Latest / Toadstool Sports / Friday BEST BETS | MLB & NHL & NBA | 4/3/26

Transcript

Friday BEST BETS | MLB & NHL & NBA | 4/3/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: So that's that's how I'm gonna start off this show.
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Horrible Sunday one and five.
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: slump continuing.
• 0:24
  Speaker 2: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. Own
• 0:27
  Speaker 2: four that have not had a good season.
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: my Bruins hat man. I don't know what is going
• 0:44
  Speaker 2: on with the Bruins. Arch eight? Is that what it is?
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: I don't even know it's March ninth, I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: even knows? Man, I don't know what day is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: But I don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: can possibly have with you, as I always am.
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: Doing this. I don't know what to even tell you
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially ended.
• 1:28
  Speaker 2: All these losses stay with me, but they fester. Jerry,
• 1:35
  Speaker 2: what's up, everybody? It's towed back with you.
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: Toadstool Sports, Friday, April third, own one on the show
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: yesterday as we lost with Winnipeg.
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: They didn't score, so they weren't gonna be able to
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: get that done.
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty surprised. I thought it was the right spot
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: for it. Got some of the other things right yesterday.
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: I was correct about both of those tosses up with
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: baseball games. Had some of the other hockey games right NBA.
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: Maybe my reads were not as good. College basketball not
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: really either, but whatever, We're gonna move on today. There's
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: no college basketball today. Very strange scheduling really for college
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: of basketball as the final four for I guess the
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: crown is gonna happen on the same day as the
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: actual final four, and then the NIT final I think
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: is Sunday, and then of course the actual tournament final
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: is Monday, and then I guess the crown also will
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: be I don't even know. Or the crown might be
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: Sunday as well. I don't even know, man, the crown
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: might be Saturday Sunday. I have no idea. I don't
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: know what they're doing here. But today I don't like
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: the board at all. Today we do have a full
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: baseball board, and usually these starts of series, I usually
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: have some good situational angles. I don't really like it today.
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: I will give up one play today. I don't even
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: know if I like that. To be honest, I'm gonna
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: I'm getting into the system right now here, all right
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: there it is. And then yeah, there's two hockey games.
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: Not really interested in those. NBA skipping again. NBA, dude,
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have definitely gonna have NBA plays once the
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: playoffs start. But this end of seasons stretch, it's like
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: so difficult to find actual good plays in the NBA.
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: So that's just the way that it is.
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about baseball. We have a bunch
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: of afternoon baseball here. Most teams did not play yesterday
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: because you have a lot of teams traveling.
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: New series starting today. For the most part.
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: When that happens, I do think that the offenses tend
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: to cool off a little bit when you have days off,
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: and it helps the bullpens obviously, because the bullpen's are rested.
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: So unders in general kind of makes sense in these
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: types of spots. And I do have one under today,
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: but it is it's in a game where the teams
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: did actually yesterday, so you could probably infer what it
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: is from that. But Dodgers at Washington's the first game
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: up here, Washington, They're ass I mean, this could possibly
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: be the best team in baseball versus the worst team
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: in baseball, which is why the Dodgers are a massive
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: road favorite here, one of the biggest road favorites that
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: you'll see Washington. Don't buy into their early season record,
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: That's what I'll say. They're not that good.
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: They're returning on from a road trip.
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: And I know I tend to like to fade teams
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: that are returning on from road trips, but not necessarily
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: in this case, because these teams are having their home
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: opener and Washington's not going to overlook the Dodgers, you know,
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: So it's not really a situation where I'm like, oh yeah,
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna just blindly fade these teams, and in fact,
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: I'm not fading any of them today. I'm gonna look
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: into this Connor Griffin, guy man for the Pirates here.
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what position he plays. He kind
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: of looks like Paul Skeins. He's getting the call up
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: for the Pirates.
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: I guess I don't know.
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: But anyway, this game neither bullpen played yesterday, so the
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: bullpen's arrested. I do actually have the bullpens stats up here,
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: but I don't know how much we want to read
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: into this yet. Washington, I think we know their bullpen's
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: not actually good, even though they're only twenty first right now,
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: arranged by Whip. But we still only have a week
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: worth of data, so I don't think I'm really gonna
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: go into this too much here. I do have the
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: hitting stats up as well. By ops, if you look
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: at all these numbers right now, Miami is like the
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: best team in the league, which I'm pretty sure that's
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: not accurate, So I don't think we're gonna go by that.
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: Although Washington actually has had a good offense so far,
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: we know the Dodgers are the better team all around here,
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: the better offense, better bullpen, better starting pitcher on the mound.
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think we have to go into
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: too much detail here. Emmett Sheen is pitching for the Dodgers.
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: I do actually think he's good. Had kind of a
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: rough debut against Arizona. There at least a pretty good offense.
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: He did have a six to two strikeout walk ratio,
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: which wasn't that bad, but he didn't go deep into
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: the game, did give up some runs. Miles michel Us
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: pitching for Washington. We faded him here on the show
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: in his first game, got a pretty easy win with
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: the Cubs. In that game. Michel Us, He's not very
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: good man. He's an aging junk pitcher. He got kind
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: of knocked around in that game. Did give up a
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: couple of unearned runs in that game as well. But
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: I prefer shean out of the two starters here as
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: the young, more talented pitcher in my opinion. Money is
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: coming in on Washington, though, and I think it is
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: really all about the price. With LA being up to
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: minus two point fifty sixty two percent of the tickets
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: on them, sixty nine percent of the cash on Washington.
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: I'm not interested in the Dodgers here. I guess we
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: do have to look at the starting pitchers versus the
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: opposing bats before I throw.
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: This game to the wind.
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: Here, she and only as nine at bats worth against Washington.
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: They're four for nine, often with two of them runs,
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: though one strike out, no walks. They have actually hit
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: him in a very limited sample size. Mikolas against the
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: Dodgers not good stats at all. In a big sample
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: size one hundred and ten at bats three hundred and
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: thirty three, thirty six batting average, oney, eleven ops, twenty
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: one to five strike out walk ratio. The low walk
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: number is really the only good thing that he has
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: going for him there. Dodgers should win this game, but
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: it's a matter of the price. Like I said, the
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on Washington in the money line
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: market here. I'm not interested in it at all. I
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: think the Dodgers should win. If you wanted to do
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: anything with it, Dodgers over their team total maybe makes sense.
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: You know you're gonna get nine innings of it bats
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: out of them. They're facing just bad Washington pitching throughout
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: this game. She and more of a question mark that
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: would allow you to take him out of the equation completely.
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: So that's probably what I would do if I was
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: gonna do anything with that game at all. Saint Louis
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: at Detroit reminding me of that World Series matchup from
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: back when I was in college or whatever.
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: Weird matchup.
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: Actually, these interleague games, you know, dispersed throughout the season.
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: Now.
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis just beat the Mets two games in a row,
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: so they could be in a little bit of a
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: letdown spot off of that. Not that they're really gonna
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: overlook Detroit, but you know, coming up beating the Mets,
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: beating the Mets is a pretty satisfying thing. Detroit is
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: coming off getting swept by Arizona and they've lost four
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: games in a row. Obviously, I don't think Detroit is
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: as bad as they look right now. They are having
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: their home opener here today, as many teams are, which
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: might motivate them a little bit, although they are returning
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: home from being out of the Pacific Coast and then
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: in Arizona. So I don't love that really, the fact
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: they're returning home from a road trip and haven't been
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: home for a while, because that could give you a
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: bit of a distraction there, although I don't think Detroit
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: going to really overlook anybody right now with how many
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: losses they've taken in a row. But looking at the
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: starting pitching matchup, Michael McGreevy is pitching for Saint Louis.
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: He did well in his opener. He actually no.
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: Hit Tampa Bay for six innings. He he's really hard
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: to figure out man. He looks really good in some
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: cases and he looks really bad in other cases. So
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: I still don't really know what to do with him
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: going up against Detroit. They've never seen him before, so
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: that should give him a little bit of an extra edge.
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: When pitchers are decent pitchers who haven't been seen before
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: by the opposing lineups, they usually have a little bit
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: of an advantage from Ervaldez pitching for the Tigers. He's
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: new to the Tigers this year. He had a good
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: first start as well at San Diego pitcher friendly park,
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: but solid start with six innings, want to and run,
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: allowed five strikeouts, one walk. He does not have great
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: numbers against the Cardinals though in twenty four at.
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: Bats not a big sample size.
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: Five to one strikeout walk ratio is fine, but he's
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: been hit pretty hard by the two ninety two batting
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: our seven to seventy eight ops against them. Given that
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: the returnover from the road trip and whatever, I do
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: kind of have a slight lean towards uh, towards Saint
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: Louis in this one man. Detroit's up to minus one
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: sixty eight here, you could get Saint Louis on a
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: run line, maybe split run line, money line, something like that.
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: Eighty eight percent of tickets, ninety one percent of the cash.
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: On Detroit here.
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be a very public side, like people will
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: will expect them to bounce back now they're back at home,
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: and I'm not one hundred percent sure that's gonna happen.
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: I think given the starting pitching matchup, like the specific
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: matchup numbers, you might tilt.
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: The scales towards McGreevy just a little bit.
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: Even though in general I think Valdez is the better pitcher,
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: but maybe not in this specific matchup. Bullpen wise, hitting wise, yeah,
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: you might have to give Detroit the edge in those
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: departments though, So that makes it a little bit difficult.
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: First five innings is a potential play as.
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: Well, because, like if Detroit's gonna get hit by that,
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: you know, return home bug. It might happen earlier in
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: the game more so than later, and then you are
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: really focused on just the starting pitching matchup, where maybe
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: the most value is.
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: On Saint Louis.
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: So Saint Louis first five actually might be the preferred
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: approach there for me, but obviously I don't want to
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: touch that game. Rio, what's up man? Thanks for hanging
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: out Miami at the Yankees.
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: Both teams are five and one.
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: I would not be misled by Miami's record, though we
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: all know the Yankees are the better team here. Yankees
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: are still the better offense. There might be an argument
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: that Miami has the better bullpen here. We still don't
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: really know how improved the Yankees bullpen will be from
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: last year's disastrous bullpen season, although I think the Yankees
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: did have some metrics that would indicate that their bullpen
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: shouldn't have been as bad as it was last year,
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: Like they gave up a lot of hits with runners
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: of scoring position and whatever.
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: They look better this year so far.
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: Starting pitching, probably I do prefer Miami's starter in this one.
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: As far as the situation, of course, all the teams
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: I've talked about didn't play yesterday, so we have rested
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: bullpens in all these cases.
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: For what that's worth.
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: Miami, they've had the easiest schedule in the league so far.
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: Man they beat Colorado and the White Sox at home,
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: so again, don't buy into their record too much.
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: Yankees are having their home opener here, but they are
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: returning over from the Pacific Coast, so you know, having
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: to travel cross country come back home, that.
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: Could be a little bit of a distraction.
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: So that is something to keep in mind there. Juri
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: Perez pitching for Miami. I think you could make the
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: argument he is.
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: Their best starter.
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: He had a really nice start in his opener. Granted
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: it was against the Rockies, who suck, but he went
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: solid seven innings, eight strikeouts, one walk, three earned runs allowed.
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: He did well in that outing and up against the Yankees,
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: he actually does have pretty good numbers as well, bad
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: small sample size one forty three. Average allowed is very low.
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: They haven't been able to hit him well five forty
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: six oh ps, five to five strike at walk ratio.
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: The walks are really kind of the only issue there,
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: which is kind of the case with Perez. He's he
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: throws hard, he gets a little bit wild sometimes. Will
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: Warren pitching for the Yankees. He was better at home
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: significantly than on the road last year, so pitching at
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: home maybe better for him, although looking at his two
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: ERA this season so far is kind of misleading because
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: he actually didn't pitch that well. Of course, that was
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: on the road though, against the Giants pitcher from the
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: Park Giants not the greatest offense, but he didn't make
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: it five innings in the game. He put too many
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: guys on base, two walks, five hits in four and
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: a third.
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: That's bad.
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: He's somehow escaped and only one and run allowed, but
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: he easily could have allowed more than that.
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: Three strikeouts as well.
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: Will Warren, I mean, I don't think he's as horrible
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: as made he looked last year. I don't think he's
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: great either, but at home is kind of where he's
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: more of a play on pitcher, and the Marlins have
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: actually never faced him before, so he might have a
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: little bit of an extra edge there because he is
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: where he pitches better, and he is pitching against the
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: team that's never faced it before. So I'm with rested
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: bullpens here as well. That actually have been pitching well
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: to start the season. I like the under in this game.
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: It's gone down for mat and a half to eight already,
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: but you're in no man's land kind of. There's no
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: key number there, so under eight makes sense to me.
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: And this one seventy five percent of tickets on the
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: over sixty one percent of the cash on the over,
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: so the money is agreeing with that.
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: This one was closer to making my card, dude. Even
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: though I know the Yankees, they.
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: Do play in a hitter friendly ballpark, but it's still
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: early in the season. It's still a little bit on
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: the cooler side up here, I believe. Whoops, I wanted
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: to look at this Yankee game here up, I brought
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: it up in the wrong window.
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: But whatever.
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: It's fifty nine degrees game time for the Yankees there
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: and cloudy, so that might keep the balls in the
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: park as well. Maybe no long balls there in that game,
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: who knows. I would definitely recommend switching to a style
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: of underwear with no flying.
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: No fly zone. Is that what you're telling me. I'm
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: not wearing that under it.
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: Okay, you gotta do it, man.
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: You got long balls there, long balls. You've got long
• 15:21
  Speaker 2: ass balls. I've got long balls.
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: You see his balls, right?
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: Would you say my balls are unusually long?
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: They're a bit more distended than the average testicles.
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: You got long ass balls there, long ball laring.
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: That's a new name. I've got long balls.
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: Long balls.
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: Change the drawlls. Okay, fine, all right, there's a new
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: drop right there, Kyle, what's up?
• 15:45
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out. You're going to opening day? I
• 15:49
  Speaker 2: will not be in attendance there.
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: I got, you know, some birthday festivities going on and
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: stuff like that. Here, enjoy that gamefully. The Red Sox
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: actually win. Oh and it just so happens a good time.
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: And because that's the next game here, Red Sox against
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: San Diego. This is an interesting game.
• 16:09
  Speaker 2: Actually.
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: San Diego of course doesn't have to travel across country
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: for this. It will be the Red Sox home openers,
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: so they might get up for it. Red Sox are
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: not as bad as their one to five record makes
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: them look.
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: They had some close losses.
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: They played every game on the road so far, they
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: faced two mediocre teams, so the Red Sox were not
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: facing the easiest opponents really either, although they should have
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: a better record than this. But again, I think they're
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: better than the record, but indicator and there's no way
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: their offense can continue to be as bad as it
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: has been.
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: San Diego.
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think they're as bad as the
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: record looks either though. Right now Red Sox are traveling
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: back though they're returning over from a road trip I
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: should say, from Cincinnati Houston. So a lot of times
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: you do want to fade teams are turning over from
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: road trips. But again I dial that bad little bit
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: when it's the team's home opener, because I do think
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: they get up for it. There's a lot of hype
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: surrounding it, especially with like Yankees, Red Sox teams like that.
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: Michael King will be pitching here. Well.
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: First of all, both bullpens are rested here. I think
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: San Diego does have the better of the two bullpens here,
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: even though it hasn't really looked like it so far.
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: But I'm still kind of going based off of last year,
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: even though again I do have the stats up here,
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: but I still don't know what we really want to
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: read into this. You know, Red Sox bullpen hasn't been
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: very good either so far, But you could make the
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: argument both these bullpens are better than they appear so far.
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: Michael King pitching for the Padres here. He was not
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: good on the road last year. That is one thing
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: I will point out. He pitched way better in San
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: Diego's pitcher friendly park last year, and in fact, his
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: ERA was almost three runs higher on the road last
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: year five point three to three road ERA, but it was.
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: A pretty small sample size.
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: He was hurt for a while, but still he wasn't
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: good on the His first outing this year looks pretty good.
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: He gave up one hit in five innings against Detroit,
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: but he walked too many guys. He walked four guys,
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: so he kind of got lucky allowing nowher and runs
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: in that outing there. Again, that's kind of what he
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: does sometimes he has too many walks. But he is
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: pretty unhittable against the Red Sox. His numbers are mediocre
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: in forty four at bats, pretty solid fourteen to two
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: strikeout walk ratio. But he's a lot a lot of
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: hard hits two fifty batting average, seven to fourteen ops
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: against them.
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: So the Red Sox have been able to hit him. Okay.
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: Red Sox are going with Sonny Gray, who is new
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: to the Red Sox this year. He's got to bounce
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: back from that first outing where he really he wasn't
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: as bad as it kind of appears. He had five
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: strikeouts one walk in four innings, so if you go
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: by strike out walk ratio and I do factor that
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: in pretty heavily, he was actually better than Gray than
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: King excuse me, was in their openers. He had that
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: one really bad play where he completely mishandled the ball
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: he was where he should have just thrown it to
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: the catcher to get the guy out at home.
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: I don't know what that was.
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: I think he should be in line for a bit
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: more of a bounce back here. Gray against San Diego, though,
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: does not have good numbers, so that is a concern.
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: One hundred and thirty seven at bats, thirty eight eight
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio. Gray usually has good command man
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: he usually does have very few walks and a decent
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: amount of strikeouts, but he gets hard hit a lot,
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: and that seems to be the case here three fourteen
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: batting average allowed to them, nine oh six ops. So
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: those numbers are definitely concerning if you're looking for player props,
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: which I don't usually talk about. Manny Machado has absolutely
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: wrecked him twelve for thirty five with three home runs
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: and a couple of doubles, two walks. So I recommend
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: hits plus runs plus RBIs because that way, if your
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: guy walks, he.
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: Can potentially get you an RBI if it's.
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: On a basis loaded walk, and he could still come
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: around to score, so you're not completely dead with that
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: at bats.
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: So that's the way that I look at things.
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: So you know, player prop rise Machado over hits, us
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: runs puss RBIs maybe makes sense there.
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: Hey, I got it right with Judge in.
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: The second game of the season, all right, So not
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: really a props guy though, But yeah, what do we
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: want to do with this game? I don't know, man,
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: I mean this is a stay away completely from me.
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: Money is sort of indicating on the Red Sox. They
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: dropped for minus one thirty five to minus one nineteen. Again,
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: I do think they're better than the record makes it
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: look so far. Oddsmakers are basically telling you this is
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: a toss up. Maybe there is some value with the
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: Red Sox money line right now basically being below home
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: field advantage at this point, because I think home field
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: probably is about twenty cents in baseball, fifty eight percent
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: of tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash on the
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: Red Sox. I'll just hope, you know, and root for
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox here. But that's all I can really say.
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: Money also seems to be indicating on the under in
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: this game. For what it's worth, I see some arguments
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: for it because basically, both starting pitchers are usually good,
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: and you know, you have like rested bullpens, but both
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: starting pitchers definitely have their question marks, you know what
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: I mean.
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: Again, King was really bad on the road.
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: Gray doesn't appear to be very good against San Diego,
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: so those are definitely concerns with that.
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: So I'm not touching the game at all.
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: Toronto at White Sox, White Sox, these teams are actually
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: supposed to play yesterday and the game was rained out.
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: I don't know, it was postponed early. It must have
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: been a rain out. I mean, this is in Chicago,
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: so I presume it was a rain out because it
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: wouldn't have been if it was in Toronto because they
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: have a roof. Because I was thinking about it, I was like, wait,
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: what White Sox home opener here? The returning home from
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: a road trip. You know, you could make the argument
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be distracted by the return home, but probably
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: not because, I mean, White Sox only have one win
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: on the season. They're playing a team that's projected to
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: be a playoff team again in Toronto, the team that
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: won the Al last year. I mean, you're not gonna
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: overlook Toronto. Toronto coming into this of a decent four
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: and two start to the season, but they did lose
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: their last game and their last series to the Rockies,
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: which is pretty ridiculous. So they might actually be focused.
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: For this game. After losing to the Rockies.
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: They do not want that to happen again against the
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: White Sox, so Toronto may show up for this one again.
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: We have rested bullpens here. I think you're gotta give
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: the bullpen edge to Toronto in this one. Don't cease
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: is pitching for Toronto. He may have some newfound stuff.
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: I mean, who knows now that he's coming out with
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: long hair and a huge mustache. It looks like he's
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: been hanging out in like the eighteen eighties wild West
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: for a while now, so maybe he's better. I don't know,
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: he's been like all over the place throughout his career.
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: Man Like wasn't good. Last year was quite good the
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: year before that. I still don't know what like. I
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: don't know how to handicap cease at this point. He
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: had an interesting start against the A's in his first
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: start where he had a ton of strikeouts twelve strikeouts
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: and five and a third innings, two walks, only give
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: up one in and run was pretty unhittable, three hits allowed.
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: The thing about Ceas is, yeah, he gets impressive amounts
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: of strikeouts, but he's inefficient. He doesn't go that deep
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: into games most of the time because he's wild walks guys,
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: gets a lot of strikeouts.
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: He throws too many pitches.
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: In this case, he threw ninety pitches, so they had
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: to take him out around that time, especially because it
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: was his first start of the season and they wound
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: up almost losing that game. Still, but Cease, you know,
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: he was pretty good for the most part. The strikeouts
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: are really impressive. His numbers against the White Sox are
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: very cease like. Forty eight at bats fifteen strikeouts is
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: a ton, but seven walks also very high. One eighty
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: eight badd average allowed, six twenty four ops so the
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: ops is a lot higher than the average would suggest
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: that it would be because again, he's allowed some hard
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: hits here, a couple of home runs here. So it's
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: I guess you could make the argument that cease is
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: kind of predictable where he's gonna get a lot of strikeouts,
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: walk too many guys, throw a lot of pitches and
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: usually not get hit that hard or well, usually he
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: doesn't give up that many hits, but some of the
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: contact that does get made against him is hard. He's
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: going up against Grant Taylor, which I don't know what
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: we're gonna get out of him. Man, he's been in
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: there in the bullpen, but he's a young guy, twenty
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: three years old, so I think they are trying to
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: make him a starter. It looks like he's already made
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: two bullpen appearances this year and maybe to kind of
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: warm him up a little bit. Uh. He hasn't pitched
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: since the twenty ninth of March, so it seems like
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: what they did is they got him warmed up a
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: little bit and then said, Okay, we're gonna put you
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: on a starting you know, in the start of rotation. Now,
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: put you on this arts rest now so it's really
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: unclear how many innings you're gonna get out of him
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: in this game. Toronto actually has faced him a little
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: bit and seven at bats, three strikeouts, no walks, only
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: one hit a single from George Springer, one forty three
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: batting average allowed two eighty six ops. So you know, Taylor,
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: the fact that he's fairly unknown, he might have a
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: little bit of an advantage here.
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: It's it's a weird game, dude, very weird game.
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: Money coming in on the under, and I kind of
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: agree with the under here. The total open at nine
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: and a half and it's all the way down to
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: seven and a half. I think the books must have
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: taken it off the board and just put it back
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: out at a lower number. I think probably because the
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: White Sox probably switched their starting pitcher.
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: I would imagine, is what happened here, and that.
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: Caused the number to come out way lower than it
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: was otherwise. Sixty four percent of tickets on the over,
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: seventy three percent of the cash on the under.
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: I don't really disagree with the under here.
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: I mean, you got to deal with the bullpens, especially
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: the White Sox bullpend here though, first five inning under
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: might make more sense because you might get tailor for
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: the majority of that at least, and that's what you're
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: kind of going for if you do that, But you
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: have to go probably under three three and a half,
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: which gets a little bit dicey if you want to
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: do that. As I always say, so, I don't love it,
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: but that is kind of the way that I see
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: that game. As far as the side, I don't think
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: there's any way you can lay minus two hundred on
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: the road with Toronto here ninety seven percent of tickets,
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: ninety eight percent of the cash on them. I don't
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: really see a way that there's any value in playing
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: the Toronto side here, even though I did say they
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: should be motivated after losing to the White Sox. So
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: you know, I still don't really love it though, because
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: you just don't really know what their offense is gonna
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: get done in this game. So I do still think
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: that some sort of under is probably the way to
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: look at that game, but again I don't love it
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: at all. Reds at Rangers here this game. Again, neither
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: team played yesterday. The Reds coming off losing to the
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: Pirates at home, not a great series for them, might
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: serve them well to just go out on the road
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: focus on some baseball. Texas, this is their home opener.
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: They started the season at Philly and at Baltimore, played well,
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: won both series. Texas pitching has been holding up still
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: so far.
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: Texas.
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: You know, again return home spot could be a little
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: bit distracted, but then again, home opener, they could be
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: up for the game. I'm gonna give Texas a bullpen
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: edge in this one. I do think they have the
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: better bullpen, kind of continuing last year. Continuing from last year,
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: Brady Singer is pitching for the reds He's decent. I mean,
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: his numbers don't look good, but he was okay. In
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: his first start against the Red Sox.
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: Only went four innings.
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: Again, these first starts, you really don't want to weigh
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: them that much. He gave up three on runs, five strikeouts,
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: two walks. They took him out after seventy four pitches,
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: Like a lot of these teams are trying to make
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: sure their pitchers don't get overworked. Singer against Texas has
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: been pretty good. In fifty two at bats, nineteen to
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: five strikeout walk ratio in one seventy three batting average,
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: allot five seventy three ohps. So yeah, Singer good numbers
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: against the Rangers, for sure, He's going up against Mackenzie
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: Gore and Gore, you know, he was struggling with Washington.
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: Now that he's on a better team, Texas and Texas dude,
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: Texas seems to have the best pitching coaching in Major
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: League Baseball, because this team seems like they can take
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: any pitcher who's struggling.
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: And make it better.
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: Like Patrick Corbin actually wasn't that bad with them. McKenzie
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: Gore actually is a talented pitcher with good strikeout stuff,
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: and maybe Texas with their pitching coaching, maybe they're actually
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: gonna make him good. They're gonna they're gonna make Gore
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: great again. Man, Muga. He pitched decent against Philadelphia, although
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: again he threw too many pitches, which is kind of
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: what Gore does. He gets a lot of strikeouts, he
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: does walk too many guys, and that's exactly what he
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: did in that game. He went five and a third,
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: only touring runs allowed against a very potent Philadelphia lineup
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: on the road.
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: That's not bad.
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: Seven strikeouts, three walks had to take him out. He
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: threw ninety pitches. But you know, overall, Gore.
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: That's a decent sign for him.
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: At least it was a pretty good start from him
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: going up against Baltimore or no, not against Baltimore. Who
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: are we playing here?
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: I already forget Rangers against Reds. Yeah, Cincinnati Reds against
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: the Reds.
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: He actually has pretty bad numbers against some thirty five
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: at bats fourteen to seven strikeout walk ratio. So again,
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: a ton of strikeouts, but a ton of walks, three
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: fourteen batting average allowed. That's kind of Ungore like. He
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: usually doesn't allow that many hits ops allowed. So he
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: has gotten hit pretty hard by the Reds. So I
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: don't really want to jump jump in here on Gore. Here,
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: Texas is up to minus one sixty seven, which seems
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: kind of insane. Eighty three percent of the tickets, ninety
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: five percent of the cash on Texas, so they're getting
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: some of the money here. I think that line is
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: too high, dude. I'd probably lean slightly towards Cincinnati in
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: the first five innings here because I do think that
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: Texas bullpen will have a bit of an advantage here
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: starting pitching wise. Looking at the matchup, I actually think
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: Singer might have kind of a hidden edge there. So
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: that's kind of the way that I lean first five
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: inning only towards the Reds there. But again, I really
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: don't like these games here, like any of the games
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: that I've talked about. Cubs at Cleveland again, teams that
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: didn't play yesterday.
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: We haven't gotten to any of the.
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: Teams that did play yesterday yet. This game is gonna
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: be on MLB Unlimited, ESPN, whatever the hell, so you
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: know this game is streamable if you have that service.
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: Cubs starting a road trip, coming in from playing against Anaheim.
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: They did win the series against Anaheim. Cubs have been
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: mediocre so far to start the season. I still think
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: they're good though, going out on the road, they might be.
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: Focused to start the road trip.
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: Cleveland is returning from the Pacific Coast and returning off
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: of beating the Dodgers in a series on the road.
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: That's pretty crazy, dude. So even though they're facing a
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: decent Cub team here, they might be in a bit
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: of a letdown spot. Plus the return home spot from
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: a different time zone on top of it, that doesn't
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: look like a good spot to me for Cleveland. Man
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: and I don't think Cleveland is really the best team
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: in the AL Central. They've been good so far. Their
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: bullpen is actually fairly good though. Possibly they have the
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: better bullpen here, although I don't think the Cubs bullpen
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: is that bad either.
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: Still kind of remains to be seen.
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: Cubs definitely have the better hitting in this matchup, and
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: I kind of like the Cubs pitching better too. Again,
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: both bullpens are rested here. Cad Horton pitching for the Cubs.
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: We did have a play on the Cubs on my show,
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: and his first outing he did well against Washington. He
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: went six and three or he was very efficient. He
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: only threw seventy five pitches, give up tour in runs,
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: four strikeouts, one walk, got the win.
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: Good outing from him, man.
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: Now he's going up against a pretty weak Cleveland line
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: up here. Cleveland's only four for fifteen off him lifetime,
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: with no extra base hits, only two strikeouts, one walk,
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: two sixty seven average five to seventy nine ohps. Horton
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: has done well against them. Going up against Joey Cantillo
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: for Cleveland. He's a decent pitcher as well. It wasn't
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: great in his first start though, at Seattle, which is
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: a pictuer friendly park too. He was very inefficient with
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: his pitches there. Threw ninety one pitches and didn't make
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: it through the fourth inning. That's not a good sign.
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: Had three walks, did have five strikeouts, which is good,
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: a lot a couple of runs, so he wasn't terrific there.
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: I do think he's not bad, though, but I prefer
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: Horton here against the Cubs. Cantillo only has thirteen of
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: bats against them, so they're not too familiar with them.
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: But he's done pretty well. One fifty four batting average,
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: four to eighty one OPS, four to two strike up
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: walk ratio. So I'm gonna lean towards the Cubs slightly
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: in this one. They're minus one twelve on the money line,
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: seventy six percent of tickets, eighty percent of the cash
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: on them. It looks like they're getting some of the
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: money even though they are a bit public. I do
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: also kind of lean under in this one, man. I
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: think you have decent bullpens. The bullpens are rested. I
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: think both starters are actually at least decent in this one,
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: so under kind of makes sense to me in this
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: one too.
• 33:31
  Speaker 2: You're looking at a low total of.
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: Seven and a half though, because the total did already
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: drop quite a bit, but you still do get that
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: key number of seven with the hook there. So, and
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: it's key, as I always say, because teams, you know,
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: you have to have a run to break a three
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: three tie. Tampa Bay at Minnesota is gonna be the
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: first game with the rest disparity because Minnesota was finishing
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: their series against the Royals yesterday and Minnesota got the
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: win yesterday. Good outing from Taj Bradley yesterday. He does
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: well the Royals. And of course the one game I
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: gave it an under in that series was the one
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: game that had a million runs scored and the other
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: two games both went under Royals. You know, I still
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: think the wall being moved in is overblown, but we'll say.
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: But Minnesota played yesterday, so they're at a rest disadvantage.
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: They used some amount of relief pitchers here.
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: Let me see, they use four relief pitchers, and I
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: don't think their bullpen is that good either, So Minnesota
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: does have some disadvantages here. It is actually their home opener,
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: so maybe they'll get up for it for that reason.
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: But they are returning on from a road trip, so
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: could be a little bit of a bit of a distraction.
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay coming off losing a series to the Brewers.
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: The Brewers, we know, they're decent team, they're hitting well.
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: I thought they'd take a little bit of a step
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: back this year. But we'll actually, you know, we'll see
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: if that really happens. Tampa Bay only coming in from
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee though, to Minnesota, that's not a huge travel leg there.
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: So Tampa Bay is gonna be one of the only
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: teams that hasn't played a home game yet, maybe because
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: they're waiting for their field to actually be ready with
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: the repaired roof at Tropicana, where Tampa Bay will be
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: back there this year. So Tampa Bay, you know, I
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: think they have the better bullpen anyway, and their bullpen
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: is rested compared to Minnesota is not being rested, So
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: that is a pretty big edge for Tampa here. I
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: think you could make the argument that Tampa has the
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: better offense here too, because I don't like Minnesota's I
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: like Tampa Bay in this game, dude, I do, but
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I could do it. Man with
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: Joe Boyle, he pitched well in his first out against
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: the Cardinals six innings too and runs, no locks, four strikeouts,
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: seventy five pitches. Pretty efficient. Looking at his overall stats
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: throughout his young career so far, though, doesn't really impress me.
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: Four point eight eight career era one point three to
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: nine whip in a very bad strikeout walk ratio of
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: one point eight. His walk rate is really high, so
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: that worries me. His strikeout rate has actually been pretty solid.
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: Maybe he'll be better because he is still young, but
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I'm quite ready to trust him
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: that much. Although he is going up against Minnesota, it
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: was not a good offense, He's done well against them
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: in twelve at bats, five strikeouts, one walk, one sixty
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: seven average allowed four eighty one ops. So, Boyle, you know,
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: his matchup numbers are pretty good.
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: He's going up against Bailey Ober, who you know, I've
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: liked Ober in the past, but his recent numbers just
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: don't suggest that there's anything good going on here.
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: He was okay in his first outing, kind of, I
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: don't know. He gave it three on runs to Baltimore.
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: They took him out after four innings. His pitch count
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: wasn't very high.
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: I don't know. He had one strikeout, one walk.
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: Usually Ober has good command at the very least his
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: numbers against Tampa Bay twenty nine at bats he has
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: done well against them, eight strikeouts, no walks, two seven
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: batting average allowed forty eight ohps.
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: So he's pitched pretty well against Tampa Bay and they're
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: not that familiar with him.
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: I do still like Tampa, though, because I think once
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: it gets to the bullpen, you're gonna have that edge.
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: Tampa with that rest edge there, I do like that.
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: So the number has flipped from Tampa being plus one
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: of four to minus one oh six, seventy one percent
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: of tickets seventy eight percent of the cash on Tampa.
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: I agree with that money there on Tampa money kind
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: of indicating on the under, and I.
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: Don't really disagree with that either.
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: But I worry about Minnesota's bullpen here, man, especially because
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: they played yesterday eighty six percent of.
• 37:35
  Speaker 2: Tickets, fifty five percent of the cash on the over.
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: Total all the way down to seven and a half
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: under first five innings might make more sense here, but
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: my preference would be to take Tampa and just hope
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: that the rest advantage in the bullpen advantage that they
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: have is going to carry them through there. So as
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: long as the game is like at least very close
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: with the you know, while the starters are still in there,
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: hopefully Tampa will be able to get it done late
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: in that one. So yeah, I think Tampa is the
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: way to look at that game. William, what's up man?
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. What about the Mariners? I don't
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: know what's going on with the Mariners, man, I mean
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: I wanted them to beat the Yankees.
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: I can tell you that.
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: All right, Philadelphia at Colorado, I mean Colorado. They're returning
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: over from a road trip. This is their first home game.
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: Of course, course field we know that that comes with
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: hitting because they're in the high elevation there. Colorado hasn't
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: played yet at home this year.
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know how.
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: Excited the atmosphere is going to be for Colorado's home
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: opener because they've been so bad recently.
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: They did just win a series against.
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: Toronto, like I said, which is bizarre, So maybe there
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: could be actually a little bit of a let down here.
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: Although I don't think they're gonna overlook Philadelphia because everybody
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: knows Philadelphia is a strong team in the National League.
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia first road of the season for them, and it's
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: in Course Field, which maybe not the greatest environment there
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: having to go play in elevation. Even though the Rockies
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: are not a good team, the Rockies at least have
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: a little bit more of an edge when they're at
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: home because teams don't teams you know, you just aren't
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: really used to the elevation like Colorado is because they
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: play there all the time. Bullpen wise, yeah, both bullpens.
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're that good. Philadelphia's got to have
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: the better bullpen though, and they definitely have the better offense.
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: I think they have the better start or two with
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: Aaron Nola pitching, But we still have to kind of
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: figure out, like how good is he after he's coming
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: back from all these surgeries. Didn't look good for a
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: while last year, but then he did start pitching better
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: towards the end of the year. He had an okay
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: start against Texas to start this season. He had seven
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: strikeouts in five innings, was just pretty good.
• 39:49
  Speaker 2: He allowed three on runs. A part of it was
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: because he.
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: Allowed two long balls and walked a couple of guys.
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: So he's got to kind of get down under control.
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: He threw too many pitches, ninety one pitches against Colorado.
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna assume he probably has good numbers, though they're
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: not as good as you would think. Actually, I did
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: look earlier today and I just forgot forty seven at best.
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: Twenty one to one strike a walk ratio is insane,
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: But he's a lot of two fifty five average. That's
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: not horrible, but eight oh three ops is a little
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: bit high.
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: But if you look at the numbers, it's almost entirely.
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: Because Jake McCarthy does a ton of damage against him.
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: I don't even know who that guy is, uh, but
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: he's six for thirteen with two of them runs off
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: of Nola, So that one guy does all that damage
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: to Nola. But for the most part, he does pretty
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: well against Colorado. So my guess is that Nola will
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: actually have a decent start here. Michael Lorenzen is pitching
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: for the Rockies, and it's gonna get interesting because he
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: pitched for Kansas City last year. Man he was pitching
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: for Texas for a while, so he was pitching in
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: these pitcher friendly parks. Now he goes to Colorado and
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: he's got to pitch a Corus field. That might not
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: be good. This is gonna be his first start pitching
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: there as a member of the home team. At the
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: very least, he's probably pitched there on the road before.
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: But still he's probably not that used to it. It's
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: probably not that good for him here. He was mediocre
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: in his first start against Miami. He only went four
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: and a third innings, gave up too many hits, seven hits.
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: He was definitely too hittable, gave up three on runs.
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: He had four strikeouts, no walks. That's good, so his
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: command was good. But he threw ninety three pitches. I
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: don't know how Like usually when you see a guy
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: throw a lot of pitches, usually it's because they're walking
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: a lot of guys. Wasn't the case with him, So
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, but he's definitely too hittable going
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: up against Philadelphia. His numbers are not good against Philadelphia
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: and fifty seven at bats eighteen to ten strikeout walk ratio.
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: That's pretty bad, although seven of the walks are combined
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: between heartburn Schwarber three thirty three batting average allowed, one
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: tho eighty two ops. So you know, the numbers are
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: not looking too good for him here. Philadelphia is a
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: big favorite, which maybe warranted really in this game here
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: minus one ninety five Nola, maybe you're gonna get a
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: discount on Nola for a little bit longer while you know,
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: he continues to be kind of a question mark. Eighty
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: six percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: on Philly.
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: I think Philly does win this game.
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think the way that I would probably
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: look in this game is probably Philly over their team
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: told him. Then you take the Nola question mark completely
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: out of the equation. You're banking on Lorenzen to not
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: do well, having a shift to pitching a course field
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: where he's not used to pitching. Colorado's bullpen is not
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: great either, even though they are rested here. But I
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: would probably do that if I was gonna do anything
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: with that game, all right. Baltimore at Pittsburgh. Baltimore first
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: road game for them here. They are three and three
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: to start the season. They're coming off losing a series
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: to Texas. They won the final game. Pittsburgh just beat Cincinnati,
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: and they're returning over from a road trip. Now this
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: will be their home opener. And I know people are
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: excited about Pittsburgh this year. Skeens bounce back fine with
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: a win, so people are gonna be excited for the
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh home opener. So the crowd might be enough to
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: overcome you know, returning home from a road trip here.
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: They're only coming back from Cincinnati, which is a really
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: short part of the trip there. So yeah, I don't
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: think it's gonna be that bad of a spot for
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh here. Both bullpen's arrested again because they didn't play yesterday.
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: I don't think either bullpen is that great though. Really,
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, this still remains to be seen. I mean,
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: I'm basing that off last year for the most part.
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: Still.
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: Kyle Bradish is pitching for Baltimore. He bitched pretty well
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: in his opener against Minnesota, give touring runs and four
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: to two thirds. Problem was he had too many walks.
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: Though he only give up two hits, which is good,
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: but three walks four strikeouts. He's got to get that
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: walk number under control a little bit. I think Bradish
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: is an okay pitcher, though against Pittsburgh, whose offense I
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: know they're improved a little bit this year.
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: I still don't think they're that.
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: Good, though Bradish has been okay against them in the past.
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: Thirty four at bats eleven to one strikeout walk ratio
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: is quite good. Two sixty five average allowed, six ninety
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: seven ops. Those are okay numbers for him against Pittsburgh.
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: Nothing bad, nothing particularly great either. Mitch Keller pitching for Pittsburgh.
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: I actually like Mitch.
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: Keller did like.
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: I think he's better than people think he is. He
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: just has no name recognition. Nobody really thinks about him
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: because you know, the Pirates have schemes and whatever. But
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: Keller is under the radar.
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: He's good.
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: He had a good season opener against the Mets. He
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: allowed three hits nowhere in runs in six innings, and
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: his bullpend let him down in that game. They lost
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: an extra innings, three strikeouts, no walks. The hitting kind
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: of let him down in that game too, really, So
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: you know, for Keller sometimes he's Pirates pitchers.
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: They'll pitch well and then they just won't get run support.
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: It's kind of the issue. But yeah, I think Keller
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: is a decent pitcher. I think he's probably the better
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: of these two starters here up against Baltimore. Here, he's
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: done well against Baltimore in fifty at bats, sixteen to
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: three strike out walker ratio one forty average, allowed three
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: forty five ops. So I actually, you know, I like that,
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: I like Keller. I actually like the Pittsburgh.
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: Side in this game.
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: The money is completely against that, with Baltimore being minus
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: one twenty on the road here, fifty percent of tickets
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: are on Pittsburgh. I guess because of all that Pittsburgh
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: hype this year and now it's their home opener.
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: But I think that's gonna give them, you know, a.
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: Better environment to play in at the very least eighty
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: three percent of the cash on Baltimore. I mean, the
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: hype means, yeah, the betters are gonna be playing them,
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: But the hype also means that the home opener, you know,
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be a crazy environment.
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: Probably.
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I like Pittsburgh here as a home dog man,
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: even though I'm not really you know, I'm not sold
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: on Pittsburgh across the entire season here, but I kind
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: of liked them in this game. I wouldn't disagree with
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: an under in this game either. It looks like it's
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: just a heavy public percentage on the over ninety two
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: percent on the over ninety percent of the tickets ninety
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: five percent of the cash on the over total is
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: up to eight and a half. It could hit nine.
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: You might get under that key number nine there under
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: first five innings. Makes sense too, because both starting pitchers
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: are probably more trustworthy than the bullpens there.
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I prefer Keller in that one.
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: I think I prefer the Pittsburgh side there, even though
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: it's going completely against the market there. Milwaukee at Kansas City.
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: Shout out to Zach. I don't know if he's out there. Milwaukee,
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: good start to the season and they're five and one.
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: They only played the White Sox in Tampa Bay though, man,
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: so I would dial it back a little bit with
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee right now. Royals, we don't know who they are yet.
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: I don't think I mean they're mere team. They might
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: be kind of battling to make the playoffs at the.
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: End of the season.
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: Royals are staying at home here. But they played yesterday,
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: so that's the issue. I think they used three relief
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: pitchers in the game yesterday, and their bullpen hasn't been
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: that good to start the season, even though it was
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: good last year.
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: Yeah, so they used three relief pitchers. So the Royals
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: are at.
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: A bit of a disadvantage because they played yesterday, but
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: they are staying at home at the very least, but
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: rest advantage from Milwaukee bullpens I think are at least
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: kind of comparable here. So I think Milwaukee has a
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: little bit of an edge there just because they are rested.
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: They do have the way better offense and starting pitching wise.
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: Chad Patrick is pitching from Milwaukee. Decent young pitcher. He
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: was okay in his opener. It was only against the
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: White Sox, but they didn't want to overwork him. They
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: let him only go seventy four pitches. He went four
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: and a third, gave up one and run, five hits,
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: four strikeouts, one walk. That was a decent outing from him.
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: Against Kansas City, He's been mediocre, but it's a small
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: sample size. Eleven at bats, two strikeouts, one walk. Not
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: a lot of strikeouts there, but two seventy three average
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: a lot eight to seventy nine ops is pretty high.
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: It's because he's allowed three doubles to them. But overall, yeah,
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: I think Patrick might do okay in this one. And
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: again we are looking at a Kansas City Kaufman Stadium
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: that has their walls moved in.
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: This year to some extent.
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: But again, two of the three games so far gone
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: under and we're looking at another total that might be
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: too high here. Now, Michael Waka was supposed to start
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: this game, but he's actually sick, so he's not gonna pitch.
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: So the Royals are bringing up Luinder of Vila Uh
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: to make the start here. He is gonna make his
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: first major league start. He pitched last year for Kansas City,
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: all out of the bullpen, thirteen appearances.
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: Out of the bullpen. He was not bad.
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: He had one point two ninety or eight point nine
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: whip sixteen strikeouts in fourteen. He's really his only issue
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: was walks. He had six walks, so he was a
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: little bit out of control. But he did not allow
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: many hits at all, So he's supposed to be pretty good.
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: Although it seems like his ceiling is kind of like
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: an end of the rotation type of starting pitcher here
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: looking at batter versus pitching stats, I believe he has
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: been seen before a little bit by Oh no, we're
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: looking at Milwaukee. I was gonna say, Minnesota, what Milwaukee
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: only Rinhiefa is faced it before and he's over one
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: with a strikeout, So yeah, a Vela might actually have
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an edge here, but we don't
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: know how long he's gonna go into this game, you
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: know what I mean. And Kansas City used their bullpen yesterday,
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: so that's kind of the issue with Kansas City here.
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: Money is somewhat coming in towards Milwaukee. I guess they flipped.
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: From plus one oh nine to minus went away, but
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: they're a pretty public side eighty three percent of the
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: tickets and cash on them.
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: You know.
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: It's a similar spot for Tampa Bay. But I like
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay more than I like Milwaukee. Here Minnesota is
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: having to travel as well, which Kansas City is not.
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: I might lean to Milwaukee slightly here across the full
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: game because they do have that rest advantage here. Again,
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: Kansas you know, and undermakes sense to me in this game,
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: at least in the firse five. Maybe you want to
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: avoid Kansas City's bullpen and the remainder of the game.
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: But the total is at nine juice to the over,
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: so again, I think you're looking at a total that
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: is skewed a little bit too high.
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: Because of the.
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: Walls being moved in, especially early in the season. But again,
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: you know, it might be a situation where maybe we
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: should wait and see because I got caught in the
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: one game that went over so far, and it was
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: not really what it looked like. The bullpen's just both
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: totally imploded in that game.
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: I don't know what that was.
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: But we have eighty three percent of tickets ninety nine
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the over. I don't know
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: if I buy those percentages, but yeah, whatever, And that
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: game's on Apple TV. They have two games going on today.
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: I know I haven't gotten to my play. I only
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: have one play and I haven't gotten to it yet.
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: I realized that I just don't love the board today.
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: Man Seattle at Anaheim. Seattle coming off that loss to
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: the Yankees, I mean, that was a tough series and
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: now having to travel, you know, maybe not the greatest
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: spot for Seattle coming off with some tough games. But
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: you know, Seattle is good. They're supposed to win their division.
• 51:26
  Speaker 2: We'll see.
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, Anaheim is definitely not that good. This will
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: be Anaheim's home open or they are returning from the
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: Central time Zone here, returning over from a road trip,
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: so you could argue it's a distracted spot, but I.
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: Don't think they.
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna overlook the team that won
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: the division last year, you know, the team that is
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: supposed to win it again this year. But Seattle does
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: have some advantages here. I mean, Seattle I think is
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: really the better team across the board here, better offense,
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: better bullpen, better starting pitchers. So I don't see many
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: advantages for Anaheim here. Brian Wu was pitching for Seattle.
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: I guess the one thing you could say is Wu
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: is not as good on the road as he is
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: at home, but he is still a very good pitcher overall.
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: He had a good start against Cleveland to open the season.
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: That one was at home.
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: Six innings, nine strikeouts, one walk, tourn runs allowed, four hits,
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: allowed only eighty three pitches as well, so he was
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: good in that start. He was efficient. Not a lot
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: to dislike about that. Against Anaheim, though he hasn't been
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: quite as good. Eighty at bats against. The twenty four
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: to three strikeout walk ratio is good, two sixty three
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: average allowed, seven to fourteen ops. I mean, those are
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: not awful numbers, but for Wu, they're a little bit
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: on the worst side because.
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: Usually Wu was very very good.
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: So Anaheim is one of the teams that he is
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: a little bit less good against. Let's say Reed Debt
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: Mersu is pitching for Anaheim here.
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: His first start was weird. It was interesting.
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: He threw way too many pitches ninety five pitches and
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: four and two UH allowed three on runs against a
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: Houston team that was really lighting up the scoreboards so
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: far to start the season. Dettmar's got hit around a
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: little bit. He allowed six hits, but he also had
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: nine strikeouts and no walks, so he was he was
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: blowing people away at the same time and not walking anybody,
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: so kind of a crazy stat line there.
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: I think Detmers is okay, Like if you look at.
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: His overall career numbers, it's all very mediocre. He had
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: a really good twenty twenty two, but other than that,
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: he hasn't really been very good. He's been on Anaheim
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: for his entire career, but overall four point seven to
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: eighty RA one point three to six whip last year.
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: He spent the entire season coming out.
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: Of the bullpen last year, so now he's trying to
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: make that conversion back to being a starter at least
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: to open the season. But again, it looks like he's
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: doing okay at that against Seattle.
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: Whoops, let me see against Seattle he has not been
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: good at all though.
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: In eighty at bats eighteen to eleven strike out walk ratio.
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: That's very bad.
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: Three point thirty eight batting average, allowed nine to sixty
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: eight ops. Four home runs from four different batters, one
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: of them of course, being the big dumper who has
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: not been very good to start the season.
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: But you know he's gonna turn it around.
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: So yeah, Detvers has really bad matchup numbers there. I
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: think Seattle is the right side there. I just don't
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: see any real advantage that Anaheim has here except that
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: maybe they'll get motivated because it's their home open or
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: Seattle minus one fifty five here, eighty five percent of tickets,
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of the cash on Seattle.
• 54:39
  Speaker 2: They're a public side. Seattle is, but I think they
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: will win this game.
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: If you wanted to go Seattle money line on this,
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: I know you're having to pay a bit of a
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: price for it. I mean you might be able to
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: knock it down if you want to do like a
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: minus one run line or make your own run line
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: there or something like that. But yeah, I do think
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: Seattle does get the in there. Atlanta at Arizona, these
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: teams played yesterday and it was total insanity. I told you,
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: Ryan Nelson's no good man. How bad was he in
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: that game?
• 55:12
  Speaker 2: Yeah? He wasn't good, But the bullpen was even worse. Dude.
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: Arizona's bullpen is probably the worst in baseball. They don't
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: even have a left handed pitcher in their entire bullpen.
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: When have you ever heard of anything like that before.
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: It's like Arizona is intentionally throwing the season. Atlanta beat
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: them seventeen to two last night. I gave it a
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: lean on Atlanta on my show yesterday, and of course
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: the one play I actually gave out was a total loser.
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: But my leans in this game and the Mets Giants
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: game both were correct because of course it was Ryan
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: Nelson and David Peterson pitching for those two teams. So
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: I was like, yeah, fade both of those guys. You know,
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: I don't like either of those guys. But Atlanta ridiculous
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: man seventeen to two win, So you would think that
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: that means arizona'shabounce here because that game was so putrid
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: for Arizona, they should do better this time.
• 56:05
  Speaker 2: Right.
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: Well, I'm not so sure about that because Arizona still
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: has their train wreck of a bullpen. Atlanta only has
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: two relief pitchers. Yesterday Arizona used three, so Arizona is
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: still at a major bullpend disadvantage here. I think Arizona
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: does have the better offense, so I'll give them that.
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: And then.
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think uh, Atlanta's gonna have the better starter
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: in this game as well. Josh, what's up, man? No,
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: I do not find that funny. Do not laugh at that? No,
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: I fucking hate that because, yeah, I mean, it means
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: I'm doing my job like reading these games, and then
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: I weigh them incorrectly and I picked the wrong ones.
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: I'm not happy about that at all. I need to
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: get back on track. I was extremely hot to end
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: the year. I was hot really through like the end
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: of the football season. We're gonna get hot again. Many
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: May is typically really really good for me. NBA playoffs.
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: I absolutely demolished the NBA playoffs typically, and I'm usually
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: doing well in baseball around that time too. Once the
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: season really is kind of underway and then we're kind
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: of off to the races with baseball. Baseball last year
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: wasn't that good, but dude, we got a bounce back.
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: It wasn't a good March, but it was better than last.
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: Last year's March was the worst month that I've ever had.
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: Probably this year that was better. At least I think
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: I broke even in March madness. So, although we're not
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: done with March madness yet, but yeah, I'm one with
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: the one play I gave out in the NIT. But yeah, yeah,
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, this game. Grant Holmes is pitching
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: for Atlanta. He's the better starter here. I think he
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: was okay in his first start against Kansas City, five
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: innings pitch. He only threw seventy six pitches, three runs, allowed,
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: four strikeouts, two walks. The thing about Holmes is he
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: pitches better at home. He was really bad on the
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: road last year if you look at his splits, and
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: that's where he is here. I at home, he had
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: a two point nine to three ERA last year and
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: on the road five point five to one. So you
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: want to fade him when he's on the road, man,
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: And this is a hitter friendly ballpark against a good offense,
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: so Holmes may not do well in this one. Diamondbacks
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: have not hit him well though thirty two at bats
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: two nineteen batting average, allowed five to seventy four ohps,
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: so he's done well against him, except he's walked too
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: many guys six strikeouts, five walks. But I still don't
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: really trust Holmes in the spot on the road, and
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: I don't trust any of Arizona's pitching, including e Rod,
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: who has never really been that good since he's come
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: back from Tommy John Sergeia. Although he actually did really
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: well in his first start against the Dodgers, go figure,
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: and they still lost that game, but it was not
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: his fault. On the road, he went five innings, gave
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: up no ern runs, one unnern run, five strikeouts, two
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: walks on four hits only through seventy nine pitches. But
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: the thing is, I just don't expect that much from him, man,
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: and he's coming off a really good performance where he
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: got sky high for it. Probably now he's gonna have
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: to try to replicate that some way. I don't think
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: it's gonna happen going up against the Braves. His numbers
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: are not great in forty six at bats, thirteen to six,
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: strikeout walk ratio two sixty one, average allowed seven to
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: fifty nine ops. Not horrible numbers, but not good. So
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: I do still kind of lean to Atlanta and this one,
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: even though I know they won in a massive blowout
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: last night. Fifty three percent of tickets, seventy one percent
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Atlanta, They're at minus one eleven here.
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: I think my preference, though, would probably be to go over.
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: And I know last night's game went way over the total.
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: I get that, but so the public is probably also
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: gonna play the over in this game if they play it.
• 59:53
  Speaker 2: But the public is not always wrong.
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: Man, And when you have an over like that, a
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: lot of times, it kind of means the gets kind
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: of torched, which wasn't really the case for either of
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: these teams really yesterday. But still, I just don't like
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: the pitching, man, I don't like homes on the road.
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: I don't like any of Arizona's pitching at all. Over
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: makes sense to me in this one. The total is
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: at nine. It's a hitter friendly ballpark. Two eighty two
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, ninety seven percent of the cash on
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: the over That game is also on Apple TV, but
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: I don't want to.
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: Deal with it.
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: Houston at the A's we get our first game of
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: the season in the A's Triple A stadium that they
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: play in, which is a terrible stadium and it's where
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: pitchers go to die. It's basically it's almost more hitter
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: friendly the course field in some ways, and Houston is
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: gonna be playing there. Houston, who has been one of
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: the best offenses to start the season, coming off a
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: sweep of the Red Sox. They've won five games in
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: a row having to go on the road. Now though
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: all those wins were at home, so you know, going
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: up to the Pacific Coast maybe not the greatest spot
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: for Houston. Here the A's are having their home opener,
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: but how crazy is that atmosphere going to be in
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: a Triple A stadium that doesn't really seat anybody. The
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: A's have basically no home advantage, and I think last
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: year they were actually worse at home than even on
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: the road. Like their pitchers all sucked ass at home
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: and a lot of them are better on the road.
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: They have no home advantage.
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: Man, they might have a home disadvantage, but it is
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: their first home game, but they're traveling back from the
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: East Coast for this, so that's.
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 2: Not easy to do.
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: Although I don't think they're gonna overlook Houston, who is
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: usually one of the best teams in this division and
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: they're atop the division right now. As far as the
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: bullpends think, you do have to give Houston a bullpen edge,
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: even though I think their closer Josh Hater I think
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: is his name.
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: I think he's injured right now.
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: But the A's bullpend I don't think there's really much
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: to like in there. Both offenses are actually pretty solid.
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: I think the A's, even though they've been slumped to
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: start the season. Nick Kurtz is gonna break out of
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: his slump.
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: I think the A's they're pretty good offensively in my opinion,
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: so things kind of shapen up for this to maybe
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: be a high scoring game. Christian Hobvier is pitching for
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: the Astros. He wasn't good in his opener against Anaheim
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: at home.
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 2: He gave up six earned runs.
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: They still won the game because there were so many
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: runs scored behind him. He was bad, though, four walks,
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: one strikeout that was all atrocious. Yeah, I don't was
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: that that wasn't the game I gave out Houston as
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: a player, right, it couldn't have been. But yeah, I
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: don't know. Bad start for Hovier though against the A's
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: his numbers are actually good though. In thirty four at bats,
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: twelve strikeouts, three walks, one forty seven average allowed, four
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: fifty two ops. Good numbers for him against the A's.
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: Jeffrey Springs pitching for the A's, he's been not their
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: worst pitcher. He's been okay. He also had too many
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: walks in his opener against Toronto. Toronto is a good offense,
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: though he did hold them to turn runs on the
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: road in five and a third that wasn't too bad.
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: They lost an extra innings in that game. Two strikeouts,
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: three walks, That wasn't great though. Springs against Houston, good
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: numbers actually in thirty seven at bats five to four
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio. That's not good, but no extra
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: RaSE hits one sixty two average, a lot of four
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: h six ops allowed. You know, the matchup numbers actually
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: look good for both starting pitchers here, So that kind
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: of counters what I was just saying, where I looked
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: at this game and I was thinking over kind of
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: all the way, but basically on the starting pitching, I
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: could see the argument for the under in the first
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: five innings in this game. Man the totals at ten
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: for the full game, but I wouldn't want to deal
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: with the bullpens. But if you look at the starting
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: pitching matchup and it looks not that horrible, under first five.
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: Innings might make sense.
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: Here, eighty eight percent of tickets eighty nine percent of
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: the cash on the over. There is a huge market
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: disparity in the side though, with the public being on
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: the A's. I don't see how that's even possible they
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: flip from plus one oh seven of minus one oh five.
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know if it's you know, the home opener hype.
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: I don't get it.
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: Fifty six percent of the tickets on the A's doesn't
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: make any sense to me. Seventy eight percent of the
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: cash on Houston. I mean, I I don't disagree with
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: Houston here. I just I don't know. I don't trust
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: the A's at home. But you know, I don't have
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: a good read. I really don't have a good read
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: on that game at all. That game, it's just that
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: game messes with my mind. So much because there are
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: just so many ways to look at it. There's no
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: way that that game, you know, makes my card. That's
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: one of the most difficult games to figure out that
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: I've seen. You're in a slump, all right, Yeah, make
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: some of that back.
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know what.
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: I don't know why they're doing that, the A's and
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: they're not even called the Sacramento A's and they're gonna
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: be there for three years. You would think they should
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: just be called the Vegas As and just have a
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: temporary stadium in Vegas at the very least, Like why
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: why not? I mean, Vegas has other stadiums they could use, right,
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: Like they could use like a college stadium you know
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: in Vegas or whatever. Or they could use their Triple
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: A stadiums there too, you know, like the the Dodgers
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: that their Triple A affiliate is in Vegas, right the
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: area fifty One's or whatever they're called, the fifty one Ers, Uh,
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: the Aliens, dirty sock?
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 2: What's up?
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: Man?
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out.
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna take a quick break and then I do
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: have a play in this last game.
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 2: You guys already know what it is.
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: It's my only play of the day, and then I'm
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: gonna talk about the two pretty putrid NHL games today
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: and the NBA board, which I absolutely despise as well.
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: So I will be back in a second. I mean,
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: I'm sure you guys know what my play is gonna
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: be in this last game already.
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: I mean I pretty much already said what it is.
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna talk about that in a second.
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 2: All right, Yes, this last game, let's do it.
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: Uh?
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 2: Where am I at here?
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: Yes?
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 2: All right, we're gonna go under.
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: As you know in Mets Giants under seven and a half,
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: it's that reduced juice right now. Maybe I should be
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: a little bit worried that it looks like the money's
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: disagreeing with me here it's going up even further. Fifty
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: five percent of the tickets, sixty eight percent of the
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: cash on the over. I don't love seeing that, But
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: I like the starting pitching matchup here. I know both
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: these teams played last night. San Francisco won seven to two.
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: I get all that. You know I was correct about
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: San Francisco last night too. For what it's worth, San
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: Francisco will only use two relief pitchers. And this is
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: where I'm gonna start looking at this like San Francisco.
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're bulping as bad, although I know
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: I get it they haven't been good to start the season.
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 2: Where are they at here?
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: Actually, bullpen whipwise their fifth so actually maybe I'm wrong
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: about that. Their era is not that bad either, so
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know. They were a really good bullpen last year.
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: It's a pitcher friendly park. Their bullpen's decently rested, although
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: Bhuto is injured, but not the assassinated leader of Pakistan.
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: But yes, and the excuse me, and then we have
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: the Mets here. I think the Mets bullpen is okay
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: as well. They use Sean Manaia as the only guy
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: that came out of the bullpen last night. He was
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: in their starting rotation, you know, the last couple of
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: seasons whatever, so they used him as an innings eater.
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: So they saved all of their high leverage relief arms.
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 2: Here, which is good.
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: And I like to starting pitching. Of course, the Mets
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: do have a good offense. They are the better offense here,
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: but I like the starting pitching and the bullpen's enough
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: to overcome all the offense. Nolan McLain is pitching for
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: the Mets. I still think he's under the radar man
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: he made his debut. I think last season he was
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: a bit up and down. Started pretty well this season.
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: He went five innings against Pittsburgh at home, allowed two
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: hour runs, eight strikeouts, two walks, and did all that
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: on not that many pitches, really, eighty four pitches.
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 2: So I'm happy about that.
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: I think he's actually pretty solid, and I think he's
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: gonna be solid again here against the Giants who basically
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: have never faced him before. Yeah, Bater has faced him before,
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: because Bater was on Philly last year and he did
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: hit him pretty well three for six all singles though
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: with one strikeout, and with the rest of the Giants
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: lineup having never seen him before. You know, I always
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: saw about it. A pitcher has an edge against hitters
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: that have never faced him before. So I think McClain
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: has a little bit of an extra edge early in
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: that one, going up against Tyler Molly, who I think
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: is the lesser of the two pitchers here. But I
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: don't think he's bad in his first start. You know,
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: his numbers don't look that great after that start, right like,
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: you know, four innings, five hits allowed, but he had
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: five strikeouts, one walk, and only gave up two hour
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: runs against the Yankees.
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 2: That's not that bad, dude. Yankees.
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: You know, they're one of the most potent offenses in baseball,
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: So that's not a bad outing from him. And if
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: you look at what he did, he really had a
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: resurgence last year with Texas. Although we know Texas they
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: basically fix all their pitchers somehow, he was.
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 2: Really good there.
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: But Sar Francisco they do a decent job with their
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: pitching as well, and over the course of his career
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: he's been a decent pitcher with an almost three strikeout
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: walk ratio, which I like, you know, I wish it
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: was a little bit higher than that, but that's still
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: not that bad. More strikeouts than indigs pitch. His whip
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: is a little bit high for my liking. Yeah, one
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: point two nine, you know, ERA above four, but I
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: still think it's good enough in this matchup here, and
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: his numbers are pretty good against the Mets. In thirty
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: five at bats, eleven strikeouts, three walks. That's a lot
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: of strikeouts, two under batting average allow.
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: Of six sixty three oh p.
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: And really like all the damage has come from Juan
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: Soto with two on them runs off him. Other than that,
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: this Mets lineup has not done a whole lot of
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: damage against him. So I like it. We're going under
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: in this game, and that is my only play today.
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: I know me with all my unders, I know I
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: do play overs in baseball as well. This is just
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: the way that I see it, man, And I don't
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: really disagree with the Mets side again, even though I
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: know they won easily last night, so you could argue,
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: you know, the zigzag the other team will bounce back,
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: but I think McLain is the better starter here. I
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: think the Mets do have the better offense, eighty four
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, ninety five percent of the cash on
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: the Mets, and I think the bullpens are somewhat comparable.
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: So I don't really disagree with the money on the
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: Mets side there, either, all right, So that's that. NHL.
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: We have two NHL games, which I.
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 2: I said they're putrid.
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: I don't know if they're really that putrid, but from
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: a betting perspective, I don't like them.
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 2: NHL Network Philadelphia and the Islanders.
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, these two teams are battling for playoff
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: positioning or to even try to get into the playoffs.
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: You know, Philly is on the outside looking in here.
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: Philly played yesterday and they lost to the Red Wings.
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: That was the game where I disagreed with the market
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: and I was correct in that game. I said I
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: liked Detroit in that game. I believe I did right Philly.
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: You know, they're going on the road now, no days off,
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: only going to New York to play the Islanders in
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: Queens or wherever they play.
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 2: Now.
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: Philly is not going to overlook them, but it's a
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: matter of like how tired are they going to be because
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: they're playing a lot of games in quick succession here.
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: In fact, they're playing a fifth game in seven days,
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: I believe is what this is. That's not easy to do.
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 2: It with three of them being on the road, so.
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: The scheduling spot is not very helpful to them. The
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: Islanders most likely will be in the playoffs. They're coming
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: off a tough loss to Buffalo, but that was on Tuesdays.
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: They've had a couple of days off. They're returning from Buffalo,
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: but it was only a single game road trip. But
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: they do have Carolina on decks. You could make the
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: argument this is a sandwich spot for the Islanders and
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia kind of needs the game more and they're gonna
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: be an underdog here. And you know, I like those
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: teams that are that you pretty much know you're gonna
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: get an effort out of them, and they need the
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: game more and they're a dog.
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 2: I do like that.
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: I just don't like Philadelphia's complete lack of rest in
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: this situation. You know, Islanders are sitting at minus one
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: forty one, looks like it opened at minus one fifty three,
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: seventy four percent of tickets, eighty nine percent of the
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: cash on the Islanders. It's such a difficult read. I
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: think a lot of that has to do with just
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: the complete lack of rest. Even though situationally, I think
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: makes more sense to lean towards Philly here, I can't
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: do it when they're in a fifth game in seven days.
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 2: Man, I hate this game, like, I just can't figure it.
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: I don't even want to give out like an opinion
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: on it because I could see arguments for both sides.
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: It's just awful. And then we have Saint Louis and Anaheim.
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis.
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: Probably not gonna make the playoffs, so I think they're
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: not mathematically eliminated, so you might get some effort out
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: of them. They're staying in California for this. They're only
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: going up the road. They played in La on Wednesday.
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 2: Took the loss there.
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: They're not going to overlook Anaheim, who's a divisional leader
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: right now. I think still Anaheim hasn't been playing as
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: well though. They've lost three games in a row, but
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: granted one was towards the end of a road trip
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: at Edmonton, one was a return home spot, and then
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: they lost again going back out on the road to
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: San Jose, and I think San Jose was.
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 2: Just more loose in the game.
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: San Jose is actually close to me in the playoff
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: picture as well, Willy Anaheim bounced back from that. I
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, I mean, Anaheim is definitely better at home.
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: I believe they're still hanging on to their division lead
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: right now, but they're not really in danger.
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 2: Of missing the playoffs.
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: I don't believe Saint Louis is likely to not make
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: the playoffs, but maybe.
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 2: That means Saint Louis will play a little bit more
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 2: loose here.
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: Anaheim's that minus won forty eighty one percent of tickets,
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: ninety eight percent of the cash on Anaheim, I.
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 2: Don't know, man.
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: I kind of lean a little bit towards Saint Louis
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: and this one is the dog, but I don't have
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: a good read on that either. Then we got NBA
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: which won't even load for me here.
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 2: Pregame.
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: I mean their site, man, it's where JavaScript basically goes
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: to die. I'm gonna close some of these MLB tabs here,
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: all right. We have like nine NBA games here tonight.
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: I don't know Indiana at Charlotte. Of course, Charlotte is
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: still fighting to get into the top six in the
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: East or whatever. Indiana just playing out the stretch for
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: they've won two games in a row. They blew out
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: Chicago on Wednesday. Indiana might show up to try to
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: kind of play spoiler here against Charlotte. I mean, they
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: might not overlook Charlotte, although Indiana does have Cleveland next,
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: which maybe they will consider that to be a bigger game.
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: Charlotte is pretty hot right now. But Charlotte played last night,
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: so they're on a back to back. They are staying
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: at home for this though. But nice win last night
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: for them against Phoenix. They do a Minnesota, Celtics, Detroit,
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: and the Knicks all on deck to finish the season,
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: so all of the remaining games are bigger than this one,
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: so I will slightly lean towards Indiana and this one.
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: Still don't want it. The market seems like it does agree.
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: The Hornets are up to a sixteen point favorite.
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: It's so ridiculous.
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: Seventy six percent of the tickets fifty six percent of
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: the cash on Charlotte, so the money is kind of
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: indicating against them. I loosely agree with taking the points
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: with Indiana, but I don't want it. Minnesota at Philadelphia,
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: and Minnesota had a tough game last night and they lost.
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: I thought they would at least cover against Detroit. They lost,
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: so now they're on a back to back. Pretty difficult
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: now if you go to Philadelphia, probably not the easiest
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: spot for Minnesota. Hear Philadelphia, I might have a little
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: bit more motivation too, I mean, Minnesota probably pretty likely
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: they're not. I mean, Minnesota will avoid the play ins
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: and stuff like that. I think Philadelphia is still on
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: the verge of being stuck in the play ins, so
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: they might have a little bit more motivation here. Problem
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: with Philadelphia is they're returning home from a road treble
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: that was only Saturday, Monday, Wednesday, and they stayed in
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: the Eastern time zone, so it's not as bad. But still,
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: when teams are turned on from road trips, a lot
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: of times they're distracted. They have to get back to
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: home life whatever. And I don't like the fact that
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia put up one hundred and fifty three points in
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: their last game against Washington because usually when you see
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: a team do that and they look too good, a
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: lot of times you don't want to be on them.
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 2: In the next game.
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: They do have Detroit on deck, which is a bigger game.
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: I think, well the Minnesota you know, you don't really
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: overlook Minnesota either.
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: Philly.
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: I believe they still have their full compliment of starters
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: back here. It looks like EMBIID is a game time
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: decision in this one. I mean, he's ill this time.
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: It's not his knee. I don't know if he can go.
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 2: He's probably gonna go, but we'll see what happens with him.
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: And then Anthony Edwards, he's still gonna monitor his situation.
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: He didn't play in the Detroit game last night, so
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: you got to see if he's gonna be back or
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: off for this game. This is a very difficult game
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: to call. Philadelphia's minus two and a half, seventy percent
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: of the tickets, only fifty four percent of the cash
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: on them money looks like it's indicating towards the Tea Wolves.
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: I don't really think I agree with that on the
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: back to back and everything, I don't know. I think
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: I slightly lean towards Philadelphia in that one, but don't
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: love it by any means. And the money is totally
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: you know, indicating against it for now. Atlanta at Brooklyn, Atlanta,
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, they've been a hot team, but they could
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: be in a letdown spot potentially because they're coming up
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: beating the Celtics and then they beat Orlando, who is
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: one of the teams battling with them for you know,
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: playoff positioning and whatever. Right now, Orlando very likely is
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: gonna be talk in the play ins at this point.
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: So maybe Atlanta has the let down here man against
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: a bad Brooklyn team. And then Atlanta finishes the season
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: with the Knicks Cleveland, Cleveland and then Miami, so you know,
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: all those games are bigger than this one. So this
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: does look like the potential flat spot for Atlanta. Here,
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: is Brooklyn actually gonna get up for this game?
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, Brooklyn just got smashed on Tuesday at home,
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: losing by thirty one points to Charlotte. Maybe they will
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: have a bounce back, like when you get absolutely annihilated
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: like that, and then you have a chance to, you know,
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: play against the team it's probably gonna be in the
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: playoffs or whatever, you know, or Atlanta's at the very
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: least going to be a play in team. You get
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: to play them, a team that's been one of the
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: hottest teams in basketball, you know, coming off a horrible loss,
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: Maybe Brooklyn will actually get up for this. I will
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: lean to the Nets plus the points here, Hawks are
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: minus sixteen and a half on the road. Maybe the
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: Hawks shouldn't be that much of a favorite on the
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: road against anybody. Uh, eighty four percent of the tickets
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: seventy eight percent of the cash on Atlanta, So the
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: money is indicating towards the Nets. I agree generally with that. Yeah,
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: embiid he will always be a game time decision, all right?
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: What's next Chicago at the Knicks? NBA TV has a doubleheader.
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: I guess here pretty ugly.
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 2: Games here, man.
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, the Knicks at least they are going to
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: be a playoff team, but other than that, these games
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: are pretty hideous. Chicago coming off getting blown out by
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: Indiana at home. That's a bad loss for Chicago. But
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: I believe that was a lean for me on the show.
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: Chicago's returning home from a road trip, so they were
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: in a bad spot and they had to look ahead
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: potentially to the Knicks, and they had finished the road
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: trip with San Antonio, so that was a pretty bad spot.
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: I just think probably the spot wasn't that good for
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: Indiana either, which is why it wasn't on my card.
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: But Chicago bad spot. Maybe they're gonna show up with
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: the best performance here against the Knicks.
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 2: Chicago.
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: Some of these games they have actually been putting in efforts,
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: so maybe they do do that here. I think Chicago
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: is also dealing with all that Jade and Ivy distraction here.
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: They should not have gotten rid of him. The Knicks
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: just beat Memphis. They're returning over from a road trip,
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: so it is a bad spot for the Knicks because
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: they've been on the road since last Thursday. They went
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: as far as Oklahoma City, Houston, and again returning over
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: from road trips. A lot of times the team will
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: be distracted not pay attention to their opponent, especially when
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: it's when it's not a good opponent. And they finished
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: the season with all teams that are in the playoff picture.
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: They finished the season against Atlanta, Boston, Toronto, and Charlotte,
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: so those are all bigger games than this one.
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 2: This looks like the flat spot for the Knicks.
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: If I was gonna play any NBA game today, it
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: would be the Chicago Bulls plus the points.
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 2: But it looks like the Bulls are a public underdog.
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 2: What is going on here? Man?
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: Sixty seven percent of tickets on the Bulls, only sixty
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash, and the Knicks a minus
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: fifteen and a half. I don't see that at all.
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know why the market re looks like that.
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: I never really want to be on a team that
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 1: looks like a public dog like that with less of
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: the money on them. But I can't see any other
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 1: way of looking at this game. It would be Bulls
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: plus the points for me in that one. And I
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: still actually I do think it's the strongest opinion that
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: I have in basketball today, So do with that information
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: what you want. Utah at Houston, Utah on a pretty
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: bad losing streak. I mean, they're an injured team. They're
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: just playing out the stretch here. Maybe they get up
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: for a game against Houston, but they just played Denver
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: at home and took a loss there.
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 2: I mean, they played some tough.
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: Games recently against Denver, Phoenix, Cleveland, Denver, OKAC on deck,
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: So this is a tough stretch for Utah. Houston could
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: be in a bit of a letdown right now because
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: they did just officially officially clinch a playoff spot by
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: beating Milwaukee the other night. Combined with Phoenix losing last night,
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: Houston is now guaranteed a playoff spot, so they're gonna
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: avoid the play insh So they might be happy about that.
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: They might overlook Utah here.
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 2: They do have.
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: Golden State on deck and then that Phoenix team after that,
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: so those games might mean more than this Utah game.
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: It's a tough spot for Utah playing all these games
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: in quick you know, all these big games in a
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: row though excusely not really.
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 2: A quick succession, but a lot of big games in
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 2: a row.
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: Houston's minus seventeen here sixty eight percent of the tickets,
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent of the cash on the Rockets. I
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: agree with dude. I agree with all the market reads
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 1: here except for the Bulls Knicks, and that's the one
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: I have the strongest opinion on. I don't love that
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 1: at all. But yeah, I would lean to taking the
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: points with the Jazz, and that one looks like the
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: cash is indicating that way. But I don't love it.
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: Toronto at Memphis. Toronto, I believe still fighting to try
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: to avoid the play ins here in the East, but
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: they do a Boston on deck, so maybe a look
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 1: ahead here. They got Celtics, Miami, Miami, New York, then
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn to finish the season, so all those games except
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: for the Brooklyn one are bigger than this one. But
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: Toronto might be a little bit pissed because they did
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: just lose at home to Sacramento.
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 2: That was a horrible loss for Toronto.
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: There as a big favorite, so a lot of times
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: when that happens, you will just show up focused in
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: the next game. And they were coming off a big
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: game against Detroit the game prior to that, where they
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: were kind of hanging around in that game, so you
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: could argue the spot wasn't that good for Toronto. Maybe
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: they will show up for this game against Memphis. Memphis
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: really doesn't have a whole lot to play for here,
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: of course, I mean Memphis, they don't have anything to
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: play for. But they're gonna get up for certain games.
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: But maybe one of those games is that on Wednesday
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: against the Knicks where I believe they covered the spread
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: in that game and they still lost, but you know,
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: it was a game that they probably put in an
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: effort for. Maybe they won't as much with Toronto, even
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: though they have a chance to play spoiler ish and
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: you know, potentially knock the Roundors into the planes ere
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: But in this game, I actually agree with the market
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: in this one. Actually would actually lay the points with Toronto.
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: Here they're up to thirteen and a half from eleven,
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: though you've lost a little bit of value on that number,
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: although once it gets into these high numbers, the specific
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: number matters a little bit less. Seventy eight percent of
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: the tickets ninety two percent of the cash on them.
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 2: I don't disagree with the raptors.
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: It's one of the rare situations where I lean laying
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: the double digit points here. Sometimes that is the case
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: in the NBA. I may very well be doing it
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: once we get into the playoffs. Man, you may see
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: me actually give out a play where I actually do that.
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: We'll see this one isn't strong enough for me to
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: actually do it or anything. But Toronto is actually pretty
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: good on the road, so twenty one and seventeen doesn't
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: look that great. But they're not very good at home.
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: So I'd probably rather have Toronto on the road than elsewhere,
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: although I'd rather have them as an underdog. But you know,
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: Celtics at miak Celtics to just smash Miami, so a
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: nice bounce back for the Celtics there.
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 2: Celtics, I think scored.
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: Fifty three points in the first quarter of that game
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 1: against Miami. I don't know if they're really gonna pay
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: attention to Milwaukee here, man, Celtics might just sleep walk
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: through this game. They have Toronto, Charlotte, and the Knicks
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: all up next, which are all TV games. They're all
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: games against teams that are at least gonna be in
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: the play in. Bucks are not gonna make it, so
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: the Bucks, this is gonna be one of the Bucks
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: games that they might get up for for the remainder
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: of the year here, but they're returning home from Houston.
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: They actually played pretty well in that game against Houston,
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: So maybe not the greatest spot for Milwaukee here, but
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: I would not lay it with the Celtics. They're an
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: eighteen point favorite here, up from fifteen and a half,
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: seventy eight percent of tickets on the Celtics, sixty nine
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming back in on the Bucks.
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 2: I agree with that money as well.
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: I agree with Milwaukee in that one, but again it's
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: not a strong opinion. Like I don't want to play
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: any of these games, Yannis, I'm pretty sure it's probably
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: shut down for the season at this point. It looks
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: like his brother is a game time decision now as well.
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: Bobby Portos also out for Milwaukee, so they're really lacking here.
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: Rollin's game time decision. Yeah, I mean, things not going
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: well for Milwaukee. Like, I don't think the Celtics should
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: they better win this game at the very least and
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: maintain their lead over the Knicks, because the Celtics are
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: still at least trying to clinch the two seed here,
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: so at least they have home advantage. Over the Knicks,
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: but still which I think will matter again because the
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: Knicks have been a really disparate team where they're way
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: better at home than on the road. So but yeah,
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: we'll see. But yeah, there's no way I would lay
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: it with the Celtics. I need to taking the points
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: of Milwaukee there. Orlando at Dallas, this game was one
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: of the more difficult ones for me to figure out
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: or Orlando has something to play.
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 2: For because they're playing to avoid the.
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: Play ins here though it looks like they're probably gonna
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: get stuck in the play ins at this point. They're
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: coming off a very ugly home loss to Atlanta. I
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 1: know Atlanta's been playing well, but losing by almost thirty
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: points on your home floor is pretty bad. Wagner, I
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: believe returned in that game, so it was a reverse
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: injured player spot, which I didn't realize he was actually
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: going to be back in that game.
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 2: I wasn't sure.
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 1: So that's one thing to consider that Orlando might have
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: been in a little bit of a worse spot because
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: with one of your best players coming back, a lot
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: of times you'll kind of take your foot off the gas,
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: like mentally a little bit. Now, he came off the bench,
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: I believe, and now this is and he played okay,
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: I think, And this is his second game back now
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: where he is probably going to rejoin the starting lineup.
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 2: So this might be a better spot for Orlando.
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: And after they took that horrible loss, now they're kind
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: of used to Wagner being back.
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 2: You know, they might do better here against Dallas.
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: Dallas really doesn't have anything to play for here other
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: than the fact that they did just get embarrassed against
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee in their last game, a couple of bad losses
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: in a row, but they do have the Lakers on deck,
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 1: and maybe that's a bigger game because that's still the
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: Luca battle and whatever it's on TV. The Luca got
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: hurt last night. We don't know what his injury is
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: until the MRI results today come out. But I'm not
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: shedding a tear over it, man. And I was correct
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: with my lean on the thunder yesterday too. I kind
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: of like Orlando in this game.
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: This is one where the market is completely disagreeing with me.
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: Though the Magic are up to six and a half.
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 1: I know it's a bit of a price to lay
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: on the road with a team like Orlando, but they're
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: the team with motivation, although the problem is they do
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: have to win by margin though, so like if they
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: were a dog or a very small favorite, it was
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: just like win the game. I would like it a
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: lot better, obviously, because you're gonna get enough motivation that
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be trying to win the game. But they
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: don't really need to cover fifty percent of tickets on
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: the Magic eighty one percent of the cash on the MAVs.
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: I kind of lean Magic in that one, but that's
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: definitely a stay away. And then the last game on
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: NBA TV for some reason is New war Orlands at
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: Sacramento New Orleans. These teams both have nothing to play for.
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: New Orleans has lost six games in a row. New
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: Orleans is on a back to back, although they had
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: some rest prior to playing yesterday, so they're not gonna
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: be totally unrested.
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 2: But they played yesterday. They gotta go from Portland to Sacramento. Here.
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: Sacramento is returning home from a road trip, so I
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 1: don't like that either. They're returning from Toronto. They've been
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: away since Tuesday, March twenty fourth. They're on the road
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: this whole time. Out on the Eastern Times zone the
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 1: whole time pulled off the upset of Toronto to finish.
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 2: The road trip.
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 1: This is a horrible spot for Sacramento. Returning home from
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: a road trip here, you know they've been They got
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: to cross time zones a lot of times. You get
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 1: back home, as I always say, you get distracted. You
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: gotta get back to home life.
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 2: Whatever.
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: Maybe they'll focus more on the Clippers in their next game. Terrible,
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: terrible spot for Sacramento. So even though it's a back
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: to back for the Pelicans, I actually like the Pelicans here.
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: They're up from four and a half to six with them.
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: Money is not agree with me on that one either.
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: Sixty percent of tickets are on New Orleans, sixty one
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Kings. I might prefer
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: an over in this game, though, because you have two
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: teams that are going nowhere. And I always say when
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: two teams are just completely out of it and they're
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: just playing out the stretch, the game doesn't really matter
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: to them. They could become a scrimmage, like the defenses
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: won't be as intense just because they.
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: Don't want to get hurt. Kings might not be playing
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: intense defense.
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: Returning home off a kind of crazy upset, so that
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: also I think might help that over. With the King's
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: defense probably not being very good here Pelicans on a
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: back to backs, their defense might be unrested as well,
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: although they didn't play for a few days before that.
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: So I like the over, and that probably I like
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: the over better than the side. In that game, total
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: did drop slightly to two thirty four and a half.
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: But that's it, man, no college basketball today. We'll be
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: back tomorrow with the Final four, and there's gonna be
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: a huge hockey board, a huge MLB board. I don't
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: know if I want to like split it up, and
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: maybe I don't know. I don't know what I want
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: to do, man, because it's gonna be a fucking long show.
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: If I try to do all that, it'd be at
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: least two hours. So I got to decide if I
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 1: want to split it up and do like a separate
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: baseball show or something.
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 1: We'll sing and there'll be some NBA tomorrow too. That's
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. My one play is the under in
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: Giants Mets Mets Giants, whatever. You might be able to
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: get under eight on that as well, but seven and
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: a half not.
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 2: Much of a difference there.
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 1: You get that key number there, So either way, that's
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. Learn a tone on Twitter, Learn a
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: tone on Instagram, like subscribe, give me comments on the
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: channel here. That all helps me out. Listen on audio,
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 1: give me good reviews on audio. That all helps me
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: out as well. Apple Spotify. All that covered in Yuke
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: is my Yuke channel on YouTube. Check that out as well.
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 1: Patreona Conversation, Learn it Tone. I know my voice has
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: been bad, dude, I've been able to do the yuke stuff,
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. I don't know what I want
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: to do about that. I apologize to the Patreon supporters.
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: It is mostly just you know, supporting my stuff for
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: the most part. But yeah, I gotta maybe do some
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 1: Patreon only streams or something.
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 2: I don't know. Just trying to build the channel though
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 2: and try.
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: To monetize this thing for now, and then Loser Casts
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: will be back on Tuesday.
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 2: We may have a guest on that one too. I
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 2: don't know.
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 1: It's not up to me on that show, so we'll see.
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: But that's gonna do it for now. Yeah, I'll be
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: back either tonight or Tomorrow morning, we're both to talk
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 1: about all the crap that's going on Tomorrow.
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 2: It's gonna do it. Peace,