Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 539 - 6/30/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

Transcript

Episode 539 - 6/30/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 All systems. Go with Josh.
• 0:08
  Applebaum starts now. Hello and welcome to.
• 0:16
  Episode. 539. Of the all systems.
• 0:19
  Go sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:22
  I'm your host, Josh. Applebaum What's going on,
• 0:30
  everyone? Happy Tuesday.
• 0:32
  Another day here. In the arena.
• 0:33
  Guys, the final day of the month of June, so.
• 0:36
  Tomorrow we turn the. Page it officially becomes.
• 0:39
  Summertime because July 1st. New month.
• 0:42
  July 4th now only. Four days away, so very much
• 0:45
  looking forward. To a big weekend.
• 0:47
  Here ahead guys. And we did talk yesterday about
• 0:49
  the. Nathans.
• 0:51
  Hot. Dog eating contest which again.
• 0:53
  I'm not going to. You know, fully claim.
• 0:55
  That I caused the. Steam.
• 0:56
  I don't know. But all I know is that we saw.
• 0:59
  DraftKings get down. To over under Joey.
• 1:02
  Chestnut Dogs. 70 1/2 when it was 72 1/2.
• 1:06
  At. The end of last week.
• 1:08
  And. Popped open to Caesar's.
• 1:10
  And noticed that even. Though DraftKings had fallen. 72
• 1:13
  1/2 to 70 1/2. Juicing up now the.
• 1:15
  Over 70 1/2. -175. That Caesar's.
• 1:19
  Was an outlier book. They were way.
• 1:21
  Off the market. They were still hanging. 73.
• 1:24
  And 1/2 at under -130. Well, I bet it.
• 1:27
  And then I got. Ready for the?
• 1:28
  Pod and I just. Double checked what the?
• 1:30
  Current odds were boom. It got down to. 72 1/2.
• 1:33
  But here's. Something I noticed.
• 1:35
  Yesterday to today. Because I was mentioning
• 1:37
  yesterday. Hey you.
• 1:38
  Would have loved the under 70. 3 1/2 because the market.
• 1:40
  Is falling. It's an outlier.
• 1:42
  Book you can take. Advantage of a book that might
• 1:43
  be sleeping a little bit. But at the time it was under. 72
• 1:48
  1/2. -115 well, I noticed today. It's now under 72 1/2. -130 so.
• 1:55
  Again, if you want to sweat this under with me.
• 1:57
  Feels like we're getting a pretty good number here.
• 1:59
  Because the market is. Settling around 70.
• 2:02
  And 1/2 and. We can get.
• 2:04
  Still 72 1/2 if. You missed the 73 1/2.
• 2:07
  Well, guess what? The juice.
• 2:08
  Got a little more. Expensive.
• 2:09
  You can look at that one of two ways.
• 2:10
  One, I'm annoyed because I got. To pay more but #2?
• 2:14
  I got to pay. More because hopefully the sharp
• 2:16
  side. Is the under.
• 2:17
  And there's a reason the sports. Books are making you pay a.
• 2:19
  Higher price to go. Contrarian and go go.
• 2:22
  Against the grain because everyone.
• 2:24
  'S going to parlay. Joey Chestnut the goat.
• 2:26
  To win and of. Course the over hot dogs.
• 2:29
  But again with the market movement.
• 2:31
  And the fact that Chestnut has only gone.
• 2:33
  Over this? Number I think.
• 2:34
  He's. I think this is. 18th Mustard
• 2:36
  Belt. He's only gone.
• 2:37
  Over. 72 and a. Half I think 3 times.
• 2:41
  And really trended under. The last few years.
• 2:42
  And he is getting older. Looks like the.
• 2:44
  Under is a sharp play, so I don't know is it is it?
• 2:47
  Last call 22. Train leaving the station.
• 2:50
  For that under 70. 2 1/2. Because again, you.
• 2:53
  Don't want it to. Fall to 70. 2 or 70. 1 1/2
• 2:55
  because it could land. 7172. Like this is one of those crazy
• 2:59
  situations thinking about football games.
• 3:01
  Where the? Hook could really come in come
• 3:03
  in handy here so. I'm holding under 70. 3 1/2.
• 3:06
  -130. Again, juice is still moving.
• 3:09
  You can still get under 70. 2 1/2 - 130 now.
• 3:12
  At Caesar's if you want to be a true degenerate like me and
• 3:15
  sweat the hot dog eating contest.
• 3:16
  On on 4th of July. But anyway, guys, enough about
• 3:20
  that. Let's get right back to betting
• 3:21
  Major League. Baseball I.
• 3:22
  Do have a three pack of? Sweats for you A.
• 3:24
  Short. Favorite a medium?
• 3:25
  Favorite little? Bit of a hefty favorite here.
• 3:27
  All three of. Which have good rhythm
• 3:29
  recommendations as well as some good sharp mush edges.
• 3:32
  So we're going. To see if we can try to.
• 3:33
  Go 2 and 1, eke out a winning night and finish up.
• 3:36
  The month of June on a winning note.
• 3:38
  Now. We could use a winning night.
• 3:39
  Tonight. Because last night.
• 3:41
  Was. Absolutely pathetic and
• 3:42
  disgusting. O and. 3 - 3 units, Baltimore.
• 3:46
  Orioles, I remember distinctly. Saying on the pod.
• 3:49
  Hey, you know the? White Sox better record better.
• 3:51
  Team plus money. But yet sharp.
• 3:54
  Move and the. Fishy plays to take.
• 3:55
  Baltimore line move. Bet splits well.
• 3:58
  Public laughed their way to the. Bank on that one, because the
• 4:00
  White Sox. Won eight to two.
• 4:01
  Against the. Pathetic, disgusting, pathetic.
• 4:03
  Orioles. Cleveland.
• 4:05
  Same sort of thing. Sharp move against Texas, they
• 4:07
  lose 6 to 3. And then, to make matters worse,
• 4:10
  Houston loses 5 to 4 to Minnesota.
• 4:12
  What? Was annoying about that one is
• 4:14
  that Houston was down 5 to 1 so they.
• 4:16
  Actually rallied and scored. Three runs in the bottom of the
• 4:19
  ninth. Just to get us a little bit
• 4:20
  excited to think, oh, maybe they'll come back and win.
• 4:23
  But of course they lose 5 to 4, so.
• 4:25
  O and 3 -, 3 minutes. You hate it, guys.
• 4:27
  It stinks, it keeps you up at night, but when you bet Major
• 4:30
  League Baseball, you know that it is a.
• 4:31
  Super long season we're. Going to have our three and OS
• 4:34
  we're. Going to have our O and threes.
• 4:35
  We're going to try to grind out as many.
• 4:37
  More winning days than losing days as we can, but in a.
• 4:39
  Long baseball season sometimes there are those nights where
• 4:42
  nothing goes our way and. Unfortunately, nothing.
• 4:44
  Went our way last. Night.
• 4:46
  And even beat the closing line on almost all these games as
• 4:48
  well, but obviously closing line.
• 4:50
  Tells you you're on the sharp side, doesn't.
• 4:52
  Tell you you're guaranteed to win it because there's no such
• 4:54
  thing. As a locker guarantee.
• 4:56
  So you can tell. I'm a little annoyed.
• 4:57
  And I'm looking to. Hopefully get back.
• 4:58
  In the green here. For tonight, because we.
• 5:00
  Would love to finish up the month of June and steam into the
• 5:03
  month of July with a winning day.
• 5:05
  So of course guys wasting no more time 3 bets, let's even go
• 5:09
  2 and one see if we. Can get some breaks.
• 5:10
  To go our way here for tonight. So first, but on the board I.
• 5:14
  Want to look? At a. 7:40 PM.
• 5:16
  Eastern Time, first pitch where the Tampa Bay Rays.
• 5:18
  Are going to Kansas. City to face off.
• 5:20
  Against the Royals now. Let's set the stage here talk.
• 5:24
  Splits line move. System matches and I'll.
• 5:26
  Give you my play for this one. So the rays come in 48 and 33.
• 5:29
  Just swept the Diamondbacks. They won that series.
• 5:31
  Finale 5 to 1 as minus. 200 home favorites.
• 5:35
  On the other hand, the Royals 35 and 50.
• 5:37
  They just dropped two or three against.
• 5:39
  The White Sox. Did avoid the sweep.
• 5:40
  Though. They won that series finale 3 to
• 5:42
  2. As a + 1. 15 Road Dog.
• 5:45
  So. Pitching match up here for
• 5:46
  tonight. Tampa Bay is going to ready
• 5:48
  Griffin. Jacks he is.
• 5:49
  Three and. Five with a three. .33 ER a
• 5:52
  Royals, meanwhile. Going with the.
• 5:54
  Lefty Noah. Cameron, he's four and.
• 5:56
  Five with a 4.5 O ERA. Now.
• 5:58
  What have we seen across the market this game?
• 6:00
  Opened Tampa. Bay.
• 6:02
  Pretty short -1. 15 road favorite.
• 6:05
  And not that. It's the biggest.
• 6:06
  Theme move in the. World, but we have seen this
• 6:07
  line creep up. To Tampa Bay. -115 to -120.
• 6:12
  And even. Earlier today at some shops it.
• 6:14
  Crept up as high as like. -125 even -1. 30 so.
• 6:18
  The lines pretty much shown liability.
• 6:20
  And definitely want to give a shout.
• 6:21
  Out to odds logic. Because I always.
• 6:23
  Mention the. Updates they have but.
• 6:25
  They now have the. Line history.
• 6:26
  Tab which shows you. Every move in between.
• 6:28
  So it may only. Look like Tampa?
• 6:30
  Went from -115 to -125 cent move.
• 6:34
  But the. Interesting thing is that.
• 6:36
  Again, pull blind history. Every move in between.
• 6:38
  You can see the high watermark, low watermark.
• 6:40
  They got as high as. -125 - 1. 30 So that tells me mostly.
• 6:44
  This line has been showing. Liability toward the Tampa
• 6:46
  Bayside. You look at circa.
• 6:49
  Roughly 80%. Of money line bets and dollars
• 6:51
  are going with the. Rays so a lot.
• 6:53
  Of big money. Out in Vegas, going with the
• 6:54
  road favorite. In this one.
• 6:56
  Hopefully on the sharp side there with Tampa.
• 6:58
  And then we get into some. System matches the first one.
• 7:01
  That jumped out to me. Anytime you have a.
• 7:03
  Situation where neither. Team played the previous day so
• 7:06
  they were both off yesterday. OK, we can fire up our system.
• 7:09
  Both teams coming. Off a day off take the favorite
• 7:12
  very simple system but. It's 79 and. 44 this year. 64%
• 7:17
  with a 10% ROI. Pretty good match there on
• 7:19
  Tampa. Then in particular.
• 7:22
  Tampa Bay. Tends to clean clean up against
• 7:24
  bad. Teams losing teams.
• 7:26
  When they face a. Team with a losing record, and
• 7:28
  they are a favorite in that game.
• 7:30
  They're 26 and. 1563. Percent, 10% ROI this year.
• 7:34
  That's the second best record in baseball in terms.
• 7:37
  Of a favorite against a losing team.
• 7:39
  Rays also have the slightly better bats.
• 7:41
  Hopefully they can get to Cameron.
• 7:42
  We'll get to Griffin Jacks here in a second.
• 7:44
  Cuz he's pitched well recently but Tampa?
• 7:46
  Is hitting two. 59. With a three. 36 on base
• 7:49
  percentage. Royals hitting 240.
• 7:51
  Five, with a 316 on base percentage.
• 7:54
  Now Griffin Jacks. Remember, he was a reliever for
• 7:57
  the Twins. They picked him up last year,
• 7:58
  converted him to a starter. But he has posted a. 0.9 O ERA.
• 8:04
  In his last four. Starts.
• 8:05
  He's only given up. Two earned runs.
• 8:07
  In 20 innings pitched. He's posted a 2.96 ERA on the
• 8:11
  road versus 3.7. One at home, so.
• 8:13
  He's pitched very well his last four starts.
• 8:15
  Knock. On wood.
• 8:16
  Hope that. Continues tonight and he's
• 8:18
  pitched. Better on the road.
• 8:19
  Than at home. He's on the road.
• 8:20
  Tonight, Royals. Meanwhile, in the last. 14
• 8:23
  starts made by Noah Cameron. They are three and. 11 So 311.
• 8:28
  One of my favorite bands. Little little.
• 8:31
  Amber is your color of energy if you know what I'm talking about.
• 8:33
  3:00 and 11:00. In his last. 14 So hopefully
• 8:35
  that continues to be a. Losing trend tonight.
• 8:38
  And then also night games. Tampa Bay at night. 28 and 18
• 8:42
  Kansas City 22 and. 30 Lastly, I popped.
• 8:46
  Open rhythm and noticed three rhythm recommendations, all
• 8:50
  three of my models lighting up in favor of Tampa.
• 8:53
  Bay. So rhythm likes Tampa.
• 8:54
  Bay the line is moved. Toward Tampa Bay.
• 8:57
  We got a both. Day off, take the favorite
• 8:59
  system match. We got better bats.
• 9:00
  Tampa. Has done well against.
• 9:01
  Bad teams and Griffin Jacks has pitched very well recently.
• 9:05
  With Tampa playing well at night, so.
• 9:07
  I'm going to take the raise in this one.
• 9:08
  Guys. Shop around, I got.
• 9:09
  Raised -120. It's pretty widely.
• 9:11
  Available Got. That at Caesar's but.
• 9:13
  Definitely shop around because I'm seeing a couple.
• 9:15
  Books. Around -120.
• 9:16
  Five. Hopefully a good.
• 9:18
  Good price here on a good. Team to come through in the open
• 9:21
  air. Let's go raise.
• 9:23
  Next one for you. Couple late spots.
• 9:24
  Here tonight 9. 40 PM Eastern Time.
• 9:27
  Let's look at a match up. On the West Coast, where the
• 9:29
  Seattle. Mariners are hosting.
• 9:31
  The LA Angels. Now the.
• 9:33
  Mariners come in dead. At 500. 43 and 43.
• 9:36
  They won last night's. Series opener 6.
• 9:38
  To two. Came through as a.
• 9:40
  Big minus. Two O 5 home.
• 9:41
  Favorite for the rematch? Tonight, the Angels, who are 30.
• 9:44
  6 and 50 they're. Going to go with.
• 9:46
  The ready, Jose. Soriano, remember, He started.
• 9:48
  Great. 8 and 43.3. 2 ERA on the. Year more on him.
• 9:53
  A second because he's really tailed off.
• 9:54
  With the Mariners. Meanwhile, going through a.
• 9:56
  Brian Wu he is. Six and six with a four. .26 ERA
• 10:01
  Now what have you seen across the market?
• 10:03
  Will this game open? Seattle listed around a. -170
• 10:06
  Home. Favorite LA around a + 150 row.
• 10:08
  Dog and sharps not. Scared off by.
• 10:11
  The big number they're laying? The Wood with Seattle.
• 10:14
  I like the Mariners here, guys. Because I like this.
• 10:16
  Line Mariners have gotten steamed up -170 up to around
• 10:20
  -190. So it tells us a lot.
• 10:22
  Of big money is poured in on the.
• 10:24
  Mariners to 'cause that line to rise up.
• 10:25
  Higher in their favor. Pretty good bet splits on the
• 10:28
  Mariners. At DraftKings, the.
• 10:30
  Seattle's getting 83%. Of money line bets. 87.
• 10:33
  Percent of money line. Dollars, then you look.
• 10:35
  Over at Circa. Only 25%.
• 10:38
  Of money line bets. But 46?
• 10:39
  Percent of money line dollars, so we got.
• 10:41
  Low bets higher. Dollars at both.
• 10:43
  DK and circa and. The line is.
• 10:45
  Moving towards Seattle. Seattle would offer.
• 10:48
  Some good correlative. Betting value as a.
• 10:49
  Favorite in a very. Low total game, so.
• 10:51
  You're a big favorite. With a low total of.
• 10:53
  Seven. It's about.
• 10:55
  As low as it. Gets it open.
• 10:56
  Seven half got down to seven so. Looks like some under money hit
• 10:59
  the seven and half. Under hook but.
• 11:01
  Again if your amount. Expected run scored.
• 11:03
  Historically means it's more likely to come from those runs
• 11:06
  would come from the winning team or the better team was expected
• 11:09
  to win. Now Brian Wu on the road.
• 11:11
  One in 66. Point. 38 ERA gross.
• 11:15
  Brian Wu at home. Five and O.
• 11:18
  ERA of two. Pitching at home tonight.
• 11:20
  You know Soriano. Mentioned him, he started.
• 11:22
  Great, but he's posted A5. .32 ERA and five June.
• 11:26
  Starts. He's given up. 14 earned runs
• 11:28
  and 23. .2 innings pitched. Mariners.
• 11:30
  Meanwhile, I do have the better bullpen, knock on wood.
• 11:33
  ERA of 3.66 as a. Team.
• 11:36
  That's the 7th best bullpen ERA in baseball.
• 11:39
  Versus the Angels who have the 24th.
• 11:41
  ERA bullpen 4.51. Seattle, meanwhile, 23 and 19 at
• 11:46
  home. Nothing amazing but winning
• 11:48
  record 4. Games above 500.
• 11:50
  LA 15 and 28 on the road. That's only a 35% win rate.
• 11:54
  That is the. Third worst Rd. record in all
• 11:56
  baseball. So it's a big number.
• 11:58
  But the line has gotten. Steamed up towards Seattle, we
• 12:01
  also have. A 43.
• 12:03
  Percent sharp mush edge. From our friends at.
• 12:05
  Juice Reel also. On Seattle.
• 12:08
  So the sharps at Juice Reel. Like you out there?
• 12:10
  Listening of downloaded. Juice Reel and Synced.
• 12:12
  Up your sports. Books also going.
• 12:14
  With Seattle, so it's a big steam move.
• 12:16
  Again, it's a bigger number here.
• 12:18
  Always mention the fact. That hey, you want to bet to
• 12:20
  risk, not. Bet to win because.
• 12:22
  I got. Seattle -180. 2A.
• 12:25
  Little. Blink 182 at Bally Bet.
• 12:27
  Definitely shop around. Because I'm seeing most.
• 12:29
  Books now -190. But the important thing there is
• 12:31
  if you're. Getting a -1?
• 12:32
  90 You're not risking 1.9 units. To win one unit that would be
• 12:37
  betting to win. You're betting to risk.
• 12:39
  Which means you're. Just risking your flat unit and
• 12:41
  you're trying to get. A little more than 1/2 unit
• 12:42
  back. Why?
• 12:44
  Because if Seattle. Lets us down and.
• 12:46
  We saw last. Night, all three teams let us
• 12:48
  down so again. Sometimes it happens.
• 12:50
  You don't want to lose 1. .9. Units.
• 12:52
  You only want to lose 1 unit. Well, you don't want to lose any
• 12:54
  units, but again, you're. Trying to.
• 12:56
  Limit the risk or limit your your liability.
• 12:59
  I guess you could say. So, as always, Betras.
• 13:01
  Not bet to win. But I got Seattle.
• 13:03
  Here with a big steam move. -180.
• 13:05
  Two at Bally Bet. Last bet of the night.
• 13:08
  Stay out in the West Coast. Another 9:40 PM.
• 13:11
  Eastern Time first pitch we have the.
• 13:13
  LA Dodgers visiting the. Athletics.
• 13:16
  Which sometimes I actually see. Sacramento on the MLB Standings
• 13:21
  page under the. ALS, it's always a.
• 13:22
  Funny to me, but no Oakland A's. I guess so the Sacramento way.
• 13:26
  Sometimes you've got to look to. See if they're.
• 13:27
  Playing in Vegas or not? Before they actually move there,
• 13:30
  but a late. Stop a late spot here in
• 13:32
  interleague. Play.
• 13:33
  So let's talk about this one. The Dodgers there continue.
• 13:36
  To be the Dodgers. They're 55 and 30 on the year.
• 13:39
  25 games, about 500. They won last night's
• 13:42
  interleague. Series opener, 9:00 to. 4.
• 13:44
  Came through as a. Short -120 Rd.
• 13:46
  Favorite SO pitching match. Up here for tonight.
• 13:49
  Dodgers are going. With the lefty Justin Roblevski,
• 13:52
  he is 9 and 2 with A2. .71 ERA. Meanwhile, the A.
• 13:56
  'S are going to. Go with the fellow.
• 13:57
  Lefty. Jeffrey Springs, who is.
• 13:59
  Three and seven with a 5.52. ERA what?
• 14:02
  Do we see across the market list game open?
• 14:04
  Dodgers listed around a. -145 Rd.
• 14:07
  Favorite A's around? A + 125 home dog and sharps have
• 14:12
  jumped on the Dodgers. Seen this big move?
• 14:14
  Toward LA, they've. Gone from -145 to -165.
• 14:18
  Some shops even closing in on -170.
• 14:21
  Good split at circa, where over. 75% of money line bets and.
• 14:25
  Dollars are going Dodgers, so that tells me we got.
• 14:27
  A predominance of. Preponderance, I guess you could
• 14:29
  say heavy dose, a big sharp. Money out in Vegas at Circa
• 14:33
  Going with. The Dodgers.
• 14:34
  Causing that line. Move in their favor.
• 14:37
  Got some system matches here, so just in general.
• 14:40
  Interleague favorite Lack of familiarity.
• 14:42
  Historically benefiting quote UN quote the better team.
• 14:44
  We do have a non division Rd. Favorite with a win percentage
• 14:48
  of 610 or better priced -150. Or higher.
• 14:52
  So a good team. Again -1. 50 or more non
• 14:55
  division Rd. favorite. Dodgers would match that.
• 14:58
  Those teams are 50. 4 and 25. 68 percent, 5% ROI.
• 15:02
  Since 2025. Dodgers as well, when they are.
• 15:07
  Again, typically. Sometimes they're laying minus.
• 15:08
  250 -, 300. You know, Dodgers are usually a
• 15:11
  very. Expensive team.
• 15:12
  But when they're less. Than -200.
• 15:14
  As a favorite. This year they are. 30 and. 16
• 15:18
  That's a 60. 5% win rate. That's a nine percent ROI.
• 15:21
  So when they're laying shorter numbers, they're pretty.
• 15:22
  Profitable. When you're laying huge.
• 15:24
  Numbers. It's hard.
• 15:25
  To be profitable, even. If you have a good winning
• 15:27
  record just because you're laying so much juice.
• 15:29
  Wrobleski. I want to.
• 15:31
  Back him, He's pitched. Very well all year.
• 15:33
  But in the month of June, four starts made.
• 15:35
  He has a 2. .28 era. He's only given up. 6 earned
• 15:39
  runs in 23.2. Innings pitched LA, meanwhile.
• 15:42
  Is 10 and 3. And his last thirteen starts.
• 15:45
  On the other hand. Jeffrey Springs I.
• 15:46
  Want to fade him? He posted.
• 15:48
  A nine point. 97 ERA in five June starts, he's given up 24
• 15:52
  earned runs. And 21.2 innings pitched.
• 15:55
  He's posted a 6.43 ERA at home. Versus a, you know, average
• 15:59
  respectable. 4.38. ERA on the road.
• 16:02
  Dodgers, meanwhile, 29 and 16 on the.
• 16:04
  Road That's a 64% win rate. That is the second.
• 16:07
  Best Rd. record in baseball? Meanwhile, the A's. 18 and 24.
• 16:11
  At home. And I put home in question.
• 16:13
  Quotation marks because whether that's Sacramento or, you know,
• 16:16
  technically. At home when they play those
• 16:18
  games at the AAA stadium, the Aviator Stadium in Vegas.
• 16:22
  I'll be at it all up here guys. We.
• 16:23
  Got a line move. Toward the Dodgers, we got good.
• 16:25
  Splits good. System matches Robleski
• 16:27
  hopefully. Greater than springs.
• 16:29
  And oh, by the way, popped. Open Rhythm Notice 2.
• 16:32
  Rhythm. Recommendations.
• 16:33
  Both lighting up. On the Dodgers.
• 16:35
  So shop. Around I found dodgers -1. 58 at
• 16:38
  FanDuel. Again, most books now. -160. 5
• 16:41
  even -170. Let's go Dodgers.
• 16:44
  So. Rays, Mariners, Dodgers.
• 16:47
  Try to get 2 out of three and get back.
• 16:49
  Into the green. So that about does it for
• 16:51
  episode 538. Or sorry, 539 of the all.
• 16:55
  Systems go sports betting. Podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 16:57
  This is the part. Of the pod where?
• 16:58
  We wrap things up and we start first always by saying thank
• 17:02
  you. Thank you for listening.
• 17:03
  Thank you for tuning in, thank you for grinding in the arena
• 17:06
  with me taking. Time out of your.
• 17:07
  Busy lives. To pull up a chair to the
• 17:09
  virtual bar. And sweat some sharp data-driven
• 17:11
  breakdowns. Together, whether we.
• 17:13
  Have a good. Night bad night again.
• 17:14
  Doesn't matter, we grind every day and we.
• 17:16
  Try to make. Sharp, data-driven bets, so
• 17:18
  they're heading on our. Heart, I'm very thankful toast
• 17:20
  this pod and have you guys TuneIn.
• 17:22
  Win, lose or draw of. Course, but please could.
• 17:25
  You help me grow this podcast, tell A.
• 17:27
  Friend about the pod, give the pod a 5 star.
• 17:29
  Review on Spotify or. ITunes again you.
• 17:32
  Can click the follow. Button.
• 17:33
  Or you could retweet. The podcast when I put it out
• 17:35
  on. Twitter Any or all?
• 17:36
  Those things would be very much. Appreciated.
• 17:38
  Or give the pod a like. Whatever next?
• 17:41
  If you enjoy the style of sports.
• 17:43
  Betting data-driven sharp. Contrarian betting focusing on.
• 17:46
  Line movement bet split system matches again making sharp.
• 17:49
  Plays that not every play is going to win because it's never
• 17:51
  that easy, but trying to piece the.
• 17:53
  Other together the puzzle. Of where the sharps are at and
• 17:56
  trying to make. Smart bets, so they're.
• 17:58
  Headed on our heart. If this style of.
• 17:59
  Betting has. Appealed to you, you want to
• 18:01
  learn. More about data-driven.
• 18:03
  Betting or you have. Someone in your life?
• 18:04
  Who could use? They could definitely be a.
• 18:07
  You know, benefit. From being introduced.
• 18:08
  To the data-driven. Style then I would love for you
• 18:11
  to. Go to.
• 18:11
  Amazon.com. And type in the.
• 18:13
  Everything Guide to sports. Betting or type?
• 18:15
  In the NFL. Sharp betting playbook.
• 18:18
  Those are the. Two books that I've written if.
• 18:19
  You want to grab one or both of them.
• 18:21
  Bring them the. Sports book.
• 18:22
  I'll sign them for you. I'll buy a.
• 18:23
  Beer or ginger ale? Or maybe we'll take a shot after
• 18:26
  getting swept last night. Not in a good way, but a bad
• 18:29
  way. But again.
• 18:31
  Whoever has bought 1. Thank you.
• 18:32
  I appreciate. It or just thinking.
• 18:33
  Of buying one. Thank you.
• 18:35
  Next, have you downloaded? Rhythm and Juice Reel yet my two
• 18:37
  favorite sports betting apps. Rhythm for their AI backed
• 18:40
  models and predictions. For game bets.
• 18:42
  And player props juice. Reel so many great.
• 18:44
  Features Robo. Jackson best bet picks.
• 18:46
  Sharp mush indicators. Arbitrage plays shop.
• 18:49
  For the best line. Futures Sync up your sports
• 18:51
  books. Get a running running report
• 18:53
  card of your action. And as always, I try to mention
• 18:55
  this. This pot is free.
• 18:56
  It cost you nothing. If you enjoy the.
• 18:58
  Insights the breakdowns you want.
• 19:00
  To help me, you know, contribute to my my.
• 19:02
  Daughter's upcoming childcare fund then I'd love.
• 19:04
  For you to show some love. And sign up to get the all.
• 19:07
  Systems go best bet picks. Directly from the juice.
• 19:09
  Reel app as soon. As I make a.
• 19:11
  Bet it goes right to the all systems go best bet profile.
• 19:15
  On Juice Reel. And you'll get the plays as soon
• 19:17
  as I make them. And that would.
• 19:18
  Cost you 9. Dollars and $0.99 a week.
• 19:21
  So 10 bucks a week basically. Or $24.00 and. $0.99 for a
• 19:25
  month, 25 bucks. For a month and again you are.
• 19:28
  Supporting the pot and and tossing in a.
• 19:31
  A $5.00 bill. Or a $20 bill into the tip
• 19:33
  chart. Which I would very much
• 19:34
  appreciate. And again, thank you to all of
• 19:36
  you who who do sign up and get those best bet pics.
• 19:38
  It means a lot to me. But give give.
• 19:40
  Rhythm and give juice real. Both 5 star reviews.
• 19:43
  In the App Store. Next.
• 19:45
  Do you have a live odds page if you don't have one?
• 19:47
  You really? Do need one?
• 19:48
  You got to be. Able to track the market in.
• 19:49
  Real time identify Steam as soon.
• 19:51
  As the lines are all moving OK, this team's getting hit.
• 19:53
  I better jump on this number before it gets.
• 19:55
  Away from me. Of course, shopping.
• 19:57
  For the best line. Finding the book offering the
• 20:00
  best price. Which is so huge.
• 20:02
  And just tracking line. Movement again getting.
• 20:04
  Live in game wagering odds getting live scoring getting all
• 20:07
  the different major sports books on your.
• 20:08
  Page that you can track. You can do it.
• 20:10
  All with odds logic. They're the best live odds page
• 20:12
  around so. If you want to give.
• 20:14
  It a shot. It covers you for all sports.
• 20:16
  It's. Oddslogic.com/josh. 123 Make
• 20:21
  sure you do the slash Josh 12. Three at the end.
• 20:23
  That'll give you a 7 day free. Trial and 50.
• 20:26
  Percent off your first month of service.
• 20:28
  So that about does it for episode 539.
• 20:30
  Of the ASG. Pot as always guys, two final
• 20:32
  thoughts one. Whether I see you at the
• 20:34
  Borgata? In Atlantic City Twin.
• 20:36
  River in. Rhode Island, the brook of New
• 20:37
  Hampshire. Foxwoods or Mohegan Sundown in
• 20:39
  Connecticut at the Encore in Boston plain Ridge park casino
• 20:42
  MGM Springfield. Or the Nash.
• 20:44
  In my neck of the. Woods on the border of
• 20:46
  Massachusetts. And New Hampshire.
• 20:48
  Or out in the desert. Where the true grinders get down
• 20:50
  or Billy Walters sends. His number runners.
• 20:52
  Where the lowest juice possible. Is found at the South point or
• 20:55
  sweat and sharp contrarian plays.
• 20:56
  Jumping in the stadium swimming pool when?
• 20:58
  You catch a big ticket at Circo. Wherever it.
• 21:00
  May be you're. Going to walk.
• 21:01
  Up to me. We're going to RIP.
• 21:02
  Up the Houston. Cleveland and Baltimore tickets
• 21:04
  from last night. Put.
• 21:06
  Them in the the recycling bin. Take a shot and.
• 21:08
  Get back in the. Green here for tonight.
• 21:10
  What do you say? Guys.
• 21:11
  But as always, coming off of. An O and three or three and OA.
• 21:14
  Two and one or one and two. A winning night.
• 21:16
  A losing night, a hot streak. A cold streak, guys.
• 21:19
  We can't let bad nights get. To us, too much.
• 21:21
  And we can't get. All high and mighty.
• 21:23
  When we have a. Good night or a great night?
• 21:25
  We just got to stay. The course.
• 21:26
  Think long term and continue to grind.
• 21:29
  As always, we're. Looking for plays that fit our
• 21:31
  model and layoff. The ones that don't.
• 21:33
  Looking for. Games that are simultaneously.
• 21:35
  Against the public, with the house, with the pros.
• 21:37
  Flat bet Avoid parlays. And get that CLV.
• 21:40
  If we can do that, we're. Going to be successful.
• 21:42
  Sports bettors. So if everyone has.
• 21:44
  A great Tuesday night. Again, last chance for.
• 21:47
  Under 72 1/2. Joey Chestnut Dogs.
• 21:49
  On on 4th of July under -1. 30 at Caesar's again, I don't.
• 21:53
  Think that. Might last too much.
• 21:54
  Longer, I hope. Everyone has a.
• 21:56
  Great night and be right. Back at it tomorrow.
• 21:58
  For a big. Hump Day Edition.
• 21:59
  That'll be episode 5. 40 of the all.
• 22:01
  Systems go sports betting. Podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 22:05
  Good luck everybody and have a great.
• 22:07
  Tuesday night.