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NFL & Peach Bowl Best Bets, Parlay of the Day & More! · Best Betting Show Ever

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is Friday here. It is
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: the best betting show ever. Jone Area alongside mister double
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: r one l Steve Merrill again as the pres still
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: waiting to be called I think at the senior Poker
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: tournament in my neck of the woods there, Meryll.
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: But last I heard or.
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: He checked in with me, texting me something about doing
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: dinner or something. So I'm guessing things aren't going well
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: at the table right now, given the fact that that's
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: not supposed to end until Sunday, and he's already looking
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: to have dinner on Friday. So I'm thinking things might
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: not be going well for the old Pres, but things
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: are going well for us, Merrill. As we've got wild
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: Card weekend coming up, We've got semifinal game number two.
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: Gonna be hard pressed to let's face it, that was
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: a pretty fun game last night for the U and
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Old Miss entertaining for the fans. We got another one
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: here tonight before we get to art this, Caesar, were
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: you impressed last night with what you saw? Because I
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: gotta tell you I was impressed with both teams last night,
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: even in a losing effort for Old Miss.
• 1:13
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it's one of the greatest playoff games ever.
• 1:15
  Speaker 3: There are four lead changes in the fourth quarter, so
• 1:17
  Speaker 3: I mean, I don't know how you can't say that
• 1:19
  Speaker 3: wasn't one of the best playoff games ever. And it
• 1:20
  Speaker 3: was a semi final game with a lot on the line,
• 1:23
  Speaker 3: two teams coming off underdog wins, and after eight thousand
• 1:27
  Speaker 3: round trip miles the last three rounds, Miami a Flard
• 1:30
  Speaker 3: is now twenty minutes away, twenty miles away from the
• 1:33
  Speaker 3: championship game, so they're gonna have a semi home field advantage.
• 1:36
  Speaker 3: They're not gonna have to travel anymore. They've been Warriors.
• 1:38
  Speaker 3: And I pointed out once again, you know, we talked
• 1:41
  Speaker 3: about it yesterday. It's amazing to me. Every year in
• 1:42
  Speaker 3: the NCAA tournament. You can use this in basketball in
• 1:44
  Speaker 3: three months, teams that everyone thinks don't deserve to get
• 1:47
  Speaker 3: in always make a run. And VCU did it back
• 1:50
  Speaker 3: with the first year they had the additional four back
• 1:53
  Speaker 3: in twenty eleven, VC went all the way to the
• 1:54
  Speaker 3: final four, and almost every year since, except for just
• 1:58
  Speaker 3: one or two seasons, one of those first four in
• 2:01
  Speaker 3: teams make it to the next week, to the round.
• 2:04
  Speaker 3: To make it to the round of thirty two and
• 2:06
  Speaker 3: off into the sweet sixteen the following week. And as
• 2:09
  Speaker 3: much as these committees get picked on, and I pick
• 2:12
  Speaker 3: on them as much as anybody else, shows they know
• 2:15
  Speaker 3: what they're doing. Because Miami, Florida, based on the All
• 2:18
  Speaker 3: State Playoff predictor whatever that is, yeah, are at eleven
• 2:21
  Speaker 3: percent on December sixth, going into the championship Saturday, a
• 2:25
  Speaker 3: month ago, eleven percent and the All State Playoff predictor,
• 2:29
  Speaker 3: and they got in. Everyone thought Notre Dame was gonna
• 2:30
  Speaker 3: get a Notre Dame was at fifty two percent, and
• 2:32
  Speaker 3: now Miami's in the finals. So it shows the committee
• 2:35
  Speaker 3: made the right selection.
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: Yeah, not they did.
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: And of course you'll have the folks that are screaming
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: for let's get more teams. Yeah there.
• 2:44
  Speaker 3: Yeah, well, well, Jim, I will say, as bad as
• 2:46
  Speaker 3: these teams with the buys have been going one and
• 2:49
  Speaker 3: seven now, right, I mean, I think if there's ever
• 2:52
  Speaker 3: a reason to go to sixteen, that's going to do
• 2:53
  Speaker 3: it sooner, because let's be honest, they don't want I
• 2:56
  Speaker 3: don't know, they might not mind Miami or All Miss
• 2:58
  Speaker 3: in there, but they wont Ohio State I know.
• 2:59
  Speaker 2: In the NCAA next year.
• 3:00
  Speaker 3: They want the blue bloods. So if it really is
• 3:03
  Speaker 3: a concern, that's going to get him to sixteen quicker
• 3:05
  Speaker 3: than anything else, and just get rid of the buy.
• 3:07
  Speaker 3: And I don't know why they don't do it because
• 3:09
  Speaker 3: one double A football did it for decades. Now they
• 3:11
  Speaker 3: go to twenty four, so they do the first round
• 3:13
  Speaker 3: by also, and we did see North Dakota State get
• 3:16
  Speaker 3: upset as a twenty four point favorite this year against
• 3:18
  Speaker 3: Illinois State, who made it all the way to the finals.
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: What a game.
• 3:22
  Speaker 3: Florida's kind of done the same thing, right, the big
• 3:24
  Speaker 3: upsilikets Oioca. That's the biggest upset we've ever had points
• 3:27
  Speaker 3: spread wise in this current format.
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: Yeh eight.
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: I think Ohio State was an eight seed last year,
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: which was so screwed up to begin with, but the
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: points and they went all the way, So yeah, it's
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: you know, maybe more is better here, but maybe don't
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: take six months off between games that that might help.
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: Also their nced double A.
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: All right, but we've got wild card weekend on our mind, merrill,
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: so let's jump in. Let's bring in our good friend
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: to art to seizear and see what he's got to say.
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: We'll start in the NFL R tell us where is
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: the money going as we head into wild Card weekend.
• 4:08
  Speaker 4: You know they laid ten with the Rams early got
• 4:10
  Speaker 4: to as high as eleven, So a little bit of
• 4:12
  Speaker 4: buyback on Carolina, but we're gonna need Carolina in the game.
• 4:16
  Speaker 4: I don't think there's any question. Bear's open as a
• 4:18
  Speaker 4: one point favorite. Now you got Green Bay as a
• 4:21
  Speaker 4: one and a half point favorite. Chicago will be a
• 4:24
  Speaker 4: need for us in that game. Bill's games to pick them,
• 4:27
  Speaker 4: and you know we open bills as high as one
• 4:29
  Speaker 4: and a half. The market just kind of moved on
• 4:31
  Speaker 4: that game. But we've now started to see some public
• 4:34
  Speaker 4: money come in on Buffalo. No surprise there. I think
• 4:37
  Speaker 4: Buffalo is gonna be very public. This weekend Eagle game
• 4:41
  Speaker 4: is not only Sharp's end public, this is the game Sharp's.
• 4:44
  Speaker 4: The public's are together. Sharp's lay three and a half
• 4:46
  Speaker 4: with Philly. Now it's five and a half, and the
• 4:49
  Speaker 4: public got in on four and a half. Five now
• 4:52
  Speaker 4: all the way up to five and a half feels
• 4:53
  Speaker 4: like we can't write a forty nine er bet Niners
• 4:56
  Speaker 4: will be a big need. The Sunday night eight game,
• 5:01
  Speaker 4: Chargers saw a little bit of Sharp money on three
• 5:03
  Speaker 4: and a half, seen a little bit of New England
• 5:05
  Speaker 4: money as well at three and a half. This has
• 5:07
  Speaker 4: seemed pretty good two way action. And then when you
• 5:10
  Speaker 4: get to that Monday night game, multiple sharp accounts that
• 5:14
  Speaker 4: we respect to Pittsburgh plus three and a half. You
• 5:16
  Speaker 4: had mentioned it earlier in the week, Joe that you thought, hey,
• 5:19
  Speaker 4: people are just gonna come in and bet the home
• 5:21
  Speaker 4: team getting the three and a half over the hook,
• 5:23
  Speaker 4: and we have seen that also pretty significant under money
• 5:26
  Speaker 4: as well, from thirty nine and a half to thirty
• 5:28
  Speaker 4: eight and a half, and I think that just continues
• 5:31
  Speaker 4: to go down because it feels like a fourteen to
• 5:33
  Speaker 4: ten type of game.
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: So we got It's interesting too because five and a
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: half with this Eagles and forty nine ers, it seems
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: to be the most lopsided of them all because anytime,
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: really the only game where the pros and the Joe
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: seemed to be aligned. Here are we five and a
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: half's no man's land? Art are we expecting late forty
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: nine or money? I don't think we're gonna get anywhere
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: near seven?
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: Right?
• 6:00
  Speaker 4: What do we always talk about?
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: Right? Dead numbers?
• 6:02
  Speaker 4: Five, five and a half, These are dead numbers. Now,
• 6:04
  Speaker 4: if we get to six, probably you think you would
• 6:08
  Speaker 4: do some San Francisco money, you know, I don't think
• 6:11
  Speaker 4: that's out of the realm of possibility. I don't think
• 6:13
  Speaker 4: we're gonna get the seventh seven seventh teams crazy, because
• 6:16
  Speaker 4: that's a big move from a three and a half opener.
• 6:18
  Speaker 4: But I'm telling you, we can't run any San Francisco
• 6:21
  Speaker 4: action on the side. And then and then Philly too,
• 6:24
  Speaker 4: you know, they're gonna be very popular with the moneyline parlays.
• 6:26
  Speaker 4: You're gonna have a lot of those money line parlays
• 6:28
  Speaker 4: this weekend, especially through the college game in there tonight,
• 6:31
  Speaker 4: and the Eagles are going to be at the top
• 6:33
  Speaker 4: of the board of teams that are being put in
• 6:36
  Speaker 4: moneyline parlays.
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: Well, and then the total interesting too in that game
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: because we saw initial under money coming in right with
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: the Eagles and the forty nine ers.
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: Are you getting any buy back, any anything back.
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: To the over, because they may be the public may
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: be on the side with the shops and when it
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: comes to who's gonna win this game and cover, But
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: I find it hard to believe we'd be looking at
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: an under in the public market as well.
• 7:02
  Speaker 4: No, Yeah, I mean, you know, we always talk about this.
• 7:07
  Speaker 4: Publics are gonna come in and probably bet all these
• 7:09
  Speaker 4: games over because that's what they want to do. But
• 7:12
  Speaker 4: you know, you start to see in the Philly game,
• 7:14
  Speaker 4: in the Chicago game, games that might have some weather
• 7:17
  Speaker 4: where you know, it's just like a preemptive move to say, hey,
• 7:20
  Speaker 4: let's get on the low end of the total and
• 7:22
  Speaker 4: almost let's make someone bettest to the over. Yeah, someone
• 7:25
  Speaker 4: we respect wants to bet betest to the over, then
• 7:28
  Speaker 4: we'll move. But we like to get ahead of that move.
• 7:31
  Speaker 4: And you know, if there's forty five sitting out there,
• 7:33
  Speaker 4: let's go to forty four and a half and see
• 7:35
  Speaker 4: if anyone wants to bite on that.
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: Let's get one more art.
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: Is there any indication the rams drop under double digits?
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: I don't think so.
• 7:46
  Speaker 4: I think because of yeah, I think because of that
• 7:49
  Speaker 4: early and like I said, we got to eleven in
• 7:51
  Speaker 4: a sharp account, did take eleven. We're sitting at ten
• 7:53
  Speaker 4: and a half.
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: I can't see us a getting now.
• 7:55
  Speaker 4: Could we get back to ten to the opener, That
• 7:58
  Speaker 4: could happen, but I don't see getting at nine and
• 8:00
  Speaker 4: a half. Nine and then once we always talk about
• 8:03
  Speaker 4: if you're at nine and a half. Nine, you're at
• 8:04
  Speaker 4: dead numbers as well. I think ten's the number.
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: Tenner is that.
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: I think that's probably where it will land there all together.
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: All right, So we've got money flowing in wild Card weekend.
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: We got a semi final tonight here we saw Miami
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: get it done, much to your chagrin there. Although the game,
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: I don't think you got too killed on but your
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: future market you're screwed one way or the other.
• 8:28
  Speaker 4: There are one hundred percent. The game was a good
• 8:31
  Speaker 4: result for us. Miami winning in that fashion was a
• 8:34
  Speaker 4: good result. But it does not over you know, it does.
• 8:37
  Speaker 4: We're so overwhelmed in the future book with Miami. Miami
• 8:41
  Speaker 4: is just such a bad position for us. But you know,
• 8:43
  Speaker 4: this game is interesting because we opened Indiana four and
• 8:47
  Speaker 4: we opened a total of forty six and a half.
• 8:49
  Speaker 4: We've seen the over get bet up to forty eight
• 8:51
  Speaker 4: and a half. And despite Indiana money, and it's all
• 8:53
  Speaker 4: public money.
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: We've talked for.
• 8:55
  Speaker 4: This whole week how public Indiana is. There's been the
• 8:59
  Speaker 4: reverse line movement of it going down. Wow, despite that money,
• 9:02
  Speaker 4: it's three and a half. Now we need Oregon in
• 9:05
  Speaker 4: the game, and we need Oregon because they are out
• 9:08
  Speaker 4: of the three teams left. Our best result in the
• 9:10
  Speaker 4: future book, Indiana is a small loser for US. Oregon's
• 9:14
  Speaker 4: a really nice winner for US. So we're going to
• 9:16
  Speaker 4: be really pulling for the Ducks here to win these
• 9:19
  Speaker 4: next two games.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: So it's interesting because we saw I saw the total
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: go up as high as forty nine and a half
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: yesterday and it topped out.
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: It looks like we had a little bit of buy back.
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: We're kind of settling into that forty eight and a half,
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: but even that is up from what you guys opened
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: as well, Art, So has it been is that the cutoff?
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: Like once we get just under fifty we start to
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: see some buy back with two teams that have already
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: played one another and feel like the defense is No.
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: One and not I.
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: It feels like it's got the lowest scoring end of
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: it here. But what are you seeing with total money
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: right now?
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: Yeah?
• 9:55
  Speaker 4: I mean, like we said, Joe, you know, it opened
• 9:57
  Speaker 4: forty six and a half for us, and we've just
• 9:59
  Speaker 4: really seen steady climb there. And you're right, I did
• 10:02
  Speaker 4: see some forty nine and a half smoll guess right,
• 10:04
  Speaker 4: I think the highest I believe we ever got was
• 10:06
  Speaker 4: forty nine, and then we just went back to forty
• 10:08
  Speaker 4: eight and a half. We feel comfortable booking the game
• 10:11
  Speaker 4: at forty eight and a half. Now listen, in the
• 10:12
  Speaker 4: next couple hours, could we get a really respected account
• 10:16
  Speaker 4: that takes over or under, absolutely, then we'll book to
• 10:18
  Speaker 4: that side.
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: For us.
• 10:19
  Speaker 4: Our total move really didn't come off any sharp action.
• 10:23
  Speaker 4: It was just really the you know, the public who's
• 10:26
  Speaker 4: been betting the over in the market moving that way,
• 10:28
  Speaker 4: so we just moved with it.
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I mean basically, the tickets gotta be all
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: audi over especially and we got it because I think
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: Miami's total was bet up before kickoff last night fifty
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: three and a half maybe I even saw a fifty
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: four at one point, so they were expecting a shootout.
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: I don't know that we're going to get one of
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: those here tonight. Look ahead though, for the college football
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: National Championship with Miami already in whether it's Oregon or
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: it's Indiana, is Miami a favor it in either of
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: those spots, or is Miami gonna be the dog you think?
• 11:04
  Speaker 4: I think Miami is the dog in both spots. Clearly
• 11:07
  Speaker 4: to Indiana, it will be the dog. Probably you're talking
• 11:09
  Speaker 4: on the low end four, maybe the high end five.
• 11:12
  Speaker 4: In that range probably settles at four and a half. Now,
• 11:15
  Speaker 4: you know, I've seen look ahead lines that have Oregon
• 11:17
  Speaker 4: two and a half. I think that's too high. And
• 11:19
  Speaker 4: now Oregon will get a bump, It will definitely get
• 11:22
  Speaker 4: a bump by beating Indiana. But to me, that feels
• 11:25
  Speaker 4: like one one and a half Oregon. And you know,
• 11:27
  Speaker 4: obviously Miami's playing at home, and Miami's been so wonderful
• 11:31
  Speaker 4: in this tournament, Like I could see that being a
• 11:34
  Speaker 4: little bit closer and tighter of a spread. But Indiana
• 11:38
  Speaker 4: because of the overwhelming public yeah money, India, Indiana is
• 11:42
  Speaker 4: gonna be that type of four four plus favorite. I
• 11:45
  Speaker 4: don't think there's any question.
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: Is Miami you think or we get that used to
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: be very public, but are they public still? You think?
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: Is have we turned you expecting the public to come
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: out big time for Miami or do you think that, Well,
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: Indiana will absolutely get all the public money.
• 12:03
  Speaker 4: Joe, You're right, Miami is still a name. And you
• 12:05
  Speaker 4: know that's why we're getting killed these futures because they
• 12:08
  Speaker 4: were betting them all season. After the Notre Dame when
• 12:10
  Speaker 4: preseason all that Miami is still name. But this Indiana
• 12:14
  Speaker 4: story with the coach and the quarterback in Indiana doing
• 12:17
  Speaker 4: what they haven't done in one hundred and fifty years
• 12:19
  Speaker 4: of and yeah, the whole thing, like Indiana is as
• 12:23
  Speaker 4: public of a team as I can remember.
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: Crazy, absolutely crazy. Well there you go.
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: We got National Championship semifinal coming up here.
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: We got wild card weekend.
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: Anything college basketball, NBA, NHL related that you saw today.
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: Not really.
• 12:41
  Speaker 4: I'm such a football mode right now, Joe.
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: It's like playoff.
• 12:44
  Speaker 4: I'm in like this like tunnel vision of just football
• 12:47
  Speaker 4: playoff mode. So you know, listen if whenever I do
• 12:49
  Speaker 4: see stuff, I like to give some stuff out. But
• 12:51
  Speaker 4: there's really nothing of note today.
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: Did you happen to have last night?
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: The Bulls and the and the Miami Heat not playing
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: because of condensation. They couldn't get the damned building to
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: get rid of it. It's just when they said art
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: that it was unseasonably warm in fifty five degrees almost
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: I must spit my drink out. I'm like, you got
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: and you couldn't get the water off the damn unbelievable
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: there So, but it should be a fun weekend one
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: way or the other. Art always a pleasure man. We
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: do have, of course, a parlay of the day coming up.
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: Now are we making this NFL today or what are
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: we gonna do?
• 13:32
  Speaker 4: I think we should stick with our theme. Friday should
• 13:34
  Speaker 4: be NFL and I will give you my NFL pick,
• 13:38
  Speaker 4: and you know it's a three team pick part parlay,
• 13:40
  Speaker 4: so I'm gonna give you a money line. I think
• 13:42
  Speaker 4: the Eagles are gonna roll, so give me the Eagles
• 13:44
  Speaker 4: on the money line.
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: Are right there, you go, Eagles for Art, Steve and
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: I pressure is on Art the Caesar, always a pleasure man.
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: We'll get to put it all back together on Monday.
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: We even have a Monday night game. The pres will
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: be back. There should be a lot of fun. And
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: enjoyed the weekend. Art enjoyed the game. Man. We'll see
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: you again, all right, good stuff as always, Artist Caesar,
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: and yeah, Mary listen, I mean big weekend here, wild
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: card weekend. And like Art said, it appears that the
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: only game that we have total consensus with the Pros
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: and Joe's is Philadelphia, because that line continues to write
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: what five five and a half? The total seems to
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: be coming down a little, which is interesting as some
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: of the weather reports are coming in, but it appears
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: that that's the one game where everybody can unite and
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: agree that the Eagles.
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: They're likely going to handle business against the forty nine ers.
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 14:46
  Speaker 3: I mean it opened briefly three and a half and
• 14:48
  Speaker 3: it's never sniffed that key number of three crossed over
• 14:51
  Speaker 3: the key number of four, even five, semi key number
• 14:53
  Speaker 3: now at five and a half as we head into
• 14:54
  Speaker 3: the weekend, total forty six down to forty four and
• 14:57
  Speaker 3: a half. As you said, we'll keep it on the rain,
• 14:59
  Speaker 3: the weather on the East Coast. I know tomorrow on
• 15:01
  Speaker 3: the East Coast is gonna be in the sixties, but rainy.
• 15:04
  Speaker 3: And that's Charlotte game Tomorrow, the Carolina game, it's gonna
• 15:07
  Speaker 3: be almost seventy degrees in the afternoon and Charlotte a
• 15:09
  Speaker 3: little bit of rain. But we've talked about a lot
• 15:11
  Speaker 3: about this. You know, we saw the line move also
• 15:13
  Speaker 3: for Saturday's Bears game from forty six and a half
• 15:15
  Speaker 3: down to forty four and a half. Yesterday middle of
• 15:17
  Speaker 3: the day had dropped from forty five and a half
• 15:19
  Speaker 3: down to forty four and a half. I talk about
• 15:21
  Speaker 3: this in my two game video for Saturday, they are
• 15:24
  Speaker 3: calling for snow cold conditions with the snow is supposed
• 15:27
  Speaker 3: to stop by mid afternoon Saturday. At Chicago. I always
• 15:30
  Speaker 3: feel like rain and snow Joe are vastly overrated with scoring.
• 15:33
  Speaker 3: It's almost like the NBA now when these key players
• 15:36
  Speaker 3: are out, they move the line seven or eight points,
• 15:37
  Speaker 3: and those teams keep winning out right and covering. It's
• 15:41
  Speaker 3: just an automatic move for some reason. With weather and
• 15:44
  Speaker 3: a lot of times the smart groups for the smart
• 15:46
  Speaker 3: with the sharp groups are trying to get in front
• 15:48
  Speaker 3: of it and maybe come back and buy back the
• 15:49
  Speaker 3: other siding middle it. But rain and snow do not
• 15:52
  Speaker 3: slow down scoring, and we see it this season in
• 15:54
  Speaker 3: the NFL. We've had a few snow games in the
• 15:56
  Speaker 3: fifty and sixty range back in December. When does what
• 16:00
  Speaker 3: you want to keep an eye on? In Chicago, it's
• 16:02
  Speaker 3: always breezy there, But both Chicago and Carolina and Omar
• 16:05
  Speaker 3: don't look like it's gonna be anything crazy. And I
• 16:07
  Speaker 3: haven't checked the most recent updated for Philly, but I
• 16:10
  Speaker 3: can't imagine it's gonna be too windy there either, wind
• 16:13
  Speaker 3: and fog Hey, Now, Chicago and Philly have had fog
• 16:15
  Speaker 3: in the past that can hurt scoring. You can't see
• 16:17
  Speaker 3: the ball, it's usually a good sign to play the under.
• 16:20
  Speaker 3: But yeah, rain and snow vastly overrated when it comes
• 16:23
  Speaker 3: to unders.
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: It's so true there we've seen just ask the Bills.
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: You look at these Bills games anytime it's snowing sideways
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: and it's not slowing them down from scoring a million
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: points there. So he did also mention, of course he's
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: the public love for Buffalo, expecting that to come in
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: as well, and maybe no more public love than what
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: we pour art there was talking about how the University
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: of Miami is. They did very well last night on
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: that game end game, they did very well the books,
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: but liability in the future market, it appears the public love.
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: It's still a big name, the University of Miami. It
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: appears that they're holding an awful lot of handle right
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: now on guys that just took that flyer at that
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: big number for Miami before the season started.
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: Maryland.
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: Well, here they're on the hook for a lot of
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: money if Miami actually runs the table and wins the
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: National Championship. So little public Miami still this day, even
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: though they haven't won in six thousand years.
• 17:33
  Speaker 3: Yeah, and they're gonna be the underdog against either opponent.
• 17:36
  Speaker 3: In fact, right after the game last night, FanDuel popped
• 17:38
  Speaker 3: up numbers which are Indiana minus five and a half
• 17:41
  Speaker 3: Oregon minus two and a half against Miami, and then
• 17:44
  Speaker 3: as of today on Friday, FanDuel's going to three and
• 17:47
  Speaker 3: a half plus money with Oregon, whereas DraftKings is still
• 17:50
  Speaker 3: holding two and a half and five and a half.
• 17:52
  Speaker 3: So I thought that was interesting. And the total is
• 17:55
  Speaker 3: also a point higher at DraftKings in both games than
• 17:57
  Speaker 3: it is at FanDuel. They've got the projected over under
• 18:00
  Speaker 3: forty four and a half to forty five and a
• 18:02
  Speaker 3: half on an Indiana matchup, forty six and a half
• 18:04
  Speaker 3: forty seven and a half in a Miami Oregon matchup.
• 18:06
  Speaker 3: And of course both those totals pretty reasonable because Miami
• 18:09
  Speaker 3: has been a great defensive team. But let's not forget
• 18:11
  Speaker 3: they could be. They could be without three their starting
• 18:14
  Speaker 3: four defensive becks next week. Two got injured and one
• 18:17
  Speaker 3: it's gonna likely be suspended the first half because of
• 18:20
  Speaker 3: the targeting ejection, so we'll have to see how that
• 18:22
  Speaker 3: plays out here. They don't play until Monday, the following Monday,
• 18:26
  Speaker 3: a week from this Monday, so we have a lot
• 18:27
  Speaker 3: of time, still.
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: Still got some time, but we still got a game
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: to play here tonight. Merrill, of course with Indiana. And
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: you know who's there gonna be is Oregon, gonna advance
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: is Indiana. It appears that an already mentioned it, Indiana.
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: A lot of public love coming their way here with this.
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: We did see this thing go on as high as
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: four maybe even four and a half earlier in the week,
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: and then we started to see the Oregon buy back.
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: It's handled that three and a half, whether or not
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: against the three I doubt that very much, but I
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: think what you see is what you get here. The
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: total is interesting because it got as high as yesterday
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: forty nine and a half kind of settled back down
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: to forty eight and a half.
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: Whether or not an issue.
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: But with two teams that have already seen each other,
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: are we gonna are we expecting more points than what
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: we got in the first game here or what do
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: we think we're gonna do in this one?
• 19:28
  Speaker 3: Yeah? So we had a four footing run of one
• 19:30
  Speaker 3: of the sharpest global books all week. That's back down
• 19:32
  Speaker 3: to three and a half, so I never thought we'd
• 19:34
  Speaker 3: see a three, but circa currently, a Friday afternoon is
• 19:37
  Speaker 3: dealing a minus three, minus one twenty five in Vegas,
• 19:41
  Speaker 3: so it doesn't look like the fours are gonna start
• 19:43
  Speaker 3: showing anytime soon. A little bit of buyback on Oregon.
• 19:47
  Speaker 3: I still think Indiana is the best team in the country.
• 19:49
  Speaker 3: As we talked about yesterday, it's very difficult to beat
• 19:51
  Speaker 3: a Class A team twice in a season. The whole thing.
• 19:54
  Speaker 3: It's hard to beat teams twice. I don't look into that,
• 19:56
  Speaker 3: but it is hard to be a Class A team
• 19:58
  Speaker 3: and rematches in the play else the last few seasons,
• 20:01
  Speaker 3: the team that lost the first one is five and
• 20:03
  Speaker 3: one straight up. The only time it didn't work is
• 20:05
  Speaker 3: when Ole Miss swept to Lane, but they, of course
• 20:07
  Speaker 3: were a double digit favorite the other games. The team
• 20:10
  Speaker 3: that won the first game is oh to five. Now,
• 20:12
  Speaker 3: of course, Indiana was in a tough spot last week
• 20:14
  Speaker 3: because all teams with that extended by the last two
• 20:17
  Speaker 3: years with this twelve team format have gone oh to
• 20:19
  Speaker 3: seven everyone except Indiana. The other teams have gone oh
• 20:22
  Speaker 3: and seven. Indiana not only buck that tremp, but they
• 20:24
  Speaker 3: won by thirty five last week. So this is a
• 20:26
  Speaker 3: really good Hoosier squad.
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: They are my.
• 20:28
  Speaker 3: Preferred side in this game. Would definitely like it better
• 20:30
  Speaker 3: if you can get a minus three, which I didn't
• 20:32
  Speaker 3: think was going to show, but it's starting to show.
• 20:34
  Speaker 3: As far as the total, these are two really good
• 20:36
  Speaker 3: defensive teams. And it was around forty six and a
• 20:39
  Speaker 3: half forty seven earlier in the week. Now that it's
• 20:42
  Speaker 3: forty eight and a half forty nine, I think there
• 20:43
  Speaker 3: is some value with the under. Both forty seven and
• 20:46
  Speaker 3: forty eight are key numbers, so we're getting about a
• 20:48
  Speaker 3: three to four percent better chance of cashing now Joe
• 20:51
  Speaker 3: at under forty nine than at forty seven or forty
• 20:54
  Speaker 3: six and a half, and that's enough to start getting
• 20:56
  Speaker 3: leaning under here. My concern, of course, is that as
• 20:59
  Speaker 3: we saw last night, these championship games, often things open up,
• 21:03
  Speaker 3: and hey, you were spot on by the way. I
• 21:04
  Speaker 3: was thinking about our conversation after the first quarter when
• 21:07
  Speaker 3: it was three to nothing and how comical that all
• 21:09
  Speaker 3: miss scored in the first play of the second to
• 21:12
  Speaker 3: open that game up. Yeah, second quarter had what was
• 21:15
  Speaker 3: it twenty seven points? I think there was thirtieth to
• 21:17
  Speaker 3: a half. Yeah, there were three in the first quarter.
• 21:20
  Speaker 3: So there again, you know, first quarter under, first half
• 21:23
  Speaker 3: under might be the best way to attack. And we'll
• 21:25
  Speaker 3: get the current numbers twenty three, twenty three and a
• 21:28
  Speaker 3: half of the first half line. There's some twenty four's
• 21:31
  Speaker 3: out there juiced a little bit to the under. Obviously,
• 21:33
  Speaker 3: twenty four is a very key number. First quarter that
• 21:37
  Speaker 3: was ten to the under. Uh, don't disagree with the
• 21:40
  Speaker 3: first quarter under. Maybe they'd have to probably get to
• 21:42
  Speaker 3: thirteen or fourteen for you to lose that one, and
• 21:43
  Speaker 3: we saw three to nothing last time, the game still
• 21:45
  Speaker 3: went over.
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree.
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: I think the no doubt the public is gonna want
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: points and will likely bet the the over. But we
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: only got forty three outs to you know, offensive points
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: in that first meeting back in October. Don't forget there
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: was that pick six there that they had in the
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: game as well. So I don't know how we're getting
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: to forty nine or more points. I think we're much
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: closer to the forty five mark than we are the
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: fifty mark.
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: So I'm with you.
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: I think less points here tonight, not more points in
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: this one either way. Whoever advances like you guys had said,
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: gonna be the dog, gonna be the favorite here against
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: Miami in the National Championship games. So both games, by
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: the way, Meryl, both give us great headlines no matter
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: what it is, whether it's.
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: Well, you know, Chrystal ball versus his.
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: Old team and the guy to replay, or if it's
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: gonna be Signetti.
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: Either way, it could be.
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: One of the most watched National Championship games we've had
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: in a very very long time. And there won't be
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: an Alabama or Georgia or in Ohio state involved in it,
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: which is kind of crazy.
• 22:55
  Speaker 3: Third straight season, there won't be an SEC team in
• 22:58
  Speaker 3: the finals. Yeah, yes, it's pretty hard to believe because
• 23:01
  Speaker 3: they are the dominant conference still. But you know in
• 23:04
  Speaker 3: the ACC has been so down. Oh and now you've
• 23:07
  Speaker 3: got Miami in the finals. But we've seen this in
• 23:09
  Speaker 3: recent years. I mean, we saw a phony TCU team
• 23:12
  Speaker 3: there against Georgia. It must have been four years ago,
• 23:14
  Speaker 3: because it's been three years now we haven't had one
• 23:16
  Speaker 3: of the finals. Because I just remember Georgia was one
• 23:18
  Speaker 3: of the best bets I've ever released in my clients
• 23:20
  Speaker 3: in thirty years because TCU was a phony. Georgia smoked them,
• 23:24
  Speaker 3: and then you know, even Notre Dame last year I
• 23:26
  Speaker 3: thought they were phony and they would regress this season,
• 23:29
  Speaker 3: they actually had a better season I was expecting. When
• 23:31
  Speaker 3: they lost the opener in Miami, I was like, here
• 23:32
  Speaker 3: we go. And then they had the Northern illinoid troubles
• 23:35
  Speaker 3: they've had and stuff like that. So there again, you know,
• 23:40
  Speaker 3: everyone's saying Notre Dame was ahead of them, but head
• 23:42
  Speaker 3: to head has to count for something, and it is
• 23:43
  Speaker 3: unfortunate that you don't get a home at home because
• 23:46
  Speaker 3: Miami won by three at home, So that's probably a push,
• 23:48
  Speaker 3: you know, if you really look at it. But still,
• 23:51
  Speaker 3: how do you put Notre Dame men over them when
• 23:52
  Speaker 3: they beat them head to head? Even I have to
• 23:54
  Speaker 3: kind of say, that's kind of a good tie breaker.
• 23:57
  Speaker 3: So in that regard, I'm glad to see Miami doing
• 23:59
  Speaker 3: well since somebody thought they'd deserve to be there. And
• 24:00
  Speaker 3: it's obviously good for the ACC because that is a
• 24:03
  Speaker 3: conference both in basketball and football that's started to struggle.
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: I think Notre Dame has more of a gripe with
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: Alabama having gotten into over.
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: Them than anything else. I don't think their problem is
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: with Miami anymore. I think their.
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: Problem but always was with Alabama, and boy did that
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: prove to be an absolute Uh just Dawn.
• 24:23
  Speaker 3: And another team that you're probably right to that's probably
• 24:25
  Speaker 3: the other like bubble team, and they also won a game. Yeah,
• 24:28
  Speaker 3: granted they didn't look great against Oklahoma, but that's another
• 24:31
  Speaker 3: team they won a game. And then Indiana Blue the Mounts.
• 24:34
  Speaker 3: I just keep going back to, like what a bad
• 24:35
  Speaker 3: spot Indiana was in last week. Yep, that's zero to
• 24:39
  Speaker 3: seven for everyone else against you know, a bubble team
• 24:42
  Speaker 3: that historically those teams make the run and do well. Yep,
• 24:45
  Speaker 3: we'll see though. I mean, Oregon is a really good team.
• 24:47
  Speaker 3: I right, these are the two best teams remaining. And
• 24:49
  Speaker 3: I will say, if you're looking to play one of
• 24:51
  Speaker 3: those advanced lines, DraftKings is still two and a half
• 24:53
  Speaker 3: Fanduels going up to three and a half plus money.
• 24:56
  Speaker 3: I think that's some that's a sharp move at Fandel
• 24:58
  Speaker 3: and it makes a lot of sense. Look at the scenario,
• 25:01
  Speaker 3: that's a push that that bet is void if Oregon
• 25:04
  Speaker 3: doesn't win tonight, which probably might not happen. But if
• 25:06
  Speaker 3: they do win tonight, they're beating what I think is
• 25:08
  Speaker 3: the best team in the country. Yep, that has to
• 25:11
  Speaker 3: make you like them a little bit more against a
• 25:12
  Speaker 3: bang up Miami squad, whereas if Indiana wins by thirty again, yeah,
• 25:16
  Speaker 3: that line might be six or seven, not five and
• 25:18
  Speaker 3: a half. But if they struggle, it might be four.
• 25:21
  Speaker 3: So I think there's a lot of upside playing Oregon
• 25:23
  Speaker 3: at minus two and a half now, and I think
• 25:24
  Speaker 3: that's one of the reasons it's going to three and
• 25:26
  Speaker 3: a half at FanDuel.
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: There'll be a lot of Indiana fans in Atlanta too
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: for this one, I can assure you with that, so
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: they it'll feel like a home game for Indiana here tonight.
• 25:38
  Speaker 3: Do you think Oregon travels home if they win? I
• 25:40
  Speaker 3: guess they do.
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: Well in two week, right the nineteenth, So what do.
• 25:44
  Speaker 3: We got nine days? Yeah, that's a week from day.
• 25:47
  Speaker 3: It'd be like ten days total.
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 25:51
  Speaker 3: I mean, and you sure you sure don't want to
• 25:53
  Speaker 3: make plans to stay because that'll be the kiss of
• 25:55
  Speaker 3: death that you don't win tonight. But I would do
• 25:57
  Speaker 3: and I would have done this because I'm a superstitious weirdo,
• 26:00
  Speaker 3: but I would like pack just enough clothes for tonight, yeah,
• 26:03
  Speaker 3: and then plan on stage. So then that way like
• 26:05
  Speaker 3: you're screwed yourself over. When you win tonight and you're
• 26:07
  Speaker 3: in a difficult spot, you have to have everything shipped
• 26:09
  Speaker 3: out there. That's a good problem to have. That's called
• 26:10
  Speaker 3: an emotional hedge.
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: That's a lot of travel too. For Oregon.
• 26:14
  Speaker 3: It is all NFL teams usually don't go back when
• 26:17
  Speaker 3: they do it. They're in this situation.
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: So yeah, that's inter a lot.
• 26:21
  Speaker 3: And there's still out of class, right, they probably aren't
• 26:23
  Speaker 3: back in school yet.
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 26:25
  Speaker 3: Yeah, my guess is I don't. I'm sure they've made contingencies.
• 26:27
  Speaker 3: But then again, you don't want to get ahead of
• 26:29
  Speaker 3: yourself when you're the underdog. But I'd be interesting to
• 26:31
  Speaker 3: see what they do if the end up winning.
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean go home, pack a bag and hop
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: on a plane and come back down to Miami, which
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: is kind of which is crazy.
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: So that's a good point there.
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: Well, well, listen, we'll figure it out here tonight in
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: the second semi final game.
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: But we do have, of course, a parlay of the
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: day here, Merrill.
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: We've got to get to as Art to Caesar, this
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: is our Friday NFL three team parlay.
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: Art has laid it out. He's taking the Eagles on the.
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: Money line for his play there, Meryl for his first
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: leg here on his three team parlay.
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: What are you think in here?
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: Which one of these games here are you gonna give
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: us for the second leg of this three team parlay?
• 27:16
  Speaker 3: Now? Can I use a Friday night college hoops game
• 27:19
  Speaker 3: or am I?
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: Oh STRICTLYFL. STRICTLYFL.
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna going it could be a total, could
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: be a anything you want in the NFL.
• 27:30
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna play the line value with the over forty
• 27:33
  Speaker 3: four and a half now with the Packers and Bears.
• 27:36
  Speaker 3: Oh no, Saturday night. And now, Joe, this is really
• 27:39
  Speaker 3: once again I'm reverse jinks to myself because I use
• 27:41
  Speaker 3: this as my prime play in my video. And as
• 27:43
  Speaker 3: you know, the prime games are fifteen and three this
• 27:46
  Speaker 3: year on those free videos here on wager Talk TV.
• 27:49
  Speaker 3: So I'm double dipping here trying to go to sixteen
• 27:52
  Speaker 3: and three on the free Prime games. And as I
• 27:54
  Speaker 3: told you yesterday, it's the first time ever I get
• 27:56
  Speaker 3: to say playoffs on Prime. So so much on the
• 27:58
  Speaker 3: line here. But this total open forty six and a
• 28:01
  Speaker 3: half was forty five and a half on Thursday. Now
• 28:04
  Speaker 3: it's down to forty four and a half on Friday.
• 28:06
  Speaker 3: Forty five is a key number, and we get that
• 28:08
  Speaker 3: working for us now with the over. And yes, these
• 28:11
  Speaker 3: teams played twice in December. First game was pretty high scoring.
• 28:14
  Speaker 3: I think it was what twenty eight twenty one got
• 28:15
  Speaker 3: to forty nine. And then they played back in week
• 28:18
  Speaker 3: sixteen a few weeks ago, and it was sixteen to
• 28:20
  Speaker 3: six with two minutes to go, and then Chicago made
• 28:23
  Speaker 3: that incredible comeback one in overtime. But that was a misleading,
• 28:26
  Speaker 3: low scoring game. Jordan Love gots hurt now, but Lake
• 28:29
  Speaker 3: Willis played extremely well, so I don't really think that
• 28:31
  Speaker 3: hurt the offense any but they still did lose Love
• 28:33
  Speaker 3: for some of that game. But look at the yard
• 28:35
  Speaker 3: in Chicago got to four hundred total yards, Green Bay
• 28:38
  Speaker 3: got to like three to eighty. They almost had eight
• 28:40
  Speaker 3: hundred total yards. I know some of that was overtime,
• 28:42
  Speaker 3: but the teams moved the ball, and the Packers defense
• 28:44
  Speaker 3: has really become beat up down the stretch. They're on
• 28:47
  Speaker 3: a four game slide, zero and four straight up in ATS.
• 28:50
  Speaker 3: I like the over forty four and a half and
• 28:52
  Speaker 3: the Bears Packers on Saturday Night.
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: You know what, Steve I mean, I kind of agree
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: with you there. I think anything is possible. I don't
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: trust necessarily the Bears defense all that much either, but
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: it feels, you know, it does feel like points could
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: be coming in this one.
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: And let's face it, if I'm not mistaken, outside of that.
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: Last game, wasn't hasn't green Bay dominated them over the
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: last couple of years, It's been.
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: All green Bay. We know that Aaron Rodgers owned the Bears.
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: Gordon Aaron Rodgers, he did anyway, but I'm pretty sure
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: La Flooring Company they've had a bunch of success against them.
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: Also, feels like the points got to happen.
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: And if we're not worried about weather, are we really
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: trusting both defenses? They shut down both offenses. That feels
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: like a big ass No.
• 29:39
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I left out the whole key to this handicap,
• 29:42
  Speaker 3: and it's what you mentioned is the Chicago Bear defense.
• 29:44
  Speaker 3: This is not a good defensive team. No, you'll give
• 29:47
  Speaker 3: up twenty four and a half points a game. They're
• 29:48
  Speaker 3: giving up five yards of carry, over seven yards of pass,
• 29:51
  Speaker 3: over six yards of play. The number two seed in
• 29:54
  Speaker 3: the NFC is getting up over six yards per play.
• 29:57
  Speaker 3: Green Bay statistically has a much better defense. They're a
• 29:59
  Speaker 3: yard per play better defensively, but they haven't been quite
• 30:01
  Speaker 3: as good down to stretch. If you look over the
• 30:04
  Speaker 3: past two months, given up five and a half yards
• 30:06
  Speaker 3: of playing over the past month, they've given up six
• 30:08
  Speaker 3: yards of play green Bay. So their defensive numbers are
• 30:10
  Speaker 3: as bad as they've been over the past month. Yeah,
• 30:13
  Speaker 3: I think this I think this line moved down makes
• 30:15
  Speaker 3: no sense to me. And maybe it's weather related, but
• 30:17
  Speaker 3: as I said, the wins supposed to be like ten
• 30:19
  Speaker 3: to fifteen miles an hour. It doesn't look like it's
• 30:21
  Speaker 3: anything crazy on Saturday night.
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with you on that one. All right.
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: So we've got an Eagles up money line. We've got
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: it over and the Bears and Green Bay. I'm just
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: gonna keep it simple. You gotta anchor it to something.
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: Give me the Rams on the money line. There we go,
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: Rams money line, Eagles money line, and the over there
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: for Green Bay and Chicago. And that is your three
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: your three leg parlay coming up for the NFL and
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: wild card weekend. Right, No need to get fancy here
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: with these games this weekend. Just take the ones you like.
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: And even Art had said, gonna be a lot of
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: liability for the books in money line parlays with both
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: the Eagles and the Rams.
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: It feels like Steve. But you know, hey, usually in
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: the wild card.
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: Weekend, the chalk usually rains reigned supreme in most years.
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: So you know, you're a ten and a half point
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: favorite for a reason.
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: Aren't just even at this point in the Wildcard I
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: don't think that happens by accident.
• 31:25
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I you know, coming into this week, I always
• 31:28
  Speaker 3: kind of make the lines before I look at them,
• 31:30
  Speaker 3: and I'm thinking to myself, you know, like, how can
• 31:32
  Speaker 3: you not like the Rams in this game? Please keep
• 31:35
  Speaker 3: in mind it's a revenge game of the Rams eight
• 31:38
  Speaker 3: there on November thirtieth, and it was a terrible spot form.
• 31:41
  Speaker 3: It was a phony loss. They had a three to
• 31:43
  Speaker 3: nothing turnover deficit. They outgained the Panthers and yardage. Carolina,
• 31:48
  Speaker 3: by the way, has been out gained in yards in
• 31:50
  Speaker 3: nine of the last ten games. They've only outgained one
• 31:52
  Speaker 3: of their last ten opponents. Statistically, they lost the must
• 31:55
  Speaker 3: win game against Tampa, but then they still make the
• 31:58
  Speaker 3: playoffs because the Falcons beat these Rams and beat the
• 32:01
  Speaker 3: Saints in two meaningless games to finish it out, So
• 32:04
  Speaker 3: I'm thinking, you know, like, how could you possibly take Carolina?
• 32:07
  Speaker 3: And then I see ten ten and a half and
• 32:08
  Speaker 3: I'm like, well, I can't lay ten and a half
• 32:11
  Speaker 3: on the road in a playoff game. So yeah, this
• 32:13
  Speaker 3: feels like a game where the Rams went by exactly ten.
• 32:15
  Speaker 3: But I think the money line is a pretty safe option.
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: I think. So.
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: I think the books are going to get crushed a
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: little in those two games there between the Rams and
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: the Eagle game. But does give us an opportunity here
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: to talk a little business before we dive into some
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: particular props and plays and angles that we're looking at
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: this weekend in the wild card. So, Meryl, you know
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: I've got to do it because you were such a
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: big fan of it. Yes, let me just throw that
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: out for you so you can get the full experience
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: here of it's time for business.
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: Love.
• 32:51
  Speaker 3: That looks like that was either a cruise ship or
• 32:53
  Speaker 3: at NATO or the UN that's his living room.
• 32:56
  Speaker 2: Ah, he's got it.
• 32:59
  Speaker 3: Looks like he's about to enter the seventies after leaving
• 33:01
  Speaker 3: the United Nations. That's like a map behind and then
• 33:05
  Speaker 3: there's a is that a foot to his left or
• 33:07
  Speaker 3: another body is that someone's back turned?
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: That is correct.
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't even know where to buy something like that. See,
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: we're being completely honest, Like I wouldn't even know where
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: to find that.
• 33:17
  Speaker 3: I'm pretty sure, I'm obviously I'm assuming this is photoshop.
• 33:19
  Speaker 3: I'm pretty sure it's a women's body.
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: Oh no, no, no, no, no, that's the world, not photoshop, Meryl.
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: But well done.
• 33:26
  Speaker 3: Is that a real picture?
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: Oh?
• 33:28
  Speaker 3: Yes, I thought it was his head on it, But
• 33:31
  Speaker 3: now that you gave me the full shot there, I
• 33:32
  Speaker 3: was like, that actually looks pretty real.
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: Yes, that is his Halloween party. Okay, there we go,
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: sures Halloween. Yeah, Halloween like June, June the fifth. Yeah,
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: like the actually Halloween in like July. That's live from
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: the hard Rock at the Poker tour.
• 33:49
  Speaker 3: He just sat yesterday.
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: All right, Meryll, tell us what you got rolling here
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: at your page, locked and loaded?
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: NFL already, you got NBA? What do you got rolling? Yeah?
• 34:02
  Speaker 3: So two advanced NFL best bets for this weekend, which
• 34:04
  Speaker 3: we haven't given out here on the show. So two
• 34:06
  Speaker 3: advanced client best bets for the NFL this weekend. Also
• 34:09
  Speaker 3: an NBA best bets not on National TV. And then
• 34:12
  Speaker 3: a free college basketball play my top college basketball opinion
• 34:15
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• 34:18
  Speaker 3: outside from making my best bet card goes up as
• 34:20
  Speaker 3: a free play every day. So NBA Tonight free college
• 34:24
  Speaker 3: play Advanced NFL. What a great time to check out
• 34:27
  Speaker 3: my page Steve merrowwager Talk dot com. And while you're there,
• 34:29
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• 34:48
  Speaker 2: Like that, Meryl, yep I do.
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: I have three plays lockloaded, ready to roll for wild
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: Card weekend. Also, we've got a couple of college basketball
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: games tonight and one NBA game ready to roll here
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: and of course the pres also NHL, NBA and NFL
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: ready to go. And you put us both together. It's
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: the two for one deal right now that you can
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: get with President I. You buy me or you buy
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: the press. Ninety nine dollars will get you a seventy
• 35:19
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• 35:23
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• 35:26
  Speaker 1: nine dollars, no coupon. Need to just head over to
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: our page at wager talk dot com. All right, Meryl,
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: let's go. We'll dive in here two minutes on the
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: clock all the way through. Just give us some thoughts
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: here on a NFL from a prop betting perspective or
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: even team total perspective.
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: What game do you think you can look at.
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: Here that might have well, if nothing more points and
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: maybe some opportunities in the prop betting market.
• 35:57
  Speaker 3: Well, let's start that first game tomorro on Saturday. You know,
• 35:59
  Speaker 3: by the way, my lock of the century was that
• 36:01
  Speaker 3: the Texans would have the four to thirty Saturday game.
• 36:03
  Speaker 3: I got that wrong. They're playing the Monday night game
• 36:05
  Speaker 3: because there's a more undesirable team in the postseason this year,
• 36:09
  Speaker 3: and that's the Carolina, the eight to nine Carolina Panthers.
• 36:13
  Speaker 3: So they stick them at four thirty Eastern on Saturday.
• 36:16
  Speaker 3: It's always the Bengals or Texans. Now it's the Panthers
• 36:18
  Speaker 3: because the Rams should blow them out. With that said, though,
• 36:21
  Speaker 3: you know I was looking through Mark Lawrence's numbers yesterday,
• 36:23
  Speaker 3: and I mentioned this in my video as well. We
• 36:25
  Speaker 3: all know home dogs have done extremely well in the playoffs.
• 36:27
  Speaker 3: In fact, Mark has them at thirty five and fifteen
• 36:30
  Speaker 3: against the spread seventy percent since nineteen eighty. Over forty
• 36:33
  Speaker 3: five years, they've covered seventy percent. So that's another reason
• 36:36
  Speaker 3: why I could see this game like the Rams winning
• 36:38
  Speaker 3: by exactly ten and the Panthers covering. The problem though,
• 36:41
  Speaker 3: is the Panthers offense is still not good. Bryce Young
• 36:44
  Speaker 3: is still not good, their passing attack is still not good.
• 36:46
  Speaker 3: So when they get behind, you just don't trust them
• 36:49
  Speaker 3: to catch up. So if you're gonna play that early
• 36:51
  Speaker 3: game at four thirty eastern, maybe a Panther team total
• 36:53
  Speaker 3: under seventeen and a half. Yes, I would lean Panthers
• 36:57
  Speaker 3: plus ten and a half, but I also would rather
• 36:59
  Speaker 3: shorten it up when the game is still competitive. First
• 37:01
  Speaker 3: half plus six and a half would have much rather
• 37:03
  Speaker 3: have gotten a plus seven. But we're only getting plus
• 37:05
  Speaker 3: six and a half. Or you can even look at
• 37:07
  Speaker 3: the first quarter line there. You know, as we've talked
• 37:09
  Speaker 3: about these other games, teams come out conservative. Unfortunately it's
• 37:12
  Speaker 3: just plus two and a half. So ten and a
• 37:15
  Speaker 3: half is tempting, but six and a half two and
• 37:17
  Speaker 3: a half first quarter, first half is probably the safer
• 37:19
  Speaker 3: play with Carolina. Keep an eye on those, by the way.
• 37:21
  Speaker 3: You might get a plus three first quarter with Carolina
• 37:23
  Speaker 3: or a plus seven first half. But I think the
• 37:25
  Speaker 3: team total under seventeen and a half is a good
• 37:28
  Speaker 3: little hedge if you do play the Panthers, because if
• 37:30
  Speaker 3: it gets ugly, they probably not gonna score much down
• 37:32
  Speaker 3: the stretch when they get behind.
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: I like that there, Meryl.
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: I got an interesting one too here, and it's going
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: to be I can't believe you didn't know this, but
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: it seems crazy, but the Bills have played twelve playoff
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: games since twenty twenty. All twelve, Merril have either been
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: home in Buffalo or in Kansas City.
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: Wow.
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: So that is absolutely crazy when you think about it,
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: that they have since twenty twenty not made it any
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: place else other than at home.
• 38:05
  Speaker 2: Or in Kid. That's my video, Joe.
• 38:07
  Speaker 3: You are saying, I'm gonna mentioning I'm recording the Sunday
• 38:10
  Speaker 3: three pack this afternoon, So you're telling me the last
• 38:13
  Speaker 3: twelve games have all been Kansas City or Buffalo.
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: All that's either at home in Orchard Park or on
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: the road in Kansas City. Which does all be Josh
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: Allen games, you think? Or is it before sent twenty twenty? Yeah,
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: that's all twenty twenty, and that's all Josh.
• 38:25
  Speaker 3: Allen twenty twenty. Awesome. That's a great stet and buffalo.
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: By the way, Oh and we all know oh and three.
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: In Kansas City. But it's interesting here. I really like
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: a prop in this weekend's game between them and Jacksonville.
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: And call me crazy, but I think Josh Allen's pass
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: attempts which was thirty and a half, maybe thirty one
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: and a half right now, I think that's gonna be
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: a good play. Teams pass on Jacksonville at the fourth
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: highest rate in the league year sixty eight percent of
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: teams sixty eight percent of from teams are passing plays
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: against Jacksonville because they have that whole pass funnel defense
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: where they're very good against the run, but they're gonna
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: let you take.
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: Everything over the middle.
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: They're gonna let you dink and dunk all around the field,
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: and teams have taken advantage of it. And nobody's gonna
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: be better at that than Josh Allen.
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: Not to mention.
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: I think the Jags could be playing from in front
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: in this game, especially early, and if that's the case,
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: then I think it's gonna be all about Josh Allen
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: and his arm. I don't think it's gonna be about
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: the running game in this kind of conditions.
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: Here, what seventy degrees at kick?
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: I think in Jacksonville, I think there's gonna be a
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: lot of passing. I think Josh Allen, if he's gonna
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: win that game, he's gonna win it with his arm.
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: I would anticipate a lot of passing attempts in that game.
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: Merrill with between Jacksonville and Buffalo. So give me Josh.
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: Allen's pass attempts up and over thirty one and a
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: half here for that one.
• 39:58
  Speaker 2: Yeah, has to say.
• 39:59
  Speaker 3: One thing you think of run away is Jacksonville probably
• 40:01
  Speaker 3: let in a lot of those games. The teams aren't
• 40:02
  Speaker 3: going to throw more. But what I just said, if
• 40:04
  Speaker 3: you think Buffalo might be playing from behind, what jumps
• 40:07
  Speaker 3: out to me in this game? The real mismatch is
• 40:10
  Speaker 3: the rush defensive edge for jacksonvill Buffalo's got one of
• 40:12
  Speaker 3: the worst run defenses in the league. Over five yards
• 40:15
  Speaker 3: of carry allowed and Jacksonville's rushed for I think they've
• 40:19
  Speaker 3: had a guy run for one hundred yards or more.
• 40:20
  Speaker 3: They've run as a team in over half their games
• 40:22
  Speaker 3: this year, so I think running back props for Jacksonville,
• 40:25
  Speaker 3: however you want to cut it, rushing props individual at
• 40:28
  Speaker 3: the end, you know, running props up and over make
• 40:31
  Speaker 3: a lot of sense because Buffalo's run defense has definitely
• 40:34
  Speaker 3: been their weakness this year.
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it certainly has, and I think Josh could and
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: the way, let's face it, the way Buffalo doesn't play
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: until the second half, they're likely playing from behind anyway,
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: so it's likely going to be a Josh Allen show
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: when it's all said and done. All right, let's talk
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: some NBA here, better card across the board here tonight, merrill.
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: Let's start what a.
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: Couple of games here that we can look at, and
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be interesting.
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: So let me see if I understand.
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: The Pelicans are a road favorite. May it makes sense? Ah,
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: they're playing Washington. By the way, there will not be
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: any new additions playing for the Wizards here tonight. Yeah,
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: the Noah Trey ain't gonna be there tonight, nor will
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: I ce J McCollum, by the way, I believe be
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: there for Atlanta tonight. But the Pelicans, you know, quietly,
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: and some of the Wizards, they've been they've been a
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: pretty good atm machine covering spreads lately.
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: Two and a half in Washington. Is it a coin
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: flip game to you?
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: And this because it feels like a coin flip game
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: to me, But it also feels like we're getting two
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: hundred and sixty points in this game. Yeah, I was
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: just gonna set. I don't think we're getting much defense.
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: The total open two thirty nine and a half, it's
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: up to forty two and a half. So I think
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: that is probably the best way to play it. Whenever
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: there's uncertainty and a lack of maybe focus, I think
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: that shows in the defensive side of the ball. And
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: like you just said, I mean, are we really trusting
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: either of these teams?
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: Is the favor?
• 42:00
  Speaker 3: But I don't necessarily want to play the dog here either.
• 42:02
  Speaker 3: But the Pelicans have lost nine in a row and
• 42:04
  Speaker 3: they've gone one and eight against the spread, and they've
• 42:07
  Speaker 3: been an underdog in every one of those games, and
• 42:09
  Speaker 3: they've still only covered once out of nine and they've
• 42:11
  Speaker 3: lost all nine straight up, so now their favorite on
• 42:13
  Speaker 3: the road. Like you said, can't trust that. But then again,
• 42:17
  Speaker 3: the Wizards, while they've been a pretty good money maker
• 42:19
  Speaker 3: here the last few weeks, a little bit of a
• 42:21
  Speaker 3: disruption here with the trade and everything, which makes me
• 42:23
  Speaker 3: uncertain how they're going to come out. I'd like the over.
• 42:25
  Speaker 3: If I'm going to play this, I would definitely be
• 42:28
  Speaker 3: up and over two forty two. I think it'll be
• 42:29
  Speaker 3: a playoff atmosphere. I play correction playground atmosphere. It's definitely
• 42:34
  Speaker 3: not playoff atmosphere is low scoring. Playground atmosphere is street ball,
• 42:39
  Speaker 3: high scoring, no defense, and I think that's what we
• 42:41
  Speaker 3: get tonight. By the way, the Wizards have been an
• 42:43
  Speaker 3: interesting case study. They were probably as bad as any
• 42:46
  Speaker 3: team I've seen in the NBA. They lost like, what
• 42:48
  Speaker 3: was it like, fifteen of their first sixteen or whatever
• 42:50
  Speaker 3: to start the season until late November, and we always
• 42:53
  Speaker 3: talk about not catching that falling knife. When they started
• 42:55
  Speaker 3: to kind of turn the corner. They've been, as you said,
• 42:57
  Speaker 3: one of the best money makers in the month of
• 42:59
  Speaker 3: December and early Anuary. So we'll see if this kind
• 43:01
  Speaker 3: of resets everything. I have a feeling it might and
• 43:04
  Speaker 3: I'd be careful with the Wizards over the next few weeks.
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: I would too, And one other game I'll throw out there.
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: Apparently on the thunder of hit a Wall, it was
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: abound to happen at some point, Meryl. But usually if
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: this was a month ago, this game tonight against Memphis,
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: they would have been twelve point favorites. Twelve and a
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: half point favorites here. Five and a half is what
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: they are now, as they are barely five hundred. I
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: think over the last couple of weeks here what happened?
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: Are all that basketball starting to catch up with them
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: a little bit here? Yeah, it's so funny, Joe. This
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: is another great example of what we're talking about. You know,
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: the Wizards were as bad as anybody in history the
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: first month. The thunder was as good as anybody in history.
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: And I remember you and I were talking about this
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: on a sports grid hit like three or four saturdays ago.
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: You know, would they even lose again, we're having that discussion,
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: like would they lose more than three or four games
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: all season?
• 43:54
  Speaker 3: And they're now thirty one and seven. In fact, I'd
• 43:56
  Speaker 3: like to go back and figure out the exact Saturday
• 43:58
  Speaker 3: it was probably two or three weeks ago. They've definitely
• 44:00
  Speaker 3: been below five hundred since we've had that conversation, so
• 44:04
  Speaker 3: I think we somewhat semi jinkst them there. But it
• 44:07
  Speaker 3: just shows the ebb and flows of the basketball season.
• 44:10
  Speaker 3: And you can't just kind of will these teams into
• 44:13
  Speaker 3: fixing stuff. Because they were a fifteen point home favorite
• 44:16
  Speaker 3: against Memphis back on December twenty second, and now after
• 44:21
  Speaker 3: losing as a ten point favorite against Phoenix fifteen point.
• 44:24
  Speaker 3: They didn't just lose as a fifteen point favorite against Charlotte,
• 44:27
  Speaker 3: they've lost outright by twenty seven, so that's like a
• 44:29
  Speaker 3: forty two point loss against the spread. And then all
• 44:32
  Speaker 3: they got back on track against Utah winning won twenty
• 44:34
  Speaker 3: nine to twenty five, is a nineteen point favorite. The
• 44:37
  Speaker 3: big thing is this has been the best defensive team
• 44:39
  Speaker 3: in the league the last two years. They've given up
• 44:41
  Speaker 3: two hundred and forty nine points the last two games.
• 44:44
  Speaker 3: They've given up triple digits each of the last three games.
• 44:47
  Speaker 3: And then you look at the injury report here tonight,
• 44:50
  Speaker 3: over half their lineup is out. Yes, so I'd be
• 44:53
  Speaker 3: really careful with them here. I don't even think they're
• 44:55
  Speaker 3: going to probably win this game. I don't. I mean,
• 44:57
  Speaker 3: unless something's changed. I mean the NBA were as of
• 45:00
  Speaker 3: thirty minutes ago is listing, you know, Shay out, listing,
• 45:05
  Speaker 3: whole Grim out, Jalen Williams out. I mean, what am
• 45:08
  Speaker 3: I missing here?
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: Joe?
• 45:09
  Speaker 3: Why are they why are they going from three and
• 45:11
  Speaker 3: a half to six? And it's like this information is
• 45:13
  Speaker 3: wrong or something.
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know. That's very strang I just noticed that
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: as well, Meryll. That makes absolutely uh.
• 45:19
  Speaker 3: This is the official NBA dot com report for one
• 45:23
  Speaker 3: Eastern so and they're they're listed is out. It's not questionable.
• 45:27
  Speaker 3: They're all listed as out. So I don't know what
• 45:29
  Speaker 3: I'm missing here like there. I mean, I know John moreno,
• 45:32
  Speaker 3: like Memphis is missing guys too, but this is basically
• 45:34
  Speaker 3: a preseason game now.
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: That's exactly what it feels like there.
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: And if I'm not, I know, the report just came
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: out too that now Memphis is uh, it's official Memphis
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: is currently shopping John Morant for.
• 45:48
  Speaker 3: He's listing is out on the report also, So yeah,
• 45:50
  Speaker 3: I agree with that.
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: So I don't know, it makes no sense.
• 45:54
  Speaker 3: Lo okse have though Hartenstein out, Gilchris out, whole Grim out, Cason,
• 46:00
  Speaker 3: Wallace Williams out.
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: I mean SGA's Caruso's question. I mean that's it, SGA,
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: Hart and Stein Williams. That's crazy. Yeah, that's crazy. Jalen Williams,
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: ched Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, and SGA all have been ruled out,
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: and the only guy that's loved is Caruso is the
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: only one questionable.
• 46:20
  Speaker 2: Everyone else is a mess.
• 46:22
  Speaker 3: So I've start all day and now it's up to
• 46:24
  Speaker 3: six in the last thirty minutes. I don't Yeah, it's
• 46:27
  Speaker 3: like that's one of those lines like that game should
• 46:29
  Speaker 3: be a pick them because I don't have an opinion
• 46:31
  Speaker 3: either way. It's like I just would play the dog.
• 46:33
  Speaker 2: I agree.
• 46:34
  Speaker 3: I mean you can figure out. Okayc wants to get
• 46:35
  Speaker 3: back on track, but do they have even the I mean,
• 46:37
  Speaker 3: how good are their backups? I mean this is like
• 46:39
  Speaker 3: the backups of the backups at this point.
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: Yeah, this interesting not good. That is absolutely not good.
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: We do have, of course, to calm before the storm.
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: Meryl is what we like to call it now that
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: the calendar has turned in college basketball, because well we
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: got what tomorrow I believe last one hundred and forty
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: nine games tomorrow, nearly three hundred teams will be on
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: the court tomorrow in college basketball, but we only got
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: what twenty eight to twenty nine teams on the floor
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: here tonight. Tip I believe do we have an early
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: game today? I don't think we did. First game is
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: right around six o'clock Miami of Ohio undefeated taking on
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: Toledo in a game here that the total keeps getting
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: bet up like people know exactly what the final score
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: is going to be there. But at kudos to Miami
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: of Ohio hitting what like fifty from three on the
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: seats in here. Nobody can seem to beat them here.
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: They're on the road, but that line flipped. You get
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: an undefeated Miami of Ohio and they opened up as
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: a favorite. Now they're a dog here on the road
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: against Toledo. Who'd have thunk it, little matched might be
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: the best game on a card here tonight?
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: Yeah?
• 47:54
  Speaker 3: I think you know. It is incredible they're after that
• 47:56
  Speaker 3: what is a sixteen and those starts. Yeah, but now
• 47:59
  Speaker 3: it's conference time and we see these teams know each
• 48:01
  Speaker 3: other well. We often see teams come back down to earth.
• 48:03
  Speaker 3: The tempo should be fast. I do agree with the
• 48:05
  Speaker 3: over in this game Both teams play extremely fast, to
• 48:08
  Speaker 3: the fastest teams in the conference for sure. Even in
• 48:10
  Speaker 3: the nation. Toledo a much weaker defensive team, Miami of
• 48:14
  Speaker 3: IOA holds a huge offensive edge. What does concern you
• 48:17
  Speaker 3: though a bit as we often see teams struggle offensively
• 48:19
  Speaker 3: on the road. So if this game was in Miami
• 48:22
  Speaker 3: of Ohiowa and love the over a little bit lukewarm
• 48:26
  Speaker 3: just because it's a road game, but still up and
• 48:28
  Speaker 3: over one sixty seven be the only way I play it.
• 48:30
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you on that one.
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: And a little late night USC taking on Minnesota. USC
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: lost its best player and it's just not it has
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: not been good and Minnesota laying it's been all Minnesota
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: money by the way, opened up minus one and now
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: Minnesota laying three and a half four across the board.
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: And Minnesota is actually halfway decent team this year. Nothing crazy,
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: but SC is going through it right now. It's a
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: new era there for SC and it's not all to
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: a great tart right now in college basketball for them.
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: I would feel like I would either lay it or
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: just pass here at this point because I don't think
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: we can trust that C on the road against Minnesota.
• 49:13
  Speaker 3: Yeah, USC hasn't had Rodney Rice is probably the best
• 49:15
  Speaker 3: player since like late late November. I think he's missed
• 49:19
  Speaker 3: now like eight straight games. They lost to Washington, but
• 49:22
  Speaker 3: they won five of the other six games without him
• 49:25
  Speaker 3: until that Michigan trip last week into Monday, Saturday, and Monday.
• 49:28
  Speaker 3: They lost by thirty against Michigan, who I have as
• 49:30
  Speaker 3: the best team in the country, and then they lost
• 49:32
  Speaker 3: by twenty nine against Michigan State. But I also mentioned
• 49:35
  Speaker 3: Michigan State on Monday's wager Talk today because Michigan State
• 49:37
  Speaker 3: was coming off a loss. So I'm not going to
• 49:40
  Speaker 3: overreact too much of those two USC losses. I think
• 49:42
  Speaker 3: they might actually set up some value for us here
• 49:45
  Speaker 3: in the near future. The problem is it's another tough
• 49:48
  Speaker 3: Big Ten game in Minnesota. And keep in mind Conference
• 49:51
  Speaker 3: teams know each other well. USC is not used to
• 49:53
  Speaker 3: playing at Michigan at Michigan State, and Minnesota is a
• 49:55
  Speaker 3: bizarre court, as you know, Joe, where I think it's
• 49:58
  Speaker 3: still the same where the big benches are below core
• 50:01
  Speaker 3: level like Vanderbilts, you know, and it's just a very
• 50:03
  Speaker 3: it's like a bar, and it's just a weird arena.
• 50:06
  Speaker 3: So be careful tonight, but they are back at home
• 50:08
  Speaker 3: against Maryland next Tuesday. USC is yep, and that's a
• 50:13
  Speaker 3: team they're better than. So I almost kind of hope
• 50:16
  Speaker 3: USC gets blown out again to be honest, tonight, and
• 50:18
  Speaker 3: then we sets up a good bounce back play for
• 50:20
  Speaker 3: US Tuesday, maybe against Maryland.
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: Like that in a big, big way there.
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: So now you got a guy little college basketball NBA
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: action tonight, a couple of different looks in the NFL
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: Wildcard weekend, plus of course the college football semifinal tonight
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: round two as you get Oregon and Indiana.
• 50:38
  Speaker 2: For the right to come to Miami and take on
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: the U. So a lot of stuff going on there.
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: And Meryl, like you said, you're lockloaded NFL as well
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: as NBA here tonight heading into the weekend.
• 50:51
  Speaker 3: Yeah, we got an NBA Best Bet Friday, two advanced
• 50:53
  Speaker 3: NFL plays for this week. It actually I'm sorry three.
• 50:55
  Speaker 3: I loaded another one today, So we have three advanced
• 50:57
  Speaker 3: NFL plays now up and then also a free college
• 51:00
  Speaker 3: basketball play which we did not talk about here on
• 51:02
  Speaker 3: the show. Go get my top college basketball opinion to
• 51:04
  Speaker 3: night free on my page. Steve Merrill Wager Talk dot Com,
• 51:07
  Speaker 3: WT dot Buzz slash sm and don't forget NFL Playoff video.
• 51:12
  Speaker 3: The doubleheader for Saturday is up right now. I'm gonna
• 51:15
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• 51:17
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• 51:36
  Speaker 3: comment belowp We read the comments, we reply back and
• 51:40
  Speaker 3: encourage the pres to do well in this poker tournament.
• 51:44
  Speaker 3: Joe is hoping he does extremely well. Yes, and they
• 51:46
  Speaker 3: won't have time to catch up for.
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: Dinner exactly so this way, he won't call me, you know,
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: I'll just tell him a sign for a business press.
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to tell you, man, Merrill. Always
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: a good time, my man. We'll see you, of course
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: throughout the week here a pres hopefully well likely we'll
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: be back on Monday, because he certainly won't be playing
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: in a poker tournament the way it sounds, but appreciate
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: it as always, guys, best of luck, hit the light button,
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: crush it this weekend. We'll see again on Monday for
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: the best betting show ever enjoyed.