Latest / Simply Bitcoin / The $38 Trillion Debt Bomb Just Exploded | Bitcoin to the Moon? | Simply Originals
Transcript
- 0:00Well, they just fired 312 bullets into the global economy
- 0:03and nobody heard the shots. That's right, 312 central Bank
- 0:07rate cuts in the last 24 months, the second highest monetary
- 0:11intervention in 25 years. Just one cut below 2008 in the
- 0:16world. Still scrolling.
- 0:19Meanwhile, the global debt just hit 338 trillion and 82% of
- 0:24central banks are now cutting rates not to help you, but to
- 0:28save themselves. You want to talk about a
- 0:30historic and massive liquidity event?
- 0:32This isn't a spark, it's monetary napalm.
- 0:36I love the smell of napalm in the morning.
- 0:39You're damn right we do. And guess what?
- 0:41Bitcoin. The only asset they can't print
- 0:44is starting to react. That's right, the United States
- 0:52alone now carries 38.3 trillion in government debt, the largest
- 0:57in history. That's more than China, Japan
- 0:59and Germany combined. Every dollar of new debt
- 1:02requires more printing just to pay interest on the last batch.
- 1:06And this is exactly what Larry Leopard calls the big print.
- 1:10When money dies, people run to things.
- 1:12They can't print gold, silver and Bitcoin.
- 1:15They need a denominator that can't be with to preserve their
- 1:18purchasing power because the money is totally.
- 1:22Because look, you're young, you've obviously done extremely
- 1:25well. You could live the Lambeau
- 1:27lifestyle, but you're turning your back on that.
- 1:30How do you stay that course? Because I know a lot of, you
- 1:33know, folks or young people I speak to just, you know, want to
- 1:36get rich quick, want the money. But how do you stay focused and
- 1:39see beyond, you know, all the material, shiny nice objects
- 1:44that you could have, Jack, you could have that, all of that.
- 1:48I think Bitcoin taught me that more than anyone else or any
- 1:52other experience, to be totally honest with you, because when
- 1:55you do understand the concept of time and energy and
- 2:00contributions to society, then a fancy car isn't ever worth the
- 2:07Bitcoin that I've worked to acquire.
- 2:10And so I only trade in exchange my Bitcoin for experiences for
- 2:16people I love, to be honest. I mean, how how beautiful is it?
- 2:21How beautiful of an idea, I guess is it that, you know, we
- 2:24can make the world a better place for the people that we
- 2:26care about the most. And so Bitcoin taught me that.
- 2:29It really lowered my time preference and taught me the
- 2:33value of things. I think it's it's really
- 2:35impossible to value things if there's an infinite amount of
- 2:39dollars. I like to draw the similarity to
- 2:42the promise of death. This is going to get potentially
- 2:45a little weird or dark, but you know, it's the promise of we.
- 2:47Invite that. I invite that.
- 2:49It's it's the promise of death that allows us to value our
- 2:52life. If I was never going to die and
- 2:55I knew that, then I'd go to the gym in 1000 years, I think to
- 2:59get married in 10,000 years, I would never care to value today.
- 3:04And that's very similar to the dollar.
- 3:07If there's infinite amounts of dollars and we're going to roll
- 3:09this debt over forever, then how do I value my paycheck right
- 3:13now? And so I think what death means
- 3:16to life, Bitcoin means to money and to value.
- 3:19And so Bitcoin gave me that finite promise that allows me to
- 3:22value the time and energy that I spent right now.
- 3:25And it's not worth expending A tremendous amount of my time and
- 3:28energy, energy on a yellow car that goes really fast in the
- 3:31same way that knowing that I'm going to die.
- 3:34It's, it's not, it's not worth ever wasting a day, a week, a
- 3:39year. Exactly Jack, if the money isn't
- 3:43fixed, it's impossible to value anything or own anything.
- 3:47Gold has ripped to over 4K, Silver's up 80% this year, and
- 3:51Bitcoin just bounced 10% off the flash crash lows back toward
- 3:56115K Why? Because the Fed's $6.6 trillion
- 4:01balance sheet pivot just got exposed.
- 4:03Wall Street's quietly preparing for the end of quantitative
- 4:06tightening, and this means that the money printer is warming up
- 4:10again. Arthur Hayes says the next money
- 4:12printing cycle could send Bitcoin to 1,000,000, and the
- 4:15data backs it up. Every 1% increase in money
- 4:18supply has historically boosted Bitcoin 2 to 3% within months.
- 4:23When they print well, Bitcoin reacts fast, faster than any
- 4:26other asset on earth. As Bitcoin matures, we're going
- 4:29to see less volatility and this is a function of, I would say
- 4:33two things. One is the Bitcoin treasury
- 4:36companies, especially strategy, which is scooped up a large
- 4:40amount and they are a very consistent, a very reliable
- 4:43buyer and at any price. The second is the ETFs, the
- 4:48Bitcoin spot ETFs largely I bit and they have also proven to be
- 4:53a very reliable source of demand for Bitcoin.
- 4:57And I think with these two driving forces, it was always
- 5:01bound to reduce volatility at least in the near term.
- 5:05But longer term, I just don't see Bitcoin sitting idly in this
- 5:10range or even in the 200,000 range.
- 5:13And I think we're seeing a foreshadowing of this with gold,
- 5:17which is the largest asset on the planet, which has
- 5:20skyrocketed and went up by 50% this year.
- 5:23It would be more like bitcoins trying to lull everyone into a
- 5:27false sense of security that they have time to accumulate.
- 5:30But unlike gold, Bitcoin is incredibly scarce and finite.
- 5:34There are only 21 million coins. Gold production will ramp up as
- 5:38demand increases, and we will see that.
- 5:41And we just don't know how much gold there is out there in the
- 5:44world. It's impossible to
- 5:46mathematically, definitively quantify that, but you can with
- 5:50Bitcoin. So I think we're going to see
- 5:52Bitcoin do its thing. It'll mirror gold, but probably
- 5:56in a more spectacular fashion. And the big banks, the same ones
- 6:00that mocked Bitcoin, are now using it as collateral breaking.
- 6:03JP Morgan Chase just announced they'll accept Bitcoin as
- 6:07collateral for loans. Yes, Jamie Diamonds bank, the
- 6:10same guy who once said Bitcoin was a fraud.
- 6:13Meanwhile, Michael Saylor's Micro strategy just bought
- 6:15another 390 BTC, bringing their stack to 640,808 Bitcoin.
- 6:22They're not buying Jpegs, they're buying the new monetary
- 6:26foundation. Bitcoin is going to become the
- 6:28monetary standard of the world over the next two decades and my
- 6:33grandkids will transact in SAT's, not dollars.
- 6:36The dollar will be gone. But but two decades is a long
- 6:40time. It's not going to happen
- 6:42tomorrow. You know, dialing in on the
- 6:45shorter term. What I kind of see is I think,
- 6:47you know, we're, we're now at a period where there's a lot of
- 6:52pessimism and negativity and everyone's frustrated.
- 6:55And which is kind of odd because we're still up 70 or 80% year
- 6:58over year from last June. But gold is kind of stealing the
- 7:01spotlight for a little while. And that's kind of got people
- 7:04concerned. And it doesn't have me concerned
- 7:06at all because if you look at the 1819 and 20 time frame,
- 7:10particularly 19 and 20, what happened is gold took off first
- 7:14because it's more broadly distributed and it smelled all
- 7:16the monetary debasement. And then Bitcoin woke up and
- 7:19went from 10 to 60, 10,000 to 60, you know, really fast.
- 7:24And it's like, you know, the Christopher Walken thing, you
- 7:26know, the lion sits around for a long time, doesn't do anything
- 7:28and then wakes up one day and just goes down and kills
- 7:30everybody. And that's what's that's what's
- 7:32going to happen with Bitcoin. Bitcoins going to just come out
- 7:35and wipe everybody out in the next, you know, year, in my
- 7:38opinion. So to me, we're just, we're
- 7:41sitting at A, at a very exciting point in time.
- 7:45You know, gold has gone up a lot.
- 7:46I've, I've been selling some of my gold, selling some of my gold
- 7:48stocks and positioning into Bitcoin.
- 7:51And I have a lot of Bitcoin to begin with.
- 7:52But you know, the, the, the 2 are, are they work in tandem,
- 7:58but gold is generally an early warning sign.
- 7:59And So what I would say to everyone who's concerned that
- 8:01Bitcoin hasn't been going straight up recently is that
- 8:05gold tells you that the financial U.S. financial system
- 8:07is in a very, very precarious position and the world has woken
- 8:11up to it. From bricks to the Gulf,
- 8:13countries are moving away from the dollar.
- 8:15Gold buying by central banks is at record levels, 830 tons in
- 8:202025 alone, the 16th straight year of accumulation.
- 8:25They stopped selling gold in 2010.
- 8:27Now they can't stop buying it. And you know what else they're
- 8:30watching? Bitcoins chart against gold.
- 8:33Gold just hit resistance and rolled over.
- 8:35And Bitcoin is bouncing off support in the Bitcoin to gold
- 8:38ratio, according to Crypto Daily.
- 8:40When Bitcoin breaks above 41 ounces of gold, it'll set a new
- 8:44all time high against gold. Now, according to NYDIG, Bitcoin
- 8:48isn't an inflation hedge, it's a liquidity barometer.
- 8:52And more on NYDIG being completely highly regarded in a
- 8:56moment. But it doesn't care about CPI.
- 8:59It moves when the dollar weakens and when rates fall.
- 9:03Well, geniuses, what causes an explosion in liquidity?
- 9:07And what happens to the money supply when rates fall?
- 9:11Is CPI inflation or is an expansion of the money supply
- 9:16inflation? Yeah, numb nuts.
- 9:18Now put down the Keynesian peace pipe.
- 9:20Oh, it's not an inflation hedge. While laying out how Bitcoin
- 9:23goes up when the money supply expands.
- 9:26Less Marx and more Mises, for the love of God.
- 9:30No, I don't think I became very anti Keynesian.
- 9:34I became very anti Keynesian policies eventually, but I never
- 9:38became anti Keynesian. If you think of Keynes as the
- 9:42economist, I think Keynes was a great economist.
- 9:45No, I did, yeah. OK.
- 9:46And I think The General Theory is a great book.
- 9:49It's just is that I think it offered a hypothesis which was
- 9:53subjected to the evidence, turned out to be wrong.
- 9:58It was an insightful hypothesis. It was a very ingenious
- 10:01hypothesis. The only difficulty with it
- 10:05whether it didn't work. And what do we have now?
- 10:08312 rate cuts, falling yields and a weakening dollar.
- 10:11Pretty much watching the perfect storm for Bitcoin to go
- 10:15ballistic. The dominoes keep falling.
- 10:17Eric Trump's American Bitcoin just bought 1414 BTC for 163
- 10:22million. And when asked why, he said
- 10:25countries like the UAE are already buying Bitcoin behind
- 10:30the scenes. Why should any government be
- 10:32buying Bitcoin? Because it's the single greatest
- 10:34performing asset over the the last decade, increasing in value
- 10:3770% a year, year over year, every year, like Germany a
- 10:41couple years ago. There's a great article, you'd
- 10:42probably, you might know the exact numbers, but Germany had
- 10:44like 30,000 Bitcoin or something along those lines.
- 10:47And they, they sold it right away.
- 10:48They monetized it into, you know, their currency and, and it
- 10:51was like the worst investment ever made by a government.
- 10:53And, and by the way, that's a pretty damn low bar, as you
- 10:55know, right? The government should definitely
- 10:58have have certain crypto assets on their, on their balance
- 11:02sheet, mainly, mainly Bitcoin and actually the United States
- 11:05government does, right. You have a lot of forfeitures
- 11:07and, and, and they've taken a, a great stance saying that we're
- 11:10not selling any of it. You have a lot of countries
- 11:12around the world that are actively buying.
- 11:14If you go to, you know, the UAE, if you, if you go to a lot of
- 11:16countries, they are actively putting that in their
- 11:19treasuries. And you look at the Fortune 500
- 11:20companies, they are actively hoarding Bitcoin.
- 11:23The biggest families, the biggest companies, you know,
- 11:25countries, sovereign wealth funds and individuals are all
- 11:28hoarding Bitcoin, right? It's, it's why it's been as
- 11:30explosive as it is. And it's funny, people like, oh,
- 11:33well, Bitcoin's down by 3% now. It's like this time last year
- 11:36Bitcoin was up like 55,000 or 60,000 roughly.
- 11:40It's had unbelievable explosive growth.
- 11:42Even rumble yes, the video platform is integrating Bitcoin
- 11:46tipping for its 51 million users this December.
- 11:50That's basically mainstream adoption staring right into our
- 11:53face holes. Now before we dive into the war
- 11:56brewing inside Bitcoin itself, look at our likes 3 or 4 times.
- 12:00Maybe I pumped those numbers up. Those are rookie numbers in this
- 12:03racket. Let's take a quick second for
- 12:05our sponsors who keep this show on the air over at the Bitcoin
- 12:08way. If your wealth lives in their
- 12:10system, it's not yours, it's theirs.
- 12:12That's why we scream Bitcoin. That's why you self custody and
- 12:15that's why you call our friends over at the Bitcoin way.
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- 12:24system pulls the plug, don't wait till it's too late book a
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- 12:52Now inside Bitcoin, a new battle is brewing.
- 12:56A mysterious developer dropped BIP 444A temporary soft fork to
- 13:01restrict arbitrary data like ordinals inscriptions, something
- 13:05about Wizards. I don't know.
- 13:07But supporters say it's to prevent illegal content from
- 13:10threatening node operators. Critics call it censorship,
- 13:13Orwellian control. Luke Desh Junior says it's an
- 13:16emergency fix. Jameson Lop Return and Peter
- 13:20Todd say it's an attack on Bitcoins neutrality.
- 13:23If the miners and users split, it could trigger one of the
- 13:26biggest governance showdowns since 2017.
- 13:29This isn't entirely a code debate.
- 13:31It's a test of what Bitcoin fundamentally is, a neutral
- 13:35settlement layer or a sensor chain controlled by developers.
- 13:38And the timing couldn't be more poetic.
- 13:41As 312 central banks print money to oblivion, Bitcoiners are
- 13:45fighting to keep their protocol incorruptible.
- 13:48That's the contrast of our era. They print money and we fight
- 13:52for truth in code. 312 rate cuts, 338 trillion in debt, 6.6
- 13:58trillion fed pivot. Gold near record highs just hit
- 14:01all time highs and you know what I mean.
- 14:03Bitcoin ready to reclaim dominance over gold.
- 14:06And Larry Leopard put it best. Bitcoin is going to become the
- 14:09monetary state the world over the next two decades.
- 14:12That's not hyperbole. That's the logical endpoint of a
- 14:16broken system. Because when the people who
- 14:18print money start hoarding the things, they can't print gold
- 14:21and Bitcoin, the game's already over.
- 14:23The detonation already happened. The shockwave's just reaching us
- 14:27now. This is the great monetary
- 14:29reset. And Bitcoin isn't just surviving
- 14:31it, it's becoming it. And get those tickets to Mining
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- 15:09got tons of great stuff stuff coming your way from Sophie
- 15:11Dante oceans they're all dropping heat, so keep your head
- 15:13in a swivel and I'll catch you next time love you guys.