able to see what this Dolphins defense
• 39:17
  would have looked like with what once Ramsey came back. Everybody started to get
• 39:21
  hurt and things started to fall apart, like Javon Holland finally just came back
• 39:23
  into the lineup. But like from a football standpoint, schematically, man,
• 39:29
  it would have been really fun to see this Dolphins team at full strength with
• 39:31
  Howard, with Ramsey, with Holland, what they do with their safeties and
• 39:35
  their defensive line. But everything's been so banged up that we haven't got to
• 39:37
  see them at full strength. But still you know that Ramsey is that chess
• 39:42
  piece and I wonder does he play more outside corner in this game? Do
• 39:45
  they use him as more of that star role like we know Fangio will like
• 39:49
  to do and that he succeeded with Ramsey that has succeeded so well with rams
• 39:53
  Like where does he get used and how? Because he and Holland and you
• 39:59
  Knowlkins I think is a chess piece, but you know where Wilkins is gonna
• 40:01
  be, like you know what he's gonna do. But Holland and Ramsey,
• 40:06
  you can get really creative with both of these dudes in terms of where you're
• 40:08
  playing what they do. But again, they have to function within all like
• 40:12
  the walking wounded of that defense, and that plays into it too, like
• 40:15
  is the Dolphins defense so banged up to the point that they can't take advantage
• 40:20
  of some of these recent struggles for the Bills passing attack? And this is
• 40:22
  another one of those games where like if Allen in the passing attack just clicks,
• 40:27
  my thought is okay, is the passing game back or is Miami's defense
• 40:31
  just so shredded at this point that anybody was gonna shred up and I think
• 40:36
  my big question for the Dolphins Ramsey wise is does he shadow Diggs? I
• 40:42
  think yeah, that's in the Cowboys game. He didn't travel with Ceedee Lamb
• 40:46
  because Xavier Howard played and he just when he went to Xavion's Howard side,
• 40:52
  he just stayed. When he was in the slot, they let Canderkohu or
• 40:54
  Nick Neadam play over him. Now you don't have Xavien Howard, and you
• 41:00
  know Stefan Diggs is the straw that stirs to drink for the Bills passing game.
• 41:04
  Does Vic Fangio, who normally doesn't travel corners normally does not travel guys,
• 41:10
  does he travels Stephan Diggs and jail? Does Jalen Ramsey travel with Diggs?
• 41:15
  I think that is going to be a major question because that's you gotta
• 41:20
  take away Diggs, make make someone else beat you. If this is the
• 41:23
  Khalis Shakir game. If I'm the Dolphins, I'm fine with that. If
• 41:29
  Khalis Shakir beats us, okay, like that's sure, man. If Donkin
• 41:36
  Kid wants to beat us, okay, we can deal with that. If
• 41:38
  Gabe Davis has a has like the Gabe Davis game, like he has like
• 41:42
  every two weeks. Right, you're cool with that, but you cannot let
• 41:45
  Stefan Diggs get hot. So I wonder if Jalen Ramsey travels because that's going
• 41:52
  to be ultimately what might determine this game from a passing game standpoint. And
• 41:58
  you know what's funny too, is like team have been able to take away
• 42:00
  Stefan digs without having to do too much. Like it's not like we're seeing
• 42:07
  all these like crazy coverages or this crazy bracketing and shadowing. It's just been
• 42:10
  basic stuff like or just going to take our outside corner and play inside leverage
• 42:14
  because we know what his tendencies are in this offense and that's it. And
• 42:17
  then Brady has been pretty content to be like, Okay, I'm not gonna
• 42:22
  do too much. I'm gonna to free them up, I'm gonna rely on
• 42:24
  the run game. Have Alan hit some other dudes and we'll see what happens.
• 42:28
  And so how many It was my question too going into the Patriots game,
• 42:30
  like because traditionally Belichick would take away digs. He would also try to
• 42:36
  take away Cole Beasley when Beasley was there in Buffalo, but teams haven't needed
• 42:40
  to sacrifice that many resources to take away digs like down this stretch. So
• 42:46
  it was like, Okay, does Belichick still feel like he needs to needs
• 42:51
  to do that? And if so, what's the resource allocation? Can he
• 42:54
  still try and stop the run and stop Diggs because he doesn't have to worry
• 42:59
  too much about and some of the numbers to put again splits from the Dorsey
• 43:02
  Times and the Brady Times. Stefan Diggs EPA per target some splits. Weeks
• 43:08
  one through eleven, I'm sorry. Weeks one through ten this year, his
• 43:13
  EPA per target was zero point twenty four, which was tied for thirty fifth
• 43:16
  out of one hundred and twenty six players with at least thirty targets, so
• 43:20
  pretty good. This data is per sis. Weeks eleven through seventeen, his
• 43:25
  EPA per target is negative zero point one point nine, which is tied for
• 43:30
  one hundred and fourth out of one hundred and twenty four players with at least
• 43:34
  twenty one targets, so basically three targets per game average. So he went
• 43:37
  from zero point twenty four to negative zero point one to nine. He has
• 43:42
  had not even a precipitous fall off the cliff. He is done like he
• 43:45
  fell off the cliff, like hard and just completely no parachute, nothing.
• 43:50
  But again, it's fine at times because if teams are going to give that
• 43:54
  much focus to Stefan Diggs, cool, That's why you have, in theory,
• 43:58
  gave Davis. That's why you paid Dawson Knock, That's why you drafted
• 44:00
  Dalton and Kate, you have Shakir, you have these other pieces. My
• 44:04
  answer for all of it is, okay, fine, takeaway Stevon Diggs.
• 44:06
  We're gonna run the ball down your throat because we have one of the best
• 44:08
  run games in the league, and then we can do play action and find
• 44:12
  Digs within that. Alan's taking shots to Digs but hasn't been able to hit
• 44:15
  him like Diggs is getting open. Alan doesn't see him. The usage of
• 44:19
  him is different in this Brady offense. And exactly your point, does Ramsey
• 44:23
  travel with him and does Fangio think Ramsey has to travel with him or does
• 44:30
  Fangio think, well, he's kind of struggling on his own. We can
• 44:35
  leave Cater Kohu, even though Diggs Diggs cook the ever loved hell out of
• 44:38
  Kohou earlier in the year. But I think That's an interesting point too.
• 44:42
  Does Fangio sit there and think, like, Noah, he's kind of taken
• 44:45
  away himself. Plus he's a little banged up. Potentially we can leave Kohu
• 44:50
  on him and then I can do all these fun things with Jalen Ramsey.
• 44:52
  That's an interesting piece right off the bat, like just watching the Bills offense
• 44:55
  and if Diggs lines up on the left and then on the right and then
• 44:59
  in the slot, like watching where Jalen Ramsey is, I think, like
• 45:01
  early on right off rip first series, it's gonna give us an indication in
• 45:05
  terms of how Fangio wants to play the Bills offense. I would, and
• 45:09
  I hate to say it like this because it's not as simple as in basketball,
• 45:14
  but I'm matchup hunting for Stefan Diggs. I think this is a game
• 45:16
  where it's a winner go home, You live or die with your best players.
• 45:21
  Eli Apple played forty eight snaps at outside corner next to Jalen Ramsey.
• 45:24
  Brutal, and you know who the RAYFN is targeted on most of those snaps.
• 45:29
  Eli Apple cater Coo, who plays primarily the slot. I'm if I'm
• 45:35
  Joe Brady and I'm the Bills offense. The first drive I'm throwing at Eli
• 45:39
  Apple. I'm getting Stefan Diggs at Eli Apple matchup and seeing what happens.
• 45:44
  Just poking, just prodding. It's like throwing the jab out, like yeah,
• 45:47
  we're gonna see. Hey, what are you gonna do if you line
• 45:51
  him up over here and he starts to you know, get get into a
• 45:52
  rhythm, because a lot of times, like receivers start to really get into
• 45:57
  like what we know them as, Like, especially with st On digs,
• 46:00
  he gets into a rhythm. He's a rhythmic receipt where he catches a few
• 46:04
  stop routes, he catches a few inbreakers. It's like, okay, now
• 46:07
  he's got the flow of the game going. Do they try and establish that
• 46:09
  flow with digs early against Eli Apple and kind of force the Dolphin's hand.
• 46:15
  Yeah, that's a good point. Like, and we've seen them at times
• 46:17
  force it to digs early, and this was actually a calling car like under
• 46:21
  the Dorsey offense, like forcing it to digs early and getting him involved,
• 46:24
  but then that would result in a lack of rhythm for the other pieces in
• 46:29
  the offense. So then I was like, okay, we got to establish
• 46:30
  the other guys early because Diggs is Digs and it'll work out eventually as the
• 46:35
  game would go on, and then it's kind of like not And so again
• 46:38
  that's another one of these like underlying storylines where you've got one of the best
• 46:44
  receivers in the NFL and one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL and there's
• 46:47
  just a complete lack of production between the two down this stretch. Again,
• 46:52
  that's like it's it's absolutely wild to see where he is from an EPA per
• 46:55
  target perspective, and again the rout tree and what's being asked of him as
• 46:59
  a bit therefrom under Brady, but still like he's one of the best,
• 47:02
  Allen's one of the best, and traditionally those two, like when all Alans
• 47:06
  fails, it's been like cool Allen to Diggs, Allen to Diggs. Allen
• 47:08
  and Diggs like that's been the one constant where you know you have that.
• 47:13
  It's been everything else that's been a question. So yeah, well I'm very
• 47:15
  interested to see that as well. And again I think it factors into both
• 47:19
  of the points we let off with. Now let's move on to point two.
• 47:22
  JP. The floor is yours. Whatever you got let the people know.
• 47:25
  So I had a lot of specific ones that went back and forth with
• 47:29
  but I'm gonna turn this into an overarching one. It's both the Bills and
• 47:34
  the Dolphins against the cold, rainy night in Stoke allegation. Nice I love.
• 47:38
  I love that reference. As a huge fan, I love that reference.
• 47:43
  Both these teams feel like can they do it on a cold, rainy
• 47:45
  night in Stoke? And by that, I mean when the odds are against
• 47:51
  you, when it is a tough environment, what do you do? What
• 47:54
  is the response. The entire thing for the Dolphins this year is that they've
• 48:00
  been kind of a nest team. They can beat up on teams that aren't
• 48:02
  as good, but when they play teams that are, you know, they're
• 48:07
  the traditional Like they're like when you play a video game and you see the
• 48:10
  first boss and they're like in a video game, but they're clearly not as
• 48:15
  strong as the big boss. Yeah, but you see them as like,
• 48:17
  oh, they look good fighting all the side characters and stuff. But now
• 48:22
  when you go back to it and like elden Ring, when you finally get
• 48:25
  back to like level fifty and you have all the relics with you, you
• 48:30
  kind of beat them in one shot. This feels like a game where we
• 48:35
  talked about a lot with the Cowboys game for the Dolphins. But the Dolphins
• 48:38
  really need to make a statement for this game. They need to win that
• 48:43
  they can hang their head on, that they can put up on the mantle
• 48:45
  and be like we did that, because they don't have a convincing yeah,
• 48:49
  like you cannot, Like it's funny to reference to me, but it's the
• 48:54
  Michael Irvin, like nobody believes in you nice, what are you prepared to
• 48:59
  do about it? Old body believes he's so, And of course it's a
• 49:02
  Miami reference. But the Dolphins need to establish some sort of like, hey,
• 49:10
  we can do this, we can be this team, and an example
• 49:15
  of this from just their season in general and from the Ravens game specifically.
• 49:21
  My biggest gripe with the Dolphins offense has been they're really, really weird in
• 49:25
  short yard situations. So according to FT and Fantasy, who measures adjusted line
• 49:30
  rankings, the Dolphins are first in second level yards per per game and first
• 49:38
  in open field yards per game, which is when you get to the second
• 49:43
  level of the defense, and when you get to the secondary level of the
• 49:45
  defense. Of course, it would be that. It makes sense because they
• 49:47
  are the fastest team in the NFL. You just don't have guys that are
• 49:52
  as fast as those guys. However, their power success rate, which is
• 49:55
  when teams are in third and two or fourth and two or les and they
• 50:00
  need a first down or a touchdown, they are twenty eighth in the NFL.
• 50:05
  Like they again, this is the cold, rainy night, and so
• 50:07
  can you get the tough yards? It was a thing that killed the Dolphins
• 50:10
  last year. It was what they went out and like you know, you
• 50:14
  keep Raheem Moster, you keep Jeff Wilson around. You need those guys to
• 50:17
  get the tough yards. Now, Raheem Moster, it's out. Jeff Wilson
• 50:22
  is clearly not what he is or what he was last year. Devin h
• 50:24
  Chan is cool, but a lot of his runs have come on outside his
• 50:29
  own runs. It has been running towards the edge of the defense and getting
• 50:32
  him in space, which makes sense. That was the usage plan for him
• 50:36
  this year. But can they get the short yardage when it's necessary. Another
• 50:40
  part of this is the Ravens. I tweeted it today, the Ravens found
• 50:47
  where to what throws the ball. Of course, it's the middle of the
• 50:51
  field in immediate area. He is so good at throwing the ball quickly over
• 50:55
  the middle of the field. It is the balls out immediately. He's like,
• 51:00
  he's like a point he is. He is a point guard. He
• 51:04
  is the point guard of that offense. He sets the table and that's not
• 51:07
  a bad thing to say. He is the he is the uber efficient point
• 51:10
  guard. He is Scott Skiles on the Magic nice but he doesn't have to
• 51:15
  be like the superstar. But he's gonna dish out twenty assists. That's cool,
• 51:20
  that's a that's a great player to have on your team. But what
• 51:22
  the Ravens started to do what the Dolphins like is running that backside glance or
• 51:28
  dig with Tyreek Hill in three by ones. And they kind of got to
• 51:31
  it effectively with using tyreek Kill's gravity when the Ravens were in quarters or in
• 51:37
  cover of two. But then in the second half they started to rotate that
• 51:40
  safety to tyreek Kill's side and instead of rotating him all the way down,
• 51:45
  they just stop him at that ten yard dig route exactly where Tua wants to
• 51:50
  throw it, and he just sit there. Yeah, you had you had
• 51:52
  that really nice clip with that what that cover three week rotation and Theo Stone
• 51:55
  just literally does white. He's waiting, He's he's going where the ball is
• 52:04
  going, Like this is a we know the route that he's about to do,
• 52:07
  You're gonna You're not gonna throw it. So I wonder if they kind
• 52:10
  of if they if the Bills defense forces Tua to throw the ball outside the
• 52:16
  numbers, is this going to be a far hash game for Tua instead of
• 52:21
  being a I'm gonna dice you up open middle of the field. The Bills
• 52:23
  are one of the best teams at defending the middle of the field even without
• 52:27
  Matt Mulano, which has been really surprising. I think that's gonna be a
• 52:30
  huge Jordan Boyer Michah Hyde game because that's exactly what I envision like them doing
• 52:36
  the Geno Stone play. That is exactly what Michael Hyde can do. Michael
• 52:39
  Hi can just sit there in that little intermediate zone and be like, Okay,
• 52:44
  I know where this dig route's going, You're just not gonna be able
• 52:46
  to get to it. And then from the Bills perspective, I think this
• 52:50
  is a cold, rainy night and stoke game because they have to go on
• 52:54
  the road. They have to go to Miami in this game. This is
• 52:57
  not going to be a home game for the Bills. I'm curious to see
• 53:00
  how they respond to stimuli within the game. We talked about it earlier this
• 53:06
  season. We talked about with the Jets game. We talked about with the
• 53:08
  first Dolphins game. How Josh Allen and the Bills offense respond to getting punched
• 53:14
  in the face, how they respond to getting hit first. Because the Dolphins
• 53:17
  offense can certainly hit you first. Mike McDaniel with a week leading up to
• 53:22
  the game, is going to find ways to hit you first. Is how
• 53:25
  is the How are the Bills going to respond when they get punched first?
• 53:30
  Is this going to be a Josh Allen has to make a play, he
• 53:34
  makes a mistake. Oh shit, now it's snowballing. Is this going to
• 53:37
  be a snowball game? Or is this going to be a snowball fight game?
• 53:40
  Where he looks like Will Ferrell in elf, He's just like rocket launching
• 53:45
  all the snowballs, Like is this going to be that kind of game?
• 53:49
  Or is this going to be the cheese brain game? So this is really
• 53:53
  a again I hate to say it, in terms of Twitter like to sounding
• 53:59
  like Twitter, this is a cold rainy night and Stoke can they beat the
• 54:02
  allegations game? I love that, Like I am a huge Leo Messi guy,
• 54:08
  and so like that. I use the cold rainy night in Stoke like
• 54:13
  in my everyday life a ton. And I just think that phrase is so
• 54:15
  beautiful. I like the fact that you were just you and I are just
• 54:20
  like this man. Like that was just very well said and it's very apropos
• 54:22
  to your point, like for this game. And I also wanted to piggyback
• 54:27
  on the power Success piece. I ironically I had FTN fantasy already up when
• 54:30
  I was looking at DVOA stuff, Like, I love the power Success piece
• 54:34
  and I wanted to put it in perspective because you put the Miami piece in
• 54:37
  here for everybody listening from a bills perspective as well. And again the power
• 54:40
  success piece, that's their percentage of runs where I'm third or fourth down two
• 54:45
  yards or less to go than achieve a first down or a touchdown. That
• 54:49
  also includes runs on first and goal or second and goal from the two yard
• 54:52
  line or closer. Your top teams the Eagles, no surprise shock for everyone
• 54:58
  eighty one percent rate, the Titans seventy nine percent success rate, the Ravens
• 55:02
  seventy eight percent success rate, the Cardinals. I was not expecting this one,
• 55:07
  seventy seven percent, and then you have the Bills in fifth at seventy
• 55:10
  five percent, all these teams that do well, and then to your point,
• 55:14
  you've got Miami way way way down at they're doing twenty eighth at a
• 55:20
  fifty eight percent success rate like that, and then you know what, it
• 55:23
  was surprised this one too. The Texans are last at forty eight percent,
• 55:27
  which is absolutely terrible. It's it's horrendous. The run game has been really
• 55:30
  weird for them, especially with the offensive line being as banged up as they
• 55:35
  are. But yeah, I just the Dolphins have been weird when it comes
• 55:39
  on short yardage. I think does that that funnels also into like their O
• 55:44
  line, even when healthy, is not great, and then their O line
• 55:47
  has been banged up a whole bunch this year, like toront Armstead. It's
• 55:52
  a shame for toront Armstead. Like when healthy, he's one of the best
• 55:54
  offensive linemen in football. But every year going back to even as what lasts
• 55:59
  like two or three years in New Orleans. Dude could just never stay healthy.
• 56:01
  Hunt goes down, Connor Williams goes down like you got Liam Eichenberg kicking
• 56:07
  into center. Like they already weren't a strength of this team. Now they're
• 56:10
  a bit of a mass unit. And I think that shows up in those
• 56:14
  short yarded situations because they lack cohesion, they lack chemistry, they lack technique,
• 56:20
  but they also just lack like power and you know, displacement ability,
• 56:22
  and teams are able to just mash against them and shut them down in situations
• 56:27
  that should be favorable to them, especially given like and you would think McDaniel
• 56:32
  would be able to like dress it up a little bit with some motion or
• 56:35
  just make you think and be able to attack it. But teams know they're
• 56:37
  so vulnerable and they just shut them down. I think about the Drive and
• 56:40
  the Titans game where they threw two goal line fades, oh nice references in
• 56:46
  completion and they settle for a field goal. Where it's those kind of things.
• 56:51
  It's the situational play calling. Like you said, this is going to
• 56:54
  be an NFL playoff game. The situations, the margin in this game are
• 57:00
  going to be massive. Where good coaching is separated from great coaching is winning
• 57:06
  within the margins. It is getting every single ounce you can get out of
• 57:10
  a single play, out of a single situation. Oh it's fourth and two,
• 57:15
  we're gonna run it. We're gonna get it. Oh it's first and
• 57:17
  goal, we're gonna We're gonna get this. We have four tries to get
• 57:22
  this play. We're not settling for field goals in a game that is do
• 57:24
  or die. So I think this is again, this is going to be
• 57:29
  a massive Like I hate to say it's a statement game in week eighteen,
• 57:34
  but this is a statement game for both teams, especially with Miami coming off
• 57:37
  of just again, it's the whole thing of can they beat a team with
• 57:43
  a winning record, which I think is a little overblown. But they looked,
• 57:47
  they looked like they didn't even belong on the same field as the Ravens.
• 57:52
  And this is again, you've now wasted away the Bills looking kind bills
• 57:59
  looking, and you take in the division lead to now you're you're in it
• 58:04
  for the division. This is it. Of course you're gonna make the playoffs,
• 58:07
  but getting the home playoff game is a whole lot better than having to
• 58:10
  go on the road. To Kansas City or something like that. Oh,
• 58:14
  absolutely, this is going to be a massive game for both teams. And
• 58:17
  to your point too, like if if you lose to the Bills again,
• 58:21
  if you're in Miami, that means you got swept by the Bills, you
• 58:23
  got housed by the Ravens, you lost to the Chiefs in London, which
• 58:28
  you as a game you were in, but also kind of not really in
• 58:31
  as well, Like so that means like the other big dogs in the AFC
• 58:36
  in theory, like for the last several years in terms of like known quantities,
• 58:39
  you weren't able to hold your own like at all, and so not
• 58:43
  that that necessarily means that you can't get hot, you know and get in
• 58:45
  as a wild card and then you know, make a run, you know.
• 58:49
  To your point, like anybody can kind of be that RAMS team,
• 58:51
  but from a confidence standpoint, yeah, like how do you how do you
• 58:54
  kind of muster up that ability to be like, you know, it's fine,
• 58:57
  Yeah, we're rowing too against the Bills, And we also lost to
• 58:59
  thee and we also got housed by the Ravens. And yeah we lost to
• 59:02
  the Eagles, but that was a game we were still a little in like
• 59:05
  you have to find those silver lining pieces that you can hang your heat on,
• 59:08
  and then you have the bigger point too, yeah of knowing, Like
• 59:12
  again I said it earlier, like I didn't want to say that the Bills
• 59:15
  were dead in the water because I didn't believe that they were. But man,
• 59:19
  like, if you're the Dolphins, you're gonna sit back and look at
• 59:21
  that Titans game and be like, we screwed up, Like it's not acceptable
• 59:25
  to lose the way you lost to Baltimore. I thought they would lose one
• 59:29
  of the two games against Dallas for Baltimore. The fact that they lost to
• 59:31
  Baltimore did not surprise me. The way they lost was so much worse.
• 59:37
  But I don't think that's the loss that sticks in your brain. If you're
• 59:38
  Miami, it's that Titans loss at home on a Monday night against a bad,
• 59:43
  banged up team and you had no team with three minutes left, and
• 59:46
  you lose that game, and now you look back on and now you look
• 59:50
  back and like, day we're fighting for the division when it could have been
• 59:54
  locked up if you win that game, Like you're this is a non this
• 59:58
  is a non sequitor. Right now, there's no conver station happening and we
• 1:00:00
  cakinge similar to And it's funny because that's like the one game that the Dolphins
• 1:00:05
  have. The Bills had so many that first game against the Patriots, the
• 1:00:09
  game against the Broncos, like even the game against the Eagles, like all
• 1:00:14
  of these little ones that kept adding up, and that's what made you feel
• 1:00:16
  like, man, like it's gonna be one or all three. That's the
• 1:00:21
  cost us the division and the fact that they've been able to scrap and claw
• 1:00:24
  their way back. And you're Miami and if you give this away, not
• 1:00:28
  to mention too like you're at home, like you got to defend your dirt,
• 1:00:31
  as they say, and if you don't, Yeah, from like a
• 1:00:34
  psychological aspect, yeah, Like I think it is a statement game if you're
• 1:00:37
  Miami, because even if you do get in after losing this game again,
• 1:00:44
  nothing says you can't turn it on and kind of you know, become a
• 1:00:45
  different team called playoff time. But like, what kind of momentum to harken
• 1:00:51
  back to your point earlier in this episode, what momentum do you have knowing
• 1:00:53
  like, dude, we gave away this freakin' division. We still had a
• 1:00:58
  chance to win it at home on the last game season. We blew that
• 1:01:00
  like YadA YadA. There's all these pieces and now all of a sudden,
• 1:01:02
  you're getting into that wildcar conversation. And now, okay, who are you
• 1:01:07
  playing in the first round? Are you going to Buffalo to play them in
• 1:01:08
  Buffalo? Are you going to Kansas City to play Kansas City at Arrowhead?
• 1:01:13
  Because I know and I'm sure Bills fans in this chat probably feel it right
• 1:01:16
  now. I don't care how much the Chiefs are struggling come playoff time.
• 1:01:21
  I don't want to play to Kansas City Chiefs and I definitely don't want to
• 1:01:22
  play them in Arrowhead. And if you're Miami, now you got to travel
• 1:01:25
  to Arrowhead or travel to Buffalo, or you got to travel to whoevery Win's
• 1:01:30
  the AFC South, Like that's not a joke either. Ll No, that
• 1:01:32
  won't happen because Cleveland's locked into the five seats. So then you're looking at
• 1:01:36
  sitting there and be like, Okay, who are we traveling to? And
• 1:01:37
  even that conversation is demoralizing because you shouldn't be traveling. You should be home.
• 1:01:44
  This should this week as a whole rest to his shoulder, if it's
• 1:01:49
  a little banged up, rest Tyreek Hills ankle, Who cares? If Jalen
• 1:01:52
  Waddle is hurt. Let everybody take a vacation, have the starters go play
• 1:01:55
  golf all week, because the division should be wrapped up, and it's not.
• 1:02:00
  You got to play for your lives. And if you don't and get
• 1:02:02
  in, and then you're still getting into the playoffs. But like, dude,
• 1:02:05
  like that's just I think that is a statement piece. And for Buffalo
• 1:02:07
  on the other side, it's just a full momentum grasping aspect. Like everybody
• 1:02:13
  kind of wrote us off. We had what like a seventeen percent playoff chance
• 1:02:15
  at six and six. We choked away that game against Philly. We fired
• 1:02:20
  roc At one point, everything is kind of falling off the rails. Nobody
• 1:02:22
  believes in us anymore. And then you win five straight, go to your
• 1:02:27
  rivals home and storm the castle and rip their soul out and take the division.
• 1:02:31
  And then not only do you win the division, then all of a
• 1:02:35
  sudden you're the two seed and you don't have to face Baltimore until the AFC
• 1:02:38
  Championship and you might finally get an opportunity to play Kansas City and make them
• 1:02:43
  come to your house, or you're playing Miami again in Buffalo, like it's
• 1:02:47
  it's a huge pendulum swing one way or the other, like either getting in
• 1:02:52
  and limping in and feeling like crap. Or I think Buffalo winning is a
• 1:02:57
  bigger momentum ship Miami. I think if they win, it's more like a
• 1:03:00
  okay, cool. If Buffalo wins, it's like banging the drums storm in
• 1:03:05
  the castle, like yeah, everybody, look at us, look what we
• 1:03:07
  did. I think the big thing here for me when it comes to these
• 1:03:12
  two teams, and especially with the playoffs, is you're looking a little forward.
• 1:03:17
  You don't want to play fifteen in narrowhead. That's that's the biggest thing
• 1:03:22
  for me in a in a one game sample. I know what they look
• 1:03:27
  like this year. I know. But you give Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes
• 1:03:30
  more than a week to figure out what your week leagues are and they'll put
• 1:03:34
  up forty five. I'm still waiting. I'm still waiting for the game where
• 1:03:38
  Markez been out. This Scandling has four catches for one hundred and thirty five
• 1:03:43
  yards and two touchdowns, Like it's gonna happen at some point, and I
• 1:03:45
  don't want it to be like my team. And then yeah, like I
• 1:03:50
  don't want to get into a playoff situation and go against because I'm looking in
• 1:03:52
  from a holistic perspective, I don't want to go against Mahomes and Kelsey and
• 1:03:55
  Andy Reid and more importantly, I don't want to go against Youve Spagnolo and
• 1:04:00
  Chris Jones and McDuffie and Bolton and that whole squad. Like I don't want
• 1:04:04
  to do that. I don't care how shaky they look. I don't care,
• 1:04:08
  Like, I don't want that. And that's like, and if I
• 1:04:10
  do have to, okay, cool, let's put Mahomes on the road and
• 1:04:14
  see what happens there. But and I don't even love that, But I
• 1:04:15
  definitely don't want to do it in Arrowhead. And that's what you're looking at.
• 1:04:19
  If you lose this game and get in, so then you have to
• 1:04:21
  deal with the letdown of like we lost this game, and then you have
• 1:04:27
  to get yourself geeked back up to potentially go to play Mahomes and Crew at
• 1:04:31
  Arrowhead. Like it's just such a it's such a tall task and such a
• 1:04:35
  huge emotional swing. This is like the whole conversation of like, oh,
• 1:04:41
  Batman will win with prep time, the Chiefs are Batman with prep time.
• 1:04:45
  You don't want you don't want to face Batman with prep time. This is
• 1:04:49
  you don't want to face Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes with more than a week
• 1:04:53
  to prepare for what they've seen, especially when they've seen you already. So
• 1:04:59
  great point. It's great point for both teams because they've seen them both.
• 1:05:01
  And I had Matt layin on to the Casey Sports NETWHEK he's awesome one of
• 1:05:06
  the pieces he brought up, and because this is something that I've noticed with
• 1:05:10
  the Bills playing the Chiefs, what you get from Kansa. But this usually
• 1:05:14
  just happens with good football teams when you play them twice. Who you play
• 1:05:16
  in the regular season with the Chiefs is not the same Chiefs team that you
• 1:05:20
  see come playoff time. But again that's usually to be said of most good
• 1:05:24
  teams. You're not going to get the same game plan. But I remember
• 1:05:27
  Matt saying Andy Reid will purposefully from a game plan perspective when he's playing a
• 1:05:32
  team in the regular season, if he thinks that's a team they are going
• 1:05:34
  to see again come playoff time. He purposefully withholds and keeps things in the
• 1:05:41
  bag. And the question in conversation going into that Bills Chiefs game was the
• 1:05:46
  Chiefs are in a different spot that they've been in in the past previous years
• 1:05:49
  with the Bills, where they needed that win kind of just as much as
• 1:05:53
  the Bills did. So the question was would he empty the chamber or would
• 1:05:57
  he keeps some bullets left in the clip? And I think he emptied more
• 1:06:00
  of the clip than he normally does, but I'm still worried to know he's
• 1:06:04
  still got a game against you. He got a full experience against you in
• 1:06:09
  terms of knowing who and what you were and what you are. Yeah,
• 1:06:13
  like you you don't want Batman with prep time he's just sitting in the cave
• 1:06:15
  and having Alfred bring him like green Kelp smoothies and just doing pushups and putting
• 1:06:20
  your whole life on tape. Yes, and again like I just don't want
• 1:06:26
  to face my homes into playoffs like it's a home game. This this game
• 1:06:30
  means so much for both teams in terms of a holistic, like you said,
• 1:06:35
  perspective of how they've played this season. Yes, you know, of
• 1:06:40
  course the Bills did go in the Arrowhead and beat the Chiefs. Yes,
• 1:06:44
  but it's hard to do that twice. Bro, That's exactly it. Twice.
• 1:06:47
  And the Dolphins have struggled on the road. This game means folumes massive
• 1:06:56
  because you just don't want to face Kansas City. No, you don't there
• 1:07:00
  at the end of the day. You know, wrestling Rick Flair to be
• 1:07:02
  the man, you gotta beat the man at the end of the day.
• 1:07:04
  Right now, no matter how sluggish or crappy they look, the Chiefs are
• 1:07:09
  still the man. Somebody still has to slay that dragon, whether it's that
• 1:07:12
  Arrowhead, whether it's them coming to your house. And I don't want to
• 1:07:15
  do that if I absolutely don't have to. Not to mention too, if
• 1:07:17
  you're that two seed, you had the opportunity. I know Baltimore is like
• 1:07:24
  a monster of a team right now, but it wouldn't shock me at all
• 1:07:27
  if they lost in the division round. And if you're that two seed,
• 1:07:30
  there's a possibility you're sitting hosting the AFC Championship game. If you could potentially
• 1:07:33
  like go and do some things. Not to mention having the opportunity to again
• 1:07:36
  a boy Kansas City or avoid Baltimore until the end, Like, oh,
• 1:07:40
  there's so many interwoven stories. Man, I want to throw up from nerves
• 1:07:45
  but also excitement. I don't know what I'm gonna build off. So we
• 1:07:53
  went on a tangent in that conversation. But the one point you mentioned and
• 1:07:55
  you had a lot of I say it all the time, but like everybody,
• 1:07:59
  the guests that I grab at towards our x's and o's and film guys
• 1:08:00
  like yourself, you did a bunch of breakdown stuff, not just the Ravens
• 1:08:03
  and dolphin stuff, but you grinding all the time with tape. Everybody should
• 1:08:08
  go check out your handle for that at Acosta thirty two underscore JP. I've
• 1:08:13
  memorized it because I had to type it so much for Twitter promos. But
• 1:08:16
  that piece you broke down like that you led with in this point, like
• 1:08:19
  the landmark conversation with Tua and so much of that offense, and you and
• 1:08:27
  I talked about it the first time you were on the show. We've talked
• 1:08:30
  about it here, we talked about it on Twitter, and in every point
• 1:08:31
  it's kind of like an at any point, it's kind of a known quantity,
• 1:08:34
  like you know what you're going to get with Tua and this passing offense.
• 1:08:39
  Like again, you and I talked about it the first time you put
• 1:08:41
  it on Twitter. I've talked about it on Twitter. Tua throws to windows.
• 1:08:45
  He throws to landmarks. That is what it is. And if you
• 1:08:47
  can get in those windows, or if you can get to those landmarks before
• 1:08:51
  his pass catchers can, you can cause major problems for him. If you
• 1:08:56
  force him off his first read. He does not like that, and no
• 1:09:00
  quarterback does like every quarterback well, oh, let me drop back and at
• 1:09:02
  the first reading, my progression fantastic. But he really does not like that.
• 1:09:06
  And if you can couple that with heating him up and getting pressure,
• 1:09:10
  that's your recipes for success. Recipe for success. But that's easier said than
• 1:09:15
  done. Per next Gen stats, on the year, Tua has the lowest
• 1:09:18
  average time to throw for qualifying quarterbacks at two point three seconds. And again
• 1:09:23
  we know the story at this point. Mike McDaniel does a great job scheming
• 1:09:26
  those windows and those landmarks. Miami has the weapons that fit that scheme and
• 1:09:30
  then also have the speed to create leverage and angles, plus the way he
• 1:09:34
  uses motion, plus Tua being a good anticipatory thrower and being able to fit
• 1:09:39
  the ball in those windows like all of that. But in the first meeting
• 1:09:43
  between the Bills and the Dolphins to his time to throw was two point five
• 1:09:46
  to nine seconds, which is still quick, but it was almost a half
• 1:09:49
  a second more than his average on the year. The Bills in that first
• 1:09:53
  matchup did a very good job starting in the second quarter because at first it
• 1:09:57
  was tit for tat back and forth, touchdown, touchdown, touch down,
• 1:10:00
  touchdown. Once Miami had fourteen up on the board and started that second quarter,
• 1:10:03
  the Bills did a very good job of marrying their coverage and their pass
• 1:10:08
  rush. They clogged and constricted those passing windows. They beat the Miami pass
• 1:10:12
  catchers to those landmarks, and that gave the pass rush time to heat up
• 1:10:15
  Tua and get home. In that first meeting in Week four, Tua was
• 1:10:20
  pressured thirteen times, which is the third most he's been pressured all year,
• 1:10:25
  and he was sacked four times, which was the second most he's been sacked
• 1:10:28
  in a game all year. He also had a pressure to sack percentage of
• 1:10:31
  thirty point eight percent. His average on the year is twenty point eight percent,
• 1:10:36
  so a full ten percentage points higher, which is wild. The Bills
• 1:10:40
  had a legitimate, good recipe the first time they met again. That marriage
• 1:10:45
  of pass rush. They threw off the rhythm, they threw off the timing.
• 1:10:47
  Tua would drop back and wanted to pull the trigger but couldn't, and
• 1:10:51
  he'd go to look somewhere else, and by the time he looked to somewhere
• 1:10:54
  else, the Bills D line and the Bills front took advantage of that Dolphins
• 1:10:58
  O line, And if they were getting him off first read, somebody was
• 1:11:00
  coming in to either get him off the spot or bring him down. Or
• 1:11:03
  there were even times where he'd get off number one and go to number two
• 1:11:08
  and number two wasn't there. He'd go to number three and number three wasn't
• 1:11:12
  there, and then by that time the pressure was definitely there. Or then
• 1:11:14
  he's trying to evade and do something and that's not his strong suit, that's
• 1:11:16
  not where he wants to live. That Bill's recipe again, and that first
• 1:11:19
  matchup was very good. It was a quality piece, but it was also
• 1:11:23
  a different defense positively and negatively. Back then, the starting corners or the
• 1:11:28
  corners that saw the bulk of snaps in that game Tredevious White and Dan Jackson.
• 1:11:31
  Now it's Rasseul Douglas who is on an absolute heater right now, and
• 1:11:35
  Christian Benford, who is also playing really good ball. I tweeted it out
• 1:11:41
  after awesome Punch Ut Peanut Punch and rip for the takeaway against the Pats.
• 1:11:46
  His story isn't talked about enough, or if it is, it's always put
• 1:11:49
  into the conversation with Kyrie Elam because Kyrie Elm was a first round pick hasn't
• 1:11:54
  panned out. Christian Benford was a sixth round nobody out of Villanova who came
• 1:11:59
  in and everybody last year and earned starting reps last year. As a rookie.
• 1:12:02
  He has grown, He's progressed. I think he'll continue to progress.
• 1:12:05
  He's always like my go to tape. Example for college tape that I didn't
• 1:12:10
  get enough of. I had one game of Villanova tape to watch and it
• 1:12:14
  was against Penn State, and the first play of the game he gets turned
• 1:12:17
  inside out by Johan Dotson and I'm like, Oh, that's not good.
• 1:12:20
  And the whole rest of that game is very matt And I looked at the
• 1:12:23
  stats, it's all he had ball production. But I was like, Eh,
• 1:12:26
  we'll see what happens, and he's rounded into a really nice corner.
• 1:12:28
  But that's your one two combo. Rasoul Douglash, Christian Benford, Matt Malano,
• 1:12:31
  No Moss. He's been replaced with Tyrell Dodson. Jordan Poyer also missed
• 1:12:36
  that first game. When they played in Week four, the starting safeties in
• 1:12:39
  that game were Micah Hyde and Taylor Rapp. The Bills defense in that game
• 1:12:43
  also very too high base from a pre and post snap perspective. They had
• 1:12:47
  a sixty nine percent two high shell pre snap on the year, they're fifty
• 1:12:51
  nine percent, so a ten percentage point increase. Sixty one percent middle of
• 1:12:57
  the field open coverages in that game in Week four on the year fifty three
• 1:13:00
  percent, and that fifty three percent on the year is the most in the
• 1:13:02
  league, so they jack that up even more. Big one from a zone
• 1:13:06
  coverage piece, seventy six percent zone coverage in Week four against Miami on the
• 1:13:12
  year there at sixty three percent, and then similar light box numbers in that
• 1:13:15
  game as well, sixty seven percent in Week four against Miami sixty two percent
• 1:13:18
  on the year. It is a different unit on the back end. The
• 1:13:23
  front four has started to look a little bit normal now with the return of
• 1:13:26
  Daikwon Jones, but that's a different group as well. So again positively and
• 1:13:30
  negatively from a body's perspective, that Bill's defense is different, but their game
• 1:13:34
  plan Sean McDermott and Bobby Babbage and John Butler everything, and even Eric Washington,
• 1:13:41
  like from front to back, from back to front, the marriage of
• 1:13:45
  coverage and pass rush and the timing and the sequencing of all of it,
• 1:13:47
  and what they did to get Tua uncomfortable and get him out of rhythm and
• 1:13:51
  out of timing because again, like and it's known, this Miami offense is
• 1:13:57
  all timing, it's all rhythm based. Tua wants to snap it one,
• 1:14:00
  two, three, and he's thrown to a window. There's times where he
• 1:14:03
  like receivers. You gave the example with the with the Tyreek Hill dig route
• 1:14:08
  that Stone took away. There's dig routes where like Hill isn't even breaking yet,
• 1:14:13
  and two is just throwing it to that window because he knows, he
• 1:14:15
  knows Hill's gonna he he knows Hill is gonna get there. He knows where
• 1:14:19
  the window is, he knows where he has to put the ball into his
• 1:14:21
  credit, he hits it a bunch. It's harder to get them out of
• 1:14:26
  rhythm than it seems to be, but Baltimore is able to do it to
• 1:14:30
  a degree. And granted, the Baltimore defense is much different schematically and bodies
• 1:14:33
  wise than the Bills defenses. But the Bills defense had a great game plan
• 1:14:36
  that was well executed against Miami in Week four, and I'm interested to see
• 1:14:42
  how they can pair that together again. How does that marriage of coverage and
• 1:14:45
  pass rush work, Because when it hasn't, when it's been disjointed, we've
• 1:14:49
  seen very ugly performances for the Bills. The one I'm always gonna go back
• 1:14:53
  to is near and dear to your heart, their performance against the Jags.
• 1:14:57
  Every time they tried to bring pressure or do something cute, it took too
• 1:15:00
  long. Trevor Lawrence just sat and usually ended up chucking it to Calvin Ridley
• 1:15:03
  and making something happen. You didn't have that n sync kind of performance with
• 1:15:08
  that marriage of coverage and pass rush, and when it's been disjointed, it's
• 1:15:12
  been bad for the Bills. And this is the type of offense where if
• 1:15:15
  you are disjointed, it's not like, oh, we gave up a first
• 1:15:18
  down. It's like, oh, oh, we just gave up a sixty
• 1:15:19
  five yard touchdown or a forty yard chunk play, and it'll cut you in
• 1:15:23
  a hurry. So when I think of the Dolphins offense, I kind of
• 1:15:27
  think about what we talked about last time with Dak and the Cowboys in terms
• 1:15:30
  of the song playing in the head. But this time I'm want to use
• 1:15:31
  a Disney I'm gona use a Disney reference. I'm not sure if people remember
• 1:15:34
  the movie The Sword and Stone. No, he's reference and a song in
• 1:15:39
  there called higgotas Figotus, where Merlin is getting is getting all this stuff packed
• 1:15:44
  into a bag, and he stops the music because one of the chairs bumps
• 1:15:47
  into another. He's like, you can't do that, it'll mess up the
• 1:15:50
  rhythm. You can't bump it. You can't have anything go wrong here.
• 1:15:55
  And then once he stops it, the song gets faster because it's time to
• 1:15:58
  go, and then he packs everything up. The Dolphins play with such a
• 1:16:01
  speed that that speed is based on timing because if those guys are late,
• 1:16:08
  if tools laid a little bit, that margin for air is a little wide
• 1:16:11
  because of how fast they're going. So one thing that stood out when the
• 1:16:15
  first when they played the first time, like you said, is how aggressive
• 1:16:18
  the Bills were in those throwing windows. It wasn't just a oh, I'm
• 1:16:24
  going to stand here, Oh I'm going to move you and get to this
• 1:16:27
  ball and that way, you just force them to hold it a little bit.
• 1:16:30
  With again a great three point shooter, you don't want him to catch
• 1:16:33
  balls off a screen and shoot. That's shooting practice for them. Absolutely,
• 1:16:38
  you want you want to force them to go over, force them to force
• 1:16:42
  them to put the ball on the ground, force them to create. And
• 1:16:44
  I'm not saying to what is a bad creator. I think he has shown
• 1:16:46
  a lot of stuff out of structure that is good for a starting quarterback.
• 1:16:51
  But I think he wants to win in that timing and rhythm base. You
• 1:16:56
  want to get him off rhythm. You want to get him off the same
• 1:17:00
  tune, off the same place sheet as the Dolphins receivers. And I think
• 1:17:03
  where they might miss Jalen Wattle is in that yak where he does a lot
• 1:17:10
  of the short yardage stuff that turns into the big play where Tyreek Hill.
• 1:17:14
  His verticality is he runs routes low keeper than James. I think what the
• 1:17:21
  Bills can do that's going to basically decide this game. And we talked about
• 1:17:27
  it when we first talked about Bills Dolphins is those guys up front are going
• 1:17:30
  to have to win this game because if you don't have to devote as many
• 1:17:35
  guys to the box in the run game you don't have, you can devote
• 1:17:40
  more bodies to the past. How you fit the run determines what coverage you
• 1:17:44
  can play. That's Mark talked about it on a on a coaching clinic,
• 1:17:49
  that's on YouTube. I watch every offseason. B Yeah, that breaks down
• 1:17:55
  the mint front and everything with you man and what they're doing. You can
• 1:17:58
  devote less body to if you have if you can stop the run with six
• 1:18:01
  people or less, you can devote more people to the pass if everybody,
• 1:18:05
  If you can flood the windows, you can force him to hold the ball
• 1:18:10
  a little bit. And I think that's just a sliver amount of timing.
• 1:18:14
  Again, it is winning within the margins, and I think that's where the
• 1:18:17
  Bills have to win in those margins. Like you said, that difference in
• 1:18:21
  the two point three to the two point five doesn't look very long, very
• 1:18:26
  large, but it looms large for this Bills seam because hey, in those
• 1:18:30
  in those small sliver of seconds, maybe at Oliver gets a pressure. Maybe
• 1:18:36
  Again, the thing that stood out about that pass when Gino Stone got to
• 1:18:42
  the throwing window to a wanted to throw that ball. Yep, he pumped,
• 1:18:45
  faked, he hesitated, and held on to the ball. Justin Madabrique.
• 1:18:49
  Kyle van Noy able to get pressure, throws it incompletion. It's just
• 1:18:54
  those things. There's another one where I think he's trying to throw Tyreek Hill
• 1:18:58
  on an out route and I think on the end of the drive the Dolphins
• 1:19:00
  shuttle for a field goal. He's forced to hold the ball because there's nothing
• 1:19:02
  over in the middle. Throws it late to Tyree Kill on the outside.
• 1:19:05
  It's on the inside shoulder, Tyreek Kill can't hold it in they force a
• 1:19:10
  field goal. It's those types of things where it doesn't look very big on
• 1:19:15
  like the game, like on the game tape, but if you just force
• 1:19:19
  them to hold it for a little bit of time, that makes a huge
• 1:19:23
  difference. I'm always so we'll take the film out and put it into a
• 1:19:27
  huddle or like when I'm clipping it from quick time and stuff, and I
• 1:19:30
  like crop it, so I can't from a time perspective, so I can
• 1:19:32
  like time things out and look and a quarter second to a half a second
• 1:19:38
  a good chunk of the time, at least for the Bills, but for
• 1:19:40
  a lot of players and teams. That is the difference. That time difference
• 1:19:45
  is the time from you beating your offensive lineman to getting to the quarterback.
• 1:19:49
  It only takes that quarter of a second or a half a second, and
• 1:19:53
  so exactly your point someone may be like two point three six to two point
• 1:19:57
  five to nine, Like that's still close. That is a world of a
• 1:20:00
  difference. When it comes to holding out of the football. That is literally
• 1:20:03
  the difference between the quarterback getting the ball out and you just got past your
• 1:20:06
  man versus the quarterback holding it and now you're getting a piece of him,
• 1:20:11
  Now you're hurrying him, now you're hitting him, or you're getting the sack.
• 1:20:14
  And to connect it to a point earlier, you said, like,
• 1:20:17
  you know, you cannot let Stefan Diggs beat you. If you're Miami.
• 1:20:20
  If it's a Dalton Kincaid game, cool, if it's the Kalish Security game,
• 1:20:23
  cool, or whoever that's what the Bill's defense has to do to Tua
• 1:20:27
  from an offscript perspective, Like if two is out there scrambling and making plays
• 1:20:30
  with his legs and making plays off script and he's evading, you tip your
• 1:20:33
  cap and you go, you know what, bro, Like well done.
• 1:20:36
  If he has the CJ. Stroud versus Georgia game, you're like, okay,
• 1:20:41
  Bro, look what you did with your legs, Like, good on
• 1:20:43
  you. But if you let him sit and just be in that pocket and
• 1:20:46
  be comfortable and throw with timing and throw with rhythm, that is the space
• 1:20:50
  he wants to live in. And to your point, he's been better this
• 1:20:53
  year similar to the Dak conversation, he's been better this year outside of script
• 1:20:58
  and when evading and kind of out of rhythm, but that's still not where
• 1:21:00
  he wants to live. He's not comfortable there, he doesn't want to be
• 1:21:03
  there, And given his athletic profile, that's where you want to push him
• 1:21:06
  to. I'm taking to out in space against honestly, like a bunch of
• 1:21:12
  people on the Bills d line or those linebackers closing down in space. But
• 1:21:15
  if you let him sit and just work in rhythm and get comfortable he'll dice
• 1:21:17
  you up and then it becomes a ball control aspect, like demoralizing aspect.
• 1:21:23
  That's how Miami takes your soul. Like they can do it in the run
• 1:21:26
  a little bit if you want to talk about it, or I'm gonna talk
• 1:21:28
  about a minute. But then that chunk piece, man, Yeah, Like
• 1:21:30
  they just take your soul when they're gouging you like fifteen twenty plays of pop.
• 1:21:33
  It just makes you feel helpless. And if Tua can live in that
• 1:21:36
  world and live in that rhythm, no good for the Buffalo Bills. All
• 1:21:41
  right, last point home stretch floor is yours? What do you got?
• 1:21:45
  So I went back and forth on this last point. I had one written
• 1:21:49
  down that I've kind of hammered home already before, especially talking about the Dolphins.
• 1:21:55
  I'm gonna go a different route. I'm going to go Dalton Kincaid against
• 1:21:59
  the Dolphins linebackers. It has become very clear in the recent stretch of game,
• 1:22:04
  especially with Joe Brady as the new play caller. Dalton Kinkaid is the
• 1:22:10
  second guy next to Stefan Diggs. Against the Patriots, he tied with Stephan
• 1:22:13
  Diggs and targets for catches a seven yards seven targets. Again we talked about
• 1:22:17
  earlier in the show. This is going to be a how do they defend
• 1:22:24
  Stefon Diggs if they decide to take away digs with Ramsey. Somebody's got to
• 1:22:29
  step up. I think the Bills are more than confident in Dalton Kinkaid's ability
• 1:22:33
  not only to find holes in zones, but find those holes against intermediate defenders,
• 1:22:40
  especially intermediate defenders like the Dolphins who aren't as great in past coverage.
• 1:22:45
  So I think this is going to be like we said, they have been
• 1:22:48
  kind of disjointed over the middle of the field. Like it hasn't been like
• 1:22:53
  they haven't done it or haven't tried it. It just hasn't been. It
• 1:22:57
  just hasn't worked in rhythm. They haven't been rhythm. They haven't been the
• 1:23:00
  same over the middle attacking team since Coleby'sley has been out of this lineup.
• 1:23:03
  He was the middle presence for Josh Allen the option route aspect to trust,
• 1:23:08
  it's been there more under Brady to your point, but yeah, it it
• 1:23:12
  hasn't been there consistently or holistically weekend and week out, quartering quarter out.
• 1:23:16
  Yeah, And I think this is another one where It depends on how the
• 1:23:19
  Bills decide to attack the Dolphins defense. Are they going to go there spread
• 1:23:25
  and shred eleven personnel because if you see that, then maybe you get Cater
• 1:23:29
  Kohu against Kinkaid. Is this going to be the Dalton Kinka game that made
• 1:23:34
  everybody realize, oh yeah, this is why people comped in the Travis kelcey
• 1:23:39
  with the option routes and just he's always open despite not being a super duper
• 1:23:44
  athlete, He's just always going to be open. Or are they going to
• 1:23:46
  go twelve personnel, go heavy, try and get more linebackers on the field
• 1:23:50
  and then isolate Kinkaid on one of those slower linebackers and that's how you create
• 1:23:56
  big plays. But ultimately, if the Dolphins is, hey, we're not
• 1:24:00
  gonna let Stefan Diggs beat us today. This is the winner. This is
• 1:24:03
  a winner go home type of game, although the Dolphins have already clinched a
• 1:24:08
  playoff game, but this is a pivotal like playoff style game. We're gonna
• 1:24:13
  take away your best option. Daltkin kid has to be the second guy.
• 1:24:15
  This is going to be a critical like proof of concept game, proof of
• 1:24:19
  why we drafted this guy. I think it's a fair point and I and
• 1:24:26
  again I love that point. Like like we talked about it a little earlier,
• 1:24:29
  that personnel aspect from the Bills offense, I would like to see them
• 1:24:33
  go heavier in this game because if you are the Dolphins and you have to
• 1:24:39
  match with heavier personnel, like who's the third linebacker that comes on the field
• 1:24:45
  for you from a base personnel piece. So looking back at their snap counts
• 1:24:49
  against Baltimore, let's see per sports illustrated, Melvin Ingram played sixteen snaps.
• 1:24:59
  He played twenty one snaps against Dallas. Emmanuel Ogba did not play. Was
• 1:25:03
  a healthy scratch. She forgot about Emmanuel. With Bradley Chubb not available,
• 1:25:10
  it's probably going to be a rotation of Ingram, Agba, and Van Ginkel
• 1:25:15
  on the edge, which at linebacker leaves you with potentially David Long and Duke
• 1:25:20
  Riley and maybe Channing Tindall. Maybe they play Brandon Jones, who's a safety
• 1:25:25
  at linebacker. Linebacker said that, So that's my thought, like if they
• 1:25:29
  go heavy, if they have to go like quote unquote heavy, I feel
• 1:25:31
  like they lean more into the safety pieces and then you're looking at Javon Holland,
• 1:25:34
  Deshaun Elliott, and then you're looking at Brandon Jones coming into the mix,
• 1:25:39
  which can still present an advantage for the Bills, or do you just
• 1:25:43
  say screw it, we're gonna stay in Nickel. But then you've got cater
• 1:25:45
  Cole who trying to fit into the run fit and that's big time advantage Bills.
• 1:25:49
  But that conversation right now that we're having, I feel like that's the
• 1:25:54
  big advantage, that's the big weakness, Like where the strength for Miami is
• 1:26:00
  the spine with Seiler and Wilkins and then with Holland and Ramsey and even to
• 1:26:03
  a degree like Deshaun Elliott isn't horrible, but like I really love what Javon
• 1:26:11
  Holland does, and Ramsey is still a very very very good player. But
• 1:26:14
  that's where that strength is from a back end perspective. And then you've got
• 1:26:16
  strength in the spine. The linebackers have that vulnerability, and I think they
• 1:26:19
  have the vulnerability in the edges from a run game perspective. But this conversation
• 1:26:24
  exactly like I'm running twelve with Knox and Kincaid and I am making the Dolphins
• 1:26:30
  decide how they want to play that, and if they play it from a
• 1:26:33
  pass perspective, bro, we're just sticking to the run game. And then
• 1:26:36
  now and I'm going twelve from an actual like twelve per like formation perspective,
• 1:26:43
  I'm going heavy like I'm attaching. I'm having Dawson Knox in line and Dalton
• 1:26:46
  Kinkaid is hipped off and now I'm having those six and seven man surfaces and
• 1:26:53
  now I can go weeks side zone, i can run pin and pull,
• 1:26:57
  I can run anything I really want to out of the run game menu because
• 1:27:00
  I've got that increased service area. And now I'm forcing Miami to match where
• 1:27:04
  their depth is being tested. Their depth is going to be tested on the
• 1:27:08
  D line and at the linebacker spot that holistic front. I am putting them
• 1:27:12
  into conflict and making them have to answer that personnel grouping and the inherent conflict
• 1:27:17
  it puts them in for the run in the past, because I don't think
• 1:27:19
  they have an answer to it. Is this going to be another game where,
• 1:27:23
  kind of like Dallas, you see a lot more quintin Morris. Is
• 1:27:26
  this going to be a game where you just get bigger and be like,
• 1:27:29
  okay, if you want to play this like a passing game like Dallas did.
• 1:27:33
  We'll run for two hundred and seventy yards or do you see some of
• 1:27:35
  that twenty two jumbo where you like roll in and then David Edwards is an
• 1:27:39
  offensive lineman, but he's your second tight end or whatever, and you're just
• 1:27:43
  mashing downhill exactly. But if they want to try and match that heavy,
• 1:27:47
  then again you're gonna have to defend Kinkaid with a linebacker. So I wonder
• 1:27:54
  how do they toggle between that and also toggle in between that spread and shread
• 1:27:59
  that we kind of assume the Bills have always been, because I don't know
• 1:28:03
  if they want to live in that eleven spread and spread personnel, because that
• 1:28:09
  kind of leads into what the Dolphins wants you to do. They want you
• 1:28:13
  to think you have to pass the ball and get all. They want you
• 1:28:16
  to think spread them out, even though they are very hurt in the secondary,
• 1:28:21
  they want you to spread them out so they can defend the run from
• 1:28:25
  a light box. And again, like we said, if you can devote
• 1:28:28
  less bodies defending the run up front, you can play more bodies in the
• 1:28:31
  passing game. I think this is a game where you have to mash them.
• 1:28:35
  You got to get into bigger personnel. This is another This is a
• 1:28:40
  game where hey, maybe Josh Allen doesn't throw the ball, that just doesn't
• 1:28:44
  throw the ball for three hundred yards, but maybe like two twenty two point
• 1:28:49
  fifty with timely scrambles. That is something Josh Allen has done a lot,
• 1:28:54
  especially against the Dolphins. It's not just design QB run game. It's the
• 1:28:59
  design, it's the timely QB scrambles. It's the Okay, we're gonna drop
• 1:29:04
  back to pass out of this twelve personnel. You can't. You're not as
• 1:29:09
  fast as him. So if he doesn't see it, just go so again,
• 1:29:14
  that kind of leans into the Okay, the Dolphins aren't gonna play a
• 1:29:16
  lot of man cover. It's gonna be zoned. So if they have more
• 1:29:19
  eyes on Josh Allen, who's gonna be behind them, who's gonna be in
• 1:29:24
  that intermediate area? Are they gonna run the crossers? This I get in,
• 1:29:28
  like I agree with you. I get into bigger personnel twelve and I
• 1:29:32
  force their hand. And then so my mind started going, and I love
• 1:29:38
  this comment here from Zach saying, we said, you know, thirteen personnel
• 1:29:42
  with Kinkaid, Knox and Morris and Diggs, and then you could go empty.
• 1:29:44
  And then his follow up was, here's thirteen personnel you match with base
• 1:29:47
  cool, we go spread, rock meets paper. That's my next thought then
• 1:29:50
  too, because you can literally, ope, there's a super chap for Carl.
• 1:29:53
  We're gonna bring that up in a minute. That is literally rock meets
• 1:29:56
  paper. Like you go with that heavier personnel. And now now you're showing
• 1:30:00
  it in Miami matches and you can just go you know, regular from the
• 1:30:03
  huddle, or you can start to get in rhythm and go no huddle,
• 1:30:06
  and now you can go with a two by two gun. Look where you've
• 1:30:10
  got Knocks out there in the slot or Kincaid out there in the slot,
• 1:30:14
  and now they've got their base personnel that they tried to match with. From
• 1:30:16
  a run perspective, are now even further We're sitting there talking about, you
• 1:30:20
  know, taking advantage of those linebackers you can with play action and just what
• 1:30:25
  general passes out of those you know, heavier formations and alignments. But if
• 1:30:29
  you truly get into spread, and now you're putting whoever that they tried to
• 1:30:32
  match into space against Kincaid or against Knox, and then now they're feeling like
• 1:30:38
  they need numbers in coverage. From that perspective, cool, are you dealing
• 1:30:42
  with a five man box, because if it is, we're running dart all
• 1:30:45
  day and I'm going to have Josh Allen and read the end and now I'm
• 1:30:47
  changing the math even more. Or you want a six man box. Cool,
• 1:30:50
  I'm going to have that mesh action with Josh Allen in the backfield and
• 1:30:55
  I'm going to hold that backside edge. And now it was six on six,
• 1:31:00
  Now it's six on five because I held your backside edge. And now
• 1:31:02
  I'm climbing to the second level and we're going out the front door. We're
• 1:31:05
  going up the gut. You change the math, you change the spacing,
• 1:31:09
  all those pieces, Like I think exactly like your point. And in the
• 1:31:14
  overall conversation, yeah, you get into that aspect of forcing their hand and
• 1:31:17
  you make them have to match that personnel group in because that is where they
• 1:31:21
  are vulnerable, that is where they are weakest. And then you can start
• 1:31:25
  to build schematically on top of that and really put him into hell. Like
• 1:31:30
  it's a lot of problematic aspects from Miami. Carl I appreciate you being here.
• 1:31:32
  Thank you very much for the super check. Carl says this game will
• 1:31:35
  be a defensive battle and not so much offense, even though there are two
• 1:31:39
  great qbs. Who wins the turnover battle, who fumbles, who gets a
• 1:31:43
  pick? I think this is that turnover aspect. I worry more from the
• 1:31:48
  Josh Allen side of things, not just because he's you know, turned the
• 1:31:51
  ball over a bunch this year, but for me it goes back to one
• 1:31:54
  of the points you mentioned earlier, hold like the Josh Allen cheese brain thing
• 1:31:57
  and how he tends to snowball you. Usually when he makes one poor decision
• 1:32:01
  or turns the ball over, it comes in bunches because he wants to make
• 1:32:05
  up for that turnover right away. And if that turnover battle is heavily skewed
• 1:32:11
  towards advantage Miami, like what happened with Bills and Chargers with that advantage Chargers
• 1:32:16
  for turnovers at one point it was like three to nothing in the turnover battle.
• 1:32:19
  Teams at that point usually have like a ninety point seven win percentage or
• 1:32:24
  something somebody like tweeted out or put at like that Bill's victory in that scenario
• 1:32:27
  was rare if they turn the ball over like that in this game, it
• 1:32:30
  could be death for the Bills, And I worry about it more from if
• 1:32:33
  Tua throws a pick, McDaniel can kind of course correct, and Tua can
• 1:32:38
  even a little bit too. But when Alan throws a pick, or if
• 1:32:41
  Alan turns it over, he gets into that snowball and asks me because he's
• 1:32:44
  like, I got to make up for it. I got to make up
• 1:32:45
  for it. I got to make up for it. And then he starts
• 1:32:46
  doing crazy things that can be like, oh my god, amazing, or
• 1:32:49
  it could be oh my god, why would you do that? Now you
• 1:32:51
  just fumble two plays in a row, or now you just threw two picks?
• 1:32:55
  What the hell is happening? Yeah, and again go with a Disney
• 1:32:58
  reference. It's like Lightning McQueen when he tried to do what Doc Hudson did
• 1:33:03
  in the Turn, like turning on dirt. If Josh makes that first mistake
• 1:33:09
  and ends up in the cactus patches, he's gonna keep doing it like he's
• 1:33:14
  He's gonna keep trying that to see if he can do it again. So
• 1:33:17
  I think I worry more about Honestly, I think I worry a little bit
• 1:33:23
  more about the Bills turnovers and the Dolphins because but I also wonder if the
• 1:33:28
  Dolphins try and ball control this game instead of trying to turn into a shootout,
• 1:33:32
  because then you're leaving that defense on the field a lot. And if
• 1:33:36
  the Bills try and get into like mashing them in the run game, that
• 1:33:42
  can wear a defense down, especially up front. And with the way the
• 1:33:45
  Dolphins run game has looked, I know a lot of it came in garbage
• 1:33:48
  time when the Ravens were playing backups. Devin Chan did run the ball pretty
• 1:33:53
  effective even without the even when the game was still in hand, So I
• 1:33:59
  wonder if they try him ball control it, just because look, man,
• 1:34:01
  we don't have a lot of healthy guys in that second there. We don't
• 1:34:04
  have a lot of healthy guys on defense. If they're out there for a
• 1:34:08
  long time, then they they're gonna get blown out the water. You know,
• 1:34:13
  they're gonna get tired and it's gonna start wearing on them. So I
• 1:34:15
  do think this leans more towards a not to say that there's not high scoring
• 1:34:21
  in the playoffs, but this feels more like a This feels like a December
• 1:34:27
  January playoff game. Yeah, one that ends like twenty four to twenty or
• 1:34:30
  twenty three seventeen something like that. Yeah, very fair. I also want
• 1:34:32
  to piggyback real quick. The first Cars movie, Lightning McQueen could have crossed
• 1:34:39
  the finish line and still come back and help the king. He did not
• 1:34:43
  need to stop short and go back and help him. If anything, he
• 1:34:46
  wasted time stopping and then going back. He stopped an inch before the finish
• 1:34:51
  line. Like, bro, you could have easily won and then gone back
• 1:34:55
  and pushed him across. See but I kind of reference Friday here. Pinky
• 1:34:59
  said, it's the princip, Smokey, It's it's the it's the idea.
• 1:35:02
  Though. You see the guy, You see the king, and he's just
• 1:35:05
  flipping and he looks like Doc Hudson. Yes, Doc Hudson look. And
• 1:35:13
  then you also get to the burst of one stone. You can pull back
• 1:35:15
  and help the king after you cross the finish line, and also make sure
• 1:35:18
  that piece of ship chick Kicks doesn't get to win the race. I mean
• 1:35:23
  it was it was the only one. Chick Kicks one, and then Lightning
• 1:35:26
  Queen ended up winning like seven more over the course of his career. Like
• 1:35:30
  he's the goat. But I see what you're saying. But I also just
• 1:35:32
  think, like the principle of helping out people who have always tried to help
• 1:35:39
  you. The King was always offering advice to Lightning, even when Lightning was
• 1:35:44
  kind of a douchebag to him and only saw the Dynako blaane. He was
• 1:35:46
  so he was so close to the finish line, like he literally like the
• 1:35:49
  finish line's here. He stops like here, and then you bro just finished
• 1:35:54
  and go back like you you're you're not You're not, You're not saving any
• 1:35:57
  time. I know it's all about the principle. And I also appreciate the
• 1:36:00
  Friday reference You're bat in a thousand tonight when it comes to references and analogies,
• 1:36:03
  but that one always gets me. It's one of like I love cars.
• 1:36:05
  I mean, I'm a Disney guy that picks our guy as you know
• 1:36:08
  who you are. That one always gets me. I'm always just like,
• 1:36:11
  just just cross it. You're right there, like it's not like he had
• 1:36:14
  to. And again that makes it even more powerful because he could have won
• 1:36:16
  the race and he still chose to go back and help Doc, thus completing
• 1:36:20
  the you know, the journey of the hero and the full character arc.
• 1:36:24
  But all right, I've gotten two off track. Last point. I'm tying
• 1:36:27
  in. It builds on your last point, ironically, uh, containing the
• 1:36:30
  Miami Dolphins run game for the Buffalo Bills. I talked about a little bit
• 1:36:35
  in the first matchup between these two teams, and this Miami run game has
• 1:36:43
  numbers, and Devin A Chain has numbers as well, and I'm gonna get
• 1:36:46
  into both of them, and the aspect of this run game. I don't
• 1:36:48
  think it's talked about enough. I think it gets talked about in conjunction with
• 1:36:51
  like the schemeability of McDaniel and the speed aspect of the offense. And I
• 1:36:56
  understand why it doesn't get talked about enough on its own. You know,
• 1:36:58
  it's a past first League Tua, Tyreek Hill, Jalen Waddle, all that
• 1:37:02
  speed, the explosion, the big plays, all of it. Like Miami,
• 1:37:06
  Passing the ball is sexy, running the football is not. I understand
• 1:37:10
  all of it. But the Dolphins run game, these numbers are nuts.
• 1:37:14
  I've tweeted them a bunch, like from an eight chain perspective, like every
• 1:37:16
  week for the last like several weeks, and I so this was gonna be
• 1:37:18
  one of my main points, but for running back carries as a whole.
• 1:37:23
  For the Miami Dolphins league wide, again just running back carries only. They're
• 1:37:28
  first in EPA per attempt at zero point zero nine. The Ravens and Lions
• 1:37:31
  are second at zero point zero four. The Dolphins are first in total EPA
• 1:37:38
  at thirty five point four to four. The Lions are second at seventeen point
• 1:37:44
  eighty three, almost double. The Dolphins are second in yards per game at
• 1:37:48
  one hundred and thirty point one. Detroit is first at one hundred and thirty
• 1:37:53
  point four. The Niners are third at one point seventeen, so a significant
• 1:37:57
  drop. The Dolphins are running back carries again. All of this, they're
• 1:37:59
  all so tied for first in yards after contact per attempt at three point two.
• 1:38:03
  They're first in yards per attempt at five point five, they're tied for
• 1:38:09
  first in miss tackles forced, and they're second in total yards after contact.
• 1:38:14
  Then let's go more specific, and let's talk about mister Devon ah Chan from
• 1:38:17
  Texas A and M, who I like this contact balance. I know the
• 1:38:20
  speed was the calling card, but he was such a tough runner at A
• 1:38:25
  and M and grind it and battled, and I feel like again. The
• 1:38:28
  speed is sexy. I get it, but its contact bells never got talked
• 1:38:30
  enough. They're sixty five running backs this year that have at least fifty carries.
• 1:38:35
  Amongst those sixty five running backs, a chain is first an EPA per
• 1:38:40
  attempt at zero point two six. Second is Jalia McLachlin of the Denver Broncos
• 1:38:45
  speedy bursty back. He's second at zero point eleven. The gap between a
• 1:38:51
  chain at first and McLaughlin at second is the same as McLachlin at second and
• 1:38:57
  Devin Singletarry at twenty third. Devon a Chan is also first in EPA at
• 1:39:02
  twenty four point two six. Kyron Williams of the Rams is second at twenty
• 1:39:08
  two point five eight. But Kyron Williams has one hundred and thirty five more
• 1:39:13
  carries than a chain, which emphasizes the big play capability and explosive efficiency that
• 1:39:19
  a chain is operated with his touches. Now again some of that. There's
• 1:39:23
  the garbage time piece for what he did against Denver way back when, but
• 1:39:26
  that's not explaining everything holistically. A chain is also first in yards per attempt
• 1:39:32
  at eight. McLachlin is second at five point six. Then this is a
• 1:39:36
  big one too. A Chain is first in yards after contact per attempt at
• 1:39:41
  three point six. His speed and pace, I think people think of it
• 1:39:45
  from and it's understandable explosion, get up field, big play, but his
• 1:39:48
  speed and pace changes angles and it doesn't afford defenders the luxury of getting full
• 1:39:54
  body shots on him. He puts defenders in position to only get a shoulder
• 1:39:59
  or an arm on him, and then because of his speed and his contact
• 1:40:01
  balance, he runs through those shoulders, He runs through those arms, as
• 1:40:04
  evidenced by the numbers, and then he's also fourth in yards per game.
• 1:40:10
  Absolutely nuts for their run game as a whole, but specifically a Chain like
• 1:40:13
  what he's done. Now he's getting involved more in the past. They're splitting
• 1:40:15
  him out and they're hitting him on you know, smoke screens and tunnel screens.
• 1:40:18
  They're letting him run routes. He's catching touchdowns in the back of the
• 1:40:20
  end zone like everything he can do. It's scary and it's terrifying. Deakwon
• 1:40:26
  Jones is now back for the Buffalo Bills, which is a huge addition for
• 1:40:30
  them. Poona Ford is also in the rotation now. He should have been
• 1:40:33
  all year, but with the injury to Jordan Phillips, he's worked in.
• 1:40:35
  Those two inserted into the lineup give the Bills more of a stout gap sound
• 1:40:43
  inside presence. In addition to limiting displacement at the line of scrimmage and just
• 1:40:47
  overall controlling the front. The Bills want to play with light boxes. On
• 1:40:50
  the year, the Bills have a sixty two percent light box rate that is
• 1:40:55
  third most in the league. They want numbers in coverage. They want to
• 1:40:59
  just rely on the front four and the two linebackers. They want to rely
• 1:41:01
  on six to stop the run and shut that down. They want to disguised
• 1:41:05
  coverage. They want to spin in safeties and rock and roll and everything they
• 1:41:09
  can do. They want that coverage perspective in the back from a number's perspective.
• 1:41:14
  So that's a good matchup right to see what the run game can do
• 1:41:15
  against the Bills run defense. But specifically they have one more point niche point
• 1:41:19
  within that Bill's linebacker Tyrol Dodson and how the Miami Dolphins can manipulate him.
• 1:41:25
  Dodson has played well all things considered in in his role in stepping in for
• 1:41:30
  Matt Millano. Once Milana went down with injury. Especially versus the run,
• 1:41:32
  Dotson is at his best coming forward making plays against the run, but he
• 1:41:38
  is still very susceptible to fitting the wrong gap. And he also pairs that
• 1:41:43
  with his athletic limitations and with what a chain offers you. And this Miami
• 1:41:46
  run game in general, and they're really cooking, but especially the a chain
• 1:41:49
  a missed run fit or a poor angle or being slow to the ball with
• 1:41:54
  your limited athleticism. It isn't the difference between like a five yard game became
• 1:41:58
  a ten yard game. It's between a five yard gain became a twenty yard
• 1:42:01
  gain or a house call. And then you couple that with Miami's propensity to
• 1:42:05
  use motion to shift defenders at the second level, which they've done to Buffalo
• 1:42:10
  before. A whole bunch of teams do that to the Bills. I worry
• 1:42:14
  about the angles and the leverage that Miami can create in the run in general,
• 1:42:18
  but especially with reference to Dodson, and you talked about it, A
• 1:42:21
  change succeeds on these outside zone runs. Miami also loves to use like cracked
• 1:42:26
  tosses and get out on the outside. They can emphasize that leverage and that
• 1:42:30
  spatial advantage even more by just a simple little flick of the wrist by just
• 1:42:34
  sending somebody in jet motion causing that shift. Now you've added leverage, You've
• 1:42:39
  added that angular advantage to you, and all of a sudden, it's around
• 1:42:43
  the corner, it's out in space. I worry about it from a general
• 1:42:46
  perspective in defending this run game. Again, I don't think he gets talked
• 1:42:49
  about enough, Like and again e Chanin's numbers like are not being talked about,
• 1:42:54
  Like he's blowing everybody away and EPA per attempt, yards per attempt,
• 1:42:58
  all these things. Like he is a play monster, but an efficient big
• 1:43:01
  play monster. He's not to do it all. We busted off like three
• 1:43:04
  huge runs. He's like a walking big play run type of dude. So
• 1:43:09
  you got to account for him in general, but especially with that matchup at
• 1:43:12
  the second level, Like you don't have that speed closing recognition ability that you
• 1:43:15
  had with Milano and Bernard at the second level in that first matchup. Now,
• 1:43:20
  to your point earlier, you have to rely on that front. You
• 1:43:24
  have to rely on Daikwon Jones winning up front and Leonard Floyd and Greg Russau
• 1:43:29
  and luckily for the Bills, they have a good front, like they're sound
• 1:43:30
  against the run when Daikon Jones back Ed Oliver is having a monster season.
• 1:43:35
  I really truly believe if Daiquon Jones was healthy all year, he would have
• 1:43:39
  been an All Pro. Greg Russeau has been battling a foot injury all year,
• 1:43:42
  and even within that, he's still like top eleven in terms of stop
• 1:43:45
  percentage off the edge, Like he's one of the best run defending edges in
• 1:43:48
  football. So they have the ability to answer it. But I think that's
• 1:43:51
  a little bit of a kind of strength versus strength, or opportunity versus opportunity.
• 1:43:57
  And to your other point that you mentioned for your third, like if
• 1:44:00
  Miami just wants to ball control and just sit and they don't want to have
• 1:44:03
  to rely on two as much and they can just easily like run the ball
• 1:44:06
  down the Bill's throws, it just changes the overall game script and puts a
• 1:44:11
  different feel and flow to it overall. So that's a really really good point.
• 1:44:15
  And there's a couple of stats I found that kind of tie into that.
• 1:44:17
  The first one, like you said, is not only Devin h chn
• 1:44:20
  but when they use motion to tie in their run game. They are one
• 1:44:25
  of the most dynamic teams in football. Devin Hn is one of the most
• 1:44:28
  dynamic runners in football when any motion is attached. For Sports Info solutions,
• 1:44:32
  he is first in yards per carry among all players with fifty carries at eight.
• 1:44:39
  Second is justin Fields at six, So you know that that seems pretty
• 1:44:45
  good. Total EPA he is at twenty two point five to six. Next
• 1:44:49
  is Kyron Williams at nineteen point seventy nine, But again Kyrin Williams has one
• 1:44:54
  hundred and ninety one carries with most, Devin Hn has eighty four. I
• 1:44:59
  would say Devin Hchan two eighty four EPA per attempt. He's first second is
• 1:45:03
  Justin Fields, but where it comes in is the boom rate. He has
• 1:45:08
  a thirteen percent boom rate as with motion attached. That's fourth the NFL,
• 1:45:13
  behind Justin Fields, Jamir Gibbs, and Lamar Jackson. So not only is
• 1:45:16
  he generating efficient offense, he's generating explosive offense. Boom rate means plays that
• 1:45:24
  are defined as getting an EPA of over one. That is a very very
• 1:45:28
  good play for the offense. Devin ah Chan is doing that thirteen percent of
• 1:45:31
  the time when motion attached, he is a walking big play. And where
• 1:45:35
  the Bills come into this is, like you said, their defensive front has
• 1:45:39
  been very good at defending the run. According to FtM Fantasy's defensive like adjusted
• 1:45:44
  lineyards that we mentioned, Buffalo is fifth in defensive adjusted line lineyards allowed.
• 1:45:49
  They're fifth and stuff rate, so that's really good from a defensive line perspective.
• 1:45:55
  At second level second level yardage, the Bills are twenty ninth, so
• 1:46:00
  it's just again it's one of those things. Where are the Bills of twenty
• 1:46:04
  second and second level yards that's runs between ten to twenty yards, And I
• 1:46:11
  mean that also pairs into like earlier in the year, they cleaned it up
• 1:46:14
  a little bit, but they were really bad tackling team early on mistackles,
• 1:46:17
  broken tackles, so if you got them into space, they would turn those
• 1:46:20
  second level plays into third level runs and beyond. And that gets to my
• 1:46:25
  next point open field yards allowed as a defense, the Bills are thirty,
• 1:46:30
  so this is gonna be a game where again the two teams behind them,
• 1:46:34
  surprisingly one of the last one is the Bill is the Barcos, of course,
• 1:46:39
  but then thirty first is the Cleveland Browns, which I think is surprising
• 1:46:42
  because they're six Yeah, I think the first and adjusted line yards and like
• 1:46:45
  six in power success rate. But once you get into the open field,
• 1:46:48
  it's like, oh, you can kind of get past them, but again,
• 1:46:50
  you got to get past the wave of angry defenders. But I think
• 1:46:55
  where this ties in with the Dolphins specifically is if they get you into the
• 1:47:00
  open field, you're basically gonna track me. With all those guys, I
• 1:47:04
  know, I don't think most it's going to play. He was a scratch
• 1:47:09
  against Baltimore with a knee injury, and that knee injury has been very weird.
• 1:47:13
  They've been They've been kind of hushed about it early because it's Tuesday,
• 1:47:16
  but they're gonna be looking for him to generate big plays. And that's something
• 1:47:21
  like when they use the motion, they use it for misdirection. They use
• 1:47:25
  it they get you out of alignment or even just make you hesitate for a
• 1:47:29
  brief second. And that brief hesitation when you're going up against dudes who all
• 1:47:32
  run like a four to three or low four to four, that half a
• 1:47:35
  second or quarter of a second you're blown by and you're it's the margin for
• 1:47:40
  error. If you slow down for maybe like half a second, they're going
• 1:47:45
  to run right past you. It's like in the animes where you have a
• 1:47:48
  character who they know is really fast and the main character is like, Okay,
• 1:47:51
  I'm gonna try and move before he does, and next thing you know,
• 1:47:55
  you see the character's face right next to the main character and they go,
• 1:47:59
  he's fast. Yeah, that's the Dolphins. That's the Dolphins offense.
• 1:48:02
  And where the Bills are going to I think where they might struggle a little
• 1:48:08
  bit and the run is with the use of motion. And like we said
• 1:48:11
  earlier, the Bills like to bump with most they like to move people in
• 1:48:14
  and out of the bubble. It's always at the second level, like they're
• 1:48:17
  just gonna bump like you can, you can set your watch by it,
• 1:48:19
  like you know it's gonna happen. Yeah, they're gonna they're gonna bump the
• 1:48:23
  second level. Tara Johnson's going to be everywhere. But what Mike McDaniel's done
• 1:48:27
  with this run game is he's incorporated Fat's motion into it. Like the two
• 1:48:32
  plays that he ran against the Titans. That just dirty, absolutely dirty,
• 1:48:36
  is most thing. Devin H chan quickly to the other side of Tua to
• 1:48:43
  change the run strength and then running a G T a g H counter reverse
• 1:48:47
  off of that. So now you're running. You have the guy the linebacker
• 1:48:54
  running across the field m hm with the A chan motion and they're running back
• 1:48:59
  the way they he came. And now Raheem Moster has the ball running the
• 1:49:02
  other way on a reverse. They pulled it out against the Ravens, but
• 1:49:08
  they'd run this play where it's like they run a counter, but instead of
• 1:49:12
  motioning the tight end all the way over, they motion him fast off and
• 1:49:16
  then boom, he cuts back and he's hitting you like and it's those things
• 1:49:20
  where it's like it's happening instantly. It's boom, Oh, this guy isn't
• 1:49:25
  running across. Oh, he's running right at me. Now I have to
• 1:49:28
  make an adjustment in the run fit. I wonder how much of that they're
• 1:49:30
  going to do against Buffalo because Taron Johnson is a bansheet in run defending,
• 1:49:36
  and if you throw that fast motion at him and you're not getting him out
• 1:49:40
  of the runfit, he's going to make a play. So I wonder if
• 1:49:44
  they just go straight forward. Okay, we're just gonna motion him all the
• 1:49:45
  way out instead of motioning him fast because now they've probably seen him be like,
• 1:49:51
  Okay, we're just gonna leave Taron Johnson here. But the motion and
• 1:49:55
  the misdirection that they cause in the run game, combined with that speed,
• 1:50:00
  it makes it so hard to defend them. Yeah, and that's what's so
• 1:50:03
  like Again, I understand it's a passing league and that's what you know,
• 1:50:08
  kind of sells stories and sells tickets. But what the Dolphins do from a
• 1:50:12
  pass perspective, they also do with the run like motion, leverage, space,
• 1:50:15
  speed like all those types of things, and it's a really nice aspect
• 1:50:20
  of their offense and it causes problems for defenses. But again, the Bills
• 1:50:24
  and last year in the week whatever it was the Saturday night game when the
• 1:50:30
  snow game, when Miami came to play Buffalo, moster a had a huge
• 1:50:33
  game in that when Bills are missing tackles like most are like ran wild and
• 1:50:36
  I think that got lost in the storyline. But then earlier this year again
• 1:50:40
  like Week four, Buffalo was doing a good job, you know, penetrating
• 1:50:45
  and getting through and attacking, and that's what they are as a defense,
• 1:50:47
  Like you talked about with the stuff percentage like they have been even when they've
• 1:50:50
  struggled with mistackles and given up big runs, even this year, but past
• 1:50:55
  years as well. They are. They're an aggressive defense when it comes to
• 1:51:00
  stopping the run. From a one gap penetration perspective, they're trying to get.
• 1:51:01
  They're okay if you bust off a seven or eight yard run and it's
• 1:51:04
  second and two or second and three, but the Bills are trying to get
• 1:51:06
  you to second and eleven, second and thirteen, second and fourteen, and
• 1:51:12
  sometimes it works and sometimes it doesn't. And against that speed aspect in Miami,
• 1:51:15
  if it doesn't work, it can gouge you. But they held there.
• 1:51:18
  They held their own again really well in that Week four aspect. The
• 1:51:20
  game script also helped too, like Miami getting down and having to pivot more
• 1:51:26
  towards the pass. But it's such a good matchup, especially again with Daikwon
• 1:51:29
  Jones coming back, like he is such an an important difference maker on the
• 1:51:33
  interior of the Buffalo Bills defensive line, and then you pair him with Ed
• 1:51:36
  Oliver. You got to handle Daikon Jones with the double teams. If you
• 1:51:41
  don't Daikwon Jones can win one on one. Ed Oliver has won one on
• 1:51:45
  one consistently throughout the year. And then you have Greg Russon, and you
• 1:51:48
  have Leonard Floyd and aj Vanessa has upticked this game, and Poona Ford has
• 1:51:51
  been solid against the run, and Tim Settle for as much as he's maligned,
• 1:51:55
  and Ben you know, raked over the coals by Bills fans, he's
• 1:51:58
  been playing better as of late as well. And then again Dodson is good
• 1:52:00
  coming against the run. Bernard is tremendous. But it's such a good matchup
• 1:52:04
  piece because the Dolphins are really skilled in that aspect, but the Bills got
• 1:52:10
  them the last time. The Bills have the ability to hold their own.
• 1:52:12
  And I'm also wondering how many how many like swings of the pendulum do we
• 1:52:16
  see, like how many second and thirteens, or how many tackles for loss
• 1:52:20
  do we see for the Bills, Like who wins? Who has that toxic
• 1:52:24
  differential like big play splash play advantage. Is it Miami busting out like seven
• 1:52:29
  eight yard runs or is it the Bills defense getting penetration, getting upfield and
• 1:52:32
  creating those you know, negative four yard gains those negative three yard gains because
• 1:52:36
  that also throws Miami off script as well. Now two us sitting there in
• 1:52:41
  second and thirteen or second and twelve, or they ran it on second and
• 1:52:45
  six and now it's third, nine, third and ten. Who swings that
• 1:52:47
  pendulum? How are you able to swing that pendulum? I think the run
• 1:52:51
  game in general was so fun, Like the Bills have one of the best
• 1:52:54
  run games in the NFL. So does Miami. A chain is nasty,
• 1:52:58
  James Cook has really come on this year in the past, and then the
• 1:53:00
  run like Latavious Murray has seen success on the ground, ty Johnson has seen
• 1:53:04
  success on the ground. I feel like the run game is more important to
• 1:53:08
  both teams than will get talked about again the nature of today's NFL. The
• 1:53:12
  story is gonna be McDaniel and Tua and Tyreek and Allen and Diggs and that
• 1:53:16
  whole crew. But the run games, man, I feel like they can
• 1:53:19
  go such a long way, and it's also easy buttons right, Like it's
• 1:53:24
  it sucks the soul out of a defense when you can run it down their
• 1:53:27
  throat. And it's also very easy, Like it's a lot easier just to
• 1:53:30
  turn around and hand the ball off for five to seven yards a clip than
• 1:53:32
  it is to snap the ball read a defense throw, even if you are
• 1:53:35
  a Josh Allen or Tua or whatever. I think it goes such a long
• 1:53:39
  way, even again in today's NFL, where it is very past focused.
• 1:53:43
  Yeah, and one thing that I noticed against the Ravens is the Dolphins.
• 1:53:46
  A lot of the Dolphins big runs that came on outside zone, it came
• 1:53:50
  on outside the tackle plays, And of course that's because you have Lester Cotton
• 1:53:56
  playing left guard down and Lester Cotton is not good. So I wonder how
• 1:54:00
  much of that they lean into against the Bills, where they have the clear
• 1:54:04
  disadvantage up front on the inside where they're not running at the interior, they're
• 1:54:09
  trying to get to the edge. But again that tends towards, again towards
• 1:54:13
  Buffalo, where you have the bigger edges and Rousseau and you have Lender Floyd
• 1:54:16
  playing really well, and Oliver and Daikwon Jones are so good on those zone
• 1:54:20
  runs of cutting off that front side and forcing you to kind of work it
• 1:54:25
  back, and then the Bills fill it from the backside and shut you down.
• 1:54:28
  Like Taron Johnson will shoot a gap from the backside. He'll honestly do
• 1:54:31
  it from the front side too and take on guards and everything. It's wild
• 1:54:33
  for how big he plays ral small it is, but that's the that's that
• 1:54:36
  benefit of Daikwon Jones too. You want to get to the outside, they'll
• 1:54:40
  cut you off and make you swing it back, which is where you don't
• 1:54:42
  want to live. If you're Miami exactly, you do not want Miami does
• 1:54:45
  not want to turn this into a between the tackle game for them offensively because
• 1:54:49
  Lester Cotton's gonna get whipped up front. He it was not a good game
• 1:54:54
  for him up front. There was a there was a play where I think
• 1:54:58
  he and Iikenberg miss communicated and Leicester Cotton ends up blocking nobody on the pope
• 1:55:03
  oh yeah yeah, and Patrick Queen gets to run Roquand Smith. It gets
• 1:55:08
  to run through Liam Eichenberg has to come off of Justin Mettaweke or Michael Pierce
• 1:55:13
  to get to Roquand Smith because Lester Cotton missed ro Quwant Smith because he thought
• 1:55:16
  he had just Mettaweeker and Michael Pierce. And it's like, dude, you're
• 1:55:19
  the left guard on the outside zone. Your way, you cannot leave that
• 1:55:24
  guy. But so much of those zone blocks are built upon chemistry and feel
• 1:55:29
  and report, and if you don't have that as an offensive lineman or you
• 1:55:31
  don't have that experience, that's a great example, right, Like it's kind
• 1:55:35
  of elementary to a certain degree, Like, no, bro, you're pulling
• 1:55:38
  off and you're climbing to the second level. But if it's that half split
• 1:55:42
  second, and the Bills do a really good job of this, Torell Bernard
• 1:55:45
  especially, but even Dodson to a degree, they do a good job triggering
• 1:55:48
  from the second level and pulling, you know, those double team blockers off
• 1:55:53
  that initial frontline guy. So you'll get a double team on Day Kwon Jones,
• 1:55:57
  but Bernard triggers so fast that the guard has to pull off a Day
• 1:56:00
  Kwon Jones. Now Daikwon Jones only had a double team for like a tenth
• 1:56:03
  of a second. Now he's back in a one on one. And that's
• 1:56:08
  also stressing the offensive line, Like you have to know when to come off
• 1:56:11
  your double team. Are you guys staying hip to hip? Is there any
• 1:56:13
  leakage between the two of you? What's the angle you're doing when you're coming
• 1:56:16
  off that's a great point by you. Well done. Yeah, And it's
• 1:56:19
  gonna be a game. That's again we said it the first time the Bills
• 1:56:24
  and the Dolphins met. This game is gonna be won and lost up front.
• 1:56:27
  This is going to be a can you throw off the Dolphins timing in
• 1:56:30
  the run and pass game? And can the Bills protect Josh Allen on offensive
• 1:56:36
  side of the ball. You know, Osiris Towards didn't have a great day
• 1:56:40
  against Christian Barmore. Christian Wilkins is better than Christian Barmore. That's going He's
• 1:56:45
  having a career year actually in sacks. I think he has. He's supposed
• 1:56:47
  to a career hide sacks and he has like eight seven and a half eight
• 1:56:50
  And Steeler is so good too. He's the nas bro Like he's so strong,
• 1:56:58
  like he's like Grizzly strong, where he's just pushing guys into the quarterback.
• 1:57:02
  So I wonder how much of that they do instead of like, because
• 1:57:06
  of the lack of an edge presence, are you going to try and push
• 1:57:11
  the pocket on Josh Allen instead of like have guys fly past them and he'll
• 1:57:15
  take that run lane and go. It's gonna be a pocket push game where
• 1:57:19
  that way you make him uncomfortable. Are we gonna see a lot of simulated
• 1:57:23
  pressures from the Dolphins to try and get free runners, because that's something that
• 1:57:26
  New England did a little bit. So maybe it's gonna be a fun chess
• 1:57:30
  match ye playoff style game. Yeah, and I wonder how much how many
• 1:57:36
  like three man rushes, four man rushes, but it's really a three and
• 1:57:40
  then that fourth is kind of like the slow hole player slash spy player,
• 1:57:45
  or you'll get those rushes. New England does a good job of it of
• 1:57:48
  making it seem like, hey, everybody's getting up field. Oh my god,
• 1:57:51
  the B gaps are wide open or A gaps are wide open for you
• 1:57:54
  to run through, and then Allen steps up and those edges kind of loop
• 1:57:57
  back in almost trying to game you up and force you to that. Like,
• 1:58:00
  I wonder what kind of gamesmanship Fangio tries to execute. Because Alan again,
• 1:58:04
  for the most part, I know the first time was really with Denver
• 1:58:09
  towards the end of that year in twenty twenty. But Alan is at success
• 1:58:13
  against Fangio and knowing how banged up this defense is, especially at key points,
• 1:58:16
  like it's not like, oh, we're missing you know, our second
• 1:58:20
  string this or rotational guy for this. No, you're missing both of your
• 1:58:24
  starting edges. Like Baker's absence is showing more potentially more important than I think
• 1:58:29
  people thought initially. And you're having to play guys into roles where you would
• 1:58:33
  like to have some chess match capability from a body's perspective, but that's been
• 1:58:38
  significantly limited because you're banged up. There's it's just yeah, like how does
• 1:58:42
  Fangio try to course correct? What does Brady do? I'm also wondering in
• 1:58:45
  the bigger picture grand scheme for Brady. I'm wondering, like because the Bills
• 1:58:51
  offense last year started out hot under Dorsey and then like the big question that
• 1:58:56
  was in my brain and I talked about it on the show, and myself
• 1:58:58
  and Eric and the when we talked about it, like what's going to happen
• 1:59:02
  once there's the tape on the Bills offense when people start knowing, Okay,
• 1:59:05
  this is the book on Dorsey, here's what we should do, because it
• 1:59:09
  happens to everybody. Once that sample size is there, teams adjust to you
• 1:59:12
  and then you have to CounterPunch and go from there. I'm wondering when that
• 1:59:15
  happens for Brady because now is kind of when it would happen, Like you've
• 1:59:20
  got a good sample size, like does it start to happen this week?
• 1:59:24
  Does it happen in the playoffs? Does it happen at any point in the
• 1:59:27
  playoffs? Does Brady keep people guessing, like when do we have that game
• 1:59:30
  where like where things start to kind of get figured out a little bit,
• 1:59:34
  because Brady's been really good at in game adjustments, figuring out pinpointed aspects and
• 1:59:40
  vulnerabilities and where he has to pivot and when he has to pivot, And
• 1:59:44
  I wonder when that happens holistically, if it's this week. It's kind of
• 1:59:46
  just a little thing that's in the back of my mind every week, because
• 1:59:48
  again, Brady's been a good job of He's done a good job of sequencing,
• 1:59:53
  layering, building, and then even when things have been struggling, he's
• 1:59:57
  good at making a note like, Okay, this worked in the second quarter,
• 2:00:00
  we just didn't hit on it. Let's do it again, but tweak
• 2:00:02
  this little thing in the third quarter and we can generate a big play out
• 2:00:04
  of it. Yeah, and again, I think this is gonna be Joe
• 2:00:08
  Brady's first time facing Vic Fangio as a play caller. This is gonna be
• 2:00:13
  there's gonna be a big game. You know. Of course, facing Belichick
• 2:00:15
  is always a big game as a play caller, but this is this is
• 2:00:18
  the big one, you know, for a guy who was basically helped create
• 2:00:24
  most of modern defenses. That you see how he responds and how they adjust,
• 2:00:30
  you know, like that's gonna be the biggest thing always in the NFL.
• 2:00:32
  How they adjust in the second half, that's going to be huge.
• 2:00:39
  I'm very interested to see how it turns out. I was sketching up in
• 2:00:42
  the chat. I guess people are upset because we think some of the Miami
• 2:00:45
  Dolphins players are good. I guess they're a talented team. They're a very
• 2:00:51
  very talented team. I don't understand how yeah, I mean, they're their
• 2:00:58
  second in the playoff seeing now again, I know they haven't beaten like good
• 2:01:01
  teams. They're week in some spots, but I mean they're a goo football
• 2:01:04
  team. We'll see what happens. But again, that's the fun part of
• 2:01:06
  like the chess match aspect. I think that's also what adds up to it,
• 2:01:09
  Like there's all these different skill sets and maneuverrable parts and how they get
• 2:01:15
  slotted into those different areas. Man, like the chess match aspect of all
• 2:01:17
  that also too, I think like the the underlying chess match piece of you
• 2:01:21
  have two head coaches who each coach aside of the ball. But it's like
• 2:01:25
  there's very few defensive first coaches who also coached the defense, and I guess
• 2:01:30
  fewer defensive first head coaches in general now. But also knowing that aspect,
• 2:01:32
  like there's all these little like fun layers, some more fun than others and
• 2:01:36
  interesting, and yeah, man, this is gonna be an absolute hell of
• 2:01:40
  a game. We went super long. I was not. I'm just like
• 2:01:43
  bro, I knew it was gonna go long when we started late because we
• 2:01:46
  were talking about Disney World off of offline, but like one, I'm sorry
• 2:01:51
  I kept you two. I had an absolute blast like you crushed it.
• 2:01:55
  As always, I cannot continue to saying your praise is enough. The work
• 2:01:59
  you do everything, the floor is yours. Tell everybody who you are,
• 2:02:02
  where they can find you, what you do everything, because your your work
• 2:02:06
  is legitimately awesome when it comes to just knowing ball and breaking stuff down.
• 2:02:10
  So the floor is yours. Thank you, thank you. So of course
• 2:02:13
  you can find me at Acosta thirty two underscore JP on Twitter, JP Acosta
• 2:02:16
  thirty two on threads. I am the NFL writer, college football writer,
• 2:02:21
  NFL draft writer, anything where football is around, I'm probably going to be
• 2:02:27
  writing about it. Got some NFL draft stuff that's coming out later after the
• 2:02:30
  NCAA Championship, at the Collegeable Playoff National title. Got some big NFL stuff.
• 2:02:35
  I believe that I'm going to have planned. But of course I tweet
• 2:02:39
  a lot of football clips. I talk a lot about football. I watch
• 2:02:43
  a lot of football, so just follow along, see what happens. I
• 2:02:45
  talk about anime and Disney, and I'll occasionally throw in the Scott Skyles reference
• 2:02:50
  in there too, but just follow and see what happens. That might be
• 2:02:55
  my favorite reference to you, But you had a lot of bangers tonight when
• 2:02:57
  it comes to references and analogies and and oh, like the Scott Skyles one
• 2:03:02
  was probably my favorite because it's like it's just niche enough that not everyone's gonna
• 2:03:08
  know it, but the people that do know it are going to appreciate the
• 2:03:11
  ever loving hell out of it. Like it's not a low hanging fruit analogy
• 2:03:14
  like, and I think that's what I appreciate so much. We got a
• 2:03:16
  lot of love for a bunch of your references and analogies. And that's what
• 2:03:19
  again, Like, I appreciate you taking the time. I know we went
• 2:03:23
  mad long. I appreciate the hell out of you. Go enjoy what's left
• 2:03:27
  of your Tuesday night. Thank you for stopping by. I'll see you around
• 2:03:30
  the Twitter verse. Again, I appreciate the hell Adia. Thanks for taking
• 2:03:32
  the time and absolutely crushing it. You were a blessed Thanks for having me.
• 2:03:35
  Yeah, man, all right, I'll get you later. Peace.
• 2:03:40
  Trumendous guest, mister JP Acosta. Yeah, pretty surprised with the Yeah,
• 2:03:49
  pretty pretty surprised with like the hate that kind of I guess came my way
• 2:03:54
  potentially, or JP's way. I think more my way because we were talking
• 2:03:59
  about how good some of the Dolphins players are. That doesn't mean that we
• 2:04:01
  think the Bills are bad or that you're hyping up another team, but there
• 2:04:05
  are certain aspects. I mean, this is like a matchup show. If
• 2:04:08
  you're going inside the x's and o's and the details of both teams, you
• 2:04:12
  got to talk about both teams, and I thought I also balanced it out
• 2:04:14
  with talking about the good of the bills. The good oh either way,
• 2:04:16
  interesting, Yeah, appreciate everybody. If you have not already, please please
• 2:04:20
  think you drop alike on this video. It goes a sincerely long way towards
• 2:04:24
  helping myself and the entire team to track and trend in front of more eyes
• 2:04:28
  and ears. Please please please and think you drop alike on this video.
• 2:04:30
  Want to show some love to the sponsor. Always do it a different points
• 2:04:32
  in the show. One Pie Pizza the best pizza in Buffalo, New York.
• 2:04:38
  Find me online menu in the episode show notes, whether here on YouTube
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  sweet Sauce, pie cup and charp Pepperoni, homemade blue Cheese. I truly
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  all the time. They're good people making really great food. So go get
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  in the episode show notes here on YouTube or whatichever podcast, damp or platform
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  you are listening to this show on. Oh I like this comment here that
• 2:05:10
  says, honest discussion does not entertain loyalism. Well said, I appreciate that
• 2:05:15
  the hell idea for that. Yeah, it's gonna be, man, it's
• 2:05:18
  gonna be a really fun game. We talked about it in the intro,
• 2:05:21
  like, if you're a Bills fan, if you're a Dolphins fan, like,
• 2:05:24
  you don't need any like added impetus towards making this a bigger game.
• 2:05:29
  I appreciate that comment where I see you down there, appreciate you. Yeah,
• 2:05:30
  if you're a Bills fan or a Dolphins fan, you don't need any
• 2:05:32
  like extra or anything to this game. This is a huge game for you.
• 2:05:35
  But just from a if you're just a football fan, like the eyes
• 2:05:40
  of the football world will be on this game, not just because of you
• 2:05:44
  know, the individual storylines and the individual AFC East piece and the Dolphins Bills
• 2:05:49
  piece for the you know, kind of the nuts and bolts and the brass
• 2:05:53
  tacks of who's gonna win the AFC East blah blah blah blah blah. But
• 2:05:57
  just again the rivalry being back a bit with my Miami versus Buffalo, and
• 2:06:00
  again the primetime aspect, the game that closes out the regular season, and
• 2:06:04
  based on how everything works out Saturday and Sunday, the Bills may already have
• 2:06:10
  a playoff spot wrapped up and so it's just a matter of who wins the
• 2:06:13
  division, who gets home field, or this could be a game for the
• 2:06:16
  Buffalo Bills where if they lose, they are out of the playoffs, and
• 2:06:20
  so that gives some added impetus to Miami or an added to them for maybe
• 2:06:24
  wanting to knock the Bills out, maybe trying to pay the Bills back for
• 2:06:28
  what was it twenty twenty I think when or twenty twenty one or twenty I
• 2:06:32
  think twenty twenty when the Bills beat Miami in the last regular season game and
• 2:06:36
  knocked them out of the playoffs and the Bills pretty much played their backups and
• 2:06:39
  Miami still lost. Maybe Miami wants some adventure that maybe they just won general
• 2:06:43
  Aventra last year with losing in Buffalo twice to and the year including the playoffs
• 2:06:47
  and all those pieces. Man, there's there's just so many storylines from a
• 2:06:51
  national perspective and the again, Sunday night football is always a big watch for
• 2:06:56
  everyone, but even more so with what's on the line. And again,
• 2:06:59
  what is on the line will be greatly influenced by what happens Saturday with the
• 2:07:01
  Steelers Sunday with the Jags. Man, it is gonna be oh ya,
• 2:07:05
  Sarah says it was twenty twenty. Yeah, the starters played in the first
• 2:07:08
  half. That was also. I think Cole Beasley got banged up in the
• 2:07:11
  first half in that game and then that carried into the postseason and that hurt
• 2:07:14
  them, hurt the Bills a bit. I think that's all yours. Everything
• 2:07:16
  blends together. I remember the games, but years and and specific things always
• 2:07:19
  like are not specific. General things elude me, But I digress. Yeah,
• 2:07:24
  this game is absolutely huge, the like are Ja saying this game will
• 2:07:27
  probably stop my heart at least a dozen times, and Zach saying, if
• 2:07:30
  you're a sports fan, you have to love this game. No other team
• 2:07:31
  sport has such variance on one game. Insane. Yeah, it's a it's
• 2:07:36
  huge, And like JP and I talked about, there's all these really interesting
• 2:07:41
  matchup nuggets on each side of the ball for both teams. And putting that
• 2:07:45
  all together as the giant chess match the football always is, but even more
• 2:07:48
  so now. Styles make fights, and these two teams have styles that mesh
• 2:07:53
  really well with one another in terms of teams battling each other. Man.
• 2:07:57
  So it's gonna be really exciting to see both these teams go at it and
• 2:08:00
  then on top of it. So that's just from like a general chess match
• 2:08:03
  football x's and o's perspective, it's a really intriguing game, but then all
• 2:08:05
  the drama and the added layers on top of it. Of again, this
• 2:08:11
  could be just as simple both teams in the playoffs. Let's see who wins
• 2:08:13
  the AFC East, or it could be for the Buffalo Bills. If they
• 2:08:16
  lose, they are out of the playoffs, and man, to come this
• 2:08:20
  far and claw your way back just to get bounced in week eighteen would be
• 2:08:24
  absolutely demoralizing. It will be demoralizing to the Dolphins, who, even though
• 2:08:28
  they're gonna be in the playoffs, to know that they lost the division after
• 2:08:31
  they kind of had it in theory wrapped up a little bit. Man,
• 2:08:35
  it's gonna be really intriguing. Again, there's good players on both sides of
• 2:08:37
  the ball. There's good coaching on both sides of the ball. The scheme
• 2:08:41
  and the structure and all those pieces are gonna be really interesting as we go
• 2:08:43
  forward. I'm gonna be breaking down a bunch of it on Twitter going forward.
• 2:08:48
  Follow me at Pro Underscore Underscore that's Pro two Underscores a n T.
• 2:08:52
  I'm being posting a bunch of Bills Versus Past stuff tomorrow and throughout the week,
• 2:08:56
  and then some Ravens Dolphins stuff from that most recent game going forward.
• 2:09:00
  Is because there's a lot of interesting nuggets and tidbits and pieces all from that
• 2:09:03
  game. But man, I'm gonna throw out the banner now, this says
• 2:09:07
  tootles, folks, because we are gonna dip on this JP and I went
• 2:09:09
  crazy long. It was an awesome football discussion. Talking Ball had to pivot
• 2:09:13
  kind of just the course of the episode. So thank you to everybody who
• 2:09:16
  rode with us live here on this episode. I know it was a long
• 2:09:18
  one, but you know what, it's a very big important game. So
• 2:09:20
  I feel like the length nopen intended, or that's what she said. I
• 2:09:24
  feel like the length is necessary given for what's to come here in Week eighteen.
• 2:09:30
  I appreciate all you folks who'd rolled this live here on this episode.
• 2:09:33
  If you have not already, please please, please thank you before you go
• 2:09:35
  drop Alke on this video. Like I mentioned earlier, it goes a sincerely
• 2:09:39
  long way towards helping myself in the entire team to track and trend in front
• 2:09:41
  of more eyes and ears. So please, please, please and thank you
• 2:09:45
  drop Alke on this video. If you have not already, If you are
• 2:09:48
  watching later and not watching live, that's cool as well. Please drop Alke
• 2:09:52
  on this video here on YouTube, likes are the lifeblood of these streams and
• 2:09:56
  how it impacts the algorithm and all that stuff. I like what Chris says
• 2:09:58
  that we're gonna eat it. I appreciate the hellia Chris, Sarah got my
• 2:10:01
  you know, the joke with the giggity. Appreciate that Zach says, and
• 2:10:05
  you put my kids to sleep. Thanks. I don't know if this is
• 2:10:07
  a backhanded compliment or an insult or a genuine compliment. I also don't know
• 2:10:11
  how to take it. I'm gonna say thank you, but I'm unsure on
• 2:10:13
  how to take it. But I appreciate you. Zech had all the comments
• 2:10:15
  and the activity that you had in the chat. Thank you very much to
• 2:10:18
  Carl for the super chat earlier and Carl for pretty much being here every week,
• 2:10:20
  and addition to a bunch of you folks, I think it's pretty it's
• 2:10:22
  pretty awesome to see the consistently continuous views that people come in and see,
• 2:10:28
  and the handles and the icons and all that kind of stuff, and the
• 2:10:31
  YouTube names the people who regularly tune in, so you folks know who you
• 2:10:35
  are, and we know who you are, and we see it and appreciate
• 2:10:37
  it. So thank you to everybody tune in and live. If you did
• 2:10:39
  not watch live and you're watching later, listening later, whatever have you,
• 2:10:43
  please please rate and review and subscribe if you're on one of the podcasting apps
• 2:10:46
  and or platforms, and thank you very much for your listen and or your
• 2:10:50
  download. If again, you were watching later on YouTube, that's cool.
• 2:10:54
  Subscribe to disguise coverage, subscribe to the Cover one channel as a whole.
• 2:10:56
  We have you covered every single day of the week with anything and everything Buffalo
• 2:11:01
  bills and football knowledge and like what I did on the show, you know,
• 2:11:03
  also breaking down things on other teams, which some people appreciate and some
• 2:11:07
  people hate. Because if you're a fan of one team, that means you
• 2:11:11
  can't say anything good about another team. Ever. So I guess I got
• 2:11:15
  caught in that vortex a little bit tonight. But again, I appreciate I
• 2:11:18
  see that I'm reading the chat comments and I see them and appreciate them.
• 2:11:22
  They're very funny. Appreciate you Zach and Astrology. That's very good man.
• 2:11:26
  Appreciate you, folks. Enjoy the rest of your Tuesday. Enjoy the rest
• 2:11:31
  of your New Year's week. I hope you start to. Twenty twenty four
• 2:11:35
  has been good for you. Again. Please drop a ke on this video,
• 2:11:37
  rate review and subscribe on whichever platform you are listening to or watching this
• 2:11:41
  show on. Go get yourself some one pie pizza. Have a good time
• 2:11:46
  this weekend watching all of the festivities for NFL football and then going into Monday
• 2:11:50
  night with the college football and National Championship between Washington and Michigan. That'll be
• 2:11:54
  fun. Join myself and Eric Turner tomorrow Wednesday, January third, seven pm
• 2:12:00
  Eastern for another episode of the Cover one Film Room, breaking down a whole
• 2:12:03
  bunch of important pieces from Bill's versus Patriots. But until next Tuesday, January
• 2:12:09
  ninth, nine pm Eastern for another episode of disguised coverage that I'll do it
• 2:12:11
  for us here on this show. I hope to see you folks in the
• 2:12:15
  film room tomorrow night, Wednesday, seven pm Eastern with myself and Eric Turner
• 2:12:20
  again. This show Disguy's coverage is always live every Tuesday, nine pm Eastern.
• 2:12:24
  The Cover One Film Room with myself and Eric is always live every Wednesday,
• 2:12:26
  seven pm Eastern. Hope you bang it here for our show tomorrow night
• 2:12:31
  at nine. Appreciate everybody who tuned in live. Appreciate anybody who listened later,
• 2:12:35
  watched, later, downloaded later, whatever have you. Greatly appreciate it.
• 2:12:39
  Thank you very much to Jpacasta again for doing a two hour marathon of
• 2:12:43
  an episode and just being overall and awesome dude and no one ball and really
• 2:12:46
  knowing what's up. Appreciate him. Appreciate all you folks. Thank you very
• 2:12:50
  much for the kind words in the chat. I hope to see you all
• 2:12:52
  tomorrow night for another episode of the Cover One Film Room. And until tomorrow
• 2:12:56
  or until next Tuesday, when I see you, or whenever I do see
• 2:12:58
  you, I hope you and your family and friends and loved ones. Are
• 2:13:01
  all doing well and staying safe. Be kind to one another, take care
• 2:13:05
  of one another, God's speed, and as always, Gobils