Latest / The Fourcast / UK unemployment soars: is AI already taking our jobs?
Transcript
- 0:00Hello and welcome to the forecast.
- 0:01It's not just Tom Cruise and Brad Pitt facing a future on the
- 0:05unemployment line. In the week when a convincingly
- 0:07lifelike AI video of the two mega stars slugging it out went
- 0:11viral and caused a meltdown in Hollywood.
- 0:13Unemployment stats here have hit a five year high, with young
- 0:17people the biggest losers. So is it simply the result of
- 0:20weak growth and higher business costs or are we already seeing
- 0:23the impact of artificial intelligence on hiring, whether
- 0:27you're an entry level student, white collar worker or Hollywood
- 0:30heavyweight? To discuss this, I'm joined by
- 0:33our economics correspondent Helia Ebrahimi and Andrea Miotti
- 0:36from Control AI, which is a campaign group warning about the
- 0:42the dangerous future of AI Helia.
- 0:45First of all, how about are the figures and what's causing them?
- 0:48Today's figures in the UK you had unemployment up at 5.2% and
- 0:55youth unemployment, you talk about decade high at the moment
- 0:5816.1%. Most of that is still we're not
- 1:02seeing the evidence of AI being the cause for that.
- 1:06The biggest cause for that is because entry level jobs go to
- 1:11young people and those are the ones that are on the frontline
- 1:15when it comes to higher business cups.
- 1:17When the chancellor raises taxes, raises National
- 1:21Insurance, those are the jobs. That's where companies are not
- 1:24hiring. But don't companies need entry
- 1:27level people? I mean, why are they deciding
- 1:30that they don't need as many people?
- 1:32But this, I I'm having this conversation so, so often these
- 1:36days with city executives at banks, at professional firms,
- 1:41because they are the ones that are now deciding they they don't
- 1:45like to talk about jobs disappearing.
- 1:47They like to talk about tasks disappearing and hours
- 1:50disappearing. But of course it means jobs.
- 1:52It means people, what they don't know is if we put in, get rid of
- 1:57our graduate recruitment or half graduate recruitment, what
- 2:00happens in 10 years? Who becomes the level, you know,
- 2:04one manager who becomes the board in 20 years if all of your
- 2:10graduate intake. And I think we're still at the
- 2:12point where companies don't quite know what to do with this
- 2:17big change that we're having. In terms of the impact of AI,
- 2:22you think this is the beginning of the storm?
- 2:25So I think definitely, you know, it's really difficult to
- 2:27attribute exactly which jobs are being lost due to AI, which jobs
- 2:31are being lost due to, you know, increased cost of business.
- 2:34We cannot really pinpoint that. But what we can see is what the
- 2:37intentions of the AI companies are.
- 2:39They are very explicit at what their goal is.
- 2:42They all, you know, Open AI, the makers of CHA, GPT, XAI, Elon
- 2:46Musk's company Anthropic and more.
- 2:49They all have as a mission to build what they call super
- 2:52intelligence. This means AI that is more
- 2:55competent and can replace people at all tasks and can eventually
- 2:59out compete humans you know. Are they there yet?
- 3:02No. Are they trying the hardest to
- 3:05get there as fast as possible? Yes, and.
- 3:08You've got the boss of Anthropic, don't you, Dario
- 3:10Mundi saying that half of all entry level jobs in an office
- 3:16are going to disappear. Half.
- 3:18Exactly in terms of what? What is being done already that
- 3:22is leading to a reduction in the hiring of white collar jobs?
- 3:27Not not the bars in the retail, but what kind of functions is AI
- 3:33performing now that means they don't need to hire as many
- 3:37graduates? So right now with AI, we're
- 3:40seeing the biggest advances on software development.
- 3:43This is really a big thing that these AI companies are focusing
- 3:46on. Their idea is if we automate the
- 3:49development of software, and especially if we automate the
- 3:51development of AI, we will be able to go faster and faster and
- 3:55faster. So.
- 3:55AI will build itself. Exactly.
- 3:57This is their explicit goal. How quickly this will happen is
- 4:00hard to tell. If we could predict the future
- 4:02exactly, we will all be billionaires, but they are
- 4:05definitely investing well, there's.
- 4:06Certainly billions lost in the markets last week because the
- 4:10markets across in the US and and in the UK kind of had this
- 4:14moment of panic about exactly this software companies.
- 4:17Is AI going to take over all of these roles and make these
- 4:23companies obsolete? But that that's still throwing
- 4:25ahead and we'll come back to it. But it but in terms of right
- 4:28now, yeah, if you go to a consultancy firm or an
- 4:31accountancy firm or a legal firm, any of the jobs that you
- 4:35know that bright graduates have traditionally been going after,
- 4:39I mean you are saying earlier that that that there is also a
- 4:43reduction there. Yeah.
- 4:44I mean, you said you had PwC recently.
- 4:47They had, they had this ambition just a few years ago to hire
- 4:51100,000 new people and they've now said they're not going to
- 4:55meet that commitment. And in fact, last year they they
- 4:58closed down I think about 5000 positions globally.
- 5:02And so you've got these mega firms that were creating, you
- 5:06know, huge number of jobs now saying, well, we're not sure we
- 5:11can do that. I mean, you know, for for the
- 5:13last two or three years, while this debate has been running
- 5:15hot. Yeah, all the advocates of AI
- 5:19have been saying, oh, look, you know, people have been warning
- 5:22about the Internet and the television and everything for,
- 5:25you know, for years. And technology always gives us
- 5:28new tools. They become tools that people
- 5:30will use. And we shouldn't panic.
- 5:33Is it already here before, Before we knew?
- 5:36I think it's starting and you know, a lot of experts have
- 5:39been, to be honest, have been warning about this for years.
- 5:41It's just this hasn't reached the vast majority of lawmakers
- 5:45and the vast majority of governments.
- 5:46But and, you know, to to throw a historical analogy, like for
- 5:50example, the car did lead to the disappearance of the vast
- 5:54majority of horses. You know, like in this case, we
- 5:56are the horses, you know, and the horses were headed to the to
- 6:00the glue factory after cars were invented.
- 6:02So this is what a lot of experts are warning about like Nobel
- 6:05Prize winners like Geoffrey Hinton, sometimes even the CE OS
- 6:08of these companies themselves. These companies often have a
- 6:11kind of a doublespeak where their their lobbyists and spin
- 6:14doctors say there's nothing to worry about.
- 6:17You know, keep calm, carry on, let us do what we want.
- 6:20No regulation while their own CE OS go on the record talking
- 6:23about white collar bloodbath or even up to human extinction.
- 6:27How? Does it spill over then into the
- 6:29blue collar jobs and the and the, and the service industry
- 6:31jobs? That's hellier has just been
- 6:33talking about in in today's figures.
- 6:36I mean, you know, we've all been through the airport and seen
- 6:39that funny robot on wheels kind of trundling down the the sort
- 6:43of the the restaurants and it's not quite clear what it does,
- 6:48but it seems to take away trays. But presumably that was a person
- 6:53taking away trays before. I mean, it it, you know, again,
- 6:58people people have been saying, well, this is this is now where
- 7:00everyone should become a plumber or open a bar or, you know, do
- 7:03do a sort of a people to people job.
- 7:07But actually, can AI and robotics do some of that too?
- 7:11Yeah. So I think 1 interesting thing
- 7:13is that 10 years ago, a lot of people even in the AI field
- 7:16would say, well, obviously I will be fantastic very quickly
- 7:20at formal methods of mathematics, at writing code,
- 7:24but it will struggle with human comprehension and understanding
- 7:28emotions and new ones. And then we started having,
- 7:31first with GPT 3, then with a big explosion of ChatGPT, and
- 7:35now with the more advanced models, models that are very
- 7:38clearly very capable of understanding new ones.
- 7:40Some people are developing far as social relationships with
- 7:43these AI systems. You know, they are not exactly
- 7:46in love. They're falling in love with
- 7:47these AI systems. They are becoming obsessed with
- 7:50these AI systems. This is a concerning development
- 7:52in society. But fundamentally, this means
- 7:54that these AI systems can speak like humans can.
- 7:57They can impersonate humans very easily.
- 8:00And they're handling a lot of these new ones pretty well, you
- 8:03know, against all expectations, while also being really
- 8:06competent at maths, really competent at writing code and so
- 8:10on. I mean, if if you look at the
- 8:12Kung Fu robots from China that we've just seen, it's it's kind
- 8:20of astonishing and you watch. It now they can dance, they're
- 8:23going to take over our jobs for. Sure.
- 8:25Well, I mean, they're pretty, they're pretty sophisticated.
- 8:29And, and obviously what what that makes you think is not
- 8:33necessarily the bar job or the masseuse, but certainly the
- 8:37soldier. Yes, I mean, look, I, I, I think
- 8:43the issue is that the the AI, the impact of AI is, is that
- 8:48happening so rapidly that people don't know how to keep up with
- 8:52it. But I would say that when I
- 8:55speak to people within the biotech world, for example,
- 8:59where AI is being used quite, quite extensively, or within the
- 9:04legal world where AI is being used and is being talked about
- 9:07as replacing lots of lowers, there are still problems.
- 9:11This is not a system that has yet, he said.
- 9:14Is it here now? Certainly when I talk to people,
- 9:17you've got, yes, you've got a whole world in California that
- 9:20are going to preach that it's going to there's going to be
- 9:23super intelligence in three, 4-5 years time.
- 9:26But I think in the real world, in terms of integrating AI into
- 9:31companies effectively where things things at the high end
- 9:36are working, we're still not quite there.
- 9:38But if you. Take the law, you know, where
- 9:41lots of lawyers will tell you, well, you know, we're still
- 9:44going to need human lawyers. We're still going to need human
- 9:46judgement and a human interface for clients.
- 9:50So, you know, senior lawyers are still going to exist.
- 9:53Where do they think senior lawyers are going to come from?
- 9:56If. They don't need junior lawyers
- 9:57anymore. Exactly right.
- 9:59And I think that that's the that's the thing that I think
- 10:02boardrooms are struggling with in terms of when, when you talk
- 10:06to people at board level who work in professional services,
- 10:10what they're talking about is if we go down this route, what
- 10:16happens in a decade, in two decades time when we need to
- 10:20have managers, there won't be any managers.
- 10:23Down this route, aren't we already there?
- 10:26I think we've gone down it. I think there is a choice.
- 10:28I think there is always a choice and a lot of the narrative from
- 10:32the AI industry is to tell us that we don't have a choice.
- 10:34But we almost always have. Like also with other major
- 10:38technological developments in the past.
- 10:39Like you know, we most countries around the world don't have
- 10:42nukes and we have nuclear non proliferation for a reason.
- 10:46There was a different path where every country has nuclear
- 10:49weapons and we are in, we would be in a very unstable world,
- 10:52probably we wouldn't even be here recurring this podcast
- 10:55today. Instead we chose the path and
- 10:57you know, our leaders chose the path where we are restricted
- 11:01nuclear proliferation and we have not had a nuclear war since
- 11:05World War 2, which is a fantastic achievement.
- 11:07So I think we do have a choice. This doesn't mean rejecting all
- 11:11AI. I think there is a lot of AI
- 11:13systems that are tools that help people do their job better that
- 11:17are very useful. You know, things like Alpha Fold
- 11:20from DeepMind based here in the UK, It's not only trained on
- 11:24data about proteins and it solves scientific questions
- 11:26about proteins. That's really helpful.
- 11:29What we should avoid is super intelligence AI that is built to
- 11:33replace all humans at all tasks and to make us not be in control
- 11:38of our economy anymore. And what happens if we don't?
- 11:41If we let this run riot? Or to those countries who let it
- 11:43run riot because the world won't agree on this.
- 11:46So unfortunately, top AI experts, Nobel Prize winners,
- 11:51and even the CEOs of AI companies warn that super
- 11:54intelligence could cause human extinction.
- 11:56This is beyond just jobless. This is literally the end of the
- 12:02human species on the planet. And these warnings are very
- 12:05serious. And if we continue on this path,
- 12:08this is what, again, many top experts warn about.
- 12:11And I think we have a choice to not do this.
- 12:13We have made this the right choice before in history.
- 12:15With dangerous technologies, we can do it again.
- 12:18But how do we get people to take that seriously?
- 12:20Because the rise of the machines has been a Hollywood theme for
- 12:23decades now. And we just kind of think, well,
- 12:26that's, that's fictional. I think things are changing now.
- 12:30So I am seeing, well, I think just yesterday or two days ago,
- 12:33Hugh Grant was talking about the threat from AI and human
- 12:37extinction. And this is reaching millions of
- 12:38people right now. People like Geoffrey Hinton,
- 12:41Nobel, you know, Nobel Prize winner, great British scientist
- 12:44has been. One of the godfathers of AI.
- 12:46Yes, or the godfather of AI has been warning but.
- 12:48But how are they saying it will happen?
- 12:51Yeah. So, you know, it's difficult to
- 12:53predict exactly the way, but the direction of travel is quite
- 12:56clear. If we have AI systems that are
- 12:59fully autonomous, vastly smarter than us, integrated, you know,
- 13:03across the economy or critical parts of the economy, we have
- 13:07essentially handed over control over our world and our economy.
- 13:12Our power won't there. Always be an off switch.
- 13:15Right now we don't have these off switches.
- 13:17I think if we had them, that would be a much better
- 13:19situation. But even right now, we don't
- 13:22really have them. You know, even if the CEO of one
- 13:24of these major companies is concerned and things we need to
- 13:27shut it down. This is going too far.
- 13:29What is he that he doesn't have a big red button on his desk.
- 13:32He needs to call his engineers and his engineers will call a
- 13:37data center and they will say, sorry, it's too expensive to
- 13:40shut down. It's going to take us, you know,
- 13:42a few days to turn it on again, try again next time.
- 13:44Like we don't even have the infrastructure to really make
- 13:48this choice. I believe we should build it.
- 13:49I believe we should keep the choice and the option available
- 13:53to turn it off if it's going too far.
- 13:55But we don't have it right now and it's time to build it.
- 13:58I. Mean are you really saying that
- 14:01your group exists to warn against human extinction?
- 14:04Yes. Absolutely yes.
- 14:06And this is also what top AI experts, Noble Prize winners,
- 14:09and even the CE OS of some of these companies are warning
- 14:12about. And this is a serious warning.
- 14:15And and how seriously do you think the authorities are taking
- 14:19it? I think right now most
- 14:21governments are doing frankly like nearly nothing, but this is
- 14:24mostly because they are not aware.
- 14:26So I mean, do they think you're crackers so far when you when
- 14:29you put these warnings out? In practice, no.
- 14:32So so far, most of them just have never heard about, first of
- 14:35all, what AI companies are building.
- 14:36They're not just building chat bots, but building super
- 14:39intelligence. Again, when it will come is a
- 14:41different question, but that's the direction of travel.
- 14:43And second of all, in our experience, we started at the
- 14:46end of 2024 to just brief all lawmakers in this country about
- 14:51the issue, what's a state with AI, where it's going, what the
- 14:53experts are warning about. And now, one year later, after
- 14:56over 150 briefings, we have more than 100 lawmakers in the UK
- 15:00across political parties recognizing the risk of
- 15:03extension from AI and calling for binding regulation.
- 15:05Can you just explain what what is the difference between asking
- 15:09ChatGPT to write a piece of code and super intelligence?
- 15:13Yeah, So the ChatGPT you're using right now is mostly on
- 15:18your end. It's mostly a chat bot.
- 15:19It's a interface where you can ask questions and you get some
- 15:23answers already. The ChatGPT that Open AI has in
- 15:27their own servers is much more powerful and can do many more
- 15:31things. Many of these models are not yet
- 15:33released to the public. It can write code.
- 15:36It can use computers directly. We have seen this recently with
- 15:39the mult book and mult bot situation.
- 15:43It can use most tools that you could use from a computer, which
- 15:47is a lot of tools in the modern economy and they are making this
- 15:51better and better. Super intelligence would be
- 15:53that, but smarter than people with access to computers.
- 15:59Access to physical infrastructure and much, much
- 16:03more capable than the systems that we have right now.
- 16:06Heli, I mean, do you hear this as a concern?
- 16:10I do in business. I, I, I think, I, I think I
- 16:14bizarrely, you hear it most with those within the tech industry.
- 16:18It's, you know, you're absolutely right that the
- 16:21people. They're the only ones who know
- 16:22what's. Possible the the people they're
- 16:24they're also within that bubble. So there's a very strange thing
- 16:28where tech CEOs have no idea how long it takes to implement
- 16:33technology in real society and that that lag sometimes maybe
- 16:37are saving grace. But lots of people within
- 16:40technology are what warning about these kind of problems.
- 16:44It's where when, you know, I think that the problems you have
- 16:50is, for example, Europe was very hard on regulation after there
- 16:54was a letter saying there could be big problems with AI and
- 16:58super intelligence and extinction.
- 17:00I think was part of that, that big letter that Europe has
- 17:05fallen behind when it comes to technology. the US is completely
- 17:09myopically fixated or not falling behind China, who is
- 17:13integrated AI and robotics much more effectively across the
- 17:18economy than even the US has. So because of these competing
- 17:24forces, I think you've got company bosses who go, yeah, I
- 17:29see this is risky. I see there's a problem.
- 17:32I see the dangers, but we cannot afford to slow down.
- 17:38We cannot afford to stop and I think that's the danger.
- 17:41But that doesn't mean that people in the UK cannot make
- 17:46different decisions. And by the way, there are lots
- 17:48of much more prosaic problems that are going to impact the
- 17:52jobs market and the economy and be problems created by I.
- 17:57Mean, I was going to say. For extinction, so.
- 18:00So what? So what are the challenges that
- 18:01the Treasury and IT needs to be thinking about and the sort of
- 18:06the policy levers that it needs to start thinking differently
- 18:09about given the jobs market is going to change dramatically?
- 18:12Well, I mean, you need to have some really bold thinking.
- 18:15I think you've also got this problem.
- 18:17Don't forget Krish, in the UK we have a problem in addition to
- 18:21all of this with inactivity. We've got almost a million
- 18:25people in the UK who are not in education or training and we
- 18:30don't know why exactly but but. Might we not start thinking
- 18:34about that differently in a, in a world where you know what,
- 18:38what you're both really saying is a lot of people aren't going
- 18:40to be inactive and we've got X million people who are
- 18:44economically inactive at the moment.
- 18:47And and that's just kind of going to be the reality in the
- 18:50future anyway. I mean, what if you were Elon
- 18:52Musk, you'd say, well, don't worry, don't worry exactly,
- 18:55because no one needs a pension, no one needs to work because the
- 18:58the bounty from AI, because all of these companies are going to
- 19:03be so much more productive now they've got rid of the horses.
- 19:06Yeah, that we're all going to be living in, I mean.
- 19:09Is it, is it worth it having a, you know, a, a, a new, a new new
- 19:14deal trying to get young people into basic jobs that may not
- 19:21exist in five or ten years? Time.
- 19:22I think you're right to call that out, but the problem you
- 19:25have is that when young people do not get jobs early in their
- 19:29career, it normally means that they suffer from problems with
- 19:35their careers going all the way through their lives and their
- 19:39earnings are capped now. Yeah, OK.
- 19:42If the world of work completely changes and revolutionizes and
- 19:46in a way that you couldn't have anticipated, yeah, you ever you
- 19:49have to throw everything out. But I don't know if anyone has,
- 19:53you know, in Treasury is thinking about universal basic
- 19:56income. You know that that's not on the
- 19:58table. We can't even address the
- 20:01problem that we can see, let alone a problem that we have no
- 20:04sight of yet. What is the argument that the AI
- 20:08evangelist make as to how this will produce rapid economic
- 20:13growth? So some of them simply say that
- 20:18we should build this AI systems and let them take over the
- 20:22economy and hope that they are benevolent to us.
- 20:25And you know, this might sound like a joke, but they they do,
- 20:29you know, it's, it's hard to give the the best case for any
- 20:32scenario. Others will generally will say
- 20:36that the vague point about all technologies will destroy some
- 20:41old activities and create new ones.
- 20:43But I think with most of them, especially with most of the,
- 20:45the, the CEOs and the executives, less so the, the
- 20:48spokespeople, they are quite honest about the fact that
- 20:51they're trying to replace most people at most tasks.
- 20:54And they're just then they give a token concession about perhaps
- 20:58there will be a universal basic income.
- 21:00So you know, all jobs will will be gone, but people will be paid
- 21:04by the government or by this company that they control or
- 21:09simply that we will live in a post scarcity society where AIS
- 21:12are doing everything and they're controlling the entirety of the
- 21:15economy. And we are a bit like animals in
- 21:17a zoo, but we are well fed because AIS keep us around.
- 21:21This is what now Elon Musk has moved on to saying he's just
- 21:25talking. He's not talking about humanity
- 21:27keeping control. He's talking about, well,
- 21:28obviously once AI is smart enough, we will just be pets to
- 21:32the AI. And let's just hope that we
- 21:35don't get put down by the new AI overlords.
- 21:38And I think fundamentally, all of these visions are deeply
- 21:41unappealing, I think for most human beings.
- 21:43You know, I don't want to be a pet.
- 21:45I think you all don't want to be pets of AIS either.
- 21:48And but I do think we can chart a different path.
- 21:50Doesn't mean stopping all AI, but it means drawing a clear red
- 21:54line on things like super intelligence that are simply
- 21:57very very bad for our species and our society.
- 22:00And how do you think it would happen?
- 22:02I mean, would it would it have to be a sort of AUN type
- 22:06agreement across the world that people agree not to do certain
- 22:10things? I think it should be both at a
- 22:13domestic and international level.
- 22:14I think the. But it hasn't worked, has it?
- 22:17Because we had an AI summit where there was supposed to be a
- 22:20group that was led by Yoshua Bengio that were going to tie
- 22:26people's hands and make sure they believe worked ethically,
- 22:30hasn't worked, hasn't proved effective because of all of
- 22:32those competing forces. I think frankly, governments
- 22:34haven't even tried like, you know, the the group of Yoshua
- 22:37Benja is just writing a report. You know, I'm sure, you know,
- 22:39Yoshua is doing heroic work in writing this report, but he
- 22:42doesn't have powers to intervene.
- 22:44And I think, for example, the UK, the Labour government
- 22:48promised in its manifesto that they would regulate the most
- 22:51powerful, the AI systems. So far we have seen nothing
- 22:55being done about as we've seen this commitment dropped but.
- 22:59Because of fear basically, again, that the UK economy is
- 23:03weak and therefore we have to do everything we can to attract
- 23:07growth, even if that is, you know, making a pact with the
- 23:10devil. It is a pact with the devil, but
- 23:12I think there is a narrow path where we can succeed, where we
- 23:15keep the most of the AI systems that are helping us with our
- 23:19work. But we say a clear no to super
- 23:22intelligence that just. From the idea of regulation, how
- 23:24could you regulate AI without AI?
- 23:28We, I think we've done a great or pretty good job at least as
- 23:31humans regulating a lot of technologies, you know,
- 23:34ultimately. Well, I mean that, you know,
- 23:36arguably the regulators are struggling with television and
- 23:39that's the 20th century technology.
- 23:41I mean, when it comes to social media and AI, forget it.
- 23:44They're not doing anything. I think it's true that
- 23:47institutions have gotten worse and, you know, there's been
- 23:50decay, but I think it's also because people are engaging with
- 23:54them less, and a lot of governments have started to
- 23:57become kind of, frankly, more cowardly about their position.
- 24:01You know, governments exist to set the rules of the game so
- 24:05companies can compete on the market.
- 24:06And this has always been the case.
- 24:08You know, when tobacco companies, it was found out that
- 24:11tobacco causes cancer, governments stepped in.
- 24:13You know, of course, tobacco companies fought tooth and nail.
- 24:16They did propaganda campaigns to smear scientists revealing this,
- 24:20even though they were well aware about this.
- 24:21But governments stood up for their citizens and set the rules
- 24:25of the game. This doesn't mean that these
- 24:26companies are gone. You know, we still have tobacco
- 24:28companies that are pretty. They have pretty good
- 24:30valuations. They just were forced to move
- 24:32away from the thing that was clearly dangerous to most people
- 24:35on to less dangerous and more beneficial economic activities,
- 24:39and this can be done again. But listen, you know, if we say,
- 24:43you know, before super intelligence and human
- 24:46extinction happens, I think there the argument that the tech
- 24:50bosses make is there's a whole cache of jobs that we don't know
- 24:54about that are going to emerge. We can't see them yet because
- 24:58they're going to come for the generation after.
- 25:01So you've got this one generation that are going to be
- 25:04stuck because essentially they're going to come at the
- 25:06time when jobs are disappearing and we haven't yet realized what
- 25:11the next possibilities are. But that there will be new
- 25:15opportunities based around a more optimistic reading of what
- 25:20AI can do in terms of problem solving, in terms of fixing
- 25:24things, in terms of creating, you know, a world where scarcity
- 25:28is is not as problematic. I.
- 25:32Mean that that's what the evangelists say.
- 25:34But on on what basis are you repeating it?
- 25:38But you say there will be a future.
- 25:40Maybe this is the failure of mankind that we can't quite
- 25:44picture, you know, baddies in an office trying to, you know,
- 25:48allow the world to completely dissolve and fall apart.
- 25:52I can't believe that we will get to the brink and not look back.
- 25:57I think the problem becomes with technology like AI that you get
- 26:02to the brink and you think, no, I want to step back, but it's
- 26:05too late because the technology, and I think that's the thing
- 26:08about super intelligence is it's no longer the program is no
- 26:12longer taking cues from the person.
- 26:15Well, what about the fact, Andrea, that, you know, that we
- 26:19do actually still first for human contact and human thought
- 26:24and human emotion. You know, we could put out a
- 26:28podcast created by AI. You know, the technology exists
- 26:32now instead of bothering to take up 40 minutes of heaviest time
- 26:37when she's trying to get a piece on the news, we could have just
- 26:41asked Google Notebook to to make as a podcast about this issue
- 26:47with the with these positions. And I, and I do that sometimes
- 26:51with research, just our curiosity, say like, make me a
- 26:54podcast on this issue. And and it's awful is the truth.
- 26:57And you know, you can't bear to listen to it because it doesn't
- 27:01have a human quality to it. I mean, is there not some hope
- 27:06that just because it can doesn't necessarily mean we will want
- 27:10it? I think this is where we need to
- 27:14make our choices though, because.
- 27:15You know, the same applies to Hollywood and drama and TV and
- 27:18all those sorts of things. But.
- 27:20I think definitely we do have a choice and like we can choose to
- 27:22prefer the human contact and the human interaction, but we have
- 27:26to actively make this choice. And if we just if we don't take
- 27:29a stand, what's happening is that in practice, more and more
- 27:32content is now AI generated. Like, yes, this podcast is not.
- 27:36And I'm, you know, I'm glad to be here as a real human being
- 27:39and not an AI. But there, there is more and
- 27:41more content that is now being produced with AI.
- 27:43And we'll probably go into a sort of a hybrid world where
- 27:46quite a lot of the movie is AI. Yeah, and it maybe still has
- 27:49real. But to your point that it's
- 27:50terrible, some of this stuff, you know, I'd be more worried
- 27:53that I mean, in Jeff Hinton's list of professions that were
- 27:58going to be hit by AI, journalism is front and centre.
- 28:01But I'd be more worried if my Netflix AI program could produce
- 28:06some movies that I actually want to watch.
- 28:08It can't even predict what movies I would like to watch.
- 28:13So I don't. I feel like all of, as you said,
- 28:16it's not just that we hanker. Maybe that's.
- 28:18Because your husband just goes on and watch stuff that you
- 28:20don't really like when you're not.
- 28:21There it's always possible, it's always human error in the centre
- 28:25of it. But imagine, you know, I don't
- 28:27think it's just that we hanker after the human touch.
- 28:32I think at the moment I can only talk to what I hear at the
- 28:35moment. AI programs are useful and they
- 28:39are helping with some tasks, but the biggest risks I hear about
- 28:43are that they are making mistakes and that they are being
- 28:46adopted too quickly. And so people are assuming in
- 28:52very important fields that this this program is going to deliver
- 28:57the right results and the right research.
- 28:59And I've heard that from a lawyer and a scientist recently
- 29:03and, and, and that is that is a bigger worry for me in 2026.
- 29:08Final thought from you both, if you were 20 years old trying to
- 29:13work out what to do with yourself, what should you be
- 29:16thinking about Andrea? That's a great question.
- 29:19I think, I think ultimately I, I don't have good job advice, but
- 29:25one piece of advice is if you find this concerning, if you
- 29:28find where this is going concerning contact, you know,
- 29:30you're a lawmaker, contact you're politicians, they don't
- 29:33bite. They are real people like you
- 29:35for now, you know, and they care about what you care about.
- 29:39And they often they more and more are hearing from
- 29:41constituents that constituents are concerned about AI and
- 29:44concerned where AI is going, including the warnings about
- 29:47super intelligence. And they want them to ask.
- 29:48And if they, if they hear this from enough people, things will
- 29:52change. I think we should not be
- 29:53nihilistic. I think we can pull back from
- 29:55the brink before we get there. I think, you know, what would I
- 30:00do if I was 20? I mean, not not become a
- 30:04software engineer, that's for sure.
- 30:06But I would tell you that today when we we're doing a piece on
- 30:09unemployment and we went up to Birmingham and we're talking to
- 30:13these young women who have been out of work and really struggle
- 30:17to get back into the employment market.
- 30:20And one of them who was a massive firecracker, just
- 30:22complete pizzazz. And her boss was saying she's a
- 30:26force of nature. She's already been promoted.
- 30:29She was out of work for four years and that cycle of not
- 30:33being in work wasn't just challenging for her mental
- 30:38health because she couldn't afford to do all the things she
- 30:41wanted and she was struggling with her bills.
- 30:44It hit her confidence. So this world where we no longer
- 30:49need to improve ourselves intellectually and also we don't
- 30:55need to work and we don't need to have purpose, I find it very
- 30:59hard to buy into that because I I don't see how people can be
- 31:04happy in that world. Thank you both very much indeed.
- 31:07That's the forecast on that cheery nose.
- 31:10Bye bye.