Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Iran Just Used Bitcoin To Break US Sanctions! (Here's What Nobody Told You) | Simply SatoSHE
Transcript
- 0:00I need you to understand something about the week that
- 0:02just happened. While most people were watching
- 0:05the stock market bleed and refreshing Bitcoin's price,
- 0:08three things happened that will be talked about for years and I
- 0:12don't think any of them got the attention that they deserved.
- 0:15A sanctioned nation just started charging Bitcoin to let oil
- 0:18through the most important shipping lane in the world.
- 0:21The most prestigious investment bank on Wall Street launched a
- 0:25Bitcoin product and called it the best performing launch in
- 0:28their entire history. And the Treasury Secretary of
- 0:32the United States and the sitting senator just joined
- 0:34forces to demand Congress pass Bitcoin legislation right now.
- 0:39Three different layers of the global system, the geopolitical
- 0:43layer, the institutional layer, the legislative layer, all in
- 0:46the same week. If you've been waiting for a
- 0:49sign that Bitcoin has arrived, I'm not sure what more you need.
- 0:53Welcome back to Satoshi. Let's get into it.
- 0:57Let's start with the story that I genuinely could not believe
- 1:01when I first read it. Iran is now charging ships
- 1:04$2,000,000 per vessel to cross the Strait of Hormuz, and they
- 1:08want it paid in Bitcoin. Bitcoin Magazine confirmed it
- 1:12this week. Iran to accept Bitcoin for the
- 1:14Strait of Hormuz transit as ceasefire takes hold.
- 1:17And then the Wall Street Journal published their own piece.
- 1:20Iran's $7.8 billion crypto economy finds a new way to grow
- 1:26after ceasefire. Read Wall Street headline
- 1:29carefully. Not during the conflict, after
- 1:32the ceasefire. This isn't a wartime emergency
- 1:35measure. Bitcoin is how Iran's economy
- 1:38grows permanently. Now let me give you the numbers
- 1:41so that you understand the scale.
- 1:43Pre crisis. Roughly 130 ships cross the
- 1:46Strait of Hormuz every single day.
- 1:48At $2,000,000 per ship, that's 3611 Bitcoin per day, 100 and
- 1:548333 Bitcoin per month, and 1,000,000 Bitcoin per year.
- 2:01And here's the number that puts all of that into context.
- 2:04The entire Bitcoin network only mines 450 Bitcoin per day.
- 2:10Iran would be accumulating 8 times the entire monthly supply
- 2:15of Bitcoin every single month from a toll booth at a shipping
- 2:19lane. And when the ceasefire was
- 2:21officially announced this week, Bitcoin pumped above $72,500.
- 2:27The market. It understood immediately what
- 2:30this meant. Nick Zabo, one of the original
- 2:33cypherpunks, He responded to the news with one sentence.
- 2:36Iran is no longer effectively under sanctions.
- 2:40Do try to keep up with events. He's right.
- 2:42And that one line should send a chill down the spine of everyone
- 2:47who thought sanctions were a permanent tool of control.
- 2:49Here's what this actually means. For 15 years, Bitcoin censorship
- 2:54resistance has been theoretical, a property that Bitcoiners
- 2:57talked about but hadn't really tested on a geopolitical scale.
- 3:01Iran just made it operational. A nation under some of the most
- 3:06severe financial sanctions on earth found a way to monetize
- 3:10control of a critical global checkpoint.
- 3:13And the mechanism is a decentralized monetary network
- 3:16that no government can freeze, no bank can block, and no
- 3:20sanctions regime can stop. Bitcoin was built for this.
- 3:24Satoshi designed it as a system that could move value without
- 3:28permission, without banks, without the dollar systems veto
- 3:31power. For years it was an idea, but
- 3:35this week it became infrastructure.
- 3:38And one more thing worth tracking here, Oil prices.
- 3:41The Strait of Hormuz is the choke point for roughly 20% of
- 3:46global oil supply. If ceasefire negotiations stall,
- 3:49if Iran tightens the toll, or if more ships start paying in
- 3:54Bitcoin instead of dollars, you'll see it in oil prices
- 3:57before, or you see it anywhere else.
- 3:59Oil is the Canary. Watch closely.
- 4:02Now, I want to be clear, I'm not here to endorse what Iran's
- 4:06government does or how it operates politically.
- 4:09That's none of my business. But the mechanics of what just
- 4:13happened are undeniable. And the implications for every
- 4:17sanctioned nation, every excluded economy, and every
- 4:21person the global financial system has decided to cut off
- 4:25those implications are enormous. Now let's come back stateside to
- 4:31Wall Street because what just happened there this week was
- 4:34equally historic, just in a very different way.
- 4:37Morgan Stanley launched the Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust
- 4:41ticker MSBT on April 8th, 0.14% expense ratio, the lowest of any
- 4:48Bitcoin ETF on the market. On day one, MSBT pulled in $30
- 4:54million, and by the end of the first trading session, it had
- 4:57done $34 million in volume. Fortune reported that an analyst
- 5:02put it at the top 1% of ETF launches in history.
- 5:06But here's the line that stopped me, Amy Olenberg, Morgan
- 5:11Stanley's head of digital assets, told Bloomberg directly.
- 5:15MSBT was the bank's best performing ETF launch.
- 5:21I have to tell you in terms of the pickup we saw yesterday, the
- 5:23first day of trading, our best first day of trading for any of
- 5:26our ETFs since we've started the ETF product line a couple years
- 5:30ago. So I think that speaks to the
- 5:32demand that's still out there for the Bitcoin ETF.
- 5:35Almost 1.7 million shares traded yesterday.
- 5:38And at 12:00 today, we are already having another good day
- 5:40today. As you said, there's a it's a
- 5:43nice, it's a nice week in the market, a nice day in the market
- 5:45for some pickup in Bitcoin and the markets to help us out
- 5:48they're. Not the best Bitcoin ETF launch.
- 5:51The best ETF launch, full stop, in the entire history of one of
- 5:58the most powerful financial institutions on earth.
- 6:02Think about what Morgan Stanley is for a second.
- 6:05This is not a crypto startup. This is not a venture fund
- 6:09making a speculative bet. Morgan Stanley manages trillions
- 6:13of dollars in client assets. They have been in business since
- 6:1619, 35. Their clients include sovereign
- 6:20wealth funds, pension funds, endowments, and some of the
- 6:23wealthiest individuals on earth. And their clients are so hungry
- 6:28for Bitcoin exposure that the product launched is the best
- 6:32thing that the bank has ever released.
- 6:35This is what institutional demand actually looks like.
- 6:38Not BlackRock filing a form, not a press release.
- 6:42A product launch that breaks every record that the bank has.
- 6:48Most prestigious firm just told you through the market, which
- 6:52doesn't lie. Exactly what it thinks about
- 6:55Bitcoin and when the biggest names on Bitcoin are launching
- 6:59Bitcoin products, the question is whether your Bitcoin is
- 7:02actually in your control or sitting on someone else's
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- 7:28And then there's Washington Senator Cynthia Loomis.
- 7:32The Bitcoin senator, one of the most consistent advocates in
- 7:36Congress, posted something this week that I think is going to be
- 7:39one of the most important political moments in Bitcoins
- 7:42regulatory history. She quoted Treasury Secretary
- 7:45Scott Besant directly. Now is the time to act.
- 7:49We have the administration, the momentum, and we've made
- 7:53bipartisan progress. Congress must pass the Clarity
- 7:56Act now. The Clarity Act is the most
- 7:59comprehensive piece of Bitcoin and digital asset legislation
- 8:03ever attempted in the United States.
- 8:05It would formally define what Bitcoin is under law, clarify
- 8:09which regulator has jurisdiction, and give the
- 8:12industry the legal certainty it has been waiting for for years.
- 8:15The Treasury Secretary and a sitting Bitcoin senator are
- 8:19publicly demanding it gets passed this week.
- 8:23But here's where it gets complicated.
- 8:24And there's a few reasons. So try to keep up.
- 8:27Representative French Hill, who chairs the House Financial
- 8:31Services Committee, told reporters the timeline might
- 8:34slip into next year. There's a sticking point in the
- 8:37Senate over stable coin yield provisions.
- 8:40The reconciliation process with the House isn't resolved.
- 8:44So we have Besson and Loomis saying now and French Hill
- 8:48saying maybe next year. But The thing is, we might not
- 8:51have next year because we have no idea what is going to happen
- 8:56in the midterms. First of all, senators, the
- 8:59alumnus is not running for reelection.
- 9:01And frankly, Trump has kind of been throwing the Republican
- 9:06Party in the gutter. And we're not sure if Democrats
- 9:10will back this bill up. So in my opinion, we're kind of
- 9:14playing with fire there. But that tension is worth
- 9:17watching because if the Clarity Act does pass, it changes the
- 9:21entire landscape for Bitcoin in America.
- 9:23Institutions that have been waiting on the sidelines get
- 9:26greenlit. Capital that has been sitting in
- 9:28limbo gets deployed, and the regulatory uncertainty that has
- 9:32suppressed Bitcoin adoption for years disappears.
- 9:36And if it doesn't pass, the window closes.
- 9:38And again, with an election cycle coming, another delay
- 9:42could mean years. The momentum is real.
- 9:45The opposition is also real. So this one isn't over.
- 9:50So now let me zoom all the way out for a second.
- 9:57Three stories, three different layers of the global system, all
- 10:01in the same week. At the geopolitical layer, a
- 10:04sanctioned nation is using Bitcoin as a mechanism to
- 10:07monetize the world's most critical oil shipping lane.
- 10:11That's Bitcoin functioning as a parallel financial system, not
- 10:15in theory, but in practice at scale.
- 10:18Right now, at the institutional layer, Morgan Stanley, one of
- 10:22the oldest and most respected financial institutions on earth,
- 10:26just launched what they're calling the best product in
- 10:30their history. Their clients wanted Bitcoin so
- 10:33badly that a 91 year old bank broke every record it had ever
- 10:37set to give it to them. At the legislative layer, the
- 10:41Treasury Secretary of the United States and a Bitcoin senator are
- 10:44publicly demanding Congress pass the most significant Bitcoin
- 10:48legislation ever written, and they're calling it urgent.
- 10:52This is what adoption actually looks like.
- 10:54Not the price going up, although it did go up.
- 10:57Not a tweet going viral, although many tweets went viral
- 11:00this week. My point is the actual
- 11:04infrastructure of global finance, geopolitical,
- 11:07institutional, regulatory, bending the knee towards Bitcoin
- 11:13simultaneously. I've been in the space long
- 11:15enough to have heard this is the year about 10 million times.
- 11:19But I want to be honest with you, this week it felt
- 11:22different. This week it felt like this
- 11:25might actually be the year. Not because the price did
- 11:28something, which it did, but because the three stories this
- 11:32week happened at levels of the system that have never moved
- 11:36before. Iran doesn't care about the four
- 11:39year cycle. Morgan Stanley doesn't care
- 11:41about the four year cycle. Scott Besson doesn't care about
- 11:45the four year cycle. Well, not this one anyway.
- 11:48He cares about the political four year cycle.
- 11:50But again, I digress. They care about whether Bitcoin
- 11:53works. And this week at every layer,
- 11:57the answer was yes and if this week convinced you that it's
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- 12:37So here are some quick hits for what's coming. 5 things I'm
- 12:40watching 1. The price, duh.
- 12:42Bitcoin hit $72,500 on the ceasefire announcement and has
- 12:47been holding strong. The Sailor thesis that the four
- 12:50year cycle is dead and the price is now driven by capital flow
- 12:55gets tested every week. So watch how Bitcoin responds to
- 12:59the next macro event. A sustained break above 75,000
- 13:04would be significant #2 the Strait of Hormuz.
- 13:07The ceasefire is 45 days. Watch whether Iran's Bitcoin
- 13:12toll infrastructure stays in place as negotiations continue
- 13:16or whether quietly becomes permanent.
- 13:19The Wall Street Journal called it a new way for Iran's economy
- 13:22to grow. If that framing sticks, this is
- 13:25it's no longer a conflict story, it's a monetary system story.
- 13:29And the number to watch alongside it is oil.
- 13:32The Street carries about 20% of the global oil supply.
- 13:36Any escalation, any renegotiation of the toll, any
- 13:40breakdown in ceasefire talks, and you'll see it in the oil
- 13:44price first. Oil spikes.
- 13:46Bitcoin is likely to follow, so keep an eye on both of them #3
- 13:51Morgan Stanley ETF inflows Week 2 tells you everything.
- 13:56Day one numbers for MSBT were record-breaking, but
- 14:00institutional products live or die on sustained inflows.
- 14:04If the second week matches the 1st, every other Wall Street
- 14:07firm that's been sitting on the fences starts to move.
- 14:10Watch the Bloomberg ETF flow data for that one.
- 14:14Number four, the Clarity Act Lummus and Besson are pushing
- 14:18hard. French Hill is pumping the
- 14:20brakes. The stable coin yield sticking
- 14:22point needs to get resolved before this moves to a floor
- 14:26vote. So if you see a bipartisan
- 14:28agreement on that specific issue announced, that's a signal that
- 14:32the bill is actually moving. And #5 and this was one that I
- 14:36know no Bitcoiner wants to talk about, but we must is tax day,
- 14:40April 15th is right around the corner.
- 14:43And if you hold Bitcoin, you already know what that that
- 14:45means. Every sale, every swap, every
- 14:48transaction is a potential taxable event.
- 14:51If you haven't figured out your Bitcoin taxes yet, this is your
- 14:54last week to get ahead of it. Which brings me to something
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- 15:40I want to leave you with one thought.
- 15:42Nick Zabo said Iran is no longer effectively under sanctions.
- 15:46Amy Oldenburg says Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF was Morgan
- 15:50Stanley's best launch ever. Scott Besson said now is the
- 15:55time to act. Three different people, three
- 15:57different corners of the world, all pointing at Bitcoin in the
- 16:01same week. The question isn't whether
- 16:02Bitcoin is arriving anymore. The question is whether you're
- 16:06ready when it does. Thanks for watching Simply
- 16:09Bitcoins Satoshi. Don't forget to smash the like
- 16:12button. Share the show with your
- 16:13friends. Drop a comment below because I
- 16:15read them all. Follow me on X at Internet
- 16:18Sophie. And as always, stack, Slay and
- 16:21stay bullish, baby.