Latest / The SME Stream / Private equity’s perception problem [VIDEO]
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: The information provided in this program is of a general
- 0:02Speaker 1: nature and is not intended to be personalized financial advice.
- 0:05Speaker 1: We encourage you to seek appropriate advice from a qualified
- 0:07Speaker 1: professional to suit your individual circumstances. Private equity funds are
- 0:11Speaker 1: behind the biggest of business buyouts, often worth billions of dollars.
- 0:16Speaker 1: They've been around for decades, but they're still faced with
- 0:19Speaker 1: a perception problem.
- 0:21Speaker 2: And I think part of the problem with that is
- 0:24Speaker 2: it was sort of a perception created in the early
- 0:28Speaker 2: days of private equity in the late eighties and particularly
- 0:31Speaker 2: in the US. You know, you hear, you know all
- 0:35Speaker 2: the Wall Street stories, you know, barbarians at the gate
- 0:38Speaker 2: and all this type of thing.
- 0:51Speaker 1: International private equity funds are involved in the ownership of
- 0:55Speaker 1: many big New Zealand businesses, including the All Blacks, Bluebridge,
- 1:00Speaker 1: Waste Management, Media Works, and the retirement village company MetLife Care,
- 1:05Speaker 1: which was a one point three billion dollar deal in
- 1:08Speaker 1: twenty twenty. Pacific Equity Partners is easily the most prominent
- 1:13Speaker 1: player in private equity down Under, buying and selling businesses
- 1:17Speaker 1: as Bergas, Hoyt Cinemas, Tegel, the Chicken company.
- 1:20Speaker 3: Teagle Guaranteed Fresh.
- 1:22Speaker 1: Chicken, Griffin's the maker of biscuits and Peter's ice cream,
- 1:27Speaker 1: Australia's tip top equivalent. According to Deloitte, there were one
- 1:32Speaker 1: hundred and forty nine buyouts across Australia in New Zealand's
- 1:35Speaker 1: last year, worth nine point four billion US dollars in total.
- 1:40Speaker 3: That fell from the previous years two hundred.
- 1:42Speaker 1: And five deals worth eighteen billion dollars, although that year
- 1:47Speaker 1: included Blackstone's six point six billion US dollar acquisition of
- 1:51Speaker 1: Crown Resorts. Blackstone is one of the global pe giants,
- 1:55Speaker 1: alongside KKR, Apolo and.
- 1:58Speaker 3: The Carlisle Group.
- 2:00Speaker 1: They will want to clip the ticket on the revenues
- 2:02Speaker 1: of successful private companies that are not listed on public
- 2:06Speaker 1: stock exchanges.
- 2:08Speaker 3: Historically, private equity.
- 2:09Speaker 1: Funds have outperformed the S and P five hundred, although
- 2:13Speaker 1: the data sets often differ, so it's kind of like
- 2:15Speaker 1: comparing apples with oranges.
- 2:17Speaker 3: There is a trade off too.
- 2:19Speaker 1: Private equity funds require investors to lock away their funds
- 2:23Speaker 1: for five to ten years, making it an illiquid investment option,
- 2:28Speaker 1: but firms like pp are trying to increase access to it,
- 2:32Speaker 1: with new funds being pitched to retail investors as we speak.
- 2:36Speaker 3: That's what it's.
- 2:37Speaker 1: Managing director, Cameron Blanks, was doing in New Zealand this
- 2:40Speaker 1: month trying to put a face to private equity.
- 2:45Speaker 3: Cameron, good to see, thanks much coming in.
- 2:47Speaker 2: Well, thank you very much for inviting me.
- 2:48Speaker 1: Madisone anytime I want to talk about private equity and
- 2:52Speaker 1: PP's role in it, but just on the macro about
- 2:55Speaker 1: what is private equity, how it's perceived. Can you describe
- 2:58Speaker 1: to me where you believe the private equity market globally
- 3:01Speaker 1: and also in Australia and New Zealand where it's at currently.
- 3:04Speaker 2: Yeah, well, I think if you go back to the
- 3:07Speaker 2: origins of private equity, it was all started in the
- 3:11Speaker 2: mid eighties in the US organized private equity where people
- 3:15Speaker 2: would raise funds from large institutional clients. So evolved out
- 3:21Speaker 2: of there. We're now forty years into that journey if
- 3:24Speaker 2: you think about the evolutions of the private markets. So
- 3:29Speaker 2: it's a large asset class today about twelve and a
- 3:34Speaker 2: half trillion in the global private markets if you think
- 3:37Speaker 2: at a macro level, and some very large managers of
- 3:41Speaker 2: money globally, So that's the sort of the global context.
- 3:45Speaker 2: Returns have been very good, it's absolutely been outperforming public
- 3:50Speaker 2: markets and outgrowing public markets. But obviously when you come
- 3:53Speaker 2: down to the individual countries and regions, you get some
- 3:58Speaker 2: nuance in that story. So you know, I can get
- 4:02Speaker 2: into a bit more of that context if that would
- 4:04Speaker 2: be helpful.
- 4:05Speaker 1: Well, how might you give us some anecdotal evidence of
- 4:07Speaker 1: what you've seen at PP in the Australia New Zealand markets?
- 4:10Speaker 1: How many deals have you done and say the past
- 4:11Speaker 1: year and compare that to say the past decade.
- 4:13Speaker 2: Yeah, so look, we've been in this market, the Australian
- 4:17Speaker 2: and New Zealand market. Our very first deal was in
- 4:21Speaker 2: New Zealand. It was a corporate carve out from the
- 4:24Speaker 2: Pair and Apple board of a business called three Court
- 4:27Speaker 2: in nineteen ninety eight. So twenty six years later, we're
- 4:32Speaker 2: seeing a very active market. Still four deals. We've typically
- 4:37Speaker 2: we look at about one hundred to one hundred and
- 4:39Speaker 2: twenty deals a year and we go through a filtering
- 4:41Speaker 2: process of assessing those like a lot of that one
- 4:44Speaker 2: hundred and twenty they're not necessarily for us, and we
- 4:48Speaker 2: know that reasonably soon, so we end up with a
- 4:51Speaker 2: core opportunity set of maybe twenty twenty five opportunities that
- 4:55Speaker 2: we're looking at every year and we'll probably do two
- 4:57Speaker 2: or three a year, and that's really been the same
- 5:00Speaker 2: cadence all the way through for us. You know, markets
- 5:03Speaker 2: go up and down, but a lot of it's about
- 5:05Speaker 2: the situations that we're investing in. There are periods, obviously
- 5:10Speaker 2: where it's a little slower than others. I think twenty
- 5:13Speaker 2: twenty two, late twenty two and twenty three were particularly
- 5:16Speaker 2: slow given the rise in interest rates, and it was
- 5:19Speaker 2: very hard for buyers and sellers to come to a
- 5:22Speaker 2: meeting of the minds around value. But generally that's the
- 5:26Speaker 2: cadence of deal flow that we do see and have
- 5:28Speaker 2: seen for a long time.
- 5:29Speaker 1: Do you feel like we're out of that now, the
- 5:31Speaker 1: fact that this economic cycle is finishing, that interest rates
- 5:34Speaker 1: are set to lower, albeit at a sort of neutrally
- 5:36Speaker 1: higher level. Are you seeing a bit more opportunity in
- 5:39Speaker 1: terms of people looking to sell to you, but also
- 5:42Speaker 1: easy exits out of businesses that you've already bought.
- 5:44Speaker 2: I think that's exactly right. It's just time for buyers
- 5:49Speaker 2: and sellers to come to an agreement around prices. Is
- 5:53Speaker 2: It does take time, and I think when you see
- 5:56Speaker 2: big changes in interest rates, it's harder for people to
- 5:59Speaker 2: have that perception around what's fair value. So we're definitely
- 6:03Speaker 2: seeing more activity and more preparation for activity.
- 6:08Speaker 3: Going on now.
- 6:08Speaker 2: So I would say, you know, restoring to normal is
- 6:12Speaker 2: on its way.
- 6:13Speaker 1: Private equity players are often I've heard referred to as vampires.
- 6:18Speaker 1: They go into businesses and they suck the life, suck
- 6:21Speaker 1: the blood out of them. They cut costs, they typically
- 6:24Speaker 1: cut staff. Then you sell the business for a gain
- 6:27Speaker 1: because you've made efficiencies within it.
- 6:29Speaker 3: Is that true? Is that what you do? Camer Well?
- 6:31Speaker 2: I think we certainly don't think that's a good characterization
- 6:35Speaker 2: of private equity, but we have, we do hear that
- 6:39Speaker 2: all the time, and I think part of the problem
- 6:43Speaker 2: with that is it was sort of a perception created
- 6:45Speaker 2: in the early days of private equity in the late
- 6:48Speaker 2: eighties and particularly in the US. You know, you hear
- 6:53Speaker 2: you know all the Wall Street stories, you know, barbarians
- 6:56Speaker 2: at the gate and all this type of thing. So
- 6:59Speaker 2: it is a character sure of our industry, unfortunately, and
- 7:02Speaker 2: we do have to answer those questions more often than
- 7:06Speaker 2: we'd like to. But the reality is for a private
- 7:11Speaker 2: equity firm to have a sustainable business, we need to
- 7:15Speaker 2: be buying businesses and making them better and then having
- 7:19Speaker 2: a very clear growth story for the next buyer, because
- 7:24Speaker 2: if you're just dressing things up for sale, asset stripping,
- 7:28Speaker 2: not adding value, and not creating sustainable profit growth in
- 7:32Speaker 2: the businesses that you're buying, you don't have a very
- 7:34Speaker 2: sustainable business model and you will go out of business.
- 7:38Speaker 2: So the high quality private equity firms that have been
- 7:41Speaker 2: around for a long time have understood that they truly
- 7:44Speaker 2: need to buy businesses with a view to adding value
- 7:47Speaker 2: and building a better business for the next owners to
- 7:52Speaker 2: take on the next journey.
- 7:53Speaker 1: But fear to say, even decades later private equity and
- 7:56Speaker 1: it seems everyone is still painted with the same brush,
- 7:58Speaker 1: fairly or not, there is a perception for problem there.
- 8:00Speaker 2: You'd say, Look, I think you know perception is reality sometimes,
- 8:04Speaker 2: as people say, But I think if you really dig
- 8:08Speaker 2: into the reality of the way that private equity firms
- 8:12Speaker 2: have been around a long time ago about their business,
- 8:14Speaker 2: I think reality is quite different to that perception.
- 8:18Speaker 1: Have you heard of Charlie Munger's horse analogy when it
- 8:21Speaker 1: comes to private equity.
- 8:22Speaker 3: And no, I have not able to share it with you.
- 8:23Speaker 1: Sure he referred to it as a farmer who had
- 8:26Speaker 1: a great horse, but often misbehaved, had some issues. So
- 8:30Speaker 1: he went to the bit and said, I don't know
- 8:32Speaker 1: what to do with this horse. It's a great horse,
- 8:33Speaker 1: but every now and then it just has some behavior
- 8:35Speaker 1: behavioral issues. The bit says, I have the easy answer
- 8:39Speaker 1: for you. When it behaves well, sell it. He says,
- 8:42Speaker 1: that's what private equity does with businesses.
- 8:45Speaker 2: What do you make of that, Well, I mean, I
- 8:47Speaker 2: think you can have a lot of interesting stories. The
- 8:52Speaker 2: way that we think about it is if you're consistently
- 8:56Speaker 2: selling businesses that don't perform for the next owner, then
- 8:59Speaker 2: you will get a reputation for not selling businesses that
- 9:03Speaker 2: have sustainable profits in them, and therefore you will not
- 9:06Speaker 2: have a sustainable business. So you know, our view is that,
- 9:10Speaker 2: you know, as we're building these businesses and thinking about
- 9:15Speaker 2: how to build them in a sustainable way, we need
- 9:18Speaker 2: to make sure that the next buyers have good experiences,
- 9:21Speaker 2: so we become known as a good seller of businesses
- 9:24Speaker 2: as well, so we have a sustainable business. So interesting story,
- 9:29Speaker 2: good anecdote. But I think, you know, I think the
- 9:32Speaker 2: private equity firms that have been around for a long
- 9:34Speaker 2: time understand the needs to keep building sustainable businesses would
- 9:43Speaker 2: be what I would say to.
- 9:44Speaker 1: That, And when you're pitching this to investors, you most
- 9:47Speaker 1: private equity firms typically rely on their IRR.
- 9:50Speaker 3: Their internal rate of.
- 9:51Speaker 1: Return yours is twenty eight percent since inception.
- 9:55Speaker 3: I believe that's still correct.
- 9:56Speaker 1: Cool Warren Buffett to use a similar person who does
- 10:00Speaker 1: not particularly like private equity firms, he says that that
- 10:04Speaker 1: is dishonest to use the IRR because your assets a
- 10:08Speaker 1: never marked to market in a downcycle like public markets are.
- 10:11Speaker 3: So they always look good.
- 10:13Speaker 1: Can you explain to me the formula of your internal
- 10:16Speaker 1: rate of return? What goes into it? And is it
- 10:18Speaker 1: really a femish ye?
- 10:19Speaker 2: Well, the twenty eight percent that you just quoted is
- 10:23Speaker 2: the average delivered ir in a fund, So there is
- 10:27Speaker 2: no marks or anything like that. These are funds that
- 10:30Speaker 2: have been raised, deployed, and then returned to their investors,
- 10:34Speaker 2: so that number doesn't include any marks at all. So
- 10:40Speaker 2: we have delivered that return to investors and you know
- 10:45Speaker 2: it is a honest, sustained number over a long period
- 10:49Speaker 2: of time. So again, a lot of characterizations and people
- 10:53Speaker 2: say a lot of things, but that's certainly not our experience.
- 10:58Speaker 1: PP likes large late stage buyouts.
- 11:02Speaker 3: What is that?
- 11:02Speaker 1: Can you give me an example of one of those
- 11:05Speaker 1: that was executed perfectly by PEP.
- 11:08Speaker 3: Yes.
- 11:08Speaker 2: So, look, there's obviously a large part of the private
- 11:11Speaker 2: markets you know that people think about when they think
- 11:15Speaker 2: about private equity is often venture capital or growth capital
- 11:20Speaker 2: for companies that are privately held by individuals or a
- 11:25Speaker 2: group of individuals that are looking for capital to grow.
- 11:30Speaker 2: That's certainly not what we do at PP. We are
- 11:34Speaker 2: really focused on what we call late stage buyouts. So
- 11:37Speaker 2: these are big established businesses that have market leading positions
- 11:42Speaker 2: that have sort of lost their way, either on the
- 11:44Speaker 2: public markets or as divisions of big multinational companies or
- 11:49Speaker 2: the like, that we can carve out or take private,
- 11:54Speaker 2: give a new lease of life, typically with new management,
- 11:57Speaker 2: and have them go and execute a very clear strategy
- 12:01Speaker 2: of doing two or three things differently than they've done
- 12:03Speaker 2: in the past to work towards doubling the profits of
- 12:07Speaker 2: those businesses in a sustainable way, as we've spoken about.
- 12:10Speaker 2: So that's the style of private equity that we do.
- 12:13Speaker 2: But it's very important, you know, when people are trying
- 12:17Speaker 2: to understand their industry, to understand what stage of a
- 12:22Speaker 2: company's life that they invest in and how do they
- 12:25Speaker 2: go about generating returns for their investors, because not every
- 12:29Speaker 2: private equity firm is doing the same thing or participating
- 12:33Speaker 2: in the same part of the cycle of the industry.
- 12:37Speaker 1: Two or three things to double profits, I mean, tell
- 12:39Speaker 1: us what they are, because either one would do them
- 12:41Speaker 1: if they could.
- 12:43Speaker 2: Seems like well, a really easy example to explain is
- 12:48Speaker 2: Teagle Chickens, which is a great New Zealand brand. Now
- 12:53Speaker 2: this is a deal from a long time ago. We've
- 12:57Speaker 2: long since gone from Teagle Chickens and we own the
- 12:59Speaker 2: business for two or three years, but this was a
- 13:02Speaker 2: corporate carve out from Heines. So New Zealanders may or
- 13:07Speaker 2: may not remember, but for many years Tiger was owned
- 13:11Speaker 2: by Heines. It was the only chicken business that they
- 13:14Speaker 2: owned globally. And the way that the incentives worked within
- 13:19Speaker 2: the broader Heinz system was really US centric, where every
- 13:24Speaker 2: percent of market share in the US is really important
- 13:28Speaker 2: profitability of Heines. So if you think about tomato, sauce
- 13:32Speaker 2: and all of those things that Heines are known for,
- 13:35Speaker 2: their whole management incentive structure is around market share. So
- 13:39Speaker 2: what had happened down here in New Zealand on their
- 13:42Speaker 2: only chicken business globally is the management team was incentive
- 13:46Speaker 2: on market share, so they kept on spending capital on
- 13:50Speaker 2: growing out the capacity of chickens that they could produce
- 13:55Speaker 2: to put into the market. Well, we all know what
- 13:57Speaker 2: happens when you produce a lot of volume, Well, price
- 14:01Speaker 2: goes down and a supply and demand. And so the
- 14:06Speaker 2: management team of Teagele were getting their bonuses because they
- 14:09Speaker 2: were increasing their market share, but their profitability was going down.
- 14:13Speaker 2: But it didn't matter because you had the wrong incentives
- 14:16Speaker 2: in place and a far flung business in the broader
- 14:18Speaker 2: Hinds network. So a big part of the thesis around
- 14:22Speaker 2: that acquisition, as an example, was to stop doing that,
- 14:27Speaker 2: to buy the business, to stop increasing volume, and to
- 14:33Speaker 2: ultimately realize about a price by value adding in the chicken,
- 14:37Speaker 2: so going up the supply chain, so you were then
- 14:40Speaker 2: delivering a packaged you know, smoke chicken or whatever the
- 14:45Speaker 2: product the value add was, and invest in that rather
- 14:48Speaker 2: than just continue to pump chicken into the market.
- 14:52Speaker 3: How did you find out about this?
- 14:53Speaker 1: How did you find out about the effectively ill advised
- 14:56Speaker 1: and zent of structures and how it was impacting their margin?
- 14:59Speaker 3: Do you have people come to and tell you the stuff.
- 15:01Speaker 2: Yes, yeah, yeah, I mean, look, we've been in the
- 15:02Speaker 2: market for a very long time. We're one of the
- 15:04Speaker 2: biggest pools of capital in the market. I think we
- 15:07Speaker 2: were actually tracking the Heines sort of story for about
- 15:13Speaker 2: seven years before we executed that deal. We would fly
- 15:17Speaker 2: to the US and talk to head office about one day,
- 15:21Speaker 2: would they sell their subsidiaries down in this part of
- 15:25Speaker 2: the world. What the catalyst for that deal was was
- 15:28Speaker 2: there was if you remember, it was around about the
- 15:31Speaker 2: time that there was an avian bird flu up in
- 15:33Speaker 2: Hong Kong which started to spook the world about you know,
- 15:39Speaker 2: the losing birds and obviously chickens through the AVM bird crisis.
- 15:45Speaker 2: No I really wanted to eat then well, and also
- 15:48Speaker 2: the companies were very worried about their flocks getting wiped
- 15:52Speaker 2: out and the like. So we did a big study
- 15:54Speaker 2: about this as part of our due diligence of whether
- 15:57Speaker 2: this was a good business to buy. Turns out that
- 16:01Speaker 2: there's no migratory birds that come into New Zealand. You
- 16:05Speaker 2: have a very biosecure framework in New Zealand, so the
- 16:09Speaker 2: chance of av and bird flu coming into New Zealand
- 16:12Speaker 2: was very low. Yet you had a business in hind
- 16:15Speaker 2: that was headquartered in North America that was very worried
- 16:19Speaker 2: about this. So they were actually willing to sell their
- 16:21Speaker 2: chicken business, their only chicken business, in the middle of
- 16:24Speaker 2: an av and bird flue at a relatively attractive price.
- 16:28Speaker 2: So that's a classic example of what happens within these
- 16:31Speaker 2: large global organizations where decision making is made around non
- 16:36Speaker 2: core subsidiaries that are relatively irrelevant in a relatively irrational manner.
- 16:42Speaker 2: And it's a great example of the types of opportunities
- 16:45Speaker 2: that we focus on within PP.
- 16:49Speaker 3: So you go pretty deep on your due diligence.
- 16:51Speaker 2: Absolutely, I mean it's everything. It's about asset. Ultimately, we
- 16:55Speaker 2: only do three things. We just what to buy and
- 17:01Speaker 2: that's through very deep due diligence on the asset and
- 17:04Speaker 2: the market dynamics and the position of the business in
- 17:06Speaker 2: the market. Who to run it. The CEO of that
- 17:10Speaker 2: business was very important, as a guy called ron Bella,
- 17:13Speaker 2: a great New Zealander. You know, Ronnie's a great guy,
- 17:17Speaker 2: and we loved investing behind Ronnie, supporting him in executing
- 17:21Speaker 2: that strategy. And then ultimately we get to decide when
- 17:25Speaker 2: to sell an asset. Unlike the listed markets, you're always
- 17:29Speaker 2: for sale. With a private asset, you can decide when
- 17:33Speaker 2: to sell the business. So it's those three things that
- 17:36Speaker 2: we really do. What to buy, who to run it,
- 17:39Speaker 2: and when to sell it. And that's fundamentally the job
- 17:43Speaker 2: of a private equity executive.
- 17:45Speaker 3: Specifically on what to buy.
- 17:46Speaker 1: We will talk more about exits and that strategy in
- 17:49Speaker 1: a minute, but it seems like PP has very much
- 17:51Speaker 1: liked FMCG. You had chickens here, you're Chicky here and
- 17:55Speaker 1: Bicky across the ditch.
- 17:56Speaker 3: With Griffin's biscuits.
- 17:57Speaker 1: Is that preferred still or you look at at other things.
- 18:00Speaker 2: Look, I think what we don't like is businesses with
- 18:04Speaker 2: uncontrollable risks in them that we can't control from a
- 18:08Speaker 2: management perspective. So it's more about finding businesses that don't
- 18:13Speaker 2: have that characteristic. So more recently we've been investing in education,
- 18:18Speaker 2: in healthcare FMCG obviously, or business services or things where
- 18:23Speaker 2: we feel like it's actually management execution that delivers the
- 18:28Speaker 2: profit growth as opposed to trying to ride some new trends. So,
- 18:33Speaker 2: you know, PPS not chasing AI, although we're very interested
- 18:37Speaker 2: in AI and what it can do for our portfolio companies.
- 18:40Speaker 2: We're not looking for AI investments and we never have
- 18:44Speaker 2: been a trend based investor. It's about finding good, stable
- 18:47Speaker 2: businesses with clear strategies that can double the profits of
- 18:53Speaker 2: those businesses. It's really that simple.
- 18:55Speaker 1: On the exit side, on the way out, have you
- 18:58Speaker 1: ever been impacted by a liquidity, we've either been forced
- 19:01Speaker 1: to revalue something low or forced to sell it well.
- 19:04Speaker 2: Typically we've always sold businesses at an average of about
- 19:09Speaker 2: thirty percent premium to our valuations. And again it's very
- 19:14Speaker 2: important on the valuation side to differentiate from venture capital
- 19:19Speaker 2: and growth capital compared to late stage buyout. The motivations
- 19:24Speaker 2: for venture capital and growth capital is to write up
- 19:27Speaker 2: very high valuations because they're doing rounds of funding where
- 19:32Speaker 2: when you need new funding it comes in at that valuation.
- 19:36Speaker 2: Very different dynamic in late stage private equity, where we
- 19:39Speaker 2: focus where there isn't a rounds of funding. We buy
- 19:42Speaker 2: one hundred percent of the business and then we own
- 19:44Speaker 2: it and then we sell it when we choose, and
- 19:50Speaker 2: at that point in time we get a performance fee.
- 19:53Speaker 2: We don't get any sort of compensation based on the
- 19:56Speaker 2: valuations on the way through, and we don't care what
- 19:59Speaker 2: those valuations are. We never used to even do valuations.
- 20:02Speaker 2: We just hold the businesses at cost until we sold them.
- 20:06Speaker 1: Well, then, how would you not to sell it if
- 20:07Speaker 1: you didn't know what value you were going to get.
- 20:09Speaker 1: Would you value it around the time of particul sale.
- 20:11Speaker 2: Well, obviously we don't value the assets. The market values
- 20:15Speaker 2: the asset. The buyers value that.
- 20:16Speaker 3: It's a market, it's private.
- 20:18Speaker 2: But whatever we think the value is is irrelevant. It's
- 20:21Speaker 2: what the buyers think is the value. So our valuations
- 20:25Speaker 2: are totally irrelevant. We don't even think about them. The
- 20:27Speaker 2: only reason we do them is because we have pension
- 20:33Speaker 2: fund investors that have members who are coming in and
- 20:39Speaker 2: out of their pension funds and they need evaluation, so
- 20:42Speaker 2: they have asked us to do valuations for them. We
- 20:46Speaker 2: take them very seriously because it's our fiduciary responsibility. But
- 20:51Speaker 2: we actually want to have those valuations at a at
- 20:55Speaker 2: a level that we know we can find buyers to
- 20:58Speaker 2: pay more than that. We're exiting at about thirty percent
- 21:02Speaker 2: premium to our current valuations. It's really important. That's the
- 21:06Speaker 2: dynamic in late stage private equity, different dynamic in venture
- 21:11Speaker 2: capital and growth capital, and that's that's the area where
- 21:15Speaker 2: people go all the private equity evaluations are rubbish. They
- 21:19Speaker 2: true in the venture capital and growth based not true
- 21:23Speaker 2: in late stage buyer. This is where all this nuance
- 21:27Speaker 2: about our industry. It's really important to do your research
- 21:31Speaker 2: and understand how our industry works.
- 21:34Speaker 1: I yes, you don't care about valuations, but what do
- 21:37Speaker 1: valuations look like At the moment. They had a pretty
- 21:39Speaker 1: incredible way through the cheap money era, I imagine now
- 21:42Speaker 1: valuation of private businesses is looking at bit tough as
- 21:44Speaker 1: the margins struggle.
- 21:46Speaker 2: Well, I mean again, we're dealing in late stage private
- 21:50Speaker 2: equity with big, boring businesses, so you know, tissue businesses,
- 21:53Speaker 2: ice cream businesses, you know, hospitals, education businesses. So we're
- 21:59Speaker 2: not in the sort of very highly valued tech type. Well,
- 22:05Speaker 2: so the valuations when you look at the multiples, you
- 22:08Speaker 2: may have gone from an average of twelve times profits
- 22:12Speaker 2: to ten times profits. But actually when you look at
- 22:14Speaker 2: the sort of compression of multiples is not anywhere near
- 22:18Speaker 2: as much as you think when you think in the
- 22:20Speaker 2: industrial sort of more traditional parts of the markets, and
- 22:26Speaker 2: so you know, those valuations obviously the way that we
- 22:29Speaker 2: think about and applied to the profits that we're making
- 22:32Speaker 2: in the businesses. So if we're doubling the profits of
- 22:35Speaker 2: the businesses, whether the valuations have gone from twelve to
- 22:39Speaker 2: ten or twelve to eleven, the value of the businesses
- 22:42Speaker 2: have still grown dramatically. Just because the multiples come down
- 22:46Speaker 2: by a turn doesn't really make that much difference.
- 22:49Speaker 1: So what are you doing in New Zealand? Are you
- 22:51Speaker 1: looking for businesses to buy? Are you asking investors for funds?
- 22:54Speaker 2: All of the above And we're always doing all of
- 22:57Speaker 2: the above. We're here in New Zealand a lot it,
- 23:00Speaker 2: you know, from our perspective. Even though we have one
- 23:03Speaker 2: office in Sydney, as I referenced before, our very first
- 23:07Speaker 2: deal was here in New Zealand. And then over the
- 23:11Speaker 2: twenty six years that we've been in existence, we've probably
- 23:13Speaker 2: deployed about a third of our capital in New Zealand.
- 23:16Speaker 2: So it's a very active market for us. And you know,
- 23:20Speaker 2: we continue to invest very heavily in New Zealand. We
- 23:23Speaker 2: love it as an investment destination, we love it as
- 23:26Speaker 2: a country, and we you know, are expanding our ability
- 23:31Speaker 2: to raise capital from New Zealand individuals as well, which
- 23:34Speaker 2: we're really excited about.
- 23:36Speaker 3: What's a New Zealand business You would love to buy.
- 23:40Speaker 2: Oh that's a no.
- 23:42Speaker 3: It's not you'd have a wesh list.
- 23:45Speaker 2: Well we do, I mean I think we you know,
- 23:47Speaker 2: we're situational investors. So what we learned early on in
- 23:51Speaker 2: our existence is it's like, you know, walking down a
- 23:54Speaker 2: road of beautiful homes and say, I'd love to own
- 23:57Speaker 2: that one, but it's not for sale because the person
- 24:01Speaker 2: living in the home doesn't want to sell it. And
- 24:02Speaker 2: that's what we've learned about, you know, private equity investing,
- 24:07Speaker 2: is the vendor wants to actually sell, so, you know,
- 24:11Speaker 2: to actually go and search around with a list, you know,
- 24:16Speaker 2: in our minds, is a bit of a waste of time.
- 24:18Speaker 2: We'd much prefer to make sure that we know what
- 24:21Speaker 2: a vendor is thinking before we before we really start
- 24:25Speaker 2: to work on an opportunity.
- 24:27Speaker 3: Everyone's willing to sell at the right price.
- 24:29Speaker 2: Though, but are you willing to buy at that price?
- 24:32Speaker 2: So this is this is this whole dynamic that we
- 24:35Speaker 2: were talking about before, which is about buyers and sellers
- 24:38Speaker 2: having a common view on value and ultimately a vendor
- 24:42Speaker 2: does need to decide to sell before we can buy.
- 24:46Speaker 2: So yeah, we don't we don't stylistically run around with
- 24:52Speaker 2: lists or thematic things where it's actually situational investors?
- 24:57Speaker 1: Are you finding that when these vendors do come to
- 25:00Speaker 1: you and they are willing to sell their business and
- 25:02Speaker 1: allow you to buy it, and you having to factor
- 25:04Speaker 1: and more features to deals now, like promises to not
- 25:08Speaker 1: cut staff or to move manufacturing, or more executive earnouts
- 25:12Speaker 1: for example.
- 25:14Speaker 2: Look, it's been I think if you think about the
- 25:17Speaker 2: context that private equity is investing into, it's been reasonably consistent.
- 25:24Speaker 2: You know, we're a private buyer of businesses and the
- 25:27Speaker 2: vendors typically are trying to maximize the price that they
- 25:31Speaker 2: can sell the asset. If they're selling one hundred percent
- 25:33Speaker 2: of the asset, then it's really all about price. And
- 25:37Speaker 2: so you know, we're not running around and trying to
- 25:41Speaker 2: buy things cheaply. We're happy to pay full and fair
- 25:44Speaker 2: prices for good businesses that we think we can make
- 25:49Speaker 2: to build into a better business. So generally, know, there
- 25:54Speaker 2: are circumstances where a vendor will actually look to all
- 26:00Speaker 2: their equity with you and continue the ownership. So at
- 26:03Speaker 2: that point in time, the dialogue actually goes to what
- 26:06Speaker 2: can we do to add value to that business and
- 26:10Speaker 2: how can that vendor come along on the next leg
- 26:13Speaker 2: of the journey for us. So that's more those sorts
- 26:16Speaker 2: of deals opportunities that come with a few other conditions
- 26:23Speaker 2: along the way, but typically they're asking us to come
- 26:26Speaker 2: in and add value to those businesses. So it's a
- 26:29Speaker 2: mutual dialogue of getting on the same page about the
- 26:31Speaker 2: strategic plan for the next leg of the journey.
- 26:34Speaker 1: Favorite business you've bought and sold out of how much
- 26:37Speaker 1: money did you make on it?
- 26:38Speaker 2: Yeah, Look, my personal favorite is a business called in Telehub.
- 26:43Speaker 2: It's a business we actually still own, but we've sold
- 26:46Speaker 2: to what we call as a single asset continuation fund
- 26:51Speaker 2: which we manage.
- 26:52Speaker 3: As well yours right, moving it into a lot of un.
- 26:55Speaker 2: Although we sold fifty percent of it to Brookfield, so
- 26:58Speaker 2: there was absolutely a new investor came in and valued
- 27:01Speaker 2: the business and it's a terrific business. So it was
- 27:04Speaker 2: a combination of a corporate carve out from Origin Energy
- 27:08Speaker 2: and a corporate carve out from Mercury Energy here of
- 27:12Speaker 2: their smart metering division. It's a business that, particularly in Australia,
- 27:17Speaker 2: is going through a rapid period of growth as Australia
- 27:21Speaker 2: catches up to New Zealand with the deployment of their
- 27:24Speaker 2: smart meters, and so this business is incredibly well positioned
- 27:28Speaker 2: to be right at the center of the energy transition
- 27:32Speaker 2: in Australia and is a very big business with a
- 27:35Speaker 2: huge amount of opportunity. It's an absolute delight to have
- 27:39Speaker 2: monetized the first leg of the journey through selling fifty
- 27:44Speaker 2: percent to Brookfield, but enjoying the next leg of the
- 27:48Speaker 2: journey with Brookfield to again double the profits and continue
- 27:52Speaker 2: that growth.
- 27:53Speaker 1: How much dry powder are you sitting on currently ready
- 27:56Speaker 1: to allocate?
- 27:57Speaker 2: Yeah, so we've fully deployed our six private equity fund.
- 28:02Speaker 2: We're currently in the process of raising a three billion
- 28:05Speaker 2: dollar fund seven. That raise is going very well. It'll
- 28:09Speaker 2: be completed by the end of the year, and then
- 28:11Speaker 2: we will we spend. Although we already have one deal
- 28:15Speaker 2: that we've already done and warehoused to go into. There's
- 28:18Speaker 2: already deal in the fun we are deploying. We continue
- 28:22Speaker 2: to deploy. As I said, we end up doing you know,
- 28:24Speaker 2: two to three deals each year.
- 28:26Speaker 1: If I bring you a deal of a business that
- 28:28Speaker 1: wants to sell, do I get a cut camp how
- 28:31Speaker 1: it works?
- 28:32Speaker 2: Absolutely?
- 28:33Speaker 3: I'm not buying it.
- 28:34Speaker 2: Yeah, we just have to discuss.
- 28:38Speaker 3: That's right. Thank you so much for coming. I'd love
- 28:41Speaker 3: with the chat to you as always wonderful.
- 28:42Speaker 2: Thank you very much, Ma,