Latest / Best of Business / Shane Solly: Harbour Asset Management spokesperson on financial markets pricing in interest rate cuts
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: You're listening to a podcast from Newstalk Z'B follow this
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- 0:16Speaker 2: Shane Solely from Harbor Asset Management is with us A.
- 0:19Speaker 3: Shane Hi here.
- 0:20Speaker 2: That so well, thank you mate. So we see the
- 0:22Speaker 2: markets around the world of continuing to price in the
- 0:24Speaker 2: interest rate carts, right, is this should we be expecting
- 0:28Speaker 2: this space on the data we're seeing?
- 0:30Speaker 3: Yeah, Look, I think we continue to see release data
- 0:33Speaker 3: releases during the month that show US as this market
- 0:36Speaker 3: friendly profile and moderating price pressure and activity falling without
- 0:40Speaker 3: blowing up. That supports central banks continuing the cut rates.
- 0:44Speaker 3: Last week on Friday, we saw the US personal consumption
- 0:49Speaker 3: experishi of inflation, that's the one the US said, watches
- 0:52Speaker 3: coming in line with expectations about point two per seing
- 0:55Speaker 3: up for the month. So nothing to disturbed markets. Markets
- 0:57Speaker 3: are expecting a quarter of percent cut September from the Fed,
- 1:01Speaker 3: and certainly it's on track. We've got some data out
- 1:04Speaker 3: on Friday, the US employment data that will be really
- 1:07Speaker 3: closely watched, but weirdly it's the case of whether it's
- 1:09Speaker 3: a quarter or half a percent. So yeah, the data's
- 1:12Speaker 3: on track.
- 1:13Speaker 2: Okay, So they're looking okay in the US. What the
- 1:14Speaker 2: hell's going on with China? Mm?
- 1:17Speaker 3: Yeah, really Max, we see some really choppy data out
- 1:19Speaker 3: of China. Today. We saw one set of data the
- 1:22Speaker 3: Kaijin Manufacturing Purchasing Management in Mix. It's a bit of
- 1:25Speaker 3: a mouthful to lead indicator for inputs particularly from small
- 1:30Speaker 3: medium size enterprise, and that was good. It was fifty
- 1:33Speaker 3: point four, so above expectations which are fifty and that
- 1:37Speaker 3: Thik there was a bit of an expansion. But on
- 1:39Speaker 3: over the weekend we saw another set of data which
- 1:41Speaker 3: is the official Manufacturing and Purchasing Mandarindix, which is so
- 1:45Speaker 3: stay owned enterprises, so different step from the small medium
- 1:50Speaker 3: sized enterprise, and that came in lower at forty nine
- 1:52Speaker 3: point one. A lot of expectations are twenty nine point
- 1:55Speaker 3: five and that suggests the economy is slowing. So look,
- 1:58Speaker 3: the data just is mixed, it just reduced. Now the
- 2:00Speaker 3: Chinese economy continuing to go to a bit of research.
- 2:03Speaker 3: So something to watch for New Day on Economy.
- 2:05Speaker 2: Because the staff Chane is always good to talk to you.
- 2:06Speaker 2: We'll talk to you next week, mate, look after yourself.
- 2:08Speaker 2: Shane Solly Harbor Asset Management.
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