I Backed Over 1.5 Goals on EVERY Match for 2 Years… Here’s What Happened

Betfair Trading Community Podcast · Aug 4, 2026 · 20m

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What would happen if you backed Over 1.5 Goals on every single football match?

No filters.

No careful selections.

No avoiding bad leagues or short prices.

In this episode, we reveal the results from two full years of data and find out whether blindly backing Over 1.5 Goals could actually make a profit.

We break down:

• The overall profit and loss

• The strike rate

• The average odds

• The biggest winning and losing runs

• Which leagues performed best

• Whether adding a few simple rules improved the results

This is exactly why backtesting matters.

An idea can sound safe and…