Latest / Disguised Coverage / Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders Preview, Stock Up Stock Down, & more | DC

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Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders Preview, Stock Up Stock Down, & more | DC · Disguised Coverage

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And thirty eight. All Bills can win it here, Wake puts it down.
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The kick is on the way out and he's got on the bill.
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Good one, hell good one. He have one. They won a party
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one up thirty eight Incredible. What a combat by my Bill Jackson Bills perfect
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record on the line right here, keep it looks side touchdown Kyle Williams touchdown.
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Amazing, I'm believable. They put in william who's hats the full back
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and he scores a touchdown. It's wealthier to face tackle. What's good,
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folks, Family Friends, loved One's Enemies for Enemies Wizards, which is Muggles
1:21
Mudblood's People of Middle Earth to another episode of disguise coverage. The only podcast
1:25
in existence that gives you an equal amount of blueberries in each muffin, and
1:27
that is presented by the best pizza in Buffalo, New York, and that
1:30
is One Pie Pizza. You can find the online menu in the episode show
1:34
notes where they're here on YouTube and or whichever podcasting app or platform you're listening
1:38
to this show on. I'm your host, Anthony pro Haska. Find me
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on Twitter at pro Underscore Underscore ant that's Pro two underscores a Nt in tonight's
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episode. Man, we're just right where we thought we'd be after week one,
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right, just cruising on a full swing of sadness and depression after a
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pretty deflating and unfortunate loss to the New York Jets and Aaron rodgerless Jets on
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Monday night in New Jersey, not New York, New Jersey. We're going
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to dive into that a little bit on this show, not to rehatch too
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much, but stock up, stock down. It's part of the show that
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I'd love to incorporate come regular season time. So we're going to dive into
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that piece, who and or what schematically individual player related, position, group
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related, who and or what is trending up, trending down, the wise
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and the house behind all of it. Then as we move forward, we're
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gonna look forward and move forward towards week two as the Buffalo Bills faced the
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Las Vegas Raiders as the home opening contest for the Buffalo Bills in twenty twenty
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three, and we're going to dive into these schematic components, the key schematic
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components that will decide that game. Again XS and o's player pieces, Advanced
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metrics all from a bunch of film study. I was granted a whole bunch
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of Raiders tape today offensively and defensively from their Week one performance against the Denver
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Ronco's really trying to piece together who and what this team is, although again
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one week isn't the biggest sample size you can really draw too many conclusions from.
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But given the history of this team, what they were last year,
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Josh McDaniels all of those pieces, we're going to dive into that from a
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matchup standpoint for Bills and Raiders in week two. But like I mentioned in
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the intro, well the intro of the intro, I want to grab some
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pieces from the live chat, so I mentioned it earlier commented on YouTube.
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But if you're just joining it now, thoughts, questions, comments, concerns,
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anything and everything related to the takeaways from Bills versus Jets, I've got
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several again, all related to the stock up, stock up and stock down
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pieces. So if you have a question, if you have a thought,
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if you have a concern, if you have a comment, whatever is on
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your brain, if you have some stock up and stock down of your own,
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whether you think they're obvious, whether you think they're not throw them up
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into the chat. I like to make this as interactive as possible, especially
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on these episodes where I ride solo, like to have as large and engaging
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of a chat back and forth with each other and back and forth with myself
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as we move on forward in this episode and grab the first comment, So
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I actually question from Rod who said, how did the rookies first year and
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second guys look bright? Future question mark? We'll start with the offensive side.
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I thought Sortstaurrens held his own. I think a couple of reps he'd
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like to have back. But I think that's kind of systematic of the entire
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offensive line from this past game, which I think is also systematic of playing
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against the New York Jets, a group that if anybody was still doubting the
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New York Jets defense, whether it was their defensive line, whether it was
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their coverage, whether it was the scheme, anything and everything, if you
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were still doubting the Jets defense for whatever reason, I held this game shed
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you know, some light on how much of a quality unit they are from
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front to back, and you know we're going to talk about that as we
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move forward in this episode. But it starts with that defensive line quality group,
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I thought Taurrens held his own. I really wish he would have been
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able to seal Quinnon Williams on that second and fifteen run in overtime time as
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he pinned down on him. Williams reddit got through him, made a play
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on Cook along with JFM John Franklin Myers making a play on Cook as well
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getting through Spencer Brown. So that's one he'd like to have back in a
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couple and pass bro. But I thought Torrens held his own for the most
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part. Continuing with first and second year players, I gotta fully go through
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defense again. But I saw Terrelle Bernard getting a lot of hate during the
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game last night. I'm assuming it was because based on you know, what
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was happening on the timeline with real time within the game. I'm guessing a
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lot of people were, you know, putting the blame on his shoulders for
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those big Bruce Hall runs. I don't think that was necessarily the case,
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But I thought Bernard on the whole, you know, for being his second
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start ever, his first start coming last year against the New York Jets in
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New York, well, New Jersey. I thought he played adequately. I
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liked what Christian Benford did in coverage, although everything coverage related, I think
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we do have to kind of take with a grain assault with it having that
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caveat of you know, only what four plays against Aaron Rodgers and the rest
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coming against Zach Wilson, who wasn't the most polish pastor. Although they did
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look good from a coverage standpoint against Rodgers, those are like the really a
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highlights from like a young gun, young guy perspective. For me, I
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liked what Cook offered from a speed stinging point. I think, you know,
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despite the fact that the run game for me at least wasn't necessarily everything
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that I wanted it to be in the first game, I think you did
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see what his speed offers. What a running back with more juice and more
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electricity out of the backfield, whether in the passing game or in the run
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game, what that affords this offense from a matchup standpoint and a schematic standpoint.
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He had a couple of runs where you know, being able to bounce
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it outside or hit the whole quickly because he has that giddy up naturally in
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his game. I think that made a big difference early on for the Bills.
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I think it'll continue to pay dividends as the season goes forward. But
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if I cooked, looked good as well, in addition to some other players
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and pieces. But yeah, I thought that was there. Thomas got into
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the chat early and went on a string of comments, but all with kind
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of the central teams. So Thomas Saine, would people be happy within eleven
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and six wild card team that wins the Super Bowl? Slow start with a
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strong finishes my preference, just saying dot dot dot dot dot. I think
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anybody would be happy with the super Bowl. And I'll speak for myself and
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I think I would speak for everybody. I don't care how it gets done.
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If you're any team that's trying to win a championship, who cares if
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you start out hot or start out slow, or if you run the table
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the whole way or pe get you know, three quarters of the way versus
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the end of the year. Your goal is to win a championship. If
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you win the championship, who cares how you got there? The ends justify
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the means. This is Carl Marx at its finest right here. If you
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win a super Bowl, everything else is irrelevant. Who cares the path that
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you got there, what teams you beat, what your regular season looked like,
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what your road to the super Bowl looked like. Who cares? If
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you can win a super Bowl, you win a championship, you take it,
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You take it and run. It does not matter how it comes or
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what circumstances it comes under. I gotta stop because I see a super chat.
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Oh, Jason, appreciate you being here and thank you very much for
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the super chat. Appreciate you. Jason's comments says Josh's second half turnovers are
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skewing all objective analysis of this game. The questions we had going in were
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answered in a more positive way than a negative way. We just didn't expect
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Josh to do that. Laugh out loud. I think it's a very fair
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point. I'm going to so I like this comment. It's related to part
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of my stock up stockdown going forward. Josh Allen is in there. You
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can guess whether he's stock up or stock down. I feel like it's pretty
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obvious. But I think to Jason's point, there are certain pieces that are
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tied to the emotional aspect from a fan perspective that I think often overshadow the
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larger perspective. From a schematic and structural standpoint, I think, whether positively
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or especially negatively, whenever a team loses a game, especially for the Buffalo
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Bills, because this fan base is so scarred, no matter how much success
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will happen going forward, those wounds will never fully heal. I say this
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as and maybe I'm just speaking for myself. Those of you who are regular
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watchers, listeners, viewers, know that I am a very big Boston Red
9:01
Sox fan. I have been lucky enough to witness several Red Sox World Series
9:05
in my lifetime, something I genuinely never thought would happen, especially after two
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thousand and three that Aaron Boone walk off. My spirit, my soul was
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crushed. I saw the Sox win the next year in two thousand and four,
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in two thousand and seven, two thirteen, two eighteen. I've seen
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multiple World Series. I'm still super scarred about the Aaron Boone walk off.
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I'm still scarred about them losing to Cleveland in the late nineties, in early
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two thousands and all of those series where I felt like the Sox could have
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been done something more. And I'm still upset about them losing to Tampa Bay
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in the ALCS in two thousand eight, Dustin Pajoria's MVP Seas and so even
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though you have the success, those wounds will always be there. And I
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think for Bills fans, when negative things happen, especially something that's severe like
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the negatives we saw last night without disappointing and deflating, that loss was you
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try to channel that disappointment and that anger, and I think it tends to
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go into a couple of pieces, whether they're scapegoats or lightning rods or conduits
10:05
for that emotion. And yeah, I think to Jason's point here, there
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were several positives offensively and defensively in this game, but those negatives happen and
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everybody focuses on them and drills down on them, similar to sometimes the positive
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pieces. Right. I think coming away from that thirteen seconds performance, everybody
10:24
was so geeked up on the Bill's offense and geeked down. I guess on
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the thirteen seconds performance that was all that was dominating everything, and there were
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a lot of structural components that were getting overlooked. But I like this comment
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from Jason. I appreciate the super chat, appreciate you being here, and
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This is going to tie into some of my stocked up, stock up,
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stock down as we go forward. I'm gonna scroll back up to the jet.
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I like this comment here from Joe underneath Jason underneath Jason's Joe, I
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appreciate you being here, and Joe's and I and I am sad. I
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feel it not great, not great. So Thomas's comment here, Yeah,
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I want to circle back. Yeah, I think people would be happy with
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the Super Bowl no matter how it comes. And then Thomas putting down again
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saying we need to peek in January, plane and simple. I like to
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comment here from Carl saying how about we peak in February, specifically on the
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eleventh in Vegas, oh r j coming in and saying, and I thought
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we would be eleven and six before last night. Now I don't know if
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that's possible. Yeah, I can understand the trepidation going forward. The Bills
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had a tough and also I think take this with a grain of salt.
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Strength of schedule before the season starts is obviously based on the previous year's record,
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which is not necessarily indicative of who or what a team is going to
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be in the current season. So whether you are better, whether you are
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worse. There's so many pieces that go into that strength of schedule piece that
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isn't really relevant to the current season, but based on previous year's records and
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who the Bills are matched up against from a team perspective, on their schedule,
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Yeah, their schedule looks rough. You know the I know what happened
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to the Giants and was great in Week one, but they got to play
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the a nfcast. I don't think the Giants will be an easy out.
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You've got Dallas, You've got Philly, You've got Kansas City, You've got
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I know, the Chargers, charger this past week, but you've got the
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Chargers. Like you've got to face the Jets again. The Pats aren't going
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to be easy out. That's twice Miami, unfortunately. I think I've been
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higher on Miami than most in the Bills community. I think Tuah and Mike
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McDaniel continue to prove a lot of people wrong. Granted they have some tremendous
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skill pieces, but not even to go through the whole schedule yet, Like
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the Bills have a pretty heavy murderous role from a schedule perspective this year in
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twenty twenty three, So yeah, we're gonna see what happens. We're gonna
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see what happens. Carl saying, hey, Aunt, think about who actually
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came out on top last night. We have an L, but a healthy
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QB, jets got the W and a snapped achilles. I'll take that L
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every time and twice on Sundays. That's fair. That's fair. Roy saying,
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looks like the tree took the loss really well. Yeah, the tree
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is in its splendor. Still have it rocking, you know, Bill's colors
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for the opening of the season. I will be changing it over to a
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Halloween themed October tree once October hits, of course, but we're still in
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September. I was going to do some fall theme, but I figured out
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rock the Bills colors opening week in the NFL opening month, really, so
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that's where we are. Jason went some perspective, saying it was week one,
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we lost to a team we thought we probably would split with. Week
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one is always crazy, and we didn't have any devastating injuries. It's all
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in front of us. I think that's a fair perspective as well. Whether
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you win or you lose in whatever fashion, you win or lose in.
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Who you are in week one is never holistically indicative of who you are going
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to be at the end of the year. And in relating that to Thomas's
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comment earlier, you want to be peeking in November, December, January.
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So I actually juxtaposed that with the twenty twenty three Bills. I think the
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twenty twenty three Bills started out guns blazing, and then it's a season kind
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of progressed on. They became a little inefficient in some areas. Some of
13:54
that obviously due to the Josh Allen elbow piece, some of that due to
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other decision making pieces for which I want to talk about as we go forward
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in this episode. But I think what's more deflating is is, yeah,
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I think you know, I would have completely understood splitting with the Jets this
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year. I think I was also higher on the Jets coming into the season
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that a lot of people in the Bill's content space. But I would have
14:15
been very understanding of splitting with the Jets. Splitting with the Jets in a
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game where Aaron Rodgers was out for the entire game, I did. That's
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the part that really hurts. So if you're looking at it, from the
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larger perspective and being like, yeah, you know, I thought we'd split
14:30
with them, and we did. You know what potentially could have split,
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So we lost one. I thought we'd lose one. It is what it
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is, fair point. I think for me, it's just how that loss
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came. You know, the end result necessarily doesn't justify the means here,
14:41
Like, there's no excuse for losing that game to a Zach Wilson led Jets
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team, a game that you had in hand, that you drove down on
14:50
a very good defense multiple times. Thought the game plan was good overall from
14:54
Ken Dorsey, which is another piece we're going to talk about as we move
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forward. But there was no excuse to lose that game. But that's my
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only piece there. Like this coming from Carl, who would have thought that
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Christian Benford could run down Bruce Hall is really that fast? Yeah, I
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wasn't expecting that. Garrett Wilson thought Bruese was gone. There's that piece in
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the highway where Wilson throws his hands up around midfield because he thinks it's a
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house call for Bruce. Benford takes a good angle, strides it out,
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makes it really good play Aidan saying last year when the Jets beat US,
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I felt I could more confidently say that they quite frankly had our number and
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played a great game. This one actually felt more winnable, and Josh just
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gave it away. Absolutely granted the Jets forced his hand a little bit,
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which I'm going to talk about in tonight's episode and break down with Eric Tomorrow
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Knight in the Cover one Film Room. But yeah, this was a game
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that was extremely winnable. Like I just mentioned a minute ago with Jason liked
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this. If you had told me the Bills lost this game and Aaron Rodgers
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was quarterbacking it, I would have understood more. I still think the Jets
15:48
have a good enough defense. I said it leading into this game. The
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Jets had a defense that almost took them to the playoffs last year with a
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full season of Zach Wilson, Joe Flacco and a sprinkle and a dad of
16:00
Mike White in there, who was probably the best quarterback the Jets had last
16:03
year, and the Jets defense was so good they almost made the playoffs with
16:06
the worst, arguably the worst quarterback playing quarterback room in football last year.
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From an EPA perspective, and execution standpoint, and they still almost made the
16:14
playoffs. So even with Zach Wilson, they're not an easy out. But
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that was a winnable game last night, And to your point, yet,
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that one last night was definitely winnable. Josh gave it away. My thought
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really was when Rodgers went down and the Bills were up thirteen to three,
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my thought really was like, Okay, how do we truly evaluate this game.
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I wasn't even thinking this game could probably be a loss. It was
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there in the back of my mind a little bit, especially as things started
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to snowball. Negatively, but very very very very winnable last night. Disappointing
16:45
coming here from Jordan. Would rather have a third linebacker than Taylor rap out
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there? Yeah, we saw when the Jets went with heavier personnel. We
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saw the Bills match that with Taylor Rapp coming on the field for Taryn Johnson.
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Instead of putting a third linebacker out there, going more of a traditional
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base package, they went with a third safety. They put Raps as that
17:04
third linebacker, another second level defender. Mixed results. Again, you're gonna
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put him at the second level. You're significantly undersized at all. Three quote
17:12
unquote linebacker Spots, Taylor Rap, Matt Milano, Terrell Bernard. None of
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those are you know, big body type dudes. Milano's a slasher, he
17:22
shoots gaps. He did that several times last night. But none of these
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guys are big physical. You know, Milano's physical, but in a different
17:29
way. None of these guys are gap pluggers, physical run stopping type guys
17:33
who bring it from a size and frame perspective. They're gonna have to win
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by shooting gaps with speed, by recognizing things and processing accurately and efficiently with
17:42
their eyes and obviously with the brain. But yeah, they're a mixed results
17:47
for the Taylor Rap piece. Oh interesting comment here. I think Josh needs
17:53
to force the ball even further downfield, force those two high safeties to play
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like comically deep. It would put us in an eleven on nine advantage every
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play. That's one way to attack too high. You push the ball even
18:03
further and you attack it. I think the issue is he's doing that at
18:08
times where it's not advantageous and where the looks aren't there. This isn't pushing
18:14
the ball between you know, a two high safety look on a post in
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the middle and you're you know, overthrowing a little bit or you're making a
18:21
play. This is him throwing into double coverage, and it's him overlooking routes
18:25
that are available and open underneath that would generate more positive results and keep this
18:29
team on schedule and keep them on track. And this is something that trends
18:33
back towards last season. I've talked about it a bunch on this show.
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I'll continue to talk about it as we go forward, but I think it's
18:37
a different piece of it. What else do we got? What else do
18:48
we got? Like this comment, I'm not quite sure how they're going to
18:53
pull it off, but I'm still fairly confident the Bills will go undefeated.
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Yeah, it's it's a point as we continue to go through again, questions,
19:03
thoughts, comments, since currents continue to pull them in but disappointing lost.
19:07
I think a spot where not a lot of people thought the Bills would
19:11
be maybe owen one, but not own one to Zac Wilson led Jets team.
19:15
And with that being said, I think let's dive into some of that
19:18
stock up stock down after Week one again for you playing at home, joining
19:23
us live here on this episode. Whoever was trending up for you, trending
19:26
down for you, in whatever form or fashion. Throw it up into the
19:29
chat. Questions, thoughts, comments, concerns, all that stuff. I
19:32
know a lot of you've been doing it already with positive and negative play from
19:34
different pieces, different aspects of this team schematically, So anything you got thrown
19:41
in Joe's comment here saying I just finished watching the defensive snaps, really pleased
19:45
with all levels, especially the past. Rush, Rousseau and Floyd are a
19:48
match made in heaven. Let's start with the positive pieces. So stock up
19:53
after week one, and I'm going to start, you know, piggyback on
19:56
Joe's comment there the defensive line thought, and again this is everything from a
20:02
stock up perspective. Defensively has to be taken with somewhat of a grain of
20:04
salt for me, at least, just going up against Zach Wilson, going
20:07
up against an offensive line that was playing together for the first time in probably
20:11
forever for them, so just kind of seeing how they matched up. But
20:15
they looked tremendous, especially Leonard Floyd, and I really want to highlight Leonard
20:19
Floyd, Greg Rousseau and at Oliver. I put this tweet out earlier.
20:23
So there was two hundred and twenty eight qualifying defensive linemen in week one from
20:29
the pass rushtivity perspective that had at least twenty percent of the snaps pass rush
20:33
snaps in week one, the Bills had three players in the top sixteen for
20:37
past rush productivity, which is basically I use it all the time on the
20:40
show. It's basically a measure of pass rush efficiency. It's a metric that
20:45
takes your sacks, your hits, your hurries, your pressures relative to how
20:48
much you rushed the passers. So it's better than just a volume metric and
20:52
statistic because if you leave the league in pressures, but you had two times
20:56
more pass rush snaps than anyone else, kind of excuse things a little bit
21:00
again, two hundred and twenty eight qualifying defensive lineman in week one. The
21:03
Bills had three players in the top sixteen in terms of pass rush productivity.
21:07
Leonard Floyd was third with the score of twenty three point three, At Oliver
21:12
was fourth with a score of twenty one point nine, and Greg Russo was
21:15
tied for sixteenth with a score of fifteen point six. For reference, for
21:18
Shawn Gary of the Packers was first with the score of twenty seven point eight.
21:23
I think Leonard Floyd came as advertised, you know, as Roy says
21:27
here, stock up our d line pressure. Yeah, And I like the
21:30
comment from Carl here was while saying Floyd Kincai digs Melano, Benford all stock
21:34
up. Yeah. I think if anybody's talking about stock up, for me,
21:38
it really kind of starts with Leonard Floyd. We have been looking for
21:42
a consistent pass rushed piece off the edge, not just for the really for
21:48
the past several years, and the Bills have done so much to try and
21:51
remedy that piece. You had the Mario Addison addition, you had Jerry Hughes
21:53
here for several years in McDermott era. You've had all these and I wouldn't
21:56
even say just from the edge perspective, from a defensive line perspective, there's
22:00
been We've talked about it, a lot significant resource investment from the draft,
22:04
from free agency put into the Bill's defensive line, and it seems like no
22:10
matter what they've done, they kind of have always had that or those holes
22:14
in terms of consistent pass rusherability. Up front, you bring in von Miller
22:18
and It's like, Okay, now, all of a sudden, they got
22:19
this grade, a bona fide closer. Let's see who else can step up.
22:22
Von goes down. There's more questions about the group as the year went
22:26
on in twenty twenty two, but right now as we stand after week one.
22:29
Yeah, Leonard Floyd, somebody who I had tabbed as a free agent
22:33
target in February and March. I didn't know where he would go. But
22:37
the juice that he adds so legitimate, and we saw a pay dividends already
22:42
last night. Unfortunately, it also kind of led to an Aaron Rodgers injury.
22:47
Not a dirty play, just something that happened unfortunately for Rodgers. But
22:49
you saw the speed, You saw the athleticism, he saw the hand technique,
22:55
even the way he plays the run. He did miss that tackle on
22:57
the first Breese Hall run, the twenty six yarder in the first quarter,
23:00
but he plays the run with tenacity. He understands leverage, he understands gap
23:04
responsibility and run fits. He uses his hands well. He extends, he
23:08
stacks, he sheds. He's violent at the point of attack against whoever is
23:12
trying to block him, whether it's a tight end, whether it's an offensive
23:15
lineman. He's got good burst and pop and again that athleticism. A lot
23:19
of the edges the Bills have had in the Sean McDermott era haven't been overly
23:25
athletic, they haven't been a juiced up kind of edge grouping. Von Miller
23:27
was very much the antithesis of what they've looked for at the edge grouping athletic
23:33
Bendy, a moves guy. They've looked for, more pocket compressors, more
23:36
edge compression, guys with length size, not too much bend Even Rousseau,
23:41
for as productive as he's been, he's not this overly athletic bendy, twitched
23:44
up, change direction kind of guy. Von was a move in that direction.
23:48
Leonard Floyd was a move in that direction, and again we saw a
23:51
pay dividends early just his consistent ability to get to the quarterback. Five pressures
23:57
last night. Again, this is per PFF. They don't count for half
24:02
sacks. Five total pressures for Floyd last night, two sacks, three hurries.
24:07
Again that PRP pass reproductivity score of twenty three point three, and he
24:11
had ten pass rush snaps, so he had five pressures on ten pass rush
24:17
snaps. I'm sorry on sixteen pass rush snaps. So just again a productive
24:21
debut for Leonard Floyd in a rotation with the rest of this defensive line and
24:25
then kicking it inside to Ed Oliver, somebody who you saw several flashes,
24:30
but then again looking at the advanced metrics, really showed up big time.
24:33
Seventeen pass rush snaps for Ed Oliver. Six total pressures, one sack,
24:38
one hit, four hurries, the penetration, the juice and jump and get
24:44
off. I think he's in an interesting position because he got paid and now
24:49
again maybe some guys rest on their laurels a little bit, but he almost
24:52
kind of has to justify the contract that he got with his pay. I
24:57
think there was a significant portion of Bill's FIA, maybe even in the NFL,
25:00
But I do think those outside of Buffalo, from a fan based perspective
25:03
and national coverage perspective, value at Oliver a little higher just based on what
25:08
you hear and you see. But I think there was a significant amount of
25:11
people kind of, you know, raveling up a little bit, wondering why
25:15
at Oliver got that contract and the money and the commitment that the Bill show
25:18
him this offseason but again in game one, from a pass rush perspective,
25:22
you saw that productivity for him again. Six total pressures on seventeen pass rush
25:27
snaps, one s one hit, four hurries, a pass rush productivity score
25:33
of twenty one point nine and fourth out of two hundred and eighty two hundred
25:37
and twenty eight. I should say, qualifying defensive lineman in week one,
25:41
and then that leads us to mister Greg rus So tied for sixteen. Like
25:44
I mentioned in pass rush productivity, seventeen total pass rush snaps last night against
25:49
New York five total pressures, no sacks, one hit, four hurries.
25:55
So you saw this, this defensive line really getting after it. We juice
26:00
off the edge, we saw darting inside and shooting gaps. We saw penetration,
26:03
we saw knock back. We saw it from them. I actually the
26:07
defensive line as a whole. You know, Tim Settle had a couple of
26:11
good reps. AJ Vanessa had a couple of good reps. Dake one Jones
26:14
did his thing. Hey, I thought it was a good performance from this
26:18
defensive line as a whole. So stock up overall for those three players,
26:22
but really for the defensive line as a whole. A group that again,
26:26
there's been so much investment in the defensive line year over year, year after
26:30
year, whether in the draft or free agency from this Buffalo Bills team,
26:33
and Sean McDermot and Brandon being believed that the defensive line is the engine for
26:37
the team. They loved the rotations, they love to invest, they want
26:40
to in an ideal world, they only have to rush for and they can
26:42
drop numbers into coverage consistently. This defensive line trending well and looked good last
26:48
night in significant fashion. Dalton Kincaid, I know it was mentioned earlier in
26:52
the comments. I think he's also trending up from a pass catching perspective.
26:55
I think there were some blocks that I would have liked him to have executed
26:59
a little bit better, although he had a really tremendously physical play downfield on
27:02
Tony Adams on a Dalton Dalton Kinkaid on a Dawson Knox catch in the flat
27:07
early in the first quarter. So again, I think the blocking aspect for
27:11
Dalton Kinkaid, that's going to be a work in progress. I think that's
27:15
something where the expectations should be that it's going to be a work in progress.
27:18
But from a pass catching perspective, and the biggest thing for me with
27:21
Kinkaid coming out of last night the physicality once he got the ball in his
27:26
hands, dropping the shoulder, running through defensive backs. You saw yards after
27:30
catch at Utah, but it was more just the fluidity. You saw some
27:34
physicality, like he's not somebody who goes down easily, but he's not somebody
27:38
that was really kind of like Dawson Knox where he would drop the shoulder and
27:41
run through guys or run over guys. But you saw him putting the shoulder
27:45
down, putting his head down, going through defensive backs, and carrying guys
27:48
for a couple extry yards. You saw the physicality in his game once he
27:52
got the ball in his hands. And I think that's a really important thing
27:55
because based on how the Bills were defended last night, when they were in
27:57
twelve personnel, and they were in twelve personnel more than anyone in Week one,
28:03
and they had a twelve personnel usage rate in Week one in the single
28:07
game, more than any team had in a single game last year. In
28:10
all of twenty twenty two, teams are going to defend the Bill's twelve personnel
28:14
package with their standard nickel grouping, So they're going to leave five defensive backs
28:18
in which means you were going to get reps where Dalton Kinkaid is going to
28:21
be matched up on a nickel corner or maybe an outside corner or a safety.
28:25
It's important that he wins that physical matchup. If he's matched up with
28:29
the defensive back, even a safety, he's going to have the size and
28:32
frame advantage. He's going to have the weight advantage, depending on what weight
28:36
he's coming in. Now, you got to establish that physicality early and often.
28:38
If you're at Dalton Kikaid, use every advantage in the book. Again,
28:41
if he's matched up against linebackers, linebackers, bigger body, bigger frame,
28:45
thicker type dudes, lean into your athleticism, Lean into that fluidity,
28:49
Lean into that technicality and that fluid athleticism, that fluid technicality that he has.
28:53
If you are matched up against defensive backs, whether you have the ball
28:57
in space, whether you are in your actual route and in the stem of
29:00
your route, leaning into that physicality, your arm length, your strength,
29:04
your size, post up guys, or when you get the ball in your
29:07
hands, run through defensive backs. Nice performance from Dalton Kinkaid as a pass
29:11
catcher once he got the ball in his hands, could have had a couple
29:15
more targets that I think we're cooked up for him a little bit, but
29:18
Alan chose to go some other ways. I liked what Dalton Kinkaid offered as
29:23
a pass catcher. James Cook, I think for me was a stock up
29:27
as well. I mentioned it earlier. I've been wanting an injection of juice
29:32
and electricity into this backfield for several years, especially with the light boxes that
29:37
the bills see. There were a couple reps where I would have liked him
29:40
to hit the hole differently or paste things a little differently, which is something
29:44
that he's still working on. I thought it was something he had to work
29:45
on coming out of Georgia. But you saw the difference that his speed and
29:49
his juice makes for this offense. I'm thinking of the one. I don't
29:52
know if it was a second and short or a third and short, but
29:56
if you're watching on the broadcast, bills are going left or right, and
29:59
he gets the ball and he is it outside and the corner steps up,
30:00
I believe it's DJ Reid and Cook kind of jumps back, but he has
30:04
so much speed that he's able to get the corner and turn the corner,
30:07
and he turns what could have been a two or three yard loss into a
30:10
gain of about three or four and he gets the first down. That type
30:12
of speed and electricity is something the Bills have not had in their backfield these
30:17
past several years, and they haven't had somebody who's that comfortable catching the ball
30:21
out of the backfield in the variety of ways as well. I think his
30:22
skill set pairs very well with Josh Allen with this run scheme with the bills
30:27
offense, more so than Devin Singletary's did and Zach Mosses did. Who else
30:33
Frank Gore, Nicky and Hines would have been a fun, interesting piece,
30:37
But I think Cook what was nice to see that juice and that electricity be
30:41
effective. He also had, I tweeted it out last night, a tremendous
30:45
rep in past protection on Quincy Williams. The Jets bring across dog Blitz.
30:51
Cook has to step up. He has Quincy Williams, and if you watch
30:55
the game last night, if you've ever watched the Jets game, Quincy Williams
30:57
comes forward. When he comes forward, when he plays the run. When
31:00
he blitz, he is the literal definition of a heat seeking missile, like
31:03
he is shot out of a can in whatever proverbial addage you want to use.
31:07
He is not somebody that is easy to block, that is easy to
31:11
take down. He comes for and on that cross dog blitz, Cook gets
31:15
low, cuts him in his legs, flips him right over to the point
31:19
that Quincy Williams grabs. It's either he grabs Cook's hair or helmet or shoulder
31:23
pad as he goes over. Cook pulls him down. Could have been called
31:26
for defensive holding on the play, which he probably should have been, which
31:30
would have been nice because if Josh Allen got sacked on this play. But
31:33
it was a tremendous pass protection rep for James Cook. And that's an aspect
31:37
of his game that I think is no secret he's had to work on,
31:41
or needs to work on, you know, in order to become a complete
31:42
running back at this level, as honestly a lot of college running backs usually
31:47
need to nowadays, especially nowadays. It's always been something that college running backs
31:52
have had to work on when they transition to the program, but again even
31:55
more so now given the nature of the college game, and he's been more
31:59
often than he's in the right place at the right time. He diagnoses properly,
32:02
he processes properly. The biggest I don't want to say deficiency in his
32:07
game, but the biggest detractor of James Cook's game when it comes to pass
32:12
protection is just his overall size. He's not the biggest. He's got more
32:15
of a slender or slight frame for a running back, which is part of
32:17
the reason why he's so shifty. He's so elusive. He has so much
32:20
juice and burst and speed. So being at his size and frame, his
32:23
technique has to be on point, his angles and leverage has to be so
32:28
on point because he's not somebody that most of these linebackers that are blitzing in
32:31
coming through they're the hammer. He's the nail. It's going to be hard,
32:35
just from a size and frame standpoint, for him to stand in front
32:37
of these guys as they're kind of, you know, a battering ram coming
32:39
full speed ahead at him and his rep. Again, it was just one
32:44
rep, but that pass protection rep against Quincy Williams, I didn't know if
32:46
I was ever going to see him. You have that quality of a rep
32:49
against that quality of a blitzing linebacker. Quincy Williams isn't a stud in coverage
32:53
for the Jets, but when he comes forward, he comes to like a
32:55
bat out of hell, like a pure missile. And it was really nice
32:59
to see James Cook's step up and really had that quality pass protection rep against
33:02
him. Going back to the defensive line, the defensive side of the ball,
33:06
Shack Lawson somebody who I think we all know who Shack Lawson is at
33:12
this point, which is really good run defender coming off the edge. He's
33:16
good on stunts. He's good from a physicality standpoint, He's good at wrong
33:22
arming at again, just sending the edge, being that forced player, being
33:25
that physical presence. He was somebody that the Bills had to lean on a
33:28
bit from a pass rush standpoint when Von Miller dropped in Week eleven last year
33:35
against the Lions, and I think if you paid attention down the stretch,
33:37
he was edged two opposite of Greg Russo from a starting standpoint, a snapshare
33:40
perspective down the stretch. So that shows what the Bills think of Shack Lawson.
33:45
And Steve throws up into the chat right now saying Shack is very reliable.
33:47
Yeah, you know what you're gonna get. Doesn't have a lot of
33:50
sexiness to his game. Not the most athletic, not fluid, not bendy,
33:53
not birsty. He just plays physical. He grinds, he plays angles,
33:58
he plays leverage. He's tremendous against the run. But he has several
34:00
reps where we got after the quarterback last night, and that's continued a good
34:05
string of play and performance from him. So Shack Lawson last night was actually
34:08
tied for fourth on the Bills in pressures. He had three pressures, no
34:13
sacks, no hurries or I'm sorry, no sacks, no quarterback hits,
34:16
three quarterback hurries, a PRP Pastor's Productivity score of twelve point five, which
34:22
is three points behind Greg Russo. So a productive night for him, and
34:25
again, his performance is going to be very interesting as we go forward because
34:30
we know how much the Bills like to rotate their defensive line. If Shack
34:32
can continue to produce at this level from a pastor's standpoint, in addition to
34:37
what he offers against the run, you've got a really fun chess piece matchup
34:42
group of defensive lineman from the edge all the way to the interior that you
34:45
can kind of push buttons and pull levers with every single week, depending on
34:51
the matchup, depending on the opponent, and shack shack laws and giving you
34:53
any kind of juice in the passers game was a really nice piece to see.
34:57
He consistently last night was flashing, getting in to the backfield, winning
35:00
on stunts, winning with angles. He's always been somebody that's very effective as
35:05
a spiker on stunts, especially because you know, he's just physic. He's
35:07
physical. You know, tell him, Hey, see the inside inside shoulder
35:12
or the right tackle and the inside shoulder or the inside shoulder of the tackle,
35:15
inside shoulder of the guard. Cool hit that spot, mash them both
35:19
up and give your defensive tackle some you know, freedom to move around the
35:22
edge. He's always been good at that as the spiker, but last night
35:24
we saw even more juice from him coming off the edge, which was tremendously
35:28
nice to see. Oh gotta stop. Got a super chat, super chat
35:30
and Carl, thank you much for being here. Carl, nice comment earlier
35:34
and thank you for the super chat now. Carl says the run game stock
35:37
was down. They need to keep at it with Cook three point eight yards
35:40
per carry isn't good twelve carries or forty six yards? Was it? The
35:44
Jets d or Dorsey needs to call better plays. It's always a bit of
35:47
both. I think when you're talking about anything, I say it on the
35:51
show all the time. I don't think any one position, group, player,
35:54
coach, schematic piece is ever to blame for anything in football, just
35:58
because how many moving parts there are leading up to the game. And then
36:00
on game day. I will say, in this game against the Jets,
36:04
I liked the overall plan. And maybe this isn't the answer you want to
36:07
hear, but it isn't the question here. I think you got to tip
36:09
your cap to the Jets defense. There were some runs that were available and
36:14
Quinn and Williams just blew it up because Quinn and Williams is an All Pro
36:15
into your defensive lineman and one of the best players in the NFL. Or
36:19
Jonathan Franklin Myers blew it up, or Huff made a play, or Jermaine
36:22
Johnson made a play. There were a couple reps where he sniffed out.
36:27
He sniffed out a Josh Allen step up and potential scramble. He sniffed out
36:30
one of their delayed draws when the Bills are trying to suck in the pass
36:35
rush and take advantage of it, I think you got to tip the cap
36:38
to the Jets defense. Obviously, there is some of the whole like call
36:42
better plays like you. There's always the opportunity to schematically scheme advantages for your
36:47
players. But I think at a certain point, and I think this is
36:54
very relative, because especially when you're a super fan of one team, it's
36:58
easy to just kind of hone in on your team and just think of,
37:00
you know, well, my guy blew it or my guy one. You
37:04
really got to look at it from the opponent perspective as well, and the
37:07
a team that you're playing their professionals too. They get paid to play this
37:09
game, and sometimes you got to tip your cap. And so I think
37:12
the struggles in the run game last night were majority due to the Jets defensive
37:15
game plan, but more so the talent that they have, especially on the
37:19
defensive line and then also at the second level again, Quincy Williams is a
37:22
very very very good run defending linebacker C J. Mosley, although he's older
37:28
now at this stage in his career, is still very smart understands how to
37:30
play the game, and then you've got that rotation that you have playing in
37:35
front of them. I thought al Woods gave them some quality reps inside,
37:38
wasn't you know, really letting the Bills get a ton of movement on him?
37:42
So I think the Bills could have been better from an execution standpoint.
37:44
But I think from a run game perspective, you gotta tip your cap to
37:46
the Jets defense because there were runs that were available where the Bills had a
37:51
hat on a hat and there was potential for something to really develop, and
37:53
Quincy Williams blew it up or Quinnin Williams blew it up, or Jonathan Franklin
37:57
Myers blew it up, and pieces just and happen. So again, I
38:01
think I think you gotta tip your cap to the Jets in that perspective.
38:05
Like this comment from John who says I'm running late, but I immediately smashed
38:07
that like but yes, please and thank you. If you are enjoying this
38:10
content, please please, please and thank you. Drop ale on this video
38:15
like sore. The lifeblood of these live streams and videos here on YouTube.
38:21
They significantly affect the algorithm. So if you are enjoying this content, Please
38:23
please please and make you drop Aleke on this video. Let's go through some
38:28
more here, so some more stock up stock down. I mentioned the defensive
38:35
line a lot of the pieces. One more piece on the defense, well
38:37
two more pieces. One individual Matt Milano shooting gaps, gets an interception kind
38:43
of gifted to him, Zach Wilson threw it right at him. But I
38:45
think seeing seeing how Matt Milano played last night, there was no drop off
38:51
in his play without having Tremaine Edmonds next to him. I also liked a
38:53
lot of the communication pieces from Terrell Bernard. I'm not saying that's stock up,
38:57
but I like that impairing, you know, in conjunction with Milano's play.
39:00
But he saw Milana all over the place, total tackles, tackles for
39:04
laws, shooting gaps, making plays, being strong in coverage all pro last
39:09
year, really a significant piece for this defense without having Tremaine Edmonds. Now,
39:15
what does the consistency look like at the second level of the Bills defense?
39:19
And I thought Milano had a strong game last night in coverage. I
39:21
think he had a strong game from again being that kind of that game record
39:24
type of piece He's always been the guy who shoots gaps, that chaos creator.
39:29
He either opens up something for someone else or he knipes in and makes
39:31
a play. I think just his job to just get dropped in there and
39:36
cause havoc and see what happens. Nice piece. I like what he did
39:39
last night. Also, tying into that from a coverage perspective, again,
39:45
I thought the Bills coverage played well last night. A lot of stickiness across
39:47
the board from the back seven. But how much of that is due to
39:53
Zach Wilson being the quarterback and the operator, if that's your question. Some
39:57
of that I think is independent of what will and was doing. You just
40:00
saw good coverage from Benford, good coverage on several reps from Tradavious White,
40:05
even on the touchdown that Garrett Wilson had, which was a phenomenal catch,
40:07
trays in perfect position. Yes, you would like him to knock the ball
40:10
down and forced the incompletion, but he was right there completely in phase,
40:14
great positioning. Garrett Wilson just made a play on the ball. I think
40:16
another one where sometimes you just got to tip your cap. But I thought
40:20
the Bill's coverage overall, especially early on, even when Rogers was in the
40:23
game. There was there were times when the Jets were looking to go quick
40:27
game. Rogers was looking to go quick game. I mean it contributed to
40:31
him getting hit by Floyd on the play that tore as Achilles. Rodgers got
40:36
the ball and was looking to get it out right away and there was nowhere
40:37
for him to go. The Bills had good coverage plans, a good coverage
40:39
scheme, and then they executed while from a coverage standpoint, So some of
40:43
it again take with a grain of salt given the quarterback play in the offense
40:46
for the Jets last night, but I thought the coverage aspect of the Bills
40:52
team had a good overall performance. Like this question from Dave Dave saying,
40:57
can you speak on Josh's situation awareness? Third and two had guys open,
41:01
but even if you don't make it, you punt at midfield and pin a
41:05
toothless offense back. Anything but a pick there. I think it's a good
41:09
segue to the stockdown portion of this episode, and for me, it starts
41:14
with Josh Allen. I think again, this is another piece where you have
41:17
to tip your cap to what the Jets did. They forced Josh Allen to
41:22
read things efficiently and accurately. Time and time again. They sped up some
41:28
of his processing, They made him question things, They muddied some of his
41:31
read they muddied some of their responsibilities in coverage, kind of made him think,
41:35
well, is this guy drop in? Is he's staying up? Is
41:37
we do I hit the flat? Do I pushed to the corner route?
41:40
But to this point, I think this is again, it's a good game
41:45
plan from the Jets. They've had the Bill's offensive number really the past several
41:50
meetings, even going back to the end of the twenty twenty one season where
41:52
they gave the Bill some problems as well, and then we know what happened
41:53
in twenty twenty two and then obviously what happened last night. This is a
41:57
well coached group. This is a skilled group in the back seven. They
42:00
execute their coverage as well. They have a good, good combination of skill
42:05
sets and they play their coverage as well. They know how to mix them
42:07
up, and they know what to do, and they know how to really
42:08
kind of give Josh Allen problems. That being said, I do think,
42:13
yeah, we saw some of that snowballing negativity from Josh Allen last night,
42:15
he wants to press in certain areas and you know what was weird too.
42:21
And again we're gonna break this down to the filmm tomorrow night. But as
42:23
the game went on, he got more I don't want to say reckless,
42:28
but he pushed a little more. Early on, we saw him checking the
42:30
ball down on third and fifteen for a game to twelve. We saw him
42:32
checking the ball down to Deontay Hardy on first and ten. All the space
42:37
underneath, check it down, get it to your playmaker. See what he
42:38
can do. He took what was being given to him early and often.
42:44
That third and two interception late in the game in the fourth quarter where he
42:46
forces it to gave Davis on the corner route and Whitehead jumps in underneath and
42:52
picks it. Basically a high low smash concept where you have the corner route
42:55
and then a flat route underneath, but it was kind of like a bender
42:59
into the flat just being a traditional like China route or sit route or hook
43:01
or whatever you want to label it. As they ran that several times in
43:07
the game. Early on the first time they ran it, Alan checked it
43:09
down to Dawson Knox. They ran it with Kincaid and Knox. Actually it
43:14
was the rep that I was referencing earlier when Kincaid had a great block on
43:16
Tony Adams downfield. Once Knox made the catch in same scenario multiple times throughout
43:23
this game where you had that cloud corner, that corner who's kind of sitting
43:25
in the flats and has to decide do I sink underneath the corner route or
43:30
do I come up and play the route in the flat? And the first
43:34
time and that completion to Knox, he drops back, he looks to his
43:37
left, He eyeballs Kincaid and he holds that corner, makes the corner drop
43:42
a little bit. Then he just opens up, drops it down to Dawson
43:45
Knox. Knox lowers his shoulder, goes through a man and get some good
43:47
yardage. Right later in the game, similar concept again, he has Kincaid
43:52
open in the flat, but he wants to or maybe it's not Kincaid when
43:55
he wants to push to Kincaid on the corner route, wants to push it,
44:00
doesn't, hits the top of his drop, goes to throw, doesn't.
44:04
It's the one where Spencer Brown gets driven back into the backfield and torns
44:07
does it a little bit as well, results in a sack. Ball has
44:10
to get out. He's got the man open in the flat, doesn't take
44:13
it, and then later we see that interception in the fourth quarter. Same
44:15
concept again in terms of that smash concept high Low Sauce Gardner kind of plays
44:21
it in between where you don't know if he's going to come up and jump
44:24
the flat or if he's gonna drop underneath the corner route. But if Alan
44:28
just reads it out and hits it at the top of his drop, he
44:30
has Dalton Kincaid open. It's a third and two. Kincaid runs it right
44:35
at the sticks. If you lead it and you throw it to him,
44:37
it's probably a gain a minimum again of three, maybe more if he breaks
44:39
a tackle, but you're getting that first down. Even if he bangs it
44:43
there a little late, you can still throw it and lead him to the
44:45
sideline and he can still get a first down. Josh Allen just we saw
44:51
it down the stretch last year. I mentioned it a bunch on the show.
44:54
Ken Dorsey was getting so much flak last year four. He's only calling
44:59
gold balls, and he only calling vertical routes, and he's only calling you
45:01
know, send everybody deep and four verts. Hahaha, we're only pushing the
45:06
ball. Ken Dorsey got so much hate last year down the Stretch for what
45:09
he was calling in the play design, and I kept trying to mention it,
45:15
like there were other guys open on these plays last year where josh was
45:17
going vertical and josh was throwing the ball deep and he didn't need to.
45:21
He's forcing downfield. It's either incomplete or there's interceptions. He's turning the ball
45:24
over and there's other guys that are open underneath. Yes, sometimes coverage dictates
45:29
that you need to send the ball vertically, and sometimes Joshua some of those
45:31
reads were correct, and some of that was dictated by the defense, But
45:35
there were times where he's got guys open and he was not taking those guys
45:37
last year down the stretch, regular season and into the playoffs, game into
45:43
the playoffs. That one example I'm continue going to continue to, you know,
45:45
drill home is the Xavien Howard interception against Miami in the Wildcard round last
45:51
year. Alan drops back. He's got Devin Singletary wide open over the middle
45:54
on a checkdown because Miami has just backed up and dropped out it's sevent to
46:00
nothing. At that point, you are at midfield. Miami has done nothing
46:02
offensively first now and Allan sends it deep. It gets picked by Xavien Howarady
46:07
runs it back like forty five fifty yards, puts Miami in goodfield position.
46:10
Miami scores. There's no reason to throw that ball there. You had the
46:13
checkdown, you had it available. It continues to That type of play has
46:20
continued into this year. And the Jets, again, I thought it had
46:23
a really good game plan. They forced Josh Allen to continuously stay efficient,
46:28
to continuously have to matriculate the ball down the field. They weren't going to
46:31
give him those chunk plays, and Allen played into that hand. Again.
46:36
We're going to break this down in the film room last night, but I
46:38
think it was It's funny the narrative that we're starting to see after last night
46:42
with all the turnovers, because this kind of play last year, we saw
46:46
it in flashes to a significant degree from a sample sized perspective in Josh Allen's
46:52
game, but everybody was either explaining it away with the elbow injury or because
46:57
Ken Dorsey sucks. And now seeing it a little bit last night again to
47:01
use one play as on microcosm that third and two fourth quarter. He does
47:06
not need to throw that ball to Gabe Davis. The first interception I don't
47:09
love, but it basically equated out to a long punt right and backed up
47:15
the Jets on their offensive possession. But if you slow it down, you
47:17
need to go back and you're looking from the all twenty two. I tweeted
47:20
this out earlier as well. He's got tons and tons of space underneath to
47:24
run on that third and eight and the only person coming at him is Tony
47:29
Adams, who's closing down because he sees Josh Allen scrambling. I think that's
47:32
a pretty good matchup. I'll take Josh Allen in space on a third and
47:36
eight against Tony Adams closing down in space or potentially again, I don't think
47:40
he saw it, and I don't know if the throw would be able to
47:43
happen. Roland left, you got to open up and cannidate downfield. He's
47:45
got Dawson Knox on a corner route on that same side of the field as
47:49
well. I like this from RJ saying, so now Dorsey and Allen sucks.
47:52
That's the message show over, Dorsey sucks, Allen sucks. It's over.
47:57
But I think again, this goes into a point. And I hate
48:00
saying that I've said this before because I'm not saying it to pat myself on
48:04
the back or anything like that. This is who Josh Allen is for better,
48:07
for worse, This yin and Yang risk reward, Brett Farve asque on
48:13
the field, guy who can make your jaw drop on one play and to
48:17
make you want to rip every strand of hair out of your head in frustration
48:22
on the next play. This is who Josh Allen is. The same guy
48:25
who hurdles a linebacker that makes everybody stand up and applaud him and stand in
48:30
ovation. That guy is the same guy who's pushing the ball downfield when he
48:36
does not need to. It's the same guy who's thrown into double coverage when
48:38
he does not need to. It's the same guy who throws up a yolo
48:42
ball saying screw it, let's see what happens. It's the same guy,
48:45
and when it works out, it's phenomenal and everybody applauds him. And when
48:50
it doesn't, it's bone headed and stupid and it could potentially kill your team.
48:53
What's worked out for Allen thus far in his career is that even though
48:58
he plays in that risk reward type of fashion, usually there's more reward than
49:02
risk. He may make a couple of bone headed plays, but for everyone,
49:05
I don't know, there's like three to five ones that you're just like,
49:07
oh my god, that's amazing, Like look at what this guy can
49:10
do. Last night it was the opposite. There was more risk and more
49:15
negativity than there was reward, and we continue to see this kind of play.
49:19
And my biggest concern for Ken Dorsey in conjunction and working with Josh Allen,
49:23
and again I mentioned this going into the offseason, I didn't there there
49:28
were issues I had with Ken Dorsey schematically as the season progressed last year,
49:31
some of his concepts and some of what he was doing with Alan, I
49:35
felt like he was relying on Allen too much to be a unicorn and not
49:38
giving him enough easy buttons and enough layups that kind of just get him in
49:43
rhythm early on, but just make life easier for him as the game's progressed.
49:46
That was a definite concern for me. But I thought again, first
49:50
year coordinator and play caller we'll see what happens going forward. Now a concern
49:53
that I have, and several people have mentioned it in my comments as between
49:57
these past couple of days, I thought now is one of my bigger concerns
50:02
is, you know, Ken Dorsey rank, can Ken Dorsey rain in Josh
50:07
Allen from kind of playing this yolo hero ball? I don't know why,
50:09
what do you want to label it? If you want to label with sugar
50:12
high, yolo ball, hero ball, whatever, can he rain him in
50:15
from doing this? Because again, this is another game, another moment where
50:20
there's different options underneath, and he can make different plays and he's just not
50:24
in that moment. And to course correct someone's decision making, course correct someone's
50:29
processing, it's a very hard thing to do. And I also want to
50:31
mention before anybody jumps on and says, see, this is why Brian Dables
50:35
should have never left. Josh Allen was tied for the third most turnovers in
50:37
the NFL Brian Dables last year as offensive coordinated with the Buffalo Bills. So
50:42
this isn't something that has just started to rear its head under Ken Dorsey.
50:45
Josh Allen has been this turnover based kind of guy. The past several years,
50:51
going back to Brian Dables last year's offensive coordinated with the Buffalo Bills.
50:53
Again, this is who he is. It's the risk and reward. I'm
50:58
going to mention one more example, one more time. It kind of puts
51:00
it in perspective. Think of the touchdown to James Cook at the end of
51:05
the first half against in the Saturday night game against the Miami Dolphins. Allen
51:08
scrambles, he bleeds the whole clock and ends up throwing it across his body
51:13
into the back of the end zone. Cook comes down, makes the catch,
51:15
touchdown. Oh my god, what an amazing play, Josh Allen creating
51:20
off script amazing. That was a horribly inefficient play. The odds of success
51:23
on that play were not good, and you wasted so much time. I
51:28
e all the time that if there's an incompletion there, you don't even get
51:31
a field goal lot of it. But it gets glossed over because it was
51:35
a touchdown. All you're gonna remember is the touchdown went an amazing play.
51:38
This is who Josh Allen is. It's unfortunate when it works against you at
51:43
times, and when it works it's beautiful. I gotta stop because we got
51:46
another superchat, Jonathan, thank you very much for being here. Thank you
51:49
very much for the super chat. Jonathan says, the Bills will win the
51:52
next three Raiders at home, Washington on the road, they'll do well versus
51:55
the NFC. Then Miami at home is a tough game. Then they got
51:59
Jacksonville in the UK. I can't stand that game. That's me saying that,
52:01
not Jonathan. And Jonathan says Jacksonville were a much better team this year,
52:05
but should be okay if they stop the turnover. So I think that's
52:09
a fair point from Jonathan. This goes to Thomas's comment earlier put things in
52:13
a perspective, right, regardless of what happened in Week one, if the
52:15
Bills stopped the Jets, or if the Bills had a deflating loss like they
52:19
did, the season is not over or in the season is not made.
52:22
Regardless of what happens in a Week one, if the Bills boat raced them
52:24
seventy to nothing, I don't think you should sit here saying the Bills are
52:28
going undefeated. The Bills are going to be amazing. You take everything a
52:30
game at a time. You get right against the Raiders, which we're going
52:32
to dive into in a minute. You take care of Washington on the road,
52:36
and then you start to pick yourself back up against the as the schedule
52:39
gets tougher with Miami, with Jacksonville, with the Chargers, with Kansas City,
52:44
not in order of just naming these tough teams, but I think that's
52:46
a good piece there, Jonathan. I like where your head is at.
52:52
But yeah, so how Josh Allen played last night. I think One,
52:55
you do have to take into account what the Jets did to force that hand,
53:00
and not every team's going to be able to do that. Not every
53:01
team is going to have the defensive line that the Jets had to rush for
53:05
and consistently drop seven and have numbers, have a numbers advantage in coverage and
53:09
be able to be coverage diverse into multitude of ways and play man and play
53:14
match coverage and have the quality that they have on the back end. Right,
53:16
Not all teams are going to have that one. Two, not all
53:20
teams are gonna be able to put together a game plan like that to force
53:22
his hand and kind of make him question things and make him read everything out
53:27
and make him slow play from his processing and his re standpoint not everyone's going
53:31
to be able to do that, but the Jets do have a good blueprint
53:35
on him. They execute it well, and I think some of it is
53:37
tied into, unfortunately, just how Josh Allen plays. This is who he
53:40
is at this point, the yen and the yang, the risk and reward,
53:45
the guy who wants to push the ball downfield. And I think what's
53:46
more concerning with it is usually these type of mistakes and these type of turnover
53:52
worthier turnover prone plays usually happen in conjunction with one another, and you get
53:58
that snowballing effect. And I think a lot of his due to Josh tries
54:01
to make up for it, either directly by being like, oh I threw
54:06
an interception. I have to make up for that. Let me try and
54:07
get a touchdown immediately, you know, as soon as I possibly can,
54:12
or it's just because he continues to not learn from like previous and past mistakes.
54:15
And it was nice to see him own up to it in the press
54:19
conference after the game last night, but we've heard that story from him before,
54:22
saying, you know, I got to be better. This loss is
54:23
on me, YadA, YadA. You need some kind of you know,
54:28
foot to the ground a little bit, actual substance, actual action going forward.
54:31
So it's it's disappointing. Had a bad game last night. Even the
54:36
throat a cook that got broken up by Quincy Williams. If he just puts
54:38
a little touch and a little arc on that ball, that's a touchdown,
54:43
easy to cook. Cook was way by. I'm not way by, but
54:45
he had a good step and a good angle on Quincy Williams. Just lean
54:49
that in float down in a little bit, that's an easy touchdown. Show.
54:52
Josh had an off game. Looks like he forced things a little bit,
54:54
but again this is not part for the course for him as a whole.
55:00
I think this is You're gonna have to live with these kind of games
55:02
with Josh Allen. This is who he is, the risk reward, risk
55:06
taker kind of guy. And when it works, he's jumping over linebackers and
55:09
it's amazing and it's beautiful. And when it doesn't work, he's thrown into
55:13
double coverage and he's making bad decisions and he's getting picked off. But the
55:15
guy who makes those poor decisions and forces the ball into coverage is the same
55:21
guy. It's the same engine, it's the same wheel, in the brain
55:25
that makes him try to leap over a linebacker and make a play. That's
55:29
just who he is, and it's unfortunate. I think a big thing for
55:30
Ken Dorsey is trying to get him to be reined in like a wild horse,
55:36
kind of trying to see what he can do in that regard. Because
55:38
the schematic pieces, the play calling perspective, and the design last night wasn't
55:43
a huge problem. It was not bad, and Josh Allen was sticking to
55:45
the script early on. And I know you might say, well, they
55:49
only had thirteen points before that last drive in the end, so it wasn't
55:52
going good. Turnovers doomed that to a degree. But also again, the
55:57
Jets have a really good defense, and you got to play within the system,
56:00
the scheme and the design. The Jets were not going to give up
56:01
anything deep. They were trying to keep everything in front of them. They
56:05
were trying to confuse and muddy Josh's reads and progressions and processing, and they
56:08
did that. Just stay the course like he did early on the check down
56:13
to Damien Harris, the check down to Deonte Hardy, the slant to Stefon
56:16
Diggs, hitting the flat route on the smash concept to Dawson Knox just kind
56:21
of stay that course. The issue is Josh kind of gets in his own
56:24
way. It's almost like he says, I've had enough of this inefficient ball,
56:28
I need a chunk play, and then he goes for that chunk play
56:30
and he's chucking things up when he doesn't need to. That decision making that
56:32
sit situational awareness is unfortunate. I think you also combine that with I don't
56:40
want to say skittish in the pocket because I think the word skittish implies that
56:45
you're like fearful, or you're worried, or you're scared. But I think
56:49
frantic might be a good way to put it. You see that kind of
56:52
frantic play in the pocket from Josh Allen. Once pressure starts to happen in
56:55
games, and he starts to evade from the pocket earlier than he needs to,
57:00
he'll have a clean pocket, and he sees a flash of color and
57:04
all of a sudden, he's trying to step up and run through a gap,
57:06
or he's trying to escape out the front door backdoor, and one he
57:08
either doesn't need to and or two he kind of runs himself into pressure A
57:15
little bit. That was a piece that I created out on earlier today and
57:20
as I go through my notes now and try and grab that piece, you
57:27
know, being responsible for the pressures that happened. So of the thirty five
57:31
QB's total in Week one, Josh Allen was first and owned pressures allowed with
57:36
five and he was six in the percentage of dropbacks with some responsibility for pressure
57:40
at twenty six point three percent. That's per PFF and that's amongst all QB's
57:46
that's played. So I didn't take anybody out with sample size or anything like
57:50
that. I think. Also another piece dimension, the Jets didn't blitz Josh
57:53
Allen on seventy eight percent of his dropbacks, so seventy eight percent of the
57:57
time there was less than five rushers coming Allan's numbers. On those plays,
58:01
he had a QB rating of forty eight point four, which is very bad.
58:04
He had three interceptions the one touchdown. He averaged two point nine seven
58:08
seconds to throw, which is a very long time. Pushing three seconds is
58:13
a lot. He had five point one yards per attempt and a sixty three
58:15
point six completion percentage, So again the Jets were able to get pressure with
58:20
four they were able to generate that piece, but Alan was kind of his
58:24
worst enemy at times, getting skittish in the pocket, running himself out when
58:28
he didn't need to, and making poor decisions. And those games are going
58:32
to happen. That's by big takeaway from all this. I said it last
58:37
year after several of the plays in the Miami Game of the Playoffs. This
58:40
is just who Josh Allen is. It's the yin and the yang, And
58:43
as Joe says it here, I knew Allen was in a mental battle when
58:45
I saw him try barrel rolling over two linebackers. Yeah, there's times where
58:52
his never say die attitude are awesome. When you know it's third and seven
58:59
and you're running and you're gonna get tackled at six, you need to get
59:02
that extra yard to get the first down, awesome, lower your shoulder and
59:06
try and get through somebody. Versus you've already got the first down and you're
59:09
still running up right, Why are you trying to run through two linebackers?
59:13
What are you doing? Or just slide once in a while. And I
59:15
think there's even on the one the one play, I don't know, I'm
59:17
pretty sure McDermott was talking to Alan, but Alan kind of keeps himself up
59:21
right and gets decked by the sideline when he did not need to. He
59:23
kind of almost comes back in and puts a shoulder down and they cut to
59:27
McDermott really quick and he's pointing to his head and he's going to be smart.
59:30
I believe that was to Alan, Like there's times where he just takes
59:32
risk when he doesn't need to, but again, that's just who he is.
59:37
Sometimes he takes risks when he doesn't need to and it's ugly and it's
59:39
brutal, and sometimes he takes risks when he doesn't need to and it's jaw
59:44
dropping and amazing and awesome. He's Professor Chaos. That's who he is.
59:46
Is coined by Nate tie That's who Josh Allen is. And sometimes it works,
59:51
sometimes it doesn't. Just like you know, Brett Farve, he has
59:55
that interception that ended his time in Minnesota, bone head, stupid interception against
1:00:00
the Saints in the NFC Championship that sent the Saints to the Super Bowl for
1:00:04
all intents and purposes, and then he's got the multitude of other throws throughout
1:00:07
the entirety of his career. Where he's just zipping things in between three four
1:00:12
defenders, throwing balls into windows that are not possible for the majority of humans
1:00:15
on Earth. That's just who he is, Yin and yang, and it
1:00:19
was disappointing last night, to say the least. Aiden with a nice stat
1:00:22
here saying Johns nearly had an eighty percent completion rate in the first half when
1:00:27
he was following the game plan. I don't put all the eggs into the
1:00:30
completion rate basket because you could beat ten for ten and only have like fifty
1:00:34
yards because you're checking it down and not really moving the ball and matriculating anything
1:00:37
anywhere. But yeah, Bills had thirteen points in the first half, could
1:00:40
have had more if not for the turnovers. He was making good decisions and
1:00:44
it was on again. We're going to talk about in the film room last
1:00:47
night, but if follow me on Twitter at pro Underscore Underscore, and I
1:00:51
put together a lot of threads and tweets and breakdowns of the all twenty two
1:00:54
camera angle of the Bill's offense last night. There's times where it's just the
1:00:59
same concepts that they're running throughout the course of the game last night, and
1:01:04
early on he's taken what's given to him, and then later when they're still
1:01:07
up and he should still be taking what's given him, He's just trying to
1:01:10
force it. That's just the nature of the beast. And unfortunately came back
1:01:15
to bite the Bills and they lost last night. One last piece. Not
1:01:17
going to divenue into it too much. Special teams coverage. I know the
1:01:21
leg whip should have happened or should have been called, and the Jeff shouldn't
1:01:23
have scored on that punt return, but the coverage was poor. The punt
1:01:27
was to the wrong direction. Jay Feeley did a good breakdown former NFL kicker
1:01:30
and now analysts for CBS on how the punt did not work in conjunction with
1:01:35
the coverage, and then the poor coverage on top of that. Special teams
1:01:37
coverage has been concerning. Tyler Bass is phenomenal, So I don't want to
1:01:42
say special teams are a stock down, but special teams coverage has been concerning
1:01:46
and it's worrisome, and that's an aspect that you cannot afford to be battened.
1:01:51
And special teams have usually been pretty consistent under Sean McDermott. He believes
1:01:54
in strength and all three phases. So to see continued struggles from a coverage
1:02:00
standpoint and special teams like we did to a degree in the preseason is concerning.
1:02:04
And so stock down from a coverage standpoint for the Buffalo Bills. And
1:02:07
that's the last stock down piece. As I take a drink of water,
1:02:09
here wasn't expecting to do an hour and the Bills Jets, but nonetheless,
1:02:16
here we are. Now let's turn the page, let's get a fresh script,
1:02:20
let's move forward, and let's dive into the Raiders versus Bills matchup here
1:02:27
going into week two, and look at the schematic components that will decide Bills
1:02:30
versus Raiders in week two. I want to start with Max Crosby, who
1:02:36
said, I said in a conversation with somebody today, it depends on how
1:02:39
you define the word underrated. But if your definition is based on, you
1:02:45
know, how good a player is versus how much they've talked about nationally,
1:02:47
Max Crosby has a tremendous case for being the most underrated player in the NFL.
1:02:52
Just absolute monster coming off of both edges, right side, left side,
1:02:59
versus the past, versus the run. He's so good, his effort
1:03:02
is relentless. He plays a ton of snaps, does not wear down,
1:03:07
loves to go inside, loves to set you up outside and then dart inside
1:03:10
or swipe the hands and go inside. The first schematic component that don't decide
1:03:15
Bills versus Raiders. Can the Bills handle Max Crosby. He spent a lot
1:03:19
of time against Denver in Week one lined up opposite right tackle Mike McGlinchey.
1:03:22
That's because on the other side he got left tackle Garrett Bowls, who's a
1:03:25
really good left tackle for the Denver Broncos. Crosby went over there from time
1:03:30
to time. But he does not have a side that he lives on.
1:03:34
He is side versatile. He could put him on the left, you could
1:03:37
put him on the right. He'll go wherever the matchup is most advantageous.
1:03:40
And if you're the Buffalo Bills, I think it's no surprise. In the
1:03:44
offensive line, if you're talking about the tackles, the most advantageous matchup if
1:03:46
you are a good adde rusher is on the right side against Spencer Brown.
1:03:50
So that first schematic component, Max Crosby against Spencer Brown. There are reps.
1:03:54
Again. I put him on my Twitter earlier today where Max Crosby just
1:03:58
abused the hell of Mike McGlinchey. He's got he had one, led to
1:04:01
a sack, comes off a wide alignment, gets into actually I believe I
1:04:08
can show some of these here, gets into the chest of Mike McGlinchey,
1:04:15
drives him back, and then just the ability to then swim down after that
1:04:21
is absolutely tremendous. Let me go here and show my screen here. Let's
1:04:30
see here, boom, Let's put up the Twitter page there. Let's see
1:04:34
if we go full screen, do we still see that? Yes? There
1:04:39
we go. So this rush here from Max Crosby, he's on the right
1:04:44
side, you see me highland there, wide alignment Mike McGlinchey right tackle sixty
1:04:48
nine there, hashtag nice. Watch Crosby come off the edge and get underneath
1:04:54
him, knock him back, and then mcglinchey's gonna try and reset himself right
1:04:59
here. So as McGlinchey goes to do that, Crosby then quickly swims over
1:05:03
him, which drops McGlinchey, and then he gets the sack on Russell Wilson.
1:05:11
Guy is an absolute monster off the edge, a maniac off the edge.
1:05:15
And I mean that with as much positivity as possible. Just that is
1:05:19
a Again, the power and the get off and the technique. Right,
1:05:24
Look how far Mike mcglinche is not a small man at right tackle. Look
1:05:27
how much he gets underneath him, drives him back. And then the reaction
1:05:30
and the quickness to understand, Okay, he's on his heels. Cool,
1:05:35
he's going to reset. Let me hit him with that swim move. And
1:05:39
he hits it so quickly and mcglinchey's trying to lean forward, he just slips
1:05:43
and falls and drops down. Just oof. That's a quality rep. Max
1:05:47
Crosby is one of the elite players in the NFL, not just at the
1:05:50
edge position or defensive line, in the entire NFL. That rep right there
1:05:55
is absolutely tremendous from Max Crosby. Again, dude, absolute monster to drop
1:06:01
that down there. I'm going to pull up another clip for you folks here
1:06:06
again some more Max Crosby stuff, because I really enjoy his game and I
1:06:13
think also to what is a nice piece of Crosby's game is the relentlessness at
1:06:17
which he plays. You get someone who gives maximum effort, no pun intended.
1:06:23
And I love this comment from Steve saying Crosby has super violent hands.
1:06:26
He absolutely does. You get somebody who gives maximum effort on every single play,
1:06:31
And that's part of what I tweeted. And I like that joke,
1:06:33
and I spelled maximum with two excess because I thought that was funny. Maybe
1:06:38
it's not, Maybe it's just me. Watch the rep here from Crosby again,
1:06:41
lined up off that right edge in a wide alignment. Lining up in
1:06:45
that wide alignment gives you the opportunity to kind of put the offensive lineman,
1:06:49
in this case the right tackle, put them on an island. It gives
1:06:53
you a better angle, allows you to generate more speed, which can convert,
1:06:56
you know, speed to power. But here's a nice piece. He
1:06:59
bet him inside and this is a move you'll see a lot the ability for
1:07:03
Crosby to get. He gets completely into the chest of McGlinchey. He's under
1:07:09
him right there, gets into the chest, then chucks him. Look at
1:07:13
the torque. McGlinchey is now completely turned over his right shoulder. He's almost
1:07:17
horizontal. Instead of being in a proper posture position to be able to withstand
1:07:21
this and be able to anchor, he's got no chance here. His feet
1:07:25
across, he's crossed over with his upper body. Crosby has him in a
1:07:28
completely disadvantageous spot. He's torked him, he's turned him. It's over.
1:07:32
Crosby gets through, but he trips, maybe even a purposeful trip as McGlinchey
1:07:36
sticks out his foot there. But Crosby trips, slips and falls, watches
1:07:41
he slips and falls. He still reaches grabs, He gets Wilson's leg and
1:07:48
mcglinchey's leg and he takes them both down as the play goes on, focus
1:07:53
on the left side of the screen as we move forward here, and he
1:07:55
takes them both down just and this is how he plays on every single rep
1:08:00
do it as a whirling dervish of violence, of speed, of tenacity.
1:08:03
He's such a fun player to watch. I suggest, if you know,
1:08:08
if you're ever watching a Raiders game, if it's on or if you have
1:08:11
you know, YouTube TV or whatever Sunday Ticket is on right now and you're
1:08:14
watching the Raiders game, just hone in on Max Crosby. He does this
1:08:17
regularly. He wins in a variety of ways, and they're all physical,
1:08:20
they're violent, but he's physical and violent, but he's also got good technique
1:08:25
on top of it. And I think that's what is such an intriguing aspect
1:08:29
of his game and makes him such a problem to deal with, because he
1:08:31
can beat you with speed, he can beat you with power, he can
1:08:34
beat with violence, he can beat you with technique. He's got a tremendous
1:08:38
swipe, he's got tremendous hand technique. Like that's a scary piece right there.
1:08:44
And I don't think Mike McGlinchey is an amazing right tackle. I think
1:08:45
he got overpaid this offseason by Denver. But Crosby makes him look like absolute
1:08:53
garbage on that play with just a real quality pass rush rep on that on
1:09:00
that rep there, and then I got one more coming from mister Max Crosby,
1:09:04
which I'm sorry to make anyone queasy. I know it's probably making some
1:09:08
people queasy. So here, this one's nuts. This one's against the run.
1:09:15
So sometimes you want to see them and be like, Okay, you
1:09:17
know, guy's good against the pass. Guy rushed at the quarterback tremendously,
1:09:23
But does he play the run? Does he play the run? So let's
1:09:26
show you Max Crosby playing the run. Here he is again lined up on
1:09:30
that right side. But you know from our vantage point. He's lined up
1:09:32
on the left here again in a wide alignment. This one's funny because so
1:09:40
he comes off the ball, gets through McGlinchey, got the arms extended there,
1:09:45
while he's got the hand placement there, he's about to get extended,
1:09:46
sheds McGlinchey tight end runs into him, the tight end coming across, runs
1:09:50
into him as I wind it back here, takes him on, works through
1:09:56
him, keeps working down the line, makes the tackl Javonte Williams just again
1:10:00
relentlessness, high motor, tremendously conditioned athlete, problem and all three phases.
1:10:06
Quinnin Williams was an all pro caliber dude on the interior for the Jets in
1:10:11
Week one. Crosby is every bit of that coming off the edge. Absolute
1:10:15
terror, absolute monster. This is a good example of you know, Steve
1:10:19
in the comments earlier saying Crosby is super violent hands, watch the hands,
1:10:23
the placement, the activity, the power, bang shed bang bangs right into
1:10:28
that tight end coming across, and then again runs down the running back and
1:10:31
makes the tackle not an easy play. He works through two blockers, reads
1:10:36
everything, instantaneously, processes it, and then takes down to Vonte Williams.
1:10:41
Real nice piece, real nice piece from Max Crosby. And now I want
1:10:46
to show one more, just because I like Max Crosby and I like who
1:10:51
he is as a player. One more in case you weren't sold, in
1:10:55
case you're like, yeah, but is he really that good? Do we
1:10:57
really need to see? You know? Are we here? One more from
1:11:00
mister Max Crosby again lined up on that right side. Two tight ends for
1:11:06
the Denver Broncos to that side. Watch him shoot the gap, draws the
1:11:12
hold, still, makes the tackle again, relentless, burst, get off,
1:11:16
leverage, lean, tenaciousness, ferocity, darts inside, he gets held,
1:11:23
He gets held and dragged down to the ground, doesn't let him affect,
1:11:25
doesn't let him affect him, plays right through it falls down to the
1:11:28
ground, pops back up, makes the tackle relentless, relentless. That's gonna
1:11:34
be a problem for the Buffalo Bills. He had a very strong performance in
1:11:39
Week one against Denver. Again, I showed you several of the plays there.
1:11:43
He had more. I honestly could have done, like for forty five
1:11:45
minute episode, just on how good Max Crosby is. But that's going to
1:11:48
be the number one schematic piece can they handle Max Crosby, They're gonna line
1:11:53
him up on that right side. He's effective off that right side, like
1:11:55
I showed you again, you can kick him over to the left. I
1:11:58
think he could present problems for d Dawkins significantly as well. But Dawkins is
1:12:01
a better tackle than Spencer Brown is. The Raiders are going to put Max
1:12:05
Crosby on Spencer Brown, and we're gonna see our Spencer Brown holds up and
1:12:09
then we're gonna see how Yeah. Sorry, R J r J says,
1:12:14
I thought the game preview would be more positive. I hate the fact that
1:12:15
we have to have Spencer Brown on our team. It's gonna get more possible.
1:12:17
I'm gonna go into more pieces, but it starts there. So then
1:12:20
now the comment is, okay, how do you correct for that right?
1:12:25
Do you put Dawson Knox on the line. Do you go with that spread
1:12:29
gun look where you've got Chip help? Do you have Cook help out of
1:12:31
the backfield? Do you have more Harris and Murray who are they're trying to
1:12:33
help as well? Do you have those looks where Spencer Brown knows he has
1:12:38
help on the inside with those Cyrus torrents. The good news with it.
1:12:43
Overall, you know from the Crosby conversation is aside from Crosby, I don't
1:12:46
think I don't think they have really a true threat aside from Crosby on their
1:12:53
defensive line. They took Tyree Wilson from Texas Tech early in the draft.
1:12:57
Even every really strong week in Week one. Again, this is a guy
1:13:00
who is unrefined, but he's big, he's huge, he's powerful, he
1:13:02
can bowl rush you, he can have some speed to power and knock you
1:13:05
into the backfield. But he didn't really see a ton of activity from anyone
1:13:09
else on the defensive line for the Raiders. They had ten pressures in Week
1:13:13
one against Denver. Six of them came from Max Crosby. So he is
1:13:15
the guy to pinpoint. He is the guy to watch. That is one
1:13:19
positive. So if you course correct for Max Crosby, it's not like even
1:13:23
to the Jets, right, if you're trying to course correct for quinnin Williams,
1:13:26
it's like, yeah, but they also have JFM. They also have
1:13:29
Bryce Huff. They also have Jermaine Johnson. Carl Lawson didn't play, but
1:13:32
it's like, oh, they also have Karl Lawson. You had more guys
1:13:34
and pieces to account for with the Raiders, no disrespect to anybody else on
1:13:39
the defensive line, You're really just having to account for Max Crosby, which
1:13:42
is easier schematically. So that's the first point in the first piece. Also
1:13:47
continue on that defensive side of the ball. They are liked at the linebacker
1:13:50
position. They're two starting linebackers. Robert Spillane, formerly of the Pittsburgh Steelers,
1:13:55
now on the Las Vegas Raiders. He's six one, two d twenty
1:13:59
nine pounds. Then you have Divine Diablo, former safety from Virginia Tech,
1:14:02
now linebacker with the Raiders. He's six three, two hundred and twenty three
1:14:06
pounds. They're athletic, they're smaller, they play hard, they play fast.
1:14:12
You can take advantage of them in the play action game. Suck them
1:14:15
up into coverage, throw it behind them, and or run downhill against them.
1:14:20
They want to shoot gaps. They're gonna bang. Diablo doesn't play like
1:14:26
he's only two hundred and twenty three pounds. He will take on pulling guards
1:14:29
and pulling offensive lineman. He will get under them and he will stick them
1:14:32
in the backfield and or at the line of scrimmage. But you will have
1:14:35
the size advantage against them if you are running, especially in the box.
1:14:40
So how do you combat that? How do you attack that? And you
1:14:43
know, expose that potential aspect of their defense. More downhill runs inside zone,
1:14:48
more duo pin and pulls. Get your bigger, athletic offensive lineman onto
1:14:56
the smaller, lighter linebackers and again lighter and smaller from frame and weight perspective
1:15:01
overall of the raiders. I think this is an advantage run week. If
1:15:06
you are the Buffalo Bills, You're gonna get penetration from the front. They're
1:15:11
going to stunt their defensive line again, Guys like Crosby are going to want
1:15:15
to dart inside. They're going to you get a more aggressive They got more
1:15:19
aggressive as the game went on against Denver, so you will see some aggressive
1:15:23
nature from their defense as a whole. You'll see blitzes, you will see
1:15:26
slot blitzes, You'll see run stunts, you'll see run blitzes. You'll see
1:15:29
that aspect again, they're penetrating aggressive front. They want to get through gaps
1:15:31
and cause havoc and chaos. But they are not the most skilled defensive line
1:15:36
and they are more of a smaller lighter group at the linebacker spot. I
1:15:40
think the Bills have the advantage from a skill perspective in the trenches offensively versus
1:15:45
the Raiders defense, and from a sized perspective, you should be able to
1:15:47
grind them down, wear them down, get after them, and go forward.
1:15:51
I also mentioned that play action piece, right, So Russell Wilson,
1:15:57
he was only pressured on twenty one point six percent of his snaps against the
1:16:00
Raiders, but Denver used a lot of quick game first and foremost, kind
1:16:04
of like with the Bills did early against the Jets. Think Alan got away
1:16:08
from so again, Wilson was only pressured on twenty one point six percent of
1:16:12
his snaps against Denver, which is low, but they used a lot of
1:16:15
quick game and they used play action. Russell Wilson's time to throw in Week
1:16:17
one was two point seven four seconds, which isn't very long, and that's
1:16:21
with him having several reps where he was scrambling and doing Russell Wilson things.
1:16:27
Russell Wilson and Denver used play action on thirty two point four percent of their
1:16:30
past snaps in Week one against the Raiders. For reference, the Bills used
1:16:33
play action on only fourteen percent of their snaps versus the Jets. When the
1:16:39
Bills did go play action against the Jets, they were on the whole successful.
1:16:43
Allan was five or five on seven dropbacks, although he was pressured twice
1:16:46
and sacked twice. He had a rating of one on nine point two,
1:16:48
which is very good. Russell Wilson versus the Raiders on play action in week
1:16:53
one, seven of eleven on twelve dropbacks, two pressures, no sacks,
1:16:58
one hundred and fifteen point five rating. Get some play action against the Raiders,
1:17:01
especially if you can get under center play action the raiders number one covers
1:17:05
that they used in week one was Cover three. You can attack the seams,
1:17:09
you can use those sale concepts. You can get him in some high
1:17:13
lows and pound the flats right and attack those mulnerable spots and Cover three.
1:17:16
But those linebackers, they will get sucked up. That safety that's spinning down.
1:17:21
Usually it's going to be Travon Merrig of the Texas Christian University GCU from
1:17:27
a horn Horn Frog now a Las Vegas Raider. He's usually that safety that's
1:17:30
spinning down, and those Cover three looks. If he does that cool,
1:17:34
he'll suck up in that run game. Diablo will get sucked up in that
1:17:38
run action, so will Robert Spellane when that happens, especially when it's under
1:17:42
center. Play action right account for Max Crosby, which is easier said than
1:17:45
done. Play action, suck those linebackers up, hit those overs, hit
1:17:49
those inbreakers, hit those pieces. The Bills have an opportunity to generate chunk
1:17:54
plays against this Raiders defense because of the roster build out for the Raiders defense,
1:18:01
combined with schematically how they play from a cover three perspective, so there
1:18:04
will be opportunities there. Now, another piece that I want to mention again
1:18:10
the Raiders one in week one, but they and some of this is part
1:18:15
Russell Wilson as well. But the as I pull up some charts here,
1:18:24
I'm gonna pull up Russell Wilson's passing charts from week one and again, some
1:18:30
of this is dictated by what the Raiders did defensively to force this. But
1:18:35
let's share the screen here, let's show boom. There we go. That's
1:18:41
Russell Wilson's passing chart from week one against the Raiders twenty seven to thirty four,
1:18:45
one hundred and seventy seven yards, two touchdowns nineteen of Wilson's thirty four
1:18:49
attempts were between zero to nine yards, And there's this passing chart there.
1:18:53
You can see again not a ton in the middle of the field. Look
1:18:56
where a lot of his completions and his targets were around that ten yard mark.
1:19:00
Underneath in the flats, outside the hashes. That's where there's going to
1:19:04
be the vulnerabilities. In that cover three spot. You can kind of force
1:19:06
that flat defender and that deep third defender who's got who you can play off
1:19:12
those high lows. You can create some leverage with motion, either you know
1:19:15
fast motion or surge motion right at the snap or kind of rearranging them things.
1:19:19
You can use stacks and bunches and trips and create leverage and get out
1:19:25
in front of their guys early. They're not the best with match coverage and
1:19:29
they will try that from time to time. So if you look where Russell
1:19:31
Wilson attack them, I think it's a good place to start. But then
1:19:34
when you have the skill set at receiver that the Bills do at tight end,
1:19:38
the Bills do, the potential mismatches that you have there, combine with
1:19:42
Alan's arm, I think you should see more attacking in the middle of the
1:19:45
field, so the flats and the underneath is going to be available. You
1:19:49
got to start with that early. You have to suck up that raiders defense.
1:19:54
You have to force them to honor the underneath, to honor those the
1:19:58
flat routes, and then as the progresses, then you can start to attack.
1:20:02
You know, ten to fifteen, ten to twenty, maybe twenty plus.
1:20:04
You can attack the seams. You can attack over the middle. I
1:20:08
think the opportunity for Alan given his arm strength and his size. Again,
1:20:12
russ isn't the biggest dude, so he's not the guy who's attacking that over
1:20:15
the middle area. If you see that availability for Allen, get some under
1:20:20
center play action. You suck in Diablo and Spillane those linebackers, and then
1:20:25
you hit those over routes or those inbreakers or those seams at ten, twelve,
1:20:30
thirteen, fourteen yards. You put that single high post safety into conflict.
1:20:33
Look him off if you're Josh Allen, hit him the other way.
1:20:36
Alan has the size and the arm to work that area of the field that
1:20:40
Russell Wilson does not Cool Also a really good stapple from Kendallmursky Hey Kendall.
1:20:45
Kendall says the Raiders pressure the QB on eighteen point two percent of play action
1:20:48
dropbacks in Week one. That was the sixth lowest rate in the NFL in
1:20:54
that Week one area. So nice step hole there, Kendall. So again
1:20:59
you want to put things together. You look at the vulnerability of the Raiders
1:21:01
defense cover three, how they react to run action, and then how little
1:21:05
they pressure the QB on play action dropbacks in Week one. That's a recipe
1:21:10
for success. And again, Josh Allen is a very good play action quarterback,
1:21:14
as most quarterbacks are. Most quarterbacks are usually more successful with play action
1:21:16
than they are just regular straight up dropbacks. Attack with play action, attack
1:21:21
with the run. It should be a very simple philosophy. Raiders also like
1:21:26
to use their nickel coverages. Marcus Peters Hobbs is their nickel corner, and
1:21:31
then it is their other corner. They're gonna be a nickel Hobbs is a
1:21:35
really tiny guy. He's fast, he's bursty. It's gonna be a matchup
1:21:39
problem if he's got to cover Dalton Kincaid or he's got to cover Dawson Knox.
1:21:43
He's feisty and tenacity he's going to look to penetrate and shoot gaps against
1:21:45
the run. So he's not somebody that he's not soft, but he is
1:21:48
smaller. You can take advantage of that matchup piece, So run it right
1:21:51
at him, run it down their throats. Take advantage of the size and
1:21:56
the power that you have upfront, and maybe even the talent advantage that you
1:21:59
have in the box against the Raiders. Then work in that play action,
1:22:01
specifically that under center play action, but I think you could also tie in
1:22:04
some RPO looks. Again, Diablo and Spillane are very reactive. They will
1:22:09
come forward, take advantage of them over the middle of the field, where
1:22:12
if the flats as well, make them have to honor those pieces and come
1:22:15
up and take shots and chunk plays as the game goes on. This is
1:22:18
another game against the Raiders defense where you have to stay patient early and then
1:22:25
start to reap what you sew and reap the benefits later on in the game.
1:22:30
Another piece I want to mention against the Raiders, so the Raiders no
1:22:34
blitzes. For the Raiders on seventy eight point four percent of their snaps versus
1:22:40
Denver. Like I mentioned earlier, that's similar to what the Jets did to
1:22:43
the Bills in Week one. The Jets didn't blitz Allen on seventy eight percent
1:22:46
of dropbacks. Again, on those dropbacks for Allen a rating of forty eight
1:22:51
point four, three interceptions, one touchdown, two point nine seven seconds average
1:22:57
time to throw five point one yards per attempt in a sixty three point six
1:23:00
completion percentage. So not blitzing hurt Allen and the Bills last night against the
1:23:04
Jets. But again also it's tied to the Jets having a tremendous front four
1:23:09
and their ability to get after you with Jet using their front four. The
1:23:12
Raiders do not have a similar front to the Jets in any way, shape
1:23:16
or form. We showed those Max Crosby highlights earlier in this episode. Crosby
1:23:23
is an absolute monster. He is absolutely tremendous. He is someone to be
1:23:28
feared, He is someone to be respected in every way, shape and form.
1:23:31
But they don't have the depth on the rest of that defensive line like
1:23:35
the Jets do. So course correct for Crosby, take advantage of the linebackers
1:23:39
and the size, and you could have a recipe for success. If you
1:23:42
are the Buffalo Bills offense, now let's kick it to the other side.
1:23:45
Raiders offense against the Bills defense. So watching their Week one tape against the
1:23:50
Broncos, and some of the advanced metrics from a personnel perspective don't get updated
1:23:56
until later in the week, so I don't have the official numbers on it
1:24:00
now. So this is just like tape study in my own charting, You're
1:24:03
going to see a lot more traditional looks from the Raiders offense. Josh McDaniels,
1:24:10
Bill Belichick disciple, Jimmy garoppolo, efficient rhythm, timing based quarterback fits
1:24:16
well in that McDaniel scheme was drafted into that scheme in New England, you
1:24:21
were going to see twenty one personnel with a traditional fullback. Jacob Johnson is
1:24:26
their fullback. He is an absolute hammer. You're going to see more traditional
1:24:30
offense when you're watching the Raiders play in this game. Okay, and I
1:24:32
want to see traditional offense. I mean, like you're basic, not I
1:24:35
don't say basic, but nineties kind of offense. Ie formation X receiver over
1:24:41
here, tight end next to the right tackle, ze receiver next to him,
1:24:45
or flanker over there, regular eye formation behind with a fullback and a
1:24:48
tailback, the tailback being Josh Jacobs, strong eye formation, twins to the
1:24:53
left and a strong eye formation or twins with an eye formation. All these
1:24:56
pieces, you're going to see more of a traditional offensive look with a traditional
1:25:00
hammer of a fullback if you are the Buffalo Bills. Also paired within that,
1:25:06
the Raiders are also used sets well where they will have a sixth offensive
1:25:12
lineman adding to that heavy personnel pro package look. They're only going to go
1:25:15
spread when they have to three by one, eleven personnel or ten personnel.
1:25:19
Factoring into that a little bit, Jacoby Myers, former New England Patriot,
1:25:24
had a phenomenal week in Week one. Took a very dangerous shot to the
1:25:28
head as the game was winding down. He is currently in concussion protocol.
1:25:30
It looked brutal. They brought the card out for him. He was able
1:25:33
to walk out under his own power. But Jacoby Myers was a very effective
1:25:40
piece pairing with DeVante Adams in Week one. That's something to keep an eye
1:25:44
on as well. If Myers is out, I would expect the Raiders to
1:25:46
lean more into their heavier pro personnel type of looks. Again, they are
1:25:50
only going spread or three by one things like that when they have to Jacoby
1:25:56
Myers in concussion protocol. He led the team in targets, yards, receptions,
1:26:00
and touchdowns in Week one versus Denver ten targets, eighty one yards,
1:26:03
nine catches, two touchdowns. Davante Adams had Patrick's retained the second on him
1:26:09
for the majority of the game. PS two looked really good against Adams.
1:26:13
Adams got him from time to time. And then knowing McDaniels and knowing what
1:26:15
Jimmy G like, you are going to see in breaking routes from Jimmy G.
1:26:20
You are going to see, you know, digs, You're going to
1:26:23
see slants, you are going to see benders on the inside there. You
1:26:27
are going to see those aspects of You're going to see them attack the areas
1:26:32
of the field that Jimmy G is comfortable with. And you're not gonna see
1:26:38
a lot of verticality downfield. You're not gonna see them push the ball a
1:26:40
ton down field. Although Jimmy G did do a pretty decent job with his
1:26:45
distribution in Week one. I'm gonna share my screen right now. There's Jimmy
1:26:53
G's passing charts from Week one against the I would say Las Vegas against the
1:26:59
Denver Lesing. So you see there again, not a ton of passing attempts.
1:27:01
Twenty six passing at tempts. Again, this team wants to run the
1:27:03
ball. They want to run it at you downhill style with Josh Jacobs.
1:27:06
They'll work in some mid zone, they'll work in some gap scheme, but
1:27:11
this is a team that wants to run it at you with Josh Jacobs between
1:27:13
the tackles and get downhill, and then you pair it with the passing style
1:27:17
of Jimmy g There're so not a ton to the left and overall when you're
1:27:20
breaking down. He had a pretty solid distribution of throws. Eleven point five
1:27:25
percent of his throws or twenty plus twenty six point nine were from ten to
1:27:29
nineteen yards, forty six point two percent were zero to nine, and fifteen
1:27:32
point four we're behind the line of scrimmage. Again, smaller ish sample size
1:27:36
because he only had twenty six attempts. His one interception was in the red
1:27:40
zone. Tried to force a ball in in the low red zone from about
1:27:43
the five yard line, got tipped up in the air, got picked off.
1:27:45
But if you look there again, Jimmy's gonna attack in the middle of
1:27:48
the field. He's comfortable throwing in between the hashes or around the hashes.
1:27:51
He's also more comfortable going to his right than his left, but some of
1:27:55
that is gonna be dictated by matchup in terms of where he was going.
1:27:59
But Jimmy G knowing who he is. Again, that Patriot offense under Josh
1:28:02
McDaniels plays to Jimmy G's strength, going to have route spacing, and then
1:28:06
Jimmy G wants to play with timing, with rhythm, stay on schedule.
1:28:11
He's not looking to create off script. He's not looking to generate explosive plays
1:28:15
via air yards downfield. He's looking to hit in breaking routes with precision and
1:28:19
timing, looking to get the ball into his playmaker's hands. Who win with
1:28:24
technique Again, I don't think maybe Jacoby Myers plays. The head injury was
1:28:30
super scary. He was in the fencing position. It looked bad. Again
1:28:33
they brought the card out for him. I don't know if Myers is going
1:28:36
to play. I think Myers is fantastic. I would have loved the Bills
1:28:40
to have brought him in, but he was priced out with how much he
1:28:42
got this year, the Patriots gave Juju Smith Schuster the same amount of money
1:28:46
that the Raiders gave Myers, which I found ridiculous because I would take Myers
1:28:49
a thousand times out of a thousand chances. But nonetheless, he is with
1:28:53
Vegas. If Myers does not play, DeVante Adams is still a stunt.
1:28:57
He is still phenomenal. He's still one of the best risen the entire NFL.
1:29:00
I know he's kind of gone out to Vegas, and you had everything
1:29:03
that happened last year with Derek Carr not hitting those proper expectations. Now Jimmy
1:29:09
g is there. He's never been known as a guy who has been a
1:29:12
top tier QB ken he sustained DeVante Adams. Adams is still phenomenal. He's
1:29:15
still stick sick, one of the best route runners, one of the best
1:29:18
receivers in terms of setting up defensive backs and making them think he's going to
1:29:23
do a when really he's a liar and he's going to do be sharp,
1:29:26
crisp, sudden, decisive routes. He is still a problem. But if
1:29:30
Myers isn't there, you can shade to him a little bit more and there's
1:29:32
less of a threat hunter Renfro is there no real productivity at all to speak
1:29:38
of. In Week one, McDaniels talked about it, saying it was just
1:29:41
a game script in the game that didn't really involve Renfro. He was on
1:29:44
the field for some snaps. I don't even think he was targeted. And
1:29:46
again, not a ton of completions, not a ton of attempts for Jimmy
1:29:49
g Why because they do want to run the ball. I want to pull
1:29:54
this comment here from Kendall, which is fantastic. Kendall says the Raiders had
1:29:57
two or more running backs on the field on four forty five point five percent
1:30:00
of snaps in Week one. That is the second highest rate behind only San
1:30:05
Francisco. So two or more running backs on the field forty five point five
1:30:09
percent of their snaps in Week one, And again, when you're looking at
1:30:12
those backs, Josh Jacobs, Jacob Johnson, power run downhill, coming at
1:30:16
you. Johnson is an absolute hammer. That also ties into what happened to
1:30:21
the Bills against the Jets. So this run game for the Raiders, it's
1:30:25
going to test the Bills tackling and their run fits. The tackling was poor
1:30:28
against the Jets at the line of scrimmage at the second level, at the
1:30:30
third level, it was not good. The Raiders like again, like I
1:30:34
mentioned, they want to run downhill at you. They want to create vertical
1:30:38
displacement, and they want to let Jacobs eat. They're going to run a
1:30:40
variety of gap in zone and with the skill set Jacobs, the goal is
1:30:44
to get more north than south than it is to get east and west.
1:30:47
What the Bills did in Week one against the Jets when the Jets one with
1:30:51
heavier looks, their base personnel answer was not to bring in a third linebacker
1:30:56
like we talked about earlier. They brought in Taylor to be that kind of
1:31:00
third linebacker. So Tarn Johnson came out, and then you had at the
1:31:03
second level Matt Milano to Rol Bernard, Taylor, Rapp. It's going to
1:31:08
be challenging for that linebacker group to match and mash against Jacob Johnson in the
1:31:14
run game. Again. Johnson is huge, he's a maler, he's physical.
1:31:17
He comes from that New England scheme and that time in New England.
1:31:20
He was a priority for McDaniels coming over to the Raiders and bringing him in
1:31:26
with him. He just fits their scheme and their style. This is an
1:31:29
old school pound the football type of offense. And then they're gonna go play
1:31:34
action off of that, and they're gonna hit those inbreakers and they're attack the
1:31:38
middle of the field. They want to keep Jimmy g on schedule, ahead
1:31:41
of schedule, in rhythm, on time, all of those pieces. I
1:31:45
don't think the Bill's run fits were holistically as bad as they're being blown up
1:31:50
to be. In Week one against the Jets, they weren't great, but
1:31:53
they did have opportunities. You know, Trey White has to make a tackle
1:31:56
on that eight yard run by Bree Saw. Leonard Floyd has to make the
1:31:58
tackle on that twenty six yard run. There were guys in positions to make
1:32:02
plays and they just didn't make the tackles. Not that their run fits were
1:32:05
perfect, but he got to make tackles. But again, they're tackling overall,
1:32:10
and their run fits will be challenged in this game because of the style
1:32:14
of offense the Raiders are going to run. I expect the Raiders, especially
1:32:16
if Jacobe Myers is out, they're going to lean even more so. Again,
1:32:19
like Kendall said, even with Myers being available, again, the Raiders
1:32:25
had two or more running backs on the field forty five point five percent of
1:32:29
the snaps in Week one. That was the second highest rate in the league.
1:32:30
And even if you don't forget where it was in terms of like second
1:32:33
highest first, although second is a lot, basically fifty percent of the snaps
1:32:38
they had two or more running backs on the field. That is almost unheard
1:32:40
of in today's NFL. And it's not just because, like you know,
1:32:44
the Niners did it at the highest rate in Week one. But one of
1:32:46
those running backs technically is Kyle used Check and he's a matchup nightmare in the
1:32:50
chess pieces because of his physicality, his blocking and his receiving ability. Kyle
1:32:54
Shanahan loves to use him as a matchup creator for the forty nine ers offense.
1:32:59
It's that way with the Raiders. Jacob Johnson isn't some jack of all
1:33:02
trades fullback. He's a straight up old school fullback who's gonna mash you come
1:33:05
downhill and create problems. And so if the Bills choose to match that with
1:33:11
their heavier defensive personnel package, meaning Taylor Rap comes in for tarn Johnson,
1:33:15
you got Rap, you got Bernard, you got Milano. Milano is the
1:33:18
biggest linebacker at the second level for the Bills, and he's not really a
1:33:24
masher. He's not the biggest, you know, run stuff for kind of
1:33:27
dude. He's a slasher. He's a gap shooter. So is Bernard and
1:33:30
so is Rap. We'll see how they match up against, you know,
1:33:32
the physical, strong Raiders offensive line and then paired with that downhill running attack
1:33:39
with the there's physical, mashing hammer type of fullback in Jacob Johnson. That's
1:33:44
going to be a key piece and key component as well. Can the Bills
1:33:45
stop the run this week? That's where everything's going to step from. That's
1:33:49
what the Raiders want to do. That's where they want to live. They
1:33:51
want to run with Josh Jacobs. They want to run downhill, they want
1:33:56
to go play action. They want to attack the middle of the field.
1:33:59
They want breakers, and they want to get the ball in their playmaker's hands
1:34:02
and let them attack and let them eat and keep Jimmy g on schedule.
1:34:05
And the way to do that for them is to start with the run.
1:34:08
If they can, they'll run the ball. If they have seventy snaps,
1:34:11
they'll run the ball seventy times. Out of seventy times. That's what they
1:34:15
will do. They will run downhill at you. If they're average in six
1:34:16
and seven yards a pop, they're just gonna keep going to it. Yeah,
1:34:20
they'll check to a pass and take advantage of Adams is one on one
1:34:24
or if they have a look that's advantageous and they'll work in play action.
1:34:27
They have no problem just living in the run and running it down your throats.
1:34:30
Jimmy g is comfortable with that. Josh McDaniels is comfortable with that.
1:34:32
Josh Jacobs is definitely comfortable with that. They got some dudes when it comes
1:34:36
to designing the run game and then attacking in the run game. The way
1:34:41
the Bills tackling and run fits were in Week one, little suspect, a
1:34:44
little questionable. That'll definitely be tested in week two. And if I'm the
1:34:48
Raiders, I'm trying to put their dB, specifically Trey White in conflict when
1:34:54
it comes to being a run defender. He missed multiple tackles, including that
1:34:57
big one on Preest Hall. I'm making him have to tackle. Josh Jacobs.
1:35:00
I'm going to set up those runs and I'm going to crack down on
1:35:03
the edges and the linebackers and the safeties, and I'm gonna make Josh Jacobs's
1:35:08
man be Tradavious White, and I'm gonna say, hey, cool, Trey
1:35:12
White, you're one on one with Josh Jacobs, can you tackle him?
1:35:14
And Jacobs isn't gonna try and shake him. He's not going to try and
1:35:16
juke him, although he has some elusivity to his game, but he's gonna
1:35:20
try and shake enough that he can create an arm tackle and then try and
1:35:24
just run through Tradavious White from an arm tackle perspective, or maybe he just
1:35:27
puts his head down and tries to truck him and maybe trips over as carcass
1:35:30
or something like that. But you're going to see them put the Bills and
1:35:32
disadvantageous run situations and try to establish the run early and often and then lean
1:35:38
into it throughout the entirety of the game. That's also where getting out to
1:35:41
a lead against the Raiders helps you from a Raiders offensive standpoint if you're the
1:35:45
Bills defense, because if the Raiders get down, do they have to abandon
1:35:49
the run? When do they abandon the run? Now they're living in a
1:35:51
spread world, in a pass heavy world, which is not where they want
1:35:55
to be. It doesn't lend itself to their quick game and their quick hitters
1:35:58
and timing and space and rhythm and their play action and the downhill run piece.
1:36:01
You can kind of get them off script and get them out of their
1:36:04
comfort zone by getting ahead of them and then having the ability to just rush
1:36:09
Jimmy g left and right. I think the Bills had the advantage from a
1:36:13
pass rush versus pass protection standpoint on the offensive on the defensive side against the
1:36:16
Raiders offense. So we'll see how that ties in as well. I want
1:36:20
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And with that happening, I'm gonna thought the bandit says, tootles folks,
1:37:20
before anybody leaves, please, please, please, and thank you. Drop
1:37:23
a lig on this video. Oh that's awesome. We got a Raiders fan
1:37:26
here, Raiders fan, but great show bro, very insightful. I appreciate
1:37:30
you being here and for the kind words. That's awesome. I normally don't.
1:37:32
I kind of violated my own role. I don't pull up positive comments
1:37:34
about mysel because I think it's kind of corny. But I appreciate you being
1:37:38
a Raiders fan, and it kind of I just an impulse. It was
1:37:41
like, oh that's sweet a Raiders fan. Thank you very much. I
1:37:43
appreciate you. Before anybody leaves, please please, please, and thank you
1:37:45
drop a lig on this video. Like I mentioned earlier, I know it's
1:37:48
corny to shill out and ask for likes, but they are the lifeblood of
1:37:50
these streams and significantly impacting the algorithm. So if you haven't already, please,
1:37:55
please, please and thank you drop a like on this video. It
1:37:58
is greatly appreciated, and help myself and the entire team to track and trend
1:38:01
in front of more eyes. This is suddenly, I don't want to say
1:38:04
an important game for the Bills, but it's one that they could win.
1:38:09
It's one they should win. But they also should have won against the Jets
1:38:12
Monday night, especially once Aaron Rodgers went down and Zach Wilson was the guy
1:38:15
in the game. The Raiders still have some very interesting pieces. I'm very
1:38:17
interested to see whether or not Jacobe Meyers plays, especially because he is on
1:38:20
my fantasy team. He had a great week one. The Raiders can do
1:38:26
some fun things on the offensive side of the ball. I'm a little bit
1:38:29
old school. I guess with my nature, like I like teams that play
1:38:32
good defense and teams that run the ball. I don't think the Raiders necessarily
1:38:35
play good defense or great defense. But Max Crosby is a stud and is
1:38:41
so fun to watch like he's Max Crosby is so fun to watch that even
1:38:45
if he destroys the Bills offense, like I wouldn't be upset because he's just
1:38:49
such a fun player to watch, the technicality, the violence, not to
1:38:53
mention two what he's overcome and his story and his journey and how he's grown
1:38:58
to become the player in person that he is. Dude is just a one
1:39:00
across the board, on and off the field. Now. So Crosby is
1:39:03
an absolute difference maker in a huge way. Like I mentioned earlier, arguably
1:39:08
the most underrated player in the entire NFL based on how I define it.
1:39:12
So Crosby's a stud. And then offensively, you know they're not going to
1:39:15
set the world on fire. Davante Adams is still a stud. You still
1:39:17
got to find a way to cover Davonte Adams. And then given the personnel
1:39:21
groupings and the style of offense, they lean into they can post some problems,
1:39:25
specifically for a team like the Bills, who are built to stop the
1:39:28
pass, who like to live in nickel and or big nickel cool. Can
1:39:32
you mash against Jacob Johnson? Is Taron Johnson or Taylor Rap or Terrell Bernard
1:39:38
or Matt Malano going to be able to fill against Jacob Johnson? Because Johnson's
1:39:42
that much of a hammer with his size and frame that he's gonna mall and
1:39:45
mash your second level and third level dudes. But he's also big enough and
1:39:48
physical enough that he can kick out your edges, even Gregor Rousseau, but
1:39:54
Epanessa, Leonard Floyd, he's gonna mash And that's a potential matchup advantage.
1:40:00
And in a day and age where most teams are built to stop the past,
1:40:02
you've got these teams that are more old school in their nature, especially
1:40:05
the teams that run downhill and don't live on this wide zone scheme or outside
1:40:10
zone scheme. So the Raiders can present some matchup problems. It'll be a
1:40:13
fun game and one that the Bills can win, should win, and I
1:40:16
don't want to say need to win, but if you start out the year
1:40:19
O and two with the deflating loss against the Jets, and then you're home
1:40:21
open or loose to the Raiders, who maybe without Jacoby Myers, that will
1:40:28
be definitely disappointing for the Bills. And again that Jacoby Myers Dominot, I
1:40:30
think it's significant. He if they're just running two wide receiver sets, you've
1:40:35
got real quality receivers with Devontae Jacobe Myers. But then if Myers is out,
1:40:41
they're already a team that's living in a heavy personnel world. Do they
1:40:44
lean into that even further? And that could significantly impact the schematic components of
1:40:47
this game. So we'll see what happens going forward from there as well.
1:40:53
Drop alike on this video. If you have not already, please subscribe to
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appreciate everybody who joined Me Live for this episode. Again, no guest had
1:41:56
a couple of guests lined up, one in particular, but things Jeff warning,
1:42:00
the cards, some things with sideways at the last minute here on this
1:42:03
episode, so ended up riding solo this one. So thank you to everybody
1:42:06
who joined Me Live. I appreciate you making me feel like I'm not alone.
1:42:10
Thank you for the engagement, the back and forth with one another,
1:42:13
in the engagement with myself. Thank you to Jason, Thank you to Carl,
1:42:15
Thank you to Jonathan for the super chats, I appreciate you folks being
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1:42:25
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you. I appreciate the support that comes from you folks in every form and
1:42:36
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1:42:41
that rolled throughout the show, especially at the end here. Thank you to
1:42:44
the Raiders fans who stopped by, and I appreciate the kind words in that
1:42:46
regard. And again thank you everybody who joined live, watched later, listen,
1:42:50
later, whatever have you. I appreciate you folks more than you will
1:42:54
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1:43:00
ones about how awesome it is. The insight, the knowledge, the play,
1:43:02
breakdowns, anything and everything. Join myself and Eric Turner live tomorrow night,
1:43:06
Wednesday, September thirteenth, at seven pm Eastern for the Cover One Film
1:43:11
Room, where we'll be breaking down a lot of significant components and pieces from
1:43:15
Bill's versus jets in week one with film. That's why I didn't want to
1:43:17
dive into too much film on that aspect of it in tonight's episode. And
1:43:20
then I'll do it for us here. I'll see you next week Tuesday,
1:43:24
September nineteenth for another episode of Disguise Coverage at nine pm Eastern. Until then,
1:43:29
I hope you and your family and friends and loved ones are all doing
1:43:30
well and staying safe. Be kind to one another, take care of one
1:43:34
another. I appreciate you, folks more than you will possibly know. I
1:43:39
will see you tomorrow for an episode of the Cover one Film Room, and
1:43:42
next week live for another episode of Disguise Coverage. And until then, God's
1:43:45
speed and as always, go Bills