Latest / UK Column Radio / Syria Podcast Episode 1
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: Welcome to the UK column, joined today by Vanessa Billy.
- 0:08Speaker 1: Thank you for joining me, Vanessa. And obviously the last
- 0:11Speaker 1: five or six days has been pretty intense in Syria.
- 0:17Speaker 1: As many people will know, you live in Damascus and
- 0:22Speaker 1: have been there for how many years now, it's.
- 0:25Speaker 2: Coming up to it's sixth year actually, although of course
- 0:29Speaker 2: I've been working in Syria since twenty sixteen, so eight
- 0:33Speaker 2: years really.
- 0:34Speaker 1: And twenty fifteen twenty sixteen that was sort of the
- 0:36Speaker 1: time when when we got into contact and I was
- 0:41Speaker 1: just looking at some of those really early UK column
- 0:45Speaker 1: news appearances. Yes, a lots changed since then, but what
- 0:50Speaker 1: hasn't changed is that Syria is still on the receiving
- 0:55Speaker 1: end of what we might describe as external interference, because
- 1:02Speaker 1: what's happened in the last five or six days is
- 1:03Speaker 1: that the terrorists who have been pretty much holed up
- 1:08Speaker 1: in their enclave and EdLib and also I presume correct
- 1:13Speaker 1: me if I'm wrong, but on the other side of
- 1:15Speaker 1: the Turkish border as well, and gas in tab and whatnot,
- 1:19Speaker 1: have managed to break out again. And of course we've
- 1:24Speaker 1: seen some really dre coverage or at least implications in
- 1:29Speaker 1: mainstream press of you know, effectively Syria collapsing and a
- 1:35Speaker 1: sad government about the fallover. What is the truth of it?
- 1:39Speaker 2: Well, yeah, and I mean we even had I don't know,
- 1:41Speaker 2: the last four days have kind of disappeared into a blur,
- 1:44Speaker 2: but I think it was about forty eight hours ago
- 1:46Speaker 2: there were stories being put out on social media of
- 1:51Speaker 2: there being a coup and clashes between Syrian on the
- 1:55Speaker 2: Arab army factions in Damascus. Hence why I probably the
- 2:00Speaker 2: video of myself driving through Damascus to show that it's
- 2:03Speaker 2: perfectly calm, it's perfectly peaceful, and there is absolutely nothing
- 2:06Speaker 2: of the kind going on. And in fact, I think
- 2:09Speaker 2: I think it was today.
- 2:12Speaker 3: Or last night in Israeli.
- 2:14Speaker 2: Media they were saying that Syrian so called rebels were
- 2:18Speaker 2: storming the presidential palace in Damascus, which is interesting because
- 2:23Speaker 2: that's at the point that the Iranian Foreign minister was
- 2:27Speaker 2: actually meeting with President Asad in the palace, So I'm
- 2:30Speaker 2: not quite sure how they thought they could possibly get
- 2:32Speaker 2: away with that kind of story. But that was Jerusalem
- 2:35Speaker 2: Post that was publishing that, So it's you know, it's
- 2:39Speaker 2: even getting into the kind of what I would call
- 2:42Speaker 2: the substrata of mainstream media, not only on social media,
- 2:46Speaker 2: and of course it is being picked up by the
- 2:48Speaker 2: likes of the BBC, in CNN and the usual culprit.
- 2:54Speaker 1: Whenever we were covering Syria back in twenty sixteen, twenty
- 2:58Speaker 1: seventeen and so on, what we had to deal with
- 3:03Speaker 1: was a mainstream media which was completely brought into the
- 3:10Speaker 1: regime change narrative and was promoting that as hard as
- 3:13Speaker 1: they possibly could. And we can go into a bit
- 3:15Speaker 1: of detail about that in a second, but you know,
- 3:18Speaker 1: we had people like you and Patrick Henningson and other people,
- 3:24Speaker 1: Eva Bartlett and all the people that were talking about Syria.
- 3:28Speaker 1: From let's say our side of the discussion, you could
- 3:32Speaker 1: at least rely on what was being said. You could
- 3:37Speaker 1: believe what was being said. What has happened in the
- 3:40Speaker 1: meantime is, of course we've had this whole censorship agenda,
- 3:48Speaker 1: and which is not just about shadow banning and shutting
- 3:53Speaker 1: down freedom of speech, and so it's also about active
- 3:58Speaker 1: operations by seventy seven Brigade and similar agents of the
- 4:04Speaker 1: United Kingdom, the EU and the United States to push
- 4:07Speaker 1: out Chydro narratives which appear to be narratives which are
- 4:13Speaker 1: kniter to what their respective governments might want, but which
- 4:18Speaker 1: are then taken up by people on social media without
- 4:23Speaker 1: any without engaging their brains, and so actually people are
- 4:29Speaker 1: becoming part of the problem definitely.
- 4:33Speaker 2: And I think, actually, I mean, we saw that very much,
- 4:36Speaker 2: I think during COVID, with the kind of hysteria that
- 4:41Speaker 2: was being generated by mainstream media but then also picked
- 4:47Speaker 2: up by social media, and you know, the adversarial aspect
- 4:55Speaker 2: of the whole of the COVID campaign was played out
- 4:59Speaker 2: very much on social medi and what we saw, particularly
- 5:02Speaker 2: in the first twenty four hours, I would say, and
- 5:06Speaker 2: of course the attack by the armed groups, both the
- 5:12Speaker 2: Turkish proxies in the north and the kind of Turkish
- 5:15Speaker 2: US Ukrainian Israeli proxies in the northwest.
- 5:19Speaker 3: Will come onto the Ukrainian role in a minute.
- 5:25Speaker 2: The attack came hours after the ceasefire came into effect
- 5:29Speaker 2: between Israel and Lubanon.
- 5:32Speaker 3: And then what actually happened.
- 5:34Speaker 2: Initially the reports were pretty sketchy and we weren't really
- 5:38Speaker 2: sure to what extent the terrorists had managed to breach
- 5:42Speaker 2: the army defenses to the west of Aleppo and so on, And.
- 5:46Speaker 3: Then suddenly there was this deluge.
- 5:49Speaker 2: Of information coming in and what had happened was the
- 5:53Speaker 2: sleeper The sleeper cells from the terrorist groups that had
- 5:56Speaker 2: remained in Aleppo after the liberation of all of the
- 6:01Speaker 2: kind of suburbs and periphery of Aleppo were triggered to
- 6:09Speaker 2: suddenly appear inside a lepo and carry out, you know.
- 6:13Speaker 3: Film themselves pulling stuff down off.
- 6:15Speaker 4: The walls, or four or five of them roaming the
- 6:20Speaker 4: streets of certain areas of Aleppo and then arriving in
- 6:24Speaker 4: the center and taking more selfies.
- 6:26Speaker 2: But if you actually looked at the content of the videos,
- 6:29Speaker 2: in many of the videos there were only one or
- 6:31Speaker 2: two people, you know.
- 6:33Speaker 3: Close zoomed in, so you couldn't you.
- 6:36Speaker 2: Couldn't see whether there was twenty or thirty others with them,
- 6:40Speaker 2: but I would guess no. And then the maximum I
- 6:43Speaker 2: think there was one photo in front of the citadel
- 6:45Speaker 2: where there were ten to fifteen, which is not a
- 6:50Speaker 2: big force, and some of them were not armed and
- 6:53Speaker 2: so on.
- 6:54Speaker 3: But these videos.
- 6:56Speaker 2: Were then circulating across social media. People in Syria were
- 7:01Speaker 2: freaking out right, So that's where the irresponsibility of social
- 7:06Speaker 2: media comes in. And you know, I know, we talked
- 7:09Speaker 2: about this before, we're talking now, and the problem is
- 7:15Speaker 2: that while Social media is a tremendous tool for people
- 7:19Speaker 2: like us. I think it's been infiltrated to such an
- 7:23Speaker 2: extent by the likes of seventy seventh Brigade and all
- 7:27Speaker 2: manner of intelligence agencies that are effectively using it in one.
- 7:31Speaker 3: Way or another to.
- 7:35Speaker 2: Swarm global populations with misinformation or panic generating news.
- 7:43Speaker 3: And that was what was happening.
- 7:44Speaker 2: But the worst thing for me was the psychological warfare
- 7:47Speaker 2: against the Syrian people because they go on social media
- 7:53Speaker 2: to see what's happening to their country, and when they're
- 7:56Speaker 2: seeing the biggest influences on x or on Tale telling
- 8:00Speaker 2: them their city is falling, it's been invaded. The terrorists
- 8:03Speaker 2: have met with absolutely no defense. They've managed to get
- 8:07Speaker 2: you know, they've crossed various districts in Aleppo in a
- 8:11Speaker 2: matter of minutes. They're panicking from Aleppo down to Hammah,
- 8:17Speaker 2: to Homs to I had people calling me saying, is
- 8:20Speaker 2: that it? You know, do we need to prepare in Damascus?
- 8:22Speaker 2: Do we need to prepare in Homs Because if they've
- 8:25Speaker 2: got that far that fast in a Leppo, then they're
- 8:27Speaker 2: going to be with us any minute. So for me,
- 8:31Speaker 2: this demonstrates absolutely more than anything, the absolute danger of
- 8:36Speaker 2: social media and how it can be used to wage
- 8:39Speaker 2: a psychological war against its target audience. And that is
- 8:45Speaker 2: exactly what happened, because the problem is you have a
- 8:48Speaker 2: journalist like myself and I'm on the ground. But even
- 8:51Speaker 2: for me, it was a confusing situation, so I needed
- 8:54Speaker 2: time to actually kind of find out what was really
- 8:59Speaker 2: going on, to try and substantiate what I thought was
- 9:03Speaker 2: really going on.
- 9:04Speaker 3: But these people don't care.
- 9:08Speaker 2: These social media influencers that are making money out of
- 9:11Speaker 2: content on X or Telegram or TikTok or wherever it is,
- 9:17Speaker 2: just want to get the sensationalist information out there because
- 9:20Speaker 2: that brings in the clicks, that brings in the money,
- 9:23Speaker 2: and so we're always catching up.
- 9:26Speaker 3: So to a.
- 9:26Speaker 2: Degree, this infiltration of social media is damaging the good
- 9:33Speaker 2: social media users, the ones that are genuinely trying to
- 9:37Speaker 2: present at least evidenced and contextual information, and journalists who
- 9:45Speaker 2: are maybe taking a bit longer to actually gather the
- 9:49Speaker 2: facts and put a bigger picture together. They're all getting
- 9:54Speaker 2: marginalized and squeezed out of the picture. In the very
- 9:57Speaker 2: early moments of whatever event is ongoing.
- 10:02Speaker 1: I'm going to suggest that this is it is a
- 10:07Speaker 1: psychological attack. And I appreciate what you're saying about how
- 10:10Speaker 1: this has affected people in Syria, but this is affecting
- 10:14Speaker 1: every single one of us because this is driving opinion
- 10:21Speaker 1: in the West for the actions which are happening in Syria.
- 10:24Speaker 1: This is driving opinions in the West for the actions
- 10:26Speaker 1: which are happening in Gaza. It's driving opinions in the
- 10:29Speaker 1: West for the actions that are having happening in Ukraine.
- 10:34Speaker 1: That's one point to make. The other point to make
- 10:38Speaker 1: is that I you know, this term post truth world
- 10:43Speaker 1: appeared a number of years ago. Another term that began
- 10:47Speaker 1: to be used a number of years ago was trust
- 10:51Speaker 1: and it was clear that fewer and fewer people trust
- 10:58Speaker 1: the mainstream media and more and more people were trusting
- 11:02Speaker 1: independent voices who we're posting on social media among other places.
- 11:08Speaker 1: And what has happened is that, well, let's put it
- 11:11Speaker 1: this way. I would I would say that there are
- 11:13Speaker 1: four categories that are making use of social media at
- 11:17Speaker 1: the moment. One category is mainstream media, which is using
- 11:20Speaker 1: social media to push out their material that is clear,
- 11:24Speaker 1: it's in the open, it's there. The other another category
- 11:29Speaker 1: is independent journalists like UK column like Vanessipile, like Patrick
- 11:34Speaker 1: Kennison are out there doing what we're doing, and we,
- 11:40Speaker 1: I would hope, in most cases, are doing that with
- 11:43Speaker 1: at least a view that we are doing it with integrity.
- 11:46Speaker 1: Whether whether we always get it right or not is
- 11:48Speaker 1: another thing, but we're at least trying. There is a
- 11:52Speaker 1: category of social media user that is the consumer of
- 11:58Speaker 1: fear porn will jump on the latest bandwagon, whatever that
- 12:03Speaker 1: happens to be. They will look for stuff that gives
- 12:06Speaker 1: them that hit, that adrenaline hit, whatever it is, and
- 12:09Speaker 1: it'll just be shared without thinking. But they won't share
- 12:12Speaker 1: stuff from us, because, as you say, it's taken longer
- 12:17Speaker 1: to get there, it's taken longer for it to be posted,
- 12:19Speaker 1: because we are attempting to at least try to verify
- 12:23Speaker 1: what we're putting out.
- 12:25Speaker 2: And it's not sexy, and it's not sexy.
- 12:29Speaker 1: And we don't do clickbit in this kind of stuff.
- 12:33Speaker 1: There's a fourth category, which is the professional agitator who
- 12:38Speaker 1: are either working directly for intelligence agencies or for think
- 12:46Speaker 1: tanks or whoever else is active in these areas that
- 12:52Speaker 1: are paid to be influencers, and they tend to be
- 12:58Speaker 1: posting anonymously, they tend be producing the clickbit in the
- 13:03Speaker 1: first place. And unless the people that are in that
- 13:08Speaker 1: third category, the people that are consuming social media content
- 13:13Speaker 1: from whichever source, learn discernment, this situation is only getting worse.
- 13:20Speaker 1: And in fact, I would go as far as to
- 13:22Speaker 1: say they are part of the problem, very much part
- 13:27Speaker 1: of the problem. Now. I keep hearing this term, this,
- 13:31Speaker 1: this saying we are in a spiritual battle, and I
- 13:35Speaker 1: believe it's true. But from my point of view, it
- 13:39Speaker 1: starts with our own ability to rein in our worst impulses,
- 13:47Speaker 1: which we i in the UK on the UK columnies
- 13:51Speaker 1: and whatnot. We'll say to our audience, look, we need
- 13:55Speaker 1: you to be the algorithm and to share our material
- 13:59Speaker 1: because it's not because we're being so heavily censored by
- 14:03Speaker 1: the social media platforms. So this makes it very difficult
- 14:05Speaker 1: because in the course of this conversation, on one hand,
- 14:09Speaker 1: we're criticizing some people who are sharing with our discernment.
- 14:15Speaker 1: On the other hand, we still need them to share material.
- 14:18Speaker 1: So how do we find that balance?
- 14:21Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I don't know, because if I think about,
- 14:25Speaker 2: you know, some of the bigger platforms that were sharing
- 14:28Speaker 2: misinformation and We're obviously coming at it from a great
- 14:33Speaker 2: deal of ignorance on the history of the conflict in
- 14:36Speaker 2: Syria and so on, so they were not really providing
- 14:40Speaker 2: even the necessary context and so on, because again we
- 14:44Speaker 2: talked about.
- 14:45Speaker 3: This, you know, even with the UK Column audience.
- 14:48Speaker 2: How many years it almost ten years since we started
- 14:51Speaker 2: working together on exposing what was going on in Syria.
- 14:56Speaker 2: But in that time, in particularly because it went relatively
- 14:59Speaker 2: quiet after twenty twenty when the majority of the country
- 15:02Speaker 2: was liberated, and as you said, most of the terrorists
- 15:06Speaker 2: that had been operating throughout Syria were kind of you know,
- 15:10Speaker 2: shoved up into the northwest into idleab and so therefore
- 15:14Speaker 2: I guess seventy percent of the country was living under
- 15:20Speaker 2: peacetime again. And then you had COVID come in and
- 15:24Speaker 2: suddenly you know, that was the rush then for information
- 15:29Speaker 2: to be got out and so on, and so I
- 15:31Speaker 2: know that UK Column's audience increased tremendously through that because
- 15:36Speaker 2: of the excellence of the work of UK Column and
- 15:39Speaker 2: exposing you know, the entire project, and still is. But
- 15:44Speaker 2: people kind of then lost touch with Syria. So now
- 15:47Speaker 2: the war is starting again and people are trying to
- 15:50Speaker 2: catch up. This is well, I don't understand what's going on.
- 15:53Speaker 2: Why are Syrians fighting Syrians and so on and so forth.
- 15:56Speaker 2: You know, so we're almost back to one where we're
- 16:00Speaker 2: having to point out that no, this is propaganda.
- 16:03Speaker 3: I mean, for example, I'll give.
- 16:04Speaker 2: You a very good example which is very typical of
- 16:08Speaker 2: what went on previously. There was a video put out
- 16:12Speaker 2: that showed, according to them, the terrorist tanks and armored
- 16:16Speaker 2: cars heading for Hobbs. The reality was they flipped the
- 16:21Speaker 2: video and it was actually Syrian army convoys of tanks
- 16:25Speaker 2: and armored cars that were coming from homes to Hamma
- 16:29Speaker 2: to strengthen the defense line in Humma, which is kind
- 16:33Speaker 2: of to the north of.
- 16:34Speaker 3: Hans, right. So this is the kind of thing that
- 16:38Speaker 3: people are not aware of.
- 16:39Speaker 2: We are used to it because we were covering all
- 16:41Speaker 2: this and we expose the White helmlets, we exposed their
- 16:45Speaker 2: fabricated chemical weapon attacks, we exposed their you know, incredible
- 16:51Speaker 2: propaganda methods.
- 16:53Speaker 3: But now that's all coming back.
- 16:55Speaker 2: But people are not prepared for it, because there's been
- 16:59Speaker 2: that kind of high between COVID and now four years
- 17:04Speaker 2: and people.
- 17:04Speaker 3: Have either forgotten.
- 17:07Speaker 2: And that is another point actually that I find quite interesting.
- 17:11Speaker 3: Is people have literally forgotten.
- 17:16Speaker 2: So it's like Syria before never happened, and now we're
- 17:18Speaker 2: starting again from square one.
- 17:20Speaker 1: Is it that people have forgotten or was it actually
- 17:23Speaker 1: the majority of people that are paying attention today never knew.
- 17:26Speaker 2: Maybe yeah, maybe because even among some of the Iranian
- 17:30Speaker 2: and Lebanese activists that I speak to, they were like
- 17:33Speaker 2: ten years old when the war against Syria started, so
- 17:36Speaker 2: even they don't have the grasp of the history of
- 17:40Speaker 2: it that some of US veteran journalists have.
- 17:43Speaker 1: For example, the key thing that everybody needs to know
- 17:47Speaker 1: is that this was never a civil war.
- 17:49Speaker 2: And also, I think, in addition to that, Syrians are
- 17:54Speaker 2: not fighting Syrians. Syrians from all faith in religions and
- 18:01Speaker 2: communities inside Syria under the protection of the Syrian government
- 18:05Speaker 2: are fighting against Muslim brotherhood factions in Syria that have
- 18:10Speaker 2: been weaponized by the worst for more than.
- 18:15Speaker 3: Forty to fifty years in Syria.
- 18:18Speaker 1: And sorry, let's just make this point, because Muslim brotherhood
- 18:22Speaker 1: was a British creation.
- 18:23Speaker 2: Yes, in Egypt, and basically they were created in order
- 18:28Speaker 2: to be weaponized against target governments in the Middle.
- 18:34Speaker 3: East or in West Asia.
- 18:36Speaker 2: And when people say Syrians fighting against Syrians. So that's
- 18:40Speaker 2: the Syrian side of it, let's say, is the Muslim brotherhood.
- 18:44Speaker 2: But probably at least fifty percent of those that let's
- 18:48Speaker 2: say the government forces and their allies are fighting are
- 18:52Speaker 2: foreign mercenaries.
- 18:54Speaker 3: Where they're from Uzbek.
- 18:57Speaker 2: Afghanistan, we goas from China, Chechens, Albanians, Kosovars, Libyans, you know,
- 19:11Speaker 2: so they're not Serians.
- 19:13Speaker 1: One of the points that we were making all the
- 19:15Speaker 1: way through that time we were when we were covering
- 19:18Speaker 1: this up until the things settled down in twenty twenty.
- 19:22Speaker 1: All those years we were covering this, one of the
- 19:24Speaker 1: things we were covering was the sheer brutality of these people,
- 19:29Speaker 1: you know they are they at that time were beheading people,
- 19:32Speaker 1: they were beheading children, and in the last few days
- 19:36Speaker 1: they've been beheading Syrian army if any that they've captured, and.
- 19:41Speaker 3: Even the Kurds.
- 19:42Speaker 2: I mean, we'll get onto why the Curds are involved
- 19:45Speaker 2: in the defense of a lepo, because that's an interesting aspect,
- 19:48Speaker 2: but even the Curds that were captured, I think today
- 19:52Speaker 2: in the northeastern axis of the outskirts of Aleppo.
- 19:58Speaker 3: The videos that were put out were of the women
- 20:00Speaker 3: and the male captives being horribly mistreated.
- 20:07Speaker 2: But yeah, any Syrian Army officers or soldiers that have
- 20:12Speaker 2: been captured have been either executed on the spot or
- 20:17Speaker 2: horribly beheaded, as one video showed that I really wish
- 20:22Speaker 2: I hadn't watched. And you know from Aleppo itself, the
- 20:27Speaker 2: command was for all of the at risk communities, so
- 20:31Speaker 2: the Shia Muslim, the Alawhite Muslim, the security forces, police Army,
- 20:37Speaker 2: any one connected to the government in a lepo was
- 20:39Speaker 2: told to evacuate the minute the attack started, and that's
- 20:43Speaker 2: why Aleppo was left largely undefended, to protect those elements,
- 20:48Speaker 2: but also to prevent clashes between those elements and the
- 20:51Speaker 2: armed groups with civilians caught in the middle.
- 20:55Speaker 3: So it was a.
- 20:56Speaker 2: Deliberate employ by the army once they realized there had
- 21:00Speaker 2: potentially been a breach in the Syrian army defense lines
- 21:05Speaker 2: to withdraw far enough to leave a kind of buffer
- 21:09Speaker 2: zone around Aleppo where now the terrorists are gathering and
- 21:14Speaker 2: they are being bombed by Syrian and Russian warplanes. So
- 21:19Speaker 2: to withdraw to a certain distance and then behind the
- 21:22Speaker 2: new lines of the Syrian Arab Im either Russian and
- 21:25Speaker 2: Syrian planes are bombing the supply lines, the ammunition warehouses
- 21:29Speaker 2: at the drone manufacturing sites, the headquarters, the command centers,
- 21:35Speaker 2: and so on. I think also a lot of commentators
- 21:38Speaker 2: have a kind of video game idea of war, and
- 21:41Speaker 2: to be fair, if you've not experienced war.
- 21:44Speaker 3: I'm not a military expert.
- 21:46Speaker 2: I don't pretend to be, but I have lived through
- 21:49Speaker 2: and experienced and witnessed a lot of military situations, So
- 21:56Speaker 2: I think I do have a kind of an idea
- 21:59Speaker 2: that it's incredibly complex, Mistakes can be made, and often
- 22:04Speaker 2: it'll be weeks, if not years, after that you actually
- 22:07Speaker 2: get to find out exactly, piece by piece what really happened.
- 22:12Speaker 3: And that's my point.
- 22:13Speaker 2: You know, all these people that go on and sort
- 22:15Speaker 2: of say, well Aleppo fell and start criticizing the Syrian
- 22:19Speaker 2: Army because they surrendered, they ran away.
- 22:22Speaker 3: They withdrew, that's it. The state has fallen.
- 22:24Speaker 2: That's literally the extent to which people were sensationalizing what
- 22:28Speaker 2: was going on. It was quite extraordinary forgetting that the
- 22:32Speaker 2: Syrian Army has defended Syria for fourteen years very successfully,
- 22:36Speaker 2: despite going through similar very grave times before let's say
- 22:42Speaker 2: twenty fifteen, when Russia actually came into help the Syrian
- 22:46Speaker 2: Army was fighting on more than one hundred fronts at
- 22:48Speaker 2: that point.
- 22:48Speaker 1: It's completely insane to me that people would be jumping
- 22:52Speaker 1: to these conclusions because, you know, the only people that
- 22:55Speaker 1: know what the strategy and the tactics of any military
- 22:57Speaker 1: operation are are the commanders that organizing it. They're the
- 23:01Speaker 1: only people that know. Everything else is sheer speculation. We
- 23:04Speaker 1: can analyze, we can, we can provide analysis, intelligent analysis
- 23:10Speaker 1: based on information that is discovered. But but to just
- 23:13Speaker 1: jump to a conclusion this happened in thirty seconds later,
- 23:16Speaker 1: it's because they ran away. This is this is the
- 23:19Speaker 1: right now. The other thing that I wanted to ask
- 23:22Speaker 1: about was I've seen on social media this photograph of
- 23:26Speaker 1: the Turkish flag being held being hung over a wall.
- 23:29Speaker 1: Is is that real? Is that? Is that? Because? Yeah, sorry, sorry,
- 23:37Speaker 1: there were a couple of things that struck me. But
- 23:39Speaker 1: first of all, was it taken in the last day
- 23:43Speaker 1: or two? Can anybody prove that? Second of all, who
- 23:46Speaker 1: was holding the flag? Was it a terrorist?
- 23:49Speaker 3: Well?
- 23:49Speaker 2: You remember Paris Shahabi, who you know, we spoke to
- 23:54Speaker 2: I think on a number of occasions.
- 23:55Speaker 3: Who was then during the early.
- 23:58Speaker 2: Years of the war and before liberation of Eastern Apo.
- 24:02Speaker 2: He was the head of the Chamber of Commerce in Aleppo,
- 24:04Speaker 2: and as one of the industrialists in a Lepo, he
- 24:06Speaker 2: didn't abandon the country.
- 24:08Speaker 3: He stayed in Aleppo throughout the war.
- 24:11Speaker 2: And was often on Channel four challenging their narratives, much
- 24:15Speaker 2: to their distaste. But just to let you know, I mean,
- 24:19Speaker 2: he basically escaped within seconds, really with his life, because
- 24:25Speaker 2: when the attack happened, he went to the western reaches
- 24:28Speaker 2: where his factories are, and he took a selfie and
- 24:32Speaker 2: he posted it on x and he told me afterwards,
- 24:36Speaker 2: like after he posted it, they entered his factory and
- 24:40Speaker 2: he managed to escape literally by a side door minutes
- 24:44Speaker 2: before they came to the room or to the roof,
- 24:46Speaker 2: because he was actually on the roof taking the photo.
- 24:49Speaker 2: And he then was part of those that was evacuated
- 24:53Speaker 2: from Aleppo because his house is basically in an area
- 24:57Speaker 2: that would have been very easy for them to reach.
- 25:00Speaker 2: So he evacuated because you know, he's high risk. I mean,
- 25:05Speaker 2: they would love to get hold of him, and God
- 25:07Speaker 2: knows what they would do to him if they did.
- 25:10Speaker 1: Well, I don't say it doesn't take much imagination, but.
- 25:12Speaker 2: Exactly so, thank god he got out, but he actually
- 25:17Speaker 2: was sending me these images of the Turkish flag being
- 25:22Speaker 2: hung over the walls of the Citadel, which, of course,
- 25:25Speaker 2: as you know, is the iconic castle in the center
- 25:29Speaker 2: of Aleppo, which is on a sort of i don't
- 25:33Speaker 2: know what you would call it, a huge mound. That
- 25:37Speaker 2: basically the army managed to hold the castle throughout the
- 25:40Speaker 2: occupation of the eastern sectors of Aleppo, despite coming under
- 25:46Speaker 2: multiple attacks in the terrorists tunneled under the castle and
- 25:50Speaker 2: came up in the grounds of the castle at one point,
- 25:54Speaker 2: but they repelled all attacks. So it's a very important symbol.
- 25:59Speaker 2: So the idea of someone hanging the Turkish flag over
- 26:03Speaker 2: the Citadel of Aleppo has huge importance.
- 26:08Speaker 3: For Syrians and of course for the Turks. For Erduwan
- 26:12Speaker 3: because right from the beginning of the regime change war
- 26:15Speaker 3: in twenty.
- 26:15Speaker 2: Twelve, it was Erdouwan who dispatched his Al Taweed brigades,
- 26:20Speaker 2: the Turkish back brigades into the eastern sectors and into
- 26:24Speaker 2: the industrial sectors to take over a Lepo.
- 26:27Speaker 3: This has been Erduwan's kind of neo Ottoman.
- 26:31Speaker 2: Dream since pre two thousand and eleven. So that's the
- 26:37Speaker 2: symbolism of that image. But whether you know, is it
- 26:40Speaker 2: one person hanging the flag over the battlements for the
- 26:45Speaker 2: photoshop I mean for the photo op.
- 26:48Speaker 3: Sorry, you know what I mean.
- 26:50Speaker 2: That's what I'm talking about.
- 26:53Speaker 3: That's what I'm talking about.
- 26:54Speaker 2: It it's like it's always only one person, like they
- 26:58Speaker 2: had he sent me another with a Turkish presenter walking
- 27:03Speaker 2: around with a microphone and saying, you know, now this
- 27:06Speaker 2: is Turkey, will bring electricity, will do this, We'll do that,
- 27:09Speaker 2: and so on.
- 27:10Speaker 3: But it's insane.
- 27:11Speaker 2: It's just one person and there's no civilians around. Because
- 27:14Speaker 2: the civilians are basically under curfew.
- 27:17Speaker 3: They can only come out in the morning.
- 27:20Speaker 2: The army has issued instructions for them, the civilians, to
- 27:23Speaker 2: stay away from big gatherings of Nusra Front because they're
- 27:27Speaker 2: going to be bombing them, and they have been bombing
- 27:30Speaker 2: them in the outskirts of Aleppo and a couple of
- 27:34Speaker 2: strikes sort of more centrally, but as far as I know,
- 27:37Speaker 2: there have been no civilian casualties from the reaction of
- 27:43Speaker 2: the Syrians and Russians in a Lepo. And that was
- 27:46Speaker 2: the point to some degree, when they saw that they
- 27:48Speaker 2: were potentially going to not be able to hold the
- 27:51Speaker 2: city itself. I'm assuming that's when they went to Plan
- 27:56Speaker 2: B or Plan C or whatever it was, and then
- 27:59Speaker 2: withdrew to the era that I was speaking about.
- 28:02Speaker 1: Let's just remind yourselves a little bit about For some people,
- 28:06Speaker 1: as we said, this won't be a reminder, it will
- 28:08Speaker 1: be the first time you've heard this, but let's just
- 28:11Speaker 1: remind yourselves about the media operation that was running all
- 28:14Speaker 1: the way through the Syrian conflict, and hopefully that helps
- 28:18Speaker 1: people discern what's going on today, because I think on
- 28:24Speaker 1: Friday morning, I was heading into the office and surprise, surprise,
- 28:29Speaker 1: who did the BBC have on? They had a representative
- 28:34Speaker 1: of the White Helmets on, of course, right, because of
- 28:38Speaker 1: course they have been cheerleaders for that organization from the beginning.
- 28:43Speaker 1: And aside from that, we have mentioned many many times
- 28:47Speaker 1: on UK column that BBC Media Action, this charity was
- 28:53Speaker 1: working in Syria from two in two thousand and four,
- 28:56Speaker 1: so seven or eight years before the conflict again, and
- 29:01Speaker 1: they were actively looking for opposition within the country, within
- 29:06Speaker 1: the government and actively working with them for them to
- 29:10Speaker 1: become change agents or regime change agents. But as well
- 29:15Speaker 1: as that, they were working with media companies or media
- 29:19Speaker 1: journalists in Syria. And then what we saw was that
- 29:24Speaker 1: people that had been trained by the BBC were then
- 29:29Speaker 1: being used by Channel four, for example, as voices from
- 29:34Speaker 1: the ground, voices journalists, local journalists who and it was
- 29:38Speaker 1: never declared to us in the West that these people
- 29:40Speaker 1: had been trained. So we were getting a narrative presentatives
- 29:45Speaker 1: by the BBC and by Channel four and so on
- 29:48Speaker 1: in the UK based on stories being told by people
- 29:52Speaker 1: that they had trained in the first place. On top
- 29:55Speaker 1: of that, then they of course were amplifying the messages
- 29:59Speaker 1: of the White Helmets. And so we're going to see
- 30:03Speaker 1: that again. Undoubtedly.
- 30:05Speaker 3: Oh we're seeing it. It's already started.
- 30:08Speaker 2: But I mean it there I have to, you know,
- 30:12Speaker 2: hats off to us, really because now when the White
- 30:15Speaker 2: Helmets are producing their usual one kid in their arms
- 30:19Speaker 2: running towards the camera, they.
- 30:21Speaker 3: Haven't changed much. People are really attacking them on social media,
- 30:26Speaker 3: I mean really going after them.
- 30:28Speaker 2: And I would also say a lot of because I
- 30:32Speaker 2: saw god oh In Jones is back on the scene
- 30:37Speaker 2: attacking a sad and attacking you know, Syria generally, because
- 30:41Speaker 2: if you remember when I was in Aleppo in December
- 30:45Speaker 2: twenty sixteen and I was following the Army as it
- 30:49Speaker 2: was liberating various districts of East Aleppo. Ohing Jones was
- 30:55Speaker 2: trumpeting in The Guardian that the Syrian Arabami were raping
- 31:00Speaker 2: women and executing people in the streets. And I remember
- 31:04Speaker 2: literally going on our tea and saying, I have no
- 31:08Speaker 2: idea what he's talking about. As the Syrian Army soldiers
- 31:11Speaker 2: whose family lived in easti Leppo were carrying them out
- 31:14Speaker 2: of the buildings, hugging them, falling on their knees.
- 31:19Speaker 3: In front of their relatives and things like that. It
- 31:21Speaker 3: was appalling, you know. And so these people, I.
- 31:26Speaker 2: Mean, I don't know, they're just they're absolute, they're parasites really,
- 31:33Speaker 2: And you know, he's back on it again now. It's
- 31:36Speaker 2: like the whole lot of them have just been retriggered,
- 31:38Speaker 2: and it's like they're just back to business as.
- 31:40Speaker 3: Normal now with Syria.
- 31:42Speaker 2: But what is really interesting, until twenty sixteen, it was
- 31:46Speaker 2: it was very difficult to push back against those dominant narratives. Now,
- 31:50Speaker 2: what I'm seeing on social media, ninety five percent of
- 31:55Speaker 2: the comments are are you stupid?
- 31:57Speaker 3: Basically people are pushing.
- 31:59Speaker 2: Back, so that at least is a sign of the
- 32:04Speaker 2: degree of success we had Finally in demonstrating to people
- 32:09Speaker 2: what was going on, and you know, I'm sort of
- 32:13Speaker 2: very pleased to see that that is a degree of encouragement.
- 32:18Speaker 1: Really, who are the people that are pushing back in
- 32:20Speaker 1: that way and what makes them different to the people
- 32:23Speaker 1: that were amplifying the bogus narratives over the last few days.
- 32:29Speaker 2: I think you put your finger on it when you
- 32:32Speaker 2: said there are elements within social media that have been
- 32:37Speaker 2: established and allowed to flourish and grow to ridiculous levels,
- 32:43Speaker 2: who are being controlled, whether it's by you know, intelligence
- 32:48Speaker 2: agencies of their country, media.
- 32:52Speaker 3: Agencies, whatever it is. These people are.
- 32:55Speaker 2: There to literally miss in form or to mislead, and
- 33:01Speaker 2: they've been given because of course they're not shadow band,
- 33:05Speaker 2: they're not banned on YouTube. They're allowed to monetize to
- 33:10Speaker 2: the nth degree, even though apparently they are following our
- 33:14Speaker 2: narratives and they're being controversial.
- 33:17Speaker 3: But funnily enough, they never get censored.
- 33:21Speaker 2: I mean, I'm hideously shadow bands on x Iva Bartler
- 33:26Speaker 2: is you are You've been kicked off YouTube? Have forgotten
- 33:30Speaker 2: how many times I'm constantly being struck off on YouTube
- 33:34Speaker 2: and having my two week bands and so on. So
- 33:37Speaker 2: there's no way on earth, we can grow our audiences
- 33:39Speaker 2: to the level that these people do, and they're there
- 33:44Speaker 2: for that reason.
- 33:45Speaker 1: And the other thing about them is they appear very quickly.
- 33:48Speaker 1: They get these big audiences almost apparently overnight. Does that happen.
- 33:52Speaker 2: Because they're they're they're given, they're managed. Basically, they're managed
- 33:58Speaker 2: and funded and then managed and funded to stay on message,
- 34:02Speaker 2: whatever that message may be. And they're allowed to you know, well, no,
- 34:08Speaker 2: they're not even allowed to that. They're engineered to be
- 34:13Speaker 2: controversial on certain subjects in order to achieve the credibility
- 34:18Speaker 2: that they need. Although sometimes I do wonder, you know,
- 34:23Speaker 2: how people jump on these kind of narcissist bandwagons that
- 34:27Speaker 2: are literally being that social media is being absolutely infiltrated with,
- 34:34Speaker 2: and how people don't see that this account is utterly managed, control, superficial.
- 34:44Speaker 3: And just literally directing narratives.
- 34:48Speaker 2: And this is one thing that I struggle to understand
- 34:51Speaker 2: how people don't see through this. The people who are
- 34:55Speaker 2: pushing back against the narrative. I would say, I've certainly
- 34:58Speaker 2: seen a number of UK columns members. But also I think,
- 35:03Speaker 2: you know, I guess you're right, it's an age thing.
- 35:08Speaker 2: The people who were not around when Syria first started,
- 35:11Speaker 2: and Iraq and Libya and san it's perhaps harder for
- 35:16Speaker 2: them to catch up. They're perhaps even more attracted to
- 35:19Speaker 2: the whole technocratic tyranny narratives because that's something that appeals
- 35:26Speaker 2: more to their generation, to their age group, and so on.
- 35:32Speaker 2: Potentially that I'm just thinking out loud, but I think,
- 35:36Speaker 2: you know, UK column played a huge part in pushing
- 35:39Speaker 2: back against it.
- 35:40Speaker 3: But I think now we're almost in a position.
- 35:42Speaker 2: Where we need to really remind people of it and
- 35:45Speaker 2: to start demonstrating that the same thing is happening again
- 35:49Speaker 2: and not to fall for it again. I think I'm
- 35:52Speaker 2: hoping the period of time for them to understand what's
- 35:55Speaker 2: going on is going to be much shorter than it
- 35:57Speaker 2: was before, because it took what was it nearly five
- 36:01Speaker 2: years before really the public consensus started to shift after
- 36:04Speaker 2: the liberation of a Lapper at the end of twenty sixteen.
- 36:08Speaker 3: That's for me, that was kind of the watershed moment.
- 36:11Speaker 1: I suppose. The thing can that sort of makes me
- 36:15Speaker 1: uncomfortable about this conversation as we've had it so far,
- 36:19Speaker 1: is that the criticisms that we have for high social
- 36:25Speaker 1: media is being used echo the criticisms that the mainstream
- 36:29Speaker 1: used to justify the creation of the Online Safety Act.
- 36:34Speaker 1: For example, I think we've got a I'm not sure
- 36:37Speaker 1: what we do about it, but we've got to urge
- 36:41Speaker 1: people to think about how they're using social media and
- 36:47Speaker 1: to think about I mean, is it an unfair rule
- 36:51Speaker 1: of thumb to say that the more sensationalist and clickbait
- 36:55Speaker 1: a post is, the more skepticism you should viewed with
- 37:03Speaker 1: a Would that be a good basic rule of thumb.
- 37:06Speaker 2: I think it's a good start. I'm trying to think.
- 37:09Speaker 2: I mean, that is what the majority of these accounts.
- 37:12Speaker 3: Tend to do.
- 37:13Speaker 2: You know, they know how to manage the algorithm, they
- 37:18Speaker 2: know how to manage the audience.
- 37:22Speaker 3: So yeah, I mean that is certainly one rule of thumb.
- 37:28Speaker 2: I think, for me the best bit of advice, and
- 37:32Speaker 2: I give it to myself because.
- 37:35Speaker 3: I'm not going to lie.
- 37:36Speaker 2: I was also, let's say, at least confused, and I
- 37:41Speaker 2: was very affected by the fear that had been instilled
- 37:45Speaker 2: in Syrians that I was speaking to. So even for me,
- 37:49Speaker 2: I was struggling in those first at least twenty four
- 37:52Speaker 2: hours and plus some of the military high level had
- 37:57Speaker 2: gone dark, and this was also very very disturbing for us,
- 38:03Speaker 2: because these are leaders and commanders who've really been in
- 38:07Speaker 2: charge of the war from day one, and they kind
- 38:10Speaker 2: of disappeared off the radar. Now we did here today
- 38:13Speaker 2: that there was potential that the terrorists when they came in,
- 38:16Speaker 2: using probably Ukrainian, Israeli or even Turkish technology, had managed
- 38:21Speaker 2: to jam all of the communication systems. So I was
- 38:27Speaker 2: because in the beginning I was told there was an
- 38:30Speaker 2: absolute breakdown in communication between the different brigades, and that
- 38:34Speaker 2: had also led to confusion.
- 38:37Speaker 3: But now it appears.
- 38:38Speaker 2: That there was a possibility that they had used these
- 38:41Speaker 2: communication jamming techniques used of course, we think by Hamas
- 38:47Speaker 2: on October the seventh, to jam the Israeli surveillance systems,
- 38:52Speaker 2: for example. That's what some reports have said that, So
- 38:55Speaker 2: that would kind of explain these stories of breakdown in communication.
- 39:01Speaker 3: The command didn't know what was going on.
- 39:03Speaker 2: The soldiers had no idea what was going on that
- 39:05Speaker 2: was being said in the first twenty four hours.
- 39:09Speaker 3: So that's what I'm saying. You know, you have to
- 39:13Speaker 3: wait to piece.
- 39:15Speaker 2: Together the bits of information that you can extract from
- 39:18Speaker 2: a situation.
- 39:19Speaker 3: And what I would.
- 39:20Speaker 2: Advise people is please don't go for those people who've
- 39:23Speaker 2: made a conclusion in the first five minutes, because that
- 39:26Speaker 2: is impossible. It's impossible, doesn't matter who they are, it's
- 39:32Speaker 2: not possible.
- 39:33Speaker 3: As I said, it takes time.
- 39:35Speaker 2: And even now, as you said, who will have the
- 39:38Speaker 2: full picture would be people in high level command, and
- 39:42Speaker 2: they're not going to be sharing that information with anyone.
- 39:45Speaker 2: We can only speculate, but at least let speculate with
- 39:48Speaker 2: some of.
- 39:48Speaker 3: The facts from on the ground, not.
- 39:50Speaker 2: From knee jerk reaction accounts that want to amplify one.
- 39:57Speaker 3: Aspect of the story or another.
- 39:59Speaker 2: Syria is falling or as sad, as gone as sad,
- 40:02Speaker 2: as they fled the country and gone to Russia.
- 40:05Speaker 3: I mean, that was like another one that was gathering
- 40:08Speaker 3: a lot of traction.
- 40:10Speaker 2: Right, It's like, just take a deep breath, you know,
- 40:14Speaker 2: you don't need to know right now what's happening other
- 40:18Speaker 2: than the basics. But there's no point in trying to
- 40:22Speaker 2: speculate on what might have gone wrong, what might have
- 40:24Speaker 2: gone right?
- 40:25Speaker 3: Was this a tract? Was this a strategy? You can't
- 40:28Speaker 3: say that.
- 40:29Speaker 2: Even I can't fully say exactly what happened.
- 40:34Speaker 3: I can't. It's impossible.
- 40:37Speaker 2: I mean, you know, We've now got people that evacuated
- 40:41Speaker 2: from Aleppo here in Damascus, so potentially I can go
- 40:43Speaker 2: and talk to them and at least get an idea
- 40:45Speaker 2: from them, But even from them, it's only going to
- 40:47Speaker 2: be one percentage of the overall perspective for us. Here.
- 40:53Speaker 1: We've got to recognize that there are people out there
- 40:57Speaker 1: who have the intention of causing stress and angst. They
- 41:03Speaker 1: are there specifically to wind people up and generated.
- 41:07Speaker 2: Moralized moralized you know, that's very important, demoralized people.
- 41:13Speaker 1: So we've got we've got to learn to take a
- 41:15Speaker 1: step back and just be a bit cautious about what
- 41:19Speaker 1: we're looking at.
- 41:19Speaker 2: And because you know, this is going to be a
- 41:22Speaker 2: very long war and we have absolutely no idea what
- 41:25Speaker 2: other factions are going to be involved. I mean that
- 41:28Speaker 2: there was a statement put out by a former military
- 41:30Speaker 2: intelligence guy at Mordecai Kidar today on one of the
- 41:35Speaker 2: Israeli media channels, and basically he was saying that he
- 41:38Speaker 2: had direct communication with the terrorist factions and they were
- 41:43Speaker 2: saying in return for normalization with Israel, the terrorist factions
- 41:47Speaker 2: would normalize with Israel officially. Of course, they already are.
- 41:51Speaker 2: They want Israel to supply armed.
- 41:54Speaker 3: Supply weapons, supply technology.
- 41:57Speaker 2: And we know that Ukraine has been training the terrorists
- 42:01Speaker 2: in the Northwest under the command of Abamahama Trolani for
- 42:05Speaker 2: some time, and it's Ukrainian drugs that are being used
- 42:10Speaker 2: against the Syrian Arabami at the moment.
- 42:12Speaker 3: And the interesting thing is some of the.
- 42:14Speaker 2: Armed groups I've noticed are wearing bright yellow ribbons around
- 42:18Speaker 2: their helmets and around their sleeve and I can only assume,
- 42:24Speaker 2: because I've never seen it before in any of the groups,
- 42:27Speaker 2: that this is related to Ukraine because they wouldn't use
- 42:33Speaker 2: yellow normally because it's a Hezbla.
- 42:35Speaker 3: It's the Hezeala flag is yellow.
- 42:38Speaker 2: We're seeing exactly who's playing in this at the moment, Turkey, Israel,
- 42:43Speaker 2: Israel immediately after the ceasefire, the pivot to Syria, and
- 42:47Speaker 2: I think I spoke about that on the.
- 42:49Speaker 3: Last UK column News that this is what was going
- 42:52Speaker 3: to happen.
- 42:53Speaker 2: And you know, why should Israel or Turkey expend their
- 42:58Speaker 2: expend their own forces when they can use their proxies.
- 43:02Speaker 2: You know, Israel can direct the terrorists to take vital
- 43:06Speaker 2: supply roots, to destroy research and development centers, to take
- 43:11Speaker 2: control of the borders with Lebanon, Israel doesn't have to
- 43:15Speaker 2: lift a finger. It just provides the weapon and potentially
- 43:19Speaker 2: the air support. What we might see is if there's
- 43:21Speaker 2: a major counter offensive which is now being prepared against
- 43:25Speaker 2: the terrorists that have come from Aleppo down the western
- 43:30Speaker 2: routes into the northern Hama area. And you will remember
- 43:35Speaker 2: when I've spoken often about the Syrian Christian towns of
- 43:39Speaker 2: Sclbia and Mahade that are now back under threat. But
- 43:43Speaker 2: the Syrian army now has sent massive reinforcements to the
- 43:47Speaker 2: Hama front. They're bombing those terrorists that have come from
- 43:51Speaker 2: a leper and are now basically being cattled in a
- 43:53Speaker 2: certain area.
- 43:56Speaker 3: They're bombing them. There's Russian heavy artillery.
- 43:59Speaker 2: And one thing, because one of the rumors that were
- 44:03Speaker 2: circulating was.
- 44:04Speaker 3: That there had been a degree of betrayal.
- 44:07Speaker 2: Or mismanagement, let's say, from the commander of the Russian forces,
- 44:12Speaker 2: who was Sege Kessel.
- 44:14Speaker 3: Now after a sad's visit.
- 44:17Speaker 2: To Moscow on Friday, he was dismissed and Alexander Chako
- 44:23Speaker 2: is coming back immediately as the commander, and he was
- 44:26Speaker 2: the commander during the last battles for Hamar and all
- 44:30Speaker 2: of this southern Idla region, and he's known to be
- 44:34Speaker 2: extremely effective. So this is another kind of pointer that
- 44:39Speaker 2: there may have been even a problem with the Russian
- 44:42Speaker 2: command for example. Right again, I can't this is speculation
- 44:47Speaker 2: but based on the sequence of events, but the fact
- 44:51Speaker 2: that Chaiko is back here also reassures Syria to a
- 44:57Speaker 2: large degree because he's well trusted by this armed forces.
- 45:01Speaker 1: I think the point we've got to make, just to
- 45:03Speaker 1: end is that this isn't and this is not a
- 45:09Speaker 1: separate thing from the rest of what's going on in
- 45:14Speaker 1: the world. Syria was never a separate thing, and this
- 45:17Speaker 1: I have to say, this is one of the things
- 45:20Speaker 1: that people didn't get in in the mid twenty tens,
- 45:25Speaker 1: you know, twenty fifteen, twenty sixteen, all around that time.
- 45:28Speaker 1: They didn't get that this was part of a much
- 45:32Speaker 1: broader geopolitical action. Yeah, and we can't separate it from Libya,
- 45:41Speaker 1: we can't separate it from Ukraine. Now, we can't separate it.
- 45:44Speaker 1: In fact, we can't even really separate it from Iraq,
- 45:48Speaker 1: and we certainly can't separate it from the fact that
- 45:53Speaker 1: Iran is on the target list for the West. And
- 45:58Speaker 1: we can't separate it for from the fact that Russia's
- 46:01Speaker 1: on the target list for the West, so so you know,
- 46:04Speaker 1: we've got to we've got to try to place what's
- 46:07Speaker 1: going on in Syria in this broader the wars with
- 46:11Speaker 1: an s is actually the war because this is a
- 46:14Speaker 1: global conflict now really because everybody's involved. I mean you've
- 46:18Speaker 1: just you earlier listed the number of countries that are
- 46:21Speaker 1: that are there as proxies against the SAD in Syria, right,
- 46:25Speaker 1: and we're seeing the same types of actors in fighting
- 46:30Speaker 1: for the Ukrainian side, and the weapons have come from
- 46:34Speaker 1: Libya and from other places as well, so you know
- 46:37Speaker 1: this is not a local conflict.
- 46:40Speaker 3: No, absolutely not.
- 46:41Speaker 2: And you know the exchange for Ukraine supplying drones and
- 46:46Speaker 2: technology and training to Jilani's terrorist forces was for Jiolani
- 46:52Speaker 2: to hand pig terrorists to go and fight in Ukraine
- 46:55Speaker 2: against Russia. So yes, you know, the wars are are
- 47:00Speaker 2: now blatantly sorry connected, And a few people have spoken
- 47:06Speaker 2: to me, including the Venezuela Ambasta, of the possibility that
- 47:13Speaker 2: Trump does want to and he was elected on ending
- 47:17Speaker 2: the war in Ukraine, right, so to some degree he's
- 47:20Speaker 2: going to have to follow through on that, and he's
- 47:22Speaker 2: been allowed to be elected on that. So we have
- 47:25Speaker 2: to assume that those that are actually controlling and pulling
- 47:29Speaker 2: the strings do for some reason want to pull out
- 47:32Speaker 2: of Ukraine or at least you know, move on to
- 47:35Speaker 2: another war theater, which is of course potentially China, I
- 47:40Speaker 2: think is the ultimate end game.
- 47:44Speaker 3: And so.
- 47:47Speaker 2: There is a possibility that Trump or Trump's spokespeople or
- 47:52Speaker 2: whatever or advisors are already speaking to put In in
- 47:56Speaker 2: order to come to some kind of deal on Ukraine,
- 47:59Speaker 2: in it change potentially for something in Syria.
- 48:03Speaker 3: And so, you know, are we going to.
- 48:06Speaker 2: See for example, we know that the Kurds that are
- 48:10Speaker 2: now working under the Syrian Arabami command are only going
- 48:15Speaker 2: to do that if they feel the US is going
- 48:17Speaker 2: to abandon them. That's the only time that the Curds
- 48:20Speaker 2: will come and negotiate something with Damascus. So is it
- 48:26Speaker 2: potential that Trump is saying, all right, okay, I'll withdraw
- 48:30Speaker 2: out of northeastern Syria because in his mind, we can
- 48:35Speaker 2: use the terrorists and Turkey and Israel can control the terrorists,
- 48:40Speaker 2: and we can use them to cut the supply of lines,
- 48:42Speaker 2: to destroy the defense manufacturing capability of.
- 48:46Speaker 3: Syria, to take control of the borders.
- 48:50Speaker 2: We don't actually need to do this, and we don't
- 48:52Speaker 2: really need the oil. We can take our troops out
- 48:54Speaker 2: of there, because then the job is done for Israel.
- 48:57Speaker 2: We don't need to do anymore, right, and then we'll
- 49:01Speaker 2: keep the Altanif base, which is the biggest base on
- 49:04Speaker 2: the border with Jordan and Iraq, in case, you know,
- 49:08Speaker 2: where needed in the future, and we can keep incubating
- 49:10Speaker 2: terrorists there and to keep the pressure on a sad.
- 49:14Speaker 2: There is potential for Israel to invade in the south.
- 49:18Speaker 3: We've been talking about that for some time, and so
- 49:22Speaker 3: you know, then that's kind.
- 49:23Speaker 2: Of job done in Syria, I think from their perspective,
- 49:26Speaker 2: so they'll leave them with their oil because who cares. Basically,
- 49:30Speaker 2: they don't need to further weaken the state. I'm not
- 49:33Speaker 2: saying this is going to happen, but I'm just saying
- 49:36Speaker 2: maybe that's how he's thinking, and then.
- 49:38Speaker 3: That frees him.
- 49:40Speaker 2: He still has all his bases in Iraq, that frees
- 49:42Speaker 2: him to pivot towards Iran or China. I mean, this
- 49:45Speaker 2: is again, as I said, this is just me thinking
- 49:48Speaker 2: out loud, and some people have said to me they
- 49:50Speaker 2: think there are conversations going on already between Putain and Trump.
- 49:55Speaker 2: But you know the fact that Russia now is definitely
- 49:59Speaker 2: standing by Syria. It's not going to I don't think
- 50:03Speaker 2: it would allow that level of terrorist infiltration. And I
- 50:07Speaker 2: think Russia sees ending the terrorist's presence, as does President A.
- 50:13Speaker 3: Sad inside Syria. So you know, we've got, as you said,
- 50:20Speaker 3: a huge number of very.
- 50:24Speaker 2: Powerful players involved in all the region, not only in Syria,
- 50:28Speaker 2: in Palestine, in Lebanon definitely. I mean, why did the
- 50:32Speaker 2: ceasefire happen because the US was engineering internal strife in
- 50:37Speaker 2: Lobanon itself and putting pressure on Hesbala because Israel started
- 50:41Speaker 2: bombing other sectors of Beirute that were not related to Hesbala.
- 50:46Speaker 2: So I don't think they had any choice but to
- 50:48Speaker 2: accept the seasefly.
- 50:50Speaker 1: Putin has to support the Syrian government against the terrorists
- 50:54Speaker 1: because Putin has very much drawn a line in the
- 50:57Speaker 1: sand in Ukraine with respect to extremist elements there with
- 51:01Speaker 1: the Nazis as he called them and so on. He
- 51:04Speaker 1: can't take that position in Ukraine and then allow extremist
- 51:09Speaker 1: activity in Syria and maintain any kind of credibility exactly.
- 51:15Speaker 2: But I do think you'll see under Trump, I do
- 51:19Speaker 2: think you'll see the foot off the pedal in Ukraine
- 51:22Speaker 2: and a pivot east.
- 51:26Speaker 3: I do kind of think that's what's coming.
- 51:29Speaker 2: And I think that's why you're also seeing now the
- 51:31Speaker 2: color Revolution in Georgia gathering momentum, because again that's one
- 51:37Speaker 2: I think it's a bargaining chip, because look, you know,
- 51:41Speaker 2: we'll create problems in Georgia again if you don't come
- 51:45Speaker 2: to the table about Ukraine and so on.
- 51:47Speaker 3: See what I mean. So everything is connected, everything that's going.
- 51:51Speaker 1: On at the moment, and we all need to keep
- 51:53Speaker 1: that in mind and be a bit more discerning with
- 51:56Speaker 1: our social media activity.
- 52:00Speaker 2: Because I mean, really genuinely, it has such a detrimental
- 52:05Speaker 2: psychological warfare effect on the on the countries and the
- 52:11Speaker 2: people of the countries that are in the eye of
- 52:13Speaker 2: the storm. It really does, and we need to remember.
- 52:16Speaker 3: That, you know, when when when we're attracted to sensationalism.
- 52:23Speaker 1: And on ourselves, Vanessa, people are people are very fractious
- 52:26Speaker 1: at the moment because people are under a lot of
- 52:28Speaker 1: stress everywhere, and so were we are killing ourselves in
- 52:33Speaker 1: the process as well. Absolutely, anyway, we will leave that
- 52:38Speaker 1: there for today. Thank you very much for joining me.
- 52:40Speaker 1: We will follow up on this.
- 52:42Speaker 3: Thanks Mike,