Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 253 - 4/9/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 253 - 4/9/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello, and welcome to episode 253 of the All Systems Go Sports
0:25
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:29
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
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Happy Wednesday. We are halfway through our work
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week. Hump Day, of course, as the
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early portion of April rolls on here, guys, and we got a lot to
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get to on today's podcast. I wanted to get it out a little
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bit earlier than usual today because we have a ton, a ton, a
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ton, a ton of Major League Baseball, including a lot of day
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sweats. So there's a couple games in
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particular early on that I'm getting down on.
1:00
So I want to make sure you guys can get the information and
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decide to play them or not. Totally up to you, but you know
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that I will be sweating these ones.
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But overall, guys, right back to MLB.
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I have a 5 pack of plays for you today, including four money
1:12
lines and one total. The total little Deja vu,
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hopefully in terms of a total that we were able to cash last
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night, I'm going right back to the well for today.
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Now, before we dive in, looking back toward last night, guys,
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you know sometimes you know when you have a winning night, you
1:27
can't complain. Let me just get that out there
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to start 3 and 2 + 0.28 units last night, had the Cubs come
1:34
through, they're up. Then they blew the lead.
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Then they poured it on late. Brewers got it done at Mile High
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and also our San Diego Athletics over 8 1/2 cashed in the first
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inning. That is very rare.
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I hope you guys don't don't expect to catch every total in
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the first inning. But once again, we saw that
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stadium, Sacramento Stadium over trend moving out of five and O
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to the over. More on that later.
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So three hits. But there are nights when you
2:01
have a winning night and you can't complain, of course, but
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you feel like, man, it could have been an even bigger night.
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So our two losses last night that are really frustrating.
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The most frustrating one I would say was was the Seattle
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Mariners. Mariners were sharp as attack.
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We saw that line really get steamed up in favor of Seattle.
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Remember, they opened as a dog flip to a favorite.
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It was pretty much a A11 game throughout.
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It went into extra innings and the Mariners had multiple
2:25
opportunities where they they got out of it and the 10th and
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the 11th didn't give up a run, had multiple chances with men on
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to walk it off and win the game. Couldn't do it.
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And then of course, you know, when you, when you have, when
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you have those chances in extra innings and you don't
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capitalize, you almost know that like, hey, we missed our shot
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and, and you know, it's almost, you know, like you can, you can
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set your clock to it. The next half inning of the
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other team's going to score. So Mariners lost 2 to one again,
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could have walked it off, could not put a run across the the
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board, which is frustrating. The other one is the San
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Francisco Giants. I got to take a day off from the
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G men. I mean, they're running hot.
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One of the best records in baseball. 8 and one bet them two
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nights in a row and they scored a combined zero runs in the last
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two games. Again, lose 2, nothing.
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Lose 1, nothing. So talk about frustration there.
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But the Giants bats completely silent.
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So Giants, you're dead to me for now.
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I'll bet on you more throughout the year, but I need to break
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from the G men. But either way, guys, sometimes
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you'll have that. It's funny how sports betting
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works psychologically. It's such a, you know, emotional
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game. We try not to let our emotions
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seep in as data-driven betters. But there are nights when you go
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3 and 2 + 0.28 units where you feel great, like maybe you're
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staring at a, you know, a one and four or a two and three or
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an O and five. You claw your way back and have
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a winning night. You feel good about it.
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Then there are nights where you go 3 and 2 + 0.28 units and you
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feel like, man, that's it. We should have had a better
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night than that, at least a four and one.
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I, I still can't get over the Mariners doing nothing
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offensively. But anyway, guys, we'll move on.
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Winning night will take it. And also, if you had followed my
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plays that I post to the Juice Reel app, which you can get for
4:02
$4.99 a week, you may have put in the Celtics over 58 1/2 win
4:07
total back in October because that one cashed last night,
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Celtics won at Madison Square Garden.
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Another money line short favorites because Celtics were
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-2 1/2 meaningless 3. They're late, they won by two.
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But I'm happy personally because I played Celtics over 58 1/2.
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Congrats and you know, great day for those of you who those of
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you who who put the put the over into, you know, maybe you forgot
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about or maybe you were sweating it late, but I've been sweating
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the Celtics over for quite a while and they really turned it
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on late to catch that over win total.
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So Congrats to all those who celebrate today, the Celtics
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over 58 1/2 wins. Anyway, without further ado, I
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tell you what guys, I just love the routine of baseball every
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day, and I I bet you do too if you're listening.
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So without without any more wasting of time, let's get right
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into it. 5 pack overall. You guys know the drill.
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Let's try to go three and two or better eke out another winning
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night. So first, but on the board for
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me, we're going right back to Wrigley Field. 2:20 PM Eastern
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Time, first pitch day sweat. Big reason why I wanted to get
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this pot out a little bit earlier today, but I'm looking
5:09
at Rangers at cubbies. Let's set the stage here.
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Talk line movement system matches.
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I'll give you my play for this one.
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So going in it going into it, we got the Cubs 9:00 and 5:00 on
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the year. They've taken the first two
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games of this three-game series. They won 7 nothing and the
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opener is a -, 130 home favorite one for us last night 5:50 as
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well as a -, 160 home favorite. So pitching match up for this
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game. 2 pretty good pitchers with good, good, good stats
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here. Early portion of the year we
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have the Rangers who are 8 and 4 going with Tyler Mailee.
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He's one and O 1.35 ERA. Cubs are going to go with the
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lefty shota and managa 2 and O 0.98 ERA.
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So 2 good pitchers on the bump. What do we see across the market
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here? Will this game open with the
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Cubbies listed as around a -, 150 home favorite?
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Texas around a + 135 Rd. dog? And it's notable to me that the
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the wise guys are saying if it ain't broke, don't fix it.
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Let's continue to ride the Cubs. And that's exactly what I'm
6:05
doing today. I'm going right back to Chicago.
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They open -150 they've now been steamed up to -165 You can still
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find -165 at BET MGM, but other books are as high as -170 - 175
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S as always, shop for the best number, which odds logic will
6:21
always help you with oddslogic.com/josh 12347 a free
6:26
trial and 50% off your first month.
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But just a quick way to find the best number with your odds logic
6:31
live odds page again -165 at Bet MGM is currently still the best
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price on the cubbies. So aside from that, steam 15
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cent steam move in favor of the Cubs really good bet split at
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Circa out in Vegas. They basically the tickets are
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split 5050 on the money line, but 66% of money line dollars
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are on the Cubs. So public split, but heavy smart
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money, low bets, higher dollars on the cubbies.
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They're out in Vegas. Then we get to our system
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matches and there are a lot of matches on the Cubs.
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Home favorites this year continue to do well. 75 and 3767
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percent, 12% ROI. Non division home favorites with
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steam $0.10 or more 27 and 487 percent 43% ROI.
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This is the best performing system so far this year.
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Home favorites off a win, playing an opponent off a loss,
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39 and 1868 percent, 14% ROI. Interleague home favorites 34
7:25
and 1274 percent, 25% ROI. And interleague Home favorites
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off a win, 29 and 878% this year, 32% ROI.
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So all those systems are lighting up on the cubbies.
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Cubs also have some correlative betting value.
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Favorite low total game. This line is obviously, you
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know, move toward Chicago, but you also saw this line fall at
7:46
some shops. Some openers were around 8.
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Now you're down to 7 1/2. So line moving toward the
7:51
favorite and down typically a good sign.
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Hopefully that bodes well for a favorite winning a low scoring
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game. But then also, I'm going to bank
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on the bats of Chicago. They're hitting 258 this year,
8:02
94 runs scored. Texas is only hitting one, 9839
8:06
runs scored. And in particular, a fate of the
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Rangers hitting 169 on the road this year, that's 29th in
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baseball. They only they're only hitting
8:15
216 against lefties. That's 18th.
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And MLB. Also, it's another cold day at
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Wrigley Field. So the current forecast is like,
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you know, high 30s again, I'll continue to ride the the fact
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that Chicago is used to that weather, whereas Texas, you
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know, southern state, warm climate, indoor ballpark.
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Hopefully that bodes well for Chicago in favor of the Rangers.
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But if it ain't broke, don't fix it.
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I'm going right back to Wrigley Field.
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You're welcome to join me. I got the cubbies -165 next one
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for you. I'm going to double dip on this
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one. The Padres and the not the
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Oakland Athletics, just the Athletics.
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It's always funny when you see like a live odds page or an
8:54
abbreviation. It always used to be OAK Oak.
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Now it's Ath Athletics and I don't think anyone's calling
9:00
them the Sacramento A's. They they will be the Vegas A's
9:03
pretty soon. You know what?
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I can't wait to get back out to Vegas to see an A's game, and
9:08
also I'd love to go to the sphere one day, except we've
9:11
seen some pretty cool things in in when those concerts are
9:13
played there. Anyway, let's talk about this
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one here. Interleague matchup, 3:35 PM
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Eastern Time. First pitch these interleague
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opponents. They split the first two games
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of this three-game series. The Padres, who are 9 and three.
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They took the opener 5 to 4 as a -, 155 Rd. favorite.
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The A's who are five and seven, they bounce back with a 3:50 win
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yesterday as a + 110 home dog. We're able to get that over for
9:37
us, which was nice. So in this late afternoon series
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finale, we got the pods going with the ready Randy Vasquez.
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He's O 111.69 ERA this year. The A's on the flip side here
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are going to counter with the ready Osvaldo Beato.
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He's one and O with a 2.7 O ERA. So let's start first with the
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side pretty clear that big money is on the A's.
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This game actually opened the Padres around a -, 125 Rd.
10:02
favorite. Basically the Athletics around
10:04
plus 110 + 115 and it's completely flipped to now the
10:08
A's -125 -, 130. So a huge dog to fave line move.
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Oakland did it again. Athletics open as a dog have now
10:17
flipped to a favorite. Tells me a lot of big money has
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come in on the A's and that classic dog to fave reverse line
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move. And it is a reverse line move
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because 76% of money line bets are not on the A's, they're on
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the Padres. So if all this, you know, big
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portion of tickets, you know, three out of four bets.
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Drunk guys at the bar Hammer in San Diego.
10:36
Yeah, San Diego. San Diego's a layup today.
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OK, then why is the line flipping so heavily in favor of
10:42
the athletics? Tells me odds makers aren't
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concerned about the heavy public betting on the pods.
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They're going with the A's here in the spot.
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I did see Cronin I is it Cronin worth or no?
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Jackson Merrill got hurt so he's out of the lineup.
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Maybe that's partly why you're seeing this line go to the A's.
10:58
But anyway, a lot of system matches on the A's.
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Home favorites 75 and 3767%. Non division Home favorites off
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a win Steam $0.10 or more 27 and 487% Interleague Home favorites
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34 and 1274%. Interleague favorites off a win
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29 and 878%. So a lot of those same systems
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that were on the Cubs are lighting up here on the
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Athletics. So I got to go with the A's in
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the spot. Just just slapping me in the
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face with the sharp dog to fave line move.
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I was able to get the A's a little bit earlier today -120
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now you're looking at around a -, 125.
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I'm also white walking the tightrope.
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And you know what? Out of principle, I got to play
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the over once again. It looks pretty sharp.
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This total opened as low as 9, but most for 9 1/2.
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Now it's up to 10, so it's not an 8 1/2 like we had last night.
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So we're going to need 11 runs or more.
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But I did, I was able to pick off over 9 1/2 -, 125 at ESPN
11:53
bet a little bit earlier today. You can get those plays if you
11:56
follow me, 499 a week with the Juice Reel picks page.
12:02
But anyway, even if you don't get the 9 1/2, still over 10,
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I'll give it a shot. We have seen that movement
12:09
toward the over the over has a really good split at DraftKings.
12:12
51% bet, 78% dollars. It's going to be another nice
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day, 70° great temperature. It's also kind of fishy because
12:20
both starters have really good eras, yet the total opened high
12:23
and you only got bet even higher.
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So kind of fishy in favor of a higher scoring game.
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And then again, the over perfect five and O, that's that the
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Sacramento stadium this year. So if it ain't broke, don't fix
12:35
it. I'm going to keep riding these.
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I know the odds makers are going to adjust.
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I was actually DM ING with a with a wise guy here.
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My my man, Mr. Tomlinson, Willie Tomlinson, and we were saying,
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Hey, we just got out of principle.
12:48
Keep playing these overs. And he's like, oh, well, what if
12:50
the odds makers adjust? I'm sure they are adjusting, but
12:54
hey, let's keep riding it unless until it keeps winning.
12:58
But anyway, I'm walking the tightrope.
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I got the over and I got so I got over 9 1/2 again.
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I'm still playing the over 10 if that's the only one available to
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you now, but then also go on the A's here.
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So let's get at least one. If the A's win. 4:50 Hey, we'll
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be very happy and that would be great if we could get both.
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Next one for you, Blue Jays and the Red Sox.
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You know me or maybe you don't, but I am on the Red Sox over win
13:21
total this year. I'm on Red Sox over 85 1/2 wins.
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But I really haven't bet on them much this year.
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But I'm betting on them today, not just because I'm a Red Sox
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fan born and raised in New England, but because they look
13:33
pretty sharp today and they match quite a few systems.
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And wait till I give you these bet splits anyway, Blue Jays are
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Red Sox, Blue Jays are 7 and 5, Red Sox six and six.
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The Blue Jays have taken the first two games of this
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three-game series. They won six to two and then
13:47
they won six to one. There's actually a four-game
13:49
set. So this is the the third of four
13:50
games. But anyway, pitching match up in
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this one, we have the Jays going with Kevin Gozman veteran righty
13:57
one and one 3.97 ERA. He'll be opposed by fellow
14:01
righty Tanner Houck O and one 6.52 ERA.
14:05
So what have we seen across the market here?
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Well, the movement is going toward the Red Sox.
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Red Sox open around -120 they've now been bet up to -130 So we
14:14
have that $0.10 of steam lighting up here on Boston.
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I really like the bet splits on the Red Sox.
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If you look at DraftKings, 67% of money line bets 88% of money
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line dollars on Boston. And at Circa 57% bets 98% of
14:31
money line dollars on Boston. So the Red Sox are getting a
14:33
really good little bits higher dollar bet split at the National
14:36
DraftKings book and the wise guy Desert book.
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Their circa Red Sox also match a few betting systems that I love.
14:44
Home favorites this year, again, obvious chalky, but it's doing
14:47
well. 75 and 3767 percent, 12% ROI home favorites off a loss.
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The bounce back system, 24 and 14 this year, 63 percent, 7%
14:58
ROI. And then a system that we've hit
15:00
on a few times this year, favorites looking to avoid the
15:04
sweep. So if you've lost the first two
15:06
games and you are a favorite in the third game, that system is
15:10
145 and 8264 percent, 7% ROI since 2022.
15:15
So a pretty good sample size there.
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Red Sox offense has been better than the Toronto Blue Jays
15:21
offense, not in this series, but overall.
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Red Sox hitting 268 with 66 runs scored, 11 homers.
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Toronto hitting 264, only 47 runs scored with six home runs.
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Red Sox are slugging 416. Toronto's slugging 368.
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Also kind of fishy in terms of the pitchers.
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Like Gozman has been better than Tanner Houck. 3.97 versus 6.52,
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yet you're seeing a line move toward the guy with a higher
15:49
ERA. So I actually have another game
15:50
for you lined up. That's another perfect example.
15:53
Like fishy. Doesn't make sense.
15:55
Give me that fishy side, which is what I like to see.
15:58
Also familiarity. Red Sox have faced Kevin Gozman
16:01
a lot, so they've seen them before.
16:03
Hopefully that bodes well for today.
16:06
And then also a little bit of correlative betting.
16:09
Technically, it's not but your favorite low total, you need 8
16:12
or less. But this 8 1/2 is really juiced
16:15
to the under and we have the line going toward the Red Sox.
16:17
So the juicing up the under line moving toward the favorite.
16:20
Typically that's a good sign for the favorite.
16:23
But I am excited to sweat the Sox tonight.
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Yeah, I'll get my dunk. I'll get my dunks.
16:27
Coffees with the Boston Red Sox, but I'm looking forward to it.
16:31
I'm on Boston, I got the Sox earlier today -130 last bat of
16:36
the night. And oh boy, does it look gross,
16:39
which means I love it. Philadelphia Phillies, Atlanta
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Braves, 7:15 PM Eastern Time, first pitch.
16:45
Let's set the stage. Talk what's going on with this
16:48
line because it's very interesting.
16:50
Braves are two and eight. Awful start to the year, but
16:53
they did win last night against the Phillies, 7:00 to 5:00 as a
16:56
-, 115 home favorite. In tonight's rematch, the
16:59
Phills, who are 7 and three, they're going to go with Taiwan
17:01
Walker, the righty 1 and Oera of 0.
17:04
And the Braves are going with fellow righty Grant Holmes.
17:07
O and 1, ERA of 7.2 O. So what do we see across the
17:11
market? Will this game open?
17:12
Braves -120 at home? Philly plus 110 and the public
17:17
says the wrong team is favored. You know, how do you not take
17:20
Philly? A7 and three team getting plus
17:23
110 + 115. That's what the public's doing.
17:26
Nearly 2/3 of bets are going with Philly.
17:28
I get it, good record plus money.
17:30
How do you not take it? However, the betting market is
17:34
telling a different story. Publix on Philly, 2/3 of bets,
17:38
but the line is going to Atlanta.
17:40
Atlanta opened -120 they're now up to -130 -, 135.
17:45
I'm seeing some shops as high as -140 even -145 still available
17:50
-135 Braves at Caesar's. So shop around for the best
17:54
price. But why is the line going toward
17:56
Atlanta when the public is pounding Philly?
17:59
Again, dead giveaway here that smart money is going with the
18:01
Braves. You know, we got to think of it
18:03
this way. If Publix on Philly, why are the
18:06
odds makers now giving you an even bigger, you know, plus
18:08
money payout? They're not doing it because
18:10
they're nice or charitable. They're doing it because they're
18:12
taking in big money here on the Braves.
18:15
Now Braves have a good bet split at circa 67% money line bets,
18:19
97% money line dollars for their evidence of those bigger,
18:23
sharper wagers playing the Braves out in Vegas system
18:26
matches. Here with the Braves, we have
18:28
home favorites 75 and 3767 percent, 12% ROI.
18:34
And we have home favorites off a win playing an opponent off a
18:36
loss, 39 and 1868 percent, 14% ROI.
18:41
So 2 good systems there on the Braves.
18:43
And then lastly, fishy and makes no sense.
18:46
Why is it Lana, who's 2 and 8 on the year #1 opening as a
18:52
favorite against the seven and three Phillies team and #2
18:55
becoming more of a favorite? Also, Holmes's ERA is 7.2 O
19:00
Walker is zero. So the Braves have the worst
19:03
record and they have a pitcher with the high ERA, yet they open
19:06
as a favorite became more of a favorite.
19:09
That is, you know, when I was younger, it'd be automatic
19:11
hammer Philly put them in every parlay.
19:14
You know, this is me as a a newbie better before I learned,
19:17
I learned not to do that. But you know, this is a play for
19:20
me where I got to take the Braves.
19:22
It just scream sharp action for me.
19:25
So line moving to the Braves even though Philly is getting
19:28
the majority tickets. Let's go Bravos.
19:30
I got the Braves at -135 S Braves, Red Sox, A's, A's over
19:38
and the cubbies. Can we find a way to scratch and
19:40
claw and get three or more of those bets?
19:42
That is the goal. So that about does it for
19:45
episode 253 of the All Systems Go sports Betting podcast,
19:48
powered by Rhythm. Of course.
19:50
This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
19:52
And I start first by saying thank you.
19:54
Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
19:57
busy lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat some
20:00
sharp data-driven breakdowns with me.
20:02
I'm very honored to host this pod and win, lose or draw.
20:05
I love the fact that we've created this community to not
20:07
talk about our biases or what we think or want or hope will
20:10
happen, but trying to read the market.
20:12
I feel like a detective everyday, a private investigator
20:15
trying to figure out, you know, where, where the smart money's
20:18
at. But if you do enjoy the pod and
20:21
if you can hear my voice and you appreciate the insights, please
20:24
could you do me a solid, give this podcast a five star review
20:27
on Spotify or iTunes. If you want to leave a nice
20:29
comment in the review section, that's also great.
20:31
If you want to click the follow button.
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That way you get alerted as soon as it drops each day, that would
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be awesome as well. And of course, if you want to
20:37
recommend the pod to a friend, colleague, family member, word
20:40
of mouth is always, I would say the most most most appreciated
20:45
way. You know, if you give you
20:47
someone you respect tells you to do something, you're going to do
20:49
it more often than just, you know, seeing an ad on Twitter or
20:52
something. But anyway, next, if you enjoy
20:55
the style of betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp contrarian
20:58
betting and you want to learn more about data-driven betting,
21:02
then guess what, you got to go pick up a book.
21:05
That's right, books are still still around.
21:08
I know people don't read anymore, but I was an English
21:10
major. I think books are cool.
21:12
I got some unnerved, but anyway, books or knowledge, and I wrote
21:15
one. I'm very proud of it.
21:16
Just go to Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to
21:19
Sports betting. Pick up a copy for you or a
21:22
friend or a buddy or you know, someone you know in a newly
21:25
legalized state, someone who loses a lot and needs a North
21:28
Star, a guiding philosophy. Or just pick one up for
21:31
yourself. And it's got everything I've
21:33
learned in the industry. How lines are set, how and why
21:36
they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
21:38
action, how to place a bet in person or online, how to shop
21:41
for the best line, how to set up a bankroll management plan.
21:44
It's all included in the everything guide to sports
21:46
betting. I would also love it.
21:48
I know, I know, I'm being greedy here, but would you also think
21:52
about pre ordering a copy of my new book, the NFL Sharp Betting
21:56
Playbook? It comes out August 12th.
21:58
We can get it right on Amazon.com.
22:00
Type in the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook and I cannot wait for
22:03
you guys to read it. I'm actually going through the
22:05
final edits before it goes out to the printer.
22:07
So exciting times here, but pick up one or both of my books,
22:12
bring them to the sports book, I'll sign them for you.
22:14
I'll buy a beer or ginger ale or we'll get some nachos and sweat
22:17
some games together next. If you haven't done it yet, what
22:21
are you waiting for? Go download Rhythm and Juice
22:23
Reel, my two favorite sports betting apps.
22:25
Rhythm fantastic for their AI backed models and predictions
22:29
for game bets and player props for baseball.
22:31
I'm not a huge MLB player prop guy.
22:34
I know a lot of people love player props, but Rhythm has he
22:36
covered there with their player prop predictions as well as the
22:40
spread the run line money line in total.
22:43
And then, of course, you also need to download juice reel.
22:47
Juice reel where is where you can get the Robo Jackson best
22:49
bet picks that come out each day at noon.
22:52
You can also sign up to get my plays officially, you know, get
22:56
some of them. I'm always going to, you know,
22:57
the plays that we mentioned on the pod are always the plays
22:59
that are in, you know, the app. But I do kind of bet them a
23:02
little bit earlier in the day and you might get a better
23:04
number. Like, you know, if you had seen
23:06
you over 9 1/2 on the A's game, you know, in the app, you
23:09
probably would have gotten that number.
23:11
But anyway, it's $4.99 a week to get those plays.
23:15
I know it sounds touty and kind of, you know, cringy, but I look
23:19
at it as a tip jar. This pot is free.
23:21
Tip your bartender, tip your server if they give you good
23:23
service, if you value these insights, I would like to think
23:27
you know the insights are worth $5 a week.
23:29
We can sign up through Juice Reel, the social tab or click
23:32
the tweet that I put out each day late afternoon.
23:35
I'll actually put it out right before, right after this pod is
23:37
done, but you also get the sharp mush indicators, arbitrage
23:41
plays. Shop for the best line futures.
23:43
It's all located in the Juice Reel app.
23:45
So download Juice Reel, download Rhythm, and you'll be off and
23:49
running. Make sure you have them five
23:50
stars in the App Store as well. Lastly or second to last or
23:54
third to last, I mentioned earlier, but you need a live
23:58
odds page. If you're betting on sports, you
23:59
got to have it. It's like being an architect and
24:01
you don't have, you know, a screwdriver.
24:04
I mean, it is so critical, so important.
24:06
What is the line open at? How is the market moved?
24:09
What's the current, you know, best price?
24:11
I can shop around and get the best number for full line
24:14
history. You know, moves in between gives
24:16
you more nuance and kind of color to to what the market is
24:19
telling you. But a live odds page is
24:21
critical. Again, I don't know how people
24:22
bet without 1. You got to know all the games.
24:24
You got to know the lines and really the best one around is
24:27
Odds Logic. I keep talking about it because
24:30
I'm partnered with Odds Logic. I'm an affiliate, but I'm very
24:33
proud of my connection because I really like the product.
24:36
And I hope you guys know that I wouldn't, you know, kind of
24:38
recommend something if I personally didn't use it and
24:41
value it. So there are a lot of live odds
24:44
pages out there, but Odds Logic is the best and the most cost
24:47
effective. If you want to go to
24:48
oddslogic.com/josh 123, you'll get a 7 day free trial and 50%
24:54
off your first month. And if you have any questions,
24:57
you can always hit me up on Twitter at Josh under score
24:59
insights. I'll give you all these insights
25:01
and remember when I, when I talk to you about like, you know,
25:04
buying the book or you know, signing up for odds logic or
25:07
getting the plays on juice real. All that information is located
25:11
in the bio description of every podcast as well.
25:13
So you can just go to the description of each pod.
25:15
All the links will be there for you, but give odds logic a shot.
25:19
I think you're going to like it. Lastly, as always, whether I see
25:23
you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode
25:26
Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
25:28
Sun down in Connecticut, at the Encore in Boston or Plain Rich
25:31
Park Casino or MGM Springfield. In my neck of the woods in
25:34
Massachusetts or at the Nash, my new favorite local sports book.
25:39
Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
25:41
down, where Billy Walter sends his number runners with lowest
25:44
juice possible is found at the South Point.
25:46
Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
25:48
swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
25:50
Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
25:52
You're going to show me a Padres A's winner in the first inning
25:57
over 8 1/2 Brewers Cubbies. Just don't show me the Mariners.
26:01
I still can't get over that. You know, you know, you know
26:03
you're you're decent in a sport when you're mad when you go 3
26:06
and 2 when you should have gone 4:00 and 1:00.
26:08
But anyway, guys, first one's on me, next one's on you.
26:10
We'll sweat some some MLB games here tonight.
26:13
Lastly, of course, as always, little words of wisdom.
26:16
These are things that I've learned over time and maybe
26:19
you'll you'll learn to love them as well if you haven't already.
26:22
But as always, here's what we got to do.
26:24
We got to bet games with our head and not our heart against
26:27
the public, with the house, with the pros flat bet, avoid
26:30
parlays, get that closing line value again, not every sharp
26:33
play will win or always playing the long game.
26:36
And if we can do that, make sharp bets based on what the
26:38
market is telling us, not what our biases and emotions are
26:41
telling us, guess what? If we can do that long term,
26:44
we're going to be successful sports bettors.
26:46
So have a great Wednesday, everybody.
26:48
Enjoy the sweats for MLB today. We'll be right back at it
26:51
tomorrow for a big thirsty Thursday.
26:54
And that'll be edition or episode 254 of the All Systems
26:58
Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
27:01
Good luck everybody and have a great hump day.