Latest / Prestons Super Show / College Football Week 6 Preview and Picks-Super News #73

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College Football Week 6 Preview and Picks-Super News #73 · Prestons Super Show

0:08
Get ready for the political sensation with super host and
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news breaker Preston Olsen. Welcome to Preston Super Show.
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This is the 70. 3rd installment of the Super news and there are
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over 500 episodes of Preston super show across all podcast
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platforms listen wherever you like on this episode we.
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Are talking about. Week 6 of the college football
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season and it's been a great season thus far.
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Taking some good ones here on a heater.
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As we enter Week 6, I have 13 total games to discuss with you.
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We're going to go over the money lines, the game totals and the
0:57
spreads. Where to place the best bets.
1:00
I'm going to give you the best. Advice and I've been on a roll.
1:03
This year, let's get it going with our first match up.
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Not a ranked contest, but it is tomorrow night, 8:00 PM on CBSSN
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where you could watch the Sam Houston Bearcats face the New
1:20
Mexico State Aggies. The Bearcats are O and. 4.
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And the Aggies are two and two game total set at. 53 1/2.
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Money line underdog The New Mexico State Aggies at plus 1/15
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and the Aggies are the plus 2 1/2 underdogs at the spread.
1:46
This will be a closely contested game.
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I see why people are giving some credit to the Bearcats here and
1:55
the line has moved in their favor, but as we get closer to
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game time, reality's going to set in.
2:03
The Aggies are just built to win this game at home.
2:07
Nobody in this game is going to run away with it.
2:11
It's going to be a battle all the way through.
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I think there's an opportunity for Sam Houston to score the
2:21
most points to have this year, but that's not really saying a
2:25
lot because that hasn't resulted in them winning their
2:30
quarterback Hunter Watson 43 for 77, two interceptions and 396
2:39
passing yards on the season. He's also their leading rusher,
2:44
which makes it so much more difficult for me to want to side
2:49
with this Bearcats team to win. He has 39 carries with two
2:55
touchdowns for 140 rushing yards.
2:59
It's just not. Enough.
3:00
It's not adequate. Now on the other side, we have
3:05
New Mexico State, who has a struggling offensive line.
3:10
They also have difficulty keeping and stringing drives
3:17
together and moving the chains. We'll see how that looks against
3:22
a Bearcat's defense. That's not really threatening.
3:26
And although the Aggies offense has not had much success, they.
3:32
Have. Had enough success to win two
3:36
games. That is still in a much better
3:41
atmosphere than this Bearcats offense is. 5 touchdowns, 4
3:47
interceptions, 79 for 146 with 1017 passing yards.
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For the Aggies, quarterback Logan Fife, now the running back
4:00
will have to get it going. Cadarius Callaway, 30 carries
4:04
for 80 yards. And one touchdown this season.
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We'll see if he. Springs in action in this game
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at wide out their top receiver Donovan Foppl. 19 receptions,
4:18
274 yards, and a touchdown to go along with it.
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These defenses are pretty reliant on their secondary and
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their secondaries have really let them down, so I expect this
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game to go over the 53 1/2 total.
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I like the Aggies to win on Thursday night, but my best bet
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is the Aggies at plus 2 1/2. I believe they cover that spread
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after the very good recap that I did for college football this
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past weekend. You can look at this next game
5:02
and you have a little bit more knowledge already on hand if
5:06
you've been following along. The BYU Cougars are hosting the
5:11
West Virginia Mountaineers Friday night, 9:30 PM kickoff on
5:18
ESPN. BYU is ranked #23 in the country
5:24
in their quarterback air Bachmeyer is looking to put this
5:30
team on the map once and for all.
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BYU is not being respected. This is the third home game for
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BYU this season and therefore no overall.
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So coming into this game they're looking to add on to their
5:46
impressive resume where they've had great output at all of their
5:52
skill positions. Looking at the quarterback, Baer
5:56
Bachmeier 6 to one for 90 this season, 6 touchdowns and 697
6:02
yards passing. At running back, they have LJ
6:07
Martin 55 carries. 4. 100 rushing yards and one touchdown.
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Now we're about to see. I believe BYU ratcheted up a
6:18
notch at wide receiver. Their number one stud is Chase
6:23
Roberts. 16 receptions, 234 yards receiving and three
6:28
touchdowns on the season. You're about to see both of
6:33
these teams clash as West Virginia will not lay down when
6:39
they have to travel to Provo, UT to play at the Lavelle Edwards
6:44
Stadium at quarterback for West Virginia, we have Niko Marakov,
6:52
720 passing yards on the season. He's 66 for 98, two touchdowns,
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2 interceptions. He's been a bit all over the
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place, right running the ball. They have Jalen Henderson, who
7:06
they're giving the most time, 229 carries, 146 yards rushing
7:11
and one touchdown. The number one receiver is Cam
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Vaughn. 17 catches, 2 touchdowns, 277 yards receiving.
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I'm telling you right now, this is going to be a game where you
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might see the best version of West Virginia.
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You will see a very good version of BYU.
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They're on a roll, spreads huge. You know, it's at 18 1/2 points.
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That's really a tough spot for Virginia to walk into.
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Total set of 47 1/2 and the Mountaineers are the plus 750
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underdogs on the money line. I like the over in this game.
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I believe it goes over that 47 1/2 total.
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West Virginia covers the spread of 18 1/2.
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That's just an. Awful lot of.
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Points you know, to give a team and say here you go to start out
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with BYU is good, but BYU is offense hasn't been a quick
8:18
strike offense. They've been a driving offense.
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They've been a powerful offense, but they have not been a quick
8:27
strike offense this season and their competition has not been
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as good as the competition of West Virginia.
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So I will say that you might be a little bit surprised with West
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Virginia's competition in this game.
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I think the level of competition they bring in will be much
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greater than that, 18 1/2 points.
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So that's my best bet is the 18 1/2 for West Virginia, who's had
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to hear about how bad they are all week.
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They're two and three team while BYU sits comfortably at four and
9:04
O after a very big win, an oppressive win against Colorado.
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But I still feel like BYU. Isn't 18 1/2 points better than
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West Virginia? So I would get that.
9:18
Now in my opinion, and I believe that BYU does win, the game
9:25
total goes over and West Virginia covers the spread.
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Hey, the next game is also on Friday night.
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There's a handful of games on Friday night, so there's plenty
9:38
of action to choose from. I'm just picking two of these
9:40
Friday night games, and I really like that West Virginia versus
9:45
BYU game at 9:30 PM, but the game comes on earlier at 6:00 PM
9:50
between Western Kentucky and Delaware.
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There's also Charlotte versus South Florida, New Mexico versus
9:58
San Jose State. And Colorado State versus San
10:01
Diego State. You get a total of five games on
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Friday, only one on Thursday. I'm going to discuss 10 huge
10:10
games for Saturday. Let's talk about the second game
10:14
for Friday before I move on to Saturday's games where we get
10:18
the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers up against the Delaware Blue
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Hens. Hilltoppers are four and one
10:26
this season. The Blue Hens are three and one.
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Hilltoppers are two and O in Conference USA play, while the
10:33
Blue Hens are one and O. These two teams need to settle
10:38
their differences right now in this game.
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Total set at 61 1/2. Hilltoppers are the plus 2 1/2
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underdogs at the spread and on the money line.
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The Hilltoppers are the underdogs at plus 1/15.
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You're going to have points and bunches in this game.
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The offenses will be loaded up ready to roll over. 61 1/2 is my
11:07
best bet flat out. We'll talk about this game a
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little bit, though. You have a good quarterback on
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each side. So for both of these offenses,
11:18
the quarterbacks are very identical, but they're not
11:22
having the same level of success.
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Western Kentucky is having more success.
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Delaware is having a lot of success, maybe the most in their
11:32
history. But right now it is Western
11:36
Kentucky who is having a tremendous amount of success
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with their quarterback Maverick MacGyver. 128 for 100 and 9211
11:48
touchdowns, 2 interceptions, 1474 yards passing.
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He's been throwing the ball to the likes of Matthew Henry, who
11:57
leads the team with 17 catches, 3 touchdowns and 278 receiving
12:03
yards. And this West Kentucky offense
12:07
is the type of offense where the passing attack has made it so
12:12
that the rushing attack is supplementary.
12:15
And their running back was very good.
12:17
Lavelle Wright, 28 carries, 177 rushing yards and five
12:22
touchdowns. This is opposed to Delaware's
12:26
running back Joe Silver with 45 carries for 326 yards and three
12:35
touchdowns. That has really helped this team
12:39
stabilize the aerial attack here with their quarterback Nick
12:44
Miniucci. Who is 92?
12:47
For 141 eight touchdowns, 2 interceptions and 1065 passing
12:55
yards. He's throwing to his top wide
12:58
receiver. Kyrie duplicities, 20
13:02
receptions, 2 touchdowns and 306 receiving yards.
13:08
This Delaware team's been rolling the last two games.
13:12
They've been able to go over 35 points in both, and Western
13:16
Kentucky has steadily kept pace this season, dropping their one
13:21
game to Toledo 45 to 21. This is going to be a clash.
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I'm telling you the over is the best bet over 61 1/2.
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I love the Hilltoppers to cover the spread at plus 2 1/2, but I
13:37
believe Delaware the Blue Hens will pull this game off and walk
13:43
out of here with a victory at home.
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Really helping this Delaware Blue Hens team with recruiting
13:51
for the next season. I do believe they'll win this
13:54
game. It will be a closely contested
13:58
match, enough to like Western Kentucky on the spread at plus 2
14:04
1/2. But definitely, definitely the
14:08
over 61 1/2 points is the best bet.
14:13
We are making great time. Next game, Iowa stateside clones
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up against the Cincinnati Bearcats.
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Oh, this is going to be good. 11 AM kickoff Central time.
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Watch it on ESPN 2. This is all part of the Big Noon
14:29
kickoff. Total set of 55 1/2.
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The Iowa State Cyclones are the plus 1 1/2 underdogs at the
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spread in the plus 100 money line underdogs.
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They are 5 and O and two and O in the Big 12.
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The Cincinnati Bearcats are three and one on this season and
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they are one and O in the Big 12.
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Here is a Big 12 match up, a meeting of two of the best in
15:00
the Big 12 Conference, and I'm telling you right now, both of
15:05
these teams are going to lay it on the line.
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Nobody is getting out of this game easily with a win.
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It is not happening like that. This is going to be a battle.
15:16
Technically, Iowa State is number one in the Big 12, so
15:22
there's a lot of fuel for Cincinnati to really get this
15:27
game going in their favor early. Otherwise they're going to run
15:32
into some trouble. We're going to talk about that.
15:34
So there's some big trouble on the horizon here, and I'm not
15:38
going to bore you with stats. I'm not just going to beat you
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with stats. I want to talk about stats that
15:43
actually matter. The quarterbacks, well, their
15:47
stats matter a lot. So we have to look at
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Cincinnati's quarterback here because this.
15:52
Is kind of a. Two prong situation here where
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they're going to run into a problem.
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First up, he is their leading rusher and their quarterback.
16:03
So as their quarterback, Brendan Sorsby, who I think is doing a
16:08
fantastic job by the way, is 74 for 107, ten touchdowns, 1
16:14
interception and 1000. And 43 passing yards.
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Now pay attention. He's rushed 35 times for 227
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yards. And four rushing touchdowns.
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So that's a total of 14 touchdowns.
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Pretty impressive, right? Well, Iowa State comes into this
16:37
game. They're preparing for that.
16:40
It doesn't mean they're going to be able to stop that.
16:44
Here's why I believe they can stop that because they have a
16:48
solid secondary and a very good front seven with that
16:54
combination coming into this game.
16:57
And we've seen that it's travelled, right?
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We've seen that this has travelled and these two teams
17:05
are not shying away from attacking the defense.
17:12
But the one lone problem I have with the Cincinnati team is they
17:18
let other teams score. The good news about it is, and
17:23
the good news about the Cincinnati team is they play to
17:27
the level of their competition, they play to the level of their
17:31
opponent. And it's been better in three
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out of the four games they played this year.
17:39
So I think that's a true testament of the Cincinnati
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program now in this fifth game while we're in week. 6 and Iowa
17:50
State. This is their 6th.
17:51
Game. You could tell Iowa.
17:54
State, is that a little bit longer to stretch their legs?
18:03
And even when I've kind of thought, oh, here's a team like
18:07
Kansas State at the beginning of the year, like Arizona, you
18:14
know? Iowa State?
18:15
Really. Just held on and just showed
18:17
they were better. Definitely better than Arizona,
18:21
definitely better than Kansas State.
18:24
And at this point in time, they probably beat Kansas State by a
18:27
little bit more. Now where Cincinnati loses me is
18:33
they're going to be relying on the quarterback to run this ball
18:35
against a very tough nose Iowa State defense, and that kind of
18:39
loses me. I kind of start moving away from
18:42
that. I like Iowa State to win this
18:45
game because they have the more complete team.
18:50
Now I do like. This Cincinnati defense, but
18:54
it's more that I like the linebacker they have Jake Gold
18:58
Day, but more importantly, the way the front 7 for Cincinnati's
19:03
been playing as well has been pretty good.
19:06
You have to give them a lot of credit.
19:08
Now, the story goes. It's.
19:10
Not that they won't give up. Points.
19:15
It's that the points are going to come at a premium in this
19:18
game. So when I see a total of 55 1/2,
19:23
two pretty good defenses and two offenses that are not shy about
19:28
attacking the defenses and the coverages they have in the
19:31
secondary. I think the points.
19:34
Really come at a premium, so I like the under 55.
19:37
And 1/2. My best bet is going to be on
19:42
Iowa State to cover that plus 1 1/2 spread and I do believe they
19:48
win the game as well. The total goes under and I like
19:53
the Iowa State team. I think they have a more
19:56
complete team. They have their running back,
19:58
Carson Hanson, 73 carries, 315 yards rushing.
20:03
With two touchdowns and this is a.
20:06
Situation where the quarterback Rocco back for Iowa State can be
20:12
dishing the ball out. He himself, Kentucky didn't run,
20:16
but he has a great running back who's loading up this year,
20:19
getting a ton of time. That's another reason I like the
20:24
under because I think this game kind of slows down a little bit
20:28
in the first half after we get the initial pump from each team.
20:34
But Rocco back, you know, 79 for 127 touchdowns, 2 interceptions,
20:39
1103 passing yards. He's been pretty good.
20:42
His top wide out, Brett Eskelyn, 10 catches, 1 touchdown, 216
20:49
receiving yards. So the talent is very spread out
20:53
on these teams and I think we get a really great game.
20:57
Totals moving up. I love it because I think it's
20:59
going to go under, so let it go up.
21:02
I'm not opposed to an under in this game, but I do believe Iowa
21:06
State wins because that five in OH Iowa State team is in a prime
21:11
position to run the table for the Big 12.
21:14
So I do think they will continue to run the table right now for
21:17
the Big 12. They they will have some
21:19
competition with the likes of BYU depending on how their
21:23
season goes and Baylor, possibly Utah, but I'm not too big on
21:28
Utah yet. I know Texas Tech's.
21:29
Offense is rolling along. So we shall see there as well.
21:34
Next up, we get a game where I was just talking about one of
21:37
these teams. Actually both of these teams in
21:39
a way. Baylor Bears up against Kansas
21:43
State Wildcats. The Baylor Bears are hosting the
21:45
Wildcats in this game. Kansas State comes in two and
21:48
three on the season. Baylor's 3:00 and 2:11 AM
21:52
kickoff. Watch it on ESPN Plus if you
21:54
have it. Total set at 61 1/2.
21:59
Kansas State the plus 6 1/2 underdogs at the spread and the
22:03
plus 190 money line underdogs at this point in the season.
22:07
Kansas State is who they are. They can score on offense.
22:10
They're going to give it up. Points and bunches on defense.
22:14
Love the over 61 1/2 right away. We know Baylor's got a stacked.
22:17
Offense, starting with her quarterback Sawyer Robertson.
22:22
133 for 209, Seventeen touchdowns, 3 interceptions,
22:26
1713 passing yards, complemented by a running back who is just
22:33
going off and Bryson Washington. 93 carries, 492 rushing yards
22:39
and five touchdowns. You could look to their top wide
22:42
out is going to get plenty of sunshine on Saturday.
22:47
You have Josh Cameron Eastley. Josh Cameron, 27 catches, 407
22:53
receiving yards, and Oh yeah, by the way, he's got 3 touchdowns.
22:59
When you look over at that Kansas State offense, they're
23:01
going to score. They're going to find ways,
23:04
creative ways to score. They're going to try to take
23:07
Baylor by surprise. You're going to see some tricks.
23:10
So we have the quarterback Avery Johnson, who despite everything,
23:16
and you know what everyone said and everything stacked against
23:19
them, he has had a great year. 95 for A1528 touchdowns, 1019
23:27
yards passing, 1 interception. I mean the 8.
23:30
Touchdowns should tell you that. 8 touchdown to 1 interception
23:33
ratio should tell you he's having a good year.
23:37
He needs his. Defense to step up.
23:39
I mean, the defense is just giving up points.
23:42
I'm proud of Kansas State for winning their last game.
23:45
It looks like the defense is finally trying to get a hold on
23:49
things. OK.
23:50
But in this game over, over, over, it's going over.
23:55
Dylan Edwards, the running back for Kansas State, is going to
23:57
get in the mix here. 24 carries, 179 yards rushing, 1 touchdown
24:02
to add to that. But he can also mix in well with
24:05
this passing attack. Straight up across the middle
24:09
from the back of the line to the front of the line in no time.
24:14
And then they have a wide receiver, JC Brown, 25
24:17
receptions, 2 touchdowns, 284 receiving yards.
24:20
He leads the team. And you have to give him credit.
24:25
They went and play the UCF team. Not a lot of people were giving
24:28
them a chance. I said, hey, UCF is in a better
24:31
spot. They've few better things going
24:33
for them. And Kansas State said we have to
24:35
make the best of these opportunities when they're at
24:39
home. And they did so now on the road.
24:43
I still feel like we get that Kansas State team where the
24:46
defense doesn't travel, the offense is there and they're
24:50
with it. But in a beautiful day at McLean
24:53
Stadium in Waco, TX, the. Baylor Bears are going to win
24:57
this game at -225 not a bad price, but why not have some fun
25:03
with the over at 61 1/2 Kansas State the plus 6 1/2 underdogs
25:09
at the spread they cover. Next game up is going to be a
25:13
tough one for Alabama as they host the Vanderbilt Commodores.
25:18
2. 30 PM kick off. Watch it on ABC Alabama's 3 and
25:23
1 Vanderbilt. Is five and OI don't remember
25:29
the last time we seen the Vanderbilt, this team this good
25:34
in the modern day. I know Jordan Rodgers, Aaron
25:38
Rodgers brother played there. And he did slightly well.
25:45
What happened to him, you know? Total set of 56 1/2 spread at
25:50
plus 10 1/2. For Vanderbilt, obviously, I
25:54
mean, there's no way they're going to be favored over
25:58
Alabama. Not possible after what Alabama
26:01
did this past weekend, but Vanderbilt comes in as the three
26:05
to one money line underdog plus 340 on the money line.
26:09
Total of 56. And a half it's going over.
26:13
I don't see this as a defensive struggle.
26:17
Vanderbilt has the right formula to go to a great bowl game, like
26:24
a really good bowl game. And Alabama has a good recipe to
26:30
kind of get themselves back in the College Football Playoff,
26:38
which I think they're on track to do if they just win this
26:41
game, You know, they have to, you know, win out.
26:44
But I think if they win this game, Alabama would be back on
26:47
track towards that College Football Playoff.
26:52
You know, I like the over right away.
26:53
We could talk about the talent. Let's take a look at the
26:57
quarterback for Vanderbilt. Diego Baiva.
27:00
He's 94 for 126. 13 touchdowns, 3 interceptions, 1211 passing
27:08
yards. He's also the top rusher on this
27:11
team. 48 carries 2. Touchdowns, 294 rushing yards,
27:17
that's going to factor in a great deal in this game.
27:21
And the reason I say that is this is the type of game.
27:26
Vanderbilt's asking for if they want to move forward with a
27:30
College Football Playoff hoe and to keep that dream alive.
27:35
These are the type of games you want.
27:37
You want to play Alabama, you need to know where you're really
27:40
at. So they haven't played A-Team
27:43
besides South Carolina and Virginia Tech towards the
27:49
beginning of the season. That really were good, right,
27:54
everybody? Else has been just basic average
27:57
team. But those two games, they
28:00
dominated, so it's really smart to be like, hey, Vanderbilt can
28:07
find a way to make this exciting.
28:10
I like the plus 10 1/2. Big reason being is Alabama's in
28:14
a close game every game. And not only that, they're only
28:21
beating teams that are on the down or you don't even know of
28:27
these teams. So you have to take this all
28:31
with a grain of salt that they're really going to have
28:34
everything on the line here. But I've seen this Alabama
28:38
defense get moved around a little bit.
28:41
So I love the plus 10 1/2. I love the over 56 1/2.
28:48
I like Alabama to win. It's just going to be too much
28:51
to ask this Vanderbilt team. That has kind of just shown up
28:56
and surprised. Everyone has looked really good,
29:01
even though their top receivers, a tight end, and they're setting
29:06
up these weird plays that somehow have resulted in them
29:12
dominating their opponent. Nobody's really talking about
29:16
their defense being pretty good, and Alabama's defense is an
29:22
Alabama defense. Good but not great yet.
29:25
They haven't shown that they're great defense yet.
29:29
That win over Georgia was huge. Was Georgia really in the
29:32
position? And having the talent all around
29:36
now we see maybe not it was a little bit overestimated, but
29:42
I'm really not high on the quarterback for Alabama.
29:44
Tie Simpson 88 for 127. Eleven touchdowns, 1138 passing
29:50
yards. He's just like, it's like
29:54
another carbon copy of what Alabama always has.
29:59
But these are just normal Alabama quarterback numbers,
30:02
which have not been resulting in the same national championship
30:06
runs. That they've had.
30:09
Running the ball has been, you know, pretty average 33 carries,
30:13
150 yards rushing for Kevin Reilly.
30:17
He's a tough nose back. You know, he has a hard nose for
30:21
the football and you have a good wide receiver here in Gurney
30:25
Bernard. 20 catches, 4 touchdowns, 310 receiving yards.
30:30
Now the tight end for Vanderbilt, Eli Stowers, has 22
30:35
receptions, 2 touchdowns, 301 receiving yards.
30:40
But this Vanderbilt defense can get off the ball fast on
30:43
defense, and the Alabama offense is going to have to figure that
30:49
out on the fly a little bit because this defense for
30:53
Vanderbilt, no one really is talking about what it's doing.
30:56
They're pretty good. So my best bet is Vanderbilt
30:59
plus 10 1/2. The goal of that Vanderbilt's
31:03
offense just needs to be but points on the board.
31:08
Find ways to get in scoring position, keep this game close
31:12
and you'll have an opportunity to win.
31:15
But if you try to get it all on one play, if you try to play
31:19
hero ball, which can happen with a quarterback who likes to run,
31:23
you're going to run into trouble.
31:26
But Diego Bava has had a different level this season.
31:31
It's been exciting to see. Vanderbilt's been surprising
31:34
everyone. They're looking to surprise
31:36
everyone again here. But this is a really tall task.
31:41
And I think it's just a little bit too tall for this Vanderbilt
31:45
team in this current scenario. I believe Alabama's going to
31:50
come in fired up. They're going to come in ready
31:52
to play. They're going to pull this game
31:54
off. It's.
31:55
Going to be closed down to the wire.
31:58
It's going to go over by the time this game's said and done.
32:01
But the best bet? Vanderbilt plus 10 1/2.
32:04
Love the spread but I do believe Alabama wins this game.
32:09
They have shown me enough to know that even though I'm not
32:13
very big on the quarterback, I understand the dynamic of each
32:19
individual week and in this week they'll have a good.
32:23
Enough game plan to get past this Vanderbilt team, and I
32:26
think Alabama will surprise a lot of people the way they
32:29
handle this very tough defense from Vanderbilt.
32:33
That's going to continue to be a problem for other teams down.
32:37
The stretch of this season. And this may not be the last
32:41
time Vanderbilt sees Alabama this year.
32:44
The next game could be great, but I don't really think it will
32:49
be great. The Texas Longhorns are three
32:53
and one heading into the Swamp to face the Florida Gators, who
32:59
are one and three on the season. Texas Longhorns are ranked #9 in
33:06
the country and everybody is riding Texas in this game.
33:11
The total set at 41 1/2. Texas is the -6 1/2 favorites at
33:17
the spread and the -250 favorites on the money line.
33:21
So where does Florida fit in the pitcher here?
33:24
Well, Texas has been a team that started slow this season.
33:29
They've since picked up the pace.
33:32
And right now, Archie Manning is the guy at Texas, and he will
33:39
continue to be the guy. He's 65 for 106, nine
33:42
touchdowns, 3 interceptions, 888 passing yards.
33:47
He's on a roll. They win last week, 55 to
33:51
nothing, against the same Houston Bearcats.
33:54
Who we spoke about prior, but Florida, a team that has
34:01
recruited how they want, that's touted this recruiting class and
34:07
even the recruiting class prior, but have yet to really been all
34:15
that competitive outside of two games this year.
34:20
It is a disappointment to see the Florida Gators fall this far
34:27
and they. Have.
34:27
Talent, mind you. But their quarterback is holding
34:32
them back. He has not met the expectations
34:36
sat in front of them. And when you look at this
34:39
running game behind him, he has had every opportunity.
34:45
The running back Jaden Ball, 49 carries for 289 yards and two
34:50
touchdowns. He will give.
34:53
Texas some issues Legway is in a make or break position.
35:00
He really has to lead this Florida Gators team to a
35:05
victory, otherwise I do not see a way he can continue being the
35:11
starter at quarterback. 83 four, 123 passing the ball. 690
35:21
passing yards, 5 touchdowns and six interceptions.
35:25
He's got very good receivers. Fernell Brown the 3rd 18
35:30
catches, 219 yards receiving. The defense is not really
35:36
letting anybody run them over. This has just been an offensive
35:40
headache. So Texas will win this game.
35:45
It will go over 41 1/2 total points because that is just too
35:51
low for this type of SEC game where field position can be
35:56
flipped in an instant and Florida is in a must win
36:01
situation. Texas is also in a must win
36:04
situation but I like Florida on the spread plus 6 1/2 and even
36:10
money. Best bet is the over 41 1/2
36:15
points. It is just way too low.
36:18
This is just way too. Low right here.
36:21
And then Texas pulls it off -250 on the money line.
36:24
It pains me to go against the Gators.
36:27
Kickoff is at 2:30 PM. Watch it on ESPN.
36:33
This next game is going to result in a lot of points in my
36:36
opinion. When we get.
36:38
The Virginia Cavaliers and they hit the road to face the
36:42
Louisville Cardinals. Game is at 2:30 PM.
36:47
Watch it on ESPN. 2 Total set of 62.
36:51
And a half the Virginia Cavaliers are the plus 200 money
36:57
line underdogs in the plus 6 1/2 underdogs at the spread.
37:04
I really like Virginia's chances in this game.
37:07
After what we saw against Florida State, I know they
37:12
wanted to double overtime. But Florida State was beat.
37:17
I mean, it's sad to say, but they were beat.
37:20
And even as Virginia kept giving up points, I'm like, yeah, but
37:24
it's coming kind of difficult, right?
37:27
It's not easy for Florida State to kind of, you know, go off on
37:32
this team. So when Virginia ended up
37:35
winning that, I said, you know, you might have to look at this
37:39
Virginia team a little bit differently.
37:42
A lot of people are high on Louisville, like me.
37:45
We've all been pretty high on Louisville lately.
37:48
Most of this season, on past shows and past years, we've
37:52
talked about this Louisville program.
37:55
They've grown up right in front of our eyes, haven't they?
37:58
And we have. An interesting kind of turn of
38:02
events here, because I really like what Virginia presents on
38:05
both sides of the ball and Louisville has a defense that is
38:11
very hard for me to trust. That's where I find
38:15
difficulties, and that's a lot of recent history.
38:18
Built into that. But with this team at four and O
38:23
and Virginia coming in at 4 and O after just a phenomenal, huge
38:29
win, a lot of people are thinking, OK, now is when the
38:34
script flips and that's kind of Louisville's time to win.
38:40
But the score doesn't always tell the whole story, does it?
38:45
A lot of those games Louisville had those points didn't come as
38:48
easy as they're reflected on the scoreboard.
38:53
I think we get an under in this game.
38:55
I think it goes under 62 1/2. When this one's all said and
39:00
done, it's really because I respect the defenses more than
39:06
that line is giving them. You know they're not getting any
39:11
respect on the line here. Like Virginia on the spread at
39:15
plus 6 1/2. I would take that live right
39:21
away. My best bets and under that's
39:23
hard to get to. It's hard to get to 62 1/2 for
39:27
these teams to be where they're at.
39:29
The defenses cannot be that bad. And I, I understand, you know,
39:35
you got to give credit to the offense and everything because
39:38
these offenses are so good. But I mean, you're coming off a
39:41
huge game like Virginia is Louisville, you know, against
39:49
Pittsburgh, they were in control.
39:51
Of that game, it's the game against teams like James
39:55
Madison, and those games are where it was like, well, you
40:02
won, but. You know, that was just a win.
40:06
Virginia, you know, dominated Stanford, who's been pretty good
40:11
this season. They beat Florida State.
40:14
They kept it really close with North Carolina State.
40:17
If they played North Carolina State right now, you'll probably
40:21
get a different score. So I don't want to discount what
40:26
Virginia has done in one instant, but Louisville at home.
40:34
Historically pretty good and it's hard to go against them
40:39
when they've been at home and they've been sitting here
40:41
comfortable after a huge Rd. win against Pittsburgh where they
40:46
really didn't expand or expend as much energy as they could
40:51
have. The problem with.
40:53
Virginia is they did expend a lot of energy.
40:56
But that doesn't scare me away from taking them in this game
41:01
because people are respecting Miller Moss a little bit too
41:08
much. 86 for 131, five touchdowns, 3 interceptions,
41:14
1029 passing yards. And Chandler Morris has had his
41:19
problems, 111 for 155 with 10 touchdowns and 4 interceptions,
41:27
totaling 1279 passing yards. He's been sharp, he's made some
41:33
mistakes, he's had some errors, but he has the better running
41:38
back in this game. And Jamari Taylor, 75 carries, 7
41:44
touchdowns, 397 rushing yards and he's not slowing down.
41:50
Then two top whiteouts to look for in this game are going to be
41:55
Terrell Harris from Virginia side. 21 catches, 3 touchdowns,
41:59
366 receiving yards. And on Louisville's side of the
42:04
ball. Look for Chris Bell with 23
42:07
catches, 332 receiving yards and two.
42:10
Touchdowns on this season. They're running back Isaac
42:14
Brown, very talented. Swift with the football, good at
42:20
getting. In and out of the running lane
42:22
to avoid tackles. 33 carries, 3 touchdowns, 268 rushing yards,
42:29
but Jamari Taylor. 'S the best back in this game.
42:32
Virginia has the better receiving core in this game and
42:35
they have the more capable quarterback and Chandler Morris
42:39
who not only is good moving outside of the pocket, but he's
42:43
also very handy in the pocket and not afraid to take a hit.
42:48
And this defense for Virginia is tough.
42:52
This will be a tough game for Virginia to win.
42:56
Love them at plus 6 1/2. At the spread.
43:00
Love the under 62 1/2 total points and I'm taking Virginia
43:06
to win at +200. I am not going to shy away even
43:11
though they went to a double overtime game and had to hit the
43:14
road. I believe that momentum, that
43:17
energy, that charisma is going to carry into this.
43:21
Game as they have a ranking next to their name, 24th in the
43:26
country, and they're looking to prove it.
43:29
Against Louisville, I think they do.
43:32
Next game up we have a really good match up here.
43:36
We have the Washington Huskies up against the Maryland
43:40
Terrapins in a Big 10 match up where Maryland undefeated right
43:45
now four and O hosting this Huskies team who is 3 and 1.
43:51
Just lost to Ohio. State and Maryland's been
43:55
rolling. They just beat Wisconsin 27 to
43:58
10. But they really.
44:00
Haven't been challenged much this year where Washington was
44:06
rolling along steadily and mightily until they ran into
44:11
Ohio State. Even hosting Ohio State and just
44:15
falling short, not able to stand up.
44:18
Maryland's been able to stand up.
44:20
They're not really getting a lot of credit.
44:22
But let me tell you where they're going to have an issue
44:24
here. This game is going to end up
44:27
being a shootout between the two quarterbacks who can tally up
44:32
the most points and for the running backs who can tear up
44:35
the field the most, the defenses.
44:38
I don't believe we're going to stand much of a chance here.
44:42
This game is at 2:30 PM on the Big 10 Network, and it's going
44:49
to be close. I really love Maryland at the
44:54
spread. Plus 6 1/2 total of 54 1/2.
44:59
I believe it goes over because Washington's going to come out
45:02
hot after being stymied by Ohio State, and Maryland has no
45:07
reason not to come out strong. They have been very efficient.
45:13
Plus 210 money line underdogs. I really like Washington to win
45:20
this game. They have a lot of.
45:22
Riding on their season, A lot is riding on this game right here.
45:28
I think they win this game, but they don't do it easily.
45:32
It's going to be gritty, and I do think it turns into much of A
45:37
shootout for most of this game. The totals moved up two points
45:41
from 52 1/2 to 54 1/2. Like I say, this is going over
45:49
my best bet is Maryland to cover that plus 6 1/2 because them
45:53
being at home really gives me a little bit of confidence to know
45:58
if their crowd is going to be in.
45:59
Full. Force because they're going to
46:03
need all the help they can get as Washington's offense is going
46:07
to be fired up. But after that last week where
46:10
Ohio State was able to just trance this defense and really
46:15
keep this team occupied for most of the game with beating
46:19
themselves, I think Washington, you know, has to really dig deep
46:25
as well. It's not just like they start
46:28
off with a boat of confidence. They're going to have to ease
46:32
into it. But the quarterback Desmond
46:34
Williams junior, 68 for 96 touchdowns, 951 yards passing
46:41
opposed to Maryland's quarterback who's been really
46:44
good this year in Malik Washington, and he's not.
46:46
Afraid to run the ball either, even though they have a very
46:50
good running back. He's not afraid to run the ball.
46:53
He's 80 for 134, eight touchdowns and one interception.
46:58
Wonderful ratio and 1038 passing yards.
47:04
The running backs, again, we have Dejuan Williams from
47:06
Maryland sticking with their side. 47 carries, 183 yards
47:11
rushing, 1 touchdown and their top wide out.
47:15
Shalik Knots, who's really been on pace to have a breakout
47:20
season with 14 receptions, 276 receiving yards and five
47:26
touchdowns. On Washington side, their
47:30
running back is just so good. 64 carries for Jonah Coleman, 417
47:36
rushing yards and 9 touchdowns. Their top wide out.
47:40
Denzel Boston, 19 receptions, 3 touchdowns, 275 yards receiving.
47:47
This is a team that is ready to get back on track.
47:52
Train went a little off the rails in the last game.
47:54
That's OK, They're coming back strong.
47:58
But don't count Maryland out. Plus 6 1/2 at the spread
48:02
Maryland covers. Defenses are going to have a
48:04
hard time keeping up. I like the over 54 1/2 but I
48:09
believe. Washington, the road favorite at
48:13
-250 wins. My best bet is that spread for
48:16
Maryland because they are the home team.
48:18
I really like the overs. Well that can be the best bet
48:21
too. Next up, another great college
48:24
football match up where we get the UNLV Rebels to take on the
48:29
Wyoming Cowboys. This game is at 6:00 PM.
48:34
Watch it on CBSSN. The Rebels are four and O the
48:39
Cowboys are two and two in the Mountain West.
48:43
Total set at 50. And 1/2.
48:46
The Cowboys are the plus 3 1/2 home dogs at the spread in the
48:53
plus 155 money line underdogs. Everybody's jumping on the UNLV
49:00
bandwagon for this game. I'm not opposed to that.
49:04
That's probably the better place to be.
49:08
I like the under 50 1/2. I see two teams that.
49:14
Don't score very successfully, but I do like UNLV because
49:20
they're a complete team. They're undefeated.
49:22
You have to give them their credit, but everything's come
49:25
pretty difficultly. And this -3 1/2.
49:30
For UNLV at the spread is tempting.
49:32
It opened at -5 1/2 so it's not that tempting anymore.
49:37
This really looks like a live bet, but going into it, I do
49:43
believe UNLV is going to win this game at -185 That's my best
49:48
bet, but I'm not asking you to take any bet.
49:52
We are going to look at the quarterback for UNLV.
49:55
Here we have Anthony Colandria 78 for 108, eight touchdowns, 3
50:00
interceptions, 940 passing yards.
50:05
He's going to be. Passing the ball around to guys
50:07
like Jayden Bradley. 20 receptions, 2 touchdowns, 355
50:13
receiving yards. How about that?
50:15
That's a monster stat line. Then we have the running back
50:20
for UNLV, Jayden Thomas. 45 carries, 5 touchdowns, 393
50:27
rushing yards on Wyoming. They have talent.
50:31
They're just a little bit. Thinner in the talent department
50:35
when you look at their quarterback.
50:36
Caden Anderson, 59 for 107, five touchdowns, 2 picks, 711 passing
50:44
yards. A lucky number.
50:48
They're running back Samuel Harris. 37 carries, 1 touchdown,
50:52
256 receiving yards. And their top wide out, Chris
50:56
Derr Junior, 21 receptions, 3 touchdowns, 290 receiving yards
51:04
as that team kind of grows and comes into their own.
51:08
You could see Wyoming's still making a bowl game this year and
51:12
being much better next season and the season after with a lot
51:17
of this team that's sticking around.
51:20
Minus the seniors, Wyoming has failed to beat any team with any
51:26
real relevance or strength of schedule.
51:30
That is very good this year. If I look to.
51:34
UNLV, who beat the likes of UCLA, Miami, Ohio and even Idaho
51:43
State, who has been very competitive, you know, unusually
51:47
competitive. So I'm going with UNLV to win.
51:52
I believe they cover the spread of -3.
51:55
And 1/2. Even though it's shrinking and I
51:58
believe UNLV wins, they've shown me enough and I've seen enough
52:02
from this team to believe that they have a great opportunity to
52:07
win. We are down to the final three
52:11
games and it's time to check out the Miami Hurricanes first.
52:16
The Florida State Seminoles Miami Hurricanes are four and O
52:20
Florida State is 3 and one. This game is at 6:30 PM and you
52:26
can watch this on ABC. This Miami team comes into this
52:32
game pretty strong, not going to lie.
52:34
They come in pretty tough. Look over at this Florida State
52:38
team. This is an angry.
52:40
Florida State team I like Florida State's chances a lot.
52:46
Miami's good. I think Miami really helps push
52:52
the total over. 53 1/2 I think Florida State's, you know, a
52:59
little bit tired, but I don't think they're out of it at all.
53:03
I think they're. Going to be in this game, you
53:06
know, you can go back to when they beat Alabama to start the
53:10
season off and from that point they have never looked weak.
53:17
Their defense did not look great in their last game.
53:22
So I really love the over. That's my best bet over 53 1/2.
53:26
You get Carson back from Miami, Tommy Castellanos from Florida
53:31
State. You have a Marriott of players
53:34
who are going to be taken off Florida State of plus 4 1/2 at
53:40
the spread. Love it and I'm going to
53:44
surprise you because I believe Florida State's defense can get
53:49
to Carson back, who's having a phenomenal year 82 for 112,
53:55
seven touchdowns and 972 passing yards with three interceptions
54:00
as well. They have a great running.
54:01
Back to Miami does with Mark Fletcher junior, but I think
54:05
Florida State is going to be in this game through and through
54:09
and pull this one out like Florida State to win a + 160 on
54:13
the money line. They have done more than enough
54:19
to win some favor from me this season.
54:22
And this is a game where normally, you know, I'm not
54:25
really picking a favorite here, OK?
54:29
We have Miami #3 in the country, Florida State #18 in the country
54:35
after a loss like that against Virginia for Florida State, Wow,
54:41
what a story of redemption to beat Miami on your home field.
54:46
I like that story. So I'm going to go with that
54:50
story. And I'm picking Florida State to
54:53
win, all right? We're getting close to closing
54:56
it out here. We have the Kansas Jayhawks
54:58
first at UCF. Knights.
54:59
I'm not going to spend too much time on this game.
55:01
I respect both programs. Kick off at 6:30 PM.
55:05
The Jayhawks are three and two. The Knights are three and one.
55:09
When you look at these teams for what they have, I think a lot of
55:13
us are ready. To pick the Central Knights.
55:20
But we also have to keep in mind that they've had some trouble
55:25
this year. They really have.
55:28
Outside of that game against North Carolina, where they
55:30
really gave them a beat down, they haven't shown me, you know,
55:37
that they're a dominant team. Kansas has not either.
55:41
But one thing I know about Kansas every time they play is
55:44
they're going to score a lot of points.
55:47
Right In recent memory, Kansas has been scoring a lot of
55:50
points, so the total of 53 1/2 is going over.
55:54
I really love the chances that Kansas will have in this game.
55:58
The quarterback is great. Jalen Daniels 85 for A12716
56:02
touchdowns, 2 interceptions. The quarterback for.
56:06
UCF just hasn't had enough work and when you had this road game
56:12
where we get to really see what your team has, you came up way
56:16
short against Kansas State. Kansas is pretty good.
56:21
You know, I don't see Kansas folding up.
56:25
Especially with their top receiver Emmanuel Henderson
56:28
junior 23 receptions, 4 touchdowns and 435 receiving
56:33
yards. This team for Kansas has.
56:36
Gotten a lot of work in. I believe they.
56:39
Win at the -195 money line total goes over 53 1/2 with respect to
56:48
the defenses because the total's been moving down a little bit,
56:51
but. Over 53 1/2 is going to happen
56:54
and either way, either way I like UCF to cover that plus 4
57:03
1/2 spread. Kansas wins, UCF covers the
57:08
spread and the total goes over 50. 3 1/2.
57:13
Last game up and this is one of the best games of the weekend.
57:19
It's going to show what these two teams are made of, that's
57:21
for sure. Duke Blue Devils three and two
57:25
hit the road once again to take on the California Golden Bears.
57:31
Kick off at 9:30 PM. Watch it on ESPN Saturday night.
57:36
The Golden Bears have been very impressive.
57:40
Duke has turned their season around after being embarrassed
57:43
on their home field by Illinois. They've shown up.
57:47
I'm proud of both of these programs.
57:50
Total at 50. 5 1/2 California Golden Bears are the plus 2 1/2
57:55
underdogs at the spread in the plus 130 home dogs on the money
58:02
line right away. Love the over.
58:07
It's at 55 1/2. It's come down to one point from
58:12
56 1/2, but at 55 1/2. I love it.
58:18
California plus 2 1/2 on the spread is going to be difficult
58:22
because Duke is going to score at will.
58:25
Duke's defense is a little bit better than they were to begin
58:29
the season. I still think.
58:31
California can cover that spread, so I like California to
58:34
cover the plus 2 1/2 spread. Duke will win this game at -150
58:40
but the total over 50. 5 1/2. That's the best bet when?
58:44
You look at the quarterback Darien Mensa for Duke, 121 for
58:49
100 and 7513 touchdowns and two interceptions, 1573 passing
58:56
yards. He has been electrifying this
59:00
season. Both running backs are doing
59:02
good. You have Nate Shepard for Duke.
59:05
On the other side, you have Kendrick Raphael for California.
59:10
The receiving force for both teams are stacked.
59:13
They have talent. They're deep on defense, but the
59:17
defense is not showing up. They're not showing up.
59:22
And what really bothers me about that California team is that 34
59:27
to nothing lost. The San Diego State.
59:31
That bothers me because even at Duke's worst this year, they put
59:37
up. 19 points at their worst and they're coming off a game
59:41
against Syracuse where they barely broke a sweat, scoring 38
59:46
to 3. The only sweat they broke was
59:49
because they were playing in a Dome.
59:52
So again, let's recap. Duke wins at -150 on the money
59:57
line. Total goes over 55 1/2 in the
1:00:01
California Golden Bears cover. At +2 and 1/2 at the spread.
1:00:06
Just like the hands of. Time.
1:00:08
I'm turning it over to you. Goodnight and God bless.
1:00:10
Psalm 37. Four KJV.