Latest / The Kenny Report / The Kenny Report | 5 May
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Line from the skying New Center.
- 0:03Speaker 2: This is the Kenny Report.
- 0:06Speaker 3: Thanks for joining me for the first Kenny Report in
- 0:09Speaker 3: the second term of the alb and Easy Labor government.
- 0:12Speaker 3: Now most of us expected that to happen, of course,
- 0:15Speaker 3: but wow, back in majority, a thumping majority. With the
- 0:20Speaker 3: coalition in disarray. This result shocked everyone from the Prime
- 0:25Speaker 3: Minister down. I'll get the low down from Joel Fitzgibbon
- 0:28Speaker 3: and we're to now for the coalition and the country.
- 0:32Speaker 3: I'll talk to Senator just Center, Namba, jimper Price and
- 0:35Speaker 3: Ann Rustin. Also on the polls, I'll catch up with
- 0:39Speaker 3: John Black and find out where they went wrong. Also,
- 0:42Speaker 3: Sophie Llsworth joins us from London, and Jemmer and Caroline
- 0:45Speaker 3: joined me for the post election panel. Let's get cracking. Look,
- 0:52Speaker 3: this result is disastrous for the country. Our fiscal pain
- 0:57Speaker 3: is going to get even worse. The budget deth sits
- 1:00Speaker 3: and the national debt will come back to hurt us all.
- 1:03Speaker 1: Eventually, the energy chaos will get worse.
- 1:06Speaker 3: By rejecting nuclear and doubling down on their renewables plus
- 1:11Speaker 3: storage experiment, Labor will condemn us to power price hikes
- 1:16Speaker 3: again and electricity shortages.
- 1:20Speaker 1: Just ask Spain.
- 1:22Speaker 3: And as for national security, well, Beijing, we'll be happy
- 1:25Speaker 3: with this result. And that says it all.
- 1:29Speaker 1: But let me start with the good news.
- 1:32Speaker 3: First, almost all the polsters failed to see this labor
- 1:36Speaker 3: landslide and coalition route coming, nor did the major parties,
- 1:42Speaker 3: So that means for voters, commentators, and media politics remains
- 1:47Speaker 3: delightfully unpredictable and exciting. The only person who controls the
- 1:52Speaker 3: outcome is you when you number those boxes and put
- 1:56Speaker 3: that ballot paper in the box. Second, over the past
- 2:00Speaker 3: two weeks, more than eighteen million people cast votes at
- 2:04Speaker 3: seven thousand, five hundred different polling locations in one hundred
- 2:09Speaker 3: and fifty electorates across six states and two territories. And
- 2:13Speaker 3: the worst thing that happened was a few harsh words
- 2:17Speaker 3: and one bozo who thumped the volunteer. This is peaceful
- 2:21Speaker 3: democracy in tough times. This is stridently contested politics working
- 2:27Speaker 3: in a free and safe way. And that is a
- 2:30Speaker 3: wonderful thing, a precious thing, a thing that most people
- 2:34Speaker 3: on this planet are denied.
- 2:37Speaker 1: So it's worth celebrating. We do it okay in this country.
- 2:41Speaker 3: And that's why I have no compunction in offering my
- 2:44Speaker 3: congratulations to Anthony Albanesi and all the millions of people
- 2:48Speaker 3: who either helped the Labor campaign or voted to return
- 2:51Speaker 3: the government. They've made their bed, now they get to
- 2:54Speaker 3: lie in it. The other good news might be difficult
- 2:58Speaker 3: to swallow, but believe me, it's good for the country,
- 3:00Speaker 3: and that is that Labor has been returned in majority.
- 3:04Speaker 1: Now it's a big majority, which makes it.
- 3:06Speaker 3: Even harder for the coalition to get back into government
- 3:09Speaker 3: at the next election. Sure, that's a worry, but it
- 3:12Speaker 3: means that Albanesi and Labor don't rely on the Greens
- 3:16Speaker 3: or the Tills to form government, and that is a
- 3:19Speaker 3: good thing. It will help a bit by not dragging
- 3:22Speaker 3: them too hard and fast to the loopy left. And
- 3:26Speaker 3: in even better news, the Greens are in strife. They've
- 3:29Speaker 3: lost at least two seats and even their leader Adam
- 3:33Speaker 3: Bant is in danger of losing his seat in inner
- 3:37Speaker 3: city Melbourne. Let's hope it's at least partly due to
- 3:40Speaker 3: the ballot box reaction against the way the Greens have
- 3:45Speaker 3: demonized Israel, adding to the trauma of Jewish Australians who
- 3:50Speaker 3: face rampant anti Semitism. One wag took this argument directly
- 3:55Speaker 3: to Bant on the weekend, after inviting him to send
- 3:58Speaker 3: a birthday message.
- 4:00Speaker 1: I'm Zach and this is Adam Hioey.
- 4:02Speaker 3: Happy birthday, Zoey.
- 4:04Speaker 4: Let's say together, I've demonized the Jewish community for my
- 4:06Speaker 4: own political gain.
- 4:10Speaker 3: Yeah, Adam Bant there scurries away from the consequences of
- 4:14Speaker 3: his own actions. We'll see whether he keeps his place
- 4:17Speaker 3: in Parliament. But regardless, the Greens have been chastened by voters.
- 4:23Speaker 3: Do we dare dream that they've passed their zenith? And
- 4:27Speaker 3: there's one more bit of good news. The leader of
- 4:30Speaker 3: our party and given the strong support of our party
- 4:34Speaker 3: policies by the Austrange humidity, I believe the next Prime
- 4:37Speaker 3: Minister of Australia Swell and Ritson.
- 4:41Speaker 1: Yeah, we were promised a new prime minister.
- 4:45Speaker 3: Seriously, you're putting yourself up as the next prime minister
- 4:48Speaker 3: of the country.
- 4:48Speaker 1: You've never even been in Parliament.
- 4:50Speaker 3: Absolutely well rights and said she'd come back for another interview.
- 4:55Speaker 1: She never did. I guess she was too busy campaigning
- 4:58Speaker 1: to be prime minister.
- 5:00Speaker 3: We asked the trumpets architect there and bankroll the Clive
- 5:03Speaker 3: Palmer as well, but he was a no show. But
- 5:07Speaker 3: in breaking news tonight, the other good news for the
- 5:10Speaker 3: country is that suwell And rights And is not the
- 5:13Speaker 3: Prime Minister. She's not even in parliament. Rights And got
- 5:17Speaker 3: less than three and a half percent of the vote
- 5:19Speaker 3: in the New South Wales seat of Hunter. As for Palmer,
- 5:23Speaker 3: after spending about sixty million dollars at this election, muddying
- 5:27Speaker 3: the waters for no outcome, he's told the Daily Telegraph
- 5:31Speaker 3: he might bow out of the political game now, saying
- 5:34Speaker 3: that at seventy one, he's.
- 5:36Speaker 1: Too old for it. That is good news.
- 5:40Speaker 3: His interventions in politics have been entertaining and they've been
- 5:44Speaker 3: good for the advertising budgets of commercial media, but in
- 5:48Speaker 3: the end they've only ever been distracting and destructive. My
- 5:58Speaker 3: favorite dictum in politics is that in politics, nothing is
- 6:02Speaker 3: ever as good or as bad as it seems.
- 6:07Speaker 1: And we're in.
- 6:07Speaker 3: The phase now where the glory of the labor wind
- 6:10Speaker 3: will be overstated, as will the crisis for the Liberals.
- 6:14Speaker 3: Let me assure you of two things. Eventually labor will
- 6:17Speaker 3: crash back to Earth and the coalition will rise. It's ever,
- 6:21Speaker 3: thus the cycle continues.
- 6:23Speaker 1: Now.
- 6:24Speaker 3: That doesn't mean we overlook the historical shifts at play.
- 6:26Speaker 1: Here for starters.
- 6:28Speaker 3: The primary vote of the major parties put together has
- 6:31Speaker 3: fallen below two thirds for the first time.
- 6:34Speaker 1: This is a big moment. I think it's a long
- 6:37Speaker 1: term change too.
- 6:38Speaker 3: The minor parties and independence will continue to win about
- 6:41Speaker 3: a third or more of the vote, meaning that while
- 6:44Speaker 3: there's a majority government for now, we might need to
- 6:47Speaker 3: get used to deals and coalitions European style politics if
- 6:52Speaker 3: you like, in the future. And there's no avoiding the
- 6:55Speaker 3: problems for the Liberals. They are not existential, but the
- 6:59Speaker 3: Libs do face a massive rebuild and they're probably too
- 7:03Speaker 3: far behind now to have any hope of winning.
- 7:06Speaker 1: The next election.
- 7:07Speaker 3: They're forced into a two term strategy from the outset.
- 7:10Speaker 3: That's hope they used that time. Well, so what went wrong? Well,
- 7:15Speaker 3: we all know it was a bad campaign, abysmal Really,
- 7:19Speaker 3: I still don't know what the campaign theme was, what
- 7:22Speaker 3: their main argument was. It escaped everyone and they failed
- 7:26Speaker 3: to fight back against what labor threw at them as well.
- 7:29Speaker 3: And let's face it, Peter Dutton was not a popular candidate.
- 7:33Speaker 3: He's no charismatic leader like Bob Hawk or Bill Clinton.
- 7:37Speaker 1: We all knew that, but neither was John Howard. The
- 7:40Speaker 1: reason Dutton.
- 7:41Speaker 3: Led in the polls a few months back was because
- 7:44Speaker 3: he took up the arguments on immigration, on nuclear energy,
- 7:48Speaker 3: on the cost of living, and one of the reasons
- 7:51Speaker 3: he fell behind was he stopped doing that. Instead of
- 7:55Speaker 3: making arguments leading the national debate, he was reduced to
- 7:59Speaker 3: glib lines from focus groups provided by the Polsters, and
- 8:05Speaker 3: instead of being upfront about the nation's economic and budgetary
- 8:08Speaker 3: woes and the recklessness of Labour's giveaways, Dutton was sprooking
- 8:14Speaker 3: giveaways of his own cuts to petrol tax and a
- 8:17Speaker 3: tax rebate, even when he voted against Labour's future income
- 8:23Speaker 3: tax cuts. It didn't make sense. These are the wrong
- 8:27Speaker 3: policies because because you can't beat Labor at the giveaway game,
- 8:33Speaker 3: and it also weakened the coalition's strong suit on economic management.
- 8:39Speaker 3: Apparently the Liberals had a bigger tax reform agenda ready
- 8:43Speaker 3: to go, but Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor was forced to
- 8:47Speaker 3: bin it. It was about the full indexation of taxation
- 8:53Speaker 3: income tax thresholds, but there was no hint of this
- 8:56Speaker 3: when I asked him about it during the campaign. The
- 9:00Speaker 3: way then to deal with debt is obviously to grow
- 9:02Speaker 3: the economy. You've got to control your spending and grow
- 9:05Speaker 3: the economy so that debt shrinks. And one of the
- 9:07Speaker 3: ways to help grow the economy is taxation reform.
- 9:10Speaker 1: Are you're just going to dismiss.
- 9:12Speaker 3: Labour's miserly of gimmicky tax cuts and do nothing, or
- 9:16Speaker 3: you're going to give us some taxation reform, perhaps even
- 9:20Speaker 3: indexation of rates to get rid of bracket creep. Well,
- 9:25Speaker 3: we've already announced important tax changes, and right at the
- 9:29Speaker 3: heart of that is accelerated depreciation.
- 9:32Speaker 1: Some like to poop her this. We now know they
- 9:36Speaker 1: had the reform, but they bind it.
- 9:38Speaker 3: Real reform would have been welcome, a way to ensure
- 9:41Speaker 3: that taxpayers keep more of their own money and to
- 9:44Speaker 3: reinforce the need for small government. I think the giveaway
- 9:49Speaker 3: that many analysts have underestimated from Labor was their promise
- 9:53Speaker 3: to cut twenty percent from hex debts. That's sixteen billion
- 9:58Speaker 3: dollars cut from all student loans. Sure this was fiscally irresponsible,
- 10:04Speaker 3: but it was a direct election bribe for millions of
- 10:08Speaker 3: young people and their parents. There's no doubt it bought votes,
- 10:13Speaker 3: and that seemed obvious when the Prime Minister fronted his
- 10:15Speaker 3: first press conference back in Canberra post election today, when.
- 10:21Speaker 2: It comes to legislation and policy, what is the first
- 10:25Speaker 2: item on the.
- 10:25Speaker 1: Agenda for you?
- 10:26Speaker 5: Twenty percent cut in student debt as I promised.
- 10:31Speaker 1: Yeah, he knows how big that was.
- 10:33Speaker 3: Another mistake by the coalition was not doing more on energy.
- 10:37Speaker 3: Of course, the one truly historic and necessary policy they
- 10:41Speaker 3: took to this election was the.
- 10:43Speaker 1: Nuclear energy Plan.
- 10:45Speaker 3: All the facts, all the arguments stack up for this policy.
- 10:49Speaker 3: You know, you've heard about it for months, if not years,
- 10:52Speaker 3: on this program, and our nation is going to need
- 10:54Speaker 3: to go down this path anyway if we're going to
- 10:57Speaker 3: stick to net zero. Yet presumably they were warned off
- 11:01Speaker 3: this issue by the Polsters and Dutton and his team
- 11:05Speaker 3: avoided it. I would have taken the traveling media pack
- 11:09Speaker 3: to Lucas Heights and shown all Australians the reactor already
- 11:13Speaker 3: operating in Australia right now.
- 11:16Speaker 1: I would have taken them to the bush to show.
- 11:19Speaker 3: Them the destruction that the renewables roll out is delivering
- 11:23Speaker 3: across the country.
- 11:24Speaker 1: And I would have taken them to.
- 11:25Speaker 3: A proposed nuclear reactor site to show them the infrastructure
- 11:29Speaker 3: that's already there and to proclaim the logical benefits. Another
- 11:35Speaker 3: more deep seated mistake by the Coalition was to misinterpret.
- 11:39Speaker 1: The Voice referendum.
- 11:41Speaker 3: I heard Coalition MPs and strategists talk about the percentage
- 11:45Speaker 3: of No voters in various electorates as if that gave
- 11:48Speaker 3: them some encouragement for Coalition votes. The two are completely unrelated.
- 11:54Speaker 3: The Coalition need to understand that the Voice was defeated
- 11:58Speaker 3: the moment they decided to app No referendum was going
- 12:01Speaker 3: to pass without bipartisan support. And while arch Conservatives hated
- 12:07Speaker 3: the Voice and couldn't wait to defeat it, most Australians
- 12:10Speaker 3: started off liking the idea, then drifted away because of
- 12:14Speaker 3: the lack of unity and because Albanize failed to provide
- 12:17Speaker 3: enough detail. Many people voted against the Voice reluctantly, and
- 12:22Speaker 3: they certainly didn't vote against the Voice as some kind
- 12:24Speaker 3: of endorsement of the Coalition.
- 12:28Speaker 1: Quite the opposite.
- 12:28Speaker 3: When I privately tried to convince Dutton to support the
- 12:32Speaker 3: Voice a couple of years ago, I warned him that
- 12:34Speaker 3: if he opposed it and won, he'd confirmed the public
- 12:38Speaker 3: view that he's tough and negative and not a modern leader.
- 12:41Speaker 3: Now there's no doubt that referendum took some bark off
- 12:44Speaker 3: alban easy and they'd helped Dutton. Then. It certainly helped
- 12:47Speaker 3: Dutton there for a while. But look where each of
- 12:50Speaker 3: them is now. There's one other major factor in this
- 12:53Speaker 3: election that's been mentioned a bit, but I think we're
- 12:56Speaker 3: in danger of underestimating it. And it reminds me of
- 12:59Speaker 3: the famous words of the late Princess Diana.
- 13:03Speaker 5: Well there were three of us in this marriage, so
- 13:06Speaker 5: is a bit quoded.
- 13:09Speaker 3: Yeah, apart from Albernizi and Dutton, there was a third
- 13:12Speaker 3: person in this contest and he isn't even an Australian citizen.
- 13:18Speaker 2: This is Trumpian style fact resistant policy making.
- 13:22Speaker 6: This is Dojie Dutton taking his cues, his instructions and
- 13:28Speaker 6: his policies straight from the US.
- 13:30Speaker 5: We don't have to adopt all of America's policies.
- 13:34Speaker 6: To stop in bringing those Trump style politics here to Australia.
- 13:38Speaker 6: Echoes of Trumpian politics here in Australia.
- 13:42Speaker 5: And we never ever ever want an American style health
- 13:46Speaker 5: system in this country.
- 13:48Speaker 3: Peter Dutton wants to americanize our local schools and local hospitals.
- 13:52Speaker 3: Government is trying, including the Prime Minister this morning, to
- 13:56Speaker 3: frame Peter Dutton as Trump like.
- 13:59Speaker 1: Is that an ode to Donald Trump.
- 14:01Speaker 7: It is not an ode to Donald Trump.
- 14:04Speaker 3: Labor is accussing the Coalition of copying its policies and
- 14:07Speaker 3: slowly and straight from Donald Trump's playbook.
- 14:10Speaker 8: Peter Dutton's campaign to be Prime Minister is just a
- 14:13Speaker 8: cut and paste from the United States.
- 14:16Speaker 1: Yeah so clear, isn't it?
- 14:17Speaker 3: That Dutton was deliberately smeared with the Trump factor, fairly
- 14:21Speaker 3: or unfairly.
- 14:22Speaker 1: But the Coalition is not blameless.
- 14:24Speaker 3: Some Coalition politicians and their supporters in the media have
- 14:27Speaker 3: been cheerleaders for Trump, and for a while his triumph
- 14:31Speaker 3: looked positive, a resurgence of conservatism and a fight back
- 14:35Speaker 3: against wakeness and all the rest of it. But this
- 14:37Speaker 3: has always been overdone.
- 14:39Speaker 1: Here.
- 14:39Speaker 3: Australia is just so different from the US, where we're
- 14:42Speaker 3: not as brash, we're not as right wing, we're not
- 14:44Speaker 3: as tribal in our politics, and because US voting is voluntary,
- 14:49Speaker 3: their politics is all about energizing the base, whereas our.
- 14:53Speaker 1: Politics is almost the opposite.
- 14:55Speaker 3: With compulsory voting, it's all about winning the middle ground,
- 14:58Speaker 3: appealing to the dissing, gauged. And once Trump blew up
- 15:02Speaker 3: at Zelenski in the Oval office in March and then
- 15:05Speaker 3: imposed tariffs on friends and foes alike. The gloss fell
- 15:09Speaker 3: off Trump outside America, including in Australia, where undecided voters
- 15:15Speaker 3: hated him, and just like it did in Canada, the
- 15:19Speaker 3: Trump factor proved to be poison for conservatives Here. The
- 15:23Speaker 3: dive appeared in the polls immediately. This really hurt the
- 15:28Speaker 3: coalition support plunged. It was an easy hit for Labor
- 15:31Speaker 3: and to put Dutton on the defensive. Yet, in the
- 15:35Speaker 3: irony of all ironies, today Albanesi had a call with
- 15:39Speaker 3: Trump and the US President told us he didn't even
- 15:42Speaker 3: know who Dutton was.
- 15:44Speaker 1: Well, he only had praise for Albanesi.
- 15:48Speaker 5: Alberize, I'm very friendly with I haven't I don't know
- 15:50Speaker 5: anything about the election.
- 15:51Speaker 1: He's been very very nice to me, very respective to me.
- 15:54Speaker 5: I have no idea who.
- 15:55Speaker 3: The other person is that ran against him, and you
- 15:58Speaker 3: know we've.
- 15:59Speaker 1: Had a very big relation. Yeah.
- 16:01Speaker 3: Trump has had a huge impact on this election and
- 16:05Speaker 3: he's all alban Easi's problem now, although given Trump loves
- 16:09Speaker 3: a winner, albo might do okay with him too.
- 16:13Speaker 1: As for the Liberal Party.
- 16:15Speaker 3: Sure, they're light on for personnel, their state branches are
- 16:19Speaker 3: disorganized and they face a long period in the wilderness
- 16:23Speaker 3: under a new leader yet to be chosen, who'll struggle
- 16:26Speaker 3: for recognition and attention. But as for their direction, what
- 16:31Speaker 3: they need to get back to, it's all there, It's
- 16:34Speaker 3: all still there. In their famous we believe statement, the
- 16:38Speaker 3: Liberals believe in lean government that minimizes interference in our
- 16:42Speaker 3: daily lives. They believe in freedom of thought, worship, speech
- 16:46Speaker 3: and association, and the importance of family and the role
- 16:50Speaker 3: of law and justice, as well as equal opportunity for
- 16:53Speaker 3: all Australians. And they believe business and individuals, not government,
- 16:59Speaker 3: are the true creators of wealth and employment. These are
- 17:04Speaker 3: fundamental and while labor makes government ever bigger, the more
- 17:09Speaker 3: and more people become dependent upon government, it's no reason
- 17:14Speaker 3: for the Liberals to give up. It's all the more
- 17:16Speaker 3: reason to argue the alternative before the Ponzi scheme of
- 17:22Speaker 3: ever increasing government, higher taxing and spending and debt and deficits,
- 17:27Speaker 3: Before that Ponzi scream, that Ponzi scheme crashes. The Liberals
- 17:34Speaker 3: need to get cracking already.
- 17:39Speaker 1: Let's go live.
- 17:40Speaker 3: Now to coalition front bench of the Shadow Minister for
- 17:43Speaker 3: Indigenous Australians, Senator just Center Nampa jimper Price joining us
- 17:46Speaker 3: live from our springs.
- 17:49Speaker 1: Great to talk to you, Center. You must have been.
- 17:51Speaker 3: Shocked like everybody else by the size of the defeats
- 17:56Speaker 3: for the coalition and the size of Labour's majority.
- 17:59Speaker 1: What do you essentially put it down to?
- 18:04Speaker 7: Oh, well, there are I guess there's many factors with
- 18:07Speaker 7: regard to what brought about the shock when for Labor
- 18:11Speaker 7: over the weekend, and there's a lot that we have
- 18:14Speaker 7: to reflect upon as the coalition to determine where all
- 18:18Speaker 7: our mistakes are. I mean, obviously polling was a huge one,
- 18:22Speaker 7: following the polling that was presented to us without looking
- 18:25Speaker 7: at alternative polling as well. You know, I think policies
- 18:33Speaker 7: we should have locked in our policies that were pretty
- 18:37Speaker 7: much determined long before the election was even called in
- 18:42Speaker 7: terms of putting them to the Australian people. So the
- 18:44Speaker 7: Australian people had a clear idea of what it is
- 18:48Speaker 7: that we wanted to do to improve the country that we.
- 18:52Speaker 1: All live in.
- 18:54Speaker 7: But I think I think we have to this. I mean,
- 18:58Speaker 7: in some ways, you look at the silver in that
- 19:01Speaker 7: we know that Albanezi, after his miserable last three years,
- 19:04Speaker 7: isn't going to turn this country around spectacularly and suddenly
- 19:08Speaker 7: create a better economy at a lower cost of living
- 19:12Speaker 7: environment for Australians, And certainly I know it. In closing
- 19:16Speaker 7: the gap, I'll be watching very closely because I know
- 19:21Speaker 7: that all they do is invest in bureaucracies and organizations
- 19:27Speaker 7: and do very little to actually speak to those who
- 19:31Speaker 7: are served or supposed to be served by these bureaucracies,
- 19:35Speaker 7: and that has led to why there's such a widening gap.
- 19:38Speaker 3: There's no doubt you need to get cracking on that
- 19:40Speaker 3: policy work because you'll need to implement it. They're going
- 19:42Speaker 3: to be bigger challenges I think by the time the
- 19:45Speaker 3: next coalition government comes into play. But just looking at
- 19:48Speaker 3: your own role, you must have been so frustrated during
- 19:50Speaker 3: the campaign. You were hardly front and center. You had
- 19:55Speaker 3: that government cost cutting role which a lot of people
- 19:59Speaker 3: try to linked to doze the Department of Governor efficiency
- 20:02Speaker 3: under Trump. Then when you made an appearance side by
- 20:05Speaker 3: side with Peter Dutton, you said make Australia great again,
- 20:08Speaker 3: as if that's not what we all want that Trump
- 20:11Speaker 3: factor meant there was a huge reaction to that and
- 20:14Speaker 3: you kind of disappeared again. So both your own lack
- 20:17Speaker 3: of prominence in the campaign, and this linking to Trump
- 20:20Speaker 3: must have frustrated you enormously.
- 20:23Speaker 1: Could you share your thoughts on all of that.
- 20:27Speaker 7: Yeah, sure, it was absolutely frustrating. You know, I think
- 20:33Speaker 7: we probably didn't capitalize enough on the outcome of the referendum,
- 20:37Speaker 7: the success of the coalition in that regard, you know,
- 20:42Speaker 7: the fact that we didn't pin that to the Prime
- 20:45Speaker 7: Minister effectively enough. I think that was a lost opportunity there,
- 20:52Speaker 7: you know, and watching the way the media, you know,
- 20:55Speaker 7: like a bunch of vultures will absolutely go you on
- 20:59Speaker 7: one particular issue and smear you with with you know,
- 21:03Speaker 7: another country's president. That that was a significant role that
- 21:08Speaker 7: I think some of the media played and frustrating.
- 21:11Speaker 3: Because yeah, but the way to deal with that is
- 21:15Speaker 3: to get out and argue your case every day, every
- 21:17Speaker 3: opportunity you get. You can't crash any of those misconceptions
- 21:21Speaker 3: or any of the lies unless you've got enough coalition
- 21:24Speaker 3: front benches back there arguing strongly.
- 21:26Speaker 1: And I didn't see enough of that happening.
- 21:30Speaker 7: Yeah, And and I guess you know that is that
- 21:33Speaker 7: is definitely a frustration. That's a frustration for me. That's
- 21:37Speaker 7: a frustration but others. There's certainly a frustration for those
- 21:41Speaker 7: of our supporters out there, and there's are a lot
- 21:44Speaker 7: of the issues that we will have to address as
- 21:47Speaker 7: a coalition going forward, and that will evidently come out
- 21:51Speaker 7: in the wash up after all of this as well.
- 21:53Speaker 7: To look at what the strategies were and how they
- 21:57Speaker 7: could have been done A.
- 21:58Speaker 3: Hell of a lot better to big questions for those
- 22:01Speaker 3: people right around this country who support you strongly, very
- 22:05Speaker 3: important about your own future. One is will you put
- 22:08Speaker 3: your hand up for a leadership position? The deputy leadership
- 22:11Speaker 3: of the Nationals perhaps, but even beyond that. While you're
- 22:14Speaker 3: answering that, would you consider I know, under the COLP
- 22:18Speaker 3: traditionally you must sit in the Nationals party room. Would
- 22:21Speaker 3: you consider seeking to change that so you could sit
- 22:24Speaker 3: in the Liberals party room?
- 22:28Speaker 1: Well?
- 22:28Speaker 7: Look, you know again, I guess the count hasn't been finalized.
- 22:33Speaker 7: We're all trying to get our heads around what's just happened.
- 22:38Speaker 7: There's a lot to consider going forward in all of this,
- 22:42Speaker 7: and what I do know is that we need to
- 22:45Speaker 7: figure out where we went wrong so we don't repeat
- 22:47Speaker 7: those mistakes, and to take a strategy that's going to
- 22:51Speaker 7: strengthen us going forward. And yeah, there is a lot
- 22:56Speaker 7: to consider at this point in time and going.
- 22:59Speaker 1: Forward, but so we'll give you a lead pass.
- 23:01Speaker 7: You can guarantee one thing, yep, is that I'm absolutely
- 23:07Speaker 7: going to go hard no matter what I'm doing, you
- 23:10Speaker 7: know where I land, and basically for the benefit of
- 23:16Speaker 7: all Australians and for the fact that I know that
- 23:18Speaker 7: you know, there are a lot of Australians out there
- 23:20Speaker 7: that I've got incredible support of and and certainly support
- 23:24Speaker 7: the direction in which you know preferably would like to
- 23:28Speaker 7: see Australia.
- 23:29Speaker 1: Just I'll I'll give you a lebel down.
- 23:32Speaker 3: I'll give you a lead pass on declaring your hand
- 23:34Speaker 3: for leadership because you had to wait for those votes
- 23:36Speaker 3: to be counted, but you didn't rule out trying to
- 23:38Speaker 3: switch to the Liberal Party room.
- 23:43Speaker 7: Yeah, Look, as I said, there's a lot to consider
- 23:45Speaker 7: right now at this point in time, and what we
- 23:50Speaker 7: need to be able to do is be in a
- 23:52Speaker 7: strong position going forward so that we can rebuild as
- 23:56Speaker 7: a coalition and you know, as part of the NATS,
- 23:58Speaker 7: we to support that lives in that direction absolutely, and
- 24:03Speaker 7: that is I'm a fighter. I'm a fighter, sure, no
- 24:06Speaker 7: matter what I'll be fighting.
- 24:08Speaker 3: Thanks just can't wait to catch up again. Thanks for
- 24:10Speaker 3: joining us. Senator just sent it. Naba jimber Price there
- 24:14Speaker 3: pointedly not ruling out switching to the Liberal Party. Imagine
- 24:18Speaker 3: she was in the Liberal Party that had helped them fight.
- 24:20Speaker 3: Perhaps we will see what unfolds there. Now. I'm going
- 24:23Speaker 3: to go to a defense minister, former Defense Minister Joshan S.
- 24:25Speaker 3: Gibbon in a moment, but before I go to him live,
- 24:28Speaker 3: I just want to show you what he said in
- 24:29Speaker 3: the election coverage on Saturday night.
- 24:32Speaker 1: I thought this is a very, very telling and sobering
- 24:35Speaker 1: piece of analysis for the Liberal Party.
- 24:39Speaker 4: What do all these people have in common other than
- 24:41Speaker 4: the fact that they led the Liberal Party at some
- 24:43Speaker 4: point Mendi's Holt, Gordon McMahon, Slenden, pa Cock, Howard, Hyson, Downer, Nelson, Turnbull,
- 24:51Speaker 4: Abbot and Dunton. They all represented seats the Liberal Party
- 24:57Speaker 4: no longer represents. Thank god they've hung on one.
- 25:00Speaker 1: And Cook d just extraordinary.
- 25:03Speaker 3: All the seats formerly held by Liberal Party leaders.
- 25:07Speaker 1: Now in the hands of other parties.
- 25:09Speaker 3: Joef has given joins me now from the Sydney CBD.
- 25:12Speaker 3: Good to talk to you again, Joel and the two
- 25:14Speaker 3: seats you mentioned at the end, Cook and one and
- 25:16Speaker 3: of course one held once by Fraser, the other by Scott.
- 25:20Speaker 1: Morrison, the whole held.
- 25:22Speaker 3: Now they're only two left and we think that Dan
- 25:25Speaker 3: teen who holds one and now, might put his hand
- 25:27Speaker 3: up for the leadership. It might be the curse of
- 25:29Speaker 3: one and upon him.
- 25:33Speaker 4: Well, I can make one prediction, Chris, the next Opposition
- 25:37Speaker 4: leader will not be the next Liberal prime minister.
- 25:41Speaker 1: Yeah, that is a fair prediction to make. It's a
- 25:45Speaker 1: tough ass. Now. We talked to you about the throughout
- 25:47Speaker 1: the campaign.
- 25:48Speaker 3: Obviously your confidence about Labor forming majority government increased throughout
- 25:53Speaker 3: the campaign.
- 25:54Speaker 1: It became more and more likely. But no one in
- 25:57Speaker 1: their wildest dreams in Labor.
- 25:59Speaker 3: Thought you'd in eighty five seats eighty six seats, did you.
- 26:05Speaker 4: No, not Maycres, not Peter Dutton, and not Anthony Alberneasy.
- 26:10Speaker 4: I think the Prime Minister has made that point himself.
- 26:13Speaker 4: No one saw this coming. And you know I was
- 26:16Speaker 4: on your program last Thursday night and I said that
- 26:19Speaker 4: the you gub poll looked like an outlier to me.
- 26:23Speaker 4: Happy to say, how I was wrong. It was much
- 26:25Speaker 4: closer than any of us were to predicting the final outcome. Look,
- 26:30Speaker 4: it became very clear in those final days that we'd
- 26:33Speaker 4: have a Labor government this week. The only question was
- 26:36Speaker 4: majority or minority. But gee, it's much more than.
- 26:40Speaker 1: That, Chris.
- 26:41Speaker 4: The spread, the spread is between the primary vote. I
- 26:45Speaker 4: think it's probably still sitting around fifty five to forty
- 26:48Speaker 4: five at the moment as the votes continue to come in.
- 26:51Speaker 4: But it's the biggest spread in an election since at
- 26:56Speaker 4: nineteen sixty six when Harold Holt beat for Corwall.
- 27:01Speaker 1: Yeah, it is extraordinary.
- 27:02Speaker 3: I'm going to talk polling later in the program with
- 27:06Speaker 3: John Black, but that makes it a significant victory that's
- 27:09Speaker 3: on a two party preferred basis.
- 27:11Speaker 1: The Labor party primary vote is still not high.
- 27:14Speaker 3: It's certainly higher than it was last time, and it's
- 27:17Speaker 3: about what the polling was predicting. But in the new
- 27:20Speaker 3: environment with so many minor parties and independence, thirty four
- 27:23Speaker 3: percent becomes a very big vote for Labor, doesn't it.
- 27:29Speaker 4: Yeah, that's right. I've been talking about this a lot.
- 27:31Speaker 4: Crouse sixty eight percent of the primary vote shared by
- 27:34Speaker 4: the two parties at the twenty two election, and it's
- 27:37Speaker 4: fallen further now another two points. Ex extraordinary and it's
- 27:42Speaker 4: changing the political dynamic in this country. By the way,
- 27:45Speaker 4: talking about Corwall, Corwall and Harold Holt, the big impact
- 27:50Speaker 4: on that election was the US presidentbj who visited Australia
- 27:54Speaker 4: only weeks before the election. In the Vietnam War was
- 27:57Speaker 4: such a big issue. Now, that's right, that's getting harder
- 28:00Speaker 4: and harder for the major political parties which such a
- 28:03Speaker 4: combined vote to have the courage to progress reform. And
- 28:08Speaker 4: at the Albaneze, he's got a wonderful opportunity now he
- 28:11Speaker 4: has a big buffer. He does some significant reform in
- 28:14Speaker 4: his first term, but I think there's an opportunity for
- 28:17Speaker 4: him now to continue on that reform path, and I
- 28:20Speaker 4: think he will. I think he'll use his mandate and
- 28:23Speaker 4: his authority to do some good things for the country.
- 28:26Speaker 3: Tell me about the Trump factor, because I think in
- 28:29Speaker 3: some ways it's been underestimated that. I don't want to
- 28:31Speaker 3: distract from the coalision's own problems. There's plenty to deal
- 28:34Speaker 3: with there. But this was a big factor, right because
- 28:37Speaker 3: Trump had that overall office meeting with Zelenski, and then
- 28:40Speaker 3: with the tariff decision, he upended the whole world and
- 28:44Speaker 3: changed perceptions. Even though a lot of people were antagonistic
- 28:48Speaker 3: towards him beforehand. It changed things dramatically and it became
- 28:51Speaker 3: a real black mark against conservatives right around the world.
- 28:57Speaker 4: It did indeed chrias I mean. And as he went
- 29:00Speaker 4: into the election in good shape. He'd done some good
- 29:03Speaker 4: things in government, he had a unified team for three years.
- 29:07Speaker 4: He was in good shape, and he campaigned magnificently, mistake
- 29:11Speaker 4: free and all of that stuck to his agenda and
- 29:15Speaker 4: his lines. But Peter didn't winto this election capable of
- 29:18Speaker 4: winning more seats than the government. But it all started
- 29:23Speaker 4: with the opposition to the tax cuts rule number one
- 29:26Speaker 4: never opposed tax cuts from opposition. The cyclone came along,
- 29:31Speaker 4: changed things just a little, gave the prime minister an
- 29:34Speaker 4: opportunity took prime ministerial and he grabbed that opportunity and
- 29:38Speaker 4: did good things there in Queensland. And then Trump just
- 29:41Speaker 4: flipped everything. And I think what happened there is the
- 29:45Speaker 4: government the opposition went into the election with a small
- 29:48Speaker 4: target strategy and then the cost of living crisis. That
- 29:51Speaker 4: was probably the right strategy, hoping the government the incumbent,
- 29:55Speaker 4: would just lose, but they had to scramble to change
- 29:59Speaker 4: their gg direction. And when you scramble, Chris, you start
- 30:03Speaker 4: making mistakes, particularly in opposition with limited resources, and they
- 30:08Speaker 4: made plenty of them.
- 30:09Speaker 1: They sure did. Joel.
- 30:11Speaker 3: Has been fantastic to have your labor perspective throughout the
- 30:14Speaker 3: campaign and look look forward to catching up again, Joel.
- 30:17Speaker 1: It's given there the former Labor Defense Minister. We've got
- 30:20Speaker 1: to get to a break.
- 30:21Speaker 3: On the other side, I'm going to catch up with
- 30:22Speaker 3: the former Labor senator now polling analyst John Black, to
- 30:25Speaker 3: talk about whether anybody saw this one coming. Let's catch
- 30:34Speaker 3: up with the former Labor senator expert number cruncher John
- 30:36Speaker 3: Black in Brisbane. Good to talk to you, John. You
- 30:39Speaker 3: must have been shocked by this, like everybody.
- 30:41Speaker 1: Did anybody get it right?
- 30:44Speaker 5: Look, I think you Go was the closest with their
- 30:47Speaker 5: estimate of the number of seats. It predicted such a
- 30:51Speaker 5: high number of seats for the ALP that I didn't
- 30:54Speaker 5: think it was possible, but are very close to it,
- 30:57Speaker 5: within one or two seats. And I didn't expect see
- 31:00Speaker 5: the coalition down below fifty seats. But when it came,
- 31:06Speaker 5: the swing was very late in that week. That's our
- 31:10Speaker 5: collective excuse, I think, but it was very sudden, very dramatic,
- 31:14Speaker 5: and there are a lot of people who'd made their
- 31:15Speaker 5: mind up that they didn't want to change, and they
- 31:18Speaker 5: declared that emphatically.
- 31:20Speaker 3: I suppose that late swing is understandable in that there's
- 31:24Speaker 3: a large cohor of undecided. We all knew that, and
- 31:27Speaker 3: also we knew that the election hadn't really engaged. So
- 31:30Speaker 3: maybe they only really switched on in that last week
- 31:33Speaker 3: and went would the status quote.
- 31:36Speaker 5: Yeah, and Chris, when you have a look at it,
- 31:38Speaker 5: the economic conditions were a lot more favorable for the
- 31:42Speaker 5: sitting government. There was an interest rate cut at the beginning.
- 31:45Speaker 5: There were very very favorable inflation figures which indicated that
- 31:49Speaker 5: we were likely to get an interest rate cut at
- 31:51Speaker 5: the next meeting of the RBA. Donald Trump just went
- 31:54Speaker 5: berserk and helped her re elect the Senate left government
- 31:59Speaker 5: in and he's done a similar job for us here.
- 32:02Speaker 5: And of course there were so many stumbles from Peter
- 32:06Speaker 5: Dutton and the coalition campaign team that really I wouldn't
- 32:10Speaker 5: have predicted, and he sort of dug in a bit
- 32:13Speaker 5: deeper in those last few days. His personal approval rating
- 32:17Speaker 5: just tanked, and as I said, I think before, if
- 32:20Speaker 5: your personal approval rating goes down by about ten points
- 32:23Speaker 5: in the space of a week. Then you're going to
- 32:25Speaker 5: knock off up to about three percentage points off your
- 32:28Speaker 5: primary vote. And that's pretty much what happened.
- 32:31Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 32:32Speaker 3: Well, we all said that it was going to be
- 32:33Speaker 3: a campaign that mattered, and that was supposed to be
- 32:35Speaker 3: a benefit for Peter Dutton because Albanizi had campaigned poorly before.
- 32:40Speaker 3: But Dutton had the problematic campaign. He was the one
- 32:43Speaker 3: making the stumbles and on the back foot and Albanizey
- 32:46Speaker 3: love him or loath him, no matter what you think
- 32:48Speaker 3: of the policies, he was quite confident and assured throughout
- 32:52Speaker 3: the campaign.
- 32:52Speaker 1: In fact, he got stronger as it went on.
- 32:55Speaker 3: I want to get your thoughts on the Polly. What
- 32:56Speaker 3: strikes me is that historically we've seen where polsters have
- 33:01Speaker 3: got it wrong. They've tended to underestimate the coalition or
- 33:04Speaker 3: the Conservative vote and overestimate the labor vote. This time around,
- 33:08Speaker 3: when you look at it, they all seem to do
- 33:10Speaker 3: the opposite. Have they tried too hard to make up
- 33:14Speaker 3: for the mistakes in the past so that now they're
- 33:16Speaker 3: inflating the coalition vote and they got the labor vote
- 33:20Speaker 3: closer to right.
- 33:22Speaker 5: Yes, they've admitted that to a certain extent, some of
- 33:24Speaker 5: the pulses were using the voice vote as a benchmark
- 33:27Speaker 5: to determine who was likely to vote for the coalition.
- 33:30Speaker 1: But that's nice. The voice was going to have no
- 33:32Speaker 1: relevance to this.
- 33:33Speaker 5: Surelyali absolutely, Dulali. Look, I thought that they may have
- 33:40Speaker 5: been underestimating the coalition voters instead of the labor vote,
- 33:46Speaker 5: but certainly that wasn't the case. I mean, we've seen
- 33:48Speaker 5: lots of demographic changes with young women who particularly young
- 33:52Speaker 5: women who haven't started a family yet, which they're doing later.
- 33:54Speaker 5: You know, they tend to be far more left wing,
- 33:57Speaker 5: and they tend to be much more accessible, a lot
- 33:59Speaker 5: more spare time that a mum of take couple of
- 34:01Speaker 5: kids with two jobs, you know, driving the kids to
- 34:04Speaker 5: them from soccer and that sort of thing. It's harder
- 34:06Speaker 5: and more expensive to get the more conservative votes, So
- 34:09Speaker 5: that tends to be the case. Certainly, not here. I
- 34:12Speaker 5: don't think we're at the bottom of it yet, Chris,
- 34:14Speaker 5: to be honest, and a bit of honesty never goes
- 34:17Speaker 5: astray when it comes to this.
- 34:19Speaker 1: Sort of thing.
- 34:19Speaker 3: Absolutely, we'll catch up again and talk about it in
- 34:22Speaker 3: some more detail.
- 34:22Speaker 1: John I appreciate your input.
- 34:24Speaker 3: John Black there, the former Labor senator, live from Brisbane.
- 34:27Speaker 1: We've got to get a break.
- 34:28Speaker 3: On the other side, The Liberal senator Anne Rustin joins
- 34:30Speaker 3: us plus Sophie Olsworth in London on the backlash against
- 34:33Speaker 3: Tony Blair.
- 34:34Speaker 1: Over net zero.
- 34:40Speaker 3: Let's catch up with Shadow Health Minister Anne rust And
- 34:42Speaker 3: joining us live from Adelaide.
- 34:44Speaker 1: Good to talk to you, Anne.
- 34:45Speaker 3: Although you're one of the front benches who's been accessible
- 34:47Speaker 3: throughout the campaign, give us your thoughts on having just
- 34:50Speaker 3: done three years of opposition. It's not a lot of
- 34:52Speaker 3: fun and now you're looking at the prospect of probably
- 34:55Speaker 3: six more. Well.
- 34:59Speaker 8: Look, obviously there is that we received on Saturday. Was
- 35:01Speaker 8: not the result that we were looking for. But you know,
- 35:04Speaker 8: the Australian people have spoken and we need to just regroup,
- 35:08Speaker 8: make sure that we learn from listening to Australians about
- 35:11Speaker 8: what they thought about us on Saturday, make the positive
- 35:14Speaker 8: changes that we need to make. Because a strong democracy
- 35:17Speaker 8: in this country, Chris is built on a strong government
- 35:19Speaker 8: and a strong opposition and we need to rebuild and
- 35:21Speaker 8: make sure that we're as quickly as possible present a
- 35:24Speaker 8: strong alternative government to the Australian people. So that's the
- 35:27Speaker 8: job going forward. But you know, the people of Australia spoken.
- 35:30Speaker 8: We have to absolutely respect their decision and now it's
- 35:33Speaker 8: time for us to regroup, rethink and rebuild and get
- 35:37Speaker 8: on with the job of being the opposition.
- 35:39Speaker 3: There are so many aspects to the defeat and therefore
- 35:41Speaker 3: so many aspects to.
- 35:42Speaker 1: Look to in the future.
- 35:44Speaker 3: So let me just focus on one right now, and
- 35:46Speaker 3: that is the enormous and fiscally irresponsible giveaways by Labor
- 35:51Speaker 3: at this election. You could look at the heckstebts being
- 35:55Speaker 3: forgiven to student loans. You can look at the tax
- 35:59Speaker 3: cuts they've promised starting next year, all these issues, the
- 36:05Speaker 3: rebates they're doing to artificially keep down the electricity prices
- 36:09Speaker 3: that they've pushed up. Did you get sucked into a
- 36:13Speaker 3: game where instead of calling this out, you tried to
- 36:16Speaker 3: offer giveaways of your own, therefore undermining your own record
- 36:21Speaker 3: and constituency for responsible economic management.
- 36:27Speaker 8: Well, look, I think quite obviously there are many things
- 36:30Speaker 8: that we need to look at in terms of reflecting
- 36:32Speaker 8: on what happened over the election campaign and over the
- 36:34Speaker 8: last three years, and one of those is to look
- 36:37Speaker 8: about how we're going to present ourselves going forward from
- 36:40Speaker 8: a fiscally conservative perspective, because that's what we are as
- 36:44Speaker 8: a party, and so we need to absolutely look at that.
- 36:46Speaker 8: But you're quite right. The government now has to work
- 36:49Speaker 8: out how it's going to pay for all of the
- 36:52Speaker 8: things that it's promised that you just listed in many
- 36:55Speaker 8: many more as well, and they've got to make sure
- 36:59Speaker 8: that they are actually building the economy. And that's what
- 37:01Speaker 8: concerns me is that I'm not sure that we saw
- 37:03Speaker 8: anywhere during the election campaign anywhere where the government actually
- 37:07Speaker 8: talked about how they were going to rebuild the economy,
- 37:09Speaker 8: how they were going to strengthen the economy, how they
- 37:11Speaker 8: were going to build productivity back into the economy, because
- 37:14Speaker 8: only through productivity and a strong economy you can afford
- 37:18Speaker 8: to be able to provide these sorts of things that
- 37:20Speaker 8: the Australian public quite clearly want is through a strong economy.
- 37:24Speaker 8: So I think there's a lot of work for us
- 37:26Speaker 8: to do, but I think we do need to get
- 37:28Speaker 8: back to those basics.
- 37:29Speaker 3: We learned that there was a policy developed inside the
- 37:32Speaker 3: coalition to advance the full indexation of income tax thresholds.
- 37:38Speaker 1: Now I love this policy.
- 37:39Speaker 3: It sounds boring, but essentially it means you're going to
- 37:42Speaker 3: make sure tax payers in the future keep more of
- 37:45Speaker 3: their own income.
- 37:46Speaker 1: They going to get ripped off by bracket creep.
- 37:49Speaker 3: And the other thing is that it then inhibits government
- 37:51Speaker 3: a restricts government from spending too much in the future.
- 37:55Speaker 3: But it's hard to bring in the first place, because
- 37:57Speaker 3: it's costly to bring in the first place.
- 37:59Speaker 1: But great reform.
- 38:01Speaker 3: We didn't even hear any discussion of it really in
- 38:03Speaker 3: the election campaign. Were you aware that the policy had
- 38:06Speaker 3: been compiled, approved and was ready to go and then
- 38:10Speaker 3: withdrawn at the last moment.
- 38:14Speaker 8: Look, I'm not going to disclose what I did or
- 38:17Speaker 8: didn't know as part of leadership. You wouldn't expect me to.
- 38:19Speaker 8: I don't think Chris. But I think one of the
- 38:21Speaker 8: things that he is very clear is that we now
- 38:23Speaker 8: have an opportunity to rebuild, to look at a whole
- 38:26Speaker 8: suite of policies as part of this review process, to
- 38:29Speaker 8: make sure that what we're offering the Australian public at
- 38:31Speaker 8: the next election cospective of what they're asking us for.
- 38:35Speaker 3: Sorry to cut to off, you can't tell us that
- 38:37Speaker 3: you can't share that information. Understood, we'll keep asking others
- 38:41Speaker 3: just in the meantime, and very quickly, we're nearly out
- 38:43Speaker 3: of time. Would the Liberal Party welcome the CLP senator
- 38:47Speaker 3: from the Northern Territory just into the Namba, Jimper Price,
- 38:49Speaker 3: into its party room?
- 38:53Speaker 8: Well, obviously that's not a matter for me to discuss
- 38:56Speaker 8: on national television either. I mean, we are a very
- 38:59Speaker 8: very strong on coalition and we absolutely as one with
- 39:03Speaker 8: our National Party brothers and sisters in the Parliament, and
- 39:07Speaker 8: I think you know, we have worked together for a
- 39:09Speaker 8: very long time and you know, obviously you know we
- 39:13Speaker 8: continue to work.
- 39:13Speaker 1: Together with them.
- 39:14Speaker 8: But those sort of internal party matters are best left
- 39:17Speaker 8: to be internal party matters.
- 39:19Speaker 3: Thanks Anne, I really appreciate you turning up yet again,
- 39:21Speaker 3: I appreciate it greatly, Senator Ann Rustin. They're live from Adelaide.
- 39:25Speaker 3: Great for her and just sending out. But Jimber Price
- 39:27Speaker 3: to front up here. As you can imagine, there are
- 39:29Speaker 3: a lot.
- 39:30Speaker 1: Of coalition MPs keeping load to the ground. Just at
- 39:32Speaker 1: the moment.
- 39:33Speaker 3: Let's cross to Glasgow now not London, where the Sky
- 39:36Speaker 3: News contributor and the News Corp European correspondent Sophie Illsworth
- 39:41Speaker 3: is reporting from great to talk.
- 39:42Speaker 1: To you, Sophie.
- 39:43Speaker 3: The weather looks great there in Glasgow early in the morning.
- 39:47Speaker 3: Been any repercussions from the Australian election result in the UK.
- 39:53Speaker 9: Well, Chris certainly made a lot of headlines over here,
- 39:57Speaker 9: you know, the newspapers saying this shockras the decimation of
- 40:01Speaker 9: the coalition, and I think over here in the UK
- 40:04Speaker 9: they're probably just as surprised with how much the coalition
- 40:08Speaker 9: was smashed out of the park by the Albanezi government.
- 40:12Speaker 9: But watching from Afari's making a lot of headlines over here.
- 40:16Speaker 9: But of course we also have many issues to deal
- 40:19Speaker 9: with in British politics which always take precedence over here.
- 40:23Speaker 9: While Australia makes the news cruise, it's not always front
- 40:26Speaker 9: and center in the UK.
- 40:27Speaker 1: Yeah. Sure.
- 40:28Speaker 3: One issue overlaps though, and that is net zero and
- 40:30Speaker 3: what Tony Blair had to say about it.
- 40:32Speaker 1: Have a look at this.
- 40:34Speaker 10: People are being asked to make financial sacrifices and changes
- 40:38Speaker 10: in lifestyle when they know that their impact on global
- 40:41Speaker 10: emissions is minimal. And it goes on to say any
- 40:45Speaker 10: strategy based on either phasing out fossil fuels in the
- 40:48Speaker 10: short term or limiting consumption is a strategy doomed to fill.
- 40:54Speaker 3: Former UK Labor Prime Minister Tony Blair there caused a
- 40:58Speaker 3: big stir but I believe he's already been sort of
- 41:01Speaker 3: forced to pull his head in a bit.
- 41:03Speaker 1: He's talking sense, mind you.
- 41:07Speaker 9: Well, I think a lot of people are agreeing with him,
- 41:09Speaker 9: Chris in the UK. But this was certainly a comment
- 41:13Speaker 9: that the Prime Minister, so Kiirs Starmer wouldn't have been
- 41:16Speaker 9: too thrilled about. And the government did come out a
- 41:19Speaker 9: government spokesperson and basically did a bit of gas sliding
- 41:23Speaker 9: and said that he's effectively backing in their strategy. But
- 41:26Speaker 9: net zero is very much on the outside here, Chris.
- 41:32Speaker 9: The population doesn't seem to like it. And this is
- 41:35Speaker 9: what has been an absolute game changer for Reform UK's
- 41:39Speaker 9: Nigel Farage, because this is one of the issues that
- 41:42Speaker 9: perhaps the Coalition didn't bother doing in Australia, but they
- 41:46Speaker 9: have done here with Reform UK, and that is prosecute
- 41:49Speaker 9: the point that net zero will not work and it
- 41:52Speaker 9: needs to be quashed because if he's hurting the population,
- 41:55Speaker 9: it is costing them more to move to this green dream.
- 42:00Speaker 3: And Nigel Farrage and the Reform Party we've had a
- 42:02Speaker 3: big showing in local council elections. That's often a fore taste,
- 42:06Speaker 3: isn't it a sort of press as for what might
- 42:08Speaker 3: happen in the national polls later?
- 42:12Speaker 9: Absolutely, Chris so I had the council elections here in
- 42:15Speaker 9: the UK. He smashed it out of the park. Reform
- 42:18Speaker 9: won six hundred and seventy seven seats versus Conservative with
- 42:22Speaker 9: three hundred and nineteen seats and Laybor with ninety eight seats.
- 42:26Speaker 9: In the last figures I saw, Reform UK has proven
- 42:30Speaker 9: that this two party system political parties could be over.
- 42:35Speaker 9: And there's polls out every week here in the UK,
- 42:38Speaker 9: Chris showing that Reform UK is absolutely climbing in popularity.
- 42:43Speaker 9: Nigel Farage, in one poll I saw last week, is
- 42:46Speaker 9: tipped to be the next Prime minister, well ahead of
- 42:49Speaker 9: Kis Starmer. They have all the momentum, Chris.
- 42:52Speaker 3: Incredible stuff. Thanks for joining us. Sophie Olsworth their live
- 42:56Speaker 3: from Glasgow. She's off the Rome next as the conclave
- 42:58Speaker 3: gathers there at the Vatican later in the week, so.
- 43:01Speaker 1: We'll keep an eye on that too. But we're going
- 43:03Speaker 1: to go to a break now.
- 43:04Speaker 3: We'll catch up with Gematon Uni and Caroline durus So
- 43:06Speaker 3: after that get their thoughts on what went wrong for
- 43:09Speaker 3: the coalition and where to from here. Let's pick through
- 43:15Speaker 3: the intrails now with Gematon Uni from GT Communications get
- 43:19Speaker 3: a how are you and Caroline Durusso from the Royal
- 43:22Speaker 3: Report to host the Royal Report in Perth.
- 43:24Speaker 1: Let's get a quick summary to run.
- 43:26Speaker 3: Keep it pithy, because there's so many rabbit holes to
- 43:28Speaker 3: go down here at Caroline, obviously you're the president of
- 43:31Speaker 3: the West Australian Liberal Branch, but nothing much happened for
- 43:34Speaker 3: you guys over there, no.
- 43:38Speaker 6: Which when you look at some of the carnage and
- 43:40Speaker 6: the rest of the country is almost a relief. Look,
- 43:42Speaker 6: we did take a fair bit of our medicine last time,
- 43:45Speaker 6: and look from an organizational point of view, you know,
- 43:48Speaker 6: I think we pre selected candidates well, we fundraised well,
- 43:52Speaker 6: and we ran good grassroots campaigns. We also ended up
- 43:56Speaker 6: with the smallest two pp swing against us in the
- 43:59Speaker 6: country zero point six of a percent. And w Way's
- 44:03Speaker 6: the only state, actually Chris where the Labor primary went backwards.
- 44:06Speaker 6: So there from the doubly way point of view, and
- 44:09Speaker 6: of the things that we could influence, you know, given
- 44:13Speaker 6: what has happened elsewhere in the country. You're almost you're
- 44:16Speaker 6: not happy with that position, but you're almost grateful that
- 44:20Speaker 6: that's what it was. But you know, and it's been
- 44:24Speaker 6: trolled over plenty. There just wasn't enough really visionary policy
- 44:29Speaker 6: at the top for us to be able to sell
- 44:31Speaker 6: on the ground.
- 44:32Speaker 1: Well, yeah, look as the hell of a shop.
- 44:34Speaker 3: There's lots of angles on this, Jemmy, But I know
- 44:36Speaker 3: you were with our mutual good friend Nicole f former.
- 44:39Speaker 1: Federal MP, looking to get back.
- 44:42Speaker 3: You would have seen the personal side of the hope,
- 44:44Speaker 3: the hard work and the hope and then nothing.
- 44:46Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 44:47Speaker 2: I will say this, and I say this having been
- 44:51Speaker 2: courted for a political career over the years. I mean,
- 44:53Speaker 2: I'm a woman, I'm Italian, can't make sense, tick all
- 44:56Speaker 2: the boxes, but I genuinely have great respect for people
- 45:00Speaker 2: who put themselves on the line. And as Nicole did,
- 45:03Speaker 2: she to remind our viewers she never lost Boothby. She
- 45:06Speaker 2: retired from Boothby and had unfinished business, I suppose, and
- 45:12Speaker 2: just to see how hard she couldn't have worked any harder.
- 45:16Speaker 2: And on a personal level, she's a dear friend and
- 45:18Speaker 2: I love and respect her. But watching that play outs
- 45:20Speaker 2: the first time I've been that close to a campaign
- 45:23Speaker 2: at the cold Face on an election night and watching
- 45:26Speaker 2: that swing across the country. I mean, I don't I
- 45:30Speaker 2: mean I.
- 45:31Speaker 1: Didn't see it.
- 45:32Speaker 3: No, And no matter how much hard works someone like
- 45:34Speaker 3: her puts and you swept aside by other something that
- 45:38Speaker 3: Trump says on the other side of the world, or
- 45:40Speaker 3: the fact that there's a very popular premiere in South Australia,
- 45:42Speaker 3: people in Malanawskas and all the rest of it.
- 45:45Speaker 1: Just going on to the individuals.
- 45:46Speaker 3: I was always looking for a little bit of hype
- 45:48Speaker 3: by We never thought that Labor would lose this election.
- 45:51Speaker 1: Thought they might go into minority.
- 45:53Speaker 3: But I was hoping that some of the tills would
- 45:55Speaker 3: suffer some damage because I think they were a fraudulent
- 45:58Speaker 3: movement and because I think some of them have fanned
- 46:01Speaker 3: the flames of anti Semitism in this country. And on
- 46:04Speaker 3: Saturday night it wasn't too good. All the tills were
- 46:06Speaker 3: looking celebratory.
- 46:08Speaker 1: Here's Zoey Daniel in Goldstein.
- 46:11Speaker 6: This has been incredibly difficult, really hard.
- 46:18Speaker 3: We did it, yeah, as good as claiming victory there Gemma.
- 46:26Speaker 1: But it looks like she's probably going to lose that.
- 46:28Speaker 2: Sett I had a moment yesterday when I saw Tim Wilson.
- 46:31Speaker 2: He tweeted a picture of Ted Lasso turning pointing to
- 46:34Speaker 2: the Believe sticker or Believe sign above his office. If
- 46:36Speaker 2: you're a Ted Lasso fan, you know what I'm talking about.
- 46:39Speaker 3: Look I.
- 46:41Speaker 2: Like you, you know, take the climate. Two hundreds Simon
- 46:44Speaker 2: Holmes have caught money away from the TILL candidates and
- 46:47Speaker 2: they don't exist. Please tell me how they're not a party.
- 46:50Speaker 2: Of course, they're a party anyone.
- 46:51Speaker 1: It's a duck.
- 46:52Speaker 2: It clacks like a duck, seems like a bloody duck.
- 46:54Speaker 1: It's a duck.
- 46:54Speaker 2: So I'm hopeful that Zoe Daniel will bite the dirt,
- 46:58Speaker 2: and I'm hopeful that Monique Ryan, who I saw today
- 47:00Speaker 2: has rescinded her victory speech, will also bite the dirt.
- 47:03Speaker 2: Because they're cocky, they're entitled, and they're actually they offer nothing.
- 47:07Speaker 2: And I saw the member for Curtain who you know,
- 47:10Speaker 2: Parro probably has a better read on that seat. But
- 47:11Speaker 2: she certainly didn't romp it in. She definitely didn't romp
- 47:14Speaker 2: it in. But she's saying in the AFR, oh, you know,
- 47:17Speaker 2: the teals can still influence labor agenda. I mean fantasy.
- 47:21Speaker 1: That's the great thing. You're actually irrelevant. They are.
- 47:24Speaker 3: The Tills are officially irrelevant and on the way down.
- 47:27Speaker 1: So that's good news. The other good news is maybe the.
- 47:29Speaker 3: Greens on the way down too, with Adam Batt actually
- 47:32Speaker 3: fighting to keep his seat. If he loses it, I
- 47:35Speaker 3: hope it's because people were disgusted by what he said
- 47:38Speaker 3: and done on Israel. I'll show you again this little
- 47:41Speaker 3: clip where somebody caught him out.
- 47:43Speaker 4: I'm Zach and this is Adamoe.
- 47:46Speaker 3: Happy birthday, Zoe.
- 47:47Speaker 4: Let's say together, I've demonized the Jewish community for my
- 47:50Speaker 4: own political gain.
- 47:53Speaker 1: There's a good little Lambush, wasn't it. Caro. You'll take
- 47:56Speaker 1: on the Tills and the Greens.
- 48:00Speaker 6: I think in relation to the Greens, we've definitely seen
- 48:03Speaker 6: them pegged back this election, and I think that is
- 48:06Speaker 6: just good for the whole country. I think there's a
- 48:09Speaker 6: lot of people who you know, in the past have
- 48:12Speaker 6: protests voted the Greens or thought they were like cute,
- 48:14Speaker 6: fluffy environmentalists, and in the last term we have just
- 48:19Speaker 6: seen what rancid ferals they are. So I'm glad that
- 48:23Speaker 6: they're electoral consequences for people like the Greens. Because so
- 48:26Speaker 6: far they have carried on as if there are no
- 48:28Speaker 6: electoral consequences in so far as the Teals are concerned. Look,
- 48:33Speaker 6: it will be interesting to see what happens in both
- 48:35Speaker 6: those seats, but also Bradfield up in New South Wales,
- 48:39Speaker 6: a seat that was held by the Coalition, which is
- 48:41Speaker 6: on a knife edge. And it's really interesting to watch
- 48:44Speaker 6: the way that Postals are breaking. And that's why those
- 48:47Speaker 6: victory speeches have been rescinded because Postals, particularly in Kuyong
- 48:52Speaker 6: and Goldstein, have broken very heavily to the Coalition against
- 48:56Speaker 6: the Teals. They are irrelevant and in a seat like Curtain,
- 49:01Speaker 6: what I will say, and people always talk about how
- 49:03Speaker 6: much money gets spent on these campaigns, what I will
- 49:07Speaker 6: say is the money that was spent in Curtain was
- 49:09Speaker 6: raised in Curtain by the Liberal campaign, not the money
- 49:14Speaker 6: that was spent in the Teal campaign. Most of the
- 49:17Speaker 6: big money came out of the Eastern States.
- 49:20Speaker 1: Yeah, ye, spot on.
- 49:21Speaker 3: Thanks, Look, we've just got time for a quick word
- 49:23Speaker 3: from just on personnel. Apart from all the issues on
- 49:27Speaker 3: policy and whatever, the Lips need to attract higher.
- 49:30Speaker 1: They need to get people like you, They need to
- 49:31Speaker 1: win those.
- 49:32Speaker 2: Arguments hate me, No, and I do agree with that.
- 49:37Speaker 2: I think they need to do the work. And as
- 49:39Speaker 2: a liberal voter, they didn't do the work.
- 49:41Speaker 1: They didn't.
- 49:41Speaker 2: I'm going to vote for them because I ideologically believe
- 49:44Speaker 2: conservative is a better pathway. But they did not do
- 49:47Speaker 2: the work and that is lazy and they got belted
- 49:49Speaker 2: for it.
- 49:50Speaker 3: Thanks Jimmy, Thanks Carow out of time. Now here's Peter Quedlin.