Latest / Kvetch & Release / Windsor refuses Housing Accelerator Funds - again
Transcript
- 0:01You're listening to the Dan McDonald Show with guest host John Lidkey on AM eight
- 0:07hundred. Hey, good morning everyone, John Lydkey here on AM eight hundred
- 0:19CKLW. You know, sometimes it's fun. You have a whole segment planned
- 0:23out and you're ready to go to it, and you're having a conversation with
- 0:27the guests in the commercial break, teeing it up, getting it ready,
- 0:30and then you look at the computer screen and go, oh, no,
- 0:32never mind, we're changing the subject. Dan Jemmis joins me right now.
- 0:34Hey, Dan, you're you're used to live radio. Though this happens from
- 0:37time to time, it happens every show. So we were going to talk
- 0:40about how Windsor saw a massive increase in housing starts five hundred and forty eight
- 0:44percent. We were going to talk about how that's a it's a big percentage,
- 0:47but it's not a huge amount of homes. Well, ultimately, what
- 0:51this is showing us, it's what we've been saying for the last you know,
- 0:54two three years. We're starting to see a larger number of apartment slash
- 0:58condo buildings hitting the market, which is great. It's great news. Now,
- 1:03is it affordable housing? No? Not necessarily, but ultimately we need
- 1:07more units into the marketplace, and the quickest way to do that is to
- 1:11add the larger buildings, you know, to the stock. And so,
- 1:15you know, as opposed to building one hundred and fifty homes, you know,
- 1:19taking up a whole neighborhood and a lot of land, you can build
- 1:21one hundred and fifty units in one single building, right, and so we're
- 1:25seeing that that's been a trend we've been seeing for the last two three years.
- 1:27It's going to continue. We need it to happen. Yes, you
- 1:32know, the the roundtable had it square on today. It's not necessarily affordable
- 1:36housing, but it is opening up, you know, other homes for those
- 1:41who want a single family home and those are retiring. A lot of these
- 1:45buildings are seeing retirees moving to you know, from their their single family homes
- 1:49and they want that easier lifestyle. They don't want to have to worry about
- 1:51a yard. They can go on vacation and travel and not have to worry
- 1:55about those things. So you know, you might spend you know, three
- 1:57closer to four five. I have one hundred thousand dollars for a condo,
- 2:02which again don't get me wrong. I agree with everyone. It is not
- 2:06affordable by any means, but we can't necessarily fix every problem at the same
- 2:10time. Ultimately we need more housing stock and that's the quickest way to get
- 2:15that into the marketplace. So let's talk about that. There is one level
- 2:17of gout, well, two levels of go. You know what, there
- 2:20are three levels of government that are all trying to get more housing built.
- 2:23The province of course has they're they're building better, faster, stronger, act
- 2:25or whatever was past and whatever the name is. The FEDS have the Housing
- 2:29Accelerator Fund. We know that here in Windsor. We rebuffed it. We
- 2:32submitted our own application and we were refused thirty million dollars because we didn't want
- 2:38to go with the four units. As of right the Fed said, you
- 2:40know what, we're going to reopen it, yep, and we're going to
- 2:44give everyone an opportunity to get a little cashier. And we're finding out right
- 2:47now breaking news that Nope, Nick's not not gonna do it. Windsor has
- 2:53said yet again, it's not gonna happen. May Dilkins says, nothing's changed
- 2:57fundamentally here. It's still just the four units at GO to that. I
- 3:00want to talk about the little side that you just it is shameful. I
- 3:02think it's shameful. And you know, I've said this on my show multiple
- 3:07times, what the way I see this is, and it's been said by
- 3:12by many on the show, on the on the various shows on the station
- 3:15throughout the last you know, six months year. By allowing you know,
- 3:19four plexes, by right, we are not going to magically start seeing a
- 3:23whole bunch of four plexes popping up all over the place. That is not
- 3:27going to happen. It's expensive. Building properties are expensive, Renovating properties are
- 3:31expensive. I think that uh, you know, letting these funds go by
- 3:37the wayside, I think it's shameful. Truly. I think it can be
- 3:40used in so many different ways. You know, we talked about many of
- 3:43them during the break. I think that I think it should have been done
- 3:49the first time around, and the fact that it's not going to be done
- 3:51the second time around, I'm saddened. It's a shame. The Feds have
- 3:54said there's another four hundred million dollars that's now going to be eligible for municipalities
- 4:00to tap into now, and this this does to be fair require a little
- 4:02bit of sure additions than just the four units as of right, it would
- 4:06require the city to propose brand new initiatives along with a plan to implement them.
- 4:12And according to our Commissioner of Exdev and Innovation, it's expensive. We're
- 4:16going to have to put resources to it to develop it. You're sitting here
- 4:19shaking your head, though, I mean, you deal with this on the
- 4:23ground. We're never gonna get enough housing built. If we're turning down opportunities
- 4:28for money to get housing built or infrastructure rolled out. It's a lot of
- 4:31money. We're saying. Notes to that money could be used in so many
- 4:35different ways. Now we talk about infill, right, John, I could
- 4:39take this in so many different directions. But we talk about wanting to to
- 4:42find land to you know, to to build various properties. Nobody wants a
- 4:46multi unit next door. Nobody wants that. But at the end of the
- 4:49day, we have to put them somewhere. And you know, the roundtable
- 4:53had it dead on where you want, you want transit close by, you
- 4:56want resources, you do want to put them out in the middle of nowhere.
- 4:59Now that being said, we're seeing a lot of multi unit buildings popping
- 5:01up in Amersburg, in you know, Kingsville, Lasalt. He comes everywhere
- 5:06is seen them, which is great news because we want them out those directions
- 5:10as well. People want to live out in those in those municipalities. But
- 5:14ultimately housing is needed everywhere, including in in the downtown core. And so
- 5:18why not take some funds and clear some area that maybe is not desirable,
- 5:25uh and and make some room for some larger buildings. There's so many different
- 5:28directions you could go. You have to kind of yeah. And what I
- 5:32what I'm very saddened by, uh with with a lot of this situation is
- 5:36that everybody is just throwing the pile in someone else's lap. Nobody wants to
- 5:42really take responsibility. Right. You have the provincial government throwing it onto the
- 5:47Feds. You have the Fed thrown into the municipalities. They have municipalities throwing
- 5:49it back all over the place. Nobody wants to you know, they all
- 5:53want to pass the buck. And I get it. It's expensive. Nobody
- 5:56has money, and I understand that, but this is an example of a
- 5:59lot of money, you know, just being dropped. I think there has
- 6:03to be a way to look at this from a different light. There has
- 6:06to be you know, it's just when we look at the average cost of
- 6:12a home. We talked about this often while you're on You said, five
- 6:14hundred and eighty thousand, that's what you peg it to become September ish and
- 6:16then locked in at that and probably just increasing with you know, cost of
- 6:20with whatever inflation is as we move forward. Yeah, you were talking with
- 6:25me when we were in the break about the cost for mobile homes for trailers,
- 6:31and you just like it was like you took a brazhot through it at
- 6:34my face. Well, people would be surprised. You know, back fifteen
- 6:39years ago, you could buy a mobile home for you know, thirty forty
- 6:42thousand dollars. Now we are selling mobile homes for upwards of the high twos
- 6:46three hundred thousand dollars. Wow, and they're sitting on rented land. And
- 6:51so we know of some parks in Windsor, Essex that you are buying a
- 6:57two hundred and fifty thousand dollars mobile home and you are renting the land for
- 7:01I've seen up to eight hundred dollars a month, eight hundred a month,
- 7:04eight hundred a month to rent the land that is sitting on and that's just
- 7:08the land, just the land, and so that's insane. It's insane.
- 7:12People would be hoping for an apartment for eight hundred dollars. Not uncommon to
- 7:15see five six, seven, eight hundred dollars in monthly rent for a mobile
- 7:19home piece of property, a little tiny mobile home lot. Is is the
- 7:23mobile Is that like the canary in the coal mine? I what is the
- 7:28canary in the coal mine? For? You? Shake your head? Well,
- 7:30so, well, sorry, that's mostly so. Again we go back
- 7:32to many issues like what's the barometer for a healthy housing market? Good?
- 7:38Great question, that's that's a great question. Everyone wants us to go back
- 7:41to, you know, to build wartime homes for example. We you know,
- 7:44Mike says it all the time. I say it all the time.
- 7:46But the problem there is that the cost of land has gone up so high,
- 7:51right, and so you used to be able to buy a neighborhood lot
- 7:55for thirty forty thousand dollars. Now you're looking at a quarter million to three
- 8:00hundred thousand dollars for an average neighborhood lot, a fifty by one hundred and
- 8:05something foot lot. Then you have your development fees, so you could be
- 8:09upwards of fifty thousand dollars for development fees, So before you even put a
- 8:13house on a lot at three hundred three in a grand and so a builder
- 8:18then has to put a house on lots, then you're another two three hundred
- 8:22thousand dollars easy all day long. So now you're six seven hundred thousand dollars
- 8:26before you even do anything nice, before you even you know, upgrade the
- 8:30property, or before you build a good sized house that that's a one thousand
- 8:33square foot house to a fifteen hundred square foot house. So if you're keeping
- 8:37track right now and you're doing the math, it's pretty easy to understand why
- 8:41you're seeing home selling for six seven eight nine a million, one hundred percent.
- 8:46So you're starting to see a lot of townhomes right, town home style
- 8:48homes at a townhouse style homes, which again you're you're less property right,
- 8:52so you're you're squeezing them all, you're you're ataching them together. And so
- 8:56that that's why builders are kind of tending to go that direction. They're trying
- 8:58to find the most affordable way to build housing. And builders do not make
- 9:03a ton of money on a build. Okay, so yes, you have
- 9:07your multimillion dollar houses that builders will make a good chunk on. But your
- 9:11average builder is not making a lot of money on each build, so they
- 9:15have to build a lot of properties. And as the market has slowed down
- 9:18drastically in new construction, those margins are coming down. And so at the
- 9:22peak of COVID, builders were oftentimes losing money on a build because they had
- 9:26signed contracts prior to all the prices going up like crazy, and they had
- 9:30to satisfy those contracts. Meanwhile, the labor and the lumber costs we all
- 9:35heard those during the peak of COVID had gone crazy. So a builder is
- 9:39not making a lot of money on each build. They're having to build a
- 9:41lot of properties to make a good profit on. So it's not like builders
- 9:46can just slast their prices by half to lower the price of construction and the
- 9:50homes that's not doesn't work that way. So this is again I guess,
- 9:52going back to the Housing Accelerator Fund, why it would be smart for us
- 9:56to take the money that's being offered, because we could use the to even
- 10:00I guess, potentially try to reduce development fees if we wanted to. Could
- 10:03It's a device in different ways. Demolish, you know, an old factory
- 10:07somewhere and make the land available, hand it to a developer, and that
- 10:09way the land costs are reduced. I mean, the only things that the
- 10:13government can do one hundred percent, the only way were going to build affordable
- 10:16housing. You know, if you're on YouTube and you're watching me, I'm
- 10:18doing the air quotes. Affordable housing is with government jumping in and helping private
- 10:24industry will not be able to build affordable housing. It's just not financially viable
- 10:30for those builders and developers to do it. So again we're looking here,
- 10:33it is July twenty third, you're still setting that five hundred and eighty thousand
- 10:37dollars. That's the average as of right now. We're seeing our sales slow
- 10:41down drastically over the last few months. The prices have not come down,
- 10:45in fact, they've gone up a little bit over the last couple of months.
- 10:48I anticipate that sales are going to continue to slow down. We're starting
- 10:52to see listings climbing drastically, which is great news for buyers. Over the
- 10:56last few weeks, we've been seeing buyers getting back into the market. I
- 11:00anticipate that tomorrow, we're going to see another rate reduction with the Bank of
- 11:03Canada, which again will only kind of incentivize buyers to get back into the
- 11:09market again. Which my fear is that as these rate reductions keep coming over
- 11:13the next few months, it's going to increase that it's going to increase the
- 11:16price again. So right, I think we're gonna land up. I think
- 11:18we're gonna I think we're gonna stay somewherehere. We're at right now in the
- 11:20five seventy five, you know five, I'm gonna say five fifty to five
- 11:24eighty range by the end of this year. Well average price. You heard
- 11:28it here on AM eight hundred CKLW. You can also hear it on Saturdays
- 11:31and Sundays on the Dan Gemis Show here on amid hundred damn. Really really
- 11:35always a pleasure, as frustrating as it is. Sometimes frustrated with this issue,
- 11:39but you know, thanks for covering them. John. It's important.
- 11:41Yeah, well, I mean listen, it's everyone needs a place to live.
- 11:45You got it. That's what it comes down to. Dan Jemis of
- 11:46the Dan Jemis Real Estate Team, thank you so much for joining me in studio