Latest / The Curve / Pepsi, Poppi & The Tequila Tariff Saga.
Transcript
- 0:00Tempo is a brand new investing app available in New Zealand and we're so excited to be telling you about how it works and how you can use it.
- 0:09So in 2023, Tempo conducted a survey with a thousand Kiwis and they found that 27% didn't know where to start when it comes to investing.
- 0:19And that's a lot of people.
- 0:21So the great thing about Tempo is that their goal is to take the guesswork out of investing.
- 0:26So when you sign up, they ask questions like, how do you feel about the idea of your investment that's going up and down?
- 0:32Because some do more than others, you tell them how much you want to save and they recommend a mix of their funds for you.
- 0:38It's guided investing. So you're getting investment advice from the experts, which is very, very cool.
- 0:43And because they track your goal progress so they can see actually how you're going,
- 0:47they can also recommend that you change your investments and the mix of how you've invested over time, which is really great.
- 0:53So if you would like to try Tempo, you can get a $10 kickstart into your account.
- 0:57And if you would like to learn more about Tempo, you can head to the link in the podcast show notes.
- 1:02Today in the Curve Weekly, we have a very special guest who is someone from the Curve community who applied to be VIX Replacement.
- 1:11So VIX is currently in Japan on holiday. And you know what? We're very happy for her.
- 1:17The only problem with that is talking on a podcast by yourself is incredibly boring.
- 1:22And also, I'm not really the research girl. That's all VIX.
- 1:26So this last week we've been trying to find a replacement for VIX.
- 1:29And I did a bunch of interviews. I spoke to heaps of different people.
- 1:32And I found this amazing woman who's based in Auckland. Her name is Rachel Somerville. She's 33.
- 1:38She's just had a baby, the baby's four months old. And she's just super passionate about financial literacy and understanding the markets.
- 1:46She actually works at Kiwi Bank as a marketer, but she was awesome. And she did heaps of research for this episode.
- 1:52So at the start, I'm going to introduce you to her so that you can get to know a little bit about who she is and her background.
- 1:59And then we actually talk a little bit about pregnancy and trying to sort of navigate that within the workforce.
- 2:06So I just want to let you know there is a trigger warning here for miscarriages.
- 2:11If that's something you don't feel comfortable listening to, we're going to put a little note in the podcast show notes
- 2:16so that you know where you can skip to to get to the bit when we start talking about the financial news
- 2:21and what's been going on in the market because there has been a lot.
- 2:25I just wanted to say thank you for everyone who did actually apply to be a co-host with me on the podcast.
- 2:31There was so many amazing people that applied and it just made me think,
- 2:36do we need to start millions of podcasts?
- 2:39Like people that are super talented sound brilliant on a podcast like they sent voice notes and it was a whole thing.
- 2:46So thank you to everyone that got in touch.
- 2:49And thank you so much to Rachel for being on this podcast.
- 2:53Here is the Curve Weekly. If you want to skip to when we start talking about the financial news
- 2:58and what's been going on, then we'll put that time code in the podcast show notes.
- 3:02Enjoy.
- 3:06Rachel, thank you so much for being here.
- 3:09I mean this is kind of I think the first time we've ever properly on and actually I was away once last year
- 3:15and we got someone to fill in for me but I think I'm easier to fill in for them Vic.
- 3:20You know because like the research piece of the Curve Weekly is,
- 3:23it's not easy to be on top of what's going on in the news.
- 3:27I can't pretend that I will be anywhere as expert as Vic. She is completely irreplaceable.
- 3:33She is irreplaceable as she is.
- 3:35And I'm not even a financial expert but I guess I'd say business more so based on my experience.
- 3:42I guess I'm at least so financial specifically but I think what is really cool about
- 3:47you know having followed the curve for a number of years,
- 3:50done your course is that the way that knowledge has been democratised and access to it
- 3:55is that now yeah I can come on and speak to the markets
- 4:00because I kind of know what I'm talking about from all the learning that I've been doing over the last few years
- 4:05and that's like in part to the work the year I've been doing.
- 4:07That's just awesome and so true.
- 4:09And actually if I wasn't so lazy I could have done the research.
- 4:12You totally could.
- 4:14But I was just like oh gosh I can't.
- 4:17I know how much time it is to sift through all of the news outlets into it.
- 4:22And to digest it and then present it and tell you know an audience or a group of people
- 4:28in a succinct way it's definitely an art but before we get into the research
- 4:33and we get into what's been going on I'd love to just introduce who you are
- 4:37and give a bit of context as to when you just mentioned you know you're in a different life stage at the moment.
- 4:42Yeah I am currently on Printer Leave.
- 4:44I've got a four month old baby girl which has been the hardest and the best time of my life to date.
- 4:51It's been an incredible experience I think.
- 4:54Very humbling experience.
- 4:56I think having a child I was really fortunate to obviously be in this position.
- 5:01You know there's so many people that aren't able to be in it.
- 5:03It wasn't a smooth road for me like it is for so many women.
- 5:06Do you mean getting pregnant?
- 5:08So yeah I had it so I had miscarriage for my first pregnancy.
- 5:11So you know like so many other women super devastating but you know really kind of brings to the forefront
- 5:17that you really want something.
- 5:19Well that's the thing right and actually someone in the weekend was saying to me that they went through a miscarriage
- 5:23and it made them realise they actually didn't want to be a mum.
- 5:25And it's like you don't know really what you want until you realise it's not an option.
- 5:31And I think particularly with mother herdits we spend our whole teen age and early 20s and 30s trying not to get pregnant.
- 5:38And then all of a sudden the idea of oh shit maybe I can't.
- 5:42Yeah.
- 5:43That would be really devastating and it's such a hard thing to try and wrap your head around and fertility issues are so common now.
- 5:50So common.
- 5:51And how has it been transitioning from because you know we haven't given any context before what life is like before you had.
- 5:59Yeah.
- 6:00Your daughter but you've got an incredibly successful career and I mean you manage a team of like 20 people like Kiwi Bank
- 6:06you've had you know up until this point you've had a lot of career success.
- 6:10Yeah.
- 6:11How has the transition been for your brain going from that to caring for a tiny human?
- 6:19So so wild honestly I think when I first went on praying to leave it was like oh my gosh this is amazing.
- 6:25Like I wake up you know I go for a walk this is before my daughter was born.
- 6:30And then yes she was really late so I had like all this extra time that I did not want.
- 6:34And people say like oh this is like great extra me time and it's like when you want that to pregnant and they uncomfortable and you're using your
- 6:41parental leave and they haven't arrived not ideal.
- 6:44And then at the beginning you're like so tired so overwhelmed but I have definitely struggled with the lack of mental stimulation.
- 6:50And I think what was amazing about like this opportunity that popped up was like the last couple of days.
- 6:56I've been like oh old Rachel's back you know.
- 6:59And I think the other thing is I spent 13 years today like hustling to build my career.
- 7:04And it's a really weird thing to be like okay I'll see you guys in like nine months to a year.
- 7:10And step away when you've put in so much work.
- 7:12It does be still a little bit like insecurity and self-doubt of like oh my gosh what if you know
- 7:17I go back and things are really different or they don't longer need me or you know whatever it may be.
- 7:21Or I can't keep up because I've missed out on a year of conversation.
- 7:24Exactly like.
- 7:25Yeah and one of the things that I spoke about in the we did like a tiny little quick episode last week.
- 7:30Yes.
- 7:31Well one in particular woman emailed her and saying that she basically was coming back from London.
- 7:35Yeah.
- 7:36She'd done her big OE, she'd really built her career up overseas and then she was coming back with her partner.
- 7:41She found out she was pregnant.
- 7:43And we've had so many messages from people.
- 7:45I bet.
- 7:46Because and it's so one of those things unless you've been pregnant or thinking about getting pregnant.
- 7:52You've never had to think about what the implications of telling your work would be.
- 7:56Yeah.
- 7:57Did you have any, I mean have you got any experience or thoughts on that especially as a manager?
- 8:01Yeah.
- 8:02Because you manage totally people.
- 8:03Yeah so I think in terms of workplace and how that all flows around.
- 8:08So I market it, I work in marketing.
- 8:11So currently at Kiwi Bank, I have been surrounded by pregnant woman like my entire career.
- 8:17Like at one stage I had four managers in two years gone for interleave.
- 8:20It was insane.
- 8:22And as a manager, like it is a challenge for sure.
- 8:26Like you don't want, you know, you're best staff to be heading off on,
- 8:29heading away for an extended period of time, having to replace them all that kind of stuff.
- 8:33But equally it's like just the price of doing business and,
- 8:38and the people that are in those roles and those positions are often like really high performers.
- 8:45You want to do what's best, best by them.
- 8:47Well it's also, I guess it's the idea of like for a lot of people they,
- 8:51it might be their first let's just say.
- 8:53I think for this particular listener, because she doesn't have a job yet,
- 8:59that's so scary because you don't have the history of being good at your job,
- 9:03or someone wanting to do right by you.
- 9:05You still are trying to prove yourself.
- 9:07And I think that is really tricky.
- 9:10I never thought about that.
- 9:12But also you want to be in a company that's going to help support you while you have a baby.
- 9:17And there's not a lot of those companies around.
- 9:20And there's actually quite a lot of implications if you're not employed.
- 9:23So I'm non-HR expert.
- 9:26I'm sure there'll be some in your community that can advise on this better.
- 9:29But the first thing is an employee cannot discriminate against you for being pregnant legally.
- 9:34So if you're going through the recruitment process and you do disclose it,
- 9:37they would have to have a pretty robust, you know, hiring process to make sure that the reason you didn't get the job is because you weren't the best candidate,
- 9:44not because of information you disclosed.
- 9:46If you take the other approaches of waiting till you have had the offer or you're new in the business,
- 9:50that to me feels completely justified too,
- 9:53because I think the business gets a lot from you regardless.
- 9:57Like you're pregnant for really, really long time.
- 10:00So if you come into a business and, you know, the first week you arrive,
- 10:04you have to have a really awkward conversation with your manager like super uncomfortable.
- 10:08No one really necessarily wants to be in that position.
- 10:10But I think what could potentially help is flipping the narrative on it and being like,
- 10:14okay, so this woman's clearly the best candidate for the job.
- 10:17That's why she got the job.
- 10:19She'll be in the role for at least six months or, you know, how ever long she has to go.
- 10:24She'll probably come back to the role.
- 10:26So you're retaining good stuff.
- 10:28And then on top of that, if you treat someone really well through this process,
- 10:32then they'll have really good loyalty towards you as a business.
- 10:36And the cost of hiring new people in terms of recruitment,
- 10:40getting them onboarded, getting them upskilled is so high that like in my mind,
- 10:45I would do anything to get the beast people in to my team.
- 10:48Even if that means kind of navigating around various aspects of it.
- 10:53So you think it's totally valid to not say you're pregnant in the hiring process
- 10:58and that you shouldn't have to wait until three months before you go to disclose.
- 11:01You should be able to say it without penalties or being treated badly in the time
- 11:06that you're there while pregnant.
- 11:07Ideally, yes.
- 11:09And I think it would be really probably up to the vibe of the hiring manager
- 11:14and like what the vibe you kind of get from the organization.
- 11:17Like I was really fortunate.
- 11:19So I got promoted while I was pregnant at Cuba Bank.
- 11:21I was very open about being pregnant.
- 11:23You know, my leaders knew that I had a miscarriage.
- 11:25I was clearly trying to get pregnant.
- 11:27It was never even really a thing.
- 11:29Like I kept it really separate.
- 11:31So I was like, yay, exciting.
- 11:32I'm a pregnant.
- 11:33And then I applied for this role and I didn't mention throughout the hiring process
- 11:37that I was pregnant because it wasn't relevant to whether or not I was the best candidate for that job.
- 11:42And the only time it came out was at the very end when I was having a conversation with my boss
- 11:46around handover and stuff like that was he was just like, so you know,
- 11:50let us know if there's any extra flexibility that you'll need.
- 11:53And like awesome.
- 11:54So so lucky.
- 11:56And obviously I had a number of years of trust and rapport and things built up.
- 12:00But like for me, becoming a mum being pregnant has nothing to do with whether or not
- 12:06you're the best person for a job.
- 12:08So that is incredibly challenging.
- 12:10And there is still such a long way to go in terms of making sure that that isn't seen in a negative light.
- 12:17Okay, let's get into the markets.
- 12:19Well, let's get into what's been happening in the world.
- 12:21So I mean, the one massive, I mean, if you've been living under, I don't know, I was about to say a rock,
- 12:28but what's something even bigger than a rock?
- 12:30I don't know.
- 12:31I think.
- 12:32Yeah, if you've been living under a nice boat, then you may have missed us.
- 12:36But the markets are not having a stunning time, are they?
- 12:39No, they are not.
- 12:41So yeah, Monday of last week was the S&P 500's worst day since 2022.
- 12:48Shit, was it?
- 12:49Yeah, yeah.
- 12:50No, that's bad.
- 12:51Yes.
- 12:52So it had over a 10.1% from its peak, which was only three weeks earlier in February.
- 12:58Wow.
- 12:59So three weeks before that it was at a peak.
- 13:01All time high.
- 13:02Oh my gosh.
- 13:04Yeah, absolutely tanked essentially.
- 13:06And so this is called what they call a market correction.
- 13:09And this drop is worth like $5 trillion US dollars.
- 13:12Oh, $5 trillion.
- 13:14Yeah.
- 13:15It almost sounds like fake money.
- 13:16And it just doesn't even just, like, you've no idea what even a trillion is, they're on fire.
- 13:20Exactly.
- 13:21Yeah.
- 13:22So there's too many companies to really list out that are down.
- 13:24But like all of the magic seven, all of the big kind of companies are reporting a decrease in their share price.
- 13:31And yeah, it's pretty crazy time.
- 13:33It has bounced back a little bit.
- 13:35So Friday we saw a slight bounce back.
- 13:37But it's still the worst week since early 2023.
- 13:40And so this is a like market-wide ball.
- 13:44This isn't tech companies selling a ball.
- 13:47This isn't, I don't know.
- 13:49This is a really across the board.
- 13:51All companies have had a real shocker.
- 13:52Yeah, there are outliers.
- 13:53But by and large, like the market's just completely rattled.
- 13:57So can we talk about correction for anyone that doesn't understand what that means?
- 14:01Yeah.
- 14:02What actually do you mean by a market correction?
- 14:04So a market correction is defined as a drop between 10 and 20%.
- 14:08For like a short period of time.
- 14:10And when it goes longer and deeper, so like 20% plus, then it becomes what they call a beer market.
- 14:15And that's going to give it kind of a recessionary type, type territory.
- 14:19And so beer market for anyone that doesn't know, I think this is such.
- 14:22This is what Vic always explains.
- 14:24Well, because you can have a beer market or a ball market.
- 14:27And a beer, if you imagine when they attack, they go down on their prey.
- 14:31So it's like the idea of a beer market is like tanking downwards essentially.
- 14:35A ball goes down and up.
- 14:37So that's kind of the way to think about it when you hear a ball or beer market.
- 14:40Which I think is good to admit because otherwise you're just like,
- 14:43why are they using animal eggs correctly?
- 14:45And I think it's worth noting, it sounds super, super scary.
- 14:48But these corrections happen pretty regularly.
- 14:50So the last one happened, I think about 11 months ago.
- 14:53And since the stock market reported on things from,
- 14:57since I think it was 1929,
- 14:59there have been over 50 market corrections.
- 15:02Okay.
- 15:03So it's not all as kind of scary as the headlines are necessarily making out yet.
- 15:07It's if it is one of the corrections that then moves into a beer market state,
- 15:12that will get things kind of more worrying.
- 15:14So let me just repeat this back to you.
- 15:16So the idea of market corrections, they happen all the time.
- 15:19All the time.
- 15:21And it's almost like a, like a quick little panic in the stock market.
- 15:26And then it sort of rebalances.
- 15:28Like, am I going to fall? Am I going to fall?
- 15:30I'm losing my balance.
- 15:31No, I've managed to like stand away two feet again.
- 15:33Whereas if you're heading into a beer market, a correction,
- 15:38sometimes can turn into like, no, actually we're here to stay.
- 15:41This is not going to be good for the next little while.
- 15:43That's happened about 20, I think it's 22 times over the last almost 100 years.
- 15:47So it's not a no, but it's kind of one to watch.
- 15:50But I guess again, this rhetoric is what Vic always says around dollar cost averaging,
- 15:55not trying to time the market continuing on.
- 15:58Is that if you're in a vest and you take a diversified long, long approach,
- 16:01then you should be in with a grin.
- 16:03Yeah, and I think that's such a great point because I actually weirdly feel excited
- 16:09about a market correction or a dirt because I am not scared.
- 16:14I mean, yeah, maybe even if it's for three years, the market's down.
- 16:17I'm kind of like fine. I'm investing for a long period of time anyway.
- 16:20Exactly.
- 16:21And I think that that's something that we've spoken about,
- 16:24honestly, till the cows come home, haven't we?
- 16:26Yes.
- 16:27And we will keep on hammering that home because anyone that is new to investing
- 16:31or maybe not super, super clued up yet and trying to,
- 16:35it might feel scary that this has happened.
- 16:37But I mean, it's been ages since one.
- 16:39Yeah.
- 16:40You know, like, it's just it's just part of investing.
- 16:42Yeah, exactly.
- 16:43So what happens in the world, the market reacts.
- 16:46I think that's the thing that's made sense to me with the Curve Weekly podcast
- 16:49is when you start to understand the things that are happening in the world,
- 16:53you then understand how it's impacting the market.
- 16:56Look, it's such an obvious correlation.
- 16:58There's so much happening in the world right now, particularly with Trump in power.
- 17:02Exactly.
- 17:03That, of course, this is happening.
- 17:04Yeah, it's chaos.
- 17:05Exactly.
- 17:06So speaking of Trump and why this has all happened.
- 17:08So the main drivers of why there's been this market,
- 17:12Wobble, is so there's steel and aluminium or aluminium.
- 17:16Teriffs have come into effect.
- 17:19I kind of love aluminium.
- 17:20Aluminum, I know.
- 17:21It does sound, it sounds a lot less clunky, doesn't it?
- 17:23Aluminum.
- 17:24Over there, like, Kiwi Bogan Accentus, like aluminium.
- 17:27But.
- 17:29So janina.
- 17:30So janina.
- 17:31Yeah.
- 17:32I mean, I'm a southern gal.
- 17:33It's like hard to get in.
- 17:34Not be silly, you know, but rough around the edges.
- 17:36But, um, so that's the main driver.
- 17:38So that's coming to effect and that impacts, you know, markets all around New Zealand.
- 17:42I'm all around the world, sorry.
- 17:43But sorry, what has come in with aluminium and steel?
- 17:46What is that?
- 17:47So, um, so Trump has put tariffs on all steel and aluminium being imported into the U.S.
- 17:53Okay.
- 17:54Um, with the idea of being that he wants U.S.
- 17:57made steel and aluminium wood.
- 17:59It's using like a whole bunch of manufacturing stuff.
- 18:01Obviously, like cars hold, hold, hold your being.
- 18:04But the challenges, so with steel, they import about 25% and aluminium aluminium.
- 18:09Aluminum, I'm going to say aluminium the whole time.
- 18:11Let's just go with aluminium.
- 18:12Aluminum, they import about 50% of their, their needs.
- 18:15All proud.
- 18:16What would you be if you're in aluminium business that you're importing?
- 18:19Yeah.
- 18:20You're all of a sudden like, oh, cheers Trump.
- 18:22Now our business is totally super, super scary.
- 18:25And you can see that businesses will be kind of, you know, very conservative
- 18:28with making moves right now, um, because of that probably.
- 18:32Yeah.
- 18:33And it's also just, for a long time, the world has profited off the U.S. economy.
- 18:39Yeah.
- 18:40And the U.S. economy has kind of bolstered up the rest of the world, but particularly with investing.
- 18:43Because most of us invest in the S&P 500 or in U.S. based companies.
- 18:49The fact that Trump has like, not actually, this is ours, like get off it.
- 18:54Yeah.
- 18:55It's sort of how it feels.
- 18:56It feels like all of a sudden he's trying to cut off.
- 18:58Yeah.
- 18:59America from the rest of the world, which means, and we obviously don't know how this is
- 19:03necessarily going to play out, but it's a weird feeling.
- 19:05It's super weird.
- 19:06And it's really polarizing competitors initial term.
- 19:09So he was like, butted up to the stock market.
- 19:12He saw that as an indicator of kind of buoyancy of his economy.
- 19:16Now he just doesn't seem to give a shit.
- 19:18Because the other thing, the other main driver that really rattles investors
- 19:23is that he said that his policies may be recessionary.
- 19:26They may cause a recession.
- 19:28So that is the biggest driver.
- 19:30So the tariffs coming into effect.
- 19:32And then the fact that he's like, yeah, yeah.
- 19:34My policies might cause a recession and just doesn't seem to care.
- 19:37What is just like...
- 19:38Actual health.
- 19:39Honestly, wild.
- 19:40Like, it's just bamboozling.
- 19:41Like get whiplash looking at all the different stuff trying to be like, boost it on.
- 19:45Haven't all the people that voted for him voted for him because they want to see America
- 19:49grade again and profiting.
- 19:51And then he's all of a sudden saying, kidding, there's going to be a recession.
- 19:54Like, what does he have to say about that?
- 19:56Like, who... every day he says something different.
- 19:58So how does he know?
- 19:59But American consumers probably didn't realize the impact that these tariffs
- 20:03would have on the day-to-day goods.
- 20:05Because not only as steel and aluminum a real issue,
- 20:09the other really interesting area of tariffs,
- 20:12which I did a lot of research on was alcohol.
- 20:15That's it.
- 20:16So, yeah.
- 20:17So Mexico, obviously produced tequila, can only be made in Mexico.
- 20:21And the US...
- 20:22God bless Mexico.
- 20:23God bless Mexico.
- 20:24It's stunning, stunning country, delicious food, delicious drinks.
- 20:28And the US imports 80% of all tequila production.
- 20:32And what I found that was quite funny is that celebrity tequila brands
- 20:36are even more impacted than the other ones that are owned by the big, big guns,
- 20:41like DRGO and things like that.
- 20:43Because they are less likely to have sophisticated supply chains,
- 20:46less likely to have the kind of the backing of all these big companies
- 20:50to kind of keep them in negotiate deals and things
- 20:54to kind of keep the prices stable.
- 20:56So, you know, Kendall Jenner, the rock, Matthew McConaughey,
- 21:00there's all these celebrities.
- 21:01They have these tequila companies.
- 21:02George Cliney.
- 21:03George Cliney, I think he's sold...
- 21:04Yes, a mega.
- 21:05Did he sell?
- 21:06I feel like he sold his for a shitload of money at some point.
- 21:08No, I can't.
- 21:09But yeah, so this big trend, they're going to be really hitting the pockets.
- 21:12I imagine a lot of those are not Trump supporters,
- 21:15so there'll be even more of them.
- 21:16Well, yes.
- 21:17Well, I mean, I guess you never know.
- 21:18Yeah, exactly.
- 21:19But what they are doing to combat it is...
- 21:22So, there was a 35% increase in imports of tequila to America in January.
- 21:26So, because it's a long-life product,
- 21:29like it doesn't go off very quickly,
- 21:31they're clearly like getting it in before the tariffs come into a feat.
- 21:35And then the CEO of Calabase's beverages,
- 21:39which is the name of Kendall Jenner's company.
- 21:41So, I'm point Calabase also.
- 21:43I was like, this is just too much.
- 21:45Yeah, he was saying they'll stop piling.
- 21:46Wait, what's it called?
- 21:47Calabase's beverages, which is like that.
- 21:49So, if you watch the Kardashians,
- 21:50Calabase is like the fancy suburb that they live in.
- 21:53Okay.
- 21:54It's like Southern California.
- 21:56So, it's just like all very like so-called.
- 21:58But, and he was saying that,
- 22:01a, yet they stop piling,
- 22:02and then b, that also, unfortunately,
- 22:05pulling back on hiring people,
- 22:07pulling back on innovation.
- 22:08And so, that's like what we'll continue to see,
- 22:10which is like super disappointing.
- 22:11God, and also you would only have so much to import.
- 22:15Like, you know, it takes so well to make tequila
- 22:17and things like that.
- 22:18So, I mean, while they can batch import
- 22:20before tariffs come in,
- 22:21that's not a long-term solution.
- 22:23And inevitably, they pass on the cost
- 22:25to the consumer and the other ones that suffer.
- 22:27Oh, God, and it's already expensive.
- 22:29Exactly.
- 22:30So, yeah, not a good time.
- 22:32The other key really interesting thing
- 22:34about the alcohol tariffs that have come into effect.
- 22:37So, this kind of needs to be seconded out,
- 22:39because it's a bit of like tit for tit.
- 22:41So, Trump puts tariffs on the steel
- 22:44and aluminum from Europe.
- 22:46And then, in retaliation,
- 22:48they say, okay, American whiskey.
- 22:50So, bourbon.
- 22:51So, you have champagne can only be made in France.
- 22:53Yeah.
- 22:54Bourbon can only be made in America.
- 22:55Oh, I didn't know that.
- 22:56Yeah.
- 22:57I don't need that.
- 22:58Super interesting.
- 22:59So, wouldn't it be my drink of choice?
- 23:00No, neither actually.
- 23:01I hate bourbon.
- 23:02Yeah, it reminds me of, like, teenager's coatings.
- 23:04Say, like, I've seen...
- 23:05Oh, my God, coatings.
- 23:06Yeah.
- 23:07But, yeah, so, they have a 50.
- 23:09So, they retaliated by saying,
- 23:10we're going to put 50% tariff on bourbon American whiskey
- 23:14and then, Trump has turned around and said,
- 23:15well, like, stuff you, we're going to put 200%.
- 23:18It was threatening to.
- 23:19It was not confirmed.
- 23:20200% tariff on alcohol coming in from Europe.
- 23:24Which is just insane.
- 23:26But, what is really...
- 23:27So, the stocks...
- 23:28So, Hainakin, European-based liquor companies
- 23:30took a little bit of a hit with that news.
- 23:32What is really interesting?
- 23:33So, that last week was talking about Louis Vuitton,
- 23:36by Hennessey,
- 23:37in the ships in...
- 23:38Oh, yeah.
- 23:39...in the luxury side of the business.
- 23:41They obviously have the liquor side of the business,
- 23:43which I think is worth about 6 billion US annually.
- 23:46Obviously, as Moe,
- 23:48they're all of these amazing little brands.
- 23:51And because the liquor brands have been struggling,
- 23:53haven't they?
- 23:54Particularly champagne.
- 23:55Yeah, exactly.
- 23:56And then, there's an over-edited overlay
- 23:58that Bernard Arno,
- 24:00big dog, spoken about a lot on the pod.
- 24:02So, for anyone that doesn't know this,
- 24:03Bernard, Bernard.
- 24:04Bernard?
- 24:05I think that's the same.
- 24:06Oh, no, yeah.
- 24:07Bernard, old, something anyway.
- 24:09Yeah.
- 24:10He's like the richest man in the world.
- 24:11And he owns LVMA.
- 24:12So, he owns essentially all of these brands
- 24:15that are owned by Louis Vuitton, Moe, Hennessey.
- 24:18Which is heaps of luxury brands, heaps of other brands, etc.
- 24:22So, he has had a longstanding relationship with Trump,
- 24:24since, like, the 80s.
- 24:26Oh, really?
- 24:27And he was at his inauguration,
- 24:29like, sitting with other billionaire boys
- 24:31of like Elon Musk.
- 24:32Oh, the billionaire boys, sorry,
- 24:34I just dropped my microphone.
- 24:35Yeah.
- 24:36So, and he pays off exactly.
- 24:37Yeah, really?
- 24:38Surely.
- 24:39Surely, you should be picking up the phone
- 24:42and being like, bro, did you think about your threat
- 24:45that it would impact me and like, all of that dynamics?
- 24:48So, it'll be so interesting to see if they follow through
- 24:50in the threat or if like, there is enough,
- 24:52because clearly in his administration,
- 24:54individuals have a lot of power.
- 24:55So,
- 24:57But I can't imagine how annoyed you would be
- 25:00if your BFF is essentially wiping out.
- 25:03A shit ton of your own personal money.
- 25:06You'd be like, can you not?
- 25:08Yeah.
- 25:09But even the fact that they have pulling power
- 25:11just as billionaires and mates
- 25:13over an entire world's economy
- 25:16is scary.
- 25:17So bizarre.
- 25:18It is.
- 25:19Because if you think about the types of,
- 25:20I mean, I don't know what Bernard's like,
- 25:22but I don't know what any of those men are like.
- 25:24Obviously, I've made some serious judgments over my time.
- 25:28But I don't know.
- 25:29I mean, who knows what they're like.
- 25:30The point is, is there's a tiny small amount
- 25:33of incredibly wealthy people
- 25:35that are able to control the literally global trades
- 25:41based on their own personal vested interest
- 25:44on making money through their business.
- 25:46It's bizarre.
- 25:47Like Trump going out and saying that he's buying a Tesla.
- 25:50Are you joking?
- 25:51Like, go away.
- 25:52Just because Tesla is absolutely tanking it,
- 25:54you've decided, oh God, I could just go on about this.
- 25:57I know.
- 25:58It's so annoying.
- 25:59Yeah.
- 26:00But there's also some good and interesting news
- 26:03coming out at the moment as well.
- 26:04Okay.
- 26:05So giving me something positive.
- 26:06Yeah.
- 26:07So let's take a wee breather from tariffs.
- 26:08They are, like, it's one of those things where I'm really
- 26:10sick of talking about Trump and tariffs and all the stuff.
- 26:12But like, it's just unavoidable.
- 26:13Like, we would just be not up with a play
- 26:15and at least we didn't cover it and do that.
- 26:16I wonder if we could rename them.
- 26:17Because even just the word tariffs is sounding to you.
- 26:19And I can't spell it.
- 26:20No.
- 26:21Like, two hours, the two weeks.
- 26:22The two weeks.
- 26:23The one hour.
- 26:24It is confusing, isn't it?
- 26:25Maybe we call them baby teas or something.
- 26:28Someone will say, like, a snippet of this podcast.
- 26:30And they'll be like, who's this chick?
- 26:31This is aluminum and like, baby tea.
- 26:33Like, what were they thinking?
- 26:34Getting her to fill in for that.
- 26:36So Pepsi.
- 26:37Obviously, they've Pepsi.
- 26:38A whole bunch of other beverage brands.
- 26:40They also have snacks.
- 26:42Do they have snacks?
- 26:43Yeah.
- 26:44So in the UK, they own walkers.
- 26:45Risps.
- 26:46Walkers walkers.
- 26:47Oh, my God.
- 26:48I think I love these.
- 26:49Yeah.
- 26:50They're pretty popular chap.
- 26:51They also have Doritos.
- 26:52And in New Zealand, they have Bluebird.
- 26:54And in months, other brands.
- 26:56But just so everyone.
- 26:57Oh, yeah.
- 26:58So basically, they've got a lot of different.
- 27:00They keep stuff.
- 27:01Yeah.
- 27:02Like, all those big companies, like Unilever or Procter and Gamble,
- 27:04they have like lots and lots of different brands.
- 27:06So they, it's being widely reported that they're in late stage talks
- 27:11to acquire this company called Poppy.
- 27:13So I hadn't heard of it mostly because it's predominantly in the US.
- 27:17But it's a really, really, really cool company.
- 27:21And Pepsi isn't talks to buy it apparently late stages
- 27:24for over $1.5 billion in US dollars.
- 27:26Sure.
- 27:27That's what I actually really liked their brand name.
- 27:29Just stunning.
- 27:30Absolutely.
- 27:31Absolutely stunning.
- 27:32Yeah.
- 27:33Cool.
- 27:34It's really cool.
- 27:35Oh, I like the look of this.
- 27:36Yeah.
- 27:37It feels fun.
- 27:38It feels fruity.
- 27:39It feels young.
- 27:40It feels cool.
- 27:41Exactly.
- 27:42Yeah.
- 27:43Exactly.
- 27:44So they have only been around since 2018.
- 27:45Wow.
- 27:46This is super new.
- 27:47Yeah.
- 27:48They got the big break on Shark Tank.
- 27:49So the American version of Dragonstone.
- 27:51Got it.
- 27:52And literally like a husband and wife duo
- 27:55who were like, we want to create drinks that are kind of better for you
- 27:59than what we currently have out there.
- 28:02Oh my god.
- 28:03She went on Shark Tank nine months pregnant.
- 28:04Yes.
- 28:05Also with her second child.
- 28:06Cool.
- 28:07Like, absolutely insane.
- 28:08And what they've managed to do was they, with my marketing head on,
- 28:12they have had like a laser focus on their branding.
- 28:14As you said, it's like super fun.
- 28:16It articulates what they're trying to sell really, really clearly.
- 28:21They jumped on trends really quickly.
- 28:24So they were an early tech talk.
- 28:26They sold by Amazon and they launched during the pandemic.
- 28:30And so all of these things have come together to really craft
- 28:33this beautiful brand story and set of products.
- 28:37I'm looking at it now.
- 28:38It's like, she obviously is mixing fruit juices
- 28:41with apple cider vinegar, prebiotics and sparkling water.
- 28:44I mean, the idea of functional drinks
- 28:46and things that are better for you is so genius.
- 28:49Exactly.
- 28:50So functional drinks is becoming this really massive category
- 28:55within drinks.
- 28:56And what they mean by functional is some added health benefit.
- 28:59So it's no longer the kind of the taking away stevia vibes.
- 29:03It's, okay, what can we add into drinks to make them better for you
- 29:07or have more function?
- 29:09Well, it's kind of stemmed from originally kombucha, right?
- 29:12Kombucha classed as a functional drink.
- 29:14And it's probably probiotics of kombucha.
- 29:16Totally.
- 29:17And which is, which they had fiber to it for like gut health.
- 29:22Well, I mean, like even in the weekend,
- 29:24I bought a kefir drink.
- 29:25Nothing.
- 29:26It's stuff like that.
- 29:27It's kefir.
- 29:28It's like adaptogens.
- 29:29It's all sorts of stuff that are essentially,
- 29:31they're trying to commoditize health
- 29:33but in the drink industry, essentially.
- 29:35Which is so genius because they've done it with vitamins
- 29:38and supplements.
- 29:39Exactly.
- 29:40They've done it with like, you know,
- 29:41the food industry massively.
- 29:43But drinks has kind of remained untouched for a while.
- 29:46So this feels, yeah, it makes so much sense.
- 29:48All of a sudden, I'm like, this is actually a genius
- 29:50investing idea in terms of like the future of drinks.
- 29:55It's probably less alcohol.
- 29:57100%.
- 29:58And like maybe just less stuff that's bad for you.
- 30:01Like maybe even coffee will end up being replaced
- 30:03with things like matcha or other functional, you know?
- 30:06Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 30:07Basically, like just everyone's trying to optimize their health.
- 30:09100%.
- 30:10Yeah, and I think it's really interesting that like a big corporate
- 30:13like Pepsi is saying we're putting like billions of dollars
- 30:16of like beating, but this is the thing.
- 30:19And what's really interesting,
- 30:21it'll be watching, seeing how this play out,
- 30:23seeing more products come to market in New Zealand.
- 30:25We see some really cool startups like Moody.
- 30:28It's created a pre-botic soda.
- 30:29It's just gone to market.
- 30:30There's obviously like no ugly and adepyre
- 30:33and all of these functional drinks.
- 30:34So true adepyre, that's such a good point.
- 30:36Yes.
- 30:37So you're seeing kind of all come to fruition.
- 30:39And it's off the back of the fact that,
- 30:41yeah, people drink less than they used to.
- 30:43They don't want to put necessarily as much shit in their bodies.
- 30:46Yeah.
- 30:47And it's very exciting to watch.
- 30:48And the good thing about if this acquisition goes ahead
- 30:51is that if you invest in the S&P 500,
- 30:54Pepsi is an S&P 500 company,
- 30:56you're also investing in poppy.
- 30:58And poppy, potentially, if this goes ahead.
- 31:00I really love this.
- 31:01And I think it's such a good example of seeing a trend early on,
- 31:05because this is something we could even talk about in the investing club
- 31:08about what other companies either are public
- 31:11or are close to being public.
- 31:13And how can we benefit from this?
- 31:15Because I reckon it's going to be huge for someone
- 31:17like myself who is definitely health conscious.
- 31:20And also, I don't drink a lot,
- 31:22but I also feel so boring when I'm not having a drink.
- 31:26I want to still enjoy a drink with friends,
- 31:28but I don't like waking up feeling like total ass the next day.
- 31:32And when I was pregnant, this became really apparent as well.
- 31:35Is that the market is getting so much better
- 31:38in terms of non-alcoholic alternatives,
- 31:40whether it be 0% beer,
- 31:42like at the F1 on the weekend, bandwagon, F1.
- 31:45That's the F1.
- 31:46A Formula One watcher.
- 31:47The main sponsor on the track is Heinrich & Zero.
- 31:51Really?
- 31:52So you can see all the companies around the world are starting to be like,
- 31:55okay, actually, we have to adapt,
- 31:57or otherwise we're going to get left behind.
- 31:59Yeah.
- 32:00And so it's super, super interesting.
- 32:01And when I was going out,
- 32:02I didn't want to have a sugary coke or a juice.
- 32:04I want something that makes me feel like I'm still part of the crew
- 32:08enjoying the ritual of having a beverage,
- 32:11but it's not being something that's going to make me feel really average.
- 32:14I love this.
- 32:15I think this is such a cool story.
- 32:17Yeah.
- 32:18And it's a beautiful brand.
- 32:19They've done such a good architecture around it.
- 32:21So from marketing perspective, just fizzing.
- 32:23Yeah, love this.
- 32:24Literally fizzing.
- 32:25We are fizzing.
- 32:26One of the things I wanted to speak about,
- 32:28and I don't know if this is something you're open to,
- 32:30but Tesla, for me,
- 32:33this is something we've again spoken about in the club,
- 32:36and I'm still unsure as to how I feel about it,
- 32:39but I'd love to do a quick update on what we saw in the last few weeks,
- 32:44because this is one that's been hit hard,
- 32:46and it's also someone that's in bed with Trump.
- 32:48So it's kind of weird to think,
- 32:50you know, some of these massive billionaires that have been by his side
- 32:54are now looking at their companies
- 32:56absolutely going down and down and down.
- 32:59Yeah.
- 33:00So Tesla took the biggest hit, essentially, of the week.
- 33:04So in 2025,
- 33:05It's a smashing like Tesla,
- 33:07then hitting the face with like a wet face or something.
- 33:10The Elon Musk dude,
- 33:11I know that Zuckerberg was like saying he was going to be a fighter whatever.
- 33:14So Tesla stops at down 30%,
- 33:17in 2025 alone,
- 33:19and 15% in the last week.
- 33:22That's crazy.
- 33:24So they have lost,
- 33:26so they went massively up when Trump wanted to power,
- 33:29but in nature of Elon and Trump.
- 33:31And they've just absolutely lost any game that they had.
- 33:34And it's so interesting,
- 33:36because people,
- 33:38like the market follows what people think is going to happen, right?
- 33:41So originally, people thought,
- 33:43okay, so Elon Musk and Donald Trump are mates,
- 33:48which means Donald Trump is going to put stuff in place
- 33:51that's going to benefit Tesla.
- 33:53But not only, like my take on this,
- 33:55not only is Tesla being hit in the face,
- 33:58like a wet face with a wet face,
- 34:00because everyone is just revolted
- 34:03with his being in like a friendship with Trump.
- 34:06But then on top of that,
- 34:08all of the sort of like,
- 34:10I guess, investor sentiment
- 34:12or how people are like,
- 34:13there's vandalism,
- 34:14there's like, people are off-ish.
- 34:16People are getting bumper stickers that say like,
- 34:18I bought this car before Elon lost his mind and stuff like that.
- 34:21Like, if I owned a Tesla,
- 34:23I'd be quite nervous about the resale value.
- 34:26If that's something that was important to me.
- 34:30And I think it's really, really interesting
- 34:32when you think about it, again,
- 34:33with my marketing head on,
- 34:35from a branding perspective,
- 34:37and when an individual is so closely related
- 34:40to a brand and a product.
- 34:43So, you know, you're in Vic,
- 34:44you know, make sure you don't do anything to dodgy.
- 34:46Because your personal brands are like,
- 34:48intrinsically linked with the curve.
- 34:50And when it goes wrong,
- 34:52you saw this with like Kanye Weston,
- 34:53Yeezy and stuff as well.
- 34:55That's a good point.
- 34:56Is that like,
- 34:57the ramifications from a reputation perspective
- 35:00are huge.
- 35:01It should be huge and damage your business.
- 35:03Like, I think in Germany,
- 35:05sales are down 76% in February,
- 35:08versus the February before.
- 35:1076%,
- 35:13versus the year prior.
- 35:15And like, I think your point around
- 35:17the face of a brand is such a good one.
- 35:19Because while it can catapult it in the right direction,
- 35:21it can catapult it in the wrong direction.
- 35:24And you make some bad moves, yeah.
- 35:26And it's a lot of pressure, you know.
- 35:28And even if we thought about the curve,
- 35:30it's true. Like, we're all human.
- 35:31We all make mistakes.
- 35:32Yeah.
- 35:33There is a very real fear that you could say something
- 35:35and just get totally canceled.
- 35:37Because that's the reality.
- 35:38You have to be so aware of how you're speaking
- 35:42and talking.
- 35:43And when I say influencing,
- 35:45I don't mean like influencer.
- 35:47I just mean,
- 35:48if you are saying stuff that people are listening to,
- 35:50you have to be aware of how that's going to be interpreted
- 35:53and the impact that it has.
- 35:54And so while that can be a really good thing,
- 35:57what we've seen with Elon is that
- 35:59it can be a really good thing for a while
- 36:01and people see him as this innovation gang
- 36:03who just like sees the writing on the wall
- 36:05before happens in blah, blah, blah.
- 36:07But everyone's just offered.
- 36:09No one wants to be associated with the brand
- 36:11because of him as a person and what he represents.
- 36:14And it's just like quite fascinating
- 36:17to watch it all unfold.
- 36:19It's super fascinating.
- 36:20Like the stock, you know,
- 36:22taking the long-term view,
- 36:23we're going to try and keep it big proud.
- 36:24It's still up 500% over the last five years.
- 36:27So it's not all doom and gloom in that mind.
- 36:29But I guess if you're thinking about it moving forward,
- 36:32do we think it's going to rebound
- 36:35or is it kind of an end of an era?
- 36:37What do you think?
- 36:38I have never personally been a big Tesla fan,
- 36:41but I don't feel like I'm the target audience for it.
- 36:44So I think historically it's kind of been quite progressive.
- 36:48Like Silicon Valley vibe people that drive Tesla's.
- 36:52And if you think about what Elon's doing
- 36:54causing up to Trump,
- 36:55he's alienated the entire group of consumers.
- 36:58And then you overlay the fact
- 37:00that there's less incentives for green ventures.
- 37:03So people aren't getting their rebates on green cars
- 37:06and there's so much competition.
- 37:07Why is that?
- 37:08What's the green rebate thing?
- 37:09So in lots of countries,
- 37:10there is incentives for people to buy electric vehicles.
- 37:13Is there not anymore?
- 37:14And a lot of them have been one back.
- 37:16So when you feel like when the government changed over,
- 37:18the green incentives to buy electric cars got one back.
- 37:21So there was like a stimulation of demand
- 37:24due to kind of discounting of price.
- 37:26And now that's been removed.
- 37:28And then you also add,
- 37:29and I think you guys talked on this about this company
- 37:31a few weeks ago, BYD.
- 37:33Yes, yes.
- 37:34So much more competition.
- 37:35So yeah, for me,
- 37:37I'm personally not the biggest Tesla fan.
- 37:39Obviously it's in the S&P 500.
- 37:41So you're kind of pseudo-going along for the ride.
- 37:43What do you think?
- 37:44I think you've always been really passionate about it.
- 37:46I don't like Elon and anything he stands for.
- 37:48It's so interesting.
- 37:49My perception has changed a lot in the last week.
- 37:51And even speaking to you last night,
- 37:52and we were just chatting about what we would talk about,
- 37:55I hearing you say,
- 37:57and I think you said,
- 37:58if I was to buy an electric vehicle,
- 37:59I'd go and get a European car that was just happened to be an EV.
- 38:03I wouldn't go and buy particularly a Tesla,
- 38:07because I don't really, not only do I,
- 38:09I mean, which I agree with,
- 38:10and I'm the same.
- 38:11If I had the money to invest in an EV,
- 38:13it would not be a Tesla.
- 38:14No, and like, my life's said,
- 38:15it's not super practical with a Labrador and a baby.
- 38:17No, it's really not.
- 38:18Yeah.
- 38:19But I think it's just like a real masculine brand.
- 38:21If I was to spend that much money on a car,
- 38:23I think I would do a more traditional car brand
- 38:26that happened to be a electric.
- 38:28Me too.
- 38:29But yeah, are we the people that Tesla wants long-term probably use?
- 38:33Currently probably no, but yeah,
- 38:35they've done a really good job of passing off
- 38:37their existing customer base.
- 38:38Yeah, which is super interesting.
- 38:40And I guess also, my main takeaway here is,
- 38:43I would imagine a lot of Trump supporters
- 38:46are probably not Tesla buyers.
- 38:48Yeah.
- 38:49It's almost a double whammy.
- 38:50It's like, he's alienated his existing actual customer base.
- 38:53Yeah.
- 38:54And he's also winding back all of these,
- 38:56like, climate initiatives and stuff.
- 38:58But then his promoting is my Elon electric car.
- 39:01Like, it's just, again, it's come, like,
- 39:03come Bob gelating.
- 39:04Just come Bob gelating.
- 39:05Yeah.
- 39:06You don't know where to look.
- 39:08So, like, honestly, who knows?
- 39:11Yeah, I think, I think if I was to invest in Tesla,
- 39:14it would be tiny, tiny bits.
- 39:16Yeah.
- 39:17And just to see what happens,
- 39:18it's definitely not a, I want to invest in this company
- 39:20because I want to see it grow.
- 39:21Yeah.
- 39:22I'm more just like, it's doing so badly
- 39:24for me.
- 39:25Yeah, it's a buying opportunity.
- 39:26Exactly.
- 39:27Yeah.
- 39:28Let's just do a quick, a few quick headlines.
- 39:30Things that we've seen that we don't need to go into too much detail on.
- 39:32One of them, one of the things that Vic has spoken a lot about
- 39:35is Versace and the luxury space.
- 39:38Yes.
- 39:39And I know you wanted to speak about an update that you've seen.
- 39:41Yes.
- 39:42There.
- 39:43What's been happening?
- 39:44Yes.
- 39:45So, last week, Vic mentioned around a potential takeover of Versace
- 39:47by Prada.
- 39:48Yes.
- 39:49Who also own MUU, which is like their star performing brand.
- 39:51Yeah.
- 39:52And in the last couple of days, Donna Tella Versace.
- 39:55Oh, beautiful pronunciation.
- 39:58Thank you.
- 39:59Try a bit of an aluminum.
- 40:02She has stood down as the creative director of Versace.
- 40:06Oh, my God.
- 40:07I saw Doa Lepa post about that.
- 40:09So, she must have been posting as like, you're an icon.
- 40:12Exactly.
- 40:13So, she's been the creative director ever since her brother died
- 40:16and I think the 90s.
- 40:17Wow.
- 40:18So, like, 28 years or 27 years or something like that.
- 40:21And she's been replaced with the former design director
- 40:25who finished up in January at MUU.
- 40:28So, nothing's been confirmed.
- 40:30But, solidifying your place as a potential buyer
- 40:33by, you know, planting someone who has had great experience
- 40:37and success at the potential buyer company,
- 40:41super, super interesting.
- 40:42So, let's so hold on.
- 40:43Sorry.
- 40:44So, MUU.
- 40:45So, Prada is buying Versace.
- 40:47Prada also own MUU.
- 40:48Yes.
- 40:49And they're putting MUU's creative director into Versace.
- 40:52Into Versace.
- 40:53So, that feels like another kind of like...
- 40:57Tech.
- 40:58Tech to what was told about last week
- 41:00of maybe it's hitting that direction.
- 41:02Also, I wonder what will happen with MUU though,
- 41:04because they're the shining star.
- 41:06And obviously, whoever that creative director is knows
- 41:08what the hell they're up to.
- 41:09I wonder who they'll put in there.
- 41:10Yeah, exactly.
- 41:11Can we speak about the Euro situation?
- 41:14And with everything happening in the world in America,
- 41:17the potential opportunity with Europe?
- 41:20Yeah.
- 41:21And what's going on there?
- 41:22Yeah.
- 41:23So, Germany is at the moment trying to put through legislation
- 41:26to be able to increase their debt,
- 41:28to increase their government spending,
- 41:30to spend more on defence, for obvious reasons.
- 41:33And what that means, generally, is more spending,
- 41:37is indicates more growth in economies.
- 41:40So, if you think about the last few years,
- 41:42but the pandemic, spending stimulated demand.
- 41:45Yeah.
- 41:46So, if that legislation goes through,
- 41:48then it will stimulate spending in Europe,
- 41:50and you saw their markets increase a little bit off the back of that news.
- 41:53It's quite interesting, because I feel like there was some kind of link
- 41:58from World War II, and their spend,
- 42:01and the reason why they refused to go into debt,
- 42:04like they were before.
- 42:05And this is the first time they've loosened or changed that,
- 42:08and increased their amount of debt that they have,
- 42:10because they kind of feel like they have to.
- 42:12Yeah.
- 42:13So, is the idea of this that they could potentially be opportunity within
- 42:16European markets?
- 42:18Yeah.
- 42:19And we might see growth elsewhere,
- 42:21than relying so heavily on the US.
- 42:22Yeah.
- 42:23And so, you're exactly right.
- 42:24So, the other part of it is that,
- 42:26there's the Germany increase in their spending,
- 42:28and there's also the fact that, because the US is such a shamozo
- 42:32in the markets at the moment,
- 42:34people are looking to other markets naturally.
- 42:36Do you think there's ever any other podcast
- 42:39that talk about the markets as a shamozo?
- 42:42I don't know.
- 42:43It's like my favourite word, shamozo or palava.
- 42:45I love them.
- 42:46I love them.
- 42:47I love them.
- 42:48And I couldn't agree more.
- 42:49There are total shamozo.
- 42:50Yeah.
- 42:51So, yeah.
- 42:52So, you're seeing the investors,
- 42:54be rattled with the US, look to other markets,
- 42:57and it's widely predicted,
- 42:59and you're kind of seeing the flow of money
- 43:01that Europe is going to be a big benefit of that,
- 43:03as well as kind of Asian markets as well.
- 43:05I wish that the EU was still attached to the UK.
- 43:08No.
- 43:09For that reason, like, you know,
- 43:11if Europe does start flourishing,
- 43:13and the UK did too,
- 43:14but it's just like...
- 43:15The UK will be part of that kind of catchment as well.
- 43:17I know.
- 43:18I just wish we were all still friends.
- 43:20Yeah.
- 43:21It's working, yeah.
- 43:22And there's one last thing that we were going to touch on,
- 43:24and it's a bit...
- 43:25I have to admit something I did today,
- 43:28which is...
- 43:30I was going to say off-brand,
- 43:31but it's not off-brand at all.
- 43:32So, I was listening to the radio with my dad.
- 43:35He listens to ZB in the morning.
- 43:37Love it.
- 43:38Which is, you know,
- 43:39for anyone that's not in New Zealand,
- 43:40it's a talk backstage station.
- 43:42We're honestly the only people that call up
- 43:44at, like, 65 plus.
- 43:46So, we were...
- 43:47I was in the kitchen,
- 43:48and Dad had on ZB in the background.
- 43:50They were talking about Kiwi Saver.
- 43:53Yes.
- 43:54And whether or not, you know,
- 43:55we should be increasing, you know,
- 43:57the amount people have to put to full proceed
- 43:59or if it should be mandatory,
- 44:00blah, blah, blah, blah.
- 44:01Anyway, I was like,
- 44:03I should call in.
- 44:04And my dad was like,
- 44:05Oh, my gosh.
- 44:06You should.
- 44:07Did you do it?
- 44:08I called in.
- 44:09Did you get all right?
- 44:10Yeah, I called in,
- 44:11but I will hold on, mate.
- 44:12So, I called in,
- 44:13right now.
- 44:14I should have listened to that.
- 44:15So, basically, I called in,
- 44:16and then I panicked,
- 44:17and I was like, Oh, I don't have time
- 44:18to listen to this.
- 44:19I hung up.
- 44:20I had a shower.
- 44:21I like, you know,
- 44:22I started getting ready for my day.
- 44:23And then I had a miss call,
- 44:24and I thought,
- 44:25Oh, I don't know who that could be.
- 44:26So, I called it back.
- 44:27Because it wasn't the number I'd call.
- 44:28Gotcha.
- 44:29You know, it turns out it was ZB calling me back.
- 44:30I'm going to make it.
- 44:31They had no idea who it was.
- 44:32They were obviously just, like,
- 44:33desperate for callers.
- 44:34And we're like,
- 44:35Oh, we'll call this person, Max.
- 44:36Anyway, they...
- 44:37Then,
- 44:39What happened?
- 44:40I ended up on ZB,
- 44:41talking to Carrie,
- 44:42someone,
- 44:43about the importance of Carrie's favourite.
- 44:44And I...
- 44:45I don't know.
- 44:46I only think 15 minutes,
- 44:47yabbering away,
- 44:49about how...
- 44:50Incredible.
- 44:51It was so...
- 44:52My dad was obviously
- 44:53listening in the kitchen.
- 44:54Well, I was after my bedroom.
- 44:55You weren't the person that had the feedback
- 44:56of the radio in the...
- 44:57Oh, right.
- 44:58No, I didn't.
- 44:59But I was like,
- 45:00had my window open,
- 45:01and I was like, You know what, Carrie?
- 45:03Like, just really?
- 45:04And then you knew I opened up the door,
- 45:05and dad was like,
- 45:06I recorded the whole thing.
- 45:07I was like, Oh, God.
- 45:08But anyway,
- 45:09Yeah.
- 45:10Basically,
- 45:11there's some stats that have come out about...
- 45:12About...
- 45:13Can we say about...
- 45:14About the disproportionate amount
- 45:16and men's accounts to women?
- 45:17So can we chat about some of that?
- 45:19Yes.
- 45:20So, for the second year in a row,
- 45:21the Retirement Commission
- 45:23has reported that there's a 25% difference
- 45:26between the...
- 45:27The...
- 45:28Can we say the balances of men and women?
- 45:30And this is a topic super passionate to my heart.
- 45:32I actually did a talk on it
- 45:33in my workplace last year around
- 45:35why this is...
- 45:36Don't you?
- 45:37Yes.
- 45:38Like, you stuck and didn't...
- 45:39Yeah, we got...
- 45:40Yeah, we got...
- 45:41Like, can we say the provider in?
- 45:42We got some experts from across the business.
- 45:43Cool.
- 45:44Because, like, so, yeah,
- 45:45there's 25% difference
- 45:46and can we say the balances
- 45:47between men and women?
- 45:48So that's...
- 45:49And it's been the same over the last two years.
- 45:50And there are some obvious...
- 45:51And some not-so-obvious drivers of this.
- 45:53And it's not things that will change overnight,
- 45:55but it's hopefully things that, you know,
- 45:57as a society,
- 45:58we can continue to elevate.
- 45:59So the first one is obviously that...
- 46:01There are a lot of women
- 46:03who have lower paying jobs than men.
- 46:04So if you think about lots of, like,
- 46:06the care industries and all those kind of things
- 46:08that are unfortunately
- 46:09and undeservedly lower paying.
- 46:11So true.
- 46:12They are contributing less,
- 46:14just because...
- 46:15Because they earn less.
- 46:16They have less to contribute.
- 46:17Because if you're contributing
- 46:183% of $100,000 salary,
- 46:20it's very different to a $25,000 salary.
- 46:22Exactly.
- 46:23And then there's obviously
- 46:24that issue with pay parity,
- 46:26so that men often earn more than woman for the same job.
- 46:29So lower earning jobs,
- 46:32potentially also,
- 46:33not only inspection for the same jobs.
- 46:35The other thing is obviously they take time out.
- 46:37That's a huge one, isn't it?
- 46:39Yeah, and then they re into the workforce
- 46:41may not necessarily re-enter full-time.
- 46:43So a lot of it is to do with the idea
- 46:47that we don't earn as much,
- 46:49not only within, like, the role that we're doing,
- 46:52but we then take time out,
- 46:53or we come back part-time.
- 46:54So there's a huge chunk of a woman's life,
- 46:57where they're just can, like,
- 46:59contributing significantly less,
- 47:01for many kind of more lifestyle reasons
- 47:03in terms of taking time out.
- 47:05And then another really interesting reason
- 47:07is that often in the household,
- 47:09some will say,
- 47:10oh, one person can do KiwiSaver.
- 47:12And to me, that is just so scary.
- 47:14Obviously it's relationship property,
- 47:16so let's explain that for people who don't know.
- 47:18Yeah, so KiwiSaver is
- 47:20determined as relationship property,
- 47:22so at least you have a contract out agreement.
- 47:24Which is like a pre-knock.
- 47:26Like a pre-knock, exactly a pre-knock in New Zealand.
- 47:28You guys have a great upset on that.
- 47:29We actually do,
- 47:30and I've just recorded another one,
- 47:32because as I'm about to try and get into the property market,
- 47:35I was like, this is something I need to sort of refresh,
- 47:37but actually for anyone that wants to listen,
- 47:39who's interested in contracting our agreements,
- 47:42let me just get this up,
- 47:43because it actually is a really good episode.
- 47:44Really good episode.
- 47:45Here we go.
- 47:46Raising the Kiwi episode 57,
- 47:48everything you need to know about pre-knocks.
- 47:50So with that, essentially,
- 47:52it's your retirement savings shared,
- 47:55so relationship property at its core,
- 47:57like in the most simple turn.
- 47:59It's nothing to do with property or houses.
- 48:01It's your shared assets that are considered shared
- 48:04that would be split 50-50 if you separated.
- 48:07So are you saying a lot of people
- 48:09don't contribute or only one does?
- 48:11Yes.
- 48:12Because they're like, well,
- 48:13we're both going to get access to it.
- 48:14Yes.
- 48:15And that in some ways makes sense,
- 48:16but also from like a female independence,
- 48:19having access to money,
- 48:21as well as there's very different,
- 48:23it's very different to be entitled to money
- 48:25and having access to money.
- 48:27And also, the woman is potentially
- 48:29missing out on the government contributions,
- 48:31employer contributions.
- 48:33So we were really reminded by these experts
- 48:36that we spoke to last year that, like,
- 48:38everyone should, ideally,
- 48:39if you can afford it,
- 48:40obviously not everyone's in the position to contribute,
- 48:42but if you can,
- 48:43get a Kiwi saver,
- 48:44make sure you're not missing out on any of the free money
- 48:47that's available to you.
- 48:48But also, like a way to go about that could be,
- 48:51if you think, okay,
- 48:52well, we don't have enough for both of us to be.
- 48:54Yeah.
- 48:55Contributing, because I'm not working in you are.
- 48:58Yeah.
- 48:59Totally valid makes so much sense.
- 49:01Split the amount that you're investing
- 49:03between yours and his.
- 49:04Exactly.
- 49:05Like, just take the exact same contribution
- 49:07and put it between the two,
- 49:08so that you've got it in your name.
- 49:09Yeah.
- 49:10And these heaps of funds,
- 49:11right, that you can mimic Kiwi saver,
- 49:13but it just runs effectively.
- 49:14Oh, true.
- 49:15So you could totally eventually have matching funds,
- 49:17if you wanted.
- 49:18That's quite a good idea.
- 49:19I love that.
- 49:20Yeah. So it's pretty sad in terms of
- 49:21not seeing any progress in that space,
- 49:23but hopefully, you know,
- 49:24we can all kind of continue to advocate
- 49:27for education around it.
- 49:29Yeah.
- 49:30And that woman will continue to champion it.
- 49:32Can I just say Rachel,
- 49:34I think you have absolutely nailed this.
- 49:38No, seriously.
- 49:39I don't know about that.
- 49:40No, seriously.
- 49:41You have clearly done so much research
- 49:44and a sole clue to it.
- 49:45It was really nice to use my brain
- 49:47for something other than, like,
- 49:48making sure I'd nailed nap time.
- 49:50No.
- 49:52No, honestly, I've loved this.
- 49:54Like, thank you so much for being on the part.
- 49:56No, thank you so much for having me.
- 49:57I've spent awesome.
- 49:58And yet, I hope I have a couple of us
- 50:00like a total creep.
- 50:01And just my fandom of the curve.
- 50:03But I just, like, have so much admiration
- 50:05for whatever you guys are doing.
- 50:06Oh, thank you.
- 50:07And like, the exponential knowledge
- 50:09sharing that's happening is super cool.
- 50:11Oh, thank you. That actually really means a lot.
- 50:13And yeah, loved having you.
- 50:14So, you know, you're hired for next week.
- 50:16So we'll see you again next week.
- 50:18Yeah.
- 50:19Maybe we do Friday.
- 50:20So we can sort the admin off.
- 50:21Let's go.
- 50:22Yeah, totally.
- 50:23But yeah, thank you so much to everyone
- 50:25else who did get in touch to try
- 50:27and be the fuller for Vic.
- 50:29I think we're going to do this more.
- 50:31Just because it's really fun to give other people
- 50:33the opportunity to be on the podcast.
- 50:34And also, it's really good for Vic
- 50:36and I'd be able to have a holiday.
- 50:37Yeah.
- 50:38You deserve it.
- 50:39Yeah.
- 50:40We really do.
- 50:41So thank you for listening.
- 50:42And yeah, we'll be back next week with Rachel.
- 50:43Awesome.
- 50:44Thanks.
- 50:45Thank you so much for listening to The Curve Weekly.
- 50:47Make sure you hit the subscribe button
- 50:49to stay up to date with all the many
- 50:51business stock market news.
- 50:52And if you like what you heard,
- 50:54we would love a review.
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- 51:09Bye.
- 51:10Bye.
- 51:11See you next Tuesday.
- 51:13Well.
- 51:14See you next Tuesday.
- 51:16I mean Monday.
- 51:18No, actually though, new episodes
- 51:20out every Tuesday.
- 51:24Okay, quickly, The Curve was created
- 51:26to empower and educate you about investing,
- 51:28but we are not financial advisors.
- 51:30Our platform exists for educational purposes only,
- 51:32and it doesn't provide personalized
- 51:34investing advice for your individual needs,
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