Latest / Toadstool Sports / MLB Playoffs Best Bets Wednesday 10/1/25

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MLB Playoffs Best Bets Wednesday 10/1/25 · Toadstool Sports

0:00
Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
0:05
Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
0:08
Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
0:11
Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
0:14
Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you above that. I
0:17
Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
0:19
Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
0:24
Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
0:27
Speaker 1: next have not had a good season. Man with bookends
0:33
Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've
0:37
Speaker 1: reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins
0:41
Speaker 1: hat Man, I don't know what is going on with
0:43
Speaker 1: the bruins arch hape? Is that what it is? I
0:46
Speaker 1: don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think who
0:49
Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
0:52
Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
0:55
Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
0:59
Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die
1:02
Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did
1:06
Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five the worst month
1:10
Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
1:13
Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
1:15
Speaker 1: To the Slump series, The Slump discontinues, The Slump continues.
1:20
Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
1:24
Speaker 1: I should do at this point other than potentially end
1:27
Speaker 1: it all. What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you.
1:34
Speaker 1: This is better off dead. Wednesday, October first, Baby, it's
1:39
Speaker 1: officially spooky season. It's Halloween season. It's my favorite as
1:44
Speaker 1: a basic bitch, New England. Or we get pumpkin spice,
1:47
Speaker 1: we get fall leaves, cool weather, it is actually cool
1:51
Speaker 1: out there today. We get horror movies galore. It's awesome, man.
1:57
Speaker 1: And we have playoff Baseball, of course, which is what
1:59
Speaker 1: this show is going to be all about. And I
2:01
Speaker 1: am very concerned, even though I know my team won yesterday.
2:06
Speaker 1: Congratulations by the way. In the WNBA, just to get
2:08
Speaker 1: that out of the way, the Las Vegas ace is
2:11
Speaker 1: won and they actually covered, although it had to go
2:13
Speaker 1: into overtime. They had a lead. It looked like they
2:17
Speaker 1: were gonna run away with it actually later in the game,
2:19
Speaker 1: and that they were just gonna cover in regulation. Indiana.
2:23
Speaker 1: Credit to them. They will not go away even though
2:26
Speaker 1: they were without basically their best two players. That Indiana team, Man,
2:31
Speaker 1: when they get Clark back next year or whatever, very
2:34
Speaker 1: dangerous team, very competitive even without her and Cunningham. Crazy
2:39
Speaker 1: on baseball we had the Detroit Tigers won yesterday with
2:44
Speaker 1: school ball with a ridiculous fourteen strikeouts. School Ball the
2:49
Speaker 1: man making the case that he will be the cy
2:51
Speaker 1: Young winner. I mean, yeah, he's dominant, absolutely dominant. That
2:57
Speaker 1: should have been the play strikeout prop school Ball over.
3:02
Speaker 1: That was a low scoring game. I was completely wrong
3:04
Speaker 1: about the Cubs Podres game. I thought that would be
3:07
Speaker 1: higher scoring. Both pitchers did a lot better than I expected.
3:10
Speaker 1: He had some bullpen usage in that game as well.
3:13
Speaker 1: But that was a three to one Cub win. The
3:16
Speaker 1: Red Sox, we're able to get the win, baby, I mean,
3:19
Speaker 1: I'm very concerned. Still, they're on the road. They're an underdog. Yeah,
3:23
Speaker 1: they got the win with Crochet on the momb but
3:25
Speaker 1: it's all downhill from there. Man, Crochet, he was almost
3:29
Speaker 1: as good as school ball. He was excellent. I think
3:32
Speaker 1: did he have double digit strikeouts in that game too?
3:34
Speaker 1: I don't know, but they let him go like well
3:36
Speaker 1: over one hundred pitchers. They're just letting him go out
3:38
Speaker 1: there grind. Possibly they should have just let him finish
3:41
Speaker 1: the eighth inning. Dude, they brought in Chapman to finish
3:43
Speaker 1: the eighth I'm thinking maybe they should just leave Crochet in.
3:46
Speaker 1: I mean, I know, we'll get up to about one
3:48
Speaker 1: hundred and twenty pitches, but the guy does not seem
3:51
Speaker 1: to be wearing down. Man. He's a warrior, he's a grinder.
3:55
Speaker 1: He's like, it's like traveling back to when I grew
3:59
Speaker 1: up as a kid, Like these guys would just go
4:01
Speaker 1: out there and just throw throw a ton of pitches,
4:04
Speaker 1: just be a fucking man about it back in the nineties.
4:08
Speaker 1: That was basically what that was like. After he gave
4:11
Speaker 1: up a run early, he did not falter after that
4:14
Speaker 1: at all. He just just dominated pretty much for the
4:19
Speaker 1: rest of the game. That home run was kind of
4:21
Speaker 1: bullshit to Volpi. It was another one of those Yankee
4:25
Speaker 1: stadium line drive home runs. It just happens to go
4:28
Speaker 1: over the fence and right field the short right field
4:31
Speaker 1: there some bullshit. It probably wouldn't be a home run
4:33
Speaker 1: in like any other major league stadium, but whatever. And
4:37
Speaker 1: then the Red Sox were able to get the lead
4:39
Speaker 1: late in the game on a very cheap hit by Yoshid.
4:45
Speaker 1: It just happened to find the infield gap. I mean,
4:47
Speaker 1: he basically got jammed on the pitch, and it's like
4:50
Speaker 1: it was just the hit was just exactly where it
4:53
Speaker 1: needed to be, where the infielders were not playing. Get
4:56
Speaker 1: those runs home, baby, and then it got Dude. I mean,
5:00
Speaker 1: if you're a Red Sox fan like me, this is
5:02
Speaker 1: like heart attack shit. You get into the eighth, ninth inning, Yeah,
5:06
Speaker 1: all right, Chapman gets out of the eighth, that's cool.
5:08
Speaker 1: The ninth inning, Chapman, you know he's gonna be out
5:10
Speaker 1: there because he's the fucking closer, so it's his game
5:13
Speaker 1: to finish here. They're probably not gonna be able to
5:15
Speaker 1: use him today and now because they use them for
5:16
Speaker 1: an inning and a third last night, of though, who knows.
5:19
Speaker 1: Sometimes he pitches a couple of days in a row.
5:21
Speaker 1: Because he was so good this year, the Red Sox
5:23
Speaker 1: are just like whatever, let's let him do this. He
5:26
Speaker 1: comes out in the ninth inning and he gives up
5:28
Speaker 1: three straight singles to open the night. Thing like, dude,
5:31
Speaker 1: like one single? All right, cool, just settle down, get
5:35
Speaker 1: the fuck out of the inning. Whatever, but you're only
5:38
Speaker 1: up two runs, you give up three singles. They didn't
5:40
Speaker 1: score yet they load the basis it is like, yeah,
5:44
Speaker 1: like I'm gonna have like a second stroke or like
5:47
Speaker 1: a third seizure, an aneurysm, some shit. When that fucking happens,
5:51
Speaker 1: I'm like, I'm gonna die. Basically, it's insane. Uh I dude,
5:56
Speaker 1: you almost can't even watch it. You can't stomach it.
5:59
Speaker 1: You're just sitting there like on the verge of like,
6:01
Speaker 1: holy shit, if this goes the wrong way, I might, like,
6:04
Speaker 1: I don't know, take a dive off a bridge or something.
6:07
Speaker 1: I don't know if I'm allowed to say that on
6:08
Speaker 1: the show. I mean in Minecraft obviously, yeah, I mean
6:12
Speaker 1: this is Red Sox playoffs. Man, it would be better
6:15
Speaker 1: for me if they didn't even make the playoffs because
6:17
Speaker 1: then it's like whatever, there's no pressure anymore here. They
6:20
Speaker 1: make the playoffs. I know they're not gonna win the
6:21
Speaker 1: World series. I'm not delusional here. I didn't even think
6:24
Speaker 1: they were gonna win this series. I'm still not sure
6:28
Speaker 1: that they will. But it's now like they get your
6:32
Speaker 1: hope stuff with the win with the Crochet game, and
6:34
Speaker 1: now it's like, oh, my fucking god, they're making you
6:38
Speaker 1: think that they can actually do this. I mean, they
6:41
Speaker 1: can knock out the Yankees here. That would be excellent,
6:44
Speaker 1: because I care more about the Yankees losing than the
6:47
Speaker 1: Red Sox winning basically. But man, dude, yeah, like, I
6:51
Speaker 1: don't know, Man, I need to settle down and not
6:54
Speaker 1: do something to myself. The Red Sox fucking lose last night.
6:58
Speaker 1: Bases load and Chapman then gets a strikeout, a pop out,
7:04
Speaker 1: and another strikeout, and he gets through it and they
7:08
Speaker 1: don't score anybody, not even on a sack fly or
7:11
Speaker 1: anything like that. Oh my god, I was just I
7:14
Speaker 1: was hoping for a ground ball like that. In that situation,
7:16
Speaker 1: you need like a double play or something like that.
7:19
Speaker 1: But I mean, strikeouts still works decently, but then you
7:22
Speaker 1: still need two more outs. Oh man. He was able
7:27
Speaker 1: to get it done, though, so the Red Sox got
7:28
Speaker 1: the win. And then the Dodger game was the least
7:30
Speaker 1: exciting of all of them, because they built themselves like
7:33
Speaker 1: an eight to nothing lead or something, and then I
7:36
Speaker 1: think the bullpens came in and like, the bullpens just
7:39
Speaker 1: shat all over the place in that game, because I
7:41
Speaker 1: think Snell pitched well for the Dodgers last night. I
7:44
Speaker 1: don't know if Green really pitched very well for the Reds.
7:48
Speaker 1: I mean, I wish you pitched better because I like him,
7:50
Speaker 1: but whatever, I mean, it's a Dodgers lineup that can
7:53
Speaker 1: hit you around. Dodgers. I mean, they won the World
7:56
Speaker 1: Series last year for a reason. There, I told you
7:59
Speaker 1: they were very dangerous three seed, Like, I think they
8:01
Speaker 1: just slacked off for a lot of the regular season.
8:04
Speaker 1: Here they got some of their best pictures back. One
8:07
Speaker 1: of them. Who was the picture last night? Snell? Dodger's
8:10
Speaker 1: bullpen wasn't good, but it didn't even matter because they
8:12
Speaker 1: were already up by so many runs. I think they
8:14
Speaker 1: won ten to five something like that. Curtis, what's up? Man?
8:17
Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out Rave, Then, thanks for the repost.
8:21
Speaker 1: I'm trying to figure out how to like make this
8:23
Speaker 1: show more entertaining. It's like, be more be toad Man,
8:26
Speaker 1: be more toad Like should I just convert to Boston Toad?
8:30
Speaker 1: Like I try to, like, I don't know, turn it on,
8:32
Speaker 1: but like I get in the mode of this show
8:34
Speaker 1: and it's like all fucking autism. So I don't know. Yeah, chatman, Yeah,
8:40
Speaker 1: people were like he did that intentionally, man, just a
8:42
Speaker 1: fuck with every puddy, just a fuck with the Yankees.
8:46
Speaker 1: He's like a cat playing with a mouse. Man. He
8:49
Speaker 1: just lets them load the bases intentionally. I'm like, yeah, no,
8:53
Speaker 1: I don't think so. Maybe it's a it's all rigged man.
8:57
Speaker 1: Maybe who knows. Let's get into man, I guess this
9:01
Speaker 1: is the breakdown segment. I'm actually gonna give up one
9:05
Speaker 1: play in baseball today and it's against the market read
9:08
Speaker 1: and I don't fucking care. And it's not even the
9:11
Speaker 1: play that I really want to give out on the
9:13
Speaker 1: show really either, But I'm gonna do it anyway. Jeffrey,
9:15
Speaker 1: what's up, man, I'm gonna. I mean, I'm gonna try.
9:18
Speaker 1: I don't know, Like, there are certain situations where I
9:23
Speaker 1: think I'm way funnier, Like I need to be either
9:26
Speaker 1: like in that Tower Gang setting where I'm with like
9:28
Speaker 1: a bunch of co hosts and where the bouncing shit
9:31
Speaker 1: off of each other, Like I could be funny in
9:33
Speaker 1: that scenario, or I need to be like on a
9:35
Speaker 1: stage in front of like I need to be getting
9:37
Speaker 1: feedback basically like oh you like my co hosts are
9:40
Speaker 1: laughing with me right now? Or at me, or oh
9:44
Speaker 1: the crowd is like laughing with me or at me,
9:46
Speaker 1: you know what I mean, Like I get into debate
9:49
Speaker 1: mode or like karaoke mode, Like I don't know, I
9:52
Speaker 1: turn into somebody completely different when I'm on like a
9:54
Speaker 1: stage in a room full of people, and I can
9:56
Speaker 1: get that immediate feedback from them. I don't no, man,
10:00
Speaker 1: It's it's a totally different thing. If you saw my
10:04
Speaker 1: my debate, the Libertarian debate, or when I was on
10:07
Speaker 1: stage at the convention even or any of my karaoke performances.
10:12
Speaker 1: Like there are probably some videos out there. I don't
10:14
Speaker 1: know a Simpsons drop from Opie and Anthony be more funny?
10:19
Speaker 1: Is that a Simpsons squad? I should know that because
10:21
Speaker 1: I'm I'm basically a Simpsons expert man, at least throughout
10:25
Speaker 1: It's like heyday, Like I've seen all the old episodes
10:28
Speaker 1: of Simpsons, probably the first twelve, thirteen, fourteen seasons, Like
10:32
Speaker 1: I know basically all those episodes I used to know,
10:35
Speaker 1: like all of them by heart, by hat kid, Caitlin Clark, Yeah,
10:40
Speaker 1: I mean yeah, I don't know, man, it seems it
10:43
Speaker 1: seems like it's almost rigged, Like how does like clock
10:46
Speaker 1: She's the best player in the fucking WNBA. She gets hurt,
10:49
Speaker 1: and then Cunningham gets hurt too, right after getting a
10:53
Speaker 1: green Doldo thrown at her, and then the fever without
10:56
Speaker 1: both of those players still almost make the five. I mean,
11:00
Speaker 1: it's crazy. I don't know, man, Let's get let's try
11:03
Speaker 1: to run down this baseball slate. I'll try to not
11:05
Speaker 1: be too autistic here. My play that I'm gonna give
11:08
Speaker 1: out is gonna be on the Detroit Cleveland game at
11:10
Speaker 1: one pm Eastern, and so I'll hold that one until
11:13
Speaker 1: the end. We got Padres and the Cubs. The Cubs
11:17
Speaker 1: lead one nothing here. Like I said, this is this
11:21
Speaker 1: pitching matchup, man, I don't know what I seriously don't
11:24
Speaker 1: know what the Cubs are doing here. I honestly don't.
11:26
Speaker 1: This is why I was thinking, like, how could the
11:28
Speaker 1: Cubs like lose this series? Like I thought Boyd would
11:31
Speaker 1: be worse yesterday because he looked like he was wearing
11:33
Speaker 1: down at the end of the season. He came out
11:36
Speaker 1: and I think he pitched pretty well. Now the Cubs
11:38
Speaker 1: are going with this bulp end game with some old
11:42
Speaker 1: dude on the mod I don't know what the fuck
11:43
Speaker 1: they're doing. I honestly don't, but I will say that
11:46
Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure that since Baseball changed to this Wildcard structure,
11:51
Speaker 1: with this new Wildcard round, where by the way, the
11:53
Speaker 1: home team hosts the entire series, so there's no back
11:56
Speaker 1: and forth. It's not like a one one one series,
12:00
Speaker 1: which would be rerillly insane for like Cincinnati in LA
12:03
Speaker 1: having to travel between the two. But you think they
12:06
Speaker 1: still would actually or Chicago and San Diego as well,
12:09
Speaker 1: you think they would like do that though have like
12:11
Speaker 1: the one to one one. I mean, it would be
12:13
Speaker 1: a lot easier to do it with like Boston, New
12:15
Speaker 1: York and Detroit Cleveland, but they don't do that. So
12:19
Speaker 1: in this three game series, the home team just hosts
12:22
Speaker 1: the entire series. But what I was gonna say is
12:26
Speaker 1: that I think in the history of this new format,
12:28
Speaker 1: which has only been going on for a couple of
12:31
Speaker 1: years at this point a few years, the team that
12:34
Speaker 1: has won Game one in this series is twelve and
12:37
Speaker 1: zero in winning the series. And at some point I
12:40
Speaker 1: know one of these teams is gonna lose, and it's
12:42
Speaker 1: probably gonna be the Red Sox, to be honest, because
12:44
Speaker 1: they're gonna be a big hunderdog in the rest of
12:47
Speaker 1: the series. Man, the Red Sox, they don't have any
12:49
Speaker 1: other Garrett Crochet, Okay, that's the problem. They got Crochet
12:52
Speaker 1: at the top. They got nobody else. I know, they
12:54
Speaker 1: got Connolly, Early, Peyton Totley. They're both pitching well. Totally's
12:58
Speaker 1: been in the bullpend though, and I think he's still
13:00
Speaker 1: there for now. Early, he's been in the rotation, but
13:03
Speaker 1: they're not going in with their number two. They don't
13:05
Speaker 1: want to put all that pressure on him. But I
13:08
Speaker 1: don't know, man, I mean maybe at this point they
13:10
Speaker 1: should because I don't like this Red Sox pitching rotation
13:13
Speaker 1: at all. Side at a sod Yeah, that the Cubs
13:17
Speaker 1: have been well, they might not have a choice, to
13:20
Speaker 1: be honest. If the Cubs get through this round and
13:22
Speaker 1: they're gonna have to go to the next rounds of
13:23
Speaker 1: the playoffs. I mean, the Cubs they're missing Kate Horton
13:26
Speaker 1: right now, which is a huge blow to them. Even
13:28
Speaker 1: though I know he's inexperienced. You might not know what
13:31
Speaker 1: you're gonna get out of him in the playoffs because
13:32
Speaker 1: he's a rookie, but he was really really good this year,
13:35
Speaker 1: so I don't know. Yeah, him being out is a
13:39
Speaker 1: blow to the Chicago rotation for sure. In this game.
13:43
Speaker 1: What we're looking at here is the Cubs have the
13:45
Speaker 1: better offense, Padres have the better bullpen. Both teams use
13:49
Speaker 1: four relief pitches yesterday, so Padres used a little bit less.
13:53
Speaker 1: Gotta still give the Padres the bullpen edge here. I
13:56
Speaker 1: think you have to give him the starting pitching edge too.
13:58
Speaker 1: A darn't cease on the mind. Even though he didn't
14:01
Speaker 1: pitch that well this year, but he does have experience.
14:03
Speaker 1: He's pitched in the playoffs before, He's been good in
14:06
Speaker 1: the past. His numbers this year, I know, not that good.
14:09
Speaker 1: Four point five to five ERA, one point three to
14:11
Speaker 1: three whip. He is really bad on the road this year,
14:14
Speaker 1: so you don't have to worry about that. That is
14:16
Speaker 1: a concern. A five point five to eight road ERA.
14:19
Speaker 1: Obviously that's not good. But he did have a good
14:22
Speaker 1: month of September to finish the season off with a
14:25
Speaker 1: thirty two to ten strike out walk ratio three point
14:28
Speaker 1: one to two ERA. He allowed two or fewer earned
14:30
Speaker 1: runs and all but one of those starts, but every
14:33
Speaker 1: one of those starts against was against a shit offense
14:36
Speaker 1: except for the Milwaukee Brewers to finish the season. He
14:39
Speaker 1: pitched well in that game too, although he got no
14:42
Speaker 1: run support. But the other starts were all against Baltimore
14:44
Speaker 1: of the Rockies. Granted one of those was in course field,
14:47
Speaker 1: which is not an easy place to pitch, and the
14:50
Speaker 1: White Sox. So he did most of that damage against
14:53
Speaker 1: weak lineups and actually didn't even really do that well
14:56
Speaker 1: against the White Sox. So what are we gonna get
14:58
Speaker 1: out of Cease here? I don't know, man, He actually
14:59
Speaker 1: has really good numbers against the Cubs, even though they
15:03
Speaker 1: have a good offense. He ceases the Cubs ability to hit.
15:07
Speaker 1: Apparently in ninety eight career at bats thirty five to
15:10
Speaker 1: ten strike a walk ratio one ninety four batting average,
15:13
Speaker 1: allowed five to ninety five ops. So those are very
15:16
Speaker 1: very weak offensive numbers for the Cubs against Cease. I mean,
15:20
Speaker 1: you got it like his beard too, so I mean
15:23
Speaker 1: maybe that'll have an effect in the playoffs. Playoff beards
15:26
Speaker 1: are a thing, man, Guys just were like, especially with
15:29
Speaker 1: the Red Sox back in the day, like that's a thing, Like,
15:32
Speaker 1: fuck it, We're not gonna shave for the remainder of
15:35
Speaker 1: the playoffs. Man, As long as we're still in this thing.
15:37
Speaker 1: We're not shaven. We're gonna be like Johnny Damon with
15:40
Speaker 1: like no haircut either have like ridiculously long hair, long beards,
15:44
Speaker 1: which the Yankees, by the way, banned their players from
15:47
Speaker 1: having beards or even excessive mustaches. I think until this year,
15:51
Speaker 1: just to get Devin Williams on the team. And he sucks,
15:55
Speaker 1: and they lifted their their beard limitation or whatever just
16:01
Speaker 1: for him. It's so stupid, man. That was probably a
16:04
Speaker 1: Steinbrenner thing, though a steinburn is gone. But you gotta
16:07
Speaker 1: be the Yankees. You gotta be this uptight you know, organization,
16:13
Speaker 1: tight butt organization where you wear the pinstripes, man, and
16:17
Speaker 1: you know you gotta just you gotta look you gotta
16:20
Speaker 1: look classy. And I'm like, dude, this is fucking baseball.
16:23
Speaker 1: Like you're out there fucking dropping f bombs out there
16:26
Speaker 1: and chewing to bACC on, spitting all over the place,
16:29
Speaker 1: yelling at umpire's faces. Like. This is not drinking beer
16:33
Speaker 1: in the dugout, eating fried chicken wade bogs. I mean,
16:37
Speaker 1: this is not. This is not the sport where being
16:40
Speaker 1: uptight like makes any none of these sports like, it
16:43
Speaker 1: doesn't make any sense in any of these sports. This
16:45
Speaker 1: isn't fucking badminton, Like, what are we even doing here?
16:49
Speaker 1: It's a very, very stupid another reason to not like
16:51
Speaker 1: the Yankees. Anyway, we're talking about the Cubs here. The
16:55
Speaker 1: Cubs have Andrew Kittridge listed as their starter. I mean,
16:58
Speaker 1: look at this guy. He's got a great beer, Like,
17:00
Speaker 1: what do you think is gonna happen in this game?
17:02
Speaker 1: He's thirty five, he looks like he's forty five. I
17:05
Speaker 1: know his numbers were good this year, three point four ERA,
17:08
Speaker 1: point nine to eight whip. I've basically never even heard
17:10
Speaker 1: of him, though he was good at home three point
17:14
Speaker 1: seventy RA. But he's a relief pitcher man, so you
17:16
Speaker 1: look at what he's done. He very consistently pitches one innings,
17:20
Speaker 1: so you know what that means. And he actually literally
17:22
Speaker 1: pitched yesterday too. He had a scoreless inning yesterday, so
17:25
Speaker 1: he was good in the game yesterday. But he's gonna
17:28
Speaker 1: be an opener today and then I don't know who
17:29
Speaker 1: the Cubs are gonna bring out after that. So this
17:32
Speaker 1: is somewhat of a bullpen game for the Cubs here,
17:35
Speaker 1: which I'm old school. I don't like the bullpen games.
17:39
Speaker 1: I would have a slight lean to the Padres in
17:42
Speaker 1: this one, but it looks like the market is saying
17:45
Speaker 1: no go on that Cubs are up from minus one
17:48
Speaker 1: o nine to minus one thirteen and the Padres are
17:50
Speaker 1: actually a road public underdog here, and you know I
17:54
Speaker 1: warn against those road public underdogs. Man, you don't want
17:57
Speaker 1: to be on that side. Usually fifty eight percent of tickets,
18:01
Speaker 1: fifty two percent of the cash on the Padres, even
18:04
Speaker 1: though they lost yesterday. Uh. The one thing about the
18:08
Speaker 1: Padres that's bad. Besides the fact that Cease is really
18:10
Speaker 1: bad on the road, the Padres are also really bad
18:14
Speaker 1: on the road. Thirty eight and forty three on the road,
18:17
Speaker 1: Cubs fifty and thirty one at home. So the Cubs
18:19
Speaker 1: do have a big home advantage just based on what
18:22
Speaker 1: their record has been in San Diego. A lot of
18:24
Speaker 1: their pitchers they get used to pitching in that picture
18:26
Speaker 1: friendly stadium that they have at home and they just
18:29
Speaker 1: don't do as well on the road. So that is
18:31
Speaker 1: kind of a problem there too. So the money is
18:33
Speaker 1: actually coming into this Cub's bullpend game, I don't trust it.
18:37
Speaker 1: I don't like bullpend games. The total, by the way,
18:39
Speaker 1: is another one of these low playoff totals. And I
18:43
Speaker 1: know a couple of the games did go under even
18:45
Speaker 1: these low totals yesterday, including the the six in the
18:49
Speaker 1: Detroit and Cleveland game that still went under sixty six
18:53
Speaker 1: percent of tickets only fifty or excerusly, I'm looking at
18:55
Speaker 1: the Red Sox from it eighty two percent of tickets,
18:57
Speaker 1: ninety three percent of cash on the over in this one,
19:00
Speaker 1: so public and money both kind of on the over
19:04
Speaker 1: in this one. I mean that one. I'm not sure
19:06
Speaker 1: that I would really actually trust an overall. They'll watch
19:09
Speaker 1: it go over this time, man, because again Cease, there
19:13
Speaker 1: are some reasons for him to be untrustworthy, but he
19:15
Speaker 1: does really well against the Cubs, So I kind of
19:18
Speaker 1: lean towards Cease actually pitching well here, and he's got
19:20
Speaker 1: that experience. That's on ABC at three pm Eastern, Red
19:24
Speaker 1: Sox Yankees on ESPN at six pm. I will pray,
19:30
Speaker 1: but I'm not Yeah, I'm not thinking positively about this game. Man.
19:36
Speaker 1: The Red Sox should have another bullpen edge, hear, though
19:38
Speaker 1: I know that he was Chapman yesterday twenty four pitches.
19:41
Speaker 1: He's probably not gonna be able to pitch today, but
19:43
Speaker 1: they didn't use any of the rest of their bullpen.
19:46
Speaker 1: The Yankees did use a bunch of their bullpen these
19:48
Speaker 1: five relief pitchers yesterday. So the Red Sox have the
19:51
Speaker 1: better bullpen anyway, and they're more rested here, except that
19:55
Speaker 1: they're without their clothes. Are most likely today Yankees have
20:00
Speaker 1: the better offense. Red Sox offense is okay. As far
20:03
Speaker 1: as the starting pitching, it's really difficult to say which
20:07
Speaker 1: one of these pitchers do you think is better in
20:09
Speaker 1: this matchup. Man Brian BeO is pitching for the Red Sox.
20:12
Speaker 1: I know he had a good season as far as
20:14
Speaker 1: the numbers look, three point three five ERA, one point
20:18
Speaker 1: twenty four whip. They consider him to be their number
20:20
Speaker 1: two starter. I'm I'm not convinced. I know that the
20:25
Speaker 1: advanced analytics guys can't stand Bao because they talk about
20:28
Speaker 1: how he walks too many guys, and obviously that's a
20:31
Speaker 1: concern for me too. I mean that jacks up your whips,
20:34
Speaker 1: so you can see that reflected in the whip if
20:36
Speaker 1: you're walking way too many guys. I don't trust him either.
20:39
Speaker 1: I don't know if we could trust him in this playoff.
20:41
Speaker 1: Scenario here, because I don't think he's pitched in the
20:43
Speaker 1: playoffs before, so that's a little bit of a concern too.
20:46
Speaker 1: There's a bit of a lack of experience here. Though
20:48
Speaker 1: of course you could have said the same thing about Crochet.
20:51
Speaker 1: Crochet had a really good start, yes today, but he
20:54
Speaker 1: is Crochet. I mean, nobody is really like Crochet, BeO
20:59
Speaker 1: three point oh six Roady Ira this year though, so
21:01
Speaker 1: he's been good on the road. He had basically like
21:03
Speaker 1: two good months later in the season. I know his
21:05
Speaker 1: eray was low the entire season, but he was still
21:08
Speaker 1: walking way too many guys until he started to pitching
21:11
Speaker 1: better basically June actually July he got significantly better. August
21:16
Speaker 1: he was still good. September he fell back down, though,
21:20
Speaker 1: man in September. I know he's still not allowing a
21:22
Speaker 1: lot of runs. He's allowed four or fewer on runs
21:25
Speaker 1: still in all these outings going all the way back
21:26
Speaker 1: through mid August, three or fewer in all but one,
21:29
Speaker 1: but that one was against the Yankees last time out
21:32
Speaker 1: at Fenway. Gave up four and runs to the Yankees
21:35
Speaker 1: in five innings, walked three guys, five hits, four strike outs.
21:40
Speaker 1: That's kind of the concern here man BeO five point
21:43
Speaker 1: four era in the month of September and sixteen to
21:47
Speaker 1: twelve strikeout walk ratio. He faced good offenses Arizona Yankees
21:51
Speaker 1: A's Toronto, but that is a terrible strikeout walk ratio,
21:55
Speaker 1: so his walk issues have returned at the wrong time.
21:58
Speaker 1: So I don't know if we trust Bao here, although
22:01
Speaker 1: he is usually pretty good against the Yankees, although that
22:03
Speaker 1: last start was not good and that was his worst
22:06
Speaker 1: start ever against the Yankees, though they have seen a
22:08
Speaker 1: lot of him one hundred and thirty four bats and
22:11
Speaker 1: besides that start, they haven't really been able to do
22:13
Speaker 1: a whole lot against him. Forty one to sixteen strike
22:16
Speaker 1: a walk ratio that's pretty good for him, to thirty
22:19
Speaker 1: one average six sixty nine ops. Again, so BeO, even
22:22
Speaker 1: though I think he's not as good as his numbers
22:25
Speaker 1: look by any means, he does usually do pretty well
22:29
Speaker 1: against the Yankees. But is he really gonna do that
22:32
Speaker 1: here huge pressure environment, man, I don't know, because Beao
22:35
Speaker 1: has kind of gotten in his own head a lot, man,
22:38
Speaker 1: and when things start going bad, he starts kind of
22:41
Speaker 1: unraveling mentally, So I don't know what's gonna happen here.
22:43
Speaker 1: That seems to be less of a concern now that
22:45
Speaker 1: he was able to get like his wife and his
22:47
Speaker 1: baby into the United States or whatever because he's from
22:50
Speaker 1: the Dominican Republic. But I don't know. It remains to
22:53
Speaker 1: be seen. Man. The Yankees have carlost redon pitching. He's
22:56
Speaker 1: had a good season three point zero nine ERA, one
22:59
Speaker 1: point zero five WHIP. He's been better at home, although
23:02
Speaker 1: only slightly, but two point nine eighty IRA obviously good.
23:06
Speaker 1: Had a good month of September twenty six to six
23:08
Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio two point six ERA, allowing three
23:12
Speaker 1: or fewer earned runs in every start going all the
23:14
Speaker 1: way back to his first starting in August. In August, though,
23:17
Speaker 1: he was walking way too many guys and getting away
23:20
Speaker 1: with it, So again, we're gonna see what happens here.
23:24
Speaker 1: He did last face the Red Sox on August twenty
23:27
Speaker 1: fourth in this stadium, and he walked five guys and
23:31
Speaker 1: only allowed one hit and basically escaped only allowed two
23:34
Speaker 1: earned runs in five and two thirds, but that was
23:36
Speaker 1: amidst his uh walk happiness basically in that month, so
23:40
Speaker 1: that's not good necessarily. But his walk numbers went way
23:44
Speaker 1: down this month against the Red Sox. Overall, one hundred
23:47
Speaker 1: and fourteen at bats, he's held him with two twenty
23:49
Speaker 1: eight average, which is very low, but twenty three to
23:52
Speaker 1: seventeen strike a walk ratio, So he has struggled with
23:54
Speaker 1: the walks against the Red Sox, and they have a
23:57
Speaker 1: seven to forty nine oh ps off him, so they
23:59
Speaker 1: are able to hit even though they don't really hit
24:01
Speaker 1: him for contact. They're able to walk, get guys on base,
24:04
Speaker 1: and they have some home runs off them only four
24:07
Speaker 1: though one hundred and fourteen at bats or whatever, it's
24:09
Speaker 1: not really that many. But it's difficult to figure out
24:12
Speaker 1: what we're gonna get in this game. Man. The Yankees
24:14
Speaker 1: are public eighty three percent of tickets, despite what happened yesterday,
24:18
Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of the cash. They're a pretty heavy favorite,
24:21
Speaker 1: up for minus one seventy to minus one seventy four,
24:25
Speaker 1: which obviously has me worried as well. It looks like
24:27
Speaker 1: the money in the publicer kind of both on the Yankees.
24:30
Speaker 1: I guess the one good thing is it's a low total,
24:32
Speaker 1: which might mean it's gonna be a closer game. A
24:35
Speaker 1: total drop from seven and a half to seven sixty
24:38
Speaker 1: seven percent. Of tickets on the over, fifty five percent
24:40
Speaker 1: of cash on the over. I don't know what we
24:43
Speaker 1: want to do with that, man, To be honest, this
24:45
Speaker 1: is a game that I would stay away from. I mean,
24:47
Speaker 1: I could see some arguments for an under here at
24:50
Speaker 1: least maybe in the first five. But again in the playoffs,
24:52
Speaker 1: you're going under like a really low total. If you
24:54
Speaker 1: do that, uh, probably like a three and a half
24:57
Speaker 1: or something. I don't love it. Yeahankees are definitely public,
25:01
Speaker 1: so I'm hoping that that kind of comes into play
25:03
Speaker 1: here and I would be basically my life would be complete,
25:08
Speaker 1: or my season at least would be complete if the
25:11
Speaker 1: Red Sox find a way to somehow actually win this series.
25:14
Speaker 1: If the Yankees get eliminated, that will complete me for
25:18
Speaker 1: the year, man, because that's what I care most about.
25:21
Speaker 1: Fuck them Yankees. I apologize to the Yankees fans to
25:26
Speaker 1: watch this. Please continue watching me. And then we do
25:29
Speaker 1: have probably the least interesting of all the games is
25:32
Speaker 1: the Reds and the Dodgers on ESPN, which is another
25:35
Speaker 1: ESPN triple header here, just like yesterday, with an ABC
25:39
Speaker 1: game in the middle. There. Dodgers, of course won yesterday,
25:42
Speaker 1: as we said, ten to five. It was a six
25:45
Speaker 1: to nothing game pretty late in the game. Though neither
25:48
Speaker 1: of these teams have a particularly good bullpen. We saw
25:51
Speaker 1: us some bullpen usage for both sides yesterday, Dodgers a
25:54
Speaker 1: little bit less. Normally I would say Cincinnati has the
25:59
Speaker 1: slightly better bullpen, but after their you suggest today seems
26:03
Speaker 1: to be pretty much a wash between the bullpens. The
26:06
Speaker 1: bullpens are not that good on either side. Dodgers have
26:10
Speaker 1: the better offense. They're actually very good offensively at home,
26:13
Speaker 1: which is what I said last night. I said maybe
26:15
Speaker 1: Dodgers over their team total makes sense. The run line
26:18
Speaker 1: did get there for them as well, though Cincinnati under
26:21
Speaker 1: the team total was looking good until the bullpens came
26:24
Speaker 1: in and the game basically didn't matter anymore. Snell did
26:29
Speaker 1: his part, though, so maybe it should have been even
26:31
Speaker 1: more granular, go under go with like it should have
26:34
Speaker 1: been like a Snell prop like under his under his
26:38
Speaker 1: earned runs allowed or something. Yesterday, I don't know, Uh Rio,
26:42
Speaker 1: what's up man? I yeah, I hope that they do
26:46
Speaker 1: as well the Red Sox. I hope. Yeah, they ice
26:48
Speaker 1: the fraudulent Yankees a little. I've been saying all the
26:51
Speaker 1: year that the Yankees are actually the best team in
26:53
Speaker 1: the Al East, though, uh, I think Toronto is kind
26:56
Speaker 1: of fraudulent. I think the Red Sox are good, but
26:59
Speaker 1: they're like kind of a rising team. Again, they're on
27:02
Speaker 1: the upswing. They're in like a rebuild mode almost right now.
27:05
Speaker 1: So like I thought the Yankees would wind up winning
27:07
Speaker 1: the division. Yankees have experience, and they do have one
27:11
Speaker 1: of the best offenses, but they're boop and is a concern,
27:14
Speaker 1: and sometimes they're starting pitching is a concern. We'll see
27:17
Speaker 1: what happens there. With the Cincinnati and Dodgers game. Zach
27:20
Speaker 1: Lttel is pitching for the Reds here in this one.
27:22
Speaker 1: They got a deep rotation, as I've been saying, where
27:24
Speaker 1: they got a lot of starters that can go out
27:27
Speaker 1: there and have good games. But you're facing the Dodgers here, man,
27:31
Speaker 1: and it might be this might be the end for
27:33
Speaker 1: the Reds here. Of course, the Reds are facing elimination
27:36
Speaker 1: as well, and some of the Padres by the way,
27:38
Speaker 1: so maybe it's a little bit of extra motivation maybe
27:40
Speaker 1: for those teams. But as I pointed out, these short
27:45
Speaker 1: wildcard series, the team that has won the first game
27:47
Speaker 1: has won every single series. So far, so I think.
27:51
Speaker 1: I mean, it's very likely that you're going to write
27:53
Speaker 1: after you win game one, you have two more games
27:55
Speaker 1: basically to get one win. Although you think that even
27:58
Speaker 1: by now it would have happened, and like at least
28:01
Speaker 1: once where the team that won the first game lost
28:03
Speaker 1: the next two hasn't happened yet, but it is going
28:05
Speaker 1: to happen at some point. I fear that it will
28:07
Speaker 1: be the Red Sox that do it. Zach Lttel for
28:12
Speaker 1: the Reds here three point eight one ERA, one point
28:14
Speaker 1: one whip on the season, pretty good, three point nine
28:17
Speaker 1: two ERA on the road. He's a little bit worse
28:19
Speaker 1: on the road, even though he spent all of the
28:21
Speaker 1: season pitching in hitter friendly ballparks with Tampa Bay and
28:26
Speaker 1: with the Reds. He was decent this month, even though
28:30
Speaker 1: his ERA doesn't look good four point nine one ERA
28:33
Speaker 1: this month, but he had a twenty to five strikeout
28:35
Speaker 1: walk ratio. His team won his last four outings, so
28:40
Speaker 1: he did pitch pretty well over the last month, and
28:42
Speaker 1: he faced three playoff teams in those last four outings
28:45
Speaker 1: to San Diego, Cubs and Milwaukee, so he was facing
28:49
Speaker 1: some decent teams there too. Lattell's doing all right. His
28:52
Speaker 1: numbers against the Dodgers are a bit hard to predict.
28:56
Speaker 1: In thirty one at baths, seven strikeouts, four walks, that's
28:59
Speaker 1: not very good. To fifty eight average is fine, but
29:01
Speaker 1: nine to twenty four oh ps a lot is high.
29:04
Speaker 1: He's allowed three on runs, two of them from Munci though,
29:07
Speaker 1: and one of them from will Smith, the fresh Prince
29:10
Speaker 1: of bel Air. I don't know, man, I don't know
29:13
Speaker 1: what we're gonna get out of Lattel here, and my
29:14
Speaker 1: guess would tend to be towards Lattel not doing that
29:18
Speaker 1: well here though, And he's gonna have to go up
29:20
Speaker 1: against Yoshinobu yama Moto, who is in his second year
29:24
Speaker 1: in the Majors since coming over from Japan. So he
29:26
Speaker 1: I believe he did pitch in the playoffs last year.
29:29
Speaker 1: I know he was on the team. Either he was
29:31
Speaker 1: hurt or he pitched, and I can't remember which, but
29:34
Speaker 1: he at least has some experience. I think Littel is
29:36
Speaker 1: probably pitched in the playoffs by now too, although not sure,
29:39
Speaker 1: but Lttel has been around for a while. Yamamoto had
29:42
Speaker 1: a really good season, though, two point four to ninety
29:44
Speaker 1: Ira point nine to nine whip. He was a little
29:47
Speaker 1: bit worse at home three point oh four ERA, still
29:50
Speaker 1: good though this month point six seven ERA. This month
29:54
Speaker 1: he allowed one or fewer run in six or excuse
29:57
Speaker 1: his last five outings. Excuse me. This month thirty four
30:00
Speaker 1: to eleven strike a walk ratio. His walk rate went
30:03
Speaker 1: way up, although a lot of it was because he
30:05
Speaker 1: had six walks in a game against San Francisco where
30:08
Speaker 1: he one hit shot out them for five and a third.
30:11
Speaker 1: Very weird start in that one, I was very inefficient
30:14
Speaker 1: with his pitches and now I don't know, I don't
30:16
Speaker 1: know what to say about that. But he followed it
30:17
Speaker 1: up with a shutout of Arizona after that. So he
30:20
Speaker 1: hasn't a lot of runs since September twelve, So take
30:24
Speaker 1: that into account here. He should probably do well against
30:27
Speaker 1: the Reds. He does pretty much wreck them in forty
30:29
Speaker 1: career at bats. I know it's a small sample, but well,
30:32
Speaker 1: not a huge stample. At least it's decent enough to
30:34
Speaker 1: engage something from it. Fifteen to five straggle walk ratios
30:38
Speaker 1: all right, one seventy five batting average allowed five to
30:40
Speaker 1: seventeen ops. So ya, i'm Amoto does do pretty well
30:44
Speaker 1: against Cincinnati, as public as they are, I think I
30:49
Speaker 1: would have to go with a Dodgers run line here
30:51
Speaker 1: in this one, man, I think that is probably the
30:53
Speaker 1: best way to look at this. It's just the combination
30:55
Speaker 1: of I think this is a starting to pitching mismatch here.
30:58
Speaker 1: He could go with the Dodgers run line in the
31:00
Speaker 1: first five too, if you want to, although I'm not
31:03
Speaker 1: sure that their bullpen is really necessarily a disadvantage in
31:06
Speaker 1: this game. Both bullpen's not great. Ninety tickets, ninety nine
31:10
Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Reds they're or excuse me,
31:13
Speaker 1: on the Dodgers. Excuse me, obviously, the Dodgers are public.
31:16
Speaker 1: Dodgers up from minus two forty and minus two sixty.
31:19
Speaker 1: I don't really think you can lay a money line
31:21
Speaker 1: with this, unless you're gonna put it in like a parlay,
31:25
Speaker 1: which you know, if you're gonna parlay Dodgers Yankees or
31:28
Speaker 1: something like that to try to get the price down.
31:30
Speaker 1: I wouldn't necessarily say not to do that, although usually
31:33
Speaker 1: in a situation like that, the books know, because those
31:36
Speaker 1: teams are both so public, you're gonna be getting a
31:38
Speaker 1: lot of money line pilays with those two teams. So
31:40
Speaker 1: the books kind of know like they're okay with taking
31:44
Speaker 1: that parlay money basically, and they are banking on basically
31:47
Speaker 1: one of those teams losing to shut down those pilays.
31:50
Speaker 1: So if that is the case, hopefully it is the Yankees.
31:53
Speaker 1: I mean, if you ask me Yankees versus Dodgers, which
31:56
Speaker 1: of those teams is more likely to lose this game?
32:00
Speaker 1: I would, at least in that case, I would say
32:03
Speaker 1: the Yankees are. But I still don't see either of
32:05
Speaker 1: them losing. Here. Let's get to the planing man, and
32:08
Speaker 1: this play might surprise you. I don't know, but we
32:10
Speaker 1: do have a bet today we'll give out one. I
32:14
Speaker 1: think everything kind of lines up decently for this one,
32:17
Speaker 1: and it is going to be on the Cleveland Indians
32:21
Speaker 1: money line minus one twenty four. I don't know what
32:23
Speaker 1: the best money line prices you can get out there
32:25
Speaker 1: right now. I know they look public seventy five percent
32:28
Speaker 1: of tickets, only seventy one percent of the cash. The
32:30
Speaker 1: public has been on the Cleveland hype train, and I
32:32
Speaker 1: know I've been saying I think Detroit's gonna win this series.
32:36
Speaker 1: I don't trust Cleveland. Detroit got they're winning yesterday with
32:39
Speaker 1: school bawl finally, because they've lost a couple of games
32:42
Speaker 1: in a row with him on the mound. Not his fault,
32:45
Speaker 1: but this Cleveland team, they're the second worst offense in
32:48
Speaker 1: Major League Baseball, man, So it's like, how did they
32:50
Speaker 1: get here? Their pitching was really good down the stretch.
32:52
Speaker 1: They have a really good bulp, and so we are
32:55
Speaker 1: banking on the bulp and in this one, man, if
32:57
Speaker 1: this is gonna be a low scoring game, we need it.
32:58
Speaker 1: Cleveland used three relief pitchers yesterday. They did use some
33:02
Speaker 1: of their better relievers, but didn't really overwork them at
33:05
Speaker 1: the very least. Detroit only us one relief pitcher. So
33:09
Speaker 1: I know Detroit's bullpen is in better shape right now,
33:11
Speaker 1: but Cleveland has the better overall bullpen of the two.
33:14
Speaker 1: So I think it's a little bit of a wash
33:16
Speaker 1: as far as the bullpen's are concerned. If you want
33:18
Speaker 1: to go first five innings with this, you can. You're
33:22
Speaker 1: paying a little bit more of a price, though, if
33:24
Speaker 1: you go Cleveland in the first five innings, you probably
33:26
Speaker 1: have to pay somewhere in the minus one thirty is
33:29
Speaker 1: at the very least for it. Total down from seven
33:32
Speaker 1: to six and a half in this one, sixty eight
33:34
Speaker 1: percent of tickets on the over fifty six percent of
33:37
Speaker 1: cash on. The overs are expecting another low scoring off
33:40
Speaker 1: fair here, which in that case, hopefully that means we're
33:43
Speaker 1: gonna be able to get this done. Here, even though
33:45
Speaker 1: I said Detroit would win this series, I think Cleveland
33:47
Speaker 1: is a joke. I don't think this should be in
33:49
Speaker 1: the playoffs. They have a negative run differential. I get
33:52
Speaker 1: all that, but this starting pitching matchup I think actually
33:55
Speaker 1: favors Cleveland here. I know Detroit has the better offense.
33:59
Speaker 1: That's the one major advantage they have in the series here.
34:02
Speaker 1: Casey Miz is pitching for Detroit, and this is part
34:05
Speaker 1: of the handicap here. People are gonna look at this
34:07
Speaker 1: and see he has the better era of the two
34:09
Speaker 1: star doesn't want to go with him. But I've been
34:11
Speaker 1: saying all year, man, he's not as good as his numbers.
34:13
Speaker 1: Look if you look at his career numbers, he's not
34:15
Speaker 1: really this good. A three point eight to seven era
34:18
Speaker 1: for him, one point two to seven whip. Uh, his
34:21
Speaker 1: whip is a little bit too high. I think he
34:23
Speaker 1: does have some playoff experience, So there is that both
34:26
Speaker 1: of these starters have pitched in the playoffs before, so
34:28
Speaker 1: I don't think that's really an issue one way or
34:30
Speaker 1: the other. Mice is not as good on the road.
34:32
Speaker 1: Four point zero four Roadie Ray, he was good this month,
34:36
Speaker 1: three point four to nine ERA, thirty two to four
34:39
Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio that is really good. His command
34:41
Speaker 1: numbers were good. He did face Cleveland though, in the
34:44
Speaker 1: middle of the month, and he had an eight to
34:45
Speaker 1: one strike a walk ratio, which is good. But he
34:47
Speaker 1: only lasted five and a third innings. He allowed seven
34:50
Speaker 1: hits they were able to hit him, and he gave
34:52
Speaker 1: up three on runs. So he wasn't exactly that good
34:55
Speaker 1: against this Cleveland offense, which is not a particularly good offense,
34:59
Speaker 1: and overall against Cleveland he actually does not do that well,
35:02
Speaker 1: which is this is gonna be the crux of the
35:04
Speaker 1: handicap here in fifty seven at bats, fourteen to three
35:07
Speaker 1: strike a walk razo is good, but a two eighty
35:09
Speaker 1: one average and eight sixty one oh ps that's not
35:12
Speaker 1: very good. So this Cleveland offense that doesn't usually hit,
35:15
Speaker 1: they've been pretty decent against mys. He's not as good
35:18
Speaker 1: on the road. He's not as good as his numbers
35:20
Speaker 1: look so I'm gonna I'm gonna roll with the guy
35:23
Speaker 1: who I think is the better pitcher when it comes
35:24
Speaker 1: to playoff time here. That's what I'm doing in this one,
35:27
Speaker 1: which is fading Miz in this one. He's also allowed
35:30
Speaker 1: four home runs to the Indians here, two of them
35:33
Speaker 1: to Jose Ramirez. Though, man, he's illegitimate son, I believe there,
35:38
Speaker 1: uh Tanner. Biby is pitching for Cleveland here. His numbers
35:42
Speaker 1: have gotten better towards the end of the season. Again, man,
35:44
Speaker 1: he had some stretches where maybe he was just checked
35:47
Speaker 1: out on the season, and then when the team started
35:49
Speaker 1: like actually looking like they were gonna make the playoffs,
35:51
Speaker 1: he checked back in. Because you remember, Biby was their
35:54
Speaker 1: ace like last year, he pitched in the playoffs. He
35:56
Speaker 1: was there, he was at the top of their rotation
35:59
Speaker 1: in the playoffs last year. They made it to the
36:00
Speaker 1: ALCS last year, so he does have experience recent experience,
36:05
Speaker 1: whereas Tigers were in the playoffs last year too, and
36:09
Speaker 1: they did make it, I think, to the second round.
36:10
Speaker 1: So I think Myz probably was myes on the team.
36:14
Speaker 1: I forget. I think he was. He probably pitched too,
36:16
Speaker 1: But Bibby, I think has a little bit more recent
36:18
Speaker 1: playoff experience, and he was He's the talent. He's the
36:21
Speaker 1: more talented of the two pitchers. Man when he actually
36:24
Speaker 1: shows up, he is the better pitcher. Four point two
36:27
Speaker 1: four ERA, one point two to three whip for him,
36:29
Speaker 1: so his whip is actually the better of the two. Anyway,
36:32
Speaker 1: on the season, he's way better at home than on
36:34
Speaker 1: the road three point two two home ERA, So we
36:37
Speaker 1: have the home road splits working in our favor here. Biby,
36:41
Speaker 1: like I said, he was pitching really bad in like August,
36:44
Speaker 1: late July to August, he looked totally checked out, even
36:47
Speaker 1: though Cleveland kept winning a bunch of his games. But
36:50
Speaker 1: then he actually started pitching better. So his wins in
36:54
Speaker 1: the month of September were worthy. Uh, he pitched worthy
36:58
Speaker 1: of those wins. Let's say he gave up two or
37:01
Speaker 1: fewer runs and all of his starts this month, including
37:03
Speaker 1: a nine inning, complete game, ten strikeout shutout against the
37:07
Speaker 1: White Sox. He had a one point three ERA this
37:09
Speaker 1: month or last month, I should say, because we're in
37:12
Speaker 1: October now, twenty six to five strike out walk ratio.
37:16
Speaker 1: He did pitch twice against Detroit, but he basically suffered nothing.
37:21
Speaker 1: The fact that he faced Detroit and then he had
37:23
Speaker 1: to face him again right away. You know, I talk
37:25
Speaker 1: about this one to lineup has just faced the starting
37:27
Speaker 1: pitcher a lot of times, they'll do better against him
37:29
Speaker 1: the next time out. But I mean Detroit is seen
37:32
Speaker 1: by be plenty, So I don't think that's really a
37:34
Speaker 1: huge advantage to Detroit that has seen him a bunch,
37:37
Speaker 1: because if he just pitches well against him and matches
37:40
Speaker 1: up well against him, that's the determining factor here. He
37:43
Speaker 1: went six innings in both of those games against Detroit,
37:46
Speaker 1: one on the road, one at home. He allowed one
37:48
Speaker 1: on and run in each of them. The starts were
37:49
Speaker 1: almost exactly the same eight to two strake out walk
37:53
Speaker 1: RATIONI in one of them, with four hits allowed in
37:54
Speaker 1: the other a little bit worse of a start at
37:56
Speaker 1: home five to two strike at walk rationio five hits aloud.
38:00
Speaker 1: I still trust Biby in this In this one, though, Man,
38:03
Speaker 1: his numbers are good against Detroit generally in one hundred
38:06
Speaker 1: and fifty nine at bats forty to twelve strike out
38:08
Speaker 1: walk ratio two fifty eight average allownded six to seventy
38:11
Speaker 1: nine ohps, and he's only allowed two home runs over
38:14
Speaker 1: that entire span, so half of what miz is allowed
38:17
Speaker 1: to h Detroit in a smaller stample, I believe. So
38:22
Speaker 1: we're gonna go with Biby here. We're gonna go with
38:24
Speaker 1: Cleveland here, even though the money is disagreeing with it.
38:26
Speaker 1: Uh seventy four percent ticket seventy two of the cash
38:29
Speaker 1: on Cleveland. Now they're out for minus one twenty to
38:32
Speaker 1: minus one twenty seven though the money line is moving
38:35
Speaker 1: in that direction. I know the public. The public does
38:39
Speaker 1: come in and play MLB playoff games more than they
38:41
Speaker 1: play regular season games. I know that. So the public
38:44
Speaker 1: is gonna be involved in some of these games. They're
38:47
Speaker 1: probably most They're gonna be most involved in Boston, New
38:50
Speaker 1: York though, Uh so you're probably gonna see that's probably
38:53
Speaker 1: gonna be the game that has the most bats. I mean,
38:54
Speaker 1: it's a huge rivalry series, and probably the Cubs game
38:58
Speaker 1: will get the second out. I would guess, like the Dodgers,
39:01
Speaker 1: maybe as like a bailout game, because the Dodgers are
39:04
Speaker 1: really popular, but the Reds are not very popular, so
39:07
Speaker 1: I don't know, we will see. Yeah, I mean, this
39:12
Speaker 1: game I think might be the least bet of all
39:14
Speaker 1: the games. To be honest, I don't know. I haven't
39:15
Speaker 1: seen the We can look and see what the amount
39:18
Speaker 1: of bets is somewhere. I forget how you do it
39:21
Speaker 1: on this side. Off to dig into it. But we're
39:24
Speaker 1: gonna go with on the public side in this one. Man.
39:27
Speaker 1: I think this game, being less public than some of
39:29
Speaker 1: the other games, I think it matters a little bit
39:31
Speaker 1: less maybe that it's a public side here. So we
39:34
Speaker 1: will go with Cleveland. I think it's a nice matchup.
39:36
Speaker 1: I think with the starting pitching man with Bibying younger,
39:42
Speaker 1: better picture of the two decent recent experience, and he
39:46
Speaker 1: has the better of the home road splits and the
39:49
Speaker 1: better matchups. So that's the handicap dead. That's what we're
39:51
Speaker 1: going with. We're gonna we're gonna vibe with Biby Rio.
39:56
Speaker 1: You're also you're also on the Cleveland Godians. They to
40:00
Speaker 1: change it back to the Indians, man, come on, we
40:02
Speaker 1: want Chief Wahoo back. I'm gonna watch Major League again
40:06
Speaker 1: just to put the vibes in there, to vibe with
40:08
Speaker 1: Biby again. Let's go, man, Jeffrey, I'm glad you're laughing.
40:12
Speaker 1: It's something I'm trying to be a little bit more
40:15
Speaker 1: hysterical here, and I don't mean flipping out, although maybe
40:17
Speaker 1: I will be once the Red Sox get eliminated, I'll
40:20
Speaker 1: be flipping out. But that's gonna do it, man. So
40:22
Speaker 1: that's the one play today, Clearing Indians. Let's go wild
40:27
Speaker 1: thing you make my hearts sing. Yeah, let's fucking go, man.
40:33
Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Learn it tone on Twitter, learn
40:36
Speaker 1: it tone on Instagram. Hopefully I can make my Instagram
40:39
Speaker 1: videos funnier as well. I'll have to put that out
40:41
Speaker 1: before the one pm start time for this, so we
40:45
Speaker 1: get our one game out of the way early, so
40:47
Speaker 1: hopefully it's a win. We'll get back to football coming up, man, obviously,
40:52
Speaker 1: Like subscribe to the channel here and you'll get my
40:54
Speaker 1: football content that's gonna be in play for the rest
40:57
Speaker 1: of the week here. You know we're gonna have football plays.
41:00
Speaker 1: Football has been good to us the last couple of weeks.
41:02
Speaker 1: You're really really good couple of weeks in the NFL,
41:05
Speaker 1: and college football has been good basically since Week one.
41:08
Speaker 1: So we're crushing football right now. I hope we can
41:11
Speaker 1: continue doing that. I'm gonna try so be on the
41:16
Speaker 1: lookout for that tomorrow football starts back up. We have
41:18
Speaker 1: a pretty good actually Thursday night divisional game in the NFL,
41:22
Speaker 1: and we got a not very good college football game tomorrow,
41:26
Speaker 1: and then we're gonna have Friday college football, obviously, and
41:29
Speaker 1: then college football Saturday, NFL Sunday. It's all gonna be there.
41:32
Speaker 1: I'll do my nightly videos for those, hopefully continue to
41:35
Speaker 1: be funny. So again, like, subscribe to the channel here
41:38
Speaker 1: on YouTube. Better off Dead, go give me a good
41:40
Speaker 1: review on iTunes, Spotify JC. What's up man? Thanks for
41:44
Speaker 1: hanging out right at the end of the show man
41:46
Speaker 1: just in time? Yes, thank you, sir. Have a good one.
41:50
Speaker 1: Everybody as well covered in yuke my Yuke Channel. I
41:55
Speaker 1: want to do more with the yuke channel, man, I
41:56
Speaker 1: gotta start doing like live YUK streams where you just
42:00
Speaker 1: like because I sit around and I just play the
42:01
Speaker 1: yuke anyway, like every day pretty much. But I've got
42:05
Speaker 1: some of my fingers are kind of messed up right now,
42:07
Speaker 1: so I don't know, but I'll maybe I'll do it.
42:09
Speaker 1: My voice is kind of messed up too, but I
42:10
Speaker 1: should do it. Just do live yuke hangouts. I want
42:14
Speaker 1: to do it like ass but does take some requests
42:17
Speaker 1: and reject some other requests. I gotta start doing that.
42:19
Speaker 1: I was thinking thinking about maybe doing a Tuesday Nights,
42:23
Speaker 1: but I know I didn't do it last night. I'm
42:25
Speaker 1: thinking about it. I want to do it and Patreon
42:27
Speaker 1: dot com, slash learn to Toad and you get some
42:29
Speaker 1: bonus content there, learn to toe and everybody. So there's yeah,
42:35
Speaker 1: there's a Spotify yuk feed there at one of the levels,
42:38
Speaker 1: and then prioritize requests at the highest level, which nobody
42:42
Speaker 1: is taking me up on. But that's gonna do it
42:44
Speaker 1: for now. I gotta get out some Halloween yuke covers,
42:47
Speaker 1: although I think I've gone through all the ones that
42:49
Speaker 1: I kind of like and know how to play the
42:51
Speaker 1: last few years, so it might be some repeats in there,
42:54
Speaker 1: but I haven't posted any of them the YouTube yet,
42:57
Speaker 1: I don't think. So we'll get some of those out probably.
43:00
Speaker 1: It's going to do it for now. Have a good day, everybody. Peace,