Latest / Pod Save America / Democrats' Closing Argument (with David Axelrod)
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 0:23Speaker 2: Heading into any big election, there's always a handful of
- 0:26Speaker 2: people I want to hear from most, and one of
- 0:27Speaker 2: them is my good friend and mentor, David Axelrod. Ax
- 0:32Speaker 2: and I worked closely together for nearly a decade, from
- 0:35Speaker 2: when Obama was a senator through his first term in
- 0:37Speaker 2: the White House. He is the rare political strategist with
- 0:41Speaker 2: a heart as big as his brain and understands the
- 0:44Speaker 2: power and the craft of storytelling better than anyone I know,
- 0:48Speaker 2: other than maybe our old boss. He founded the Institute
- 0:51Speaker 2: of Politics at the University of Chicago, currently serves as
- 0:54Speaker 2: CNN's chief political analyst and host of the excellent podcast
- 0:58Speaker 2: Hacks on Tap. Two of us had a great conversation
- 1:01Speaker 2: about the state of the midterms a few weeks out.
- 1:03Speaker 2: We reacted to the highlights and lowlights of this week's
- 1:06Speaker 2: big Senate debates and talked about what Democrats need to
- 1:09Speaker 2: do to close strong in November and then win back
- 1:12Speaker 2: the White House in twenty twenty eight. Before we get
- 1:15Speaker 2: to our conversation, the midterms are less than 30 days away,
- 1:18Speaker 2: and CrookedCon is too. It is November 5th through the
- 1:22Speaker 2: 7th in Washington, D.C., and we really want to see
- 1:25Speaker 2: you there. We just announced 24 different conversations and debates
- 1:29Speaker 2: across four stages, everything from the Democratic brand to the
- 1:33Speaker 2: future of AI to building a winning campaign for 28.
- 1:36Speaker 2: We've also got a live taping of Still Counting with
- 1:40Speaker 2: Nate Silver, Claire Malone, and Galen Druke. And that's an
- 1:43Speaker 2: addition to Pod Save America, Love It or Leave It,
- 1:45Speaker 2: and Strict Scrutiny Live Shows. So head on over to cricketcon.com
- 1:49Speaker 2: to get your tickets now and stay tuned for, we've
- 1:53Speaker 2: got a whole bunch more exciting names that we're going
- 1:55Speaker 2: to add to the lineup in the weeks to come.
- 1:58Speaker 2: Up next, David Axelrod. Ax, welcome back to the show.
- 2:05Speaker 3: Always good to be with you, brother. I'm always happy
- 2:08Speaker 3: when I'm with my old buddies from the, writer's room
- 2:13Speaker 3: at the White House.
- 2:14Speaker 2: I know we haven't talked in a while. I guess
- 2:15Speaker 2: we have to schedule interviews in order to catch up
- 2:20Speaker 2: on our respective podcasts.
- 2:21Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 2:23Speaker 3: Well, I'm glad to be here.
- 2:24Speaker 2: So we haven't got a chance to talk midterms in
- 2:26Speaker 2: a while. I want to get into some of the
- 2:29Speaker 2: individual Senate races with you and play some clips from
- 2:33Speaker 2: all the Senate debates this week.
- 2:35Speaker 3: Yeah, those are fun.
- 2:36Speaker 2: Yeah, a lot of debates this week. But just to start,
- 2:39Speaker 2: at this point, it seems like Everyone's in agreement that
- 2:42Speaker 2: the political environment is bad for Trump and the Republicans.
- 2:46Speaker 2: And the only real question is how bad. Personally, I
- 2:51Speaker 2: feel like between the economy and the war and Trump's approval,
- 2:56Speaker 2: if Democrats can't win at least some of these red
- 2:58Speaker 2: states with a midterm electorate, it ain't happening for a long,
- 3:03Speaker 2: long time. But what do you think?
- 3:05Speaker 3: And with some good candidates, you know, first of all, Fabs,
- 3:09Speaker 3: you know, I don't know if you're having flashbacks, but
- 3:12Speaker 3: I sure am, from 2010. And I watched the Republicans,
- 3:18Speaker 3: and they're doing what we did, which is to try
- 3:20Speaker 3: and rationalize that what is obviously happening isn't going to happen.
- 3:26Speaker 3: I think that the climate is bad for Republicans and
- 3:33Speaker 3: getting worse. The president is not helping. I mean, I'm
- 3:36Speaker 3: not saying that Donald Trump is trying to to lose
- 3:40Speaker 3: the election for Republicans. But if he were trying, he
- 3:44Speaker 3: would not do anything differently than he's doing. I mean,
- 3:47Speaker 3: it's really quite remarkable how much he has undermined them.
- 3:52Speaker 3: And boy, I'll tell you what, there's going to be
- 3:55Speaker 3: a whole lot of rage after the fact if this
- 3:59Speaker 3: goes down as it could. One of my questions about
- 4:01Speaker 3: these red states that I've been thinking about is we're
- 4:04Speaker 3: measuring these states at, you know, we say Iowa's a
- 4:08Speaker 3: 13 point Republican state because that's what Donald Trump got
- 4:13Speaker 3: last time. You know, more than a small, more than
- 4:16Speaker 3: a small portion of that 13% were people who didn't
- 4:20Speaker 3: like Donald Trump, but were really upset about the economy.
- 4:24Speaker 3: Didn't think that Biden had, you know, got it and
- 4:28Speaker 3: was handling it. Kamala was the number two in that operation.
- 4:31Speaker 3: And they just, you know, Trump was the economy guy, right?
- 4:35Speaker 3: That's how they remembered him. And they said, let's, all right,
- 4:37Speaker 3: we'll go take a shot on this. I don't think
- 4:40Speaker 3: that Iowa's 13 points. You know, I don't think Ohio's
- 4:46Speaker 3: 13 points necessarily. But they're certainly red states. So that's
- 4:53Speaker 3: point number one. Point number two, the environment is so,
- 5:00Speaker 3: I mean, Trump, is more unpopular, I think, than any
- 5:03Speaker 3: president has been going into a midterm election since like
- 5:07Speaker 3: Harry Truman, who also didn't do very well, by the way.
- 5:11Speaker 3: And I think the House is gone and it's just
- 5:13Speaker 3: a question of margin. But so much of this is
- 5:17Speaker 3: about Trump because midterms are always about the guy in
- 5:21Speaker 3: the president. It's always been a guy so far, the
- 5:23Speaker 3: guy in the White House. And if people are unhappy
- 5:25Speaker 3: with the direction of the country and particularly the economy,
- 5:29Speaker 3: It's a really rough go for that party. And their
- 5:32Speaker 3: play now is to try and just spend, spend, spend.
- 5:37Speaker 3: I did a thing with Chris LaCivita and Tony Fabrizio
- 5:41Speaker 3: at Arizona State University at the beginning of the year.
- 5:43Speaker 3: And I asked them about the midterms. And they said,
- 5:46Speaker 3: we studied the midterms. We understand where things have gone wrong.
- 5:49Speaker 3: We were outspent by Democrats the last couple of elections.
- 5:52Speaker 3: We're going to make sure we vastly outspend them this time.
- 5:56Speaker 3: We're going to make, at that time it was Mamdani.
- 5:59Speaker 3: He's become a little too, you know, when Trump is
- 6:02Speaker 3: embracing him, it makes it a harder target. But we're
- 6:04Speaker 3: going to make these lefties the face of the Democratic Party.
- 6:08Speaker 3: And we're going to make it about them. And we're
- 6:09Speaker 3: going to make it about, you know, immigration and taxes
- 6:13Speaker 3: and crime. But the third thing they said was end.
- 6:20Speaker 3: we had this big beautiful bill and we front loaded
- 6:22Speaker 3: all these tax cuts and people, you know, our bet
- 6:25Speaker 3: is that people are gonna be feeling better about the
- 6:27Speaker 3: economy come the fall. That did not work out because
- 6:34Speaker 3: they did not know at that moment that Trump was
- 6:36Speaker 3: gonna declare war on Iran and Canada for crying out loud.
- 6:41Speaker 3: And you know, those, the decision to go to war
- 6:45Speaker 3: in Iran and the decision The tariffs generally from Liberation
- 6:50Speaker 3: Day on have been so punishing to the midsection of
- 6:56Speaker 3: this country. Those red agricultural states have been absolutely pummeled.
- 7:02Speaker 3: When you look at the states that are most punished
- 7:05Speaker 3: by these two things, the war and the tariffs, you know,
- 7:11Speaker 3: Iowa's at the top of that list. Kansas is at
- 7:13Speaker 3: the top of that list. Nebraska's at the top of
- 7:17Speaker 3: that list. And so, and the war has another impact.
- 7:22Speaker 3: So people say, our costs are way up. You know,
- 7:26Speaker 3: diesel is killing us. And there's one guy responsible for that.
- 7:32Speaker 3: And it's the guy who said, we're not going to
- 7:35Speaker 3: get into any endless wars in the Middle East.
- 7:39Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 7:40Speaker 3: And so they feel there's a sense of betrayal there.
- 7:43Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 7:44Speaker 2: I can't remember a time where people have felt this
- 7:47Speaker 2: bad about the economy and been able to so directly
- 7:51Speaker 2: connect it to the actions of the president. Like usually
- 7:54Speaker 2: the president suffers from bad feelings about the economy, but
- 7:57Speaker 2: it's not often the president's out there bragging about the
- 8:01Speaker 2: things that people are most angry at.
- 8:05Speaker 3: This is another important point. And you remember this from
- 8:08Speaker 3: when we were at the White House. We at the
- 8:11Speaker 3: beginning of our administration, we came into office right at
- 8:14Speaker 3: the beginning of the Great Recession. We walked into the
- 8:17Speaker 3: worst economic situation since the Great Depression. And we thought
- 8:22Speaker 3: we were making progress, but people were not feeling that progress.
- 8:28Speaker 3: And when we tried to claim progress too overtly and
- 8:33Speaker 3: did not really project empathy and advocacy for people who
- 8:37Speaker 3: were struggling in that economy, We were punished for it.
- 8:42Speaker 3: And we corrected that. And I'm sure you and I
- 8:45Speaker 3: had that discussion many, many times. You had that discussion
- 8:48Speaker 3: with the other speechwriters. We always pulled that back because
- 8:53Speaker 3: we knew that it was insulting to people to try
- 8:57Speaker 3: and jawbone them into feeling that the economy was better
- 9:00Speaker 3: when their lives were not. Joe Biden made that same mistake.
- 9:06Speaker 3: and paid a big price for it, toured the country
- 9:09Speaker 3: in the summer of 2023, talking about the wonders of Bidenomics,
- 9:13Speaker 3: the worst branding mistake since New Coke. And so what's
- 9:18Speaker 3: really unbelievable is that Trump, having benefited from Biden's mistake,
- 9:25Speaker 3: is now repeating it. And I think it has to
- 9:27Speaker 3: do with personality type. I think Biden, they're very different people,
- 9:30Speaker 3: and Biden's a much better person. But But there is
- 9:36Speaker 3: a little bit of narcissism in both of them that
- 9:39Speaker 3: they want credit for what they have done. And remember,
- 9:43Speaker 3: even back in the day, Joe Biden used to say,
- 9:45Speaker 3: if we just go out and tell people what we've accomplished.
- 9:48Speaker 2: Just got to tell a better story.
- 9:49Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly. So, you know, it turns out that the
- 9:53Speaker 3: cash register is a better storyteller than us. The gas
- 9:58Speaker 3: pump is a better storyteller. than us. And the story
- 10:02Speaker 3: they're telling right now, and particularly in those Republican regions
- 10:06Speaker 3: that we've spoken about, is a very negative story. So
- 10:11Speaker 3: I think that here's, you know, the thing that's spooking
- 10:14Speaker 3: everyone is this whole idea of the hidden Republican vote.
- 10:20Speaker 3: You know, that pollsters don't, that the non-responding Republicans who
- 10:26Speaker 3: are going to come out and vote. Now, that's really
- 10:29Speaker 3: been an effect in elections when Trump was on the ballot,
- 10:33Speaker 3: first of all. But secondly, pollsters are not stupid. They
- 10:38Speaker 3: read this crap too. And they, so I think they're
- 10:41Speaker 3: all adjusting their models. And I think they may be
- 10:44Speaker 3: adjusting their models too favorably for Republicans. to offset the
- 10:49Speaker 3: possibility of this. So, you know, it could be, these
- 10:56Speaker 3: are close races, they could tip the other way, but
- 10:58Speaker 3: generally when you have a wave, it's not selective, it's,
- 11:03Speaker 3: you know, there are, you know, we ran in 2010,
- 11:07Speaker 3: we had a big wave against us, but we also
- 11:09Speaker 3: had a woman running for Senator in Delaware who, you know,
- 11:14Speaker 3: thought she was a witch. And had to do an
- 11:17Speaker 3: ad denying that she was a witch. That is a bad,
- 11:21Speaker 3: that's a bad path. You know, you had a very
- 11:25Speaker 3: flawed candidate in Indiana. So, you know, we were able
- 11:28Speaker 3: to win seats even in the midst of the wave.
- 11:32Speaker 3: But there are so many states right now that are
- 11:34Speaker 3: in play that you would not have guessed would be
- 11:36Speaker 3: in play six months ago.
- 11:39Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 11:40Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 11:40Speaker 2: Let's go through some of the big Senate races, and
- 11:42Speaker 2: let's start with Michigan, where our friend Abdul debated Mike
- 11:46Speaker 2: Rogers for the first time this week. Maybe one of
- 11:48Speaker 2: the most heated debates we've seen so far.
- 11:50Speaker 5: Yes.
- 11:51Speaker 2: Just to give everyone an idea of how personal it got,
- 11:53Speaker 2: here's a clip of the two candidates fighting over their mothers, yachts,
- 11:58Speaker 2: and who's better for Michigan. Let's open up this can
- 12:01Speaker 2: of worms. I'll tell you what my mother did. She
- 12:03Speaker 2: was a small.
- 12:06Speaker 3: You going after my mom?
- 12:07Speaker 2: I'm not going after your mom. What your mom was
- 12:09Speaker 2: working at, I was going after that organization that was
- 12:11Speaker 2: indicted for funneling money to Al-Qaeda.
- 12:14Speaker 3: $ 2.
- 12:14Speaker 4: 7 million in Florida, my guy.
- 12:16Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll talk about it. You know what?
- 12:18Speaker 3: Did you sell your yachts?
- 12:19Speaker 2: I never owned a yacht in Florida, brother.
- 12:21Speaker 3: Oh, really? What was your yacht?
- 12:22Speaker 4: You had two of them.
- 12:23Speaker 5: He wanted to make this about him or me. But
- 12:25Speaker 5: the question is about you. Can you afford your gas?
- 12:28Speaker 5: Can you afford your groceries? Under this guy who's going
- 12:30Speaker 5: to rubber stamp everything Donald Trump tells him to rubber stamp,
- 12:33Speaker 5: you're going to continue to pay way more out the
- 12:35Speaker 5: nose because he works for corporations and Donald Trump.
- 12:38Speaker 2: So that was a flavor of the debate. You know,
- 12:40Speaker 2: Rogers tried to define Abdul as extreme. Abdul tried to
- 12:43Speaker 2: define Rogers as a corrupt Trump toady and also then
- 12:47Speaker 2: turn it back to voters. Who do you think succeeded?
- 12:50Speaker 3: Well, first of all, I think the big winner of
- 12:52Speaker 3: that debate may be the libertarian candidate who wasn't in
- 12:56Speaker 3: the debate, but because it was really kind of I mean,
- 13:00Speaker 3: it was a food fight in many ways. Um, but
- 13:05Speaker 3: that closing, the closing comments from Abdul, I think are
- 13:09Speaker 3: really pertinent. I mean, the bet that the Republicans are
- 13:12Speaker 3: making is that they can turn him into a scary
- 13:16Speaker 3: kind of, um, closeted, uh, terrorist, um, and, uh, that
- 13:22Speaker 3: enough voters will be off put by that, that, that
- 13:25Speaker 3: they will ignore, uh, their very real grievances about the
- 13:29Speaker 3: direction of the economy and the direction of the country.
- 13:31Speaker 3: Trump is, you know, more than 20 points underwater in
- 13:35Speaker 3: that state. And I think that's a really hard thing
- 13:39Speaker 3: for Rogers to overcome. Rogers is also a sort of
- 13:43Speaker 3: prototype of the kind of Washington Republican at a time
- 13:47Speaker 3: when I think people are throwing off the establishment and
- 13:51Speaker 3: looking for people who are agents of change. So, but, Um,
- 13:57Speaker 3: you know, I don't underestimate, um, you know, I've heard
- 14:01Speaker 3: about focus groups in Michigan where people say that I
- 14:05Speaker 3: don't like the way Abdul looks. I don't like the way,
- 14:08Speaker 3: you know, and they're going to try. What that debate
- 14:13Speaker 3: said to me last night was that this is going
- 14:15Speaker 3: to be a very brutal three weeks, uh, in which
- 14:18Speaker 3: they are going to try and scare the hell out
- 14:20Speaker 3: of people, uh, about Abdul and, uh, I liked our
- 14:26Speaker 3: old boss's reaction when people asked why he was going
- 14:30Speaker 3: to Michigan to campaign for Abdul. And, you know, how
- 14:34Speaker 3: could he? He said, well, you know, he wants health
- 14:38Speaker 3: care for everyone and he wants a higher minimum wage
- 14:40Speaker 3: and put money in people's pockets. So it sounds pretty
- 14:42Speaker 3: good to me.
- 14:43Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 14:44Speaker 2: I was going to ask you about that because obviously
- 14:45Speaker 2: Obama dealt with plenty of ugly insinuations about his identity
- 14:51Speaker 2: loyalties when he ran. What would your advice be to
- 14:55Speaker 2: Abdul in these final weeks about responding without letting Rogers
- 15:00Speaker 2: dictate the entire conversation.
- 15:02Speaker 3: I think his closing comments there were where he should
- 15:06Speaker 3: go all the time, all the time. This is, you know,
- 15:09Speaker 3: this guy wants to scare you, uh, about me, but
- 15:13Speaker 3: the scariest thing that everyone in the state is facing are, uh,
- 15:18Speaker 3: their bills every month. They're the price of gas of,
- 15:23Speaker 3: You know, groceries, the inability to get health care, the
- 15:27Speaker 3: price of housing and mortgage interest rates. And he has
- 15:30Speaker 3: rubber stamped all those policies. You know, I grew up here.
- 15:34Speaker 3: I love this state. And I love the people of
- 15:37Speaker 3: this state. And I want to be their advocate. He's
- 15:40Speaker 3: going to be an advocate for Donald Trump and the
- 15:42Speaker 3: special interests in Washington. That's where I would go. I mean,
- 15:45Speaker 3: I don't, you know, Abdul, who I know and I like,
- 15:49Speaker 3: he was a fellow at the Institute of Politics at
- 15:51Speaker 3: the University of Chicago that I founded. Um, he's incredibly bright.
- 15:55Speaker 3: I think he's well-motivated. Um, he, he also is the
- 15:59Speaker 3: former captain, uh, you know, quarterback of, of the football team.
- 16:03Speaker 3: And when it gets into these kind of like, you know,
- 16:05Speaker 3: whose dick is bigger contests, he just can't help but
- 16:08Speaker 3: jump in.
- 16:09Speaker 2: I know he's gotten better, I think, but he has,
- 16:12Speaker 2: he has, he has, but, uh, I, I.
- 16:15Speaker 3: You know, it's, it's, he's, he's like the little girl
- 16:18Speaker 3: with a curl in the middle of her forehead when
- 16:20Speaker 3: he's good, he's great. And when he's bad, eh. And
- 16:24Speaker 3: when he's bad is when he kind of submits to that,
- 16:28Speaker 3: you know? Yeah. And there was a little of that
- 16:30Speaker 3: in that debate last night. But whenever he's talking about
- 16:33Speaker 3: people's lives, he's very compelling.
- 16:36Speaker 1: Very.
- 16:36Speaker 3: And that's where he should live.
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- 19:06Speaker 2: Speaking of Obama, so he's going to Michigan, he's going
- 19:09Speaker 2: to Detroit with Abdul and Jocelyn Benson, who's running for
- 19:12Speaker 2: governor in a few weeks. What do you think is
- 19:14Speaker 2: the most useful thing Obama can do and say in
- 19:19Speaker 2: Michigan with Abdul?
- 19:20Speaker 3: I think that he has to say a version of
- 19:23Speaker 3: what we just said. He has to say that people
- 19:28Speaker 3: across Michigan and people across the country have real life concerns.
- 19:32Speaker 3: They're struggling and the system's let them down. And we
- 19:39Speaker 3: need agents of change who want to make government more
- 19:42Speaker 3: responsive to the needs of people. That's who this guy is.
- 19:45Speaker 3: Don't be distracted. Whenever you see these hollow type commercials
- 19:51Speaker 3: on the air, that's the sign of a campaign that
- 19:55Speaker 3: is trying to change the subject. There should be one
- 19:59Speaker 3: subject in this campaign, which is how we rest our
- 20:03Speaker 3: policy away and government away from special interests and frankly,
- 20:09Speaker 3: a president whose policies have taken us, you know, are
- 20:15Speaker 3: not in the interest of everyday people. Now, he'll say
- 20:17Speaker 3: it more elegantly, but that's the essence of it. I
- 20:21Speaker 3: think reassurance is important. And he may want to say, listen,
- 20:25Speaker 3: I know, I recognize some of the stuff that's being
- 20:30Speaker 3: run against him. You know, some of those things were
- 20:33Speaker 3: said about me. You know, there were people who wanted
- 20:36Speaker 3: to scare you about me. Uh, and you know, I
- 20:40Speaker 3: put my faith in you.
- 20:42Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 20:43Speaker 3: Uh, and, uh, I think Abdul is putting his faith
- 20:46Speaker 3: in you as well.
- 20:48Speaker 2: Yeah. And that'd be good.
- 20:49Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 20:50Speaker 2: What do you, I mean, I assume that Obama will do, um,
- 20:53Speaker 2: other events as well in the midterms. What do you
- 20:56Speaker 2: think just like writ large, his, his value is at
- 21:00Speaker 2: this moment. And it's always like a tension between, you know, um,
- 21:05Speaker 2: he wants a message that is relevant to now. He
- 21:09Speaker 2: doesn't want to just get people thinking about, you know,
- 21:11Speaker 2: the Obama years, but he also wants to be like
- 21:13Speaker 2: useful and say something that's, you know, useful to people
- 21:18Speaker 2: in the moment.
- 21:19Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 21:20Speaker 3: The thing that he is so good at is sort
- 21:23Speaker 3: of lift and like lifting us above the trees a
- 21:28Speaker 3: little bit. I mean, I think people, the big issue
- 21:32Speaker 3: across this country, the everyday cost of things is a
- 21:36Speaker 3: huge issue. The bigger issue is people feel like they're
- 21:39Speaker 3: losing control of their lives. They're losing their agency. And
- 21:45Speaker 3: I think that's a lot of what, Favs, the AI
- 21:49Speaker 3: issue is. The data centers have a specific issue, specific
- 21:53Speaker 3: issues relative to the cost that they will bring to communities.
- 21:57Speaker 3: But people feel like these things are being inflicted on them,
- 21:59Speaker 3: and they feel like AI is being inflicted on them. Now,
- 22:03Speaker 3: I'm one who believes, you know, AI could help solve
- 22:06Speaker 3: some of the greatest problems we face, and it could
- 22:07Speaker 3: also destroy us. And I'd like to go through door
- 22:10Speaker 3: A and not door B. But I think the biggest
- 22:15Speaker 3: thing is, I think, I was just talking to someone
- 22:17Speaker 3: about this this morning. I think now and going into 2028,
- 22:21Speaker 3: one of the great, I think, issues of our time
- 22:28Speaker 3: or whether we're gonna regain control of our own lives
- 22:32Speaker 3: and whether the algorithms run our lives or whether we
- 22:36Speaker 3: run the algorithms. And just to kind of like seize
- 22:41Speaker 3: control back and put it where it belongs in our democracy,
- 22:46Speaker 3: which is in the hands of people to help shape
- 22:51Speaker 3: that future. So I hope there's a little of that
- 22:55Speaker 3: and a little of the... Now, this is therapeutic for me,
- 22:59Speaker 3: so you can send me a bill for this when
- 23:01Speaker 3: I'm done, but I'm feeling really good talking about it.
- 23:04Speaker 3: But I am so concerned that we have this perverse
- 23:08Speaker 3: set of incentives in our media and in our politics
- 23:12Speaker 3: that makes it profitable to divide people, to demonize people,
- 23:18Speaker 3: to separate us as Americans, to make us believe that
- 23:22Speaker 3: our neighbor is actually our enemy. And I think we
- 23:26Speaker 3: have to... I think we have to make that part
- 23:29Speaker 3: of what we're running against. And frankly, these tech platforms
- 23:33Speaker 3: bear a lot of responsibility for that because that's their
- 23:35Speaker 3: profit model. Yes.
- 23:37Speaker 2: I think that is a huge... Well, and it also
- 23:39Speaker 2: speaks to the earlier point you made about AI and
- 23:43Speaker 2: data centers, which is people feel like they don't have agency. Yes.
- 23:47Speaker 2: And they feel... And there's this feeling that because so
- 23:51Speaker 2: much of our politics is mediated through these platforms, that
- 23:55Speaker 2: yelling and arguing about politics is an end to itself
- 23:59Speaker 2: and so that if you like win a fight online
- 24:01Speaker 2: yes that's great but like what did what did that
- 24:04Speaker 2: do how many people did that cause to change their
- 24:06Speaker 2: minds or vote or join an organization or run for
- 24:09Speaker 2: office right yes so we've had this we have this
- 24:12Speaker 2: false sense of what it means to be active in
- 24:15Speaker 2: politics and to participate in.
- 24:16Speaker 3: Politics yes and part of it is you know people
- 24:20Speaker 3: feel i mean and part part of the shame of
- 24:23Speaker 3: or the challenge of uh the media environment is that
- 24:29Speaker 3: people are just so jaundiced about what government can do
- 24:34Speaker 3: and what we can do about what we can do together.
- 24:39Speaker 3: But the other thing that they should be deeply worried
- 24:42Speaker 3: about is we are back to a period in our
- 24:45Speaker 3: history where there is this tremendous concentration of wealth. And
- 24:49Speaker 3: with that concentration, this isn't about resentment. If Jeff Bezos
- 24:53Speaker 3: wants to float around on a yacht in the Mediterranean.
- 24:56Speaker 3: God bless him. Good for him. This is about whether
- 25:00Speaker 3: these people have too much influence over policy decisions in Washington.
- 25:05Speaker 3: Are they steering policy in their favor and against the
- 25:09Speaker 3: interests of everyday people? In 2024, there was an online
- 25:16Speaker 3: kids safety act that was passed in the United States.
- 25:18Speaker 3: And I think it had 93 votes, a rare bipartisan bill.
- 25:22Speaker 3: The Speaker of the House, Mike Johnson, never called it,
- 25:26Speaker 3: never called it for a vote because he knew it
- 25:27Speaker 3: would pass. And he and Mark Zuckerberg spent tens and
- 25:32Speaker 3: tens and tens of millions of dollars lobbying for that.
- 25:35Speaker 3: How many decisions are being influenced in Washington in that way?
- 25:40Speaker 3: I think people suspect a lot. So we got to
- 25:43Speaker 3: run against that too.
- 25:44Speaker 2: Let's talk about Maine, where Troy Jackson and Susan Collins
- 25:47Speaker 2: debated twice this week. Thursday night got pretty testy as well.
- 25:52Speaker 2: Let's listen.
- 25:53Speaker 7: When Donald Trump wants something, Senator Collins will not stop him.
- 25:57Speaker 7: And when she doesn't stop him, it hurts Mainers. Senator
- 26:00Speaker 7: Collins and her husband are making money more off of
- 26:03Speaker 7: this war, and so is a whole bunch of other people.
- 26:06Speaker 7: And that's why this doesn't stop, because they got us
- 26:10Speaker 7: in another forever war that we're never going to get
- 26:12Speaker 7: out of, and people in this state are feeling the
- 26:13Speaker 7: effects of it.
- 26:14Speaker 1: That is absolutely outrageous, and you owe me an apology.
- 26:20Speaker 7: No, you owe me an apology.
- 26:21Speaker 6: That is outrageous.
- 26:22Speaker 3: Absolutely outrageous.
- 26:25Speaker 7: That's what this campaign is about. It's about people that
- 26:28Speaker 7: know that this government is fundamentally flawed and Susan Collins
- 26:31Speaker 7: won't do anything about it. She's powerful toward an election time,
- 26:35Speaker 7: but she's weak every time that we need her to
- 26:37Speaker 7: stand up and fight for us.
- 26:39Speaker 2: So on the war profiteering hit, Jackson was referring to
- 26:43Speaker 2: the stock that Collins and her husband own and a
- 26:45Speaker 2: couple of oil companies and military defense contractors.
- 26:48Speaker 3: I thought that was a bad hit.
- 26:50Speaker 2: I was going to say, it's quite a bazooka to unleash.
- 26:54Speaker 3: There's plenty to say for Troy Jackson to say. And
- 26:58Speaker 3: I thought in the first debate earlier in the week,
- 27:01Speaker 3: he made a really strong case against Susan Collins. I'll
- 27:06Speaker 3: talk about that in a second. But I don't think
- 27:12Speaker 3: Mainers who've known her for all these years, they have
- 27:15Speaker 3: a lot of complaints about her, the idea that she's
- 27:17Speaker 3: only bipartisan when it doesn't count. and so on. But
- 27:21Speaker 3: I don't think any of them believe that she's motivated by,
- 27:24Speaker 3: you know, for corrupt purposes. And I thought that was a,
- 27:28Speaker 3: I thought that if I were advising him, I would
- 27:30Speaker 3: have said, hey, stick that in your pocket and don't
- 27:33Speaker 3: say that. I thought it watered his argument down. Did you, Favs,
- 27:37Speaker 3: in the first debate though, he said, you know, he
- 27:42Speaker 3: pointed out that she brags about voting against the big,
- 27:45Speaker 3: beautiful bill, but she actually allowed it to get to
- 27:48Speaker 3: the floor of the Senate because she's the chairman of
- 27:51Speaker 3: the Appropriations Committee. And then he talked about healthcare. And
- 27:55Speaker 3: he said, she's been a government employee all her life.
- 27:57Speaker 3: She's never had to worry about paying for healthcare. And
- 28:02Speaker 3: she objected vehemently. She said, that is not true. In 1994,
- 28:07Speaker 3: when I was running for governor, I had no healthcare.
- 28:11Speaker 2: There was a few month period 30 years ago where
- 28:14Speaker 2: I was briefly not insured by the government.
- 28:16Speaker 3: Because I was running for governor. Yes. I mean, that
- 28:21Speaker 3: was such a revealing exchange, you know. And I think–
- 28:25Speaker 3: and he said, look, there are a lot of people
- 28:28Speaker 3: in this state who don't have those advantages, who have
- 28:32Speaker 3: to worry every day about how they're going to pay
- 28:34Speaker 3: for an illness if it happens, who can't see a doctor. And,
- 28:40Speaker 3: you know, I'm one of them. You know, I'm one
- 28:42Speaker 3: of those people who worked 80 hours a week to– and,
- 28:45Speaker 3: you know, one of the things about this, Favs, is–
- 28:48Speaker 3: you know, there is a kind of Forrest Gump, kind
- 28:52Speaker 3: of Ralph Cramden quality to Troy Jackson. And there is
- 28:57Speaker 3: a kind of elite element to her argument, which is
- 29:01Speaker 3: a guy like this doesn't belong in the United States Senate.
- 29:04Speaker 2: Yeah. She seems offended by having to be on stage
- 29:08Speaker 2: with him. Yes. And also like that anyone's challenging her,
- 29:11Speaker 2: you know, seeking another term.
- 29:13Speaker 3: So the question is, are college educated voters and college
- 29:18Speaker 3: educated women going to walk away from him? The data
- 29:22Speaker 3: doesn't suggest that. But is he going to chip away
- 29:26Speaker 3: at a bunch of working class people in that state
- 29:29Speaker 3: who think, I mean, I think it's a pretty good
- 29:31Speaker 3: argument that maybe the Senate would work better if there
- 29:34Speaker 3: were a few people who actually know what's going.
- 29:37Speaker 2: On in people's lives.
- 29:38Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 29:38Speaker 2: This to me is another race. And it's a little
- 29:40Speaker 2: like Michigan in that he's got two objectives, right? He's
- 29:44Speaker 2: got to tie her to Trump or at least make
- 29:47Speaker 2: the best argument about her that is, as you were saying,
- 29:50Speaker 2: believable to the people in Maine who have voted for
- 29:54Speaker 2: her many times and many of whom like her even
- 29:56Speaker 2: though they vote for Democrats for president. And– He, for
- 29:59Speaker 2: some reason, has like the highest unfavorables of any Democratic
- 30:03Speaker 2: Senate candidate running in one of these really competitive races.
- 30:06Speaker 2: So he's got to tell a story about himself that
- 30:10Speaker 2: reassures people. And I wonder how you think about the
- 30:13Speaker 2: balance and the tension between making the case about Collins
- 30:16Speaker 2: and then also making the case for himself.
- 30:19Speaker 3: Well, the thing about, you know, I've seen ads, I've
- 30:21Speaker 3: seen the attack ads and I've seen ads about him.
- 30:24Speaker 3: And I think that they're both important and both credible
- 30:27Speaker 3: and they match each other, uh, because, uh, his is
- 30:33Speaker 3: very much about a lifetime of, in the, in the
- 30:36Speaker 3: working class and as an advocate for the working class, um, and, uh,
- 30:42Speaker 3: framing her as a, you know, as a creature of Washington. And, um,
- 30:49Speaker 3: you know, I, I think that is the, the place
- 30:52Speaker 3: that he, that is the place he needs to be.
- 30:54Speaker 3: This notion of her as someone who, um, You know,
- 30:58Speaker 3: I think she will say, I cast a deciding vote
- 31:04Speaker 3: to save the Affordable Care Act. And honestly, I'm grateful
- 31:07Speaker 3: to her for that. She also voted against the Affordable
- 31:10Speaker 3: Care Act. You know, and there are so many examples
- 31:14Speaker 3: like that. You know, I voted against the Big Beautiful Bill.
- 31:17Speaker 3: But as chair, she enabled it to get on the
- 31:20Speaker 3: floor of the House. You know, she tends to stray
- 31:26Speaker 3: from the leadership when they don't need her vote.
- 31:28Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 31:30Speaker 3: And, you know, the ACA was an admirable exception to that. So,
- 31:35Speaker 3: you know, the one thing I don't know, I saw
- 31:40Speaker 3: a video of her from 2000, from 1996 when she
- 31:44Speaker 3: first ran, almost unrecognizable, honestly. But she said, if I
- 31:50Speaker 3: can't get what I want done for, I'm here for
- 31:52Speaker 3: two terms and two terms only. And if I can't
- 31:54Speaker 3: get that done, I shouldn't. be here. And then I
- 31:58Speaker 3: saw her being interviewed on Fox and they said, what
- 32:01Speaker 3: about that? And she said, well, I found out that
- 32:03Speaker 3: seniority is really important. But she had been working in
- 32:06Speaker 3: the Senate for six years before she ran. She was
- 32:09Speaker 3: like chairman of a subcommittee staff. And she did not
- 32:12Speaker 3: know that seniority was important. So, I mean, I do
- 32:16Speaker 3: think there's an element of enough's enough. And I think
- 32:20Speaker 3: I'd work that a little in the final stretch here, too.
- 32:23Speaker 2: And one of these where because you know that a
- 32:26Speaker 2: lot of Mainers like her to sort of give them–
- 32:30Speaker 2: like give people who voted for her an.
- 32:31Speaker 3: Exit, right? Yes, a permission structure.
- 32:33Speaker 2: Yeah, and be like– The gold watch strategy. Right. Yes, exactly.
- 32:36Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 32:37Speaker 2: Thank you for your service. That's great. But you know what?
- 32:40Speaker 2: You say you've gotten all this stuff from Maine and
- 32:41Speaker 2: thank you for everything you have brought to Maine. But
- 32:43Speaker 2: we're still hurting. Costs are still high. We're still worried
- 32:46Speaker 2: about our health care and like you haven't done anything
- 32:48Speaker 2: about that.
- 32:48Speaker 3: Yeah, and that's sort of a little bit of why
- 32:51Speaker 3: I was uncomfortable with the– with the attack that she
- 32:56Speaker 3: was profiting off of the war. I mean, that goes
- 33:01Speaker 3: in the opposite direction of what you're suggesting. But I
- 33:05Speaker 3: wouldn't be surprised if he's smart, he'll close with an
- 33:07Speaker 3: ad of Maynard saying, I voted for Susan Collins and
- 33:11Speaker 3: I like her, but it's time for a change. And
- 33:17Speaker 3: they can articulate some of the arguments that will give
- 33:19Speaker 3: people the ability to say, that's me. I feel that
- 33:23Speaker 3: way too. I don't have to hate Susan Collins not
- 33:26Speaker 3: to vote for her.
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- 35:02Speaker 2: We talked about some of the red state races earlier. Yeah.
- 35:07Speaker 2: Texas looms large. And I think Ken Paxton is maybe
- 35:10Speaker 2: the worst Republican candidate of the cycle.
- 35:13Speaker 3: Incredible cycles.
- 35:14Speaker 2: Um, So that's obviously a big reason Tallarico may win.
- 35:19Speaker 2: But how much do you attribute what's happening in Texas
- 35:21Speaker 2: to his appeal as a candidate, Tallarico's appeal? And what
- 35:25Speaker 2: do you think he's done right that Democrats may be
- 35:28Speaker 2: able to learn from?
- 35:29Speaker 3: Yeah. Look, I think that he is the anti-Trump in
- 35:36Speaker 3: some ways. He is appealing to people's common humanity. I
- 35:41Speaker 3: think the qualities Favsett Trump lacks are going to be
- 35:45Speaker 3: very much in demand, uh, in the next few years. Um, empathy, humility, um,
- 35:53Speaker 3: you know, um, uh, well, obviously integrity, but, uh, an
- 35:58Speaker 3: impulse to bring people together and so on. Um, Tallarico
- 36:02Speaker 3: believes that.
- 36:03Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 36:03Speaker 3: And he exudes that and it's wrapped in his faith,
- 36:07Speaker 3: which is obviously quite, um, is quite sincere. And I
- 36:12Speaker 3: think that's been good. He's also, you know, an incredible communicator.
- 36:17Speaker 3: And he's benefiting from the snapback among Hispanic voters who
- 36:22Speaker 3: Republicans thought somehow had pledged their fidelity to the party,
- 36:26Speaker 3: regardless of what they did. Regardless, I mean, this is
- 36:29Speaker 3: a community of working class people and small business people
- 36:32Speaker 3: who are getting killed in the economy, but also Hispanic
- 36:36Speaker 3: Americans who now are being targeted by simply because they
- 36:42Speaker 3: are Hispanic by ICE and they've seen all of these
- 36:47Speaker 3: stories unfold. So he's benefited from that as well. And
- 36:49Speaker 3: he's getting the kind of vote among Hispanic voters that
- 36:54Speaker 3: he will need to win this race. But he's also
- 36:57Speaker 3: getting a pretty good vote among white voters. I think
- 37:00Speaker 3: what's going to happen in this race is that you're
- 37:03Speaker 3: going to see a much larger than normal group of
- 37:06Speaker 3: Republican voters who just skipped the race, who there's going
- 37:10Speaker 3: to be a big undervote, uh, for Paxton. And then
- 37:13Speaker 3: on top of that, I think the libertarian candidate there
- 37:16Speaker 3: who got 2.4% in the last Senate race, it's going
- 37:19Speaker 3: to do even better than that. And I think it's
- 37:20Speaker 3: going to most, almost all be, uh, people who want
- 37:24Speaker 3: to register a protest against Paxton, but can't get all
- 37:27Speaker 3: the way over to vote for Tallarico. That will lower the, uh,
- 37:32Speaker 3: the threshold for Tallarico to win. He doesn't need to
- 37:34Speaker 3: win 50% of the vote. Yeah.
- 37:36Speaker 2: In that case, there's a real path there. I mean,
- 37:39Speaker 2: he's close.
- 37:40Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 37:41Speaker 3: But Texas has broken the hearts of many Democrats many times.
- 37:45Speaker 3: So I think this could be different. And Paxton is
- 37:49Speaker 3: a mess. A mess.
- 37:51Speaker 2: One more debate from this week I want to get
- 37:52Speaker 2: your thoughts on. Mike Collins versus John Ossoff in a
- 37:55Speaker 2: race that Ossoff has just dominated from the start despite
- 37:59Speaker 2: Georgia being a state that swung back to Trump in 24.
- 38:03Speaker 2: Let's watch a few clips.
- 38:04Speaker 1: This is a man who cheered on a group of
- 38:07Speaker 1: young men who were mocking a black woman on a
- 38:09Speaker 1: college campus with monkey sounds. If John Lewis were marching
- 38:14Speaker 1: today from Selma to Montgomery, Mike Collins would be grabbing
- 38:18Speaker 1: a billy club. His office has been in cahoots with
- 38:22Speaker 1: some of the most notorious white supremacists on the country.
- 38:25Speaker 1: He himself has amplified neo-Nazi propaganda. He's never apologized for it,
- 38:32Speaker 1: and he should tonight. Mike Collins voted to take that
- 38:34Speaker 1: money out of your pocket and out of your community.
- 38:38Speaker 1: and give it instead to data center developers. And that's
- 38:41Speaker 1: the problem, Mike. It's not just that you've hired half
- 38:43Speaker 1: the Third Reich to staff your congressional office and you
- 38:46Speaker 1: have promoted neo-Nazi content online. It's that you're robbing your
- 38:50Speaker 1: constituents to subsidize your donors. I want to know if
- 38:53Speaker 1: you will commit to voting to repeal that data center
- 38:55Speaker 1: tax scam that you voted for.
- 38:57Speaker 4: Let's hear an answer.
- 38:59Speaker 3: This debate was like the most brutal thing I've ever seen.
- 39:04Speaker 3: It was so You would teach off of this debate.
- 39:09Speaker 3: You would teach off of it. I mean, I thought
- 39:11Speaker 3: they were going to have to remove Collins on a
- 39:13Speaker 3: stretcher after this debate.
- 39:15Speaker 2: I mean, here's what my reaction was. Like this whole campaign,
- 39:19Speaker 2: Ossoff's been doing these rally speeches that go viral. And
- 39:22Speaker 2: one of the reactions has been, sure, he's good at
- 39:25Speaker 2: the set piece teleprompter speeches, but what about when there's
- 39:28Speaker 2: no prompter? And you know this well, for all of
- 39:31Speaker 2: Barack Obama's many talents, landing debate zingers and memorable debate moments,
- 39:37Speaker 2: not really one of them. What'd you think of Ossoff's
- 39:40Speaker 2: performance and like what that says about his skills as
- 39:44Speaker 2: a politician and potentially a presidential candidate if things go
- 39:48Speaker 2: well and he decides.
- 39:49Speaker 3: Look, I think that he is a star. You know, he's,
- 39:53Speaker 3: the speeches that he's given, and they've been very artful
- 39:57Speaker 3: at packaging them in vertical videos that have gone viral.
- 40:02Speaker 3: It's helped him raise a lot of money, but it's
- 40:05Speaker 3: also raised a lot of excitement among Democrats. And here
- 40:10Speaker 3: he shows, and you saw some of it in committee hearings,
- 40:13Speaker 3: but here he shows an incredible facility for just completely
- 40:18Speaker 3: controlling a debate from start to finish. And, you know,
- 40:23Speaker 3: obviously he's got a good memory and he rehearsed those interventions,
- 40:29Speaker 3: but it came across as very conversational and he completely
- 40:36Speaker 3: dominated the terms of the debate. I think, look, Asaf's
- 40:40Speaker 3: going to win and he's going to win by more
- 40:42Speaker 3: than a few. And what's going to happen next is,
- 40:46Speaker 3: is going to be a stampede of people down to
- 40:49Speaker 3: Atlanta to try and persuade him to run for president.
- 40:56Speaker 3: My view of him is he's really exciting, interesting, and talented,
- 41:04Speaker 3: and young, which I think is hugely important. He's a
- 41:07Speaker 3: member of the Senate, but he seems like an outsider.
- 41:10Speaker 3: He seems like a guy who's trying to hold the
- 41:12Speaker 3: Senate to account, the government to account, Uh, I think
- 41:15Speaker 3: that's very important. Um, I haven't seen him smile. I've
- 41:19Speaker 3: never seen him smile. I've never seen him. He's always
- 41:22Speaker 3: very severe. Um, you know, so there are other elements
- 41:27Speaker 3: of campaigning, you know, that I would like to see, uh,
- 41:31Speaker 3: you know, I, I mean, even, I mean, you must've
- 41:34Speaker 3: had him here. Um, but I don't know how he
- 41:38Speaker 3: is sort of just basic conversation.
- 41:40Speaker 2: He, yeah, it's not like he's, um, It's not like
- 41:44Speaker 2: he's stiff, right? It's that he doesn't give you much.
- 41:48Speaker 2: He's very- And you know what?
- 41:50Speaker 3: You know how I feel about this. Campaigns require, I
- 41:55Speaker 3: call them MRIs for the soul, presidential campaigns. People need
- 41:59Speaker 3: to know who you are and they'll find out who
- 42:02Speaker 3: you are. One of the things about Obama was he
- 42:04Speaker 3: could do all the events very well. He was very
- 42:07Speaker 3: comfortable in conversation. He was comfortable in any room he
- 42:10Speaker 3: walked in. even when cameras weren't there, he'd go through
- 42:16Speaker 3: the kitchen on every time we arrived somewhere and spend
- 42:20Speaker 3: time with people in the kitchen and talk to them
- 42:22Speaker 3: about their lives. And he'd retain a lot of the
- 42:25Speaker 3: stories that you ended up using in your speeches were
- 42:28Speaker 3: stories that he retained in his mind from conversations with people.
- 42:33Speaker 3: I don't know. We'll see about that. The campaign will
- 42:37Speaker 3: test that if he runs. There's one element of this though,
- 42:43Speaker 3: that we should mention, which is if Democrats only win
- 42:47Speaker 3: 51 seats and assuming that Senator Fetterman doesn't flee, which
- 42:55Speaker 3: seems a little bit more likely than not these days,
- 42:58Speaker 3: I guess, that Senate seat in Georgia is going to
- 43:03Speaker 3: be really important. And who is the governor of Georgia
- 43:06Speaker 3: is going to be really important because the governor of
- 43:08Speaker 3: Georgia is going to have to appoint a replacement until
- 43:11Speaker 3: a special election. uh, which would come, I think in
- 43:15Speaker 3: two years. Uh, I think that's the way it works.
- 43:20Speaker 3: So they're actually, well, Keisha Lance Bottoms is, is running
- 43:24Speaker 3: a very strong race. She's in neck and neck, uh,
- 43:27Speaker 3: with Rick Jackson. I think his name is Rick Jackson,
- 43:30Speaker 3: the candidate there. Uh, but, um, uh, if, uh, You know,
- 43:36Speaker 3: her winning would be, I think, make it easier for Ossoff.
- 43:40Speaker 2: Certainly. But if not, yeah, it's kind of.
- 43:42Speaker 3: You know, so that's a side like this. But look,
- 43:45Speaker 3: you know, I'm always excited by young, dynamic leaders who
- 43:52Speaker 3: can make appeals to idealism. And in that, even though
- 43:57Speaker 3: I said what I said earlier, he did evoke in
- 44:02Speaker 3: his comments throughout this debate the experience of people. I mean,
- 44:06Speaker 3: it wasn't like he was divorced from that. It wasn't
- 44:09Speaker 3: so clinical.
- 44:10Speaker 2: No, and then there's all these stories about his constituent
- 44:14Speaker 2: services in Georgia and him calling just constituents all the
- 44:18Speaker 2: time directly to see how they're doing. I can't tell
- 44:22Speaker 2: what it is. He seems to be a very thoughtful
- 44:27Speaker 2: person who, and I heard him say this in some interview,
- 44:31Speaker 2: where he's like, there's just been so much silliness in
- 44:33Speaker 2: politics that actually taking the time to think about what
- 44:36Speaker 2: you're going to say and being careful about what you're
- 44:37Speaker 2: going to say, I feel like is a, is a,
- 44:39Speaker 2: is a skill that, or it was just something that's
- 44:41Speaker 2: needed that.
- 44:42Speaker 3: We haven't had in a while.
- 44:43Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 44:43Speaker 2: It's a discipline. And I wonder if part of this
- 44:46Speaker 2: is discipline for the race he's running and that, you know,
- 44:49Speaker 2: maybe we'll see, we'll see more of him, uh, once, uh,
- 44:52Speaker 2: once the race is over, but.
- 44:53Speaker 3: Well, I mean, it would be, I hope he gets
- 44:55Speaker 3: out there. I think, uh, you know, and, and as
- 44:59Speaker 3: I said, one of the things he's going to have
- 45:00Speaker 3: to be alert to is that Obama, learned, is when
- 45:05Speaker 3: you come out with this kind of ballyhoo, you don't
- 45:08Speaker 3: get the advantage other candidates get to kind of work
- 45:11Speaker 3: your material through in small groups. You open right up
- 45:14Speaker 3: on Broadway and the critics are all lined up in
- 45:16Speaker 3: the front row. And there's a lot of pressure associated
- 45:19Speaker 3: with that. So everybody who runs for statewide office thinks,
- 45:24Speaker 3: I'm good at this. I can run for president. And
- 45:26Speaker 3: then they run for president, they realize, oh, this is
- 45:29Speaker 3: a whole different thing. And it is. And it should
- 45:31Speaker 3: be because you're running for the most powerful and important
- 45:35Speaker 3: office on the planet.
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- 47:20Speaker 2: You mentioned how people are often looking for, and this
- 47:24Speaker 2: is one of your more famous axisms, that people are
- 47:27Speaker 2: looking for the remedy and not the replica of the
- 47:31Speaker 2: president who came before. What potential Democratic candidates do you
- 47:36Speaker 2: think sort of embody some of the qualities that people
- 47:42Speaker 2: are going to be looking for after the Trump era?
- 47:45Speaker 3: Well, the hard part with Trump is that there are
- 47:47Speaker 3: a lot of things to remedy. And the question is,
- 47:51Speaker 3: what are the ones that are most important to people?
- 47:55Speaker 3: I think almost all of them, though, fit in that
- 47:57Speaker 3: character basket. Humility, integrity, empathy, I think is really important
- 48:09Speaker 3: because he shows none. I think that's one of the
- 48:12Speaker 3: reasons why Joe Biden... beat him in 2020 because Biden
- 48:17Speaker 3: had preternatural empathy. And he seemed like a guy from
- 48:21Speaker 3: small town America, from Scranton, who could relate to the
- 48:25Speaker 3: experience of everyday people. I mean, some of that will
- 48:28Speaker 3: be important. Secondly, I do think because of the unbelievable
- 48:34Speaker 3: level of corruption we've seen, I think people want to
- 48:38Speaker 3: give Washington an angioplasty and they want to hold it,
- 48:42Speaker 3: you know, that our institutions to account. And, you know,
- 48:46Speaker 3: there I think Ossoff has leaped ahead of the field
- 48:50Speaker 3: because he has been such a strong voice on corruption
- 48:53Speaker 3: and not just the corruption of Trump, but the corruption
- 48:57Speaker 3: of the process by which decisions are made. So I
- 49:02Speaker 3: think that will be really important. And I think youth
- 49:04Speaker 3: will be important. I don't think this is, we've gone
- 49:07Speaker 3: through the experiment with a couple of octogenarians. I don't
- 49:09Speaker 3: think people are gonna be looking for more. And I
- 49:12Speaker 3: think that's why the whole field's gonna be much younger.
- 49:16Speaker 3: I think being from outside of Washington also will be helpful.
- 49:19Speaker 3: I mean, I think the governors may have a bit
- 49:21Speaker 3: of an advantage, although I think Ossoff, as I said,
- 49:24Speaker 3: doesn't read like Washington. So he might escape that.
- 49:28Speaker 2: One thing I've been thinking about the governors is like
- 49:31Speaker 2: I feel like the ability to draw attention. to inspire people,
- 49:39Speaker 2: to get people excited is even more important in this
- 49:43Speaker 2: information environment where it's just so crowded and noisy. And
- 49:47Speaker 2: sometimes I wonder if these governors who might be very
- 49:51Speaker 2: popular in their states because they've governed really, really well
- 49:56Speaker 2: are going to be adept at figuring out how to
- 49:59Speaker 2: draw attention in a crowded national information environment like this.
- 50:04Speaker 3: That is one of the The new tests, right? That's
- 50:07Speaker 3: a relatively new test, but absolutely, I think that's going
- 50:11Speaker 3: to be important. I mean, as I said, one of
- 50:14Speaker 3: the reasons Ossoff has done well is because they understood this.
- 50:19Speaker 3: And so, you know, yeah, he made these speeches, but
- 50:21Speaker 3: they also knew how to cut them up and get
- 50:23Speaker 3: them out and make them go viral. Honestly, my old
- 50:30Speaker 3: buddy Rahm Emanuel and your old boss in the White House,
- 50:34Speaker 3: been pretty he's been pretty uh creative about getting you
- 50:38Speaker 3: know attention yep uh as well and you know i
- 50:42Speaker 3: think he'll be a factor in this thing i mean.
- 50:44Speaker 2: But it is like what i when i go through
- 50:45Speaker 2: the it's like rom's good at that ossoff pete aoc
- 50:50Speaker 2: newsome you can say whether the get where the attention
- 50:53Speaker 2: all these folks are getting are helpful or not but
- 50:56Speaker 2: like that's like a list of people who i think
- 50:59Speaker 2: know how to sort of draw attention to themselves.
- 51:02Speaker 3: And yeah, I mean, one thing we should say is
- 51:04Speaker 3: I've always said authenticity is a coin of the realm
- 51:07Speaker 3: in presidential races. So it's good to be viral. It's
- 51:10Speaker 3: also good not to look like you're kind of full
- 51:12Speaker 3: of shit. So that's, that's important. Yeah. So, um, you,
- 51:17Speaker 3: you know, and a lot of those folks would, would,
- 51:19Speaker 3: are not that way. Um, you know, uh, I know
- 51:23Speaker 3: Ram has his fans and his, uh, and, and his detractors, but, um,
- 51:30Speaker 3: you know, he, he does believe things, certain things, and
- 51:33Speaker 3: he's telling, you know, he's very straightforward and he says it,
- 51:36Speaker 3: you know, AOC is a great communicator on this level.
- 51:39Speaker 3: I just, you know, you may know more than I, um,
- 51:42Speaker 3: I mean, I just don't know if she's going to run.
- 51:44Speaker 2: I was going to ask you because you, you asked
- 51:46Speaker 2: her that at the IOP and that the answer kind
- 51:48Speaker 2: of went, went viral. And then she talked to the
- 51:50Speaker 2: times again and she, she, it was interesting that quote
- 51:53Speaker 2: she gave them, which is, you know, life doesn't wait
- 51:55Speaker 2: for you to be ready for things. Sometimes life just
- 51:57Speaker 2: makes things ready for you, which is, reminds me of
- 52:01Speaker 2: what Obama was being told back in 06 and 07. And, um,
- 52:05Speaker 2: but I couldn't tell which way she was leaning.
- 52:07Speaker 3: There are other things she said that, um, make you,
- 52:11Speaker 3: and what she said to me that make you wonder, uh,
- 52:15Speaker 3: about whether she thinks this, this is the right time, uh,
- 52:19Speaker 3: for her, you know, she's 36 years old. She wants
- 52:22Speaker 3: to have a life. We now know she wants to
- 52:24Speaker 3: have children, uh, because she's talked about that. Um, that's,
- 52:30Speaker 3: you know, running for president makes those things almost prohibitive.
- 52:36Speaker 3: And she has to feel like she's ready. You know,
- 52:40Speaker 3: if others may feel she's ready, she has to feel
- 52:43Speaker 3: that she's ready, just ready in terms of her level
- 52:48Speaker 3: of performance and so on. And, you know, the Senate
- 52:52Speaker 3: seat's sitting there in New York. I mean, I think
- 52:54Speaker 3: if she decides she wants to run for the Senate,
- 52:57Speaker 3: I don't know that. I think Senator Schumer probably isn't
- 53:00Speaker 3: going to run anyway. I don't know that, but I suspect.
- 53:03Speaker 3: And I think he certainly would not if she did. So,
- 53:08Speaker 3: you know, and she would not be just another senator,
- 53:11Speaker 3: you know. Right. I've said, you know, I don't want
- 53:14Speaker 3: to disparage, but there are a number of senators I
- 53:17Speaker 3: could think of who can walk down the hall in
- 53:18Speaker 3: relative anonymity. She would not be one of those. Everybody
- 53:22Speaker 3: would want to know what she thinks.
- 53:24Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 53:25Speaker 2: One thing she said. More recently that sort of raised
- 53:28Speaker 2: some eyebrows is she was doing a fundraiser for a
- 53:31Speaker 2: duel in New York. And she said, if a duel
- 53:34Speaker 2: can win Michigan, it means anyone can win anywhere.
- 53:37Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 53:38Speaker 5: I don't know.
- 53:38Speaker 2: And I thought about that for like what the argument
- 53:40Speaker 2: is going to be just broadly post midterm as we
- 53:44Speaker 2: head into 2028. You know, we'll get back to the
- 53:48Speaker 2: there'll be some candidates who are more progressive and some less.
- 53:51Speaker 2: And then we're going to get into electability again. And
- 53:53Speaker 2: I wonder what you thought about that argument.
- 53:55Speaker 3: Well, first of all, one of the other things she
- 53:59Speaker 3: said to Shane Goldmacher of the Times was that essentially
- 54:08Speaker 3: she didn't want to run a kind of Pyrrhic race.
- 54:12Speaker 3: If she ran, she was going to run to win
- 54:14Speaker 3: and she needed to know. So you fit those two
- 54:17Speaker 3: together and that's interesting. Look, what I hope, primaries should be,
- 54:24Speaker 3: a robust discussion within a party about the direction and
- 54:28Speaker 3: what are the right paths. I find the whole discussion of,
- 54:33Speaker 3: you know, will the center-right win? Will the progressives win?
- 54:36Speaker 3: We are faced with such monumental challenges in this country.
- 54:41Speaker 3: I think every year, and I've got a lot more
- 54:44Speaker 3: than you, but every year, every election year, we say, well,
- 54:47Speaker 3: this is the most important election in history. And it
- 54:51Speaker 3: becomes a cliché. This really may be the most important,
- 54:54Speaker 3: certainly in my lifetime, just because of the crush, you know,
- 54:59Speaker 3: AI and the discussion of what to do about debt
- 55:02Speaker 3: and climate. And of course, how do you build an
- 55:09Speaker 3: economy that works for people and give people their best opportunity?
- 55:12Speaker 3: I mean, all of these things are crushing in on
- 55:15Speaker 3: us and we need wisdom and we need to have
- 55:19Speaker 3: a bigger discussion than whether team A or team B
- 55:22Speaker 3: triumphs in the intramurals and then whether they, who wins
- 55:26Speaker 3: in the, you know, this should be more than about
- 55:28Speaker 3: that kind of a discussion. We need thoughtful ideas. And
- 55:33Speaker 3: the problem is that, you know, the incentives in politics
- 55:36Speaker 3: are to weaponize differences rather than take the best from
- 55:42Speaker 3: all of them.
- 55:43Speaker 2: Last question about this, and I'll let you go. Like,
- 55:45Speaker 2: what do you think the central question that the next
- 55:50Speaker 2: Democratic nominee has to answer about the country and about
- 55:53Speaker 2: the party?
- 55:54Speaker 3: Well, first of all, and I know this wasn't a
- 55:56Speaker 3: first of all question, but I just want to make
- 55:58Speaker 3: two points about it. One is, I think the wrong
- 56:02Speaker 3: impulse is to say, you know, Trump has done a teardown.
- 56:06Speaker 3: There's no doubt about it. The blast radius from him,
- 56:09Speaker 3: we're going to be feeling for, he is one of
- 56:11Speaker 3: the most impactful presidents in American history for better and worse,
- 56:17Speaker 3: mostly for worse. There are some things he has torn
- 56:20Speaker 3: down that probably we should rethink anyway, because they may
- 56:24Speaker 3: not have been working as well as they should. But
- 56:28Speaker 3: the one thing I know is when he became president,
- 56:31Speaker 3: because people weren't happy with the status quo and with
- 56:35Speaker 3: our politics. So to say we're just going to restore
- 56:39Speaker 3: everything that he destroyed and we're just going to put
- 56:42Speaker 3: everything back the way they were is a losing game. argument.
- 56:47Speaker 3: And it's a bad argument. It's the wrong argument. We
- 56:49Speaker 3: have an opportunity to build something new that's more resilient
- 56:54Speaker 3: to corruption, resistant to corruption, more responsive to the real
- 57:00Speaker 3: life concerns of people, more able and agile to solve
- 57:04Speaker 3: some of these big problems we're facing, more designed to
- 57:08Speaker 3: bring us together than rip us apart. And so I
- 57:13Speaker 3: think someone who speaks at that level is gonna be
- 57:17Speaker 3: a more powerful candidate. This is a big moment for
- 57:25Speaker 3: the country. And I hope, we've always had the genius
- 57:28Speaker 3: to elevate people at the right moment. I kind of
- 57:33Speaker 3: thought of our guy as one of them. And I'm hoping,
- 57:38Speaker 3: I have a lot of, American people take such a beating.
- 57:42Speaker 3: People think voters are stupid. They're not. And I'm hoping
- 57:48Speaker 3: that they see in someone the depth and the wisdom
- 57:57Speaker 3: that we need at this moment. And that's why I
- 58:01Speaker 3: can't wait for this primary to start. I've been waiting
- 58:03Speaker 3: since 2023 for a primary.
- 58:06Speaker 2: Me too. Me too. I know. I'm very excited for
- 58:09Speaker 2: it too. I look forward to it with trepidation, but
- 58:12Speaker 2: also hope. that all the things you just said will
- 58:16Speaker 2: happen and that someone will elevate someone who can actually
- 58:20Speaker 2: meet the moment.
- 58:20Speaker 3: Yeah, well, you've written the word hope a lot of
- 58:22Speaker 3: time in a lot of places, John. And the thing
- 58:26Speaker 3: about you is that I know you also believe it
- 58:28Speaker 3: and that you are an apostle of hope and possibility,
- 58:32Speaker 3: which is why I love you and why so many
- 58:36Speaker 3: people are interested in what you have to say.
- 58:39Speaker 2: Well, same to you, my friend. I learned it all
- 58:41Speaker 2: from you, so.
- 58:43Speaker 2: Thank you. Thanks for joining. I'll talk to you soon.
- 58:46Speaker 3: All right. Thank you.
- 58:47Speaker 4: Bye, Axe.
- 58:48Speaker 2: That's it for this episode of Pod Save America. Thanks
- 58:50Speaker 2: to David Axelrod for joining me.
- 58:52Speaker 5: Love it.
- 58:52Speaker 2: Tommy and I will be back on Tuesday. Michael Goldsmith,
- 59:00Speaker 2: with Ree Churlin, Elijah Cohn, and Adrian Hill. Our team
- 59:02Speaker 2: includes Matt DeGroat, Ben Hefcote, Jordan Cantor, Charlotte Landis, Kenny Moffitt,
- 59:06Speaker 2: Adam Lippert, Joseph Dutra, Desmond Taylor, Dan Farrow, David Tolles,
- 59:09Speaker 2: Mia Kelman, Ryan Young, and Naomi Single. Our staff is
- 59:11Speaker 2: proudly unionized with the Writers Guild of America East.