Latest / Merryn Talks Money / The Best Way to Handle UK Student Debt
Transcript
- 0:03Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. Welcome to Meren Talks
- 0:21Speaker 1: Your Money, the personal finance edition of Meron Talks Money
- 0:24Speaker 1: and these bonus podcasts. We talk about the best strategies
- 0:27Speaker 1: for making the most of your money. Ameren Tum's that
- 0:29Speaker 1: Web and with Me Senior Avoord and Money Just sled
- 0:32Speaker 1: all for John Steffeck Hi John Hi mel Now, I
- 0:35Speaker 1: guess everyone's talking about personal finance this week. I'm a
- 0:38Speaker 1: bit nervous about the budget. You're nerves about the budget?
- 0:40Speaker 1: Or are you more nervous or more looking forward to
- 0:42Speaker 1: being entertained? Which way does it work for you?
- 0:44Speaker 2: Ah? We see this is one of those work life
- 0:47Speaker 2: balanced dichotomies. For work it's immensely entertained, and for life
- 0:52Speaker 2: is absolutely gram And the half of me's hiding behind
- 0:55Speaker 2: the sofa and the other half is like a child
- 0:57Speaker 2: before Christmas.
- 0:58Speaker 1: The other half is deaf brilly going laf a curve,
- 1:01Speaker 1: laf a curve, laver curve.
- 1:04Speaker 2: You'll haveving a laugh of cove.
- 1:06Speaker 1: They won't be having many laughs afterwards. They don't think
- 1:09Speaker 1: they come for the laughs, don't they. Right? This week
- 1:13Speaker 1: we've got a persent from someone who you know well.
- 1:16Speaker 1: I think also be watching their budget very very carefully. Hugo.
- 1:20Speaker 1: The question is from Hugo. Hugo wrote quite a brief email. Actually,
- 1:23Speaker 1: he's asking for advice for twenty somethings. You've got more
- 1:26Speaker 1: than fifty pounds in student debt. What should they be
- 1:29Speaker 1: doing with the money they're earning? Should they pay off
- 1:31Speaker 1: that loan the extent it's a real loan. Should they
- 1:34Speaker 1: get on the housing ladder? Or should they buy stocks
- 1:36Speaker 1: and shares? So lots of things to think about here.
- 1:40Speaker 1: You know, we're quite please that Hugo is earning good money.
- 1:43Speaker 1: I'm thrilled by that. But what we don't know is
- 1:45Speaker 1: what student loan plan he's on, because there are so many,
- 1:48Speaker 1: and if he's in his twenties, I think that puts
- 1:51Speaker 1: him on Did that put him on two?
- 1:53Speaker 2: Probably because that's if you start to just course between
- 1:57Speaker 2: September twenty twelve and July twenty twenty, So yeah, almost
- 2:02Speaker 2: it does. That would be what he's doing.
- 2:04Speaker 1: Well plan to But the essence of all the student
- 2:07Speaker 1: loans are roughly the same. After a certain threshold, you
- 2:10Speaker 1: pay nine percent of your income towards your loan, regardless
- 2:13Speaker 1: of how much you are earning, it remains the same,
- 2:17Speaker 1: So the essence is the same. A large percentage of
- 2:20Speaker 1: your income will go in what they call loan repayments,
- 2:24Speaker 1: but you and I really think of as a tax,
- 2:26Speaker 1: and you can make that tax go away by paying
- 2:29Speaker 1: off the loan. And the extent of whether it's worth
- 2:32Speaker 1: it or not is just about maths, isn't it. Yeah?
- 2:35Speaker 2: And the maths bet is that that makes it difficult.
- 2:39Speaker 2: I guess it's about maths, But it's also about have
- 2:42Speaker 2: any make assumptions, which is the checky bet, having.
- 2:46Speaker 1: Made assumptions about your future earnings. For example, I mean,
- 2:49Speaker 1: what if? What if? Sacred argument? Hugo, who's earning very
- 2:53Speaker 1: nicely at the moment. Let's say that Hugo meets the
- 2:58Speaker 1: lover's life, gets married, has two kids. Hugo's the one
- 3:02Speaker 1: that gives up work to look after the kids. Get
- 3:04Speaker 1: on your Hugo because his wife's a higher owner, etcetera.
- 3:07Speaker 1: Tuesdays at work, Suddenly he's earning nothing and he may
- 3:10Speaker 1: never again get above the thresholder you know, Welcome, Welcome
- 3:13Speaker 1: to the ladies world, Hugo. Sometimes you never make back
- 3:16Speaker 1: up to your old income after your maternity lives, paternity
- 3:18Speaker 1: lives in your case.
- 3:19Speaker 2: I mean, Shugo. If I was you, I would make
- 3:21Speaker 2: that your plenty. Mary Rach marry out. Yeah softly, let's
- 3:29Speaker 2: go with the pop.
- 3:31Speaker 1: If only it was so easy anyway. So that's the
- 3:33Speaker 1: point that you are making all these assumptions about your
- 3:36Speaker 1: future once you start talking about overpaying the loan or
- 3:40Speaker 1: paying back the loan, and that makes it incredibly difficult
- 3:42Speaker 1: because obviously, even predictive AI can't tell you how much
- 3:45Speaker 1: you're going to be earning in a decade or fifteen years,
- 3:47Speaker 1: can't tell you who you're going to meet, where you're
- 3:49Speaker 1: going to live, how you want to live, what kind
- 3:51Speaker 1: of house you want to live in, how many children
- 3:52Speaker 1: are going to have, etc. No one can tell you that.
- 3:54Speaker 1: So all you can do is make some rough guesses
- 3:57Speaker 1: about your earning power, and some rough guess is about
- 4:01Speaker 1: any capital you might or not received during your life. Now,
- 4:04Speaker 1: I think probably the first place to start is should
- 4:10Speaker 1: you pay off your loan rather than saving to buy
- 4:14Speaker 1: a house. And John, I think you would say, I
- 4:17Speaker 1: want to put words into your mouth there. I think
- 4:19Speaker 1: you would say saved to buy the house.
- 4:22Speaker 2: Yeah, because I think it's reasonably straightforward this question, because
- 4:27Speaker 2: if you've decided that it's time to buy a house
- 4:30Speaker 2: and like it or not, you know, and I'm not,
- 4:33Speaker 2: you know, completely a fan of this, but buying a
- 4:35Speaker 2: house is like a life stage for almost everyone in
- 4:38Speaker 2: this country, and so if that's what you need to do,
- 4:41Speaker 2: then you need to save the money towards it. The
- 4:44Speaker 2: one thing I understand about this is that the student loan,
- 4:47Speaker 2: its impact on your ability to borrow, is only and
- 4:51Speaker 2: as much as it reduces your monthly income. So the
- 4:55Speaker 2: fact that you've got fifty grand a day, it doesn't matter,
- 4:57Speaker 2: that doesn't count towards it mortgage. It's just in as
- 5:01Speaker 2: much as it takes nine percent of your monthly salary.
- 5:04Speaker 2: So from that point of view, you don't need to
- 5:06Speaker 2: worry about it in terms of getting the mortgage. So yeah,
- 5:09Speaker 2: save up for the house to posit if that's what
- 5:12Speaker 2: your goal is. I don't really see any exclusion to that.
- 5:19Speaker 1: Yeah, And I think it's also worth saying that again,
- 5:22Speaker 1: you know, the interest rates on student learns whack all
- 5:24Speaker 1: over the place, but the majority of the time it's
- 5:27Speaker 1: probably true that the interest rate on your loan, which
- 5:30Speaker 1: is not real interest of course, but the technical interest
- 5:34Speaker 1: rate on your loan is going to be lower than
- 5:35Speaker 1: the interest rate on a mortgage, right, So if you're
- 5:38Speaker 1: going to hold onto one kind of debt, it might
- 5:40Speaker 1: as well be that. Yeah.
- 5:41Speaker 2: But also if you think of it as a tax
- 5:44Speaker 2: rather than a loan, then the idea of haven't you
- 5:48Speaker 2: keep the loan at a certain level is less of
- 5:50Speaker 2: an issue because you know, I mean especially the other
- 5:53Speaker 2: thing is she goes on if you go isn't planned to,
- 5:55Speaker 2: and I guess he must be, or almost certainly must be.
- 5:57Speaker 2: That's going to get right and off thirty years after
- 5:59Speaker 2: he could situated anyway, so he will get that weight
- 6:03Speaker 2: clean before he's a patientage. So that's the other thing.
- 6:08Speaker 2: I mean, some of the later loans are going to
- 6:10Speaker 2: have less for the problems.
- 6:12Speaker 1: Horrible that the new ones are the poor people who
- 6:15Speaker 1: started in twenty twenty three. That loan sticks with them
- 6:17Speaker 1: for forty years, so that I mean that really is
- 6:20Speaker 1: a tax. You can stop all the arguments, but it
- 6:21Speaker 1: is a loan r a tax. By that that is
- 6:23Speaker 1: definitely a taxes with you for forty years, and it
- 6:26Speaker 1: takes your marginal rate of tax for high end as
- 6:29Speaker 1: well well over fifty percent of the scandal. So I
- 6:31Speaker 1: don't know why we put up with it. Young people
- 6:33Speaker 1: do something process well, protest, get on the streets, vote,
- 6:38Speaker 1: vote for someone who's going to make your tertiary education
- 6:41Speaker 1: more efficient for you financially. But come back to that
- 6:44Speaker 1: in another podcast. So most likely, although there's not financial advice,
- 6:49Speaker 1: it's just what would most likely be the better thing
- 6:51Speaker 1: to do for most people. Save up for your house
- 6:54Speaker 1: as opposed to paying off your paying off your student
- 6:57Speaker 1: loan in any kind of lump somewhat over payment. That's
- 6:59Speaker 1: an INEFFICI into use of money. But when it comes
- 7:02Speaker 1: to anything else, now I think we would both agree,
- 7:04Speaker 1: I'm not even sure we have to talk through this one.
- 7:06Speaker 1: We would both agree that you should definitely continue to
- 7:09Speaker 1: contribute to your pension through order enrollment rather than pay
- 7:11Speaker 1: off your student them. That's that's a given.
- 7:13Speaker 2: Right absolutely, And just in case you don't know, because
- 7:17Speaker 2: that is because it's part of your overall compensation, your
- 7:21Speaker 2: employer has to contribute to it. If you don't join
- 7:24Speaker 2: nod to enrollment, your sacrifice and X amount of your
- 7:27Speaker 2: salary for absolutely noughtiesn't at all.
- 7:30Speaker 1: Yeah, So don't do that. So that's clear the other bit,
- 7:34Speaker 1: Would it be a better idea to instead invest into
- 7:36Speaker 1: stocks and shares? Do you know what I'd like to
- 7:38Speaker 1: run a little campaign. Join me in this campaign. I
- 7:41Speaker 1: would like to stop saying stocks and shares. Yes, nobody
- 7:45Speaker 1: knows what that means. What does that mean? It means
- 7:47Speaker 1: shares and shares, equity, equities and equities, stocks and shares?
- 7:51Speaker 1: It is it because it brings in debt as well?
- 7:54Speaker 1: Are we talking about? What? What? I remember?
- 7:57Speaker 2: Try to look this up at one point and it
- 8:00Speaker 2: it really it's yet another one of those things like
- 8:02Speaker 2: bulls and bears that is not entirely clear at all
- 8:04Speaker 2: what the definition ever was or where it's originated. And
- 8:09Speaker 2: I totally agree. It's like stocks and shares are the
- 8:12Speaker 2: same thing now. They're both equities as far as we're concerned.
- 8:16Speaker 2: So either change it to binds and shares or just
- 8:19Speaker 2: chairs invest.
- 8:21Speaker 1: Or why didn't we just say invest it? Would it
- 8:23Speaker 1: be a better idea to instead invest? That's how it
- 8:26Speaker 1: we're changing the question removing stocks and shares? Would it
- 8:29Speaker 1: be a better idea to invest? Is it a better idea,
- 8:32Speaker 1: John to invest than to overpay on your loan?
- 8:37Speaker 2: I mean, that's a good question. And this is where
- 8:42Speaker 2: all of the assumption stuff kind of comes in because hmm, well.
- 8:49Speaker 1: Yeah, you're you're running through so many different scenarios in
- 8:54Speaker 1: your no no idea, What is happening in anyone's into it.
- 9:00Speaker 1: It's so difficult to say what the right thing to
- 9:03Speaker 1: do is. I think what I would say, but the
- 9:07Speaker 1: starting point would be, do you have savings and let's
- 9:10Speaker 1: put the saving for a house deposit to one side
- 9:12Speaker 1: for a moment. You shouldn't ever pay down any debt
- 9:16Speaker 1: until you have a certain amount of savings. It's never
- 9:19Speaker 1: a given you'll be able to get out new debt
- 9:20Speaker 1: when you need it, So, particularly if you've got cheap debt,
- 9:23Speaker 1: seems a good idea to make sure that before you
- 9:26Speaker 1: even look at that, you've got your two, three, four, five,
- 9:29Speaker 1: six months worth of savings or freedom money as we
- 9:31Speaker 1: like to call it, sitting in a bank account. Only
- 9:34Speaker 1: then can you start saying, well, hang on, now, I
- 9:36Speaker 1: want to make a choice between my student loan and investing. Now,
- 9:40Speaker 1: if you're young, and we're assuming that Hugo is in
- 9:43Speaker 1: his twenties, he's going to be investing for the long term,
- 9:46Speaker 1: or I hope Hugo will be investing for the long term,
- 9:49Speaker 1: so we should assume that he will get a better
- 9:52Speaker 1: return over forty years or thirty years of investing in
- 9:57Speaker 1: the equity market than his loan is costing him.
- 10:01Speaker 2: Yeah, that sounds fair.
- 10:03Speaker 1: Well, I guess again slightly repoinds which scheme he's on.
- 10:07Speaker 1: But if he's on this game we think he is,
- 10:09Speaker 1: then that works. Yeah.
- 10:10Speaker 2: It is one of those things where the way to
- 10:13Speaker 2: think about it is to look at how much is
- 10:15Speaker 2: the debt course in versus what is my likely return
- 10:18Speaker 2: in the stock market, And from that point of view,
- 10:22Speaker 2: as you say, then all else being equal, then it
- 10:26Speaker 2: probably does make sense to invest, especially I suppose, because again,
- 10:30Speaker 2: if he's on the thirty year one, then by the
- 10:33Speaker 2: time he's company to take his pension out, then if
- 10:35Speaker 2: there is stuff left, then it will get written off.
- 10:38Speaker 1: I think the other thing says that what might happen
- 10:41Speaker 1: to Hugo. Hugo's doing very while well done Hugo, as
- 10:44Speaker 1: we don't know how well he goes doing. I keep
- 10:45Speaker 1: looking at the fifty thousand pounds in student debt and
- 10:47Speaker 1: thinking that Hugo is making fifty thousand pounds, he might
- 10:50Speaker 1: not be well.
- 10:51Speaker 2: But if he's in his early twenties and he's making
- 10:53Speaker 2: enough to start paying off the loan. Then he's not
- 10:56Speaker 2: doing like two bads because he must be, and then
- 10:59Speaker 2: at least a high twenties.
- 11:02Speaker 1: So maybe they'll come a point when he's earning two
- 11:04Speaker 1: hundred and fifty pounds three hundred thousand pounds and this
- 11:06Speaker 1: whole problem just goes away. That's great for Hugo.
- 11:09Speaker 2: It would be that would almost be as good as
- 11:11Speaker 2: the direct partner scenario.
- 11:16Speaker 1: I wish I'd never put the thought in your head.
- 11:18Speaker 1: This is that feminist backlash we've got on the very show.
- 11:23Speaker 1: So he needs to hope, he needs to hope that
- 11:25Speaker 1: this budget really does bring growth and productivity as promised,
- 11:29Speaker 1: so that his income goes up very sharply and this
- 11:32Speaker 1: problem disappears by itself. Yeah, the other thing we should say,
- 11:36Speaker 1: there's a lot of emotion in here, isn't there? You know?
- 11:38Speaker 1: How can how do you cope with that? How do
- 11:40Speaker 1: you feel about debt? How how troublesome is it? Do
- 11:43Speaker 1: you feel this is hanging over you or do you
- 11:46Speaker 1: never think about it? How do you feel about it?
- 11:48Speaker 1: Because that matters, you know, we can we can talk
- 11:49Speaker 1: about all these numbers. I'm most people not doing very
- 11:51Speaker 1: well because we can't come up with any specific numbers
- 11:53Speaker 1: because of everyone different situations. But when you really come
- 11:57Speaker 1: down to it, it's it's about money, but it's also
- 12:00Speaker 1: about living standards, life satisfaction where you head it. If
- 12:05Speaker 1: this debt is a real problem for you emotionally, then
- 12:08Speaker 1: you might need to take a different approach. Am I
- 12:10Speaker 1: veering away from what this podcast is supposed to be about.
- 12:12Speaker 2: I mean, Haughy investment is about psychology, and although one
- 12:16Speaker 2: reason for understanding these kinds of things is so that
- 12:19Speaker 2: you can override when your brain is telling you to
- 12:22Speaker 2: do something daft, you know. So if you are in
- 12:25Speaker 2: that issue where you just can't handle the existence of
- 12:28Speaker 2: this debt, then perhaps try and offset that with putting
- 12:33Speaker 2: a little bit more to it than you need to,
- 12:35Speaker 2: but perhaps not as much as you're you're wanting to,
- 12:38Speaker 2: because in most cases it probably will be better to
- 12:40Speaker 2: put it somewhere else. And actually, the other thing is
- 12:43Speaker 2: that we hadn't mentioned, and I've just remembered it's political
- 12:47Speaker 2: as well. Right now, nobody's really talking about student loan
- 12:51Speaker 2: forgiveness in the UK. I mean, it's happening in the US.
- 12:55Speaker 2: You don't know what's going to happen over the next
- 12:59Speaker 2: thirty years, and it's possible that at some point there
- 13:03Speaker 2: would maybe be a debt jubilee where they say, actually,
- 13:07Speaker 2: we're going to scrap the student loans, or you know,
- 13:11Speaker 2: future government might decide that a whole host of people
- 13:13Speaker 2: were just absolutely missold the whole idea of university education.
- 13:18Speaker 2: That's just one small thing to factor into the mix.
- 13:22Speaker 2: Probably this step won't be canceled, but there's a chance
- 13:25Speaker 2: that it might be at some point in the future
- 13:26Speaker 2: in a way that your mortgage is never getting canceled
- 13:30Speaker 2: or you know, your your your pension isn't going to magically,
- 13:34Speaker 2: you know, appear by itself.
- 13:36Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, it does make sense. And I think we've
- 13:38Speaker 1: pretty much ended up with a general view that once
- 13:42Speaker 1: you've got your student debt, you might as well just.
- 13:45Speaker 2: But if no one else is paying it off for you,
- 13:47Speaker 2: because you know, you're you know, if your parents aren't
- 13:50Speaker 2: don't have the money you kind of have taken it
- 13:53Speaker 2: away in the first place, then yeah, you're you're just
- 13:56Speaker 2: kind of stuck with it, and it feels like a
- 13:57Speaker 2: low priority thing rather than a high priority.
- 14:00Speaker 1: And if your parents were to give you a lump sum.
- 14:02Speaker 1: Now your grandparents were to give you a lump sum.
- 14:03Speaker 1: Now you'd be better off buying a house.
- 14:05Speaker 2: Yeah, actually, yeah you would probably. Yeah.
- 14:08Speaker 1: Okay, Well I think that's settled then, Although of course
- 14:10Speaker 1: that was not financial advice. It was simply a ramble
- 14:12Speaker 1: through the possibilities, and I hope HUGO that it was helpful.
- 14:14Speaker 1: I rather suspect it wasn't, but I really hope it was.
- 14:17Speaker 2: Thanks John, Thanks.
- 14:18Speaker 1: Bill, Thanks for listening to this week's Maren Talks Money.
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