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NCAAB Best Bets 2/21/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: browins hack Man, I don't know what is going on
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: possibly have with you, as I always am until I die,
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five. The worst month
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the Slump series, the Slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: I should do at this point, other than potentially end
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: it all. What's up? Everybody sowed back with you with
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: Toad still Sports. This will be the college basketball addition
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: for February twenty, first Saturday. I broke it all down
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: last night. I got five plays for this board. I
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: think I'm being selective because they are like one hundred
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: and fifty games or whatever. As usual, I break them
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: all down. Baby, I'm not going to break them all
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: down on the show, but I'll talk about all the
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: big games, the TV games, the games that I thought
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: I had a little bit more interest. I suppose that's
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: what I'll do zero to one on the show. I'm
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: not happy about that. It was not great. Didn't have
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: a great read on the games. Just say it's a
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: good thing. I'm skipping the NBA, although I was right
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: about a couple of them, like the Heat were definitely
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: up there on my list. That one would have been
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: a winner. But I don't think the Pelicans World. I
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: didn't look at the final, but I know they were
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: losing late in the game VCU. The one play it
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: looked great, dude. They were up fourteen in the first half.
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: They were winning by almost ten at halftime. I think
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: they had the outright lead for three quarters of the game,
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: and then all of a sudden, Saint Louis goes on
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: I think a nineteen to two run, and then they
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: extended that to a thirty one to nine, thirty two
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: to nine run, something like that, and then the game
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: was completely out of hand and over. I mean, I
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: know Saint Louis could score, but that's ridiculous, dude, Like
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: you have VCU, you're playing on VCU's defense. Basically in
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: that game, their defense is pretty good. They've been playing
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: well for the game. They have the lead at that point,
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: I'm thinking, well, they might lose the game still, but
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: they're not going to fail to cover this thing. Like
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: I'm expecting you to come to a close finish, but no,
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: not even close. By the end of it. I can't
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: believe how bad they were in the last ten minutes
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: of the game. Basically, they were still winning the game
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: by like six with twelve minutes to go, and then
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: you have a fourteen point swing after that. Worse than that,
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: because they lost by thirteen. I think at one point
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: they were down by almost twenty. I'm not happy about it, dude.
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: We'll move on to today. Kyle, what's up? Thanks for
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: hanging out. Let's get this done, because this is gonna
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: be this show always takes way too long. It cannot
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: take too long because I have to come back. I
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: have to look at the NBA. I've not looked at
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: it at all. I have to come back and do
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: the NBA portion of the show later. Let's go down
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: some of these games here man, noontime ESPN number twelve,
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: Floridas at Ole miss Here. I mean this one, just
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: on the surface, it looks like one of those ones.
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: Oh you have the slow down, unranked team at home,
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: like they're probably gonna be a big underdog here. It
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: looks like one of those you know games where I'm
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: gonna be looking towards the home dog here, although I
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: don't know. I mean, this is not gonna be one
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: of my plays. Florida is coming out of an easy
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: win over South Carolina, so not really anything to see there.
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: They do have Texas on deck, which maybe they'll consider
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: to be a little bit of a bigger game. Texas
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: is actually pretty good and they're on kind of a
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: role right now. So yeah, there is still the possibility
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: that Florida doesn't really take Old Miss seriously here and
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: they just go through the motions. But the spot doesn't
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: seem horrendous to me in any real way. Ole Miss.
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: They've lost a bunch of games in a row, eight
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: games in a row, so you gotta think they probably
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: will show up they get to host Florida, it's a
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: big game. But they're coming up a big game on
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: the road where they almost pulled off an upset at Texas.
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: A and M played them close. Texas A and M
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: are nine and a half point favorites. And you know
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: why I talk about when a team as a big underdog,
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: they play well and they fall just short. A lot
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: of times, they just won't have enough energy left in
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: the tank after that. Like it's not gonna be a
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: mental thing, like, yeah, sure you're gonna get up to
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: get you know, to play Florida, but the energy just
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: might not be there by the end of the game.
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: Florida is clearly the way better team here. I think
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: based on the spot, Florida is actually in the better
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: spot here, believe it or not. So I would actually
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: probably need towards laying the points with Florida, even though stylistically, yeah,
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: I guess you could make the argument it does set up. Okay,
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: let me bring mister ken Palm back up here, because
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: I forgot to bring him up. But yeah, Florida's a
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: faster paced team, a very fast in the top fifty
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: and tempo ole. Miss is gonna try to slow it down,
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: but they just don't really have the weapons here this time.
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean again, stylistically, it looks like a
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: game where you might want to look towards the home
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: dog as the slow down team, but in this case
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: they might just fatigue get overwhelmed. I don't know. Florida
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: is a thirteen and a half point favorite. I'd probably
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: lay it, but you know the public is gonna be
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: on that side. I'm gonna stay away. But yeah, Florida
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: is actually better than the rankings. Still. Kent Bomb has
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: them as the sixth best team in the country right
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: now based on his analytics, Creighton at number seventeen. Saint
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: John's on Fox at noon. Now, my first reaction to
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: what Creighton did in the last game was who are
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: they playing next? Because we want to fade them because
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: they just pulled off a massive upset of Yukon. Huge
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: win for Creighton right there. And then I'm like, oh, great, Well,
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: they're playing a third road game in four games, and
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: they have to play Saint John's, so they have to
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: play the top two teams. You know, well, actually that
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: makes it a worse spot for Creighton, right because it's
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: a third road game in four games. But the o
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: great part of it is it's a game they're not
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook. That's the problem. Like I was hoping that
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: they were gonna pull off that upset over Yukon and
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: then they would have some lesser Big East team next,
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: But no, they have to play a team that they're
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: gonna try to get up for, at least mentally against
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: Saint John's. So and you know, you're probably not gonna
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: be getting a lot of line value with fading a
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: Creighton in this case. So I don't know, man Saint John's.
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: They come into this game of a win against Marquette,
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: though it wasn't very good, Saint John's did get taken
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: to the wire in that one. So based on what
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: these teams did in their last game, I actually do
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: like Saint John's in this game, because again, when you
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: have a big favorite like Saint John's was and they
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: almost lose the game, you'll see like a bigger effort
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: from them in the next game. But I don't know
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: if I want. I want to say they almost lost
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: the game, but it was a two point game in
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: the final minute against Marquette, even though I watched some
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: of that game and it never really felt like Saint
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: John's is gonna lose the game, but I was right
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: about Marquette covering. Now, the problem with Saint John's if
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: you want to play them, is they have a huge
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: game on deck. Again, it's Yukon. They play Yukon next,
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: which will be revenge for Yukon, but it could be
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: a look ahead for Saint John's. So I'm gonna lean
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: to Saint John's in this one still, But I have
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: to stay away from this one too. Man. If I
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: was gonna play it, I would lay it. So I
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: know two favorite opinions right out of the gate. Here.
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: My actual players are mostly underdogs though, although I like
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: finding good favorites to play, but you know, usually the
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: way I do it, it winds up being underdogs. And
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: our underdogs have been good this week. But Saint John's
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be public eighty eight percent of the tickets
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: so far, ninety two percent of the cash. They dropped
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: a little bit from twelve and a half to twelve.
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: But based on what these teams did in the last game,
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: you know, the only way that I could see that
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: going is Saint John's covering all right, espnu is deciding
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: to torture us at noon with Loyola's Chicago and Saint Joe's.
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: This is a terrible game. I don't know why this
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: game is on TV. Loyola has been awful. They did
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: just almost pull off a mild upset I believe at Fordham,
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: so they actually played okay at Fordham. Now they're playing
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: a third road game in four games. They're obviously the
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: lesser team here against Saint Joe's, but Saint Joe's already
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: totally embarrassed Loyola in Chicago by twenty one points. So
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: this is a road revenge angle for Loyola or what
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: might be more of the cases that Saint Jose might
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: just not pay attention to them. This time. Saint jose
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: Is coming up a decent win on the road at
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: Saint Bonaventure. Saint Joe's I think was probably actually an
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: underdog in that game. I've been talking to you. Look,
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: I've been saying this all year, dude, Saint Jo's is
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: nowhere near as good as the record makes them look.
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: They're actually not good. Bonaventure is actually better than the
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: record looks. Believe it or not. Yet. Bonaventure was actually
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: a five and a half point favorite in that game.
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: So Saint Joe's actually pulled off an upset in that game,
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: and they have a pretty big game on deck against
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: George Mason, who is still near the top of the conference.
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: And that is also a revenge game for Saint Joe's.
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: So a lot of things do kind of line up
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: here towards Loyola Chicago. That would be the way I
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: would have to lean in this game. I know they stink,
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: but you're getting a lot of points here. Although you've
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: already lost some market value on this. Saint Joe's dropped
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: from eleven to nine and a half. But a team
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: that's really not even good like Saint Joe's even against
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: a very bad, loyal Chicago team. I just don't think
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: Saint Jose should even be laying this many points. It's
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: a low total in the one forties. I would lean
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: towards taking the points with Loyola in that one. ESPN
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: two at noon East Carolina against Charlotte. East Carolina treated
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: us well in their last game. They almost pulled off
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: a pretty big upset at home against Wichita, and they
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: went into overtime. So you know, I'm gonna say it again,
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: when a team goes into overtime is a big underdog
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: and they almost pull off the upset, a lot of
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: times they're hungover in the next game. But East Carolina
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: did lose at home to Charlotte, although they did play
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: them close, so in one a half. Yeah, there is
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: technically a road revenge angle here, but you could also
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: argue that Charlotte didn't play well. But East Carolina, believe
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: it or not, was actually favored in that game. I
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: think Charlotte is not as good as people think they
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: are based on their hot start to the conference play.
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: They're not really that good. Charlotte has tailed off. They
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: lost five in a row, four in a row, excuse me,
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: but their last game they played really tough at Tulsa.
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: They were big underdogs in this game against Tulsa twelve
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: and a half. And you know I keep mentioning things
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: like this when a team both it applies to both teams.
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: In this game, Charlotte also was a big underdog and
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: they almost pulled off the upset. So both teams are
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: in a bad spot based on that. So I don't
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: know what I even want to do with this game. Man,
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: Well I'm gonna stay away. But I guess you could
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: make the argument that Charlotte's game was a bit bigger
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: because Tulsa has been pretty much at the top of
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: the conference all season. I don't really know that Charlotte,
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: you would even be this much of a favorite here,
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: even at home against the East Carolina team that's not great.
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: They've had their moments with they've been competitive. Charlotte down
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: from seven to six, I would probably, I guess lean
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: towards taking the points with East Carolina. There the rare
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: situation where I like the same underdog two games in
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: a row. But that's just the way that one works out.
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: But that one is nowhere close to my card. Big
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: ten Network at twelve more torture with Rutgers in Minnesota.
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be real bad. I think both these
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: teams like to play really slow too. I know Minnesota does. Yeah,
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: Rutgers is pretty slow as well. This is gonna be
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: an awful game. I don't know why these games are
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: being televised. This is not a game I'm gonna have
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: anything to do with. Rutgers is on a two game
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: win streak. They did just beat Maryland and Penn State,
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: two of the other worst teams in the conference. They
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: have to step up in class a little bit to
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: play Minnesota. Minnesota is actually a little bit better than
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: those couple of teams. Minnesota will be a big favorite
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: here though. Minnesota is also traveling back from the Pacific Coast.
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: They just beat Oregon, which I think was probably actually
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: an upset. Let me see Oregon, even though they have
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: a horrible record, they actually are getting odds maker respect. Yeah,
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: they were actually three and a half point favorites there.
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: Minnesota won that game by seventeen. And now they're traveling
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: back to Minnesota and on deck. They do have to
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: play Michigan, which may very well be caused for a
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: look ahead there, so with having to cross multiple time zones,
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: having a huge look ahead potentially there, Rutgers is the
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: way I would lean in this game. Also, you're asking Minnesota,
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: a very slow paced team that focuses on defense. You're
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: asking them to cover by margin here. I don't see it.
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: I would have to take Rutgers in this one. Minnesota
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: is a seven and a half point favorite, down from eight,
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: but it looks like the money early on is coming
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: in on them. But I don't agree. I do not
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: agree with that fifty to fifty on the tickets, ninety
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: six percent of the casual Minnesota. Yeah, I don't see
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: it based on that scheduling spot. My leen is Rutgers
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: plus the points there ACC Network. In noon, Wake Forest
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: at Virginia Tech. Both these teams I think are in
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: bad spots here. Wake Forest just had a pretty nice
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: home win over Clemson. There weren't a huge underdog in
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: that game, though, but still you beat Clemson, who's been
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: one of the teams near the top of the ACC
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: the last few years and they still are this year.
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: That's a big win. So you know it could put
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: you in a bit of a letdown spot. Wake already
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: beat Virginia Tech at home, by the way, but believe
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: it or not, Wake didn't cover this game. Uhake, Wake,
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: We're five and a half point favorites in that game,
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: believe it or not. So this is one of those
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: games where we see a big points spread swing where
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: Wake was five and a half in one game and
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: now it's four and a half on Virginia Tech here.
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: So the you know, the line is ten points different,
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: which even if you include home court, a ten point
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: swing doesn't make any sense unless you're giving these teams
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: five points for home court, which you should not. So
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: even college basketball does have strong, you know, home home
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: court advantages in some of the big conferences, but this
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: is a bit too much. So I do think there's
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: probably line value on the Wake Forest side here. Yes,
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: you could argue they're in a letdown spot, but I
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: do think the spot is worse for Virginia Tech here,
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: even though yes, I know it'll be a revenge spot
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: for Virginia Tech. Even though yes, Wake didn't cover tactically,
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: so Virginia Tech played close against them, but I do
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: still think that Wake or excuse me, Virginia Tech might
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: be the team more likely to overlook their opponent here
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: because they are ahead of Wake Forest in the standings
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: and the spot's not good for Virginia Tech. I gave
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: them out in the last game. They had a nice
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: game against Miami, probably should have won the game they
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: lost by one after they were leading for a lot
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: of that game. They almost pulled off the upset at Miami.
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: And they do have North Carolina on deck next Saturday,
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: that'll be their next game, So they are in what
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: I would say is a sandwich spot there, so I
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: think that's actually worse than Wake Forest being in a
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: bit of a letdown spot there. So I will lean
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: to Wake Forest in this one. Plus the points, Virginia
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: Tech is a five point favorite here. Now fifty percent
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: of the tickets and eighty five percent of the cash
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: on Wake so it does look like wake will be
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: probably the team it's getting more of the money there,
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: so I agree with that as well, but that's not
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: on my card. Florida State at Clemson at noon on
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: the c W. I don't think I have any noontime plays.
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: By the way, my first play is going to be
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: at two pm Eastern, So yeah, I mean that's just
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: the way it worked out. Florida State at Clemson on
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: the c W Florida State they just didn't cover, believe
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: it or not. Against BC. They actually didn't play that well.
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: It was a pretty close game, although they won by eight.
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: BC was hanging in there, and I think Florida State
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: were double digit favorites, So the ausmakers give Florida State
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: more respect than what their record makes it look like
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: they would. BC stinks though, but Florida State got the
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: win there, kind of a whatever win for them. But
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: I do think they will show up for Clemson, although
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: they do have their rival on deck with Miami. Although
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: I still don't really think they're gonna overlook Clemson, but
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: that Miami game looming is big, although Florida State did
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: I believe, beat Miami already once in Miami. I believe
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: Clemson comes into this game on a pretty bad losing
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: streak three losses in a row. But you can kind
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: of see why they lost to Wake because they had
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: had that huge game against Duke the game before that,
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: so they probably just didn't have a whole lot of
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: energy left. They do have Louisville on deck, which could
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: be a big look at and then North Carolina after that.
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: Those are two big games. But I don't know if
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: they're really gonna overlook a game here, and when you're
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: on a three game losing streak, especially when you lose
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: to an inferior team like Wake, I don't know. I
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: think Clemson actually probably will give some effort in this one.
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to do with this game, to
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: be honest, because I think Florida State might give some
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: effort too. Now, the problem is Clemson is a big favorite.
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: They're an eight and a half point favorite, and they
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: play a slow style where it's not really conducive to
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: winning by margin. It's a pretty low total in the
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: one forties. Clemson did drop from nine to eight. I
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: still think the spot is better for Florida State just
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: because they are coming off failing to cover as a favorite.
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: So I'll lean to Florida State plus the points there.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: But it's kind of a weak opinion for me. CBS
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: at one PM. This is a bit of a stronger
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: opinion for me on Cincinnati at number eight. Kansas Cincinnati,
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: you want to talk about not playing well as a
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: big favorite. I told you I didn't like them to
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: cover last week. Our last game, they were a big favorite,
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: double digit favorite against a very poor Utah team and
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati almost lost the game. That was a bad performance
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: from Cincinnati. I think maybe they were riding a high
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: off of a couple of blowout wins and they had
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: Kansas on deck. So Cincinnati played a bad game. But
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: you gotta think they're probably looking ahead. They got a
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: big game here. They'll probably give you effort in this
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: one against Kansas. Man Cincinnati, at the very least, they
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: can play defense, so they might get themselves involved in
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: a defensive game here. They're much better as an underdog
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: than a favorite, so that is what we're gonna be
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: looking at here. They will be an underdog here. Obviously, Cincinnati.
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: I still think they're a little bit under the radar too,
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: Like they're not really as bad as their record looks.
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: They get involved in some close games. Bad game for them,
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: almost losing is a big favorite to Utah. As far
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: as Kansas is concerned, they did not have a hangover
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: or whatever. Well, their hangover came in the Iowa State game.
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: They lost to Arizona, or excuse me, they beat Arizona
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: a huge winning Arizona. I gave you guys, Iowa State
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: a last Saturday that was a win to kick off
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: the day, although it was only a two and two
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: day now. I thought Kansas would be hungover after that
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: after that, because when a team loses a long wind streak,
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: a lot of times they will be hungover. And I
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: lost with that sentiment last night. But Kansas had a
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: nice game after that. They beat Oklahoma State on the road.
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: Nice win against a team that at least has been
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: in the tournament discussion. But look at who Kansas has
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: on deck here. Man, they gotta play Houston and Arizona.
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: Houston they played two days from now, so this does
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: look like it could be a pretty major look ahead
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: for Kansas here. So the only way that I could
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: play this game is Cincinnati. This one almost made my card.
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: Kansas is a public favorite here. Eighty nine percent of
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: the tickets only eighty one percent of the cash total
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: is pretty low in the one thirties. I expect it
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: to be. You know, I think Kansas will slow the
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: game down because that is what they like to do.
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati is gonna probably try to speed it up a
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: little bit because I believe they do do that, but
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: they can't score. But both these teams are much better
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: on the defensive end than the offensive end. Cincinnati Kent
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: bumb has it fiftieth overall, by the way, and a
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: pretty unlucky team, whereas Kansas, I think he has much luckier. Yeah,
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: Kansas is in the top one hundred and luck. Cincinnati
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: is outside the top three hundred, so huge luck disparity
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: in this game. Cincinnati is almost as good defensively as
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: Kansas is. Cincinnati actually plays more of a mid tempo,
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: so I think they will wind up in a lower
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: slower paced game here, meaning points will be at a premium.
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: This one is very, very attempting to add to my card. Man,
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: it's not there, but I like Cincinnati and that one
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: plus the points, that's my favorite of all the games
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: I've talked about so far. I like Cincinnati. There ABC
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: at one pm, Number sixteen North Carolina at Syracuse. First
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: thing everybody's gonna notice is this looks way too easy
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: to take North Carolina. They're only a one and a
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: half point favorite here, so you know, I I've heard
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: some professional opinions on the North Carolina side in this one,
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: but I start with this looks way too easy. So
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: I probably would either be on Syracuse or just not
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: playing the game because I don't want to do that. Man.
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: When it's picked the winner, everybody thinks North Carolina is
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: this good, but they're not. They're without Wilson now too,
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: but even with him playing most of the season, Ken
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: Bom has them at thirty three in the country, so
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: they're really not that good. This game is on ABC.
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: North Carolina is coming out of a horrible performance against
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: NC State, though, so you could argue they will bounce
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: back because nobody wants to lose by twenty plus points.
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: But they're playing a Syracuse team they already beat, and
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: I know they didn't cover. They only won by ten,
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: but that game was completely on a hand. North Carolina
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: was winning that game by probably almost thirty points, and
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: they took their foot way off the gas and Syracuse
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: had a ridiculous back door cover in that one. North
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: Carolina completely blew them out in that game. Man, So
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: North Carolina still might not take Syracuse seriously. They got
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: to go up to Syracuse for this, which you know,
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: these Southern teams in the ACC going to play these
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: Northern teams a lot of times. You know they won't
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: be that excited about it. I when it's a team
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: it's not that good, especially a team they already beat
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: by double digits. They got Louisville on deck in two days.
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: There should be a pretty major look ahead. So and
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: third road game in four games, I think I would
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: have to lean to Syracuse in this one. Syracuse is
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: coming off getting blown out as well by Duke. They're
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: flying back up North here, so both teams are off
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: of blowouts. But to me, yeah, I think Syracuse makes
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: more sense in the game. Although the money looks like
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: it has come into North Carolina early, flipping them from
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: a two and a half point dog to a one
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: point favorite. I don't know when they were a two
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: and a half point dog. But North Carolina is without Wilson.
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: Like I said, I think he's out for the season.
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: Seventy five percent of tickets, ninety three percent of the
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: cash on North Carolina, and it will not be an
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: injured player theory spot because I think that game already
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: happened for North Carolina, and that was the game that
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: got blown out by NC State, so they did not
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: step up their game. Well, nor NC State really showed
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: up in that game though. All Right, Albanie at UNBC
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: is kind of an interesting game. In the American East.
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: Albanie just pulled off an upset at NJIT, satisfying win,
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: although I keep telling you NJIT actually stinks. They're not
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: as good as their record looks, but you know, it
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: still feels good to go on the road and get
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: revenge against the team that's been near the top of
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: the conference all season. Albanie was an underdog there. Now
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: they're playing a third straight road game, but they did
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: already lose at home to U NBC. UNBC is a
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: top of the standings in the conference and UNBC just
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: beat from That was a huge win for U NBC
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: to completely take control over this conference. So UNBC could
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: definitely be in a letdown spot after that. And that
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: was revenge against Vermont two. So it's like, which one
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: of these spots is worse? Really? I kind of think, Oh,
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at Vermont what UNBC is, So I want
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: to look at here? Where are they? What? Oh yeah,
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: Baltimore County UNBC is link six and a half here.
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: You know, I think they're probably in the bigger letdown
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: spot because beating Vermont in this conference is just always
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: a really big deal. And nj T is still fraudulent
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: so I would probably towards taking the points with the
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: Albany in that one. It is an interesting game total
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: in the one forties, all right. Chattanooga in the Citadel
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: is kind of interesting. You know. I had the Citadel
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: in their last game and they they pulled off a
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: miraculous cover. So thank you to the Citadel for that.
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: Chattanooga already played the Citadel, believe it or not, they
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: lost at home as a huge favorite. So this is
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: a probably a legit revenge spot for Chattanooga because they
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: had a bad game in that game. They were almost
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: double digit favorites in that game and they lost the
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: game outright. That's bad and that was not that long ago.
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: So you know, you're probably gonna get an effort out
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: of Chattanooga because of that. But the problem is they're
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: playing a third road game in four games, and they
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: just won at Mercer. So Chattanooga's coming out of a
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: nice upset of their own, a double digit upset at Mercer,
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: who's one of the better teams in the conference. So
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: Chattanooga is in a letdown spot. So even though yet
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: ideally they're gonna want revenge against the Citadel, but they
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: aren't a letdown spot here for the Citadel. They did
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: what I just told you. They were pretty much on
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: the verge of having no chance to cover that game
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: against Samford, and they came all the way back and
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: cut it to one point I think late in the game.
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: Crazy comeback from the Citadel in that one. So they're
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: coming off a pretty nice performance as a big underdog
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: as well, so they could be in a bit of
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: a hangover as well. But this is one thing that
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: we're gonna start seeing in these smaller conferences, man. A
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: lot of these teams are gonna be playing their senior
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: Day game, their last home game of the season, you know,
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: So this is that for the Citadel. So that's a
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: little bit of an extra motivator for some of these
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: home teams. Man. So you know, I think Chattanooga, even
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: though they lost to the Citadel already and I looked
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: at the boxer, I think it was kind of misleading,
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: but I think I would probably have to lean to
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: the Citadel here, man, because they really kind of got
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: blown out in that last game and it was just
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: kind of a you know, the comeback of the end
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: was just kind of a one where the other team
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: got a bit lazy. Chattanooga's off the bigger upset there,
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: and you're talking about the Citadel in their last home game, man,
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: where they like to celebrate the seniors whatever. I don't
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: know how many seniors they have, but it's a bigger
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: deal in the smaller conferences, usually because a lot of
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: times these are the types of teams where the players
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: will still stick around for a couple of years. Sixty
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the tickets and eighty six percent of
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: the cash on Chattanooga, the money is coming in. On Chattanooga.
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: They're up to a four point favorite with juice. I
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: could see the arguments for that side as well. I mean,
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: this game is certainly not on my card, but I
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: think I do have a slight lean towards the Citadel
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: in that one. All Right, if you want me to
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: talk about some of these other games, I will, and
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty much limiting it to like the more interesting games.
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: In my opinion, either from a handicapping perspective or you know,
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: the big games. The TV games Georgia Southern and app
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: State is kind of interesting. I think where Georgia Southern
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: just didn't have a great game. I gave out Georgia
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: State in that game. And by the way, I think
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: Georgia Southern actual it was down five with like a
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: few seconds left in that game, so I think that
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: game was in hand for US. But Georgia Southern, I
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: think they actually probably I think they actually hit a
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: three or something at the end of that game to
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: cut it to a too late. But either way, Georgia
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: Southern coming off kind of an ugly loss against their
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: rival Georgia State. But still you don't want to lose
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: to a team it's near the bottom of the conference.
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: It was a good spot to fade them. I do
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: think Georgia Southern is way overrated, So that's kind of
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: the problem I have because I actually liked them in
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: this game against app State, but I don't know if
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: I can get there with it because they are very
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: lucky according to ken Bom, although I think app State
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: is as well. You know, Georgia Southern will get up
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: for a game against app State, though they're coming off
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: kind of a bad loss. They lost at home to
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: app State by double digits a couple games before that.
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: This is a quick road revenge spot for Georgia Southern.
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: App State is near the top of the conference. Still
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: so I do expect that they will show up for
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: this one. And app State just lost to Marshall in
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: a LOS game. That was a big game for app State,
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: so they are coming off a big game against Marshall.
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: Now they got Georgia Southern, who again, like I said,
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: they just beat them. They have Texas State on deck,
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: who is a bigger that's a bigger deal because they're
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: actually tied with Texas State in the standings right now,
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: so Texas State making a run in this conference as well.
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: I like Georgia Southern in this one, but ken Bum
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: does have them, you know, way too lucky for me.
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: And this is app State's final home game. So that's
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: the other thing to worry about with fading app State
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: here is they might get up for because it's their
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: final home game. Ken Bum does have them fairly lucky
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: as well, but a bit less lucky. This will be
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: a huge pac in contrast, by the way, App State
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: plays really slow and the much better defensive team. So
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: that's kind of another reason why I don't love Georgia Southern.
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: Here is app State I like. I usually like the
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: teams that are the better defense. They will try to
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: slow the game down but the problem is app State
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: has to lay a bunch of points here, so I
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: still do lean to Georgia Southern plus the points here.
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: Whenever I say I lean to a certain team, I
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: am talking about the point spread on this show fifty
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: to fifty on the tickets, ninety one percent of the
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: cash on Georgia Southern. I don't disagree with that money there.
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: App State, as a slow down defensive team having to
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: lay a bunch of points may not be great. Total
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: in the one forties in that one, all right, one
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: pm SEC Network. Mississippi at South Mississippi State, excuse me?
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: At South Carolina. Mississippi State coming up a nice win
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: of Roburn. They were a home underdog and that one
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: is a nice win for them. Bad loss for Auburn,
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: but big win for Mississippi State against a team that
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: might be a tournament team, although maybe it doesn't feel
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: that big because Auburn's record's not good. But Mississippi State
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: did get their revenge rivalry win overrule missed in the
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: game prior to that. Now they play a lowly South
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: Carolina team and on deck they got Alabama, so they
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: might be looking ahead to that. So the spot doesn't
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: look great to me form Mississippi State here. South Carolina
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: just lost at Florida by double digits. They played okay
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: in the game considering what it was, but they've lost
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: a bunch of games in a row, seven games in
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: a row or something six maybe whatever it is, I
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: think it's seven. So I just don't think they're really
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook an opponent, especially back at home. So I
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: think I have to lean South Carolina in this game.
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: Not a strong opinion for me on this. They did
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: move to a one point favorite. Money looks like it's
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: coming back on the Mississippi State side, al though I
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: don't really see that. I don't really agree with it.
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: Sixty seven percent of tickets on South Carolina, seventy eight
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Mississippi State. So do with
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: the information what you want. Man TNT at True TV
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: at one thirty pm. Xavier at Butler, Big East matchup here.
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: Xavier already beat Butler by double digits at home, so
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: there is the potential that they don't totallycus on this game,
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: and they're coming up a pretty big game against Villanova
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: where Xavier took Villanova into overtime. Villanova is one of
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: the better teams in the Big East, of course, although
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: that was at Xavier. Xavier were not huge underdogs in
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: that game. They were four and a half, so they
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: did still cover. But you take a good team into
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: overtime like that, a lot of times you will be
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: hungover into the next game. And again, they did already
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: beat Butler pretty handily. But I don't think I can
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: get there with Butler either, because Butler did just pull
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: off an upset of their own that was a win
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: I gave out in the middle of the week. They
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: caught Georgetown off of I think playing Yukon really close,
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: so Butler caught Georgetown in a good spot to catch them.
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: Butler got the upset win. They do have Villanova on
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: deck as well, although if I were to guess, I
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna overlook Xavier here though. And Butler
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: did just end a long losing streak, So even if
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: it is a mild upset or what it was about
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: a six and a half point upset, so not totally mild,
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: but you end a six game losing streak, a lot
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: of times, ending that momentum will propel you forward. So
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: I probably prefer Butler in this game. Not a really
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: strong opinion here, but you're laying three and a half
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: with them. It does look like they're an anti public side.
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: Sixty percent of tickets and fifty eight percent of the
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: cash on Xavier, So Xavier does look like a public underdog,
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: which is usually something you do want to fade. The
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: public usually does not like underdogs. Some means you're getting
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: the team it's favored in the game, the team it's
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: supposed to win the game, and fading the public. Yeah,
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: I would lean to Butler in that one. All right,
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: Army Navy on CBS Sports at one thirty. I mean,
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: this is it is what it is, man. Army is
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: a very bad basketball team. Navy is on this huge
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: run here after beating Colgate. They suffered no let down
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: even though they pretty much sealed the regular season title
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: in the Patriot League. They crushly high on the heels
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: of that. Maybe going on the road to Army, maybe
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: they just won't fully pay attention. They beat an Army
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: by almost thirty at home, so I guess there is
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: a potential that they don't play as well in this one.
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: Army just ended a four game losing su to the
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: win for once against a not great Loyal and Maryland team,
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: although it was still an upset for Army. But let
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: me see only a four and a half point upset.
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: I'll probably I would lean with Army in this one. Man.
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: I mean, you're gonna be getting a bunch of points
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: at home. It is revenge. You know, they're playing one
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: of their rivals at home. Navy down for ten to
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: nine and a half year. It is a pretty low
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: total in the one thirties. I believe Navy is more
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: of a defensive team. They are. Their offense is actually
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: very weak. They're a slow down defensive team, and they're
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: very very lucky according to Ken Bomb as well, so
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: high up in their luck index. So those are indicators
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: to potentially maybe want to fade as well there. I
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: would agree with taking the points of the Army in
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: that one. All right, let's keep this going man. ESPN
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: two at two pm Miami is at number fourteen Virginia Miami, Florida.
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: We're talking about here. Miami, Ohio played last night, so
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: they're not playing today. Miami barely got by Virginia Tech
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: in their last game, so you know, I talk about
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: this one A big favorite doesn't do that well. A
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: lot of times they'll show up better in the next game.
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: And this was part of that handicap is that they
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: might be looking ahead to Virginia. So I do think
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: you'll get an effort out of Miami here against a
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: ranked Virginia team number fourteen in the country. I'm still
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: not completely sold on Virginia, man, because they keep like
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: they've had a week schedule. Man, it's just the way
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: that it is. They had a nice road win against
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: Louis Valsa. Maybe that indicates they're for real, but that's
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: the only like really impressive win that they have they
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: are hosting here, though they're hosting Miami. The enough road
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: win by almost thirty points against Georgia Tech. I know
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech stinks, but you beat anybody by that much
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: on the road, that is pretty impressive and you might
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: be feeling maybe a little high about that. So I
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: would probably have to lean to Miami in this one.
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: Virginia's laying eight points, and we know Virginia they're a
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: slow paced team, although I think they're not quite as
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: slow as they were on the Tony Bennett era, but
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: there's still a slow team, not exactly a team that
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: covers my margin a lot seventy one percent of the
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety five percent of the cash on Miami total
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: in the one forties, I'll agree with leaning towards Miami
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: and that one Tennessee at number nineteen, Vandy. This is
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: a big rivalry man in the state of Tennessee, and
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: Tennessee is always the big brother here man, So to
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: see them as the lesser ranked team, the unranked team
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: in fact, might put a little bit of a chip
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: on Tennessee's shoulder, man, like, hey, we're still Tennessee, We're
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: the University of Tennessee. Although you gotta think Vandy because
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: almost all the time they are the little brothers, so
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: they probably do still have that mentality against Tennessee. I
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: think both teams are gonna show up in this one.
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: This is a good game. It's on ESPN. Tennessee is
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: in ken Bomb's top twenty five. They're actually sixteenth, so
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: they're pretty under the radar right now. They're a good
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: defensive team. They're actually pretty balanced this year too, so
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: Tennessee they're not to be overlooked. Ken Bum does have
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: Vandy twelve and has Vandy in the top twenty in
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: both offense and defense, so Vandy is legit. According to
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: Ken bomb Man, they are the luckier of the two teams, though,
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: and they're gonna try to speed it up. But I
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: do think Tennessee will be able to slow this game
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: down a bit, just because it is easier to slow
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: the game down. That is what they'll try to do.
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: So this is a PAC in contrast, in this game,
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: Tennessee is the slower, more defensive team here. Tennessee coming
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: up an easy win at home over Oklahoma, no big deal.
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: They come into this game with momentum. Vandy just lost
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: the Missouri so maybe that'll give them a little bit
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: of an extra motivator here because that was kind of
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: a bad loss. They were a road favorite. I think
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: they were looking ahead to Tennessee, man, and they'd come
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: up a nice couple of wins against Auburn and Auburn
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: and Texas A and M. And people might look and
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: see that Vandy lost Oklahoma not that long ago, and
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: Tennessee just smoked them. So maybe there'll be some public
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: sentiment for Tennessee here, although I think it might not
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: be a lot though, because the public just they just
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: like the rankings. Man, oh, Vandy's ranked. They're only laying
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: four points here. I struggle with this game quite a bit. Man.
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: Vandy has fifty eight percent of the tickets on them,
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of the cash on Tennessee. So the
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on Tennessee here. You know, that's
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: what the market read says. I don't have a strong
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: opinion either way, so I guess I'll agree with the
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: market read for now in Tennessee. But and again, you
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: are getting the better defense, getting points still with Tennessee,
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: so that is something their defense, Believe it or not,
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: it's not that much better than Vandy's. So all right,
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: Next up we will be the first play that I
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: have of the day, Ducaine at Dayton. Although I think
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: I gotta I gotta get some more water here, man,
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: and blow my nose again as you do. I should
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: just do it on stream like in the winter. My
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: sinuses are just so fucked me, and when I keep talking,
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: it just keeps happening. I don't know. I don't know
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: if I can find a way to like relax a
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: little bit, breathe better. I don't know, man, I don't know.
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: I just get too excited talking about it, and maybe
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: I can relax a little bit more. But I'll be
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: right back though. Let's see if I can. I don't
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: know what. Should I go to an intermission? Here? Should
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: I show the market read on this? There isn't really
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: a market reads a show on this yet. But give
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: me a second, because I do want to get the
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: show non four picks against Grossman in two fumbels. What
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: do you see about the Bears? Shut them down that way? Now?
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean? We just let's wait.
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: The Bears are what we thought they were? What the
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: what we thought they were? We played them in preseason?
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: Who the hell takes a third game in the preseason
• 41:39
  Speaker 2: likes book? We played them in the third game. Everybody
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: played three quarters their bears or who we thought they were. Now,
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: that's why we took the damn field. Now, if you
• 41:50
  Speaker 2: want to crown them, then crown their ass. But they
• 41:54
  Speaker 2: are who we thought they were, and we let them
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: about the hook.
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: Thanks probably got five minutes away.
• 42:07
  Speaker 3: It's a disappointed coach, all right, Duquin and Dayton here, Yeah,
• 42:17
  Speaker 3: let's do this, best bets.
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: We're gonna take the points of Ducaine in this one
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: plus six. It's not a high total and this one,
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: the money looks like it's coming in on Dayton now
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: all of a sudden, fifty to fifty on the ticket,
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of the couch on Dayton. I do not
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: agree with it, of course, Ducaine. I think they're in
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: a good spot to look towards them here. Uh. They
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: just beat Lsal by one point. That was a bad
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: game for Ducane, man, but they still escaped and continued
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: their momentum. And you know me, I like to find
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: teams that almost lost as a big favor but they
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: escaped and continued their momentum. I have you looked at
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: this game. Ducane was winning by margin for almost the
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: entirety of the game. They fell behind in the second half, though,
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: so they started playing poorly. I think they got complacent
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: and they had to come back and they barely escaped
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: with a win. At the end of Ducaine they were
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: eleven and a half point favorites in this one. Man
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: Lesal is a bad team, so I look for Ducaine
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: to have a better effort this time. I think maybe
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: they started looking ahead to this Dayton game. It is
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: a big game. They already lost at home to Dayton,
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: so we do have a road revenge angle here plus
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: the angle where Ducaine is, you know, coming off a
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: bad performance as a favorite. Dayton were laying two and
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: a half in that one against Dukaine. So yeah, I mean,
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: I think the numbers. Guys are probably gonna think this
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: number is low because if Dayton was two and a half,
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: you know, on the road, well maybe they should probably
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: be Oh, you know, I guess they should probably be
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: closer to an eight point favorite here, But that's not
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: what ken Bomb has. Ken Bom, I think has this
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: number right where this one is. I think he does
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: have it at about six. So I just think Dayton
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: was probably over valued back because you do have to
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: adjust your power ratings, and I think Dayton was just
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: a bit overvalued back then. I'm gonna show you Ken
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: Bomb's numbers in a bit. I think Ducaine is actually
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: kind of the underrated commodity here, and if you look
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: at Dayton's spot, they're in an awful spot. They just
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: went on the road and upset George Mason, although it
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: was a mild upset of two and a half, but
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: George Mason has been near the top of the A
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: ten conference all season pretty much. That was a big
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: win for Dayton. Man has potential seating implications, and look
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: who they have on deck. They got Saint Louis on
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: deck Man, So this has basically everything that I look for.
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: Dayton is in a sandwich spot. It's a road revenge
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: angle for Ducane. They're an underdog and their Ducaine's coming
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: off a horrible performance as a huge favorite, So we're
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: gonna roll with Dukane in this one man and looking
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: at the ken Bomb numbers here Ducaine they almost crack
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: the top one hundred for him. They're not a very
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: lucky team. They're in the bottom third of luck. They're
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: a pretty balanced team, believe it or not, in the
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: top one thirty one in both offense and defense. Although
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: they actually play a bit fast. Dayton plays a bit
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: slower even though they are the flyers or no way, yes,
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: yes they do, my mistake. They're a mid tempo team though,
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: but Dayton is in the top third of luck, so
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: they are the luckier team and Dayton is the better defense,
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: but their offense is not really that great. So if
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: this is gonna wind up being a defensive matchup, that
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: does kind of indicate that you might want the dog
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: as well. Here total is in the one forties. We
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: will go with it. We will go with Ducane BLUs
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: the points there. And let me just make sure that
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: the number the Ken Bomb has looks good on this
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: He does have Dayton as the top one hundred team. Yeah,
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: he has this number right at six. So I think
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: the the oddsmakers, they just have to adjust, man. And
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: sometimes even when it was an over adjustment from the
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: first game. Uh, sometimes uh, you know, sometimes it's warned,
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: like sometimes even if it looks like it was an
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: over adjustment from the first game, sometimes from you know,
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: in the first game, the odds were just not right.
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: So it's one of those things like if like you
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: have to put more weight in a huge shift in
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: odds when the game was more recent, you know what
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, Cause, like, teams shouldn't shift that much in
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: their power ratings over a small period of time, but
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: over the course of much of a season, more of
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: a shift might make sense depending on what these teams
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: are doing. All right, let's keep going here, man, acc
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: Network at two pm. Notre Dame at pitt This is
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: an ugly one. Notre Dame just ended a losing streak
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: with a win over Georgia attack, so that should give
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: them some momentum, probably good for them break through losing
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: momentum coming into this game. But they do have Duke
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: on deck, so there is the possibility they're gonna look
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: ahead here for Pitt. Pitt is on a five game
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: losing streak, so I do think they will show up.
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: They're coming up big games though, against Duke and North Carolina,
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: but they didn't really play close in either of those,
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: so this is one of those games where you know,
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: I think both teams will probably show up. But which
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: way do we want to go with this? I don't know.
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: Pitt dropped from a two point favorite to a one
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite there. I guess I'll lean
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: to Notre Dames slightly there. I think they are the
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: better team. I think as far as what these teams
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: did in their previous game, I think it's better for
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: Notre Dames. So I guess that's the way that I'll lean.
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: Very small opinion on that though. Keeping it going, man,
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: we're keeping it going. What else we got here North
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: Dakota State, I don't think I want to talk about
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: that game. They got Kansas City, Yeah, whatever, Harvard and
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: Cornell could be an interesting game in the IVY. Harvard
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: is coming off a really clo call against Yale. They
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: almost were able to season sweep Yale. They played them
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: close both times. It would have been a big win
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: man for Harvard against the obvious best team in the IVY, Yale.
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: So Harvard is coming off of that and then it
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: ended a win streat for them, So you got to
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: think they might be a bit hungover coming off that
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: big game against Yale. They got to go to Cornell here.
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: Now Cornell did already win at Harvard though, so there
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: is a little bit of a road revenge angle here
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: for Harvard. So I don't really know they're gonna entirely
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: overlook Cornell. Cornell is pretty close to them and the
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: Sandys in the IVY too. I do think Cornell is
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: probably the third best team in the IVY, maybe even
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: better than Harvard. Actually, we'll see what the number is
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: on this. Cornell is coming back home after they lost
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: three games or excuse. They played three road games and
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: lost the last game on the road to Penn. Who
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: sees it swept them somehow. Cornell the last time they
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: were at home they lost to Penn, So I think
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: a team coming back home like this, I think they
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: will actually put in an effort back at home after
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: they lost their last home game. They do have Yale
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: on deck, so Cornell might be looking ahead to Yale.
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: That's the one concern. But I don't really see them
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: overlooking a Harvard team. It's above them in the standings.
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: So I would prefer Cornell in this game. But the
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on Harvard ticket seventy six percent
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Harvard Cornell down from four and
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: a half to four. I don't really get it. I
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: lean towards Cornell in that one. All right, what else
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: do we want here in Yale? I mean you could
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: make the argument Yale is in a sandwich spot because
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: they did just get that win on the road against Harvard.
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: They got a pen team they already beat on the
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: road by seventeen points here and they got Cornell on deck,
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: who is somewhat close behind them in the standings. But
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: Penn is actually closer to Yale and the standings, believe
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: it or not, even though I don't think they're actually legit.
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: So that might keep Yale focused a little bit because
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: they're only two games ahead of Penn. But I don't know.
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: And then Penn is coming into the game off of
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: a nice win over Cornell, but they have momentum. At
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: least they won four games in a row. I don't
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: see them overlooking Yale obviously, though, so I do think
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: I still need to pen in that game. Plus the points.
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: Yale already dropped from an eleven point favorite to a
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: nine and a half point favorite, so some of the
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: value already kind of extracted from that number. But I
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: do agree with that move generally, I would be looking
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: towards yeah Penn in that one, all right. Lemoyn and
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: stone Hill is a little bit of an interesting one
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: where Lemoyne just almost pulled off an upset where I
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: think they were about eight and a half point underdogs
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: at Central Connecticut and they fell just short. Lost the
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: three game win streak, and they have to go on
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: the road to face stone Hill second straight road games,
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: so Lemoyne could be in a bit of a hangover.
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: But they did lose at home to Stonehill by eleven,
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: so that might keep them in check a little bit
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: because Lemoyne was definitely a big favorite in that home
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: game against stone Hill, or at least a decent size
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: favorite there, so you know, they fall into one of
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: those avenging road favorite angles where the better team is
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: in revenge. So there's a chance they don't overlook stone
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: Hill here. So there are some conflicting factors in this game.
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: Stonehill's on a big losing streak though they've lost five
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: games in a row. I expect them to show up
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: just because they're not having a good stretch of basketball here.
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: A LeMoyne's a two and a half way favorite. Like
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: I showed you, I probably need to stone Hill just
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: because Lemoyne is coming up that bigger game. But that's
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: a tough read for me in that one. Charles, what's up?
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out all right? What other games did
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: I even want to talk about here?
• 51:43
  Speaker 3: Are?
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: Some of these games are just so ugly, man, that
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: it's just like, yeah, I don't even I got you know,
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: I got nothing to really even say about some of
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: these games. Let me see here. Well, Samford and Mercer,
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: both of these teams, as I already showed you, they're
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: both coming off bad games. Mercer just took an outright loss.
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: Is a big favorite against the Chattanooga Samford just took
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: their foot off the gas too. Early and almost lost
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: to the Citadel, so both teams should be focused here.
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: Mercer might have the bigger chip on their shoulder, man,
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: because they went to Samford already and lost by twenty points,
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: So I probably would have to lean to Mercer in
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: this one. Samford is actually tied with them in the
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: conference standings now. Yeah, Sanford is also playing a third
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: straight road game, which makes it a little bit more
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: difficult for them as well, so and Mercer coming off
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: kind of the uglier game there. I think I would
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: lay it with Mercer in that game if I was
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: gonna do anything with it. All Right, we got Central
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: Arkansas on Florida Gulf Coast is kind of a weird one.
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: Central Arkansas well, really, it's just that they have a
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: look ahead to Austin P and then Queen's and those
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: are the two teams that are in competition with them
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: for the of the conference pretty much right now. So
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: those are big games on deck, especially Austin P. So
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: big look ahead spot here for Central Arkansas. They're playing
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: at Florida Gulf Coast here, who they did already beat,
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: but they only beat them by two at home, so
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: maybe they kind of take them seriously for that reason.
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: But and they do have momentum. They won a lot
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: of games in a row here, but this game looks
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: like it might be a game where they might trip
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: up man because they have that big game on deck,
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: and then the Queen's game is their home finale too
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: after that, so I could like Florida Golf Coast in
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: this one. Generally, Florida Golf Coast coming off a pretty
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: bad performance actually against Jacksonville, Florida Golf Coast for six
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorites in that game and they
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: only won by two, so they're continuing their momentum staying
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: at home. I think they will be focused on Central Arkansas,
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: so I would lean to Golf Coast in that one man.
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: They're only one and a half point dogs, so in
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: that respect, it looks way too easy to play. Central
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: Arkansas is basically a pick the winner, Like you're obviously
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: gonna want to take the team with the better record,
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: but I would hesitate in that one man. I lean
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: to Florida Gulf Coast in that one. Espn U at
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: two pm SIU Edwardsville and Tennessee State. It's a decent
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: Ohio Valley game between a couple of the better teams
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: in the Ohio Valley. SIU edwards Will just had a
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: pretty ugly loss at Tennessee Tech. Kind of explainable because
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: they've lost a win streak and they were coming off
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: big games against SEMO and UTAM Martin and lost to
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: UT Martin to end their win streak, so maybe they
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: bounce back here against Tennessee State. They did already beat
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: Tennessee State by eight at home, though, but it does
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: look kind of bounce back spot for them here. Tennessee
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: State is now in the driver's seat in the conference,
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: although they're actually in a three way tie believe it
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: or not, not with UT Martin but with CIMO and
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: Morehead State. Now, even though I think UT Martin is
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: still one of the better teams, still the best team
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: in the conference power ratings wise. Tennessee State coming up
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: a bigger game against lynden Wood because Lyndenwood was in
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: that pack as well, and they do have a big
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: game with SIMO on deck. They're tied with CMO, seeming
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: that they lost to SIU Edwardsville, there's a chance they
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: don't take them as seriously now that they're a top
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: the conference. And they have a two game lead over
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: SIU Edwardsville, So I think I have to lean to
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: SIU Edwardsville in this one. They are getting the money.
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: It looks like Tennessee State's a four point favorite might
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: be four and a half at some point, fifty percent
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: of tickets ninety one percent of the cash on SIU E.
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: That is the way I would lean in that game.
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: All right, let's keep it going here CW Network Georgia
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: tack at number twenty one Louisville at two point fifteen PM.
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: For whatever reason, Georgia Tech coming of an ugly loss,
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: although it was too a good Virginia team, but still
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech. You gotta think they're gonna at least try
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: to show up for a game where they're on this
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: big losing streak. Eight losses in a row, I think
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: is what this is. And they're playing Louisville. I mean,
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: you know it's a game that you'll get up for
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: because you're playing a ranked team. Louisville did just lose
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: a win streak in a pretty tough game on the
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: road at SMU, who is headed for a tournament berth
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: for the first time in a while. The way it
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: stands right now. Louisville, they did lose the favorite in
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: that game, but that was still kind of a big game.
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: And and they of North Carolina and Clemson on deck,
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: so those are big games on deck North Carolina two
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: days from now. So I think the spot is better
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: for Georgia Tech here. Louisville could be hungover because they
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: lost a win streak as well. We know this Louisville
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: team is just massive variance though, depends on how well
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: they're hitting their threes. But if they're tired at all,
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: that might affect their three point shooting a bit. They're
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: down to a twenty two and a half point favorite here,
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of the tickets and ninety three percent
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Georgia Tech. So the money is
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: coming into Georgia Tech in that one. I would not
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: disagree with taking the points Georgia Tech in that one
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: if I was going to do something with it. Fox
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: at two point thirty PM we have Kansas State at
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: number thirteen Texas Tech. Texas Tech had that huge blow
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: and that loss. It was a winner for us on
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: the show Arizona State. But I don't want to get
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: the win that way. Man with JT Toppin going down
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: for Texas Tech in the game, I think Arizona State
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: was going to cover anyway, but huge blow to Texas
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: Tech losing their best player top and he's going to
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: be out for the season. But that does put them
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: in kind of an injured player theory spot here where
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: maybe Texas Tech, you know, you know how I talk
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: about it, when your star player goes down, a lot
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: of times the team will rally around that player for
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: the first time. And they might rally also because they're
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: coming off an ugly loss to Arizona State, So I
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: see some reasons why Texas Tech will actually show up
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: and play well in this one. Kansas State is not
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: a good team though, but Kansas State they have a
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: decent spot here as well because they just beat Baylor
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: at home to end a badly music streak six game
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: losing streak over so that will give Kansas State momentum
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: coming into this game too. So I think both teams
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: are going to show up for this Texas Tech only
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: as Cincinnati on deck, so I don't see that as
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: being a look ahead. Uh you know, I would probably
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: lay it with Texas Tech in this one to be honest,
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: they dropped from fifteen and a half to thirteen. I
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: think some of that is because of the topen injury
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: of them, sixty percent of tickets and fifty three percent
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Kansas State. So, believe it or not,
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: Kansas State looks like they're a public underdog right now.
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: Who I don't really know if that's accurate though, Like,
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: do you really think the public is gonna be on
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: Kansas State just because Texas Tech lost top him? They
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: probably won't be. They'll probably still expect Texas Tech to
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: bounce back. So I don't know. I don't know what's
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: going on with the market there, although I you know,
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: if Texas Tech wins it being an anti public favorite
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: better for that side, I guess. But I would probably
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: lay it with Texas Tech in that one, all right.
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: Number four Arizona, Number two Houston Arizona is a guaranteed win,
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: Hindi and I do not agree with that whatsoever. No, absolutely,
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: they are not. They're gonna be a four and a
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: half point underdog in this game. So Arizona's coming off
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: a game against BYU they played. Look at this run
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: for Arizona, Dude, you think this is a guaranteed win
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: when they've had to play at Kansas at Allen Field House,
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: then another tough game at home against Texas Tech before
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: top and was down. Then they had another game where
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: they got kind of pushed against BYU, BYU came back
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: and made that a close game. Late, four straight ranked opponents,
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: and you think Arizona is a guaranteed win in this game. Okay,
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: bro Houston is coming off a loss. But they did
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: lose a win streak, so yeah, that is bad when
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: when a team loses a win streak. I do talk
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: about how they could be hungover. But the good thing
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: for Houston at least is that it was only a
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: six game win streak. Yes, it was a big game
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: against Iowa State. Houston had the game. They probably should
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: have won that game. But Houston's run of games leading
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: up to this has been way less of a gauntlet
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: than Arizona's. No, I mean, I could only lean to
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: Houston in this game. No, they're not. I disagree with that.
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna lean Houston in this one. Houston's one of
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: the best fundamental teams in the entire nation. With Kelvin Samson.
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: Houston is a five point favorite now, So if you're
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: talking about Arizona winning outright yet, good luck with that.
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: Uh sixty eight percent of the tickets eighty nine percent
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: of the casual on Houston. I would lay it with
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: Houston in this one. The money looks like it does
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: agree with it as well. Houston. Although I know there
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: is the talk now that Houston is now one of
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: the one seeds in bracketology, they are in mind too,
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: just because Yukon lost, but Houston is obviously a legit team.
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: Ken Bum has the fifth in his rankings, Arizona third, Houston.
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: He actually is. Houston is the lesser defensive team and
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: the slightly better offensive team, which seems very very odd.
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: But this is also gonna be a massive pacing contrast.
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: And who do I always say wins out with the
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: pacing battle? Oh yeah, that would be the home team,
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: the better team, and the team that could slow the
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: pace down because it's easier to slow it down. Guess
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: who all three of that applies to. Yeah, that would
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: be Houston. Houston's the better team at home. And even
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: though I know Ken bomb as Arizona is the better team,
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: but I don't think they are. Houston is favored like
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: they are the better team here. Well, they're at least
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: the favorite and at home, so I think they should
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: be able to win the pacing battle and it's easier
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: to slow the game down. Arizona wants to speed the
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: game way up. So no, this is gonna be an
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: extremely difficult game for Arizona, especially giving the lead up
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: to this. I like Houston in that game. Let me
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: see here, I'm looking at what Arizona's done on the
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: road so far, you know, I mean, they've won most
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: of the road games, but this is by far their
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: most difficult road game. Man, more difficult than Kansas. They
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: did lose the game at Kansas, of course, they escaped
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: at BYU, didn't do that well at UCF. You know,
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is this Arizona team can be vulnerable
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: on the road, even though they do have a win
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: at Yukon on the road early in the season. In
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: an actual road game, I'm pretty sure. But whatever. Yeah,
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: Houston is my lean in that one. Maybe the line
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: is a little bit too high now that it's a five,
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: but I do expect them to win the game. Yeah,
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: I stand on business. Let me see here. Both teams
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: are coming up big games, though, so both teams you
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: could argue in negative spots there, all right, Peacock at
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: three pm Washington at Maryland. I got to try to,
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: you know, not talk about everything here. Man. I hate
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: this show because it takes three fucking hours. Washington did
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: just end a three game losing streag. With the win
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: over Minnesota could propel them into this game. But Washington
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: has to cross all the way to the East Coast
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: for this game, which is not easy to do. Although
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: they might have some newfound momentum coming into this one,
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: Maryland does suck. Maryland is coming up a bigger game
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: where they went to Northwestern and actually came close to
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: playing off the upset, although I don't know how big
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: Maryland will consider that game to be because they're actually
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: ahead of Northwestern to the standings, even though Northwestern is
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: the way better team. Northwestern was like a nine point
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: favorite of this game. Probably seven and a half is
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: what they were down to actually when the game went off.
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean Maryland, they just might not realize
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: they were that big an underdog there. But they do
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: also have Nebraska on deck, so I do think the
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: spot is actually worse for Maryland in this one. I
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: probably lean to Washington. They did drop from a four
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: and a halfway favorite to a three and a half
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: way favorite, But I think Washington. I mean, the odds
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: viggers are telling you Washington is the better team enough
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: that they're laying points on the road. So those are
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: my thoughts on that. Not a strong opinion though, And
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: I don't like, you know, having to lay points to
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: the team. It's travel cross country to an unfamiliar venue,
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: So no thanks with that. North Dakota at South Dakota State,
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: this is kind of a weird matchup. North Dakota just
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: had an easy win over Kansas City. They already lost.
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: I know, the excuse me, they beat South Dakota State already,
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: but believe it or not, South Dakota State was a
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: seven and a half point road favorite in that game.
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: So the oddsmakers have been telling you South Dakota State
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: is the way better of these two teams. But you're
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: also gonna see that the line in this game doesn't
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: jive with that at all. South Dakota State is a
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: six and a half boy favorite now and there were
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: a seven and a half boy favorite earlier this season
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: on the road against North Dakota see, you gotta think
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: that's too much of a swing. Even if you do
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: have to adjust these teams, that's a crazy point spread swing.
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: So I do think there is some line value here
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: in in the South Dakota State side. I think they're
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: laying too few points, but I think the spot is
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: worse for South Dakota State. So that's the problem. North
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: Dakota's coming up that win over Kansas City, easy win.
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: South Dakota State's coming up of a big game against
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: North Dakota State where they fell just short. That was
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: a huge game against the top team in the conference.
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: So I don't know what they're gonna have left in
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: this game. But the two reasons why they might still
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: show up are it's a revenge game because they did
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: lose as a favorite on the road to North Dakota already,
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: and it's their last home game of the season. So
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: South Dakota State might show up for those reasons. And
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: it is a small line on them. So I could
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: see a lot of conflicting factors in this game. South
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: Dakota stayed down from seven to six and a half here,
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: I guess based on the situation, I guess I would
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: lean towards taking the points with North Dakota, but I
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: do not love it. Ohio and Northern Illinois was kind
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: of interesting to me because Northern Illinois just pulled off
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: a ridiculous upset at Buffalo. Northern Illinois is a bad team, dude.
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: Buffalo were nine and a half point favorites in that
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: one in Northern Illinois pulled off the upset, so I
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: don't know what they're gonna have left in the tank
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: here for Ohio, although they did lose to Ohio, but
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: they pushed them to the limit and only lost by
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: three at Ohio as eleven and a half point favorites.
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: And you know I talk about this as well, when
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: a big favorite almost lost the first matchup at home,
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: a lot of times they'll show up with effort in
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: the next game. So those are two big reasons Celin
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: towards Ohio in this game, with Northern Illinois coming up
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: a big upset and Ohio possible'll be taking them seriously
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: after that bad performance against them at home. Ohio coming
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: off a nice bounce back win over ball State and
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: easy win, so I do think the spot sets up
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: way better for Ohio and this one. They do have
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: Toledo on deck. Maybe a potential look ahead there, but
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: I would have to lean to Ohio and this one.
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: They're a six point favorite. I would lay it with
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: them on the road there in that one, and the
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: public might have a tendency to shy away from that,
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: just because I don't think they like laying points with
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: near five hundred record teams, especially on the road. So
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: interesting game there. Arkansas State and ull Monroe is kind
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: of interesting just because Arkansas State. Well, actually it's more
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: interested from the Yuell Monroe side. Arkansas State's coming on
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: an easy win over Louisiana. I don't know why I'm
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: talking about this game. Was Juell Monroe is terrible, but
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: they just almost upset Troy. So Jule Monroe had a
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: big game where they almost upset one of the teams
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: still one of the better teams in the conference, although
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: Arkansas State is also one of the best teams in
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: the conference and Jole Monroe is in their home finale here,
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: they do have South Alabama and Troy on deck, so
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: they're playing four huge games in a row here, which
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: is not that easy. So you know, it's a bit
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: of a difficult handicap although I think Arkansas State might
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: be able to get the job done in that one,
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: just because I don't trust a horrible team like yolman
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: Roe coming off an all energy effort like that. But
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: you would have to lay fourteen and a half on
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: the road with Arkansas State in that one. I would
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: probably lay it if I was gonna play it. Arkansas
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: State doesn't really have any big games up remaining, so yeah,
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: probably not a look ahead spot for them, But those
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: are my thoughts on that. Next up is the next
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: play playing number two. We will go with Old Dominion
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: plus four here in this one against Southern Miss. Are
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: staying in the sun Belt here. I don't think Old
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: Dominions as bad as the record looks. I'll show you
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: what Ken Bomb has to say about that in a minute,
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: because they are of course below Southern Miss in the standings,
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: although not by a ton. Old Dominions coming of an
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: easy couple of home wins against some of the bottom
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: barrel teams here in the conference, but they have momentum
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: coming into this one, and Southern Miss hasn't exactly been
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: great this season. They have not played yet this season,
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: so you know there is no previous matchup to look
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: at here for Southern Miss. I know we're fading them
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: in their final home game, I know that, but look
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: at what Southern Miss just did. Man. They had three
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: huge games in a row where they beat Kent State,
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: who was one of the better MAC teams in the
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: Sun Belt MAC Challenge, in a close game. Then they
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: had a close game against South Alabama, who's one of
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: the better teams in the Sun Belt, and then in
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: their most recent game they upset Troy. Huge win for
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss there. Now, I know this is their final
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: home game, but they're playing against a very bad Old
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: Dominion team coming off upsetting Troy, who's at the top
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: of the conference standings. And up next they got to
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: Arkansas State and South del Maama again, and those are
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: two of the top teams in the conference, like I said,
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: and those are both revenge games too, So I think
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: this is a sandwich spot. We're gonna go with Old
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: Dominion in this one. Man, Old Dominion looks like they
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: are getting the money. Now, Southern Miss is a four
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: point favorite. Fifty percent of the tickets is sixty six
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: percent of the casual on Old Dominion. It is a
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: pretty low total here. And if you look at ken Pom,
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: he's got Southern Miss way down at two hundred and
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: thirty eighth, which is pretty bad. They're not a good
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: offensive team, so, you know, laying points with a team
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: like that that focuses more on deepens this isn't exactly great.
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: They actually play a mid tempo which is kind of weird,
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: and they're lucky according to Ken Palm, almost in the
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: top one hundred and then you have Old Dominion only
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: four ranking spots behind them. And while Old Dominion is
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: not the better dfense, they're a more of a balanced team.
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: At least they're the better offense for what that's worth.
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: They play kind of a similar tempo. Both these teams
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: are slightly on the faster side, but Old Dominion is
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: way less lucky according to ken Bomb, so Old Dominion
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: has been the team that has underperformed based on what
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: they actually are, where Southern Miss is overperformed. According to
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: ken Bomb, I think he has this being about a
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: two point game, maybe a three point game, I'm pretty sure.
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: So I think the numbers that he's laying out line
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: up for this one too. The luck index disparity looks
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: good to me on this one. We're gonna be on
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: old dominion in that one man. That one might be
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: I don't know. That one might be my least favorite
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: of all of these, but that is on my card.
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: I do worry a little bit about fading a team
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: on Senior Day, but other than that, you know, I
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: like it. This next one up is almost on my card.
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: West Georgia at Queens. West Georgia. They're coming into this
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: game of a couple of big games with well, this
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: is a fourth straight road game for them, for one thing,
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: so that's not easy playing four straight games on the road.
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: But they almost pulled off an upset at Eastern Kentucky.
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: This is a big game. Seven and a half point underdogs,
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: West Georgia took them into overtime. Now, one hesitation would
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: be do they consider that to be that big of
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: a game, because, believe it or not, West Georgia actually
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: had a better record than Eastern Kentucky, so they might
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: not realize they were a huge underdog in that game,
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: but they were. They might still show up for a
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: game against Queens, which is why hesitation, because Queens is
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: near the top of the standings, but West Georgia is
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: one of the most lucky teams in the nation man
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: according to ken Bums. So that's why I keep talking
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: about this. That's why they were a huge underdog in
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: their last game. They're outside of the top three hundred
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: on defense and almost that way on offense too, fortieth
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: and locked index. None of that is good at all.
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: Queens is pretty lucky as well, though in the one
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: hundred for Queens, they're an atrocious defense, but they're at
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: least a very capable offense top one hundred offensively, but
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: outside the top three hundred defensively, and they play fast.
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: So Queens they're not the type of team I usually
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: love because they don't play defense and they just play
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: way too fast. But in this game, I do like
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: Queens West Georgia. Coming off that big game where they
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: almost pulled off the upset, Queens just had a kind
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: of an ugly game at North Alabama where they they
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: got by they won. The game wasn't a great performance,
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: it was back and forth. The game was definitely close
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: for comfort. I would say, as eight and a half
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: point favorites against a pretty bad North Alabama team. So
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: when a team doesn't play well as a big favorite,
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: I think they show up better in the next game.
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: And the other reason I like Queens in this game
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: is they lost at West Georgia earlier this season, and
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: they were big favorites in this one, seven and a
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: half point road favorites, and they lost the game outright.
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: So that's an indicator that you might want to look
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: towards West Georgia here as well, because they will not
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: overlook a team that upset them earlier this season. So
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: I would lay it with Queens in this game close
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: to being one of my players. They are an eleven
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite there, but you know, you
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: know they could score. So they are one of the
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: types of teams that laying points does make more sense with.
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: But with their defense being so bad, that doesn't mean
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: that the back door is open. All right. Missouri State
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: at FIU, this is another play here. We're gonna go
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: Missouri State plus the points in this one shout out
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: to Justin We're gonna fadet FIU in this one pretty
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: much just because of the spot. Now. I know Missouri
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: State already beat FIU at home, so we don't have
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: a revenge angle here. They beat them by eight, but
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: if you dig into that box score, it wasn't really
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: that misleading. Missouri State did win the rebounding battle. They
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: led for eighty nine percent the game. They had way
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: more free throws, but they missed a ton of them,
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: so both teams are bad at the free throw line,
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: so you know, there wasn't a whole lot to see there.
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: FU did have more field goal attempts, but a lot
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: of it was because Missouri State just kept going to
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: the line, so I think they still did have more
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: possessions in the game. But Missouri State also lost the
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: turnover battle and still won, so I think that's a
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: decent sign that Missouri State was actually the better team
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: in the game. Now, Missouri State, they're on a four
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: game losing streak, so I think they will show up.
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: Like when you're on a four game losing streak, I
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: don't think you're gonna overlook anybody. So you know, I'm
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: not as worried about the revenge angle for that reason.
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: But for FU, look at what they just did. Man,
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: they just almost beat Liberty on the road. Liberty still
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: undefeated in the conference, and all they do is get
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: by on the skin of their teeth. This game was
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: like two days ago. It was on Thursday, so FYU
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: has almost no time off to recover from this. They
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: went into Lynchburg and they took liberty to overtime and
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: fell just short. Absolutely brutal for FIU and that one man,
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: And they were a big underdog in this one too,
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: nine and n half point underdogs here. Yeah, that was
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: just a brutal, brutal way to lose that game. Man,
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: when you almost pull off the upset of the team
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: that's been dominating the conference, I just don't see what
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: they're gonna have left two days later, man, even if
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: it is a Missouri State team that already beat them,
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: and FU has sam Houston up next, which is also
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: a revenge game. Sam Houston already beat them as well
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: at home, by the way, at FIU, and Sam Houston
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: is in second place in the standings, so you can
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: make the argument this is a sandwich spot too. We
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: are going to go with Missouri State here, man, And
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: I know Missouri State's bad ken Bum's got them outside
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: the top two hundred in both offense and deepfense. They
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: play slow, though, so they might be able to slow
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: the game down even though they are an underdog here.
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: FIU is gonna try to go fast, but maybe Missouri
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: State can ugly this thing up, keep it close. They're
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: pretty low in the lucky in dexit two fifty one,
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: although FVIU is very unlucky as well according to Kenbum
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: in the three hundreds. So both teams are unlucky. FU
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: is the somewhat better team of well not really by
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: a ton. And again, they do play really fast, so
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: they are gonna try to speed the game up, but
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: I don't know if they're gonna be that successful at
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: doing it, especially off that huge game. They might not
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: have the energy to keep doing that, you know what
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: I mean, Like when you're coming off of a massive
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: game like that that went into overtime with one day off,
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: and you're gonna try to go fast again, you might
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: just wear yourself out. Man. The totals in the one
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: fifties years, so Oddsmaker's kind of throwing it up as
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: a mid total. They're like not knowing which way this
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: is gonna go. FIU is up to a four point
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: favorite here, but yeah, we're gonna take the points in
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: that one off of that huge game against Liberty that
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: FIU just had TNT at True TV at three point
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: thirty PM Oklahoma State at Colorado. I consider putting this
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: one on my card. Oklahoma State on a four game
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: losely streak, I kind of think they'll show up here,
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: but they do have to go into elevation for this one,
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: and they are coming out of a big game where
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: they probably got up for it against Kansas, but they
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: did not come close against Kansas. So maybe a couple
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 1: of hesitations for Oklahoma State, but I do like them
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: in this game against Colorado. Colorado just had two pretty
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: big games, although one of them they got smoked by
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech. But then in their most recent game they
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: went to BYU. Although Colorado of course is a high
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: elevation team as well, so going to BYU maybe not
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: as difficult for Colorado, but they were fifteen and a
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: half point underdogs and they took BYU into overtime. That
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: was a monster game for Colorado. Man, and that is
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: what they're coming off of. Unfortunately, they only have Kansas
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: State next, which is not a big deal, but I
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: think they could be in a major hangover spot after
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: that massive game against BYU. When you are a huge
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: underdog and ticket team into overtime like that, I do
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: think you're gonna be in a bit of a hangover
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: spot after that sop, so I'm looking at you there.
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: I would only take the points of Oklahoma State here.
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: Colorado is a three three and a halfway favorite. Here.
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: It looks like they are getting the money right now,
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: but I don't agree with that sixty seven percent of
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety three percent of the cash on Colorado. I
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: was this was one was close to making my card.
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: I like Oklahoma State in that one sec Network three
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: point thirty PM Texas and Georgia. This is an in
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: dressing game. Uh, Texas just barely got by LSU as
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: a big favorite. I think Texas got too complacent because
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: they were winning that game by a lot. But you know,
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: I talk about this, when a team is a big favorite,
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: they come close to losing the game, you're usually gonna
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: get an effort out of them in the next game.
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: Although Texas did already beat Georgia by twenty at home,
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: and Texas does have Florida on deck, so those are
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: kind of the concerns with Texas here. But I do
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: kind of like the setup for them after they didn't
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: play that well against LSU. Even though this is revenge
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: for Georgia. Georgia just have a big upset against Kentucky,
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: so nice upset on the road is about seven point
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: underdogs there, and they do a Vanderbilt on Dex, so
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: there is the potential look ahead there, although I don't
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna overlook a team that already beat them
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: by twenty, although I guess there is the potential there
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: for that to happen. But Texas is above them in
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: the standings now, and we know Georgia is a bubble
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: team now, so they can't afford to keep taking losses.
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: They got to win for their tournament resume, so that's
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: another thing here. I prefer Texas in the game slightly,
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: but the money is coming into Georgia here sixty two
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty one percent of the cash on Georgia. There
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: are two point favorites that the oddsmakers are telling you
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: Texas is a slightly better team. I agree with that
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: Texas is not a good defensive team, though they're much
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: better offensive team. But I think the same could pretty
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: much be said for Georgia on and Georgia is gonna
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: want to speed this thing way up, so we might
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: see some points scored in this game. We'll see what happens.
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: You know, the totals gone down a little bit. But
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know in this game. I mean, I wouldn't
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: necessarily disagree with an over in that game. Don't do
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: much with totals. But what is EPO? I have no
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: idea extra performance opium. That sounds awesome. I don't know.
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: They probably they probably get drug tested. I don't know.
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: You don't usually see college players getting Maybe they don't
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: because you don't usually see college players getting suspended for drugs.
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. But yes, I lean to Texas
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: in that game slightly based on what we saw. And
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: you know, I like Texas just you know, in general,
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: because they're just always an under the radar team, an
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: undervalue team on North Florida is that stetson here? And
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: if you saw in North Florida's last game, I don't
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: know how they get back up off the mat. After that,
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: they had a huge home game against Austin p who
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: are the best team in the conference, and North Florida
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: almost pulled off the massive upset. And if you saw
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: how that game ended, I was watching the end of
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: that game. I'll tell you how it ended. There there
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: were not a lot of people in the crowd for
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: that because North Florida sucks. But North Florida almost won
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: the game on a technical foul that got called on
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: Austin P because they tried to call a timeout when
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: they didn't have any left. So it almost you know,
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: you know that happened earlier this year. Do I think
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: North Texas Austin P almost cost themselves the game by
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: doing that. So they called the timeout in a tied
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: game with like one second left I'm pretty sure, or
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: below two seconds left on the game clock, tiede game,
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: Austin P called the timeout they didn't have and North
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: Florida made one of the two free throws. So now
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: they're up one with like a second left, like one
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: point something seconds left, and Austin P has to go
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: the length of the cord, and Austin P chucked up
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: the ball, you know, so that time doesn't come up
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: the clock until somebody touches it in bounds. So they
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: chucked it all the way up court or down court,
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: whatever you want, towards you know, where the basket is
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: that they need to shoot at. North Florida knocked the
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: ball down right into the hands of an Austin p
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: player who flung it up from about the free throw
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: line and it went in and Austin p won the
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: game on that. It was one of the most insane
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: endings that you'll see all year. Man, it was unbelievable. Uh,
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: they actually probably there must be video. Yeah, here's the
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: video of it. I'm gonna play it right now, though
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: I don't think i've sound for it. But all these
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: are the highlights that hang on, they'll show the end.
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: I'm just gonna show if we're here, if you guys
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: can see this, or actually it wasn't. I guess it
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: wasn't a full court pass, but it was. Yeah, hold on,
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: you'll you'll see it here. Now guys can see this.
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: That was the play that that won them the game.
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: Absolutely insane, dude. So it wasn't totally full court, but
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: it was from you know, their own side of the
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: court that they inbounded it. Anyway, I don't know how
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: North Florida get gets back up after that. They should
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: have won against the best team in the conference. Now
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: they got to go play Stetson, who suck. They did
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: already lose at home to Stetson though, so I guess
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: there is a road revenge angle here, but I still
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: don't see how you get back up after that game.
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: And for Stetson, they're coming off losing to Central Arkansas
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: fairly badly. I mean, yeah, that was a big game
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: for them, but you know they didn't come that close.
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: So I would have to lead to Stetson in this one.
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: It's not on my card, but I think that hangover
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: spot that North Floridas and could be looming large. And
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 1: this one Stetson three point favorite in that one, that
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 1: would be my lean. There would be to Stetson to
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 1: the Hatters, all right. ESPN at four pm, Missouri at
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: number twenty Arkansas. Both these teams are in terrible spots.
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: I think Missouri just pulled off a nice home upset
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: of Vandy. I think they will still show up for
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: a game against Arkansas though. Don't believe these teams played
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: this year, so I think this is the only matchup. No,
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: they play again at the very end of the season.
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: That's right, because they're kind of like geographic rivals, the
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: Ozark Battle or whatever it is. But yeah, Missouri is
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: coming off a big win over Vandy. Although I think
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: they will still show up for a game against Arkansas,
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: and I think for Arkansas they had a lot more
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: taken out of them if you saw their game. They
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: played in one of the craziest games of the year
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: at Alabama where both teams scored in the one hundred
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: teams the game went into two overtimes. I think I
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: watched a lot of that game, and it was a crazy,
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: crazy game. Both teams are going up and down the floor,
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: tons of points, score, huge game for both teams, multiple
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: overtime periods, and now that's what Arkansas is coming off
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: of and falling just short of beating Alabama. I don't
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 1: know what they have left in the tank for this one, man,
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: And they do have A and M next to the
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: A and M is actually behind Missouri now in the
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: standing slightly, so I don't know if it's really a
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: look ahead, but I think there is a letdown component
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: for Missouri here. But Arkansas coming up that huge game,
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: I think the hangover spot will loom large in this one.
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: I would take the points with Missouri Arkansas down from
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 1: ten and a half to ten, seventy percent of the
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: tickets and fifty seven percent of the cash on them, Yeah,
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: I would lean to Missouri in that one, but not
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: a strong opinion. I don't really want them off of
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: that upset, So you know, that's the way that it is.
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: ESPN you at four pm. I don't know why they're
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: televising South Carolina State at Norfolk State. Bad you know,
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: MIAC game here. Norfolk State is the better team though.
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: South Carolina State coming up a nice win actually over
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: NC Central, who is one of the better teams in
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: this conference, and now they're gonna play Norfolk. They did
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: already lose to Norfolk once at home, though, and Norfolk
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: is usually one of the better teams in this conference,
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 1: so they might still show up for this one. Norfolk State,
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: they're coming off a win over Maryland Eastern Shore on
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: the road. Maryland Eastern Shore has kind of fallen off
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: because they're not as good as their record makes them look,
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: although they were near the top of the conference earlier
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: this season. I don't know what I want to do
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: with this game in Norfolk State's a ten point favorite though,
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: that's how bad South Carolina State is. I mean, it's
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: a low total in the one forties. I might still
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 1: lean towards laying it, but I would worry about Norfolk
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: State even being offensively capable of doing that, because I'm
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: pretty sure they're gonna get involved in another ugly game
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: in that one. Although I guess I would slightly lean
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 1: towards laying it, but I got pretty much nothing on
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: that game increases red blood cells. Oh helps with high altitude,
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: I get it. Pro Cyclist sheet with it. I have
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: no idea. Yeah, I don't know if teams use that
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: or not. I usually consider the high elevation teams to
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: have a little bit of an extra home advantage though,
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: just because they're used to it, their bodies adapt to
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 1: it like naturally, kind of like the Denver Broncos Arizona
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: State at Baylor on ESPN two at four pm. You know,
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: Arizona State's got to be in a pretty big letdown spot.
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: That was a nice upset win over Texas Tech. We
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 1: got that right here on the show. That was a
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: big win. They got TCU on deck, who is a
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: bubble team at the very least as far as the tournament.
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: So I think you gotta probably lean to Baylor in
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: this one, and the public's gonna want nothing to do
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 1: with it, because how could you be laying points as
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: the team with the worst record, which is Baylor here,
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: but they're laying seven and a half points here. That
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: looks really really suspect that line. I think the public
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: is probably gonna leand towards Arizona State or oh my god,
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 1: they just beat Texas Tech and they're getting points as
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: the team with the better record here. It looks so
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: easy to take Arizona State. But the oswigers are telling
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: you Baylor is actually the somewhat significantly better team here,
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: despite what their record would tell you. They've lost four
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: games in a row coming off an ugly loss to
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: Kansas State. The only way that I could look at this,
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: even though Baylor does have Arizona on deck, I think
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: you have to lay it with Baylor if you're gonna
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 1: play this game. Baylor is up from a seven point
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: average a seven and a half point favorite. Don't know
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: if you can still find a seven on this. It
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 1: would be a lot better to lay the seven though,
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: because again, teams stop intentionally fouling at the three possession
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: threshold there all right. Oregon at USC on Fox Sports
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: won at four pm. Pretty ugly game, although for Oregon
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: at least a road game that's on the Pacific Coast
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: in the Big Ten Pacific Coast matchup. In the Big Ten,
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: Oregon's coming up that gross loss to Minnesota at home.
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: I think they will show up for this game against
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: You see, they did already play once early this season.
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: Oregon actually lost I believe, at home against USC and
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: list this might have been a neutral site. No, it
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: was at Eugene. So Oregon did lose at home to
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: USC already early in the season. So there is a
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: revenge motive for Oregon here. They play Wisconsin next, but
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: I just don't think they're gonna overlook USC here, man.
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 1: USC They're coming off a horrible loss too, though they
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: just lost by almost forty points at home to Illinois.
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 1: I know Illinois is very, very good, but you don't
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: want to lose by that margin to anybody. They're staying
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 1: at home. Off of that, Still, you could argue that
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: was a game that maybe they got up for emotionally.
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: Whatever they got UCLA on deck. I think the spot
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: does still set up better for Oregon, and I still
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: think Oregon's not really as bad as they look. Although
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: USC they kind of need these games, man, because they're
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: a bubble team. But you know, even though I say
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 1: these bubble teams have motivation. I would beware of bubble
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: teams that are favored because I think they're probably gonna
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: be a bit overvalued. Because the odds makers know this too,
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 1: like everybody knows. Oh, USC's got to get some wins
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: to stay on in the tournament picture here, which probably
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: means they're gonna be a bit overvalued here. They're a
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: five and a half point favorite, down from six. There.
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: Look like they're gonna be public eighty two percent of
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: the tickets, only eighty one percent of the cash. Nobody
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: wants anything to do with Oregon. I would lean to
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: Oregon in that one, though. Winthrop and high Point huge
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: game in the Big South. This game may very well
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: determine who wins the Big South. Winthrop won the first
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: game at home, so there is a revenge angle for
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: high Point here, and high Point is the better team.
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: So some things to like about high Point here. Winthrop, though,
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: you know they got caught looking ahead. They almost lost
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: the USC up state in their last game. And you know,
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: I like to play on teams that are coming off
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: a game as a big favorite where they almost lost
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: the game, and you know they must have been looking
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: ahead to High Point. So some things to like about
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: Winthrop here. High Point coming off of a blowout win
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: against unc Asheville, so they looked a lot better in
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 1: doing that. But this is still a revenge game and
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 1: it is still their home finale, so I don't want
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 1: to fade high Point here, even though just based off
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: of their last game, it does look like high Point
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: is the better team here, but they are, and you're
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: having to lay eight and a half here with them
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: up from eight, you know, I probably still would lean
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: a high Point in this one. I know Winthrop didn't
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: look good in their last game, so there is that
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 1: aspect of this, but I think high Point as the
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: better team, they will really want to get this game.
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: I mean, you remember who your only loss in conference was,
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: and for high Point, as I said, that was Winthrop,
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: so you remember that you usually show up and play
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: well against that team. So that's what we got going
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: on there. San Jose stayed at Boise States. San Jose
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: State's actually coming off a big upset against Nevada. They
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 1: were double digit underdogs in that game at home and
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: they won the game, so they could be in letdown
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: spot off of that win. But they're playing one of
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: the teams that's one of the name teams in the
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: Mountain West Boise. Boise embarrassed San Jose State at San
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: Jose Stan already by thirty one points, so they probably
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: won't overlook Boise, And at least the good thing about
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: beating Nevada is San Jose State ended a long losing
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 1: streak where they lost I think nine games in a
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: row or something like that. So sometimes when you end
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: that losing streak, that will give you momentum into the
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: next game. Although I do still worry that San Jose
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: State is coming off a big upset. Boise is coming
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: off kind of an ugly gamble though it was an
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: emotional like high rather you get up for a game
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 1: and you're gonna play Utah State again, but they got
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 1: blown out again at Utah State, so I don't see
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: which way it's gonna go. Like that could be like
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 1: a reality check thing that knocks Boise stayed down and
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: they you know, they aren't in a good mindset coming
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: off of that, especially against the team they already killed.
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: Or you could argue that, well, they're gonna catch San
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: Jose State in possibly a letdown spot here and Boise
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: might bounce back from that. I don't know which way
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: it's gonna go. It's a difficult read, difficult to figure
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 1: this game out. Boise is up from fifteen to sixteen.
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 1: I guess I would still lean towards Boise here, just
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 1: against stan Jose State is coming off the massive upset,
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 1: but not a strong opinion. And I don't love laying
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: double digits with a team like Boise at home man
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: because they play ugly games, So don't love it. ACC
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: Network at four pm Boston College at SMU. Not a
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: familiar venue for BC to have to go to. But
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: BC has lost seven games in a row, I think
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: is what that is. They did play well against Florida
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 1: State though, so that's one thing BC covered and they
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: were kind of close in that game. Is a big
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: underdog against Florida State, so maybe there'll be a bit
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 1: of a hangover component here. But I think they'll show
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: up because they've lost so many games in a row. Here,
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: I think that you know, you have some semblance of pride.
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 1: You don't want to keep losing games like this. I
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: was coming up of a big win over Louisville, so
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: I think they could be in a bit of a
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: letdown Spider, and they do have a Pacific Coast trip
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: up nextal they gotta play Callen Stanford. Even though those
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 1: teams have kind of fallen off a little bit, those
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: teams are still one game behind SMU. So I think
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: I prefer Boston College in this game. Not a play
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: or anything for me, but SMU down from sixteen to fifteen. Here,
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 1: I'll lean to Hyeah Boston College plus the points in
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 1: that one. All right, CBS Sports at four pm. Monmouth
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: at Charleston. Monmouth just had a pretty close game, even
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 1: though they lost by ten against UNC Wilmington. They were
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: in that game pretty late. That was a big game
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: from Monmouth at UNC Wilmington. Man, so they should get
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: up for a game against Charleston. But it's a fourth
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: road game in five games, and they're playing two massive
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 1: road games in a row. So I just don't know
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: what Monmouth is gonna have left here. Man against Charleston,
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: what are they gonna have left in the tank here?
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: I don't think these teams have played otherwise this year. Charleston,
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 1: they're coming off a win over NCA and t on
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 1: the road. Easy win their final home game of the
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: season for Charleston, so I think this spot does actually
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: set up better for Charleston and this one they're down
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: to a four point favorite. I would probably lay it
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: with Charleston in this one, though, but you know, there
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 1: is still the risk that Monmouth will still show up
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 1: for this game because it is a big game still
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 1: for them. So Charleston did drop from four and a
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 1: half to four slightly for me towards laying it though.
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: All Right, what else we got there? Troy and South
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: Alabama is kind of an interesting one in the Sun Belt.
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: Troy just took that bad loss or no excuse me,
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: they almost lost to you on Monroe, my mistake. They
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 1: bounce back with a win, but barely. Now. This is
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: their fourth road game in a row, though, which does
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: make it pretty difficult for them. But when a team
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: just ended a losing streak and they barely won against
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: a very bad team, I think you're gonna get a
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 1: better effort out of them in the next game. So
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 1: that might happen here. Although Troy did win at home
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: already against South Alabama, and South Alabama should get up
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: for this game as well. They're coming off two straight losses,
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 1: including losing at home to Texas State, although they're playing
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 1: four big games in a row really though, at Arkansas
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: State at Marshall, and then at home against Texas State,
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: so four big games in a row is not that
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 1: easy to do either, So I probably do slightly lean
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 1: to Troy in this one coming off some easier stuff.
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: They're down from a two point favorite to a one point favorite.
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: Though eighty eight percent of the tickets one hundred percent
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 1: of the cash is not right. We don't really see
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: the percentages yet there, but I'm gonna probably slightly lean
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: towards Troy in that one anyway. Cemo and Little Rock
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 1: is a bit of an interesting game in the Ohio Valley,
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: both teams coming up big wins. Cemo just beat you
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: Team Martin on the road, big win for them. Now
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: they're playing their fourth straight road game in a let
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: down with a big game against Tennessee State on deck
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: because they're tied with Tennessee State atop the standings here,
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: so this could be a pretty bad spot for Semo here.
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: They're playing a Little Rock. Like I said, they already
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: beat Little Rock only by five though at home, but
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 1: they did already beat them once, so the spot to
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: me doesn't look very good for CMO, But the problem
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: is Little Rock just came off a huge win over
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: Tennessee Martin as well, where they beat them in overtime
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: I think like two days ago, so they're coming off
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 1: a more recent upset. So that was a big win
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: for Little Rock. Nice win, but I do think the
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 1: spot does still set up better for them. They'll given
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: that cmos all these road games in a row, kind
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: of a more tough scheduling spot for them, even though
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: they do have a little bit extra rest here. Yeah,
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: I think I have to lean a little rock in
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 1: this one. Based off of all that CMO is down
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: from a two point verage and one to half point favorite.
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 1: I'll lean a little rock slightly in that one. I
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 1: think the spot does set up a little bit better
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 1: for them in that one. All right, Western Kentucky at
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: Liberty Conference USA. These teams already played. Western Kentucky did
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 1: lose at home by seven to Liberty, so there is
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: I guess a little bit of a road revenge angle here.
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky just barely got by Delaware in the last game,
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: so they should show up for this game. But Liberty
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: may very well show up as well because they just
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: came off and escape against FIU. But they've escaped all
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 1: of their recent games, man, So Liberty all they do,
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: they're they're the Cardiat kids. Man. All they do is
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 1: barely escape games. So even though they should show up
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 1: with a better effort this time, I don't know about that.
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: All they do is play close games, man, And the
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 1: money's coming in on Western Kentucky in the road revenge
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 1: Angle here also off a close game against a bad
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 1: Delaware team. Sixty tickets are on Liberty, fifty percent of
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: the cash on Western Kentucky. I guess I'll rio taking
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 1: the points with Western Kentucky eight and a half point
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 1: underdogs there, I'm skipping the game obviously, but yeah, it's
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: an interesting one though. All right, Oh man, my neck
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: is fucking killing me. All right, we get to skip
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: some of these games. Here five pm, we have Peacock
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 1: NBC Sports West Virginia at TCU. West Virginia coming to
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 1: this game of a bad home loss to Utah. West
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 1: Virginia is a pretty big favorite in that one, man,
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 1: so you got to think they will be in bounced
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 1: back mode here against TCU. I don't think these teams
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 1: are played otherwise this year TCU. We know that TCU
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 1: is on the bubble, although I do have West Virginia
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: on the bubble too, But TCUs the team is being
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: talked about as far as you know, being basically like
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 1: they're on the verge of being in the tournament right now.
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 1: But they did just take a loss to UCF. Not
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: a great loss from TCU though, although it was to
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 1: another team that they're battling for tournament. So you could argue,
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 1: they're coming up three kind of big games in a
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: row against Iowa State, Oklahoma State, and UCF, and now
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 1: they got this West Virginia team back at home, and
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be an angry West Virginia team.
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: And I think maybe you gut of TCU's bubble status.
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 1: I think you're probably laying maybe a little bit too
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 1: many points with TCU here, so I would lean towards
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 1: taking it with West Virginia. TCU is a five and
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: a halfway favorite with juice seventy five percent tickets on
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: them seventy nine percent of the cash though on West
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 1: Virginia low total here. West Virginia likes to slow the
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 1: game to an absolute crawl total in the one thirties Uh,
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 1: they do do well as an underdog for that reason,
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 1: West Virginia does, so I'll lean to West Virginia in
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 1: that one. Man. All right, let's keep it going. What
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 1: are the games that I even want to talk about here? Man?
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 1: A lot of these games are just kind of whatever
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 1: type of games here? Man, you want me to talk
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 1: about one of the other ones, I will. But Mountain
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 1: Mama's what forest mommy? Yeah? I like her. She doesn't
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 1: have big mountains though, although you know, I'm as a
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 1: connoisseur of the mountains, I don't. I don't necessarily I
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 1: don't require them to be big. Let's put it that way.
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 1: TNT True TV at five thirty pm. Number five, Yukon
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 1: is at Villanova. Now, first look at this, it looks
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 1: way too easy to play Yukon. They're two and a
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: half point favorite. They're you know, they're actually over ranked
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 1: as ken Bom only has them as like the the
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 1: thirteenth best team or something like that. So Yukon is
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 1: over ranked. Hasn't been saying that they are? Yeah? West Virginia, Yeah,
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 1: the Appalachians, yeah, Apple Lachians. Yeah, they're I kind of
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 1: like those chicks. I don't know, Uh, they'll they'll give
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 1: you moonshine, although I'm sober now Yukon, so yeah, it
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: looks too easy to lay the points. You know, the
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 1: public's gonna be laying the points of the higher but
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 1: I'm not so sure that they're wrong in this game. Man.
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 1: Yukon did not lose a big win streak with that
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 1: loss to Creighton because they lost to Saint John's a
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 1: couple of games prior, so they might be in an
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 1: angry mood after a bad loss as a big favorite.
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 1: Now they do have revenge against Saint John's next, but
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 1: I don't know that they're gonna overlook Villanova because Villanova,
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 1: if you remember, went into Yukon and took them to overtime.
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 1: So Yukon might take Villanova pretty seriously because of this.
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 1: That was in Heartford though it wasn't on Yukon's campus,
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 1: but still they'll probably remember that game. So I think
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 1: there are reasons why Yukon might show up there for
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 1: those two reasons. You know, when you were a big
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 1: favorite in the first game and almost lost, that will
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 1: usually have you focus when you play that team the
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 1: next time in Because they're coming off the awful loss
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 1: to Creighton. I think they'll show up here. Villanova's coming
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 1: up a closer game against a close game against Xavier
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 1: where they did have to go into overtime, so Villanova
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 1: did escape as well against a an inferior team. Villanova
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 1: was a favorite in that one, so Villanova should show
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 1: up for this game as well. So I do expect
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 1: Villanova to be in a focused spot as well here
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 1: getting to host Yukon. So I don't want anything to
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 1: do with this game. Uh, but you know the money
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 1: is saying Villanova here eighty five percent of the tickets
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 1: and only fifty six percent of the cash on Yukon,
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 1: They're up to a two and a half point favorite.
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 1: I came struggling with this game. Man, I think I
• 1:44:28
  Speaker 1: would lean to Yukon in this one. I think the
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 1: professional guys are gonna want Villanova in this one. For
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 1: the most part, I see a couple more reasons to
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 1: maybe like Connecticut in this one. Though. That's the way
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 1: I'll lean very slightly in that one. Zach, what's up man?
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out the Queen's Royals. I already talked
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 1: about them. I actually liked them today. They almost made
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 1: my card, all right. Six pm SEC Network Number twenty
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 1: five Alabama at LSU. Alabama back in the rankings. Man,
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 1: They're decent team, no doubt about it. They just had
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 1: a big win though over Arkansas. They could be pretty
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 1: tired after that game, and that was just a massive game,
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 1: double overtime again, both teams scoring a ton running up
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 1: and down the floor. That could take a lot audio, man.
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 1: And now they're going to LSU, who I don't think
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 1: they've played this year otherwise, but they could just be
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 1: in a fairly simple letdown spot. I think Alabama could.
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 1: But I don't really want LSU either, because they did
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 1: play well on the road against Texas in their last game.
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 1: They almost pulled off the upset when it came down
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 1: to it, so they came back and got themselves in
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 1: that game after a furious comeback as a big dog.
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: So I don't really want them either, but I still
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 1: prefer LSU in this one. They are on a losing streak,
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 1: they are back at home. It will be a big
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: game for them hosting Alabama. Alabama can't play defense, so
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 1: there is that they just run up and down the
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 1: floor and score. Alabama's up to a seven point favorite.
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 1: You might get seven and a half on this pretty
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 1: high total in the one seventies. But I would take
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 1: the points with LSU if I was going to do
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 1: anything with this game. Seventy two percent of the tickets
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: around Alabama, fifty four percent of the cash on LSU,
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 1: I agree with the cash in that one. I would
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 1: lean towards LSU. All right, keeping it going, baby, We're
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 1: getting into the evening slate now. Temple at Wichita is
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 1: a televised game on ESPN two at six pm. Temple,
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 1: I don't really think they're as good as the record looks.
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 1: Temple is coming off a fairly close call against UAB,
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 1: but they have lost three games in a row now
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: they don't I don't think they played Wichita otherwise this year.
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 1: I think this is the only game they play against
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 1: Wichita this year. But coming off a decent game against
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: UAB where they played a close game against an OK team.
• 1:46:48
  Speaker 1: But I don't think they're going to overlook Wichita. Wichita
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 1: is the other the top of the standings. Little Wichita
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 1: is coming off a bad performance where I gave you
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: guys a winner on East Carolina and East Carolina really
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 1: took Wichita to the limit. It did go into overtime,
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 1: so sometimes in an overtime period, we'll take a little
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 1: bit more out of you. Although Wichita did almost lose
• 1:47:07
  Speaker 1: as a pretty big favorite, so kind of an embarrassing game,
• 1:47:10
  Speaker 1: but you could tell why they didn't do well in
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 1: that game. They were coming off a big upset of
• 1:47:14
  Speaker 1: Tulsa in the prior game, so you know they were
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 1: in a bit of a letdown spot, and I thought
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 1: it was kind of a Sandwich spot, which does have
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 1: Memphis on deck. I don't know they're gonna look ahead
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 1: to Memphis at this point though, because Memphis is just
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 1: having a down year, man, and they're down in the standings.
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 1: Difficult game to figure out. Wichita is down from nine
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 1: to eight and a half. Here. I would probably lay
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 1: it though, because I think you're getting the better team
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 1: in what I think is a focused spot off of
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 1: a bad performance. And people are gonna look at this
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 1: and probably not want to lay this many points, thinking
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 1: that these teams are closer than they actually are, just
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 1: because the records make Temple look better than they actually are.
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 1: So that's what I think about that. Yep, spring training started.
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 1: I noticed that I don't do any spring training, man,
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 1: I mean it's just I can't put in the energy
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 1: for that when we got bigger sports going on. I
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 1: do baseball, of course, because you know it's summer. I
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 1: only do baseball, and I jumped into WNBA last year
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 1: and did pretty well with it. Those will be my
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 1: summer things. Man. I might do some World cop I
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 1: don't know yet. We'll see, yes, but yes spring training,
• 1:48:26
  Speaker 1: I'm hoping the Red Sox are prepared for a better
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 1: year this year. I think they had a decent offseason,
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 1: kind of an under the radar offseason with some decent
• 1:48:35
  Speaker 1: acquisitions that are gonna go a bit under the radar.
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 1: CBS Sports at six pm, we have San Diego State
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 1: at Colorado State. This is a pretty interesting game. San
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 1: Diego State just took a pretty bad loss to Grand Canyon,
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 1: where I thought San Diego State was gonna be in
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 1: a revenge mode in that one, and they lost as
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 1: like eight point favorites. And you know, I talk about
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 1: when a team comes off a loss as a favorite,
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 1: a lot of times you do want to look towards
• 1:49:00
  Speaker 1: them to bounce back. But in this case, I don't know,
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 1: because they already beat Colorado State by twenty three points
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 1: at home. And they got a huge game on deck
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 1: against Utah State, and then they got New Mexico after that,
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 1: and those are the two teams that are closest to
• 1:49:14
  Speaker 1: them in the standings, and Grand Canyon was actually a
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 1: big game. Grand Canyon is actually right behind them too,
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 1: So I actually think it might be more likely they
• 1:49:22
  Speaker 1: overlook Colorado State. Believe it or not, I would lean
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 1: to Colorado State in this one man Colorado State, probably
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 1: you're just gonna show up. They get to host one
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 1: of the teams that's always one of the best teams
• 1:49:33
  Speaker 1: in the conference. Colorado State just kind of rolling against
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 1: some of the bad teams in the conference. Throw on
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 1: a nice little momentum run here. Four wins in a
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 1: row against some bad teams. Yeah, they got to step
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 1: in mclass though. UNLV is not a terrible team, and
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 1: they did just beat them on the road. I think
• 1:49:50
  Speaker 1: they probably caught UNLV at a good time though, because
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 1: the UNLV was coming off that upset of Boise, which
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 1: we were on that was a win for us here
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 1: on the show. So yeah, Colorado State did catch them
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 1: at a good time, but still that was a decent
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 1: road win. It gains a pretty competitive conference team here.
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 1: I like Colorado State in this one, man, they get
• 1:50:09
  Speaker 1: to host a TV game, even though I know it
• 1:50:11
  Speaker 1: gets lost in the mix, which, by the way, that
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 1: maybe that was one thing that should have kept me
• 1:50:16
  Speaker 1: away from Saint Louis last night, is that it was
• 1:50:18
  Speaker 1: one of those isolated TV games on a Friday where
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 1: the home team is more likely to get up for
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 1: a game like that than they are for a game,
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 1: you know, in a huge board on Sunday. When you're
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 1: playing on Friday, it's kind of like a Thursday or
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 1: you know, yeah, kind of like a Thursday night football
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 1: game where it just feels a little bit bigger. But
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 1: I still stand by at the market still agreed with me,
• 1:50:41
  Speaker 1: and VCU still probably should have covered that, so I'm
• 1:50:43
  Speaker 1: still pissed about it. But yeah, I lean to Colorado
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 1: State in this one. Here. Looks like the money's coming
• 1:50:51
  Speaker 1: in at San Diego State, but I just don't really
• 1:50:53
  Speaker 1: agree with it. Sixty percent of tickets, eighty seven percent
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them on San Diego State, They're
• 1:50:59
  Speaker 1: up to a three and a half favorite, but I
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 1: kind of leaned towards Colorado State there looks too easy
• 1:51:03
  Speaker 1: to play. San Diego State Georgetown at Seaton Hall Fox
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 1: Sports one, six pm. Georgetown just took a pretty bad
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 1: loss at home to Butler. They're on a three game
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 1: losing street now. But you remember I gave you guys
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 1: Butler as a winner in the middle of the week. There.
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 1: Georgetown had played a huge game against Yukon the game
• 1:51:22
  Speaker 1: before that. They had this game upcoming against Seaton Hall,
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 1: which is a revenge game because Seaton Hall beat them
• 1:51:28
  Speaker 1: by nine at Georgetown already. So definitely some reasons to
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 1: like Georgetown here. They're coming off a bad loss at
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 1: home that's an explainable loss where they were a favorite
• 1:51:39
  Speaker 1: in a bad spot. They got revenge motive here against
• 1:51:42
  Speaker 1: Seaton Hall. Seaton Hall doesn't do well as a favorite,
• 1:51:46
  Speaker 1: by the way, because they're a slow, ugly team that
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 1: sounded really really uh that sounded really bad. Seton Hall
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 1: did just lose to to Paul though, So that's the thing,
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 1: you know. I just don't know if Seaton Hall is
• 1:51:59
  Speaker 1: gonna completely overlook this game because that was a bad
• 1:52:01
  Speaker 1: loss as a favorite to De Paul. So they're coming
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 1: off a favorite loss as well. But they did already
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 1: beat Georgetown and they do have Yukon on deck, although
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 1: it's not for a week, but Setenhall might look ahead
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 1: to that game. So I do prefer Georgetown in this game.
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 1: Seaton Hall is down from five and a half to
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 1: four and a half here, seventy percent of tickets fifty
• 1:52:20
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Seaton Hall, so the ticket
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 1: percentage is on Seton Hall and less of the money
• 1:52:26
  Speaker 1: on them. Money's coming in against them. I'll agree with
• 1:52:29
  Speaker 1: taking the points of Georgetown. Seaton Hall does play slow
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 1: as well. They played these ugly defensive games at home,
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 1: low total in the one thirties. Laying points maybe not
• 1:52:39
  Speaker 1: the greatest idea with those guys. So those are my
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 1: thoughts on that acc network. At six pm Stanford at
• 1:52:46
  Speaker 1: Cal the Rivalry Part two here, Stanford already lost at
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 1: home to Cal, so I think that will motivate Stanford
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: in this game. And I think they're actually the better
• 1:52:56
  Speaker 1: team too, so I think Ford has a couple of
• 1:53:00
  Speaker 1: reasons to maybe look towards them here. Both these teams
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 1: are flying back from the East Coast, so that kind
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 1: of negates itself. Stanford, even though they're on the road here,
• 1:53:10
  Speaker 1: they're used to playing in Cal. It's you know, not
• 1:53:13
  Speaker 1: that far away from their own place, So whatever, going
• 1:53:17
  Speaker 1: to Berkeley. Stanford coming up a pretty ugly loss on
• 1:53:20
  Speaker 1: the road to Wake Forest. I think Wake was actually
• 1:53:23
  Speaker 1: favored in that game though, believe it or not. But
• 1:53:26
  Speaker 1: still not a great loss. Third straight road game. But
• 1:53:29
  Speaker 1: this game, you know, it's not exactly as much of
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 1: a road game, like I said. Plus, I think they're
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 1: gonna be focused to get revenge against their rival. Cal.
• 1:53:38
  Speaker 1: Did just look okay in their road win against BC.
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 1: They're flying back here as well. Did you have SMU
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: on deck which might be a little bit of a
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 1: look ahead At this point, Stanford is actually behind them
• 1:53:50
  Speaker 1: in the standings by a few teams now, so yeah,
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 1: I would lean to Stanford in this game. Man, let
• 1:53:59
  Speaker 1: me see what we got going on with the market.
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 1: Read here, the money is agreeing with me on that.
• 1:54:03
  Speaker 1: Cal dropped from a three point favorite to one to
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 1: that point favorite. Sixty seven percent of tickets on Cal,
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 1: ninety three percent of the coush on Stanford. I will
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 1: agree with Stanford in that game, all right, Keeping it
• 1:54:16
  Speaker 1: going here, man. Saint Thomas at Denver is somewhat of
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 1: an addressing game where first meeting Saint Thomas didn't do well.
• 1:54:25
  Speaker 1: They won and didn't cover I believe at home against Denver.
• 1:54:29
  Speaker 1: So sometimes when that happens, you'll get focus out of
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 1: that team the next time they played them. Don't know
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 1: if that's gonna happen here though, because Saint Thomas they're
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 1: coming off a forty point win against Kansas City. Bad
• 1:54:42
  Speaker 1: Kansas City team, but still a satisfying win. Nonetheless, when
• 1:54:45
  Speaker 1: you blow a team out like that, third straight road game,
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 1: and they have a huge game revenge against North Dakota
• 1:54:51
  Speaker 1: State on deck, which will have potential implications in the
• 1:54:56
  Speaker 1: Summit League there, even though Saint Thomas is two games
• 1:54:59
  Speaker 1: back right now, that is a big game on deck,
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 1: So I think they actually might overlook Denver here. And
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: Denver coming into this game on a decent little run
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 1: when they won four of their last five games. This
• 1:55:11
  Speaker 1: is their final home game, getting to host one of
• 1:55:13
  Speaker 1: the top teams in the conference, so I think Denver
• 1:55:16
  Speaker 1: will be up for it. I would lean to Denver
• 1:55:19
  Speaker 1: in this one, Saint Thomas then for five and after
• 1:55:21
  Speaker 1: four and a half there, That's the way I would
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 1: lean there. No, No, we don't give out demonic incantations
• 1:55:31
  Speaker 1: on the show. Buffalo at U Mass is an inddressing
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 1: handicapping set up here in the MAC. I already told
• 1:55:37
  Speaker 1: you Buffalo is coming off a really bad loss at
• 1:55:39
  Speaker 1: home to Northern Illinois. That's a bad loss. Northern Illinois
• 1:55:43
  Speaker 1: is bad. Buffalo was a big favorite, almost a double
• 1:55:46
  Speaker 1: digit favorite there, so for that reason, I think they
• 1:55:48
  Speaker 1: will show up. They also already lost as a home
• 1:55:51
  Speaker 1: favorite to U MASS earlier this year. I believe they
• 1:55:54
  Speaker 1: were favored, so Buffalo has another reason to show up
• 1:55:58
  Speaker 1: here against U Mass. Revenge motivation, and they should be
• 1:56:01
  Speaker 1: focused off a really bad game, So a couple of
• 1:56:04
  Speaker 1: main reasons too. I look towards Buffalo here, even though
• 1:56:06
  Speaker 1: yes they do have Akron on deck. That is a
• 1:56:09
  Speaker 1: big game against one of the best teams in the MAC,
• 1:56:11
  Speaker 1: but I think the spot is better for Buffalo here.
• 1:56:14
  Speaker 1: U Mass did just play Miami Ohio after playing Akron,
• 1:56:18
  Speaker 1: after playing a triple overtime game in Coastal Carolina in
• 1:56:23
  Speaker 1: the Sun Belt MAC Challenge there, so U MASS is
• 1:56:29
  Speaker 1: coming up three games where they had to put in
• 1:56:31
  Speaker 1: a huge effort. Man they had they you know, they
• 1:56:34
  Speaker 1: fell short against Miami Ohio. I don't know what they're
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 1: gonna have left after that run of three games so
• 1:56:38
  Speaker 1: I would have to lean to Buffalo in this game.
• 1:56:41
  Speaker 1: It's not on my card, but I like Buffalo here,
• 1:56:44
  Speaker 1: you Mass, I don't get why they're a seven and
• 1:56:46
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite, Like there must be an injury
• 1:56:49
  Speaker 1: on the Buffalo side, because Ken bum as this number
• 1:56:51
  Speaker 1: at like four, you mass open a four point four
• 1:56:54
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite, but seven and a half
• 1:56:56
  Speaker 1: is crazy, But that could be an over adjustment to
• 1:56:59
  Speaker 1: whatever the injury is. So I would still lean to
• 1:57:01
  Speaker 1: Buffalo in that game. I would take the extra points there,
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 1: although people might look at this and you know, the
• 1:57:08
  Speaker 1: public might think, well, you maass is favored by too much,
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 1: like why are they favored by seven and a half
• 1:57:12
  Speaker 1: when they actually have the worst record here overall. So
• 1:57:15
  Speaker 1: that's one concern that I have, is that Buffalo is
• 1:57:17
  Speaker 1: not actually as good as their record looks. But given
• 1:57:20
  Speaker 1: that setup, I would have to lean towards taking the
• 1:57:22
  Speaker 1: points with Buffalo. William, what's up, man? Thanks for hanging
• 1:57:26
  Speaker 1: out all right, trying to finish this off here. Man, Well,
• 1:57:32
  Speaker 1: we have the biggest game of the day. Man. Everybody
• 1:57:35
  Speaker 1: is hailing it as a potential Final four preview here
• 1:57:38
  Speaker 1: whatever potential championship preview ESPN's got this one at six
• 1:57:42
  Speaker 1: point thirty. It is the Monster game of the day.
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 1: It is a neutral location game in Washington, d C.
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 1: It is a non conference game, and it is number
• 1:57:51
  Speaker 1: one Michigan and number three Duke. And these two teams
• 1:57:54
  Speaker 1: are both legit. Ken Bum has them running one and
• 1:57:57
  Speaker 1: two right now. He's got them both top seven and
• 1:58:00
  Speaker 1: both offense and defense, they're both they're one and two
• 1:58:03
  Speaker 1: in defense. Michigan and Duke. These two teams are both
• 1:58:09
  Speaker 1: basically as legit as it gets. We know this. They're
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 1: both a little bit lucky ac Corni ken Bumb, but
• 1:58:14
  Speaker 1: that kind of balances out. The big difference here is
• 1:58:17
  Speaker 1: the tempo. Michigan plays fast, Duke plays slow. So that's
• 1:58:20
  Speaker 1: gonna be the one thing. So I think probably the
• 1:58:24
  Speaker 1: total and the side are gonna be correlated in this one.
• 1:58:27
  Speaker 1: So I think if you like Michigan, you're gonna like
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 1: the over. If you like Duke, you're gonna like the under.
• 1:58:32
  Speaker 1: The totals at one fifty one and a half now
• 1:58:35
  Speaker 1: seventy percent of tickets and only fifty two percent the
• 1:58:38
  Speaker 1: cash on the over, some more of the public on
• 1:58:40
  Speaker 1: and over. They're gonna play an over in a public
• 1:58:43
  Speaker 1: game like this. They just saw Duke put up one
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 1: hundred points. Man, they've seen what Michigan's done offensively. I
• 1:58:49
  Speaker 1: would slightly lean to an under in this game, though,
• 1:58:51
  Speaker 1: and I probably prefer the under to the side and
• 1:58:53
  Speaker 1: this one, to be honest, even though that probably does
• 1:58:56
  Speaker 1: mean I'm gonna lean to Duke slightly, and I do.
• 1:59:00
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I think an under would probably be my
• 1:59:02
  Speaker 1: preferred approach in this game, although I'm not gonna give
• 1:59:04
  Speaker 1: it out. This is not on my card or anything.
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 1: But yeah, again, I think dupe their offense putting up
• 1:59:10
  Speaker 1: one hundred points. I think that was more of an outlier.
• 1:59:13
  Speaker 1: I see this as being more of a heavyweight fight.
• 1:59:15
  Speaker 1: Defenses are both really good. Even though both offenses are
• 1:59:18
  Speaker 1: good as well, both teams are a little bit better
• 1:59:20
  Speaker 1: on the defensive side, So I think an under does
• 1:59:23
  Speaker 1: make sense here. Also, it's an unfamiliar venue, you know.
• 1:59:26
  Speaker 1: That means there could be issues with the sight lines.
• 1:59:29
  Speaker 1: I don't know exactly what arena this is in. It
• 1:59:32
  Speaker 1: happens more if they're playing in like a bigger arena,
• 1:59:34
  Speaker 1: so we get to talk about that in the Final
• 1:59:36
  Speaker 1: four or whatever. But unfamiliar sight lines for teams can
• 1:59:40
  Speaker 1: affect like three point shooting and stuff like that. As
• 1:59:44
  Speaker 1: far as the side is concerned. Michigan's coming off a
• 1:59:46
  Speaker 1: bigger game, man, where they beat Perdue on the road.
• 1:59:50
  Speaker 1: That was a monster Conference win. So I think, you know,
• 1:59:53
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say they're gonna be in letdown spot
• 1:59:55
  Speaker 1: when they're playing a huge game against Duke. But this, dude,
• 1:59:58
  Speaker 1: this reminds me of like the fat Fab four days. Right,
• 2:00:01
  Speaker 1: it's Fab four versus Christian Laytner here, right, we're back
• 2:00:06
  Speaker 1: in the nineties, I think, because I think they didn't
• 2:00:11
  Speaker 1: they have like they did. Those two teams did have
• 2:00:12
  Speaker 1: a huge matchup, didn't they in the Final four or
• 2:00:16
  Speaker 1: something like that? If I remember correctly. I forget. I
• 2:00:19
  Speaker 1: watched the I Hate Christian Laytoner documentary and they talked
• 2:00:22
  Speaker 1: about it in that. Haven't watched the Fab four one
• 2:00:24
  Speaker 1: because I hate Juwan Howard, but maybe I will watch
• 2:00:28
  Speaker 1: it eventually. Anyway, Michigan's coming off the bigger win, I
• 2:00:32
  Speaker 1: would say, on the road at Purdue. Duke is coming
• 2:00:35
  Speaker 1: off that game. But they put up over one hundred points,
• 2:00:37
  Speaker 1: like I said, but it was against Syracuse. Syracuse not
• 2:00:40
  Speaker 1: as good of a team. Obviously, So I think the
• 2:00:42
  Speaker 1: spot sets up better for Duke. I think Duke is
• 2:00:45
  Speaker 1: gonna actually have more of a fan base here because
• 2:00:49
  Speaker 1: they're playing in Washington, d C. So the travel spot
• 2:00:52
  Speaker 1: I think is better. The locations closer to Duke. So
• 2:00:54
  Speaker 1: I think there is a slight location advantage for Duke
• 2:00:57
  Speaker 1: here as well. And Duke, they just have a I
• 2:00:59
  Speaker 1: think they just have a bigger fan base kind of
• 2:01:01
  Speaker 1: in general Dude in the world of basketball, So I
• 2:01:05
  Speaker 1: think Duke will have a little bit of an edge
• 2:01:07
  Speaker 1: there for that reason too, something I haven't heard anybody
• 2:01:10
  Speaker 1: talk about. Actually, Michigan is down from a three point
• 2:01:13
  Speaker 1: favorite to a two and a half point favorite. Sixty
• 2:01:15
  Speaker 1: nine percent of ticket seventy three percent of the cash
• 2:01:17
  Speaker 1: on Michigan, so they are getting the slight amount of
• 2:01:20
  Speaker 1: the money here. But the public likes Michigan, you know,
• 2:01:22
  Speaker 1: the public always likes the the faster team, the team
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 1: that scores a lot. I'm gonna lead towards taking the
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 1: points with Duke in that one though. Those are my
• 2:01:32
  Speaker 1: thoughts on it, all right, So that is a yeah,
• 2:01:36
  Speaker 1: that's the big game of the day. And I actually,
• 2:01:40
  Speaker 1: you know, because I'm considering that maybe you know, Michigan
• 2:01:43
  Speaker 1: might wind up being my champion pick depending on how
• 2:01:46
  Speaker 1: many people are gonna pick them in the brackets. I
• 2:01:49
  Speaker 1: will have to see how that because you know my
• 2:01:51
  Speaker 1: I use game theory, so I always try to pick
• 2:01:53
  Speaker 1: a team that's being underpicked for my champion. But Michigan,
• 2:01:57
  Speaker 1: I mean, they look so unstoppable and they profile really
• 2:02:01
  Speaker 1: well as a champion caliber team. So I'm kind of
• 2:02:04
  Speaker 1: hoping they actually lose this game to Duke. So this
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 1: is the public doesn't think as highly of Michigan anymore,
• 2:02:10
  Speaker 1: and then we could actually maybe get, you know, some
• 2:02:12
  Speaker 1: advantage by taking Michigan in brackets. But we'll see what
• 2:02:15
  Speaker 1: happens man Vermont and NJIT. This is a good game
• 2:02:20
  Speaker 1: in the American East where NJIT. I keep telling you
• 2:02:23
  Speaker 1: they are not legit, and this is a revenge spot
• 2:02:26
  Speaker 1: now for Vermont. Vermont somehow lost at home to this
• 2:02:30
  Speaker 1: fraud NJIT team earlier this year. So Vermont they lost
• 2:02:33
  Speaker 1: as a big favorite in that one. You gotta think
• 2:02:36
  Speaker 1: Vermont is gonna show up in this game. I know
• 2:02:38
  Speaker 1: they're coming up a loss to UNBC. That was a
• 2:02:41
  Speaker 1: big game that had implications as far as who's gonna
• 2:02:44
  Speaker 1: be the one seed in this conference, which matters because
• 2:02:47
  Speaker 1: I do think they get home advantage in this in
• 2:02:49
  Speaker 1: this conference tournament. But yeah, they are playing two big
• 2:02:53
  Speaker 1: games in a row. But I just don't see Vermont
• 2:02:55
  Speaker 1: overlooking this and they're coming off. You know, it was
• 2:02:58
  Speaker 1: kind of an ugly loss by double digit at c
• 2:03:00
  Speaker 1: U NBC, n J I T. They did just take
• 2:03:03
  Speaker 1: an ugly loss to Albany. They lost as a favorite,
• 2:03:06
  Speaker 1: so sometimes the team will bounce back as a favorite,
• 2:03:09
  Speaker 1: but they lost a six game win streak, man, And
• 2:03:13
  Speaker 1: I still think that this game, I mean, this is
• 2:03:15
  Speaker 1: not their final home game. Yeah it's Vermont, so yeah,
• 2:03:18
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get up for it. But I just still
• 2:03:20
  Speaker 1: think you're gonna get a focused effort out of Vermont here.
• 2:03:23
  Speaker 1: They are the better team NJ NJ Tech. Oh there's
• 2:03:27
  Speaker 1: still frauds. Man. I still think I would have to
• 2:03:29
  Speaker 1: lay it with Vermont here. They're done from four and
• 2:03:32
  Speaker 1: a half to four here, which tells you what the
• 2:03:34
  Speaker 1: oddsmakers think of New Jersey Tech here, n J I T.
• 2:03:39
  Speaker 1: You know, I would probably have to lay it in
• 2:03:41
  Speaker 1: that one. I just you know, I can't stand these
• 2:03:44
  Speaker 1: teams that are fraudulent. Man, it's just the way that
• 2:03:46
  Speaker 1: it is, so at some point nj T is gonna
• 2:03:51
  Speaker 1: be exposed. But this conference is just so bad that
• 2:03:54
  Speaker 1: whoever wins it is gonna be a sixteen seed probably anyway.
• 2:03:58
  Speaker 1: So whatever, Firmanham Wafford is actually a pretty good one
• 2:04:02
  Speaker 1: in the SoCon. These two teams are running a fifth
• 2:04:06
  Speaker 1: and second respectively in the conference standings right now. They
• 2:04:10
  Speaker 1: already played Furman actually lost at home to Wafford, so
• 2:04:13
  Speaker 1: there is a bit of a road revenge angle here.
• 2:04:16
  Speaker 1: The problem for Furman is, even though they have the
• 2:04:19
  Speaker 1: road revenge angle here, they're playing a third road game
• 2:04:21
  Speaker 1: in four games, and they just had to play East
• 2:04:23
  Speaker 1: Tennessee State, which was a pretty competitive game against the
• 2:04:27
  Speaker 1: top team in the conference. So they're playing two big
• 2:04:29
  Speaker 1: games in a row here, So that's kind of the
• 2:04:31
  Speaker 1: problem with a lot of travel between them, so some
• 2:04:34
  Speaker 1: disadvantages for Furman here. Wafford had a much easier game
• 2:04:38
  Speaker 1: at home against vm I. They do have East Tennessee
• 2:04:41
  Speaker 1: State on deck, though, and it's possible they overlook Furhman
• 2:04:45
  Speaker 1: because Furman's falling off a little bit, and they already
• 2:04:48
  Speaker 1: beat Furman once on the road, so you know, there
• 2:04:52
  Speaker 1: are still some reasons to like Furman in this game.
• 2:04:56
  Speaker 1: It's a pickham price. You know, the public's probably gonna
• 2:04:59
  Speaker 1: look at this and probably gonna want Wafford because Watford
• 2:05:03
  Speaker 1: has the better record here and it looks way too easy.
• 2:05:05
  Speaker 1: Oh my god, just pick the winner at home. You
• 2:05:08
  Speaker 1: get the better team, you know, at home as a
• 2:05:11
  Speaker 1: pick them. But the odds viakers are actually telling you
• 2:05:13
  Speaker 1: Furman is actually the better team, believe it or not.
• 2:05:15
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I think I would probably have to lean
• 2:05:19
  Speaker 1: to Furman in that game. Man, that would be my
• 2:05:21
  Speaker 1: lean in that one. All right, we'll keep it going here. Man.
• 2:05:26
  Speaker 1: Austin P at Jacksonville. As I mentioned, Austin P is
• 2:05:30
  Speaker 1: coming off that game where they almost lost at North
• 2:05:32
  Speaker 1: Florida and had that miracle play at the end of
• 2:05:34
  Speaker 1: that game to get by them. They're playing a third
• 2:05:37
  Speaker 1: road game in four games. But they might show up
• 2:05:40
  Speaker 1: because that game was so close to a loss. You know,
• 2:05:43
  Speaker 1: these teams that are these big favorites, they do a
• 2:05:46
  Speaker 1: lot of times. They tend to show up better in
• 2:05:48
  Speaker 1: the next game. But they didn't play well in the
• 2:05:51
  Speaker 1: previous game. You know, it was a big favorite. They
• 2:05:53
  Speaker 1: also didn't play well their first game against Jacksonville Austin P.
• 2:05:57
  Speaker 1: I believe they didn't cover the number in this one.
• 2:06:00
  Speaker 1: They almost lost at home. Yeah, they were ten and
• 2:06:02
  Speaker 1: a half way favorites and they only won by three.
• 2:06:04
  Speaker 1: So again, when a team was a big favorite in
• 2:06:07
  Speaker 1: the first matchup and they almost lost, a lot of
• 2:06:10
  Speaker 1: times they'll show up for that reason. Austin P. Though,
• 2:06:14
  Speaker 1: one problem is they have Central Arkansas on deck, who
• 2:06:16
  Speaker 1: is their main competition for first place right now, and
• 2:06:19
  Speaker 1: that's in their final home game. So this is a
• 2:06:21
  Speaker 1: potential look ahead for Austin P here, So that would
• 2:06:24
  Speaker 1: worry me a little bit about Austin P. Jacksonville. They're
• 2:06:28
  Speaker 1: coming off a close game as an underdog though at
• 2:06:31
  Speaker 1: Florida Gulf Coast. Like I said, so they played close
• 2:06:34
  Speaker 1: at Gulf Coast, and this will not be their final
• 2:06:37
  Speaker 1: home game. I expect them to still get up for
• 2:06:40
  Speaker 1: a game against Austin P. But I do think there
• 2:06:42
  Speaker 1: are more factors here than lean towards Austin P. Because
• 2:06:45
  Speaker 1: again I like to fade teams that are coming off
• 2:06:47
  Speaker 1: a good performance as an underdog, which does apply to
• 2:06:51
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville here. I would probably lay lay the seven with
• 2:06:55
  Speaker 1: Austin P in that one. But I don't love the
• 2:06:58
  Speaker 1: game by any means. Eight pm Fox Illinois number ten
• 2:07:03
  Speaker 1: at UCLA. Though Ken bomb as Illinois is like the
• 2:07:06
  Speaker 1: fourth best team in the country. They're absolutely legit. Man,
• 2:07:09
  Speaker 1: they have slowed their pace way down. They're not one
• 2:07:12
  Speaker 1: of these fast paced teams now. But in this spot,
• 2:07:15
  Speaker 1: I think I would fade Illinois. Illinois. They're already on
• 2:07:18
  Speaker 1: the West coast, but they just put up one hundred
• 2:07:20
  Speaker 1: points in a an absolute destruction of usc They're catching
• 2:07:24
  Speaker 1: a UCLA team it's really falling and they got a
• 2:07:28
  Speaker 1: huge game on deck against Michigan. Man. So Illinois does
• 2:07:31
  Speaker 1: have a big time look ahead here. And for UCLA,
• 2:07:34
  Speaker 1: I know UCLA does have to travel here. They're traveling
• 2:07:37
  Speaker 1: back from the Central time zone, so that's a little
• 2:07:39
  Speaker 1: bit of a warrior that they're crossing time zones here,
• 2:07:42
  Speaker 1: but they're coming back home. They didn't play that well
• 2:07:46
  Speaker 1: the last time they're at home, but they did win
• 2:07:48
  Speaker 1: against Washington. This UCLA team, they have been better at home.
• 2:07:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, we're talking about a UCLA team that beat
• 2:07:54
  Speaker 1: Purdue at home. They beat an underrated Northwestern team at home.
• 2:07:59
  Speaker 1: They lost my one to h in Indiana at home.
• 2:08:02
  Speaker 1: They really don't have any like bad games at home, dude,
• 2:08:05
  Speaker 1: in conference play. So UCLA is much much better at home.
• 2:08:10
  Speaker 1: So that's another thing to consider with UCLA. And they're
• 2:08:12
  Speaker 1: coming off blowout losses on the road at Michigan and
• 2:08:15
  Speaker 1: Michigan State. Those are two legit teams in UCLA get
• 2:08:18
  Speaker 1: absolutely smacked. But you're gonna be getting a UCLA team.
• 2:08:22
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be getting a ton of points here in
• 2:08:24
  Speaker 1: what I think is gonna be a slow paced game.
• 2:08:26
  Speaker 1: Both these teams are actually gonna be slowing the game
• 2:08:29
  Speaker 1: down in this one. I would have to lean towards
• 2:08:32
  Speaker 1: taking the points of the UCLA in this one, man, Yeah,
• 2:08:40
  Speaker 1: yellin always up to a seven point favorite, sixty four
• 2:08:42
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, only fifty four percent of the cash
• 2:08:44
  Speaker 1: on them total in the one forties. I like UCLA here,
• 2:08:49
  Speaker 1: that's where we're going in that one. Yeah, I would
• 2:08:53
  Speaker 1: take the points there in that but it's not a
• 2:08:54
  Speaker 1: play for me. But I would lean that way. And
• 2:08:56
  Speaker 1: you're getting points to the team. It's a real tournament
• 2:09:00
  Speaker 1: team now after they were like basically considered to be
• 2:09:03
  Speaker 1: in the tournament this whole time. So I told you
• 2:09:06
  Speaker 1: that bubble teams are usually overvalued, But when they're up
• 2:09:09
  Speaker 1: against a ranked team like this at home and they've
• 2:09:12
  Speaker 1: gotten annihilated in the last two games, yeah, I don't think.
• 2:09:16
  Speaker 1: I don't think the UCLA is gonna be an overvalued
• 2:09:19
  Speaker 1: team with this setup. So yes, I like UCLA plus
• 2:09:21
  Speaker 1: the points in that one. Illinois at Bradley on ESPN
• 2:09:26
  Speaker 1: two in a battle of Illinois teams. Here. These teams
• 2:09:29
  Speaker 1: are Illinois State, excuse me, at Bradley, all Illinois teams
• 2:09:34
  Speaker 1: that we're talking about here after just talking about Illinois,
• 2:09:38
  Speaker 1: I mean Illinois State. They already beat Bradley by twenty
• 2:09:42
  Speaker 1: six at home, so there's a chance they don't take
• 2:09:44
  Speaker 1: Bradley that seriously. And Illinois State is coming up a
• 2:09:48
  Speaker 1: nice win over Murray State. But I don't know if
• 2:09:51
  Speaker 1: they're gonna totally overlook Bradley because Bradley is in second
• 2:09:54
  Speaker 1: place in the Missouri Valley now, so maybe that will
• 2:09:58
  Speaker 1: keep Illinois State focus a little bit. But they are
• 2:10:01
  Speaker 1: coming up that nice win over Murray State. Bradley is
• 2:10:05
  Speaker 1: coming to this game of a pretty ugly loss to
• 2:10:07
  Speaker 1: Valpo and now they're back at home. The last time
• 2:10:09
  Speaker 1: they were here they beat Belmont, but at least that
• 2:10:11
  Speaker 1: is any indication that Bradley can beat the best team
• 2:10:14
  Speaker 1: in this conference at home in Illinois State is one
• 2:10:18
  Speaker 1: of the best teams in this conference too, But given
• 2:10:21
  Speaker 1: the spot, I think I would lean Bradley here. They're
• 2:10:23
  Speaker 1: up from three to three and a half here. That's
• 2:10:25
  Speaker 1: probably the way I would lean in that one. All right,
• 2:10:29
  Speaker 1: let's keeping it going, man, CBS Sports at eight pm.
• 2:10:32
  Speaker 1: New Mexico at Fresno State. Not a great game, not
• 2:10:36
  Speaker 1: that compelling. I don't know why this game's on TV,
• 2:10:38
  Speaker 1: but New Mexico wasn't great at home against Fresno. They
• 2:10:42
  Speaker 1: won by nine, and I'm guessing they did not cover.
• 2:10:45
  Speaker 1: They were probably double digit favorites in that one. So
• 2:10:48
  Speaker 1: maybe they'll take Fresno more seriously here. New Mexico's coming
• 2:10:51
  Speaker 1: up an easy win over the dormat of the Mountain
• 2:10:53
  Speaker 1: West Air Force. Maybe they'll look ahead to Nevada and
• 2:10:58
  Speaker 1: San Diego State coming up next. But I don't know, man,
• 2:11:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, the spot is not horrible for New Mexico here.
• 2:11:04
  Speaker 1: Fresno probably gets up for this game as well. They
• 2:11:07
  Speaker 1: just lost at Wyoming. This is a game where I
• 2:11:10
  Speaker 1: just don't have a great angle on the game at all.
• 2:11:12
  Speaker 1: New Mexico's up from seven and a half to eight
• 2:11:14
  Speaker 1: and a half, So some early money on New Mexico,
• 2:11:20
  Speaker 1: you know, I mean, I don't know. It's a difficult,
• 2:11:23
  Speaker 1: difficult call here. I think I would probably lean towards
• 2:11:27
  Speaker 1: taking the points with Fresno because for Fresno, I mean,
• 2:11:30
  Speaker 1: even though it's a busy Saturday, how often did they
• 2:11:32
  Speaker 1: get to host a game like this on national TV?
• 2:11:35
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean? So I'd probably lean their
• 2:11:38
  Speaker 1: way a little bit. Wyoming at Grand Canyon, this game
• 2:11:41
  Speaker 1: almost made my card. I still have two more plays,
• 2:11:44
  Speaker 1: by the way, I believe, which we haven't gotten to yet,
• 2:11:47
  Speaker 1: Grand Canyon's coming of a Monster win Man where they
• 2:11:49
  Speaker 1: seize it swept San Diego State, who's one of the
• 2:11:52
  Speaker 1: class teams of the Mountain West, and that was a
• 2:11:54
  Speaker 1: big underdog upset for Grand underdog upset for Grand Canon
• 2:12:00
  Speaker 1: in there. So I think they could be in letdown
• 2:12:01
  Speaker 1: mode here. They're playing a Wyoming team that they already
• 2:12:04
  Speaker 1: beat by twelve on the road, so they might not
• 2:12:06
  Speaker 1: pay that much attention to Wyoming. They got UNLV on deck,
• 2:12:10
  Speaker 1: and UNLV actually beat Grand Canyon at UNLV, and they
• 2:12:14
  Speaker 1: got Utah State on deck after UNLV, so you could
• 2:12:19
  Speaker 1: make the argument there's a sandwich spoty for Grand Canyon.
• 2:12:22
  Speaker 1: So I do like Wyoming in this game. Wyoming is
• 2:12:26
  Speaker 1: coming off ending a three game loosely street by beating Fresno.
• 2:12:30
  Speaker 1: That's fine. Now they're going on the road, though it
• 2:12:32
  Speaker 1: is a bit of an unfamiliar venue to go to
• 2:12:34
  Speaker 1: Grand Canyon. They do a boise on deck, but I
• 2:12:37
  Speaker 1: don't think they're going to overlook Grand Canyon. This one
• 2:12:39
  Speaker 1: is really close to being a play for me, to
• 2:12:41
  Speaker 1: be honest, I don't know why the money's coming in
• 2:12:45
  Speaker 1: a Grand Canyon though throughout from seven to nine here
• 2:12:48
  Speaker 1: eighty percent of the tickets ninety one percent of the
• 2:12:50
  Speaker 1: cash on Grand Canyon. I just don't know how big
• 2:12:52
  Speaker 1: of a look ahead it really is to UNLV Wyoming
• 2:12:55
  Speaker 1: having to go to an unfamiliar venue with a new
• 2:12:58
  Speaker 1: team in conference me a little bit. But the only
• 2:13:01
  Speaker 1: way I could do with this game look at this
• 2:13:03
  Speaker 1: game is to take the points with Wyoming, and then
• 2:13:05
  Speaker 1: it is really really close to a play. So yeah,
• 2:13:09
  Speaker 1: I like Wyoming in that one total in the one
• 2:13:13
  Speaker 1: forties there on that one. Fox Sports won at eight
• 2:13:16
  Speaker 1: pm Providence at De Paul, not a great big ten
• 2:13:21
  Speaker 1: match up here. These teams just played in Providence won
• 2:13:24
  Speaker 1: by eighteen at home against De Paul, so there are
• 2:13:28
  Speaker 1: definitely gonna be a couple of reasons to lean towards
• 2:13:30
  Speaker 1: De Paul here. Providence also coming up that big game
• 2:13:33
  Speaker 1: against Saint John's where the teams were fighting seven players
• 2:13:37
  Speaker 1: got ejected. That's a huge emotional game, man, with Bryce
• 2:13:41
  Speaker 1: Hopkins having switched teams from Providence to then Kentucky I believe,
• 2:13:45
  Speaker 1: then to Saint John's, so that was a huge game
• 2:13:48
  Speaker 1: for them. They already beat De Paul. They got Xavier
• 2:13:52
  Speaker 1: on deck where they actually lost to on the road,
• 2:13:54
  Speaker 1: so maybe there's a look ahead component to this to Xavier.
• 2:13:57
  Speaker 1: So for a lot of reasons there, I do like
• 2:13:59
  Speaker 1: DePaul here. Providence coming off that emotional game to Paul,
• 2:14:03
  Speaker 1: did just pull off an upset though against Seaton Hall.
• 2:14:05
  Speaker 1: They've come off two big games where they beat i'll
• 2:14:08
  Speaker 1: say a decent Creton team, even though I was making
• 2:14:11
  Speaker 1: fun of them earlier, and then pulling off an upset
• 2:14:13
  Speaker 1: at Seton Hall. So I don't really want to Paul
• 2:14:16
  Speaker 1: here either, but that's the way I have to lean
• 2:14:18
  Speaker 1: in this game. I think the spot is worse for Providence.
• 2:14:21
  Speaker 1: The money looks like it's on Providence right now, but
• 2:14:23
  Speaker 1: I don't agree with that. To Paul up from two
• 2:14:25
  Speaker 1: to two and a half here fifty percent of the tickets,
• 2:14:28
  Speaker 1: seventy seven percent of the cash on to Paul. I
• 2:14:30
  Speaker 1: have to lean to de Paul in that one espn
• 2:14:34
  Speaker 1: U at eight pm, giving us a self Land conference
• 2:14:37
  Speaker 1: game between Texas A and m Corpus Christie and MacNeice.
• 2:14:42
  Speaker 1: Texas A and mc C is a pretty competitive team
• 2:14:44
  Speaker 1: in this conference, but MacNeice is still the best team
• 2:14:47
  Speaker 1: in this conference, and there's still a double digit favor
• 2:14:50
  Speaker 1: in this game for that reason. Even though MacNeice does
• 2:14:52
  Speaker 1: have more conference losses, these teams did already play and
• 2:14:56
  Speaker 1: MacNeice did win at Texas A and MCC by sixteen points,
• 2:15:01
  Speaker 1: so there is a potential MacNeice does not take them
• 2:15:03
  Speaker 1: totally seriously. An MCC not helpful scheduling for them though,
• 2:15:08
  Speaker 1: because they did just have to play Steven F. Austin,
• 2:15:11
  Speaker 1: who is atop the conference standing, so they're having to
• 2:15:13
  Speaker 1: play two big games in a row. They lost that
• 2:15:16
  Speaker 1: game by ten, but they were kind of hanging around
• 2:15:18
  Speaker 1: in that game for a bit, so that it's not
• 2:15:21
  Speaker 1: the greatest setup for an MCC here MacNeice. They don't
• 2:15:25
  Speaker 1: get to host TV games like this a lot, although
• 2:15:29
  Speaker 1: they do have Real Grande Valley on deck ut Real
• 2:15:32
  Speaker 1: Grande Valley, who is the next closest team behind them,
• 2:15:35
  Speaker 1: although anmcc is only one game behind that. So I
• 2:15:38
  Speaker 1: don't know that it'll be a look ahead, but it
• 2:15:40
  Speaker 1: might be because MacNeice has three losses in conference this year.
• 2:15:46
  Speaker 1: One of them was to Stephen F. Austin after they
• 2:15:48
  Speaker 1: beat them earlier in the season. One of them was
• 2:15:51
  Speaker 1: too Incarnate word who I believe they already got revenge on,
• 2:15:56
  Speaker 1: Yes they did, so They're only unavenged loss, if you will,
• 2:16:00
  Speaker 1: is to Rio Grande Valley, so they may very well
• 2:16:03
  Speaker 1: actually look ahead to that because Rio Grande Valley actually
• 2:16:05
  Speaker 1: beat them, So that would be one concern I would
• 2:16:08
  Speaker 1: have with MacNeice here. I guess I'll slightly towards taking
• 2:16:13
  Speaker 1: the points of an MC scene. Macnice also does. They're
• 2:16:17
  Speaker 1: like notorious for slowing the game down and having like
• 2:16:21
  Speaker 1: long long times of possession, including on defense. They forced
• 2:16:25
  Speaker 1: their opponents into very long possession lengths, which is why
• 2:16:30
  Speaker 1: the total is pretty low in the one thirties. MacNeice
• 2:16:33
  Speaker 1: is up to a fourteen and a half point favorite.
• 2:16:35
  Speaker 1: I'd probably towards taking the points with an MCC, but
• 2:16:38
  Speaker 1: not a strong opinion for me. There Texas A and
• 2:16:41
  Speaker 1: M at Oklahoma and the SEC Network at eight thirty PM.
• 2:16:46
  Speaker 1: Texas A and M barely got by Ole Miss in
• 2:16:48
  Speaker 1: their last A game. They finally ended a four game
• 2:16:50
  Speaker 1: losing streak. A and M. They got to start paying attention, man,
• 2:16:54
  Speaker 1: because they might be falling off off the tournament bubble.
• 2:16:58
  Speaker 1: But they might be over value because they are a
• 2:17:00
  Speaker 1: bubble team now. But some positive momentum now, probably because
• 2:17:04
  Speaker 1: they got to win and fail to cover against Ole Miss.
• 2:17:06
  Speaker 1: So I think that's a good thing that they ended
• 2:17:08
  Speaker 1: their lost streak. End. They didn't play that well, but
• 2:17:11
  Speaker 1: they do have Arkansas on decks and they might look
• 2:17:13
  Speaker 1: ahead to that. They already beat Oklahoma at home by seven,
• 2:17:19
  Speaker 1: which you know, I don't know if they did they
• 2:17:20
  Speaker 1: cover that game. Let me see, let's take a look
• 2:17:24
  Speaker 1: here they did. They were four and a half way favorites. Yeah,
• 2:17:27
  Speaker 1: they did already beat Oklahoma once. I guess there is
• 2:17:30
  Speaker 1: maybe the potential they overlook Oklahoma here. Oklahoma just lost
• 2:17:34
  Speaker 1: pretty badly on the road to Tennessee. They're coming back home.
• 2:17:38
  Speaker 1: They've been decent at home. They beat Georgia here at home,
• 2:17:42
  Speaker 1: played pretty competitively against Arkansas at home against Alabama. They
• 2:17:46
  Speaker 1: lost both of those games by four and two points, respectively,
• 2:17:49
  Speaker 1: lost by ten. It's Texas at home not horrible. They
• 2:17:52
  Speaker 1: did lose by double digits to Florida. I'm not gonna
• 2:17:55
  Speaker 1: really knock them for that. So Oklahoma is definitely better
• 2:17:57
  Speaker 1: at home. They're Oklahomers, you know, I'll probably I'll lean
• 2:18:04
  Speaker 1: to Oklahoma in this one man Texas, A and M.
• 2:18:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, the talk is gonna be, oh well, they're
• 2:18:09
  Speaker 1: you know, bubble team, need to win that type of thing.
• 2:18:12
  Speaker 1: Even though there are some positive things about their scheduling spot.
• 2:18:16
  Speaker 1: I'll leaed to Oklahoma. Money is agreeing with that. Fifty
• 2:18:19
  Speaker 1: four percent of tickets to eighty one percent of the
• 2:18:21
  Speaker 1: casual in Oklahoma. They flip from a one point dog
• 2:18:23
  Speaker 1: to a pick them there, So the game might be
• 2:18:26
  Speaker 1: flipping the favorite towards Oklahoma. And there those are my
• 2:18:29
  Speaker 1: thoughts there. Kentucky at Auburn on ESPN. Kentucky just took
• 2:18:36
  Speaker 1: a bad loss at home to Georgia, even though Georgia
• 2:18:39
  Speaker 1: is a tournament team. Kentucky, they were pretty big favorites
• 2:18:41
  Speaker 1: in that game, so I think they might show up
• 2:18:44
  Speaker 1: with some more focus here coming off that game. I
• 2:18:46
  Speaker 1: don't believe they played at Auburn otherwise this year. Auburn
• 2:18:50
  Speaker 1: is a team that's not to be overlooked, though, and
• 2:18:51
  Speaker 1: Auburn is a bubble team. Kentucky is more decisively in
• 2:18:55
  Speaker 1: the tournament, but Auburn is actually a favorite in this game,
• 2:18:59
  Speaker 1: so there are a lot of factors to consider here. Man,
• 2:19:02
  Speaker 1: Auburn has lost five games in a row. They did
• 2:19:04
  Speaker 1: just take a very ugly loss to Mississippi State, so
• 2:19:07
  Speaker 1: I think that was worse than Kentucky's loss to Georgia.
• 2:19:10
  Speaker 1: So I probably would have to lean to Auburn here,
• 2:19:14
  Speaker 1: even though Auburn is probably gonna be a little bit
• 2:19:16
  Speaker 1: too heavy of a favorite here. They're up to three
• 2:19:18
  Speaker 1: and a half now from three because everybody knows their
• 2:19:22
  Speaker 1: tournament bubble team, so they got to win. But I
• 2:19:24
  Speaker 1: think they will actually get the job done in this one.
• 2:19:27
  Speaker 1: I do actually still lean to Auburn, and this one
• 2:19:29
  Speaker 1: part of it is that they're actually undervalued men by
• 2:19:33
  Speaker 1: like the oddsbreakers can only push their lines so much
• 2:19:37
  Speaker 1: based on Auburn's kind of ugly record, Like the public
• 2:19:40
  Speaker 1: is gonna look at this and not want anything to
• 2:19:42
  Speaker 1: do with Auburn because they've lost five games in a
• 2:19:44
  Speaker 1: row or whatever, Like why would they be favored against
• 2:19:47
  Speaker 1: the Kentucky team that has more name recognition and has
• 2:19:50
  Speaker 1: the better record. It looks so easy to play Kentucky
• 2:19:53
  Speaker 1: in this game in the bounce back, like they'll I
• 2:19:56
  Speaker 1: think they'll. I think get you know, like they're loss
• 2:19:59
  Speaker 1: in against Georgia will be considered to be more of
• 2:20:02
  Speaker 1: an acceptable loss. I think, so I would lean to
• 2:20:05
  Speaker 1: Auburn at this one, man, I think Auburn deserves to
• 2:20:08
  Speaker 1: be in the tournament. They've actually had the strongest schedule
• 2:20:11
  Speaker 1: strength in the country according to Kenbam. They're ranked thirty
• 2:20:14
  Speaker 1: second overall, top ten offensive team at a good defensive team,
• 2:20:19
  Speaker 1: but they're number one in strength of schedule and they're
• 2:20:22
  Speaker 1: a bottom sixty luck team, so they've gotten unlucky. They
• 2:20:25
  Speaker 1: face the most difficult schedule in the nation, so they
• 2:20:28
  Speaker 1: are better than people think they are. Fifty of the tickets,
• 2:20:31
  Speaker 1: ninety three percent of the cash on Auburn. I'll lean
• 2:20:35
  Speaker 1: slightly to Auburn in that one, Pacific is at Gonzaga
• 2:20:39
  Speaker 1: in the West Coast Conference. I believe these teams only
• 2:20:42
  Speaker 1: play once this year, which is now Pacific has lost
• 2:20:46
  Speaker 1: two games in a row. You know they're probably gonna
• 2:20:48
  Speaker 1: get up for a game at Gonzaga. Gonzaga might just
• 2:20:51
  Speaker 1: go through the motions. After Gonzaga had a nice win
• 2:20:54
  Speaker 1: on the road against Santa Clara to get the season
• 2:20:56
  Speaker 1: sweep there, I believe, then they beat San Francisco go
• 2:21:00
  Speaker 1: on the road. San Francisco is a decently competitive team
• 2:21:03
  Speaker 1: and good Zaga just wiped them, and good Zaga, believe
• 2:21:07
  Speaker 1: it or not, they might look ahead to their final
• 2:21:09
  Speaker 1: two games because they have Portland on deck and Portland
• 2:21:12
  Speaker 1: is the only team that's beaten them in conference play.
• 2:21:15
  Speaker 1: As ridiculous as that sounds, they might look ahead to
• 2:21:18
  Speaker 1: that Portland game. They'll win that game for sure, but
• 2:21:21
  Speaker 1: they might actually look ahead to it. And they got
• 2:21:23
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's of course to finish the season after that,
• 2:21:26
  Speaker 1: So I think I would have to lean towards taking
• 2:21:28
  Speaker 1: the boys with Pacific here. Gonzaga is a twenty one
• 2:21:32
  Speaker 1: and a half way favorite. Pacific is not a terrible
• 2:21:34
  Speaker 1: team this year. They've been decent so they can compete
• 2:21:37
  Speaker 1: a little bit here. I think they can come within
• 2:21:39
  Speaker 1: this number totals not high one forty five, So you know,
• 2:21:47
  Speaker 1: could be a game where it's more difficult for the
• 2:21:49
  Speaker 1: home team to where it's more difficult for a large favorite.
• 2:21:52
  Speaker 1: I should say to cover a large number. All right.
• 2:21:55
  Speaker 1: You see if at Utah, I already talked about Utah,
• 2:21:59
  Speaker 1: how they are coming up that big double digit upset
• 2:22:01
  Speaker 1: at West Virginia, but it did along losing streak as well.
• 2:22:04
  Speaker 1: They had seven losses in a row. I think, so
• 2:22:07
  Speaker 1: sometimes when a team loses a when they end a
• 2:22:10
  Speaker 1: losing streak, sometimes they will play better in the next game.
• 2:22:14
  Speaker 1: But they're coming off a big upset, but they might
• 2:22:16
  Speaker 1: still show up for a game becaust UCF because UCF
• 2:22:19
  Speaker 1: is a slated tournament team right now. So there's a
• 2:22:23
  Speaker 1: lot going on, a lot to consider here, and Utah
• 2:22:27
  Speaker 1: could be you know, it could be argued they have
• 2:22:29
  Speaker 1: a look ahead to Iowa State next, so a lot
• 2:22:32
  Speaker 1: of things going on in this game. Iowa State is
• 2:22:35
  Speaker 1: probably gonna letdown spot coming off the game against or no, wait,
• 2:22:39
  Speaker 1: we're talking about UCF. What am I talking about here?
• 2:22:41
  Speaker 1: Iowa State? If I not talking about. No, I haven't
• 2:22:43
  Speaker 1: talked about Iowa State yet. What am I talking about? Man,
• 2:22:46
  Speaker 1: We're talking about UCF. My mistake. U CF just beat TCU.
• 2:22:49
  Speaker 1: That's a decent game for UCF, A decent win against
• 2:22:52
  Speaker 1: a bubble team, fellow bubble team because they think they're
• 2:22:56
  Speaker 1: both on the bubble at this point, and u CF
• 2:22:58
  Speaker 1: does that byu on so they could definitely overlook Utah
• 2:23:03
  Speaker 1: in a spot like this. So I don't like the
• 2:23:05
  Speaker 1: game one way or the other. Where's Utah at here?
• 2:23:11
  Speaker 1: Central Florida is down from two to one years, so
• 2:23:13
  Speaker 1: some of the early market movement on Utah. You know,
• 2:23:16
  Speaker 1: for uc you have to have to go to an
• 2:23:18
  Speaker 1: unfamiliar venue like this in elevation. Even though Utah is
• 2:23:22
  Speaker 1: coming out the upset, they might not consider that to
• 2:23:24
  Speaker 1: be that big of a win against a likely non
• 2:23:27
  Speaker 1: tournament team in West Virginia. So I guess I'll agree
• 2:23:30
  Speaker 1: with Utah in that one, but not a strong opinion.
• 2:23:33
  Speaker 1: Next game is a strong opinion that almost makes my card.
• 2:23:37
  Speaker 1: I like Long Beach against cal State Northridge. North Ridge
• 2:23:40
  Speaker 1: has won six games in a row, and in their
• 2:23:42
  Speaker 1: last two games, they beat two of the top teams
• 2:23:44
  Speaker 1: in the Big West in Hawaii and then on the
• 2:23:46
  Speaker 1: road against you see Santa Barbara to season sweep them,
• 2:23:52
  Speaker 1: and the Hawaii game was revenge. Those were both big games, man,
• 2:23:56
  Speaker 1: And now they got Long Beach, and up next they
• 2:23:58
  Speaker 1: got UC Irvine, which is I think the old I
• 2:24:04
  Speaker 1: think that's the only time they play you See Irvine.
• 2:24:06
  Speaker 1: But you See Irvine is now back atop of the
• 2:24:08
  Speaker 1: conference standing. So Northridge has this game sandwiched in between
• 2:24:12
  Speaker 1: all of the bigger teams in the conference. It's a
• 2:24:14
  Speaker 1: massive sandwich spot for them. One issue I kind of
• 2:24:18
  Speaker 1: have with it those that they actually lost at home
• 2:24:20
  Speaker 1: to Long Beach already, since the one reason why they
• 2:24:23
  Speaker 1: might still take Long Beach seriously, if they'd beaten Long Beach,
• 2:24:29
  Speaker 1: you know, and beating them, especially if they beat them decisively,
• 2:24:32
  Speaker 1: I'd probably give you a play on Long Beach here.
• 2:24:36
  Speaker 1: But I worry because cal State Northridge were big favorites
• 2:24:39
  Speaker 1: against Long Beach at home and lost the game outright,
• 2:24:42
  Speaker 1: So there is the potential they still show up for
• 2:24:44
  Speaker 1: this game. But I still think it is a massive
• 2:24:47
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot. I still like Long Beach here. Long Beach
• 2:24:50
  Speaker 1: is coming off a game where they did actually, you know,
• 2:24:52
  Speaker 1: they had a pretty big game against you See Ervine,
• 2:24:55
  Speaker 1: and they weren't really out of the game necessarily late
• 2:24:59
  Speaker 1: in the game of the well, I don't know. They
• 2:25:00
  Speaker 1: were down double digits fairly late, so it wasn't really
• 2:25:02
  Speaker 1: that close. So I have a few reservations about it,
• 2:25:06
  Speaker 1: but I like Long Beach in this one. That's the
• 2:25:09
  Speaker 1: way I would have to lean here. North Ridge is
• 2:25:11
  Speaker 1: up to a five point favorite, though, which I think
• 2:25:13
  Speaker 1: is probably too high as well. Fifty percent of tickets,
• 2:25:16
  Speaker 1: fifty two percent of the cash on north Ridge. It
• 2:25:18
  Speaker 1: looks like the money coming in a north Ridge. I
• 2:25:20
  Speaker 1: don't agree with it though. Uh So, Yeah, my thoughts
• 2:25:26
  Speaker 1: on that game would be, Yeah, I would have to
• 2:25:28
  Speaker 1: take the points of Long Beach in that one almost
• 2:25:32
  Speaker 1: makes the cut for me. The one that does is
• 2:25:34
  Speaker 1: this next one. We're gonna go back to some best
• 2:25:36
  Speaker 1: bets here. This is the only favorite we have here.
• 2:25:43
  Speaker 1: We're gonna lay the points in New Mexico State minus
• 2:25:46
  Speaker 1: seven against Utep Utep. They're also just like I said
• 2:25:51
  Speaker 1: with one of the other plays with fu Utep just
• 2:25:55
  Speaker 1: took liberty right to the wire. Man. This game was
• 2:25:59
  Speaker 1: very close the end. Even though they lost by nine,
• 2:26:02
  Speaker 1: they took you. They took Liberty right to the wire, man,
• 2:26:05
  Speaker 1: the top team in the conference. That was a big
• 2:26:07
  Speaker 1: game for UTAP had the chance to knock Liberty off
• 2:26:12
  Speaker 1: the pedestal of the undefeated. Now they have to somehow
• 2:26:15
  Speaker 1: get back up off the mat after that game, playing
• 2:26:17
  Speaker 1: New Mexico's state team they actually already beat at home.
• 2:26:21
  Speaker 1: I don't like how it sets up, man. They got
• 2:26:23
  Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee on deck. Middle Tennessee is at least above
• 2:26:26
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State in the standings and above UTEP UTUBE,
• 2:26:29
  Speaker 1: actually above New Mexico State. But the oddsmakers are telling
• 2:26:33
  Speaker 1: you who the better team is here. Man. People might
• 2:26:35
  Speaker 1: look at this and think this spread is just crazy high,
• 2:26:38
  Speaker 1: because why would New Mexico State be laying points like
• 2:26:41
  Speaker 1: this when they're below UTEB in the standings. Well, New
• 2:26:45
  Speaker 1: Mexico State, as I said, they've been getting really really
• 2:26:47
  Speaker 1: unlucky there for some reason. They're committing a ton of
• 2:26:51
  Speaker 1: fouls and they got to clean that up. Like they
• 2:26:53
  Speaker 1: have the most opponent free throws attempted against them that
• 2:26:57
  Speaker 1: any team has this season. I don't really get it, man,
• 2:27:01
  Speaker 1: But New Mexico State is coming off a win against
• 2:27:03
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State. I think they will show up against a
• 2:27:06
  Speaker 1: UTEP team that did just beat them at home, and
• 2:27:10
  Speaker 1: this is not their final home game or anything, but
• 2:27:12
  Speaker 1: still I think they're gonna show up for this one. Man.
• 2:27:14
  Speaker 1: I like it. This is a New Mexico State team
• 2:27:17
  Speaker 1: that has been okay at home in some cases. They
• 2:27:19
  Speaker 1: almost beat Liberty at home the game before the Jacksonville
• 2:27:22
  Speaker 1: State game, and they actually played well despite being in
• 2:27:26
  Speaker 1: what I thought was a hangover spot after the big
• 2:27:28
  Speaker 1: game against Liberty. They played well anyway against Jacksonville State.
• 2:27:32
  Speaker 1: So that shows me something New Mexico State can play
• 2:27:34
  Speaker 1: well in a bad spot. And if we look at
• 2:27:38
  Speaker 1: what ken Bom has to say about this, he's got
• 2:27:41
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State a mid tier team. They're one of
• 2:27:45
  Speaker 1: the six unluckiest teams in the entire country. So he's
• 2:27:48
  Speaker 1: telling you they're way better than what their record is.
• 2:27:50
  Speaker 1: They've underperformed massively. Now. They don't have a good defense,
• 2:27:54
  Speaker 1: that's true. They do play slow, so that's one concern
• 2:27:58
  Speaker 1: with like laying points like this. But utub I mean
• 2:28:01
  Speaker 1: UTAP plays slow as well. UTUP is certainly worse than
• 2:28:05
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State is, though utup I mean, they're also
• 2:28:08
  Speaker 1: bad defensively, but they're a way way weaker offense. So
• 2:28:11
  Speaker 1: at least we're getting the better offense in this case
• 2:28:14
  Speaker 1: laying points, which hopefully we can get there within. Utup
• 2:28:17
  Speaker 1: is a fairly lucky team that we'reing to Kenbaum at
• 2:28:20
  Speaker 1: one thirty in luck, so there is a big luck
• 2:28:23
  Speaker 1: disparity here, ken Bum. I think has New Mexico State
• 2:28:25
  Speaker 1: winning this game by nine? By the way, for what
• 2:28:27
  Speaker 1: it's worth, I think there are sevens pretty abundant out there.
• 2:28:31
  Speaker 1: I know the total is low in the one forties,
• 2:28:34
  Speaker 1: but I like the setup. We'll be on New Mexico State.
• 2:28:38
  Speaker 1: So we actually have two Conference USA games today. We
• 2:28:42
  Speaker 1: have all ugly conference games today. How about that? All
• 2:28:46
  Speaker 1: mid majors if you want to call them at whatever?
• 2:28:49
  Speaker 1: All right, what are the games we're gonna talk about here?
• 2:28:52
  Speaker 1: Utah State at Nevada. This game on Fox Sports one
• 2:28:57
  Speaker 1: at ten pm. Utah State coming of a very satisfying
• 2:29:01
  Speaker 1: win blowing out Boise. Boise still a big name in
• 2:29:05
  Speaker 1: this conference. Man, I don't know how big they really
• 2:29:07
  Speaker 1: think that win was. That was a nice win for
• 2:29:10
  Speaker 1: Utah State, by the way, I didn't even realize that
• 2:29:12
  Speaker 1: Memphis when Utah State beat them. Memphis had a lot
• 2:29:15
  Speaker 1: of injured players in that game, and I think maybe
• 2:29:17
  Speaker 1: a suspension too, so they were not at full strength.
• 2:29:20
  Speaker 1: But whatever, Utah State just beat Boising, very satisfying win.
• 2:29:25
  Speaker 1: They already beat this Nevada team by nine at home,
• 2:29:28
  Speaker 1: and they got San Diego State on deck. Man, so
• 2:29:31
  Speaker 1: that is a monster game on deck against San Diego State,
• 2:29:34
  Speaker 1: which is gonna be probably still the battle for top
• 2:29:37
  Speaker 1: spot in the conference in Grand Canyon up after that
• 2:29:40
  Speaker 1: who was right behind them in the standings. So I
• 2:29:43
  Speaker 1: think this is a pretty major look ahead spot at
• 2:29:45
  Speaker 1: the very least for Utah State. Maybe you can maybe
• 2:29:50
  Speaker 1: argue the sandwich. Now. One concern I guess is that
• 2:29:52
  Speaker 1: Nevada did actually cover against UTAs State in that first matchup.
• 2:29:56
  Speaker 1: It was probably a little bit close for comfort. It
• 2:29:59
  Speaker 1: was actually a fair a close game late Utah State
• 2:30:03
  Speaker 1: was I think it was a close to a two
• 2:30:04
  Speaker 1: possession game late. So sometimes when a team doesn't cover
• 2:30:08
  Speaker 1: as a favorite home or I mean, I don't know
• 2:30:10
  Speaker 1: if they care about the number that much. When a
• 2:30:12
  Speaker 1: big favorite as a close game like that, sometimes they
• 2:30:14
  Speaker 1: will focus on the opponent in the next game. But
• 2:30:17
  Speaker 1: in this case, I don't think that's enough. I think
• 2:30:19
  Speaker 1: the spot is not great for Utah State. I like
• 2:30:22
  Speaker 1: Nevada on this one. I would take the points in
• 2:30:26
  Speaker 1: this one. Utah State's up to a five and a
• 2:30:27
  Speaker 1: half point favorite, fifty percent of the tickets on them,
• 2:30:30
  Speaker 1: but seventy five percent of the cash on Nevada. I
• 2:30:33
  Speaker 1: agree with the money in that one. And then we
• 2:30:35
  Speaker 1: have our last best bet here. We're gonna be on
• 2:30:42
  Speaker 1: San Francisco plus the points here if I can get
• 2:30:45
  Speaker 1: it up. Streamyard is just completely fucking up right now,
• 2:30:53
  Speaker 1: and you can't even cycle through the the timer thing anymore.
• 2:30:57
  Speaker 1: Streamyard has got to fix their shit. Man. You can
• 2:30:59
  Speaker 1: c on the banner and so easily changed the change
• 2:31:05
  Speaker 1: the time or I don't like it, but yes, this
• 2:31:07
  Speaker 1: is a TV game too. By the way, CBS Sports,
• 2:31:09
  Speaker 1: we're gonna fade Santa Clara. I know I think they
• 2:31:11
  Speaker 1: should be a tournament team. I know they're good. I
• 2:31:14
  Speaker 1: found this at eight, but it looks like probably you
• 2:31:16
  Speaker 1: can get seven and a half right now. Try to
• 2:31:18
  Speaker 1: get at least seven and a half on this. Santa
• 2:31:21
  Speaker 1: Clara probably will be the public side, so hopefully the
• 2:31:23
  Speaker 1: line will stay around that and you might be able
• 2:31:26
  Speaker 1: to get the seven seven and a half throughout the day,
• 2:31:28
  Speaker 1: maybe even closer to game time. I don't know. Santa
• 2:31:32
  Speaker 1: Clara downe from seven and a half to seven with juice,
• 2:31:35
  Speaker 1: it looks like now, But again, the seven is the
• 2:31:37
  Speaker 1: key number. I probably would still go to seven on this,
• 2:31:40
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I think it's a bad spot for Santa
• 2:31:43
  Speaker 1: Clara here. Santa Clara just lost against Zaga and that
• 2:31:46
  Speaker 1: ended a long win streak for them, did one I
• 2:31:50
  Speaker 1: think nine games in a row. You know. I talk
• 2:31:54
  Speaker 1: about this when a team lose a win streak, but
• 2:31:55
  Speaker 1: especially when it was against a big opponent like Gonzaga,
• 2:31:59
  Speaker 1: and that was the game that had top spawn in
• 2:32:02
  Speaker 1: the West Coast on the line there. That was a
• 2:32:06
  Speaker 1: huge game, so that I think exacerbates the loss of
• 2:32:09
  Speaker 1: momentum there. So I think losing the wind streak alone
• 2:32:12
  Speaker 1: is a momentum killer, but doing it in a monster
• 2:32:16
  Speaker 1: game like that against Gonzaga, I think they will be
• 2:32:18
  Speaker 1: hungover in this game against San Francisco. They already beat
• 2:32:21
  Speaker 1: San Francisco at home by fifteen. They were nine and
• 2:32:25
  Speaker 1: a half way favorites in that one, so they did cover.
• 2:32:28
  Speaker 1: And by the way, if they were nine and a
• 2:32:29
  Speaker 1: half at home against San Francisco not that long ago.
• 2:32:32
  Speaker 1: What are they doing laying eight points on the road here, man?
• 2:32:34
  Speaker 1: It seems like that line is just too high, you know.
• 2:32:38
  Speaker 1: So I think there is some line value here on
• 2:32:40
  Speaker 1: the San Francisco side as well. And look at who
• 2:32:42
  Speaker 1: Santa Clara plays next. They play Saint Mary's, which has
• 2:32:46
  Speaker 1: huge implications as well. They beat Saint Mary's once already,
• 2:32:49
  Speaker 1: but they're tied, you know, in the standings here, you know,
• 2:32:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is a West Coast sandwich. It's a
• 2:32:55
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is it. It's probably got bacon and
• 2:32:57
  Speaker 1: avocado on it or something, guawk whatever. But there's sandwich
• 2:33:02
  Speaker 1: in between Gonzaga and Saint Mary's. That's about as big
• 2:33:05
  Speaker 1: as sandwich about as you can get in this conference.
• 2:33:08
  Speaker 1: Plus revenge for San Francisco. Yeah, I like San Francisco. Here,
• 2:33:12
  Speaker 1: San Francisco, they just got smoked by that same Gonzaga team,
• 2:33:16
  Speaker 1: So common opponent coming into play here. Two where people
• 2:33:18
  Speaker 1: are gonna look at this and think, oh my god,
• 2:33:20
  Speaker 1: if Santa Clara just almost beat Gonzaga or played really
• 2:33:24
  Speaker 1: close against them, pretty much, and San Francisco got absolutely
• 2:33:28
  Speaker 1: boat raced by them, you know, by twenty one points.
• 2:33:32
  Speaker 1: It's so easy to play Santa Clara here, right, But
• 2:33:35
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna push back on that obviously. And San Francisco
• 2:33:38
  Speaker 1: gets a rare home televised game here at night, and
• 2:33:41
  Speaker 1: it's their final home game of the season, So a
• 2:33:44
  Speaker 1: lot of things line up for San Francisco here, man,
• 2:33:46
  Speaker 1: I like this one a lot. San Francisco will be
• 2:33:49
  Speaker 1: the final play of the day there, Yes, avocados, Yes
• 2:33:58
  Speaker 1: that that is not what I meant by now, but yes,
• 2:34:01
  Speaker 1: all right. Finishing it off, we have ESPN two has
• 2:34:06
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's at Washington stated a less compelling match up here.
• 2:34:11
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's just barely got by Seattle, so you gotta
• 2:34:14
  Speaker 1: think they might be focused here because they were a
• 2:34:16
  Speaker 1: big favorite against Seattle. And you know, I talk about
• 2:34:19
  Speaker 1: when a team doesn't do well as a big favorite,
• 2:34:22
  Speaker 1: a lot of times they'll show up more focused in
• 2:34:23
  Speaker 1: the next game. Problem is well, and they might. They
• 2:34:27
  Speaker 1: might also be focused because Washington State almost beat Saint
• 2:34:30
  Speaker 1: Mary's in Saint Mary's earlier this year. Saint Mary's were
• 2:34:33
  Speaker 1: fifteen and a half way favorites and only one by six.
• 2:34:36
  Speaker 1: So that's a reason why they might take Washington State seriously,
• 2:34:39
  Speaker 1: but we got some problems with Saint Mary's here too.
• 2:34:42
  Speaker 1: Man third straight road game is not that easy to do.
• 2:34:45
  Speaker 1: And look who they play in their last two games,
• 2:34:48
  Speaker 1: Santa Clara, who beat them already once this year, and Gonzaga,
• 2:34:52
  Speaker 1: so they have the two biggest games possible in the
• 2:34:55
  Speaker 1: next two games. So that is a big concern as
• 2:34:58
  Speaker 1: far as it being a potential look ahead here. So
• 2:35:00
  Speaker 1: there are conflicting factors in this one. Washington State is
• 2:35:04
  Speaker 1: playing their final home game. They probably will show up
• 2:35:07
  Speaker 1: for a game against Saint Mary's. They got some confidence
• 2:35:10
  Speaker 1: with a win last time out against Pacific Pacific, a
• 2:35:13
  Speaker 1: decent team. Washington State was actually favored in that game though,
• 2:35:17
  Speaker 1: so they're not gonna be overconfident coming into this. I
• 2:35:19
  Speaker 1: think I would have to take the points with Washington
• 2:35:21
  Speaker 1: State here. Saint Mary's up to an eight point favor
• 2:35:24
  Speaker 1: but I think there are just too many negatives for
• 2:35:26
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's in this one that I don't think. Yeah,
• 2:35:30
  Speaker 1: I think the negatives outweigh the positives. Not a play
• 2:35:34
  Speaker 1: for me, but the total is in the one forties.
• 2:35:38
  Speaker 1: We know Saint Mary's does play a bit slow, so
• 2:35:41
  Speaker 1: that's what's going on there. Espn U has a pretty
• 2:35:44
  Speaker 1: good game at ten pm between you See Santa Barbara
• 2:35:47
  Speaker 1: and Hawaii. This is a big game between two teams
• 2:35:50
  Speaker 1: that are near the top of the conference here. They're
• 2:35:53
  Speaker 1: both gonna show up. Although it is gonna be revenge
• 2:35:56
  Speaker 1: for Hawaii because Hawaii lost at you See Santa Barbara
• 2:35:59
  Speaker 1: by fifteen on the mainland. Could be difficult for you
• 2:36:03
  Speaker 1: See Santa Barber to come off a huge game against
• 2:36:07
  Speaker 1: cal State north Ridge, so that was a big game,
• 2:36:10
  Speaker 1: and north Ridge is close to them and the standings
• 2:36:13
  Speaker 1: this game went into overtime. I know Santa Barbara lost
• 2:36:16
  Speaker 1: is a favorite five and a half point favorites, so
• 2:36:18
  Speaker 1: that was a pretty big game though. So they're coming
• 2:36:20
  Speaker 1: off of that and having to go to Hawaii for
• 2:36:23
  Speaker 1: this game to play a Hawaii team that is going
• 2:36:25
  Speaker 1: to be in wait. Already lost to them once, so
• 2:36:28
  Speaker 1: you know Hawaii is not going to overlook them at all,
• 2:36:31
  Speaker 1: of course, because this is a big game for both
• 2:36:34
  Speaker 1: teams really, but Hawaii is also coming up a terrible
• 2:36:36
  Speaker 1: game against Cal Pauly, and I told you I did
• 2:36:39
  Speaker 1: worry about that spot for Hawaii with Santa Barbara on deck,
• 2:36:43
  Speaker 1: and coming up that fairly big game against north Ridge.
• 2:36:45
  Speaker 1: The game before that and traveling back home, Hawaii had
• 2:36:48
  Speaker 1: a bad game and got caught. I think there were
• 2:36:50
  Speaker 1: twelve point favorites in that game or something like that,
• 2:36:53
  Speaker 1: and lost to cal Pauly. I think they were definitely
• 2:36:55
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to this. I would play Hawaii in this game.
• 2:36:58
  Speaker 1: That's the only way I would be able to look
• 2:36:59
  Speaker 1: at the game. Hawaii is up from three to three
• 2:37:02
  Speaker 1: and a half here, I would agree with that move.
• 2:37:04
  Speaker 1: I would lay it with Hawaii in that one. You
• 2:37:08
  Speaker 1: see San Diego and you see Irvine is still kind
• 2:37:10
  Speaker 1: of an interesting game in the Big West. You see
• 2:37:13
  Speaker 1: San Diego won the conference last year, of course, beating
• 2:37:16
  Speaker 1: you see Irvine in the conference final last year. Irvine
• 2:37:19
  Speaker 1: got their revenge at you see San Diego earlier this year,
• 2:37:23
  Speaker 1: So now I think the revenge does flip to you
• 2:37:25
  Speaker 1: see San Diego. Here they already lost at home, do
• 2:37:28
  Speaker 1: you see Irvine. You see San Diego is not having
• 2:37:31
  Speaker 1: a great season, so I think they will get pumped
• 2:37:33
  Speaker 1: up to play the team that's the top the conference.
• 2:37:35
  Speaker 1: They're coming off of a lackluster game against you see Riverside,
• 2:37:39
  Speaker 1: where you see San Diego was probably looking ahead to this.
• 2:37:41
  Speaker 1: You see Irvine game didn't play well, didn't cover against
• 2:37:46
  Speaker 1: You see Riverside here, So you know again, I like
• 2:37:49
  Speaker 1: teams that are coming off bad performances as big favorites.
• 2:37:52
  Speaker 1: You see San Diego eleven and a half point favorites
• 2:37:55
  Speaker 1: in that game. You see Irvine. They're only coming off
• 2:37:58
  Speaker 1: that game of a law beach though, so you know
• 2:38:01
  Speaker 1: they might show up for this. But they do have
• 2:38:04
  Speaker 1: Northridge and Santa Barbara Deck and those teams are closer
• 2:38:07
  Speaker 1: to them in the standings, right behind them where San
• 2:38:10
  Speaker 1: Diego you see San Diego, not San Diego, who is
• 2:38:13
  Speaker 1: in the West Coast Conference. You see San Diego is
• 2:38:16
  Speaker 1: a little bit further behind. So I like you see
• 2:38:18
  Speaker 1: San Diego in this one. Man, Irvine's a four and
• 2:38:21
  Speaker 1: a half way favorite. I would lean towards taking the
• 2:38:23
  Speaker 1: points in that one, all right. And then finally big game.
• 2:38:29
  Speaker 1: I almost jump the gun. ESPN ten thirty PM, number six,
• 2:38:33
  Speaker 1: Iowa State at number twenty three BYU. Now we know
• 2:38:37
  Speaker 1: the BYU is without Saunders now, who is one of
• 2:38:39
  Speaker 1: their best players, So that will cause them to be
• 2:38:42
  Speaker 1: a little bit shorthand. But college basketball a lot of times,
• 2:38:45
  Speaker 1: we do see these teams play well even after one
• 2:38:49
  Speaker 1: of their best players goes down. We see teams continue
• 2:38:52
  Speaker 1: to play pretty well, sort of a next man up
• 2:38:56
  Speaker 1: type of mentality in college. Iowa State is also coming
• 2:38:58
  Speaker 1: up to monsters wins against Kansas and Houston. Like I said,
• 2:39:03
  Speaker 1: so they could definitely be in a letdown spot here.
• 2:39:05
  Speaker 1: They're going to BYU. They've not played BYU this year,
• 2:39:09
  Speaker 1: I don't believe. And BYU it's gonna be kind of
• 2:39:12
  Speaker 1: an unfamiliar environment, right because they have to go into
• 2:39:15
  Speaker 1: high elevation here, which I don't think they've done this
• 2:39:17
  Speaker 1: year actually, So kind of a weird spot to have
• 2:39:20
  Speaker 1: to go into elevation here for Iowa State. So I
• 2:39:23
  Speaker 1: don't like it for Iowa Statement. Unfortunately, they only have
• 2:39:26
  Speaker 1: UTAP next. I wish it was Texas Tech, Arizona whatever,
• 2:39:30
  Speaker 1: and it was a sandwich spot, but that's not the case.
• 2:39:33
  Speaker 1: But my other hesitation about BYU in this game is
• 2:39:36
  Speaker 1: they're coming off a big game against Arizona where they
• 2:39:39
  Speaker 1: did have a nice comeback in that game against Arizona,
• 2:39:42
  Speaker 1: they did play pretty well in that game. Almost we're
• 2:39:45
  Speaker 1: able to come back in that game and do something
• 2:39:47
  Speaker 1: play close so that is my concern about BYU. But
• 2:39:50
  Speaker 1: I do think the spot is worse for Iowa State here.
• 2:39:53
  Speaker 1: I like BYU in this one. Money seems to agree
• 2:39:57
  Speaker 1: with this Iowa State up from two and a half
• 2:39:58
  Speaker 1: to three twenty three percent of the tickets on Iowa State,
• 2:40:01
  Speaker 1: but sixty one percent of the cash on BYU. So
• 2:40:04
  Speaker 1: the money agrees with me on BYU. There and that's it, Man,
• 2:40:10
  Speaker 1: three hours on these fucking shows. Once again. All my
• 2:40:13
  Speaker 1: plays today are Ducane plus the points, although the market
• 2:40:17
  Speaker 1: seems to not agree. Old Dominion plus the points, Missouri
• 2:40:21
  Speaker 1: State plus the points, New Mexico State minus the points.
• 2:40:24
  Speaker 1: I know these are ugly conferences, man, and then San
• 2:40:26
  Speaker 1: Francisco plus the points. And that will do it for
• 2:40:29
  Speaker 1: my five college basketball plays. I gotta get out of here.
• 2:40:32
  Speaker 1: Learn it to one on Twitter, learn it tone on Instagram.
• 2:40:35
  Speaker 1: Uh like, subscribe to the channel here, man, give me replies,
• 2:40:38
  Speaker 1: et cetera. Boost it up, listen on audio review on
• 2:40:42
  Speaker 1: audio apples Spotify. That helps me out as well. Covered
• 2:40:46
  Speaker 1: in you because my yuke channel on YouTube. Check that
• 2:40:49
  Speaker 1: out as well. All the same things apply there as well.
• 2:40:51
  Speaker 1: Go interact with that channel. Page round dot com, SA
• 2:40:55
  Speaker 1: learn it to you can support me there and get
• 2:40:58
  Speaker 1: some bonus yuke stuff. What else? Oh, loser Cast of
• 2:41:03
  Speaker 1: course every Tuesday the comedy show Loser Cast, say subscribe
• 2:41:08
  Speaker 1: here because I'm going to be back. I will talk
• 2:41:10
  Speaker 1: about the NBA today, and I hope there aren't that
• 2:41:12
  Speaker 1: many games to talk about, but yes, I have to
• 2:41:14
  Speaker 1: look at the NBA. Maybe they'll be an additional player
• 2:41:18
  Speaker 1: or something for me in the NBA. I gotta figure
• 2:41:19
  Speaker 1: it out. I haven't looked at all yet, So I'm
• 2:41:21
  Speaker 1: gonna do that. I'm gonna get these plays up on
• 2:41:23
  Speaker 1: Instagram and I'll be back, uh shortly with the NBA
• 2:41:27
  Speaker 1: to get that thing done. That'll do it for now.
• 2:41:32
  Speaker 1: Peace for now. I fucking hate the long shows. I
• 2:41:35
  Speaker 1: absolutely hate it. I have no voice. I'm really, really
• 2:41:38
  Speaker 1: fucking tired. Uh no, I have to blow my nose.
• 2:41:41
  Speaker 1: I'm completely dehydrated. I'm almost out of water again. I
• 2:41:45
  Speaker 1: hate it. Uh. Thanks for hanging out everybody. I'll be
• 2:41:48
  Speaker 1: back unfortunately. Uh, peace for now, guys,