Latest / Uncomfortable Conversations with Josh Szeps / Douglas Murray LIVE: The Final Show
Transcript
- 0:00Hello, hello, good evening, Melbourne.
- 0:07No.
- 0:09Too kind.
- 0:11Douglas rules about us follow around the country.
- 0:14This is our last show, but it's brand new.
- 0:16We do a different show every night.
- 0:18It's great to be here in Melbourne.
- 0:20If you have a VIP wristband, one of the blue wristbands
- 0:23and you didn't manage to meet Douglas before the show,
- 0:26then stay seated after the show,
- 0:28or else leave, and we'll take you to our secret lair.
- 0:31And ideally, no phones and cameras and things.
- 0:34People don't want to see you taking photos of us videoing us.
- 0:37It's not us, it's just the rest of the crowd.
- 0:41It's been so, so fascinating.
- 0:43We've had so many different conversations.
- 0:44Douglas, one thing that I have not asked you about at the beginning
- 0:47of any show so far is you went to Israel on what,
- 0:52as soon as you called after October 7th.
- 0:55You're much never left.
- 0:56You've been living in a hotel there ever since.
- 1:00What's it like?
- 1:03What's the mood?
- 1:06Yes, I went as soon as I could after the 7th.
- 1:10I was in New York on the 7th.
- 1:13I've been there ever since until coming to this fair country.
- 1:20And the truth is that the mood has changed quite a lot.
- 1:27The initial impact for 7th was ended up with a country in deep, deep trauma,
- 1:37which I'm not sure was understood very widely outside of Israel.
- 1:43And the trauma, if I could put my finger on it, was this,
- 1:46that I immediately went to the massacres sites to the communities
- 1:54that had been attacked on 7th.
- 1:58And then to the site of the Nova Massacre, much more.
- 2:03And as I went around the hospitals and the morgue and spent a lot of time
- 2:10with the kidnapped families,
- 2:14what I found was an enormous number of the parents had said to their children
- 2:24when they were hiding in their safe rooms.
- 2:27And some people might wonder, why did they have safe rooms?
- 2:31And why did they not lock?
- 2:34And the answer is that every house in the South, however poor,
- 2:39and some of these communities are very, very beautiful places like Berry, Near Oz,
- 2:44for us.
- 2:45They're very, they like these beautiful villages of 400 or 1000 people, sometimes the biggest ones.
- 2:52They all had safe rooms because rockets were a daily event.
- 3:00Everyone was used to getting rockets from Gaza and they had been since 2005.
- 3:07And so children in these communities, these villages, grow up with a siren goes
- 3:17and you go to the safe room and you sit there until all clear goes
- 3:21and then you go out and continue your day.
- 3:24But the rooms, although they shut, they didn't lock
- 3:29because nobody ever expected door to door tourists.
- 3:35And an awful lot of parents that I spoke with said that they had said to their children
- 3:45on that terrible morning, don't worry, the IDF will be here in minutes.
- 3:52And they weren't.
- 3:54Some of those places stood alone for hours,
- 3:58almost a day, some of them, before the IDF were able to get in and make me all clear.
- 4:04And the result was deep, deep trauma, which is ongoing inside Israel.
- 4:11Now we saw as more sympathy, empathy for outside the country, which is the trauma of thinking
- 4:18this is one place in the world where Jews are allowed to defend themselves and we're defenseless.
- 4:27What I describe as the fowderization of Israeli society, the idea that doesn't just exist in Israel,
- 4:36but it exists outside Israel and the diaspora.
- 4:38And among non Jews, you just sort of think everyone took the old boast
- 4:44that they can't sneeze in Gaza without us knowing.
- 4:49And it turned out not to be true.
- 4:52And I made to give you one very quick example rather ugly place to stop,
- 5:00but nevertheless war is ugly.
- 5:03There was a father I spoke with when I first got to Israel who was in the hospital,
- 5:10and one of the hospitals in Tel Aviv.
- 5:12And he had been in the safe room with their kibbutz, Betty, and he was there for hours with his 14-year-old son
- 5:25and 16-year-old daughter and his wife.
- 5:30And on the morning, as everyone else, the sirens came, so they went to the safe room.
- 5:36Then they started to hear the gunfire, and then they realized the gunmen were in their house.
- 5:44And the gunmen couldn't open their door because the father was a big man.
- 5:47He could hold it shut, and I've spoken to lots of people who couldn't hold it shut.
- 5:53And he made us hold it shut so the terrorists of Hamaz started to set fire to the house.
- 6:01But he could already hear the screams of his neighbors, and he worked out if we run out of the house or just machine gun us.
- 6:08So he persuaded that his whole family to sit in the house and they covered their faces with towels.
- 6:15And then he couldn't bear it anymore and he thought, I'm going to burn alive with my family.
- 6:19But he said, I said to my son, don't worry, the IDF will be here in minutes.
- 6:25And they ended up opening a shutter, which a lot of the safe rooms have, just that they were dying.
- 6:31And he opened the shutter to let some air in, and the Hamaz noticed.
- 6:36And they threw a grenade in, which immediately killed his wife, and his daughter was hiding in the corner.
- 6:47And then a clash of the cough came through the window.
- 6:51And they shot his son through both sides of the chest.
- 6:55He bled out in front of his father and sister.
- 7:00And his father said to me, the last thing his son said to him was, I'd like to be, he was a keen surfer.
- 7:07He said, I'd like to be buried with my surfboard.
- 7:10And as we sat in the hospital, he said to me that the authorities that sent him the day before,
- 7:19you know, we found some of the remnants in your house.
- 7:22Is there anything you want?
- 7:23And he said, there's only one thing I want, if you can find my son surfboard.
- 7:27And he buried him with it.
- 7:30But I had the opportunity to put this point to Prime Minister Netanyahu when I interviewed him the other month.
- 7:37I said to him, I've just spoken to so many survivors, and they all said the same thing.
- 7:42The IDF will be here in minutes.
- 7:44And they weren't what went wrong.
- 7:47And the truth is nobody really knows for sure what went wrong.
- 7:51But whatever it was that did go wrong at the intelligence level, the military level, whatever it was.
- 7:57That is a deep trauma for any society to go through, particularly for that society.
- 8:02Because if there's one thing that was a lesson after the Second World War,
- 8:08it was that Jews had to be in charge of their own security, their own future.
- 8:16They had to look after themselves because the world could not be trusted and look after them.
- 8:21And that has held pretty much.
- 8:24Even 1973, it's held pretty much.
- 8:28I think something very, very deep happened on the 7th, where people felt it's not held.
- 8:35When you say that nobody knows why the IDF took so long,
- 8:38one theory about why the IDF took so long is that Benjamin Netanyahu's hard-right government has spent the past 15 years building so many settlements in the West Bank
- 8:47that they require so much protection that the southern border was unprotected.
- 8:51The southern border wasn't unprotected, but there was a congruent for events.
- 8:55One was that a lot of people went home for Sukhap Torah, the religious holiday.
- 9:00Too many people were sent home from base, definitely.
- 9:04It's not the case that the IDF was distracted by the West Bank, although there is an argument that will come out from the Commission of Inquiry,
- 9:10which I think will be brutal.
- 9:12A lot of the IDF who ended up going there were going from the West Bank to there.
- 9:16Some were, but most were all around the country with their families elsewhere across the country.
- 9:27We'll find out. I've got some early feelings of what went wrong, but some ideas of it.
- 9:33Fundamentally, there was what, even the politicians have admitted publicly in this very heart,
- 9:39but for politicians, of course, as we all know, to admit anything has gone wrong.
- 9:44Because if they admit something has gone wrong on their watch, then they're culpable.
- 9:47You know, you can get military leaders, intelligence leaders, they can have admitted because they're in post.
- 9:53The minute a political leader says I marked out, you know, your toast,
- 9:59and that's all your political opponents will play as you say, I'm sorry.
- 10:04And although I tried to get that in the eye, I would say that he didn't.
- 10:08He doesn't strike me as the kind of guy who that comes easily, too.
- 10:12He's, yeah, I mean, it's a tough region, so it needs tough leaders.
- 10:19If they don't have the luck, sure, you wouldn't be tough and humble.
- 10:24I like to think so.
- 10:27But I mean, they don't have the luck, sure, that this country has of having New Zealanders and nearest neighbor.
- 10:37And that's it.
- 10:41Not so quibble, but I think it's public New Guinea.
- 10:46But not heavily armed, I think.
- 10:50I think that the one that the politicians will admit went wrong
- 10:55was what they call the conception was wrong.
- 10:58And I've interviewed most of the people who are the masters of this conception.
- 11:02And the conception was broadly speaking, but, and it was a, I mean,
- 11:06it was a historic, unbelievable era that Hamas, although they were indeed violent,
- 11:13genocidal in that intent towards the Jewish state, were keen on remaining corrupt
- 11:20and enriching themselves and buying luxury apartments in Doha and so on.
- 11:25But that they, that therefore this status quo wouldn't be disturbed,
- 11:30not by a really big event.
- 11:33And that turns out to be one of the most historic mistakes ever made by any government official.
- 11:39So let's talk about the fallout, because I want to talk about here
- 11:42and what's going on in terms of public opinion.
- 11:45There's clearly been a shift in the wake of the catastrophe.
- 11:49There was, of course, some cohort of people who were sympathetic to Hamas
- 11:54and some cohort of anti-Semites who will always be irredeemably anti-Israel.
- 11:59And yet none the less over the course of the past five months,
- 12:02there's been a rise in sympathy for Palestinians, I would say.
- 12:06A rise in sympathy for people who have questions onism as a project
- 12:10and wonder whether the whole thing is a misbegotten venture.
- 12:15It's a war that's tailor-made for TikTok, 15-second images of babies in rubble.
- 12:21It's no picnic in Gaza, is Israel losing the PR war?
- 12:27I mean, first of all, the most important thing,
- 12:30I always think it was a war isn't to win the PR war, but to win the war.
- 12:35It matters a lot more.
- 12:37It's more importantly, winning Gaza than they win on TikTok.
- 12:41Are you sure about that?
- 12:43I'm pretty sure.
- 12:45Nobody dies yet because of TikTok.
- 12:51But they will die if the idea was on the rise.
- 12:55The theory would be that for Israel to thrive over the course of the next century,
- 13:00it's going to be necessary for global public opinion to not regard it as a complete pariah.
- 13:05That's absolutely true.
- 13:06And it mustn't be regarded as a complete pariah,
- 13:09but it's tricky because there are lots of countries trying to push them into being a pariah.
- 13:12Principally, of course, the revolution Islamic government in Iran,
- 13:16which is extremely clever in its global manipulation.
- 13:22I mean, the South African goers, it's South Africa last week before I count them up.
- 13:29Last week we were in Perth. That's different South Africa.
- 13:32It has some similarities.
- 13:34Now, I remember the distinction because in Perth, the lights remained on.
- 13:40I remember that distinctly.
- 13:46I was in South Africa, of course.
- 13:48You know, they had just taken the Israel to international court for this absolutely fallacious claim of genocide.
- 13:54And they had done so clearly at the behest of the Iranian government.
- 13:58Immediately after the 7th of October, the foreign minister in South Africa flew to Tehran,
- 14:04and they just got a delegation back.
- 14:06I said to their politicians, I didn't manage to see the ANC leadership.
- 14:09They were too busy lining their pockets.
- 14:12But I saw the heads of all the other parties.
- 14:15I said to them, you know, your country has one very, very strong thing on the international stage,
- 14:21which is the moral capital of the defeat of apartheid,
- 14:25and the peaceful resolution to that awful period.
- 14:29And I said to them, you should know that your government has sold your moral legacy very cheap to Tehran.
- 14:39But you're right. I mean, there's definitely...
- 14:42There is a PR war and it does matter.
- 14:45And I think that most people, you know, around the world,
- 14:48most people look up and use in the evening on their phone, pick up the paper if they still do.
- 14:55And they just see killing and they say, I want the killing to start.
- 14:59And that's completely understandable. I mean, everyone wants the killing to start.
- 15:03But there is one thing I gotta say, which strikes me very, very clearly about covering this war,
- 15:10is that the year before this, I was in the Ukraine with Ukrainian armed forces
- 15:16as they were retaking territory from the Russians inside Ukraine.
- 15:21I went in, I was on the first people in the Curson when it was taken back after a month of Russian occupation.
- 15:28And I was very, very upbeat about it at the time,
- 15:33because they were making so many advances and it was just terrific, great momentum.
- 15:38And the one thing I noticed that nobody said to me when I returned,
- 15:43when I wrote about it, when I reported from there, nobody said to me,
- 15:48you know, maybe the Ukrainians should be more careful about civilian casualties.
- 15:53Maybe the Ukrainians shouldn't, you know, I mean, are you sure they're being okay with the Russians
- 15:58and treating them well?
- 16:02I got mad they made sure they're Russian opponents of fully fed and watered.
- 16:08And nobody said this.
- 16:10And in fact, I'd say more than that, nobody said they must be a ceasefire.
- 16:16Everybody around the world said we want the Ukrainians to win.
- 16:22And with Israel, the world always says the same thing, which is they must fight to a draw.
- 16:29They must fight to equal.
- 16:32And I think that is one of the reasons this conflict has gone on all of our lives.
- 16:37It's because Israel is never allowed to win.
- 16:40And winning, among other things, means that you stop the precursor of the next conflict.
- 16:47Every conflict, Israel has been involved in particular since the withdrawal from Gaza,
- 16:51is a two or three year cycle where Hamaz, once again,
- 16:55do an extraordinary barrage of rockets and then Israel has to go in.
- 16:58This time, of course, a massive incursion, a 4,000 terrorist incursion into Israel.
- 17:04And, of course, they have to go in.
- 17:07But I mean, the difference, of course, with the Ukrainians,
- 17:09that people don't regard Ukraine as being complicit in the status quo that was untenable.
- 17:13People do regard it as a big deal.
- 17:16Of course, they do in Moscow.
- 17:18We're talking about public opinion here in the West.
- 17:20I mean, if October 7th had happened in a context in which instead of spending the previous 15 years
- 17:26aggressively expanding settlements in the West Bank,
- 17:29and sort of being okay with Hamaz being in Gaza,
- 17:33as long as it splits the Palestinians and detonates any possibility of a two-state solution.
- 17:38If instead of that, there'd been some framework for peace,
- 17:43for what the day after looks like in Israel,
- 17:46maybe as much sympathy for ed designism today.
- 17:50I think there would be.
- 17:52I think there would be another reason for it.
- 17:54I think there would be another reason for it.
- 17:56I think it's a pathology.
- 17:58There are some things, you know, too deep for political analysis.
- 18:03They come from a pathology.
- 18:05They need a psychiatrist to work it out.
- 18:08But like the Indian government was backing Israel on October 8th.
- 18:12You know, the Saudis were making all the right noises.
- 18:15Does the Indian government have an anti-Semitic pathology?
- 18:18Perfectly possibly.
- 18:21I mean, they do their own business whenever they want to.
- 18:26Like God, say with all the countries that have fallen away.
- 18:30I mean, everyone does what they want.
- 18:33If, you know, when terrorists attacked in Paris,
- 18:38when ISIS attacked Paris in 2015-2016,
- 18:43the French government immediately started bombing a raft
- 18:46along with my government and the American government
- 18:48and nobody cared about civilian casualties at Mosul.
- 18:52Nobody cared.
- 18:53There was a job.
- 18:54Get rid of ISIS, destroy them, kill them.
- 18:56We can't live with these people.
- 18:58I believe it's the same with Hamas.
- 19:00They have to be destroyed.
- 19:01We can't live with these people.
- 19:03Everyone in Israel knows that, but the wider world doesn't.
- 19:06And I think there will always be a reason.
- 19:09There is a pathology about it.
- 19:11This isn't to say that there are all sorts of legitimate arguments
- 19:14and criticisms that can go on.
- 19:15I don't agree about the problem of settlements.
- 19:17I don't think that is the main problem.
- 19:19I don't think it's even a second-order issue.
- 19:22It's just symptomatic of a worldview,
- 19:24which is that Israel should be Israel.
- 19:26As a smokerish Lahad write finance minister said last week
- 19:29when he was allocating another two and a half thousand acres
- 19:32of the West Bank to settlements,
- 19:33he said Israel will be Israel, including Judea and Samaria.
- 19:36The fact is, and the international community doesn't always understand this,
- 19:41is that it is a very odd thing if the Jewish state
- 19:45exists right to decide its historic homeland.
- 19:53I mean, it's a very...
- 19:58I mean, if you do in Samaria,
- 20:01the places where the prophets walked,
- 20:04this is where they're buried.
- 20:06And, you know, they're not buried in Tel Aviv,
- 20:10lovely city as it is.
- 20:12And so, of course, people feel the intense belonging to these areas.
- 20:18Now, of course, there are Palestinians in the areas as well.
- 20:21I spend lots of time living among them as well.
- 20:24And it's my conclusion that that is going to be the world's ugliest border
- 20:30but it basically works as two states anyway in my experience.
- 20:34I mean, the PA has their sort of corrupt entity
- 20:36and they have all these ministry buildings all built by the Europeans
- 20:40and they have their own police force and things.
- 20:44And they have their own areas and then there is Jewish areas.
- 20:47And, you know, the one thing everyone knows is that the whole of the West Bank
- 20:50will not be given over to the Palestinians,
- 20:52principally, because if you stand in the hills of the West Bank in the night,
- 20:55you can look over and you can see the likes of Tel Aviv,
- 20:58Haifa and Ben Gurion Airport.
- 21:00And there is no darn way any sensible Israeli can hand over a territory
- 21:04which will be within rocket range of these three places,
- 21:07no way.
- 21:08No, but no proposal would have a militarized border.
- 21:10The proposal would be that would be a no man's land.
- 21:12It'd be a demilitarized state on the other side.
- 21:15But I remember when Gaza was meant to be demilitarized.
- 21:19You know, I remember when, I remember when the south,
- 21:22I covered the 2006 Hezbollah 11 on the Israel War.
- 21:26And I remember the way that war finished was the Resolution 1701 was passed
- 21:30by the UN and it said that the Hezbollah will not have any rockets
- 21:34south of the Natali River in Lebanon.
- 21:36And I was up there, I've been up there quite a lot in recent weeks
- 21:39where there's a lot of activity and the Hezbollah 160,000 missiles
- 21:44pointed at Israel.
- 21:45And the international community peace keeps in the same way
- 21:51that Unruh educates.
- 21:52And I saw the other day, the driver on the border
- 22:05Hezbollah fired a barrage of six rockets into Israel
- 22:09and the UN peacekeeping force did a U-turn and went back to their base.
- 22:12That's your UN.
- 22:14And if anyone can tell me that any government in the world,
- 22:17the Israeli government, the Australian government,
- 22:19any government would put their security in the hands of an international force
- 22:23that doesn't peace keep for just war watches.
- 22:25You know, I've got a bridge to sell them,
- 22:28but they had this extraordinary, I mean, just today I saw in the news,
- 22:34in Tel Aviv, between Arsenal, I can say this because we're in private.
- 22:39And as a fundamentalist I'm not in the screen, but the people I talk to.
- 22:45But I can tell you, I live in a hotel with the residents of a place called Kiryat Shimonah,
- 22:53a small-ish town in the north of Israel.
- 22:56And all the residents were pulled out of their homes on the 7th October by the IDF
- 23:00and they haven't been back since.
- 23:02I've actually been to their homes more often than they have.
- 23:05And they've been in Kiryat Shimonah quite a lot.
- 23:08I saw that today Hezbollah fired 30 missiles at Kiryat Shimonah today.
- 23:12And when you're there, because the Lebanon missiles are very advanced
- 23:17and they're much better than the Hamas ones,
- 23:20the rockets land and you hear boom, boom.
- 23:24And then there's a brief pause and then the sirens go.
- 23:27In other words, this is even closer than the communities in the south.
- 23:30The sirens don't have time to pick up the rockets.
- 23:34Nobody can live in that place.
- 23:37And it's on the international community, not Israel.
- 23:41The international community that said that they would make sure that didn't happen.
- 23:45So it comes back to this fundamental thing.
- 23:48I believe that all people, when they have an elected government,
- 23:52they're in a democracy like Israel, like Australia, like Britain, like America.
- 23:56The principal job of the government is to keep the people of their country safe.
- 24:01That's the number one thing.
- 24:04And that has to be your priority.
- 24:07Everything else down the line is a nice extra.
- 24:12But you know, if Australia had been savagely attacked in a similar fashion
- 24:17and had about proportion of population lost,
- 24:21say 10,000 people in a day brutally murdered, raped,
- 24:24beheaded and burned alive in their homes.
- 24:27And if you'd had about 1,000, 2,000 people stolen as hostages,
- 24:32I would expect the Australian government to tear up the earth to get the hostages back
- 24:36and revenge the attack.
- 24:38Of course we would.
- 24:39And so I don't know if we would.
- 24:41There's a big question with every country on Israel,
- 24:43the question is, what do you actually do something?
- 24:45What would you do?
- 24:46But even if you did, who would you accept advice from who knew your security better than you?
- 24:51Well, when I say, of course you would,
- 24:53I mean, of course it would be understandable
- 24:55if one had a mentality of grief and revenge after being attacked.
- 24:59When you look at the necessity of a government
- 25:02in safeguarding its citizens' lives,
- 25:04you need to look over the long term as well as the short term.
- 25:07So many of the Jews who, you know, around the world
- 25:11are ambivalent about what Israel is doing
- 25:14and feel frustrated or stuck.
- 25:16People like the most senior Jewish politician in history,
- 25:19Senator Chuck Schumer, who came out last week
- 25:21and called for elections in Israel
- 25:23and said that Bibin Netanyahu has failed to have a vision of a day after.
- 25:28What is the long term plan?
- 25:30If you want to strategize about Israel being part of a community of nations
- 25:34that are in an alliance against Iran and Russia and maybe China
- 25:38and the alliance that could stretch from India
- 25:40through the Gulf Arab states, through North Africa, into the European Union
- 25:44and provide real solidarity,
- 25:46that alliance is not going to have a member
- 25:48who remains completely intransigent to resolving the issue
- 25:52that the people of the world seem to care about quite a lot.
- 25:55But not intransigent about it.
- 25:57The problem is there's no partner for peace.
- 25:59If the, you know, if there's an election tomorrow in Gaza,
- 26:05Hamaz will win again.
- 26:07And they were elected by the people.
- 26:11And I believe there's a cost to electing an terrorist group
- 26:14with your leadership.
- 26:16The West Bank Palestinians, whenever they're polled
- 26:20and it's not changed much since the 7th October,
- 26:2375 to 80% of them say that they would vote Hamaz tomorrow.
- 26:29And, you know, when people wonder why Mahmoud Abbas,
- 26:32the head of the Palestinian Authority is currently 18 years
- 26:36and is first four-year term,
- 26:38because there's a record of Vladimir Putin would admire.
- 26:43When people wonder why that is,
- 26:45it's because the world knows that he knows that if they had elections
- 26:49he'd be turfed out.
- 26:51He'd come in and they chuck him off the top of a building
- 26:54or hang him like they did his colleagues in Qatar in Gaza in 2006.
- 26:59And in that situation, I understand the world's interest in it.
- 27:05What I don't understand, to use a term of conflict
- 27:09that's used only about Israel,
- 27:11is this is a disproportionality of the obsession.
- 27:14There I cannot understand.
- 27:16I do understand, but I think it has darker undertones.
- 27:19I think the obsession is unnatural.
- 27:22Again, nobody worries about whether President Zelensky
- 27:27has a day after plan for Ukraine.
- 27:31Nobody wondered what hour the Allies who destroyed ISIS
- 27:37or largely destroyed ISIS,
- 27:39nobody wondered what our day after plan was for Lozor.
- 27:43We didn't worry about death counts of civilians in Lozor,
- 27:47which were about four or three to one civilians,
- 27:50three or three civilians every one terrorist killed,
- 27:54as opposed to the IDF figures which is roughly one terrorist
- 27:57to about one and a half civilians.
- 28:00It's terrible, but war is terrible.
- 28:02The obsession with this particular conflict
- 28:05that I believe it comes from a generational misunderstanding,
- 28:09which exists in this country,
- 28:11which exists in Britain and exists in America,
- 28:14which is just lunacy of the idea that all the problems
- 28:18of the Middle East would be solved
- 28:20if only the Palestinians had another state.
- 28:23I say another state because they were given a state in 2005.
- 28:26Gaza was effectively a state,
- 28:29and they ruled it,
- 28:31and my god did they misrule it.
- 28:33But the idea that another Palestinian state
- 28:37say in the West Bank with an ugly carved out border somewhere,
- 28:41the idea that if that happened,
- 28:43all the other problems in the Middle East would be mitigated.
- 28:46I think it's for the fairies.
- 28:48The Yemen's economy is not suddenly going to be
- 28:51in the hands of great entrepreneurs that day after that.
- 28:54They're not going to stop hanging gays in Iran
- 28:57or giving women equal rights.
- 29:00None of this changes if there's another failed Arab state.
- 29:04But let me just go back a step before that.
- 29:09Again, it's the session about it
- 29:12that I find both fascinating and deeply worried.
- 29:16I think there are explanations for its state by state.
- 29:19Countries like this sometimes
- 29:21they just have a misunderstanding about this.
- 29:23They dream this stupid dream
- 29:25that if you solve the Palestinian Israeli dispute everyone else
- 29:28the region would go home and have a happy life.
- 29:31And in Europe,
- 29:33there are different psychopathies at play,
- 29:36not least the deep desire of continental Europeans
- 29:40to be able to accuse the Jews of what they did to the Jews.
- 29:43I mean, wow, is that strong?
- 29:46If you can accuse the Jews,
- 29:48that's why they use the word as they do.
- 29:50They say they're very, very specific.
- 29:52Nobody accuses the Ukrainians of genocide.
- 29:54Nobody accuses the Ukrainians of creating a wass or ghetto.
- 29:58Only only watch out for one of those terms occur.
- 30:01They only occur in relation to the Jewish state.
- 30:04They say it because they want to wound Jews.
- 30:07That's my belief.
- 30:08They want to wound Jews hurt them.
- 30:10They say things like they're behaving in a Nazi-like way.
- 30:13And the follow-on from that is that they deeply,
- 30:19deeply, they don't even, it's so deep they don't even know it.
- 30:22They want to be able to say,
- 30:25ah, evil the Jews have died.
- 30:28So we can be absolved for the 20th century.
- 30:32X.
- 30:34We can get going again.
- 30:36I wonder if there's something else.
- 30:38Yeah.
- 30:39I wonder if there's also something else feeding in.
- 30:44I've been fascinated by my peers' reaction to October 7th.
- 30:50And the amount of fatuous anti-Zionist nonsense,
- 30:54especially on social media.
- 30:56And I wonder if there's a kind of heuristic template that we all have.
- 31:03And by we all, I mean, I suppose I'm referring to my colleagues in the press
- 31:07who tend to be university educated mostly white,
- 31:10mostly upper middle class elites who have absorbed a certain set of doctrines
- 31:15about what you're supposed to say, about sexism and racism and colonialism
- 31:19and oppression and gender and whatever.
- 31:22And we all know this thought bubble, right?
- 31:25It's like, it's so bloody boring.
- 31:28And totally predictable.
- 31:30And totally predictable.
- 31:32And so it provides a template where if you see a conflict
- 31:35and there's a white person who looks rich and is wearing a suit and has lots of bonds.
- 31:40And there's a person of color sitting amid rubble.
- 31:44Of course, your guilt, your post-colonial sympathy goes to the person in the rubble.
- 31:50It's sort of been trained that this is a template that we can superimpose
- 31:54onto wall conflicts and onto everything.
- 31:57It tickles us.
- 31:58It makes us feel virtuous.
- 31:59It makes us feel like we're able to show other people that we're virtuous
- 32:02because we're on the right side of history.
- 32:04We're not on the side of the colonizers or whatever the settlers.
- 32:09And it strikes me that that is just an off the shelf,
- 32:12bed and bullshit that's being superimposed onto this conflict.
- 32:16Yeah, I mean, there's no obvious reason why I can predict with 100% accuracy.
- 32:22Your views on the Middle East based on whether or not you should be able to mutilate the generals of a child.
- 32:29And it's absolutely the case if for instance somebody says,
- 32:34I'm very big in supporting trans kids.
- 32:37I know exactly what their views on the Middle East are going to be.
- 32:40Absolutely.
- 32:41And why should that be?
- 32:43It's so strange.
- 32:44It's an allocart political philosophy.
- 32:49And it believes, yes, you're right.
- 32:51I mean, this is a very, very deep one.
- 32:53Believes that all the world can be divided into oppressor and oppress,
- 32:58colonize, uncolonize, victim and victimizer.
- 33:01And you just sort of obviously sort of fell out of the heads of people in the American Academy.
- 33:07But that idea, which doesn't really work in America,
- 33:12there's a horrible, horrible ideology.
- 33:15It doesn't really work in America.
- 33:16It doesn't work anywhere.
- 33:17And then they try to transplant it on the Middle East to see if it can work there.
- 33:20And the result of it is you end up calling for the eradication of the Jewish state
- 33:29and the name of anti-nazis.
- 33:32When you say it doesn't work in the United States,
- 33:34how do you achieve civil rights and cultural progress without trying to undo
- 33:40the biases of the past?
- 33:42So it's taking this country, for example, it's not like everyone had a deep
- 33:46and abiding understanding of what had happened to the First Nations people
- 33:50in the 1950s here.
- 33:51So there needed to be a redress now, whether that is now becoming ridiculous
- 33:56because you've got four white, middle-aged women on an HR Zoom call
- 34:01or doing their acknowledgements of country about the land of the traditional owners or something.
- 34:07Who is this helping?
- 34:09Who is the traditional owner of Zoom, by the way?
- 34:12I'm sure he's fabulously wealthy, but he's probably not an indigenous Australian.
- 34:19So you're going to argue about the ways that you do it.
- 34:23Do you really need to be told when the plain lands, the quantest likes,
- 34:27the traditional owners of the land?
- 34:29Nonetheless, there was also something broken.
- 34:32There was something wrong.
- 34:33We hadn't reckoned with the stolen generations.
- 34:36We hadn't reckoned with the way that First Nations people were treated.
- 34:40So isn't it necessary to counteract the hierarchy by the installation of a deconstruction of the hierarchy?
- 34:47Oh, deconstruction.
- 34:49It's such a hideous word.
- 34:51I'm deeply keen that after the era of deconstruction we have a new era which is the era of reconstruction
- 34:58and not just a tear down but build, not just to problematize, but to solve some dumb things.
- 35:07You're right.
- 35:09What this point is, though, is it incredibly difficult.
- 35:12I pointed this out in my book, The Manors of Crowd, a few years ago about all these weird social justice movements that exist in our time.
- 35:21And I said there that I think what is going on, in the case you say with Australia, is a good one,
- 35:27is always this tendency, which considering how incredibly clever we should be, and how connected we are,
- 35:34and how much we have ability to knowledge and books and access to information and swapping knowledge,
- 35:40we're very bad at, which is how to correct a past injustice perceived or real without overcorrecting it.
- 35:51And in almost every context of the moment, what happens is an overcorrection.
- 35:58I mean, the most obvious one which I wrote about The Manors of Crowd was the overcorrection to do with relations between the sexes.
- 36:06When in 2017, I mean, two movements started.
- 36:11I actually saw Ronan Farrow somewhere last summer.
- 36:14I didn't know what you did.
- 36:17On the one hand, yes, there were cases of men taking advantage of their positions of power, definitely.
- 36:26But the overcorrection, particularly America, where it became like that people were losing their jobs and livelihoods for a bad past,
- 36:37you know, or bad date.
- 36:40There was a comedian joke.
- 36:43A bad joke, absolutely, which is, as you know, is everyone's right to me.
- 36:49I make a lot of them, Douglas, I make a lot of them.
- 36:52I noticed your defensive on that one. God damn, we have to make bad jokes.
- 36:58But I mean, the bad past, there was a comedian Ansari who lost his job because a girl described a date they'd been on.
- 37:05Nothing, non-consensual would happen, but she just, you know, sort of looked back and didn't like it much.
- 37:10And no one clapped at the Emmy Awards when he was nominated. Did you see that?
- 37:14They read out his name and the auditorium was silent.
- 37:17Oh, they're such cowards.
- 37:19They're such cowards.
- 37:21It's like the fact that, you know, Kevin Spacey lost his career,
- 37:25was found not guilty of the crimes that he was accused of.
- 37:28And no one in Hollywood wants to touch him still.
- 37:30I mean, there's such cowards.
- 37:32It's all about patting themselves on the back for their bravery.
- 37:35You never meet anyone more Callow than a Hollywood producer.
- 37:39But no, I mean, they had this.
- 37:41By the way, if you're going to reconstruct sexual norms, I've always thought that Hollywood is a bad place to base that on.
- 37:47I mean, the town literally came up with a term casting couch.
- 37:51It came up with, for a reason.
- 37:54But it was amazing that that year, after Me Too started,
- 37:58there was a perfectly reasonable place to take it, which was like, you know,
- 38:02on Harvey Weinstein like people should not be allowed to get away with their behaviour.
- 38:05There's no reason why, you know, they ended up with a situation that, I mean, effectively,
- 38:11the way I said is that if you're not allowed to make a bad pass as a man,
- 38:17you're allowed one pass in your life.
- 38:21And it's got to be a bullseye.
- 38:24You have got to hit it right first time, one shot, and it has to be your partner for life.
- 38:31Good luck, boys.
- 38:34Now that is, of course, completely unreasonable,
- 38:37but that was a massive overcorrection.
- 38:39And you heard people during that era saying all this stuff like, believe all women.
- 38:43Now there's no more reason to say, believe all women than to say, believe all men.
- 38:47Or believe all people who are five foot ten.
- 38:50Why? Why people lie? People fit, people exaggerate, people regret, people do all sorts of things.
- 38:56But that's an example of a culture where we cannot seem to not over-correct.
- 39:01I mean, it's over-correction is actually a two-generous term for it in some ways.
- 39:07Oh, good. I've always phased on two-generous.
- 39:10Excellent.
- 39:11There's something else going on, which is that there's a rise in the sort of virtue signaling about one's bona fides as a spokesperson for your own identity.
- 39:19Yeah.
- 39:20So if the over-correction was just that we were all becoming too much like Martin Luther King, Jr.
- 39:25or too much, putting too much emphasis on a point of view about them just taking race as an example,
- 39:31that even a present Barack Obama, as recently as when he was present,
- 39:37it was pretty uncontroversial to say that you should treat each other on the basis of the content of your character
- 39:42and not the color of your skin.
- 39:44That is now regarded as a bit passe, a bit naïve, you're only ever going to overcome structural inequality
- 39:50by pitting identity groups against each other, the LGBTQIA plus.
- 39:56I'm sure I've met one out.
- 39:58Community.
- 39:59And so if it was just a matter of over-correcting, I'd be less worried about it.
- 40:04I'm more worried about it because it seems a bit like veering off into a different thing, which is actually anti-agallitarian.
- 40:09Well, it's not just anti-agallitarian, it's so darn boring.
- 40:12I mean, I'm in big game myself.
- 40:16I'm so bored of gazed off.
- 40:19I mean, just give me a break.
- 40:21You know, I mean, a few years ago, I might bank in there.
- 40:27I've got to careful, I say this is this because you can beat the bank.
- 40:30But a bank, because I bank with, did this thing for Pride Month?
- 40:37Oh, Jesus.
- 40:39I mean, it's, of course, Pride Parade became Pride Day, became Pride Week, became Pride Month,
- 40:43with very lucky not to have Pride all year round.
- 40:46But the bank had a massive redesign, if it's logo.
- 40:52And in the big rainbow flag and it's Barclays, love happens here.
- 41:01And apart from wanting to throw up, you know, I said with a tie, I wrote a piece of evidence,
- 41:07but I said the things I banked with Barclays, I don't want love to happen.
- 41:13I don't even want a quickie.
- 41:16I just want them to have real people behind the till.
- 41:22And also occasionally have a branch that's actually open.
- 41:26And whenever I lose my statements, I don't want them to charge me five quid.
- 41:30And that would, I'd feel that was an expression of kindness by Barclays.
- 41:35But it's all this, it's all, it's all the overdoing it crap.
- 41:39It's, you know, it's the thing of, you know, you know, you never see a policeman unless it's Mardi Gras.
- 41:45And, you know, if you just, an old lady has been coshed over the head by a mugger,
- 41:51you can't find a policeman.
- 41:53You're sort of, best thing to do is find someone doing the Macarena.
- 41:58They're just not interested in their real job.
- 42:01They're just massively overcorrect.
- 42:04It's the same with the army.
- 42:05I mean, they do this fantastically in America.
- 42:07They're so, I mean, I live in New York most of time.
- 42:10They're so bad in the overcorrection department.
- 42:13You know, you can say that like the, I mean, again, it's not a typical organization.
- 42:17The CIA, whenever it wants, you know, is doing a recruitment drive now.
- 42:21You might say that in the past there were times when the CIA didn't have the most equal hiring.
- 42:27It's not the biggest problem for a country.
- 42:29I don't think anyone says I want to make sure that all my spies are exactly represented
- 42:34to have every sexual kink.
- 42:36But as it happens, that's one thing the CIA did for Bill.
- 42:41Rather successfully.
- 42:42That would be very top.
- 42:43Absolutely.
- 42:44But, you know, they did this one recent recruitment drive for the CIA and they had this woman
- 42:51who she's a lady of color and she's on the big side and she is walking through the holes of the CIA
- 43:02and she's saying, you know, I am and she identifies all the things she is.
- 43:05And it's a whole list of conditions.
- 43:09And one of them is bipolar.
- 43:12And, you know, I'm proud of her mental health, the things.
- 43:19And I thought, well, I hope she's not in charge of the drone program.
- 43:25Because if there's one thing I'm keen on, it's that the drones are in the hands of pretty mentally sick people.
- 43:33I do not want a manic depressive with access to the nuclear codes.
- 43:41But they did it to kind of show the CIA can be for you as well.
- 43:46But I just think that's preposterous.
- 43:48It's the same thing with the Army.
- 43:49The Army of Britain does these recruitment videos.
- 43:51I mean, now if you're white and male and young and fit, you're the last person the British Army wants.
- 43:59I mean, you know, if you're a sort of pacifist vegan transsexual, you know, you get fast tracked.
- 44:09Get your own drone in no time.
- 44:13And of course, it's preposterous.
- 44:15And it's all just a massive overcorrection.
- 44:17And you just want some adults to come along and just say, now stop it right there.
- 44:22Stop it right there.
- 44:24There's going to be no more rainbow crossings.
- 44:26We're just going to be able to walk across the road and not get run over.
- 44:30That's it.
- 44:31We don't want like a pride death.
- 44:34And no one seems to be able to do it.
- 44:37It's like the only adults.
- 44:38I mean, occasionally adults crop up.
- 44:40Some friends are mine in Paris some years ago.
- 44:42And me too was going too far.
- 44:44Signed a wonderful letter.
- 44:45Some actresses and philosophers and everything.
- 44:47Oh, now I love French people sometimes.
- 44:51Sometimes.
- 44:52The, the, the, the, the, the, they, they sound like there's a hundred women from the women in preferred society.
- 44:58Signed a letter saying all this stuff from America is too much.
- 45:02They said, we like men flirting with us.
- 45:05And we like relations from sexism.
- 45:07We rather think they should go on.
- 45:09And everyone in France pretty much agreed.
- 45:12You know, they, they, they, they like a bit of Nuki.
- 45:15I mean, and, and, and, and, and it was important for somebody to say that.
- 45:20But it's so striking that what these French women all said that was so obvious
- 45:25was not said by any woman in Hollywood or in politics in America.
- 45:29It wasn't said by anyone prominent in any other country so far as they know.
- 45:32Certainly not in English speaking world.
- 45:34Out the grownups in the room really ideally supposed to involve the media as well.
- 45:39I mean, this has made you be just me speaking from my own personal experience.
- 45:42I was a, the ABC radio personality in Sydney.
- 45:45What, what, what happened with that?
- 45:48That's, that's a long story, Douglas.
- 45:53Okay.
- 45:54But one of the things that I noticed when I got,
- 45:56one of the first things that I saw on the official ABC News Instagram feed in January
- 46:02in the New Year, I thought I'll check in and see what's been going on.
- 46:05I'd been abroad.
- 46:06And there was a big nine page feature,
- 46:09one of these big magazine style features that the digital department news department does.
- 46:14That takes a lot of resources and is really meant to relate to people.
- 46:17That's the issue when everyone's lips so bad.
- 46:19And it was a mess.
- 46:20Now, God bless this guy who they were having with profiling.
- 46:23But, you know, it was like, I'm a farmer, I'm out on the land.
- 46:26But I was born as a woman or I was assigned female at birth, as you're supposed to say.
- 46:31And now there's a lack of resources or knowledge amongst regional doctors for dealing with menopause amongst transgender men.
- 46:38And I was like, is this the most important thing that we need a nine page feature on?
- 46:45And if it's not, what's happening?
- 46:48They're trying to signal to each other that we're in the club, that we've got the memo,
- 46:53that we're on the right side of history, that we likely underdog.
- 46:57In other words, it's this sort of social justice dogma mission instead of news reporting.
- 47:03Yeah, absolutely.
- 47:04Well, there's an explanation for this, Peter Teelgay a few years ago.
- 47:07He said that he thought that maybe as the salaries in media declined in this century,
- 47:13the media started to pay themselves in a different currency.
- 47:17Now, what's the currency?
- 47:19It's the admiration and respect of your peers.
- 47:23So, you know, I'm at the Washington Post fighting for democracy because democracy dies in darkness.
- 47:29Turns out, democracy can die at the Washington Post, quite easily.
- 47:33But there's something very interesting in this, because if a profession isn't paying less and less,
- 47:42and the people going into it, of course, end up being significantly people who can sustain themselves,
- 47:48that's another thing.
- 47:49So, you get a self-supporting sort of class of trust fund babies and so on.
- 47:55And then they pay themselves in endless awards about their own courage.
- 47:59I've never known a profession which gives itself more awards for courage.
- 48:04Firemen don't do it all the time, and nor the policeman.
- 48:09It's the media that's forever slapping itself on the back.
- 48:13And actors?
- 48:14Oh, actors, of course.
- 48:16But I think the really interesting thing is why this is happening.
- 48:21My conclusion has been, since the 2008 banking crisis, when a form of...
- 48:29Well, basically, if you're a young person, it became very hard to accrue capital and very hard to get on the housing ladder in all of our countries.
- 48:38And as a result, I believe that after 2008, politicians in the West, broadly speaking,
- 48:45said, let the meat identity politics.
- 48:49That was the Antoinette invitation.
- 48:52We can't improve your lives in a material sense.
- 48:55We don't really know how to.
- 48:57We know China's eating our lunch.
- 48:59We know that we seem to be not doing all that well.
- 49:05Let's give the public some easy fodder.
- 49:10Let's pretend that there are massive issues which still need to address all of which, by the way,
- 49:15almost all of which are ones that have been addressed before.
- 49:19I mean, the discussion in this country, obviously, I'm only a guest in your country, so I have to be careful what I say.
- 49:24But the discussion in this country, whenever it comes off about the Aboriginal questions,
- 49:29all my life, Australian politicians have apologized for this.
- 49:36I mean, I've mentioned some of this in the strange death of Europe, but I mean, you know,
- 49:40the Sea of Hands and the Sorry books and things were the late 90s and the early 2000s.
- 49:47Kevin Rudd did a full-on apology.
- 49:49Yeah, the official one was 2008.
- 49:51Right. And how many, just how many times you meant to do it?
- 49:55It's like, in Britain at the moment, one of the things that is a little noted, but sad thing is that
- 50:01no minor member of the Royal family can go anywhere without being urged in the world to apologise for slavery
- 50:09and indeed pay some money.
- 50:11Some of the local shakedown artists disagree about when the printcent would actually just hand over the cash himself or not.
- 50:19But what always happens with it is that these people say the British Royal family hasn't apologise for slavery,
- 50:24or Britain hasn't apologise for slavery.
- 50:26And I was just like, we did. You just don't know.
- 50:30There's a difference between your ignorance and reality.
- 50:35You know, King George III signed the Anti-Slave React into law in 1808.
- 50:41My country has more than paid its debt over slavery.
- 50:46And yet a new generation of people come along, they say, no, no, no, you haven't yet made compensation for it.
- 50:53You just don't know that throughout the 19th century every household in Britain had paid more in goods,
- 50:59because we would not deal with and trade with Slaven nations.
- 51:04And this was in an era where an average man in the North of England working in a mill died at 37.
- 51:10And started working at about eight, the age of about eight.
- 51:14And our sailors sailed the high seas for 60 years, policing the world to stop the slave trade.
- 51:24And to stop Brazil, for instance, which kept Slaven into the 1880s,
- 51:29none of the people who come along today know a single bit of this history.
- 51:34They don't know the young men who sailed around the seas and lost their lives very often.
- 51:39Thousands of them lost their lives getting on to Slaven ships and saving the crew.
- 51:44And in fact, the Queen Victoria's Jubilee in 1900, there were thousands of people there, black, freed slaves,
- 51:53who were waving the flags of Britain, saying we were freed by the Queen.
- 52:00Then, because of the inheritance of the American culture,
- 52:03there's absolutely no stream of America.
- 52:06All of us.
- 52:07I notice it in this country with the volume media.
- 52:10I mean, it's the same as in the UK, it's as if anything that happens in America happens here.
- 52:14You know, they catch a cold and we get the flu.
- 52:17And of course, I mean, that's why all these movements of recent years have happened.
- 52:23I mean, it was simple.
- 52:24So incredible about the slavery thing in particular,
- 52:26the self certainty with which people assert that they would have known what the right
- 52:32thing to do was if they'd been alive and that they would have had the courage to do it
- 52:36as well.
- 52:37Like, as if there was something uniquely pernicious about the people back then in their
- 52:41time doing abominable things that everybody thought were okay.
- 52:45Like, my general take when people are quite sanctumodious about how they would have behaved
- 52:51in the past is to say you show me an issue right now on which you're completely outside
- 52:58of the mainstream at a taking a wildly brave and courageous moral position that's so extreme
- 53:04you seem whack-a-doodle to everybody else but is so perceptive that you'll be proven
- 53:10right in 100 years and then I'll believe that you would have opposed slavery in the 1700s.
- 53:15But if all of your views just happen to align with precisely the social justice dogma
- 53:20that all of your peers believe and of course you wouldn't have opposed slavery because
- 53:23you're a conformist.
- 53:25Absolutely.
- 53:26Most people are.
- 53:27Well said.
- 53:28Yeah, I mean, most people are conformists.
- 53:31I love it's always been the problem of the moderns that they think that they know better
- 53:37than Plato because they lived after him.
- 53:40So, the preposterous.
- 53:44But just very quickly, yeah, of course, yeah, but just very quickly, I mean, an amazing
- 53:47thing about this is of course they have this 2020 vision in the rearview mirror and they
- 53:52would have been anti-slavery in the 18th century, they'd have been urging that women should
- 53:57have the vote in the 19th century and been arguing for gay marriage in the 17th century.
- 54:02And I don't think any of that's true.
- 54:04I think they'd have all been exactly like everyone else around them.
- 54:07Most people did not have the courage of a William Wilberforce.
- 54:10You know, these remarkable Christian people in England who argued against slavery because
- 54:16it was a moral obscenity, and that was how we banned it, a few remarkable people, but
- 54:22they weren't the norm at all.
- 54:24And as you say, most people do think they know exactly what they would do.
- 54:29Well, Melanchandera has this lovely line in testimonies between the great Czech righty,
- 54:35has his lovely line in testimonies between, he said, man walks in a fog and stumbles along
- 54:40a path and creates a path as he walks it.
- 54:44So that's not the interesting thing.
- 54:45The interesting thing is when we look back, we see the man and we see the path, but we
- 54:50don't see the fog.
- 54:54It all looks so obvious after it's happened.
- 54:57Thank you for uploading questions on that web on the app slide.
- 55:02It was better than having people come up and ask questions and drone on for seven minutes,
- 55:05isn't it?
- 55:07One person says, as a member of a so-called minority, you have benefited from progressive
- 55:14movements as a conservative.
- 55:16How do you judge which progressive movements have merit?
- 55:18That's a very good question.
- 55:20I believe that the rights.
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