Latest / Best Betting Show Ever / College Basketball, Olympic Hockey Semifinals, Parlay of the Day & More!

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College Basketball, Olympic Hockey Semifinals, Parlay of the Day & More! · Best Betting Show Ever

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Shit, Oh the crap we talk about off there. I'm
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: Lawrence Dresman. Welcome everybody to the best betting show ever.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: We got a great one today.
• 0:09
  Speaker 2: NBA back in play, a whole lot of games to discuss.
• 0:14
  Speaker 2: We got Art to Caesar with us, Joe rann Aery.
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: I know that I told you Steve Merrill would be
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: hosting the show instead of me. Surprise, I changed my
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: schedule around. I'm back and ready to go. Guys, Before
• 0:27
  Speaker 2: we get into anything, let's just have a moment and
• 0:30
  Speaker 2: discuss the insanity known as Olympic hockey. Yesterday, three overtime games.
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: Two of them were insane comebacks, empty net goals all
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: over the place, A missed controversy at a high level.
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: I don't know if you saw what went down in
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: the Canada game, but when Czechoslovakia score check, when the
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: Czech Republic scored that third goal to blow up three
• 0:59
  Speaker 2: to two, there were eight eight hockey players on the ice,
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: eight not.
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: Five, not six, not seven. There were eight.
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: And not only were there eight, but when they celebrated
• 1:16
  Speaker 2: the goal, all six guys that were left on the
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: ice celebrated together. It was a six man goal celebrated
• 1:27
  Speaker 2: and yet the goal counted. Can you imagine, yep, if
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: that held up.
• 1:34
  Speaker 3: No, it was never gonna hold up.
• 1:36
  Speaker 4: Let me ask you something, press has the Toronto Maple
• 1:40
  Speaker 4: Leaf brethren, have you now forgiven Mitch Martner for all
• 1:44
  Speaker 4: of his ridiculousness of never being able to get it
• 1:48
  Speaker 4: done when he was a member of your team. But
• 1:50
  Speaker 4: he got it done for the cut Now now it
• 1:51
  Speaker 4: still sucks, right, everybody, I get half half screw him,
• 1:57
  Speaker 4: and the other half's like, now he's good, We're gonna
• 1:59
  Speaker 4: move on now.
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: No.
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: No, So I'm not mad at Mitch Marner, and I
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: don't think he sucks. But listen, you know it took
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: ten years for him to score an important ten years.
• 2:12
  Speaker 3: Exactly the tough crowd, Yeah, I mean really tough.
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: It's it was a doozy of a goal, but talk
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: about a brain cramp. I mean he literally walked through
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: three defensemen and then you don't score goals on a
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: backhand top shelf from seven eight feet out like Art
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: to Caesar could have made that save.
• 2:39
  Speaker 3: Wow, I mean Art probably could. Hell. Yeah, let's go
• 2:46
  Speaker 3: young Mike.
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: Not a John van Beeesbrook.
• 2:49
  Speaker 5: No, No, Richter's my guy.
• 2:52
  Speaker 3: Lea a much more for it. That's what he looks like.
• 2:57
  Speaker 3: That's that's all, okay.
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: So yeah, wild wild game.
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: America and Canada coming up a little later today. Everything
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: looks set or in American Canadian finals in the men's hockey.
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: I'm looking forward to the Olympics. For the Olympics to end,
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: I want to get back to the NHL grind. We
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: got the NBA grind starting today. That's where we're going
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: to start. First, how did we do last night, Art,
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: and then let's get into some sharp bets.
• 3:25
  Speaker 5: I mean, the books did really well as far as
• 3:26
  Speaker 5: the college basketball goes. You know, we had some upsets,
• 3:29
  Speaker 5: which obviously are gonna help can I knock a lot
• 3:31
  Speaker 5: of parlays out, so it was actually.
• 3:34
  Speaker 6: A really good day.
• 3:35
  Speaker 5: And you know, just to reiterate on their men's hockey,
• 3:38
  Speaker 5: we're rooting for Canada and USA.
• 3:40
  Speaker 6: We want to see that as.
• 3:41
  Speaker 5: The gold medal game, so we can have a lot
• 3:43
  Speaker 5: more content to put out for that game.
• 3:45
  Speaker 6: So hope we get that game.
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: I hope you get that game too. Slovakia doesn't and
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: nor does Finland, but we'll worry about that a little later.
• 3:58
  Speaker 3: Bets.
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: For today, Art, we got an NBA slate to college
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: basketball slate, and obviously we have the Canadian American Gold
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: Medal woman's game.
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: What's going on?
• 4:09
  Speaker 6: Yeah, it's nice to talk some NBA.
• 4:10
  Speaker 5: We're back in playing in the NBA, so I got
• 4:12
  Speaker 5: some sharp NBA to account for. This morning, they took
• 4:15
  Speaker 5: the Hawks plus two this morning, it's now plus one.
• 4:19
  Speaker 6: They're at Philadelphia. I even see some picks out there, so.
• 4:22
  Speaker 5: Sharp money on Atlanta, sharp money on the Raptors, Bulls
• 4:26
  Speaker 5: under two thirty three, we're two thirty one now, and
• 4:29
  Speaker 5: then sharp money on the Sun's Spurs game over two
• 4:32
  Speaker 5: twenty seven now two twenty nine. College basketball got a
• 4:36
  Speaker 5: whole bunch of stuff. Two pick Thems. They took pick
• 4:39
  Speaker 5: them with William and Mary. They took pick them with Vermont.
• 4:42
  Speaker 5: They're now both one and a half point favorites. They
• 4:45
  Speaker 5: took four with Idaho. They took four and a half
• 4:49
  Speaker 5: with the Moine the Dolphins. They laid three and a
• 4:52
  Speaker 5: half with Tennessee State. They laid two and a half
• 4:55
  Speaker 5: with Appalachian State and cal Poly who is at Wyoming.
• 5:00
  Speaker 5: A couple of sharps took this couple of groups. One
• 5:02
  Speaker 5: group took them at twelve and a half. Another group
• 5:04
  Speaker 5: took took them at eleven and a half. We're the
• 5:07
  Speaker 5: lowest on the board right now. You can get Hawaii
• 5:09
  Speaker 5: minus ten and a half. We're the only ten and
• 5:11
  Speaker 5: a half I believe out there because two separate groups
• 5:15
  Speaker 5: hit cal Poly on that.
• 5:16
  Speaker 6: So that's a double sharp move.
• 5:18
  Speaker 3: I love that.
• 5:19
  Speaker 4: And cal poally got their ass handed to them the
• 5:22
  Speaker 4: first go around against Hawaii, so it's interesting.
• 5:24
  Speaker 3: And they're in Hawaii, I believe.
• 5:26
  Speaker 4: So that's that's a little late night degenerate special there.
• 5:30
  Speaker 4: That's for sure here, did you We've talked about it here.
• 5:34
  Speaker 4: Baseball spring training starts tomorrow, I believe right we'll have games.
• 5:39
  Speaker 4: If I saw correctly any any new action coming in
• 5:43
  Speaker 4: on the Major League Baseball side or does it? Usually
• 5:47
  Speaker 4: once it gets going, then you start to see more
• 5:49
  Speaker 4: and more come in.
• 5:51
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, you know, obviously when we have you know,
• 5:53
  Speaker 5: our win totals have basically been out for two weeks.
• 5:55
  Speaker 5: Now you get that initial flood of sharp action, and
• 5:59
  Speaker 5: then we'll start to see the Republic start to play
• 6:01
  Speaker 5: those you know, we we in this past couple of
• 6:04
  Speaker 5: days have started to put up our player props as
• 6:07
  Speaker 5: far as like over under wins over under strikeouts over
• 6:11
  Speaker 5: under home run. So obviously, anytime we get hit on
• 6:15
  Speaker 5: any of those, I'll try to make note of it
• 6:17
  Speaker 5: and you know, pass it along to you guys. But
• 6:20
  Speaker 5: as far as like the wind total stuff, nothing has
• 6:22
  Speaker 5: really moved off the initial stuff that I had mentioned
• 6:24
  Speaker 5: over the past, you know, ten days or so.
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: Art Caesar joining us everyone the reason this show is
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: the best betting show ever. He works at the Westgates Sportsbook.
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: It's one of the most prestigious sportsbooks out there. I mean,
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: it's a real market leader. He comes on every day,
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: tells you where the money is going. This information is
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: absolutely gold. Art any fights, anything else that we need
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: to know about.
• 6:55
  Speaker 5: Yeah, tomorrow, I'm gonna try my hardest every Friday to
• 6:58
  Speaker 5: do the UFC rundown. So you know it's a smalle
• 7:01
  Speaker 5: state to college basketball tomorrow. Got a pretty good NBA sleep,
• 7:04
  Speaker 5: But tomorrow I'll definitely be able to give out two
• 7:06
  Speaker 5: or three fights that we are leaning with as far
• 7:09
  Speaker 5: as sharp action goes.
• 7:10
  Speaker 6: So stay tuned for UFC tomorrow.
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: Awesome, excellent, excellent, Okay, So parlay of the day, I'm
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: gonna stick to hockey, and I'm telling you guys, this
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: might be one of my favorite hockey bets of the
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: entire Olympics.
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: And it is plus money. Ooh.
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: Slovakia is playing the United States of America tomorrow. This
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: is a three ten game. Slovakia is plus two and
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: a half plus one thirty. I'll take it, Thank you Art, all.
• 7:47
  Speaker 5: Right, I'm taking the over in the NC Wilmington game
• 7:51
  Speaker 5: over one forty three.
• 7:53
  Speaker 4: Let's say porzingis on the court tonight finally for the
• 7:57
  Speaker 4: Golden State Warriors.
• 7:58
  Speaker 3: The problem Leeph Curry no Steph Curry, no Warriors.
• 8:02
  Speaker 4: I'll take the Celtics to get it done tonight on
• 8:06
  Speaker 4: the road against Golden State President Uh Joe.
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: Before we get move on to the predictive market section
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: of the show, we got lots of show stile.
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: To go hit that like button subscribed to our channel.
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: We got a lot of abuse yesterday in the comments
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: section one of the j We'll talk about it a
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: little later, but one of the gentlemen really was taking
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: a shot at you, Joe, and they were saying that
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: every time one of us gives a play out, your
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: response is I like that. Could you maybe insult one
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: of our picks one time? Disagree? Pretend you're losing credibility.
• 8:53
  Speaker 3: By saying I agree with your pick.
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: Every single time we give out a pick.
• 8:58
  Speaker 6: It's ridiculous.
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: It's Luke, Luke, Luke, Luke lacass. I hate Joe good start.
• 9:07
  Speaker 6: Right, he's not a fan of amazing.
• 9:09
  Speaker 3: It's so amazing.
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: It's so freaking amazing that I hate Joe.
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: I don't like. I'm not like neutral. I don't think
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: he's great at his job.
• 9:21
  Speaker 7: I don't like his I hate Joe, like hate, like
• 9:25
  Speaker 7: go to how Joe, that's how horrible you are as
• 9:31
  Speaker 7: a human being?
• 9:32
  Speaker 3: Awful?
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: Joe correct every pick one of his partners makes, he says.
• 9:39
  Speaker 3: I like that, I do like that. I like that.
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: Could you imagine that's the reason I.
• 9:45
  Speaker 4: Didn't like your past us say?
• 9:48
  Speaker 3: But I mean, I don't.
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: Think I said that.
• 9:52
  Speaker 4: Yeah, so, Luke, I know you're used to probably hearing
• 9:55
  Speaker 4: this a lot, but you're wrong.
• 9:58
  Speaker 3: So yeah, there you know? It isn't it amazing?
• 10:02
  Speaker 6: That?
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: Isn't it amazing in this day and age that someone's
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: feelings can be so.
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: Strong that they use the word hate.
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: All because you are complimentary to our picks.
• 10:15
  Speaker 4: How dare I? How dare I support your pick in
• 10:20
  Speaker 4: any way?
• 10:20
  Speaker 3: Shit? But I didn't support the vote against did I Art?
• 10:25
  Speaker 3: I didn't go like that.
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: I didn't hear that we we'd have some seriously bruised
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: with JJ.
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: What just happened to this show?
• 10:38
  Speaker 3: I like that?
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: That? So tell me why let's talk USA Slovakia.
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: Tell me, tell me why.
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: Okay, by so earthly, Slovakia is a way better team
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: than everybody thinks. This team is deep too, and they're
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: playing outstanding hockey, and America is not some They're not
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: some scoring juggernaut.
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: Two and a half is a lot.
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: This is gonna be one of those games where Slovakia
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: understands they got to shut America down. Hope they can
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: get this thing to overtime, or hope they can get
• 11:12
  Speaker 2: it late in the third period tied or down by one.
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: Slovakia is coming out playing a five man defensive unit
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: and they are just going to spend all game trying
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: to shut the US down. Two and a half goals
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: is a lot of goals, guys, you think the US
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: are going to win by three plus?
• 11:32
  Speaker 4: I mean, call me crazy, Art, but I think that's
• 11:34
  Speaker 4: where the maybe the empty netter comes into play.
• 11:37
  Speaker 3: Finally, yeah, I could see.
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: That's still gotta be up by two.
• 11:42
  Speaker 3: Oh, I get listen.
• 11:44
  Speaker 4: If you're going to back Teamy, I say you're going
• 11:45
  Speaker 4: to back them because of exactly what you saw yesterday.
• 11:48
  Speaker 4: They are not going to win a shootout against Canada anyway,
• 11:51
  Speaker 4: so they have to do exactly what they did. They're
• 11:54
  Speaker 4: going to clamp down on defense. They're not going all
• 11:57
  Speaker 4: hollybudgy get exposed, and they're not scoring six goals like
• 12:00
  Speaker 4: they did against Germany.
• 12:02
  Speaker 3: So Team USA is guilty for defense.
• 12:05
  Speaker 4: But at the same time, I think they are plus
• 12:09
  Speaker 4: seven in the second period. If it is so, if
• 12:13
  Speaker 4: it is too nothing heading into the third press which
• 12:15
  Speaker 4: is feasible, I would not shock me if if an
• 12:19
  Speaker 4: empty Nutter and there's only one more goal there, unless
• 12:21
  Speaker 4: I'm going crazygo I don't see the over. I would
• 12:25
  Speaker 4: much rather play the under. But I think an empty
• 12:27
  Speaker 4: Nutter spot I.
• 12:27
  Speaker 6: Say, sounds like an under, right, I mean.
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: And I like that under.
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: I think your analysis is fair, Joe, and I'll tell
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: you something. I think if America is up to nothing
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: going into the third, I would bet them in game.
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: I think they win by three or three off into
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: the third. That is that.
• 12:48
  Speaker 4: Yes, I think I thought they were too conservative in
• 12:50
  Speaker 4: their yesterday. I mean you only had four shots on goal.
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I do like that, under Joe, I think that
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: you like that makes a lot.
• 13:00
  Speaker 3: Like you like that. Uh, well, out of here, please
• 13:07
  Speaker 3: me too, damn it, damn it. I don't want to
• 13:11
  Speaker 3: behave by lou God, damn it.
• 13:13
  Speaker 5: Luke, trust me, he's coming after all of us. I
• 13:17
  Speaker 5: always see his name in the comments, and uh, we.
• 13:20
  Speaker 3: Love your look.
• 13:21
  Speaker 4: We love your look all you love you love you,
• 13:27
  Speaker 4: Yes we do.
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: Okay, So predictive markets, what a.
• 13:35
  Speaker 3: Come on? Hey?
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: By the way, that woman right there is Slovak.
• 13:40
  Speaker 3: Oh no way, Yeah, we're gonna have to get the
• 13:43
  Speaker 3: jersey on there, all right.
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: Slovak. Okay, so, uh get market?
• 13:52
  Speaker 3: What do you get Art out of you? Wait?
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: Wait, we're going to do the predictive market.
• 13:57
  Speaker 3: You and I are going to do it. Art's gotta
• 13:58
  Speaker 3: gol man, he's got it's.
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: Okay, sorry, Art, love you Art? Yes, okay, Well we'll
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: wait for the predicative markets. We got to take care
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: of some business. Uh I like that too, Yeah, dude,
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: I got an NBA game play up with tonight. My
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: NBA has been outstanding for four plus years. I restructured
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: my NBA team four years ago. We have not had
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: a losing season yet at four years coming into uh
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: the after the Break, I've won my last two eleven
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: and six run. So check out my NBA my college basketball.
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: I would wait to bet it. I cannot seem to
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: get out of my funk, but I will and I'm
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: going to have a great college basketball run. Like I'm
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: looking at this thinking my timing.
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: Couldn't be any better.
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: Get all my losses out of the way as we
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: approached the conference championships and then the March March madness.
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: So yeah, that's I'm at guys, Joe, what do you
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: got going?
• 15:02
  Speaker 4: Well, you and I both in the NBA. I think
• 15:05
  Speaker 4: you've got a big play tonight. I have my believe
• 15:08
  Speaker 4: it or not press my first five NBA better The
• 15:12
  Speaker 4: season is up and available over at wager talk dot com,
• 15:16
  Speaker 4: So it's time to make the final put. Yeah, I
• 15:20
  Speaker 4: just I love this situation. I love this spot, and
• 15:23
  Speaker 4: I think it's woefully under priced. So that's available over
• 15:27
  Speaker 4: at wager talk dot com at a two pack of
• 15:30
  Speaker 4: college basketball that we went to and oh last night,
• 15:34
  Speaker 4: So looking to keep that rolling as well.
• 15:36
  Speaker 3: Here pres excellent stuff.
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: Okay, there we go.
• 15:39
  Speaker 3: Guys.
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: We've got lots of show still left, our predictive markets,
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: Today's best bets, our college basketball rundown, and we'll end
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: the show with our mailback segments. Stay with us, Joe,
• 15:49
  Speaker 2: let's talk predictive markets. Speaking of predicted market predictive markets.
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: Poly Market opened up some.
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: Free groceries, a free grocery store in New.
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: York yesterday, and you know, some people got there and
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: they had ran out of tickets. And those people felt cheated, Joe.
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: They felt like it was unfair that they were not
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: given free food.
• 16:20
  Speaker 3: That's amazing. That's amazing, right, I mean, it's.
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: Do you recog stupidity of that.
• 16:28
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm I'm also very upset that I don't get
• 16:31
  Speaker 4: free food every day, right, I'm very.
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: It's just life is not fair, Joe. Life is not fair.
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: If everyone else can get free food, I too deserve
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: free food. Anyway, great promotional plan by poly Market, largely
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: because New York is looking to ban them and they're
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: trying to do a little you know.
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: Paola, if you will.
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: Joseph anything in Kelshy on whether Women's NBA will ever
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: happen again.
• 17:06
  Speaker 4: There is a date, I believe associated with that press.
• 17:10
  Speaker 4: As a matter of fact, I can tell you because
• 17:12
  Speaker 4: I think I saw going with the over.
• 17:16
  Speaker 3: Or it would be delayed. All right, hold on, here
• 17:18
  Speaker 3: we go.
• 17:19
  Speaker 4: How long will the WNBA season be delayed?
• 17:24
  Speaker 3: Ten days or more.
• 17:26
  Speaker 4: Seventy two cents to the s, twenty five days or
• 17:30
  Speaker 4: more sixty cents, forty five days or more forty seven cents.
• 17:35
  Speaker 4: I would almost say one hundred and eighty days or more.
• 17:38
  Speaker 4: Is trading at thirty two cents pres And I'm willing
• 17:41
  Speaker 4: to bet they don't even come close. They're having any
• 17:44
  Speaker 4: sort of agreement here for at least six months. May eighth,
• 17:48
  Speaker 4: Press May eight. So do you think here by May
• 17:50
  Speaker 4: eighth they'd be able to get this thing going?
• 17:53
  Speaker 3: No, I don't. I don't.
• 17:55
  Speaker 4: Yeah, they may not get it until next year.
• 17:58
  Speaker 3: They may not get it. That's how ridiculous it is.
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: I think this could be.
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: I think this could be one of those uh walkouts
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: for the ages, if you will, I agree, So I'm going.
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: With the over on that. What else you got in
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: the predictive markets?
• 18:14
  Speaker 4: Well, two things here, pres and we're putting a video
• 18:16
  Speaker 4: together on this for those of you guys I know
• 18:18
  Speaker 4: had mentioned in the chat room that you're you're not
• 18:22
  Speaker 4: sure what the hell it is or how does it
• 18:23
  Speaker 4: work and what's going on with it. So I thought
• 18:26
  Speaker 4: there was a pretty good example of pres of something
• 18:29
  Speaker 4: that we've talked about this week, and it had to
• 18:32
  Speaker 4: do if you remember about the undefeated college basketball season
• 18:36
  Speaker 4: with Miami of Ohio. So when we mentioned this when
• 18:41
  Speaker 4: they had that game on Monday, the idea that the
• 18:44
  Speaker 4: undefeated Miami of Ohio RedHawks would actually run the table
• 18:49
  Speaker 4: was trading at thirty one cents that day.
• 18:51
  Speaker 3: Pres. You remember, I do great. Now here's the thing.
• 18:56
  Speaker 4: They went ahead and won that game, Prez, and the
• 18:59
  Speaker 4: five filling. Now, the first market that came up after
• 19:03
  Speaker 4: they won that game, it jumped ten cents to forty
• 19:06
  Speaker 4: one cents. So the idea is, remember, prediction markets are
• 19:11
  Speaker 4: not sports books.
• 19:12
  Speaker 3: You're not betting on teams.
• 19:14
  Speaker 4: You're trading in probabilities here, and what is the probability
• 19:19
  Speaker 4: and what does the path look like for Miami of
• 19:21
  Speaker 4: Ohio to run the table is basically what you're betting on. Now,
• 19:25
  Speaker 4: if you would have gotten in at thirty one cents, Prez,
• 19:28
  Speaker 4: you could have gotten out the minute they won that
• 19:30
  Speaker 4: game and made yourself ten cents the ironic party are.
• 19:33
  Speaker 4: And the thing to understand is that the real probability
• 19:36
  Speaker 4: here everyone knows Ken Pom right.
• 19:39
  Speaker 3: Ken Pom puts.
• 19:40
  Speaker 4: Pres as a baseline, the probability of them going undefeated
• 19:45
  Speaker 4: in the regular season right now at twenty nine and
• 19:48
  Speaker 4: a half percent. Twenty nine and a half. You're paying
• 19:52
  Speaker 4: forty one cents to jump in now to say they're
• 19:55
  Speaker 4: run the table and one of the best analytics in
• 20:00
  Speaker 4: sites that there is one of the oldest models in
• 20:03
  Speaker 4: the world, and Ken Pomp says it's only twenty nine
• 20:06
  Speaker 4: and a half, So why am I paying forty one
• 20:09
  Speaker 4: cents for something that Ken Pomp says only has a
• 20:12
  Speaker 4: twenty nine cent chance of actually doing it?
• 20:15
  Speaker 3: Right?
• 20:15
  Speaker 4: So what happens here, Prez is now all of the
• 20:18
  Speaker 4: value is on betting to know at sixty cents. That's
• 20:24
  Speaker 4: so that's exactly what we're talking about here with predictive markets.
• 20:28
  Speaker 4: It's not about betting on the teams or who you like,
• 20:30
  Speaker 4: you know, it's about betting on the probabilities that an
• 20:33
  Speaker 4: event is gonna happen. And press does it make sense
• 20:37
  Speaker 4: to back them or does it make sense to fade
• 20:39
  Speaker 4: them in this case at this price. I'll take Ken
• 20:43
  Speaker 4: Palm's word that the baseline is just twenty nine cents
• 20:46
  Speaker 4: is what this should be at the fact that it's
• 20:48
  Speaker 4: at forty one means the market way overvalued. All of
• 20:52
  Speaker 4: the value right now is fading them over these last
• 20:55
  Speaker 4: five games and saying, you know what, let's be let
• 20:58
  Speaker 4: I bet you they lose a game before it's all
• 21:00
  Speaker 4: said and done.
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: Well, I think where they got five more to go?
• 21:03
  Speaker 3: All right, more to go?
• 21:03
  Speaker 4: Yeah, But to your point, you can go ahead and
• 21:06
  Speaker 4: bet them individually at the sports books if you want,
• 21:09
  Speaker 4: if you like certain matchups.
• 21:11
  Speaker 3: But the reality is the value is.
• 21:13
  Speaker 4: In fading them saying the no right now, which is
• 21:17
  Speaker 4: in a much better position now, sixty cents is crazy here.
• 21:22
  Speaker 4: I think it's a pretty good chance that they don't
• 21:25
  Speaker 4: run the table. I could be wrong, but there's plenty
• 21:28
  Speaker 4: of opportunities to hedge out of it, pres over the
• 21:31
  Speaker 4: next five games.
• 21:32
  Speaker 3: If you think they can do it.
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: Yeah, five games to go. We'll keep you guys posted.
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: What else, Joe, what's going on your bitcoin?
• 21:39
  Speaker 3: Yesterday?
• 21:39
  Speaker 4: We didn't get it yesterday, Pres, but I think we
• 21:42
  Speaker 4: might have a good shot at getting it here today.
• 21:45
  Speaker 3: Currently.
• 21:46
  Speaker 4: What are you seeing it pres somewhere around the sixty
• 21:49
  Speaker 4: six mark, somewhere in.
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: Eposport sixty six to four.
• 21:54
  Speaker 4: All right, So you see it right now, sixty six
• 21:57
  Speaker 4: thousand or above trading its sixty four cents, sixty six
• 22:02
  Speaker 4: five or above trading at forty five cents, and sixty
• 22:07
  Speaker 4: seven or above trading at twenty eight cents right now.
• 22:11
  Speaker 3: So does it make sense.
• 22:12
  Speaker 4: To think we're gonna have a big push later on
• 22:14
  Speaker 4: that we're gonna land over sixty seven today your press?
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: Yeah, so let's call it one unit, let's call it
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: four units, three units on the over sixty six and
• 22:26
  Speaker 2: one unit on the over sixty seven. So I do
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: feel like sixty six will be an over. I feel
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: like it'll get over sixty seven. Then once it does,
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: it'll come back down again, so we can do this
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: again tomorrow.
• 22:42
  Speaker 3: All love, All right?
• 22:43
  Speaker 4: So then you're saying yes and yet, yeah, over sixty six, Yes,
• 22:47
  Speaker 4: over sixty six five, Yes, And you don't think it's
• 22:51
  Speaker 4: gonna land above sixty seven, So should we? No?
• 22:54
  Speaker 6: I do?
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: Oh?
• 22:55
  Speaker 3: No, I do. At five o'clock, I.
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: Think two three quarters of your bet should be over
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: sixty six, and one quarter of your bet should be
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: over sixty seven are your sixty six wive?
• 23:06
  Speaker 3: All right?
• 23:06
  Speaker 4: So you're think a big push here and it's gonna
• 23:08
  Speaker 4: land over sixty seven thousand at five o'clock here tonight.
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: Go get It's not gonna be the world's biggest pooh
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: who care?
• 23:17
  Speaker 4: Yeah, one cent over is showing off at this point,
• 23:20
  Speaker 4: so we're good to go.
• 23:21
  Speaker 3: That's good to go.
• 23:22
  Speaker 4: Cash your tickets and those are your predicted markets.
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: Here, brother, let's get to our best bet section of
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: the show. You go first, all right?
• 23:31
  Speaker 4: You want me to go first here tonight, Prez, and
• 23:35
  Speaker 4: we are going to look because we do have actually
• 23:38
  Speaker 4: NBA back coming up here tonight. I'm gonna look at
• 23:41
  Speaker 4: the New York Knicks here tonight taking on the wonderful
• 23:47
  Speaker 4: and Eastern Conference leading a Detroit team here who has
• 23:51
  Speaker 4: been press nothing short of just over the top. People
• 23:55
  Speaker 4: keep waiting for the wheels to fall off here when
• 23:57
  Speaker 4: it comes to Detroit. I don't think it's gonna happen, Prez.
• 24:01
  Speaker 4: To tell you the truth, now, they won't have Jalen
• 24:03
  Speaker 4: durn tonight. We've seen nothing but nick money hit the
• 24:07
  Speaker 4: market from yesterday. Because this was originally right around two
• 24:11
  Speaker 4: and a half three It's now four.
• 24:13
  Speaker 3: And a half here, and I don't know.
• 24:15
  Speaker 4: I mean, listen, the Knicks have gotten blown out twice
• 24:18
  Speaker 4: by this Pistons team already. I think the more the
• 24:22
  Speaker 4: public runs the window to back the Knicks, the more
• 24:24
  Speaker 4: I'm gonna be running to the window and looking to
• 24:27
  Speaker 4: get the best number on Detroit here tonight. Ultimately, these
• 24:31
  Speaker 4: teams are gonna face one another in the postseason anyway, Prez.
• 24:35
  Speaker 4: But I am not stepping in front of Detroit here.
• 24:37
  Speaker 4: I think they have the Knicks number, and I think
• 24:39
  Speaker 4: it's gonna be a battle. I'm willing to take Detroit
• 24:42
  Speaker 4: plus the points here tonight.
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: Joe, I'm looking to take the Atlanta team in NBA.
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: That is correct. No Dominique Wilkins tonight, but that's okay.
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: We got no Joel Embiid and no Pull Jordan in Philadelphia,
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: and man, this team is horrible without Joel embieb eleven
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: and twelve outright without him. Now Paul George is sitting
• 25:09
  Speaker 2: with his suspension, by the way, the most overrated NBA
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: player of my lifetime. Philadelfia is just well running out
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: of you know, roster space, if you will, or the
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: break this team lost two in a row, average seventeen
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: plus points.
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: They lost Atlanta.
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: They're rolling, They've won seven straight against Philadelphia. They own
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: this team. I don't want to overthink this. It's a
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: money line bet for me. Take the Hawks over the Sixers.
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: Let's all cash this one together. What's up with your
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: CBB rundown?
• 25:45
  Speaker 4: All right, So we got obviously not the biggest of
• 25:48
  Speaker 4: slates here tonight, Prez, But that doesn't mean there isn't
• 25:52
  Speaker 4: some value on the board. A couple of games you
• 25:54
  Speaker 4: might want to take a look at here tonight and listen,
• 25:58
  Speaker 4: poor Memphis and hardaway man, it is just gone from
• 26:03
  Speaker 4: bad to worse this season. They he just ended up
• 26:06
  Speaker 4: kicking off one of his seniors and upperclassmen on the
• 26:09
  Speaker 4: team here. And let's face it, he doesn't have a
• 26:12
  Speaker 4: whole lot of them there at Memphis. In fact, he
• 26:15
  Speaker 4: brought in an entire new roster this season at Memphis.
• 26:20
  Speaker 4: And as bad as it has been, and it has
• 26:22
  Speaker 4: been bad, and they just got blown out by Utah
• 26:25
  Speaker 4: State in which he was complaining about how Utah State
• 26:29
  Speaker 4: was running up to score. Yeah, well he's still only
• 26:33
  Speaker 4: it looks like a half a game out of second
• 26:36
  Speaker 4: place in the American Athletic He does get back one
• 26:40
  Speaker 4: guy here tonight, in which he suspended also last week
• 26:44
  Speaker 4: for one game. But maybe, just maybe this is a
• 26:47
  Speaker 4: desperate enough Memphis team here tonight, Prez. Where you know what,
• 26:52
  Speaker 4: maybe a little fat and sassy, good old South Florida.
• 26:55
  Speaker 3: They're gonna be at home.
• 26:56
  Speaker 4: We've seen the market push this up to eight and
• 26:58
  Speaker 4: a half here tonight.
• 27:00
  Speaker 3: And call me.
• 27:00
  Speaker 4: Crazy, Prez, I think a backed up in the corner. Listen,
• 27:05
  Speaker 4: their only road to March madness is by winning the
• 27:08
  Speaker 4: American Athletic Conference tournament. Right now, half a game out
• 27:12
  Speaker 4: of second, I think you see a huge desperate effort
• 27:16
  Speaker 4: by Memphis here tonight. I'd be willing to take those points, Prez,
• 27:20
  Speaker 4: and get them rolling tonight. Also one other game right
• 27:24
  Speaker 4: now that seems to be getting an awful lot of
• 27:27
  Speaker 4: love here, and they talked about it, as a matter
• 27:30
  Speaker 4: of fact, are talked about it, and we're still starting
• 27:32
  Speaker 4: to see it. But our friends from Lemoine, that's right
• 27:36
  Speaker 4: Central Connecticut State taking on Lemoine feisty group, Prez. You
• 27:40
  Speaker 4: know we love our Lamoye here on the show. Big
• 27:43
  Speaker 4: shout outs to Brian Power and his you know he
• 27:47
  Speaker 4: went to school there for a little while, actually one week,
• 27:50
  Speaker 4: I think. So we're going to back Lamoye here tonight
• 27:54
  Speaker 4: as well over Central Connecticut. So a couple of plays there, Prez,
• 27:57
  Speaker 4: that might get the night rolling for you, CBB.
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: Joe Mailbag section.
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: Instead of discussing the mail bag, I want to I
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: want to put something up on the screen and talk
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: about this.
• 28:09
  Speaker 6: Uh.
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: You know you can go onto Google and all those
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: places and be like Joe Ranieri's net worth. Well, somebody
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: so my business. I'm one of the co founders of
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: wager Talk. I own this business with Johnny Detroit, Rick
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: Alec and Marco DiAngelo.
• 28:29
  Speaker 3: Nice.
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: Somebody typed Marco DiAngelo's net worth into Google, and this
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: is what it came up with.
• 28:36
  Speaker 3: Oh, let's see, all right, hold on, let me get
• 28:37
  Speaker 3: you in there. Multimillion dot there it is.
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: Oh, what does that say?
• 28:43
  Speaker 4: That says multimillion dollars sports betting Empire.
• 28:47
  Speaker 3: That's exactly what it says.
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: And then it says, with an estimated net worth of
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: three hundred million dollars, Mark Dangelo stands as a legend
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: in sports betting. So, uh, I'd like to send a
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: message to Marco D'Angelo Firstly, where's my money?
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: Are you stealing from us?
• 29:17
  Speaker 3: What what you mean?
• 29:19
  Speaker 4: Pressure? You didn't you didn't get that proxy? You didn't,
• 29:22
  Speaker 4: you didn't yet that or.
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: The dime business partner is worth three hundred million dollars
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: and owns a sports betting empire, and I don't.
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: Oh, it's the horses that's taken.
• 29:38
  Speaker 3: Him over the top. That's correct.
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: Earthly shout out to you, rich sexy man, Marco Deaneries.
• 29:50
  Speaker 3: Oh my god, I can't.
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: Secondly, I need a loan, Marco. I need a load, sexy.
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: I need a load a Thirdly, how.
• 30:04
  Speaker 4: I what I'm with your friends?
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: Incredible joke?
• 30:09
  Speaker 3: I am with you? I mean.
• 30:14
  Speaker 4: Yes, kudos to Marco. Absolutely outstanding job there.
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: Vivian and I have a move for you. Marco.
• 30:20
  Speaker 2: We want to celebrate. We're gonna go dancing later.
• 30:25
  Speaker 4: Yeah there you exactly Marco, well done, outstanding, you got
• 30:30
  Speaker 4: a million.
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: Dollar business partner.
• 30:32
  Speaker 3: Everyone.
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: Way to go, Marcod the agelo lots of sex, DEVI wow,
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: that's the show.
• 30:41
  Speaker 3: Bro figure outs Marco. I'm still waiting for that tip
• 30:45
  Speaker 3: in the third race over there. Let me know what.
• 30:47
  Speaker 3: Let me know when that comes in