Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / PGA Round 4 Showdown - The Amex | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process | 01/25/26
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yeah, all systems gone clear. You lift up. We are alive.
- 0:36Speaker 1: Happy Saturday evening. Hope you guys are having a great
- 0:39Speaker 1: day so far, and hope you have a great night
- 0:43Speaker 1: on deck. What time is it? Night like six thirty
- 0:45Speaker 1: pm Eastern time? Just about getting ready for your night.
- 0:48Speaker 1: I'm gonna have a chill night tonight. I gotta travel
- 0:51Speaker 1: plan tomorrow. Next time you see me, I will be
- 0:53Speaker 1: on a boat. I will be on a boat. I
- 0:55Speaker 1: have the the coverage plan, the camera planned, and more
- 1:00Speaker 1: than likely it will be live. I got the expensive
- 1:01Speaker 1: Wi Fi the chance it will be recorded. So any
- 1:05Speaker 1: questions next week early week week long DFS. Sorry, Showdown wise,
- 1:10Speaker 1: maybe send him in early if I can't get to
- 1:13Speaker 1: that live dreaming, but the content will be there nonetheless.
- 1:16Speaker 1: All right, it is round four Showdown. Round three is
- 1:20Speaker 1: wrapping up at the American Express, and we have who
- 1:24Speaker 1: else but Seawou Kim with the Nike Dunks in the
- 1:28Speaker 1: lead at twenty two under Scotty Scheffler. Still on the
- 1:30Speaker 1: course right now. He's playing a part five currently. I'll
- 1:33Speaker 1: do a quick update and see where he is on
- 1:35Speaker 1: that par five. He is what he's on sixteen feet
- 1:38Speaker 1: for eagle so that could change. That definitely could change.
- 1:41Speaker 1: And if he drops it in definitely leave a comment
- 1:43Speaker 1: in the chat. So Scotty, Seawou, Windham Blades, Game Improvement,
- 1:49Speaker 1: Iron Brown, Eric Cole are at the top for Tom Hogy.
- 1:54Speaker 1: There's a ton of guys that are live, which I'll
- 1:55Speaker 1: get into, but there's a ton of guys at the top.
- 1:57Speaker 1: But I thought it was a great round from Seawoo.
- 1:59Speaker 1: He he never looked like he was out of control.
- 2:03Speaker 1: He missed like a three footer, but he always had
- 2:05Speaker 1: a look. He always had. He's one here before. He's
- 2:07Speaker 1: a Pete Die specialist. So it's great seeing and not
- 2:09Speaker 1: great seeing. See, I have no Seawou this week, and
- 2:12Speaker 1: I'll also talk about the week long sweat and where
- 2:15Speaker 1: I'm looking at with everything like that. So before we
- 2:18Speaker 1: get into anything else, let's look at the round three
- 2:21Speaker 1: and let's see how the guys who scored today did it.
- 2:24Speaker 1: Big shout out to Matt Fitzpatrick. He definitely helped us
- 2:26Speaker 1: in our lineup today. I believe he shot seven under
- 2:29Speaker 1: with an eagle, so chat Ramy, he shot a beautiful
- 2:32Speaker 1: sixty three over on Lakitta. Let's see round three he
- 2:37Speaker 1: did not he was just a hot putter. He's just
- 2:39Speaker 1: simply a hot putter. Only fourteen to eighteen greens got
- 2:42Speaker 1: hot with the putter. Hard to predict there, so I'm
- 2:44Speaker 1: not mad about missing chad Ramy. Adams Fenson also shot
- 2:48Speaker 1: nine shot nine under over on the North Nikolas Tournament,
- 2:52Speaker 1: of course, same thing and not really actually not really
- 2:55Speaker 1: as hot as a putter as a chad Ramy. He
- 2:58Speaker 1: hit fourteen of eighteen greens and putt okay, probably hit
- 3:02Speaker 1: a ton of fair really not. This is a crazy
- 3:04Speaker 1: round from Adams Fencon crazy round. I feel like this
- 3:08Speaker 1: doesn't add up to nine under, but nonetheless it did.
- 3:11Speaker 1: And then who else Ryan Gerard had to have been a
- 3:14Speaker 1: stripe show from Ryan Girard. Let's see Ryan Gerard's stats today.
- 3:18Speaker 1: It was round three, fifteen greens and made a ton
- 3:24Speaker 1: of pots. That's anytime Ryan Gerard's getting with the putter,
- 3:27Speaker 1: we know good things are coming because he always is
- 3:29Speaker 1: just an absolute stripesman. And then Dylan Wu. Dylan Wu
- 3:32Speaker 1: was just it's crazy that he just shot sixty four.
- 3:34Speaker 1: He probably won't have another one of those this year.
- 3:36Speaker 1: What did he do thirteen? He just made a ton
- 3:39Speaker 1: of pots, just made everything so Dylan Wu and Chad
- 3:44Speaker 1: Ramier are not guys that I probably would have got to.
- 3:46Speaker 1: So I'm not kicking myself. Sometimes I see a guy
- 3:48Speaker 1: I'm like, damn, I wish I got to him. Like
- 3:49Speaker 1: Tom Hogy, I talked him up all the time, talked
- 3:52Speaker 1: to about last week two of the rounds, and I
- 3:54Speaker 1: just missed him there back to back great rounds from
- 3:56Speaker 1: Andrew Putnam. So but we had a few of the
- 3:59Speaker 1: guys that shot six under seven under, so I know
- 4:01Speaker 1: there was I'd have a sweat right now to currently
- 4:03Speaker 1: maybe min cash, which is all we can ask for
- 4:06Speaker 1: our guests, and hopefully you guys did okay in showdown
- 4:10Speaker 1: in round three. So let's change the screen. The cut
- 4:15Speaker 1: is all but locked in at eleven under, and we'll
- 4:17Speaker 1: look at some of the higher owned guys to who
- 4:20Speaker 1: made the cut missed the cut on the number shout
- 4:22Speaker 1: out sky Hook. I know he is from a different organization,
- 4:25Speaker 1: but if you know anything about Skyler, he is a
- 4:27Speaker 1: great guy. I'm gonna pull up his ownership from the week,
- 4:29Speaker 1: just the easy way to look at it. So let's
- 4:33Speaker 1: see who is the closest guy to miss the cut.
- 4:36Speaker 1: Obviously Stepstraca might be the highest guy owned to miss
- 4:39Speaker 1: the cut. So Ludvi Gobert hand up. I wasn't expecting
- 4:42Speaker 1: Lodovig to withdraw with illness. He was in fine position
- 4:45Speaker 1: to make the cut, could have done anything. It wasn't
- 4:47Speaker 1: the best play in the world. So these tend to
- 4:50Speaker 1: I know, these are stable guys too, like Ludwig Straka Hoey.
- 4:56Speaker 1: I was on Howey too this week. All didn't pan out,
- 4:59Speaker 1: Akhabatia didn't pan out? And then where is Thorpe? Did
- 5:03Speaker 1: I that Thorpe worn backwards? Let's look at where he
- 5:05Speaker 1: finished up. I saw him, had a nice friday. He
- 5:08Speaker 1: went backwards, and he is That's David Thompson. But he's
- 5:12Speaker 1: a cut sweat. He is currently on the line on
- 5:16Speaker 1: hold eighteen. He just shot from the tea box. So
- 5:20Speaker 1: Davis is a big one for me. Have some positions
- 5:22Speaker 1: on him and obviously have him outright, not that that
- 5:24Speaker 1: matters the outright. But where is Michael Thorby Jornson. Wow, guys,
- 5:29Speaker 1: Michael Thorpe Jornson with a seventy eight today to miss
- 5:33Speaker 1: the cut at what just about ten percent ownership? So yeah,
- 5:38Speaker 1: the chalk played fine. The chalk did okay. Where's Burger? Actually,
- 5:42Speaker 1: Daniel Berger makes the cut. Nothing too insane with this
- 5:46Speaker 1: with these big names, they're all panning out fine. Bob
- 5:49Speaker 1: Mack really bucked up Robert McIntyre at yesterday afternoon. He
- 5:55Speaker 1: was like one or two over in the round. I'm
- 5:56Speaker 1: gonna look at his round two scorecard. Bob Mack was
- 6:01Speaker 1: not pretty. He was two over through eight or yeah,
- 6:03Speaker 1: through eight to seven, and then he figured it out
- 6:06Speaker 1: at the stadium course. That's not really a good sign
- 6:08Speaker 1: going forward. Look at Bob Mac's stats. I mean, this
- 6:11Speaker 1: is not a play for me tomorrow at b I mean,
- 6:13Speaker 1: how could it be losing two and a half on
- 6:15Speaker 1: a strip on approach and just one round. But it
- 6:17Speaker 1: just didn't look like Bob Mack was out there to
- 6:21Speaker 1: do anything important. So let's look at the weather for
- 6:25Speaker 1: tomorrow and we'll look at some stats as well. It's
- 6:28Speaker 1: nothing really crazy. It's gonna be a calmer day. We're
- 6:31Speaker 1: gonna see here we go. Nothing short gust, moderate short wind,
- 6:38Speaker 1: moderate gusts, nothing really to write home about. Look, it's
- 6:41Speaker 1: gonna be calmer in the morning. If you get out
- 6:43Speaker 1: between eight nine and ten, you get or seven eight nine,
- 6:46Speaker 1: you're gonna miss some of the gusts or at least
- 6:47Speaker 1: get the easier, more relaxed time of the gusts. This
- 6:51Speaker 1: is when mainly everyone is going to be going out
- 6:53Speaker 1: between ten eleven and twelve pm. So with that being said,
- 6:56Speaker 1: you're definitely gonna want to target some of the early guys.
- 6:58Speaker 1: But I would not say it is the end of
- 7:00Speaker 1: the world. I would say it's a nice little edge
- 7:03Speaker 1: to maybe go with some of those early guys. Stat Wise,
- 7:06Speaker 1: I think this is the biggest point point of the week,
- 7:09Speaker 1: the stats for this week, for tomorrow, so I'm gonna go.
- 7:12Speaker 1: And also the course course scoring today, so today it's shot.
- 7:17Speaker 1: It scored seven. It was about a stroke under par
- 7:20Speaker 1: zero point two yesterday two strokes first day stroke and
- 7:26Speaker 1: a half. I'm rounding obviously, so I said today was
- 7:29Speaker 1: gonna be the closest to par that it will be tomorrow.
- 7:31Speaker 1: I think this is probably gonna be about minus one,
- 7:34Speaker 1: maybe close to zero point seven, because there's just less guys,
- 7:37Speaker 1: some higher pressure, so it's gonna be I would say
- 7:39Speaker 1: point eight is my guest. Point eight strokes under par
- 7:42Speaker 1: guys are still gonna have a chance, and guys under
- 7:45Speaker 1: no pressure who are made the cut. Someone can shoot
- 7:48Speaker 1: sixty three on the stadium course. Someone can do that
- 7:50Speaker 1: even in this slight to moderate win. So stat wise,
- 7:54Speaker 1: what I'm gonna be looking at is it's not rocket science. Here.
- 7:57Speaker 1: We've seen the best players good driving accuracy, really good approach.
- 8:02Speaker 1: So just sort by this in DraftKings in different rounds,
- 8:05Speaker 1: go by one, two, three, full tournament, and find guys
- 8:08Speaker 1: that fit that bill and pair it with their driving accuracy.
- 8:11Speaker 1: This is where you're gonna have to do some of
- 8:13Speaker 1: your homework, cause it's gonna be harder. It's it's it's
- 8:15Speaker 1: not just all there for you because they have that
- 8:18Speaker 1: corres rotation. So just what I would suggest you doing,
- 8:21Speaker 1: sort by one, two three short by tournament showskin approach,
- 8:24Speaker 1: find a couple guys you like, and then go back
- 8:26Speaker 1: to their PGA tour look at how the driving accuracy
- 8:29Speaker 1: has been. If they're riding a hot putter, maybe not
- 8:31Speaker 1: go with it. If they're hitting fairways and have a
- 8:34Speaker 1: decent approach, here, this is what I would go with.
- 8:37Speaker 1: That is what I would do, and you could also
- 8:39Speaker 1: find it on the PGA tour app to just find
- 8:41Speaker 1: it's it's harder to sort on the PGA tour you
- 8:43Speaker 1: really can't. So with Data Golf, you could just sort
- 8:46Speaker 1: and then also the most important part is use our tools. Guys,
- 8:50Speaker 1: just simply use our tools and they're right here. The projections,
- 8:54Speaker 1: you're here everything you can get the points per dollar
- 8:57Speaker 1: which I love sorting by points per dollar when you're
- 8:59Speaker 1: going with guys, guys who are not necessarily the bigger names,
- 9:02Speaker 1: because you definitely can find some outliers there. And then
- 9:05Speaker 1: the stone the tap delta is going to be as
- 9:08Speaker 1: complete as it's been. So really go look at this
- 9:11Speaker 1: True Approach delta. Find guys who might not have the
- 9:13Speaker 1: best strokeskin approach. There's so many there's so many different
- 9:16Speaker 1: ways to get different in the with these course rotations,
- 9:20Speaker 1: because there's so many different things you can look at
- 9:22Speaker 1: and here at chip a Nation, we have a ton
- 9:25Speaker 1: of them to get different. I know some guys are
- 9:27Speaker 1: who have who have had much success using the true
- 9:29Speaker 1: True Approach Delta, using True Approach, it's so unique to
- 9:32Speaker 1: me and it's already helping me uh thus far. So
- 9:36Speaker 1: definitely use the code vin serx. It's free for one
- 9:39Speaker 1: more round and then all of next week. Get it.
- 9:42Speaker 1: While you can definitely super super important let's talk contest
- 9:48Speaker 1: selection before we move on to anything else. The round
- 9:51Speaker 1: four contests are up for tomorrow. For tomorrow, I liked
- 9:55Speaker 1: I liked one a lot on Thursday, and then last
- 9:57Speaker 1: night there was nothing that I really like. This is
- 10:00Speaker 1: five dollars single entry. What's the payout structure here? I
- 10:05Speaker 1: don't mind this. Let's see, so how many get paid?
- 10:09Speaker 1: One sixty four get paid, one sixty four get paid
- 10:13Speaker 1: divided by seven one sixty four divided by seven one three.
- 10:21Speaker 1: That's about twenty three percent. I would like to be
- 10:22Speaker 1: twenty five percent, but that's not bad. And four hundred
- 10:26Speaker 1: dollars to the top of a three thousand dollars pool.
- 10:29Speaker 1: That's thirteen percent of the pool. That's not bad at all.
- 10:32Speaker 1: This is a really good cheap contest to get in
- 10:34Speaker 1: if you just want to enter one lineup. But that's
- 10:36Speaker 1: probably what I'll be intoing that for sure. And then
- 10:39Speaker 1: eighteen ten dollars teen max. I'm not going to go
- 10:41Speaker 1: through that. We know how good that contest is. Down
- 10:43Speaker 1: the board a little bit. Twelve dollars single entry is
- 10:45Speaker 1: also probably really good payout. Yeah, seven one forty seven
- 10:50Speaker 1: entries and thirty four get paid, So let's see what
- 10:53Speaker 1: that is. Thirty four divided by one forty seven is
- 10:57Speaker 1: exactly twenty three percent. Again, that might have been the
- 10:59Speaker 1: exact same number. And then one sixty five divided by
- 11:02Speaker 1: fifteen hundred. Yeah, that's about eleven percent of that prize.
- 11:06Speaker 1: School up top. I really like that, and second place,
- 11:09Speaker 1: you're not. Really it's not much adish advantage for getting
- 11:11Speaker 1: second place versus first place. So I think the two
- 11:15Speaker 1: single entries that I just showed are really solid contest,
- 11:18Speaker 1: and that's probably where I'll be throwing throwing some ducks
- 11:20Speaker 1: in tomorrow. As always, like I said, promo code Vincerex,
- 11:24Speaker 1: you can get all these packages single sport or all
- 11:27Speaker 1: access if you guys, NFL Playoffs is tomorrow. You get
- 11:31Speaker 1: all the NFL Playoff stuff for free with code Vincerrex. Like,
- 11:34Speaker 1: I'm not trying to be a salesman, but it's kind
- 11:36Speaker 1: of crazy. My buddy hit me up for my new
- 11:39Speaker 1: content and he was like, yeah, I'm into golf a
- 11:43Speaker 1: little bit. I want to get more into it. I
- 11:44Speaker 1: gave him the code. He was like, I'm getting NFL
- 11:46Speaker 1: for free. He's like an NFL NBA guy. So NFL
- 11:49Speaker 1: Conference championships or tomorrow. I have no dog in the fight.
- 11:52Speaker 1: If I have to pick, it would be Rams and
- 11:59Speaker 1: Rams and and it would be cool to see Stid
- 12:02Speaker 1: and win. I don't believe in the NFC team is
- 12:04Speaker 1: winning the super Bowl, but it would be cool to
- 12:06Speaker 1: see Stid and win tomorrow. I feel like the Patriots
- 12:08Speaker 1: just haven't played anyone all year. Let's talk about some
- 12:12Speaker 1: of the plays that I was on today. This is
- 12:15Speaker 1: yeah the core today man Patrick Cantlay, and we'll talk
- 12:17Speaker 1: about some week long stuff. Patrick Cantla just made no
- 12:20Speaker 1: puts this like today. It's been all week And if
- 12:22Speaker 1: Patrick Patrick Canley is on the outside looking in, which
- 12:25Speaker 1: we'll get to for my week long stuff, just made nothing.
- 12:29Speaker 1: Matt Fits. Clap it up for Matt Fits. Great round
- 12:33Speaker 1: from him and Chan Kim. One of the worst plays
- 12:35Speaker 1: on this plate. Always gonna be honest with my play
- 12:37Speaker 1: is always gonna show you guys the deal. I thought
- 12:40Speaker 1: champ Kin would be nice. Great from Austin's brother Man
- 12:42Speaker 1: Danny played okay, Alex Norman played okay. Nothing to write
- 12:45Speaker 1: home about. But Matt Fitz and Pat Pat had Pat
- 12:49Speaker 1: had one in him today. So let's bring up the
- 12:51Speaker 1: leaderboard again and compare it with some of the UI.
- 12:56Speaker 1: I'll just bring that up right now. Let's go down
- 12:59Speaker 1: the week long sweat the outrights, the outrights, they're right here.
- 13:04Speaker 1: Patrick can't Rasmuss hard ejected. Rasmus is at like fifteen under.
- 13:07Speaker 1: Then mid double. That's extremely who who got coded what
- 13:10Speaker 1: we have here? Patrick can't Lay and Austin Smotherman they
- 13:14Speaker 1: are both at Smotherman five hundred to one, seventeen under.
- 13:19Speaker 1: Patrick can't Lay is seventeen under. It's a real shame
- 13:23Speaker 1: that we got this guy at top by the name
- 13:26Speaker 1: is Scotty Scheffler. Because these guys are all coming from
- 13:31Speaker 1: different golf courses. You don't want to I don't. I
- 13:34Speaker 1: don't love playing the stadium course with the lead. We
- 13:36Speaker 1: saw what happened with Sam Burns. Anything can go wrong,
- 13:39Speaker 1: but anyone could shoot sixty three here one of these
- 13:42Speaker 1: guys from I would probably say seventeen maybe sixteen is
- 13:46Speaker 1: the furthest back I want to be. But anyone can
- 13:49Speaker 1: get low from starting from behind. And I do think
- 13:51Speaker 1: we see one of those guys tomorrow. So I'll get
- 13:55Speaker 1: into one guy I'm playing, but one guy that I'm
- 13:57Speaker 1: definitely gonna be playing at the top of my lineup
- 13:59Speaker 1: is Scotty Scheffler. I do think he takes it hot.
- 14:01Speaker 1: Take Scotty Scheffler good at golf. I played him in
- 14:03Speaker 1: a ton of week long stuff and he's got twenty
- 14:05Speaker 1: one feet for bird on seventeen. But Scotty Scheffler one back.
- 14:09Speaker 1: I'd rather have him there than in the lead. I
- 14:11Speaker 1: can see him shooting a super comfy sixty five and
- 14:15Speaker 1: winning this with ease and getting those showdown points that
- 14:17Speaker 1: you want. Eat the chalk, I mean sometimes chalk is important.
- 14:20Speaker 1: You need to eat it if it works. Great question,
- 14:24Speaker 1: Great question. I would say no, because a lot of
- 14:28Speaker 1: things have to go right in order for you too.
- 14:31Speaker 1: You can get seaweo right, and you can get everyone
- 14:33Speaker 1: else wrong in terms of or you can get everyone
- 14:35Speaker 1: else wrong, get Seawoo right. I would say fade him
- 14:39Speaker 1: in a matchup. That would probably be the better hedge
- 14:42Speaker 1: if you want to faate him in a matchup, or
- 14:44Speaker 1: just bet Scotti outright, because I really don't think Blade
- 14:47Speaker 1: is a threat. Although Nick d one and like they
- 14:49Speaker 1: don't name your they don't name your they don't name
- 14:51Speaker 1: you Blades for nothing. You got that dog in you,
- 14:53Speaker 1: So I would probably just go with Scotty outright if
- 14:56Speaker 1: I was you, or go with a fade seawoo in
- 14:59Speaker 1: a matchup for if you can get one that is viable.
- 15:02Speaker 1: But personally I'm team no Hedge. I've learned that a
- 15:05Speaker 1: head is just another bet to lose, so I just
- 15:08Speaker 1: let let the stuff ride. And before we get out here,
- 15:11Speaker 1: you know, I got to show you one guy that
- 15:12Speaker 1: I am on and that is Jordan Smith. If you
- 15:16Speaker 1: don't know anything about Jordan Smith, he is, I guess
- 15:18Speaker 1: a PGA Tour rookie this year, but he spent all
- 15:20Speaker 1: of his time on the DP World Tour, and Jordan
- 15:23Speaker 1: Smith is a guy who balls out on positional golf courses,
- 15:28Speaker 1: hitting fairways and minting irons. Let's look at Jordan Smith's
- 15:34Speaker 1: profile so far, what he's done this week, and it's
- 15:37Speaker 1: definitely pretty enlightening. He's what is he currently t twenty
- 15:40Speaker 1: four fourteen under three ok rounds, So right now he's
- 15:45Speaker 1: gaining strokes across the board losing them on the putting green.
- 15:48Speaker 1: He's a fine putter, but look at his stats on
- 15:51Speaker 1: the just the not the strokes gained thirteen out of
- 15:55Speaker 1: eighteen greens in round three. In round two fifteen out
- 16:00Speaker 1: of eighteen greens. He is a very very good approach player,
- 16:06Speaker 1: very accurate golfer. And these are the types of golf
- 16:08Speaker 1: courses where you want Jordan Smith on like I believe
- 16:11Speaker 1: you're gonna want him like top like, play him in,
- 16:15Speaker 1: bet him top ten, the players put him in DFST
- 16:17Speaker 1: line up with the players. I think he's a guy
- 16:19Speaker 1: to just have an eye on all year round and
- 16:21Speaker 1: a guy who's gonna make you some hay on these
- 16:24Speaker 1: positional golf courses. So that that does it. You guys know,
- 16:29Speaker 1: we had the outright sweats on Patrick Cantlay and Austin Smotherman.
- 16:32Speaker 1: Hopefully you guys got to them in DFS as well,
- 16:34Speaker 1: because that smother Man play could be some of the
- 16:37Speaker 1: nuts for me or for you. Hopefully it goes with tomorrow.
- 16:42Speaker 1: I'm not losing hope on Patrick Cantlay or else's motherman.
- 16:46Speaker 1: They could shoot sixty three and last week we had
- 16:48Speaker 1: two guys tied for the lead with nine holes to
- 16:51Speaker 1: play and it didn't go our way. But a sweat
- 16:55Speaker 1: is all we can ask for, and don't I wouldn't
- 16:57Speaker 1: say's a sweat yet, but if Patrick or Smoke it's
- 17:00Speaker 1: off to a three hundred through five start, three hundred
- 17:02Speaker 1: through six start. Uh, the sweat will be on. I
- 17:05Speaker 1: will be on a boat tomorrow, off to Seaze, my
- 17:08Speaker 1: first ever cruise. Kind of nervous, but I'll survive. Catch
- 17:13Speaker 1: you guys next week. Thank you for the support this week,
- 17:15Speaker 1: and as always, let's ship it.