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NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NCAAF Conference Championships Best Bets Friday 12/5/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after.
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: Tonight it was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Sunday one and five.
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: all all in four I.
• 0:30
  Speaker 2: Have not had a good season.
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: I've reached into pink.
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hack Man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the Bruins arch hape?
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: don't know.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: What day it is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 2: Back with you as I always am until I die
• 1:03
  Speaker 2: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: go well for me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slumperies, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially.
• 1:27
  Speaker 2: End it all. What's up, everybody, It's sewed back with you.
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: Toadsiel Sports, Friday, December fifth, uh winning night on the
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: show last night, not by match, but a three and
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: two night. College basketball continues to be good man, Rider
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: riding with Rider pretty easy cover there.
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: I mean, the game was pretty much exactly what I
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: thought it would be. It's just a.
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: Horrendous, ugly game where neither team even got to seventy.
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: Rider lost my two two points and easily covered the
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: number there. Cal State Northridge got the win to make
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: it a winning night in the late game. They pulled
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: away late in their game. That was a nice win
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: as well. The hockey game. Don't love losing on hockey favorites. Man,
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: I know Jeffrey had that one right, but I'm gonna
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: tell you, statistically, the Bruins should not have won that game.
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: Like statistically, I looked late in the game during the
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: third period, Saint Louis was winning sixty percent of the
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: faceoffs in the game. They had like double the hits
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: the Bruins had, so somehow the Bruins were the way
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: less physical team in the game. Saint Louis had more shots,
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: although some of that was because they were behind. But
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: the Bruins got outplayed in like every statistical.
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: Aspect of that game.
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: And that kind of means it comes down to like
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: the back end of the defense and the gold ending.
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: But the goaltending situation was what I predicted would be too,
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: even though the website that I look at that predicts
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: the starting goalies said the complete opposite. I was like,
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: that's not gonna happen in this game, and I was correct.
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: Corposalo did play for the Bruins, so it was not
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: Swayman in net. So the Bruins had their second string
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: goalie net he sucks and they still won, and Bennington
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: was in net for Saint Louis, their top goalie. I mean,
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: I just don't even get it, man, I don't get it.
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: I think my handicap was correct in that one. I'm pissed.
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: And then I was definitely not correct on the Celtics game.
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: I mean that game Celtic's Blue Washington completely out and
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: Jalen Brown didn't even play in that game. This Celtics team, man,
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: I mean they do a lot with They do a
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: lot with their limited roster. Okay, they're well coached, all right.
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: You gotta hand it to Joe Missoula. Celtics I have
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: one of.
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: The lowest turnover rates in the NBA.
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: They still hit a ton of threes, which they hit
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: like twenty threes last night, but again, it wasn't really
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: like some statistical outlier.
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: I think they hit like.
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: They might have hit high thirty percent range thirty eight
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: percent from three, which is pretty much within their range anyway,
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: So there, it wasn't really an outlier in that game.
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: It was just the Celtics won the game covered nothing
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: you could do about that, and then we did get
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: the Thursday night game right in NFL, so I'm happy
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: about that. Detroit definitely the right side, and they made
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: it really dicey near the end after they took a
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: twenty seven to nine lead, which, by the way, I'm
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: not happy about this at all because my fantasy opponent
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: had Brandon Aubrey at kicker and he got like twenty
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: three fucking points because he kicked at least five field.
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: Goals in the game.
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: So yeah, in a way, maybe we got a little
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: I don't want to say we got lucky. It was
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: the right side, but Dallas did stall out numerous times
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: to kick a bunch of field goals. But it was
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: a twenty seven to nine Detroit lead in the third quarter,
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: and then so they're up eighteen and then all of
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: a sudden, it's a three point game after Detroit gets
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: held to a field goal to go back up eleven,
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: after Dallas had scored a touchdown and gotten a two
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: point conversion. The Dallas drives, they get a touch It
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: wasn't even a drive. They got a touchdown in this
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: freak play, which, by the way, my fantasy opponent also
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: I had seeding lamb.
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: And he had a pretty good game as well.
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: That was that was pretty much kind of he was
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: like kind of right where he was predicted to me.
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I'm pissed about getting twenty three points thrown
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: up against me by my opponent's kicker, and my primary
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: kicker is on by because I have New England's Boragalis.
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: I should changed my team's name to Aurora Boragalis.
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: But I have Matt Prater filling in for him this week.
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: This is the only time I think I've ever had
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: two kickers on my fantasy roster. I'm never gonna do
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: that unless I want to keep my really good kicker,
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: which is what I'm doing here. But it's a terrible
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: week for me. It's a It's a week where I
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: have a lot of buys, and I have Patrick Mahomes
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: and Rashie Rice going up against the Texans d But
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: I'm already gonna get a buy in the playoffs. I'm
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: I'm in the one seed right now, and the worst
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: that I could do is fall to two. I don't
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: even think I can fall into the two because the
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: guy that was tied with me last week, I beat
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: him last week.
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: So I think I'm probably guaranteed.
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: The one seed. But the way our we have a
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: twelve team fantasy league. In my main you guys don't
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: care about fantasy, I know, but I don't know. I
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: just get on tangents. Top six teams make the playoffs,
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: so top two get a bye in the first round
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: of the playoffs. I don't think there's I think I'm
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: already locked into a bye, so I don't really need
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: to win this week. I just get pissed when I lose.
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: But anyway, the Lions, they pulled ahead again, they got
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: another late, they got two late touchdowns and put that.
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: Game away, so they were the better team. It was
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: the right call. Mister.
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: Thursday Night continues as now I'm one of my I
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: think I'm twelve one and one now, is that right?
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: Or eleven to two and one maybe my Thursday Night
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: calls and three and one.
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: I guess with the.
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: Three and one or four and one, four and one,
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: maybe with the actual plays I've given on a Thursday.
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: Because we had Dallas against the Eagles, we had the
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: Chargers in one of them.
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: The loss was on the Ravens last week. We won
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: last night. Do we have I thought we had one
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: other one in there. I don't, I don't remember.
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: Maybe some Oh yeah, Houston, I'm playing on the Thursday
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: game three weeks in a row.
• 7:01
  Speaker 2: Now we're two and one on those. So yeah, yeah,
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: all right, we'll get into today.
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have one play in every sport that's on
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: the on the board today and hopefully we get some
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: more wins here.
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: Jeffrey what's up?
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: Uh? It was reverse line movement. Yeah, I mean, hopefully
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: you still got a three out there. Even though it
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: didn't wind up mattering it, it almost did. I mean
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: the game was a three point game in the fourth quarter,
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: and I'm sitting there pissed, thinking, No, this is gonna
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: be a push when it should be an easy win.
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I don't know.
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: I'm not taking a scheduled loss in fantasy. I'm I'm
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: making free agent pickups anyway. I don't care like I
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: filled up, I filled out my roster this week. I'm
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: still doing it. Yeah, I'm streaming the Titans defense against
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: Sugar Sanders because that was the best that I could
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: get on the free agent wire for the streaming of defenses.
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: No, I'm gonna try to win.
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: I don't think I'm going to after that kicker performance night,
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: but I'm trying to win. My opponent is like trying
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: to even get into the playoffs, though, dirty sock.
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: What's up man, Danny? What's up? Man? Euro League? What
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: are we What are we talking about here? We're talking about?
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: Is that? What is the euro League? We're talking about? Soccer? Basketball?
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: What are we talking about here? I don't even know
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: the fans are crazy.
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: I believe you, Yeah, because I've seen what the fans
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: are like in soccer. Yeah, I believe you that the
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: fans are crazy. It doesn't work its way into any
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: of my handicapping, though I do American sports here man.
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: But yeah, hopefully people got the three onto the Lions
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: last night. It didn't have to lay the three and
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: a half. It was I'm pretty sure the threes are
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: available like all day and into the night, like because
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: I was watching the market, it seemed like you could
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: get at least like three at like minus one fifteen
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: or something like that, which that would have definitely been
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: worth it. I would say, all right, let's get into
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: today's board here. Don't want to take too long. Here
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: we have finally, the board is reducing on Friday for
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: college basketball, because usually it's not a big college basketball board.
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: On Friday, we have a couple of big games.
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: The biggest game probably of the entire night is Gonzaga
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: and Kentucky on ESPN two number eleven Gonzaga, number eighteen Kentucky.
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: I actually think both of these teams are under ranked
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: as far as where the rankings makers are putting them,
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: but as you'll see in a second Gonzaga is the
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: better team. They're gonna be a favorite here on the road.
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: This is also gonna be a fast paced game. Both
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: these teams play really fast, so I'm expecting possibly an
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: over is a way to look in this game, too,
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: because both teams just want to push that tempo. Even
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: though Gonzaga does play pretty good defense, They're a very
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: balanced team, and that's really where I think the difference
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: comes in is that Kentucky is more offensively minded, but
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: Gonzaga this year is actually focused on both and they're
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: like an elite rebounding team as well. So I do
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: kind of like Goozaga in this game. Gonzaga just got
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: absolutely embarrass in Las Vegas, and that's a place where
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: they kind of have a home crowd. They got wrecked
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: by forty points against Michigan in the championship of the
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: Players Era Festival out there. Now I could see the
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: argument that will be a little bit hungover because taking
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: your first loss of the season, having to bounce back
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: from that that is a little bit difficult, but I
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: think it makes it a little bit easier when it
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: was an embarrassing loss. I know it was to a
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: top ten ranked team. But when you lose by forty
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: to anybody, you're gonna.
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: Be pissed, I think in the next game.
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: Although the other drawback with Gonzaga here is this is
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: the first time they're gonna be leaving the Pacific times
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: on a bridge. Well, actually, they played at Arizona State,
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: which I guess they're.
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: In their own world.
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: They're in like some mountain time zone equivalent, I guess,
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: But this will be the first time Gonzaga is having
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: to go this far east, only the second true road
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: game of the season.
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: They did win the other one against Arizona State. Kentucky
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: is definitely.
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: Better than Arizona State, so that'll make it a little
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: bit more difficult for Kentucky. They're coming to have a
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: much game. Though they had a battle against North Carolina
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: and only lost by three, so I think the spot
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: does actually set up a little bit better for Gonzaga here. Overall,
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: that would be the way that I would lean, although
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: in over might actually be preferable in this game. Gonzaga
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: looks like they got some of the early money up
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: from three and a half to five, but eighty six
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets and then fifty eight percent of
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: the cash coming back in on Kentucky. So it looks
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: like Gonzaga may wind up being a public side in
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: this one. I mean they are the higher ranked team,
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: although I don't know, man, I mean Kentucky, they just
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: have that name around them, where you think that maybe
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: public thinks it's enticing to take points with them in
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: a game where both teams are kind of.
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: Ranked similarly in Kentucky's at home whatever.
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: And then the over it looks like maybe it got
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: some traction with the number going up a little bit
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: to one fifty eight, but I think it actually was
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: up to one sixty and then it came.
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: Back down a little bit.
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, but over makes sense to me
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: in that game, maybe more southern the side slightly to
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: Gonzaga as well in that one. MLS I don't do it, man.
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: Like MLS they take a backseat to everything in the US.
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: The MLS is shit, dude, Like, I mean, you could
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: argue that soccer is good, but like international soccer is
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: way better than the MLS.
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: The MLS is garbage soccer.
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: Like MLS is where old European soccer players come over
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: here to die.
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: Basically like David.
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: Beckham and now Lionel Messi I assume is still on
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: Miami's team or whatever. I mean, he basically like these
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: European players, they basically come over to the MLS to retire,
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: like they retire and then they start playing in the MLS.
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: It's garbage soccer, dude, all right.
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: I don't know about these other games, like, do I
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: ever really want to talk about some of these other games?
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: Not particularly I think high Point was maybe in a
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: decent bounce back spot. Yeah, I mean high Point just
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: took a loss to Southern Illinois, which is a pretty
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: ugly loss. High Point was a pretty big favorite in
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: this game. With the ESPN doesn't show us the betting
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: odds anymore.
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: But that's an ugly.
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: Loss for high Point. It did end along win streak
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: for them. But maybe they do come out with some
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: intensity here. If they show up, they should be able
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: to run in j T out of the building. I
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: mean high Point plays fast, NJIT plays slow.
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: NJIT not a good team.
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: Their game to cover was last time where we lost
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: by a few points. They missed by a few points
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: in that attempt to cover against Eastern Michigan. After Eastern
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: Michigan upset Cincinnati. Yeah, I mean this game. To me,
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: it would be high Point in this game. I mean,
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: I'm not giving it out as a play, but they're
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: up to a twenty eight point favorite. It looks like
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: some of the money came in that way.
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: It's not a.
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: Particularly low it's total because I think high Point's going
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: to push the pace here, so I expect them to
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: win by a pretty big margin there. South Alabama East
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: Tennessee State actually a good game.
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: Both these teams have pretty good records.
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: South Alabama eight and one start East Tennessee six and two.
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: Alabama they really have not been tested yet though. I mean,
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: I don't even know who the best opponent they've faced
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: so far. Is like, their one loss is at UAB so.
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: South Elemium's resume not really as impressive as the record looks.
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: Coming off a win over New Mexico State that was
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: a pretty nice win. That might have been in the
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: cantcuon thing. No, this is actually at South Ault. No,
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: it was in Katie, Texas. What. I don't know all
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: these random locations for these games. Man, now they're going
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: back out on the road. East Tennessee State is a
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: little bit more battle tested, just because well really just
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: because they played Dayton on the road in the last game,
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: but that did break along wind streak for them, so
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: sometimes that will hang you over into the next game.
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: But they are back at home where they have not
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: lost the game at home this year.
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: Although South Alabama maybe better than all.
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: The rest of the opponents they faced this year at home,
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: although they did face North of Kentucky, I mean, they're
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: not an easy opponent to beat. Overall, I think East
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: Tennessee may be the right side in this one. I
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: think South Alabama the record is a little bit better,
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: and I think they are not the better team, as
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are telling you. East Tennessee State up to
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: a five and a half point favorite from a four
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: point favorite. That's the way that I would lean in
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: this game. East Tennessee laying the points. I mean, the
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: public's not gonna do that, right if they see this
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: game and then want some basketball action. Oh my god,
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: six and two laying all these points to an eight
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: and one team, It looks pretty tempting to take the
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: points with the eight and one team. But I'm telling you,
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: South Alabama very weak schedule so far. Jeffriel you watch
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: Loser Cast. Yeah, I think I've told some of those.
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: Stories before on a Tower Gang as well the Strip Club. Yeah,
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: all of it is true.
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: People don't think my stories are true. I just have
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: crazy stories and just I remember things and I think
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: about them in a crazy way, like I mean, they're
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: all true.
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: Man, what's up?
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: Man?
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: No to the state. What's up? Hell?
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: Yeah?
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: SOB East Texas, East Texas A and M are you
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: reading my mind? What? Oh?
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: Yeah, you're You're not the only one, all right? Samford
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: and VCU eyeballed this one briefly. I mean VCU is
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: coming off a big win over Virginia Tech, and they
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: played Vanderbilt the game before that, so they're coming up
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: two big wins. I know VCU is actually the better
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: team over Virginia Tech right now, but I think VCU
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: still considers themselves to be a little brother to Virginia
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: and Virginia Tech in Virginia. That's a big win, man,
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: And they beat them by eighteen points. It was the
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: third place game out in the Bahamas. Big win for VCU.
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: Men.
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: Now they come back home, they face this Samford team
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: that they're probably not gonna pay that much attention to.
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: They also have New Mexico up in five days, which
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: I think is a bigger deal because the Mountain West
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: just gets more respect at least in the regular season
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: in New Mexico. You know, under the Richard Patino rain
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: they got into the tournament once and whatever.
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: Yeah, inside, I want to kill myself.
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: I always have to play the Patino whenever I mentioned
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: any Patino.
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: For Samford.
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: Here, Sanmford is coming off a pretty disgusting loss to
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: Utah Valley. This might have been in the cant Coon thing.
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: Yeah this was in cant Coon. I don't know what
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: happened in this game. Sanmford had one of the worst
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: shooting performances you'll ever see, twenty five percent from the field,
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: twenty two percent from three. Utah Valley is one of
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: the better teams in the whack fifty six percent from
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: the field though, and fifty percent from three. So even
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: though yes, Utah Valley did out rebound Samford, there were
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: a bunch of outliers in this game that made that
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: game look worse than it really was. I mean, any
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: team that's coming off a loss by forty plus points,
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna show up with some intensity here.
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: So Samford is my opinion in this game, I would
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: take the points. This has not made my card.
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: This is close. Uh, like this one is almost on
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: my card. Here.
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: VCU is down from nineteen to eighteen and a half here.
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: Now VCU does play fast again this year after the
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: or somewhat fast after they were kind of a slope
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: ace team the last couple of years, because I mean.
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: Shaka Smart is certainly not there anymore.
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: But I prefer taking the points of the if VCU
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: was a slower based team, although they'd probably be laying
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: fewer points here. Samford does want to play slow, so
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: the fear might be the VCU might be able to
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: speed them up and get them uncomfortable. But I still
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: think taking the points to Samford makes sense. It's just
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: that how big is that VCU went over Virginia Tech
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: when VCU was actually the favorite.
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know.
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: And how big of the look ahead really is New Mexico.
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, those are kind of the questions there. But
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: I do like Samford there. Quinnipiac at Iona is actually
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: an interesting one. These teams are decent teams in there.
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: This is actually a matt Ac game. I think this
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: is a conference game. Yeah, I forgot Quinnepiac was in
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: this conference now, I mean.
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: I own them.
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: They're almost always one of the better teams in this conference.
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: Quinnipiac was one of the better teams in the conference
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: last year, maybe the best, and they didn't actually win
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: it to get into the tournament. I own a coming
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: off a winner for Delaware, which is not impressive. I mean,
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: Delaware is not good this year. Quinnipiac coming off also
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: an unimpressive winner, though they covered against US beating stone Hill.
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: This game is a difficult one to gauge, man, I
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: think both teams probably show up here. I own is
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: down from a three point favorite or two and a
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: half point favorite, But I think they're the better teams,
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: so the fact that they're only laying two and a
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: half at home seems a little bit weird to me.
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: I actually think that line is somewhat short, so line
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: value I think lies with Iona in this game.
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: But I don't know, man, it's a bit of a
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: tough call.
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: I might slight lean that way because I don't really
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: have an opinion with the situation.
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: Bryant at Brown.
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: I'll just mention it because that's a game that I
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: talked about before because we faded Bryant. I think in
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: their last game. Oh yeah, yeah, that was the game
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: that was the game against what am I saying? This
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: was the game where we lost on stone Hill. It
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: was a very similar result. It wasn't the Quinnipiac one.
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: It was this one.
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: Brian. I thought they might be looking ahead to this
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: Brown game.
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: I still think they're gonna show up because they still
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: think they consider this us to be a little brother
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: to Brown in the state of Rhode Island, even though
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: Brown's not that good Brown. They just had a game
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: where they were the little brother and they lost to
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: Rhode Island. And this game was a bit closer down
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: the stretch than the ten point final makes it look.
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: Brown was kind of in this game fairly late, at
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: least midway through through the second half they were, So
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: Brown's coming off of that slightly to Bryant.
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: In this one.
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: Brown's down from a five and a halfway favorite to
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: a four and a half boy favorite and a low
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: total of one hundred and twenty eight. It does look
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: better to take the points in that game as well,
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: So slight opinion on that one. Niagara at Sianna as
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: an interesting one, just because these are upstate New York
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: teams that don't really like each other. Although Sianna's further east,
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: Niagara is in like the Buffalo area. Obviously Niagara really
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: their big rivals.
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: Knee. It's just Kenesius isn't good Sianna. They look like
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: they're good this year.
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: Man, Like I remember Sianna having some pretty good teams.
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: Remember if you remember those years in like eight oh
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: nine whatever. I picked them in my bracket one of
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: those years over a.
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: Vandy when Sianna came up from out of nowhere.
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: Nobody knew who they were, and I'm like, dude, Sianna
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: had if you remember the Rosstter brothers, one of them
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: played on Davidson with Steph Curry, but the other one,
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: who was like the taller dude, was on Sianna. He
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: was like their best player. They had one other really
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: good player too, I forget his name. But then Sianna
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: actually was better the next year and they were like
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: an I think an eight or nine seed in the
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: tournament against Ohio State and like really really gave them
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: a challenge doing in the next tournament if I remember correctly.
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: So Sianna, I mean they might be back man the
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: Sianna Saints, but their logos a Saint Bernard. I don't
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: really talk about these mascots too often, but some of
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: them are pretty funny. Sianna is a fourteen point favorite
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: in this game in this total very low hundred and twenty
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: nine and a half. Looks like it's expected that Niagara
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: is going to struggle to score in that one. Sianna
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: is definitely the better team. But do you want to
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: lay fourteen with the lots oda like that? I personally
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: do not.
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: I just thought that game was maybe somewhat interesting. Most
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: of these games are not interesting. We do have some
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: other MATTC games here, so conference play is in swing.
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: Let's just put it that way, Sab, I agree with
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: you on that one. Zoo on the ducks, Ze, what's
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: up man? Thanks for hanging out. All right, let's give
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: out my one play Sab already called we are Gonna
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: be on East Texas A and M plus thirty eight
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: and a half. This line is really really high, dude,
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: like ken Bom has this one in like the lower thirties,
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: I think, and part of that is because this is
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: against Yukon. I know Yukon's good. I know he's Texas
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: A and m sucks. We all know this, but this
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: is a huge line and the spot is bad for Yukon.
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: In Yukon, they just don't play a style where they
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: cut my margin like this, and they don't need to
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: like this is a game where they just want to
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: get in get out.
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: They don't need to do anything fancy. They don't need
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: to show anything. In Yukon. You know what they do.
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: They play like one of the sixty slowest tempos in
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: college basketball basically, so you're gonna get a slow down
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: Yukon team coming in here. It's not really conducive to scoring.
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: It's on the points man. So it's a big ass
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: to ask Yukon to cover this ridiculous number. It's up
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: from thirty seven to thirty eight and a half here.
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: Total is pretty low at one forty, which is expected
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: this Yukon team. If you look at their past results,
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: the only time that they covered a number like this
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: is when they just destroyed I think we lost on
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: this game, by the way, so hopefully it's not a
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: repeat of that they destroyed UMass Lowe. Actually I don't
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: think that was one of our games that we did
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: lose on U Mass Lowell somewhere. But there's no way
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: I would have played Yukon against Yukon off of barely
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: beating New Haven in a way. But well with Yukon, yeah,
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: I mean that UMass Lowell games looks like an outlier
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: because they have not scored ninety or more points than
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: any game besides that one. And again I reference that
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: New Aven game. I know New Haven really got excited
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: to play against Yukon. I assume because in state little
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: brother in their first Division one season, Yukon probably took
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: them really lightly. Yukon only beat them seventy nine to
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: fifty five. They only beat Columbus eighty nine to sixty two,
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: Bryant seventy two to forty nine. So in none of
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: these games did they cover a number like this. And
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: then of course, yeah, they're battle tests that obviously Yukons
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: faced a bunch of ranked opponents too. But that's also
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: the crux of this handicap is this is a sandwich
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: spot where again Yukon's gonna win this game, but I
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna win this one by this margin.
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: They just beat Illinois and Kansas. Two huge wins for
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: Yukon there, and now after this they play Florida, and
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: not only is it Florida, Florida's a ranked team, They're
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: a really good team, but returning champions, and that's tournament revenge.
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: Florida was the team that ended Yukon season last year.
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: Yukon took them right to the wy Or too. Yukon
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: almost knocked Florida out of the tournament. Man probably should have.
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: I'm still mad because I thought Florida was not the
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: right play in the brackets and like to win the
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: whole thing, I mean, and they had multiple escapes in
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: the tournament.
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: And that was one of them. That's gonna be a
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: huge game for Yukon. Man.
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: You always have that game circled against the team that
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: ended your season. So I just don't think they're gonna
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: pay that much attention here to this bad East Texas
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: A and M team, who, by the way, they are
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: at least above five hundred. They've at least played some
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: somewhat difficult teams on the road, like New Mexico playing
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: at the pit. That's not easy to do, man, Even
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: if New Mexico is a little bit down East Texas
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: and East Texas A and M was respectable in that game.
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: They lost seventy six to fifty four.
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: That's not that bad. Their worst loss.
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: They give him one hundred points at Hawaii, but that's
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: I mean, asking them to travel to Hawaii is kind
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: of crazy, and they still they lost by twenty six
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: in that game. Although obviously Yukon is way different than Hawaii,
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: but Yukon also, I would guess Yukon's not gonna score
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: one hundred points in this game either though, because that's
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: just not their style. And then East Texas A and
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: M played to within seven of Rice in their other
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: road game, and Rice is actually better this year than
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: you would think. At least they're not like a total
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: dorm matter or anything. And now East Texas A and
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: M has won three games in a row, so they
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: actually have a little bit of momentum here beating you know,
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: not good opponents. But their last win was against Army.
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's a respectable win, beating them by seventeen.
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: You know they're gonna get up for this game, man.
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: And they have already played on the East Coast. I mean,
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: they're well traveled because they did go to Fairleigh Dickinson
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: and they beat them by five. I know, Fairley Dickinson
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: is total ass like they're one of the worst, probably
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: one of the worst ten teams in all of D one.
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: But still East Texas A and M has now traveled
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: to the East Coast. That's what they're doing here. I
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: know this is gonna be on Yukon's campus stores Connecticut.
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: I know I talk about a Yukon's fans.
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: They all get crazy in that arena, But do you
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: really think they're gonna be that I mean, I know
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: it's a Friday night game. People are looking for something
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: to do, they want to get drunk, whatever, But are
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: the fans really gonna be that intense for a game
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: against East Texas A and M.
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: I just don't really see it. This number is definitely
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: too high, so and it's a bad spot. We'll take
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: East Texas A and M plus the points in that one.
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: Fernando, what's up man? Thanks for hanging out again your
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: second NHL hint yep, I see it there. I don't
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: know if I agree with that one or not.
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: You kind of beat Oh, I didn't even see they
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: played East Texas A and M. Last year they beat
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: them by forty plus whatever this spot I assume is
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: worse than that one was, all right? And then we
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: do have a couple other big games, the Cincinnati Battles
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati and Xavier.
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: This is always a crazy game. Dude, like fights.
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: Break out in this game. These two teams really hate
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: each other. They're both in Cincinnati. Xavier is gonna host
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: this one. Cincinnati won at home last year by three
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: in this game, and Xavier won the previous year, so
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: I didn't look beyond that. But the home team won
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: each of the last two of these games.
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: Again, both teams are gonna show up for this. It's
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: gonna be a crazy game.
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati coming up beating Tarlatan State, who cares. Xavier is
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: coming off a Winver Saint Francis again, who cares. This
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: is also sponsored by Skyline Chili Baby the Crossdown Shootout
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: Skyline Chili.
• 28:37
  Speaker 2: I don't know. People bash me for liking it. I
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: like it.
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: I know it's a disgrace to my Italian heritage. I
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: guess to put Chile on pasta, but dude, chili with
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: the like melted cheese on it, plus they put cinnamon
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: in it.
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: I like that.
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: The cinnamon brings out the flavors. Yeah, I'm a fan.
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: I like it.
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: But as far as this game is concerned, I honestly
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: don't know what you should do with this game. I mean,
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: under seems to kind of make sense in this matchup,
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: just because there's gonna be a lot of intensity. Total
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: has already gone up from one forty four and a
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: half to one forty eight though, But I mean, just
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: if you expect an intense.
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: Focus, like defensive effort, to me, it undermakes sense. It's Cincinnati.
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: They're a really bad offensive team.
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: Even though they play fast, they do not score, but
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: they do play really good defense, so that's kind of
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's where this comes into play. Like, as
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: far as the side, Xavier is the more balanced team,
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: but I also don't think they're that good, and of
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: course we know their coach now is the aforementioned Richard Patino.
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: Xavier hasn't looked that great to start the season. They're
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: up to a minus one and a half point favor here,
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: so the oddswegers are telling you Cincinnati is the slightly
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: better team with Xavier not getting full home court hero
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: though of course home court advantage is not as big
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: for Xavier in a game like this where both teams
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: are from Cincinnati, so both fan bases are gonna show
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: up for this. Yeah, Cincinnati has the best defense and
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: the worst offense and they play fast.
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: Which is weird Xavier.
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: I think under Richard Bertino, I believe Xavier also is
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: a fast tempo team. Ah, yes they are, so both teams. Yeah,
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: both teams are actually not that good offensively either, So
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: back to I think under really might be the way
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: to look at this because even though the teams do
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: play fast pace, which means they're gonna be more possessions.
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: They don't shoot well and they do.
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: Play decent defense, although it means they're gonna be turnovers
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: transition points. Maybe whatever undermakes sense the money is saying Xavier.
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: I slightly disagree with that because I think Cincinnati is
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: the better team, but I don't really want to buck
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: that like trend with with the home team winning this
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: game in recent years either though, so I'm definitely not
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: giving that giving that out as a play though, Skyline Chill, Yeah,
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: you should try. You gotta go to Ohio to try it, though,
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: although you're not that far away from Ohio. I don't
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: think it exists outside of Ohio, though somebody may be
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: able to correct me on that it definitely exists in
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati and Columbus.
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: Rachel, thanks for hanging out. What's up?
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: I unblocked you, Rachel, even though you're mean to me. Sab,
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: you don't have anything in the NBA. Oh oh, come on, dude,
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: the fire emoji? You know that's that's an easy emoji
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: for that one.
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: All right?
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: And Notre Dame TCU is the later game that is
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: maybe of interest because it's two bigger conference teams. TCU
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: actually played pretty well. I mean they're well coached. I
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: got Jamie Dixon still there, but they're already playing better
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: than I thought they would this year. Notre Dame hasn't
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: been too bad either. Notre Dame is coming up a
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: big winner from Missouri. Now they're going out on the
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: road again. They were only other true road game. They
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: did play pretty well, though they only lost by one
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: at Ohio State.
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: Notre Dame definitely battle tested.
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, they played pretty respectably against Kansas Houston. They
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: beat Rutgers, so they faced a lot of power Conference
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: teams already. They're not gonna be intimidated by TCU. TCU
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: is coming off some big games.
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: They won this tournament, the Radies Children Invitational in San Diego,
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: by pulling off back to back upsets over Florida and Wisconsin.
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: I just thought they wouldn't have anything left after they
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: beat Florida and they beat us on the show. With
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: that Wisconsin play, it wasn't even close. So TCU coming
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: off now multiple big performances. Maybe this is where the
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: letdown comes in for TCU. Matt, I just don't know
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: if they continue that effort again. Maybe they showed up
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: again with a lot of focus because they want they
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: actually wanted to win that tournament. I would lean a
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame in this game slightly. TCU is up to
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: a seven and a half point favorite, somewhat of an
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: ask with a total of one hundred and thirty nine
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: and a half, which is not very high points worth
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: more in this game. Yet, I would lean towards Notre
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: Dame in that game. TCU is the better team. They're
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: moving up the rankings. Ken bomb as them up in
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: like the top fifty. Now he's got Notre Dame. I
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: think in the seventies Notre Dame could definitely compete here, though,
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: so I would lean towards Notre Dame covering in that one,
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati going under his Xavier going to over. Yeah, Cincinnati's
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: offense is terrible and that is basically the reason why.
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: But yeah, something's got to give in that game, right,
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: But my opinion would be the under. But again, I
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: don't really know.
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: Much about totals.
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I was right about that total
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: opinion I had in the NBA last night either, which
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: I think was the I forget which game it was.
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: I'll look.
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: It was a Utah Brooklyn I think I don't know
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: if that went over or not. It landed on two
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: thirty three. I don't know what the total was, and
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: that would is probably right around that.
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: You could be meaner, I dare you.
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna block you again though, all right, NHL
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: we have yeah, only a few NHL games here. I
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: do have one play and it is not one of
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: the games that SOB has brought up yet. SAB is
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: apparently on the devils in this Vegas versus New Jersey game. Here,
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: This game gives me some like I struggle to figure
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: this game out.
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: Man. I think both teams are in good spots. I mean,
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: Vegas is starting a road trip, and you know I
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: talk about when a team starts a road trip.
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: It's usually a good spot. It's usually a focused spot.
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna be unfocused playing against the
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: team it's as good as New Jersey. Vegas does have
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: a couple of days off, but I don't think that's
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: gonna really kill their momentum. It hasn't been that many
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: days off. Two days they came off kind of an
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: ugly couple of games, even though they won, so their
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: momentum continues. So they beat San Jose by one, and
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: then they had to beat Chicago and a shootout, so
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: Vegas they were pretty big favorites in both those games,
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: and they didn't play that well. So to me, it
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: sets up pretty well for the Knights in this one.
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: But New Jersey's not in a bad spot either. New Jersey,
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: I believe, is staying at home here if ESPN will
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: actually load. New Jersey just got shut out at home
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: by DA and they've lost all three games on this
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: home stand. They're gonna want to salvage something here, man,
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: So I agree with SOB that New Jersey is also
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: in a good spot here. Teams that get shut out
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: at home usually played pretty well in the next game.
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: But again, I think both teams are in good spots here.
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: And when you look at the market here, which of
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: course pregame.
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: Is not letting me do that. Something going on with
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: this internet here.
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: Man, looking at the market, the market is telling you
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: that Vegas is actually the better team, as they're laying
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty three on the road down for minus
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: one twenty five seventy nine percent of tickets on the
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: Devils eighty percent of the cash on the Knights. Though,
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: so Margurita is saying the Knights. I mean, I don't
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: really disagree with that. I probably would not disagree with
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: an under in that one, though, with both teams being
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: probably very focused in that one. Definitely arrested Vegas team
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: and New Jersey staying at home, But I would for
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: the side, I would have to slightly like kind of
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: just lean with a market in that one when I
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: don't really have an opinion on the side. Otherwise you
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: want more in the NBA, I well, I'll talk about
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: like basically all the NBA games. There are a lot today,
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: but I only have one. All right, fine deal, read
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: the bell curve.
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: Yeah, but you're just you're gonna disagree with it even
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: though you're gonna read.
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: It to be like, well, now I can form an opinion,
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: and I can tell you for sure that I disagree
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: with it.
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: That's what's gonna happen. But the Bell Curve is it's
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: a good book. I mean, even I don't.
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: Know there was some opinionated leftists, I would say that
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: still had to admit that Charles Murray makes some good
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: points in that book. Duke in Michigan State line is on,
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: Michigan State is favored, Michigan State must.
• 36:48
  Speaker 2: Be at home in that game. Then I assume.
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: Possibly would be a look towards Michigan State that the
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: under is gonna make sense in that game too. Probably
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: both teams are pretty good defensively and play slow unders
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: and Women's College of Basketball No, I mean the totals
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: are adjusted low for a reason because they can't shoot. Yeah,
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: somebody bet fifteen k on Lebron to score ten last
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: night to win only six hundred. Dude, I would never
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: do that. It's not a good bet. Like Lebron, he
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: looks really bad right now, and people are going to
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: people are going to want to bet him over because
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: he's Lebron. So the books are actually skewing that prop
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: too high too, So it's very stupid to bet those
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: Lebron props over.
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: Jhanna's faked an injury. He's gonna get traded.
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: I don't know which team you're talking about there, though.
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: All right, next game is my play. We're gonna be
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: on the Buffalo Sabers or sab does not have his
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: eye on. This is my play in hockey. Those Sabers
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: against Winnipeg. Winnipeg's like they're just a really public side
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: here for one eighty one percent of the tickets, only
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: eighty percent of the cash, and there's a reverse live
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: movement already driving them down for minus one forty eight
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: to minus one twenty six.
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: I think as long as you.
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: Get Buffalo at a decent underdog price here, it's good.
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: It's worth it getting an underdog in what I think
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: is a good spot and a decent chance to win
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: the game. Buffalo coming up an ugly five to two
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: loss of Philadelphia. They're continuing the road trip, but going
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: out from Philadelphia to Winnipeg. It's almost like you're starting
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: a new road trip. In some ways, you know what
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: I mean, So I think they will be focused on this. Meanwhile,
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: the spot is awful for Winnipeg, which is really the
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: majority of this handicap here is that this is a
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: fade of Winnipeg. We know Winnipeg doesn't have hell Books,
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: so they're a lot more fatable with their elite goalie
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: not playing here. But Winnipeg's also returning on from a
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: road trip. But they've been on the road since Wednesday,
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: November twenty sixth, five game road trip. They did badly
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: on the road trip. With the public's instinct is usually
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: that team's gonna bounce back now that they're back home,
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: and I'm here to tell you that that is not
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: the way to look at.
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: These return home spots.
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: The way to look at them is these teams usually
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: are just not that focused. They have to get back
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: to home life, family life, things can become a distraction.
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: I realized they lost to Buffalo really ugly four days ago,
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: five to one, so yes, there is a quick revenge
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: component here. But I think this spot is so bad
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: that it pretty much negates that Winnipeg is coming off
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: a shootout against Montreal that was a big game Montreal.
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: I mean They're still an Original six team, They're a
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: Canadian team. They're playing better this year. That was a
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: big game for Winnipeg. Now, yeah, they're coming home and
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: they're playing Buffalo, and Buffalo did beat their ass last time.
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: But look at who they play tomorrow, Winnipeg. They got
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: to play Edmondon tomorrow and then they play Dallas after that.
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: Those are huge games, man, So this looks like they're
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: gonna be looking ahead to both of those opponents.
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: Also, I forget which one of those teams eliminated them
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: for the playoffs last year, because I don't remember. It
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: was Dallas, so not their next opponent, but their next
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: opponent after that.
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: Did they have they beaten Dallas this year? I don't
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: think they have. They lost in the open or I
• 40:08
  Speaker 2: think that was a loss for.
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: Us on the show, by the way, and that was
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: the only time they played them this year so far.
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: So Dallas is gonna be a big upcoming game as well. Yeah,
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: I don't like the spot for Winnipeg at all. Buffalo
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: is the play in that one. That is my one
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: hockey play, all right, San Jose is at Dallas. Here, Dallas,
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: you know they're gonna be a big favor here. San
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: Jose is not as good as good as their record looks.
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: Dallas is returning home from a road trip though, although
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: it was only a two game road trip.
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: Tuesday and Wednesday, they went out to New York, New Jersey.
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: But they are still returning home from that, so still,
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: I mean, there might be a little bit of a
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: return home component to this, maybe slight distraction, but it
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: won't be as bad.
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: But the fact that they shut New Jersey out in.
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: That game, that's a big win man, And maybe they
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: just don't pay that much attention to the Sharks here.
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: Sharks still not as good as their record looks. The
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: Sharks are probably gonna be pissed after losing ugly seven
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: to one. I thought they might be the right side
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: in that game, although the more that I look at it,
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: Washington was actually kind of in a sandwich spot in
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: that game, So I don't know, I apologize for kind
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: of overlooking that or No, Washington wasn't a sandwich spot,
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: which is why I kind of liked San Jose. But
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: San Jose wasn't in a good spot either. My apologies,
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: I didn't put enough weight into how bad the spot
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: was for San Jose coming off playing Vegas to within
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: one and then beating Utah and then having Dallas up next.
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, at least it was the reason why I
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: held off of the game completely.
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: But San Jose got destroyed seven to one.
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: And when a team loses by four plus goals in
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: the NHL, especially at home, they're usually a good side
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: to look at in the next game. So I do
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: not disagree with San Jose in this one. They're getting
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: a huge underdog price. Probably a puck line play on
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: San Jose makes sense here seventy seven percent of tickets,
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: only fifty eight percent of the cash on Dallas down
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: from minus three hundred minus two sixty five on the
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: money lines. There's a reverse live movement there on the
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: towards the San Jose side as well. So that's the
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: way that I would look there. You've read most of
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: the studies, Well, then you're you're letting your bias get
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: in the way that I think the team the Bucks
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: just played, I don't even remember who they just played,
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: Chicago Bulls. I think is that I don't even remember.
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: Maybe it wasn't the Bulls. I forget who the hell
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: was it. Women's college basketball is terrible. Yeah, Caitlin Clark,
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: I mean obviously she would impact the totals. Yeah, you're
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: gonna join me on Buffalo. All right, Well we better
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: get that one right then. Uh.
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: Utah at Vancouver.
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: This game, I didn't really have a whole lot of
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: I didn't have much of an opinion on this one
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: when I looked at it. Utah did just break a
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: law streak, and when a team breaks a law streak
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: a lot of times that will give them new momentum
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: moving for But they did it by crushing Anaheim seven
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: to nothing on the road, and Anaheim is a really
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: good home team, so it could also be a letdown
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: spot for Utah coming off of that. It's difficult to read,
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: like which way you think it's gonna go for Utah.
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: Here Vancouver is returning over from a road trip, but
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: they've been on since Wednesday, November twenty sixth, where they
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: started the road trip by winning at Anaheim as well
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: lost to Colorado to finish the road trip coming back
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: home again, I don't think that the return home spot
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: is really a good spot because teams tend to get
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: a little bit distracted. Vancouver does have to play this
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: really hot Minnesota team tomorrow. Minnesota might get more of
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: their attention than than Utah does, so for me, slight
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: lean towards Utah here, but the money is disagreeing with it.
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: Utah is a favorite down for minus one twenty five
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: to minus won twenty three, fifty eight percent of the
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, with sixty eight percent of the cash
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: on Vancouver. I don't really agree with the market reading
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: that one. I would lean towards Utah. Yeah, I would
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: lean towards Utah and that and slightly. And then Washington
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: is at Anaheim. Sob has offered an opinion on Anaheim
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: in this one, or that's one.
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: Of his plays.
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: I guess I don't disagree with that. I do agree
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: with the Duck's side in this one. Washington, they're on fire,
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: so you do need to step in front of this
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: train if you want to do it. But it might
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: be the spot to do it because they are playing
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: a third game in four days, fourth game in six days,
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: fifth game in eight days, all in different cities, winning
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: all of them. My issue is just I think they
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: should still be focused here on Anaheim, even though they
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: did just just they just destroyed San Jose seven to
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: one in the last game. So when a team wins
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: by that margin, yeah, sometimes they will be in a
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: letdown spot.
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: But I don't know.
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, I worry that they still will show up
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: for a game against Anaheim, and that's my worry. Scheduling
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: spots not great, though, and for Anaheim it's a better
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: spot because they just were on the other end of
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: a game where they lost seven and nothing to Utah,
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: which I mentioned, so we're gonna want to bounce back
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: from that. Staying at home definitely a positive spot for Anaheim.
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: I would lean that way, and I think that's probably
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: what SAB is seen to where you have one team
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: that won seven to one in their last game, the
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: other team lost seven to nothing, So you want to
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: be on the team that lost seven to nothing in
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: the next game.
• 45:15
  Speaker 2: You're probably gonna get some value here.
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: Anaheim is also still really good at home, even though
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: they've been less good recently. There's still nine to four
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: and oho at home. Washington is good on the road though,
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: eight four and one. But I think this line is
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: too high, man, I mean, you get I know. I
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: keep saying that Anaheim is not as good as their
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: record looks, and I still agree with that, but they're
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: getting a big underdog price at home. In a spot
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: like this, it might it's probably a spot to come
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: back and jump in on Anaheim. Here Washington up for
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: minus one forty minus one forty five on the money line,
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: fifty six percent of ticket, sixty seven percent of the
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: cash on Anaheim. Yeah, I agree with sob in that one.
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: Not a play from maybe I agree with it on
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: the Ducks. Oh, the Pistons. Yeah, that's right. I don't
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: know which team are we talking about here? The Blazers?
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: What you like the Blazers? Wait a minute, what are
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: we talking about?
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: Well, I don't know.
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: Let's look at it now. I guess I do not
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: agree with you on that one. Let's let's get into
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: the NBA. I guess all right. We have the first
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: game up is Lakers Celtics. Man, I mean, this is
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: the game, the big time rivalry, man. And of course
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: my rooting interest is of course with the Celtics in
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: this game.
• 46:31
  Speaker 2: And I also hate the Lakers.
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: On top of that as well, not just because I'm
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: a Boston fan, but because fuck the Lakers. Not a
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: fan of Lebron, not a fan of Luca. This is
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: what I got to say about that. Now, the spread
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: here is like you look at this and you're like,
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: what is going on here? Celtics are seven point favorite. Yeah,
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: they're at home, but what do they get for home court?
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: Like maybe one and a half two? I mean, you
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: don't get much home court in NBA at all. And
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: probably this is a situation where maybe they at the
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: most home court advantage because it's a Laker game. Seventy
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: six percent ticket, seventy eight percent of the couch on
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: the Lakers. Obviously, the public is gonna see this number
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: and only play the Lakers. I mean, how could you
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: be getting points with the team with the way better
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: record the Lakers. Well, the Lakers have played an easy schedule, man,
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: So the Lakers they're beaten up on bad teams. They're
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: like eleven to one against teams with losing records, I
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: think something like that, and against.
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: All other teams they are only four and four straight up.
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: So the Lakers have not been as good against good
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: opponents the Celtics, and they qualify as a good opponent.
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: And even though they're not great like they were the
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: last couple of years, this line being at seven almost
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: makes me think Luca's not playing though, Like, there's no
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: way that this line would be seven if this was
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: a full roster here. And Luca is out for personal
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: reasons last night, but I thought that was just because
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: the Lakers wanted to rest him so that he'd play here.
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: But this line almost seems to be indicating he's not playing,
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: because otherwise there's no way. Again, like, if Luca was playing,
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: you gotta think the Celtics would be like maybe a
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: two and a half point favorite here, three at most,
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: So it doesn't make sense. Both teams are on the
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: back to back here. Obviously, I'm not gonna give out
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: a play on this game. Lakers just beat Toronto last night,
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: even without Luca and without Marcus Smart. Now they're traveling
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: down to Boston from Toronto. Beating Toronto not a bad win.
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: Toronto's been good. Obviously, Both teams will show up for
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: this game, though, because it's a huge rivalry game. Celtics
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: also played yesterday and won in a blowout, but they
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: had an easier time of it. Man, so the spot
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: does set up better for the Celtics a little bit
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: because they just blew out Washington yesterday and again that
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: was a loss for us on the show. I thought
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: that was a terrible spot for the Celtics. I mean,
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: they just made a run with a beat. Orlando, beat Detroit,
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: almost beat Minnesota on the road, beat Cleveland on the road,
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: got playoff revenge against the Knicks, and then they still
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: went into Washington without Jalen Brown playing and just crushed
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: them by thirty. I mean, the fact that the Celtics
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: did that in a bad spot shows me something, man,
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: because I know the Celtics and I was thinking that
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: was gonna be a completely flat spot for the Celtics.
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: I was completely wrong about that. Yeah, now they're traveling
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: back from Washington, but I think the travel is a
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: little bit easier for them. Celtics had a much easier
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: game yesterday than LA did. Both teams rested their best player,
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: So I wouldn't disagree with the Celtics side here generally,
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: But like, if it was where I thought the price
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: was gonna be, laying the points might make sense, but
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: seven makes absolutely no sense.
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: So I mean, this is.
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: Like you got to figure out who's playing who's not
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: playing here. But again, the public is definitely gonna be taking.
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: The points of the Lakers. It looks way too easy
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: to do that.
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: So hopefully the Celtics just win for my rooting interests,
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: and that's what I'll say about that. Oh so Luca's
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: not playing, all right, That's what I thought with the
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: line being that high, So all right, he's a in
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: Slovenia for birth of a child. Pussy, Come on, man,
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: like dude, like I've seen like Bruins players like be
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: in the hospital for the birth of their child and
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: then they they're there playing that night in the playoffs, Like,
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: let's go.
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: Man, be a man.
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: It's a man's sport. Come on, play the game. Thank you, Jeffrey. Yes,
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: I was not aware of that. Minnie Lucas being born
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: or whatever. I don't know if it's is it a boy,
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: I don't know, is it gonna be? Is he gonna
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: be the next NBA star. Pistons play the Bucks in
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: a couple of days, So I'm gonna talk about this
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: Pistons game in a second. Yeah, Lakers Celtics. Part of
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: the reason why the total is low those because of
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: the injuries, well not injuries, but because of the players
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: being out for both sides. But also you know, both
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: teams are gonna come with defensive intensity in that game.
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: So I'm not really gonna disagree with an under in
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: that one. Yeah, Draham on of course he's saying that,
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: I don't know what's going on with Draymond, but whatever,
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: Heat Magic, I think is the next game up. Yeah,
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: I mean this is a big game for both teams.
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: I think too, both teams don't like each other.
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: Here. Do I agree with Sob in this one? I
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: think I do. I mean the Heat.
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: They're coming off that ugly loss. We took a loss
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: on that in the show. Jeffrey got that one right
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: Heat at Dallas. Although if you look at the box
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: scoring that game, and it was a massive outlier of
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: a game, like shooting percentage wise between both teams, Miami
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: had a horrific shooting game. Dallas shot the lights out.
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: Miami had way more possessions in the game. No excuse
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: for losing that game.
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: Miami. Probably they were.
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: Looking ahead to Orlando though, which I didn't know. I
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: didn't think that was gonna be that much of a concern,
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: but I think maybe they were. Orlando is also coming
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: off a loss, but it was a close loss to
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: San Antonio at home.
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I all.
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: Agree with sob, I think the spot does set up
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: better because Miami is coming off an uglier loss, so
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: the Spot sets apt her from Miami. Eighty percent of
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: the tickets on the Heat, though, I mean the public,
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: they're gonna see Miami installed as an underdog and they
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: will be on the Miami side. But I think the
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: actual professional money is also there as well. Magic down
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: from six to five and a half. I don't disagree
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: with the Heat in that game, even though they are
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: the better record getting points. But even so, I mean,
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: the public's not always gonna get it wrong. Draymond is
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: having a child as well. He's just like, yeah, you
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: go deal with it, Draymond. I mean, he is kind
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: of a dick man. I'm not saying that you shouldn't
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: be in the hospital at all. I'm saying that Lucas
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: should have flown his wife out and she should have
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: given birth during the game. But hey, I'll take it
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: if he's not playing against the Celtics. But maybe the
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: Celtics will take it too easy against the Lakers and
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: Luca not there, so maybe that worries me a little bit.
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: Although you saw what the Celtics did to Luca in
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: the finals, against Dallas, so Celtics. I mean, they didn't
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: necessarily stop Luca, but they stopped Dallas because Luca couldn't
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: do everything himself. So but he's not gonna be in
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: this game anyway, So I don't know. Maybe the Celtics
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: will take them a little bit lightly. Denver Nuggets are
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: at Atlanta. Denver bounce back with a win against Indiana
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: a couple days ago.
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: Now they're traveling to Atlanta.
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: It's not a bad spot for Denver, but I would
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: probably lean towards taking the points of Atlanta here. Atlanta
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: mired in a bad stretch and they had a horrible
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: loss against the Clippers the other night, which was a
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: win for us here on the show, jumping in on
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: that Clippers team that can't win at all.
• 53:36
  Speaker 2: They got a blowout win there.
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: That was a terrible spot for Atlanta, coming off wins
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: over Cleveland, double overtime winner for Philadelphia, almost beating Detroit,
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: and then coming back home with Denver coming up next
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: Sandwich spot, terrible spot. I expect to bounce back from
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: Atlanta here. If I was gonna play this, I would
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: take the points with the Hawks eighty six percent takes
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: ninety eight percent of the cash on the Nuggets, though
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: it was a sixth point road favorite. Nuggets are not
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: really in a bad spot, though, and they are certainly
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: a very good team, So that is what you're having
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: to deal with in that game. The spot is bad
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: for the Lakers. It's somewhat bad for both. I mean,
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: both teams played yesterday. The Celtics had an easier time
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: of it yesterday, like I said, but the Lakers have
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: a thin roster with Luca out there. The Celtics rested
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: Jalen Brown yesterday and he'll play tonight. So the Celtics,
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: they've been resting guys, man like they have a more
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: rested team. Because the Celtics also in the game against Cleveland,
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: I think Derek White didn't play in that game. So
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: the Celtics have been resting guys in a bunch of
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: different games years, so they're pretty fresh and probably they'll
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: have their full line up playing in this game against
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: the Lakers. San Antonio at Cleveland. Maybe this is what
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: I was thinking of instead of the Detroit game. I
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: forget at this point, man, I forget what I'm thinking.
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: Half the time.
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: San Antonio nice win over Orlando.
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: They're playing a third game in four days, now, fourth
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: game in six days, fifth game in eight days, and
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: actually a sixth.
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: Game in ten days. Is that right? So I do
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: that math right, all in different cities. That is not easy, dude.
• 55:12
  Speaker 2: This travel situation for San Antonio is ridiculous.
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: And it's ridiculous that we did not get the cover
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: with Memphis in that game a couple of days ago.
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: Still pissed about that. But this scheduling spot is really
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: difficult for San Antonio. They're just playing way too many
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: games in short succession. Cleveland's coming up an ugly loss
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: to Portland, which Soab is pointing out. Yeah, so I
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: actually might not disagree with him on on the well,
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: actually I don't know. I forget what he was saying
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: in the other game. But in this game I leaned
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: towards Cleveland. I mean, they're more rested, they're staying at home,
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: they're coming off a pretty bad loss. If I double
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: digits to Portland, I think lost four of the last five.
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: I know Cleveland's a little bit injured right now, they're
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: without Garland and Jared Allen here, but still I expect
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: Cleveland to win this one. My opinion would be they
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: win and cover here, but the money's coming in against
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: me on this, It's coming in towards the Spurs. I
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: would lay it with Cleveland, though Cleveland down from six
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: to four and a half, which almost seems to indicate
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: there are more personnel issues here with Cleveland. But I
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: looked and those are the main things that I saw.
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: Garland and Allen are both out, but that's already been
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: the case, so I don't know. Maybe there's some news
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: I'm unaware of. Fifty take it seventy percent of the
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: cash on the Spurs side. I leaned towards the Calves
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: in that one, though, Portland at Detroit back to back,
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: try with Yeah, Toronto to Boston, correct, No, Luca and
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: Lebron is old. Yeah, it's a thin roster right now
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: for la there, but laying seven with Boston seems a
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: little bit crazy.
• 56:45
  Speaker 2: So I'm not I'm not gonna do it. I mean,
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: I leaned towards the Celtic.
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: I think the Celtics will win, and hopefully I'm right
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: for my own biases, but I don't want to lay
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: that number. Though. You forced me to pick a side,
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: and that one, I guess I would lay it, but
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: it seems just awful.
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: Uh, Portland at Detroit.
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: Portland, as sobs pointing out, they're coming off that huge
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: win over Cleveland, big upset win. Now they got to
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: turn around face Detroit, third game in four days. Maybe
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: Sab was saying he likes Detroit in this one. Is
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: that what you were saying, because I do think I
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: agree with Detroit in this one, which is what I
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: was saying before Portland. I mean, this run of games
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: they've been on is crazy. They almost beat Oklahoma City again,
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: and they took Oklahoma City basically to the wire, went
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: out on the road, it's still covered against us, and
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: beat me with my Toronto play. Toronto was up sixteen
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: in the third quarter in that game and didn't even cover.
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: Portland played tough in that game. Then they turn around
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: the very next night in the upset Cleveland.
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: Now they got to face Detroit. Yeah, usually you're gonna
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: be focused.
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: On a team like Detroit, but Portland might just have
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: nothing left in the tank at this point. Man in
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: Detroit is coming off that loss to Milwaukee.
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I like Detroit in this game.
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: Yeah, the spot just looks way worse for the Trailblazers
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: to me, the line is indicating, I mean, the money's
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: indicating against me on this one. But I would probably
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: lay it with the Pistons seventy three percent of tickets,
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: only seventy two percent of the cash on them. They're
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: down from eight to seven and a half. But I
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: just don't know if the Blazers have anything left, man,
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: with how difficult that schedule is. So I do not
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: like that one. So I think I disagree with SOB
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: on that one. Then you got the Calves at minus five. Yeah,
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: mister Pinsey, what's up? Thanks for hanging out. I started
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: a little bit earlier today. Heat I agree with Calves.
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: I agree with Blazers. Like I said, I do not
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: agree with that one.
• 58:42
  Speaker 2: Big money.
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: Don't overextend yourself, man, even if I'm really confident in
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: a play, you should never put more than like, don't
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: bet more than you can afford. But you never want
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: to bet some extreme amount on one play, because nothing's
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: ever a lock. I don't think the Cowboys are fraud like.
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: I think they're a decent team and they have a
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: really really good offense. Their defense is not very good.
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean the Cowboys, I mean I picked
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: them to make the playoffs in my preseason preview, and
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: the only reason they won't make the playoffs is because
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: the NFC have They have way too many teams with
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: good records in the NFC right now. I was correct
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: about the Cowboys being second place in their division. I
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: thought they'd be the last team to get into the playoffs.
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: It still could happen, but it's probably not because they're again,
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: there are just too many teams with good records. Obviously,
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: the Bears are the huge fraud here, and I expected
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: the Bears to not make the playoffs obviously, which they
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: probably shouldn't. But yes, just don't put too much money
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: on any individual game, then, is what I will say.
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: The Jazz are at the Knicks this game. I don't
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: know if this game really had any interest to me
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: at all. The Jazz are on a back to back
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: though they just won at Brooklyn last time.
• 59:55
  Speaker 2: I thought they were not in a good spot there.
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: I mean, the Jazz had beaten Houston the game before then,
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: they had the Knicks today and Oklahoma City up next,
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: so I don't know how the Jazz stayed focused in
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: that game against Brooklyn and won the game easily. But
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: now they're on a back to back, but at least
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: for them, they're staying in New York City, New York
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: coming out and easy went over Charlotte, but they did
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: have a day off and they're staying at home, so
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: The spot probably still a little bit better for the Knicks.
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: They do over Orlando up next, and then they did
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: lose at Orlando the last time they played them, so
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: possible look ahead there for the Knicks. I mean, the
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: line is up to fifteen and a half, fifty percent
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: of the ticket sixty nine percent of the catch on
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: the Jazz. I don't think I would want to grab
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: the points with the Jazz here, though, man on a
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: back to back, Jazz are two and seven on the road,
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: and the Knicks are really good at home eleven and
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: one at home. I would probably still lean towards laying
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: the points with the Knicks there. It's possible that game
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: gets out of hand, but I'm not gonna play that
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: game at all.
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 2: Charlotte at Toronto, this is gonna be my play.
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: Actually, we're gonna go right back to the well and
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: hope that we get it, because I think we got.
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 2: This one the previous time.
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: If I remember correctly, let's get the Hornets to do
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: it again for us. Man, the plus seven and a half,
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: I think it was eight eight and a half the
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: other time we did this, but not a huge difference.
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: Seven is really kind of the key number in basketball
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: because teams stop intentionally fouling at the three possession threshold.
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: But we're gonna go right back with it. Man, it
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: takes Charlotte again. They did Actually I.
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 2: Don't know if we were on this game or not,
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: where we or.
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: Not, I forget, but Charlotte did beat Toronto in overtime
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: on November twenty nine, so I know it looks like
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: it could be a revenge spot here. I know in
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: both of my plays here, I'm fading that quick revenge spot.
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: But Charlotte, they haven't won since then. I mean, they
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: were in a letdown spot off of then. We definitely
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: got the win on Brooklyn in the game after that,
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: because I thought it was a major letdown spot for Charlotte.
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: Then Charlotte tried to bounce back against the Knicks. They
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: weren't able to do it. Now they're going back to
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: Toronto here, But this is all about fading Toronto that
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: I mean the spot. I mean, I guess it's not
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: the greatest for Charlotte here, but really it's all about
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: fading Toronto.
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: Toronto.
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: They just played yesterday against the Lakers and they lost
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: on a buzzer beater three by Hachi Moa right.
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 2: At the buzzer.
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: I mean, that is a brutal way to lose to
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: a team like the Lakers. That was a huge game
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: for Toronto. Now they have to play again tonight, and
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: they gotta go play Boston on Sunday, so they're sandwiched
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: in between the Celtics Lakers rivalry. It's a Celtics Lakers
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: rivalry sandwich here. Even though yes, I know Charlotte did
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: beat them in Charlotte back on November twenty ninth.
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: I just don't see it. Man. This looks like a
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 2: mega sandwich about that Toronto is in. So this is
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: my one.
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: Play of the day here in the NBA. It is
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: the Hornets plus the points. Might be able to get
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: a little bit more on this. Eighty nine percent of tickets,
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: ninety five percent of the cash on the Raptors for now,
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: but they're really really public, so this is gonna be
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: a fade of the public at the very least, and
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: you might get a better number on this, like I said,
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: because it looks like, at least initially, maybe some of
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: the cash percentages here on the Raptors. I don't think
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be that way. When the game goes off,
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: we'll see. But Charlotte plus the points is the play there? Yeah,
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: it's it's just a fade of Toronto really there? Lakers
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: minus three and a half?
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: Wait? What pinsy? What are you doing?
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: Man? The Lakers were a two and a half point
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: underdog in that game. I don't know what we're talking
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: about here, unless you did an alt line or something
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: like that, or was it a live bet. I don't know, because, uh,
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: like the line on the game itself was Toronto like
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: minus two and a half.
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: Because because of.
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: Because of Luca being out alternate spread, man, you should
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: have just taken the Lakers plus. I would have just
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: taken the Lakers plus the two and a half, man,
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: that would have been the way to play it. Like,
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: why get greedy, don't get greedy, man, Lakers plus the
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: point and or money line would have been would have
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: been a winner on that one. Okay, what else we got? Oh,
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: Indiana at Chicago, Indiana? I mean obviously Indiana.
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: I mean they're having a bad season.
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: I mean they're an injured team. They just lost to
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: Denver in their last game. They get to go out
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: on the road for a single game, though, and maybe
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: it'll help them focus a little bit to just get
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: out of there go on the road. Chicago's been awful
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: recently too, though. They've lost five games in a row
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: I think now, losing to Brooklyn in their last game,
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: which was a return home spot though, so I talk
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: about how bad that return home spot is. Sometimes teams
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: just aren't focused, and Chicago did lose to Indiana on
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: the road during that road trip, so to me, it
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: does look like a focused spot for Chicago here. When
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: a team loses in that first game back home, they
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: usually do a lot better in the next game. Now
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: they're settled, they get whatever they had to do at
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: home out of the way. It's a quick revenge spot
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: here as well. So Chicago probably the way to look
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: in this game. Money seems to disagree. Bowls down for
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: five and a half to four and a half here,
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: sixty four percent of tickets on them, sixty eight percent
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the Pacers. I don't agree with that.
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: Market read though I would lean to the bulls in
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: that game. Phoenix at Houston in the next episode of
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: the Kevin Durant series, if we want to call it that.
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: Phoenix did just loose to Houston really badly at home
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: on November twenty fourth, by twenty two points. So debatably
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: it is a bounce back spot for Phoenix. Problem is,
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: they just beat LA. They just beat the Lakers on
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: the road, man, and Kevin Booker got hurt in the game,
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: So that's another part of the situation here. So it's like,
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: what do we do here? Because on the service it
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: looks like it's a letdown spot for Phoenix.
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 2: I mean, they just beat LA.
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: But on the other hand, they just got smacked by
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: Houston the last time they played them. I mean, I
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna overlook Houston here, man.
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 2: And they have multiple days off.
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: They haven't played since Monday, so I think that kind
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: of mitigates the look ahead. And now Booker is out,
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: so this is gonna be a This is gonna be
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: an injured player spot that Phoenix is in. I talk
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: about this when your star player goes down a lot
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: of times, the team will step up their game in
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: the first game without them because they know they have
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: to play harder with that guy out of there. So
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: there are definitely some things in favor of Phoenix in
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: this game. So it's not really just a simple letdown
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: spot for Houston. They just return home and they won
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: in a blowout against Sacramento, so they're just in a
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: second game back home, continuing to play at home. It's
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: not exactly a bad spot for Houston. So I'm not
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: coming in on this game at all, but it is
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: a really, really weird spot. The money is coming in
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: on Phoenix. Houston down from fourteen a half to eleven.
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: I think most of the reason for that move is
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: probably the Booker injury, so or no, excuse me, what
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: are we talking about. Houston dropped from fourteen and a
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: half to eleven. I don't know what's going on with that,
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: because you gotta think that Houston. I guess Houston just
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: would be less big of a favorite if Booker was playing, though,
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: So I don't know.
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 2: I don't know what prompted that life I move.
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: My mistake there fifty percent taket seventy percent of the
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: catch on the suns. You know, I still might lean
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: to the Suns just because Houston might overlook them a
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: little bit, because again the Suns, having just got blown
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: out by the Rockets, the Suns are gonna have the
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: adjustments to make Sons are likely to step up their
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: game here with another star player injured, they have extra
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: time to prepare for this. So I don't hate the
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: Sun's side in that game, despite the fact that they
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: just beat the Lakers. I don't think that the letdown
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: is actually the way to handicap that game so slightly
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: towards the Suns plus the points in that one Houston.
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: Houston's very very good though, and they're very very big
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: in size. Alternate spreading. No, no, no, no, do not do that.
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: Do not get greedy. I mean it was getting really
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: dicey for Houston or for Detroit to even win by
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: the three last night. I mean, the other way to
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: have done that game would have been to like money
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: line at moneyline, parlay it with something else, because it
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: was I thought it was highly unlikely the.
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 2: Detroit was gonna lose the game.
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: Obviously, personal and rest same as injury spots. Uh not
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: not entirely. I think maybe in that first game. I
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: don't know, because No, I don't think you do. Because
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: the injury is unexpected. So when the injury happens, the
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: team like almost rallies in the next game, whereas the
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: rest is like expected, so it's almost more of like
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: a mundane thing.
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 2: The rest sometimes almost indicates.
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: That the team doesn't care about the game, so it's
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: it's a lot more difficult to gauge what rest is
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: gonna do. Rest could go either way, So I don't
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: think they are the same. Uh yeah, well, I mean
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: everything is pretty much rigged, But I mean I just
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: try to I just go with the with the situational
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: handicapping that I've been doing for almost two decades.
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: Man Clippers are at Memphis.
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: Clippers are coming up that blow out win over Atlanta
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: that did break a long lost streak for them, so
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: maybe they will have momentum coming into this one against Memphis.
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: Memphis just lost a win streak against San Antonio. Again,
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: I'm pissed about that. They should have covered that game.
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: They were winning by one with three minutes left in
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: the game. Now they're coming back home from a road
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: trip as well, so it's not a good spot for Memphis.
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: And by the way, they beat the Clippers during the
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: road trip too, so Memphis coming back home from all
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: that could be a distracted spot man for them on
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: the return home spot got to get back to doing
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: stuff at home.
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 2: Whatever.
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: So I think the Clippers of the right side, and
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: this one they're up from a pick them to a
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: one and a half way favorite. So the oddsmakers are
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: telling you the Clippers are the better team. They're laying
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: points on the road. Eight took its ninety three percent
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the Clippers, so the money is
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: coming in on the Clippers. I'm not gonna disagree with it.
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: I don't quite want to get there with that one,
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: but that that would be a lean for me as
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: well towards the Clippers.
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 2: What Rachel she is a I don't know what? What? What? What?
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: What do we want to call Rachel?
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: She's a she's a woke progressive, claims to be a libertarian.
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: She likes to give me a hard time and I
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: do the same to her. Philadelphia and Milwaukee. Philadelphia, they
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: just beat Golden State yesterday, so I mean that's a
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: big win, even though it was Golden State without Steph Curry,
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: big win for Philadelphia. Nonetheless, Philadelphia was without Paul George.
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: I think in that game. I don't know if he's
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: back in this game or not.
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 2: I have no idea.
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: I never know who's playing for Philadelphia, man, so their
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: games are pretty difficult to handicap. I mean, we could
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: look at the uh, we gotta look at the injury
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: report for this Embid. Game time decision, Paul George, game
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: time decision. We don't know what they're doing, man. We
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: never know what's going on. And me excuse Embiid, his
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: knee is terrible. We know this Embiid played in that
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: last game. It looks like he is available, so he's
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: probably playing.
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 2: George.
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: We don't see any news on him yet, so we
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: don't know if George is playing or not. Ubra is out,
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 1: and then we know Yannis is out on the Milwaukee side,
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: So does that mean this is an injured player spot again?
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 2: Yannis got injured.
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: Right at the beginning of that Detroit game, so I
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: guess yes, it is an injured player spot for Milwaukee
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: here because.
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 2: Again it's gonna be yet again.
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be their first game in the new episode
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: of Yanni's being injured and Milwaukee is coming off beating
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: to Detroit in that game without him though, So I mean,
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: is it an injured player spot or is it a
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: letdown spot?
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man.
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: I mean, maybe Milwaukee will step it up without Yanni's here,
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: but they're also coming up a game against Detroit, so
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: this is a very difficult game to handicap. I mean,
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: I almost think your psycho, if you want to try
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: to bet the side in this game, sixty eight percent
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: take it. Seventy percent of the couch on the Sixers
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: their Republic side. They're down from minus one and a
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: half to one. I mean, the fact that the Sixers
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: are public and the line looks like it's kind of
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: moving against them almost makes you want to lean towards
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: the at least lean towards the Bucks in the injured
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: player spot, which I again because I talked about it
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: in that other game. I think maybe it trumps the
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: the letdown spottle though in this case, I don't know.
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 2: I mean the other one.
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: I think it trumps it more because Booker is usually there,
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: so it's gonna be a different thing with him not there.
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: But Giannis is like always not playing. That's the other
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: thing about RESTS is that it's much more predictable, so
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: teams are just used to it. But I actually think
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: that's kind of a bad thing for the team because
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: like Giannis is always like in and out of the lineup.
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: So I think as far as like, is the team
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: gonna like seriously step up their game now with him
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: out of the lineup again, I'm not so sure. So
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: that's really the problem there when the guy's always injured.
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: And then we have Dallas at Oklahoma City. This Dallas team,
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, I can't really get a good gauge on them.
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 2: They just pulled off that upset over Miami.
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: Inter return home spot, going back out on the road
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: again a face to Oklahoma City, and they're not going
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: to be unfocused here. Dallas has pulled off three big
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: wins in a row though, well, three wins in a
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: row against the Clippers, a huge one against Denver, both
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: those on the road, so they were underdogs in both
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: of those, and then another underdog win at home against Miami.
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: So three straight underdog wins. Usually I'm gonna look to
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: fade a team where they've won three straight games as
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: an underdog.
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma City.
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: They're returning home, but they only went to Portland and
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: Golden State, so it was a short road trip coming
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: back home Oklahoma City. I mean, they're just absolutely dominant
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: at home, doesn't even really matter who's in the lineup
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: for them. I would probably lay the points with the
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: Thunder and this one. They're a fifteen point favorite, seventy
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: three percent of the cash on them, fifty eight percent
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: of tickets on the MAVs. Public kind of likes the
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: MAVs because they're winning recently. But and it looks like
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: a lot of points here. But I would probably lay
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: it if I was gonna play that game with the Thunder.
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: Oh was it a fake injury?
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: I don't even know, man, So that makes the injured
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: players about even less credible. I guess if he faked
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: an injury, I don't know what's going on, man, Jannis.
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: I just think he doesn't want to play on that
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: team anymore. He was when he came back from the
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: previous injury.
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 2: He was complaining that the team wasn't playing hard.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: So he's gonna get traded. I just hope he doesn't
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: get traded to the Lakers. That would really piss me off.
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: I hope he winds up anywhere else. But I do
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: have a Giannis Bucks jersey, and I'll have to burn
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: it if he goes to the Lakers. A big win
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: for the Sixers. Yeah, all right, that is it for
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: the NBA. I mean, I don't even know if I
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: love that Charlotte play. To be honest, I don't like
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: the NBA board at all today, So yeah, I mean,
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: bad spot for the Raptors though, So that's whe we're
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: going there.
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 2: And then we do have college football.
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: I do have one play, but the line is moving
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: in the game that I like here, So I don't know.
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 2: He fought with his team.
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that Bucks team is a disaster college football. It
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: is conference championship week. Man, I don't know if I'll
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: be back tonight or if I'll just do tomorrow. Maybe
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: I'll do it tonight.
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I gotta figure out.
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: I gotta look at what the basketball schedule looks like tomorrow,
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: because I know you guys.
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 2: Are used to my night games, I mean, my.
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: Night shows for football, but there just isn't that much
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: this week because it's championship week. So we only have
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: the conference championships. But lets me split them up half
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: and half basically, so we have four of them tonight
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: first one up is the Sun Belt, which is the
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: least interesting one on ESPN at seven pm. James Madison
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: hosting this game. This game is at James Madison. Because
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: these smaller conferences, the better team or the team with
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: the better record, whatever, the team it's the top.
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 2: Seed, gets to host.
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: Troy is the team coming out of the other half
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 1: of the Sun Belt. They were able to beat Southern
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: Miss or whatever to get into this one. I don't
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: think Troy should even be here, to be honest with
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: a lot of times when people say that the team
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: does surprise you, Southern Miss is better than Troy, though
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: Troy was able to get through them to get into
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: this game. Although they're probably gonna get smacked by James Madison,
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: I mean James Madison.
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 2: They're a good team.
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: They're up to a twenty three and a half point
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: favorite here, although they are the public side eighty seven
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, only eighty three percent of the cash,
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: and with the total ridiculously low, well not ridiculously but
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: pretty low at forty seven and a half forty seven
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: now it looks a little bit difficult to lay the
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: points with JAMU.
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 2: Although I would.
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: Worry about that a little bit because I'm not coming
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: in on this game at all. Like, yes, Troy does
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: play decent defense, their offense is terrible. So one way
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 1: to look at this maybe is Troy under their team
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: total if you think it's gonna be a low scoring game.
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: But the thing about James Madison is they could get
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: into the playoff and that is what they want to do,
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: so they don't want to just win this game and
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: win the Sun Belt. They need style points. So that's
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: the thing that worries me about, like the under in
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: this game or taking Troy bus the points here, what
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: worries me is that James Madison might intentionally run up
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: the score here because they need style points. James Madison,
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: they're a really good team. They're balanced on offense, they're
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: Kurt Signetti left this program to go to Indiana, and
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: this program has been really good since he was there
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: and since he built it up. Really really good man.
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: James Madison. They do run the football a lot, which
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: might shorten the game, So that aspect of it does
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: kind of look like an under type of game, with
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: James Madison being a good rushing team Troy being more
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: of a defense oriented team. But James Madison. They can
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: still throw the ball to and they play good defense.
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: They're good on all sides of the ball, and they
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: may still cover again because they might run up the score.
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: But also when they have a big lead, if they're
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: running the football, that's what they do well, might be
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: able to still pad the lead by running the football.
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: So I don't want to get involved in this game
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: at all. But yeah, I mean, I guess if you
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: look at the market, the opinion would be to take
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: the points with Troy.
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 2: It makes sense with the total that's that low.
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: But again I worry that James Madison is just gonna
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: start running the score up in this one to try
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: to get into the playoff and out of the teams
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: that can make the playoffs.
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 2: So the way the playoff works is.
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: There are no auto bids for these conferences, right, so
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: like the winner of the ACC if it's Duke, isn't
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: even gonna get in. So if Duke winsy, we'll talk
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: about Duke tomorrow. But if they win the a SEC championship,
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: they're still gonna not make the playoff. If Virginia wins,
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: I think they will get in. But all that being said,
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: so some of these other teams need to lose and whatever.
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: But James Madison, they have a really good shot to
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: get into the playoffs, like a better shot to get
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: in the North Texas and Tulane, partially because North Texas
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: and Tulane are playing each job. But James Madison, if
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: they win and blow out fashion here, the Committee's gonna
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: take note. And I think because they have the Kurt
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: Signetti pedigree, they might make the playoffs. So I don't
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: really want to fade James Madison, and that's model though.
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: Nobody's giving Troy any credit though, so Troy, they are
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: pretty much free rolling here because Troy did not expect
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: to be in this game, so Troy can come in
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: and play really loose because nobody's expecting anything from Troy.
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: So there is that aspect of this game. The game
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: is also gonna be cold, though it's in Virginia, but
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be freezing temperatures twenty nine degrees, which I
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: think is probably worse for Troy because they're from Alabama.
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 2: James Madison. This is in Virginia, so.
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: Virginia at least a little bit more used to the cold,
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: and because JMU runs the football, they might not hurt
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: James Madison that much, although it might hurt the scoring
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: a little bit. But Troy also they were defensive teams,
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: so they're probably not gonna be that affected by the.
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 2: Freezing temps either.
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: There a lot going on that game, man, which I
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: do not want to touch it at all. No National
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: Football Lottery. I'll have to check that out. I don't
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: know what it is. Kennesaw and Jacksonville State are in
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: the Conference USA Championship. Sorry to Justin, I guess, although
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: his Missouri State team I think was ineligible to be
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: in this game. Jacksonville State I believe won this thing
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: last year, so maybe they don't quite care about this
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: as much all though, again, I think this was one
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: of their goals this year to win it again.
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 2: But I believe they did win it last year.
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: Yeah, they beat Western Kentucky in the championship last year,
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: and then they lost the staff DNA cure ball to
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: the MAC champion Ohio last year. So Jacksonville State, they
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: did win this championship last year. Now, Jacksonville State wasn't
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: expected to do as much this year because they lost
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: rich Rod I think he was their coach last year.
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: He left went to West Virginia. Jacksonville State had a
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: lot of turnover. They had rebuilt their team here, but
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: they played well. Kennisaw. I mean they might want this
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: game a little bit more though, because Kennisa they're really
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: new to FBS, like this is their first year where
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: I think they're actually eligible to get into these postseason games,
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: so they.
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 2: Might want this thing more. Man.
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: Both teams, by the way, are coming up big games.
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: Canisada just beat Liberty to get into this thing, and
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State beat Western Kentucky, so they both just beat
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: pretty good teams to get to make sure that they
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: got into this game. So I don't think there's gonna
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: be a letdown component really one way or the other,
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: because both teams came off a big game here. KENNISAD
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: did just play Jacksonville State at Jacksonville State.
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 2: Which is also where this game is.
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: This game is in Alabama, so Kennisad did just play here,
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: and yes, Jacksonville State beat them by nine points, but
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: if you look at what happened in this game, it
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: was extremely misleading. Kennisa outgained Jacksonville State five seventy nine
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: to four point fifty one in the game, and they
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: lost the game because they had minus four in turnovers.
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: So this game, you can't just look at the final score, man,
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: you look at the box score. Kennisaw State outplayed Jacksonville
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: State in this game. Man, They just made a lot
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 1: of mistakes. They had a ton of penalties as well.
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: They dominated the first downs thirty two to eighteen, dominated
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: time of possession by almost nine minutes.
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 2: So Kenisall was the better team. So that's misleading.
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: And Kennisaw's gonna have the adjustments to make here because
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: they lost that game. So with Jacksonville State, it's like, well,
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: most things work, so what do you have to fix?
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: Kennasaw could certainly fix what went wrong in that game,
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: because really it was just mental mistakes in that game,
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: so they could definitely fix that. So I do like
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: Kennisaw in this one. The money seems to disagree with it.
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: Kennisaw did initially flip from a one and a half
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: point dog to two and a half point favorite. I
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: think at a one and a half point dog that
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: line was way off because if you look at the line,
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: we can't see it anymore on ESPN here. But Kenisaw
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: was a small favorite in the other game against Jacksonville State,
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: So this line is more in line with where it
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: was then, although I mean it's not a huge difference
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: really between.
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 2: One team being one and a half the other. I
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 2: mean the other team he two and a half.
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: Obviously you'd rather get points, but it's kind of all
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: within that range where it's basically you're gonna basically be
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: picking the winner here. Sixty eight percent to take is
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: only fifty five percent of the cash on the Kennisau side,
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 1: but I would lean towards Kennesaw in this one, and
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in on the over, even though
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: it's a public side. The totals all the way up
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: to sixty and a half, I wouldn't really disagree with
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: the over in this one. I mean, I know the
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: other game was fairly high scoring too, but you saw
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: the yards in that game. That game probably should have
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: been higher scoring. Both teams had a.
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 2: Ton of yarders in that game.
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: So the over kind of makes sense here, and they're
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: usually in a championship game, you kind of expect more intense,
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: deepfense and you kind of want to lean towards unders,
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: But in this game, I don't really think so.
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 2: The weather, I mean, it's gonna be cool.
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be forty six degrees there, so we'll see
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: what happens.
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 2: They're both teams are kind of warm weather teams.
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: There, uh, North Texas in two let in the American Championship.
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: North Texas ranked twenty four, Tulane ranked twenty. Now, the
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: loser of this game is gonna be certainly eliminated from
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: the playoff. The winner of this game has a chance
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: to make the playoff, although I think it's still kind
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: of unlikely.
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 2: Like the winner of this game, I think you would
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: definitely need Duke.
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: To beat Virginia at the very least for the winner
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: of this game to get into the playoff, but it
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: is possible.
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 2: But really, they need.
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: James Madison to lose and that's probably not gonna happen,
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: and that game's being played at the same time.
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 2: But these teams are gonna show up.
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna try to win the game, like
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: the game matters to both teams. But I think the
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: public is gonna be all on North Texas here because
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: North Texas had a great offense, so that's what the
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: public loves. They love offense, but they're probably kind of
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: ignoring the fact that Tulane is a pretty balanced team,
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: probably more balanced than North Texas. North Texas is a
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: very public side, their three point favorite now, so you
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: might be able to get the plus three on Tulane.
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 1: This is a very high total, it's sixty six and
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: a half, so taking the points is a little bit
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: less tempting in a game like this. Seventy four percent
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: of ticket, sixty percent of the cash on North Texas
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: money coming in against them. I agree with taking the
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: points with Tulane in this one. This game is at Tulane.
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: North Texas did these teams didn't play this year, I
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: don't think against each other, so there's no we don't
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: have any data point there from these teams playing each other.
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: This game is at Tulane. As far as the weather
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: is concerned, it's supposed to be kind of disgusting. It's
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: gonna be fifty and rainy. So that might actually be
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: bad for North Texas because they like to air it out,
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: they like to throw the football, and even though slick
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: services sometimes make the defense fuck up and not know
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: where the offense is gonna go, I think that rain
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: and cool weather might actually impact North Texas's throwing and
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: We're also looking at a quarterback situation that I think
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: favors Tulane here because even though everybody's talking about North
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: Texas offense, mess to maker, their quarterbacks set that record.
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: But he's a red shirt freshman man, so he is
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: not used to playing in a game of this magnitude.
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 2: Whereas Tulane. Their quarterback is Jake Rhettslav, who he's used
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 2: to big games because he was at BYU.
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: Last year and they kicked him out of the program
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: because he had sex with I assume a woman.
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 2: He's got to be hetero, right.
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: So Tulane they have the more experienced quarterback man and
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: also I think he's a junior or whatever, So I
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: think Tulane is a quarterback experience edge in this game
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: for sure. Now North Texas they've also faced an easier
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: schedule as well, Like people are gonna see this eleven
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: and one record, but who have they played like they're
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: out of conference. Schedule was unbelievably easy. They beat Western
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: Michigan in overtime. I know Western Michigan they're in the
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: MAC Championship, but we'll talk about that game tomorrow.
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 2: Western Michigan's pretty good.
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: Their defense is good, but I don't think they're the
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: best team in the MAC and North Texas had to
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: go into overtime to beat that team. They beat Washington State,
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: I know they crushed them, but it was a bad
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: spot for Washington State and Washington State's not that good.
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: Then North Texas had to go to overtime to beat Army,
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: and then they didn't do that well against South Alabama,
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: and then their conference schedule is unbelievably easy except for
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: South Florida, and South Florida murdered them in a primetime
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: home game where North Texas should have shown up in
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: that game.
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 2: They lost sixty three to thirty six.
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: So this resume of North Texas does not inspire much
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: confidence in me.
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 2: Man. I'm sorry.
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: I know their offense is good, but their conference schedule
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: after facing South Florida was really really easy up until Yes,
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: I know they beat Temple. Temple's fairly solid. They crushed them,
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: but Chuleane is much more battle tested. If you look
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 1: at their schedule, they beat Duke, they beat Northwestern, so
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: they have multiple Power Conference wins and again they have
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: a Power Conference quarterback. They lost to Old Miss, but
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: they at least played Old Miss They're definitely more battle test,
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: to dude, and their schedule in conference was more difficult
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: because they had to play on the road at Utsa,
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: where UTSA plays.
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 2: Really well on the road.
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: They won on the road at Memphis, and North Texas
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: didn't even have to face Memphis, and we know Memphis
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: was right there in the running in the conference. On
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 1: Tulane also did beat Army, although it was at home,
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: and they beat Temple convincingly on the road. And they
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: had an easier game last week against Charlotte, whereas North
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 1: Texas was getting that win over Temple last week, which
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: was a more difficult game, Tulane was having just an
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: easy game against Charlotte that nobody's even gonna pay attention to.
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: All they beat this awful Charlotte team in an ugly
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: game twenty seven to nothing.
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 2: No one's gonna care about that. I like Tulane and
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 2: this one, this one almost makes my card. I like it.
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 2: Tulane plus the points makes sense.
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: Tulane eliminated. Yeah, the Temple owls. Yeah, did Temple have
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 1: a shot to make the championship game before that?
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 2: They might have?
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: All Right, my play though, and this line is moving,
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: It's in no man's land, though, so I think you
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: could probably still lay.
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: It where it is.
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: We're gonna be on Boise State minus. It was four
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: like last night into this morning, and then it was
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: four and a half this morning, gets five now, But
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: I mean.
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 2: There's not much of a difference.
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: Four and a half, five, five and a half, there's
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: almost no difference. Four is slightly better, But I still
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: think this number is way too low. We're going with
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: Boise State in the Mountain West Championship here UNLV. I mean,
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: you want to talk about fraudulent, That's what I've been
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: saying about UNLV.
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 2: I still think that's the case here.
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: The public is not gonna want anything to do with
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: Boise State because they've been playing really ugly football recently.
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: And Boise State they're like eight and four and UNLV's
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: ten and two. So why would the public be laying
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: points with Boise State. Well, you could have said that
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: when Boise State played in UNLV during the season, too,
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: like right, like, why would you want to lay points
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: with Boise Well, guess what happened in that game? Boise
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: won and they covered, and as I know, Boise had
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: their starting quarterback still intact in that game with maddx Madsen,
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: but we'll talk about him in a minute. Fifty tickets,
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: seventy three percent of the cash on Boise. The actual
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: money is definitely coming in on Boise here. It is
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: not a low total. So in that respect, I mean,
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: winning by margin is gonna be easier to do.
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 2: Now. Boise has owned UNLV.
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: Like people might talk about, oh, well, it's revenge for
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: UNLV because Boise beat UNLV this year. Yeah, but Boise
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 1: also won the Mountain West Championship last year against UNLV.
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: They also beat UNLV during the regular season last year.
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 1: I don't even know when the last time UNLV beat
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: Boise State is. Boise State just owns them. So it
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: gets to a point where revenge just isn't really a thing,
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. Like, yeah, UNLV wants to
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: beat them, it'll be huge, but Boise just has their
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: number man and this UNLV team they're not as good
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: as they were last year. I know they're ten and two.
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 1: I know you guys seem to like Dan Mullins, I
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: do not. UNLV is also face a really weak schedule.
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: I mean we'll talk about this too. Boise schedules have
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 1: been way more difficult UNLV. The best team that they
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: played out of conference was I guess UCLA, and that
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: was when UCLA was playing really poorly and then wound
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: up firing their coach.
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 2: I'm not putting much weight into that win.
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: And then they should have lost at Miami Ohio, who
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: will talk about tomorrow because they're in the Mac Championship game.
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: They're a pretty good MAC team, but UNLV that was
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: a loss for us. On the show, we had Miami
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: Ohio plus the two and a half, and I wish
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: I got to it earlier with the four and a half,
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 1: but Miami Ohio blew the game. They were winning the
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: game by double digits late, so that was the game
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: where UNLV pulled the win out of their ass. UNLV
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: also should not have won this Wyoming game, which we saw.
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: This is a weird snow game and Wyoming dominated them
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: out gaining them by over one hundred yards and it
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: was really just the turnover battle. UNLV had multiple Fluke
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: touchdowns in that game. Shouldn't have won that game. They
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: barely beat Air Force. Then, like I said, they got
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: watched by Boise State, and by the way, Boise State
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 1: was a thirteen point favorite in that game, So now
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: we're looking at them being a four to four and
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: a half five point.
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 2: Favorite here, Well, what has changed?
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: And we're gonna talk about the quarterback situation because he's
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: actually back.
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 2: Madsen is back.
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: So given that fact, why why would this line be
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: eight points off from where it was in this game?
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 2: It makes no sense to me at all. So it's
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 2: almost like you just have to do it, you have
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 2: to take the line value here.
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 1: Boise won that game easily. Boise was a thirteen point
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: favorite in that game. Again, there's no reason why they
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: should be a five point favorite here, Like, yeah, if
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 1: you want to argue thirteen was too many, okay, but
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: like what should the line be?
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 2: Ten? Like eight?
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 1: I mean five seems absolutely absurd. And then UNLV also
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: lost to New Mexico, which we'll talk about them in
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: a minute as well, because Boise beat New Mexico. So
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: New Mexico was the other team that had the shot
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: to make this game. New Mexico came from out of
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: nowhere this year and played really well. But Boise beat
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: New Mexico and UNLV did not. And then the rest
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: of the schedule really easy for UNLV. I know, Utah
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: State pretty good team, but UNLV beat had to go
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: to double overtime to beat them, and they just had
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: a really easy schedule. Otherwise, man Colorado State down this year.
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: They got Hawaii at home so they didn't have to
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 1: go out to Hawaii. Hawaii not as good coming to
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: the mainland. And then they beat Nevada to finish it off.
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: I know, I thought Nevada would cover in that game.
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: Nevada is just awful though it's a big rivalry game,
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: but they just suck. So now we're looking at Boise
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: State again here, and for Boise again, Boise faced the
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: way more difficult schedule and if you look at the
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: conference teams here, like I said, New Mexico, the only
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: reason New Mexico's not in this game is because computer
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 1: metrics decided that UNLV for some reason, UNLV is better
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: than New Mexico and San Diego State. But Boise beat
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: New Mexico at home by doubled digits, and they beat UNLV.
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: Of course, UNLV lost to New Mexico. Boise, Yeah, they
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 1: lost to San Diego State.
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 2: I know that was with Boise's backup.
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: Quarterback in his first game, and I thought it was
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 1: an injured player spot but didn't work out well.
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 2: UNLV didn't even.
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: Have to play San Diego State, so you n LV
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: avoided San Diego State. Boise State's other conference loss was
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: Sefresno State. UNLV also didn't play them, So UNLV really
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: got an easy conference schedule here, remembereas Boise had to
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: face all of these teams at the top of the schedule.
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 1: Boise faced every single one of them. UNLV avoided half
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 1: of them during the season. And as I was saying, Boise,
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 1: they played a more difficult out of conference schedule. They
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: had that ugly loss to open the season at South Florida.
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: We know South Florida wound up having a good season,
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 1: and then Boise also had to play at Notre Dame.
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, come on, man, I mean much much more
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: difficult than anybody that UNLV faced this year. And now Boys,
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: I mean they got a nice little run, they got
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: some momentum beating I know, Colorado State's bad, and then
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 1: barely beating Utah State on the road. Okay, but I
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 1: think Boys is gonna show up focus here. And the
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 1: reason I think that, I mean it's the conference title game.
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: And of course you know you want to show up
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: for that because that's one.
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 2: Of your goals.
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: But there is a very very slim chance the boys
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: he can still get into get into the into the playoff,
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: although they need James Madison to lose, which isn't gonna happen.
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: They need a lot of things to happen. They need
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: to win this in a blowout. They need James Madison
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 1: to lose. They probably need Tulane to beat North Texas
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: like three to nothing, you know what I mean, Like
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 1: a bunch of crazy crap has to happen. But the
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: reason why I think Boise is showing up here is
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 1: because they're bringing Maddox Madison back for this game. He
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 1: is back their quarterback. And normally, you know I talk
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: about reverse injured player theory. Oh well, the team takes
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 1: their foot off the gas a little bit when their
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 1: star player comes back.
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 2: But do you really think that's gonna.
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 1: Be the case in the conference championship game where the
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: only reason they're bringing him back is because they're trying
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: to win this game.
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 2: No, I think they're gonna be focused.
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 1: You're not gonna take a step, You're not gonna take
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 1: it easy just because they're starting quarterbacks back when it's
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: the conference title game, you know what I mean. The
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 1: fact that they're bringing him back tells me they want
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 1: to win this game. The only issue might be how
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: rusty is he gonna be, you know what I mean?
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: But Madson is a very experienced quarterback. I mean, he
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 1: was their quarterback last year. He's been there for a
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: couple of years, so he's been here. He's done this before.
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 2: We get more experience.
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 1: On the Boise side. Boise is also just the better team.
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: They're the way better defense, that's not even close. And
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 1: both teams like to run the football, but I mean
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: Boise they have the better passing attack. I think there's
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 1: no question about that too. So Boise way more balanced team, better,
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: like you know, just good on both sides of the ball.
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: They're the better team. I think I'd be labored that
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 1: way too much. But the line value on this game
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: is just insane. Even at five five and a half,
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: I don't get it at all. If we got it
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: at one and a half, that would have been crazy.
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: That was, of course, before the injury news came out,
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: because we really thought that Madson wasn't gonna play. But
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 1: I just don't understand why this line is where it is,
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 1: with Boise having been a thirteen point favorite the first
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: time these teams faced off and Boise won that game.
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 2: The only thing I can figure.
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: Is it's just recency bias, where Boise just didn't look
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: good with their backup quarterback for a couple of games
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 1: there in UNLV has looked good winning games down the stretch,
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: but beating basically bad teams.
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 2: So Boise is the play there.
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: Man. That'll be my one conference championship game of the day,
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: and I probably have won tomorrow, but we'll see. I mean,
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: I gotta tread a little bit lightly. My college football
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: is in bad down the stretch. Don't want to blow
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: it last year. My conference championship week hasn't been good
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: the last couple of years, so I want to improve.
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 2: But those are my opinions on those games. And that's
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 2: it for today.
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 1: Man, you're gonna bet on Retzloft getting a rushing touchdown.
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: Oh Temple's not Bowl eligible? Oh shit, Yeah, well that sucks.
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 1: I think dam haven't been in a bowl for a while.
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 2: I think.
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: I think I might have talked about that last week
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: where I thought they might cover in that game, which
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 1: I don't believe they did.
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 2: All right, that's gonna do it once again.
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 1: I plays today college basketball really ugly East Texas, A
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 1: and M plus the points. Hockey we got the Buffalo
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 1: Sabers money line. NBA don't know if I love it.
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: My NBA has started to slide a little bit, even
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 1: though usually I'm really good. Charlotte plus the points there
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 1: and then college football, which i've I didn't put the
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 1: up closing parenthesy there, we're gonna be on Boise State
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 1: minus the points. I know it was out at four
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 1: when I logged it into the system here, but I
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: would still lay the five. Hopefully you can get the five.
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: There's really no difference between five to five and a half. Again,
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: I think there is a lot of line value still
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 1: there on the Boise side, So we're laying it with Boise.
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: I know, in the championship game last year, Boise was
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 1: not that huge of a favorite.
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 2: I think they were only.
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 1: About a favorite of about this size. But you want
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 1: to v was way better than they are this year.
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 1: Last year, I mean, this year they're a paper tiger.
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: You know what is really supposed to be a rebuilding year.
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: Boise does have some of their guys back, like their quarterback.
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: All of course, they don't have Genty anymore, but Boise
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: just kind of reloads at running backs, so it doesn't
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 1: really matter that much.
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 2: So that's gonna do it.
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: And Genty not doing well in the NFL, which I
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 1: kind of predicted that Pinsy yep, thanks for hanging out everybody, Jeffrey,
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: thank you, Thank you, sir. Thanks to everybody for hanging out.
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 2: Thank you.
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 1: Sorry, it's a lackluster of slate of games here today, Jeffrey, Pinzy,
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: Zach Rachel, thanks everybody, sob of course, thanks for hanging
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 1: out everybody, hopefully, And did I miss anybody?
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 2: Hopefully I didn't.
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 1: Uh oh, Fernando and Danny Yeah, and Dirty Sock Crap
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 1: and Scott I think it is who that was earlier
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: in the show.
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out, everybody. I'll be back. I might not. Well,
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 2: we'll see.
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: I gotta look at what the college basketball slate looks
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: like tomorrow, because I might. I'm gonna transition at some
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: point to doing Friday night college basketball shows for the
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: Saturday slate, so we'll see. I don't know if that's
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: starting tonight or not. But if you subscribe, to the show.
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 1: You'll get the notification here on YouTube again, learn it
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 1: Tone on Twitter, Learn it Tone on Instagram, like subscribe
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: to the show here, give me good comments. Audio helps
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 1: me out as well. Listen on audio give me a
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 1: good review over there. Apple Spotify covered in you because
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 1: my yuke channel here on YouTube. You can check that
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: out patreon dot com, slash learn it Toe. I'm trying
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 1: to get that feed up to date, trying to get
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 1: some requests done there that We're in the Christmas season,
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: so I'm kind of doing Christmas songs, which I usually do,
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 1: but they're gonna kind of all be repeats at this point,
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 1: but I haven't recorded them, you know, using this mic
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: and whatever before. So I put one out last night
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 1: with a comedic Jonathan Colton Christmas song last night.
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 2: That's on Twitter. Kind of get it up there on
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 2: Patreon dot comment.
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 1: Yeah, you can get requests as well, and then check
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 1: out the Loser Cast, which we have the channel on YouTube.
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 1: You'll see it there, but the first episode was on
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 1: Leighton's Outline Thoughts channel, so you can go check that
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 1: out there. Hopefully we get into groove and get that
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 1: thing going. My Loser is not Tyler is gonna win
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 1: with his loser pick of the week just because he
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: went with He went with a woman that everybody knows
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: who she is, so good on his part, it was
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 1: it was a choice that was gonna get a lot
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 1: of votes. That's gonna do it, man. I'll be back
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 1: either tonight or tomorrow.
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 2: We'll gotta figure it out.
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 1: Not a big college football slate anymore because we were
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: done with the regular season now, so we'll see. That'll
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: do it for me for now. Peace for now, guys,