Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NASCAR DFS - YellaWood 500, 2024 | DraftKings Drivers, Dominators & Place Differential
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: All systems going clear we left off, Hello and welcome
- 0:37Speaker 1: to this week's NASCAR quick Hit. Here at ship at Nation,
- 0:42Speaker 1: I am Eric also known as the Game on Discord,
- 0:46Speaker 1: and tonight we're going to be discussing the yellow Wood
- 0:50Speaker 1: five hundred, which is taking place at Talladega super Speedway.
- 0:56Speaker 1: As always, please go ahead and hit that like button
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- 1:04Speaker 1: an incredibly long way in helping us with the YouTube algorithm.
- 1:11Speaker 1: All right, before we go ahead and start breaking down
- 1:16Speaker 1: the Yellowwood five hundred at Talladega Superspeedway, let me pull
- 1:21Speaker 1: up my screen share here, let me mention us ship
- 1:26Speaker 1: it Nation, ship nation dot com everything you need to
- 1:31Speaker 1: have success with DFS. And when we say everything, we
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- 2:30Speaker 1: pretty great. All right, Let's go ahead and move on
- 2:34Speaker 1: to the Yellowwood four hundred, which is taking place at
- 2:39Speaker 1: Talladega Super Speedway. Green Flag is at two o'clock Eastern time,
- 2:48Speaker 1: NBC Network in the US and TSN five in Canada.
- 2:53Speaker 1: And since we are super speedway racing this weekend, that
- 2:58Speaker 1: means we do not care at all about dominator points,
- 3:03Speaker 1: so we're not playing dominators and place differential is king,
- 3:09Speaker 1: And now we're going to talk about the slate a
- 3:11Speaker 1: little bit, and let me go ahead and bring my
- 3:13Speaker 1: screen share overlaid back up here perfect. Normally, what I
- 3:18Speaker 1: do for these slates, as you may know, is I
- 3:21Speaker 1: break down four of my favorite plays for the slate
- 3:25Speaker 1: and why. But today I'm just kind of going to
- 3:29Speaker 1: go through some game theory and discuss a whole bunch
- 3:32Speaker 1: of drivers, because, like I mentioned, place differential is king
- 3:38Speaker 1: at all superspeedway races, So that's Daytona, Talladega, and Atlanta,
- 3:45Speaker 1: though I don't consider Atlanta two as highly as I
- 3:49Speaker 1: do Daytona and Talladega. Confidently, you can remove, in my opinion,
- 3:57Speaker 1: the top ten at least from your place. So that
- 4:01Speaker 1: means Michael mcdalell, Austin Sindrick, Todd gillan Land, Kyle Busch,
- 4:06Speaker 1: which kills me because I think he's gonna win, Ryan Blaney,
- 4:10Speaker 1: Joey Logano, Austin Dillon, Denny Hamlin, Harrison Burton, and Daniel Hemric.
- 4:16Speaker 1: I am recommending to completely remove them from your player pool,
- 4:22Speaker 1: and you can even go so far as even doing
- 4:24Speaker 1: Chase Elliott, Kyle Larson, Brad Kay and Tyler Reddick. You
- 4:30Speaker 1: can confidently cut out the top fourteenth from your player
- 4:34Speaker 1: pool this week because we are only only only only
- 4:39Speaker 1: only thing we care about is place differential. I'm starting
- 4:43Speaker 1: off my pool this week with ty Gibbs, who's starting
- 4:47Speaker 1: fifteenth and working from there, and I think I will
- 4:51Speaker 1: truthfully have exposure to everybody from fifteenth all the way
- 4:56Speaker 1: through fortieth, which takes us through BJ McCloud, Zane Smith
- 5:00Speaker 1: and Jjyaley. Anybody in this range could be optimal. Anybody
- 5:09Speaker 1: there is no difference in Martin truex Junior and cody
- 5:15Speaker 1: Ware this weekend, which is hard to wrap your mind around.
- 5:18Speaker 1: I totally get that, but we care about place differential.
- 5:24Speaker 1: That's it. If there's a big one and cody Ware
- 5:27Speaker 1: is in the back and Martin Truick's Junior gets swept
- 5:30Speaker 1: up in a fifteen car accident, cody Ware just got
- 5:35Speaker 1: you fifteen spots from only fifty two hundred bucks. Right,
- 5:38Speaker 1: so place differential is King, King, King, King, King King.
- 5:43Speaker 1: I cannot cannot drive that point home enough in your
- 5:49Speaker 1: favorite optimizers or ship Deviser. Hopefully you're using ship Deviser,
- 5:54Speaker 1: but if you're not using ship Deviser and using any
- 5:56Speaker 1: other optimizer, highly recommend to boost randomness this weekend, right,
- 6:03Speaker 1: I know, ship de Miser. You can increase the randomness
- 6:06Speaker 1: on points, or rather the projection and ownership. I will
- 6:11Speaker 1: be increasing them both. I will be increasing the ceiling blend.
- 6:18Speaker 1: I will be increasing the max number of drivers per
- 6:21Speaker 1: lineup or max number of unique drivers per lineup. And
- 6:25Speaker 1: I will be increasing the salary range. There is no
- 6:29Speaker 1: salary restrictions this weekend, no rules. This weekend get funky, right,
- 6:35Speaker 1: We are basically trying to land on the perfect lottery
- 6:40Speaker 1: ticket this weekend. And these super speedway races is much
- 6:44Speaker 1: more of a lottery than the other NASCAR races that
- 6:48Speaker 1: we get during the season. So if I take a
- 6:52Speaker 1: look now at the top, so considering that I'm recommending
- 6:57Speaker 1: fading the top fourteen, we're gonna start breaking down and
- 7:02Speaker 1: talking drivers starting with fifteenth. Ty Gibbs should be a
- 7:08Speaker 1: good play. I don't know. I don't really expect much
- 7:13Speaker 1: from Tie on Sunday. He's kind of in that middle
- 7:20Speaker 1: of the road land where if he gets into the
- 7:24Speaker 1: top ten and runs a top five all day, could
- 7:27Speaker 1: be a great play. But if he gets into an accident,
- 7:32Speaker 1: he could definitely say if he gets into an early
- 7:35Speaker 1: accident Ty Gibbs at fifteenth, he could lose easily twenty
- 7:39Speaker 1: spots all the way back to fortieth. So Ty Gibbs
- 7:43Speaker 1: I'll have some exposure to, but not much. Same with
- 7:46Speaker 1: Willy B. Willy B projects really well here at Talladega.
- 7:50Speaker 1: I'll have some exposure to him, but not too much
- 7:53Speaker 1: because he is our current NASCAR points leader, and I
- 7:55Speaker 1: don't think he'll be hammering it too hard on SVG.
- 8:01Speaker 1: Shane Van Gisbergen is starting seventeenth. I don't anticipate him
- 8:07Speaker 1: getting a ton of ownership. In fact, we're not even
- 8:10Speaker 1: pulling odds for him right now to win. However, that
- 8:14Speaker 1: does not stop me from playing him. In fact, I
- 8:17Speaker 1: will probably be overweight on SVG because his super speedway
- 8:22Speaker 1: abilities don't frighten me. At the beginning of the season. Yes,
- 8:27Speaker 1: I would probably avoid SVG at these types of tracks,
- 8:32Speaker 1: but SVG had a pretty nice performance in the Affinity
- 8:35Speaker 1: Race today and he got caught up an accident not
- 8:37Speaker 1: of his doing, so yeah, I have no problems taking
- 8:41Speaker 1: a chance on SVG on Sunday. The only thing that
- 8:45Speaker 1: worries me with SVG is the car he's in, which
- 8:48Speaker 1: is the colleague car, but still not too worried. Next up,
- 8:53Speaker 1: we've got a pair of Stuart Has drivers, Ryan Priest
- 8:56Speaker 1: and Josh Berry. Ryan Priest was in that gnarly super
- 9:03Speaker 1: speedway accident I think it was Daytona last year two
- 9:06Speaker 1: years ago, and Josh Berry. Ryan Priest seems to excel
- 9:11Speaker 1: at super speedways. I probably will have very little exposure
- 9:17Speaker 1: to both of these, maybe like five percent if that.
- 9:21Speaker 1: While Priest excels, he just hasn't been good this year period,
- 9:27Speaker 1: so kind of keeping me off him and Josh Berry
- 9:33Speaker 1: I just don't see him as a super speedway driver,
- 9:36Speaker 1: and he's still in that weird spot where if he
- 9:40Speaker 1: will get in an early accident at nineteenth, he can
- 9:43Speaker 1: lose pile of PD points back to fortieth, right, So
- 9:47Speaker 1: I won't be too much on Josh Berry. Now starting
- 9:52Speaker 1: at twentieth, we really get into the meat and potatoes
- 9:54Speaker 1: of what I'm playing for my playerpool on Sunday, Chris
- 9:58Speaker 1: Busher RFK excellent super speedway racer. Christopher Bell starting twenty first,
- 10:04Speaker 1: Joe Gibbs Racing excellent super speedway racer. Noah Gregson nothing
- 10:11Speaker 1: to lose, nothing to lose. He's I think he's projecting
- 10:15Speaker 1: fairly well, but I think he's missing a race or
- 10:21Speaker 1: two from his past stats because he was suspended for
- 10:27Speaker 1: a bit last year due to some nonsense. So I
- 10:30Speaker 1: think he's projecting maybe a bit better than what he should.
- 10:33Speaker 1: But still that won't stop me from playing Noah. Alex
- 10:37Speaker 1: Bowman Bowman the Showman has been on a fire recently,
- 10:43Speaker 1: no reason not to play him. Martin Trueck Junior is
- 10:47Speaker 1: still chasing his first victory in his final NASCAR season. However,
- 10:53Speaker 1: he has had horrible look at super speedway races. Could
- 10:58Speaker 1: that all change on? Absolutely? Do? I expect it to
- 11:03Speaker 1: Probably not. AJ Allmendinger. He does well at super speedway
- 11:11Speaker 1: races in the Infinity Series. He is in a team
- 11:16Speaker 1: car to sug colleague racing. I'll probably match the field
- 11:22Speaker 1: on AJ. I don't really have a hot take on AJ.
- 11:25Speaker 1: Bubba Wallace. I there is all kinds of drama surrounding
- 11:30Speaker 1: twenty three eleven racing right now, and none of it
- 11:34Speaker 1: concerns Bubba. None of it concerns Bubba while twenty three
- 11:40Speaker 1: eleven is suing NASCAR. Bubba got a brand new contract
- 11:46Speaker 1: and him and his wife delivered a baby boy, I believe,
- 11:50Speaker 1: just last weekend. And as a new father myself, I
- 11:55Speaker 1: know the kind of energy Bubba Wallace is feeling right now.
- 11:59Speaker 1: Right So I like Bubba Wallace. On Sunday, I will
- 12:05Speaker 1: probably I will probably be overweight on Bubba on Sunday.
- 12:11Speaker 1: Sam goes for Ross Chastain. He got the Monkey Office back.
- 12:14Speaker 1: He won, no reason he can't go back to back.
- 12:19Speaker 1: Corey la Joy. If you've watched these videos throughout the season,
- 12:28Speaker 1: or have discussed NASCAR with me in discord, you probably
- 12:31Speaker 1: have heard my not so nice feelings on Corky La Joy. However,
- 12:36Speaker 1: he is a talented super speedway race car driver. He
- 12:41Speaker 1: seems to be more suited for Atlanta than Daytona and Talladega. However,
- 12:49Speaker 1: he still has the ability to put the foot to
- 12:52Speaker 1: the floor and hold it flat and wide open. Right,
- 12:54Speaker 1: So no issues in playing Corky La Joy this weekend.
- 12:58Speaker 1: I'll probably go underweight on him just because I personally
- 13:02Speaker 1: don't like him as a driver, but match the field,
- 13:07Speaker 1: go overweight. Totally understand that as well. John Hunter, Ymachek
- 13:12Speaker 1: and Eric Jones. Eric Jones is projecting a way way
- 13:18Speaker 1: better than John Hunter is. John Hunter has been a
- 13:21Speaker 1: wrecking ball this season. Kind of expect the same out
- 13:25Speaker 1: of him on Sunday. He hasn't shown the best super
- 13:29Speaker 1: speedway prowess, but you never know he could put it.
- 13:32Speaker 1: He could put it together. Eric Jones, fine play on Sunday.
- 13:36Speaker 1: No issues there. Me and Migo Daniel Suarez love him.
- 13:40Speaker 1: Roll him out with confidence. Old Recky Stenhouse Junior. All right, friends, Look,
- 13:49Speaker 1: I know we have nicknamed not we, the NASCAR community
- 13:53Speaker 1: has nicknamed Ricky Stonhouse Junior Recky, and this season he's
- 13:57Speaker 1: pretty keasy. These these are earned that nick name right.
- 14:00Speaker 1: We've definitely had some collective sweats concerning Ricky Stenhouse this
- 14:06Speaker 1: year in the Ship at Nation discord for them to
- 14:11Speaker 1: not turn out how we wanted due to Ricky being Ricky,
- 14:17Speaker 1: and that does frighten me. On Sunday, however, I am
- 14:21Speaker 1: prepared to be hurt again and I will probably be
- 14:25Speaker 1: overweight on Ricky Stenhouse Junior. And speaking of overweight, I
- 14:30Speaker 1: will absolutely be overweight on some of these next drivers,
- 14:33Speaker 1: Anthony Alfredo, Cody Ware and Justin Haley Alfredo and where
- 14:40Speaker 1: they are going to get overlooked just because they are
- 14:43Speaker 1: Anthony Alfredo and Cody Ware. Look, if the big one happens,
- 14:50Speaker 1: they are in just as a good a position to
- 14:52Speaker 1: gain those spots than anyone else behind them, So feel
- 14:56Speaker 1: free roll them out without any hesitation. Justin Haley great
- 15:01Speaker 1: race car driver, upgraded finally from rick Ware to Spire Motorsports.
- 15:08Speaker 1: Love him. This week, Chase Briscoe, I kind of think
- 15:14Speaker 1: he's gonna go balls to the wall. He's in the chase.
- 15:18Speaker 1: He needs a win to advance, and I think is
- 15:27Speaker 1: this the end? I forget if this is the end
- 15:29Speaker 1: of the of the round, or if there's one or
- 15:31Speaker 1: two more races after this in this round of the playoffs.
- 15:35Speaker 1: The NASCAR playoffs can get kind of confusing because they
- 15:38Speaker 1: keep changing sh it around. But if Briscoe is gonna
- 15:44Speaker 1: win in my opinion, in these like last split of
- 15:48Speaker 1: races and ain't gonna be at the Roval next weekend, right,
- 15:53Speaker 1: so I think he's gonna be aggressive and try to
- 15:57Speaker 1: get stage points and try to get towards the front.
- 16:01Speaker 1: How's that going to end up for him at the
- 16:02Speaker 1: end of the day. I don't know. Probably gonna end
- 16:07Speaker 1: up matching the field on Chase Briscoe. Next up, Carson
- 16:11Speaker 1: josov Ar Love Host of r this weekend. Spier Motorsports
- 16:16Speaker 1: is basically baby Hendrick, So you're getting a Baby Hendrick
- 16:21Speaker 1: car in thirty seventh and host of AR has been
- 16:24Speaker 1: the shining light of that team all season long. Love
- 16:29Speaker 1: Host of Ar this Weekend. BJ McCloud. If you don't
- 16:33Speaker 1: know the story of BJ McLeod, he is awesome, awesome,
- 16:38Speaker 1: forty million dollar man. I think is what he he
- 16:41Speaker 1: sold the NASCAR chorter for and now he just lives life,
- 16:45Speaker 1: which is as dope as hell. Bj McCloud fifty one hundred.
- 16:49Speaker 1: I think he's what the second cheapest driver on the
- 16:54Speaker 1: slate he is. I don't give a shit. Give me
- 16:57Speaker 1: all the BJ McCloud On Sunday, Aine Smith, Remember what
- 17:01Speaker 1: I said about about Carson Joseovar a driver ago That
- 17:05Speaker 1: all applies to Zaye Smith, and Zayan has been trending
- 17:09Speaker 1: up argers lately. So love him this weekend and last,
- 17:15Speaker 1: but most certainly not least JJ Yaley. I gotta be honest.
- 17:22Speaker 1: I normally always hammer these last place drivers in my
- 17:28Speaker 1: super Speedway lineups. If they're a decent enough driver, I
- 17:32Speaker 1: will lock them. I'm not doing that with jj Ye
- 17:36Speaker 1: and it's not him the driver. I do like jj
- 17:40Speaker 1: a Ly as the driver a lot. It's the team.
- 17:46Speaker 1: He's in a ship box and there's no other way
- 17:48Speaker 1: to put it, but like a real one, like like
- 17:55Speaker 1: he's in a lawnmower. There's a chance he won't even
- 18:00Speaker 1: be able to keep up with the draft. I think
- 18:07Speaker 1: my play I want my drivers to at least be
- 18:11Speaker 1: able to keep up with the draft, which I'm not
- 18:13Speaker 1: sure if Jjyalely can. But once again, if one of these,
- 18:20Speaker 1: if there's a major accident and he's ten seconds behind it,
- 18:25Speaker 1: you should be able to dodge it, right, So I
- 18:29Speaker 1: will have some exposure to jjyally, but I won't nearly
- 18:33Speaker 1: go as hard as I normally do for that type
- 18:36Speaker 1: of play. I think that's it. Yeah, I again highly recommend,
- 18:44Speaker 1: highly recommend fading the top fourteen. Even if you want
- 18:49Speaker 1: to fade the top nineteen and just start your pool
- 18:52Speaker 1: with Chris Busher, that's great, right, Like, no no issues
- 18:58Speaker 1: with that. Again. No salary restrictions at all this weekend. None.
- 19:06Speaker 1: You want to leave nine thousand dollars on the table, great,
- 19:11Speaker 1: you want to leave five grand? Great. In fact, I
- 19:13Speaker 1: would almost recommend setting your salary range from like forty
- 19:18Speaker 1: grand to forty nine to nine. Like, there's, in my opinion,
- 19:22Speaker 1: no reason to max out salary this week none, none, whatsoever.
- 19:29Speaker 1: Increase your randomness in your points, in your ownership, increase
- 19:34Speaker 1: your max number of unique drivers. And that's it. That's
- 19:40Speaker 1: all I got. It's talladega, it's it's there's no practice
- 19:43Speaker 1: to dissect, it's just foot to the floor, hold the
- 19:47Speaker 1: hell on and hope you get six to six through
- 19:51Speaker 1: at the end, like it's a PGA tournament at the cut.
- 19:55Speaker 1: So that's it for me. It's as you can see
- 19:59Speaker 1: in my recording. It's one ten in the morning here
- 20:01Speaker 1: in Pennsylvania, UFC three or seven. Main event could be over,
- 20:06Speaker 1: or it could be could be still happening. I don't know,
- 20:10Speaker 1: so I'm gonna go check that out and have a
- 20:12Speaker 1: beer and go to bed. So that's it for me.
- 20:15Speaker 1: Good luck on Sunday. Any questions please feel free to
- 20:19Speaker 1: tag me, and as always, let's.
- 20:22Speaker 2: Ship its hands most he fends mother with my mons, mosted,
- 21:13Speaker 2: he mons.
- 21:16Speaker 1: Mather with tnuns hast halbandsted mad and buns
- 21:25Speaker 2: Lost, and then still Mather and s