Latest / Core Memory / Spaceplanes Are Upon Us - EP 24 Stefan Powell
Transcript
- 0:00SPEAKER_02: What is the Paris air show like?
- 0:02SPEAKER_02: I've always wanted to go.
- 0:04SPEAKER_00: Yeah, really good.
- 0:04SPEAKER_00: Kind of like a,
- 0:06SPEAKER_00: definitely a bit of a mashup between space and,
- 0:08SPEAKER_00: and,
- 0:09SPEAKER_00: um,
- 0:09SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 0:10SPEAKER_00: aircraft industry.
- 0:11SPEAKER_00: Um,
- 0:12SPEAKER_00: pretty exciting to just see like super high performance aircraft,
- 0:15like F-35s and Raphaels and like all these jets just doing
- 0:18crazy shit in front of
- 0:19SPEAKER_00: people.
- 0:20So they,
- 0:20they just do,
- 0:22it's part air show in the middle,
- 0:23like they're flying stuff around.
- 0:25And then I guess there's probably a lot of people selling
- 0:27things and it's like a
- 0:28SPEAKER_02: trade show too,
- 0:29SPEAKER_02: isn't it?
- 0:29SPEAKER_02: Or it's just an air show.
- 0:30SPEAKER_00: Yeah, no, no, it's totally a trade show.
- 0:32Like there's thousands of like actual industry people there and
- 0:36just about everyone
- 0:37SPEAKER_00: from industry attends.
- 0:39But then it's also like you're definitely an air show,
- 0:42like kids show up as well.
- 0:43Like the last three days of it is kind of like the industry
- 0:46stuff winds down and
- 0:47SPEAKER_00: the kids show up.
- 0:48SPEAKER_00: But the whole time,
- 0:49SPEAKER_00: like literally through every day of the show,
- 0:52SPEAKER_00: like F-35s are flying,
- 0:56SPEAKER_00: A350s are flying,
- 0:57SPEAKER_00: like everyone's just doing the craziest shit,
- 0:59SPEAKER_00: like helicopters doing loops.
- 1:01Like you're literally in a meeting with some people and the
- 1:04F-35s flying over here
- 1:05SPEAKER_00: and the whole table's just shaking and you're like,
- 1:07SPEAKER_00: I can't hear anymore.
- 1:09You kind of have to like postpone your meeting for five minutes
- 1:11while that happens.
- 1:13SPEAKER_02: I would like to see that one day.
- 1:14SPEAKER_02: And they do it.
- 1:17SPEAKER_02: I mean, Toulouse is kind of the aviation capital of France, isn't it?
- 1:21SPEAKER_00: Yep.
- 1:22SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah, totally.
- 1:22SPEAKER_00: Like that's where all the aircraft manufacturing and stuff is.
- 1:24SPEAKER_00: Like Airbus is centered there and tons of the space industry is there.
- 1:28SPEAKER_00: But Paris, for whatever reason, is like where the actual air show is.
- 1:31SPEAKER_00: It's probably easier.
- 1:32SPEAKER_02: All right.
- 1:33SPEAKER_02: All right.
- 1:34SPEAKER_02: I'm going to do a proper intro now.
- 1:35SPEAKER_02: Yeah, cool.
- 1:36SPEAKER_02: All right.
- 1:51SPEAKER_02: Stefan Powell, thank you for joining us.
- 1:53SPEAKER_02: Yeah, thanks.
- 1:55SPEAKER_02: Thanks for being here.
- 1:56SPEAKER_02: You are the co-founder and CEO and I think also CTO of Don Aerospace.
- 2:03SPEAKER_02: There's many, many titles.
- 2:05SPEAKER_00: Yeah, way too many, way too many ads, that's for sure.
- 2:07SPEAKER_02: If you guys are based in New Zealand, we're going to talk all about that.
- 2:10SPEAKER_02: I've been following the company for a few years now.
- 2:13You make,
- 2:14I'll just do it quickly and then we'll get into it,
- 2:16but you make propulsion projects.
- 2:18systems for satellites and then you also make this very cool
- 2:21space plane it's it's
- 2:23totally unique there's nothing else like it we're going to talk
- 2:26all about it i
- 2:27think we're going to get to show a mock-up of it as well and
- 2:31and i you know you and
- 2:33i've known each other for a bit i wanted a chance to talk about
- 2:35you aerospace in
- 2:38new zealand and then and what you guys what you guys are doing
- 2:41so thank you for
- 2:41SPEAKER_02: trekking to the studio
- 2:43SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah, we can do all of that and lots more.
- 2:46SPEAKER_02: Okay, fantastic.
- 2:47SPEAKER_02: And as always, this episode is brought to you by E1 Ventures.
- 2:54SPEAKER_02: No cap table is complete without E1 Ventures.
- 2:58SPEAKER_02: Very kind people who helped make this podcast go.
- 3:02SPEAKER_02: All right, here we go.
- 3:03SPEAKER_02: Let's jump in.
- 3:05SPEAKER_02: Let's do the newsy bit.
- 3:07SPEAKER_02: No, let's not.
- 3:08SPEAKER_02: Let's set up.
- 3:08SPEAKER_02: Let's do a little background first.
- 3:12SPEAKER_02: As I mentioned, you hail from New Zealand.
- 3:15SPEAKER_02: Were you born in New Zealand?
- 3:17SPEAKER_00: Yeah, born in Wellington.
- 3:18SPEAKER_02: And your parents are Kiwis?
- 3:20SPEAKER_00: Yeah, they're both born in New Zealand, although my mom's from Dutch.
- 3:24SPEAKER_00: Her parents immigrated from Europe in the 50s.
- 3:27SPEAKER_02: Okay, and it's entirely possible that I...
- 3:31think i may have badgered you when i was working on my book
- 3:35about rocket lab as i
- 3:36hunted through linkedin for anyone who had worked at rocket lab
- 3:40and you did you did
- 3:41like a six month internship yeah yeah exactly i did an
- 3:45internship there while i was
- 3:46doing my master's at two delft so it was like doing an
- 3:50internship like a internship
- 3:51SPEAKER_02: abroad at home yeah okay yeah okay and and
- 3:55SPEAKER_02: What stage was Rocket Lab at when you did that?
- 3:59SPEAKER_00: That was pre-calling it Electron.
- 4:01SPEAKER_00: Back then it was called Orbital.
- 4:03SPEAKER_00: Oh.
- 4:03SPEAKER_00: So this is pretty early.
- 4:05SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah.
- 4:05SPEAKER_00: This is 2013, I think.
- 4:06SPEAKER_00: I think there was like 20-ish people at the company.
- 4:10SPEAKER_00: Pretty damn early, like before we had fired the Rutherford at all.
- 4:14SPEAKER_02: Yeah, yeah.
- 4:15SPEAKER_02: To set the stage for people who don't know, I mean, Rocket Lab...
- 4:19SPEAKER_02: is really,
- 4:20SPEAKER_02: when it comes to rockets,
- 4:22SPEAKER_02: is the second most successful commercial space player after SpaceX.
- 4:26SPEAKER_02: I think I just saw them.
- 4:28I can't even keep up with how many times they've flown now
- 4:30because they just flew
- 4:31SPEAKER_02: two in a row in the last couple of weeks.
- 4:36SPEAKER_02: And I think they're up to about 60, 64, 65 launches.
- 4:38SPEAKER_02: Something like that.
- 4:39SPEAKER_00: They did like four this month.
- 4:41SPEAKER_00: Which is pretty wild.
- 4:42SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 4:42SPEAKER_02: So they're starting to like hit this kind of SpaceX ish type cadence,
- 4:46SPEAKER_02: but the bigger story is,
- 4:49is just like really no aerospace industry of significance in
- 4:53New Zealand until
- 4:54SPEAKER_02: this,
- 4:54SPEAKER_02: this company comes around and.
- 4:58And so what was it like in the early days of working at Rocket
- 5:02Lab and this maniac
- 5:05Peter Beck telling everyone you're going to fire a rocket off
- 5:08from the North
- 5:09SPEAKER_02: Island?
- 5:11SPEAKER_00: It was meant to be the South Island.
- 5:13SPEAKER_00: I think at that point it was pretty undefined.
- 5:15SPEAKER_00: It was like somewhere.
- 5:16SPEAKER_00: We'll figure it out.
- 5:16SPEAKER_00: Don't worry about it.
- 5:18um yeah i mean i'm not sure i'd call him a maniac and but uh he
- 5:22he definitely um he
- 5:24knew what he wanted and he knew how to get it that's for sure
- 5:27like never seen
- 5:28anyone with that sort of dedication and and conviction and what
- 5:31they believed in
- 5:32and um just the way that he inspired people to work was pretty
- 5:35pretty awesome and
- 5:36SPEAKER_00: and like
- 5:37SPEAKER_00: I mean, you've probably studied it more than anyone else.
- 5:39SPEAKER_00: Like, you see the results.
- 5:41SPEAKER_00: Like, it's just hard to argue with that level of execution, right?
- 5:44SPEAKER_02: It's very, very driven.
- 5:47SPEAKER_02: Absolutely.
- 5:48SPEAKER_02: But even, I mean...
- 5:51SPEAKER_02: Unlikely odds.
- 5:53SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 5:54SPEAKER_00: Totally, totally.
- 5:55SPEAKER_00: But like I do remember having some,
- 5:57SPEAKER_00: like I was working on the Rutherford test stand at that time.
- 6:01SPEAKER_00: It was out at Auckland Airport.
- 6:03SPEAKER_00: So like pretty boring stuff,
- 6:04really like drilling holes in concrete and putting in like one
- 6:07inch stainless
- 6:08SPEAKER_00: tubing and then setting up like all the rigs to Mount Rutherford.
- 6:11SPEAKER_00: And we did eventually get to firing it.
- 6:13SPEAKER_00: So I was involved in about the first dozen or so firings.
- 6:19But we had like NASA folks come by and you could see it in the
- 6:23eyes of like,
- 6:23SPEAKER_00: holy crap,
- 6:24like this is happening and this is happening in a completely
- 6:26unexpected part of the
- 6:27SPEAKER_00: world.
- 6:28SPEAKER_00: And they were just so,
- 6:30SPEAKER_00: yeah,
- 6:30SPEAKER_00: like,
- 6:30SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 6:30SPEAKER_00: they got that like twinkle in their eyes sort of thing of like,
- 6:32SPEAKER_00: oh,
- 6:32SPEAKER_00: well,
- 6:33SPEAKER_00: this is this is happening here.
- 6:35SPEAKER_00: They just didn't expect it.
- 6:37SPEAKER_02: Yeah,
- 6:37SPEAKER_02: I mean,
- 6:38SPEAKER_02: and I wrote about this in the book,
- 6:40SPEAKER_02: and so this will be old news to anyone who's read that,
- 6:44but that was what I heard all the time was there were so many
- 6:49rocket startups,
- 6:50SPEAKER_02: and then everyone kept saying,
- 6:51SPEAKER_02: but this guy,
- 6:51SPEAKER_02: Peter Beck,
- 6:52SPEAKER_02: he's more real than the other ones,
- 6:54SPEAKER_02: and I was so skeptical.
- 6:55SPEAKER_02: I think the first time I went out was 2016 or 2016, and just...
- 7:03I think I'd been burned a few times by rocket startups with
- 7:07their website and then
- 7:08SPEAKER_02: you go visit them and there's nothing.
- 7:13The idea that this guy who didn't go to college in New Zealand
- 7:17was doing it seemed
- 7:18pretty far-fetched to me and then I got there and he was 100%
- 7:23very much doing it
- 7:24SPEAKER_02: was ahead of everybody else I'd been looking at in the States.
- 7:28Yeah,
- 7:28but I feel like aerospace is starting to get used to these
- 7:31underdog stories now.
- 7:32It's almost becoming like if the company hasn't had some real
- 7:36harsh forcing
- 7:37SPEAKER_00: function that's made them make tough decisions early on,
- 7:41SPEAKER_00: then they're actually more likely to fail,
- 7:42SPEAKER_00: even if they had 10 times the resource.
- 7:45SPEAKER_00: It's almost like hardship is a prerequisite for success in aerospace.
- 7:49SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 7:50SPEAKER_02: So I'm so curious about that because I was following Rocket Lab,
- 7:54SPEAKER_02: I was following similar companies in the US who had SpaceX veterans.
- 7:58SPEAKER_02: They...
- 8:00SPEAKER_02: had access to all this history,
- 8:01SPEAKER_02: all the industry,
- 8:03SPEAKER_02: by all rights,
- 8:03SPEAKER_02: should have outpaced Rocket Lab.
- 8:05SPEAKER_02: And then Rocket Lab was full of Kiwis and Aussies,
- 8:10SPEAKER_02: all in their 20s,
- 8:11SPEAKER_02: who had never launched a rocket before.
- 8:13SPEAKER_02: Peter, you know, had been making dishwashers before starting Rocket Lab.
- 8:20SPEAKER_02: And so I've always wondered, maybe you're right.
- 8:24SPEAKER_02: Maybe it is that, like, because SpaceX had that.
- 8:26SPEAKER_00: They almost failed too, right?
- 8:28SPEAKER_02: They almost failed and they had that,
- 8:30SPEAKER_02: even though people think Elon was rich,
- 8:32SPEAKER_02: they had the desperation that- He wasn't back then.
- 8:35SPEAKER_02: Right.
- 8:35SPEAKER_02: He was not that rich.
- 8:36SPEAKER_02: They had to fly,
- 8:37which is why I always think they've gone faster than Blue
- 8:40Origin because Blue
- 8:41SPEAKER_02: Origin had Daddy Warbucks.
- 8:44By the time Jeff started that company,
- 8:46he was already one of the richest people in the world.
- 8:48SPEAKER_02: Whereas Elon was rich, but he was not like space rich by any-
- 8:53SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 8:54SPEAKER_00: And like aerospace is a great way to sink hundreds of millions,
- 8:57SPEAKER_00: if not billions of dollars and get nowhere.
- 8:59SPEAKER_00: Disaster.
- 8:59SPEAKER_00: If you don't know what you're doing.
- 9:00SPEAKER_00: Yeah, for sure.
- 9:01SPEAKER_02: Okay.
- 9:02SPEAKER_02: So when you were there with those 20 people,
- 9:05SPEAKER_02: so you're saying you got a sense of Peter,
- 9:08SPEAKER_02: but like,
- 9:09SPEAKER_02: what else did you discover about this?
- 9:12SPEAKER_02: This is the thing I've always wondered is like,
- 9:14SPEAKER_02: how does a group of 20 year olds who have never done this before,
- 9:17SPEAKER_02: like what did they figure out in their culture that worked?
- 9:21SPEAKER_00: Probably haven't thought about this enough to like really comment on it,
- 9:24but I feel like it's almost as simple as just you just put one
- 9:27step in front of the
- 9:28SPEAKER_00: other.
- 9:28Like you figure out,
- 9:29okay,
- 9:30this is the goal and this is kind of the next step in that
- 9:32direction.
- 9:32So let's do it and let's do it as fast as we can and we're
- 9:35going to get there and
- 9:36then we're going to learn some more and then we're going to
- 9:37figure out the next
- 9:38SPEAKER_00: step.
- 9:38SPEAKER_00: And like it really is that elementary, if you like.
- 9:42SPEAKER_00: And,
- 9:42SPEAKER_00: I mean,
- 9:44SPEAKER_00: looking back,
- 9:45SPEAKER_00: lots of,
- 9:45SPEAKER_00: like,
- 9:46SPEAKER_00: we made tons of mistakes,
- 9:47SPEAKER_00: even those six months that I was there.
- 9:49SPEAKER_00: Like, the timelines were all bananas.
- 9:51SPEAKER_00: Like,
- 9:51SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 9:52SPEAKER_00: we thought we were going to qualify engines in whatever,
- 9:54SPEAKER_00: a quarter of the time that it ended up actually taking,
- 9:56SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 9:57SPEAKER_00: it was the classic.
- 9:58SPEAKER_00: times your budget by two and time by pi or whatever.
- 10:04SPEAKER_00: So that all roughly worked out.
- 10:05But I guess the common denominator here is just the relentless
- 10:12drive and clarity of
- 10:13SPEAKER_00: vision that they had.
- 10:15SPEAKER_00: And everyone had that.
- 10:16Pete obviously had it,
- 10:16but everyone in their own individual roles had it as well.
- 10:20SPEAKER_00: And no one wanted to believe that it wasn't possible.
- 10:24SPEAKER_00: And I guess to some extent it was just raw naivety that nobody...
- 10:28SPEAKER_00: actually understood how hard it was, what they were doing.
- 10:30SPEAKER_00: You know,
- 10:32SPEAKER_00: old adage there as well,
- 10:33SPEAKER_00: like if you knew how hard it was at the start,
- 10:35SPEAKER_00: you wouldn't have done it.
- 10:35SPEAKER_00: So maybe that naivety is just a bit of a benefit.
- 10:39SPEAKER_02: 100%, yeah.
- 10:39SPEAKER_02: So maybe just being remote and away from some of the bullshit that...
- 10:45SPEAKER_02: Comes with all this, let you focus a little bit.
- 10:47SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 10:48SPEAKER_02: And you studied aeronautics?
- 10:51SPEAKER_00: Yep.
- 10:51SPEAKER_00: Yep.
- 10:51I did a bachelor's of aerospace and a master's in space systems
- 10:54engineering.
- 10:55SPEAKER_02: Okay.
- 10:56SPEAKER_02: All right.
- 10:56Well,
- 10:56I know you were at Rocket Lab for a little bit,
- 10:58then I think you were at Hyperion?
- 10:59SPEAKER_00: Yep.
- 11:00SPEAKER_00: Yep.
- 11:00SPEAKER_00: It was like a little startup in Delft.
- 11:03SPEAKER_02: And then pretty quickly started your own company.
- 11:06SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 11:07SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah, exactly.
- 11:07It was pretty,
- 11:08and I mean,
- 11:10I kind of started that company while I was working at Hyperion.
- 11:14SPEAKER_00: So Hyperion are actually early shareholders in Dawn,
- 11:18SPEAKER_00: and that was kind of like a trade of,
- 11:19SPEAKER_00: I'm going to be spending more and more of my time on my own thing,
- 11:22SPEAKER_00: and you're going to support me while I do it.
- 11:24And some of the technology that we were working on was related
- 11:27to prior projects with Hyperion.
- 11:28SPEAKER_00: So that was kind of the deal that we worked out there.
- 11:31SPEAKER_00: So they were great in supporting us early on.
- 11:34SPEAKER_02: So what year did Don start and what was the original mission?
- 11:41The original mission was we had been working together for seven
- 11:45years or something
- 11:45at that point in a student society and we just realized we were
- 11:49really great at
- 11:49SPEAKER_00: building stuff.
- 11:50We built these big hybrid rockets and broke some European
- 11:52records and stuff and that was cool.
- 11:55SPEAKER_00: But we realized like, shit, we're really good at this.
- 11:57SPEAKER_00: Like we're a scrappy team,
- 12:00SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 12:00SPEAKER_00: with tiny amounts of money,
- 12:01SPEAKER_00: we develop new technology,
- 12:02SPEAKER_00: we should make a business out of this.
- 12:04SPEAKER_00: And so I think the original email I sent was actually,
- 12:06SPEAKER_00: it was,
- 12:08SPEAKER_00: the subject line was badass rocket company.
- 12:12SPEAKER_00: What's the original name?
- 12:14SPEAKER_00: But yeah, that must have been 2015.
- 12:15SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 12:17And then we won some like small startup prize things in like
- 12:212016 or 17 or something.
- 12:23SPEAKER_00: So that forced us to like open a company in a bank account and whatnot.
- 12:26But then like the moment where we all quit our jobs and did
- 12:29this full time was like
- 12:32SPEAKER_00: September 2018.
- 12:33SPEAKER_02: 2018.
- 12:34SPEAKER_02: And did you think you were going to be a rocket company initially?
- 12:37SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 12:39So we originally actually tried to commercialize the technology
- 12:42that we developed
- 12:43SPEAKER_00: as students,
- 12:43SPEAKER_00: like these big hybrid rockets,
- 12:44SPEAKER_00: and we realized,
- 12:45SPEAKER_00: no,
- 12:45SPEAKER_00: we really,
- 12:45SPEAKER_00: really don't like hybrid rockets.
- 12:47SPEAKER_00: So I know there's lots of companies building hybrid rockets now,
- 12:49SPEAKER_00: and I'm sorry,
- 12:50SPEAKER_00: but I know enough about hybrids,
- 12:52SPEAKER_00: and I never want to build another one in my life.
- 12:54SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah.
- 12:54SPEAKER_02: And for people who don't know what a hybrid rocket is, what is it?
- 12:57It's like you use a liquid propellant for your oxidizer usually
- 13:01and then like a solid fuel.
- 13:03SPEAKER_00: So in theory,
- 13:04you get the best of both worlds out of like a controllability
- 13:06of a liquid,
- 13:07but it's quite safe because it's very hard to accidentally mix
- 13:09those two things and
- 13:10SPEAKER_00: blow them up.
- 13:11SPEAKER_00: But you also get a lot of the bad sides of both.
- 13:14SPEAKER_00: Like you get grain cracking from it being a hybrid.
- 13:17SPEAKER_00: But then if you want it to be really high performance,
- 13:18SPEAKER_00: you still want to use cryogenic liquids,
- 13:20which you really need for hybrids because otherwise their
- 13:23performance is pretty
- 13:24SPEAKER_00: bad.
- 13:24SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 13:25SPEAKER_00: So you still have a cryogenic liquid.
- 13:28SPEAKER_00: It's a long story.
- 13:29SPEAKER_00: It's a mess.
- 13:30SPEAKER_02: So the solids give you sort of simplicity, a bit cheaper.
- 13:34SPEAKER_02: The liquids let you start and stop.
- 13:37SPEAKER_02: You have way more nuance and the world has tilted towards liquids.
- 13:43SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 13:43SPEAKER_02: But there's still this desire to do both at the same time.
- 13:46SPEAKER_00: Especially when you start talking about reusability.
- 13:49SPEAKER_00: Because like...
- 13:50a reusable well we can talk about reusability like that that
- 13:54was what we landed on
- 13:55as dawn as like the key element like we tried to market this
- 14:00hybrid rocket and we
- 14:00just realized it's just way too expensive and it's just it's
- 14:03maybe an iterative
- 14:04improvement over the status quo yeah but it's not a revolution
- 14:07yeah and we need to
- 14:08SPEAKER_00: go for a revolution okay so like in 2015 the way that you
- 14:12SPEAKER_00: cause of revolution in spaceflight is reusability.
- 14:15Like SpaceX was already talking about it at that point,
- 14:18kind of had ideas about it.
- 14:20SPEAKER_00: No one was really talking much about in-space refueling all that much.
- 14:24SPEAKER_00: It was kind of like a crazy notion.
- 14:26SPEAKER_00: It was like, well, I think we can figure out all these things.
- 14:29SPEAKER_00: Like they're far from physically impossible.
- 14:32SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 14:33SPEAKER_00: And this is where my brother actually came into the story,
- 14:37SPEAKER_00: where he had been working in proper aerospace,
- 14:39SPEAKER_00: like he was doing helicopter modifications,
- 14:42designing and building them in New Zealand and then exporting
- 14:44them around the
- 14:44SPEAKER_00: world.
- 14:45And there's like really well set up mechanisms for doing that
- 14:47sort of R&D and
- 14:48SPEAKER_00: exporting it at scale.
- 14:50And I actually did an internship at the business he was working
- 14:54at as well and then
- 14:54SPEAKER_00: saw this for myself and we kind of put our heads together and said,
- 14:58SPEAKER_00: hey,
- 14:58SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 14:59SPEAKER_00: these high performance rockets that we're building as students,
- 15:02SPEAKER_00: Um,
- 15:03SPEAKER_00: I think we can do that,
- 15:05SPEAKER_00: but in a truly like aerospace context,
- 15:10SPEAKER_00: like of,
- 15:10SPEAKER_00: of like airline style,
- 15:12SPEAKER_00: where we,
- 15:13we build these parts as aircraft and then we like license them
- 15:17as aircraft and we
- 15:18fly them out of airports and we get the reusability and the
- 15:21scalability of
- 15:22SPEAKER_00: aircraft,
- 15:22SPEAKER_00: but still with the performance of a rocket,
- 15:24like we can actually mash these two worlds together and get
- 15:26something that's truly
- 15:28SPEAKER_00: the best of both worlds.
- 15:29SPEAKER_02: Right,
- 15:29SPEAKER_02: okay,
- 15:30SPEAKER_02: and then,
- 15:31SPEAKER_02: as I mentioned,
- 15:31SPEAKER_02: I mean,
- 15:32SPEAKER_02: your business has a couple elements to it,
- 15:34SPEAKER_02: but let's start with the space plane for a second,
- 15:37SPEAKER_02: which is a bit of what you're talking about.
- 15:42SPEAKER_02: Okay, so let's describe it to people.
- 15:45SPEAKER_02: Actually, let's show and tell them for a second.
- 15:47SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 15:48SPEAKER_00: Here's one I prepared early.
- 15:49Okay.
- 15:52SPEAKER_02: Stefan is grabbing the space plane.
- 15:55SPEAKER_02: Ungodly huge thing.
- 15:56It's large on a table,
- 15:58but if you're viewing at home or on YouTube,
- 16:01I suppose you can see it.
- 16:03SPEAKER_02: So how big is this in real life?
- 16:06SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 16:06SPEAKER_00: So the rear one, like this is, we call it Aurora.
- 16:10SPEAKER_00: The rear one's about five meters long, 2.4 meter wingspan.
- 16:12In various configurations,
- 16:15it weighs between 200 kilograms and 450 kilograms.
- 16:17SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 16:17SPEAKER_00: So the one we're flying right now is about 200, 250 kilograms or so.
- 16:19SPEAKER_00: And how much can it hold in payload?
- 16:26like not very much five kilograms but like the point of this
- 16:29vehicle was really a
- 16:30technology demonstrator for like putting the performance of a
- 16:33rocket in something
- 16:34that's truly an aircraft and by that I mean you know it's not
- 16:37just reusable like an
- 16:39aircraft but it also is flies from common infrastructure like
- 16:43from airports like an
- 16:45aircraft and it's also regulated as an aircraft and those three
- 16:48elements are really
- 16:48SPEAKER_00: key otherwise you lose the business model of it of being an aircraft
- 16:53yeah okay well i have lots of questions about that but the
- 16:56payload goes up top yep
- 16:58yeah the the payload here and actually the so the next
- 17:01generation version has
- 17:02between six and ten kilograms so upgraded that a little bit but
- 17:05yeah it just goes
- 17:06in the back here so for people who are just listening kind of
- 17:09in the cockpit ish
- 17:10SPEAKER_02: area or nearish where you would imagine a cockpit i suppose
- 17:14SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 17:15SPEAKER_00: Near the front.
- 17:15SPEAKER_00: Yeah, exactly.
- 17:16SPEAKER_00: Pretty much.
- 17:17SPEAKER_00: Pretty much.
- 17:17SPEAKER_00: We'll call it cockpit area.
- 17:19SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 17:19And does it eject the payload in the space or you're carrying
- 17:24it up and...
- 17:25SPEAKER_00: It totally depends what they want to do.
- 17:27SPEAKER_00: Like aircraft, there's so many applications for this vehicle.
- 17:31SPEAKER_00: But most want to actually just contain it.
- 17:34Like they want to test some avionics or Scout Space is one
- 17:39customer that they've
- 17:41SPEAKER_00: got a space domain awareness payload.
- 17:43So that's a camera that they want to fly up really high above
- 17:46the atmosphere and
- 17:47SPEAKER_00: then be able to take photos of satellites in low earth orbit.
- 17:53SPEAKER_02: And would they attach that somewhere on the exterior of this?
- 17:56SPEAKER_02: No.
- 17:56SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 17:57SPEAKER_00: Well,
- 17:57SPEAKER_00: like in that sort of like cockpit position,
- 17:59SPEAKER_00: they've got cameras looking up and out of the aircraft.
- 18:03SPEAKER_00: So it's like an array of three cameras in there.
- 18:05SPEAKER_02: Okay.
- 18:06SPEAKER_02: Okay.
- 18:06SPEAKER_02: All right.
- 18:08SPEAKER_02: Let's see.
- 18:08SPEAKER_02: Before we put this away.
- 18:10SPEAKER_02: Okay.
- 18:11SPEAKER_02: Before we put this away, let's talk about it more.
- 18:14SPEAKER_02: And the engine is what?
- 18:16SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 18:16SPEAKER_00: The engine is a liquid bi-propellant engine.
- 18:19SPEAKER_00: So electric pump fed.
- 18:21SPEAKER_00: So it uses hydrogen peroxide and kerosene.
- 18:23SPEAKER_00: So these are nice storable propellants.
- 18:25SPEAKER_00: Still pretty high performance though.
- 18:27SPEAKER_00: Very dense.
- 18:27SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 18:29they lend themselves very well to aircraft because you can pack
- 18:32that propellant
- 18:33into lots of tiny little spaces in it so we put propellant all
- 18:37through the wings
- 18:37like aircraft do you know about 70% of the length of the body
- 18:42is all propellant as
- 18:43SPEAKER_00: well
- 18:44um but yeah being non-cryogenic you can fill it up and then you
- 18:47could leave it
- 18:48there for a day if you wanted you know you can roll it out onto
- 18:50the runway and you
- 18:52know we integrate with other traffic so you wait for an
- 18:55aircraft to go past and
- 18:56then you can fly in behind it cryogenic systems can't do that
- 18:59so well like they're
- 19:00very time sensitive so yeah try to stay away from that okay all
- 19:04right maybe we
- 19:05SPEAKER_02: should let's fly it away for a second it's gone to space
- 19:13SPEAKER_02: Okay,
- 19:14so when you talk about that having the performance of the
- 19:20rocket world with the
- 19:21SPEAKER_02: planes,
- 19:21SPEAKER_02: I mean,
- 19:22SPEAKER_02: how would that be different in terms of performance to a fighter jet or,
- 19:27SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 19:29SPEAKER_02: if we think of the most kind of propulsive planes?
- 19:33SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 19:33When you compare it to aircraft,
- 19:34it very quickly gets embarrassing for the aircraft world.
- 19:36So like even this,
- 19:38you know,
- 19:38we're not even at the full performance prototype stage.
- 19:41SPEAKER_00: We're like sort of a quarter of the way there, if you like.
- 19:44SPEAKER_00: Of where you want to go.
- 19:45SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah.
- 19:46Like the Aurora that we're flying right now,
- 19:48that flies up to 25 kilometers altitude.
- 19:50SPEAKER_00: You know, it's like 80-ish, 85,000 feet-ish.
- 19:53SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 19:56That has already beaten the world record ever for flying off a
- 20:03runway to 20
- 20:04SPEAKER_00: kilometers altitude.
- 20:06SPEAKER_00: And that was set by an F-15 that they'd totally stripped out,
- 20:09SPEAKER_00: like stripped all the paint off,
- 20:10SPEAKER_00: stripped the radars out of it.
- 20:11SPEAKER_00: Obviously no armaments, minimum fuel.
- 20:14SPEAKER_00: It got to 20 kilometers altitude in 122 seconds or something.
- 20:18SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 20:19SPEAKER_00: And we did it in 118.
- 20:20SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 20:21SPEAKER_00: With our like quite low performance version of our aircraft.
- 20:23SPEAKER_02: Okay.
- 20:24So the next version we'll be able to do it in like probably
- 20:26under 110 seconds.
- 20:28SPEAKER_02: So the fastest thing to get, how many miles, how high up is that?
- 20:34SPEAKER_00: Yeah, 25 kilometers is 82,000 feet.
- 20:37SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 20:38SPEAKER_00: Which is, I don't know, in miles.
- 20:39SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 20:42SPEAKER_02: Times 5.6.
- 20:42SPEAKER_02: We can work with kilometers, that helps.
- 20:45SPEAKER_02: So just like the fastest we've ever been able to get that high in...
- 20:49SPEAKER_00: Yeah, so that's in terms of climb rate.
- 20:52SPEAKER_00: I think the highest an aircraft has ever flown is 125,000 feet.
- 20:56SPEAKER_00: We've done 80 so far.
- 20:58We're going to fly to over 330,000 feet,
- 21:00so we'll more than 2x that record.
- 21:03SPEAKER_00: And the other one is speed.
- 21:05So the fastest thing to ever fly off a runway is SR-71
- 21:08Blackbird does Mach 3.3.
- 21:09SPEAKER_00: We should crack 3.5, maybe something closer to 3.8.
- 21:18Now,
- 21:18we only do that in bursts,
- 21:19so there's a little bit of a difference there.
- 21:23SPEAKER_00: That's our peak velocity, while it could cruise at 3.3, so yeah.
- 21:28SPEAKER_02: Okay,
- 21:28and these first records that we were talking about were in the
- 21:32craft that you were
- 21:33SPEAKER_02: just discussing the dimensions of.
- 21:35SPEAKER_02: So you're saying this is just like early version?
- 21:38SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 21:39SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah, that's like the first stage.
- 21:42That vehicle was originally envisioned as a technology
- 21:44demonstrator for like,
- 21:45SPEAKER_00: this is the performance of a rocket in an airplane.
- 21:48That basically means it has enough performance to replicate
- 21:51what like a Falcon 9
- 21:52SPEAKER_00: first stage would do.
- 21:53SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 21:53SPEAKER_00: Right?
- 21:53SPEAKER_00: So it's small, so it doesn't have much payload.
- 21:56But if you took this exact same craft and you scaled it up so
- 21:59that it would have a
- 22:01SPEAKER_00: bunch more payload,
- 22:01then you could put a second stage on it and you'd have a
- 22:03two-stage to orbit
- 22:04SPEAKER_00: vehicle.
- 22:05SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 22:05SPEAKER_00: Where that first stage is truly an aircraft.
- 22:07SPEAKER_00: in every way.
- 22:08SPEAKER_00: That was the point of that technology demonstration.
- 22:10SPEAKER_00: I see.
- 22:11SPEAKER_02: So the plane will come back and then the rocket part will keep going.
- 22:15SPEAKER_00: Yeah, exactly.
- 22:16SPEAKER_00: Would go off into orbit.
- 22:17SPEAKER_02: Okay.
- 22:17SPEAKER_02: And what is the schedule and plans for that?
- 22:20SPEAKER_02: How big will that be?
- 22:21SPEAKER_00: Well, yeah.
- 22:22SPEAKER_00: So that's a vehicle we've always had on our website as the Mark III.
- 22:25SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 22:26SPEAKER_00: And we've always talked about it as that.
- 22:27SPEAKER_00: But the funny thing is,
- 22:28is that we've actually realized there's just way more value in
- 22:33these very reusable
- 22:34SPEAKER_00: vehicles than we ever thought.
- 22:36SPEAKER_00: So,
- 22:36SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 22:37SPEAKER_00: we have a customer now,
- 22:38SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 22:38we've got a partnership with the state of Oklahoma to bring
- 22:43this vehicle to
- 22:43SPEAKER_00: Oklahoma so that they can fly microgravity payloads,
- 22:46SPEAKER_00: they can do all kinds of national security research with it.
- 22:49There's just tons of uses for this vehicle that we originally
- 22:52thought was a
- 22:52SPEAKER_00: technology demonstrator.
- 22:53SPEAKER_00: It's like, shit, there's actually a real technology pull here.
- 22:56SPEAKER_00: People want this.
- 22:56SPEAKER_02: So it flies to the edge of space, like slightly suborbital.
- 23:02SPEAKER_02: Yep, yep.
- 23:02SPEAKER_02: And where,
- 23:03SPEAKER_02: like you say,
- 23:04SPEAKER_02: so you can test scientific instruments,
- 23:07SPEAKER_02: you can do defense tests,
- 23:08SPEAKER_02: you can do imaging tests,
- 23:09SPEAKER_02: comms tests,
- 23:10all kinds of things in this environment that you just cannot
- 23:14get on Earth.
- 23:15SPEAKER_02: We do sounding rockets and everything all the time.
- 23:19SPEAKER_02: So it's in this sweet spot of like science, defense, and what else?
- 23:25SPEAKER_00: Yeah,
- 23:25SPEAKER_00: yeah,
- 23:26SPEAKER_00: like science,
- 23:26SPEAKER_00: but that's massively broad as in like pharma,
- 23:29SPEAKER_00: like life sciences,
- 23:31SPEAKER_00: growing proteins in microgravity,
- 23:33semiconductor growing like high quality crystals for like ultra
- 23:39performance
- 23:40SPEAKER_00: electronics.
- 23:41SPEAKER_00: Yeah, national security, like missile presentation is a huge one.
- 23:44SPEAKER_00: They were like target simulation.
- 23:46Like,
- 23:46you know,
- 23:47projects like Golden Dome,
- 23:49$180 billion of expenditure on missile defense.
- 23:51SPEAKER_00: Like, how do you effectively test that?
- 23:52SPEAKER_00: How do you train your troops?
- 23:53SPEAKER_00: How do you essentially simulate what these missiles are doing?
- 23:56SPEAKER_00: Like, yeah, you can launch a $100 million missile to do that.
- 23:59But what if you can fly a vehicle around that basically does
- 24:02the same thing for 100 grand?
- 24:02SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 24:04SPEAKER_00: Now you can do it very frequently and in many different situations.
- 24:09SPEAKER_00: The possibilities just go so wide.
- 24:14The business models just completely change when it goes from
- 24:17being a multi-million
- 24:18SPEAKER_00: dollar exercise to a $100,000 exercise.
- 24:21SPEAKER_02: So you were talking about pharmaceuticals and semiconductors.
- 24:24There is this fascinating thing where if you're outside of the
- 24:28bounds of gravity,
- 24:30SPEAKER_02: the molecules arrange themselves in these very clean,
- 24:33SPEAKER_02: different ways than you can do on Earth.
- 24:34SPEAKER_02: And so yes, for years, people have been
- 24:37doing chemical and pharmaceutical experiments on the
- 24:41International Space Station.
- 24:42VARDA has created a whole business of sending these capsules
- 24:47into orbit for a period of time.
- 24:48SPEAKER_02: So if people want to run experiments like that,
- 24:50SPEAKER_02: how long can they be suborbital in the Dawn craft?
- 24:55SPEAKER_00: Yeah, so you get about three minutes of microgravity.
- 24:57SPEAKER_02: Okay.
- 24:57SPEAKER_00: So like in lots of cases, yeah, that's not going to do what you want.
- 25:00SPEAKER_00: Like you need to go to orbit for that thing.
- 25:02SPEAKER_00: But like if we look at semiconductors,
- 25:06SPEAKER_00: they've done about 300 odd tests in space of different,
- 25:10SPEAKER_00: like trying to manufacture different types of semiconductors.
- 25:13SPEAKER_00: But in almost every case,
- 25:14it's literally just taking the same on earth process and trying
- 25:17to show that it's
- 25:18SPEAKER_00: better in space.
- 25:19SPEAKER_00: There's like no tweaking of the variables.
- 25:21SPEAKER_00: And there's a lot of variables that go into that manufacturing process.
- 25:24SPEAKER_00: So maybe the answer is yes, we want to manufacture them in orbit.
- 25:28But if the question is exactly what settings do we want to have
- 25:31on that device,
- 25:33if you have to go to orbit every time you want to change the
- 25:35settings and make that
- 25:36SPEAKER_00: investigation,
- 25:37SPEAKER_00: that's like a two-year cycle at least to get up there and do that.
- 25:41SPEAKER_00: It's just way too slow.
- 25:42SPEAKER_00: You've got 10 different parameters with 50 different settings on each.
- 25:46SPEAKER_00: So,
- 25:46SPEAKER_00: if you can investigate these in a suborbital context,
- 25:50you only need to grow like a few micron of semiconductor to
- 25:55figure out whether
- 25:56SPEAKER_00: that's a better setting or not.
- 25:58SPEAKER_00: And you could do, you know, a dozen tests in a week.
- 26:00SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 26:01SPEAKER_00: That just completely changes the velocity of science.
- 26:04SPEAKER_00: And like maybe that means,
- 26:05SPEAKER_00: yeah,
- 26:05SPEAKER_00: okay,
- 26:05you figure out the settings in a suborbital context and then
- 26:08you do it for real
- 26:09SPEAKER_00: time.
- 26:10SPEAKER_00: in the orbital domain.
- 26:12But I think what we're actually really excited about is
- 26:17discovering that maybe we
- 26:18SPEAKER_00: don't have to go to orbit for a bunch of these things.
- 26:20Maybe we can actually get way more value out of sub-orbit by
- 26:24growing what's called
- 26:25SPEAKER_00: seed crystals,
- 26:25SPEAKER_00: like lots of pharmaceuticals,
- 26:28SPEAKER_00: semiconductor.
- 26:30SPEAKER_00: If you just grow that first bit of crystal perfectly,
- 26:33SPEAKER_00: the first few microns,
- 26:34SPEAKER_00: then you can actually grow it
- 26:36in gravity on top of that perfect crystal and keep propagating
- 26:39a perfect crystal.
- 26:40SPEAKER_02: Right, you bring back this foundational chunk.
- 26:45SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah, yeah, exactly.
- 26:46And like this has crazy implications for like just picking on
- 26:49semiconductor again.
- 26:51SPEAKER_00: You know, that's a multi-trillion dollar industry.
- 26:53The entire yield of all of their chips is defined by the
- 26:57quality of the silicon
- 26:58SPEAKER_00: ingot that they grow to start with.
- 27:00SPEAKER_00: So,
- 27:00SPEAKER_00: like,
- 27:02SPEAKER_00: if you improve the quality of that ingot,
- 27:05then all the chips coming out the end are just going to be
- 27:07higher quality and
- 27:07SPEAKER_00: better.
- 27:08SPEAKER_00: Did you know, like, Intel's i3, i5, i7, i9 chip?
- 27:14SPEAKER_00: You know they're all exactly the same chip?
- 27:16SPEAKER_00: The only difference is that an I3 has way more defects than an I9.
- 27:20SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 27:21And it's actually like if you have a perfect crystal at the
- 27:24start of your process,
- 27:25SPEAKER_00: then all the chips coming out the end are going to be I9s.
- 27:28SPEAKER_02: So you're going to put their branding person out of business.
- 27:32SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 27:32SPEAKER_02: All right.
- 27:34SPEAKER_02: I have so many questions now.
- 27:36SPEAKER_02: Okay.
- 27:37SPEAKER_02: To put some of this in perspective, I think on this Oklahoma deal,
- 27:43SPEAKER_02: I love the world we live in.
- 27:45SPEAKER_02: I mean, we are living in science fiction.
- 27:48We've got a New Zealand aerospace company flying out of a
- 27:51spaceport in Oklahoma.
- 27:53SPEAKER_02: Where is the spaceport?
- 27:55SPEAKER_00: It burns flat, so it's way in the west of Oklahoma.
- 27:58SPEAKER_02: Okay, and it so happens.
- 28:00SPEAKER_02: I think the United States actually has like 12 licensed spaceports.
- 28:04SPEAKER_01: Yeah, yeah.
- 28:05SPEAKER_02: Which boggles my mind.
- 28:06SPEAKER_02: The U.S.
- 28:07SPEAKER_02: is great if you have a plane because we have like so many airports,
- 28:10SPEAKER_02: but we actually have just like tons of spaceports apparently as well.
- 28:14SPEAKER_02: And they haven't had a lot of stuff to fly from these spaceports.
- 28:19SPEAKER_02: And then I was reading about you guys' deal.
- 28:21SPEAKER_02: I mean, usually when I see these things announced, it's like...
- 28:24SPEAKER_02: One rocket,
- 28:25SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 28:26SPEAKER_02: and some test thing,
- 28:27SPEAKER_02: and many years are going to pass between the second flight.
- 28:30SPEAKER_02: But Oklahoma about like 100...
- 28:31SPEAKER_02: Yeah,
- 28:33SPEAKER_00: yeah,
- 28:34SPEAKER_00: we're supplying it with parts,
- 28:35SPEAKER_00: service,
- 28:36SPEAKER_00: and maintenance for 100 flights.
- 28:37SPEAKER_00: 100 flights.
- 28:38SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 28:38SPEAKER_02: And you guys are like,
- 28:41there's people from Oklahoma who are going to fly to New
- 28:43Zealand to get trained up,
- 28:44SPEAKER_02: and then they're going to come back.
- 28:46SPEAKER_02: So tell me how this works.
- 28:47SPEAKER_02: I mean, how many...
- 28:48of these planes will they have one plane that they're flying a
- 28:51hundred times or
- 28:51they have multiple or yeah yeah yeah they'll have one plane
- 28:53that they fly a hundred
- 28:54times which is like not that's not special for aircraft right
- 28:57like in the context
- 28:58of aircraft that's not even that's normal impressive yeah that
- 29:01might be like what
- 29:01like a year's worth of flights or well not even like you know
- 29:05most aircraft would
- 29:06do multiple flights a day yeah so well okay so sorry yeah i
- 29:09kind of got ahead of
- 29:10myself i mean you could fly how much how much prep does it take
- 29:13to get your plane
- 29:15SPEAKER_02: ready to reuse again
- 29:16SPEAKER_00: So in an R&D context, we've turned around aircraft in like six hours.
- 29:20SPEAKER_00: Six hours.
- 29:21SPEAKER_00: That's totally doable.
- 29:22SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 29:22SPEAKER_00: So multiple flights a day is not hard.
- 29:25SPEAKER_02: So it's just like however often they want to fly it to get to those 100.
- 29:28SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 29:29SPEAKER_00: But like if you kind of like zoom out a little bit,
- 29:31what we're really doing here is we're actually just trying to
- 29:33completely change the
- 29:34SPEAKER_00: business model of space.
- 29:35SPEAKER_00: Like space has always been at you buy a service.
- 29:38SPEAKER_00: Like I'm a taxi ride.
- 29:39SPEAKER_00: You want to come to suborbital space or orbital space or whatever.
- 29:43SPEAKER_00: You want to go to the moon.
- 29:44SPEAKER_00: Like you can pay me for that service and I'll do it for you once.
- 29:48SPEAKER_00: If you want it again, you have to come back and buy it again.
- 29:50SPEAKER_00: And I won't sell you the capability.
- 29:52I definitely won't sell you a rocket factory so that you can
- 29:55have like an ongoing ability.
- 29:58SPEAKER_00: But that's not how the airline industry works.
- 30:00Like it's totally untenable for a company like a Boeing or a
- 30:03Lockheed Martin
- 30:04SPEAKER_00: to be an airline for every country around the world.
- 30:08SPEAKER_00: That's just a ridiculous notion.
- 30:09SPEAKER_00: It's way too complicated.
- 30:11SPEAKER_00: The scale is way too big.
- 30:12There is no way Boeing is ever going to understand the local
- 30:15market dynamics in
- 30:16SPEAKER_00: Thailand or whatever to understand how to best run an airline.
- 30:20SPEAKER_00: So if we change that,
- 30:22SPEAKER_00: and we are changing that with Oklahoma,
- 30:25SPEAKER_00: the whole point of that partnership
- 30:28Is that,
- 30:28yes,
- 30:28we provide the vehicle and we provide local training for the
- 30:31people.
- 30:32And there's clauses in the contract that they can completely
- 30:35take over the
- 30:36SPEAKER_00: operation of that vehicle at the end of the first year of operation.
- 30:40SPEAKER_00: So they can take it in whatever direction they want.
- 30:43SPEAKER_00: It's their vehicle.
- 30:44SPEAKER_00: That's the point.
- 30:44And we can move on to the next people and enable them,
- 30:47you know,
- 30:48the next ecosystem to spool up.
- 30:51SPEAKER_02: Yeah,
- 30:51SPEAKER_02: it's what you're saying is,
- 30:52SPEAKER_02: I mean,
- 30:52SPEAKER_02: Oklahoma becomes a spacefaring state,
- 30:55SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 30:55SPEAKER_02: under their own control.
- 30:58SPEAKER_02: And even to your point about the rockets,
- 31:00SPEAKER_02: even when we have reusable rockets,
- 31:02SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 31:02it's like SpaceX is flying the reusable rockets and there is
- 31:06still an immense
- 31:08SPEAKER_02: amount of infrastructure.
- 31:09involved to have this a pad that's running at that sort of
- 31:14efficiency you're not
- 31:15just handing it over to florida or wherever yeah exactly and
- 31:19like there's very good
- 31:20reasons why spacex doesn't employ this business model but like
- 31:23it it does limit how
- 31:25SPEAKER_00: far it's going to go
- 31:25yeah are you guys i know there's itar restrictions around
- 31:30rocket lab so you do
- 31:32you're nodding that you you also have itar restrictions on
- 31:35these types of are you
- 31:36limited on who you can sell these planes to not quite itar
- 31:40because it's all made
- 31:42outside of the u.s so there's no there's no american knowledge
- 31:45if you like right in
- 31:45the vehicle but there there are other um restrictions like eir
- 31:49and of course new
- 31:50zealand has all kinds of export restrictions you know this is
- 31:53not going to get sent
- 31:53SPEAKER_00: to north korea
- 31:54SPEAKER_02: Okay.
- 31:55SPEAKER_02: Okay.
- 31:55SPEAKER_02: So the, yeah, sorry, I messed up.
- 31:57SPEAKER_02: I just,
- 31:57SPEAKER_02: the ITAR stuff,
- 31:58I always associate just because Rocket Lab ended up putting
- 32:01their headquarters in
- 32:02SPEAKER_02: the U.S.
- 32:03SPEAKER_00: Yeah, I mean, but they're set up super complicated in that respect.
- 32:07SPEAKER_02: Since they're making missiles and the U.S.
- 32:09SPEAKER_02: wanted to keep an eye on all that.
- 32:12SPEAKER_02: Okay.
- 32:13SPEAKER_02: So this is in how many, okay.
- 32:15SPEAKER_02: So if
- 32:17SPEAKER_02: How many of these planes,
- 32:18SPEAKER_02: like what if 100 cities want to do,
- 32:22SPEAKER_02: how many of these planes do you have?
- 32:23SPEAKER_00: Well, then we'll build 100 planes.
- 32:26And like in that respect,
- 32:27actually,
- 32:28like I think we're really well set up.
- 32:30SPEAKER_00: So we haven't talked at all about the in-space propulsion stuff,
- 32:33SPEAKER_00: but like,
- 32:34SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 32:34SPEAKER_00: we're already producing hundreds of thrusters for satellites.
- 32:37SPEAKER_00: We've got 150 in orbit.
- 32:38SPEAKER_00: We'll build about 50 prop systems for satellites this year.
- 32:42SPEAKER_00: So like we...
- 32:43understand pretty well complex manufacturing i would accept
- 32:47like propulsion systems
- 32:48is not the same as aircraft but in the end it's all high-tech
- 32:51manufacturing and
- 32:52it's same same but different if you like um you guys started in
- 32:57christchurch uh
- 32:59SPEAKER_00: technically in delft okay but and now you're in auckland
- 33:04SPEAKER_00: Yeah, or now we're headquartered in Christchurch.
- 33:07SPEAKER_02: Oh, you are in Christchurch.
- 33:08SPEAKER_02: Okay, and is that where the engine manufacturing takes place?
- 33:11SPEAKER_00: Yeah,
- 33:12SPEAKER_00: so everything on the component level happens in Christchurch,
- 33:14SPEAKER_00: and then we send all those components over to the Netherlands,
- 33:17SPEAKER_00: and they get integrated there.
- 33:19SPEAKER_00: So, yeah, about...
- 33:21SPEAKER_00: 40% of the companies in Delft.
- 33:23SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 33:24SPEAKER_02: I underestimated the Netherlands.
- 33:25SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 33:26SPEAKER_00: And that's a huge part of it.
- 33:27SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 33:27Like on our,
- 33:28on our own space propulsion side,
- 33:29European customers are about 70% of the business.
- 33:32SPEAKER_02: Is that, yeah.
- 33:33SPEAKER_02: Like why, why split things up?
- 33:35Is it to help with the European side of the business or why not
- 33:38just do everything
- 33:39SPEAKER_02: in Christchurch?
- 33:40um europe has a lot of expertise in aerospace in particular
- 33:45like not just on the
- 33:46aircraft side but the space side as well and being close to
- 33:49your customers super
- 33:50important so um that was really important for us especially in
- 33:54the early days like
- 33:55lots of our um like like our our best first customers were all
- 34:00in europe um yeah
- 34:01like i say 70 percent of our business is there just being close
- 34:03to customers just
- 34:04makes life so much easier okay so you're you're putting these
- 34:07thrusters on european
- 34:08SPEAKER_02: satellites
- 34:09yeah yeah mostly yeah okay and and again sorry just for people
- 34:13who are not from the
- 34:14space industry i mean these thrusters help they go on the
- 34:16satellites they help move
- 34:17the satellites around avoid collisions change their orbits for
- 34:21whatever they're
- 34:21trying to do there's a bunch of obviously there's companies
- 34:26historically that have
- 34:27SPEAKER_02: made these sorts of thrusters but there's a huge right there's a
- 34:31SPEAKER_02: Like what's going on in the thruster land right now?
- 34:33SPEAKER_02: Because there's a bunch of startups in the US that are doing thrusters.
- 34:37SPEAKER_02: And then there's you guys.
- 34:40SPEAKER_02: This is stuff that's been around for a while.
- 34:42SPEAKER_02: Obviously, we have a ton more satellites coming.
- 34:44SPEAKER_00: Yeah, exactly.
- 34:45SPEAKER_00: We're all just scrambling to meet that demand.
- 34:47SPEAKER_00: Like when Dawn started in 2000,
- 34:50SPEAKER_00: like when it really got off the ground in 2018,
- 34:52SPEAKER_00: I think it was like 4,000 operational satellites or less.
- 34:56There's probably about,
- 34:57well,
- 34:58in low Earth orbit,
- 34:59there's probably about 2,500.
- 35:00SPEAKER_02: And then, yeah, whatever else was further out.
- 35:03SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 35:03SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah.
- 35:04SPEAKER_00: And now there's like 12,000.
- 35:05SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 35:06SPEAKER_00: Now, given like most of that's Starlink, for sure.
- 35:08SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah.
- 35:09SPEAKER_00: But like a lot of other stuff is coming.
- 35:12SPEAKER_00: Like Starlink is just comms.
- 35:16But there's about three different flavors of Earth observation
- 35:20that are coming.
- 35:20SPEAKER_00: There's probably...
- 35:21four or five at least major strategic like areas that want
- 35:26their own independent
- 35:27system so you know you're talking multiples of these two
- 35:31numbers you know it's
- 35:32going to be at least 20 mega constellations of various flavors
- 35:35yeah um they're all
- 35:37going to need at least thousands of satellites if not tens of
- 35:40thousands yeah so
- 35:41like what's happening in the propulsion world everyone's
- 35:43scrambling to meet this
- 35:44SPEAKER_00: scale man yeah like
- 35:46SPEAKER_02: Like it's a real challenge.
- 35:48And so like Tom Mueller,
- 35:51who was one of the co-founders of SpaceX,
- 35:53he left to do impulse space.
- 35:54Their whole mission is things like this and then moving bigger
- 35:57objects around.
- 35:59What is the advantage of your propulsion systems over some of
- 36:04these others?
- 36:05SPEAKER_00: Well,
- 36:05SPEAKER_00: like,
- 36:07SPEAKER_00: so Tom,
- 36:07SPEAKER_00: like,
- 36:08SPEAKER_00: they're all about bringing stuff out to geo,
- 36:10SPEAKER_00: like direct geo insertion.
- 36:11SPEAKER_02: Right.
- 36:11SPEAKER_02: They're doing these, like, throughout the solar system missions, too.
- 36:16SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 36:17SPEAKER_00: And one of the big selling points they talk about is being fast.
- 36:21Like,
- 36:21you know,
- 36:22typically it takes three months or more to get your thing
- 36:24from...
- 36:25a geotransfer orbit out to actual geo in three months of time
- 36:29for one of these
- 36:30SPEAKER_00: satellites is worth at least $10 million.
- 36:31SPEAKER_00: Like they earn $40 million a year.
- 36:34SPEAKER_00: So time is money.
- 36:35We're kind of the same in that we're bringing back chemical
- 36:39propulsion to low Earth orbit.
- 36:40Lots of them went to electric propulsion because it was cheaper
- 36:44and easier,
- 36:44SPEAKER_00: but it is very slow.
- 36:45SPEAKER_00: Now,
- 36:46SPEAKER_00: especially as the price of getting to orbit comes down,
- 36:49SPEAKER_00: the cost of,
- 36:51SPEAKER_00: if you like,
- 36:51SPEAKER_00: of getting a less efficient chemical system to space goes down.
- 36:55SPEAKER_00: But the value of that time is still very high.
- 36:57SPEAKER_00: The value of space is very high.
- 36:59SPEAKER_00: So instead of having a propulsion system on for months,
- 37:02SPEAKER_00: every time you want to change the orbit,
- 37:04SPEAKER_00: you can just do a maneuver in seconds.
- 37:07Okay,
- 37:08and so you get this higher volume of energy by doing chemical
- 37:14propulsion.
- 37:14SPEAKER_00: Yep, yep, exactly.
- 37:15SPEAKER_02: This is a bit of space where I'm bad.
- 37:21Because hasn't historically some of the chemical propulsion
- 37:24been these hypergolics
- 37:26SPEAKER_02: that are super horrible?
- 37:27SPEAKER_00: Yeah, exactly.
- 37:29things yeah that was a such a big reason to go away from it
- 37:32because it's just super
- 37:33toxic super nasty like you don't want to put this on hundreds
- 37:36of satellites at a
- 37:37time because if anyone leaks like it's a major deal and you
- 37:41know statistically
- 37:41speaking all systems leak at some point so um yep great reason
- 37:46to go to electric um
- 37:48where you're just dealing with xenon or krypton if like you
- 37:50have a small leak it's
- 37:51SPEAKER_00: not a big deal that system won't work but it won't
- 37:54you know be an issue for everyone else um we use nitrous oxide
- 37:59and properly which
- 38:00like nitrous oxide you literally can breathe it's it's not
- 38:03toxic everybody loves it
- 38:04yeah and the other one's pretty much barbecue gas so i wouldn't
- 38:07recommend breathing
- 38:08it but it's not going to kill you that quickly so um yeah super
- 38:12accessible super
- 38:13easy still very high performance we actually get better isp
- 38:16performance than uh
- 38:18hydrazine monopropellant systems which is what's typical in
- 38:20these smaller systems
- 38:22SPEAKER_00: okay
- 38:22um so what like because i just always hear so what is a
- 38:26hypergolic what it just
- 38:27means as soon as you put them together they'll ignite like you
- 38:30don't need to light
- 38:31it so like why are it's it it was this was always presented to
- 38:35me before as like a
- 38:36you had to do that or you did electric and there was no like
- 38:40yeah yeah there really
- 38:41wasn't any other option but you guys figured you figured out
- 38:44some recipe that
- 38:44SPEAKER_02: people had missed or
- 38:46SPEAKER_00: Well, like nitrous wasn't new.
- 38:48SPEAKER_00: Like students had been using nitrous for ages.
- 38:50SPEAKER_00: It's just that, man, the aerospace industry is so antiquated at its core.
- 38:54SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 38:54SPEAKER_00: Like everything's just so old school.
- 38:56SPEAKER_00: Like hypergolics have been used since the 60s.
- 38:59And no one had done particularly new propellants actually in
- 39:02space for ages.
- 39:03SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 39:03SPEAKER_00: So like, yeah, there were students playing around with nitrous.
- 39:08Decades ago,
- 39:09we were the first to just say,
- 39:10hey,
- 39:11we can actually do this properly.
- 39:12SPEAKER_03: You're like, let's take it from the party.
- 39:14SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah, exactly.
- 39:16SPEAKER_00: Let's get serious about this.
- 39:19SPEAKER_00: We can use this,
- 39:21SPEAKER_00: be really effective,
- 39:23prove that spark ignition works in cars millions of times
- 39:27without changing spark
- 39:28SPEAKER_00: plugs.
- 39:28SPEAKER_00: We can do that in space too.
- 39:30There's definitely a bit of working that out and making it
- 39:34appropriate for
- 39:34SPEAKER_00: satellites,
- 39:35SPEAKER_00: if you like,
- 39:36SPEAKER_00: and proving that it works in space.
- 39:38SPEAKER_00: But like,
- 39:39SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 39:40SPEAKER_00: in 2018,
- 39:41SPEAKER_00: when we had this massive dream of like,
- 39:43we need to reinvent all of space transportation because there's
- 39:4750,000 satellites
- 39:47SPEAKER_00: that have got to get launched and the current methods just don't work.
- 39:51Like that was like a dream that required billions of dollars of
- 39:54investment.
- 39:55SPEAKER_00: We couldn't start there,
- 39:56SPEAKER_00: but it was like,
- 39:57SPEAKER_00: hey,
- 39:57SPEAKER_00: there's this smaller problem of replacing hydrazine with nitrous.
- 40:00SPEAKER_00: That's probably like a million dollars of investment.
- 40:03And then there's real,
- 40:04like we can make a real tangible single step towards this
- 40:09grander goal.
- 40:10SPEAKER_00: And so that was the starting point.
- 40:11SPEAKER_02: you know?
- 40:12And all the,
- 40:13the hydrazine,
- 40:14I think,
- 40:14as I understand it,
- 40:15like all comes from Russia and China.
- 40:17SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 40:17SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 40:18SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 40:18SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 40:18SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 40:18SPEAKER_00: Tons of it comes from China.
- 40:19SPEAKER_00: I think,
- 40:20I think that there are us suppliers working to establish that
- 40:24now because yeah,
- 40:24SPEAKER_00: that's like a major strategic non-dependence issue.
- 40:28SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 40:29SPEAKER_02: Like, like so many things.
- 40:30SPEAKER_02: Yeah, exactly.
- 40:32SPEAKER_03: Just put it on the list.
- 40:33SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 40:33SPEAKER_02: Just keep doing this.
- 40:34SPEAKER_02: Um, okay.
- 40:35SPEAKER_02: Oh, and so, um,
- 40:37So that business has been up and running as you've sold dozens
- 40:40upon dozens of these.
- 40:42SPEAKER_02: So,
- 40:43SPEAKER_02: I mean,
- 40:43SPEAKER_02: I don't know like which one becomes the bigger business over time or,
- 40:46SPEAKER_02: or you just hope they both is like one more of the focus than the other.
- 40:51SPEAKER_02: Um,
- 40:55SPEAKER_00: I would say we're very opportunistic about both of them.
- 40:58SPEAKER_00: Like both of them have big macro tailwinds.
- 41:00Like when SpaceX started the transporter flights,
- 41:04that was just like flicked a switch.
- 41:06Suddenly everyone needed responsive low-cost propulsion because
- 41:09everyone was going
- 41:09SPEAKER_00: to get dumped out in these orbits.
- 41:12SPEAKER_00: They were the bus to space.
- 41:14SPEAKER_00: And then they needed to go where they actually wanted to go.
- 41:16And we could deliver low-cost systems with a low lead time that
- 41:22actually worked.
- 41:23SPEAKER_00: Like we had good...
- 41:24um flight heritage at that point and so yeah like we like sales
- 41:29just turned on and
- 41:31and if starship becomes a thing then that's going to get 10x
- 41:35like the the price is
- 41:37going to go down even more people are going to need even more
- 41:39propulsion um so yeah
- 41:41SPEAKER_00: like like that's going to be huge for us um on on the flip side
- 41:46SPEAKER_02: The space plane is fucking cool.
- 41:48SPEAKER_00: It's pretty cool.
- 41:51SPEAKER_00: It's not hard to sell, that's for sure.
- 41:53SPEAKER_00: You know,
- 41:53SPEAKER_00: like we went from that being a,
- 41:55SPEAKER_00: okay,
- 41:56this is a technology demonstrator for an even more scalable way
- 41:59to get to space,
- 42:01SPEAKER_00: like to orbit.
- 42:03And now we've had this incredible technology pull of not just
- 42:06people wanting to use
- 42:06SPEAKER_00: the vehicle,
- 42:07SPEAKER_00: but people wanting to buy the vehicle.
- 42:08SPEAKER_00: And it's like, oh, crap, we have to commercialize this.
- 42:11The other huge macro tailwind there is US defense spending in
- 42:18hypersonics has gone
- 42:19SPEAKER_00: from $200 million in 2018 to $7 billion today.
- 42:23SPEAKER_00: That's just such a crazy change that we definitely didn't predict that.
- 42:27And that's part of why the underlying demand for a highly
- 42:31reusable vehicle
- 42:33high performance aircraft essentially is is now useful so it's
- 42:37it's pretty trivial
- 42:38SPEAKER_00: to upgrade this vehicle from mark 3.5 to mark 5.5 or whatever is actually
- 42:42attractive to for them it's context there and correct me if i'm
- 42:47wrong please um
- 42:49turns out china's been doing all this hypersonic research is
- 42:52appears to be years
- 42:54ahead of the united states so the defense department has been
- 42:56suspending gobs and
- 42:58SPEAKER_02: gobs of money to suddenly run a bunch of hypersonic
- 43:00tests and so you have this vehicle that flies very fast into
- 43:04the edge of space and
- 43:05SPEAKER_02: and can help us test things
- 43:07SPEAKER_00: Exactly.
- 43:07SPEAKER_00: It's pretty useful for that.
- 43:08SPEAKER_00: Like pretty,
- 43:09SPEAKER_00: pretty useful for like,
- 43:11SPEAKER_00: especially on the research side,
- 43:12like just giving you unfettered access to these domains where
- 43:15you can actually like
- 43:16SPEAKER_00: in a,
- 43:18SPEAKER_00: basically fly like a,
- 43:19SPEAKER_00: it's a flying wind tunnel essentially.
- 43:21SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 43:21Like if you have some avionics or some materials or an engine
- 43:25component or whatever
- 43:26SPEAKER_00: you want to get to this domain,
- 43:27like you can kind of do that in a wind tunnel in the ground or
- 43:30you can do it in
- 43:30SPEAKER_00: simulation,
- 43:31SPEAKER_00: but it's not the same as doing it for real.
- 43:33So you actually need these,
- 43:34these three things to have a really effective,
- 43:38SPEAKER_00: like design capability.
- 43:39SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 43:40I don't want to put you on the spot,
- 43:41but I kind of do want to put you on the spot.
- 43:43SPEAKER_02: Yeah, go for it.
- 43:43SPEAKER_02: Okay,
- 43:43because we're like hinting around this bigger version of the
- 43:48plane or you're saying
- 43:48SPEAKER_02: it's possible,
- 43:49SPEAKER_02: but the other one is doing a lot of business.
- 43:52SPEAKER_02: I mean, the tea leaves I'm reading are either the like...
- 43:56you kind of don't want to announce something specific on terms
- 43:59of like what it
- 43:59SPEAKER_02: would look like or timing or,
- 44:01SPEAKER_02: um,
- 44:02maybe you have some big surprise coming or you need some big
- 44:07pocket of money to
- 44:08SPEAKER_02: like make that happen.
- 44:09SPEAKER_02: I don't know.
- 44:10SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 44:10SPEAKER_02: Um,
- 44:12surprisingly you don't need big pockets of money because this
- 44:15is such attractive
- 44:16stuff for customers that they'll mostly pay for development
- 44:19like that's that's a
- 44:20really important part like if you if what we're doing is not
- 44:23attractive enough that
- 44:24customers will wait for it don't do it okay um but yeah like
- 44:28there definitely will
- 44:28be a vehicle between aurora and like a two-stage to orbit
- 44:33concept okay and it's
- 44:34just it's just you you guys are just not telling us exactly
- 44:38what it will look like
- 44:39SPEAKER_02: or when yet yeah
- 44:40SPEAKER_00: Yeah,
- 44:40SPEAKER_00: I think once we have that properly defined,
- 44:42SPEAKER_00: so it's not shifting around every six months,
- 44:44SPEAKER_00: then we'll tell the world about it.
- 44:46SPEAKER_02: Well, and I don't mean this to sound as...
- 44:53SPEAKER_02: puffy as,
- 44:54SPEAKER_02: as it is,
- 44:54SPEAKER_02: but you guys have like always really impressed me because it's,
- 44:57SPEAKER_02: it's like you were a company again,
- 45:00SPEAKER_02: founded by really young people in New Zealand.
- 45:02You've done like nothing but kind of deliver on the things that
- 45:07you set out to do.
- 45:08SPEAKER_02: Like you said,
- 45:08SPEAKER_02: with the engines,
- 45:09SPEAKER_02: I mean,
- 45:10SPEAKER_02: you've actually built them,
- 45:11SPEAKER_02: flown them,
- 45:11SPEAKER_02: they're in space.
- 45:13SPEAKER_02: Um, the, you,
- 45:15SPEAKER_02: I can't remember the exact timeline you had for the plane,
- 45:18but I just remember clicking on the internet every now and then
- 45:21I'm always like,
- 45:21SPEAKER_02: oh,
- 45:21SPEAKER_02: they did it.
- 45:23SPEAKER_02: So like how, how big is the company now?
- 45:27SPEAKER_03: You're about 120 people.
- 45:29SPEAKER_02: 120 people.
- 45:29SPEAKER_02: I don't know.
- 45:30At least you're keeping the New Zealand track record of people
- 45:35doing what they say
- 45:36SPEAKER_02: they're going to do in aerospace in good stead.
- 45:42SPEAKER_00: I mean, it's big shows to fill.
- 45:43SPEAKER_02: This never happens in aerospace, though, and now...
- 45:48SPEAKER_00: Well,
- 45:48SPEAKER_00: like maybe like,
- 45:49SPEAKER_00: I mean,
- 45:51maybe you should be telling us why actually you're the one that
- 45:53studied this a
- 45:54SPEAKER_02: whole bunch.
- 45:55SPEAKER_02: Well, I mean, I think it's just, it's like, ah, there's so many factors.
- 45:58SPEAKER_02: I think once, once you have.
- 46:01SPEAKER_02: any sort of startup-y commercial part of space.
- 46:04I think part of it's like kind of lying and then part of it's
- 46:08optimism and
- 46:09SPEAKER_02: everyone's just,
- 46:10SPEAKER_02: they get really excited and it's like,
- 46:11SPEAKER_02: oh,
- 46:11SPEAKER_02: we can do that.
- 46:12SPEAKER_02: You know, that it always just takes longer than you thought.
- 46:14SPEAKER_02: And then I saw it happen with the rocket companies every time,
- 46:18SPEAKER_02: which was that you get 90% of the way there in like a year.
- 46:23SPEAKER_02: And then you think you're six months from flying.
- 46:27SPEAKER_02: And then it turns out that last 10% takes like two to four years.
- 46:31SPEAKER_00: I mean, that's like standard 80-20 rule, right?
- 46:33Like 20% of the effort gets you 80% of the way there and the
- 46:36other 80% gets you 20%
- 46:38SPEAKER_00: of the way there.
- 46:39But it was funny to watch people who had like been through this
- 46:42before and still
- 46:42SPEAKER_02: talk themselves.
- 46:43SPEAKER_02: So I don't think it's lying.
- 46:44SPEAKER_02: I think it's like some kind of self-delusion of hope.
- 46:48SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 46:49SPEAKER_00: And like to some extent,
- 46:50SPEAKER_00: like a little bit of that is necessary,
- 46:52SPEAKER_00: but like at some point it also becomes hubris,
- 46:54SPEAKER_00: right?
- 46:55SPEAKER_00: And you get burnt eventually by hubris.
- 46:57SPEAKER_02: Well,
- 46:57SPEAKER_02: because you start running into the thing where the money,
- 47:01SPEAKER_02: it's,
- 47:03SPEAKER_02: yeah,
- 47:04SPEAKER_02: if you've also fooled yourself,
- 47:07SPEAKER_02: then you're in trouble.
- 47:09SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah.
- 47:09SPEAKER_00: And like the money side of this is important, right?
- 47:12SPEAKER_00: Because if you run out of money,
- 47:13SPEAKER_00: it doesn't matter how much dedication you have,
- 47:15SPEAKER_00: like it'll fall over.
- 47:16SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 47:18SPEAKER_02: Okay,
- 47:18so I found this really interesting because when I was working
- 47:22on the book and the
- 47:22SPEAKER_02: movie,
- 47:23SPEAKER_02: I got to go to New Zealand a bunch of times.
- 47:25SPEAKER_02: And so Rocket Lab was,
- 47:28SPEAKER_02: I mean,
- 47:28SPEAKER_02: Peter's from the South Island,
- 47:29SPEAKER_02: but for all intents and purposes,
- 47:31SPEAKER_02: it's always been an Auckland affair.
- 47:35But most of the aerospace startups that I was running to were
- 47:40based in Christchurch
- 47:41SPEAKER_02: on the South Island.
- 47:42SPEAKER_02: If you've never been to Christchurch, it's a beautiful place.
- 47:45SPEAKER_02: It seems like a wonderful place to like raise a family.
- 47:48SPEAKER_02: I mean, it's smallish, but it has like... It's got everything we need.
- 47:52SPEAKER_02: Yeah, it's got this cool vibe to it.
- 47:54SPEAKER_02: It's got good restaurants.
- 47:55SPEAKER_02: It's like, I don't know.
- 47:56SPEAKER_02: I really enjoyed it there.
- 48:00SPEAKER_02: How...
- 48:01I tell people this all the time and now maybe I'm about to like
- 48:04call myself a liar,
- 48:05SPEAKER_02: but I mean,
- 48:06there does seem to be a legitimate aerospace scene in and
- 48:11around Christchurch and
- 48:12SPEAKER_02: in New Zealand more broadly.
- 48:14SPEAKER_02: Is this true?
- 48:16SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 48:17SPEAKER_00: Yes, yes, I can attest to it.
- 48:20SPEAKER_00: Yeah,
- 48:21SPEAKER_00: and I don't...
- 48:23SPEAKER_00: Hard to say exactly what it is,
- 48:24SPEAKER_00: like what draws people in,
- 48:25SPEAKER_00: but I feel like it is a really nice-sized city.
- 48:28SPEAKER_00: That really helps, just easy to get across and easy to do stuff.
- 48:31SPEAKER_00: But there's something about the mentality of the people as well.
- 48:35SPEAKER_00: There's just a real pioneering spirit.
- 48:37SPEAKER_00: I feel like it kind of just comes from...
- 48:40us not being a particularly mature country you know like
- 48:44everyone just barely came
- 48:46to the country within the last 150 years so we're all like
- 48:52migrants to some extent
- 48:55SPEAKER_00: but of course with the exception of the local tribes but even there
- 49:01SPEAKER_00: They're very entrepreneurial.
- 49:02SPEAKER_00: They're very engaged with, you know, even specifically with aerospace.
- 49:08SPEAKER_00: You know,
- 49:08SPEAKER_00: like the place that we're flying out of now,
- 49:10SPEAKER_00: Tawaki,
- 49:11SPEAKER_00: is a joint venture between the local iwi,
- 49:14SPEAKER_00: the local tribe,
- 49:15SPEAKER_00: and the New Zealand government.
- 49:17SPEAKER_00: So, like, even they're super plugged into what's going on.
- 49:21SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 49:22SPEAKER_00: Is that on the South Island?
- 49:23SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 49:24SPEAKER_00: Yeah, exactly.
- 49:25SPEAKER_00: Yeah, like just an hour south of our...
- 49:27headquarters how many how many aerospace companies do you think
- 49:31there are in new
- 49:32SPEAKER_02: zealand like a handful or are we up to like a dozen oh um
- 49:38SPEAKER_00: companies over 10 people is probably still only a handful.
- 49:41SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 49:42SPEAKER_00: It's still pretty small.
- 49:43SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 49:43SPEAKER_02: But I, you know, I don't think I'm fully wrong.
- 49:46SPEAKER_02: I think if you go United States,
- 49:49SPEAKER_02: if we're talking like space startups,
- 49:52SPEAKER_02: especially of consequence,
- 49:54SPEAKER_02: I mean,
- 49:54SPEAKER_02: Europe will have a few,
- 49:56SPEAKER_02: um,
- 49:58SPEAKER_02: okay.
- 49:59SPEAKER_02: On the satellite side,
- 50:00SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 50:01SPEAKER_02: it gets slimmer pickings,
- 50:03SPEAKER_02: um,
- 50:04SPEAKER_02: as you get into rockets,
- 50:05SPEAKER_02: things that fly,
- 50:06SPEAKER_02: um,
- 50:07SPEAKER_02: Like I would kind of put New Zealand after the United States,
- 50:10SPEAKER_02: I think,
- 50:11SPEAKER_02: with like most interesting,
- 50:12SPEAKER_02: at least like kind of bigger,
- 50:15SPEAKER_02: different ideas,
- 50:16SPEAKER_02: I think.
- 50:16SPEAKER_00: Yeah, I mean, I'll reserve judgment.
- 50:18SPEAKER_00: I'll take the compliment.
- 50:21SPEAKER_02: You know, it's definitely close.
- 50:23SPEAKER_02: And we're talking about a country with like, what?
- 50:25SPEAKER_02: I mean, how many million people?
- 50:27SPEAKER_02: Yeah, five million.
- 50:28SPEAKER_02: Five million.
- 50:29SPEAKER_02: You know, and... Okay, and I forget China.
- 50:32SPEAKER_02: China's its own thing.
- 50:33SPEAKER_02: They definitely have a lot going on as well.
- 50:35SPEAKER_00: Like, I do have to give the Dutch arm of...
- 50:39SPEAKER_00: Dawn Aerospace,
- 50:39SPEAKER_00: a lot of credit though,
- 50:40because like this wouldn't have happened if it was just a New
- 50:42Zealand company.
- 50:44SPEAKER_00: And like,
- 50:44SPEAKER_00: I think that really speaks to the,
- 50:47like we've been able to be so scrappy and so forward leaning
- 50:51into our customer base
- 50:53SPEAKER_00: because we have been close to customers.
- 50:54SPEAKER_00: Like that's one of the real challenges in New Zealand.
- 50:57SPEAKER_00: Um, like we hit, there's a ton of good reasons to be there.
- 51:00Like the,
- 51:01the open airspace,
- 51:02um,
- 51:03sees,
- 51:04um,
- 51:04you know,
- 51:04entrepreneurial spirit and whatnot.
- 51:06SPEAKER_00: Although there's a bunch of that too in Europe,
- 51:08SPEAKER_00: if you,
- 51:08SPEAKER_00: if you find the right people,
- 51:10SPEAKER_00: but,
- 51:10SPEAKER_00: um,
- 51:11SPEAKER_00: there's not the same scale in New Zealand,
- 51:14SPEAKER_00: like space is still a capitally intensive business.
- 51:17Like you do need customers early on to verify that your product
- 51:20actually works.
- 51:21SPEAKER_00: It's also like a highly strategic, um,
- 51:23business like new zealand doesn't have a whole lot of actual
- 51:26space operations
- 51:27itself so there's not a whole lot you can do there with um the
- 51:30new zealand
- 51:30government directly as a customer but europe man europe is
- 51:33turning on the taps now
- 51:35you know nato just recently announced the increasing defense
- 51:38spending from 2.5 to 5
- 51:39SPEAKER_00: of gdp which is massive yeah yeah well they they should because the
- 51:46SPEAKER_00: Yeah, they've got problems.
- 51:47They've got problems,
- 51:48and Arian's boss,
- 51:50God bless them,
- 51:53could use some help from some newcomers.
- 51:57SPEAKER_02: And then the Dutch, oddly, yes, good at space.
- 52:01SPEAKER_02: There's a company,
- 52:03SPEAKER_02: at least,
- 52:03SPEAKER_02: I don't know if they've changed their name,
- 52:04SPEAKER_02: was unfortunately named ISIS,
- 52:06SPEAKER_02: I think,
- 52:06SPEAKER_02: that did that.
- 52:08SPEAKER_02: We're quite good at integrating satellites.
- 52:11SPEAKER_00: They have leaned into that.
- 52:12SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah, we do a bunch of work with them.
- 52:16they've like they've how did they lean into the isis the isis
- 52:21brand they just fully
- 52:21oh they um like i remember when that that happened and um like
- 52:27well this must have
- 52:28been like 2015 or 16 or something yeah maybe a little later i
- 52:31can't remember yeah
- 52:32yeah but it was like oh that's all good and then they just kind
- 52:34of rolled with it
- 52:35and then they're like look any any marketing is good marketing
- 52:38no one's gonna
- 52:38SPEAKER_00: forget us now it's like yeah i suppose you're right
- 52:41what are they i remember running into them in india so they
- 52:45just help build
- 52:46satellites or put them on the put them on the rocket i've
- 52:48actually got a bunch of
- 52:49different businesses but their but their main ones is uh like
- 52:52selling um like uh
- 52:55like they will sell you launch slots on other vehicles so i
- 52:59think they originally
- 53:00SPEAKER_00: did it i hope i'm not misquoting it or misrepresenting but um
- 53:03SPEAKER_00: On PSLV, the Indian launch vehicles.
- 53:06SPEAKER_02: That's where I met them, in Sriharikota on a PSLV launch, yeah.
- 53:10SPEAKER_00: Yeah, so they make, like, tons of CubeSat deployers.
- 53:13SPEAKER_00: That's big business for them.
- 53:15SPEAKER_00: And then actually selling,
- 53:16SPEAKER_00: like,
- 53:17SPEAKER_00: then they did a bunch of components,
- 53:19SPEAKER_00: like radios and whatnot,
- 53:20SPEAKER_00: and now they do full satellites as well.
- 53:22SPEAKER_02: Okay, okay.
- 53:23SPEAKER_02: How much, so, and obviously...
- 53:28This aerospace activity,
- 53:31I mean,
- 53:32this has to be some knock-on effect from Rocket Lab.
- 53:34SPEAKER_00: Mm-hmm.
- 53:35SPEAKER_00: Like Dawn is a knock-on effect?
- 53:38SPEAKER_02: Well, I mean, it's just Rocket Lab doing well.
- 53:40SPEAKER_02: I mean, it must have helped spur on... It's helping everyone.
- 53:45But yeah,
- 53:46I think it's really just indicative of just this massive macro
- 53:50tailwind for space.
- 53:52SPEAKER_00: It's still really early days in the space industry in general,
- 53:57SPEAKER_00: and people are just starting to click on what the...
- 54:00the actual core um like that there is a ton of value there and
- 54:05we're starting to
- 54:06get huge amounts of value out of some particular things like
- 54:08you know starlink is
- 54:09huge value out of out of broadband internet from space but
- 54:12there's tons of other
- 54:13things that could be it's kind of like the internet in the
- 54:16early days like in the
- 54:1790s could like everyone knew it was a big thing but no one
- 54:20could quite put their
- 54:20finger on what was going to be the big thing like do you know
- 54:23is it going to be
- 54:24data centers or is it going to be asteroid mining i was about
- 54:26to ask you because
- 54:28everything i don't know man it's always it's always
- 54:31communications and imaging and
- 54:33then some weird yeah that's the obvious one related stuff right
- 54:36but then this is i
- 54:38mean this is a question i ask myself and that i get asked all
- 54:41the time right
- 54:42because we're about to put up all these thousands upon
- 54:46thousands of satellites but
- 54:47SPEAKER_02: a lot of that is as you outline is just to like sort of
- 54:51almost just have a level communications playing field and then
- 54:55some of it imaging.
- 54:56SPEAKER_02: And then it's always like, wow, this is the internet.
- 54:59SPEAKER_00: What's the next big giant thing?
- 55:03SPEAKER_00: I don't even want to speculate on that.
- 55:04The only thing I really hold conviction is that it's going to
- 55:07be a big deal.
- 55:08SPEAKER_00: It's going to be a bigger deal next year than it is this year.
- 55:11SPEAKER_00: And that's going to continue.
- 55:12SPEAKER_00: And I know they're going to need to get to space.
- 55:14SPEAKER_00: And I know they're going to need to move around in space.
- 55:17SPEAKER_00: So hey, we're building rocket motors.
- 55:19SPEAKER_00: Well,
- 55:20SPEAKER_02: like to be in the picks and shovels part of this,
- 55:23SPEAKER_02: I think is the good spot to be at some point,
- 55:27SPEAKER_02: especially for the rocket companies,
- 55:28SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 55:28SPEAKER_02: the money has to keep going.
- 55:30SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 55:31But the next realization is that the scale that we're talking
- 55:34about is not like 2x
- 55:36SPEAKER_00: or 5x of where we are.
- 55:38SPEAKER_00: It's probably not even 10x, it's probably closer to 100x.
- 55:41SPEAKER_00: So everything kind of breaks.
- 55:43SPEAKER_00: If you've ever built businesses,
- 55:46SPEAKER_00: everything breaks at like 3 and 5x or 3 and 10x,
- 55:49SPEAKER_00: depending on who you ask.
- 55:52So we see that everything is gonna break as we scale up,
- 55:57but we need the scale.
- 55:59What precedes scale is reusability,
- 56:03and what precedes reusability is reliability.
- 56:05Like,
- 56:05as in,
- 56:06your thing will not be reusable if it breaks one in every
- 56:09hundred times.
- 56:10SPEAKER_00: You know, you're never going to get beyond 100 reuses.
- 56:13SPEAKER_00: You're never going to get to scale if it's not a truly reusable system.
- 56:16SPEAKER_00: Like, just mass manufacturing shit doesn't work.
- 56:18SPEAKER_00: Like, it's just not...
- 56:20SPEAKER_00: it's not a way to scale the industry 100x.
- 56:23Once you get to scale though,
- 56:24you start getting statistical significance in what's going on.
- 56:28Like obviously,
- 56:29if you've reused a thing,
- 56:30you've now proven that it works.
- 56:31SPEAKER_00: If you've reused it 100 times,
- 56:33SPEAKER_00: you now understand where all the niche failures happen,
- 56:36SPEAKER_00: like the stuff that's kind of...
- 56:38unlikely to happen but does get you every now and then you
- 56:41start addressing those
- 56:42problems and then you get even more reliable and this this
- 56:45actually becomes a
- 56:46flywheel you know reliability reusability scalability and
- 56:50that's really the common
- 56:51thread through everything that we're doing like whether it's on
- 56:53the in-space
- 56:54propulsion side or the space plane side that drive like that
- 56:57cycle drives every bit
- 56:59SPEAKER_00: of dawn
- 57:00SPEAKER_02: So,
- 57:00SPEAKER_02: like,
- 57:00SPEAKER_02: well,
- 57:00SPEAKER_02: okay,
- 57:01SPEAKER_02: on that point,
- 57:01SPEAKER_02: I mean,
- 57:02SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 57:03SPEAKER_02: we had the space shuttle,
- 57:04SPEAKER_02: which was supposed to be our reusable way to space,
- 57:06and then we had this huge gap until SpaceX figured out how to
- 57:10land these rockets.
- 57:11SPEAKER_02: Like, why didn't somebody try what you guys have figured out before?
- 57:17SPEAKER_00: Yeah, really good question.
- 57:18Like,
- 57:18I asked myself,
- 57:20why didn't somebody try to do SpaceX in,
- 57:23like,
- 57:23the 70s?
- 57:24SPEAKER_00: Like, you know, vertical landing is, like,
- 57:26SPEAKER_00: arguably Apollo technology.
- 57:28And open cycle locks,
- 57:30caro engines,
- 57:30and aluminum structures are also not particularly fancy.
- 57:32SPEAKER_02: The US military did try.
- 57:34SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 57:37I guess the answer is mostly market conditions and incentive
- 57:42structures within
- 57:43SPEAKER_00: these large aerospace primes.
- 57:46SPEAKER_00: They're just not incentivized to innovate like that.
- 57:49And in lots of cases,
- 57:51people have sort of said that they've actually been anti-
- 57:54innovation like they have intentionally low bid on or like
- 57:59taken darpa projects or
- 58:00whatever gone three years into them and then they just scuttle
- 58:02them because like
- 58:03frankly they've got a good business so why would you risk that
- 58:06so in what is when
- 58:09SPEAKER_02: we're talking about the performance on the space plane versus a jet um
- 58:14SPEAKER_02: Like, why is it that you're able to go so much faster?
- 58:18SPEAKER_02: It's the engine?
- 58:19SPEAKER_02: Yeah, yeah.
- 58:21SPEAKER_00: It's just the raw physics of rocket engines.
- 58:23SPEAKER_02: Because you're using the liquids that we would use...
- 58:27just just rocket engines are like you know um a decent rocket
- 58:32engine is at least a
- 58:33thrust weight ratio of 50 a really good one is like 150 like
- 58:37the best jet engines
- 58:38are like eight or nine okay like that's just jet engines are
- 58:41just huge yeah right
- 58:43the and they're not that powerful and they get even less
- 58:46powerful as soon as you
- 58:48you know gain some altitude while the rocket engine gets more
- 58:50efficient as you gain
- 58:52SPEAKER_00: altitude
- 58:53SPEAKER_02: What else did you guys have to figure out to make this work?
- 58:58SPEAKER_02: I'm sure there were a million hard parts,
- 59:00but what did you figure out that other people had not really
- 59:04looked at to put a
- 59:06SPEAKER_02: rocket engine on a plane and make this work?
- 59:11Like a ton of technical stuff and actually figuring out how to
- 59:15certify it.
- 59:16SPEAKER_00: Like we always talk about the whole innovation as four parts.
- 59:20SPEAKER_00: No, we used to think it was three.
- 59:22SPEAKER_00: Now we realize it's four.
- 59:23SPEAKER_00: It's the technology, like the reusability.
- 59:25SPEAKER_00: It's the infrastructure that you use.
- 59:27SPEAKER_00: It's how you regulate it.
- 59:29SPEAKER_00: And it's actually the business model as well.
- 59:32SPEAKER_00: But if you kind of dive into the technology bit,
- 59:37SPEAKER_00: to understand how to do that properly,
- 59:40SPEAKER_00: you have to understand where you're going to be flying this from.
- 59:42SPEAKER_00: Airports, not necessarily space ports.
- 59:44How you're going to license it,
- 59:46not necessarily as a rocket,
- 59:47probably as an aircraft if you can.
- 59:49SPEAKER_00: And then how you're actually going to, like what's the business model?
- 59:52SPEAKER_00: We're not going to be operating it.
- 59:54SPEAKER_00: Somebody else is going to be operating it.
- 59:56SPEAKER_00: So every element of this is like, the answer is like an aircraft.
- 1:00:00SPEAKER_00: You know, it's got to be designed like an aircraft engine.
- 1:00:02It's got to have safe failure modes like an aircraft engine so
- 1:00:04that you can certify it.
- 1:00:06It's got to be super reusable and maintainable and whatnot so
- 1:00:08you can operate it
- 1:00:09SPEAKER_00: from an airport and have somebody else do that maintenance.
- 1:00:11SPEAKER_00: Like it's like these four things factor into every other bit.
- 1:00:17SPEAKER_00: Like they're all interrelated.
- 1:00:18SPEAKER_02: Does it have like a parachute or anything?
- 1:00:21SPEAKER_02: What happens if something goes wrong?
- 1:00:23SPEAKER_00: No,
- 1:00:23SPEAKER_00: I mean,
- 1:00:24SPEAKER_00: if you have an engine failure,
- 1:00:25SPEAKER_00: just like an aircraft,
- 1:00:26SPEAKER_00: what do you do if you have an engine failure in an aircraft?
- 1:00:28SPEAKER_00: You glide back home and land.
- 1:00:29SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 1:00:30SPEAKER_00: Hopefully.
- 1:00:32SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 1:00:32SPEAKER_00: And like we've had things go wrong.
- 1:00:33SPEAKER_00: We've had plenty of stuff go wrong.
- 1:00:34SPEAKER_00: Like we've had engine failures and come back down and landed.
- 1:00:38SPEAKER_00: We've had brake failures on the ground.
- 1:00:39SPEAKER_00: We've had it go through a fence.
- 1:00:41SPEAKER_00: We've had it like,
- 1:00:42SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 1:00:42SPEAKER_00: we've smashed the plane up a bit,
- 1:00:44SPEAKER_00: but you fix it up and fly it again.
- 1:00:46SPEAKER_00: And that's kind of normal for aircraft development, right?
- 1:00:52SPEAKER_00: Like that's kind of a fast, iterative development of aircraft.
- 1:00:57And that's where like these many,
- 1:01:00many layers of safety save you so often.
- 1:01:03SPEAKER_00: Because like once you establish...
- 1:01:06um like a base level of capability of being able to fly this
- 1:01:09thing then you can
- 1:01:10start pushing the limits and then you know you maybe push a
- 1:01:12limit and you break a
- 1:01:13thing but you fall back to that basic level of capability which
- 1:01:17is like at least
- 1:01:17gliding back home like even if you have an engine failure you
- 1:01:20can at least get it
- 1:01:21back on the ground and it's not going to end up in the drink or
- 1:01:23something how many
- 1:01:24SPEAKER_02: times can you run the engine
- 1:01:26oh uh like it's basically infinitely restartable yeah yeah so
- 1:01:30you really are
- 1:01:32oklahoma will probably if things go right just be reusing the
- 1:01:36one plane over and
- 1:01:37over and over yeah i mean like there's parts in it that you
- 1:01:39swap out like there's
- 1:01:40seals and there's catalyst packs and whatnot that are like
- 1:01:42lifed items so like
- 1:01:44you'll be refurbishing parts of the engine every five or ten
- 1:01:46flights or so but like
- 1:01:48SPEAKER_00: you know it's it's a couple of hours to do that work it's not a big deal
- 1:01:51And then what,
- 1:01:52they get some software package that you guys make to launch it?
- 1:01:57SPEAKER_00: Like they'll have a pilot, like we'll train a pilot.
- 1:01:59SPEAKER_00: Like there's a lot of automation there, but yeah.
- 1:02:02SPEAKER_02: So the whole thing is not automated.
- 1:02:04SPEAKER_02: There's a pilot that is, yeah, like walk me through the flight process.
- 1:02:08SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah, okay.
- 1:02:10SPEAKER_00: So currently we have everything at our HQ in Christchurch.
- 1:02:14SPEAKER_00: We pack it all up into some trailers.
- 1:02:16SPEAKER_00: We drive out to our launch site about an hour south.
- 1:02:19SPEAKER_00: We unpack everything.
- 1:02:20SPEAKER_00: It would usually take six hours or so to unpack everything.
- 1:02:23We could fly that day,
- 1:02:26but mostly we'd just come back and fly the next day.
- 1:02:29SPEAKER_00: We do basic vehicle checkouts.
- 1:02:31It's about an hour or so to do those checkouts and we do
- 1:02:33propellant loading.
- 1:02:34SPEAKER_00: It takes a couple of hours.
- 1:02:38You'd normally then roll it out onto the runway and then you'd
- 1:02:43do all your regular
- 1:02:44SPEAKER_00: traffic calls and whatnot and coordinate with air traffic control.
- 1:02:48And then like one time we've been waiting on the runway and we
- 1:02:52had to wait for like
- 1:02:52SPEAKER_00: a Jetstar flight to actually go overhead.
- 1:02:54SPEAKER_00: And then we pulled in behind them.
- 1:02:57SPEAKER_00: But yeah,
- 1:02:57SPEAKER_00: then you kind of like get the go,
- 1:02:59SPEAKER_00: you count down from 10 and then light it up and Iago,
- 1:03:03SPEAKER_00: our pilot,
- 1:03:04SPEAKER_00: flies it.
- 1:03:05SPEAKER_00: Yeah,
- 1:03:05SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 1:03:06SPEAKER_00: it rips down the runway,
- 1:03:08SPEAKER_00: takes off,
- 1:03:08SPEAKER_00: pulls up into about a 30 or 40 degree climb and then it just kind of like
- 1:03:13SPEAKER_00: pulls up and away into about 85 degree climb.
- 1:03:16SPEAKER_00: Wow.
- 1:03:16SPEAKER_00: Through 50,000 feet or so, we get supersonic.
- 1:03:20And then on this particular aircraft,
- 1:03:23burnouts at about 60 odd thousand feet.
- 1:03:25SPEAKER_00: And then we coast up to 80,000 feet.
- 1:03:28SPEAKER_00: On the full performance vehicle,
- 1:03:29SPEAKER_00: we'll have way more propellant on board than a high thrust engine.
- 1:03:33SPEAKER_00: Burnout will be more like about 120,000 or 130,000 feet.
- 1:03:37SPEAKER_00: And then we'll coast up to over 300,000 feet, like 100 kilometers.
- 1:03:40SPEAKER_00: I should have asked you this sooner.
- 1:03:42SPEAKER_02: This is cool.
- 1:03:42SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 1:03:43SPEAKER_00: But that's pretty exciting.
- 1:03:44SPEAKER_00: But the funny part is, I mean, like once you're...
- 1:03:48above 120,000 feet or about 30-ish kilometers,
- 1:03:52you're kind of above the effective atmosphere.
- 1:03:55SPEAKER_00: There's not enough air.
- 1:03:56SPEAKER_00: Even though you're doing Mach 3,
- 1:03:57there's just not enough air flowing over the wings for you to
- 1:04:00have substantial
- 1:04:01SPEAKER_00: control anymore.
- 1:04:02SPEAKER_00: So you're...
- 1:04:05for all intents and purposes you're kind of in space at that
- 1:04:07point in terms of your
- 1:04:08aerodynamics and you have to start controlling the vehicle with
- 1:04:11what's called a
- 1:04:12reaction control system so it's like little rocket motors in
- 1:04:15the um in the
- 1:04:16extremities of the of the vehicles on the nose and the wingtips
- 1:04:18and whatnot oh so
- 1:04:20that's how you control your attitude we call it like direction
- 1:04:24they must be pretty
- 1:04:25SPEAKER_00: small yeah yeah tiny tiny only like about 80 mil long
- 1:04:30SPEAKER_02: Oh, wow.
- 1:04:30SPEAKER_02: Okay.
- 1:04:31SPEAKER_02: Okay, cool.
- 1:04:32And the pilot,
- 1:04:33like how much of this is automated or when is the pilot
- 1:04:38controlling things?
- 1:04:38So through our R&D testing,
- 1:04:40like it's totally,
- 1:04:42call it manually piloted with computer assist.
- 1:04:44Like there's computers doing all kinds of like dampening of
- 1:04:48like wind and whatnot.
- 1:04:49SPEAKER_02: Okay.
- 1:04:49SPEAKER_00: But longer term, this can be pretty much fully autonomous.
- 1:04:53SPEAKER_00: You would think so, right?
- 1:04:54SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 1:04:54SPEAKER_00: Yeah, totally.
- 1:04:55SPEAKER_00: Like this is all automatable.
- 1:04:57SPEAKER_02: But in Oklahoma, they'll have a trained pilot or a couple.
- 1:05:01SPEAKER_00: Yep.
- 1:05:01SPEAKER_00: So for certification reasons, that's pretty important to have a pilot.
- 1:05:05SPEAKER_00: It's just way harder to certify a fully automated vehicle.
- 1:05:10But that doesn't mean we don't want to automate stuff because
- 1:05:14it does make the life
- 1:05:15SPEAKER_00: way easier for the pilot,
- 1:05:17SPEAKER_00: right?
- 1:05:18SPEAKER_00: You're just going to have a more reliable aircraft if more is automated.
- 1:05:21SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 1:05:22SPEAKER_02: Okay.
- 1:05:23SPEAKER_02: Um, do people come out and watch your flights?
- 1:05:25SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 1:05:26SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 1:05:26SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 1:05:26SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 1:05:26We have,
- 1:05:27I mean,
- 1:05:28for now,
- 1:05:28friends and family mostly,
- 1:05:29but,
- 1:05:30um,
- 1:05:30yeah,
- 1:05:31person comes out.
- 1:05:32SPEAKER_02: Like is Peter back?
- 1:05:33SPEAKER_02: Uh, does the average New Zealander know him at this point?
- 1:05:38SPEAKER_00: Uh, I would say so.
- 1:05:40SPEAKER_00: It'd be getting pretty close to like household name territory.
- 1:05:43SPEAKER_03: Do you think he'd get recognized on the street?
- 1:05:45SPEAKER_03: Oh yeah, for sure.
- 1:05:45SPEAKER_03: He's pretty, pretty, pretty characteristic.
- 1:05:47SPEAKER_03: Yeah.
- 1:05:48SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 1:05:48SPEAKER_02: Cause the last time I was there,
- 1:05:50SPEAKER_02: even when I was like in Invercargill where he's from,
- 1:05:52SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 1:05:52SPEAKER_02: people are like,
- 1:05:53SPEAKER_02: I know Russell Beck,
- 1:05:54SPEAKER_02: his dad.
- 1:05:55SPEAKER_02: I was like, Jesus, man, the guy, you know, sent a lot of stuff to space.
- 1:05:59SPEAKER_02: It was pretty good.
- 1:06:00SPEAKER_00: Oh, maybe people in Auckland know more.
- 1:06:01SPEAKER_00: I don't know.
- 1:06:04And so,
- 1:06:05and what is the next,
- 1:06:07what is the next like year look like for you guys?
- 1:06:09SPEAKER_02: What are your hopes and dreams?
- 1:06:11SPEAKER_00: Yeah,
- 1:06:11SPEAKER_00: so we're basically redesigning the vehicle,
- 1:06:14SPEAKER_00: like not to make it bigger or anything,
- 1:06:16SPEAKER_00: but just to make now the optimal version.
- 1:06:18Like that first version was literally the first ground up
- 1:06:21vehicle design we had done.
- 1:06:23SPEAKER_00: So now it's about making an optimal version of Aurora.
- 1:06:26SPEAKER_00: So yeah,
- 1:06:26it's going to go from a maximum takeoff weight of about 250
- 1:06:29kilograms up to 400-ish
- 1:06:32SPEAKER_00: high thrust engine.
- 1:06:33SPEAKER_00: And that, you know, takes us from 25 kilometers altitude up to over 100.
- 1:06:37SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 1:06:37SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 1:06:39SPEAKER_02: Are there any,
- 1:06:39SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 1:06:40SPEAKER_02: we're in this phase where there seem to be,
- 1:06:43SPEAKER_02: it's like from the first batch of rocket startups,
- 1:06:48SPEAKER_02: some went by the wayside and the survivors went on.
- 1:06:50And then we actually have kind of like this second wave of some
- 1:06:54people trying to do
- 1:06:54SPEAKER_02: things a little bit differently.
- 1:06:56SPEAKER_02: I don't know, when you look out into...
- 1:06:59SPEAKER_02: both kinetic launch and rocket startup land.
- 1:07:02Does anyone catch your attention as having sort of like an
- 1:07:05interesting approach?
- 1:07:07SPEAKER_02: Doesn't mean it has to like totally work just as like caught your eye.
- 1:07:11SPEAKER_00: I feel like we're just,
- 1:07:14I'm paying less and less attention to that world because I feel
- 1:07:17like we're more and
- 1:07:17SPEAKER_00: more in the aircraft world.
- 1:07:20I guess I'm paying more attention to the Strato launches and
- 1:07:24the Hermes and Venus
- 1:07:28SPEAKER_00: is an interesting company in lots of ways too.
- 1:07:31SPEAKER_00: Which one's Venus?
- 1:07:33SPEAKER_00: Yeah,
- 1:07:34Venus has been building a rotation detonation engine for use on
- 1:07:38hypersonic vehicles
- 1:07:39SPEAKER_00: and whatnot.
- 1:07:41SPEAKER_00: Because I just feel like there's so much
- 1:07:44energy momentum in that particular industry,
- 1:07:47even more so than space specifically.
- 1:07:51Did you hear about all these EOs that came out from Trump about
- 1:07:58abolishing the ban
- 1:07:59SPEAKER_00: on supersonic flight over land?
- 1:08:02SPEAKER_00: Yes.
- 1:08:02SPEAKER_00: And the EO on...
- 1:08:05SPEAKER_00: like drone dominance as well,
- 1:08:07like about bringing through a whole bunch of like new licensing
- 1:08:10for EV toll
- 1:08:11SPEAKER_00: aircraft and like unmanned aerial systems,
- 1:08:16SPEAKER_00: like getting that stuff pushed through FAA.
- 1:08:18SPEAKER_00: Like that's way more important for my world.
- 1:08:20SPEAKER_00: Like that's huge because like we've,
- 1:08:22so much of that is what we have done in New Zealand already
- 1:08:26that's about bringing
- 1:08:28rockets to a truly aircraft world and that totally speaks to
- 1:08:31that it's like when
- 1:08:32that well then all that stuff came out it was like shit we've
- 1:08:35done all that and
- 1:08:36this is a clear signal that you know there's a need for this in
- 1:08:41the US so we can
- 1:08:42SPEAKER_00: bring all this to the US now
- 1:08:43SPEAKER_02: So you mean,
- 1:08:44SPEAKER_02: when you say we've done all that,
- 1:08:45SPEAKER_02: you mean,
- 1:08:45are you saying like the New Zealand regulatory bodies have
- 1:08:50already paved the way
- 1:08:51SPEAKER_02: for all?
- 1:08:52SPEAKER_02: Yeah, yeah.
- 1:08:53SPEAKER_02: Because of you guys and because of some other.
- 1:08:55SPEAKER_00: Yeah, yeah.
- 1:08:56SPEAKER_00: I mean, I think we're one of the only companies in the world to have
- 1:09:01Like a UAV that's licensed to fly beyond line of sight,
- 1:09:06above 60,000 feet at supersonic speeds.
- 1:09:09SPEAKER_00: There's actually no limit to speed under our certification.
- 1:09:12So like,
- 1:09:13yeah,
- 1:09:13we've pushed the boat way out and we've already done all this
- 1:09:17stuff.
- 1:09:17SPEAKER_00: Like we've shown that we can integrate with other airspace users.
- 1:09:20SPEAKER_00: Like we don't have danger zones and whatnot.
- 1:09:22SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 1:09:22where we're flying like we we've done this in uncontrolled
- 1:09:26airspace so you know you
- 1:09:28know like i said the um the story where there was a jet star
- 1:09:31flight flying overhead
- 1:09:32and we had to like wait for them to clear and then we took off
- 1:09:35and and flew and
- 1:09:36like we cut through the airspace where they just were at like
- 1:09:39500 knots of of a
- 1:09:42cent speed like and that was all it was it was all fine and
- 1:09:45yeah yeah everyone knew
- 1:09:46SPEAKER_02: what was gonna does oklahoma have to do anything special still to
- 1:09:50Yeah,
- 1:09:51so we'll have to license in the States,
- 1:09:52obviously,
- 1:09:53to be able to fly there.
- 1:09:54SPEAKER_00: So it's still,
- 1:09:56SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 1:09:56we still have to figure out exactly how this is going to be
- 1:09:58licensed in the States.
- 1:09:59SPEAKER_00: But so much of what we've done in New Zealand has proven,
- 1:10:03SPEAKER_00: like,
- 1:10:03SPEAKER_00: that path and,
- 1:10:04SPEAKER_00: like,
- 1:10:04SPEAKER_00: lots of the certification basis,
- 1:10:05SPEAKER_00: like,
- 1:10:06lots of the methods for establishing that what we're doing is
- 1:10:09safe are FAA standard
- 1:10:11SPEAKER_00: methods for assessing that.
- 1:10:14SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 1:10:15SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 1:10:15SPEAKER_00: it won't be a one-to-one translation,
- 1:10:17SPEAKER_00: but,
- 1:10:17SPEAKER_00: um,
- 1:10:17SPEAKER_00: having set a lot of precedents in New Zealand should help us a bunch.
- 1:10:21SPEAKER_00: And, and, you know, these EOs, um, certainly help a whole bunch as well.
- 1:10:24SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 1:10:24SPEAKER_02: It seemed like boom kind of talks Trump and pushing the supersonic away.
- 1:10:30SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 1:10:30SPEAKER_02: Blake was quick.
- 1:10:33SPEAKER_02: I think Trump was in office for like a couple of hours.
- 1:10:37SPEAKER_02: He was, he was on top of that.
- 1:10:39SPEAKER_02: And then, uh,
- 1:10:41SPEAKER_02: eVTOL stuff,
- 1:10:42SPEAKER_02: I mean,
- 1:10:42SPEAKER_02: it's pretty crazy because if you look at like Joby and Archer,
- 1:10:46SPEAKER_02: I think they're going to fly,
- 1:10:47SPEAKER_02: even though they're all made here,
- 1:10:48SPEAKER_02: they're going to fly in Dubai before they fly in the United States.
- 1:10:52SPEAKER_02: And then,
- 1:10:53SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 1:10:53SPEAKER_02: we just did a piece on zipline,
- 1:10:55SPEAKER_02: which was like designed,
- 1:10:58SPEAKER_02: actually manufactured in San Francisco.
- 1:11:00SPEAKER_00: And then mostly flown in Rwanda or something.
- 1:11:03SPEAKER_00: Well,
- 1:11:03SPEAKER_02: they used to fly in Rwanda and then now in the States,
- 1:11:05SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 1:11:05SPEAKER_02: they're doing tests in Arkansas and Dallas and like,
- 1:11:08SPEAKER_02: we can't fly them in California and,
- 1:11:11SPEAKER_02: um,
- 1:11:12SPEAKER_02: California,
- 1:11:13SPEAKER_02: God bless.
- 1:11:14SPEAKER_02: We really are getting self-defeating at some point when,
- 1:11:16when you have a company that is manufacturing stuff in South
- 1:11:21San Francisco.
- 1:11:22I mean,
- 1:11:22I went there and saw it with my own eyes and we still,
- 1:11:26you can't even fly here.
- 1:11:27SPEAKER_02: And then, you know, the eVTOL stuff, um,
- 1:11:31SPEAKER_02: God, we've spent hundreds of millions, billions of dollars of U.S.
- 1:11:35capital all these years of innovation,
- 1:11:38and then I'm sure it's going to fly first in Dubai.
- 1:11:41SPEAKER_00: Yeah, that's true.
- 1:11:42SPEAKER_00: But I'm pretty positive about the outlook there.
- 1:11:45SPEAKER_00: Like I think once these technologies demonstrate that they truly are
- 1:11:49SPEAKER_00: transformational and way,
- 1:11:50SPEAKER_00: way better,
- 1:11:51SPEAKER_00: then usually the world finds a way to make it happen.
- 1:11:55SPEAKER_00: And the places where you can extract the most value out of those things,
- 1:11:58SPEAKER_00: like where there is the most good to be done,
- 1:12:01SPEAKER_00: like we'll figure out a way.
- 1:12:02SPEAKER_00: Like Oklahoma might be the first,
- 1:12:04but they definitely won't be the last to have one of our rocket
- 1:12:08power aircraft in
- 1:12:09SPEAKER_00: the States.
- 1:12:09SPEAKER_02: Okay.
- 1:12:10SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 1:12:10um stefan um i feel like you're meant to be here because the i
- 1:12:17your first name i i
- 1:12:18had to i watched like 12 interviews just to make sure i said it
- 1:12:23right to find you
- 1:12:24introducing yourself because everybody else seems to get your
- 1:12:27your first name wrong
- 1:12:28but we have we have stefan we have stefan curry you got it yeah
- 1:12:32nice yeah yeah yeah
- 1:12:33SPEAKER_02: true yeah so this is this we've come to the right place
- 1:12:37SPEAKER_02: um, thank you so much for coming and spending time with us.
- 1:12:41SPEAKER_02: And do we, did we have two elements of show and tell?
- 1:12:43SPEAKER_02: No, it was the two parts of the plane.
- 1:12:45SPEAKER_02: There was the top.
- 1:12:46SPEAKER_02: Okay.
- 1:12:47SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 1:12:47SPEAKER_02: I just wanted to make sure we, uh, we got to everything.
- 1:12:50SPEAKER_02: Um, thank you so much.
- 1:12:52SPEAKER_02: It's so fascinating what you guys are doing.
- 1:12:54SPEAKER_02: And I'm so glad, uh,
- 1:12:56to see it's all going so well and and i know we've been talking
- 1:13:00for a long time now
- 1:13:01i mean i'm going to come out we're going to do a new zealand
- 1:13:04it's been so new
- 1:13:04zealand was the we shot a pilot of hello world in sweden and
- 1:13:09then new zealand was
- 1:13:10SPEAKER_02: our first episode that we shot
- 1:13:12kind of like once we'd committed to doing this tv series and
- 1:13:15that was like eight
- 1:13:16years ago yeah and then since then there's so many fascinating
- 1:13:22startups and then
- 1:13:23also we didn't even talk about but new zealand is like it's
- 1:13:26like the test place for
- 1:13:28both software and hardware all these these internet companies
- 1:13:31yeah yeah because you
- 1:13:32have this contained english-speaking population if like
- 1:13:35linkedin or google has a
- 1:13:36SPEAKER_00: new feature oh man we're like becoming the world's sandbox yeah
- 1:13:41and then i see every time somebody has a flying car or
- 1:13:44something yeah whiskers out
- 1:13:46there yeah i guess in the on the hardware part it's just
- 1:13:49because you can be a
- 1:13:50little more remote and and and yeah so so specifically for us
- 1:13:56like it's yeah it's
- 1:13:57having a range that's like a essentially a hypersonic test
- 1:13:59range an hour south of
- 1:14:00where we um build them like that's you know the u.s goes to
- 1:14:04like guam or australia
- 1:14:05mostly or like you know flies basically in rocket ranges like
- 1:14:08off vandenberg or
- 1:14:09SPEAKER_00: whatnot yeah
- 1:14:10so like that's way harder than we have it yeah yeah okay so i
- 1:14:14have to i want to get
- 1:14:15out there i um i miss christ church and um all right and then
- 1:14:20we'll go so we'll
- 1:14:21come out and we'll do an episode of the show and then so we
- 1:14:24could come we could
- 1:14:25come see a flight yeah yeah of course okay all right well we'll
- 1:14:28do it thank you so
- 1:14:29much for coming in the studio i really appreciate it yeah no
- 1:14:32thanks for having me
- 1:14:33SPEAKER_00: on it's been good
- 1:14:36SPEAKER_02: Core Memory is hosted by me, Ashley Vance.
- 1:14:39SPEAKER_02: The show is produced by David Nicholson and me.
- 1:14:43SPEAKER_02: Our theme music is by James Mercer and John Sortland.
- 1:14:47SPEAKER_02: And the show is edited by the John Sortland.
- 1:14:52SPEAKER_02: Thank you all for listening.
- 1:14:54SPEAKER_02: As mentioned, the show is sponsored by Yuan Ventures.
- 1:14:58SPEAKER_02: Thanks.