Latest / Simply Bitcoin / US Treasury Drops BOMBSHELL Bitcoin Report: Digital ID is Here?! | EP 1457
Transcript
- 0:02A lot of people think digital ID's are only being rolled out
- 0:06in Europe and the crazy countries like Canada and the
- 0:10UK. But Twitter went wild embracing
- 0:14this 34 page report written by the US Treasury that on the
- 0:19surface does seem to be embracing Bitcoin privacy.
- 0:23But after spending a few hours reading it, it's clear that not
- 0:27everyone actually read the full report.
- 0:29Because there's some very dangerous precedent buried in
- 0:33this report that could usher in a digital ID in America, or at
- 0:38very least is engaging and debating whether there should be
- 0:43a digital ID to protect against scam scams and other criminal
- 0:48activity with Bitcoin. It it is, you know, it is a very
- 0:54interesting report. I'm going to give you kind of
- 0:57the more generous take of what I read and then the more, I guess
- 1:02you could say, cynical, paranoid view of what is actually in this
- 1:06report. Now, of course, I am not alone.
- 1:09I am here today with our boy Kent Halliburton from SAS
- 1:14Mining. So here's the report, guys.
- 1:17If you guys saw this on Twitter, you might have saw some very
- 1:21bullish headlines on this. The report is titled Report to
- 1:24Congress from the Secretary of the Treasury on innovative
- 1:27Technologies to counter illicit finance involving digital
- 1:31assets. So let me do a command F here
- 1:34and I'll show you guys the kind of very bullish take that
- 1:39everyone clipped out and put on Twitter.
- 1:42This sentence in itself does sound very bullish for Bitcoin
- 1:46privacy in the US. You just take this alone.
- 1:49It is just it's it's alone a very interesting quote coming
- 1:53out of the US Treasury. And here's what everyone was
- 1:56reposting on Twitter. This specific quote, and it is
- 2:00quote. Lawful uses of digital assets
- 2:02may leverage mixers to enable financial privacy when
- 2:05transacting through public blockchains.
- 2:08For instance, individuals may use mixers to protect sensitive
- 2:11information on personal wealth, business payments, or charitable
- 2:15donations from appearing on a public blockchain.
- 2:18As consumers increase their use of digital assets for payments,
- 2:21individuals may want to use mixers to maintain more privacy
- 2:24of their consumer spending habits.
- 2:27Of course, also in addition, digital asset services that take
- 2:29custody of user funds and accept and transmit values or value are
- 2:34currently required to register with Vincent as money services
- 2:37businesses maintain records and file suspicious activity
- 2:40reports. This includes custodial mixers.
- 2:43Now that was basically the clip or the snapshot that was going
- 2:48around and you know, a lot of our friends, a lot of the
- 2:51Bitcoin media groups were saying, hey, look, this is a win
- 2:54for Bitcoin privacy. Now I know Bitcoin privacy isn't
- 2:58the most sexy topic when it comes to Bitcoin.
- 3:02Everyone it really, to be honest, everyone likes to talk
- 3:04about price that it's love it or hate it.
- 3:07That's what most people like to talk about.
- 3:09Now again, I'm not going to read the whole page or the whole
- 3:12report. It is 34 pages, guys.
- 3:14So I will give you kind of my overview of it and then I did
- 3:17get a couple of good tweets to kind of breakdown a little bit
- 3:20of what this report is saying. Now, my more generous take of
- 3:27this report is you can say that the report, even though it does
- 3:32talk about scams and criminal activity, criminal cyber
- 3:36activity, and it lays out a lot of different use cases and of
- 3:41course ways to fight illicit finance, which is the title of
- 3:44this article. It does.
- 3:47If you read it again with a more generous view, it does just lay
- 3:50out all of the obstacle is that the US Treasury or rather the
- 3:56Trump administration or just the world at large has to deal with
- 3:59this new asset class that is of course Bitcoin or digital assets
- 4:03as they like to call it. And it does basically lay out a
- 4:07lot of the attack vectors, a lot of the different things going on
- 4:11where people are able to skirt AML and KYC laws and ways that
- 4:17they are using mixing illegally. But I think in that in itself,
- 4:23if you read the whole report, it does bring up a lot of different
- 4:26questions of OK, well, illegal uses and legal uses, which ones
- 4:32which? And further, if we see some kind
- 4:35of dragnet surveillance here, what are the implications?
- 4:40And the article or rather the report does talk about there are
- 4:43concerns about this and and therefore they are talking to
- 4:48the private sector, of course, crypto companies, as they like
- 4:51to say, you know, stakeholders of a crypto or Bitcoin.
- 4:56So there is a generous view of this that hey, maybe this
- 4:59article or this report from the US Treasury is what the title
- 5:03says. It is that this is them trying
- 5:07to game theory ways to fight illicit finance.
- 5:11Again, that's the generous view of this.
- 5:14Now, when I read this, there was some concerning language in it,
- 5:18particularly for me was the mentions of digital IDs.
- 5:24They specifically mention and I'm, I, I didn't bring you the,
- 5:28the exact quotes of this, so you, you might have to just
- 5:32trust but verify on this with me.
- 5:35But they did specifically mention the UK and Europe and
- 5:39how they're handling illicit finance, particularly with
- 5:43digital IDs and their digital ID kind of, you know, push their
- 5:47operations to unleash a digital ID.
- 5:50And this is where it does get a little worrying.
- 5:53Further, they do talk about essentially using more chain
- 5:57analysis and already is being used by institutions to of
- 6:02course monitor the blockchains and make sure that we're all not
- 6:06criminals. Though the assumption is
- 6:08essentially that everyone is everyone that is using
- 6:11blockchain is a criminal and therefore they have to kind of
- 6:15stop everyone or rather all of the bad information or all the
- 6:19bad use cases of of Bitcoin or blockchain activities.
- 6:23Now, there was one thing, and this is me speculating, guys,
- 6:27this is me with my tinfoil hat on.
- 6:29There was specific mentions of AI usage or using AI to monitor
- 6:36and track all the information on the blockchains from the
- 6:39financial institutions. And when I was reading this, my
- 6:43initial thought was this idea of like, OK, so if they're going to
- 6:49use AI to monitor all of this information, I quote public
- 6:54private cooperation. It really seemed to me like
- 6:59they're talking about using Palantir to monitor all of this
- 7:01information. Now again, hey, maybe I'm a
- 7:04tinfoil hat guy. I acknowledge that.
- 7:07But that was the first thing that I kind of popped into my
- 7:10brain when I read this. So again, the precedent or at
- 7:14least the the cynical view of this, the more paranoid view of
- 7:17this report is they are outlining what potentially could
- 7:22be ways to pretty much tag and bag all the information coming
- 7:27from Bitcoin and digital assets. And therefore every single one
- 7:30of us is, you know, guilty until proven otherwise.
- 7:33And so that's my generous view of it.
- 7:37My more cynical view of it is some of the implications in this
- 7:40report aren't as bullish as the headline that, hey, there's
- 7:44lawful use cases for Bitcoin privacy or lawful use cases for
- 7:50Bitcoin mixing. I know they said that, but
- 7:54further on in the article they stopped or sorry, the report, I
- 7:57keep calling it article, the report, they do mention a lot of
- 8:01various uses of illicit finance using mixing.
- 8:04So it's a, it's a little, it's a bit of a grab bag of there's
- 8:08some positive in it, maybe a less positive than the negative
- 8:13implications. But reading the report it there
- 8:17is some worrying kind of wording verbiage sentences in here that
- 8:22it's like, OK, what is actually happening here?
- 8:25Is this simply a report to kind of outline the entire playing
- 8:30field here? Or is this more of a playbook
- 8:34that they're going to use to essentially tag and bag
- 8:38everything coming out of digital assets and digital asset
- 8:42providers and really complicate the process, which is one of the
- 8:45things I've been saying about the Clarity Act.
- 8:48It seems like it might do more harm than good.
- 8:50And again, reading this report, it, it did kind of give me that
- 8:54idea of like this doesn't sound as bullish as a lot of the
- 8:58headlines would say. And I'm not the only one that
- 9:01said that. I will bring up a couple of
- 9:03tweets from one of my favorite reporters, of course, Lola Leet
- 9:07from the rage. She's been doing a great job and
- 9:10this was her take. And and there is some spicy
- 9:13language in this guy's I'll, I'll you know, I know this is we
- 9:17try to be a family show, but you know, I, I slip and stumble at
- 9:21times. So here is Lola Leet's take on
- 9:24this, of course, from the rage publication.
- 9:27And she is obviously a lot more cynical and and a lot harsher.
- 9:33And here's for the official post from the rage and here here she
- 9:37she does kind of pick some some quotes from the article or sorry
- 9:41again, the report that are are going to make you kind of see
- 9:46where this is going. And so she goes.
- 9:48News outlets are touting a recent report by the US Treasury
- 9:51on the combating of illicit finance and digital currencies
- 9:53as a quote win for privacy. This in this is incorrect.
- 9:57While the report notes that of course, quote lawful use of
- 10:00digital assets may leverage mixers to enable financial
- 10:03privacy when transacting through public block chains, the
- 10:06majority of language on mixers highlights their use in
- 10:09terrorist financing or other illicit activities, as well as
- 10:12the challenges mixers introduced to law enforcement, which I can
- 10:15confirm after reading the whole report.
- 10:18As the Treasury states, quote, criminals commonly use tools
- 10:20like mixing to introduce challenges for investigators
- 10:24attempting to trace illicit digital assets, frustrating law
- 10:27enforcement investigation as well as digital asset service
- 10:30providers, transactions, monitoring and tracing efforts.
- 10:34While the report issues no new recommendations on the future of
- 10:37mixers, it notes that the Treasury has already proposed a
- 10:40rule to regulate mixers under the Patriot Act that has been
- 10:43tasked to finalize by the White House.
- 10:45According to the report, the Treasurer has additionally
- 10:48adopted the following recommendations.
- 10:50Treasury will, quote, incentivize the the development
- 10:53and integration of digital identity tools aimed at
- 10:56countering illicit finance. Treasury will also quote explore
- 11:00working with Congress on ways to better enable third party
- 11:03services providers to conduct identity identity verifications
- 11:07and Treasury will quote encourage industry stakeholders
- 11:10to develop open source and standardized AP is for essential
- 11:14compliance functions. Regarding defy, the Treasury
- 11:17further commands that Congress should consider specifying
- 11:20actors within the decentralized finance ecosystem that should be
- 11:24subject to a MLCFTC obligations quote, Congress should consider
- 11:28how to best safeguard the US financial system from money
- 11:31laundering threats that originate abroad, including
- 11:34those in D5. That should quote include adding
- 11:37a six special measure to Section 311 Patriot Act authorizing
- 11:41Treasury to prohibit or impose conditions upon certain
- 11:45transmittals of funds that are not tied to corresponding
- 11:48banking relationships. Congress should consider
- 11:51creating digital asset specific financial institution types or
- 11:54subtypes within the Bank Secrecy Act such that the new types of
- 11:58subtypes would be subject to a MLCFT obligations.
- 12:02And of course, FinCEN should evaluate whether or how it's
- 12:06existing guidance related to the digital asset sector, including
- 12:09guidance issued in 2013 and 2019 should be resigned, it
- 12:13rescinded, modified or updated to reflect legislative and
- 12:18regulatory challenge changes. She goes further from her
- 12:21personal account and this is where she gets a little more
- 12:24spicy. Okay, so I'll, I'll PG it up a
- 12:27little bit. She goes, Oh my God, the
- 12:29treasury said we can use mixers if we promise we won't do crime.
- 12:33Listen here, you effing idiot. The very notion of quote lawful
- 12:37uses of digital assets implicates a mechanism to
- 12:40distinguish between lawful and unlawful uses.
- 12:43As I mentioned earlier, the report very clearly laid is how
- 12:46how this will be distinguished, and it isn't a magic and fairy
- 12:49does. Since no one who claims this
- 12:52report is a win for privacy seems to have actually read it,
- 12:55here's some of the recommendations and I I pretty
- 12:58much read most of them. You know, finalization of the
- 13:00regulation of mixers under the Patriot Act, the creation of
- 13:03subtypes under the Bank Secrecy Act, to resign modifier update
- 13:082013 and 2019 Fins and guidance to incentivize the the
- 13:13development and integration of digital identity tools aimed at
- 13:16countering illicit finance. Nothing, and I mean nothing
- 13:20about this is good for privacy at all.
- 13:23So again, the big kind of headline that there is lawful
- 13:28use cases for mixing, it was a good headline.
- 13:32It it did kind of perk up all of our ears.
- 13:35But when you read the report, you're kind of thinking this
- 13:39doesn't sound that good at all. And you know, shouts at the low
- 13:44elites and the rage team. I think they're doing very good
- 13:48journalism, like actually real journalism.
- 13:50OK, They're they're we're not just engaging or I I'm not going
- 13:54to say we the rage is not just engaging in, you know, full
- 13:58engagement plebslop on the timeline.
- 14:01Yes, that quote in and of itself of lawful uses of mixing does
- 14:06sound like there is a narrative shift coming out of the the
- 14:09administration. But again, when you read all of
- 14:13the report, it, it kind of makes a different case.
- 14:16Now on top of that, another thing that we saw happening
- 14:21yesterday, which is very worrying it, it basically is one
- 14:26of these things of don't watch what they say or don't listen to
- 14:30just what they say, watch what they do as well.
- 14:33And this is where you're starting to see, hey, the one
- 14:36hand is doing one thing, the other hand is kind of doing the
- 14:40opposite. And as we always say, don't just
- 14:45follow what they say, follow what they do.
- 14:48And then you start to see what's going on.
- 14:50Though there is also the idea that, hey, maybe all the
- 14:54institutions, all of the, you know, ABC agencies aren't
- 14:59necessarily on board with the, quote, federal mandate of
- 15:04becoming the Bitcoin superpower of the world.
- 15:07But this is where it starts to seem like maybe there is a full
- 15:13frontal attack on privacy. Now, what am I talking about?
- 15:16We've been covering this story for a long time now.
- 15:19And it does have to do with the Tornado Cash.
- 15:22So here is a tweet here, head of marketing umbrella enthusiasts
- 15:27at Arkham. I think this guy's a shit
- 15:28corner. But whatever it is, what it is
- 15:30it it's still it's still a good tweet.
- 15:33OK. And he goes, the asymmetry is
- 15:35wild. U.S.
- 15:36Treasury openly admits mixers have a legitimate privacy use
- 15:39case, yet the DOJ wants to retry Roman Storm on 2 counts of money
- 15:44laundering and sanctions violations.
- 15:46Developers can't be responsible for 3rd party misuse of neutral
- 15:50open source software. An appalling turn of events and
- 15:53makes the update from the US Treasury really bitter.
- 15:56Free roaming and of course here is kind of the other tweet that
- 16:01was going around yesterday, United States of Department of
- 16:04Treasury. Oh, wait, sorry, Rollin.
- 16:06Here is a post this was from Amanda Tuminelli and she goes
- 16:10the DOJ has decided it will retry Roman Storm in the fall
- 16:14despite failing to convince a jury the first time around and
- 16:17despite making obvious mistakes like calling irrelevant
- 16:20witnesses and not understanding the forensic analysis of their
- 16:22own blockchain evidence. And oh, let me, let me, I guess
- 16:26I'll have to find the, the original tweet here.
- 16:29But anyways, you're you, you get the, you get the picture here.
- 16:33They are going to retry the Roman Storm case, the Tornado
- 16:38Cash case, which we were covering originally because it
- 16:43did set a a very scary precedent.
- 16:50And then we saw shortly afterwards they went after the
- 16:53samurai wallet depths. So there is a continuous attack
- 16:57on privacy even though we saw a, you know, very interesting
- 17:00headline coming out of the US Treasury.
- 17:02At least they kind of embrace, hey, there's some use cases for
- 17:05Bitcoin mixing and Bitcoin privacy.
- 17:07But here's the full tweet. Sorry, guys, it goes.
- 17:10DOJ has decided we'll retry Roman Storm in the fall.
- 17:13Despite failing to convince a jury the first time around,
- 17:15despite making obvious mistakes takes like calling irrelevant
- 17:17witnesses and not understanding the forensic analysis of their
- 17:20own blockchain evidence, and despite multiple legal and
- 17:23logical fallacies to their allegations of third party
- 17:25developer liability, The SDNY will retry Roman Storm on counts
- 17:30one and three of the indictment. Incredibly disappointing news.
- 17:35Again, I think we all know that the you know, New York court
- 17:40system is not very favorable or rather New York itself is not
- 17:43really favorable for Bitcoin. It's very, you know, with the
- 17:47bit license in New York, it's not the best jurisdiction for
- 17:51Bitcoin at large. They really have a bone to pick
- 17:54with Bitcoin or crypto at large. And here we have a a huge stark
- 18:00contrast from the official headlines, you know, oh, DOJ
- 18:04says or sorry, the US Treasury says Bitcoin mixing.
- 18:07There's awful use cases. You read the report and it's
- 18:09kind of like, I don't know it. That's I don't I don't think
- 18:14everyone read the report. I think I think we just got
- 18:16caught up in in a screenshot and it was like, oh, what a win for
- 18:20privacy. At the very same time we see
- 18:23SDNY is retrying Roman Storm because hey, they got what they
- 18:27wanted with the samurai wallet. Debs, they're in jail currently
- 18:31for at least five years or at least, you know, at most five
- 18:35years, probably maybe a little less.
- 18:37So it's one of these things where the narrative, the idea of
- 18:41a win for privacy, it sounds really good.
- 18:43I, I would really have liked to read this report and be like,
- 18:46OK, you know, this was a win. In reality, as we're seeing,
- 18:52they are coming after privacy and as we like to say, and all
- 18:57of us Bitcoiners, I think believe this like privacy is not
- 19:00a crime. We shouldn't be criminals just
- 19:03because we want to maintain some kind, some semblance of
- 19:06financial privacy. It's not that we have something
- 19:09to hide. You know, that's the, that's the
- 19:11idea of everyone's like, oh, what, Like I don't have anything
- 19:14to hide. And it's like, well, you know,
- 19:16don't we all have curtains on our house?
- 19:17Don't, don't we like to keep some things to ourselves?
- 19:20We don't need all of our information blasted on the
- 19:23Internet. I know we live in the social
- 19:25media era now where like, we're all OK with posting everything
- 19:28online, but you know, my mom's always said something.
- 19:31And maybe this is just some classic traditional, you know,
- 19:36mom isms here and she's like, hey, you don't have to tell
- 19:38everything to everyone. Keep some things to yourself.
- 19:41So again, you could argue this is a win, but it does seem like
- 19:47we we are seeing a a true true bent or a true attack on privacy
- 19:54at large. Which does blink bring in the
- 19:57further implications of well, we know there is some kind of
- 20:03fights right now around wording and coming out of the the
- 20:07certain bills. I believe it was the Housing Act
- 20:10that had a temporary temporary window on a CBDC ban.
- 20:17That there's an argument about it and you're just like, OK, it,
- 20:20it really feels like we're just walking into a full panopticon
- 20:25dystopia where everything's tracked and bagged.
- 20:28And that's one of the things that Bitcoiners have been saying
- 20:30forever. That's like, look, Bitcoin is a
- 20:32tool for freedom, but at the same time, if we're not careful,
- 20:37if we're not vigilant, it could be a tool for total control of
- 20:42finances in the world. It's like it is a double edged
- 20:45sword. I truly believe Bitcoin is for
- 20:47freedom, but we do have to fight for that.
- 20:51We are the front line soldiers. This is happening, guys.
- 20:53This isn't just, you know, me trying to get click bait.
- 20:57You know, this isn't me just being cynical.
- 21:00The wording in this report, it's very worrying that oh, wow,
- 21:04like, OK, we're going back to we're all just criminals and if
- 21:09you want privacy, you're a criminal.
- 21:12So I, I, depending on how you want to look at this, could be a
- 21:17slight win. It could be just a total
- 21:19abomination. But anyways, Kent, I saw you
- 21:22shaking your head when you're hearing these kind of sound
- 21:25bites coming out of the rage. What what's your thoughts?
- 21:28What does this say? When is the US Treasury
- 21:30embracing Bitcoin privacy? Is this them just kind of game
- 21:35planning, illicit finance and how to combat it?
- 21:38Or is it more of a blueprint to unleash total surveillance AI,
- 21:43you know, chain analysis on everything?
- 21:45Like what? What's your take away hearing
- 21:47all of this? Well, I can tell you had a cup
- 21:52of coffee. Before you started I.
- 21:55Have a cup of coffee, OK? No, My, my, my, my take is, you
- 22:01know, I, I'll land more with Lolita on this one, you know,
- 22:05and as I'm, as I'm seeing all this language, I have not read
- 22:09it and I haven't looked at it before jumping on here with you.
- 22:12But as I'm sitting here sort of reflecting on it, it just
- 22:14strikes me as this is another, this is rules for for thee but
- 22:18not for me as sort of a situation.
- 22:21Like you look at all the corruption in the Congress and
- 22:24Senate right now, how much the net worth of all those guys has
- 22:28gone up, guys and gals, once they get elected.
- 22:31And, and I scratch my head and say, OK, you guys are going to
- 22:34continue to implement the, the Bank Secrecy Act on us and
- 22:38continue to lock down on us, us not being able to spend any of
- 22:41our, our, our validly earned money and going to crack the
- 22:47whip on all of us. And at the same time, this
- 22:49oligarchy that we call our, our Congress and Senate is just
- 22:52going to continue to line their pockets.
- 22:53And nobody's going to look at that, I guess, just as the, the
- 22:58hypocritical nature of all of it is just so absurd.
- 23:02And I think that as Bitcoiners, the best thing that we can do is
- 23:06just opt out. We can be a self referential
- 23:10system, right? We don't actually have to use
- 23:12dollars if we all just agree to buy and purchase goods for goods
- 23:16and services from one another in Bitcoin.
- 23:18And by doing that, they actually can't come after us in the way
- 23:23that this framing looks to be laying itself out, like the idea
- 23:26of lawful users of Bitcoin, like, I'm sorry, there's just
- 23:30users, right? That, that, that's kind of an
- 23:33absurd statement to begin with. So the fact that they're
- 23:36cracking down on it like that is worrisome.
- 23:38The fact that they're coming after Roman again, you know,
- 23:42that Southern District of New York.
- 23:44I mean, I, I, I would love somebody to go sort of plunge
- 23:47the, the, the drain there. That just place seems to just
- 23:51be, you know, the, the enforcement arm of the Federal
- 23:55Reserve or something. It's pretty crazy.
- 23:58I don't like it at all. So when I look at all of this, I
- 24:01think that you know what, there's some statistics that
- 24:04takes like 3 1/2 percent of a population to resist something
- 24:07for it to actually not be enacted.
- 24:10And I think that 3 1/2 percent is a Bitcoin community.
- 24:13And so really it comes down to us, like if you look at the the
- 24:16generations before us, right, and what they had to do to
- 24:20survive and hand us freedom that we've just been born into.
- 24:25Guys, gals, I'm sorry. I think it's our turn.
- 24:29I think it's our turn to fight for freedom for the next
- 24:31generation. And it's coming at us right here
- 24:34and now. And if we're not fighting for
- 24:36that freedom with our actions, and we can peacefully do that
- 24:40with our choice of using Bitcoin, then I think our
- 24:43descendants are going to be pretty damn embarrassed for us
- 24:46that we let it slide away. Yeah, no, 100%.
- 24:50And I really do like the that, that statistic, that number, you
- 24:55know, 3 1/2 percent is, it's one of the things that us bit
- 24:58corners have been saying for a while.
- 24:59You know, the American Revolution was fought by like
- 25:02that 3% number. And I I really do want to
- 25:05believe in that number. But one thing that is very
- 25:09worrying, like you mentioned, it does seem like we are there's
- 25:14like a stark difference right now where like we we're all kind
- 25:18of watching and maybe a lot of us don't want to admit it, but
- 25:21there there does seem to be just unprecedented political
- 25:25corruption right now. And there does seem to be a
- 25:29complete severance from what the politicians want to do and what
- 25:34we want to happen. It's like they don't care what
- 25:38we think anymore. They're just kind of like, this
- 25:40is what's going to happen. This is going to push, get
- 25:42pushed through. Like, don't worry about you
- 25:44peasants. So I'm like, again, maybe I'm
- 25:47hedging my own thinking where I'm like, I totally believe in
- 25:50that 3% number. Like the, you know, the
- 25:52intolerant minority will always win.
- 25:55I'm a true believer in that idea.
- 25:57Then you kind of see what's happening from, you know, the
- 26:00top down directory, right currently as we speak and you're
- 26:03like, wow, there's a there's a complete severance from the, you
- 26:08know, for the people by the people and the politicians are
- 26:12totally just going rogue. And you know, historically we've
- 26:15seen these kind of examples. It it I don't want to be the
- 26:18just classic bitcoiner of like, what's it late empire vibes here
- 26:23where you know, the people specifically, you know, man
- 26:26thinks of the Roman Empire. It's like at the end of the
- 26:28Roman Empire, the people in power just, you know, we're in
- 26:31for themselves and pillaging as much as they want.
- 26:34Now I, I do truly believe that we can hopefully turn this
- 26:39around like they're I got to believe in the hope.
- 26:43You know, the chat always calls Opti just hope him here.
- 26:46Like I have to believe in the hope or else, like what's the
- 26:48point of doing all of this? Like we got to believe in the
- 26:51good. But it is hard to fight the
- 26:54black pill and the doomerism when you kind of look at
- 26:57everything and you're just man, it really, it really is an
- 27:02uphill battle. I guess that's that's the only I
- 27:04don't know. Let me let me jump in and just
- 27:07just say, you know, the the way that I've been framing this is
- 27:10yeah, it's, it's it's the dawn is darkest right before the sun
- 27:16comes up. And it sort of feels like that
- 27:17moment. It sort of feels like like Mr.
- 27:20Global, to use Castro Catherine Austin Fitz's terminology for
- 27:25this just Leviathan that seems like we're we're that we're
- 27:29battling all the time. It seems like we've got Mr.
- 27:32Global like cornered at this point.
- 27:35And basically the mask has been ripped off.
- 27:37And it's kind of like if you have an injured animal cornered,
- 27:41right? Like it's going to fight until
- 27:44it's last breath. And it feels like everything is
- 27:48being accelerated and thrown at us all at once.
- 27:50And if all we can do is just stand our ground like that, that
- 27:56phase is going to be over and we'll we'll have turned the
- 27:59tide. And so I think it's just largely
- 28:01on us to continue to stand our ground and that Mister Global is
- 28:07just gonna fade away into the sunset and we'll win.
- 28:10It doesn't look like it right now, but that's my take.
- 28:13And you can look at that just by even what's going on in Iran
- 28:16right now, right? Just like the consumption of
- 28:18resources to battle that particular war right now.
- 28:22I think that's one of the reasons why Trump is signaling,
- 28:25starting to signal like, hey, we won.
- 28:28You know, it's like, who cares if we won or lost?
- 28:30Like I don't think we've got the resources to actually put us
- 28:32through. There is practical limits to
- 28:34what we can actually accomplish as a nation right now.
- 28:36And so I think that if the if if the debt based financial system
- 28:42does not continue to prop that up, it won't continue to exist.
- 28:46And I think we're at the at the limits of that.
- 28:48So maybe I'm just like you, an eternal optimist and full of
- 28:53opium. But I'd like to think that we're
- 28:56just at that last hour. You know, like the 4:00 AM hour
- 28:58where it just sucks while you're freezing your our soft waiting
- 29:02for the sun to come up. But we'll get close.
- 29:05Yeah, well, I will. I'll give you the credit here,
- 29:08Kent, because that was a very hopeful like, OK, hey guys.
- 29:13Like I know it's dark, but we're going to we're going to figure
- 29:15this out, guys. And maybe it's just because you
- 29:18got the, you know, the wisdom on, on the, on that beard there
- 29:22that us young guys. And maybe it's just I drink too
- 29:25much caffeine this morning. I don't know, maybe I'm just
- 29:27like jittery in general this morning.
- 29:30But it it that did, you know, metaphorically walk me off the
- 29:34Cliff. I'm like, yeah, you know,
- 29:35actually, what am I saying? We we got this.
- 29:37We're we're going to figure this out.
- 29:38And it and it reminds me of the what's the saying?
- 29:42You know, first they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then
- 29:45they fight you and then you win. As we can see, you know, it's a
- 29:49multi front war right now, literally and figuratively, but
- 29:54we are in the then they fight you stage and no one said it was
- 29:57going to be easy. No one said it was going to be
- 29:59quick. Well, depending on which front
- 30:02we're talking about, because people did say, you know what
- 30:05was going to happen. The Middle East was going to be
- 30:06quick and easy, but in terms of this Bitcoin thing, I've been
- 30:11saying for a while, like I really am convinced this is
- 30:13going to be, you know, multi decade struggle and it's not
- 30:17going to happen overnight. I know some friends are like,
- 30:19now one day, you know, gradually, then suddenly they're
- 30:23going to bend the knee. And I'm like, I don't know.
- 30:25I think it's, I think this, I think we're going to be in the
- 30:26trenches for the next decade minimum.
- 30:30And we're just going to try to get more people in and try to
- 30:34make sure, like you said, we stand our ground because that's
- 30:36really how I think we win as well.
- 30:38It's like we carved out a little area.
- 30:42As more people come, it obviously grows, but we can't
- 30:45budget, you know, from the ground that we've claimed
- 30:49because that's how we lose. So some wisdom can.
- 30:53Well, let me let me just throw in a couple of other historical
- 30:55things that are worth keeping in mind.
- 30:57Right. Like I was actually old enough
- 31:00to remember when the Berlin Wall fell.
- 31:02Now I wasn't old enough to remember what things were like
- 31:04before that, but you go back in time that what everybody thought
- 31:07like it was shocking to see the Berlin Wall fall, right?
- 31:10And that will that largely was like the difference between like
- 31:13the East and the West. And during that time frame,
- 31:17nobody, nobody thought within a week or so that that would drop.
- 31:20But it did, right. And so how radically did
- 31:23everything shift all at once? And in our lifetime, like I've
- 31:25seen another historical, this was a negative radical shift,
- 31:28but was like 911, right? Like that bank and not the bank
- 31:32secrecy, but the NSA came out and other things.
- 31:35Uh oh, I'm getting invaded by a little 1 here.
- 31:39That's my, that's my littlest. But yeah, we'll get them.
- 31:41Off camera, we'll get them off. Camera.
- 31:43Yeah. Thank you.
- 31:43Thank you. And then and then and then the
- 31:45third one was, you know, like COVID, like another radical
- 31:48shift. So I'm just saying there's
- 31:49historical events that can come about that can cause massive
- 31:52change very quickly. So things may look hopeless
- 31:55right now, but it doesn't take but for a shift to happen for
- 31:59everything to change in an instant.
- 32:02That's all. And the Berlin Wall is probably
- 32:03the most +1 that I can think of in my lifetime.
- 32:06Yeah, truly, I was, I was a little too young for the
- 32:08actually, I wasn't even born yet, but yeah, I'm a little too
- 32:12young for that one. But you know, I, I I like my
- 32:14history though. Someone in the chat, someone in
- 32:16the chat's. Yo, America, 7382 is like
- 32:20depressing combo. I know, dude, I, I know you.
- 32:22I I was really telling Cat before we went live.
- 32:25A lot of you guys are like, hey, I haven't seen, I haven't been
- 32:27on the show for a little bit. I need some opium.
- 32:28I'm like this might not be the show for you, bro.
- 32:32It's hard. There's not much opium on
- 32:35today's show. It's like we're we're kind of
- 32:38this is more of like a sober, you know, reality shock moment
- 32:42right now. But hey, we're you know, we got
- 32:46Bitcoin, you know, just keep DCA ING.
- 32:48I know at a certain point I I am truly actually can't.
- 32:52We are going a little long, but I do want to get your idea on
- 32:55this. I, I'm truly, I think becoming
- 32:59to the point and, and maybe a lot of our critics have been
- 33:03saying this for a long time where like, I don't think it is
- 33:06just enough for us to completely opt out of the system, just like
- 33:10stack sats and chill. I, I am starting to view this
- 33:14like that is just part of the, the equation here.
- 33:17Like you need to opt out, you need to save in Bitcoin, you
- 33:21need to stack sats and chill. But I think it's going to,
- 33:25there's going to be a lot more work for us to do than just
- 33:28simply saving in Bitcoin. That is like the the initial
- 33:32kind of domino that you need to save in Bitcoin to obviously
- 33:35protect yourself. But I think at a certain point
- 33:38we are going to have to do more as a community or, you know, as
- 33:43individuals, however you want to look at it.
- 33:44But I don't know what's your thoughts on that before we move
- 33:47on? Like is stacking stats and
- 33:49chilling enough or will is this just the beginning?
- 33:53Kind of, you know, entree battle.
- 33:56No, I don't think just stack and stats is enough.
- 33:59I think, I think it's, it's one level, right?
- 34:02I think it's one level, but I don't think you're part of the 3
- 34:041/2% that's resisting if you're just doing that.
- 34:08I think, I think we need to actually be active in building.
- 34:12To me, there's an event horizon between Fiat reality and Bitcoin
- 34:16reality. And the more that we build
- 34:18Bitcoin reality, the more that we secure our future, the less
- 34:23that we build the Bitcoin reality, the more that we are
- 34:26have an insecure future. That's it's as simple as that
- 34:29for me. So me building SAS, mining, this
- 34:32is part of my effort to resist and to create a different way.
- 34:35And it's, it's my little simple act in the process, right?
- 34:38This is just the only way you generate Bitcoin is through
- 34:40mining, right? So customers that come here,
- 34:43they wind up getting SAS that are generated outside of the
- 34:46banking system because they're generated by the network.
- 34:48So it's my little way of of having some form of resistance
- 34:51and giving people tools to have their own form of resistance.
- 34:56But I think that all of us have a part to play, whether you're
- 35:00an entrepreneur and just accept Bitcoin and then spend it, you
- 35:04know, amongst your friends, family and other vendors that
- 35:07you might associate with. I think that we have an
- 35:10obligation here and now to do that level of resistance.
- 35:13I'm not calling for anything violent or anything.
- 35:15Yeah, crazy like that. But no, no, no, no, none of
- 35:19that. But I think just like, you know,
- 35:21I was inspired by Mahatma Gandhi and like how he resisted the
- 35:24entire British Empire, right? Like he just checked out, you
- 35:27know, how he actually resisted the British Empire.
- 35:29You refused to buy any of their goods and services.
- 35:31And So what do you do? He made his own clothes, he he
- 35:34grew his own food and he just stopped using their system.
- 35:38And I think that we have that opportunity here with Bitcoin to
- 35:42opt out in a very peaceful way. And by opting out, we vote with
- 35:46our dollars not to participate in the system.
- 35:49And that's the way that we actually can change everything
- 35:53is simply by opting out. So I think it's, it's strength
- 35:57in numbers, right? It's not just me or you, Opti
- 36:00that makes that happen, but it's all of us collectively
- 36:03realizing, oh, this mathematical certainty, money that is
- 36:07digitally scarce and and protected by electricity is a
- 36:15better way for us to conduct value between each other.
- 36:19And let's just embrace that, you know, we can all kind of have
- 36:21our version of being Amish, so to speak, by building a separate
- 36:25reality and just continue to live as a sovereign entity
- 36:30within the, the overarching system and, and do that as a
- 36:34network state, a Bitcoin network state, so to speak.
- 36:37Yeah, I I couldn't agree more. Couldn't agree more.
- 36:40Though I do have to, I do have to read this comment.
- 36:43This is actually hilarious. Christopher Barber on in the
- 36:48YouTube tags like our hopium dealer is telling us to go to
- 36:51rehab. Hey, sometimes we need a reality
- 36:54check, OK? Sometimes we get a little too
- 36:56high on our own side. OK, All right, that's all I'm
- 36:59doing. You know, but that's a funny
- 37:02comment. That's a funny comment.
- 37:03All right, Anyways, guys, we are we're going to keep the show
- 37:05moving. I do have an interesting clip
- 37:07that was, you know, circulating on Twitter last night in regards
- 37:11to inflation. And then on the same note, I
- 37:15don't know if you guys are watching what's going on in the
- 37:17oil markets, but the it's it's trading like a shit coin.
- 37:22And I'm really glad to have Kent here, obviously as a Bitcoin
- 37:25miner to get his take on the rising and and falling prices of
- 37:30energy currently and what like what exactly is going on?
- 37:34And then of course, we're going to get an update from Kent a
- 37:37little later, might have a little bit more contrarian takes
- 37:41to wrap up today's show. So that's the layout of today's
- 37:44show. First commercial special break
- 37:45and we'll be right back. Today's episode is brought to
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- 39:43where the words are. Stamp your seed on Stamp seed
- 39:47and use promo code simply to get 15% off anything on the Stamp
- 39:52se-ed.com store. All right guys, all right, the
- 40:01current Bitcoin price is $71,270 guys, I'm starting to get a
- 40:09little bullish here. I I know you guys want the
- 40:11opium, but. I don't know I I'm really
- 40:15leaning into being a Wick off Maxi right now.
- 40:17OK, maybe I'll cover that later for you guys on the show if if
- 40:20it holds on the pattern all right.
- 40:22Anyways, the discount from all time high is 43.5% the market
- 40:27cap. Look guys, we have reclaimed the
- 40:30$1.43 trillion dude, a win's a win as long as we're out of the
- 40:34$1.3 trillion market caps. Like I, I, it feels a little
- 40:38better. That 1.3 is just depressing to
- 40:41me for some reason. I, I can't explain it.
- 40:43Anyways, it looks like let me actually let me double check
- 40:45this. It looks like we have yes OK,
- 40:50Clark Moody's dashboard is updated on the block height.
- 40:53It is the current block height is currently 940,144.
- 40:57I I don't know what was going on yesterday guys, but it it was
- 41:01interesting that on the day that we got the you know 20 million
- 41:05Bitcoin mined we the Clark Moody dashboard just like wasn't
- 41:11working for us. So that that was like.
- 41:13I don't know what's going on here.
- 41:14I got to go to men pulled out space to confirm what the block
- 41:17height is currently. But anyways, as I was saying,
- 41:22there was a clip on CNBC and it is by Ron Baron, of course, of
- 41:28Baron capital. He's a influential person.
- 41:31Yes, you know, Boomer, but hey, influential and billionaire
- 41:36investor. So it's not just bitcoiners
- 41:39saying these things, which is why I wanted to bring it up is
- 41:42because he is hitting on not just Bitcoin, but inflation and
- 41:47further what that does to your purchasing power from a
- 41:50bitcoiners perspective, from someone that's been here for a
- 41:52long time, you're probably like, this is nothing new.
- 41:55I've heard this before, but that's the point.
- 41:58Now our narratives are getting out on CNBC from people that are
- 42:03in, you know, higher up positions than we are that
- 42:05aren't just Youtubers that aren't just an ONS on Twitter.
- 42:08It's like the signal is spreading guys.
- 42:11So hopefully, again, maybe this is the, you know, the dawn, what
- 42:15the darkness before the light, but our, our analysis of the
- 42:20world is starting to get around and people are sounding a lot
- 42:24like Bitcoiners from positions that are, you know, very
- 42:29interesting and and of course powerful.
- 42:31It's it, it, I'm being reminded right now of that, that Fight
- 42:35Club meme of like, we run the nodes, we're everywhere, You
- 42:38know, it's like Bitcoiners are everywhere now.
- 42:41And it's, it's I guess to say like we're still early in this
- 42:45game, but we have some, you know, at least some key
- 42:48understanding from some key players that are seemingly
- 42:51coming towards the Bitcoin side. So we'll play the clip and let
- 42:56me know what you guys think in the chat.
- 42:58What happens if the value for money falls and falls 4 or 5% a
- 43:02year? That's inflation, both 4 or 5% a
- 43:04year and the economic growth has been about 2% a year.
- 43:07So it's about 7% a year growth and that means everything double
- 43:11s in 10 years. The value of the money falls in
- 43:13half every 15 years. So you got to make twice what
- 43:16you're making today in 15 years to stay even.
- 43:20And so stock market, you know, so bitcoins been amazing.
- 43:23Obviously, it's absolutely not. I'm sorry, guys.
- 43:28I I thought it was louder. I usually do my best to, you
- 43:31know, edit that so it's louder for you guys.
- 43:33But hey, nonetheless, he's out here saying, you know, the real
- 43:37cost of inflation, even though, you know, I'll pull up
- 43:41Trueflation for you guys. And even though the official,
- 43:44you know, CPI numbers currently are very low inflation, I think
- 43:49most of us in real life here feel what is going on.
- 43:54So Trueflation at least CPI is saying it's under around 1%, one
- 43:59point four, 1.04%. So if you're looking at the
- 44:03official numbers, you're like, OK, it's, you know, hey, it's
- 44:061%, that's not that bad. Even even that is not ideal.
- 44:13You're losing 1% of your purchasing power currently every
- 44:18year at least via these numbers. Now if you go into kind of on
- 44:22average, it's usually around 2%. As you know Ron was saying it's
- 44:27like add that with the SP500 going up around 5%.
- 44:31So the real inflation is probably around 7% and then
- 44:35going further, if you elongate this out for 10-15 years, you
- 44:40literally need to double your income in 15 years just to stay
- 44:45even. This is why it's all a scam now.
- 44:48One of the biggest things that really kind of annoys me when it
- 44:51comes to oops sorry guys. When it comes to people talking
- 44:57about inflation, is it always frame it in this idea of hey,
- 45:02guys, it's only 1% inflation, Like it's going down, guys.
- 45:05Like inflation's going down, guys, you should be happy.
- 45:08And you're like, I'm still losing.
- 45:11Like it, It's not that it's gone forever.
- 45:13I'm still losing my purchasing power.
- 45:16Yes, it's going down and I'm losing it at a slow like I'm,
- 45:20I'm my purchasing power is getting destroyed at a lower
- 45:24rate, but it's still getting destroyed.
- 45:27And this is how the system works.
- 45:28And most people are like a man and you know, inflation, you
- 45:32know, like the gas prices aren't going up that high, you know,
- 45:35groceries not costing too much more money.
- 45:37And you're like, doesn't matter. We're still losing in this in
- 45:40this system that is designed for us to lose.
- 45:42And you're just like, I remember the first time I heard this.
- 45:46Can't this idea that in 15 years you lose half of your stuff just
- 45:52via normal inflation numbers? And that idea in itself, maybe
- 45:58it's because I was still kind of young at the time when I first
- 46:00got into Bitcoin and I was first listening to Bitcoin podcasters.
- 46:04I was like, yo, in 15 years I lose half of my money that I
- 46:08save. Like, there's no way I'm going
- 46:10to get out of this. I'm like, I'm going to be broke,
- 46:12Sir, forever. Like I'm going to be a peasant
- 46:14forever. What's going on?
- 46:15And then that's like the moment where it clicks and I was like,
- 46:18oh, I need to just stack and save and acquire, accumulate as
- 46:22much Bitcoin as possible because that's the only escape that I
- 46:24saw. And in hindsight, I should have
- 46:27gone harder, You know, I should have gone way harder.
- 46:30It was the right move, but I could have gone so much harder.
- 46:34And here we are. But anyways, I'm, I'm too geeked
- 46:37up on coffee, so I got to pass the mic.
- 46:39Kent, are you surprised that the Bitcoin narratives are starting
- 46:44to, or rather posed a different way?
- 46:47Are you surprised that the average person on CNBC is now
- 46:52starting to sound like a Bitcoiner?
- 46:56No, it's, it's, it's just a matter of time, right?
- 46:59I mean, here's the thing, like I think most of us here through
- 47:05our own curiosity came to Bitcoin.
- 47:07I think the big print of 2021 for Covad was like a big like
- 47:11bat signal that drew a lot of us to to Bitcoin.
- 47:15But those that came before, you know, were drawn by their own
- 47:19curiosity. I think that cohorts gone, I
- 47:22think now the adopters of Bitcoin are getting it not
- 47:25through the orange fill, but the orange Suppository through pain
- 47:28and the pain is inflation and the pain of inflation.
- 47:32I think most people don't actually think this all the way
- 47:35through, right? If let's say 2% is the number, I
- 47:38know you just showed 1%, but I like 2% better because that's
- 47:41what the, the Fed, you know, did neuro linguistic programming on
- 47:45all of us for the last 30 plus years, right?
- 47:48But 2% means that 2% of the value of the dollars that you've
- 47:52stored have disappeared. Well, how do you make up that 2%
- 47:56the next year? I mean, if you're living
- 47:58paycheck to paycheck? And the answer is.
- 48:00You have to work 2% more. So it's not just 2% of your
- 48:03money that disappeared, it's 2% of your time.
- 48:06And actually when you start to look at that loss of time across
- 48:09all of humanity, it's an absolute travesty because it's
- 48:12literally stealing like our lives away from us.
- 48:15This, this theft. So to me, this is the most
- 48:18insidious type of theft that there is because it's hidden and
- 48:22discreet. It's like a snake entering your
- 48:24room while you sleep or something.
- 48:25You just, you don't know it's there and you put your foot down
- 48:28off the bed and holy shit, like it goes half my life, right?
- 48:30Or at least half my leg. And it sucks.
- 48:33It's just horrible. I hate it with every fiber of my
- 48:37being because it's just so unjust and and not right.
- 48:40And I think as more people wake up to that, I think the type
- 48:43will turn and and that natural disposition will just be what
- 48:47the fuck? We don't have to like with
- 48:49Bitcoin. We have a choice, right?
- 48:51You don't have to be a part of that system.
- 48:54And again, opting out and just building in this other system
- 48:57allows that reality to come more into focus.
- 49:00And yeah, I think I saw a chat comment here about Jeff Booth,
- 49:03and I think Jeff Booth has been the 1st and the best at
- 49:06describing this phenomena. You don't fight the existing
- 49:09system, you just build a better one.
- 49:12And by building the better one, it would just cause the the
- 49:15existing system to slowly collapse in on itself.
- 49:18And that's where we are. Yeah, 100% I I truly love that
- 49:23Jeff Boos comment of and it and it really reminds me of and
- 49:28other kind of truism. You know, it takes more effort
- 49:31to combat BS and I think that's kind of where the Jeff booth, I
- 49:36don't know, heuristic comes from.
- 49:38It's like it takes a lot more effort to try to stop the
- 49:42collapse of the old system versus does to just build on a
- 49:45new system. And I know we're still early in
- 49:48that process, but it it does again, maybe maybe we're ending
- 49:52the show a little bit with some, some opium here, with some, with
- 49:56some, you know, white pills throughout the show.
- 49:58It's like it is going to take effort, but it, it is seemingly
- 50:03starting to bud and there, there are things that are going in the
- 50:07right direction and it, and it might just be one of these
- 50:10things where what's the, you know, bad times create strong
- 50:14men. It's like maybe we just have to
- 50:16rise to the occasion or else like what, what's the other
- 50:20alternative? It's just, you know, society as
- 50:23we know it is over. I don't know, I, I can't, I
- 50:25can't function on, on that, even though you guys know, I'm, I am
- 50:28kind of an accelerationist. I don't like to be, but I'm
- 50:31like, hey, dude, that's where it's going.
- 50:33I'm like, could we just like, you know, get to the end of it
- 50:36so that we can move on? But it's going to be a slow,
- 50:40slow process as far as I, as I, I can see.
- 50:43But we all know the goodwill always win in the end.
- 50:48So hey, we'll, we'll be OK. Well, maybe not us, maybe our
- 50:53grandchildren or great, great grandchildren, I don't know.
- 50:56One day, one day we can look down from the sky and be like,
- 51:00look, it was all it was all worth it.
- 51:04That was Duber. All right, anyways, let's keep
- 51:05it moving. I keep trying to lift you back
- 51:08up. I'm lifting.
- 51:09I keep trying. I keep trying.
- 51:11I you got you got it. You I I'm feeling good.
- 51:13I'm feeling good. It might just be the schizo
- 51:15energy of this coffee and this room is so hot.
- 51:19I'm dying and I'm jittery right now, but we're going to power
- 51:23through. We're going to power through.
- 51:25All right, guys. So as I said, because I have
- 51:28Canton today, I, I would have probably done this in the
- 51:31culture 'cause this is more of a cultural event, but it is a news
- 51:34event. And of course, Kent is a Bitcoin
- 51:37miner. And what we're seeing in oil
- 51:39right now, or rather yesterday and today, it's absolutely
- 51:44insane. Oil's literally trading like a
- 51:46shit coin and no one has any clue like what is going on right
- 51:51now. So I'm I'm gonna talk about what
- 51:53happened in the oil markets yesterday.
- 51:55And again, since I have a Bitcoin miner here, it's going
- 51:58to, you know, the conversation's gonna evolve into what this
- 52:01means for energy period around the world and in particular what
- 52:05it means for Bitcoin miners. So that's gonna be the next
- 52:08segment. I'll be right back.
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- 54:42OK guys, so before I start pulling up charts for you, if
- 54:47you are falling along on for lack of better terms, the
- 54:52political circus going on currently in the Middle East,
- 54:57one of the kind of talking points or rather one of the
- 55:00arenas that we're seeing this play out is in oil prices.
- 55:04And if you've been watching, and I think I mentioned this
- 55:07yesterday, but if you watch over the weekend, we saw oil futures
- 55:10shoot up to about $120.00 a barrel.
- 55:13And yesterday the markets were all over the place.
- 55:17We we saw literally like almost a once in a lifetime event
- 55:21yesterday in oil prices, if you're unfamiliar with it,
- 55:26prices where you know, again, around at least people thought
- 55:29it was going to be at a like $120.00 per barrel where like,
- 55:32Oh my goodness, prices of oil are going out of control this
- 55:37war. Because as I mentioned on
- 55:38Monday, there was, you know, oil refinery field that was Catching
- 55:45Fire. There's black rain.
- 55:46It was Armageddon looking videos on Twitter.
- 55:50And then around 2:00-ish PM, we got an announcement from Trump
- 55:55that was very, for lack of in terms of little schizo, he's
- 56:00like, on the one hand stated that we quote are very complete
- 56:04in the operation in Iran. And then in literally the same
- 56:08breath, he's like, this is just the beginning.
- 56:11And the markets were like, wait, how do I kind of digest this
- 56:14information? And the price of oil dumped all
- 56:18the way to $84 per barrel. So again, I really like
- 56:22Kobayashi letter on Twitter. They've been doing a great job.
- 56:26So this was around the timing when we got that announcement of
- 56:29Trump that we have one, on the one hand fully completed the
- 56:33operation and on the other hand, it is not yet over in just the
- 56:37beginning, but oil prices seem to dump around that
- 56:40announcement. Later on in the day, in the
- 56:43evening, we got this announcement from Trump that
- 56:46said basically once the markets close, we're going to hit Iran
- 56:5120 times harder. It was like on the one hand to
- 56:54kind of persuade the markets like everything's going to be
- 56:57good oil production's, you know, going to be going as normal.
- 57:02We got another announced. It's like we're going even
- 57:04harder on this and the markets are literally whipsawing right
- 57:07now in oil, which is like you don't see this happen.
- 57:12Look at this chart here. This this is on the daily.
- 57:15So you know, open at one O $9 per barrel, it goes as high as
- 57:21around $120.00 a barrel. Then it goes as low as 81
- 57:25dollars and closes around $84 per barrel.
- 57:29Currently it is dumping and we are 81.
- 57:32I wouldn't say necessarily dumping, but it's under the low
- 57:36from yesterday. It's like where what is going on
- 57:40in the oil markets? It literally seems like it's
- 57:42it's being traded by shit corners.
- 57:44Now. Here's the latest update by
- 57:46Kobayashi letter and he goes the oil market is moving at an
- 57:49unprecedented pace. Trading volume in the United
- 57:52States Oil Fund ETF jumped to a record 12.4 billion on Monday.
- 57:57This puts volume up plus 1000% since the start of the year
- 58:02here. This also surpasses the previous
- 58:04peak seen during the 2020 oil crash, the 2022 Russia Ukraine
- 58:08war and the 2025 spike by over 200%.
- 58:12By 11:30 AM Eastern Time yesterday, trading volumes were
- 58:16already at an all time high at 7.6 billion.
- 58:20The surge was driven by a mix of institutional traders and retail
- 58:23investors chasing the oil price move.
- 58:25Oil is now one of the most traded assets on the planet.
- 58:29I saw a lot of bitcoiners basically saying, you know, hey,
- 58:33this oil price is too volatile. How is this going to be the, you
- 58:38know, the store of energy for the world?
- 58:41It's it's a play on what they all say about Bitcoin.
- 58:44Anyways, another tweet here. Again, I really enjoying
- 58:48Kobayashi's kind of analytics or rather macro framework of what's
- 58:52going on. They do have this article that I
- 58:55highly suggest you guys go read. It's called the conflict
- 58:58playbook. I, you know, it's, it's a good
- 59:02read, it's a good framework. It does seem like it's playing
- 59:05out currently as we speak. And here they go with a chart.
- 59:09It goes. It doesn't get more textbook
- 59:11than this. Every step of our March 3rd
- 59:13conflict playbook has been outlined on this oil price
- 59:16chart. It begins at step one and Step
- 59:202. When Trump sent an Armada to
- 59:22Iran and ramped up threats on February 27th, we saw the Friday
- 59:26night strike from step number three of our playbook.
- 59:29This led to a Step 4 as risk premiums were rapidly priced in.
- 59:34On March 3rd, President Trump began saying the war could last
- 59:37forever, as expected in Step 5. Here we are right here.
- 59:42And then on Friday and last night, markets began pricing in
- 59:46step number 6A, prolonged conflict, sending oil prices to
- 59:49$120.00 a barrel. Finally today, this was, I
- 59:53believe yesterday. Yeah, yesterday at 3:20 PM
- 59:57Eastern Time, President Trump hinted at conditional de
- 1:00:01escalation from step seven of our conflict playbook.
- 1:00:04We are now nearing step 8. Keep following along and here
- 1:00:08just to kind of give you a little, you know, wet your beak
- 1:00:12here. Step 8 here is going further.
- 1:00:17Here we go the market and political feedback loop where a
- 1:00:21prolonged conflict that drives oil prices sharply higher would
- 1:00:25directly conflict with three core policy.
- 1:00:29And you're starting to see that in step 9.
- 1:00:31We'll see the deal in narrative framing and then step 10, which
- 1:00:36hopefully this happens in Bitcoin, which is why I'm
- 1:00:39getting a little bullish. I'm becoming a wig off maxi.
- 1:00:42Step 10 is a violent repricing. So I'm hearing Bitcoin go back
- 1:00:46up to 100K hopefully and the political victory lap.
- 1:00:50So we're seeing crazy stuff and and again, here's Adam Kobayashi
- 1:00:54from the Kobayashi letters tweet and he goes there it is.
- 1:00:57Crude oil prices just rose and fell 30% in the same day and
- 1:01:01what appears to be a 5 Sigma event.
- 1:01:03In other words, what happened today or yesterday occurs once
- 1:01:07in a 3.5 million observations. Again, step seven of the
- 1:01:13conflict playbook. So crazy stuff happening in oil
- 1:01:17right now, obviously because of the Middle East.
- 1:01:21I think we are seeing in general markets are trying to understand
- 1:01:25and price what is actually happening in the Middle East,
- 1:01:28hence why literally all the markets are whip sawing right
- 1:01:32now. And at the same time Bitcoin is
- 1:01:35holding up very resilient, which is I think one of the most
- 1:01:39interesting aspects of all this. But there are people that are
- 1:01:42saying, you know, the oil price, oil price reversing, it didn't
- 1:01:49really make a new low. This people were tweeting this
- 1:01:52earlier. Now we fully did get a new low.
- 1:01:55So look, I'm like you guys, I'm trying to fully understand what
- 1:02:01is coming out of the administration.
- 1:02:03But as you can see, there is all kinds of volatility in the
- 1:02:07market. And I really only brought all
- 1:02:09that oil price, you know, energy conversation to 1.
- 1:02:13Compare the price of Bitcoin. We're currently at 701K.
- 1:02:17In the face of the comp conflict in the Middle East, Bitcoin is
- 1:02:21very resilient. And then of course, I have a
- 1:02:23Bitcoin miner here. Bitcoin literally takes energy
- 1:02:28and turns it into precious Bitcoin.
- 1:02:31So Kent, following along that saga, what is your initial
- 1:02:36thoughts from a energy perspective, from a Bitcoin
- 1:02:40mining perspective, like what is your macro view here?
- 1:02:44And then maybe add a little bit of what you think might be
- 1:02:47happening in Bitcoin as or sorry, Bitcoin mining as well,
- 1:02:51boy man. That's that's, that's a tee off.
- 1:02:54Let me let me just yell for before I get going here.
- 1:02:59You know, the, the situation politically like, right, I, I
- 1:03:05hope that Kabayashi is correct and this is following the
- 1:03:08playbook and this is going to wind down soon, right?
- 1:03:10I think it's to nobody's advantage that the conflict in
- 1:03:15Iran right now with the US and Israel and whoever else was
- 1:03:18involved, Russia, China, it's in nobody's interest that that
- 1:03:22escalates. Even where I'm located here in
- 1:03:25South America, I do not want that escalation because it has
- 1:03:29all the hallmarks of World War Three wind up.
- 1:03:33And I say that because as opposed to the other actions,
- 1:03:36military actions that Trump has taken, you know, Iran is a
- 1:03:41civilization. You know, you go back to the
- 1:03:44Persians, it's been there for centuries.
- 1:03:48And that's a different thing to try to eradicate a civilization
- 1:03:52than it is like a Venezuela that's been there for a few 100
- 1:03:55years as a nation state. And so I don't, I don't like the
- 1:03:59odds of us speaking as AUS citizen trying to stick around
- 1:04:03and actually entertain transforming a civilization and
- 1:04:06knocking it over because that seems absolutely insanely
- 1:04:09stupid. That said, you know the oil
- 1:04:12price is being pushed up. It's going to make it more
- 1:04:14expensive for anybody that's mining on fossil fuels, right?
- 1:04:17It is a commodity and commodities will be be repriced
- 1:04:21across the board. It'll make shipping more
- 1:04:23expensive. Who knows what 2nd and 3rd order
- 1:04:26consequences, but anything that's derived from oil will go
- 1:04:29up in price. Electricity that's generated
- 1:04:33based on oil and fossil fuel products will go up in price.
- 1:04:36So that could impact different areas where Bitcoin miners are
- 1:04:40mining. That said, you know, thankfully
- 1:04:43we're kind of with a strategic advantage as a company right now
- 1:04:47because we've chosen to mine on 100% carbon free energy sources.
- 1:04:51So that shouldn't impact us directly.
- 1:04:53But electricity itself is a commodity, right?
- 1:04:56So if the grid power goes up, then the cost electricity across
- 1:04:59the board could go up. So energy is one of the raw
- 1:05:02inputs to the economy period. So if energy costs go up, that
- 1:05:07should lead to, you know, inflation of prices from costs
- 1:05:10increasing and make it just be another inflationary force.
- 1:05:14So it sucks. There's no, there's no good
- 1:05:17situation there. You know, I could try to spin it
- 1:05:20into an angle because we're mine on renewables that it's better.
- 1:05:23But at the end of the day, the rest of life is going to go up
- 1:05:26and be more expensive. So starting to be a Debbie
- 1:05:28Downer on this one. I think the positive silver
- 1:05:31lining on this is, is simply the the Kobayashi playbook is
- 1:05:34playing out and we're close to the end.
- 1:05:36And we're going to wrap it up and say run the victory lap and
- 1:05:40prices come down. But yeah, when you see the
- 1:05:43global energy commodity trading like a shit coin, you know,
- 1:05:47something is really out of whack on the world.
- 1:05:50I mean, we're talking about things that are like the
- 1:05:53financial tectonic plates that relatively move and I don't move
- 1:05:57very often. And to see prices like that is
- 1:06:00kind of like they've collided and now there's a new mountain
- 1:06:02range that suddenly appeared, right?
- 1:06:04Like that's the sort of thing that we just experienced.
- 1:06:07And I don't think any of us can really understand until like
- 1:06:10many years in the future just how seismic these events are.
- 1:06:13But like, our reality is shifting, and I think that it's
- 1:06:17good to have a good moral compass and a good character
- 1:06:21that's very adaptable right now because we all need it.
- 1:06:25Yeah, 100%. I love that taking one interest
- 1:06:28and actually guys, I I dropped it in the Rumble, the article
- 1:06:32the conflict playbook from Kobayashi later I dropped it in
- 1:06:35the chat for you guys. So if you guys are interested
- 1:06:37and want to really get the full breakdown.
- 1:06:39So maybe, maybe it's the framework that's happening.
- 1:06:42It seems that's why it caught my radar.
- 1:06:44It's like it seems to be happening, but on on the other
- 1:06:47side of to kind of add on to what you said, can I think since
- 1:06:53personally, and I'll speak for myself here, what when you watch
- 1:06:57what's when I watch what happened in the oil prices
- 1:07:00yesterday, It it really didn't like set off my radar because I
- 1:07:04am a Bitcoiner and I'm like so used to just Bitcoin going crazy
- 1:07:09or dumping crazy. You know, that's like my
- 1:07:12baseline. I'm just like, yeah, I'm a
- 1:07:14bitcoiner. Like I'm used to the price of
- 1:07:17this Bitcoin thing, this digital commodity thing, just go
- 1:07:20absolutely nuts. And like, that's what I like,
- 1:07:23that's what I'm interested in. That's what gets me excited in
- 1:07:26the morning, right. But when you think about it from
- 1:07:30a building block of the modern society, like the prices
- 1:07:35shouldn't be doing this. And when you hear it's like, oh,
- 1:07:38a once in a three and a half million occurrence events,
- 1:07:41you're just like, Oh yeah, like I forget not everything is as
- 1:07:45volatile and crazy as Bitcoin. Like this thing should not be
- 1:07:48moving like this. Like no traditional financial
- 1:07:52instrument, commodity equity or anything like that should be
- 1:07:56ripping. Like what we've seen gold do
- 1:07:59last year, silver do towards the end of the year, what we're
- 1:08:02seeing oil do. And someone in the chat said
- 1:08:05something funny. It's like we saw oil go
- 1:08:07parabolic before Bitcoin. Like what is going on?
- 1:08:11Like what is going on like literally the, the foundational
- 1:08:16base element input, as you put it, it's going parabolic before
- 1:08:20Bitcoin is it's like we are really truly in the middle of
- 1:08:25seeing like a, a historic monetary reordering, reshifting
- 1:08:30event happen. And that's why it, it is very, I
- 1:08:35think hard for everyone. And that's why I think literally
- 1:08:38everyone is sort of confused about what's going on.
- 1:08:40It's like there is an onslaught of information warfare happening
- 1:08:44right now to, you know, for whatever benefit on each side.
- 1:08:47It's like it's really hard to understand what's going on.
- 1:08:50But when you look at like the charts and the data and, and the
- 1:08:55price of Bitcoin alongside of all this, you're just like,
- 1:08:58whoa, things are getting really crazy right now.
- 1:09:02And I'm just happy I'm in Bitcoin and we didn't dump lower
- 1:09:06than 60K and we're at 70K right now.
- 1:09:08I'm like, OK, hey, maybe there's a silver lining here.
- 1:09:11Maybe as I joke, actually, I've said this already on the show,
- 1:09:15me and Sophie were chatting about the, you know, the
- 1:09:20operation in Iran. And we're like, wait, like I
- 1:09:24know Bitcoin is anti war, but is Bitcoin kind It's like World War
- 1:09:30three kind of good for Bitcoin because we're not jumping right
- 1:09:33now. It's like, wait, what is
- 1:09:34happening? So hey, look, I, I've said it
- 1:09:37before. I, I don't necessarily want to
- 1:09:40be happy that our bags are pumping when there is a lot of
- 1:09:44violence and uncertainty in the world.
- 1:09:45But you know, I feel I, I can feel a little good about it.
- 1:09:49OK, Hey, Bitcoins not dead. We're we're chugging along.
- 1:09:52We're doing exactly as we thought it was going to do and
- 1:09:55actually it it I'm, I'm a little surprised at what Bitcoin has
- 1:09:59done so far and I just hope it continues to go that way.
- 1:10:02So anyway, yeah, exactly right. Anyway me?
- 1:10:06Too it's it's this is this is this is seller's exhaustion,
- 1:10:09guys. I didn't, I didn't get an insert
- 1:10:10at that. So I'm I'm sorry to step on no
- 1:10:12go. Far go.
- 1:10:13Far seller's exhaustion, man. And and I just remember it so
- 1:10:16much from the last cycle where everybody like we were down like
- 1:10:19around like 20 K and everybody was like, Oh no, we're all going
- 1:10:23to die. We're all going to die.
- 1:10:24And yeah, we had one little leg down like 16 K and then we just
- 1:10:28ripped from there. And it was the same sort of
- 1:10:30vibe. And so I just kind of wanted to
- 1:10:31remind everybody that is that, you know, this is what sellers
- 1:10:34exhaustion feels like is when the US bombs a nation state and
- 1:10:39Bitcoin doesn't move. That means there's no sellers
- 1:10:42left in the room. Doesn't mean we go up from here,
- 1:10:44but it means that there's there's not too much further
- 1:10:47down that we can go before we continue to move on.
- 1:10:51So anyway, I just wanted to make sure that everybody knew what
- 1:10:53sellers exhaustion looked like because I missed the last cycle.
- 1:10:56Truly, truly, it's one last one last comment here because the
- 1:11:00chats, the chats buddy, are boy familiar.
- 1:11:05Diaz, you go win BTC repricing because Papa needs a farm.
- 1:11:12You know, when I heard the conflict playbook, and obviously
- 1:11:15I'm biased. I have the Bitcoin lens on
- 1:11:17everything. You know, the orange lenses on
- 1:11:18everything. I'm like, oh man, you know, step
- 1:11:2110 violent repricing, like does that mean we like instantly, you
- 1:11:26know, go to 100K like next week and like, OK, hey, I'm OK with
- 1:11:32this Like, OK, whatever, whatever, We're cool, we're
- 1:11:34cool, we'll be back, You know, like bear market over violent
- 1:11:38repricing to the upside. Honestly, it sounds it sounds
- 1:11:42kind of fun. Maybe maybe my dopamine will
- 1:11:44come back, maybe my life will come back and the all of the
- 1:11:50black pill dumerism is just out the window and I'm just
- 1:11:54extremely bull tarted on the show.
- 1:11:56I, I I'm hoping for it. I'm hoping for it.
- 1:11:58But anyways, let's keep it moving because I do want to chat
- 1:12:01with Kent, pick his brain a little bit.
- 1:12:04I think he's going to have we we chat about it a little bit prep
- 1:12:07before the show a little bit. So I, I think you guys are going
- 1:12:10to really enjoy this. So last commercial quick one and
- 1:12:13we'll be right back with Kent, CEO and Co Founder of SAS
- 1:12:17Mining. I want to give a shout out to
- 1:12:20our partner Hive Digital Technologies.
- 1:12:22Fueled by clean energy, Hive has quadrupled its global Bitcoin
- 1:12:27mining footprint and channels that same scale into high
- 1:12:31performance compute, where their AI cloud is now ranked number
- 1:12:35one in the world for network performance.
- 1:12:38At Hive, you've got dual engines, Bitcoin and AI humming,
- 1:12:42roaring, accelerating and unison.
- 1:12:45They're lean and mean, they're green and clean, and they're
- 1:12:47rewriting the playbook on sustainable digital
- 1:12:50infrastructure. You can catch the latest buzz at
- 1:12:53Hive Digital Tech or at Hive digitaltech.com.
- 1:13:01Wait, can't be. Before we go on our our friend
- 1:13:05in the chat, Doctor Daniel Howell.
- 1:13:06Hey, we could have another God candle, a red 1 going down.
- 1:13:10Yeah, you know, when I heard violent repricing, I I meant to
- 1:13:13the upside. It would be very violent to the
- 1:13:16downside. OK.
- 1:13:17But I heard positive, so I still have some positivity left in me.
- 1:13:22Anyway, it's Kent. Before we get into maybe some
- 1:13:27hope I'm here. You know, you did tell me
- 1:13:29something like a bullish kind of, you know, not necessarily an
- 1:13:32indicator, but some a bullish sentiment shift that you're
- 1:13:35seeing on the back end. And then we'll we'll probably
- 1:13:38talk about the AI public or public codes going public
- 1:13:42companies, Bitcoin miner companies going into AI.
- 1:13:45We covered that last week, but you did just get back from the
- 1:13:48heat punk conference. So anything you want to relay to
- 1:13:51the audience there before we move into maybe some spicier
- 1:13:54conversations? I do there's a couple of things.
- 1:13:57So I was at the space, which is the Citadel in Denver for
- 1:14:01Bitcoiners. And if you've not been amazing,
- 1:14:04amazing location. If you like the vibe of Denver,
- 1:14:07you'll definitely love the space.
- 1:14:09The heat Punk Summit was there as a second annual heat punk
- 1:14:13summit. And I have to say, it's all of
- 1:14:15like probably 200 people that were there, but just all of them
- 1:14:18builders and was very cool to be surrounded by a group of people
- 1:14:22that were just, I mean, the Iran war started.
- 1:14:26And I literally was the only person to bring it up while I
- 1:14:28was in the room to give you an idea.
- 1:14:30So it was pretty, it was pretty, it was pretty radical just how
- 1:14:33focused people are on building a different eco ecosystem here.
- 1:14:37So love that. Want to give a shout out?
- 1:14:39And very cool things being built too, like all sorts of different
- 1:14:41ways to utilize the heat from Bitcoin mining so that hey,
- 1:14:45instead of instead of mining, you're heating and you're just
- 1:14:47getting a discount in sats for doing so.
- 1:14:50So that was pretty rad. The other thing though, that's
- 1:14:52been happening in in Bitcoin mining for us specifically,
- 1:14:56which has been somewhat shocking actually.
- 1:14:58Like, OK, we're used to as a company when the price goes
- 1:15:01down, our customers generally demand follows Bitcoin price.
- 1:15:06We'll put it this way, right? Price is pumping.
- 1:15:08We have a lot of people who want to sign up and get started
- 1:15:09mining. They like the numbers, they want
- 1:15:11to get started, price goes down, fewer people show up.
- 1:15:13That's been a very normal trend. However, this, the first quarter
- 1:15:16of this year has absolutely bucked that trend because what
- 1:15:19we're seeing is that's been true for typical like more onesie 2Z
- 1:15:24up to 10 mining rig torque of orders.
- 1:15:27But we're seeing super large enterprise show up at our
- 1:15:29doorstep and say, no, this is the time to deploy capital.
- 1:15:32There's blood in the street buy in and so we've actually had
- 1:15:35like an amazing quarter here because enterprise and I'm I'm
- 1:15:38starting to think about it as smart.
- 1:15:40The smart money in Bitcoin mining is deploying capital.
- 1:15:43So if you've been thinking about mining, there's like a truism
- 1:15:46that has been accurate over and over.
- 1:15:48Doesn't mean it'll play out this time, but it's been true over
- 1:15:50and over again, which is you deploy capital when the numbers
- 1:15:54look the worst and you reap the rewards afterwards because as
- 1:15:58the price goes up, it goes up faster than hash rate.
- 1:16:01So that's the that's been kind of the interesting insight and
- 1:16:05tidbit. And then I don't know if you
- 1:16:06want me to just jump right into the the.
- 1:16:08Well, yeah, I, I do. I hey, look, I've been ranting.
- 1:16:13I'm jacked up on caffeine, so I will let you rant.
- 1:16:15But I do want to add to what with your point of this.
- 1:16:19Like, you know, institutional buying or smart money as Tradfi
- 1:16:23likes to say. We do also have some data to
- 1:16:27back that up from like on chain metrics.
- 1:16:29It does seem like currently, you know, the quote UN quote whales
- 1:16:33are buying again. Now, obviously we don't have
- 1:16:35data on who these whales are buying this Bitcoin, but you
- 1:16:40connect that data or rather the on chain charge with what you
- 1:16:43are personally experiencing and you're like, oh, OK, maybe,
- 1:16:48maybe, maybe the bottoms in. I know, I know you guys are
- 1:16:52going to yell at me. But if you're seeing the capital
- 1:16:54start to get back into the game currently, it does make you feel
- 1:16:59a little hopeful that OK, maybe maybe the worst is behind us.
- 1:17:03Maybe we are building a bottom right now.
- 1:17:05Not to say it's going to pump overnight, but you build a good
- 1:17:08floor, got to have a good floor to jump off from.
- 1:17:11So a little there. There's your little opium for
- 1:17:14today. But yeah, can't go into the
- 1:17:17public because I did talk about this last week.
- 1:17:22And you know, before you go in, I'll just do the little context
- 1:17:26that we reported on this couple of shows ago that a lot of the
- 1:17:31selling we saw was coming from the public Bitcoin mining
- 1:17:35companies. They sold over 15,000 coins and
- 1:17:38they're pivoting into AI infrastructure.
- 1:17:42And you know, everyone's wondering like, who's selling
- 1:17:44Bitcoin right now? Well, as everyone kind of found
- 1:17:48out, it was the public Bitcoin miners.
- 1:17:51And now Kent coming from the mining space, as we joked, he's
- 1:17:56like, I might not make any friends from the public Bitcoin
- 1:17:59miner companies, but this is my take right now.
- 1:18:02So it is going to be a little AI spicy.
- 1:18:05But yeah, Kent floor is yours. Keep ripping.
- 1:18:07All right. Well, I have a contrarian take
- 1:18:10here and it's basically it came about from watching Open Claw.
- 1:18:14And so if you've heard of that, it's basically an open source AI
- 1:18:19agent that you can put on any device and, and plug in
- 1:18:22different large language models, whether it's, you know, Gemini,
- 1:18:26Claude, Grok, what, whatever. I'm sure most of you guys are,
- 1:18:30are, are poking around with these tools at this point.
- 1:18:32But the interesting thing is this impulse to have a device on
- 1:18:38desk got me to thinking, and this is an original thought.
- 1:18:42The original thought is what happens to Bitcoin miners, but
- 1:18:45it's not an original thought. But it just made me realize
- 1:18:47that, you know, web 2 point O is really everybody sucking all of
- 1:18:51our data from us. And we gave that up and and
- 1:18:55trade for free services, but we lost our privacy.
- 1:18:58And as a result, I love seeing this, this effort that people
- 1:19:03are making right now with the open cloud movement, which let
- 1:19:05me put some numbers around this, right?
- 1:19:07So like Linux, like the longest running like open source
- 1:19:11software that's been on the planet is that runs a lot of
- 1:19:14computer devices, even the backbone of I think most like
- 1:19:17Google devices, that operating system has less stars on GitHub
- 1:19:23than Openclaw does, right? And and that was like 3 weeks
- 1:19:26ago, 4 weeks ago. So the adoption is insane, but
- 1:19:29it shows that there's demand for devices that people can control.
- 1:19:33They want to control their personal AI assistance.
- 1:19:35And the knock on effect for that in my mind is something that has
- 1:19:39played out multiple times throughout history, which is the
- 1:19:43infrastructure providers of the data centers right now may be
- 1:19:48the same victims that the people that built the railroads were,
- 1:19:51the people that built like the the fiber optics.
- 1:19:56You know, if you go back in history, the people that build
- 1:19:58these big infrastructure situations, which right now it's
- 1:20:02all about data centers, right? So the people that built the
- 1:20:04data centers aren't always the ones that get the the fruits of
- 1:20:08that afterwards because of a change in the market.
- 1:20:11So you know the railroad builders.
- 1:20:14The people that built those market changed and it wound up
- 1:20:17being that like JP Morgan sucked up most of the, the the
- 1:20:20railroads for pennies on the dollar.
- 1:20:22There's a similar thing that happened with the fiber optics
- 1:20:25boom wound up like Google and I can't remember a couple other
- 1:20:28companies bought up most of the fiber optic assets and the
- 1:20:31companies have built all that went bust.
- 1:20:33I think we're seeing the same thing play out right now with
- 1:20:35data centers. And I think we're seeing that
- 1:20:37because we're there's an impulse, the market, what they
- 1:20:40really want is not the big cloud based AI, but they want the
- 1:20:45personal AI assistant that's sitting on their desk that they
- 1:20:48can control and manage. Now, whether they understand
- 1:20:51that they're still giving their data away through the LLMS to
- 1:20:54the cloud or not, I think is not the important part here.
- 1:20:58I think the important part is that impulse.
- 1:21:00And I think that the models themselves are getting small
- 1:21:02enough that the agents can actually sit on device.
- 1:21:05So what happens if all the agents are sitting on device and
- 1:21:08we're getting what we want or what the market desires is that
- 1:21:12that inference that's being built right now from the data
- 1:21:15centers is going to be overshot. So getting back to publicly
- 1:21:19traded mining companies, well, they're making a pivot and I
- 1:21:22think the, the earliest one like Hive would probably be fine
- 1:21:26because they got there early and they can navigate it.
- 1:21:28But if you're a late stage Bitcoin miner, publicly traded
- 1:21:32miner making this pivot right now, you may be just hopping out
- 1:21:35of the the the pot and into the fire or hopping out of the
- 1:21:39framing pan and into the fire here because the numbers haven't
- 1:21:42looked good with Bitcoin mining, even though you've had a lock on
- 1:21:45all these resources. But so you think the numbers
- 1:21:48look better over here with the AIHPC data center.
- 1:21:53But if that whole situation starts to collapse, well, now
- 1:21:56you've left behind an entire infrastructure set.
- 1:21:59Do you have the resources to pivot back?
- 1:22:01Can you, you know, that's going to be kind of an open question
- 1:22:04for me now. Could be totally wrong.
- 1:22:07You know, better men than me have been wrong.
- 1:22:08But it just seems to me that AI is not necessarily a bubble, but
- 1:22:12data centers may be a bubble and we're in for an infrastructure
- 1:22:17overshoot, which we've seen many times already.
- 1:22:20Interesting. OK, sorry guys, hopefully you
- 1:22:24don't hear that the AC just got turned back on.
- 1:22:26It's super light. So let me let me try to angle
- 1:22:28this. What's your idea on the kind of
- 1:22:34heuristic that what marks the bottom of a bear market is, you
- 1:22:40know, the idea like we need a huge sacrifice.
- 1:22:42And I've heard a lot of people say that what usually marks a
- 1:22:46bear market, like the bottom of a bear market is we see a lot of
- 1:22:49public Bitcoin miners or, you know, bigger Bitcoin mining
- 1:22:53farms kind of go down and kind of in the past pivot to other
- 1:22:58things. Now it does seem like maybe that
- 1:23:01new pivot is into AI. But do you think there's any
- 1:23:04credence to the idea that there might be potentially some other
- 1:23:08big, like big Bitcoin miners that are going to get in the hot
- 1:23:12water? Because obviously we saw the
- 1:23:13hash rate going extremely volatile over the last couple of
- 1:23:17months. We have been hearing rumors that
- 1:23:19public Bitcoin miners are, you know, if the price gets any
- 1:23:23lower and stays there for a while, there could be some
- 1:23:26trouble. So do you think those rumors,
- 1:23:29have, you know, any validity to them or is it just as Bitcoin is
- 1:23:35hoping for something? You know, we just want the big
- 1:23:37catastrophe. We just want the sacrifice so
- 1:23:39that the Bull Run can come back on and we can all, you know,
- 1:23:43enjoy the ride again. Burn the man right, you know?
- 1:23:50Yeah, we just got our pitchforks like someone.
- 1:23:52Go down, please. Yeah, No, I, I, I think that the
- 1:23:59pivot actually from these Bitcoin pubco's like I mean bit
- 1:24:02farms for instance, like just the CEO came out and straight up
- 1:24:05said we're not a Bitcoin company.
- 1:24:07Anyway, oh wow, I missed that. Yeah.
- 1:24:09I mean just straight up said it in a press release like we are
- 1:24:12no longer a Bitcoin company, right.
- 1:24:14So I think that that is a part of what happened is that if you
- 1:24:19look at the most of the publicly traded Bitcoin miners, they have
- 1:24:23a whole bunch of costs are added on to their balance or just on
- 1:24:26to their P&L from being public, right that a smaller miners we
- 1:24:31don't have. So our cost structure is by
- 1:24:33definition lower and so we can get Bitcoin more cheaply.
- 1:24:36And that is the name of the game as a Bitcoin miner is you can't,
- 1:24:40you can't be the most expensive miner and survive.
- 1:24:43And I think a lot of the publicly traded miners were not
- 1:24:45operationally as efficient as they, as some of the smaller
- 1:24:50guys like us can be. And so I think they were
- 1:24:53hurting, they say saw AI and as a way to pivot to make more
- 1:24:57money. And so, you know, if they're
- 1:24:59jumping out of the frying pan, but I don't think a lot of them
- 1:25:01realize that they're probably jumping into the fire because I
- 1:25:05don't think that the cycle for AI data centers is getting any
- 1:25:08better. So I think it's just a rough
- 1:25:10business model period to be a publicly traded Bitcoin miner.
- 1:25:14And it's not me slagging on them.
- 1:25:15I think if I was the CEO of one of those companies, I may have
- 1:25:18done the same. But by definition, I think one
- 1:25:21of the things that I like about this pivot for the Bitcoin
- 1:25:24ecosystem and for the Bitcoin network is, by definition, they
- 1:25:29have to return dollars to their investors.
- 1:25:32They have a fiduciary responsibility to do that.
- 1:25:34So for them, acquiring Bitcoin was always a stepping stone to
- 1:25:37get more dollars and that doesn't put them In Sync or
- 1:25:41aligned with the Bitcoin network.
- 1:25:42So I actually see this as a wonderful opportunity for us as
- 1:25:47the Bitcoin community to take back more of the network and to
- 1:25:51move more Fiat hashers off so that there's more Bitcoin
- 1:25:55hashers. And I distinguish those too,
- 1:25:57because when you come to Bitcoin mining, you have to choose what
- 1:26:00your money is. And most people do that
- 1:26:01implicitly. But if you choose that Fiat as
- 1:26:04your money, when Bitcoin is just a stepping stone and you don't
- 1:26:06really have long term alignment with the network.
- 1:26:08And I think that's been a massive problem that's led to a
- 1:26:10lot of centralization issues on the network.
- 1:26:13So getting more of us onto the network caching is actually good
- 1:26:17right now when publicly traded mining companies that don't
- 1:26:20represent that level of alignment are are are puts and
- 1:26:24off to go do HPC and AI. Great, wonderful.
- 1:26:27And you know, and I'm, I hope that we're a better on ramp for
- 1:26:32a lot of folks that want to do that because that's what I've
- 1:26:35been working on building for the like the last five years is a
- 1:26:37better on ramp to, to allow people to mine their Bitcoin.
- 1:26:41Yeah, well, Kent, Kent's probably not making too many
- 1:26:47friends right now talking about this.
- 1:26:49So with that in mind, guys, if you like Kent and you like what
- 1:26:54he's building and you want to get some wild SAT, I think now
- 1:26:58would be the time to go to SAT's mining and potentially, you
- 1:27:03know, I'm getting almighty guy as as Kent saying it might be an
- 1:27:08opportunity for the little guy out there.
- 1:27:10So maybe we haven't seen the final sacrifice yet.
- 1:27:14But I think with Kent saying all of that, probably going to, you
- 1:27:20know, get a couple of of angry emails coming soon.
- 1:27:24So sorry about that, Kent, but hey, that's why we bring you on.
- 1:27:28You're the mining expert. You, you keep it real with us
- 1:27:31every time you come on. So I, I, I truly appreciate it.
- 1:27:35Well, hey, hey, I didn't, I didn't come here to make
- 1:27:38friends, just tell the tell the truth.
- 1:27:39And it seems like it's one of those days where it's not a
- 1:27:42making friends day, but hey, it is what it is.
- 1:27:45I, and actually, I mean, there's a ton of people in the publicly
- 1:27:48traded mining companies that I have a ton of respect for and,
- 1:27:50and really like, you know, and are truly into Bitcoin for
- 1:27:53Bitcoin's sake. That said, I I would be remiss
- 1:27:58if I did not say that there is $125 off that you can get for
- 1:28:03using Opti to it's just for you Opti.
- 1:28:07Let's go. I'm glad.
- 1:28:08Mining. Out.
- 1:28:09I'm glad, yeah. Is it just like always running
- 1:28:11or do you guys change it or you know, add it?
- 1:28:14Add it when you come on the show?
- 1:28:18I don't know the answer to that. My marketing guy does.
- 1:28:20Marketing guy, you keep it live. Chaz mining, well, he's he's
- 1:28:24running the SAS mining handle. He can.
- 1:28:26He can answer. OK, you'll see it in the chat.
- 1:28:29But but we also have a fun one for Ethiopia which is going live
- 1:28:33this week. I'm stoked that's finally
- 1:28:34happening. But anybody that buys a mining
- 1:28:37rig there in Ethiopia were given given 100,000 sats afterwards.
- 1:28:41So if you want to stack some sats, we'd we'd glad to.
- 1:28:46We're glad to help you get that going.
- 1:28:49All right, Kent, well, thank you so much for coming on.
- 1:28:53I had a blast. Maybe it's because I had way too
- 1:28:56much caffeine that you guys saw I was jacked up today.
- 1:28:59I was jacked to the gills today, dude.
- 1:29:01I needed a little extra kick after the gym this morning and
- 1:29:04it might have been you know, Mom, I know I I won't drink too
- 1:29:08much coffee tomorrow. She always yells at me that I'm
- 1:29:11drinking too much coffee. I'm like, you don't understand.
- 1:29:13I I got to drink the coffee. But Kent, really appreciate you
- 1:29:17guys go check out sales mining. Actually, Kent, before we go
- 1:29:21give people your your Twitter account again.
- 1:29:23I, I always mess it up. It's K Halliburton.
- 1:29:26Right. That's right.
- 1:29:27Yeah. First, first letter, last name.
- 1:29:29That's it. OK, OK.
- 1:29:31Well, Kent, always a pleasure having you on guys.
- 1:29:35I hope you guys got something from the show today again.
- 1:29:38We will be live tomorrow. I know you're going to yell at
- 1:29:41me. It's we put it at 12:16 on
- 1:29:44YouTube and we go live around 12:40 usually.
- 1:29:49That's the real time we go live guys.
- 1:29:51OK, I saw you guys complaining about it this morning.
- 1:29:54If you're a if you're a, you know, regular you, you already
- 1:29:57know the deal. So I appreciate the guys in the
- 1:29:59chat. They're like, look, they're
- 1:30:00going to start at this time. Thank you guys.
- 1:30:03I'm always appreciative. I love you guys.
- 1:30:05Have a good rest of your day, Kent.
- 1:30:08Again, thank you so much for coming on all that note guys,
- 1:30:13it's your boy Opti. This has been simply Bitcoin
- 1:30:15Live and we'll be back tomorrow for another show later, guys.
- 1:30:20Thanks, Opti. Today's episode was brought to
- 1:30:23you by bitcoinwell.com, a Bitcoin only platform on a
- 1:30:26mission to enable financial independence.