Latest / Financial Survival Network / It's a Giant "S" Sandwich and We're Going to Be Living On it - John Rubino #6084
Transcript
- 0:00You know, inflation. We had basically a burst of thirty percent inflation in
- 0:05three years, which means if you were just scraping by in twenty nineteen,
- 0:10now your cost of living is thirty percent higher and you're not scraping by at
- 0:13all anymore. And so you're really mad about what's happening. And this goes
- 0:18on and on, you know. Oh, and then of course we've got
- 0:20multiple wars now where we didn't have any in twenty twenty. You are listening
- 0:24to Carrie Letz's Financial Survival Network, where you get valuable information you just can't
- 0:30find anywhere else to thrive in today's trying times. You need the Financial Survival
- 0:36Network now more than ever. Go to Financial Survivalnetwork dot com and get your
- 0:42free newsletter and gift. Financial Survival Network now more than ever. Ed.
- 0:51Welcome, you are listening to and watching the Financial Survival Network. I'm your
- 0:56host, Carrie Lutz. Well, we're with John Rabino. We've got a
- 1:00lot of things to go over here, John. A lot has happened in
- 1:03the past few weeks that we didn't talk, not the least of which is
- 1:07further signs the economy is rolling over by Carey. Yeah, finally we might
- 1:15be getting the effects of higher interest rates. And you know, there's just
- 1:18so much going on under the surface with the whole fiscal dominance thing where the
- 1:22government is counteracting higher interest rates by doing all kinds of kind of backdoor liquidity
- 1:27injections. So that's what's kept the economy going so far, but lately it's
- 1:33starting to look like we've got a little bit of a roll over going.
- 1:36Oil is spawling as we're speaking today. The core CPI numbers that used to
- 1:41be the problem with inflation was not the headline number as much as a lot
- 1:45of the core variants where they pull out different things and then see what inflation
- 1:49is doing. Then you know, some of those variants were rising by like
- 1:53eight percent a year. Well they're coming back down now, so they're getting
- 1:57into the range of where CPI is, which was two and a half three
- 2:00percent, which is a sign of the slowing economy. And then a lot
- 2:04of the jobs numbers that have been coming out lately are not super favorable.
- 2:07We've got a job's number coming on Friday and today's Tuesday, So that's another
- 2:12big data point for the thesis that the economy is slowing down. But it
- 2:16does seem to be happening, and stocks are responding to that by falling.
- 2:20See, people are aren't necessarily thinking that we're going to have steady growth with
- 2:24massive corporate profits to the horizon. Now, you know, maybe it's going
- 2:29to be a little bit, a little bit less appealing than that. So
- 2:31equity prices are starting to fall, and of course gold and silver are getting
- 2:36whacked in that kind of a scenario. So we'll'll have to see whether this
- 2:40is a temporary end of the really nice run that gold and silver had or
- 2:44if it's just a natural correction in a ongoing bull market. My money is
- 2:50on the ongoing bull market, but it's been on that for quite a while,
- 2:53so we'll have to see if this is the time. Yeah, well,
- 2:58eventually economic fundamentals have to assert themselves. Maybe I don't know it,
- 3:05just they're selling this story, and you know, it's silly season. It's
- 3:10we got an election coming up, and they're trying to make people believe that
- 3:15things are better now than they were four years ago. And I don't think
- 3:20that the public is buying it here. Oh no, nobody's buying it at
- 3:23all. I mean, the list of things that have gotten dramatically worse.
- 3:29Is so long that there's something for everybody there. Whatever you're into, there's
- 3:32a stat or a narrative or whatever that is horrifying from your point of view.
- 3:38So you know, Biden, Biden has basically put himself in an irredeemable
- 3:44position. That doesn't mean the Democrats can't win. It just means that they've
- 3:46probably got to, you know, do some unusual things to win from here,
- 3:51or Trump has to do our endus thing. You know, that stuff
- 3:53has to happen beyond just Biden becoming popular all of a sudden, because you
- 3:59know, the border is a nightmare, and anybody who cares about ten million
- 4:03military age men coming across the border, you know, the number of military
- 4:06age men who are undocumented who have come into the country in the last three
- 4:12years is bigger than our standing military in terms of headcount ibilie. And then
- 4:17you know inflation. We had basically a burst of thirty percent inflation in three
- 4:24years, which means if you were just scraping by in twenty nineteen, now
- 4:29your cost of living is thirty percent higher and you're not scraping by at all
- 4:31anymore. And so you're really mad about what's happening? And this goes on
- 4:35and on, you know. Oh, and then of course we've got multiple
- 4:39wars now where we didn't have any in twenty twenty, and now we've got
- 4:44we've got two serious ones and potentially a third since we're picking a fight with
- 4:48China and Deroan, you know, so one of those guys could turn into
- 4:51a shooting war too. So we're on the virgin of World War three.
- 4:55We've got debilitating levels of cost of living right now now, and the border
- 5:00is wide open. So yeah, what's to like now that the guys in
- 5:04charge? Hey, well, you know, the hotel industry is doing well
- 5:10now, John, isn't it way to go? O? Care? And
- 5:12you found the one bright spot there? New York City hotels are booming because
- 5:15what's the status at twenty percent of hotel beds are now taken up by illegal
- 5:23immigrants and more and more to come, And the government is probably paying premium
- 5:28prices for those rooms, right, I hope. So the damages, yeah,
- 5:31I'm just being done. I mean, do you think they're obeying the
- 5:35no smoking bands in these hotels? Do you think they could read the no
- 5:40smoking signs in the hotel? And now we Okay, I don't want to
- 5:44seem heartless to the light of people coming across borders, because you know,
- 5:50the people coming to the US but not not the sleeper cells for China and
- 5:56Iran, and we don't like them. But the regular people coming across are
- 6:00basically they have nothing at home. They're trying to find a better life for
- 6:04themselves, and you've got to respect that. We might be doing the same
- 6:06thing, but you know, you can't. A country that doesn't have control
- 6:12of its borders is not really a country. And if we just open our
- 6:15borders, literally seventy percent of the global population will come here. And that's
- 6:21what we've been doing lately. We basically, you know, the new administration
- 6:25came in and said, okay, come on, you know, come on
- 6:28in and we'll get you expedited. And they didn't even process them. They
- 6:31just opened the gates, let them in, put them on buses, and
- 6:35ship them around the country. So, yeah, the only good thing to
- 6:42come from this, other than hotel profits booming is is that it's politically hilarious
- 6:48to watch these sanctuary cities swarm when Southern governors shift ship butt loads or bus
- 6:56loads sorry of yeah, undocumented people with you know, no paperwork, probably
- 7:03English newcomers, yeah, the uncountried, but you know, and just drop
- 7:10them off at their Greyhound station and watch these guys freak out because they never
- 7:14expected to have consequences apply to them. They just thought they'd be able to
- 7:18virtue signal their way to reelection forever. And now all of a sudden,
- 7:24you know, you've got these big crowds of minorities in Chicago and LA going
- 7:30close the border, close the border, So all of a sudden, this
- 7:34policy that they probably thought was willing to just add to the minority population of
- 7:40voters is turning away. You know, it's converting the existing minorities to Republicans.
- 7:46You know, that's that's like a miracle. You that's one of the
- 7:50virtually possible things to do in America politics, and they've managed to do it.
- 7:55You know. Yeah, well you got to love it because you know,
- 8:00nothing has united. You know, these disparent groups of people I feel
- 8:05are like more united than ever. Minorities, they're worried about their jobs,
- 8:11and then you look at you know, it's just this whole group of people
- 8:18who you never thought would be able to agree on anything. You know,
- 8:22persecuted by the judicial system. We have those people, they agree on it.
- 8:28People losing their jobs to the open border induced labor surplus. That's another
- 8:35thing accomplishment of the administration, John, is we no longer have a labor
- 8:39shortage? Do it now? I don't think we do. Now. Ten
- 8:43extra million people will take care of a labor shortage and a heartbeat. But
- 8:48but yeah, you know, you got to really feel for African Americans and
- 8:52Hispanics in a lot of these big cities because you know, they've had a
- 8:56tough, no doubt about it, for a long time. And now they're
- 8:58seeing all these undocumented immigrants come in and get put up in hotels and get
- 9:03debit cards with ten thousand dollars on there, and now they're going to get
- 9:07jobs and et cetera, et cetera. So they're thinking, Wow, the
- 9:09government could have done that for us all along, because look, they're doing
- 9:15it for these other guys and they never bothered and why. And they're coming
- 9:18to the conclusion that the reason that no one ever paid any attention to them
- 9:22is that their vote was guaranteed Democrat. Yeah, so it's guaranteed. Why
- 9:28can change for the black community because if you know, people have always said
- 9:33that if you know, thirty percent of African Americans voted Republican, everything would
- 9:37change for them because they would be in play. So the big parties would
- 9:41have to figure out what they want and give it to them. And but
- 9:43nobody ever did that, you know, the thirty percent of black voters never
- 9:48voted Republican. But now that might happen, and you're going to see all
- 9:54the governments, state, local, and federal suddenly waking up to the need
- 9:58to you take care of African Americans and Hispanics and whoever else is in that,
- 10:03you know, in the category we're talking about, and it's going to
- 10:07be a completely different political landscape. Or both the Republicans and the Democrats are
- 10:13big time pro African American and policy not just rhetorically. You know, they're
- 10:18going to be looking at policies that actually help the inner cities. So I
- 10:22think, you know to the extent that that's one of the outcomes. This
- 10:26is actually a really good thing for the underclass in the US because now that
- 10:33they're in play, they have to be taken seriously, and in politics,
- 10:37being taken seriously means you get money. You know, people getting the government
- 10:41gives you what it is you say you want, so so we'll see.
- 10:45So I think it's an interesting change coming. But they don't seem to really
- 10:48want more public benefits. They really that, at least the people I've been
- 10:54watching are looking for hey, invest in our communities like your predecessor did,
- 11:01setting up enterprise zones and things like that. You know, I think there's
- 11:07I think we're seeing a major paradigm shift towards the government. And I think
- 11:13honestly, people are scared now after they see that number forty five can be
- 11:20prosecuted on multiple fronts and convicted in a very suspect manner. Put it that
- 11:31way, that it could happen to anybody. I think that to me is
- 11:37you know, I always knew it was possible because being a recovering attorney,
- 11:43I have seen many many miscarriages of justice in my life, often leading to
- 11:50incarceration. Not that I represented people in the criminal sphere, but I knew
- 11:56lots of people who did, and I saw it happen. Because when the
- 12:01government goes after you, you really can't afford to fight them. So you've
- 12:05got a plea bargain, and if you do go to trial, you'll get
- 12:09three times the sentence you would have gotten had you pleaded guilty in the first
- 12:15place. And the US government's a little bit behind what China and Russia were
- 12:22in their heydays. We only have like a ninety eight percent conviction rate.
- 12:28They had a ninety nine or one hundred percent conviction rate. I mean,
- 12:31the very definition of show trial, right John, Oh? Yeah. You
- 12:37know, African Americans, especially African American men, really identify with what's happening
- 12:43to Trump because they proceed that that's been their life too. You know that
- 12:46the criminal justice system would just come and can come take them away, make
- 12:48up charges, force them to plead guilty, throw them into prison, and
- 12:54then ever after not let them vote, not let them vot have gone,
- 12:58you know, their second class citizens after they've been convicted of a felony,
- 13:01and that can happen randomly to them in their environment. So they're looking at
- 13:07what's happening to Trump and they're identifying with it, and they're impressed with his
- 13:11resilience because he's getting it with you, charge after charge after charge, and
- 13:16the numbers are just insane, the amount of money that they want from it.
- 13:20And then he steps right out on the courthouse steps and he's his normal
- 13:24self. You know, he's cracking jokes and insulting everybody who's trying to put
- 13:28him in jail. And and so you know, in that sense, he's
- 13:33kind of a battle rapper, Like he's a rapper who's taking on his enemies
- 13:39full on rhetorically and physically. And you know a lot of black guys appreciate
- 13:45that. And that's why in the polling that we're seeing now, the African
- 13:50American vote is swinging towards Trump. It's not going to be a majority,
- 13:54but you know, anything above ten percent or Republican is like if a Republican
- 14:01get you get twenty five percent of the black vote, they never lose.
- 14:03You know, they have a lock on reelection forever because that the math works
- 14:09that way, because they're going to get most of the white vote, and
- 14:13if they get even a decent chunk of the minority vote, then that's fifty
- 14:16one percent. And so Trump is looking at those kinds of numbers now in
- 14:20part because of the minority vote swinging his way. That has got to terrify
- 14:24the Democrats because that, more than anything else, is bringing home the absolute
- 14:31backfiring of their lawfair cropt policy. You know, they've weaponized the criminal justice
- 14:37system. They've turned it on an opposition politician, and they're making stuff up,
- 14:43and they're throwing millions of dollars of resources and basically lying and cheating in
- 14:50order to get this player or get this piece off the chess board, you
- 14:52know, and and it's blowing up in their faces. Trump is a martyr
- 14:56and is fundraising is through the roof is. His approval rating is going up
- 15:05since he got convicted. And I don't know if how many of your audience
- 15:15has seen that video from the UFC tournament, but just had me. It's
- 15:20a mixed martial art fighting promotion that they put in the real fight. Yeah
- 15:26yeah, those are some spokesperson for the other for the liberals said it was
- 15:31all play acting. Oh yeah, no, there's nothing play acting around him.
- 15:37That is. That is the closest thing to a street fight that you
- 15:41can do in organized sports. And anyhow, Trump walks in and there's already
- 15:46a full stadium there, so Trump walks in and standing ovation and it goes
- 15:52on. It's like a five minute standing ovation in that place. And then
- 15:58in the hop fight in that card, the winner is getting his hands held
- 16:06up as the winner of the fight and everything in the minute he's declared,
- 16:08puts his hands down, runs out of the the octagon, goes and finds
- 16:14Trump, shakes his hand, and then they start taking selfies together. You
- 16:17know, the Trump Trump is. Trump's approval rating in that world is ninety
- 16:22nine percent. Yeah, so you know what makes this interesting, He said,
- 16:26he's already got the gun guards. Now he's got the martial arts guys.
- 16:29So if there is civil unrest where different groups are in the street and
- 16:33you got like Antifa on one side and you've got the UFC guys and the
- 16:40NR guys on the other side, I think it's going to be a very
- 16:41short riot. You know, it's batch, that's for sure. My god.
- 16:47You know. Yeah, So just laughing at the visualization, but it
- 16:55was pretty amazing that, you know, the guy just owns owned the whole
- 17:00arena, tens of thousands of people, you know, screaming, you know,
- 17:06and I think I think it's going to be backfire. So you think
- 17:11they're gonna this guy Judge Kafka, I mean, Judge Marchan is going to
- 17:17actually put Trump behind bars? What is he going to do? Well,
- 17:22you know, that would be absolutely crazy, and yet I think it's part
- 17:26of their plan because just see, convicting him didn't work. If his approval
- 17:30ratings plunged and his polling numbers went down to like thirty five percent from fifty
- 17:36one percent today, then they could have probably called it enough. But his
- 17:41approval ratings went up, so that you know, they've got this decision tree
- 17:45where okay, we do this, and if that doesn't work, then we
- 17:47do this, and the next thing is actual jail time for Trump maybe,
- 17:53I know, can you imagine me? Can you miserable? Because he's got
- 17:56to have Secret Service protection in the engine Gail that he ran him Rikers?
- 18:02All right. I don't know if you've ever been to Rikers or you've flown
- 18:07over, and I guarantee you every time you go to La Guardia Airport in
- 18:11New York. It's huge and it is a huge penal colony. But due
- 18:15to the decriminalization of crime, there's like less than half the people in there
- 18:19we're supposed to be. But the Secret Service have to protect this guy,
- 18:23which means they're going to need to be in the cell with him, or
- 18:30they have to give him his own wing. And you know, I assume
- 18:33he's going to have to have internet service, so he'll be doing zoom rallies
- 18:40from Rikers. I mean, well, here's people thinking here, John,
- 18:45here's my prediction two weeks in. Trump is a gang leader in there.
- 18:49He's got his own prison gang, and he is the alpha genop of Riker.
- 19:00My prediction is where Shawn will try to pull this, but I think
- 19:06the Appellate Division or the Court of Appeals still have some semblance of respect for
- 19:12the system and they won't allow it. Just like they cut his you know,
- 19:18his bond requirement from half a billion down to one hundred and seventy five
- 19:23million. They're just not going to allow it. And you know, this
- 19:30will I didn't want to think about what's going to happen, but this guy
- 19:34is capable of doing it. His career is pretty much over, but he's
- 19:40got tens of millions of dollars. His family fortune has been built through it.
- 19:45The who are we talking about, Garry the we're talking about the judge.
- 19:49Oh, his career is just starting. I mean, he can be
- 19:52a Democrat Congress and in the next election. Now if he's the guy who
- 19:56put Trump in jail, you know, like I was talking to somebody who
- 20:00has a TDS better known as Trump derangement syndrome, and she said, you
- 20:07know, I said, do you think he should go to jail for this?
- 20:10So I don't care what they what they do, as long as they
- 20:14put him in jail, you know, Oh yeah, absolutely? And is
- 20:17Adterson's complaining about others being put in jail, you know, through discrimination by
- 20:23the police, whatever, but for Trump it's okay. And can't see the
- 20:29hypocrisy? Oh yeah, I mean no, there's a big chunk of the
- 20:33Democrat Party and related liberals and progressives who think anything that happens to Trump right
- 20:41up to assassination is basically justified because he's an existential threat to the country.
- 20:47It's the old you know, if you could go back and kill Hitler in
- 20:48nineteen one, would you do it? Well? This is that, This
- 20:52is that dilemma. This is that question. I'm in modern times And to
- 20:56them, they answer is obvious, yes you would kill him. Course,
- 21:00But anyhow, the decision tree gets really dark after this, because, Okay,
- 21:06if the conviction doesn't work, you put him in prison, and then
- 21:11if he ends up being a gang leader in prison and he's he's podcasting five
- 21:15million viewer podcasts out of prison. Then you take away this the secret servance.
- 21:22You can't do that, though there's federal rule has to reign supreme over
- 21:27state law and the federal law. You know, you can't do you know
- 21:33what, Jeffrey Epstein was supposed to have cameras on him at all times,
- 21:37and yeah, but that was federal prison. I don't know. I mean,
- 21:42you know, I remember, I think it was you and I talking
- 21:45about that. When Epstein was first put in prison, there was a rumor,
- 21:48oh, what if he kills himself? And I said, not a
- 21:52chance. He is the most watched prisoner on the face of the earth right
- 21:56now, and there he is untouchable. A week later, he's dead.
- 22:00A few months, yeah, a few months later, he was out of
- 22:03the picture. He got out of the script. But you know, that's
- 22:07one thing for that guy. It's another thing for a guy who was president.
- 22:11But this is going to be insane season. And then God help us,
- 22:18if Trump gets elected. Can you imagine all of the elements who were
- 22:22set loose a few years ago are going to be set loose and on steroids.
- 22:27You know, the cities will be burning. So I don't know what
- 22:30the edition, what the final outcome of this is going to be job,
- 22:34but it's not going to be good in a matter of yeah, I will.
- 22:37Will the cities be burning though, because if he has let's say,
- 22:41thirty percent of the African American vote, Yeah, but you have the LM
- 22:47professional They were professional agitators, just like the people occupying the campuses. But
- 22:53we can't get too deep into the woods here. Needless to say, it's
- 22:57not the Spain wasn't a spontaneous outbursts. It was orchestrated and coordinated by whomever
- 23:04you want to think. It's going to be interesting though, that's for sure.
- 23:08And hey, finally, what about World War three? And uh,
- 23:15what's happening there? You can you know that make all that might make all
- 23:18the other stuff we just talked about completely irrelevant. Maybe that's the idea.
- 23:22So so what we're doing now, there's also a decision tree in Ukraine where
- 23:26they try one thing and it doesn't work, they try the next thing,
- 23:29and they keep escalating. And now we're escalating into literal World War three territory
- 23:33where NATO is sending advanced weapons and trainers over to you know, show how
- 23:41the show the Ukrainians how the jet if we do that in Vietnam, didn't
- 23:44we? Yes, we said under that advisers, No, they were not
- 23:48trainers, advisors. It's like, yeah, shoot it, shoot that way,
- 23:52shoot that way. They're shooting at us. We got to shoot too,
- 23:56And that's how Vietnam started. That that is, and so what's going
- 24:02to happen? And they're they're telling the Ukrainians go ahead and use these weapons
- 24:06to strike into Russia, which Russia obviously has to respond to. So and
- 24:11Russia is talking about, well, tactical nukes would be the next thing we
- 24:14would use. And you know, so we're getting to the point where there
- 24:17are going to be coffins coming home to France and Germany from Ukraine. And
- 24:23then we'll just see what happens, because you know, it's the US pull
- 24:26and the strings here, and they're they're basically ordering NATO to send those troops
- 24:32over there. I don't think France or Germany really want to get involved in
- 24:36a war with Russia, but the US is ordering them to. And you
- 24:41know, the guys, see Biden obviously is not masterminding any of this.
- 24:45He doesn't even know it's happening. Right now. But he's got people around
- 24:48him who are stone cold psychopaths who actually want World War three because they think,
- 24:55you know, we'll sacrifice twenty million people and then we'll be the rulers
- 24:57of the world for the next thousand years. To them, that's a good
- 25:00deal. And we're we're very close to that happening right now. So there's
- 25:06there's a chance that it drags on until the next election and then that changes
- 25:11the composition of the people running US war policy. Maybe, But I don't
- 25:15know, I really, I really am shocked with it's gotten this far to
- 25:21where they're literally putting French and German soldiers in the way of Russian artillery.
- 25:26So okay, insane, Yeah, totally insane. Well, it's a crazy
- 25:30world, but we're here to help try to put it into perspective. Make
- 25:36sure you take a look at John's Substack rabino dot substack dot com, our
- 25:41site Financial Survival Network dot com. The links to John Substack will be found
- 25:47in the show outs to this interview on our site, and please sign up
- 25:49for your free newsletter. John. We'll talk to you a couple of weeks.
- 25:53Keep the faith good. Jared talking to you. Thanks for listening to
- 25:56carry Letz's Financial Survival Network your solution to today's trying times. For the latest,
- 26:03go to Financial Survivalnetwork dot com. Financial Survival Network now more than ever,