Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA Show | February 13, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Transcript

NBA Show | February 13, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:00
Yeah, fall clear over lifting. What's going on? Happy Tuesday? Everybody,
0:39
Rio and I talking some hoops six games on this Tuesday. We got
0:43
a big boy slate tomorrow, NFL out of town, NBA, the story
0:47
in town still got NHL, m M A, PGA, so still plenty
0:51
of sports going on. Hoops, though, takes over the attention. Big
0:55
prize pools six game or first of all, shout out Sheets another Hunter k
0:59
win Man that two and I think like a week, two weeks something like
1:02
that. So shout out to you Sheets. We all throw it to you
1:04
right away. Man, Tuesday, it's beautiful here. I don't know how
1:07
it is by you. I'll be by your place watching some MMA pretty shortly.
1:14
Yeah, what's the weather? I guess if you know what it's gonna
1:15
be. But what's your thoughts on the six games plate? Not much injury
1:19
news I think we need to worry about. Yeah, good weather over here
1:23
today, nice and sunny, A beautiful day getting back home yesterday. Yeah,
1:27
I had we have a nice couple of two weeks stretch. You know.
1:30
I had Phoenix with with all the guys last weekend. That was a
1:34
ton of fun. I see our guy wins loud in here. Is nice
1:37
meeting you over the weekend. I met a couple of members, all the
1:40
dj in guys. Yeah, really really fun weekend. Definitely excited to get
1:45
back home and get back to normalcy though, and you know, get back
1:48
into the NBA streets. Definitely a little bit out of the loop with all
1:51
the trade stuff and then being at the waste management all that stuff. So
1:55
doing doing our best to catch ups. Gonna be a long day tomorrow for
2:00
sure with the thirteen Gamer. But yeah, I'm looking looking forward to talking
2:04
about tonight's slate first and foremost. But yeah, it should be. It
2:07
should be a fun weekend as well. You're gonna be out here on Thursday.
2:09
We're going to the UFC two ninety eight. Might see one of our
2:13
other members, Connor, out there as well. So it's gonna be a
2:16
really fun weekend hanging out with you and your lady. Yeah, no,
2:20
it's gonna be a great time. Jasmin's in here here, lady. The
2:23
boys survived, yes we did, but also I mean ready to get back
2:27
in the NBA swing of things. Then we get the All Star break though,
2:30
so we get today a solid six gamer Big Gang or Big Slate Wednesday,
2:34
Small Slate, Thursday, All Star Break, perfect time. Like I
2:37
said, we're gonna be out first time for me and Cali, so I'm
2:39
excited to see La. We'll be watching fights. Definitely gonna see Connor though,
2:44
and if anyone else is out there in Anaheim at USC two ninety eight,
2:47
hit us up. We'd love to get a drink with you or something
2:50
like that, but card's gonna be stacked. We got you covered for MMA
2:53
PGA. We got you covered for DJN our newest edition. Very exciting stuff,
2:58
best golf projections, ownership in the industry. Prices aren't changing. We
3:02
get his model to Stone coming over here. Very exciting stuff over here at
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the Nation weekly, monthly, six month annual memberships no better price. Get
3:13
in check out, check out the prices at schipidation dot com. If you
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do join a use that promo code DJN fifteen gets you fifteen percent off.
3:22
Also getting the discord though, Rio like Putton also, we appreciate that Riowe
3:28
anything else we want to say, any thoughts on this slate again, I
3:30
don't think much injury news porzingis q TG. We'll get that news at lock
3:35
again. Seven thirty Eastern. I didn't say that yet, though, thirty
3:38
minutes after usual lock time, we'll get Forzingis News Lebron ADQ. I'm expecting
3:44
them to play like usual. Then we got Conley Scoot Henderson. That game's
3:49
later at ten Eastern. I'm not backloading anything for that, so I'm pretty
3:53
much playing in how this slate is right now. Porzingis News will be important
3:57
when we get it projections updated. Of course, any initial thoughts, Man,
4:00
my voice is cooked from the weekend two, so take it over now.
4:04
Once we get started, I'll definitely do most of the heavy lifting talking
4:08
wise, but I just wanted to build off what you're saying. Saying with
4:11
the Djen merger. Really looking forward to that. Gonna be a great addition
4:15
to the team, all you guys that play PJA. Obviously, No Djen
4:18
one of the sharpest guys in the industry. Super excited to bring him over
4:23
and all the stuff he does, the Rosetta Stone, his projections, all
4:26
that stuff. Got to meet him over the weekend. Super nice guy,
4:29
so he definitely looking forward to that. But as far as the slate goes,
4:31
you kind of you touched on it, Christoph Porzingis News I guess kind
4:35
of the biggest one right now, and then the lebron ad stuff. But
4:40
yeah, you said expect them to play tonight. They have a back to
4:43
back. I'm pretty sure everybody that's playing tonight is also on a back to
4:46
back. But yeah, they'll be in Utah tomorrow, so probably would expect
4:49
one of if not both of them to sit tomorrow. I like it.
4:54
Yep, we'll go game by game first, saying the high to people in
4:58
chat. So many familiar faces, Ben pair bye Michael. By the way,
5:00
Paraby, I love your new picture in Discord. Saw that over the
5:03
weekend. Mark t Michael wins a Lot again. It was very nice meeting
5:08
you a lot Wins a Lot and your wife Networks Academy. I believe that
5:12
coach Evan's back, Jasmine, Mark jakeson here, Michael Peterson, Yes,
5:16
Hebrew is in the house, Eddie. What's going on? Jordan in here?
5:19
Kevin's in here? Yeah, Jordan, you got that Jannis one or
5:24
no, you got I assume you're talking about this one, Jordan, the
5:27
bottom one. But let me know if it's that one or the Yannis one.
5:30
William's in here, Kevin in here? What's going on, folks,
5:33
Let's talk some hoops. That's what you guys are here for. Game by
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game Rio seven thirty Eastern, Again again two seven thirty eastern, One game
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at eight, and you got a two hour window. Grab some food,
5:44
do what you gotta do. Kings Phoenix, Timberwolves Portland at ten, then
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one game at ten thirty. What's going on? Take down Boston Celtics Brooklyn
5:53
Nets two twenty seven total, Boston nine point favorites to kick off the night
5:58
again for zingis news the biggest on the slate. He's questionable. No other
6:02
injury news in this game. Cam Johnson is out for Brooklyn. As far
6:06
as ownership in this game, it really looks like Tatum and nothing. So
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if for Zinga's plays, do you have interest in Tatum? If he's out,
6:15
do guys like Jalen Brown, Derek White, the al Horfords of the
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world, Do any of them get big enough boost? This looks like one
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of the lowest own games of the slate right now. Yeah, I think
6:27
Tatum is a pretty solid spin up make sure okay, I thought I was
6:30
on mute for a second. I think Tatum is a pretty solid spind up
6:33
option. Tonight. He's been playing really well lately, kind of been really
6:36
close to having some massive games, really close to some triple doubles, double
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digit reboundcing back to back games, seven plus assist in four straight games.
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So he looks like he's a pretty solid spin up option. This is kind
6:48
of a neutral matchup. The Nets have been pretty solid since the start of
6:53
twenty twenty four. They're ranking twelveth in defensive rating, but their offense has
6:58
been terrible. But yeah, the Nets are they're slightly more vulnerable to transition
7:01
scores. I think that guys like Jason Tatum and Jaln Brown have pretty solid
7:05
matchups from there. Matchup probably benefits Brown a little bit more. I think
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Tatum probably sees sees a lot of McHale. Well, he probably would see
7:14
Drin Finney Smith now that he's back off the injury report. I believe he's
7:17
on a little bit of a minute restriction right now, so you probably won't
7:20
get the full Tatum minutes when he's out there. Yeah, I think those
7:26
guys are interesting. And then if porzingis misses, Derek White has kind of
7:29
been the guy that's picked up a lot of usage when any of these starters
7:31
were to miss, I think that he would be a totally fine option six
7:33
point three K. As far as the nets side go, though, Celtics
7:39
been obviously one of the better teams all around all season long, their top
7:42
four defense and top six offense. In the new year, they are getting
7:47
slightly beaten by pick and roll ballhandlers. I think that if you were considering
7:51
any of these guys, it would be Mikal Bridges, Cam Thomas, and
7:54
then even Dennis Schroeder, who kind of you know, he got added to
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the mix with the the swap for Spencer did Woodie played twenty seven minutes in
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his first game, put up double digit assists fifteen to twelve and three line
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thirty eight point seventy five DK points. I think that he's a pretty solid
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value option. Not too sure what his role is going to be like going
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forward with this team, but four point ak really solid price sect for him.
8:16
But really just interested in some of these guard players on the net side,
8:20
did I miss? Did you say anything about Horford? If Porzengis misses,
8:24
I didn't mention him. I guess yeah, five point two K would
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be would be a solid option, would step back into the starting lineup as
8:33
the starting center. So yeah, I guess i'd have some interest in Horford,
8:37
but more so looking to the guys up top, Derek White, Tatum,
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Jaylen Brown. Yeah, I like it. I like Tatum for sure,
8:43
even if Porzingis plays. I think Tatum's good comes with a little ownership.
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Derek White, you said it's a big boost. I like him the
8:50
second best. If Porzengis misses, Cam Thomas probably my favorite NET. I
8:54
just love him because he chucks, but him bridges. I guess fine is
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one offs not bye by far not my favorite game, though I don't like
9:01
this one any I doubt you're gonna say yes to this, but it was
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Louke Cornett in play. If there's no Porzingis, I think they would probably
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go with Houser in the starting lineup. They can just slide Horford up one,
9:13
Tatum up one. I think that would do it. I guess,
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you know, three point two k is fine for somebody that might get the
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backup center minutes, but his minutes have really been trending down lately, so
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don'tly have a ton of interest in him. But I would have to just
9:24
kind of follow the projections on him, so obviously if he somehow started,
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he'd be a good play anyone starting there if he came off the bench,
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though, we're it's a good segue in this next game him or Giants and
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Isaac though, because we talked about Isaac a couple of times, it feels
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like the past couple of weeks he looks to be the cheap value at least
9:43
one of them. Right now, answer that question, then, I guess
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just lead us right in. Okay, see and Orlando, just lead us
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right into there for DFS too, but start with Isaac in this one.
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Yes, I think I would need probably Cornett to be starting to have a
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lot of interest in him, like I just don't know, Like Horror probably
10:00
plays thirty two to thirty four minutes in a close game, so that's you
10:03
know, you're leaving about fourteen minutes for Cornett. I guess you could hit
10:07
value at that, you know, three point two K. But I think
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right now I would probably lean Jonathan Isaac. They did, you know,
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they're starting to extend him a little bit more, go up to twenty five
10:15
minutes last game nineteen, the game before kind of been around the twenty minute
10:18
mark every game this season, but yeah, I know they're starting to extend
10:24
him a little bit more, so it would definitely have more interest in Jonathan
10:26
Isaac right now. But as far as this game environment goes pretty I think
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it's a pretty solid game to attack the You know, Orlando has been a
10:35
pretty solid defense all year long. Their top seven in defensive rating. Thunder
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kind of slipping a little bit defensively their top eleven right now, but still
10:41
a top seven overall defense. Thunder have been a team I've been looking to
10:46
attack with off ball shooters. They're they're allowing the second most points per game
10:50
off catch and shoot situations. Magic. They're not really a team that has
10:54
a ton of guys that excel in that category. They're kind of, you
10:56
know, they live around the rim a lot. Thunder have been really solid
11:00
rim defense all year long. But you know, Franz uh some of these
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guards, Jalen Suggs, Cole Anthony, even Wendell Carter Junior, kind of
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you know, they can they can be They can have some good games with
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catch and shoot stuff. Franz has been playing really well lately. I think
11:13
he would be my overall favorite option on the magic side, But I like
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Paulo a little bit as well. I'm gonna see a lot of Jalen Williams
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defensively, Jaalen Wimbs really solid overall defender. But I think Franz has a
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better, better price tag, I guess, better points per dollar upside at
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seven point one. K probably sees lou dort On defense. Tough matchup,
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but it's not possible for him to overcome. I just like the price tag
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on Franz a little bit better. And then these guards looking at a little
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bit of ownership. Jalen Suggs, I mean not Markel Folts as much,
11:45
but Jalen Suggs and Cole Anthony. I would probably be a max one of
11:48
those guys. Don't see two of them getting there. But Cole Anthony has
11:52
been a guy, but he's got a really big upside when he's given the
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minutes. Just the range of outcomes has been really wide for him lately.
12:00
Got up to thirty minutes last game, but every game or the five games
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prior to that, had he saw no more than nineteen minutes. And I
12:07
mean even had a low minutes floor of eleven minutes against Detroit, which is
12:11
a really good matchup for him. So I'm not sure I'm buying the thirty
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minutes, but he definitely would have the most upside out of those guys when
12:20
given the minutes. And then on the thunder side of things, I think
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this is a pretty sneaky good spot for Shay Gilgis. The Magic are giving
12:28
up a ton of points in isolation. They're the fourth worst isolation defense in
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the league. They take away three pointers, top two and three point defense,
12:37
and they're a pretty good rint protection team. But they're allowing the fourth
12:39
most points per game in half court thunder one of the better half court offenses
12:43
in the league, whether the best in a points per possession standpoint, they're
12:48
first in points per possession and half court offense. So I think that Shay
12:52
has some pretty good upside in this matchup. Don't really have a ton of
12:54
interest in these other guys. I think that Jalen Williams seven K is fining
12:58
to keeping your playerpool minutes have come up as of late, you know,
13:01
returning from the ankle injuries. I think that he's a totally fine option.
13:05
Phenomenal breakdown. I'm not really even gonna add too much. I think Franz
13:09
is good. I probably would match one of Franz Paulo on this late.
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These first two seven thirty games, especially if porzingis is in, I think
13:18
are two of the worst games on the slate. I like these later games
13:20
better, and especially if you do feel more weary about like one of ad
13:26
or Lebron's sitting like, there's a lot of good games late three games ten
13:28
pm Eastern or later too, So yeah, I don't like this game much.
13:33
I think Jonathan Isaac, as of now going to get some ownership,
13:37
can always fade the chalk guys lower or minutes cap like Jordan said in this
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one twenty minutes and he played the extra five in OT So yeah, I
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definitely don't like this game much. SGA on OKC side Paulo Franz. I
13:52
think Isaac is fine, but there's other ways to go on this late,
13:54
so not much interest in these first two games. Next game Miami Milwaukee far
14:00
the best game stack in my opinion, on the slates. Before we do,
14:03
though, a couple people want to say hi to Big Marley, what's
14:05
going on? Nade, what's going on you guys got back home safe?
14:09
Love to see that falling to Isaac Trapp way too much Yeah, he's been
14:13
talking about a little bit as of late. Couple people Sean Sullivan and Jason
14:18
talking coming from the PGA show into here, PJ Lock and Thursday. Soidgen
14:24
got out his first look yesterday. Awesome stuff, Hoop and Tambo PGA very
14:28
big prize pools, best team over here at shippination dot com. And I
14:33
appreciate that. Tyler, my man, Tyler, hope everything's going well with
14:35
you and spread tell spread, I say, hi, powering here as well.
14:41
Appreciate that. Like button again if you want to get over with us
14:43
at shippinnation dot com. No better price, multiple packages, head over,
14:48
get in the discord as well. Third game of the night Miami Heat Milwaukee
14:52
Box. This should be a good one. Two twenty two and a half
14:54
total bucks, eight and a half point favorites. Injury report No Middleton for
14:58
the bucks again for Miami. Butler's out, Terry Rose years out, Josh
15:05
Richardson's out, Duncan Robinson is questionable. Matt Duncan Robinson news actually means a
15:09
good bit because man, they're finn in the backcore like Tyler hero. If
15:15
you even want to talk about the grew up in Wisconsin, hometown game,
15:18
probably as people in the crowd, et cetera. I mean, I like
15:22
Hero on this spot a lot. He just there's no one to compete with.
15:24
Especially if Duncan's out, He's gonna play all the minutes in the world.
15:28
Now, I'm not saying anything sneaky. He's gonna be mega chalk,
15:31
but that's definitely chalk. I'm good eating and why I'd rather fade stuff like
15:35
Isaac or get different at contrariy and spend So yeah, I mean these heat
15:39
Duncan, Robinson, Hawk has Bam love. It's the heat, the story
15:43
of the slate for sure. Duncan news is important. Buck Side can definitely
15:48
play you, honest, but as of now, I'm not sure we have
15:50
the value. I'd rather kind of go mid tier and save a bit at
15:54
ben So. Miami Side for sure, great break the down this game,
15:58
however you want. Yeah, good breakdown there. Matchup wise, Miami,
16:04
they've kind of gone back to their normal ways of defense. I remember we
16:07
talked about earlier in the year where they were kind of struggling with their rim
16:10
protection, But since the start of twenty twenty four, they're first in rint
16:15
protection. Their bottom eight three point defense, which is kind of how we've
16:18
known that this Miami defense likes to protect it. The Bucks have been about
16:23
elite, about a league average both rim and three point defense, but they're
16:30
still, you know, they're getting killed by guards, which has been the
16:32
thing all season long. Having guys like dam And Millard and Milie Beasley trying
16:34
to defend these guys has not worked out. They're along the second most points
16:38
to pick and roll ball handlers. So yeah, you said, Tyler Herrow
16:41
in a really good spot here, going to see heavy increased usage with no
16:45
Jimmy Butler, no Tay Rozier, no Josh Richardson. Those are you know,
16:48
three guys that all take away some ball handling. And then Ducan Robinson
16:52
were to miss here as well, would probably be just more minutes to spread
16:57
out with some of these. So yeah, I wrote, I think the
17:00
Tyle hero in a really good spot here, and then Bam, I don't.
17:06
The matchup is not the greatest for Bam. You know, the the
17:10
Buck's been pretty good with their rim defense. Brook Lopez solid rim defender,
17:15
just solid overall defender. But I guess the thing that he does have going
17:18
from I'm gonna see more usage. Only has a twenty six point three percent
17:22
usage rate with those guys that I just mentioned that are injured off the court
17:25
the season, but he's averaging forty seven DK points per thirty six minutes.
17:27
Should play a ton of minutes here tonight. Last time these teams faced off,
17:32
he played I think forty forty two minutes, went for fifty five point
17:34
five DK points thirty one ten and five lines. I think that he's a
17:37
fine option. The price tag has come come down a lot, so there's
17:41
a little bit of upset for him at eight point three K. And then,
17:44
yeah, these value guys are going to be pretty popular, and I
17:47
think for the right reason. Cayler Martin, I'm pretty pretty into at five
17:51
K. He's going to be out there for a ton of minutes tonight.
17:53
They're gonna need his on ball defense on Damian Lillard's I like him. HAWKEZ
17:59
should be looking about back here. Four point five K pretty reasonable tag for
18:02
him. Had a really bad game his last time out filling in for Jimmy
18:06
Butler, but you know, he's been pretty solid all year long, so
18:07
I think that he's got he's got a chance about bounce back here. I
18:11
would have interest in Ducan Ruminson if he's in, but just we you know,
18:15
we won't know that news until you know four thirty or I guess a
18:19
seven thirty for your East Coast guys. And then I mean, if he's
18:22
out, probably gonna see more minutes from Haywood high Smith, Probably see Jamal
18:26
Kine mix in a little bit. I don't know much about this alt Alandez
18:32
Williams guy, but you know, maybe he mixes in. But mainly looking
18:36
to the guys up top. Bam Hero, Cayla, Martin HAMI Hawks are
18:40
the ones that I'd be looking to. And then Jannis. He's gonna see
18:45
Bam tonight. He BAM's done an okay job of holding him in check.
18:48
Last time he only went for forty six point three DK points, but he
18:52
did go for I saw those two games ago. He went last game went
18:56
for sixty one DK points thirty three to ten to five line. His ball
18:59
handling has increased a lot lately since they added Doc Rivers into the mix,
19:03
So I think it's a pretty good spot for him to, you know,
19:06
flirt with a triple double. The way that the Miami he likes to play
19:08
defense, they play a lot of zone, so that leaves three point shooters
19:11
open a lot, so you can get Giannis you know, into in you
19:15
know, right around the rim and find an open guy. They got some
19:17
good shooters, Damian Lillard, Bobby Portis, Brook Lopez, Milik Bezy,
19:21
all really good off ball three point shooters. I think he could have a
19:25
pretty big stat line with it. With the assist numbers, Dame has been,
19:30
you know, pretty big disappointment from a fantasy fantasy perspective, but he's
19:33
he's mixed in a couple of decent games, two games going for fifty DK
19:37
points versus Charlotte, only twenty nine minutes in that one. Doc Rivers has
19:41
said he wanted to get him more involved as a ball handler, so maybe
19:42
we see that come to fruition tonight. But I kind of struggled to see
19:48
see him produce a slate winning score at almost nine K, So I would
19:51
probably be looking to get away from it and just try to get up to
19:53
Giannis if I could. Yeah, do you see right now like enough value?
19:59
If it like right now, we don't get any more value? How
20:02
much honest do you think you'd have? Probably not much. I would probably
20:07
be right around the field ten fifteen percent. Maybe, I mean there are
20:12
some guys in the low three ks that can make it work, Like even
20:15
in this game, Kevin Love three point six k, pretty solid projection on
20:18
him. We talked about Jonathan Isaac Cole Anthony last game. So I do
20:22
think that there are ways to make it work. But I think you might
20:25
be limiting upside in your lineups a little bit too much with these guys you
20:30
know there. I would probably call those guys pretty shaky value options right now.
20:34
Yeah, like Highsmith's in this game too. Right now, if I
20:37
ran my projection like optimal and then with the honest, it's like a three
20:45
point two projection difference. Definitely doable, no doubt about that. Ownership is
20:51
going to be low, and then if more value opens up, so yeah,
20:53
you definitely can get to be honest on this light. Now, is
20:56
there any rules you'd be making with Miami and it's grouping away? I don't
21:00
see any grouping away, but if you see that more so, like how
21:03
many max, especially if there's Nacan Robinson out, I could play five like
21:08
at these prices, probably four definitely could play even if Duncan's in. I
21:14
mean these guys are smash plays. So anything excuse me that you're seeing like
21:18
Max or grouping away or anything like that, I don't think so. I
21:22
think I agree with you. I think you could probably get to a lot
21:25
of these guys, especially if Duncan were to miss, but I could.
21:26
I would be totally fine with three to four of these guys right now.
21:33
Yeah, so I think I'm in agreement with you. Cool. What's going
21:37
on in Lachlan? What's going on? Gianna's people talking about Jordan's out of
21:41
static back to backs? He crushes Bam, crush Giannis last time. Yeah,
21:45
I mean, obviously this Miami side, all of our good plays,
21:49
GI honest, is the easier runback. I do think Brooks fine, though,
21:52
A Dame's fine. Jay Crowder, I'll say, is one person a
21:56
lot more popular and FanDuel than de small Ford power forward eligibility price at four
22:03
to six some stocks, but him kileb Martin another one will be more popular
22:07
and FANDL than DK will get some there. Other than that, though,
22:11
yeah, Miami's gonna be owned on both sites. Bucks not so much except
22:15
Crowder on FanDuel. Keep it going. Appreciate everyone hanging out appreciate the like
22:18
pund and hope Paul are watching, watching on playback, having a good day.
22:23
Hope you win some cheese out there tonight, like my man Cooling yesterday
22:27
winning a nice cool two hundred and fifty thousand dollars. Shout out to you,
22:32
Cooling. Next game on the slates, we got ten pm Eastern Sacramento
22:37
Kings, Phoenix Suns two forty five total, Phoenix five point favorites. Injury
22:41
reporting this one, Chris Darte questionable. Nothing on the injury report means anything
22:45
in this one. I go right back to you Rio. As far as
22:48
ownership in this game, though, Bigs the bonus gets some, Fox gets
22:52
some Malik Monk and Keegan Murray, probably a little bits his mid tier options.
22:59
Maybe KD. Booker beal, but I don't think so as much on
23:03
that side. I think it's more so on the King side. And again
23:07
this is where people not going the honest We'll save to kind of the Foxes,
23:11
Savonis, KD. Booker range, stuff like that with not the best
23:15
value. How do you like this game? Yeah? I love this game.
23:18
This is probably the game I'm looking to attack the most, probably gonna
23:22
want to have guys on both sides of it. Just two teams running really
23:26
tight rotations, especially on the Sun side of things. But I mean the
23:30
Kings, they've been really struggling defensively in twenty twenty four. Sons have been
23:34
pretty good. But the Kings, they're ranked twenty third in overall defensive rating.
23:38
They're allowing a ton of I think, the most three three pointers per
23:42
game in that stretch. Sons are allowing the sixth most since January first.
23:47
I mean, both these teams are slightly below average pick and roll defenses,
23:51
and they have above average pick and roll ball handlers on the opposing side.
23:56
See I like this game a lot start On the King side, Demonta Sabona
24:00
has been crushing all year long, especially as of late. You know,
24:04
he's been a triple double machine. He's played really well against this the Suns
24:08
team he's had the last two time, last two times he seems faced off,
24:12
went for sixty two point eight fifty eight point five DK points. Yeah,
24:17
he's probably one of my favorite spend up options tonight. Love him.
24:21
I think Daron Fox I want to I want to be into him, just
24:25
because the price tag is really low and this is a good spot for him.
24:26
I'd like to attack the Suns team. They only have a lot of
24:30
great on ball defenders. Did get a little bit better with the addition of
24:33
Roysal O'Neil, but I don't know how many minutes he's gonna realistically play with
24:37
his second game with the team. But yeah, it's a really good price
24:40
tag for Fox. A good matchup. Just a range of alcoms has been
24:42
really wide for him. He's played really well against this Phoenix team, gone
24:47
for fifty one plus in all three meetings this season. He has four games
24:52
removed from a sixty three point DK performance performance game. But I mean the
24:57
range of ALcom has been really wide. Five of his last eleven games gone
25:00
below thirty four DK points. That's just not going to cut it at Ak.
25:04
I like this game environment a lot, so I'm probably going to have
25:07
a lot of him, But I don't I mean, I'm a little bit
25:10
a little bit nervous about it. Malik Monk been playing great as of late
25:12
as well. Four of his five last game's gone above forty DK points.
25:15
Good matchup for him for all the reasons I mentioned With Fox. I think
25:19
that if Fox is struggling at all could be could be Monk that's going to
25:22
pick up some more of an offensive workload. Keegan Murray looks like a really
25:26
solid value option at five point one. K mentioned how the Suns have given
25:30
up a lot of three point shooters in the new year. I think that
25:33
he's a really solid value option this game. I guess we'd have to touch
25:38
on the Trey Lyle stuff because he's been somebody's getting around eighteen to twenty minutes
25:44
a night. He's been seeing actually more than that lately past four games.
25:47
Twenty one plus in all those games. I mean, that's a lot of
25:51
minutes vacated by a backup, especially not having sash if his en cove in
25:55
there. They'd be pretty thin at the in their front court, so you
26:00
probably see more minutes out of Keegan Murray and Harrison Bronson. They could kind
26:03
of spread it out that way. But yeah, that it's definitely something to
26:07
monitor on the Phoenix side of things. Really like the spot for both KD
26:12
and Booker, probably MAXI one of them. I think I slightly lean Devin
26:15
Booker in this one. I just like the like the spot. He's he's
26:19
more of the pick and roll guy more of the three point shooter as well,
26:23
So I think I'm gonna lean lean Booker here as well. But I
26:26
think they're both totally fine spind up options, and they're looking at really low
26:30
ownership eight percent for KD around five percent for Devin Booker. I mean it's
26:36
kind of a solid pivot too, because Bradley Beal looking at twenty plus percent
26:40
depending where you're looking, and you know, he's been playing really well,
26:42
so I don't want to knock him at all. Three of his last four
26:45
game has been above forty five point five DK points, But that seems like
26:48
a good, good lever spot to go up to the spend up options in
26:52
the in the same game on the same team. So that's probably what I'll
26:56
be looking to do. And then I think Grayson Allen kind of makes some
26:59
sense of point one k He's played really well all season long. The Kings
27:02
are, you know, one of the worst three point shoot three point defenses
27:04
in the league right now. Last time these teams faced off, he showed
27:07
huge upside, went for fifty five point five DK points on nine to fourteen
27:11
shooting from deep. So I think that he he makes some options kind of
27:15
a pivot to some of these guys in that low five K range, he's
27:17
looking at pretty much no ownership, right right, Yeah, I mean I
27:22
like the studs in this game by far the most. You get Sabonus Fox
27:25
out Max one, KD Booker Max one. I think I do Lean Booker
27:30
with you, but man KD. These past games definitely a lot more aggressive
27:33
minutes have been upper thirties putting up points. So I picked both these studs.
27:38
Like, if you run a Sabonus Fox or KD like one on each
27:44
side in this game, play the Miami value, that'll be pretty low owned.
27:48
I think he get Murray Monk a fine too. I think this game
27:51
is pretty interesting like you, but I don't want to You had some interesting
27:55
grace and I don't know, like the Nurkices, Harrison Barnes, Kevin Hurders
27:59
of the world. I'm not really looking to the secondary pieces as much as
28:03
hoping one of these studs put up a big score. The Trey Lyles is
28:07
interesting though, because an Jonathan Isaac pivot Paul power Ford eligibility too. Lyles
28:12
has center eligibility going to be a fraction of the ownership, so I don't
28:15
mind that call there. I'm not sure how much better value is going to
28:19
get on this late, So yeah, I think he's interesting. A couple
28:25
of games left on the slate. Two games left on the slates. Next
28:27
one ten PM Eastern Timberwolves, Portland Trailblazers two thirteen total, Minnesota nine point
28:33
favorites. Injury reporting this one. Mike Conley is questionable. On the Portland
28:40
side, we have Scoot Henderson questionable. Malcolm Bragg did out Shade and Sharp
28:44
out. So there is some Q tags Scoot and Conley, and again like
28:48
if you want to backload, play some Miami value, play nothing else for
28:52
these last three games. I don't think that's the craziest thing. I think
28:56
all of these games are somewhat appealing. And if Conley's out or Scoots out
29:00
or like Lebron or a d somehow we're out, you'll get massive ownership right
29:06
there. So throw right to you on this one. Rio, any lean
29:08
on Conley, any lean on Scoot, Q tags and any interest in this
29:14
game, Yeah, I would lean. Conley probably out tonight with it being
29:18
a back to back seen him kind of. You know, they're very very
29:22
cautious with their their old veterans, so it makes sense to give him a
29:26
night off in a game against the Trailblazers, who you know, they should
29:30
be able to handle them pretty easily, so I would expect him to sit
29:33
tonight. We've seen Nika Alexander Walker been the guy that steps up, but
29:37
they haven't had Monty Morris in those games, so you know, if they
29:41
wanted to run with their prototypical type point guard Monty Morris at three K.
29:47
I mean, even as it stands right now, it looks like a like
29:48
a fine enough value if that allows you to get up to Giannis. I
29:52
mean, he's mint priced. He's going to see teens minutes and with with
29:56
the upside for more if Conley were to miss. But yeah, all these
30:00
guys in the value the value side on the Minnesota looked decent. I mean,
30:03
Carl Anderson three point four k, Nikolexander Walker three point three k is
30:07
gonna be really good if he's starting good positional stuff, shooting guard, small
30:11
forward, and then Monty Morris. But yeah, I mean this game should
30:15
just should be a pretty big blowout. I don't see a line, but
30:18
I'm guessing it's double digits if you have that side nine, but some of
30:22
these aren't even updated. Sitting right about there. Okay, yeah, but
30:29
Anthony Edwards looking at a really good spot for him. He's been playing really
30:32
well as of late. Scored no less than forty five DK points in four
30:36
straight games, had a couple of tough matchups in there as well. The
30:40
Blazers are bottom three rim protection this season, bottom two transition defense, and
30:44
averaging over eight points per game at the rim. He's the top transition scorer
30:48
on the wolf side of things. I like him a lot in the mid
30:49
tier option eight point five K has a ton of upside. The Corinthon to
30:52
Towns is totally fine as well, slightly lean with Anto and then Rudy Gobert
31:00
been playing really solid. He provides a really solid floor at this this price
31:04
tag, score no less than thirty eighty K points and six of his last
31:07
seven games. Blazers are a bottom three DVP to centers as well. They're
31:11
also allowing the most blocks and steals per game to opposing centers. I think
31:17
that Ridy Gobert has some upside at this price tag as well, and I
31:21
think the Blazers are kind of just a full fad right now. Unless we
31:22
get some some more value. Yeah, I don't know. I mean Scoot
31:27
Henderson, I don't know if it's enough to to really move the needle.
31:30
Maybe you see, I mean we had Ashton Haggins get a start over the
31:33
weekend. He played played pretty bad, but I mean three point six k.
31:37
I don't think you could really do much worse. So yeah, this
31:42
game is definitely my least favorite game this afternoon window. Like I didn't love
31:45
Boston Brooklyn match, Okay, Si Ortlanto watch Milwaukee, Miami's my favorite game,
31:51
Sacramento Phoenix, Second Sea Trett Lakers game we're about to talk to,
31:55
last game the night third. This game just falls in there. So yeah,
32:00
I mean you liked ant. I think that's probably my favorite play in
32:02
this game. I think it go Beayer's fine commedy news like a gnaw.
32:07
Maybe it opens up something like that a little bit. But I'm not backloading
32:10
just for that news fest stuff hits, it hits, But I'm porzingis is
32:15
the biggest news on the slate and Duncan Robinson actually Duncan for sure that game
32:21
is thirty minutes after. But assuming I'm assuming Lebron ad play, you're assuming
32:25
that I'm not backloading for these so porzingis and duncan news early and then after
32:30
that I'll just adjust how I can. Of course, our projections will be
32:34
updated, any core report changes will be updated, and then run your teams
32:37
run the late swap. There is what I'm doing tonight, and we will
32:40
have this last game of the night. Detroit Lakers showed on content from our
32:45
man. Rio got his rankings, core report and then a slate plan.
32:49
Always attacking the slate, so always money to be made. If you can't
32:52
play these first games in late swap, maybe just play that at the nights
32:55
late something like that. Last game of the night, Rio Detroit pissed Los
33:00
Angeles Lakers two forty one total, Lakers ten and a half point favorites.
33:05
And also it was eight and a half points right now is the Timberules are
33:07
favorite on DK. Injury news in this one Lakers side again, Lebron Q
33:14
tag, Anthony Davis questionable, Jared Vanderbilts out for Detroit, Isaiah Stewart's out.
33:20
No injury news there. In terms of ownership in this game, I
33:22
do think Ad does get some ownership. Just center eligible, good spot.
33:28
I mean it's a good spot for pretty much everone on the Lakers. Can
33:30
the games stay close is the question. I do think ad gets some Jalen
33:36
Duran, two good centers in this play in this game, get some ownership
33:39
as well. But what are you doing? Yeah? I like this game
33:44
a lot. I think has some sneaky game stack potential even with it being
33:46
a double digit spread. We obviously know the Pistons one of the worst teams
33:51
in the league, one of the worst defenses in the league. They've been
33:52
a team we've been looking to attack all year long in DFS. But I
33:57
mean they're running some pretty tiretations right now out so I mean they have some
34:01
value pieces, you know, post straight post trade deadline stuff. We could
34:05
see them running even tighter. Lakers going to be adding Spencer Dinwiddie into the
34:08
mix, so that might take a little bit of upside off the guards like
34:12
d Low and Reeves, but Adie and Lebron are in really good spots here.
34:15
Pistons have been one of the worst room defenses in the league all season.
34:19
Along their bottom three and twenty twenty four they allowed the most points per
34:22
game to pick and roll roll men. So that makes Anthony Davis a really
34:24
really strong option tonight for me. I like him. Him and some bonus
34:29
probably my two favorite spend ups probably have to only choose one with them both
34:31
both being centered eligible unless we get some value elsewhere. But yeah, I
34:37
expect them to play, and I expect him to have a really really big
34:38
game here against Jalen DURAN think Lebron James is a fine option in this range.
34:44
He's going to have a lot more ownership than Nathon Davis just with the
34:46
positional eligibility stuff coming in, and I'm seeing around double digit projected ownership to
34:52
Anthony Davis, So I would probably like to find the money to get up
34:57
to AD. I just think the upside's a lot bigger for a d in
34:59
the spot. But I think that Lebron is kind of a He's a fine
35:02
option probably for Tatum to him as well, But yeah, I would not
35:07
mind him. And then I don't really want to mess with the secondary guys,
35:10
just with the unknown of you know what, Spencer Didnwoodie He's going to
35:15
bring to the rotation, probably going to take a lot of the minutes upside
35:19
off of guys like danel Russ, Austin Reeves and they're they're really expensive right
35:22
now, so I would probably looking to get away from that. And then
35:24
on the Detroit side, like the spot a lot for Kaid been looking to
35:28
attack the Lakers with guards all season long. They don't have any really good
35:31
on ball defenders. Kid. Minutes or minutes restriction looks to be lifted right
35:37
now. Saw thirty five and thirty nine minutes in his last two games.
35:42
With all these all these injuries and all these trades, Kid has a thirty
35:45
one percent usage rate with all these guys off the court forty four point seven
35:50
nine DK points per thirty six minutes. So I think that he's a pretty
35:52
strong option at seven point eight K. Doesn't look like he's coming in with
35:55
a lot of ownership either. Jalen Duran seven point one K. He's kind
36:00
of chalky at this range. I will probably look to get away from it.
36:02
This is just a really tough matchup for him. I could see him
36:05
getting into foul trouble pretty quickly having to guard Anthony Davis. But he's shown
36:09
really big upside in a couple of matchups. You know, went for sixty
36:13
plus against Portland, sixty against Oklahoma City, which is a pretty tough matchup.
36:19
I would be a little bit a little bit cautious about him tonight going
36:22
up against Anthony Davis, Jade and Ivy playing a ton of minutes right now,
36:24
seems to have gotten the nod from Monty Williams. He's trusted now,
36:30
so I think that he's a fine option. Apparently it's his birthday today too,
36:32
so if you want to buy into the narrative stuff, Jay and Iy
36:36
only six point seven K playing huge minutes in a pretty pretty solid matchup.
36:42
And then Asar Thompson I think is a decent value option four point nine K.
36:47
Not the worst spot for him if he can avoid foul trouble. Not
36:50
sure if they're going to put him on Lebron James or not, but the
36:52
Lakers they do struggle with their transition defense, so this seems like a spot
36:55
that Asar could have a little bit of success in. I think that he's
36:59
fine at four point nine K. And then the last guy I'll mention is
37:00
Simone Fontechio, my ex Utah Jazz. But he he got moved over to
37:07
Detroit, played thirty two minutes in his first game over there. The projection
37:10
systems might be pretty slow to react to trade News. So you know,
37:14
he's looking like a negative value right now. But he played thirty two minutes
37:17
kind of a you know, slotted in guy. If you take away Bogdanovic,
37:22
they have very similar games. Obviously, Fontekio not nearly as good,
37:24
but you know, he's a catch and shoot guy, has a little bit
37:28
of rebounding upside. Lakers are allowing the six most points to catch and shoot
37:31
shooters right now. So I have a little bit of interest in Fontachio at
37:36
four point seven K. We've seen him have some pretty pretty big games around
37:38
that price tag. Yeah, I'm glad you mentioned him. I was going
37:42
to bring him up, like twenty five percent use of the Drake steps in
37:45
nineteen field goal at times nine threes. Dude was just choking And yeah,
37:51
I mean he closed like he didn't start the game. Someone asked if Simone
37:54
start really starting over Thompson. I do not think so. They started Thompson
37:59
last time, but man, Fintechio came in, finished the game, played
38:02
the whole fourth quarter. He played the last like, yeah, I mean
38:07
pretty much the whole second half, didn't start the third quarter, came in
38:09
at like almost a seven minute mark. I played the whole half after that,
38:14
So definitely like fintechio, Caid's playing a bunch of minutes, Ivy's playing
38:19
minutes, Duran's playing minutes. I think all those guys fine. Mouscala starts,
38:22
he gets nothing. What are your thoughts on Troy Brown? He did
38:25
it and last game got more second half minutes than first half minutes? Mind
38:30
price three K. I'm a slate. You give me sixteen and fifteen at
38:35
three K. I think I think that's fine. So thoughts on him,
38:37
and then thoughts on yeah, Williams running about Troy Brown two, then thoughts
38:42
on Sasser he had a Monster Game two, Killian Hayes out of town,
38:45
couldn't get him traded Monster Game two games ago. That was though a couple
38:50
of days ago. Man forgot we were in Phoenix. That was the last
38:52
time I played. I remember him dropping a forty two spot. Yeah.
38:58
I think some people were pretty excited to see him get some more run just
39:00
with with them trading away or getting rid of killing Hayes. But there wasn't
39:05
really a lot of overlap between him and Kid, so I don't really know
39:08
what the what the true ceiling for him is. We know that he's a
39:12
you know, really solid player when he's given the minutes. But I think
39:15
as long as kid is fully healthy and playing, I don't think that the
39:19
minute ceiling is there for Sasser. Yeah, good shout on Troy Brown Junior
39:22
whoever mentioned him in chat. I think that if you need, you need
39:25
him in price guy small for power Ford eligible. Definitely could see him getting
39:30
some more minutes in this game. Kind of known as a pretty solid defender.
39:32
Maybe they throw him out there for some minutes on Lebron tonight. So
39:37
I think that he's probably an okay option at three K, coming with a
39:40
little bit of ownership. I think that's fine. Though I did want to
39:44
mention the Fontech he was starting over Asar. I don't think that he's going
39:49
to start over Star. If he did start, it would probably be Mike
39:52
Muscala. I mean, Mescala is playing like, you know, ten minutes
39:54
twelve minutes as a starter, So I wouldn't even like overreact to it too
39:58
much. If Fontek he is not starting, but they're gonna they're gonna start
40:01
giving him more minutes. Yeah, that's that's kind of how I'm approaching this
40:06
one though. Yeah, yeah, he got third even start last game either.
40:08
I wouldn't worry about that at all. Ownership looks fine too. Did
40:12
you say any thing about d Russ or Lebron? Like Lebron is a pivot
40:15
off of a d at much higher ownership nine to six or d Russ a
40:21
fine price tagas seven three. Yeah, I preferred uh Anthony Davis Lebron for
40:27
for the ownership discount six indred cheaper better or six hundred more expensive excuse me,
40:31
or five hundred sorry I can't do math right now. Do you think
40:35
you think Lebron's gonna be higher on than AD? Yeah? I do.
40:39
I mean just the positional stuff. Center is a pretty you know, tough
40:43
position to spend up at all the time. You have some pretty solid options
40:45
at the center option or the center spots tonight with Bam, with sibonas.
40:50
So I do think that Ad probably and I mean Rudy Gobertto and during all
40:52
getting some ownership as well. Yeah, I think that. I think he
40:58
comes in a lot less ownership or more ownership. Yeah, most definitely.
41:05
Yeah, I'm not quite convinced. Maybe it's who knows what it will be
41:08
anyway, Senator's absolutely loaded. There's no doubt about that him just being center
41:13
Elogeal. You said, Simonus, there's Gobert during BAM like love is a
41:16
value that gets you there. So Centator's definitely loading. I think to center
41:21
night is strong on plenty of teams for sure. That was all seven games
41:25
on the slate or six games, excuse me, all six games on the
41:29
slate again, we'll get this porzingis news seven thirty Eastern, thirty minutes later
41:34
than usual's lock That Duncan Robinson news is very important as well, And I'm
41:37
just gonna be sitting back expecting these ads to play wait for Conley. I
41:43
mean, projections will be updated. You need projections in NBA dfs. They're
41:46
updated before the lock times after the news. You need them. Plug it
41:51
in like if ad is out, we get a weird starting lineup somewhere.
41:54
Definitely. First thing, go to projections core report for reo changes. Hey
41:59
is if I change cash, It's updated in yellow, constantly refresh throughout the
42:02
nights. Knee projections, we got them Core reports. You only have three
42:07
minutes, five minutes. You need something to look at quick. You can
42:10
check it out. Check out rios. You know he does put in the
42:13
time. We don't want you just playing core plays though ceiling rankings, correlation
42:16
tools. Discord. You can ask a lot of questions. Rio does a
42:21
great job in the NBA. Discord Golf going on Thursday, djens over here,
42:24
NASCAR Daytona, we have Nascar now, be a lot of fun over
42:30
here, and the price doesn't go up at all. Cheapest price in the
42:32
industry, best content chip a Nation dot Com weekly monthly six months and you
42:38
will check it out. Rio. Final thoughts with the people before we get
42:43
on out of here. This is just a nice, nice appetizer slate for
42:49
the main course tomorrow. We got the thirteen games we got to talk about.
42:52
Hopefully they can split it up and make it a little bit easier on
42:53
us, But expecting a big slate tomorrow, so we'll be nice and prepared
42:58
for that. Be a lot of exciting st up on the horizon. Also
43:01
our weekend, nice little break going on, all the PGA Nascar stuff that
43:06
you mentioned. Definitely a good time to get in to become a member.
43:09
Discord definitely pays for itself as well. So yeah, looking forward to what
43:15
the future hasn't store for us. Dji fifteen gets you fifteen percent of what's
43:20
going on. Matthew Ivy birthday narrative. Aubrey in here great, so we
43:24
appreciate that. Sean Sullivan, Hope everybody out there has a great night.
43:29
DAYTONA five hundred jakes excited for that's win some cash tonight ship a Nation logos
43:34
up top for real untitled town, be safe, good luck tonight. Neither
44:01
have nstems. Have them still and music and then the ast