Latest / AST SpaceMobile Podcast / Anpanman - Europe SatCo JV, AI Data Centers, Launch Time
Transcript
- 0:06This is the AST Space Mobile podcast and.
- 0:10We just basically turn the phone be seamless regardless of where
- 0:14you are. We don't want the user even to
- 0:16know that it's connected by satellite.
- 0:21Listen, the opportunity that we have is very, very, very large.
- 0:24Large. Hey, what's up everyone?
- 0:28Hope you guys can hear me. I'm going to bring Jacob up here
- 0:32too. I can hear you.
- 0:38So someone, yeah, I can hear you too.
- 0:41So someone was saying, oh, you're going to front run Kook's
- 0:43face. Yes, I am.
- 0:45Or we are. It's going to be like we're
- 0:49going to we're going to go through Kook's tweet thread for
- 0:52the week and then when he comes on, he won't have anything to
- 0:55say. It's almost like that rap battle
- 0:58in an 8 Mile when Eminem takes fun of himself and then the the
- 1:03guys he goes up against, they, they have nothing to say.
- 1:06But no. I just figured we'd talk 'cause
- 1:09there's like so much stuff going on and then Kook's space is so
- 1:12late. I thought we could have a pre
- 1:15show like Tailgate before the big, the big show, the event.
- 1:20So anyway, Jake, how you doing? Are you walking your dog?
- 1:30Oh, I guess he lucked anyway. But yeah, I I know Kook is going
- 1:36to cover some of this stuff, but yeah, there's been a lot of
- 1:38stuff going on just over the course of today, but also this
- 1:43past week. And so I just wanted to talk a
- 1:45little bit about some of the stuff that happened today, which
- 1:49is kind of nuts. Let's see if it comes back and
- 1:54bring it back up. But yeah, this morning.
- 1:57So I guess starting yesterday and then really, I guess peeking
- 2:04today, but who knows where this is going to go.
- 2:08Elon Musk has just been hammering the EUI get you know,
- 2:12he's he's obviously upset about the fact find that they levied
- 2:16on him. And you know, I'm not, I'm not
- 2:19going to get into the politics of it, but is probably most
- 2:24people have seen this is a pretty bullish development for
- 2:28AST space mobile. And you could argue for Rocket
- 2:32Lab and, and any, basically any other space player that is not
- 2:36named SpaceX or within the the SpaceX complex.
- 2:40But but yeah, Ilan, you know, he speaks his mind, you know, good
- 2:46for him. He's a pretty political dude.
- 2:48And so he this morning was retweeting, you know, some
- 2:55content that basically likened the EU to Nazi Germany.
- 3:01And then, you know, he's talking about abolishing the EU.
- 3:05And, yeah, I mean, again, not going to the politics of it.
- 3:10But the key thing, the reason why people, you know that this
- 3:15is caught people's attention is that for those that don't know,
- 3:20ASD Space Mobile has this joint venture that they recently
- 3:24formed with Vodafone earlier this year.
- 3:28It's called Satco JV. And the way that that joint
- 3:32venture is structured is that it's, it's controlled and
- 3:37primarily and has majority ownership by European entities,
- 3:40primarily Vodafone. And eventually once other
- 3:44European MN OS are brought on board, you know they're probably
- 3:47going to take some ownership taken in as well.
- 3:49But ESDC Mobile's probably my guess will end up being a 49%
- 3:55economic owner, but then in terms of voting control be a
- 3:59minority. And so for all intents and
- 4:01purposes, that entity is is European controlled, European
- 4:05owned. When the consolation goes over
- 4:09Europe, that entity will have sovereign control over
- 4:13consolation. And so they'll have a kill
- 4:16switch as they call it. And they'll have the ability to,
- 4:19you know, beam down service, cut off service, you know, run the
- 4:22data, all that stuff. But yeah, I think the key thing
- 4:28and you're seeing, you know, this this reaction from AST
- 4:33Space Mobile folks and and Cooke, we'll talk more about
- 4:35this later, but this is almost kind of like the Trump Trump
- 4:42tantrum between Trump and Elan. You know, this is like 2 point O
- 4:46when when obviously that that relationship kind of soured.
- 4:49And then you saw AST Space Mobile and Rocket Lab, you know,
- 4:54rally significantly when, when that that relationship kind of
- 4:57broke down. And as we say, I, I tweeted this
- 5:00before, but some of the stuff that Elan has been putting out
- 5:03there about the year, like you can't the genies not of the
- 5:07bottle, like you can't put that stuff back in.
- 5:09And what's been done is done and can't be undone.
- 5:13And so why that's important is that EU regulators are going to,
- 5:19you know, your next year there's going to be a ton of regulatory
- 5:22activity on what to do in terms of allocating MSS spectrum over
- 5:30Europe. And Echostar has their renewal
- 5:34coming up. I forget exactly if it's like 15
- 5:37by 15 megahertz or maybe it's 10 by 10.
- 5:39But but yeah, they're going to go to regulators and say, hey,
- 5:42we're, we're well positioned to, you know, serve Europe and we're
- 5:47going to do that with Starlink. And so please give us an
- 5:51spectrum allocation back. And and then I think the
- 5:53regulators are going to look at them and say, well, first of
- 5:56all, you've done nothing with it for the last, I forgot how long
- 5:59the concession was. I think it was like 18 years.
- 6:02You've done nothing with it. And and now you're in partnering
- 6:05with this, this company and this guy who basically says we
- 6:09shouldn't exist. So why should we give it to you?
- 6:12That's going to be really tough hill to climb.
- 6:15And I think it's also important to note that that Echostar, the
- 6:21transaction that they entered into with SpaceX is actually
- 6:25just for US Spectrum. So I know and it's a little,
- 6:29it's been a little unclear when you, when you hear like Echostar
- 6:34talk about it and SpaceX and it takes, you know, some digging
- 6:37through the Spectrum purchase agreement.
- 6:40But that deal is only for US Spectrum.
- 6:43It's not for global Spectrum now obviously and that's AWS 4, AWS
- 6:483 and parts of the H block. And so when SpaceX paid $19
- 6:54billion for that slug, first slug with Spectrum, that's just
- 6:58for US. And then they paid another over
- 7:00the 2 to 3 billion for some AWS 3.
- 7:04But SpaceX is actually in the same shoes as us.
- 7:07They actually need to go around the world and by either Wheeling
- 7:12and dealing with with companies that already own spectrum or
- 7:18perhaps entering partnerships with them or going to regulators
- 7:21and procuring spectrum, whether that includes some amount of
- 7:25money or commitments or sometimes that's just free
- 7:29there. It's going to be kind of a a
- 7:32jump ball situation. It's a it's a race right for for
- 7:35all these parties to go get spectrum.
- 7:37That said, just to give you an idea of like what that could
- 7:41look like, Saudi Telecom who entered into a 10 year, you
- 7:47know, M&O agreement, definitive agreement with us for $1.8
- 7:51billion, minimum 175,000,000 prepaid revenue and there's
- 7:55minimum revenue commitments there.
- 7:56They actually already owned 'cause they, they won this
- 8:01through an auction, they already owned 60 megahertz of S band
- 8:04spectrum. That's right.
- 8:05Yeah, S band spectrum and they, and by the way, like L band
- 8:10spectrum in Saudi Arabia is not even allocated.
- 8:13And so in that instance, we're already partnered with the MNO
- 8:17that owns all the S band spectrum in the country.
- 8:22And and that spectrum is for satellite use.
- 8:25And so if you put one-on-one together that, that 60 megahertz
- 8:29is going to be brought to bear with our constellation, which is
- 8:32why I think Saudi telecom, you know, uses this.
- 8:34So it's strategic and and so and that doesn't include the L band
- 8:40spectrum, which again, hasn't been allocated yet.
- 8:43So I think I mean, that's kind of the danger.
- 8:47Like Ilan clearly is a super smart guy and and can execute
- 8:51and inspires people around him, but but he's super political
- 8:55too, right? And so if you can imagine, if
- 8:59you're on the regulatory team, like I think Dave Goldman, it's
- 9:03SpaceX, you know, he's the famous guy who called AST space
- 9:07mobile own. He called out the foreign
- 9:12partners giving SpaceX a hard time in, in one of his complaint
- 9:17letters. And obviously we all found that
- 9:19funny because Deutsche Telekom or, or you know, Spacex's key
- 9:23partner, T-Mobile is like, you know, owned by Deutsche Telekom,
- 9:28which is a foreign entity. And you know, there's like
- 9:30political, there's been some political hey, about whether or
- 9:33not it makes sense for a German company to own such a a large
- 9:37quantum of US spectrum, which is highly strategic.
- 9:40But we're not going to talk about that anyway.
- 9:43Quick question, quick point of clarification.
- 9:46So the spectrum that they that startling Hardy is using for the
- 9:51fixed wireless, do you know, off the top of your head, which I
- 9:55mean, that's like upper that's like 3030 thousand plus, right,
- 9:58or 3000 plus, right. OK, so that that that's it's a
- 10:02similar like path through all the regulatory environments,
- 10:05right. And so I'm wondering, I guess my
- 10:07my only question was, is that SpaceX have some sort of leg up
- 10:09there in the sense the company has already gone through regard,
- 10:13you know, take Elon on an equation just just at what they
- 10:15already have. Does that is that lean to the
- 10:18idea that it's going to be at least somewhat easier for them
- 10:21to get this next bands of spectrum for direction of ice?
- 10:26That's a good question that it could ease it a bit for
- 10:31countries where they already service KA and K band spectrum,
- 10:35which is what you're talking about, which is much higher.
- 10:37It's it's, you know, high, high band spectrum.
- 10:40But when it comes to MSSI think in particular, and that this is
- 10:45primarily for Europe. I I just the fact that Echostar
- 10:49and SpaceX and the lawn are tied at the hip.
- 10:52I think they just, I think literally the last few days kind
- 10:56of estimated any hope to get that renewal.
- 11:00That said, it's not as if SpaceX owns that spectrum 'cause that
- 11:05that spectrum in Europe was not included in the transaction.
- 11:09And so one, one thing that I'm actually, and this is like for
- 11:13any Echostar bulls, this is something to really think about
- 11:17'cause I, this morning when I saw these tweets, I was like, Oh
- 11:19my God, this could be a good shorting opportunity for
- 11:21Echostar. But then when I looked at the
- 11:24deal docs, it's like, OK, it's not contingent on this.
- 11:27But you know, if I guess taking this step back, if you were
- 11:32SpaceX and you did this Echostar deal and you, you paid a nice
- 11:36price for the US spectrum, you, you probably have ambitions and,
- 11:40and you're talking to Charlie Oregon and Oregon's obviously
- 11:42very incentivized to work with you because he's going to own a
- 11:45lot of SpaceX stock. Your, your next plan is to go
- 11:50get that European spectrum right.
- 11:53And, and the key thing of course is renewal because, and this is
- 11:56kind of like how all these things come together and it's
- 11:59important that renewal's in May 2027.
- 12:03If you look at the transaction, the deal, the deal doesn't close
- 12:08actually until 2027, which I think lines up with the maturity
- 12:12of some of its debt. But there's, it's like a 2 step
- 12:15deal where the, the US spectrum gets put into her trust and then
- 12:20it, it's there, you know, this regular by the way, it's like
- 12:23for Echostar, the regulatory process to actually get this
- 12:26spectrum approved back from terrestrial to, you know,
- 12:33satellite use, space use is, is a very long road.
- 12:36And then on top of that, it's not, I think previously the, the
- 12:42spectrum was approved for maybe it was like GO use, but now they
- 12:45have to get it approved for Leo. So moving back from terrestrial
- 12:49to set space and then from space from GO to to Leo.
- 12:53And so there's a lot of steps there.
- 12:54And so as a reminder, like this stuff, the, the, the deal is
- 12:58actually not going to close until 2027.
- 13:00And that's what they've guided people to.
- 13:02I think it's like November 2027. And so part of me was like when
- 13:05I was reading this stuff, seeing what Ilan is writing on, it's
- 13:08like, oh, you know what, like SpaceX basically has this
- 13:11transaction is an option. It's an option, the transaction
- 13:15with Echostar is an option to see if they'll get regulatory
- 13:20approval. But then within that time frame,
- 13:22you're going to have the European reallocation process
- 13:26happen. And you're going to know before
- 13:28the deal this, you know, the current deal closes, whether or
- 13:30not Echostar is going to get that spectrum.
- 13:32And so that's actually pretty the deal is not contingent on on
- 13:37the European spectrum getting reallocated.
- 13:40But if you're SpaceX, you might have some level of buyer's
- 13:43remorse or say, hey, you know what, Charlie?
- 13:44Like part of the not in written, but our verbal green was like,
- 13:49you were going to get that European spectrum, you didn't
- 13:52get it. And so maybe we'll cut the price
- 13:54or whatever it is, right? And so that's something to be
- 13:57aware of it because the transaction is structured in a
- 13:59weird way, like it's the deals not closing until 20 late 2027.
- 14:03And so you're going to have this risk of Europe not giving
- 14:07Echostar that allocation, which technically is not part of this
- 14:11deal, but it is. I would argue it is part of the
- 14:14deal. But then, you know, if I'm
- 14:16urgent, I'm like, hey, you guys, Elan's warpath against the EU,
- 14:22Kibosh our ability to get the renewal.
- 14:25And then and then, you know, you might get into this huge
- 14:27argument. I, I guess I would say is that
- 14:30in terms of if you want to do a deal with somebody an M and a
- 14:35deal that has a very long tail on it in terms of timing.
- 14:39You know, Elon Musk may not be the best partner because we all
- 14:42saw that with Twitter where how he threatened to cut the price
- 14:45or walk away. But of course, that deal got
- 14:48enforced in the courts and then you decided to just go through
- 14:50with the deal. And I'm not saying that's going
- 14:51to happen here, but it's a consideration.
- 14:54I think as the political he turns up political rhetoric with
- 14:59the EU, the ability to you get that renewal, the risk goes up.
- 15:04And then I think also just getting MSS spectrum globally,
- 15:08that risk goes up as well because you're dealing with
- 15:10someone who one day is supporting one political party,
- 15:14the next day might be sort of reporting another one and and
- 15:17undermining your country, right, Because he's got a a huge social
- 15:21media platform to do so. And you saw that in spades
- 15:25today. So anyway, I mean, yeah, it's,
- 15:29it's, but it's super bullish for AST because I think, you know,
- 15:33Iris probably gets some allocation of MSS spectrum.
- 15:36And then if you've got like Vodafone and a bunch of European
- 15:42carriers like Orang and you know, Altice and then and
- 15:47Telefonica, a whole host of other carriers come come to you
- 15:51and say, hey, we want allocation of this.
- 15:53And and by the way, like this consolation is going out and
- 15:56it's going to go up well before Iris ever even starts putting
- 16:00together a solar panel. Then I think that's pretty
- 16:04compelling, right? And and it's European.
- 16:06It's you're going to create Sacco JV is going to be a
- 16:09European champion, right? And it's going to be able to
- 16:11provide consumers with connectivity and it's going to
- 16:15ensure from a military point of view in defense, you know, a
- 16:21communications capability, whether it's, well, not just
- 16:23communications, but other non communications capabilities that
- 16:27will, you know, help help the continent defend itself against
- 16:31Russia or whoever else. But but on the flip side, you
- 16:35know, there there is that I'm sure Europeans still be some,
- 16:39some concerns and, and about the fact that the company that this
- 16:42consultation will be shared with US and the company is, you know,
- 16:46it's it's AUS company. But, but I think you can
- 16:50structure around that where at least you will have sovereign
- 16:53control when it's over Europe. And you know, you'll ring fence,
- 16:57you'll you'll ring fence the the technology such that it's not
- 17:02it's not going to be, you're not going to have these conflicts.
- 17:04But anyway, but yeah, that's that that's something to keep an
- 17:08eye out. And I don't know, it seems like
- 17:12that whole, the whole European versus Ilan is like going to get
- 17:17worse. And so in a perverse way, like
- 17:22that's better for us. And quite candidly, it's like
- 17:25for every space company, like if you're if you're Rocket Lab or
- 17:30some of these other companies that are competing with SpaceX
- 17:32for business outside the US, that it just opens more daylight
- 17:37for you to go pursue contracts. As I think the bigger
- 17:43controversy that that Elon kind of, you know, musters up like
- 17:47that's that's going to give governments and private
- 17:50interests, it's going to give them a second thought.
- 17:53But yeah, so. Real quick, last, last thing on
- 17:57the spectrum. I can't I'm trying to, I was
- 17:59trying to look it up while you're talking, but somebody
- 18:02early maybe beginning of summer or something like that or over
- 18:04the summer talked about it was there's a basically that the EU
- 18:07regulators stated or somebody expert in the field say there's
- 18:11no presumption of renewal. So especially for something like
- 18:14Echostar, like who hasn't who's had this spectrum license for
- 18:16what 10 years plus or whatever it's been and then they haven't
- 18:19actually done anything with it. Like there, there was AI don't
- 18:23know. It's, I almost feel like that's
- 18:24going to cause like them to be pissed off like, well, you know,
- 18:27you've had this, you've had this spectrum for however long and
- 18:30now and you know, you didn't do anything with it.
- 18:31Why should we renew it or give it to you for renewal?
- 18:33I don't know, just to I, I wish I could find a reference, but I
- 18:36felt like it was probably you or somebody in ASD that definitely
- 18:39like shared it this summer. Yeah, no, that, that's right.
- 18:43I mean they haven't they haven't done anything with anything with
- 18:45it. And so and then I think Biasats,
- 18:48the other player they, they provide with some of the MSS
- 18:52spectrum they have, they actually provide airlines with
- 18:54connectivity. But then funny enough, Starlink
- 18:57has actually started taking all that business in Europe.
- 19:00And so I'm not even sure they can justify keeping their
- 19:03allocation. But I think there's been there
- 19:07there the EU had asked participants who are, who are
- 19:11seeking spectrum, how would you divide it up?
- 19:14And I think it is going to be probably allocated to two or
- 19:17three players. But I, but I'm almost, it's
- 19:21almost guaranteed as my guess is that IRS will get the decent
- 19:24allocation. And then the key question is
- 19:26like, who else gets that? And I think, you know, AST makes
- 19:30a very compelling case. And I'd be surprised.
- 19:32I mean, I don't know if they will just completely lock out
- 19:35Echostar, but I'd be surprised that they get a large
- 19:38allocation. And if they do, if I were the
- 19:41regulators, I would, I would make it a requirement,
- 19:45obviously, that if Echostar ever decided to lease that spectrum
- 19:49or to sell it, that you would have the ability to, you know,
- 19:53basic effectively a poison pill, put a veto on it.
- 19:56And then if, if they weren't, if they're you might have like some
- 20:01kind of build out requirements or usage requirements.
- 20:03And if they don't, if they don't use it, then they lose it.
- 20:05And then, you know, that gets allocated to somebody else.
- 20:07But, but yeah, I, I 2026 in particular for that situation is
- 20:12going to be pretty damn interesting.
- 20:14And then, yeah. And then I guess Jacob, we can
- 20:18talk about like AI data, which is like the soup du jour.
- 20:23Yeah, yeah, that. I was like, I'm like, oh, we're
- 20:25gonna have a spectrum conversation.
- 20:27I was like, I'll try. Yeah, yeah.
- 20:30No, no, the, the a data centers, it's, it's kind of funny because
- 20:33I, I think I, I mentioned this before, but it, it's, it's like
- 20:39one of these when you look at like what Star Cloud proposed
- 20:41and I know and was great, by the way, everyone should go back.
- 20:44And I think it's like 3 weeks ago that Jacob hosted Star Cloud
- 20:48CEO. And so that was a pretty
- 20:50informative space. It was unfortunate one that,
- 20:53that I missed because I was at my son's soccer practice.
- 20:55But it's definitely going back, worth going back and listening
- 20:58to. But I think the key, one of the
- 21:00key things that the CEO talked about is or a key problem is,
- 21:04is, you know, dissipating heat and figuring out radiator
- 21:08solutions. And so that, but, but then, you
- 21:13know, as I was brushing my teeth, getting ready to, to do
- 21:17this space, it must have been brutal for this guy because and
- 21:20because we, we all faced it back in what was it September 2022,
- 21:25when, when it's like a we're leading, we're we're doing this
- 21:27thing. And then Elon comes out and
- 21:29says, I want to do it too. And then it just drops a hammer,
- 21:33which on the one hand, it's great because this the star
- 21:35cloud CEO, it's like he's gotten a ton of attention and followers
- 21:40and, and everyone's like, Oh my God, this is real.
- 21:42Just like me. When I kind of I saw the, the
- 21:45YouTube video of, of the architecture he's putting up and
- 21:48I was like, holy shit, that's like got Kessler syndrome
- 21:50written all over it. But then, but then because Elon
- 21:53Musk is, is talking about it and people are now doing work and
- 21:57and then they're realizing, oh, Google's been talking about this
- 22:00and everybody, you know, there's been this like discussion
- 22:02already. And he's kind of, I'm not saying
- 22:05Elon is like late to the game, but he's validated it by
- 22:08acknowledging like, Hey, SpaceX is going to do it.
- 22:10And of course, like it's perfect timing, right?
- 22:13Like he's the company is having a tender and they're going to
- 22:18buy back stock from they or well, they and then outside
- 22:21investors are going to buy stock from insiders and that's going
- 22:25to happen at an $800 billion valuation.
- 22:28There's it's not as if, you know, the timing of the whole
- 22:32idea of discussing data centers is perfect because it, it gets
- 22:35people, it gets people going, like they say.
- 22:37And, and I, what was that movie blaze of steel?
- 22:43You, you say something provocative to get people going
- 22:45And, and that's a identity data centers.
- 22:47I think it's, it's, it's kind of silly in the beginning when you,
- 22:50when you, when you start talking about it, But then when you go
- 22:52to the numbers and you, you think about the limited
- 22:55resources here on earth and how much stuff, it's how much, how
- 23:01much energy and cooling like water and things like that.
- 23:04It's going to take here. And, and the fact that, you
- 23:06know, if everyone's looking at their heating bill recently,
- 23:10it's like, oh, my electricity is, is going, is, is like
- 23:12gapping up and going straight. It's going vertical.
- 23:15It's not sustainable. And so, so at some point, and
- 23:20who knows, like this AI bubble, it's probably a bubble to a
- 23:23degree. And you're going to have like
- 23:24some pull back, but it's in this inexorable rise, like that's
- 23:28going to continue, whether you know, it pulls back and then
- 23:31keeps going up or a year from now, it does that.
- 23:33But it seems like that's going to be the trend.
- 23:35And so I, I think like, I think putting, so it's kind of, I
- 23:41think it's important to kind of separate two things, right?
- 23:44Like it's not as if data centers on Earth are going to be
- 23:48completely replaced with data centers in space, but I think
- 23:52for a particular applications, at least in the beginning.
- 23:54And we'll see where things go. But you know, we talked about
- 23:58this in one of the chats, I think with Jacob, where, yeah,
- 24:03if, if you're going to put up Golden Dome, you're going to
- 24:06need, you're going to need AI processing out in space.
- 24:10And that's going to have to be fully independent and cut off
- 24:16from Earth, right? Like if you want this golden
- 24:18Dome to be smart enough to like stop threats, it cannot be
- 24:21depended on anything down on Earth, right?
- 24:24Because those things on Earth, like if you need someone to make
- 24:28decisions or you have a data center on Earth that's going to
- 24:30enable, like it's got AI processors and it's going to
- 24:33enable a response. What if that data center's gone?
- 24:38You cannot rely on any ground infrastructure to be successful,
- 24:42right? For it to be resilient.
- 24:44Because in a conflict, if your adversary has already lit up a
- 24:49few of your cities and the data centers are there or they, they
- 24:53in a smart way, they target data centers on Earth.
- 24:57You know, maybe population centers aren't targets anymore.
- 24:59It's going to be infrastructure, right?
- 25:02Then you're going to need, you know, AI computing capacity out
- 25:07in the out, not in the cloud, but out in space.
- 25:10And so that's where, you know, when people look at star cloud,
- 25:14I know there's some folks who are like skeptical and like, Oh
- 25:17my gosh, that's five gigawatts. Like, no way.
- 25:19It's like, no, no, no, we're not that that's that's where they're
- 25:22out and we'll figure out. I mean, who knows?
- 25:23Technology is going to change. And yeah, I don't, I don't think
- 25:26we should be putting up massive structures like that in space
- 25:29because they probably already get smashed by a meteor or
- 25:33whatever it is, right? And then that's bad news for
- 25:35everybody. But, but you are going to need
- 25:38distributed computing out up in space.
- 25:41And you might need, you know, I joked about like a data bird,
- 25:45right? But but it imagine like an ASD
- 25:48space mobile Bluebird, but you take out all the antenna
- 25:51elements, you replace the ASICS or Fpgas that are focused on
- 25:56signal processing, beamforming and doing all those
- 25:59calculations. You replace those with GPUs or
- 26:04Tpus. But you have got, you know, Elon
- 26:05Musk today he said, hey, you know, the way this would work is
- 26:08you might need a satellite that has 100 kilowatts of power.
- 26:10Well, yeah, a Bluebird Block 2 has 100 to 120 kilowatts of
- 26:15power now. And you know, you can you don't
- 26:18have to orbit it at a the same inclination that, you know,
- 26:23we've been talking about. You could actually do it in a
- 26:26sun synchronous orbit or who knows, right?
- 26:28There's there's various ways to to send those birds up and have
- 26:33them, you know, focus on the sun completely or maybe they're in
- 26:35and out. But I think the key thing though
- 26:38is that I think that the key thing is that you, you will need
- 26:43computing capacity out there. I know some folks have asked,
- 26:46well these Bluebirds like do they have optical inter
- 26:49satellite links? Because I don't remember seeing
- 26:51that. Yeah, actually block one does
- 26:54and that was part of the testing the regime that was required by
- 26:57some of these defense awards. And my guess is FM 1 and FM 2
- 27:00have them and my guess is going forward all of them are going to
- 27:03have them. But I think you know, having
- 27:06intra satellite links, you know as I mentioned before, like you
- 27:09take out the you take out the the antennas and you take out
- 27:14anything related to, you know, direct to device, direct to cell
- 27:18communications. You keep the QV feeder links
- 27:21that will be able to communicate with the earth.
- 27:23And by the way, like I think the Star Cloud CEO is saying, well,
- 27:26we're not going to communicate with the Earth because we don't
- 27:28want to deal with light, you know, spectrum licenses and, and
- 27:31having to go through all that technological, you know, the,
- 27:34the hoops to get there. It's like, well, oh, these
- 27:37black, these repurposed Bluebirds already have the high
- 27:41throughput data links down to Earth.
- 27:44And so, so yeah, I think, I think you could, I mean, you
- 27:47have the building blocks, right? And there would have to be
- 27:49design changes, but I don't think the design changes are
- 27:52that Herculean. And so, you know, you add
- 27:55battery. I mean, there's already
- 27:56batteries, but perhaps you add more batteries.
- 27:59I I talked about this idea of not having storage on the
- 28:02satellites and just keeping storage on Earth.
- 28:04But if least in the, in the golden Dome type of application,
- 28:10you actually want a decent amount of onboard storage
- 28:13because again, perhaps the things that you rely on down on
- 28:17Earth might be gone in a conflict.
- 28:19And so these things need to be fully self, you know, self
- 28:24reliant and, you know, autonomous.
- 28:26But but yeah, you don't like, I was talking with Jacob and, and
- 28:30of course, you know, I think there's some other companies
- 28:32that are well positioned, like I think Rocket Lab in terms of end
- 28:36to end space systems. You know, they, they, they've
- 28:38actually build. It's pretty sad because like
- 28:43Jacob and and other Rocket Lab bulls have talked, talked about
- 28:47this ad nauseam. And I guess I just didn't pick
- 28:50up on it, but they, they did, you know, Rocket Lab did buy
- 28:53this. He's laughing.
- 28:56They they did buy this solar solar company that's focused on
- 29:00space that has a unique technology that can build solar
- 29:03panels that are basically gallium arsenide, but much
- 29:07thinner that thinner films like it doesn't have the backing.
- 29:10So it's much lighter even. But, and I think those, I think
- 29:14the efficiency is like pretty high, maybe it's like 30 to 45%
- 29:18or even higher. But but it seems like those
- 29:22those sort of panels are or the sort of cells modules are for
- 29:26highly specialized applications because they're they're very
- 29:28expensive, but who knows the price.
- 29:32Yeah, yeah, I, I was going to say I looked at, I mean they're,
- 29:35they're definitely going to get some, some pricing advantage
- 29:38with their new like so the part of the CHIPS Act, they got 25
- 29:43million or so and then state of New Mexico added another
- 29:4525,000,000 so they can upgrade their basically the reactors,
- 29:49the thing we talked about earlier, the epitaxial layer,
- 29:52the growth for the actual cells, those the tools that do that
- 29:55machines do that. They are purchasing new ones,
- 29:58the newest models from Vico who's a big name in the
- 30:00industry, semiconductor industry in general.
- 30:02But so that will drop the price. But I was gonna say the primary
- 30:07use case for those solar cells is like, oh, we're going to go
- 30:10to it's like deep space missions.
- 30:11Their their radiation heart are tolerant, you know, or if they
- 30:14that's what's going to be using the ingenuity Mars helicopter,
- 30:18stuff like that or, or the solar Parker probe.
- 30:20So like real, real specialized stuff that they cannot fail and
- 30:23they need a high efficiency for lower mass because of, you know,
- 30:26the distant shots. That's like that's like the the
- 30:29bread and butter of where that comes in.
- 30:31Stuff like, you know, Starlink or even AST space mobile cells,
- 30:36they're using it because everything low Earth orbit,
- 30:38lower lifetime, like shorter lifetime, stuff like that.
- 30:40They haven't needed that that advantage.
- 30:43So just in pure terms of pure scaling, yeah, that technology
- 30:47is not that, that type of cell would I mean wouldn't be the at
- 30:52least of the the the first choice.
- 30:53I mean, maybe because it's internalized they would have
- 30:56enough of a cost advantage to to make it make sense.
- 30:58But yeah, they're they're not going to go out and be selling a
- 31:01gigawatts levels of a power out of using this type of
- 31:05technology, right. At least I don't think so.
- 31:10Yeah, that, no, that makes sense.
- 31:11I mean, it's, it's a very specialized and really expensive
- 31:14technology. And so sending that to like, I
- 31:17was, I was reading this guide, you know, of course I got sucked
- 31:21into the Twitter hole over the course of the day, even though I
- 31:23had all these other things to do.
- 31:25But I was reading this guy's post who was saying like,
- 31:28there's no one's going to be able to survive on Mars because
- 31:30there's so much radiation. And it's, it's like, even if you
- 31:34build structures to, to live in, they're going to be, you know,
- 31:38out of metal, heavy metal, like eventually they're going to
- 31:40become radiated. And then people are like, well,
- 31:42you just like lawn Mousk can just use boring company and
- 31:45we're going to live in caves at Mars and get around it.
- 31:48But, but I could see like how having having a vehicle on Mars
- 31:54with, with solar, it's you're going to need obviously
- 31:57something more, more, you know, resistant and, and, and
- 32:03efficient, but resistant radiation and can survive really
- 32:07harsh environments, which is what Rocket Lab has right,
- 32:10versus the, the silicon that, you know, it's.
- 32:14So for, for those that don't know, like HT space mobile and
- 32:17Starlink use basically consumer like silicon, silicon grade or
- 32:23silicon based solar cells and modules.
- 32:26And then they, the companies themselves actually harden
- 32:29those. And so you use some types of
- 32:32resins and then also maybe like a glass that can block radiation
- 32:36and you put that over it. And that's good enough for, for
- 32:39low Earth orbit. But then as Jacob mentioned,
- 32:42like as you get out to higher orbits and then of course, in
- 32:46deep space, that stuff's not going to fly, especially if it's
- 32:50like mission critical because you know, for, for Starlink or
- 32:53AC space mobile, like if you have parts of the solar panels
- 32:56like that that fail, that's OK. Or the entire satellite pricks,
- 33:01then I mean, it's not great, but that's, that's not, that's OK.
- 33:04But then if you're sending one or two satellites on the mission
- 33:06to Mars, like nothing can fail. So, but yeah, I mean, Jacob,
- 33:11like what's your thought about I guess Rocket Lab and and how
- 33:14it's positioned for potential data centers in space?
- 33:18Yeah, I mean, I, I, I have got, I've definitely like done a 180
- 33:22on this whole topic since, I don't know, since the summer.
- 33:25I mean, even just leading into that interview with the
- 33:27Starcloud CEO, like I was, I was, I don't know that two weeks
- 33:31before. So it was when we got when we
- 33:32got the message and Francisco was able to connect us for that
- 33:37interview. And so I started reading his
- 33:38white papers, started being more into it and I was like, all
- 33:40right, well, I'm not. And then I started to like move
- 33:42to neutral and then, you know, and the, the time since then,
- 33:45I've kind of gone into the more bullish stance on it.
- 33:48But so, so like total cost of ownership is what I'm like for
- 33:52specific Rocket Lab, like it their approach like total cost
- 33:54of ownership of the, of the, you know, of a day center.
- 33:58Let's let's not assume it's a giant single unit.
- 34:02It's, it's more of a going to be like distributed architecture
- 34:04kind of thing. Then, then, then it's like, you
- 34:07know, they, they can build the buses.
- 34:09They, you know, there, you have the tech there they, you know,
- 34:11all the, all the reaction wheel start everything that goes in a
- 34:14normal satellite they already produce in house.
- 34:17And and then the cortical payload for this would be would
- 34:20be the GP us, right? And that's the biggest payload.
- 34:23You know, if they as soon as they close my ARC, they'll have
- 34:25the optical satellite interlink. So they they own the whole stack
- 34:29to be able to go into this, obviously other than the GP us
- 34:32themselves plus launch. And so, you know, they're
- 34:34getting internalized launched. We'll have internalized launch
- 34:37cost for that. I mean, to me, if it's, if it is
- 34:40actually a real revenue generating like good business
- 34:43model and that'll kind of get proved out over the next couple
- 34:46years. I feel like they're, they're
- 34:47well positioned, take advantage of it, you know, just because of
- 34:52the, you know, they already, they already touched everything
- 34:55that's on a satellite. They already build enough
- 34:56different kinds of them that like, if this becomes something
- 34:59that, that whatever customer wants to actually have up there,
- 35:03then I, I, I don't know, it feels like, it feels like they,
- 35:06they are well positioned to be able to, to do that.
- 35:08Some of the areas where I'm like they're either going to need to
- 35:11make some acquisitions or have, or come up with some like, you
- 35:14know, internal R&D kind of thing for it is the an area that AS CS
- 35:19world has the advantage on? It's the, the radiators, right,
- 35:22dissipating the heat. Sorry, I'm bringing up, but you,
- 35:26you brought up a one of the patents they have around
- 35:32basically the each the each of the microns has their own, it
- 35:35dissipates the heat locally at each Micron.
- 35:38And so instead of having like a rack of GPUs and then having to
- 35:42kind of, you know, use some liquid cooling loop through the
- 35:45whole thing, you could have the you could have a rack of GPUs
- 35:48quote, UN quote, distributed out over the entire satellite, Which
- 35:51I don't know that I mean that at least on the surface, seems like
- 35:54a basically instead of, you know, it's like you're
- 35:58distributing the architecture onto the satellite and the same
- 36:01idea of distributing the the the entire AI data center over
- 36:04several satellites. I like the idea of that.
- 36:07So I don't know at least if, if it, if it's a good business
- 36:10model. I I mean, and and and it's like
- 36:12something that could be really revenue generating.
- 36:15I I mean Rocket lab seems really well positioned for this.
- 36:17They're the full vertical integration there AST space
- 36:21mobile, same thing. The only piece that they, you
- 36:23know, that Rocket lab would have over that would be the the
- 36:25launch in house. So I mean, yeah, I guess it's
- 36:30still the use cases. I, I def so the, the thing that
- 36:33the star cloud CEO said, the initial cases would be for
- 36:35things like, you know, the data that's already created on orbit,
- 36:40processing that data on orbit and then passing down the actual
- 36:43results so that, you know, the inference of that stuff.
- 36:45So that's all the, that's all the earth observation groups
- 36:49because right now, like planet labs, they, they basically
- 36:52inactive over the oceans or that, that all that imaging
- 36:55process is, is lost and, or something like that.
- 36:58And so there's like this tons of data that's up there that for a
- 37:01while now that, you know, RF is not good enough to send all that
- 37:06data down. It's too, too much, you know,
- 37:09you need. So that's why the whole, oh, I
- 37:11see passing it around on orbit with optical interlinks, which
- 37:14has much higher data rates. Then you could process the
- 37:17information up there and send out a result kind of thing.
- 37:19So you would you have a way of like basically not dumping all
- 37:22of this useful, potentially useful data all the satellites
- 37:26are collecting. And that's like on the EO front.
- 37:28I'm not sure how this affects the comms front, but I'm sure
- 37:33there's there's, I mean, as stuff gets more, I don't know,
- 37:35it's got to be a reason to have more compute up there, right?
- 37:38So I feel like those are the first use cases is is the data
- 37:40that's created on orbit, whatever that may be defense
- 37:43civil in processing that data on orbit.
- 37:46I don't think they're going to have any sort of like, you know,
- 37:49a training cluster up there anytime soon kind of thing.
- 37:51But I could definitely see the near term using, you know,
- 37:55basically what's the star called CEO point.
- 37:57That is the biggest first use case.
- 37:59Right. Yeah, it seems like this is
- 38:02really there's going to be some initial use cases and it's
- 38:05probably going to be related to it.
- 38:06Like you said, where if you have data intensive applications and
- 38:12and you need AI to, you know, if it's Earth observation to make
- 38:16sense of everything and and you have all these satellites that
- 38:18are constantly ingesting information imaging, especially
- 38:23in video to draw some insights. Like it probably makes sense to
- 38:28do that in space versus put beam down certain things that that
- 38:33are limited because you can't like you were saying you can't
- 38:37beam down that much data. And so I think like going back
- 38:41to the Golden Dome example, you're going to need space based
- 38:46processing to make your AI to make those types of decisions.
- 38:51And so I think and perhaps like, you know, if it's the military,
- 38:55you're going to need some level of redundancy, you know, command
- 38:57and control out in space versus if if something gets, you know,
- 39:02wiped out here on Earth. And so, but wholesale, you know,
- 39:06replacement of data centers that that seems like it's going to be
- 39:10quite a few years away. Yeah, on that point you were
- 39:14pointing to the different reasons why this could become a
- 39:17more useful case later. So we had a space last week and
- 39:20talked about a little bit about it.
- 39:21But, you know, so like some of the gating factors will be
- 39:24launch cost coming down the then the power, the power basically
- 39:30trade off like it it stuff starts gets more expensive on
- 39:32earth for power, it starts to be more useful.
- 39:35And then the last piece I was talking about before was that
- 39:37maybe it's not cheaper to put it in space yet, But what if it's
- 39:41faster? What if you don't have the
- 39:42regulate regulatory hurdles of of, you know, building the
- 39:46finding the land, building it, hooking to the grid, all that
- 39:49stuff. And if you could, if you could
- 39:51take all that and shorten it to be able to just launch like
- 39:55let's say it's few years from now, the technology's matured
- 39:57and then you could launch it. And like, then you look at a 2
- 40:00pass there right from starting at, you know, let's say it's
- 40:022030, it's just starting from zero.
- 40:04I want to build a new data center.
- 40:06Is it faster or, you know, do I want it fast or I want it cheap?
- 40:10And maybe it'll be faster to do it on orbit at that point, I
- 40:12don't know. Yeah, that's a good point.
- 40:15And I, I think, yeah, it, it's the more, the more like I look
- 40:20into this, it seems like, and this is the key thing, right?
- 40:23Like technology is going to improve and it's going to become
- 40:26cheaper and, and of course, launch is becoming really cheap.
- 40:30And so it, it's probably, we're going to be entering the next
- 40:35few years where all these companies are going to start
- 40:38partnering with space companies. And there's only a few that
- 40:42actually, I mean, you could go work at the prime like a Boeing
- 40:45or, you know, one of the other Lockheed Martin.
- 40:48But then we all know how how efficient those companies are in
- 40:54terms of cost and speed versus working with some of these new
- 40:57space companies, which as I mentioned in the space before,
- 41:01like it's not, it's not just the, it's not going to be just
- 41:05Google or Amazon or Microsoft. Obviously, you know, Grok is
- 41:12going to be, is going to be integrated with SpaceX.
- 41:14But but, but yeah, it's going to be those companies, but it's
- 41:17also going to be the data center companies.
- 41:19Because if you're, if you're, let's say an Iran or Cor weave,
- 41:24like you're going to want to understand what the economics
- 41:28are and the exposure is of space competition.
- 41:32And so you're going to probably take strategic stakes or joint
- 41:35ventures. You know, we saw this with
- 41:37American Tower when AT Space Mobile was first put together.
- 41:41And perhaps like a few years after development, American
- 41:44Tower took a strategic stake and got a board seat because they're
- 41:47like, oh, this company, if they're successful in what
- 41:50they're doing, they're going to put a big, they're going to put
- 41:53a big hint, you know, they're going to stop our growth in
- 41:57certain areas. Because people are going to then
- 41:58start making the, the cost benefit decision of whether or
- 42:02not a terrestrial tower makes sense or whether or not in a, in
- 42:06a, you know, less populated area, it makes more sense to
- 42:09just have a satellite, you know, cover that.
- 42:11And that's not really the tower company's decision.
- 42:14It's actually an MN OS decision. Like do they actually want to
- 42:17pay to build a tower or do they want to have something covered
- 42:20by satellite? And is if that's good enough?
- 42:23So as this narrative kind of builds, and This is why I wanted
- 42:27to to talk about him. And I know Kook will talk about
- 42:29it even more because we discussed it over the last few
- 42:32days. But this is kind of the whole
- 42:36this is a whole like NVIDIA narrative, right?
- 42:39Like you, you NVIDIA was like a graphics card accelerator
- 42:45company, you know, you bought that you bought the card put in
- 42:47your PC so you could play quake or doom or you know, Call of
- 42:51Duty counter Strike and that was it.
- 42:54But then as, as, as we started moving over to AI, it's like,
- 42:59oh, these GPU's are optimized in the best, the best your
- 43:04processors to do training and, and inference and all that
- 43:07stuff, right. And so then the company's
- 43:10narrative changed where, and this is kind of like for AC
- 43:14space mobile or just space applications in general.
- 43:17When people kind of look at space companies, they're like,
- 43:21oh, that's kind of a backwater and it's nascent.
- 43:23But then now we're kind of moving to this new phase where
- 43:26it's not just, you know, obviously communications is big
- 43:29and and launch is big, but then there's been this desire to find
- 43:35other killer applications, which no pun intended, But then, you
- 43:38know, golden Dome is probably the most visible, like third
- 43:43application for space that that's going to have real
- 43:46dollars behind it. And then data centers is
- 43:49probably not that far off, at least in terms of hype and
- 43:52people talking about it and the possibilities it's there.
- 43:55And so when you have that, how that impacts your an investment
- 44:00thesis and how the market, you know, potentially discounts
- 44:05pulls forward the future, that can change the story quite a
- 44:08bit. And you know, we, we've seen
- 44:11this with like the, the SMR, the modular reactor companies for
- 44:15nuclear where, you know, 2-3 years ago, you can sell that
- 44:19idea to anybody except for just really far out there BCS they're
- 44:23like, Oh yeah, this is going to be important.
- 44:25But then as the narrative shifted and, and it's like, Oh
- 44:29my God, AI is going to eat the world because you need all these
- 44:33data centers and all these processors are going to eat
- 44:36power. So where are we going to get
- 44:38that power from? And I think Morgan Stanley today
- 44:40there was a report they were saying like there's going to be
- 44:44a deficit of like 40 gigawatts in the next few years.
- 44:48It was like in the 20s or 40s. I, I can't remember.
- 44:51I think maybe the, the full demand is like 60 and we can
- 44:54supply 40 and then maybe the deficit was like 20, something
- 44:57like that. But but yeah, that that so
- 45:00that's shipped to the narrative where it's like, OK, these, you
- 45:03know, these nuclear technologies that aren't going to be viable
- 45:07for another 20 years. I'm going to discount that today
- 45:11to back to today and give people credit because I want it to get
- 45:14funded and I want it to become a reality because we really need
- 45:16that. And so so that, you know,
- 45:19whether that's Akalo or SMR, like these companies just took
- 45:23off, right? And, and some of these other
- 45:25earlier stage companies too. And so that's, that's kind of
- 45:29the opportunity where and, and somebody on Twitter kind of said
- 45:33it very specifically. They're like, we kind of
- 45:35stumbled into perhaps another growth vector, right?
- 45:38And, and that's exactly what NVIDIA did.
- 45:41And that's, and I think that's, that's kind of why everybody's
- 45:44been excited for the last few days where it's, you also have
- 45:49this other pillar of growth. And it's not something that's
- 45:50new because as I mentioned before, you know, I, I remember
- 45:56talking to the portfolio manager at at Hennessy and these guys
- 46:01are, you know, long only have been long term holders of AST
- 46:05space mobile, perhaps like one of a few handful that have held
- 46:09since the beginning. But you know, they specifically
- 46:12mentioned to me at when I met with them for the block one
- 46:17launch, they said, well, one of the key areas of growth is, is
- 46:20the fact that these constellations are going to be
- 46:22massive power generating entities out in space.
- 46:25And you can do a lot of cool things with that.
- 46:27And at the time, I didn't really understand what that meant.
- 46:30Like, Oh yeah, so power generator entities.
- 46:32And they've got a lot of they specifically said like you got
- 46:35solar panels, you got batteries. So there's, there's a whole host
- 46:38of things you can do. And now it makes sense, right?
- 46:43I think Elan, as he, as he so often does, can articulate
- 46:47things very well. And when he talks like people
- 46:50listen because he is a visionary.
- 46:52So today, like when he specifically said, well, you,
- 46:54you know, you'd like to have a satellite that has 100 kilowatts
- 46:58to 100, you know, 100 kilowatts of power and it's going to be
- 47:01distributed. You can have these AI data
- 47:03centers in space that magically fits like what we're doing.
- 47:07And so, so then the mind can dream.
- 47:12The tech companies or data center companies, I think we're
- 47:15probably going to see more of those.
- 47:16And, and so I think the other thing is, you know, having the
- 47:22other thing is having the experience of being a space
- 47:25company, because obviously doing things in space is very
- 47:27different. Google in particular, for
- 47:29example, they're doing some initial early stage testing with
- 47:32Planet Labs. Google has an investment stake
- 47:35in Planet Labs and I think they're putting up two tube sets
- 47:39to see how AIGPUS performing space.
- 47:43And you know, Star Cloud also put up a cube, a cube sat with
- 47:49the first NVIDIA processor to see, you know, how that's going
- 47:52to how that would react in space.
- 47:54So you're seeing like some baby steps right now.
- 47:57But if you think about who has the flight heritage and the
- 48:01ability to to manufacture and put up, I mean, in particular
- 48:05for AST space mobile, like a 5000 to 6000 kilogram satellite
- 48:09with massive solar arrays, you know, a novel like unfolding
- 48:17array architecture that fits into a standard fairing, you
- 48:20know, you may not need yeah, you definitely wouldn't need this
- 48:23massive control set probably. So you could say wait and maybe
- 48:28reduce the form factor. But you know, also, again, like
- 48:32Rocket Lab putting together satellites that can do missions
- 48:35to Mars. Like this stuff is hard.
- 48:37And, and I, I, I kind of look back at like star, the Star
- 48:43Cloud CEO and, and others. And, and that's like AST back in
- 48:482020-2021. It's like, you know, stars in
- 48:52your eyes and you're like ripping ready to go on, like I'm
- 48:54going to take on the world. And then man, it's like a
- 48:57grizzled path. But if you've got the fortitude
- 49:00and the capital and the belief, like people can do it.
- 49:03And, and I think that's, but, but I also think like the the
- 49:08folks who who've recently traversed that probably are
- 49:11pretty well positioned to be partners to help develop the
- 49:15market. And so, yeah, it's exciting.
- 49:17And I think it's going to become a building part of the narrative
- 49:22for space. And it seems like it's going to
- 49:24be a big opportunity. Initially it it will enable
- 49:27space based processing for those applications that sit outside of
- 49:31Earth. But eventually perhaps you'll
- 49:34see some data centers move up there.
- 49:36But but yeah, I don't know. Do you have anything else?
- 49:41Yeah, I was just going to put it in there.
- 49:42So two things. One is that like the the, I
- 49:45guess even the more bullish thing that I could see is just
- 49:47like with comms and everything else is when Elon gets involved,
- 49:50it's he wants the whole stack. And so it doesn't allow for
- 49:53partnerships. And then, you know, if he's
- 49:55going to be doing this primarily for his his technologies, whole
- 49:59portfolio of companies, XAI stuff like that.
- 50:01Suddenly like it's going to be a rush to these other hyper
- 50:04scalers or others other big names in the in that they're
- 50:07going to want this or need this or you're going to be looking
- 50:09for that, you know, a non a non SpaceX partner.
- 50:13So yeah, that'd be that. That's just AI guess a bullish
- 50:17sweetener. But then the other thing I
- 50:18wanted to say is maybe to throw some cold water just to give the
- 50:22bare idea. Is that so so the two TP us, the
- 50:26two sats that the Google G Google TP us are going on are I
- 50:31think this is a new alsat for for a planet labs.
- 50:34So if they're going to put the DPU directly on the SAP, it's
- 50:37taking the data in. Suddenly my mind was like, all
- 50:40right, I don't know how much the power requirement would have to
- 50:43change or how big of the, you know, big design change these
- 50:45satellites. But what if you just had these
- 50:47distributed GPUTP whatever into all the satellites that are
- 50:51getting launched up then? And then at least in the short
- 50:55term, maybe you don't need a massive like, you know, you
- 50:59don't even need a third, a third kind of satellite up there or
- 51:01secondary satellite there that has just that.
- 51:04It's just the data center 1. And in the short term, maybe you
- 51:06could do all those, that, that computing on the satellites
- 51:09themselves. I was just in a, a thought I was
- 51:12having before is like, all right, if this whole distributed
- 51:15architecture, I'm like, why don't you distribute the GP us
- 51:17right on to the satellites that are collecting the data kind of
- 51:20thing. I, I don't, I haven't looked
- 51:22into that. Just this is a cautionary note
- 51:25on that. Yeah.
- 51:27And I will say this is not, I mean this is very quick
- 51:32research. I just asked Gemini, like how
- 51:35many NVIDIA processors in which recent ones could you
- 51:40theoretically operate reasonably on a 120 kilowatt satellite?
- 51:48And I guess the answer is if it's a Blackwell GB 200, you
- 51:54could run 72 of those and then let's see.
- 51:58That's a lot more than I thought.
- 52:00If it's a hopper, it's 88. And so, so yeah, that's a pretty
- 52:04decent amount. But then, you know, you're not
- 52:08again, you're not going to be replacing data centers on Earth.
- 52:10But at the same time, as we all know, like technology is going
- 52:13to advance and, and I think the capabilities that you'll be able
- 52:18to put out in space, yeah, it's going to, I think it's going to
- 52:21surprise people. But but yeah, I, I, and that's,
- 52:26I think we're 2026 after kind of going through all this, it's
- 52:30like this is going to be a pretty exciting year.
- 52:32I think you're going to have some of these large companies,
- 52:36Google, Microsoft, any number of of data center companies too.
- 52:42They're going to, they're probably going to announce some
- 52:44types of partnerships to start developing technology and it's
- 52:49going to be with, you know, some of the the large firms, but it's
- 52:53going to be on the new space companies here, quite frankly,
- 52:55have figured out a better mousetrap and can do it cheaper
- 52:58and faster. And so, and that's going to be
- 53:02in competition with SpaceX, which is good.
- 53:05I mean, competition is great. And I think there's going to be
- 53:09enough opportunity for, for all these different companies.
- 53:12And, and I think, you know, for example, Rock Lab, you guys
- 53:15mentioned like they're, they, they have very specialized
- 53:19technology for solar cells and modules.
- 53:21Like there's going to be demand for that.
- 53:23And then for for companies that are already, I mean.
- 53:26Yeah, so, so for the solar cell thing earlier we were talking
- 53:29about that like at the the other port is they, they, you know,
- 53:32they, they don't, they produce all the the paneling and stuff
- 53:34as well, all all of that. So even if they ended up saying
- 53:37like, all right, it's not cost effective to use these high end
- 53:40solar cells. I mean, they they just buy that
- 53:42off the market that every else is buying off of it, right.
- 53:45And using these, these, if it's a Leo kind of thing, I don't
- 53:47know, just in general, Rocket Lab guys are really excited
- 53:50because we've been, we've been like beating our like, like
- 53:54hitting the wall trying to figure out what is this magic
- 53:57space application potentially that that they could be doing
- 54:00right? I mean, there's been so much,
- 54:01it's been years of like, well, what are you going to do?
- 54:04And, and, you know, the company's been really coy, but
- 54:06man, so much of that, what they've bought lines up with
- 54:10this potentially like, so I don't know, We just for on our
- 54:15end, it's, it's exciting because, you know, I feel like
- 54:17we've been without a home for what eventual applications going
- 54:20to be like be everybody's been beating their head against the
- 54:22law. So if this ends up really being
- 54:24something, it kind of lines up more with the timeline that that
- 54:26peers were talking about where I I kind of been putting like 2028
- 54:29plus kind of lens on it for the application layer.
- 54:33So I don't know, I that's why I got overly excited about this
- 54:36personally. But I mean, but it is exciting
- 54:37for the industry because we, I mean, we've all been looking for
- 54:40what's next big thing is going to be on orbit manufacturing,
- 54:42asteroid mining or, you know, something like something.
- 54:45What, what is the next thing? So if it, if it is AI, if it's,
- 54:48if it's infrastructure, AI data center kind of thing, it's
- 54:50that's exciting. I don't know.
- 54:53I got a message from Kook that our our producer Kook, he told
- 54:57me he's starting at 8:35. So all right.
- 55:00I'll shut up. No.
- 55:02No, no, it's OK. No, this has been good.
- 55:04It's it's good to have somebody else speaking versus just me
- 55:07rambling. So that's good.
- 55:10But yeah, I think Tuesday we're going to have our weekly space
- 55:13and, and by them, I'm sure there's going to be even more
- 55:16news that will come out. But but yeah, what an exciting
- 55:20time. I think it's, it's kind of funny
- 55:22because I think for anybody who's best in space, we probably
- 55:26we're laughing stock for 2022-2023, 2024.
- 55:30But then all of a sudden it's like, hey, this is the place to
- 55:34be invested in and it's like everything is coming to a head,
- 55:36which is great. But anyway, I'm going to I'm
- 55:40going to cut it there. This is this was the early show
- 55:44and we're going to transition to the Kook show Sunday Night Live.
- 55:48So thanks everyone for joining. He's going to run that space in
- 55:52about 3 minutes. So I'll see you guys there.
- 55:54Take care. That was good.
- 55:56Thanks then. Yeah, take care, Jacob.
- 56:00Thanks for listening to the AST Space Mobile podcast.
- 56:04If you enjoyed this episode and you'd like to help support the
- 56:06podcast, please share it with others, post about it on social
- 56:10media, or leave a rating and review.
- 56:12To catch all the latest news about AST Space Mobile, make
- 56:16sure to subscribe. Thanks again and I'll see you
- 56:19next time. We're doing something very, very
- 56:24big, and I think with this technology we can really affect
- 56:27billion lives. AST Space Global is the only
- 56:30company that has proven technology to deliver cellular
- 56:35broadband connectivity directly from state to be everyday
- 56:38smartphone. People will just basically turn
- 56:41their phone and be seamless, regardless of where you are.
- 56:44We don't want the user even to know that it's connected by
- 56:47satellite. Our role is to bring this into
- 56:51reality, always in partnership with the enemy.