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Latest / The Financial Freedom Podcast with Fexingo: Quitting Your Job, Living Off Investments, Independence

The 4 Percent Rule Is Not a Guarantee

In episode 153, Lucas and Luna challenge the assumption that a 4 percent withdrawal rate is a safe lifelong plan for early retirees. They unpack the math behind the original Trinity Study, explain why it was a guideline based on historical U.S. data, not a promise, and look at how today's lower bond yields and higher stock valuations might affect the odds. The conversation zooms in on the concept of 'guardrails'—dynamic spending adjustments that can protect a portfolio during bad years—and how a simple rule like 'cut spending by 10 percent after a bad year' can…

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