Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Boeing Cuts Delivery Target, Sending Shares to 18-Month Low
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- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios.
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- 0:09Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live
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- 0:23Speaker 3: Let's get back to the earnings story. We've got coming
- 0:26Speaker 3: fast and furious. Boeing. Talk about an American blue chip company,
- 0:31Speaker 3: one of my all-time faves. A little bit of a
- 0:33Speaker 3: rough spot there. I thought we were back on firm footing.
- 0:36Speaker 3: George Ferguson joins us. Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Aerospace, Defense and
- 0:40Speaker 3: Airlines Analyst talked to us about Boeing and JetBlue as well.
- 0:43Speaker 3: They reported. George, let's start with Boeing. What did we
- 0:45Speaker 3: learn there?
- 0:46Speaker 5: So I think we learned nothing happens fast anymore in manufacturing,
- 0:52Speaker 5: especially aerospace manufacturing. It sounds like the CEO dropped a
- 0:58Speaker 5: bomb right in the beginning of the call and basically said,
- 1:02Speaker 5: Rate 47, they're having difficulty stabilizing at, that's for the 737.
- 1:07Speaker 5: They're working with Wichita. It sounded like some wings issues,
- 1:14Speaker 5: maybe fuselage issues. But essentially, again, the supply chain not stable,
- 1:20Speaker 5: and so they push out rate 52 to the back
- 1:24Speaker 5: half of 2027. We kind of thought rate 52 would
- 1:29Speaker 5: be achieved in the early part of 2027. So I
- 1:32Speaker 5: think there's a bunch of folks that have to go
- 1:33Speaker 5: back and redo their models. That's the most important airplane
- 1:37Speaker 5: for them, right, the 737. When rate gets up on that,
- 1:40Speaker 5: you're going to get the profitability out of Boeing that
- 1:43Speaker 5: you expect, but not sort of pre-pandemic profitability. And, again,
- 1:49Speaker 5: it looks like we're delayed on that. And 787 looks
- 1:53Speaker 5: like there's delays as well, getting the number of engines
- 1:56Speaker 5: they want on that to be able to build that
- 1:58Speaker 5: at a rate of 10. So again, we just heard
- 2:04Speaker 5: manufacturing problems, and that's going to hurt cash flow. I
- 2:06Speaker 5: think CEO Kelly Orberg said it best at the very end.
- 2:09Speaker 5: He's like, everything just got kind of pushed to the right.
- 2:12Speaker 3: For a year. Yep. Stock reacting accordingly. Stock's down 9.6% today,
- 2:17Speaker 3: down 21% year-to-date, 52-week low.
- 2:21Speaker 2: You know, I'm curious. Are we finally at a point
- 2:23Speaker 2: where maybe the bigger problem is the supply chain rather
- 2:26Speaker 2: than maybe just Boeing's own factories? We've been spending a
- 2:29Speaker 2: lot of time talking about that as well.
- 2:32Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, I think Spirit, they bought into the
- 2:35Speaker 5: company because they're having problems. Now, Spirit's history is it
- 2:38Speaker 5: was sold out of the company because they wanted to
- 2:40Speaker 5: find a lower price way to build fuselages. But I
- 2:45Speaker 5: think that, you know, it's just indicative of problems, I think,
- 2:48Speaker 5: throughout U.S. manufacturing industry. and maybe to some extent global manufacturing.
- 2:54Speaker 5: In the US, I think we're really burning through some
- 2:57Speaker 5: heavy demand from other sectors that are pulling away people.
- 3:03Speaker 5: We're seeing retirements that are losing some of the gray
- 3:08Speaker 5: hairs that I think understand how to build airplanes. And
- 3:11Speaker 5: that's all hurting, right? I think you just look at
- 3:13Speaker 5: things like data centers and the amount of GDP they're
- 3:17Speaker 5: responsible for in the U.S. market. And, you know, I
- 3:21Speaker 5: think those companies are willing, the hyperscales are willing to
- 3:24Speaker 5: spend the money to build those facilities. They pull in
- 3:28Speaker 5: people to do the work. They'll pay the most. I
- 3:31Speaker 5: think if you're in the manufacturing world, you're having a
- 3:34Speaker 5: hard time finding workers and getting your supply chain to
- 3:37Speaker 5: work well. And I think this is just indicative of it.
- 3:40Speaker 3: Does Airbus have similar issues with the supply chain? They do.
- 3:44Speaker 5: I mean, Airbus is not, you know, last year, Airbus
- 3:46Speaker 5: had really no increase in build rates for the A320.
- 3:52Speaker 5: They're working hard to get them up this year. One
- 3:54Speaker 5: of the choke points there is RTX, the US engine maker.
- 3:59Speaker 5: But again, I think globally, we just see the supply
- 4:03Speaker 5: chains are having a hard time getting back, aerospace supply chains,
- 4:07Speaker 5: having a hard time getting back to pre-pandemic levels of builds.
- 4:12Speaker 5: It's about people. The equipment's still there. The factories are
- 4:16Speaker 5: still there. It's about people and it's about demand from
- 4:19Speaker 5: other industries, but a large portion is people.
- 4:22Speaker 1: Stay with us.
- 4:23Speaker 6: More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 4:30Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live
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- 4:40Speaker 1: you get your podcasts or watch us live on YouTube.
- 4:44Speaker 7: Big news this morning if you are the New York
- 4:47Speaker 7: Stock Exchange because General Motors is leaving the big board
- 4:50Speaker 7: and is now shifting its stock listing to the NASDAQ
- 4:53Speaker 7: Global Select Market.
- 4:55Speaker 8: Why?
- 4:55Speaker 7: Because it wants to position itself as a.
- 4:57Speaker 6: Tech forward company.
- 4:58Speaker 7: GM's ticker remains GM when it begins trading on the
- 5:01Speaker 7: NASDAQ on November 17th.
- 5:04Speaker 6: Let's bring in David Welch.
- 5:05Speaker 7: He is our Bloomberg Detroit Bureau Chief with more on this. David,
- 5:09Speaker 7: is this something that was expected? Did we know that
- 5:12Speaker 7: GM was moving in this direction?
- 5:15Speaker 8: We didn't. They've been working on this for more than
- 5:17Speaker 8: a month to try to move to the NASDAQ. And
- 5:22Speaker 8: it is part about trying to get a sort of
- 5:24Speaker 8: tech glow that they've been pushing for for a while
- 5:27Speaker 8: as they talk about their self-driving technology, their electric vehicles.
- 5:31Speaker 8: and their software-related services development. I think a bigger piece
- 5:36Speaker 8: of this, though, really is getting into the NASDAQ 100
- 5:39Speaker 8: and getting some shareholders access to that index so that
- 5:45Speaker 8: they can maybe push the stock price up by having
- 5:47Speaker 8: more possible buyers for the shares.
- 5:49Speaker 3: Being part of the Q's. Ah, okay. Sales is wondering.
- 5:52Speaker 3: So is there a cost associated to the company for
- 5:55Speaker 3: doing this, David? Because I mean, other than the psychological,
- 5:58Speaker 3: like we've been on the New York Stock Exchange since
- 6:00Speaker 3: the beginning of time.
- 6:03Speaker 8: If there is, it's not material. They didn't say they
- 6:06Speaker 8: had to pay hundreds of millions of dollars to get
- 6:09Speaker 8: on this thing. I think they'll probably be listed in December,
- 6:13Speaker 8: so maybe one of the perks is it can happen
- 6:16Speaker 8: pretty fast and they can get into the 100 when
- 6:19Speaker 8: they do the rebalancing of it next month, or two months.
- 6:24Speaker 8: We're almost in November. Maybe it will help the shares.
- 6:28Speaker 8: I can't see it helping a lot. GM's in a
- 6:30Speaker 8: position where They're kind of trading on the economy right now.
- 6:34Speaker 8: And there are a lot of worries out there with
- 6:36Speaker 8: affordability and inflation and where the health and confidence of
- 6:41Speaker 8: the consumer is. So maybe over time it helps them.
- 6:44Speaker 8: I think it's going to be tough sledding going forward
- 6:46Speaker 8: for auto stocks.
- 6:47Speaker 7: Yeah, in the Bloomberg News story that you helped author,
- 6:50Speaker 7: analysts from JP Morgan say that GM's market cap would
- 6:54Speaker 7: make it the second largest NASDAQ 100 non-member after Hilton.
- 6:59Speaker 7: So just something to keep in mind there. So part
- 7:01Speaker 7: of this is about how it's a tech-forward company that
- 7:06Speaker 7: embraces automated driving and EVs. What are GM's plans when
- 7:10Speaker 7: it comes to EVs? Because the Detroit carmakers have really
- 7:13Speaker 7: pulled back on their EV ambitions recently. and put, it
- 7:17Speaker 7: feels like, more emphasis on those internal combustion engine cars,
- 7:21Speaker 7: the SUVs, trucks that we're willing to pay a lot
- 7:24Speaker 7: of money for.
- 7:24Speaker 8: They have. In GM's case, they still... do sell 12 models.
- 7:31Speaker 8: They haven't canceled any of them. That's a lot of
- 7:33Speaker 8: different EVs out there, which means per name plate, they're
- 7:36Speaker 8: not selling very many because they've sold less than 100,000
- 7:38Speaker 8: total through the first three quarters of the year. You know,
- 7:43Speaker 8: in New York last week, they had an event where
- 7:46Speaker 8: they were showing some technology. And one of the things
- 7:49Speaker 8: they talked about was another EV coming with an all
- 7:51Speaker 8: new battery system. So they're not walking away from that.
- 7:54Speaker 8: They just can't sell EVs in this market without government incentives.
- 7:58Speaker 8: And even with those government incentives, American consumers were not
- 8:01Speaker 8: embracing electric drive as much as GM and the others hoped.
- 8:04Speaker 8: So they have to sell a bunch of V8 engine
- 8:08Speaker 8: pickup trucks and SUVs. That's where they make all of
- 8:11Speaker 8: their money. They're still working on this stuff. I think
- 8:14Speaker 8: from a technology standpoint, probably the bigger thing they have
- 8:17Speaker 8: is in 2028, they'll have eyes off the road, hands-free
- 8:21Speaker 8: driving on highways, starting with the Cadillac and then branching
- 8:25Speaker 8: out to other vehicles. And People pay thousands of dollars
- 8:28Speaker 8: a month for subscriptions to that sort of thing. Subscriptions.
- 8:33Speaker 7: Yep. Subscriptions and cars.
- 8:34Speaker 8: Subscription revenue is what every company likes to talk about
- 8:38Speaker 8: to the street, right? So that's where they're going with that.
- 8:41Speaker 7: The idea that you can have heated seats if you
- 8:42Speaker 7: pay a subscription for it, just that feels wrong somehow. David,
- 8:47Speaker 7: what about hybrids? I mean, Americans may not be embracing
- 8:50Speaker 7: EVs without any government help, but they are certainly flocking
- 8:54Speaker 7: to hybrids given where gas prices are right now.
- 8:57Speaker 8: That's right, and GM doesn't have them, unless you consider
- 9:00Speaker 8: the Corvette E-Ray a hybrid. They said at that event
- 9:03Speaker 8: last week that they have some coming, but they've been
- 9:05Speaker 8: very unspecific about it, and GM's never been really enthusiastic
- 9:10Speaker 8: about hybrids. It's always been big V8 engines and then
- 9:14Speaker 8: going all electric. Mary Barra, the CEO, has seen hybrids
- 9:20Speaker 8: as this unnecessary and expensive interim step, but since it's
- 9:24Speaker 8: going to take a very long time for hybrids for
- 9:27Speaker 8: American consumers to embrace EVs, they're going to have to
- 9:31Speaker 8: do it because Toyota and Hyundai are just stealing buyers
- 9:35Speaker 8: at a fast clip in the U.S. Hyundai could pass
- 9:38Speaker 8: for this in sales this year. Toyota's threatening GM sales
- 9:41Speaker 8: crown because of hybrid growth, at least in part because
- 9:44Speaker 8: of that. And both of them offer so many. So
- 9:47Speaker 8: GM now feels they have to get in step. But
- 9:49Speaker 8: when and how many remains to be seen.
- 9:52Speaker 3: Stay with us.
- 9:52Speaker 6: More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 9:59Speaker 1: You're listening to the bloomberg intelligence podcast catch us live
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- 10:14Speaker 3: More earnings out there today. UPS, one of the big
- 10:17Speaker 3: names that people like to follow. A, if you follow UPS.
- 10:20Speaker 3: And B, if you just want to get a handle
- 10:22Speaker 3: on how kind of the economy is going, how the
- 10:24Speaker 3: consumer is doing, you can judge that in large part
- 10:26Speaker 3: by how many packages are flying around the skies and
- 10:29Speaker 3: on the trucks and everything. Lee Klaskow, he does this
- 10:31Speaker 3: stuff for a living. Covers all the transportation companies and
- 10:34Speaker 3: logistics companies. Hey, Lee, talk to us about UPS. What
- 10:37Speaker 3: did you learn from the company's release? Yeah, it was
- 10:41Speaker 3: a pretty good print.
- 10:42Speaker 4: And they're showing that their execution of, you know, trying
- 10:45Speaker 4: to be better and not bigger is really paying dividends.
- 10:49Speaker 4: You know, when you're looking through the numbers from a
- 10:52Speaker 4: volume standpoint, while volume was down, it's small to midsize
- 10:56Speaker 4: business volumes are up. Its volumes are up pretty strong,
- 11:02Speaker 4: around 30 percent for high tech products, which is really
- 11:06Speaker 4: being driven by demand for data centers. So there's a
- 11:09Speaker 4: lot of things going on there that are showing that
- 11:12Speaker 4: they're switched away from Amazon or relying less on Amazon
- 11:16Speaker 4: and more towards these higher end. yielding packages is really
- 11:21Speaker 4: moving through its income statement down to the bottom line.
- 11:25Speaker 4: And net, you know, it seems like they're really well
- 11:27Speaker 4: positioned as they head into peak season.
- 11:30Speaker 2: And speaking of peak season, we see UPS raising its
- 11:33Speaker 2: outlook heading into the holiday season. What do you think
- 11:36Speaker 2: gave management the confidence to do that?
- 11:39Speaker 4: I think it's really just their execution on becoming a
- 11:42Speaker 4: more profitable company. Like I mentioned earlier, the company has
- 11:46Speaker 4: been really focused on pivoting away from that low margin
- 11:51Speaker 4: business of business to consumer B2C packages. The packages that
- 11:56Speaker 4: we get at our doorstep, working with Amazon while they
- 11:59Speaker 4: promise you a lot of volumes. the margins on each
- 12:03Speaker 4: packages tend to be low because of the higher cost
- 12:07Speaker 4: it is to deliver that. So they're really focused on
- 12:10Speaker 4: higher margin areas, whether it's the data centers that I
- 12:13Speaker 4: mentioned earlier, healthcare, pharmaceuticals, that's another great growth area for them,
- 12:18Speaker 4: as well as automotive has become a growth area and
- 12:21Speaker 4: a higher margin business, just given the fact that service
- 12:25Speaker 4: is really paramount with those kind of deliveries.
- 12:29Speaker 3: Lee, I'm looking at the stock price performance of some
- 12:30Speaker 3: of the competitors. Year to date, FedEx is up about
- 12:33Speaker 3: 30 percent. DHL is up 25 percent. United UPS lagging,
- 12:38Speaker 3: I guess, up about 4 percent. Is that kind of
- 12:40Speaker 3: reflecting that this is still a little bit of a
- 12:42Speaker 3: show me story that they can kind of manage the
- 12:45Speaker 3: change in their business flow?
- 12:47Speaker 4: Yeah, I think it's a combination of a show me story.
- 12:49Speaker 4: And those other companies that you mentioned are kind of
- 12:51Speaker 4: doing things this year that maybe UPS was doing a
- 12:54Speaker 4: couple of years ago and was getting credit for back then.
- 12:58Speaker 4: So I think it's more of the other companies catching
- 13:00Speaker 4: up to UPS. But I do, you know, would agree
- 13:04Speaker 4: that UPS continues to be a show me story because
- 13:07Speaker 4: they are trying to really restructure their overall business, whether
- 13:11Speaker 4: it's having a smaller footprint, really leaning into becoming more
- 13:18Speaker 4: of a tracking network. There's a lot of things that
- 13:23Speaker 4: they're doing to improve the overall productivity. And with that
- 13:27Speaker 4: comes some execution risks. They sold a lot of businesses
- 13:33Speaker 4: that really didn't make sense for them, like their LTL business.
- 13:36Speaker 4: FedEx recently did that. This year, they recently spun out
- 13:40Speaker 4: their LTL business. So both companies are really trying to
- 13:45Speaker 4: focus more on the parcel markets.
- 13:49Speaker 2: Lee, what's really been the latest considering the fact there's
- 13:51Speaker 2: still this key overhang as it relates to the union negotiations?
- 13:55Speaker 2: I know that the CEO plans to stick around for
- 13:57Speaker 2: another two or more years to negotiate another labor deal
- 14:01Speaker 2: with its unionized delivery drivers. But what have you been
- 14:03Speaker 2: watching as it pertains to that?
- 14:06Speaker 4: Yeah, I honestly think it's a little too early to say.
- 14:09Speaker 4: I mean, I think the market likes to talk about
- 14:12Speaker 4: it because the last package that was negotiated with the Teamsters,
- 14:19Speaker 4: folks maybe didn't like it so much because it increased
- 14:22Speaker 4: costs by a lot. You know, what I would say
- 14:25Speaker 4: is that, you know, going into this negotiation, the UPS,
- 14:29Speaker 4: there are less drivers needed. There are less people needed.
- 14:33Speaker 4: So I think it'll be a very interesting negotiation. But,
- 14:36Speaker 4: you know, they have to remain competitive if they're able
- 14:39Speaker 4: to continue to grow and remain profitable. So I think
- 14:42Speaker 4: it's a little too early to tell. But, you know,
- 14:45Speaker 4: the one thing I can say with confidence is their
- 14:47Speaker 4: costs are probably going to go up.
- 14:50Speaker 3: Hey, Lee, you follow all the trucking companies as well.
- 14:52Speaker 3: And give us a sense of how they've been dealing
- 14:55Speaker 3: with these higher fuel costs. I mean, gasoline, diesel prices,
- 14:58Speaker 3: you know, just brutal for these guys. How are they
- 15:01Speaker 3: dealing with it?
- 15:02Speaker 4: Yeah, we're about a third way through earnings season. I'd
- 15:05Speaker 4: say about 80% to 85% of the companies that have
- 15:08Speaker 4: reported have beat expectations. A lot of that has been
- 15:12Speaker 4: their ability to manage higher fuel prices. Most large trucking
- 15:18Speaker 4: and railroads, these kind of companies, they're able to pass
- 15:22Speaker 4: on the higher costs through fuel surcharges. Truckers, their fuel
- 15:27Speaker 4: surcharge usually lags about a week. So it's not a
- 15:30Speaker 4: huge deal. Obviously, you know, they don't get all of
- 15:34Speaker 4: that back. They probably get around 70 to 75 percent
- 15:36Speaker 4: back from the higher costs. They're able to recoup that. But,
- 15:42Speaker 4: you know, the bigger impact that we're watching is, you know,
- 15:44Speaker 4: how is this really going to impact demand? You know,
- 15:46Speaker 4: consumers have been pretty resilient here in the U.S. and
- 15:50Speaker 4: through my career, I've never bet against the U.S. consumer
- 15:52Speaker 4: because they always find a way to spend. But as
- 15:54Speaker 4: these prices remain higher, whether it's food or fuel, you know,
- 15:58Speaker 4: they're just apt to spend less. So I think it'll
- 16:01Speaker 4: be very interesting to see, you know, when you have
- 16:03Speaker 4: some of these sentiment indicators that are nearer lows, you know,
- 16:06Speaker 4: how the retail industry is going to do and therefore,
- 16:10Speaker 4: you know, how transportation companies are going to be able
- 16:12Speaker 4: to do.
- 16:13Speaker 3: All right, Lee, great stuff as always. Lee Klaskow, he's
- 16:15Speaker 3: a senior transport, logistics, and shipping analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence.
- 16:19Speaker 3: He also hosts a weekly podcast, Bloomberg Intelligence Talking Transports.
- 16:24Speaker 3: So if you're into that kind of thing, he always
- 16:25Speaker 3: gets great guests and a lot of great information. And
- 16:28Speaker 3: the reason I like it is, again, transportation gives you
- 16:32Speaker 3: just a really good view of how this underlying U.S.
- 16:36Speaker 3: economy is performing. You see the numbers from the truckers,
- 16:38Speaker 3: from the railroads. from the shippers, all that kind of stuff.
- 16:41Speaker 3: If they're busy, they're doing well. That means this economy
- 16:44Speaker 3: is probably doing pretty well.
- 16:46Speaker 6: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 16:53Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live
- 16:57Speaker 1: weekdays at 10 a.m. Eastern on Apple CarPlay and Android
- 17:00Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever
- 17:03Speaker 1: you get your podcasts or watch us live on YouTube.
- 17:07Speaker 3: One of the tickers that I've definitely put in the
- 17:09Speaker 3: terminal over the years is Coca-Cola. KO is the ticker.
- 17:12Speaker 3: They reported some decent numbers, raising guidance, buoyed by soda
- 17:16Speaker 3: sales abroad. How about that? Ken Shea joins us. He
- 17:18Speaker 3: covers all the big consumer stocks for now. Ken, thanks
- 17:22Speaker 3: so much for joining us here. What did you learn
- 17:23Speaker 3: from our friends at Coca-Cola?
- 17:26Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 17:26Speaker 9: Hi, Paul. Well, Coke, as you mentioned, beat nicely on
- 17:30Speaker 9: the top line and bottom line and raised guidance. And
- 17:34Speaker 9: a bull would say that's great. And the guidance is
- 17:37Speaker 9: very encouraging and trends are really good. Some of the
- 17:41Speaker 9: bears out there said, you know, that North America didn't
- 17:44Speaker 9: perform quite as well as some would have hoped. You
- 17:48Speaker 9: have a looming IRS tax case out there the company
- 17:51Speaker 9: could be vulnerable to. But having said all that, it
- 17:54Speaker 9: was a good number, good print today. And if you're
- 17:57Speaker 9: a bull in the stock, there's no reason to not
- 17:59Speaker 9: be after today's report.
- 18:02Speaker 2: And, you know, Ken, we did see a lot of
- 18:03Speaker 2: the growth coming from outside of the United States. What
- 18:05Speaker 2: is that really telling you about the U.S. consumer versus consumer?
- 18:09Speaker 2: maybe foreign consumers outside of the United States?
- 18:12Speaker 9: You know, it's a good question, but it's hard to
- 18:14Speaker 9: read too much into one quarterly report. One of the
- 18:17Speaker 9: things that skewed the results also was the benefit of
- 18:20Speaker 9: the World Cup. The company spent quite a bit on
- 18:23Speaker 9: the World Cup activations, particularly Latin America. It boosted results
- 18:28Speaker 9: to some degree in Europe. It was more of a
- 18:30Speaker 9: second quarter event, but it did spill over to the
- 18:32Speaker 9: third quarter. And so the North America didn't quite benefit
- 18:37Speaker 9: quite as much from that. But to your point, I
- 18:40Speaker 9: think some of the softness in North America could result
- 18:43Speaker 9: also from a difficult comparison. As the company said a
- 18:46Speaker 9: year ago, the 4th of July, for instance, fell over
- 18:50Speaker 9: the second quarter. Or I should say the third quarter.
- 18:53Speaker 9: This year, it was a second quarter. So it didn't
- 18:55Speaker 9: benefit them as much. Also, some of the higher margin
- 18:58Speaker 9: products like Topo Chico, Fairlife, for instance, really did really
- 19:04Speaker 9: well a year ago, lesser well this year. So unbalanced
- 19:09Speaker 9: North America may be a little more difficult, but there's
- 19:11Speaker 9: also some near-term comparability issues that weighed on it.
- 19:16Speaker 3: All right. This is what I never would have guessed.
- 19:18Speaker 3: Over the last five years, the S & P 500
- 19:19Speaker 3: has had a compounded annual return, 12.7 percent. Coca-Cola, 14 percent.
- 19:26Speaker 3: I would have thought Coke would have lagged this thing
- 19:28Speaker 3: big time because you don't see the growth rate there.
- 19:31Speaker 3: So the stock's up 30 percent here this year to date. Ken,
- 19:36Speaker 3: why are people all fired up about Coca-Cola?
- 19:39Speaker 9: You know, I think it's the geographic balance this company has.
- 19:43Speaker 9: I mean, it's in virtually every market, as you'd imagine.
- 19:47Speaker 9: And I think that gives it a consistency, which investors... like.
- 19:50Speaker 9: It's also more focused. I mean, think about, you know,
- 19:53Speaker 9: I don't want to beat up too much on PepsiCo here,
- 19:54Speaker 9: but Coke is, you know, very, very focused on selling
- 19:58Speaker 9: high margin concentrates and to its bottling partners. And you've
- 20:03Speaker 9: got to remember, because the bottling partners are basically third parties,
- 20:07Speaker 9: they're the ones that are incurring a lot of these
- 20:10Speaker 9: higher costs that PepsiCo and other manufacturers are concerned about.
- 20:15Speaker 9: While Coke is not totally immune, the way that it
- 20:19Speaker 9: organizes its organization, it really falls on third parties, these
- 20:22Speaker 9: inflationary periods. So it's a combination of all those things
- 20:26Speaker 9: that I think investors are embracing with Coke.
- 20:30Speaker 2: You know, Ken, I see that global volume rose about 5%.
- 20:34Speaker 2: You saw price mix contributing to about just 1%. So
- 20:37Speaker 2: have we really moved away from this story of beverage
- 20:40Speaker 2: companies like Coca-Cola really relying on price hikes and maybe
- 20:44Speaker 2: back towards some of the actual volume growth that we're
- 20:47Speaker 2: seeing here?
- 20:48Speaker 9: And that's been a key theme since the pandemic, really,
- 20:52Speaker 9: that Coke, Pepsi, a lot of the consumer product companies
- 20:55Speaker 9: in general have been relying heavily on price. And a
- 20:58Speaker 9: lot of it is, you know, defendable because costs have been,
- 21:01Speaker 9: you know, significantly higher since that time, waning, but still higher.
- 21:07Speaker 9: You know, a bull would look at Coke's report here
- 21:09Speaker 9: and say, look, you know, price mix was up only 1%.
- 21:12Speaker 9: That's far below 6% than it was last year and
- 21:15Speaker 9: well below trend line. And so Coke, like many other
- 21:19Speaker 9: CPG companies, are doing their best to have more of
- 21:24Speaker 9: a balance between price mix and volume. And I think
- 21:28Speaker 9: Coke has done a pretty good job in doing that.
- 21:32Speaker 9: Looking forward, you would think price mix will still be positive,
- 21:36Speaker 9: but far below that that we saw a few years
- 21:39Speaker 9: ago when it was more dependent on price. I think
- 21:41Speaker 9: that's an encouraging trend.
- 21:44Speaker 3: How long have you been covering Coca-Cola stock, Ken?
- 21:49Speaker 9: See these gray hairs here? More than I'd probably want
- 21:53Speaker 9: to admit. I'd say on and off for about 35 years.
- 21:56Speaker 9: There you go.
- 21:57Speaker 3: You've seen the cycles, my man. Ken Che, thank you
- 21:59Speaker 3: so much. We appreciate it. Heck of a career there
- 22:02Speaker 3: covering all the consumer products companies.
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